[HN Gopher] The physics anomaly no one talks about: What's up wi...
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       The physics anomaly no one talks about: What's up with those
       neutrinos?
        
       Author : nsoonhui
       Score  : 149 points
       Date   : 2021-09-19 08:51 UTC (14 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (backreaction.blogspot.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (backreaction.blogspot.com)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | It's weird I submitted this yesterday. I wonder why it let the
       | same submission in. Different urls somehow?
        
         | Tomte wrote:
         | Several hours later is usually treated as a new submission. You
         | can submit yourself again the next day (or later the same day).
        
           | mrfusion wrote:
           | It seems like that's normally the case but I've had certain
           | articles I can resubmit for 10 days or more.
        
           | mrfusion wrote:
           | Thanks. And to the other commenter. That's probably what
           | happened. No biggy.
        
         | _Microft wrote:
         | The URL you submitted has a trailing parameter while this one
         | does not. Maybe this is why it did not get automatically
         | merged.
        
       | SubiculumCode wrote:
       | No one talking about? Except for all these papers?
       | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?start=0&q=MiniBooNE&hl=en...
        
       | frumiousirc wrote:
       | I'm surprised Sabine did not bring her usual drama and
       | controversy to this one and talk about the fact that there is,
       | shall we say, "extreme tension" between the results from
       | LSND/MiniBooNE and those of other experiments.
       | 
       | https://journals.aps.org/prl/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevLett.11...
       | 
       | The 4th figure is the money shot.
        
         | lvs wrote:
         | She really doesn't explain the basic research problems well,
         | and I'm still mystified as to why she gets so much traction
         | here.
        
           | topynate wrote:
           | She has a very empirical way of looking at things which is
           | somewhat uncommon in theoretical physicists and appeals to
           | interested outsiders who haven't been "inducted" into string
           | theory or what have you. E.g. we might be able to do without
           | dark energy, so why put so much emphasis on dark energy? We
           | don't even see one superparticle at LHC, but grad students
           | are still being pushed into stringy shit - why not cut our
           | losses? Or on the flip side, here's a 6 sigma result!!! - why
           | don't her peers seem to care?
           | 
           | The other side would be someone like Lubos Motl, who used to
           | be quite popular too. His main point is that the mathematical
           | completeness and coherence of string theory means it's the
           | only game in town. Which, that might be a fair point, for all
           | I know, but I'm a maths grad and I can only vaguely
           | appreciate what he's going on about most of the time. It just
           | needs a lot of study to get to grips with these theories well
           | enough to judge them in the absence of confirmatory empirical
           | evidence.
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | It is rare to see two-sigma results like this reported in
         | physics. Or did I misunderstand?
        
           | tsimionescu wrote:
           | There was a 2 sigma result, that has later been confirmed by
           | a 4.9 sigma result from a new experiment with a new detector,
           | giving now a combined 6 sigma confidence.
        
             | ncmncm wrote:
             | The paper I asked about reports a 2 s result.
             | 
             | That is distinct from the _other_ 4.7 s and 3.8 s results
             | mentioned in TFA, which combined yield a 6. AFICS nobody
             | has suggested this one may be combined with anything.
             | 
             | So, my question remains open: why did a 2 s result merit
             | publication?
        
               | maxnoe wrote:
               | Because outcomes of (in this case even large, complex,
               | expensive) experiments should be published independent of
               | outcome?
        
         | civilized wrote:
         | Unpaywalled
         | https://escholarship.org/content/qt496002sb/qt496002sb.pdf
         | 
         | I don't have the background to interpret these figures, and
         | based on a quick search for MiniBooNE mentions in the paper,
         | the authors don't seem to say that MiniBooNE is an outlier
         | relative to all the other experiments. Where does the paper
         | talk about the tension?
         | 
         | EDIT: based on the comments below, it sounds like the tension
         | is between appearance-based and disappearance-based
         | experiments, and isn't necessarily about a single experiment
         | being an outlier relative to others?
        
           | bazzargh wrote:
           | They do mention it, it's at the end of their conclusions:
           | 
           | "The results explicitly show the strong tension between null
           | results from disappearance searches and appearance-based
           | indications for the existence of light sterile neutrinos." p7
           | 
           | So yes they are saying there is tension between disappearance
           | and appearance experiments, which is which?
           | 
           | "In this analysis, the measurement of muon (anti)neutrino
           | disappearance by the MINOS experiment is combined with
           | electron antineutrino disappearance measurements from the
           | Daya Bay and Bugey-3 [16] experiments using the signal confi-
           | dence level (CLs) method [17, 18]. The combined results are
           | analyzed in light of the muon (anti)neutrino to electron
           | (anti)neutrino appearance indications from the LSND [8] and
           | MiniBooNE [9] experiments." p3
           | 
           | So yes they are saying there is tension between MiniBooNE
           | results and MINOS, Bugey-3. I've no insight into the results
           | either but GP's characterization of this paper was accurate.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | SiempreViernes wrote:
           | uh,they do say "Regions of parameter space to the right of
           | the red contour are excluded." you can see for yourself where
           | mosto of the miniBoone resylts lie. By the way, why not link
           | the preprint? https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.01177
           | 
           | The existence of a contradiction with other experiments was
           | also something that was reported at the time:
           | 
           | > Despite the affirmation of LSND's 20-year-old results,
           | physicists have not concluded that there is a fourth neutrino
           | species. The findings directly contradict those by a diverse
           | set of experiments, including the Main Injector Neutrino
           | Oscillation Search, the Daya Bay Reactor Neutrino Experiment,
           | and the IceCube Neutrino Observatory
           | 
           | https://physicstoday.scitation.org/do/10.1063/PT.6.1.2018061.
           | ..
        
       | wintercarver wrote:
       | Tangential, but for those interested in large-scale neutrino
       | physics projects check out the successor to Japan's Super-
       | Kamiokande experiment, Hyper-Kamiomande:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyper-Kamiokande
        
       | hprotagonist wrote:
       | The probable boring answer, mentioned near the end, is that at a
       | detection rate of 500 events per 15 years of experiment runtime,
       | statistical power comes slowly.
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | But, as noted, that _already happened_. Six sigma is six sigma.
         | To demand better than that amounts to special pleading.
         | 
         | It looks like people just wish this would go away, like the
         | failure of the galactic rotation curves. What is strange is
         | that this might be a place to park dark matter, catnip
         | nowadays.
         | 
         | Usually when this sort of thing happens in cosmology,
         | astrophysics, or particle physics, it is because most
         | physicists hate working with the mathematics required, and hope
         | somebody else will tell them they were right to ignore it.
        
           | contravariant wrote:
           | I suppose we should be a bit careful about limits like that
           | when an experiment is run continuously, but 6 sigma is a
           | pretty high bar to clear.
        
           | hprotagonist wrote:
           | we have a confirmed discrepancy at six sigma, sure.
           | 
           | wanna bet how long it'll take to figure out _how_, at such a
           | low detection rate?
           | 
           | We're at "we've confirmed there's a bug", not "here's the
           | repro, traceback, and by the way if you fix these four lines
           | it'll work again".
        
             | Iolaum wrote:
             | Coming up with potential "tracebacks" is how theoretical
             | physicists make papers and get citations. And then you use
             | them to design a proper experiment that will shed light to
             | other aspects of this anomaly.
             | 
             | But for some reason this process ain't starting.
        
               | hprotagonist wrote:
               | > But for some reason this process ain't starting.
               | 
               | or, 2.5 years, one of which was a global pandemic, is not
               | enough time to design, begin, and publicize a series of
               | experiments that take a few decades to produce data in
               | quantity to continue investigating new physics.
        
               | ncmncm wrote:
               | Again: the next step is _not_ more experiments. The
               | experiments are _done_ , and confirmed the discrepancy.
               | The next step is theorizing, which can be done in
               | isolation, relatively unaffected by pandemic. That is
               | what is now neglected.
               | 
               |  _After_ hypotheses have been shown to be plausible, i.e.
               | account for the result correctly, yet consistent with
               | other results, it will be time to design experiments to
               | choose among them.
               | 
               | So, no, the silence is not consistent with normal process
               | AIUI.
        
               | zzt123 wrote:
               | There are theories. Such as the discrepancy being due to
               | sterile neutrinos (also explaining dark matter).
               | Confirming or rejecting through data is currently
               | underway, is not at six sigma, and won't be for years due
               | to rareness and difficulty of detecting events. So it
               | isn't being talked about since we are in the lurch.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | rpz wrote:
       | Why do we need a particle accelerator to run experiments on
       | neutrinos, given their apparent abundance? Is there any other way
       | to observe neutrinos without a particle accelerator?
        
         | z5h wrote:
         | We don't. E.g.
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudbury_Neutrino_Observatory.
        
         | zbendefy wrote:
         | Results can be better controlled this way
        
         | _Microft wrote:
         | There are lots of experiments that do not require particle
         | accelerators but if you want to observe neutrinos after they
         | have travelled only a few dozen meters, you need a source at
         | that distance.
        
           | ars wrote:
           | How do they know they are only detecting neutrinos from the
           | designated source, and not also other neutrinos mixed in?
        
             | _Microft wrote:
             | I am not an expert on this, so take it with a grain of
             | salt:
             | 
             | Neutrinos are not directly detected. What happens is that
             | they interact with matter in a medium and produce muons or
             | electrons that are moving faster than the speed of light in
             | that medium. That's only possible because the speed of
             | light in said medium is less than the speed of light in
             | vaccuum by the way. These fast-moving, charged particles
             | lead to the generation of a cone of cherenkov radiation,
             | not unlike a supersonic object is producing a mach cone.
             | From that cone, the direction of the particle motion can be
             | inferred.
             | 
             | One could also keep the detector running while switching
             | the source on and off to establish a baseline and calculate
             | the excess of detected particles while the source was
             | switched on.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherenkov_radiation
        
               | misnome wrote:
               | This is somewhat correct, but talking about only one
               | class of experiment (Cherenkov detectors).
               | 
               | Indeed it's the child-particles of the interactions that
               | are observed, so, electrons muons and Tau particles.
               | Depending how you are measuring, (many approaches) these
               | interactions are generally separable - and usually you
               | can get some directionality out of your measured event -
               | so you know the direction it came from.
               | 
               | Combining the direction with timing - with an accelerator
               | you know exactly when the pulse of neutrinos were
               | produced - this means you can exclude a very large amount
               | of background.
               | 
               | Some background does get through, but you can measure it
               | with e.g. the source turned off as you suggest, or the
               | times when you know the source isn't otherwise producing
               | (like in between pulses) to get a background rate. You
               | then generate enough data from the source to effectively
               | "drown out" the background.
               | 
               | Much the same can be done with reactor sources - very
               | often when building an experiment with a reactor as a
               | source, there will be some government-level agreement to
               | allow knowledge of what power the reactor is being run
               | at, as well as shutdowns.
               | 
               | Along with Cherenkov, there are and have been
               | scintillator, chemical-energy-deposition, Photographic
               | film and even ocean-audio based methods of detection.
               | Probably some more exotic ones I am forgetting also.
               | 
               | (I did a PHD in neutrino physics, although been out of
               | the field a few years)
        
               | _Microft wrote:
               | Thanks for the reply, it is very much appreciated!
               | 
               | I did not know that "ocean-audio based methods of
               | detection" for neutrinos are even possible and will
               | certainly look that up later.
        
               | misnome wrote:
               | I don't know if any of them ever ended up getting off the
               | ground, but the theory was that you could pick up the
               | step-function shockwave from underwater interactions with
               | a giant array of microphones. There were some test arrays
               | in the Mediterranean IIRC, but cursory searches seem to
               | imply that optical underwater arrays seem to have been
               | pursued instead.
               | 
               | It always seemed a neat idea, that you could instrument
               | absolutely gigantic volumes with.
        
               | _Microft wrote:
               | I guess the sound might be very characteristic because
               | variations in the process of generation might be limited
               | (amount of energy delivered / type of particle created?)
               | and I would expect it to sound a lot like a sharp "ping"
               | if I had to take a guess. Temperature, salinity and
               | currents would affect propagation and dispersion but deep
               | enough in the sea there might be a stable enough
               | environment to be able account for that. A very
               | interesting idea at least!
        
           | drclau wrote:
           | > if you want to observe neutrinos after they have travelled
           | only a few dozen meters
           | 
           | Genuinely curious here, why is the travelled distance
           | important?
        
             | icegreentea2 wrote:
             | If you want to measure neutrinos transforming, then knowing
             | the distance to source lets to calculate rate of
             | transformation.
        
               | frutiger wrote:
               | Why can't you sample at one point on the earth's surface
               | and sample again at that point's antipode? You would know
               | the distance that was travelled, and have measurements at
               | both points.
        
               | user-the-name wrote:
               | Neutrinos mainly come from the sun, and the sun is
               | massively larger than the earth. You can't draw any
               | conclusions from measurements at two points at a distance
               | that is much smaller than the size of the source itself.
        
               | misnome wrote:
               | How would you know the two different neutrinos
               | interactions came from the same source/distance without
               | producing them yourself?
        
               | frutiger wrote:
               | I wouldn't need to. By sampling hundreds of thousands of
               | events, I would know the odds of getting a particular
               | neutrino from a particular source is the same.
        
               | qrybam wrote:
               | That's part of the problem, they had 500 detection
               | "events" over 15 years of operation.
        
               | candiodari wrote:
               | Well that's not the problem. The problem is natural
               | sources are too big. The distance difference between you
               | and the top of the sun and the middle is like 100x the
               | length of the equator. Neutrino sources in the sun have
               | very irregular shapes, so that too changes the distance.
               | And you have zero control over it all. All you'd ever see
               | is the equivalent of a soft shadow, you'd never get a
               | point source.
               | 
               | The second thing you might want to do: "filter" neutrinos
               | ... well that just doesn't work at all. Nothing stops (a
               | decent amount of) neutrinos. So you can't filter them and
               | create a known point with, say, only electron neutrinos
               | like you can with light. There are also no known
               | astronomical objects that filter neutrinos. They fly
               | right through a star, so that's no good either.
               | 
               | Third you could filter observations. But again you hit
               | the filter problem. You _can_ focus neutrinos
               | measurements (even if you can 't focus the neutrinos
               | themselves), but that lowers the amount of neutrinos you
               | measure further. And you're only measuring like maybe 50
               | per cubic meter of water, so you don't have much to work
               | with.
               | 
               | I guess you could wait for things to get especially good
               | for your measurement but you'll be waiting a long time.
        
             | bryan0 wrote:
             | From TFA:
             | 
             | > the three types of neutrino-flavors mix into each other.
             | That means, if you start with, say, only electron-
             | neutrinos, they'll convert into muon-neutrinos as they
             | travel. And then they'll convert back into electron
             | neutrinos. So, depending on what distance from a source you
             | make a measurement, you'll get more electron neutrinos or
             | more muon neutrinos.
        
         | misnome wrote:
         | Energy ranges, knowing exactly how far you are from the source
         | of the neutrinos, and background exclusion.
         | 
         | If you are too far from the source, the mixing you might be
         | measuring might have happened already happened. You can build a
         | detector right next to the source, and also far away, and
         | correlate the differences.
         | 
         | External interference can be excluded on energy range,
         | direction, and "timing" - you know exactly when the pulse
         | happened in the source and can exclude things outside that
         | window (as the neutrinos all travel at the speed of light to
         | within measurement error).
         | 
         | Things like neutrinos from the sun can and have been measured,
         | but for many things you want to measure you need more careful
         | control.
        
         | bryan0 wrote:
         | From TFA:
         | 
         | > we have three flavors of neutrinos and these mix into each
         | other as they travel....There are natural sources like the sun,
         | and neutrinos that are created in the upper atmosphere when
         | cosmic rays hit. And then there are neutrinos from manmade
         | sources, particle accelerators and nuclear power plants. In all
         | of these cases, you know how many neutrinos are created of
         | which type at what energy. And then after some distance you
         | measure them and see what you get.
        
         | akira2501 wrote:
         | > given their apparent abundance?
         | 
         | That's part of the problem. Which Neutrinos are you measuring?
         | The ones from your experiment, the ones from the Sun, the ones
         | from the environment? They're exceptionally light particles, so
         | effective shielding is difficult.
         | 
         | It's why a lot of these experiments are deep underground. The
         | one I visited was in northern Minnesota in an old abandoned
         | Mine placed half a mile under the surface and positioned in
         | such a way to receive a neutrino beam all the way from Fermilab
         | in Chicago.
         | 
         | The smaller and lighter the phenomenon, the larger your
         | laboratory needs to be come.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MINOS
        
         | kurthr wrote:
         | If everything was as expected, we don't, but the issue is that
         | there appears to be something different about the particles
         | coming from the accelerator (sterile neutrinos? or simply
         | shorter distance?) since these results haven't been seen in
         | other experiments. Of course the fact that the results could be
         | separately replicated (and combined to give the 6sigma
         | confidence) is another useful aspect.
         | 
         | If there are sterile neutrinos... they are a possible dark
         | matter particle.
        
         | gumby wrote:
         | She mentions this in her transcript. First of all they aren't
         | as common on earth as other particles (she says "10-15 have
         | passed through you while listening to this paragraph". How many
         | photons hit you in that period of time? If you can make a bunch
         | at once (as a side effect of another high energy interaction)
         | you can look at them in a known place at a known time.
         | 
         | Secondly, she mentions LSND which was a big tub of liquid that
         | would interact with neutrinos that passed through it. Flashes
         | from those interactions would be picked up by photo detectors
         | (hence "scintillation"). The most famous such setup in a mine
         | in Japan, but there are several such "neutrino telescopes".
        
           | solidgol wrote:
           | She said 10 to the 15. 10^15
        
             | dnautics wrote:
             | To be fair I also heard 10-15 on the first pass and then
             | had to think about it for a second.
        
               | _tom_ wrote:
               | That's because she actually said "ten to the fifteen" not
               | "ten to the fifteenth", so you have to decide if you
               | autocorrect by removing the "the" -> "ten to fifteen" or
               | by adding the "th" -> "ten to the fifteenth".
               | 
               | Easy to get confused.
        
               | mkl wrote:
               | "Ten to the fifteen" is also correct, and in my
               | experience more common. It's short for "ten to the power
               | of fifteen", whereas "ten to the fifteenth" is short for
               | "ten to the fifteenth power".
        
           | _tom_ wrote:
           | Not "ten to fifteen", but "ten to the fifteenth"
           | 
           | A bit larger. :-)
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | ISL wrote:
         | That's a good and subtle question, with multiple relevant
         | answers:
         | 
         | 1) As _Microft says in a sibling reply, the reason is because
         | for this type of experiment, the researchers were studying
         | short-baseline oscillations. A curious property of neutrinos is
         | that they oscillate -- we interact with them through their
         | "flavor", but they propagate through space in a mixture of
         | flavor eigenstates, so a neutrino that is created as an
         | electron-type neutrino can interact later as a muon-type (or
         | tau-type) neutrino.
         | 
         | LSND and MiniBooNE study short-baseline oscillations, where L/E
         | (the distance travelled divided by the particle energy) is very
         | small, a few meters on a ~1MeV neutrino. By comparison, almost
         | all the (vast number!) neutrinos that pass through each of us
         | each second come from _much_ farther away. Most of them come
         | from the Sun, so their origin is distributed over a sphere 100x
         | the diameter of the Earth (and, to make matters worse,
         | something called the MSW-effect scrambles things further). So,
         | people who study these effects either build an accelerator or
         | snuggle up next to a reactor.
         | 
         | In principle, one _could_ use the existing neutrinos from the
         | Sun to do this sort of experiment, but one would need a
         | material capable of blocking all of, say, the electron-type
         | neutrinos from the Sun. If such a thing existed, we could place
         | a detector a few meters away from that filter and watch for
         | electron-type neutrinos to reappear. Alas, the only known
         | material perhaps capable of achieving such a task exists for a
         | fraction of a second inside core-collapse supernovae -- the
         | extremely dense infalling matter is so dense that it can
         | actually trap some of the outgoing neutrinos.... until the
         | neutrino pressure blows it apart.
         | 
         | 2) In this specific case, the experiments were originally done
         | with muon anti-neutrinos. The easiest way to get those is with
         | a particle accelerator.
         | 
         | 3) One can also attempt to get at this sort of thing (though
         | the approach has different sensitivity/systematics) through
         | reactor-neutrino experiments, as one of the downvoted posts
         | below suggests. For the shortest baselines, though, there's
         | probably really nothing like a beam-experiment.
         | 
         | 4) (an aside) One thing that Hossenfelder doesn't really
         | address in the article: There are still systematic-uncertainty
         | questions around LSND and Mini/MicroBooNE. The modern
         | experiment has addressed many of them, but not all. The
         | experiments are difficult and the anomalies have their quirks.
         | Yes, the combined result reaches a statistical power of
         | ~6-sigma, but I don't think you'll have to look too far to find
         | credible experimentalists who have concerns about the result.
         | 
         | This is in contrast to something like the Higgs, where the
         | discovery was fairly clean and simultaneously confirmed by two
         | groups. LSND was huge news back in the day, but the
         | difficulty/expense of replication and the substantial
         | experimental challenges mean that the situation remains fairly
         | murky.
        
       | fuzzfactor wrote:
       | >Maybe people just don't like neutrinos?
       | 
       | My sentiment exactly.
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | There's a poem about that
         | https://www.symmetrymagazine.org/article/february-2011/decon...
        
           | fuzzfactor wrote:
           | I appreciate that.
           | 
           | It was truly as uplifting as it could be.
        
       | neurtrinosfake wrote:
       | Neutrons ain't real therefore neutrinos ain't real
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gYHGdBqI7z4
        
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