[HN Gopher] Publication of Hiroshima in the New Yorker (1997)
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       Publication of Hiroshima in the New Yorker (1997)
        
       Author : Tomte
       Score  : 54 points
       Date   : 2021-08-30 17:58 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.herseyhiroshima.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.herseyhiroshima.com)
        
       | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
       | > Navy Admiral William F. Halsey, Third Fleet commander, was
       | quoted in the press as saying that the Japanese had been on the
       | verge of surrunder before the atom bombs were dropped in the
       | summer of 1945 and that the "atomic bomb was an unnecessary
       | experiment..."
       | 
       | I suspect that the nuclear bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki
       | were as much to impress Stalin as for any other purpose.
       | 
       | At the time of the bombings, there were literally millions of
       | battle-hardened Soviet troops in Eastern Europe. They were also
       | commanded by very able generals (see Zhukov).
       | 
       | If Stalin wanted them to, they could have easily rolled west, and
       | the American and British armies would have been no match for the
       | Soviet Red Army.
       | 
       | However, the USA had the bomb. I think Hiroshima and Nagasaki
       | were at least in part about demonstrating the awesome power of
       | the atomic bomb to Stalin and forestalling any temptation he
       | might have to continue west.
        
         | jbay808 wrote:
         | When I went to high school in Canada, this analysis was more or
         | less the standard treatment of the subject. I'm surprised
         | you're getting downvoted.
        
         | mezentius wrote:
         | The history does not credibly support this analysis. For Halsey
         | to say that the Japanese were on "the verge of surrender" is
         | somewhat misleading; while the Japanese may have been willing
         | to seek a negotiated end to the conflict, they were certainly
         | not willing to surrender _unconditionally_ , and in fact were
         | throwing away an appalling number of lives in India, New
         | Guinea, and islands all across the Pacific to prove this. An
         | unconditional surrender was seen as necessary because the
         | Western Allies believed that they needed a free hand in the
         | postwar period to drastically restructure the political systems
         | of the Axis countries and prevent future militarism. If you
         | look at the example of the interwar period (in which negotiated
         | truces had repeatedly failed in the face of determined
         | militarism) and then note the result of the postwar period for
         | both the Japanese and German economies, it would be very hard
         | to argue that the Allies were wrong.
        
           | mcguire wrote:
           | The conditions the Japanese Supreme War Council (made up of
           | the Prime Minister, the Foreign Minister, the Minister of
           | War, the Minister of the Navy, and the Chiefs of the Army and
           | Navy General Staffs; the only higher authority was the
           | Emperor) _were_ willing to accept were:
           | 
           | 1. The Emperor continued unmolested as the head of state,
           | 
           | 2. Japan was responsible for its own disarmament,
           | 
           | 3. There would be no occupation, and
           | 
           | 4. Japan would conduct its own war crime trials.
        
         | mitjak wrote:
         | why did you get downvoted? it seems a plausible theory that's
         | at least worth discussing / is a reasonable contribution to
         | this thread.
        
           | Matticus_Rex wrote:
           | There are very few defensible historical positions that seem
           | to rile up unreasonable criticism more than saying the use of
           | atomic weapons on Japan might not have been justified,
           | usually in the form of uneducated meme responses such as
           | "they would never have surrendered" and "it's easy to say
           | that now."
           | 
           | Given that we have evidence that many of those who _were_
           | there at the time disagreed with the decision and that Japan
           | had already been trying to work towards peace through back-
           | channels, these responses seem to point to a deep need to
           | feel like the United States didn 't unjustifiably kill over
           | 100k civilians.
           | 
           | There is little question that the bombings were a better
           | strategic choice than Operation Downfall, which would likely
           | have killed more on both sides, but to paint this as the only
           | alternative is a false dilemma. There is even debate among
           | (prominent, non-revisionist) historians and political
           | scientists as to whether the bombings were the primary reason
           | for the surrender -- contemporary letters from within Japan
           | indicate that the Soviet invasion of Manchuria may have
           | actually been the primary factor (though the bombings
           | certainly played some part, and were a larger factor in
           | arguments made by some particular officials).
        
           | diogenescynic wrote:
           | Because anyone who knows the actual history, knows that's
           | bullshit and OP could have just looked up the facts instead
           | of making up something.
           | 
           | Japan was going to fight to the last man/woman/child. They
           | were going to have seniors and children fight with sticks.
           | The Pacific theater was already one of the bloodiest battle
           | fronts in the war and the US was battle weary and didn't want
           | to expend another 500,000 Americans to invade Japan. They
           | dropped nukes to avoid another extended and unbelievably
           | bloody conflict.
           | 
           | Go listen to the Hardcore History podcasts "Supernova in the
           | East" and it'll make it much more clear.
        
             | engineer_22 wrote:
             | I don't think it's bullshit. I think Navy Admiral William
             | F. Halsey _did_ say those things.
             | 
             | "The first atomic bomb was an unnecessary experiment. . . .
             | It was a mistake to ever drop it. . . . [the scientists]
             | had this toy and they wanted to try it out, so they dropped
             | it. . . . It killed a lot of Japs, but the Japs had put out
             | a lot of peace feelers through Russia long before."[1]
             | 
             | Those are the facts... GP made nothing up.
             | 
             | OTOH - the Cold War should be ample evidence of the West's
             | distrust of Stalin and USSR generally. I think it's
             | entirely plausible the motivation to drop the bomb
             | _included_ Soviet deterrence.
             | 
             | [1] http://www.doug-long.com/ga1.htm
        
               | mezentius wrote:
               | I made a post about this above, but the difference
               | between a negotiated peace and an unconditional surrender
               | is rather crucial. The Japanese were willing to seek the
               | former but found the latter politically unacceptable
               | until sufficient pressure was applied.
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | > [the scientists] had this toy and they wanted to try it
               | out,
               | 
               | He may have said that, but after reading books on
               | Oppenheimer and other scientists at the Manhatten
               | Project, I don't believe it is accurate
        
               | diogenescynic wrote:
               | The quote exists but doesn't mean it's correct.
        
             | beepbooptheory wrote:
             | you are right, I am convinced, this was obviously the best
             | action the Americans could have done. Why is it so hard for
             | people to get that?
        
               | Matticus_Rex wrote:
               | If some of the key figures involved can disagree with
               | that assessment, why can't others?
        
               | dghlsakjg wrote:
               | Because there is a lot of evidence that it wasn't the
               | case and that we knew it wasn't the case.
               | 
               | The most damning evidence against it being necessary is
               | that the Japanese were actively trying to get the Soviets
               | to help them negotiate peace in the weeks leading up to
               | the bombing. The soviets played them, and didn't carry
               | the message since they were secretly in the process of
               | staging an invasion against Japan in Manchuria, an event
               | that the Japanese knew would be fatal to their war. It's
               | worth noting that Hirohito did not order the surrender of
               | Japan after hearing of Hiroshima, but after hearing of
               | the Soviet declaration of war and invasion of Manchuria,
               | which happened a few hours before Nagasaki.
               | 
               | Much of the reluctance to surrender was around
               | guaranteeing that Hirohito could remain. A concession
               | that we granted in the end.
               | 
               | Also keep in mind that the nuclear attacks weren't even
               | the most destructive aerial attacks that the US
               | possessed. The firebombing of Tokyo did more damage to a
               | wider area and killed more people. In fact, Hiroshima was
               | the 6th most destructive bombing raid as far as land area
               | destroyed goes. American forces wiped dozens of cities
               | off the map using conventional attacks before Hiroshima.
               | 
               | Before August 6 the Japanese politicians were more than
               | aware that the war was lost, and that surrender was
               | necessary. There is a lot of the historical record that
               | shows this.
               | 
               | There is also a lot of records that the bombing was as
               | much a demonstration of power to Stalin as anything else.
               | 
               | Many of the justifications that we see know don't appear
               | in the written record until after 1945. You are welcome
               | to do the research.
               | 
               | Most serious historians of the time acknowledge that the
               | bombings might have shortened the war, but the effect was
               | minimal. On the order of a few days or weeks at best.
               | 
               | Most of this is not disputed fact. The interpretation is
               | certainly debatable, but we hide the complexity of the
               | situation by perpetuating the story that it was either
               | nuclear bombings or an invasion that would have killed
               | millions.
               | 
               | More info with citations:
               | https://www.thenation.com/article/world/why-the-us-
               | really-bo...
        
               | mcguire wrote:
               | https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB162/52.pdf
        
               | diogenescynic wrote:
               | This is conspiracy theory nonsense.
        
               | misiti3780 wrote:
               | I suspect (as some have indicated), this is a very
               | centric version of the history, but that does not mean it
               | is incorrect.
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | > Japan was going to fight to the last man/woman/child.
             | 
             | This is not history, this is a hypothetical.
             | 
             | > They were going to have seniors and children fight with
             | sticks.
             | 
             | I suspect this would have been ineffective.
        
               | jp57 wrote:
               | It's not an implausible hypothesis that an invasion of
               | Japan would have been a larger, and proportionally
               | bloodier, version of the takings of Iwo Jima and Okinawa,
               | two very bloody battles.
        
               | Matticus_Rex wrote:
               | Right, but at no point were those the only options (even
               | according to key military figures).
        
               | misiti3780 wrote:
               | The Japanese were not known for surrendering. There were
               | mass suicides because they refused to be taken alive:
               | 
               | https://www.atomicheritage.org/history/japanese-mass-
               | suicide...
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | It's not ineffective in all situations. A single soldier,
               | isolated from his group, fighting 10 seniors or children
               | simultaneously, is not going to do well. Plenty of people
               | are killed in the Middle-East from rock throwing.
        
               | kragen wrote:
               | The firebombs the Japanese flew across the Pacific,
               | setting fires in the Pacific Northwest of the US, were
               | largely built by children.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fu-Go_balloon_bomb
        
           | mcguire wrote:
           | The problem is that there exist first-hand and second-hand
           | (i.e. MAGIC intercepts) primary sources for decisions from
           | both sides in the summer of 1945
           | (https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB162/) and they don't
           | really support the theory. (It's possible you could find some
           | reasoning to support the "impress the Soviets" part, but to
           | make that the primary motive would be to ignore the
           | majority.)
           | 
           | Also, keep in mind that Halsey had a bit of a problem with
           | Nimitz and much of the Navy, particularly over the matter of
           | two typhoons and Leyte Gulf, so he may not be entirely
           | unbiased.
        
         | FridayoLeary wrote:
         | I'm not sure why you getting downvoted. The first one was
         | little short of a war crime from what i can see. Blow up a
         | mountain maybe, to demonstrate the unlimited power of the
         | a-bomb, but why drop it on a populated city? But even if the
         | first one can be justified (we only had 2 bombs and they were
         | fanatical etc.) why the second bomb? At least give them a bit
         | more time to think.
         | 
         | I think maybe this subject gets taught differently in America
         | to the rest of the world.
        
         | drocer88 wrote:
         | "the American and British armies would have been no match for
         | the Soviet Red Army".
         | 
         | U.S. , Britain, Canada and France had millions of battle
         | hardened troops, too ... and air and sea supremacy.
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | I see people touting the amazing prowess of the American and
           | British armies in WWII a lot, and I have to wonder if those
           | people are mystified about how Stalin ended up with half of
           | Europe. How do they fit it into their worldview?
           | 
           | About a third of the total casualties of World War II were in
           | Operation Barbarossa, 25 million out of 75 million, about 14%
           | of the Soviet population, mostly within a few months in
           | 01941. The battle hardened troops of the US and even France
           | could mostly go back home to their families, barring Jody;
           | the Soviet troops had, in many cases, had their families
           | killed or starved to death by the Germans. And, when it came
           | to land combat, the Soviets were enormously outproducing not
           | only Germany, though not the US; in 01944, the last full year
           | of war, they produced some 17000 tanks, and nearly 20000 in
           | 01943. (The US numbers were 37000 in 01944 and 27000 in
           | 01943.)
           | 
           | However, Russian tanks had a significant advantage over US
           | tanks for combat in Europe: they were in Europe. And so were
           | the farms that fed their crews.
           | 
           | So, I'm not sure if they "would have been no match for the
           | Soviet Red Army", but I'm sure glad they didn't have to find
           | out.
        
             | cmrdporcupine wrote:
             | Not only this, but a significant number of the resistance
             | movements against the Nazi occupation or Fascist governance
             | in France, Italy, etc were organized by Communists or
             | sympathetic to them. The Communist Parties maintained
             | popularity for decades after WWII partially as a result of
             | the role they played in resisting the Nazis, organizing
             | resistance, etc.
             | 
             | Remember that the rest of western Europe and North America
             | stood by and let Franco overrun Spain while the communist
             | movement (small c and big-C) actively tried to fight him.
             | 
             | So there were in fact forces on the ground in many parts of
             | Europe that would not have seen potential Red Army invasion
             | forces as the same kind of invasion force as the Germans.
             | At least for a period of time.
        
               | drocer88 wrote:
               | "while the communist movement actively tried to fight".
               | 
               | They also allied with them : https://en.wikipedia.org/wik
               | i/Molotov%E2%80%93Ribbentrop_Pac...
               | 
               | Remember this stuff also : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
               | History_of_the_French_Communis...
        
               | cmrdporcupine wrote:
               | The history is complicated. The Ribbentrop pact was
               | within the Communist parties seen as necessary to bide
               | time, since the USSR _knew_ the Germany was going to
               | invade them. But I would agree, it 's inexcusable in
               | retrospect.
               | 
               | I am not an apologist for Stalinism, I am not saying any
               | of this was a good thing. I am mostly accused of being a
               | Trotskyist, or whatever.
               | 
               | But the role of the Communist movement in resisting
               | Nazism in Europe is something not widely understood in
               | the Anglo-American sphere. To the point where some on the
               | right in the US have now started to conflate the two.
               | Which is... nonsense.
               | 
               | Anglo-American post-war triumphalism is/was ridiculous.
               | My father grew up in the rubble of the end of the war.
               | There were no winners, it was tragedy all around.
        
               | kragen wrote:
               | Yes, but the actual alliance was in a secret codicil to
               | the pact; the public face of the pact was just a truce
               | between enemies. Both Hitler and Mussolini came to power
               | largely on the strength of their opposition to Communism,
               | which is why even a pact of neutrality was so scandalous
               | to French Communists.
        
               | kragen wrote:
               | Yes, this is a good point: the Nazis got much of their
               | public support from being opposed to socialism, and so
               | the European resistance was largely run by Communists.
               | People in the US mostly don't know this and tend to
               | respond by shooting the messenger, which I guess is why
               | your comment is downvoted like a dirty spammer.
        
             | drocer88 wrote:
             | "Russian tanks had a significant advantage over US tanks".
             | This is much debated by WWII historians. When the U.S.
             | tanks finally did square off against the Soviet tanks, U.S.
             | tanks won : https://www.quora.com/How-did-the-Sherman-tank-
             | compare-to-th... . U.S. reliability and logistics made up
             | for any discrepancies in the specifications.
        
               | kragen wrote:
               | I'm not sure who you're quoting when you say, "Russian
               | tanks had a significant advantage over US tanks," but I
               | don't have any reason to think your quote is true. In
               | case you intend that as a paraphrase of what I was
               | saying, let me correct that misreading. I was making no
               | claims about the relative _quality_ of the tanks; by all
               | reports, Soviet tanks were vastly inferior to German
               | tanks as well.
               | 
               | Rather, my primary tank-related claim was that the USSR
               | was producing enormous _quantities_ of war materiel, as
               | exemplified by tanks; in 01943 they outproduced Germany
               | almost 2:1 in quantity of tanks, and even in 01944 when
               | Germany was catching up, they still outproduced them. The
               | quality of that materiel was merely adequate, but it
               | still would have represented a very significant military
               | threat to the US 's position in Europe, as it had to
               | Germany's.
               | 
               | My second claim was that the USSR was in a better
               | logistical situation with respect to Europe than the US
               | was. I don't think that's controversial, since Moscow is
               | _in_ Europe, and so was most Soviet farmland and much
               | Soviet arms production.
        
               | drocer88 wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_production_during_
               | Wor...
               | 
               | U.S. + British + France GDP was 7 times bigger than
               | Russia at end of the war. Western allied air supremacy (
               | including a nuclear monopoly ) would have obliterated
               | Soviet logistics.
               | 
               | The West had the upper hand and Stalin knew it.
        
             | jbay808 wrote:
             | I think the wide availability of US and British war
             | stories, tales, and legends, relative to those of other
             | countries, is probably due to them being in English. I'm
             | sure every side has their stories of cunning tricks they
             | pulled, daring midnight raids, undercover operations,
             | ingenious hardware, extreme training, victory against all
             | odds, and everything else. But we hear our stories from our
             | grandparents, books, and the English internet. It's less
             | common to look across to the other sides and learn about
             | how they saw things.
             | 
             | That's one of the reasons this article is very important.
        
           | Someone wrote:
           | Not having sea supremacy would mean the overseas countries
           | wouldn't stand a chance preventing the USSR from taking over
           | Western Europe, but I don't see how having it counts for much
           | as a defense against a soviet occupation of Europe.
           | 
           | I also think, but can't find hard numbers, that the USSR had
           | more soldiers than the other allies combined (some
           | strategists thought the allies would need the remains of the
           | German army to help fight the Russians, if it were to come to
           | that)
           | 
           | What they may not have had enough was technology. The USA
           | provide them with lots of material
           | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lend-Lease)
           | 
           | I think there is some truth in saying World War Two in Europe
           | was won with American materiel and Russian blood.
           | 
           | That could have been their weak point. The western powers
           | might have been able to hold of the larger USSR army by
           | gaining air superiority. I'm not sure of that, though, as the
           | time the USSR really needed US tech to survive was gone in
           | 1945.
        
         | trzy wrote:
         | More importantly than their presence in Eastern Europe, said
         | battle-hardened troops had advanced into Manchuria and Korea.
         | History would have looked quite different indeed if they had
         | proceeded to invade Japan.
        
           | thrwway34 wrote:
           | They had no experience in successful landing assault
           | operations.
           | 
           | And besides, all big cities in Manchuria and Korea were
           | captured only after Japanese surrender.
        
           | drocer88 wrote:
           | Reds did invade northern Japanese islands and still occupy
           | them today.
           | 
           | Yalta agreement carved out areas south of this for the U.S.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | logshipper wrote:
       | More recently, the New Yorker published "The Plague Year" [1] in
       | Jan 2021. IIRC, this was the first time since the Hiroshima issue
       | that they dedicated almost the entire magazine to a single
       | article. I quite liked it, and it was even on the HN front page
       | [2].
       | 
       | [1] https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/01/04/the-plague-
       | yea... [2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25616014
        
         | misiti3780 wrote:
         | he turned that into a book also:
         | 
         | https://www.amazon.com/Plague-Year-America-Time-Covid-ebook/...
        
       | addingnumbers wrote:
       | I don't think they linked to the article they are analyzing, so
       | here it is:
       | 
       | https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/1946/08/31/hiroshima
        
         | dan-robertson wrote:
         | (And a follow up about 40 years later:
         | https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/1985/07/15/hiroshima-the-...
         | )
        
           | gxqoz wrote:
           | And a small update from last week on how they discovered some
           | rare "white band" copies of the original magazine at a high
           | school named for Hersey:
           | https://www.newyorker.com/books/double-take/a-rare-
           | discovery...
           | 
           | "The white band had originally been added as a bit of an
           | afterthought. The editors knew that Hersey's report was
           | shocking, and they quickly realized that the cover they'd
           | chosen for the issue--a vibrant, bucolic scene of children
           | and families frolicking in a park--might not give readers
           | enough warning about the devastating nature of its contents.
           | (New Yorker covers rarely have a connection with the contents
           | of an issue, but, in this particular case, the dissonance was
           | marked.) "My God, how would a guy feel, buying the magazine
           | intending to sit in a barber's chair and read it!" one editor
           | was said to have thought, during a meeting at the time. So
           | the white band was hastily added to about forty thousand
           | newsstand copies in New York. (It was not included in the
           | national run.) Very few copies of the edition with the
           | original band exist today, which is why, as Blume noted, it's
           | considered one of the "white whales" of the antiquarian-
           | magazine world."
        
         | kragen wrote:
         | To be fair, I don't think that link existed when Steve wrote
         | this 24 years ago; the New Yorker set up a web site in November
         | 01998, and the WABAC machine's first snapshots of that link are
         | from 02014:
         | https://web.archive.org/web/20140723205106/http://www.newyor...
         | 
         | Steve's a good person; I'm sure he would have linked to the
         | article he was citing if he could.
        
           | addingnumbers wrote:
           | No judgement, I mentioned I didn't spot a link to
           | preemptively excuse myself in case it was redundant
        
       | grillvogel wrote:
       | There's a guy named Joseph Grew, a former US ambassador to japan
       | before WW2 who tried to stop the bombings. Basically he put forth
       | the argument that Japan would be willing to surrender as long as
       | the emperor could keep his title/powers/etc. Truman removed this
       | provision at the last minute, and surprise the surrender was not
       | accepted. In the end we proceeded to use the nukes, and then let
       | the emperor keep his title anyway.
       | 
       | It's interesting that I never heard of him until watching a
       | documentary about this while in Japan.
        
       | Hokusai wrote:
       | I read the Bantam books version of Hiroshima before traveling to
       | Japan and visiting the city. It gives one perspective on what
       | happened there and the reality of the atomic bomb.
        
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