[HN Gopher] 17Bn life years could be saved if air pollution was ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       17Bn life years could be saved if air pollution was reduced to WHO
       standards
        
       Author : nixass
       Score  : 213 points
       Date   : 2021-09-12 19:01 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (tribunemag.co.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (tribunemag.co.uk)
        
       | fnord77 wrote:
       | with global warming, shouldn't we be looking to reduce life-
       | years?
       | 
       | the longer a person is alive, the bigger their carbon footprint
        
         | beervirus wrote:
         | The exact same reasoning justifies murder.
        
       | notanzaiiswear wrote:
       | Never mind that billions of people are only alive because of
       | fossil fuels, and it is so far not really proven that they can be
       | kept alive without them. That kind of calculation seems rather
       | silly.
        
         | kovek wrote:
         | Interesting! Young adults are comfortable today. There's
         | infrastructure to support them. Would society survive with
         | suddenly less efficient processes? Everyone needs to pay
         | rent/food/products, but modern transport and manufacturing are
         | suddenly not useable. So, how to source items to do
         | work/survive? I'm sure one solution would be to relocate. Some
         | cities/societies exist with less efficient processes.
        
       | tommymachine wrote:
       | Which Chinese country do you guys think pollutes the most?
        
       | randombits0 wrote:
       | How would life-years be affected by economic and political
       | changes needed to affect WHO standards and within what time
       | frame?
       | 
       | See? It's a hard problem. Humans are inherently chaotic.
        
       | morpheos137 wrote:
       | On HN we are not supposed to accuse people of shilling but I see
       | a steady drumbeat of low-brow populist evironmental advocacy
       | links on this site every single day. Often the pieces are not
       | even scientifically justified. At what point does this specific
       | genre of "general interest" posts become disproportionate? This
       | after all is supposed to be an IT tech start up focused site.
        
         | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
         | It's not shilling.
         | 
         | The users here are interested in these things. Are some of them
         | "things the users _want_ to hear"? Definitely. But there are
         | great articles from time to time. Flag the bad ones and move
         | along.
        
       | meeshoo wrote:
       | I think there has been a miscalculation. It's 17.26 billion
       | years, not 17 billion years.
        
         | IAmLiterallyAB wrote:
         | ...I swear HN comments get dumber every day. Is this satire???
        
           | meeshoo wrote:
           | That is not satire. Satire is recognized as such by smart
           | people and you are a smart person, because you don't like
           | dumb comments. Ergo, since a smart person like yourself
           | didn't see satire, there is none. QED.
        
         | eCa wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rounding
        
           | meeshoo wrote:
           | I know they rounded up that number, but that's not correct,
           | nor scientific. Do we fucking love science or not? 0.1
           | billion years is 100 million years, you can't just round them
           | up like they don't mean anything.
        
             | IAmLiterallyAB wrote:
             | It's perfectly acceptable to round in an article summary
             | like this. Such a ridiculous thing to complain about
        
         | climate_death wrote:
         | Yes, 260 million years is nothing to sneeze at, especially
         | considering that earth is only about 5,000 years old!
        
       | nikkinana wrote:
       | It's great with all the quarantine going on, we all stay home and
       | no air pollution! Problem solved! What's next, a water shortage?
        
       | danr4 wrote:
       | Aren't we heading towards overpopulation? in the case... is that
       | a... "good" thing? Seriously curious. 17B is alot.
        
         | occz wrote:
         | > Aren't we heading towards overpopulation?
         | 
         | No. Population growth slows down as nations rise in economic
         | prosperity, and is projected to cap out at around 11 billion.
        
         | legutierr wrote:
         | Improved quality of life and reduced infant mortality are shown
         | to reduce population growth by creating incentives for people
         | to have fewer children. If you want fewer people, then you want
         | to improve the material well-being if as many people as
         | possible. As it stands, the global population is projected to
         | peak at around 10 billion people some time this century, per
         | current trends.
        
           | OneEyedRobot wrote:
           | >If you want fewer people, then you want to improve the
           | material well-being of as many people as possible.
           | 
           | I'd genuinely like to see that model applied to sub Saharan
           | Africa.
        
             | foxfluff wrote:
             | https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/children-per-woman-by-
             | gdp...
        
               | OneEyedRobot wrote:
               | So you are suggesting that the per-capita material well-
               | being in Nigeria has gone down all this time?
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Nigeria#/me
               | dia...
               | 
               | I don't doubt that wealth can be a factor, but those
               | systems are a whole lot more complicated than that.
               | Money+Low Gini = Low birthrate is a meme as much as it is
               | a primary driver.
        
           | R0b0t1 wrote:
           | I think this is incomplete. In every case so far a reduction
           | of infant mortality and improved quality of life are coupled
           | with power structures that increase the amount of productive
           | output that is captured by a family, increasing the relative
           | cost of producing children.
        
         | robbrown451 wrote:
         | Your argument could be as easily used to say "maybe mass murder
         | isn't a bad thing."
         | 
         | The early death of a person who would prefer continue living
         | is, to reasonable people, a tragedy.
         | 
         | If overpopulation is really such a problem, I'd think
         | incentivizing the choice to have fewer kids is a reasonable
         | one.
        
         | drivebycomment wrote:
         | Most people die due to various diseases / accident / suicides,
         | thus extending human lives collectively means reducing those
         | human suffering. Implying extending collective human lives as
         | "bad" is basically declaring you don't care about people's
         | suffering and that you'd rather choose more suffering.
        
         | OneEyedRobot wrote:
         | While I agree with you on overpopulation, I would guess that
         | the 17B number comes from 8B * 2.something years.
         | 
         | Back of the envelope, it's odd that air pollution is around
         | 100x as bad as cigarettes (which admittedly not everyone
         | smokes).
        
         | runesoerensen wrote:
         | Would you consider it a good thing if air pollution kills
         | _you_?
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | junon wrote:
           | To be fair to the GP, this isn't the point they're making.
           | Your argument would be valid if they were positing "it's not
           | like it's _me_ who 's going to die."
           | 
           | They're asking, in good faith, if the effects of pollution-
           | related deaths would have a net benefit to the world due to
           | overpopulation concerns.
           | 
           | Your response is a strawman.
        
         | codetrotter wrote:
         | From the Wikipedia article on Human overpopulation:
         | 
         | > The concept of overpopulation is controversial. A 2015
         | article in Nature listed overpopulation as a pervasive science
         | myth. Demographic projections suggest that population growth
         | will stabilise in the 21st century, and many experts believe
         | that global resources can meet this increased demand,
         | suggesting a global overpopulation scenario is unlikely.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_overpopulation
        
           | ta1234567890 wrote:
           | > suggesting a global overpopulation scenario is unlikely.
           | 
           | The world is already overpopulated. We just haven't
           | completely destroyed it yet.
           | 
           | The way we currently run the world is not sustainable long
           | term for even the current population.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | The first statement does not follow automatically from the
             | second.
             | 
             | It is not currently run in a sustainable way. It can be,
             | and people are trying change it so it is sustainable. This
             | is hard, but does not appear to be impossible.
        
               | ta1234567890 wrote:
               | > It is not currently run in a sustainable way. It can be
               | 
               | Can it? That remains to be seen. So in the meantime I
               | would say we are already overpopulated.
               | 
               | To be fair, your statement probably means that we have
               | the resources and technology to run the world in a
               | sustainable way, and I would agree with that. But then we
               | also likely have the resources to end hunger, poverty and
               | war, yet those have never been the world's priorities.
               | 
               | When will it be a priority for humans to run the world
               | sustainably? Who knows. But right now it's definitely not
               | sustainable.
        
               | OneEyedRobot wrote:
               | >It is not currently run in a sustainable way.
               | 
               | which creates something of a tautology. Ability to
               | maintain a population in the long run implies
               | 'sustainable'. I guess that given nutrient vats and
               | fusion power we could have a sustainable population of
               | one trillion.
               | 
               | It's worth considering what the point of having so many
               | people is....
        
               | ClumsyPilot wrote:
               | "It's worth considering what the point of having so many
               | people is...."
               | 
               | What's the point of having people at all, right?
               | 
               | Once you answer those questions, is there a number of
               | people you'd like to propose as optimal?
        
               | OneEyedRobot wrote:
               | >Once you answer those questions, is there a number of
               | people you'd like to propose as optimal?
               | 
               | That's a good question. I'll take a shot at it even
               | though you're not really asking a question but making a
               | point.
               | 
               | Let's say that the one thing that people bring to the
               | table is intelligence and the ability to design complex
               | systems, it's something of an end-run on evolution.
               | 
               | How large a population do you need to build modern
               | semiconductors, discover exoplanets, solve physics
               | problems, do a passable version of the arts?
               | 
               | I would guess something on the order of 500M-1B which is
               | roughly the number in 1800. You get most of the good and
               | lose most of the bad if you're even slightly careful. The
               | edge conditions of atomic war or a truly large nuclear
               | incident still exist but the rest of our sins cover up
               | well over time with that population.
        
           | eplanit wrote:
           | To suggest that overpopulation is controversial is itself
           | absurd, as it is fundamental to the science of biology[1].
           | That a species can reach numbers where their environment and
           | habitat is depleted or otherwise unlivable is fact, not
           | controversy.
           | 
           | "Population Control" is certainly controversial, though, as
           | it should be. And, though controversial, it should be
           | considered seriously. Many environmentalists lose their
           | credibility by speaking of "sustainability" on the one hand,
           | but then disputing overpopulation on the other. We need to
           | impact the earth much less, and keeping our numbers down is a
           | very effective way of doing so. That, _plus_ using energy and
           | resources more cleanly and efficiently.
           | 
           | [1] https://biologydictionary.net/overpopulation/
        
         | burlesona wrote:
         | As you're asking in good faith I don't see why you're being
         | downvoted.
         | 
         | Population carrying capacity is difficult. We know that given a
         | particular level of technology we can support a particular
         | number of people with global resources in the short term.
         | Intuitively it seems like we're wrecking the environment and
         | we're in for a nasty fall when we exhaust those resources.
         | However, Malthusian predictions like that - so far - have a bad
         | track record, because with more people comes more innovation,
         | and so far that innovation has been increasing carrying
         | capacity faster than population growth.
         | 
         | Ultimately it looks like the world population is going to
         | stabilize as most people seem to prefer smaller family units
         | once they achieve "western level" of child survival
         | expectations and material wealth. Strangely enough it may be
         | harder to maintain a stable population with our consumption
         | habits if it means that technological advance slows down.
         | 
         | That said, for most people all the above is unimportant
         | compared to caring for the living. Preserving and extending
         | life and quality of life is fundamentally good, and shortening
         | human lives to "save the planet" is not. So while you can have
         | the macro level discussion along the lines of "do we really
         | want the population to increase," for most people if you
         | venture into "should we just let the people who are already
         | alive die sooner than they must" is pretty offensive.
        
           | OneEyedRobot wrote:
           | I just assume that any population level that can't be
           | maintained on pre-20C. technology is probably dangerous.
           | You'll either see a crack-up in terms of society and/or
           | resource depletion at some point.
        
       | amelius wrote:
       | Too bad that addressing the issue is once again political
       | suicide.
        
       | clairity wrote:
       | imagine if we directed as much attention as covid is getting
       | toward such a more insidious, and more tractable, problem like
       | air (and water) pollution. we could really do something in a
       | relatively short time (like 2-5 years). for instance, we could
       | measurably reduce air pollution by replacing the top 25 most
       | polluting power plants (coal). that might cost on the order of a
       | 100 billion dollars, but that's less than 1% of america's gdp,
       | nevermind the world's.
        
         | DudeInBasement wrote:
         | Those power plants are in China. Good luck
        
           | rocky1138 wrote:
           | The fourth largest coal plant is in Taiwan.
        
           | jointpdf wrote:
           | Here is a map of all coal-fired power plants in the United
           | States: https://coal.sierraclub.org/coal-plant-map
        
           | foxfluff wrote:
           | The most carbon emitting plant is in Poland. https://en.wikip
           | edia.org/wiki/Be%C5%82chat%C3%B3w_Power_Stat...
           | 
           | "The plant releases each year more carbon dioxide than the
           | entire country of Switzerland."
        
           | belltaco wrote:
           | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-26/china-
           | s-c...
        
         | kiba wrote:
         | Improving our air will probably improve COVID survival rate.
         | 
         | One of the four main comorbidities contributing to covid death
         | are cancer, diabetes, cardiovascular, and chronic respiratory
         | disease.
        
           | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
           | Sounds like some good long term planning. But if Covid is the
           | issue, isn't it time to discuss the correlation between
           | obesity and covid hospitalization? Sounds like in the short
           | term, a war on obesity (sugar) would help more than anything.
        
             | kiba wrote:
             | Yes. Fighting obesity decreases the risk of cancer,
             | diabetes, and cardiovascular disease.
             | 
             | Although I consider fighting obesity more of a long term
             | effort.
        
         | newaccount2021 wrote:
         | pollution kills slowly, and as a result is imperceptible to the
         | public
         | 
         | covid hysteria is just getting started. years from now, decent
         | people will lament that covid hysteria continues to suck all of
         | the oxygen out of the room...and when they do, they will be
         | cancelled
         | 
         | fifty years from now, no one will admit to having been part of
         | the covid mobs...but for now, they rule the world
        
       | tgsovlerkhgsel wrote:
       | I expect pollution to be as much of a driver of the push for
       | electric cars as climate change. It's something that affects
       | people directly, immediately and noticeably - it stinks.
       | 
       | If I had a vote whether to ban combustion engines from my city
       | (cars, trucks, mopeds, leaf blowers - everything), with a
       | relatively short transition period (say 5 years), I'd be in
       | favor.
       | 
       | It would probably initially drive up prices of goods due to a
       | shortage of electric delivery vehicles or the need to repack
       | everything onto smaller local trucks outside the city, but I
       | think it'd be worth it.
        
         | timwaagh wrote:
         | It will have to be done at some point. It's also an unjust
         | policy to leave these ice vehicles riding around because not
         | everybody is allowed to drive but everybody suffers the loss of
         | life due to pollution. Before there was no alternative, but now
         | there is one there is ample justification for a ban.
        
         | seanmcdirmid wrote:
         | > I expect pollution to be as much of a driver of the push for
         | electric cars as climate change. It's something that affects
         | people directly, immediately and noticeably - it stinks.
         | 
         | Ya, this is why I expect China to follow through with their EV
         | plans much more thoroughly than the USA. Global warming is
         | abstract, but bad dirty air is a very concrete motivator. For
         | that reason, urban in the states with bad air pollution like LA
         | or Salt Lake City should be big into this also (though bad in
         | the USA is 100+ 2.5 PPM, whereas in China it is 300+ 2.5 PPM).
        
         | duxup wrote:
         | I remember my first trips to Europe. I was from a suburban
         | (although not connected to an urban center) town in the Midwest
         | USA. After a few days in the city my eyes were red and itchy.
         | Took me a bit to figure out it wasn't allergies to something
         | new... it was just the vehicle exhaust.
         | 
         | The smell of diesel exhaust still makes me think of London,
         | Paris... etc. Somehow that imprinted on me. They're actually
         | good memories, but just an unusual spell to associate them
         | with.
        
           | peoplefromibiza wrote:
           | it depends on where.
           | 
           | Milan, albeit much smaller, is times worse than Rome.
           | 
           | Paris and London are another example of big offenders, while
           | Barcelona is not.
        
           | obedm wrote:
           | I lived in cities all my life, until two years ago when I
           | moved to the very green suburbs of Budapest.
           | 
           | Now, Whenever we go to the city, I notice how much it stinks.
           | 
           | It's so weird because I never noticed that before. My nose
           | for used to "clean" hair now. And I don't even live away from
           | the road.
           | 
           | I'd like to move even more into the woods.
        
             | occz wrote:
             | This might depend on which city you refer to. For example,
             | I wouldn't say that Stockholm has any discernable smell to
             | it.
        
               | emj wrote:
               | Stockholm is built on islands that helps, and the rains
               | are not frequent but heavy enough to clean the city a
               | bit, waste management is good. Thera are also fewer
               | people are active in the center of Stockholm compared to
               | Paris; Stockholm 5 214 pop/km2, Paris 20 909 pop/km2
               | (this disregards important factors about how those
               | numbers work, but it's an interesting indication.)
        
               | geerlingguy wrote:
               | I notice it's worse in cities with extremely dense urban
               | cores, like NYC. There was a distinct smell (not just
               | garbage, but something I basically call 'the NYC smell'
               | in my head) in many parts. Other cities never seemed
               | quite so bad; at least not bad enough I can still
               | remember that smell.
        
               | occz wrote:
               | I've never been to NYC, but I've heard that waste
               | management infrastructure is not great there. Could that
               | be contributing to bad smells?
        
               | beebeepka wrote:
               | Maybe Stockholm has plenty of wind? Big cities tend to
               | stink. Didn't bother me until my 30s, now I can barely
               | tolerate the smell, not just the fact that it kills us.
               | 
               | But hey, people want cars. Lots of dirty but cheap cars.
               | Almost nobody seems to care. It's just the nature of
               | living in a poor country I guess.
        
               | occz wrote:
               | Stockholm isn't particularly windy.
               | 
               | I think cars generally contribute to bad smells, and poor
               | waste management infrastructure can also contribute to
               | bad smells (think garbage bins out on streets instead of
               | enclosed, for example)
        
           | vladvasiliu wrote:
           | I get this after I spend a few days at my parents' house and
           | go back to Paris, and they live only 50 km away.
           | 
           | I feel this quite strongly since I get around by motorcycle,
           | so I don't have the benefit of filters and whatnot that cars
           | have.
           | 
           | Whenever I do this, I keep wondering what the lungs of people
           | commuting every day look like, since I get a dry cough even
           | when traffic isn't all that dense.
        
             | yumraj wrote:
             | > I feel this quite strongly since I get around by
             | motorcycle, so I don't have the benefit of filters and
             | whatnot that cars have.
             | 
             | Are there no helmets with integrated filters? Perhaps
             | something like the Stormtrooper's helmets? If not, wonder
             | if someone should come up with those..
        
         | hhjinks wrote:
         | I lived in Berlin for a year and literally can't go to big
         | cities anymore. The pollution triggers my asthma to the point I
         | have continuous attacks despite taking all the medication I can
         | responsibly take. Thankfully my home town is far less polluted,
         | but even there my asthma is being triggered. I had a meltdown
         | after having an attack _from opening my window for 30 minutes_.
         | I can't imagine how terrible it must be for people without easy
         | fallback options.
        
           | johnzim wrote:
           | I had a similar situation with London. Ironically I moved to
           | California as the new annual fires started.
        
             | seanmcdirmid wrote:
             | California was much worse in the 70s/early 80s, where it
             | wasn't forest fires but car exhaust and power plants
             | causing dirty air. A lot of my older friends who grew up in
             | the two big California metro areas have asthma. They
             | cleaned up the air by the late 80s, but now forest fire
             | season is a huge problem instead.
        
             | DenisM wrote:
             | I highly recommend N95 masks against forest fires from
             | personal experience.
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | > If I had a vote whether to ban combustion engines from my
         | city (cars, trucks, mopeds, leaf blowers - everything), with a
         | relatively short transition period (say 5 years), I'd be in
         | favor.
         | 
         | Banning sales of internal combustion engine vehicles and
         | products on a short timeline might be reasonable, but banning
         | the operation of ICE vehicles is financially a very regressive
         | policy.
         | 
         | Buying a new electric car to get to work might not seem like a
         | big deal to professionals in six-figure jobs, but it would be a
         | crushing blow to someone making $15/hr who plans to drive their
         | Honda Civic until the wheels fall off.
         | 
         | Any actual policy decisions will need to focus on new car sales
         | while also incentivizing people to upgrade to EVs. Maybe a
         | cash-for-clunkers style program that takes ICE vehicles off the
         | road and subsidizes the purchase of a new EV.
         | 
         | Outright banning ICE transportation is a no-go unless we have a
         | plan to alleviate the financial burden a sudden change puts on
         | the lower class vehicle owners. It can be done, but it would be
         | expensive.
        
           | seanmcdirmid wrote:
           | That is pretty American focused. In developing countries, low
           | end wages aren't enough to buy cars anyways, and the rich
           | people clogging the roads can afford EVs. Even in the rest of
           | the developed world, cars are much more of a luxury item, and
           | ICE vehicles and/or gas to power them are already ladened
           | with lots of taxes (so buying an EV in Norway can be cheaper
           | than buying an ICE).
        
             | Permagate wrote:
             | I'm not sure where you got the idea that the rich people
             | clogged the road in developing countries, but we heavily
             | depend on cars/motorcycles for our transportation. Poor
             | people use them all the times (especially motorcycles). And
             | people with low wages do take loans just to buy a cheap
             | car/motorcycle, even way before buying a house since they
             | provide immediate benefits with manageable monthly
             | installments.
             | 
             | EDIT: It makes me think why there is not much push for
             | electric motorcycles. Whenever EV is mentioned, it's always
             | been a car.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | hkt wrote:
           | > Outright banning ICE transportation is a no-go unless we
           | have a plan to alleviate the financial burden a sudden change
           | puts on the lower class vehicle owners. It can be done, but
           | it would be expensive.
           | 
           | Public transport, dedicated cycling infrastructure, and
           | planning policies aiming for the "15 minute neighbourhood"
           | are what you're looking for.
        
             | seoaeu wrote:
             | A full rollout of those ideas would take decades. I'd love
             | to see all of them happen, but you can't just force someone
             | to get rid of their ICE car and promise they'll have good
             | public transit in the neighborhood come 2035.
        
           | IncRnd wrote:
           | Whenever I see these pictures, I am happy not to live in a
           | city.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | dundarious wrote:
         | In a narrow sense I strongly agree, but more generally, I think
         | this is impossible without reversing the neoliberal slide and
         | massively increasing the welfare floor -- look at the Yellow
         | Vests in France.
        
         | screye wrote:
         | Most hybrids are cheaper and overall more sustainable than
         | fully electric cars. The vast majority of trips are.less.than
         | 50 miles, so mining 300 miles.worth of more battery ends up
         | causing a lot of pollution and a fresh disposal problem.
         | 
         | Hybrids with 50 mile electric range and ICE after are much
         | better options. Minimizes pollution at source and point of use.
         | All while being monetarily affordable.
        
         | devwastaken wrote:
         | Your city would collapse, and the new jobless and homeless
         | would torch it. Electric vehicles are far too expensive, and
         | always will be. They're luxury cars for comparatively wealthy
         | privileged people. Everyone else has a 20 year old gasoline car
         | that still runs.
         | 
         | This is all due to American cities passing the bill down and
         | never building proper robust public transportation. Now you
         | can't because thousands of business's are in the way, and the
         | wealthy like being in their private little car.
        
         | amluto wrote:
         | There might be better bang for the buck by starting with the
         | more highly polluting things. Other than CO2, things like leaf
         | blowers are _vastly_ worse than cars. Also, excellent electric
         | leaf blowers are widely available and appear (at least at my
         | local Home Depot) to be _less_ expensive than their gas
         | equivalents. I see no reason for a 5-year phaseout -- one year
         | ought to be plenty.
        
           | dathinab wrote:
           | I just realized is it possible that Germany or at least
           | Berlin has restrictions wrt. leaf blowers?
           | 
           | I basically never see them used on private property, only by
           | the BSR (~berlin cleansing department) and even then it's not
           | something I see often??
           | 
           | Time to google.
        
             | dathinab wrote:
             | Turns out they are so loud that:
             | 
             | - You are not allowed to use them on Sunday or holidays.
             | 
             | - On other days only between 9:00-13:00 and 15:00-17:00,
             | with exceptions for official street cleaning, industrial
             | only areas etc. (Which I guess explain why I normally not
             | seeing them and if then when used by the BSR ;=) )
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | dundarious wrote:
           | In my leafy European country it was extremely rare to see
           | them, and if one did, it was electric.
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | >There might be better bang for the buck by starting with the
           | more highly polluting things. Other than CO2, things like
           | leaf blowers are _vastly_ worse than cars.
           | 
           | You also need to multiply that effect by how many cars are
           | active versus how many leaf blowers are active. On a per-
           | household basis, you might be racking up 1.5 car-hours per
           | day:                   (2 commuters x 30 minute average
           | commute x 2 commutes per day x (5 working days in each 7 day
           | week) + some arbitrary amount to account for weekend/non-
           | commuting trips
           | 
           | On the other hand, how often are you using a leaf blower?
           | Maybe every time you cut the grass? Suppose you do it once a
           | month and each time you blow for 30 minutes. That works out
           | to 0.0167 hours per day, or 90 times less. And this is all
           | assuming that everyone even bothers using a leaf blower.
           | Maybe I live in a ghetto area, but I'd estimate that less
           | than 1 in 10 houses uses a leafblower.
        
           | occz wrote:
           | They need not be mutually exclusive - we can do both, and we
           | should.
        
           | R0b0t1 wrote:
           | This might be a hard sell. ICE lawn equipment might be
           | slightly heavier, but it also performs much better in my
           | experience.
           | 
           | Total run time and emitted particulate matters, do you
           | actually have reason to believe the total output of lawn
           | equipment is comparable to vehicle output?
        
             | thomasqm wrote:
             | From trustworthy wikipedia: "A 2011 study found that the
             | amount of NMHC pollutants emitted by a leaf blower operated
             | for 30 minutes is comparable to the amount emitted by a
             | Ford F-150 pickup truck driving from Texas to Alaska. The
             | two-stroke engines used in most leaf blowers operate by
             | mixing gasoline with oil, and a third of this mixture is
             | not burned, but is emitted as an aerosol exhaust. These
             | pollutants have been linked to cancer, heart disease, and
             | asthma," cited with https://www.edmunds.com/car-
             | reviews/features/emissions-test-... and
             | https://www.wsj.com/articles/leaf-blowers-are-loud-ugly-
             | and-...
        
               | R0b0t1 wrote:
               | Ah, you're right. I remember seeing these ages ago, I
               | wonder how I forgot. There's 4-stroke lawnmowers though,
               | how bad are they?
        
             | froggy wrote:
             | I've had an electric lawn mower for about 10 years now and
             | I can tell you that it has reduced my maintenance costs.
             | For the ICE mower, I had to take it in every spring or
             | every other spring to get it tuned up so it would start
             | (from memory those bills were ~$75 each tune up).
             | 
             | Same with the ICE snowblower that I bought back when I was
             | young and dumb seeing all my neighbors with one, so I
             | bought one - what a maintenance nightmare. I use snow
             | shovels now which are way better for the environment and my
             | health.
        
               | Thlom wrote:
               | My neighbor has one, but I think he often uses more time
               | working on it than with it. I've considered one, but
               | honestly, it's just my driveway and I'm (still)
               | relatively young so I can shovel for now.
        
           | maccard wrote:
           | How long do you run your leaf blower for a year? In the UK, I
           | don't know a single person with a gas powered leaf blower.
        
           | krisoft wrote:
           | I'm from europe and i have no idea what a leaf blower is. Our
           | family didn't have one nor did any family I know of. My
           | family always had a garden with trees, and it was often my
           | chore as a kid to rake the leaves together. Is the leaf
           | blower an alternative to that?
           | 
           | Just asking because I want to understand how prevealent this
           | form of polution is where you live.
        
             | Cederfjard wrote:
             | I'm also "from Europe", and I've seen leaf blowers used by
             | both private individuals and local government for the last
             | 15 years at least. Did I see it to the extent that it was
             | "_vastly_ worse than cars" in terms of pollution? No, not
             | even close. But it's been there.
        
             | 0800LUCAS wrote:
             | > I'm from europe and i have no idea what a leaf blower is
             | 
             | They love the stuff in Ireland. I have no idea why people
             | use it. It doesn't do much better of a job than a rake
             | would. It's completely stupid
        
               | elijaht wrote:
               | > It doesn't do much better of a job than a rake would
               | 
               | That's disingenuous. Raking the yard is a half-day chore
               | for me, that's fairly physically strenuous. Using a
               | leafblower takes like an hour and is really easy- you can
               | stand and point. A leafblower is a non-zero QoL
               | improvement if you have to deal with leaves
        
               | hkt wrote:
               | Real question: why rake the yard? The road I understand,
               | but what's wrong with just letting the leaves decompose
               | and enrich the soil?
        
               | will4274 wrote:
               | Leaves kill the grass. You want the grass to get light
               | through the fall.
        
               | TecoAndJix wrote:
               | If you have a large property with tons of trees it is WAY
               | more efficient than a rake
        
             | version_five wrote:
             | I've lived in a few different places, and mostly really
             | only encountered leaf blowers either for some larger scale
             | work like cleaning up leaves on a university campus, or for
             | cleaning debris from parking lots.
             | 
             | I've recently moved to an area with single family or
             | attached homes on small lots, and inexplicably, everyone
             | has a leaf blower. Most houses have a driveway and parking
             | area, and about 10 square feet of lawn, but for some reason
             | all the guys are out blowing leaves around... I'm supposing
             | there must be pockets where culturally that's what people
             | do, I certainly don't get it
        
             | ant6n wrote:
             | A leaf blower is how you move in the air when flying hooked
             | up to a bunch of balloons:
             | 
             | https://readingasawriterhome.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/ru
             | s...
        
             | namdnay wrote:
             | Depends where you are in Europe. In France they're commonly
             | used by town employees to blow stuff off roads. I wish
             | they'd just use brooms
        
               | luckylion wrote:
               | Leaf blowers are _much_ more efficient though. They 're
               | not just using them because they're loud and polluting,
               | they're using them despite those attributes, because they
               | easily quadruple a person's effectiveness with regards to
               | moving large amounts of leaves on a flat surface.
        
               | breuleux wrote:
               | I'd be OK with just leaving the leaves on the ground, to
               | be honest.
        
               | evan_ wrote:
               | They start to decompose and get slippery pretty quickly.
               | It's a safety concern.
        
               | namdnay wrote:
               | If you're on gravel or sand I agree, leaf blowers are way
               | better. But honestly on Asphalt they seem less effective
               | than a big wide broom.
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | Yes and leaf blowers were not a common sight in America
               | until the late 80s. How did we get through life before
               | then?
        
             | kiba wrote:
             | Yes, it blows leaves. It's also quite obnoxiously loud, so
             | there's noise pollution as well.
        
           | megablast wrote:
           | Pfft. Cars are way more polluting. For starters, they require
           | removing huge amounts of land to pave over with roads.
        
         | patagonia wrote:
         | Electric cars still create pollution due to breaking and tire
         | wear.
        
         | bcrosby95 wrote:
         | Exhaust isn't the only car pollution. There's also tire and
         | brake wear. But I'm not sure which is worse at this point.
        
         | 0-_-0 wrote:
         | The difference in pollution between electric and ICE cars might
         | be small, since most pollution is so-called "Non-exhaust
         | emissions", like road surface wear, tyres and brakes:
         | 
         | https://www.emissionsanalytics.com/news/pollution-tyre-wear-...
        
           | chithanh wrote:
           | ICEs use friction brakes.
           | 
           | Electric (and hybrid) vehicles normally use regenerative
           | brakes, and friction brakes only as a backup system.
        
           | robocat wrote:
           | From link > [We] performed some initial tyre wear testing.
           | Using a popular family hatchback running on brand new,
           | correctly inflated tyres, we found that the car emitted 5.8
           | grams per kilometer of particles.
           | 
           | That is 5.8kg per 1000km!!! An article that makes such
           | ridiculous claims can be dismissed as trash. A small car tire
           | weighs about 7kg[1], so absolutely no tyres or brakes left
           | after less than 10000km.
           | 
           | Also note the the vast majority of tyre particles are larger
           | than 50um.
           | 
           | By weight, I would guess less than 1% of wear by weight was <
           | PM10 - see graph[2] from the first paper I found that
           | measured tyre wear[3].
           | 
           | Edit: I'm not saying tyre and brake particulate doesn't
           | matter, but I am saying that link looks to be solidly in the
           | stupid camp.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.oponeo.co.uk/blog/how-much-does-a-tyre-weigh
           | 
           | [2] https://ars.els-
           | cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0301679X203019...
           | 
           | [3] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03
           | 016...
        
             | 0-_-0 wrote:
             | "Data from the UK National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory
             | indicate that particles from brake wear, tyre wear and road
             | surface wear currently constitute 60% and 73% (by mass),
             | respectively, of primary PM2.5 and PM10 emissions from road
             | transport, and will become more dominant in the future."
             | 
             | https://uk-
             | air.defra.gov.uk/assets/documents/reports/cat09/1...
        
           | namdnay wrote:
           | Electric cars use their brakes far less. If you play around
           | with the regenerative breaking you can handle 90% of
           | situations without ever touching the brakes
           | 
           | And your article is only talking about local particulate
           | pollution, let's not forget the bigger issue of CO2
        
         | WarOnPrivacy wrote:
         | > It would probably initially drive up prices of goods due to a
         | shortage of electric delivery vehicles or the need to repack
         | everything onto smaller local trucks outside the city, but I
         | think it'd be worth it.
         | 
         | There was a decade where we often ate plain white rice
         | exclusively, as it was all we could afford. Even a small jump
         | in prices would have increased the number of days where we
         | couldn't afford any food at all.
         | 
         | Many, many folks are in similar situations. I feel we should
         | factor them into these equations.
        
           | dillondoyle wrote:
           | Plus getting enough chargers, and upgrading old homes & grids
           | to support that is expensive. I think we should spend a BIG
           | chunk of a (hopefully passed) reconciliation bill on that
           | instead of expanding highways.
        
           | brendoelfrendo wrote:
           | I feel like this is an argument in favor of broader social
           | safety nets, not against pollution prevention.
        
         | peoplefromibiza wrote:
         | I think we should collectively focus on priorities.
         | 
         | Replacing flights below a thousand kms with trains and limit
         | road transport to a bare minimum and switch what's left to EVs
         | (or hybrids) would have a big impact already, while also being
         | economically sustainable.
         | 
         | After all companies in the GDO are among the largest and most
         | profitable in the World.
         | 
         | Most cabs are already hybrid even here in Italy that
         | historically resist to changes. The TCO is already lower than
         | ICEs.
         | 
         | An immediate ban on ICE vehicles would only affect the pockets
         | of the low income segment of the population.
         | 
         | The big chunk of pollution comes from vehicles running
         | continuously, commuters use their cars to go to work and go
         | back home.
        
           | cal5k wrote:
           | > I think we should collectively focus on priorities.
           | 
           | Nobody operates that way though. Too much discussion of
           | public policy seems to be oriented around "if only 'we' could
           | just..." rather than "How can policy align selfish
           | motivations with positive outcomes?"
           | 
           | Example: despite the rhetoric you'll find on Twitter,
           | practically everyone who got the COVID vaccine did so because
           | they didn't want to get seriously ill from COVID themselves,
           | not because they really care that much about people they
           | don't know.
           | 
           | Similarly, "we" will not be adopting more train travel any
           | time soon unless there's a _very_ compelling reason for
           | individuals to do so. Train travel in North America mostly
           | sucks.
        
             | peoplefromibiza wrote:
             | > despite the rhetoric you'll find on Twitter, practically
             | everyone who got the COVID vaccine did so because they
             | didn't want to get seriously ill from COVID
             | 
             | slightly off topic, but I'll tell you that my main drive to
             | get a vaccine was because if I got covid it would mean be
             | stuck home in quarantine and avoid contacts.
             | 
             | Of course I would have done it anyways because I believe in
             | vaccines and all that, but incentives are an angle that
             | should be explored by rule makers.
             | 
             | GDO is a big polluter, let's tackle that issue before
             | flooding the city centers with electric scooters that solve
             | nothing and will be abandoned when they are not a novelty
             | anymore and the cold season will knock on the door.
             | 
             | p.s. I live in Europe, Italy, and trains are quite good for
             | long distances, unless you live south of Naples, and I've
             | stopped flying from Rone to Milan 10 years ago.
             | Unfortunately high speed trains are not exactly cheap, but
             | not more expensive than flying.
        
         | megablast wrote:
         | Electric cars still create large amounts of pollution. The
         | number one cause of micro plastics near waterways is from car
         | tyres. Then manufacturing and mining pollution.
         | 
         | It's a awful idea to replace all cars with electric cars.
        
         | b9a2cab5 wrote:
         | It would also financially cripple any poor person that relies
         | on a car to get to work. And public transportation won't be
         | viable in the US until cities finally wrap their head around
         | the reality that you need basic security checkpoints at
         | entrances to discourage riff raff from getting in (like in
         | China).
         | 
         | If you've ever ridden BART, you know what I mean.
        
           | thefounder wrote:
           | >> until cities finally wrap their head around the reality
           | that you need basic security checkpoints at entrances
           | 
           | Sounds like you live in a "war zone". I don't know any place
           | in Europe with that kind of security.
        
             | GekkePrutser wrote:
             | Yeah it's bad enough to deal with all that when flying. If
             | this would come to the metro I'd never use it again. All we
             | really have in terms of crime is pickpockets. Adding
             | security will just make them operate more on the streets.
             | 
             | We don't have a totalitarian state here like China. That's
             | a good thing.
        
               | b9a2cab5 wrote:
               | I'm not talking about the millimeter wave scanners TSA
               | has where they make you take off your shoes and take out
               | all your stuff. We're talking 1-2 officers who quickly
               | glance inside your bag and maybe a metal detector you
               | walk through, similar to the security at a football game.
               | It's more intended as security theatre by the presence of
               | officers to discourage petty crime than to catch
               | terrorists.
               | 
               | Forcing criminals to move to the streets makes public
               | transportation more appealing, I think that's obvious
               | enough.
        
               | thefounder wrote:
               | >> glance inside your bag and maybe a metal detector
               | 
               | Why would you like transportation staff to treat you like
               | a criminal?
               | 
               | >> Forcing criminals to move to the streets
               | 
               | Maybe a better approach would be to have less criminals
               | rather than move them around?
        
             | obedm wrote:
             | Was going to comment the same. What kind of city would need
             | that?
             | 
             | I'm always amazed at how people think their little part of
             | the world is an accurate representation of reality.
        
           | Nbox9 wrote:
           | Imagine being exposed to some of the most vulnerable and
           | desperate people in The United States and thinking "We should
           | keep them out" instead of "We should help them."
        
             | fennecfoxen wrote:
             | It'd be quite nice to help them. The SF budget certainly
             | tries, though $50,000 for a tent is a little on the steep
             | side.
             | 
             | "Free rein to abuse the subway system and its riders" is
             | however a policy with very limited utility when it comes to
             | helping people, and the costs are very high. Transit
             | systems should keep them out insofar as they are not
             | engaging in transit.
        
             | krisoft wrote:
             | These are not incompatible thoughts though are they? One
             | can think that we should help the homeless while also think
             | that the public transport is not usable for their own usage
             | while it also acts as a homeless shelter.
             | 
             | I'm not living in a city where this is a problem, so maybe
             | my viewpoint is naive here. I want my tax to be spent on
             | helping the homeless, even if that means that I have to pay
             | more, and I also don't want to sit next to someone on the
             | bus who had no opportunity to wash in the last weeks. I
             | don't feel that these thoughts are in conflict.
        
           | w4 wrote:
           | > _And public transportation won 't be viable in the US until
           | cities finally wrap their head around the reality that you
           | need basic security checkpoints at entrances to discourage
           | riff raff from getting in (like in China)._
           | 
           | It seems like you're in SF. The bad experiences you have had
           | there do not generalize to all other cities. I've lived in
           | several US and foreign cities that have safe public transit
           | without security checkpoints. Omnipresent security forces
           | shouldn't be necessary if other city and state services are
           | functional.
        
             | b9a2cab5 wrote:
             | US cities I've been to:
             | 
             | East Coast city 1: no light rail, buses come every 45min
             | 
             | East Coast city 2: no light rail, buses come every
             | 30-45min, but at least they were free
             | 
             | West Coast city 1: no light rail, buses come every 45min
             | and cost $$$ if you want to take an express route
             | 
             | SF Bay Area: BART is a disaster, CalTrain only works well
             | during peak hours and only if you live in the Peninsula. I
             | literally watched a group of 2 teenagers hop the fare
             | gates, get on, then get off the station before the fare
             | checkers got on. Every station smells like piss and most of
             | the ones in SF proper have shit in them too. BART East Bay
             | -> Fremont/SJ is easily a 2 hour ride because the train
             | moves at sub-30mph in residential areas.
             | 
             | Chicago: Trains still move pretty slowly but don't have
             | piss and shit all over them at least. From what I can tell,
             | buses are also not viable for reasonable transportation.
             | Boston: Decent trains in most of the downtown/Cambridge
             | area, but suburbs were pretty much a non-starter.
             | 
             | In comparison:
             | 
             | Shanghai/Beijing: security checkpoints at subway entrances,
             | getting on/off trains is orderly and trains are clean.
             | Trains run fast because authorities don't care about making
             | too much noise, so you aren't better off driving because
             | the train was running at 25mph. Trains come every 5mins or
             | more often. You can get across the city in under an hour.
             | 
             | For the US cities that had light rail, the issues were
             | clearly not due to lack of funding but due to NIMBYism
             | limiting speeds and a refusal to enforce any level of
             | security (in the case of SF). I bet you can get BART to
             | come every 5 mins instead of every 20mins with the same
             | number of trains if you 4x'd the speed to 80-100 mph. BART
             | already does over that speed in long stretches like the Bay
             | tunnel or the long stretches in Fremont so it's not like
             | this requires any sort of re-engineering.
        
               | w4 wrote:
               | How do any of these complaints support the need for
               | "security checkpoints"? A city lacking a subway system
               | altogether does not support your statement that transit
               | systems need security checkpoints to keep out the "riff
               | raff." The two things aren't even related to each other.
               | Furthermore there are many clean and efficient systems in
               | Europe that don't even have _turnstiles_ , let alone
               | security checkpoints.
               | 
               | Aside from your complaints about the BART, everything
               | you've catalogued here either reflects a lack of
               | investment, or the old age of US subway systems as
               | compared to the newer transit systems in Asia. Chicago
               | and Boston's subway systems are among the very oldest
               | subway systems in the world. They both began operation in
               | the 1890s. Shanghai's subway system opened in the 1990s.
               | It's also convenient that NYC, home to one of the world's
               | very largest subway systems, didn't make your list, but
               | Shanghai and Beijing did. Finally, it's not necessarily a
               | good thing that authorities in China "don't care about
               | making too much noise." NIMBYism may be a problem, but so
               | is a government that is unresponsive to the petitions of
               | its people.
               | 
               | The US needs more investment in public transit. There's
               | no arguing that. But your suggestion that "security
               | checkpoints" are necessary to have good transit just
               | isn't true.
               | 
               | EDIT: The Boston suburbs are served by an extensive rail
               | system. You may have missed it because it runs as a
               | separate line from the main subway. Here's a map: https:/
               | /cdn.mbta.com/sites/default/files/2020-07/2020-02-com...
        
               | namdnay wrote:
               | > I literally watched a group of 2 teenagers hop the fare
               | gates, get on, then get off the station before the fare
               | checkers got on
               | 
               | Wow... what a dystopia!
               | 
               | More seriously, is this really a huge issue? You can see
               | that all day long in Paris, it doesn't stop the transport
               | system from being OK
        
               | fennecfoxen wrote:
               | Teens are relevant here mostly as a test of the system's
               | ability to exclude. A system excluding people sounds a
               | little mean, but it is important if you want to have a
               | transit system that is actually fit for transit.
               | 
               | When there's a homeless man shooting up with some drugs
               | on the narrow platform at Bleecker St while a crowd of
               | people try to get off the train and get out of there
               | without tripping or provoking a confrontation, and that's
               | "normal" for the city subway, the people may decide the
               | system is no longer fit for transit. Fortunately that's
               | still "slightly extraordinary" for NYC and not quite
               | "normal" (I only saw him once) but it's all very
               | unfortunate.
        
               | b9a2cab5 wrote:
               | Replace 2 teenagers with "homeless guy that shit himself"
               | or "criminals" [1] and you have a different story. If you
               | have proper security this sort of class of behavior is
               | entirely prevented.
               | 
               | [1]: https://www.sfgate.com/crime/article/BART-takeover-
               | robbery-5...
        
               | hkt wrote:
               | Just a thought, but maybe a social safety net would be
               | more effective in preventing the homeless from getting
               | into the kind of state where they do that? Rather than
               | more security. Just thinking laterally about the problem
               | here..
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | > Shanghai/Beijing: security checkpoints at subway
               | entrances, getting on/off trains is orderly and trains
               | are clean.
               | 
               | But the lines to get on can be a PITA. Eg. waiting in
               | line for 45 minutes to get on the subway in Beijing at
               | Liangmaqiao is a horrible experience. I'll take the piss
               | smell in the USA to that. Actually, the security check
               | waits in Beijing subway was the main reason I
               | transitioned quickly to taking a taxi to and from work.
               | (see https://www.thatsmags.com/beijing/post/20938/photos-
               | increase..., not my personal experience, but I've
               | experienced similar in the interchange at Dongzhimen).
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | I think security checkpoints are the wrong solution to the
           | wrong problem.
           | 
           | Yes, American public transport and city design does indeed
           | suck -- I am not an American, but I have visited for a total
           | of 4 months, used public transport in NYC, Boston, Bay Area,
           | and the SanFran-Davis-Sacremento line -- but here in Berlin
           | there aren't even ticket barriers, and nothing particularly
           | exciting happens here even from the homeless person[0] who
           | begged on my pre-COVID commute. Some fairly fancy busking
           | from time to time, but that's the peak of excitement.
           | 
           | [0] I assume. Just one person, recognised their practiced
           | speech. Might have been selling German equivalent to the Big
           | Issue for all I know, as they didn't really get in the way of
           | anyone.
        
             | luckylion wrote:
             | Berlin's public transport is pretty dirty though. If I had
             | to live in Berlin, I'd get a car, even if it takes more
             | time.
             | 
             | I realize everyone has a different threshold for what they
             | consider dirty, and people voluntarily living in Berlin
             | seem to have a much higher threshold than me, but yeah, I'd
             | prefer some checks in exchange for clean & undamaged public
             | transport.
        
           | occz wrote:
           | These problems do not exist for much of the rest of the
           | worlds public transportation systems.
           | 
           | The problem that San Francisco is facing, and that you should
           | attempt to solve instead of spending energy on excluding
           | already poor people from public transportation, is
           | homelessness.
        
           | wffurr wrote:
           | BART is uniquely bad in that respect. Significantly worse
           | than other North American cities. Chalk it up to Bay Area
           | dysfunction and inequality.
           | 
           | Used EVs will be relatively affordable soon and the total
           | cost of ownership is significantly lower.
        
             | refulgentis wrote:
             | > Used EVs will be relatively affordable soon
             | 
             | We're very far away from crossing under 30K, much less 10K
        
               | cyberbanjo wrote:
               | Used Chevy volt for 5-15k, it seems you can get a sub 10k
               | electric car already?
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | A Volt is a _hybrid_ , not a pure electric. (The Bolt is
               | Chevy's BEV.)
        
               | creato wrote:
               | So what? If it drives a few 10s of miles without burning
               | gas, if everyone used them, that would eliminate probably
               | 90%+ of emission pollution in cities.
               | 
               | I feel that the obsession with pure electric has crippled
               | the fight against pollution and CO2 emissions. Every car
               | with 20 miles of battery range is probably a lot more
               | impactful in the fight against climate change than 10% of
               | cars with 200 miles of battery range, and has fewer major
               | tradeoffs (cheaper, limited range/recharging is not an
               | issue, much less need to build an entirely new charging
               | infrastructure).
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | Upthread context is someone positing/supporting a total
               | ban of all ICE in their city and someone arguing that's
               | disproportionately harmful to the poor because pure EVs
               | are more expensive. In that context, it matters quite a
               | bit that the Volt has an ICE, even though I overall agree
               | with you on the Volt being environmentally beneficial.
        
               | gregable wrote:
               | It's in a weird space. It's kinda a pure electric.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | Even a hybrid is probably sufficient in this context.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | Upthread context: "If I had a vote whether to ban
               | combustion engines from my city (cars, trucks, mopeds,
               | leaf blowers - everything), with a relatively short
               | transition period (say 5 years), I'd be in favor."
               | 
               | In that context, the Volt (and other hybrids, plug-in or
               | not) would either be banned or be required to disable
               | their ICE engines in the city.
               | 
               | * https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28504461
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | My LEAF cost a little over $30K _brand new_ (before $10K
               | in total rebates).
               | 
               | Used LEAFs (and Smart ED/EQs) are readily available in
               | the $5K to $10K range.
        
             | NineStarPoint wrote:
             | BART existing at all puts it ahead of the majority of
             | cities in the US (for reference, per capita San Fansisco
             | has the second most trips on public transit of any city in
             | the US). New York is the only US city that has comparable
             | public transit to international contemporaries.
             | 
             | Long decades of poor planing in the US (and in general the
             | low population density) make it a place ill-suited to
             | public transportation. EVs affordable enough for the poor
             | will definitely be required here, so here's hoping you're
             | right and we'll reach that point soon.
        
               | fennecfoxen wrote:
               | Perhaps it puts them ahead, but they are coasting. BART
               | and Muni ridership has for years been stagnant or
               | declining, while the budgets explode and system speed and
               | on-time performance fall apart.
               | 
               | Maybe Caltrain did marginally better? They added express
               | services not that long ago.
        
               | occz wrote:
               | >(and in general the low population density)
               | 
               | The low population density is arguably caused by the bad
               | planning.
               | 
               | >make it a place ill-suited to public transportation.
               | 
               | I'm quite convinced that you will not be able to drive
               | yourselves out of the issue you have in the U.S - you'll
               | need to retrofit what you have to make it amenable to
               | proper public transportation. EVs help a bit, but only
               | really with the carbon dioxide-issue - everything else
               | bad about cars is still bad with EVs.
        
               | gunfighthacksaw wrote:
               | >EVs affordable enough for the poor will definitely be
               | required here
               | 
               | Here in SW Ontario there are countless people riding
               | those electric scooters or ebikes in the summertime. I've
               | even seen old barflies hop on after drinking a pitcher
               | and head on to the next spot. I'm sure the Bay Area has
               | more clement weather year-round than here.
        
               | b9a2cab5 wrote:
               | I commuted to/from a train on an electric scooter. Not
               | only are they just not viable for any trips longer than
               | 3-4 miles, you can't go up any sort of incline either.
               | Mine was "overclocked" to enable up to 500w of power and
               | I'm 180lbs, but it wouldn't be able to climb even a 10
               | degree incline at over walking speed. And at least the
               | consumer ones you can find on Amazon are not robust
               | enough to withstand even 6 months of daily use before the
               | tire wears out, battery terminals corrode, and screws
               | start falling out.
        
               | ClumsyPilot wrote:
               | I've used a normal bike and an e-bike and didn't have
               | such issues.
        
               | b9a2cab5 wrote:
               | $2k e-bikes are probably more robust than the $600
               | scooter I was riding and would definitely be my choice
               | next time around. For anyone interested in e-scootering
               | though, avoid the Segway ES series like hell and make
               | sure you do your research.
        
         | xnx wrote:
         | Also a huge win for noise pollution.
        
         | throwawaysea wrote:
         | I am not sure it affects people as directly as you claim, at
         | least not everywhere. I can see that argument in Los Angeles or
         | Mumbai, but not in Seattle or Portland, where the air is fine
         | and there's no "stink" even with people mostly using combustion
         | engines.
        
           | nikkwong wrote:
           | Politely disagree. I ride a bicycle as a means of
           | transportation around Seattle and the exhaust from vehicles
           | is so unpleasant that it makes me consider either not going
           | out, or also driving a vehicle instead to get around.
           | 
           | Further, it's just unpleasant to be trying to enjoy a walk
           | around the city; or being anywhere near a road and then
           | having the jarring experience of being surrounded by a plume
           | of fumes. They stink & they're terribly unhealthy to inhale.
           | And even when you're not noticing them acutely, they're
           | probably wading into your lungs at some degree as long as
           | you're within X distance from a road. I think cities would be
           | much more pleasant without them.
        
       | Havoc wrote:
       | Just replaced my air filter. Felt pretty bad about it...the
       | cartridge is a mix of plastic and god knows what that seems
       | unnecessarily robust and not eco friendly. Like the appliance
       | itself in build quality. Normally I'd be impressed...but filters
       | that destroy the environment because we destroyed the
       | environments seem uhm not ideal
        
       | cannabis_sam wrote:
       | What? In which countries are pollution and climate destruction
       | taken seriously?
       | 
       | We live in a world that will protect car and gas usage, no matter
       | what... all of our cities are shaped around cars and roads, young
       | people are excluded from homeownership, but old assholes have
       | access to luxurious parking spaces..
       | 
       | But yeah, apparently electric scooters are the worst hate crime
       | since hitler.
        
       | josh_today wrote:
       | There's a zero percent chance this can be validated but a 100%
       | chance it will be used to increase government control.
       | 
       | What's being done to address the 100 corporations that cause 70%
       | of the world's emissions?
       | 
       | Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/10/just-100-firms-
       | attributable-...
        
         | hh3k0 wrote:
         | > What's being done to address the 100 corporations that cause
         | 70% of the world's emissions?
         | 
         | I see that number floating around a lot, it's oversimplified
         | and lacking context.
         | 
         | <<71% of those emissions originated from 100 fossil fuel
         | producers. This includes the emissions from producing fossil
         | fuels (like oil, coal and gas), and the _subsequent use of the
         | fossil fuels they sell to other companies_.>>
         | 
         | https://fullfact.org/news/are-100-companies-causing-71-carbo...
         | 
         | Consider what <<subsequent use of the fossil fuels they sell to
         | other companies>> entails. We're talking energy, transport,
         | manufacturing, etc.
        
         | lucb1e wrote:
         | If those were being addressed, you wouldn't have fossil fuel to
         | put in your car, gas power plant, or gas heater next month.
         | Never mind flying anywhere.
        
         | OneEyedRobot wrote:
         | It might as well be 1000 corporations. The problem remains a
         | version of the village commons.
        
           | R0b0t1 wrote:
           | Not really. People consume what is produced. You can see this
           | bias in news and print media and its effect on propaganda,
           | but it really applies to all items produced. It's a popular
           | retort to "just don't buy Apple" in the tech lockdown debates
           | that crop up.
        
             | namdnay wrote:
             | And what is being produced in this case is petrol (look at
             | the list of 100 top polluting companies).
             | 
             | So let's tax petrol, that way we reduce consumption
        
         | throwaway52170 wrote:
         | They don't exist in a vacuum, polluting for its own sake
        
         | noja wrote:
         | Government control of what exactly? Lowering emissions?
        
           | Splognosticus wrote:
           | Egh, right? It's kind of annoying how whenever anyone
           | suggests trying anything to improve society someone comes out
           | of the woodwork to cry about government overreach.
           | 
           | Never an argument about the merits of the proposal, just some
           | trite hand-wringing that somewhere somehow someone _might_ be
           | able to use it to their political advantage. Never even an
           | explanation of why this one thing would be so dangerous when
           | governments already by nature have vast authority to control
           | pretty much anything they want.
           | 
           | Worst of all you can't reason against it, since it's not a
           | position of reason. Regardless of what point you make they'll
           | just dig in and ignore them. :(
        
       | dqpb wrote:
       | This seems like a poor model of population dynamics. Isn't it
       | possible that earlier deaths in the elderly population might act
       | as an economic stimulus that increases birth rate in the younger
       | population? (So the net change in life years would not be 17bn).
       | 
       | Edit: I assume the downvotes are suggesting my logic is wrong. It
       | would be helpful to hear why.
        
         | dm319 wrote:
         | > It would be helpful to hear why.
         | 
         | Granny dying does not make me broody.
        
           | dqpb wrote:
           | So you're arguing the decrease in average lifespan effects
           | fecundity of the younger population. That might be true, but
           | I wouldn't bet on it.
        
         | MattRix wrote:
         | Even if that were true, it wouldn't be a good thing.
        
           | dqpb wrote:
           | I didn't say it would be a good thing. I'm just questioning
           | the math.
        
       | BeautifulWorld wrote:
       | Recent events confirm that the only thing which has been reduced
       | is the WHO's standards.
        
       | alex_young wrote:
       | So, 17B / 8B world population = 2 years. Nothing to sneeze at,
       | but much more understandable in per person terms.
        
         | Cyril_HN wrote:
         | Two years unevenly distributed and with decreasing quality of
         | life long before your time is up.
        
       | a1371 wrote:
       | I'm looking for other studies considering this idea of "life
       | years". Generally around where people's time is going, what is
       | wasting it, or taking it away. Does anyone have any suggestions?
        
       | throwawaysea wrote:
       | Is this really that complicated? We can have more people living
       | lives with limited freedoms and limited lifestyle quality, or
       | more people with greater freedoms but greater
       | health/climate/whatever impacts, or we can have fewer people.
       | Fossil fuels aren't the primary problem or even the sole problem.
       | It's that we have enough people living rich lives to create
       | problems of scale whether from fossil fuels or mining or
       | whatever.
        
       | dundarious wrote:
       | Should the title not be "Fossil Fuel Capitalism Is Cutting Our
       | Lives Short"?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | climate_death wrote:
       | You don't understand do you, this is the end goal. The thing we
       | are all cheering on.
        
       | john_w_t_b wrote:
       | Air pollution is reduced by misty light rain. The process is
       | called wet deposition. Swarms of electric drones could mist
       | cities with water every morning to reduce air pollution. The
       | technology should be feasible and economically justified.
       | 
       | Here's a link about wet deposition.
       | 
       | https://public.wmo.int/en/our-mandate/focus-areas/environmen...
       | 
       | Here's a recent example of misty rain at work in the Bay Area.
       | 
       | https://www.reddit.com/r/sanfrancisco/comments/pj12nx/a_labo...
        
         | dundarious wrote:
         | Isn't water vapor a significant GHG? Wouldn't daily misting of
         | cities augment the greenhouse effect significantly?
        
         | woodruffw wrote:
         | This is probably great for the humans involved, but it occurs
         | to me that using misting to lower air pollutant levels while
         | not actually _reducing_ air pollution just means that we 're
         | dumping those pollutants into the watershed instead.
        
       | nbzso wrote:
       | Please, I would love to convert my Jag to electricity. This is
       | the future. But reality is that aside from tech sector, people
       | cannot afford buying a new electric car. End countries from EU
       | with high standard of living are not the example. "Banning"
       | cannot solve the problem. Transportation is affecting prices of
       | goods. There is no magic bullet. You cannot shut down economy
       | like that. I still don't understand why there is not global
       | initiative for synthetic fuel. Only Porsche and Siemens are
       | thinking clearly. We have a proven way to transit to electric
       | cars and build adequate architecture.
        
         | justinator wrote:
         | I think the overlap of those who can afford a Jaguar and those
         | who can afford an electric car is pretty great.
         | 
         | But I also think the overlap of those who can afford a Jaguar
         | and absolutely don't give a shit about the poor, or the
         | environment or anything else is also great.
         | 
         | And the latter is the problem.
        
           | nbzso wrote:
           | My Jag is second hand classic. I use it mainly in the summer
           | for short trips. My daily is hybrid. But this is not the
           | point. The point is that we have to find a way to optimize
           | ideas and legislation towards reality, not towards some dream
           | world. Legislation or not, to have electrical infrastructure
           | and accessibility in place, combined with synthetic fuel will
           | solve the problem.
        
       | climate_death wrote:
       | Covid reduced life by over 17Tn years.
        
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