[HN Gopher] Three near-identical Boris Vishnevskys on St Petersb...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Three near-identical Boris Vishnevskys on St Petersburg election
       ballot
        
       Author : dustintrex
       Score  : 370 points
       Date   : 2021-09-07 13:50 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | sfblah wrote:
       | Interestingly, the three candidates do have different
       | patronymics. So, at least in principle it should be possible to
       | disambiguate them.
        
       | exabrial wrote:
       | Well obviously the solution is to legally change you name to
       | "Real Boris Vishnevskys"
        
         | Grustaf wrote:
         | Or add a blue check emoji to his name.
        
       | ukoki wrote:
       | I'm taking this as a pretty good sign. My poorly informed
       | outsider's opinion of Russian local elections prior to this was
       | that organised fraud was so endemic that resorting to such
       | obvious measures would be unnecessary.
        
         | lostmsu wrote:
         | They are completely rigged at all levels. Here, however, every
         | single small region votes for his own candidate, so it is not
         | enough to "tweak" votes a bit at local level, then at
         | aggregate, then statewide. E.g. only 1 level of rigging works,
         | so effect is much smaller.
        
         | int_19h wrote:
         | Not really; this kind of stuff has been around since early 90s,
         | and especially prominent in local elections (where many voters
         | are often not familiar with the candidates on the ballot).
         | 
         | Organized fraud is still as endemic as always, but it still
         | needs to be whitewashed, so every little bit helps. Same reason
         | why they herd people at workplaces to vote - a 100% fraudulent
         | system would just conjure turnout from thin air as needed.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | No, they will falsify anyways. It's just them getting a
         | complete reassurance that it's at least thrice rigged.
         | 
         | So, what is being falsified? Everything.
         | 
         | 1. Public polls (including fake "independent" polling companies
         | appearing out of nowhere just few months before the elections)
         | 
         | 2. Exit polls
         | 
         | 3. Debates (some times fake doppelganger opposition candidates
         | are sent to debates instead of real ones!)
         | 
         | 4. Media landscape (again, fake opposition floods the screen
         | time)
         | 
         | 5. Politics on the ground (fake protest leaders, informers,
         | provocateurs, rabble rousers sent to party meetings, fake
         | opposition canvassers)
         | 
         | 6. Fake party politics (fake opposition parties, genuine
         | opposition being infiltrated, and packed full of informers,
         | saboteurs, and etc, recruitment of turncoats)
         | 
         | 7. Fake voters (obvious cases of people hired to vote under
         | others' IDs, but also faked voter registration, and tallies.
         | That's how tiny villages near arctic circle suddenly get
         | hundreds of thousands registered voters out of nowhere)
         | 
         | 8. Fake ballots (no explanation needed, but this also includes
         | 20000% turnouts in mail ballot, or voting in embassies abroad)
         | 
         | 9. Fake census data (to gerrymander, to manipulate turnout
         | numbers, and to avoid second rounds, or minimal turnout limits
         | in regions)
         | 
         | 10. Fake elections (some times they don't take place at all,
         | and people come to face a closed door, or they take place, and
         | then they claim that they didn't happen! And then, they throw
         | away the ballots.)
         | 
         | 11. Fake ballot counting (well, it's the most conventional
         | faking, but even there, there is an "innovation" -- fake
         | electoral commissions. A real one given a boot under gunpoint,
         | and fake one comes, and stages everything.)
         | 
         | 12. Media coverage of elections (the famous 146% Putin victory
         | in Rostov)
         | 
         | 13. Court system (a court claims to issue a fake recount order,
         | but actually not issuing any orders, or a fake opposition
         | candidate claiming to sue the incumbent candidate, or electoral
         | comission, while not really doing so, or just blatantly
         | claiming, that the white is black, and the ballot count was
         | fair.)
         | 
         | 14. Fake post-election protests (to steer people away from real
         | ones)
         | 
         | 15. Fake statistics (when the dust settles, alleged math
         | geniuses, and statistics PhDs are invited to draw digits, and
         | explain how a 146% vote victory is statistically possible)
         | 
         | A few percents of Russia's population are employed every 4
         | years in this circus, just like during USSR's CPSU elections
         | where election fakers were indoctrinated into "a deep sense of
         | higher purpose" doing so. Small people are comforted by letting
         | them feel themselves being "big men," and "doing stuff big boys
         | do," if just for a few days, and at the expense of the rest of
         | country's population.
        
           | dukeofdoom wrote:
           | for a second there, I thought you were writing about the US
           | election.
        
             | vkou wrote:
             | The US largely accomplishes its elections through corrupt
             | primaries, gerrymandering, and voter suppression. Not all
             | of this is relevant for every race - you can't gerrymander
             | your way into the federal senate, for instance - but you
             | can use it to get a 60% red legislature in a 52% blue
             | state.
             | 
             | It looks better when the police uses violence to prevent
             | problem people from voting, than to manufacture votes out
             | of thin air.
        
             | a1369209993 wrote:
             | Nah, US election riggers are significantly better at
             | subtlety (or care enough to bother, at least). Hence eg the
             | ruling party (the Democratic and Republican Party) being
             | nominally two separate political parties.
        
               | lostlogin wrote:
               | Maybe not more subtle, but more subtle than the Russians.
        
       | no_time wrote:
       | Easy solution: Cattle ear tags for politicians.
        
         | revolvingocelot wrote:
         | A more humane solution would be NASCAR-style jumpsuits, worn by
         | law for all government business, emblazoned with logos of their
         | moneyed sponsors. "Ah, there's my guy, he's the one beholden to
         | land developers."
         | 
         | Of course, I'm not sure how that'd work in Russia. I assume at
         | least some of the criminal masterminds who fill the role of the
         | West's owner class have a, like, inkan [0] or something.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seal_(East_Asia)#Japanese_usag...
        
           | exabrial wrote:
           | This would be nice, because we'd finally has some
           | transparency on who they're being sponsored by.
        
           | imback wrote:
           | Perhaps as a compromise, a leg band like the ones they use to
           | track birds except with anti-tampering features and a GPS.
        
             | lostlogin wrote:
             | This would be handy, and if high ranking unelected
             | officials could wear them too it would be good.
             | 
             | The various UK sagas for lockdown eye checks etc would be
             | easier to monitor.
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | Or branding their faces.
        
       | WhompingWindows wrote:
       | This example is extremely egregious - can anyone fact check on
       | those identical names and very similar pictures? Other commenters
       | have posted American examples as well, which while blatant are
       | not nearly as egregious as the Russian example. Just goes to
       | show, true democracy is hard to enact.
        
       | Grustaf wrote:
       | In Sweden they do the opposite, they have half a dozen parties
       | with almost identical politics. Also very effective.
        
       | chmod600 wrote:
       | If Bobby Tables gets involved, this will get worse before it gets
       | better:
       | 
       | https://m.xkcd.com/327/
        
       | NortySpock wrote:
       | Happened in Florida in 2020 as well...
       | 
       | https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/2020/12/02/the-name-is-the-...
       | 
       | https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/11/20/florida-ele...
       | 
       | https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politic...
        
         | drocer88 wrote:
         | John F. Kennedy used this trick:
         | https://www.politico.com/gallery/2012/06/16-worst-political-...
         | 
         | Note the two "Joseph Russo" entries on the ballot:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_history_of_John_F._K...
        
           | fennecfoxen wrote:
           | Barack Obama won his first election using a different
           | procedural trick -- he looked up his three opponents' ballot
           | petitions, and challenged enough of the signatures on the
           | petitions that they were all delisted.
        
             | jaywalk wrote:
             | Not sure why you're being downvoted, because what you said
             | is 100% true: https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-
             | xpm-2007-04-04-070403...
        
               | QuercusMax wrote:
               | Your link redirects me to chicagotribune.com/. Maybe only
               | works for subscribers?
        
               | jaywalk wrote:
               | Interesting. I'm definitely not a subscriber, so that's
               | not the issue.
        
               | NortySpock wrote:
               | Link worked for me, not a subscriber.
        
               | ComputerGuru wrote:
               | I posted the obligatory archive.is link as a sibling
               | comment.
        
               | Symbiote wrote:
               | The comment is upvoted now, but possibly the downvotes
               | were for describing it as a "trick". One of the
               | candidates they managed to interview admitted some
               | signatures were forged for $5 each.
               | 
               | (The link opened fine for me.)
        
               | stefan_ wrote:
               | The interview says they paid someone for collecting
               | signatures, not forging them. Of course at the price of
               | $5 that might have been implicit at the time.
        
               | alisonkisk wrote:
               | $5/signature is normal price, forged or not.
        
               | ComputerGuru wrote:
               | Non-paywall: https://archive.is/2Jyu2
        
         | redleggedfrog wrote:
         | Of course it did.
        
         | nomoreplease wrote:
         | In the Florida case it was/is a common surname, not a full
         | name. In this Russian case, two humans changed their full name
         | to match. Presumably paid to do so. Very different situations
         | 
         | Edit: in the Russian case, they also changed their appearance
         | to match
         | 
         | According to a sibling comment, this strategy goes back to
         | JohnF Kennedy at least. Except that the Russians take it to the
         | next level
        
           | gfaure wrote:
           | In the Russia case, not their full name -- notice that the
           | patronymic is different for each of the real candidate and
           | the two fake candidates.
        
             | EgorKolds wrote:
             | It's actually good for them by the way. Since in case of
             | the complete full match they would have needed to specify
             | their original names before the change.
        
               | alisonkisk wrote:
               | At least one did specify the original name in the
               | document.
        
           | vmh1928 wrote:
           | In Florida a sham candidate with the same surname as the real
           | candidate paid to run to siphon off votes from the real
           | candidate. Completely different. Not at all similar. Nothing
           | in common. Nothing to see in Florida, move along please.
        
             | nomoreplease wrote:
             | OP said it happened In Florida but no name changes happened
             | in Florida. My comment was meant to clarify, not argue in
             | bad faith. I said "very" different not "completely
             | different". Nor did I argue that either should be ignored.
        
               | e40 wrote:
               | Whether there is a name change involved, the result is
               | the same, to siphon off votes. That's the main thrust of
               | the story in Russia and FL. I'd say _very similar_ not
               | _very different_.
        
               | nathanvanfleet wrote:
               | Can we agree that OP didn't read the article and so
               | didn't really contrast the differences and move on?
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | rsj_hn wrote:
           | I didn't know this. It's absolutely bizarre. I wonder why
           | Russia even bothers with elections -- it's clearly not on the
           | bandwagon for western liberalism, which seems fair enough to
           | me, but then why go through the motions?
        
             | JadeNB wrote:
             | > I didn't know this. It's absolutely bizarre. I wonder why
             | Russia even bothers with elections -- it's clearly not on
             | the bandwagon for western liberalism, which seems fair
             | enough to me, but then why go through the motions?
             | 
             | Why did Stalinist Russia bother with show trials? The
             | appearance of legitimacy is enough to give cover to people
             | who approve of the government without wanting to own up to
             | its dirty tricks, and to mute the voices of those who
             | disapprove.
        
             | akoncius wrote:
             | spectacle is important here. it's important for Putin to
             | claim that people chose him, he is a leader of population
             | by choice, not force.
             | 
             | look at Belarus, when stuff became too obvious, people
             | started to display dissatisfaction. That is Putin's fear
             | IMO.
        
           | doikor wrote:
           | In the Russian case they also created fake parties for these
           | fake candidates with very similar sounding names.
        
           | micromacrofoot wrote:
           | I don't know if I'd say "very different" -- they have the
           | same goal but with different steps.
        
         | dzdt wrote:
         | The third of those links is the most important: in the Florida
         | case the spoiler candidate and the man paying him to run were
         | charged with a crime. This doesn't reverse the election, whose
         | outcome was almost certainly changed by the scheme, but it
         | might deter others from following this playbook.
        
         | e40 wrote:
         | I really, really, really hope this becomes illegal.
         | 
         | In one of the FL cases, reporters went to the house of the
         | "other" one and he literally couldn't say why he was on the
         | ballot. That is my recollection of the story I read at the
         | time.
        
         | sam_lowry_ wrote:
         | The Russian case will likely end differently.
        
           | IAmEveryone wrote:
           | Trump will win?
        
           | robbedpeter wrote:
           | Maybe the assassination will be recorded on dashcam? (/s,
           | hopefully)
        
       | ummwhat wrote:
       | I know arrows theorem says something about spoiler candidates and
       | irrelevant identical alternatives, but I didn't think it
       | manifested quite like this.
        
       | golergka wrote:
       | A comment for outsiders: Russian elections are multi-layered.
       | When dominance of Putin and his party is threatened, then the
       | state will employ everything it's power. But within his own
       | party, and on many local levels, there's also a lot of
       | competition -- and there, elections can be much less fraudulent.
       | So, those local crooks can't rely on repressive apparatus of the
       | whole state, and have to revert to political technologies and
       | tricks which are usually used in developed democracies.
       | 
       | Boris Vishnevsky, as many other candidates (including my own
       | father) are being elected not through centralised party lists,
       | but through single-mandate districts. (I think it's similar to UK
       | electorate system). And while United Russia (Putin's party) total
       | numbers over the whole country will be very tightly controlled,
       | results of those district-based elections are, in general, much
       | more honest.
        
       | dane-pgp wrote:
       | Do Russian ballot papers not include the name of the candidate's
       | political party? Ideally they would also include the parties'
       | logos, which would be required to be distinct from previously-
       | registered logos, so that people with literacy problems could
       | still vote confidently.
        
         | alkonaut wrote:
         | If I were United Russia I'd make sure there were no party names
         | or logos on the ballots. Also randomize the order of candidates
         | between ballots so word couldn't get out saying "it's the
         | middle Boris".
        
         | roveo wrote:
         | In this year's elections, many of the pro-regime candidates are
         | registered as having no party affiliation because of the very
         | bad ratings of United Russia party.
         | 
         | Also, the authorities don't care about people voting
         | confidently at all, quite the opposite.
         | 
         | It's mandated by law though to list candidates' previous names
         | if changed, which is done in this case. But you have to be
         | aware of this spoiler strategy to notice, which most people
         | aren't.
        
           | lostlogin wrote:
           | > Also, the authorities don't care about people voting
           | confidently at all, quite the opposite.
           | 
           | Can you explain this?
        
       | aazaa wrote:
       | Maybe the most surprising thing about this is how commonplace it
       | is for multiple candidates to share the same name. From the
       | article:
       | 
       | > "Double" candidates regularly pop up during Russia's election
       | cycles, which can be surprisingly cut-throat despite the
       | expectation that the ruling United Russia party will maintain a
       | majority in the Duma. The rising tide of opposition to United
       | Russia and growing support for the Communist KPRF have apparently
       | spooked the government and nominating doppelgangers can siphon
       | off precious votes in close contests.
        
         | PeterisP wrote:
         | That's not an accidental match of the names or finding
         | "doppelgangers" somewhere, it's intentionally _making_
         | doppelgangers - these  "spoiler" candidates literally changed
         | their name before the elections, one of them was born as Viktor
         | Bykov and the other was Alexei Shmelev. The only thing they
         | can't legally change is the patronymic, which a key part of the
         | name in Russia and differentiates the names of these three
         | candidates.
        
           | Joker_vD wrote:
           | You absolutely can change patronymics, that's how lot's of
           | Mikhailovich's and Arkadievich's became Moishevich's and
           | Abramovich's in the 90ies after the collapse of the USSR.
        
             | PeterisP wrote:
             | That's interesting - wouldn't that be because the actual
             | fathers changed their names in those cases back to the non-
             | Russianized versions (Moishe/Mikhail) when e.g. emigrating
             | to Israel when that ceased to be forbidden?
             | 
             | But in any case, those particular candidates had their
             | names and surnames changed but for whatever reason their
             | patronymics were left intact.
        
           | aazaa wrote:
           | And what I'm saying is that the change of appearance in this
           | particular case is _less_ surprising than the fact that
           | double or triple name candidates on a ballot  "regularly"
           | occur.
        
       | smoyer wrote:
       | This is pretty similar to Ross Perot splitting the republican
       | vote in the U.S. '92 election except that Perot and Bush should
       | have been political allies and instead split the vote in favor of
       | Clinton. I can't think of an example of using this against an
       | opponent as described in the article could certainly be used here
       | (though I suspect using duplicate names) would be harder to
       | hide).
        
         | int_19h wrote:
         | How is it similar? Perot was clearly a separate candidate, and
         | people who voted for him all knew that.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | phpnode wrote:
         | I'm sure you didn't intend this, but your comment is strongly
         | reminiscent of this classic Russian political tactic for
         | dealing with criticism from the west:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whataboutism
        
           | morganvachon wrote:
           | Recognizing a somewhat similar incident from one's own
           | country's history is not at all "whataboutism", especially
           | when there was no obvious intent to diminish the impact of
           | the original subject or otherwise distract from it. Not every
           | comment on a web forum is an attempt to argue or act in bad
           | faith.
        
             | phpnode wrote:
             | You're right of course, at the time of writing there were
             | only 2 comments in this thread, and both were along the
             | same lines which made the effect seem more pronounced.
        
           | smoyer wrote:
           | I didn't intend it ... and it looks like I probably shouldn't
           | have gone reminiscing in an HN comment!
        
             | morganvachon wrote:
             | HN tends to have waves of (for lack of a better term)
             | "troll hunters" who come here with an attitude that
             | everyone here is commenting in bad faith and must be called
             | out for it. They will do it to commenters from all sides of
             | an argument, even in cases like this where it was clear
             | your comment was simply remembering a past event and not
             | intended to be anything else.
             | 
             | I haven't figured out if they mean well and are just sorely
             | misguided, or are actually trolls themselves here from
             | places like Reddit where such bad faith activity actually
             | happens in every single post.
        
               | smoyer wrote:
               | I'm not in it for the karma and don't worry about being
               | down-voted when I'm writing a thoughtful but perhaps
               | contrary comment. Sometimes (like now) it teaches me that
               | I'm out of step with the "mood" of the commons. That's
               | fine too.
        
         | twalla wrote:
         | > using this against an opponent as described in the article
         | could certainly be used here
         | 
         | It's called a "spoiler" and they don't necessarily have to have
         | the same or similar names to be effective, in fact, a similar
         | tactic _was_ used here less than a year ago:
         | 
         | https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/19/us/florida-senate-race-fr...
        
         | ytdytvhxgydvhh wrote:
         | This tactic was used in Florida in 2020:
         | https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/2020/12/02/the-name-is-the-...
        
       | ccleve wrote:
       | A friend of mine (and my successor as chairman of the Chicago
       | Republican Party) filed a case in the U.S. Supreme Court this
       | week over the same tactic right here in Chicago.
       | 
       | https://www.chicagotribune.com/politics/ct-michael-madigan-c...
       | 
       | If we win this thing, then filing sham candidates will become
       | illegal in the U.S. It's an utterly corrupt practice.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | noneeeed wrote:
         | Sorry, not from the US so I might be missing something, but the
         | link you posted was about someone from the Democrats. Did your
         | friend switch parties after that election (I wouldn't be
         | surprised if that kind of thing had happened)?
        
           | gogobandang wrote:
           | It's a marriage of convenience. Until Madigan is indicted by
           | the FBI (probably happening in the next 12mos, his underlings
           | are helping the FBI now), if you are a (D) on his bad side,
           | your choices are to exit Chicago politics or switch parties.
        
         | cguess wrote:
         | Why are Republicans suing over a Democratic primary? I'm
         | doubting good faith.
         | 
         | Also this seems to be civil case, not a criminal one, so I'm
         | not sure how it'd make anything illegal?
        
           | MeinBlutIstBlau wrote:
           | Maybe because having a political affiliation you disagree
           | with by no means incriminates you of having no morals or
           | ethics.
        
           | ccleve wrote:
           | "Illegal" means contrary to the law. Plenty of things that
           | are illegal but carry no criminal penalties.
           | 
           | As a practical matter, the court would rule that sham
           | candidates are impermissible, and then their opponents would
           | have an opportunity to remove them from the ballot via a
           | civil lawsuit, or seek sanctions again whoever put them up,
           | or collect civil damages, or in an extreme case overturn an
           | election altogether.
        
         | sct202 wrote:
         | Not this particular case but just to give context on why
         | padding the primary with sham candidates of the same ethnic
         | group is an issue, but also in Chicago it has happened that
         | people change their names to imply certain
         | ethnic/heritage/characteristics like Phillip Spiwak (R) became
         | Shannon P. O'Malley (D) to win an elected judge position in
         | 2018 https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/illinois-judge-
         | candidat...
        
           | lrem wrote:
           | There was a movie about a person searching their Irish
           | ancestors. Ended with the protagonist confronting their
           | father, who admitted they made it up to win votes. The movie
           | must be decades old now.
        
           | rory wrote:
           | John Kerry comes to mind here, although at least the official
           | story states that his grandfather chose an Irish name
           | essentially through dumb luck.
        
           | juped wrote:
           | Warren "Bill de Blasio" Wilhelm.
        
       | mig39 wrote:
       | The Rhinoceros Party did this in Canada, in the 80s. They found a
       | guy named "John Turner" to run against the prime minister of the
       | same name, in the same riding. Funny stuff!
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhinoceros_Party
        
       | a-priori wrote:
       | This reminds me of the 2019 Canadian federal election. There was
       | a new party in that election led by a man named Maxime Bernier
       | called the People's Party. They're a far-right populist party and
       | generally awful. Bernier himself was running in Beauce, Quebec,
       | which he had represented through the Conservative party since
       | 2006 before he had created the People's Party.
       | 
       | But then the Rhinoceros Party, a satirical political party,
       | announced a new candidate for Beauce named... Maxime Bernier.
       | When asked about the confusion, the Rhinoceros Party's Maxime
       | Bernier said, "If you're not sure, then vote for both!".
       | 
       | https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/maxime-bernier-rhino...
       | 
       | The Conservative candidate won with 22817 votes, the People's
       | Party candidate came second with 16772, and the Rhinoceros Party
       | candidate came last with 1072 votes and another 1147 were
       | rejected. This left the People's Party with no seats in
       | parliament.
        
         | gpm wrote:
         | > This left the People's Party with no seats in parliament.
         | 
         | Note that even if the Rhinoceros votes went for the peoples
         | party the same thing would have happened...
        
           | throwdecro wrote:
           | > Note that even if the Rhinoceros votes went for the peoples
           | party the same thing would have happened...
           | 
           | Which is probably for the best. If this type of trickery had
           | made a meaningful difference, the people fooled by the trick
           | would have had some legitimate complaints. Moreover it would
           | have really undermined the credibility of the winner, even if
           | it wasn't their doing.
        
             | wussboy wrote:
             | Maybe it's a shame that nothing of consequence hinged on
             | it. If someone was aggrieved, we're more likely to get a
             | court case out of it and the law changed.
        
           | a-priori wrote:
           | True, this probably didn't actually change the results, but
           | it likely narrowed the margin in an already narrow vote.
        
             | gpm wrote:
             | You and I have very different understandings of the word
             | narrow.
             | 
             | That's 58% vs 42% just counting the votes that went to the
             | PPC/Conservatives. 39% vs 28% looking at all the votes in
             | the riding. The rhino candidate got less than 2% of the
             | votes in the riding.
             | 
             | It _definitely_ didn 't actually change the results.
        
               | patentatt wrote:
               | Is it possible that such a move may dissuade voters from
               | even showing up to the polls to participate in an
               | election that they view as a sham, or as being made a
               | circus? It certainly doesn't build trust in democracy.
        
               | gpm wrote:
               | In general I'm sure that's a possibility, and it probably
               | occurs in the Russian case. In Canada we are quite
               | confident in our electoral system, and this sort of
               | shenanigans doesn't change that (or result in substantial
               | confusion, since we clearly spell out candidates
               | political parties - indeed I suspect most people vote
               | based on party more than based on candidate name). I
               | don't believe for an instant that this had a substantial
               | effect on the PPCs voter turnout.
        
         | dukeofdoom wrote:
         | They're the only party to oppose vaccine passports in Canada.
         | So can't be all bad. Polling around 5-8% now and gaining, high
         | enough might make a big difference who next leader of Canada
         | will be. On the conspiracy side, some are speculating he's a
         | plant to help Trudeau.
        
           | gpm wrote:
           | Cbc's polling average has them at 4.8%, which isn't inside
           | your 5-8% interval... but it's true that they have been
           | slowly trending upwards... though whether you should prefer a
           | momentum model or a reversion to the mean model for polling
           | variation is unclear.
           | 
           | Separately, giving airtime to ridiculous conspiracies that
           | even you don't believe is simply not helpful.
        
         | CarelessExpert wrote:
         | Well, in Canada (and I'd assume elsewhere, but I've not
         | checked) our ballots include party affiliation, so it's pretty
         | easy to tell the candidates apart if you're paying any
         | attention at all.
        
           | MeinBlutIstBlau wrote:
           | The US's does as well. That's why I don't understand why
           | people are up and arms. People aren't getting names confused,
           | they're seriously don't care.
        
         | monkeybutton wrote:
         | It appears that Maxim Bernier from the Rhinoceros party hasn't
         | registered to run in this year's election. I wonder if they've
         | been blocked from doing so?
        
         | deanCommie wrote:
         | > This left the People's Party with no seats in parliament.
         | 
         | "This" implies that the Rhinoceros Party prank KEPT Bernier
         | from having a seat. Simple math shows that's not the case.
        
       | silexia wrote:
       | Russia is a totalitarian dictatorship, why does Putin bother with
       | silly tactics like this? A trick to try to lend an appearance of
       | credibility to elections?
        
         | phpnode wrote:
         | One of Putin's defining characteristics is that he does not
         | leave things to chance. Why wouldn't he use every tool and
         | trick available to him in order to secure his grip on power?
        
         | mikewarot wrote:
         | Being a ruler in such a manner isn't as simple as you might
         | suspect... there are rules for rulers. CGP Grey explains it all
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rStL7niR7gs
        
         | bigdict wrote:
         | Maybe precisely because he doesn't have the degree of control
         | that would be present in an actual totalitarian dictatorship?..
        
           | revolvingocelot wrote:
           | I think arguing about Putin's level of control over Russia is
           | splitting dissidents, I mean hairs. The ability to openly
           | murder and gaslight your opponents, even when they are in
           | other countries, is certainly within tolerances for an
           | "actual totalitarian dictatorship"; Putin has, and flaunts,
           | this ability. Is he publicly directing uniformed thugs to
           | kick down doors and execute people in the streets? Well, no,
           | but not being able to recognize Putin's Russia as a savvy,
           | modern, post-truth translation of that classic dictatorship
           | pattern will be met with me rolling my eyes (and then my
           | whole body, along with some 9mm bullets, out of an upper-
           | storey window, which will be ruled a suicide).
        
             | int_19h wrote:
             | "Totalitarian" implies total control - i.e. yes, the
             | ability to direct uniform thugs to kick down doors and
             | execute people in the streets is included in it.
             | 
             | Putin's Russia is authoritarian, not totalitarian. That's
             | why political opponents are murdered by assassins, not
             | executed by firing squads.
        
               | lostmsu wrote:
               | Can you show a quote from somewhere, where "totalitarian"
               | would imply total control? Wikipedia's description of
               | "Totalitarianism" matches state of things in Russia
               | exactly:
               | 
               | - prohibits all opposition parties // check
               | 
               | - outlaws individual opposition to the state // check
               | 
               | - extremely high degree of control over public life //
               | check
               | 
               | - private life // that maybe not, but I am not sure what
               | that means
               | 
               | - political power is often held by autocrats // check
               | 
               | - propaganda is broadcast by state-controlled mass media
               | in order to control the citizenry // check
               | 
               | So the only thing missing is "private life", where I
               | simply can't claim it because I don't understand the
               | requirement.
        
               | unrequitedlove wrote:
               | Totalitarian regimes demand total participation (hence
               | the "total" part). In Soviet Russia or Nazi Germany you
               | either participated in the Komsomol, voted for the right
               | candidate, studied marxism/whatever the nazi equivalent
               | was, publicly expressed loyalist opinions etc, or you
               | were considered a malicious actor.
               | 
               | Authoritarian regimes demand compliance. In modern Russia
               | no one really cares what you think unless you're some
               | sort of an activist or a state employee. Meaning, regular
               | people are generally left to be, can de-facto and de-jure
               | think and say whatever they wish, and they only get
               | messed with if they are in the way of power or in
               | position of power.
               | 
               | Totalitarian regimes resemble cults, authoritarian
               | regimes resemble corporations (and many corporations are,
               | in fact, authoritarian).
               | 
               | A regime can be authoritarian, but not totalitarian
               | (think Principate Rome) and in some case can be
               | totalitarian, but not authoritarian (think a democracy
               | ran by fanatical Puritans)
        
               | lostmsu wrote:
               | This is all great, but let's stick to definitions when
               | discussing if a country matches one or not. Either
               | disagree with the definition and give your alternative,
               | or disagree with checkpoints in the current one.
        
               | unrequitedlove wrote:
               | Let's. As outlined above, totalitarian regimes strive to
               | control your private life while authoritarian regimes
               | generally do not. Since you wrote that the difference is
               | unclear to you, I thought I'd explain it.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | vogre wrote:
               | > prohibits all opposition parties
               | 
               | Not all opposition parties are prohibited. there are more
               | parties in Russian parliament(6) than in US congress(2).
               | Even after this year elections there will probably be 3+
               | parties in parliament.
               | 
               | > outlaws individual opposition to the state
               | 
               | it's not really outlawed still, but yes, we are very
               | close to it
               | 
               | >extremely high degree of control over public life
               | 
               | no. There are very chaotic attempts to control public
               | life, but they are not very systemic.
               | 
               | > political power is often held by autocrats
               | 
               | This sentence is like "democracy is when political power
               | is held by democrats"
               | 
               | > propaganda is broadcast by state-controlled mass media
               | in order to control the citizenry
               | 
               | check for every country in the world
        
               | lostmsu wrote:
               | > Not all opposition parties are prohibited.
               | 
               | De-facto they are all prohibited, as rigged elections
               | means their vote in the parliament has no bearing.
               | 
               | > it's not really outlawed still, but yes, we are very
               | close to it
               | 
               | They just did exactly that by making Navalny's org
               | "terrorist" thereby outlawing all individual supporters.
               | And before that by banning underspecified forms of
               | critique in the Internet.
               | 
               | > they are not very systemic
               | 
               | Mandatory religious education (with barely accessible
               | opt-out). Outlawing specific groups from advocating their
               | political views (like "gay propaganda"). This is a very
               | "systemic" pushing of certain values by authoritarian
               | means. If you do not consider it "systemic", please,
               | define "systemic".
               | 
               | > This sentence is like "democracy is when political
               | power is held by democrats"
               | 
               | It does not matter what it is like. We are doing a
               | "totalitarianism" test and this checks.
               | 
               | > check for every country in the world
               | 
               | No, it is not. Most of Russian mass-media is owned
               | directly or indirectly by the government. The ones that
               | are not owned are heavily censored. In the rest of the
               | world many governments do not own or censor media. For
               | instance, US government owns just a handful of media
               | companies, which are not that popular in the US.
        
               | revolvingocelot wrote:
               | Sure, but for a society to be "totalitarian" is an
               | asymptotic climb, not a defined goal. An independent
               | Russian businessman might find himself approached by the
               | local mob (under the aegis of an oligarch, who is under
               | the aegis of the Russian state) to acquire a share of his
               | business. He can't turn to any authority for help, and if
               | he refuses his business (or he) will be crippled. That's
               | not _total_ control.
               | 
               | Political opponents are murdered by assassins, and
               | domestic coverage of the murder makes no bones about what
               | happened, nor is the even truthier international coverage
               | suppressed at all. Public execution by implication. I'm
               | certain Putin has the functional ability to _quietly_
               | kill someone; he was in the KGB. Most of the big
               | assassinations read more like expansive threats:  "look
               | what I can get away with, and the West just wags a stern
               | finger at me; you are not safe, enemy of mine, even in
               | the UK".
               | 
               | I appreciate that words usually have fairly fixed
               | definitions (but sometimes not so literally, aha). That
               | said, while Putin's Russia may not be totalitarian to the
               | standards of, say, Maoist China, I think it's pretty damn
               | difficult, and moreso than in most other countries, to do
               | anything that the ruling class doesn't want done. That
               | _approaches_ total control.
        
               | int_19h wrote:
               | Russian businessmen being approached by the local mob was
               | more common back in 90s (that much I know from
               | experience, because my parents ran a small business back
               | then, and had to deal with all that). But the country as
               | a whole was less authoritarian than it is today.
               | 
               | As far as doing something that the ruling class doesn't
               | want done - if you mean politically, there are plenty of
               | comparable countries, such as Singapore, that are
               | similarly considered authoritarian but not totalitarian.
               | Totalitarianism normally means _total_ control (or at
               | least the possibility of it) - not just of political
               | participation, but of all spheres of life. Russia may
               | turn totalitarian yet - there are certainly plenty of
               | ideologues advocating it - but it hasn 't crossed that
               | line so far.
               | 
               | And yes, of course it's all a spectrum. Totalitarianism
               | itself is a small subset of the much wider authoritarian
               | spectrum.
        
         | vbezhenar wrote:
         | What does it have to do with Putin?
        
       | pvaldes wrote:
       | In Spain not much years ago happened a slightly different but
       | related trick. A party changed late their logo in the ballots to
       | a circle. Casually their rivals from the opposite ideology had
       | adopted before a thin circle as a logo in the voting sheets
       | (shared by all parties). The second circle was more thick (and
       | more visible) than the other and had different letters inside.
       | Clearly different for people with a good sight, maybe not so much
       | for elders.
       | 
       | I bet that this didn't helped at the hour of counting the ballots
       | and I wouldn't be surprised to know that a few votes were
       | assigned wrongly that night at the slighest opportunity.
        
       | JackFr wrote:
       | I worked with Boris Vishnevsky! Oh wait, different guy ...
       | 
       | (But I really did.)
        
         | tclancy wrote:
         | Yes, but which one?
        
       | hamilyon2 wrote:
       | Oh, two nearly identical doppelgangers, with matching appearance,
       | age and name?
       | 
       | I wouldn't hesitate to follow great old russian tradition and
       | take a loan. A few million rubles in cash here and there from
       | those shady and unscrupulous lenders, then miss a payment or two
       | and see what happens! A completely legal way to remind those
       | people that Russia isn't European country yet. Nor Saint
       | Petersburg is Miami.
        
         | Grustaf wrote:
         | > Nor Saint Petersburg is Miami
         | 
         | True enough. Saint Petersburg has a fantastic history, brought
         | us some of the most important writers in history and is full of
         | theatres, palaces and one of the best museums in the world.
         | It's also very beautiful.
        
       | sireat wrote:
       | This is endemic in eastern European politics.
       | 
       | It is especially prevalent among parties oriented towards Russian
       | speaking populace in the Baltics.
       | 
       | I've never seen it work, but maybe there is a bit of Ross
       | Perot(not that Clinton/Bush looked like Perot) effect.
       | 
       | PS it is hilarious that when I made a comment I didn't realize
       | this could be taken as a what-aboutism comment.
       | 
       | So on a meta level I should be more lenient when posters do
       | similar things in other threads. Maybe not every poster is
       | actively engaging in organized
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whataboutism but there is an urge
       | to draw parallels on some psychological level.
        
         | jgilias wrote:
         | Do you have any sources?
         | 
         | I'm from the Baltics and I've never ever heard of anything
         | similar going on in any of the three countries.
        
         | smcl wrote:
         | I think you can usually ignore people who complain about
         | "whataboutism" - on HN at least it usually boils down to
         | someone trying to dismiss a legitimate comparison with "Hey you
         | can't say that, I said it first!"
        
           | oh_sigh wrote:
           | "you're ruining my point by showing my hypocrisy"
        
             | FpUser wrote:
             | Exact reason I think ;) Or maybe they feel so righteous
             | that they do not even notice their hypocrisy.
        
             | smcl wrote:
             | Precisely. Also I think I'm being downvoted by people
             | misinterpreting my use of "usually" as "in every single
             | case without exception". But anecdotally, nearly every time
             | I've seen the whataboutism response it has been in that
             | context I described - someone trying to dismiss a
             | legitimate criticism by deploying what they think is a sort
             | of cheat code.
        
       | abecedarius wrote:
       | Yet another point for approval voting ( / score voting). You'd
       | have to confuse people into not just picking the decoy but also
       | dropping the original.
        
       | trhway wrote:
       | Imagine what they would do with a good AI.
       | 
       | Anyway, a recent anekdot from Russian democracy illustrating why
       | the ruling power is so obstructing oppositional candidates. A
       | mayor of small town to make elections legally democratic, ie to
       | have at least 2 candidates while of course not allowing any real
       | oppositional candidates, ran his office janitor woman against
       | himself. The people voted for the janitor.
        
       | buybackoff wrote:
       | Lots of discussions whether it will work or not. Same as 10k
       | rubles payout for seniors. Likely people are not so much stupid
       | and such things won't work per se. But in Russia there is the
       | second step: falsify the elections and explain that people voted
       | for a fake or for the party they hate because of the payout. A
       | casual observer will have less questions, or there will be an
       | "explanation".
        
         | gunapologist99 wrote:
         | Dirty tricks can also give actual vote rigging plausibility
         | cover, and increase the inevitability factor.
        
       | ithkuil wrote:
       | Local elections for mayor here: Arianna Buti vs Monia Buti. The
       | town name is also Buti...
        
       | perryizgr8 wrote:
       | If this happened in India, the SC would strike it down so hard.
       | You don't need a law for every specific wrongdoing. You just need
       | a decent judicial system.
        
         | s_trumpet wrote:
         | The practice of assigning electoral symbols to each political
         | party is also very useful for differentiating them.
         | 
         | https://edition.cnn.com/style/article/india-election-party-s...
        
           | int_19h wrote:
           | Russian electoral system allows for unaffiliated candidates,
           | and spoilers usually run as such.
        
             | unmole wrote:
             | Unaffiliated candidates or independents as they are called
             | are also assigned a symbol.
             | 
             | The symbols of recognised political parties are fairly
             | common knowledge and are emphasised during rge campaign
        
         | unmole wrote:
         | This happens in Indian elections all the time. And I'm rather
         | surprised to find someone holding the Indian judicial system in
         | such high regard.
        
         | roveo wrote:
         | Which is why there's no decent judicial system here
        
       | grishka wrote:
       | Why do they even go through this much trouble when they can just
       | count votes such that Edinaia Rossiia comes out as a winner, like
       | they did on every election I remember. They stuff ballots into
       | boxes. They invalidate ballots with "wrong" votes. They just
       | simply change the numbers in the protocols without anyone
       | rechecking or recounting. Worst of all, the people who do it are
       | usually school teachers, because polling stations are often in
       | schools.
       | 
       | Yes, I'll go and vote anyway. No, this won't change the outcome,
       | but at least I'll be able to tell myself that I did my part.
        
         | IAmEveryone wrote:
         | It's terribly hard to actually falsify the vote counts across
         | thousands of polling places. In theory, someone observing the
         | process, as should be legal everywhere, will notice the
         | irregularities.
         | 
         | It's not impossible, obviously-especially if you have full
         | control of at least anyone important. But plausible deniability
         | suffers rather fast, and that's a valuable assets at the Putin-
         | level of dic(tator|k)ishness.
        
           | grishka wrote:
           | Oh they interfere with observers a lot. It's a battle,
           | really.
           | 
           | Sometimes, in some far-flung region, an election will end up
           | being fair. Then they still find a way to ultimately "fix"
           | the outcome -- see what happened in Khabarovsk with
           | everyone's favorite mayor Sergey Furgal. They found a court
           | case on him from very long ago, arrested him, flew him to
           | Moscow, then Putin dismissed him from mayorship "for loss of
           | trust". Yeah sure, _people_ elected him and had no problems
           | with him, but it 's _lack of Putin 's trust_ that caused him
           | to lose his office against his and people's will.
        
           | gunapologist99 wrote:
           | Usually only a few polling places actually determine an
           | election. Based on historical vote data, you'd only flip
           | votes in the few locations where it actually matters; for
           | example, a few counties in a few swing states, or anywhere
           | where the votes can be cured or recounted without being
           | observed.
           | 
           | It's strange that people really don't realize how easy it is
           | to cheat; just a little bit of leverage in the right place
           | can tip an election.
        
       | flopp wrote:
       | In web-terms: a "Homograph Attack" (=>
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IDN_homograph_attack)
        
       | ChicagoDave wrote:
       | I live in US IL-14. This would be like me changing my name to
       | Lorne Underwood and running as a Republican.
        
       | huhtenberg wrote:
       | Eddie Murphy is a household name in Russia and someone must've
       | been just helping themselves to some material from one of his
       | movies.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Distinguished_Gentleman
       | 
       | Talk about life imitating art and all that.
        
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