[HN Gopher] How the airline industry got wise to seat belts
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       How the airline industry got wise to seat belts
        
       Author : NotSwift
       Score  : 35 points
       Date   : 2021-08-30 19:40 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.airspacemag.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.airspacemag.com)
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | Having been once in a aircraft-damaging emergency landing*
       | decades ago I am surprised lap only belts are still the norm.
       | There's a reason the crew has four point restraints, and I'd like
       | to have it too.
       | 
       | * I won't call it a crash since the aircraft made it to an
       | airport and to a runway. We had equipment failure in flight so
       | there was plenty of time for the flight attendants to review our
       | crash positions, confiscate shoes, move people around etc.
       | Everybody survived and I think everybody survived the emergency
       | slides intact. Very exciting to mid-20s me.
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | Many business-class airline seats do now have three point
         | seatbelts.
        
         | cbhl wrote:
         | They seem to have started adding shoulder belts in some of the
         | newer fully-lie-flat business/first seats on some airlines.
        
         | chris_j wrote:
         | What was it about the emergency landing that made you surprised
         | that lap only belts are still the norm? (Apologies if I'm
         | asking about something blindingly obvious but I've not been in
         | an aircraft-damaging emergency landing and I'm really
         | interested to hear more about your experience.)
        
           | Jtsummers wrote:
           | Probably what was briefly discussed in the article. So long
           | as your seat stays anchored, a multipoint harness will keep
           | you in position better. The injuries in the one accident were
           | from people being moved side-to-side, not forward or up and
           | down. The seatbelts didn't injure them, but the armrests did.
           | A multipoint harness _could_ (if worn properly) reduce those
           | kinds of injuries. Of course, in a total failure where the
           | seats become detached from the floor and the aircraft is
           | rolling, no seatbelt or harness will save you.
        
             | anonAndOn wrote:
             | At an airline training session I attended, a man who
             | survived a famous passenger aircraft crash advised that one
             | should get as low as possible in their seat and put their
             | knees up against the back of the seat in front of you,
             | while still buckled. The passengers that died around him
             | were killed by the heavy luggage exploding out of the
             | overheads and breaking their necks, so it's important to
             | have your head below the seat back. The people who sat
             | upright also tended to break their noses/faces on the seat
             | backs in front of them. The speaker walked away from the
             | crash with only a knee injury by bracing himself in the
             | reclined position.
        
         | Teever wrote:
         | > confiscate shoes
         | 
         | ???
        
           | diebeforei485 wrote:
           | Some shoes (eg. soccer cleats, heels) can puncture the
           | inflatable emergency slides.
        
           | tannedNerd wrote:
           | It's for the slides, don't want someone breaking an ankle and
           | popping the slide in a high heel.
        
             | worker767424 wrote:
             | I thought it was that they don't one a high heel puncturing
             | the slide
        
           | clon wrote:
           | So you don't ruin the slide
        
             | labster wrote:
             | It's a slide rule
        
         | orev wrote:
         | This is what most people seem to get wrong about airplane seat
         | belts--they are not there for the same reason as in cars:
         | crashes. They are there to keep people from flying around and
         | getting injured during turbulence.
         | 
         | Crashes in commercial planes are so rare that any single one
         | almost always makes the news, while turbulence is extremely
         | common. Let's be fair and say that a seatbelt is not going to
         | make a whit of difference when colliding with the ground at 200
         | MPH, so a 2 or 5 point harness are essentially the same in that
         | regard. But a belt is plenty to help with turbulence.
         | 
         | Will there be a few instances, such as yours, where the extra
         | protection would have been good? Of course, but there's also a
         | trade-off of weight, cost, and public resistance to strapping
         | in like a race car driver. The other mitigations seem to work
         | well enough when there is a situation.
        
           | jmercouris wrote:
           | Turbulence that results in people flying out of their seats
           | is exceedingly rare, like a once in a lifetime experience for
           | a commercial pilot. Airplanes will go to great lengths to
           | avoid bad weather to avoid stressing the airframe and making
           | passengers uncomfortable.
        
       | IdontRememberIt wrote:
       | During my last flights, I always got 3 points seatbelts.
       | Surprisingly, my 4yo was not allowed to buckle it during landing
       | and takeoff.
        
         | mertd wrote:
         | Business class? Haven't seen anything other than lap belts in
         | economy.
        
           | IdontRememberIt wrote:
           | Yes. (International flights, before covid.)
        
       | sklargh wrote:
       | Recent failures by Boeing aside, the amount of thought that goes
       | into the holistic safety of commercial aircraft is astounding. It
       | kind of blows my mind how hardened a typical passenger cabin is
       | to fire, not to mention other hazards.
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | Yup. The "fatalities per mile" chart is pretty astounding.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aviation_safety#/media/File:Fa...
        
           | zipiridu wrote:
           | IIRC takeoff and landing are the most dangerous parts, so I'd
           | be more interested fatalities per trip. An intercontinental
           | plane ride would cover more miles than I drive in a year
           | which makes the per mile stat meaningless to me. I think it
           | would still be in the plane's favor but probably not as
           | significantly. And in that case if you're a safe driver
           | (healthy adult, doesn't drink or do drugs, doesn't speed,
           | etc) it might skew in favor of driving since I'm sure some
           | groups are much higher risk.
        
             | throwaway0a5e wrote:
             | The stat is doubly misleading because it is skewed by the
             | proliferation of long direct flights as turbofan widebody
             | jets proliferated and air travel became more affordable
             | which both happened in the same time period as that chart.
             | 
             | I don't think flying is particularly dangerous but the
             | person you're replying to is being highly naive or
             | misleading by taking that chart at face value.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | I'm neither naive nor misleading. By any measure, airline
               | travel - particularly in the US - is remarkably safe.
               | 
               | https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/13/colgan-air-
               | crash-10-years-ag...
        
             | mertd wrote:
             | If you are a terrible driver, you can certainly make your
             | individual odds of accident a lot worse than the average
             | case, but I'm not sure being a good driver improves your
             | odds by that much. A lot of the risks are totally out of
             | the driver's control (e.g., other road users, equipment,
             | weather etc..).
        
               | throwaway0a5e wrote:
               | Choice of weather conditions is within your control, just
               | don't drive in terrible weather.
               | 
               | Being a good driver does a ton to insulate you from the
               | shenanigans of
               | 
               | Equipment failure is basically a rounding errors but also
               | within the driver's control since "flat tire at speed" is
               | probably lion's share of crashes in that category.
        
             | pfranz wrote:
             | I remember hearing with the rise of regional airlines
             | starting in the 90s the number of flight cycles
             | (takeoffs/landings) went way up for some types of
             | planes...and I assume for the "average flight." An increase
             | in the number of short trips would make lowing the per-mile
             | rating more impressive.
        
           | mpalczewski wrote:
           | Hmm, after looking at that, and always being told that
           | airlines are the safest. I was surprised they are only safest
           | by that one metric (fatalities / distance) and not fatalities
           | per trip or fatalities per hour.
        
             | bmitc wrote:
             | I have personally never liked being blankly told that
             | flying is safer than driving, because I'd like to
             | understand how safe flying is versus driving _when
             | something goes wrong_.
        
               | nemo44x wrote:
               | Things "go wrong" fairly "frequently" on airplanes but
               | they are hardened for this with redundant systems and
               | manual (as well as computer) overrides. You don't hear
               | about most of them but they are all logged and used for
               | improvements.
               | 
               | The main difference is when a car has a catastrophic
               | failure there's a good chance the people involved
               | survive.
        
               | bmitc wrote:
               | I suppose by wrong I mean something more than the
               | redundant, robust, and various protection systems can
               | handle. For example, on a car, I wouldn't consider the
               | anti-lock brake system kicking in as something going
               | wrong.
               | 
               | I've had an engine failure in my car while driving it. I
               | simply was able to slow to a crawl until I got home. I
               | don't think engine failure on an airplane is such an
               | anti-climatic event, on average.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | > I don't think engine failure on an airplane is such an
               | anti-climatic event, on average.
               | 
               | It often is, actually. They have more than one engine
               | precisely for that scenario, and can fly quite well with
               | one down.
               | 
               | Even if you lose all four on a 747, there's surprisingly
               | large amounts of time to troubleshoot if you're at
               | cruise.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Airways_Flight_9
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gimli_Glider
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | Two seconds of inattention in a car is a lot more likely
               | to kill you than it is in a plane. It's fairly constant
               | risk - going off the shoulder is just a few dozen feet at
               | most.
               | 
               | They also tend to be less well maintained, and the other
               | participants less trained.
        
               | bmitc wrote:
               | That makes sense at first glance, but it's something I'm
               | in control of. I was even thinking of this before,
               | because the comparison is a little mismatched. I'm 100%
               | likely to be a passenger when I'm in any plane, whereas
               | I'm probably >98% likely to be a driver when I'm in a
               | car.
               | 
               | I'm not sure why I was downvoted, because I'm just
               | stating I'd like to understand (data/studies) instead of
               | people's anecdotes and opinions, including my own.
               | 
               | My intuition is that car travel has a constant level of
               | risk, whereas plane travel has a level of risk much below
               | that when everything is good but (I'm guessing here) that
               | risk goes much higher than the constant risk of car
               | travel when something goes wrong (failure, human mistake,
               | crash, birds, weather, etc.). I've searched for it before
               | and didn't find anything, but it'd be nice to see any
               | studies that confirm or deny this.
        
               | naniwaduni wrote:
               | Considering that ~half of collisions involve multiple
               | vehicles, I suspect your feeling of being in control is a
               | bit of an illusion.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | Those seem like odd metrics to go by.
        
               | namdnay wrote:
               | Fatalities per hour seems like a reasonable statistic if
               | you want to talk about fear - how likely am I to die in
               | the next 5mn?
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | If my goal is "I wish to spend X hours in a form of
               | transit", sure. If I need to get from LA to NYC,
               | though... there's a lot more of those 5 minute periods if
               | I'm driving.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | What you probably really want to compare flying and
               | driving is fatalities per trip--for the same trip. As
               | others have noted, a longer trip in a plane is almost
               | certainly safer than a shorter trip given where accidents
               | happen. (And the effect may or may not be further
               | magnified by the fact that I assume the accident rate is
               | higher on small regional jets. Though, on the other hand,
               | they carry fewer people.) On the other hand, driving is
               | probably much more proportional to distance.
        
             | worker767424 wrote:
             | Remember that takeoffs and landings are the most dangerous
             | part of the trip.
        
               | hansthehorse wrote:
               | I usually hear it stated that it's the first two and last
               | 8 minutes of any flight.
        
               | bittercynic wrote:
               | Surely the danger is almost always right after the flight
               | ends :-)
        
         | slownews45 wrote:
         | And despite the complaints, US pax travel (scheduled) is
         | INSANELY safe relative to most other forms of transport.
         | 
         | They fly us around in tin cans at 30,000 feet without killing
         | that many folks per year. I'd love to get status of fatalities
         | per motorcycle mile vs airline mile. Got to be remarkably
         | different.
        
           | runako wrote:
           | Data for transport modes excluding motorcycles:
           | https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/home-and-community/safety-
           | topics...
           | 
           | (airplanes are zero most years)
           | 
           | Data for motorcycles:
           | 
           | https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-statistics-
           | motorcyc...
           | 
           | Eyeballing, it looks like motorcycles have roughly ~50x as
           | many fatalities per mile as passenger autos.
        
             | trangus_1985 wrote:
             | I've been riding for a long time. I definitely spent effort
             | understanding risks and safety.
             | 
             | Motorcycle fatalities are mostly similar to factors that
             | cause car fatalities, but extremely exacerbated.
             | 
             | For example, about 40% of motorcycle fatalities involve
             | alcohol. One drink before riding a motorcycle is about
             | equivalent to 4 before you drive.
             | 
             | Riding at night accounts for a significant amount of
             | fatalities, as does unprotected left turns. Oversteering is
             | another major factor, usually because you went too fast
             | through a turn.
             | 
             | Also, motorcycle fatalities are currently rising. This is
             | largely due to older people who have wanted to ride but
             | couldn't or were afraid to. A 65 year old man on a 800lb
             | 1.5L engine bike who's a new rider is going to take a bad
             | situation a lot harder than a younger person on a smaller
             | bike.
             | 
             | Motorcycles are more dangerous than cars, but if you
             | understand the risks and employ constant self-improvement
             | in your skills, you really begin to reduce your exposure to
             | risk. Unfortunately, it does somewhat select for a group
             | that likes to take risks.
        
             | opwieurposiu wrote:
             | Commercial aircraft are very safe, GA aircraft (your uncle
             | with a cessna), are about as safe as motorcycles.
             | 
             | https://inspire.eaa.org/2017/05/11/how-safe-is-it/
        
               | dmurray wrote:
               | I don't know why this was downvoted. It's true, and an
               | important correction to the GP's NSC link and the claim
               | that "airplanes are zero most years". Notice that that
               | page compares "scheduled airlines" to "passenger
               | vehicles" (I think they mean cars? Since airplanes,
               | trains and buses are also passenger vehicles...) but
               | importantly does not include GA.
        
             | Spooky23 wrote:
             | It makes sense. Motorcycles are unforgiving in terms of
             | safety features and attract disorganized and reckless
             | people like flies to light.
             | 
             | Successful pilots are the opposite personality. They tend
             | to be adventurous in terms of seeking experiences but are
             | able to embrace following strict rules.
        
               | barrkel wrote:
               | Per unscientific survey cited in
               | https://www.rideapart.com/news/254972/why-your-next-
               | motorcyc... 85% of pilots have motorcycle licenses.
               | 
               | There are many breeds of motorcycle rider, as I'm sure
               | there are different breeds of pilot. The pipe and
               | slippers brigade very much embrace following strict
               | rules. In the UK, you'll frequently find them in RoSPA,
               | where they follow the System of Motorcycle Control.
               | 
               | I don't know how true to life the Top Gun cliche of
               | fighter pilot / sportsbike rider is, but anecdotally
               | riding a sportsbike is the closest experience a civilian
               | can get to a fighter plane on the ground.
               | 
               | Motorcycle racers are usually pretty exacting about the
               | mechanical state and safety of their bike, and many top
               | ranked competitive riders never ride on the road, only on
               | track. The hazards on track vs on road are almost
               | completely different.
               | 
               | Amateur stunters, weekend warriors and young squids are
               | more likely matches to the cliche I think you have in
               | mind: thrill-seekers who dabble but not particularly
               | serious about it.
        
               | slownews45 wrote:
               | I'm actually a rider (or was).
               | 
               | They don't attract reckless people. But what happens, you
               | get used to the speed, the risk, the cornering - and so
               | yes, you start going faster and faster. Problem is -
               | hitting something at 100 on a bike, even just a little
               | something on road - can be seriously game over. I stopped
               | riding (kid / wife etc).
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | redis_mlc wrote:
         | > It kind of blows my mind how hardened a typical passenger
         | cabin is to fire
         | 
         | That's far from true for the interior.
         | 
         | Things have improved over the years, but the interior is mostly
         | plastic. This became a major concern after the investigation of
         | the London ground fire where half the passengers died of smoke
         | inhalation, and the 1998 JFK Swissair accident where the
         | entertainment system wiring burned through.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swissair_Flight_111
         | 
         | In the 2013 SFO Asiana accident the interior fiercely burned,
         | for example (see pics in W):
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asiana_Airlines_Flight_214
        
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