[HN Gopher] Private companies will launch a new fleet of moon la...
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       Private companies will launch a new fleet of moon landers
        
       Author : swayvil
       Score  : 34 points
       Date   : 2021-09-19 19:49 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.science.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.science.org)
        
       | Zenst wrote:
       | Slight tangent, but I'm wondering and kinda dreading the day that
       | some company pops some large advert upon the Moon so it can be
       | seen on Earth.
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | I wouldn't be too worried. Copernicus crater is 93km in
         | diameter... Which is the circle on left hand side of moon.
         | 
         | Anything truly visible from Earth would be absolutely massive
         | and we haven't done anything like that scale on Earth even
         | yet...
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | nohuck13 wrote:
           | Thanks. Picture for anybody else curious:
           | 
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copernicus_(lunar_crater)#/m.
           | ..
        
         | edgyquant wrote:
         | That sounds like it would be impossibly expensive
        
         | rektide wrote:
         | i heard at one point Carl Sagan was approached by some element
         | of the US government about possibly calculating what kind of
         | nuke thet'd have to set off to be visible on earth.
         | 
         | oh! seems he was a grad student at IIT Chicago and indeed
         | worked on Project A119! i didnt know it was early in his
         | career, or that he'd accepted.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_A119#Research
        
       | dr_dshiv wrote:
       | Astrobotic in Pittsburgh has very good people. So proud!
        
       | akamoonknight wrote:
       | Might be a long ways out, as this article still seems mainly
       | about research purposes, but if there's things like the Outer
       | Space Treaty (which to my understanding theoretically limits
       | country-based ownership of things like the moon), then to some
       | extent it feels like there's no "law" on the moon, so will we see
       | company's landers sabotaging other company's landers as they
       | compete for resources? I guess I'm picturing something like the
       | gold rush of the mid 1800's. Maybe orbits around earth are an
       | example of where something similar is sort of "working out" ?
        
         | simonh wrote:
         | The treaty means you can't claim territory, but you can
         | establish bases, and extract and use resources. What it means
         | in practice is you can't make a claim, you just go and take
         | what you need, and once you vacate a site others can come along
         | and occupy it. They just cant interfere with any equipment you
         | leave in place.
        
       | hkon wrote:
       | Can't wait to see and ad for Coca Cola or Red Bull on the moon.
        
       | dylan604 wrote:
       | If private companies don't, nobody will. Most gov'ts are just not
       | interested. Gov'ts move slower than a herd of turtles. The best
       | thing the gov't involvement could be would to establish ground
       | rules, er moon rules. Rules/treaties for Antartica could be a
       | starting point.
        
         | simonh wrote:
         | > If private companies don't, nobody will.
         | 
         | All these efforts are literally being paid for by NASA.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | Sure, start with the easy government money, but once you get
           | a track record, you get non-gov't customers.
        
         | skissane wrote:
         | The article is about private companies being paid to do it _by
         | NASA_. Would these particular companies be doing it if NASA
         | wasn 't paying for it? Probably not.
         | 
         | I think the first purely commercial missions to the Moon are
         | likely to be tourism. These particular companies are a long way
         | away from being able to transport people - as opposed to
         | scientific experiments. SpaceX is much closer. Blue Origin and
         | Dynetics also have a chance, but I doubt they will be able to
         | compete against SpaceX in the lunar tourism market unless they
         | can drop their costs significantly.
        
       | dr_dshiv wrote:
       | I know this sounds ridiculous, but "Moonball" is really promising
       | as a televised professional sport. Think about it: who wouldn't
       | watch professional athletes in 1/6 gravity? That means, 4 second
       | long, 10ft high jumps. Assuming everyone would watch it, it's a
       | real business opportunity.
       | 
       | It's not terribly hard, either. There are enormous moon lava
       | tubes[1], so it would be possible to just inflate a sporting
       | arena in the radiation sheilded underground. Importantly,
       | atheletes could play without a special life support suit.
       | However, you'd need awesome shoes with good ankle support for
       | landing those jumps. I assume Moonball will first be played by
       | mission astronauts, to keep fit. But within 20 years, I predict
       | televised sports will be the biggest source of moon revenue,
       | aside from govt income.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_lava_tube
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | > expect it to be the biggest source of revenue
         | 
         | maybe 2nd after advertisers building giant billboards visible
         | from earth
        
           | trothamel wrote:
           | The moon is really small, visually - half a degree in
           | diameter. That's the size of a dime at six feet, likely means
           | such billboards would not be noticeable enough to be worth
           | the effort.
        
             | muthdra wrote:
             | Just advertise for telescope enthusiasts.
        
               | cbanek wrote:
               | Now I'm thinking telescope + QR code on the moon, who
               | knows, maybe it'd be a set of lights that could generate
               | QR codes
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | ahevia wrote:
               | If I see this being done within my lifetime I know now
               | which HN poster to blame
        
             | crocodiletears wrote:
             | Pepsi logo might work
        
           | chiph wrote:
           | Or broadcasting. No pesky national rules regarding power
           | output or content.
        
         | stevenwoo wrote:
         | A competitive team sport in a chamber taking advantage of the
         | lunar gravity was a very minor part of the world building of a
         | moon base in The Gods Themselves by Isaac Asimov, honestly I
         | thought he spent too long explaining it but you may enjoy it
         | keeping in mind he only had the science of 1972 to work with.
         | :)
        
         | generalizations wrote:
         | Consider how quickly fads change on earth; I imagine the
         | novelty of 'moonball' would quickly fade.
        
           | prox wrote:
           | That's what all you earthlings say :P
        
         | ithkuil wrote:
         | > However, you'd need awesome shoes with good ankle support for
         | landing those jumps.
         | 
         | How does that work?
         | 
         | The energy (force times distance) your legs can impart pushing
         | the ground up, must match the force time distance the ground
         | will impart on your feet while you land. So, if any of that is
         | significantly different from the dynamics in Earth's gravity,
         | the same effect should matter on liftoff and not only on
         | landing.
         | 
         | I assume the biggest risk on landing is that you risk losing
         | balance, is that what you need better shoes, so you're more
         | tolerant to a bad foot position on landing?
        
       | pomian wrote:
       | The concept reminds me of the great book by Andy Weir, Artemis.
       | (He of; The Martian, fame.) Audiobook is very good too.
        
       | swayvil wrote:
       | They mention a few kinds of research that will be conducted. But
       | where's the money in it? Is there something worth mining?
       | 
       | You've got infinite dust, from which can be made a kind of
       | concrete. Infinite solar power. Possibly water. What else?
       | 
       | What are the advantages of building a base on the moon vs
       | building it in orbit?
        
         | kitsunesoba wrote:
         | Zooming into building on the moon vs. building in orbit, one
         | big difference is that with some bootstrapping, on the moon a
         | number of materials can be sourced locally. Some things will
         | still need to be shipped in, but eliminating many of the most
         | cumbersome materials (water, aluminum, iron, and titanium among
         | others) will cut the number of supply missions down
         | considerably.
         | 
         | In contrast, everything in orbit needs to be launched from
         | Earth, and shipping up raw resources doesn't make sense because
         | you don't really have the space for processing and
         | manufacturing facilities.
         | 
         | That said, this assumes a more robust and steadily growing
         | presence. If all you want is a tiny antarctic style outpost a
         | lot of that doesn't matter.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | What are the advantages of building a base in Antarctica?
         | Benefits are fairly nebulous but still real.
         | 
         | Building a base in lunar or a halo orbit is pretty stupid. Very
         | few advantages over earth orbit; substantially higher costs
         | mean we'll use it a lot less.
         | 
         | An earth orbit station has been very useful. However once it
         | ages out the best replacement is probably just fitting out a
         | Starship to orbit for many months and return.
        
           | gus_massa wrote:
           | The bases in Antarctica are important because once there is a
           | clear economic incentive, the Antarctic Treaty will end and
           | each country will try to grab a piece. You can let the morons
           | build bases there and nuke them at the last second, but it's
           | more friendly to keep a few bases and use that as a
           | antecedent to pick your part when the negotiations starts.
        
         | inglor_cz wrote:
         | Out of top of my head.
         | 
         | 1. If humans are a future part of the picture, buried
         | structures on the Moon will protect them against cosmic rays -
         | much harder to do that in an orbital station.
         | 
         | 2. Same goes for gravity. While a huge rotating station is
         | technically possible, Moon has its 0.16G naturally everywhere.
         | Might be better for health, is certainly better for plumbing
         | and other sorts of equipment.
         | 
         | 3. Water is actually pretty important. The spots on the Moon
         | where it can be produced may turn "hot", as different countries
         | try and claim them.
        
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       (page generated 2021-09-19 23:00 UTC)