[HN Gopher] High genetic barrier to SARS-CoV-2 polyclonal neutra...
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       High genetic barrier to SARS-CoV-2 polyclonal neutralizing antibody
       escape
        
       Author : SubiculumCode
       Score  : 55 points
       Date   : 2021-09-20 20:02 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | eganist wrote:
       | > Thus, optimally elicited human polyclonal antibodies against
       | SARS-CoV-2 should be resilient to substantial future SARS-CoV-2
       | variation and may confer protection against potential future
       | sarbecovirus pandemics.
       | 
       | So if I'm extrapolating correctly: any vaccine which can
       | stimulate production of this or similar polyclonal antibodies
       | should prove exceptionally difficult for the virus to overcome
       | through evolutionary pressure.
       | 
       | Anyone more intelligent than me on this topic able to help me
       | understand how likely this is to come to fruition?
        
         | gatronicus wrote:
         | > should prove exceptionally difficult for the virus to
         | overcome through evolutionary pressure
         | 
         | Which is why we need gain of function experiments to accelerate
         | this process and get ahead of the virus so that we are prepared
         | for the eventual successful mutation.
        
           | timr wrote:
           | Gain of function experiments are not all the same. If you use
           | an artificial selection approach (wherein selective pressure
           | is applied to a huge library of random variations), then
           | maybe.
           | 
           | If you have labs picking-and-choosing what mutations to make
           | (what usually happens), then no. That's just hubris. People
           | stumble around in the dark, occasionally find a truffle, and
           | pat themselves on the back for having such a great truffle-
           | finding method.
           | 
           | Even for good artificial selection systems, mutational space
           | is so gigantic that it's hard to cover properly: not just the
           | point mutations (i.e. converting one amino acid to another)
           | but also insertions, deletions and transpositions. There's no
           | artificial selection system I'm aware of that can
           | recapitulate mutational space.
        
             | gatronicus wrote:
             | Which is why we need "intelligent design" to "help" the
             | virus jump over this combinatorial problem.
             | 
             | For example we can try spikes from different related
             | viruses, or pick and choose various other tricks, like
             | furin cleavage sites, for example like in this rejected
             | 2018 EcoHealth coronavirus research DARPA grant proposal:
             | 
             | https://twitter.com/JamieMetzl/status/1439989291858513929
        
         | eightysixfour wrote:
         | My, admittedly limited, understanding is that the immuno
         | response to a natural infection is "broader" and targets more
         | of the viral proteins ("we show that multiple neutralizing
         | epitopes, within and outside the receptor binding domain (RBD),
         | are variably targeted by human polyclonal antibodies") while
         | the vaccine only introduces a single or small number of
         | proteins for the immune system to respond to.
         | 
         | If that is the case then we would want vaccines that include
         | more mRNA instructions for creating more unique viral proteins
         | to expand the number our immune system has been exposed to. I
         | have no idea how challenging that is.
        
           | gatronicus wrote:
           | > I have no idea how challenging that is.
           | 
           | Technically it's easy, Moderna already has multi target
           | vaccines (for other diseases), one with 7 different targets.
           | It can be as easy as literally creating 7 different vaccine
           | liquids and then mixing them all in a single vial.
           | 
           | The problem is deciding what to put in, what ratio, possible
           | side effects, etc... Lots of combinations which can mean lots
           | of expensive and slow clinical trials.
        
         | CodeWriter23 wrote:
         | I'm not an expert for sure though my read is the most expedient
         | way out of this situation is plasma donation / transplantation.
        
           | sarpeedo wrote:
           | The issue with plasma donation is that the plasma contains
           | antibodies which are temporary (6ish months). What we want is
           | to elicit a response which produces memory B cells so the
           | vaccinated individual can create their own antibodies. That
           | can only happen through vaccination or infection.
        
       | walterbell wrote:
       | This Rockefeller University study is about blood/serum
       | antibodies. It would be good to compare with the efficacy of
       | nasal/mucosal antibodies in individuals who recovered from Covid
       | infection, which could stop infection in the upper respiratory
       | tract before reaching blood.
        
         | tomrod wrote:
         | Do they typically differ?
        
           | walterbell wrote:
           | From a recent BBC article on immunity,
           | https://www.bbc.com/news/health-58270098
           | 
           |  _> There is a whole different suite of antibodies (known as
           | immunoglobulin As) in the nose and lungs, compared with those
           | (immunoglobulin Gs) that we measure in the blood. The former
           | is more important as a barrier to infection. Natural
           | infection, because it is in the nose rather than a jab in the
           | arm, may be a better route to those antibodies, and nasal
           | vaccines are being investigated too._
           | 
           | Existing vaccines prioritize reducing the risk of illness
           | after infection, rather than stopping infection in the first
           | place. CDC updated their vaccine definition in Sept. 2021, to
           | make this distinction clearer.
        
       | polishdude20 wrote:
       | Slightly off topic but are there any books one can recommend for
       | understanding how this stuff works biologically?
        
         | rolph wrote:
         | any human immunology text [e.g.]
         | 
         | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7872131/
         | 
         | molecular biology specific to coronavirus
         | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7131312/
         | 
         | sars specific literature
         | https://www.dovepress.com/understanding-the-molecular-biolog...
         | 
         | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41579-020-00468-6?error=coo...
        
         | walterbell wrote:
         | For edutainment, there's a manga/anime called Cells at Work
         | (https://mangarock.to/manga/1684/cells-at-work/first-
         | chapter#...) whose final (June 2021) installment covers
         | Covid-19. Includes a character called Killer T Cell,
         | https://cellsatwork.fandom.com/wiki/Killer_T_Cell_(Squad_Lea...
         | 
         |  _> Killer T Cell is loud, obnoxious, and quick-tempered,
         | resulting in rivalries with many cells. He also despises it
         | when a non-white blood cell forms a friendship or relationship
         | with one of his kind. As an immature thymocyte he went through
         | training at Thymus school, where apprentice cells like himself
         | learn to become Mature Thymocytes._
         | 
         | Season 1 is streaming: https://www.netflix.com/title/81028791
        
       | spywaregorilla wrote:
       | So... sort of like the inverse of crop monoculture problems?
        
       | elromulous wrote:
       | Can someone who's more knowledgeable on the topic comment on the
       | following: if natural immunity is more robust (as one would
       | expect - the immune system is exposed to many spikes that way, as
       | opposed to just the one), why don't we first immunize with the
       | vaccine, and then expose people to the alpha variant, so as to
       | develop a more robust (i.e. natural) response without the risk.
        
         | Larrikin wrote:
         | No vaccine is 100% effective and it is unethical to
         | purposefully expose people to disease.
        
           | gfodor wrote:
           | Huh? The ethics of therapies that expose people to pathogens
           | is complicated - many examples where exposure can be ethical
           | as long as patient is aware of the risks. Arguably all
           | vaccines fall into this ethical framework, and other
           | immunizations which involve exposure.
        
           | dcow wrote:
           | Under what ethical framework?
        
           | oskarpearson wrote:
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_challenge_study
        
           | disambiguation wrote:
           | yet this exactly what the pharma companies did during the
           | clinical trials to confirm the vaccines' efficacy.
        
           | sarpeedo wrote:
           | Before Chicken Pox vaccination was invented people would hold
           | "Pox Parties" to infect and immunize their children at a
           | young age when risk of severe infection was low.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pox_party
        
         | walterbell wrote:
         | You would want the exposure to be nasal, so that would require
         | a distribution system for inhalers containing the alpha
         | variant.
         | 
         | From the date of the first vaccine, until 2 weeks after the
         | second vaccine, the immune system goes through many changes
         | enroute to gaining protection from serious illness. It is
         | recommended to avoid immune system stress, exposure to any
         | pathogens (e.g. visiting hospitals), physical exertion, etc.
         | during the 2 week period immediately after the first vaccine.
         | If one is infected with anything earlier than 2 weeks after the
         | 2nd vaccine, it will be recorded as an unvaccinated infection.
         | 
         | Anyone (vaccinated, partially vaccinated or unvaccinated) who
         | gets infected should immediately avail themselves of early
         | treatment options, e.g. monoclonal antibodies (free and
         | available in some states), upcoming antiviral tablets from
         | Pfizer and Merck (in trials) or other therapeutics on the
         | global market. Early treatment speeds recovery. Without early
         | treatment, the graph of outcomes becomes complex.
        
         | jpxw wrote:
         | One reason amongst many others is the risk of a vaccine-
         | resistant strain emerging. There'd be a pretty enormous
         | evolutionary pressure for that outcome under those
         | circumstances.
        
           | sarpeedo wrote:
           | I would point out fear of resistance is not a good reason to
           | withhold vaccination or withhold care. Resistance will always
           | eventually happen through evolution. What's important is that
           | care is given when indicated.
        
         | jopsen wrote:
         | > the immune system is exposed to many spikes that way...
         | 
         | Why not just develop anther vaccine or two? Wasn't the point
         | with the mRNA vaccines that they would easily be tweaked to
         | target another spike?
        
           | angelzen wrote:
           | While I am a complete neophyte, from what I learned so far
           | immunity is non-linear. Antibody dependent enhancement and
           | original antigenic sin come to mind. We can't just pile up
           | vaccines and expect the effects to always be positive.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Original_antigenic_sin
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | I think the best answer is that we are just beginning to
         | understand the immune response to infection and our vaccines
         | and that the exact pathway to create the best, most protective
         | and longest lasting immunity is still an area of active
         | research. We just don't know enough at this point.
        
         | sarpeedo wrote:
         | Actually this is sort of a thing. For example the polio vaccine
         | has a killed vaccine (analogous to spikes) and a live
         | attenuated vaccine. The live vaccine has higher risk of side
         | effects but provides more robust immunity.
         | 
         | Vaccine schedules can be designed to give the killed version
         | first for some immunity followed by live vaccine to provide
         | more robust immunity.
         | 
         | None of the COVID vaccines so far are live attenuated vaccines
         | as far as I'm aware.
        
       | eightysixfour wrote:
       | This is interesting!
       | 
       | > By aggregating VOC-associated and antibody-selected spike
       | substitutions into a single polymutant spike protein, we show
       | that 20 naturally occurring mutations in SARS-CoV-2 spike are
       | sufficient to generate pseudotypes with near-complete resistance
       | to the polyclonal neutralizing antibodies generated by
       | convalescents or mRNA vaccine recipients
       | 
       | So there are 20 known potential mutations which, when all put
       | together, creates a virus that would be nearly completely
       | resistant to existing vaccinations.
       | 
       | > however, plasma from individuals who had been infected and
       | subsequently received mRNA vaccination, neutralized pseudotypes
       | bearing this highly resistant SARS-CoV-2 polymutant spike, or
       | diverse sarbecovirus spike proteins.
       | 
       | So, perhaps unsurprisingly, if you've had the virus and then
       | received a vaccine, it appears that you have a very high level of
       | immunity, including to future potential variants.
       | 
       | I cannot pull the paper itself, did they test people who were
       | breakthrough cases following vaccination (instead of infection
       | then vaccination)?
        
         | neurobashing wrote:
         | I think we need the denominator here to put '20' into context.
         | 20 out of 100 million possible mutations is, meh, I'll take
         | those odds. 20 out of 100, well, that's something else
         | entirely, isn't it.
        
           | eightysixfour wrote:
           | Edited because a correction by another user helps to clarify
           | - it is not about the 20 mutations (which they created a
           | mutant spike will all 20 of them!) though, it is more about
           | what was and was not effective in defendening against the
           | mutant spike.
        
             | hadlock wrote:
             | Coronaviruses are RNA viruses, so there's only a single
             | copy of the genetic material, vs DNA with two copies. The
             | result of RNA viruses is that they typically mutate at a
             | much higher rate than DNA viruses. There are viruses that
             | mutate faster than Coronaviruses, though.
        
         | zmmmmm wrote:
         | You chopped off a crucial part of the sentence that completely
         | changes its meaning. The real sentence is:
         | 
         | > By aggregating VOC-associated and antibody-selected spike
         | substitutions into a single polymutant spike protein, we show
         | that 20 naturally occurring mutations
         | 
         |  _Aggregating_ ... into a _polymutant_ spike. That means they
         | put all 20 mutations together, each of them carefully selected
         | from variants of concern or antibody attachment sites, into one
         | single spike protein. Basically they created the most crazy
         | supermutant resistent spike they could. The chance of which
         | would be astronomically small in nature. And their conclusion
         | is that even then a good dose of vaccine allows the body to
         | eliminate it.
        
           | eightysixfour wrote:
           | Thanks, you're right and I've updated it to clarify.
           | 
           | > And their conclusion is that even then a good dose of
           | vaccine allows the body to eliminate it.
           | 
           | That's not the same thing I got from the conclusion, it
           | sounded like you needed to have a previous infection + the
           | vaccine to clear it. What am I missing?
        
           | robrenaud wrote:
           | Did I misread? This super spike protein defeats merely the
           | vaccinated, but not the naturally infected and then
           | vaccinated, AFAIU.
        
           | openasocket wrote:
           | Additionally, could that even happen naturally? Since viruses
           | only reproduce asexually, there's no way for multiple
           | strain's mutations to somehow be combined together, right?
        
           | throwawaylinux wrote:
           | Polymutant just means it has multiple mutations, right? I'm
           | not sure what crazy supermutant resistant is. Does it say
           | anywhere that this was the most crazy supermutant resistant
           | spike they could possibly create, or just that they combined
           | some natural mutations?
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | No, their engineered mutant completely evaded normal
           | immunity, but that was the purpose of the study, to find a
           | virus that would, then test it against the super immunity
           | discovered in some individuals. This super immunity was able
           | to neutralize the virus, helping to support the idea that
           | there is a special immunity in certain infected then
           | vaccinated people that we should strive to replicate in
           | future vaccines.
        
         | twofornone wrote:
         | >So, perhaps unsurprisingly, if you've had the virus and then
         | received a vaccine, it appears that you have a very high level
         | of immunity
         | 
         | Why would someone get vaccinated post infection?
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | It is currently recommend, and studies, such as this one,
           | show that you will be highly protecting yourself from future
           | variants you would have otherwise had low immunity against.
        
           | oskarpearson wrote:
           | For the same reason most vaccines require two doses. And for
           | the same reason some countries are planning or doing booster
           | shots.
           | 
           | Antibody levels drop rapidly after an infection, if they
           | persist at all.
           | 
           | Getting a vaccination after infection re-triggers the immune
           | system and makes antibodies more likely to persist for
           | longer.
           | 
           | Reading up on this many months ago it seemed likely that
           | natural infection plus a single vaccination would be
           | equivalent to two vaccine shots.
           | 
           | There was research about only needing to give one shot of
           | vaccines like AstraZeneca to people with previous infection.
           | It was considered too complex to manage, and the research as
           | to efficacy wasn't finalised, so they stuck with two.
           | 
           | Having had Covid, plus two shots of something like
           | AstraZeneca is presumably somewhere in the region of a
           | standard two-shot-plus-booster campaign.
           | 
           | I don't really understand much of this paper, but given other
           | comments it seems to be a reasonable idea.
        
           | gameswithgo wrote:
           | For more robust immunity, many people do this.
        
             | ngvrnd wrote:
             | it is in fact recommended.
        
               | scoot wrote:
               | But apparently not effective in all cases. A friend of
               | mine in their early 20s has Covid a second time, having
               | been vaccinated after their first infection.
               | 
               | (To catch it once is unfortunate...)
        
               | bsder wrote:
               | A vaccine doesn't prevent you from catching a virus again
               | --especially if you get a big bolus.
               | 
               | It _does_ mean that your body is prepared to sweep the
               | virus out faster and prevent it from spreading as far in
               | your body.
               | 
               | In computer terms, a vaccine reduces the _latency_
               | between when your body gets a virus and when it reaches
               | critical immune response to get the virus under control.
               | 
               | So, for example, while you may get Covid in your nose,
               | being vaccinated means that it doesn't get down into your
               | lungs and heart and cause damage down there (the issues
               | that cause most people to be hospitalized).
        
               | rednerrus wrote:
               | But these are outliers, right?
        
               | amirhirsch wrote:
               | I don't know why your comment bothers me so much, but...
               | 
               | No, your friend didn't have COVID a second time after
               | being vaccinated after their first infection. Especially
               | lacking any clarification that they were in fact tested
               | positive both times, you are merely contributing to noise
               | on the internet.
               | 
               | 1) "a friend of yours" is not a data point on which
               | others should base their worldview (unless their
               | testicles got huge and their fiance called it off, why
               | even share?)
               | 
               | 2) reinfection is rare
               | 
               | 3) it is likely the first time they think they had covid,
               | they weren't tested, and actually had the flu.
               | 
               | Here is the CDC information on reinfection:
               | https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-
               | health/reinfe...
               | 
               | As of August 6, 2021, the CDC has nothing conclusive to
               | say on the matter: "Cases of reinfection with COVID-19
               | have been reported, but remain rare . "
               | 
               | Anecdotes are noise, and I would encourage you to do no
               | further research.
        
           | xtorol wrote:
           | Why wouldn't they?
        
             | dnautics wrote:
             | there are of course unknown risks associated with putting
             | anything into your body. But it's probably still a good
             | idea.
        
           | bsder wrote:
           | Because your immune system isn't guaranteed to pick up on the
           | most relevant part of a pathogen.
           | 
           | While lots of people got diseases like smallpox and measles
           | only once, others would get them several times. The
           | difference is what part of the virus your antibodies selected
           | to attack.
           | 
           | The spike protein seems to be both extremely important to
           | SARS-CoV-2 and relatively unchanging.
           | 
           | If your body creates antibodies to it, you will have immunity
           | on par with the vaccines.
           | 
           | If your body doesn't create antibodies to it, you have a
           | mixed bag of immunity. Getting a vaccine buffs that up.
           | 
           | Immune systems are very buggy learning systems. This is good
           | from a _species_ survival perspective, but not always for a
           | specific individual.
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | They only tested the plasma from people who were infected,
         | people vaccinated with Pfizer, and people who were infected,
         | then vaccinated.
         | 
         | The 20 mutations they mention was a set of 20 mutations to a
         | single spike protein that they then attached to a carrier virus
         | to test plasma neutralization. It's not the full space of
         | possible mutations that could cause immunity escape, but it is
         | one that they found with a plausibly low number of mutations
         | that it could occur in the wild that would result is almost
         | total escape for vaccinated or previously infected.
         | 
         | An interesting result was that the infected then vaccinated
         | individuals developed antibodies that targeted a very broad
         | range of coronaviruses, including their engineered virus,
         | delta, many other variants, and the original SARS.
         | 
         | It's suggested that future vaccines could be engineered to
         | produce this broad immunity.
         | 
         | The immune system is almost terrifyingly complex.
        
           | devin wrote:
           | > An interesting result was that the infected then vaccinated
           | individuals developed antibodies that targeted a very broad
           | range of coronaviruses, including their engineered virus,
           | delta, many other variants, and the original SARS.
           | 
           | Glad you brought this up, but from what I understand this
           | isn't actually all that interesting (read: surprising). mRNA
           | vaccines target the spike protein because it's functional and
           | well-conserved. Natural infection means your immune system
           | sees many more proteins.
        
             | dougmwne wrote:
             | Yes, but natural infection did not produce this broad
             | immunity in their samples, only infected then vaccinated
             | developed this special kind of broad immunity. That is
             | supprising in a way, that we could coax the immune system
             | into producing a special kind of immunity that wouldn't
             | otherwise be likely to occur naturally. It opens an area of
             | research into what mRNA sequence or dosing regimen could
             | reproduce this immunity for a future super vaccine.
        
               | angelzen wrote:
               | Natural infection was one event vs. natural infection +
               | vaccine being two events separated by a time interval. It
               | may be that we are stumbling upon a natural mechanism
               | that makes recurring infections almost impossible past
               | 2nd event.
        
         | bpodgursky wrote:
         | Given the... _possible_... origins of this virus, I hope they
         | are being exceedingly careful about actually synthesizing a
         | virus with all of these mutations at once.
         | 
         | Or they stand a very high risk of creating and releasing the
         | doomsday variant they are worried about in the first place...
        
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       (page generated 2021-09-20 23:01 UTC)