[HN Gopher] Anti-Intellectualism, Populism, and Motivated Resist...
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       Anti-Intellectualism, Populism, and Motivated Resistance to Expert
       Consensus
        
       Author : gHeadphone
       Score  : 33 points
       Date   : 2021-08-13 10:10 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (academic.oup.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (academic.oup.com)
        
       | belter wrote:
       | Contrarian data point:
       | 
       | "The most vaccine-hesitant group of all? PhDs"
       | 
       | https://unherd.com/thepost/the-most-vaccine-hesitant-educati...
        
         | neuronexmachina wrote:
         | Considering the linked study covers January-May 2021, it's too
         | bad they don't have a breakdown of the reasons for not getting
         | vaccinated vs. education. The vaccine was still in short supply
         | in the US for a number of those months, and I could see a lot
         | of educated people choosing the "Other people need it more"
         | option, with the intent of getting vaccinated when the shortage
         | wasn't as severe.
        
         | treesprite82 wrote:
         | Based on a Facebook survey where people self-selected their
         | education level, in which a significantly larger proportion of
         | respondents claimed to have a PhD than would be expected
         | (compared to a random sample of the US).
         | 
         | Still an interesting data point which could be worth following
         | up on with a more rigorous study, but easy to see the potential
         | for skewed results.
        
       | bell-cot wrote:
       | "Don't be buffaloed by experts and elites. Experts often possess
       | more data than judgment. Elites can become so inbred that they
       | produce hemophiliacs who bleed to death as soon as they are
       | nicked by the real world." -Colin Powell
       | 
       | Note that Powell was a real-world leader of an extremely large
       | organization, which pretty much delivered extremely difficult and
       | complex real-world results (victory in Operation Desert Storm) on
       | time and within budget. (Yes, I know about his role in
       | whitewashing My Lai. And later moral failures. Not. The. Point.)
       | 
       | Also - how much are anti-intellectualism and anti-elitism
       | grounded in repeated experiences by groups of "ordinary people"
       | with intellectuals and elites who are oblivious (at best) to the
       | concerns and problems of ordinary people? If not busy using their
       | intellectual and elite status to justify or excuse treating
       | ordinary people like crap, for their (intellectuals and elites)
       | own benefit? Marie Antoinette probably never said "Let them eat
       | cake" - but that phrase and the surrounding French history sum up
       | very well how things often work out, given human nature, when
       | society contains self-absorbed elites.
        
       | HNisBaizuo wrote:
       | Corrupt academics frame challenges against them as anti-
       | intellectual.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | ergot_vacation wrote:
       | When you lie to people repeatedly, they stop trusting you. If you
       | think they should continue to trust you because you're an
       | "expert," despite your proven track-record of dishonesty, that
       | says more about you than them. None of this is complicated or
       | confusing. None of this needs a sophisticated academic
       | examination to plumb its impenetrable atavistic depths. It's
       | obvious on the face of it.
       | 
       | If people fail to understand something so simple, it can only be
       | due to cognitive dissonance caused by a refusal to acknowledge
       | their own moral and ethical bankruptcy. You cannot go around
       | murdering people day and night and then stand, drenched in their
       | blood, and complain that no one RESPECTS you anymore.
       | 
       | And lest anyone think this is hyperbolic, remember that lies have
       | consequences, and when "experts" in power lie, those consequences
       | are often injury and death.
        
       | dotcommand wrote:
       | "Expert consensus". From institutions that demand ideological
       | conformity.
       | 
       | "Scholars have maintained that public attitudes often diverge
       | from expert consensus due to ideology-driven motivated
       | reasoning."
       | 
       | Or maybe it's the "scholars" ideology-driven motivated reasoning
       | that's the problem?
       | 
       | The title should be extremist authoritarians upset people see
       | through their bullshit.
        
         | neuronexmachina wrote:
         | Do you have examples of what you're describing when it comes to
         | the areas the study looked at?
         | 
         | > I provide evidence of a strong association between anti-
         | intellectualism and opposition to scientific positions on
         | climate change, nuclear power, GMOs, and water fluoridation ...
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | OrvalWintermute wrote:
       | This reads like a how-to on logical fallacies such as
       | Appeal/Arguments of Authority, False Authority, Popularity,
       | Normality, Common Belief, and Accomplishment.
       | 
       | Being skeptical is good science, as science is a process/method,
       | not a dogmatic religion.
        
         | bitwize wrote:
         | You know what else is good science? Staying in your lane, and
         | placing more faith in subject-matter experts' ability to do
         | their jobs than in your ability to gainsay their work.
        
           | OrvalWintermute wrote:
           | When Galileo saw that Copernican Heliocentrism better
           | explained the observations he made with his telescopes that
           | existing theory of Aristotelian geocentrism, he did not then
           | shutup about it despite facing a litany of criticism from the
           | State & the Church, and finally, the Inquisition. He was more
           | correct, and they were not.
           | 
           | Good science is critical science.
        
             | bitwize wrote:
             | True, but not everybody is Galileo and not everybody's
             | opponent is a dogmatic and powerful church. Just like it's
             | probably not a compiler bug, an oil geologist's difference
             | of opinion with a climatologist on whether and how the
             | planet is heating up is probably not due to a fault in the
             | climatologist's data or analysis.
        
               | OrvalWintermute wrote:
               | Opponent is a strong word; competitor perhaps instead?
               | 
               | It just could be siting problems with an observing
               | system, or two, instead, in my personal experience.
        
               | Banyonite wrote:
               | Yet it is axiomatic that there exist powerful groups of
               | entrenched scientists that do oppose challenges to dogma
               | without any semblance of due diligence. While many
               | examples exist, two immediately come to mind- a
               | researcher, Jim Allison, at my own institution who
               | recently won a Nobel after decades of having the core
               | tenets of his research marginalized.
               | 
               | "When I first came to Berkeley in the 1990s, for example,
               | they were in the midst of trying to redefine modern
               | biology, and certain very powerful people there did not
               | even want there to be a department of immunology. They
               | felt that immunology was not a real discipline because it
               | didn't deal with the static, fundamental processes of
               | biology that apply to everything."
               | 
               | https://www.quantamagazine.org/nobel-laureate-james-p-
               | alliso...
               | 
               | Those "very powerful people" were, in point of fact,
               | scientists.
               | 
               | Barry Marshall faced years of ridicule for working to
               | validate the hypothesis that many, if not most, cases of
               | idiopathic gastric inflamation and lesions were a direct
               | result of H. Pylori infection. Again, the hostililty from
               | the entrenched scientific community was well-documented.
               | He eventually won a Nobel as well.
               | 
               | Many factors other than "science" have played a role in
               | the spirited defense of dogma by experts. Researchers are
               | as susceptible to all types of bias, logical fallacies,
               | desire for power and money, etc. as anyone else.
               | 
               | This clearly isn't always the case, but often enough that
               | the moment someone says "...because I'm an expert
               | therefore I say this is so." without supporting evidence
               | that may be examined -and- debated, the veracity of their
               | statement and motive in making it are suspect.
        
       | Mikeb85 wrote:
       | Maybe they should stop shilling out their credentials to special
       | interest groups and do something to actually earn trust?
       | 
       | Many academics basically just say 'trust me bro', then work for
       | various think-tanks and industry groups. It's no wonder they've
       | lost trust.
        
       | h2odragon wrote:
       | "People who disagree with us are stupid, ignorant, or at least
       | misled"
        
       | ecshafer wrote:
       | The idea that populism and a lack of trust is bad is interesting,
       | since it is mostly people in the "elite circle" that hold that it
       | is bad, or those that wish they were. They don't seem to
       | entertain the idea that maybe their expertise is not as strong as
       | they believe. Many people seem to discount ideas that seem
       | "bought and paid" for by an outside organization for example,
       | which is reasonable. If an X studies person is an expert, but I
       | don't believe they have the rigor to actually be an expert, why
       | is it wrong to discount their views?
        
         | OrvalWintermute wrote:
         | I find it fascinating that science is not performed in a
         | vacuum, it requires the vast breadth of expertise in scientific
         | disciplines, physics, math, and statistics, supported by IT &
         | Engineering.
         | 
         | Yet, it those dreaded statistics Pros most often finding flaws
         | in my limited, anecdotal experience
         | 
         | I think it is important to think about the different way in
         | which we humans can look at the same data and draw dramatically
         | different conclusions. Although I have views, I like to read
         | contrary opinions for the sake of balance and synthesis.
         | Believe this is different from "bought & paid for" external
         | opinions, although, most organizations need income. So a think-
         | tank, an FFRDC, or Academia are likely equally willing to study
         | a topic and analyze it for funding. Provided you are not
         | dictating conclusions I don't see an issue with it though.
        
       | naivedevops wrote:
       | Well, populists can also be pro-intellectualism when the
       | scientific consensus benefits their agenda.
       | 
       | For example, here in Brazil the president Bolsonaro started to
       | promote a migration of the current DRE voting system to a system
       | with a physical audit trail (such as VVPAT).
       | 
       | The result was pure chaos. He and his followers started to mix up
       | legit stuff such as the ACM statement on voting systems and
       | articles written by world renowned researchers with conspiracy
       | theories claiming fraud by "the communists" in past elections.
       | 
       | Meanwhile, almost all newspapers (with the exception of one or
       | two) started to bash the scientific consensus as if it was
       | bullshit just to argue against the conspiracists.
       | 
       | A horror show which is still going on.
        
       | avmich wrote:
       | > Third, evidence shows anti-intellectualism is connected to
       | populism, a worldview that sees political conflict as primarily
       | between ordinary citizens and a privileged societal elite.
       | 
       | Sounds like a strange definition of populism. The presence of the
       | political conflict brings attention to it, and the best model of
       | the conflict so far includes tension between ordinaries and
       | elites. Even experts don't propose a better picture, so this
       | worldview is rational.
        
         | petermcneeley wrote:
         | Also isnt Marxism (as in the Communist Manifesto) about the
         | elite vs commoners but in an economic framework.
        
           | OrvalWintermute wrote:
           | Marxism is bourgeoisie and proletariat
           | 
           | However, his writing is much more about Optimates and
           | Populares as factions of the Roman politicals
        
       | rayiner wrote:
       | > Third, evidence shows anti-intellectualism is connected to
       | populism, a worldview that sees political conflict as primarily
       | between ordinary citizens and a privileged societal elite.
       | Exposure to randomly assigned populist rhetoric, even that which
       | does not pertain to experts directly, primes anti-intellectual
       | predispositions among respondents in the processing of expert
       | consensus cues.
       | 
       | The formulation of "populism" here reveals something critical.
       | Populism has always existed ever since there has been an elite.
       | What's new, in the U.S., is that scientific institutions are
       | perceived as being part of that "privileged societal elite."
       | 
       | It's obvious why this is happening: governance is becoming more
       | technocratic. Before, policies were justified by reference to
       | values or power struggles. Increasingly, they're being justified
       | by reference to "experts" and "science." There is more and more
       | of a sentiment that scientists aren't just doing science, they're
       | playing a key role in elite governance of the masses.
       | 
       | Ultimately, this is bad for science and scientific institutions,
       | and it's in the interest of scientists and experts to fight these
       | trends. Too often, experts allow politicians to hide behind them
       | to avoid making political decisions, or allow political decisions
       | to be framed as scientific ones.
       | 
       | A scientist can, e.g., explain how a mask mandate will affect
       | propagation of a disease. But it must be a politician that
       | synthesizes that information with other information, weighs the
       | political considerations, and decides to impose mask mandates.
       | When a Governor says "I'm imposing a mask mandate because that's
       | what the scientists say" they're actually throwing scientists
       | under a bus. They're being made accountable in the public eye for
       | a judgment call that's not really their's to make, and collateral
       | consequences they have no control over. E.g. if the cops are
       | abusive in enforcing the mandate, backlash will flow back to the
       | scientists because they've been made the figurehead of the whole
       | endeavor.
       | 
       | It doesn't help that the banner of "science" is being applied to
       | social studies that have nothing to do with science. But those
       | social studies theories are being invoked as if they had the
       | credibility of science, in the context of debates that are
       | fundamentally political in nature.
        
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       (page generated 2021-08-13 23:02 UTC)