[HN Gopher] Does Oil Come from Dinosaurs?
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Does Oil Come from Dinosaurs?
        
       Author : azizsaya
       Score  : 154 points
       Date   : 2021-08-08 08:19 UTC (14 hours ago)
        
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       | projektfu wrote:
       | I always thought the term fossil fuel came from Latin fossa, or
       | ditch, trench. Coal being an exemplar.
       | 
       | This probably ended up with its cognate fossil, an item, usually
       | of historical value, dug up from a ditch. Since dinosaurs are
       | represented by fossils, people put the two together.
        
       | chrisco255 wrote:
       | Oil came mostly from plant matter, buried in the time of
       | dinosaurs and prior and subjected to time and pressure. The
       | biomass of plants exceeds the biomass of animals by as much as
       | two orders of magnitude.
        
         | jonsen wrote:
         | "But if fossil fuel does not come from dinosaurs, then where
         | does it come from? Plankton."
        
           | airiers wrote:
           | Plankton is technically a plant since it does photosynthesis.
        
             | thaumasiotes wrote:
             | Phytoplankton is plants. Zooplankton is animals. Plankton
             | is anything tiny that drifts in the ocean, not a single
             | miracle species.
        
               | osacial wrote:
               | No. The main difference between grouping is that
               | phytoplankton receives most of energy by
               | environment(usually Sun) without consuming other plankton
               | and zooplankton does exactly that - it consumes other
               | plankton(both phytoplankton and zooplankton).
               | 
               | Phytoplankton does not belong to Plant kingdom and
               | neither do Zooplankton to Animal kingdom. Some
               | Zooplankton are animals, which is subbranch of Eukariota
               | to which most zooplankton belongs. Some of phytoplankton,
               | like cyanobacteria are not considered to belong to plant
               | kingdom, also most of plankton are supergrouped together
               | with plants where most of them are not plants, but also
               | belong to Eukariota. TL;TR: Animals and Plants belong to
               | Eukariota, to which belong all plankton - even if most of
               | them does not belong neither to Plants nor Animals.
        
               | xyproto wrote:
               | I was hoping for single miracle species.
        
         | hfsh wrote:
         | Not even from plants, from _plankton_.
        
       | zyngaro wrote:
       | This is the most striking proof that fossil fuels are causing
       | global warming I have ever read: simple energy conservation
       | thermodynamics principal. The fossil fuels store energy from the
       | sun of ancient times. Think of them as batteries with high energy
       | density. Combustion releases that energy in form of carbon that
       | prevents a proportion from the energy coming from the sun from
       | being reflected back into space as infrared waves. Basically it's
       | like releasing the heat (the energy) from the sun of ancient
       | times and preventing it from escaping into space at the same
       | time. Basically the earth has become a pressure cooker.
        
         | sandworm101 wrote:
         | There are some regulators at play too. Higher carbon+heat leads
         | to better conditions for plant, which absorbs carbon and
         | generates swamp... Which will be pulled underground to make
         | more oil. We have overwhelmed such systems but they can correct
         | our actions if given time.
        
           | zyngaro wrote:
           | I am sure the earth will have time to adjust but not << us
           | >>. That was my understanding of the phenomenon at play. I
           | may be wrong but it don't understand the downvote. My comment
           | wasn't political.
        
           | zyngaro wrote:
           | Also higher carbon and heat seem to cause the ice caps and
           | the glaciers to melt down faster than plants can absorb the
           | excess heat. You could also say that it's a regulator but I'm
           | not sure it's good the humanity in any way.
        
             | sandworm101 wrote:
             | And more and warmer oceans provide more space for plankton
             | to eat carbon. Nature almost always a regulatory process at
             | the ready. The question is only its capacity.
        
               | zyngaro wrote:
               | Sure life will adapt or change or not. But I am not sure
               | we will. We have now reached the point where we can stop
               | using fossil fuels and dumping carbon into the
               | atmosphere.
        
         | maxerickson wrote:
         | The direct heat contribution from combustion is minuscule.
        
         | albertgoeswoof wrote:
         | That's not evidence of global warming, you'd have to prove the
         | energy released is large enough and not radiated away / stored
         | back in some other way.
         | 
         | Unfortunately global warming is real and there's plenty of
         | evidence for it. Your mechanism isn't really the issue though,
         | it's the greenhouse gases trapping new energy from the sun
         | which is the basic root cause.
        
           | zyngaro wrote:
           | Exactly what I was saying. Some of the those greenhouse gases
           | is coming from fossil fuel combustion.
        
           | el_nahual wrote:
           | Even though GP's mechanism doesn't explain global warming, it
           | _does_ explain the nigh-impossibility of developing
           | technology that can carbon-capture us out of this mess.
           | 
           | Biomass is basically solar-powered carbon sequestration.
           | 
           | If each year of fossil fuel consumption corresponds to the
           | energy of 400 years of biomass, and we've been burning "too
           | many" fossil fuels for 50 years, then to get out of this mess
           | we would have to cover 50x400 = 20,000 Earth's with solar
           | panels hooked up to carbon capture machines.
           | 
           | It's way worse, if course, because photosynthesis is more
           | efficient than solar panels, and there's inefficiencies in
           | carbon capture, but you get the idea!
           | 
           | We've used up way, way, WAY too much energy making tiny
           | explosions and now we have to undo each and every one of
           | them.
        
             | throwaway09223 wrote:
             | Your example incorrectly assumes the entire solar constant
             | went toward carbon sequestration and this is obviously not
             | the case.
             | 
             | The overall energy efficiency of the natural photosynthesis
             | to sequestered carbon process is not inherently more
             | efficient than man-made alternatives. The efficiency of the
             | PV cell is just one small factor.
             | 
             | A much more accurate way to calculate sequestration
             | potentials is to measure their energy cost and multiply by
             | available energy.
        
               | el_nahual wrote:
               | It's just a Fermi estimate. Feel free to multiply/divide
               | by ten (or even 100!) in either direction. The main point
               | is that we're not going to carbon capture our way out of
               | this--at least not with anything resembling modern
               | technology.
        
               | throwaway09223 wrote:
               | But your estimate is demonstrably off by at _least_ a
               | factor of ten thousand.
               | 
               | The thrust of this paper is that it takes 90 tons of
               | ancient biomass to result in 1 gallon of gasoline. This
               | is a reduction of 30,000 to 1. This is the _opposite_ of
               | an efficient system. The vast majority of solar input and
               | related carbon captured from the atmosphere by ancient
               | plant matter is not being utilized by modern fossil fuel
               | systems.
               | 
               | The point of this paper is that the ancient
               | photosynthesis to fossil fuels process is incredibly
               | inefficient. The "400 years" isn't indicative of the
               | energy we're consuming today -- it's indicative of the
               | extremely low percentage of solar energy that ends up
               | captured inside fossil fuels.
               | 
               | We absolutely can carbon capture our way out of this.
               | Again, you can do some pretty basic math on known
               | sequestration techniques to disprove your conclusion.
        
               | philipswood wrote:
               | I'd put my money on directly modulating incoming solar
               | radiation instead
               | 
               | From the first time I saw the animations of the planned
               | Starlink fleet, I started wondering if one could use a
               | satelite fleet to manage incoming solar radiation.
               | 
               | I've commented about it a few times before.
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18474244
        
           | dTal wrote:
           | It is interesting to consider just how much excess energy it
           | would take to _directly_ upset Earth 's thermal balance. In
           | 3001: The Final Odyssey, Arthur C Clarke predicted a thermal
           | crisis caused by abundant free energy. Is it plausible?
           | 
           | Total solar insolation is in the region of 1.8x10^17 W, which
           | is some 10,000 times greater than the total energy use of
           | humanity. This is not so far out when you consider our
           | exponential energy use over the past few centuries! If growth
           | does not slow (which it must), we could expect to use that
           | much energy in about 4 more centuries.
           | 
           | But we could expect to hit problems before then. What
           | percentage of disruption to Earth's energy budget leads to
           | visible effect? Our current imbalance due to greenhouse gases
           | amounts to roughly 1 Watt per square meter, or 0.1%. At our
           | current rate of growth we'll reach that in a mere century! So
           | even if we switch entirely over to nuclear power starting
           | today, and continue along our merry way safe in the knowledge
           | that we're producing no greenhouse gases, in 100 years we'll
           | have a similar warming problem from _energy alone_.
        
             | mdale wrote:
             | True .. but if we could just shoot excessive heat off into
             | space no? Like a few city scale central heating / cooling
             | systems that radiated into space.
        
               | dTal wrote:
               | Unfortunately not. All waste heat is already radiated
               | into space, and there's no way to make it go faster. Heat
               | always flows from hot places to cold places, unless you
               | put energy in - so we can't gather all of our waste heat
               | into one place for disposal, without creating more waste
               | heat. It's the second law of thermodynamics, I'm afraid.
        
             | eloff wrote:
             | Isaac Arthur on YouTube talks about this quite a bit.
             | 
             | Given limitless cheap energy like nuclear fusion, the
             | ultimate limit on human population is not land or water but
             | the waste heat that we generate. We're very far from that
             | being an issue today, but in some dystopian future where we
             | turn earth into Coruscant, that could be a thing.
             | 
             | I hope instead we stabilize our population or move to
             | settlements in orbit. I'd like to see the land we currently
             | use for food to be rewilded in a world where we can grow
             | food in orbit and in vertical farms / artificial food
             | factories. It would be nice if future humans mostly lived
             | in cities or space habitats and the earth mostly went back
             | to nature.
        
               | jazzyjackson wrote:
               | You might be interested in the book "ethnobotany: people,
               | plants, and culture" to learn why leaving nature alone is
               | not the best option, that biodiversity and rich
               | ecosystems can come from human interference - weeding
               | plants that are taking over, spreading seeds of food and
               | medicine, intentionally building the soil - after a few
               | thousand years you end up with the Amazon rain forest. It
               | doesn't happen on its own, humans are a part of it. To
               | have this mind of leaving earth alone and even leaving it
               | behind is leaving a lot of good food on the table, I
               | wouldn't want to live among the factory farms in space.
        
               | dTal wrote:
               | I don't buy that the Amazon is meaningfully a consequence
               | of human activity. The sheer biodiversity on display is
               | not something I can imagine evolving in just a few
               | thousand years.
        
               | eloff wrote:
               | The Amazon is much older than humans in South America. I
               | don't buy this theory either.
        
               | dTal wrote:
               | I don't know if 100 years is "very far". It's not
               | implausible that someone develops a practical fusion
               | plant this decade, and at that point we're well on our
               | way. We don't even need to turn the planet into Coruscant
               | - by the maths I just spelled out, we're only a factor of
               | 10 away from noticeable warming! A bit more population
               | growth, a few lifestyle upgrades for the global south,
               | and we're there.
        
               | AngryData wrote:
               | Im skeptical that fusion will be a silver bullet for our
               | problems. While I agree that producing lots of clean
               | energy is the solution we need for many things, im not
               | sure fusion is going to scale very easy when it is
               | becomes practical for power generation. The sun is only
               | producing thermal power per volume equivalent to a pile
               | of manure, so even if we manage to increase that an order
               | of magnitude, we will need an astronomical amount of
               | plants and infrastructure to make it a primary energy
               | source. And with such scales needed, we could have
               | already done the same thing using other sources including
               | fission.
        
               | eloff wrote:
               | Yes, that's closer than I thought.
               | 
               | We may well need to deploy configurable sunshade at the
               | earth - sun Lagrange point or something similarly drastic
               | to keep the climate in a hospitable band.
        
       | aaron695 wrote:
       | Coal does, it has plant fossils and sometimes even animals -
       | 
       | https://theconversation.com/coals-formation-is-a-window-on-a...
       | 
       | "A famous site at Nyrany in the Czech Republic was discovered
       | because the director of the natural history museum there had coal
       | delivered to heat his room. Splitting the coal sometimes yielded
       | well-preserved fossils of early amphibians, so he could add
       | scientifically significant specimens to his collections without
       | leaving his office."
       | 
       | I'm surprised oil is plankton, not dinosaurs/dinosaur plants as
       | the myth goes.
        
       | pjerem wrote:
       | Ok, I'll acknowledge for a minute the hard reality that oil
       | doesn't come from dinosaurs.
       | 
       | Then I'll continue to live my life like I still believe oil comes
       | from dinosaurs.
        
       | nikkinana wrote:
       | Oil comes from the ground. Remember "peak oil" from the 1970's?
       | Google it while you can, before they remove the links.
        
       | ptr2voidStar wrote:
       | The older I get (and the more time I spend on HN), the more I
       | realise that the world is a very different place from what I (and
       | the majority of people - it seems), have been led to believe.
        
       | airiers wrote:
       | Another similar myth is that the air we breathe comes from trees.
       | 
       | 2/3 of the air we breath also comes from plankton.
       | 
       | Trees are mostly net zero in regards to oxygen. What they release
       | during their lifetime they take back when they die and decay.
        
         | bnegreve wrote:
         | If by air you mean (di)oxygen, it kinda does come from the
         | plants, but prehistoric ones rather than modern ones.
         | 
         | E.g. see [1] " _The growth of these forests removed huge
         | amounts of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, leading to a
         | surplus of oxygen._ "
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/carbonife...
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | The timescale for O2 to be stripped from the atmosphere (by
           | reaction with reduced chemicals exposed by erosion,
           | weathering, and emitted from volcanoes) is only about 10
           | million years, so the current composition of the atmosphere
           | is due to recent conditions, not ancient conditions.
           | 
           | There is an open question of why atmospheric O2 has been
           | relatively stable (varied by a factor of several) in the
           | Phanerozoic. This may just be anthropic selection: if it ever
           | fell too far, higher life would have been wiped out, and we
           | wouldn't be here. This has implications for the existence of
           | extraterrestrial intelligence: it might be that most life-
           | bearing worlds suffocate themselves before ETs can evolve.
        
             | bnegreve wrote:
             | Hum, I'd like to read more about this. I find hard to
             | believe that the current atmospheric conditions are
             | completely unrelated to the rise of oxygen attributed to
             | photosynthesis, and that they can only be explained by
             | anthropic selection (which is always a possible explanation
             | anyway).
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Oxygen has cycled many times through the crust and back
               | out again since the GOE (or even since the Neoproterozoic
               | Oxygenation Event) so I don't see why you think any sort
               | of "memory" of those ancient events would remain in the
               | system.
        
               | bnegreve wrote:
               | Ok, I'm not saying that the exact same molecules of O2
               | from the GOE were preserved until today, rather that the
               | presence of O2 in the atmosphere is related to the
               | emergence of plants and photosynthesis. This is what I
               | meant by "O2 comes from prehistoric plants".
               | 
               | For the record, the "memory" if you want to call it like
               | this, would be the (unoxidized) carbon buried underground
               | and/or segregated in the plants body.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | There is unoxidized carbon buried underground, but the
               | bulk of the Earth has vastly more reducing capacity than
               | relatively piddling amounts of buried organic carbon.
               | Fully oxidized, the Earth could consume orders of
               | magnitude more oxygen than exists in the atmosphere.
               | Simply oxidizing all the minerals in the crust down to a
               | couple of hundred meters would use all the atmosphere's
               | O2, and then there's thousands of kilometers of mantle
               | loaded with ferrous iron and sulfides, and then the iron
               | core.
        
               | bnegreve wrote:
               | I see, it's actually a bit scary. But if oxidation of
               | atmospheric O2 doesn't happen fast enough (no matter why)
               | the O2 surplus can still be explained somewhat indirectly
               | by the emergence of photosynthesis billions years ago. Or
               | maybe by something else. Anyway, I finally got your
               | point, interesting.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | The atmosphere is like a leaky boat. Oxygen leaks out
               | when rocks are eroded and weathered and when volcanoes
               | release reduced gases, and burial of photosynthesized
               | material pumps it back in. The troubling part is that
               | there's no obvious reason why these two processes have to
               | be balanced over periods much longer than the time
               | constant of the system.
        
         | tomtomtom777 wrote:
         | I think it's a bit odd to call this "net zero".
         | 
         | If there are more trees, there's more oxygen.
         | 
         | Sure, if a tree dies this is eventually reverted but it also
         | makes room for a new tree (unless humanity claims the land).
        
         | TheFreim wrote:
         | All of these myths I learned in school make me think it was an
         | even bigger waste of time than I originally though.
        
           | rabuse wrote:
           | Our public education in the U.S. is a travesty. There's
           | really no incentive to remain up-to-date on information, and
           | it seems to be getting worse.
        
             | mncharity wrote:
             | An educator suggests[1], in the context of preK science
             | education, that students have a _human right_ to make sense
             | of their world  "now". That's very not the focus of current
             | science education content. PreK-13. But what if were? What
             | might that look like?
             | 
             | Status quo is students being told the Sun is yellow, from
             | preK on through to the most common intro astronomy college
             | textbooks, with only a few of them getting an "oops, nope,
             | our bad" decades later, in astronomy graduate school
             | discussion of common misconceptions in astronomy education.
             | We've known Sun color for a century, had detailed limb
             | darkening and tint numbers for decades, and now years of
             | intensive effort on stellar atmospheres in support of
             | occultation and exoplanet work. Also years of
             | hemispherical-camera daytime-sky surveys. And science
             | education content manages to remain decoupled from all of
             | that.
             | 
             | A startup pivoted from supporting learning of English in
             | Japan, because the market there turned out to be for
             | performance on English proficiency exams, not for English
             | fluency. And a teacher remarked that it seemed the societal
             | objective was English accessibility for work, while
             | avoiding the fluency which could contaminate culture.
             | Similarly, an truly excellent briefing on biology would
             | necessarily be pervasively steeped in evolution... and thus
             | be less than entirely welcome in the US. Not that Europe or
             | Russia, or China, India, or Brasil, have incentivized its
             | creation either. It seems neither the science research nor
             | science education communities are set up to pursue it.
             | 
             | [1]
             | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=Larimore+Vision+2020
        
           | ptr2voidStar wrote:
           | This is precisely my thoughts, as I scroll through the
           | comments - jaw on the floor.
        
         | ptr2voidStar wrote:
         | Has anyone bothered to point this out to tree huggers out
         | there?
         | 
         | Some citations on this would be very powerful antidote to the
         | misinformation out there.
         | 
         | I'm speechless
        
       | jameshart wrote:
       | Is this actually a widespread belief held by adults? I think the
       | first time I came across it expressed was in Airplane II - "Well,
       | let's see: First, the Earth cooled. And then the dinosaurs came,
       | but they got too big and fat, so they all died and they turned
       | into oil." - where, like, the naivete of the statement is the
       | joke, right?
       | 
       | So then when Pixar movies have an oil company called 'Dinoco' in
       | them, I'd always assumed that's as part of that same kind of
       | knowing 'obviously only a child believes oil comes from
       | dinosaurs' reference.
       | 
       | The idea that oil could be made from dinosaurs is just.. on its
       | face, it's not plausible, right? It can't be something people are
       | actually taught. Please.
        
         | pharrington wrote:
         | I know I thought oil was decomposed+compressed dinosaur, though
         | I have no idea where that belief came from. Memes are powerful.
        
           | a3n wrote:
           | I've always thought oil came from dinosaurs, and had no idea
           | about the plankton connection until this article.
           | 
           | In other words, I woke up this morning "knowing" that oil
           | came from dinosaurs, and I will go to bed tonight knowing it
           | came from plankton.
           | 
           | I'm 63.
        
             | mark-r wrote:
             | If you ever come to doubt the power of advertising, just
             | remember Sinclair.
        
               | Razengan wrote:
               | Best computer ever.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | jrace wrote:
         | I think it is less about the myth being taught, and more about
         | the truth not being taught.
         | 
         | I know I assumed Fossil Fuel = meant the fuel came from
         | fossils, and the first thing that comes to mind when I hear
         | "fossils" is dinosaurs.
         | 
         | I just never thought to look further than that.
        
           | seoaeu wrote:
           | I mean, even the simplified answer of coal coming from
           | ancient plant matter and oil from ancient animal matter
           | doesn't do much to dispel the myth.
        
           | jameshart wrote:
           | I wonder if this is it - kids making logical inferences to
           | connect ideas in school, and not being given quite enough
           | information to realize there's a gap there. And then they
           | think that that's 'what they were taught', even if no teacher
           | or textbook ever actually joined those dots up.
           | 
           | Similarly, I think a lot of people think dinosaur fossils are
           | all dinosaurs who died when they went extinct, because if
           | fossils are dead dinosaurs, and dinosaurs are famous for
           | dying out, those must be connected, right?
           | 
           | Whereas of course dinosaurs had actually been dying (and
           | starting on their way to being fossils) for millions of years
           | before the extinction event which... actually _stopped_ them
           | from dying any more.
        
         | pinkmuffinere wrote:
         | I hadn't given it much thought before, but when I saw the title
         | on hacker news I clicked on it in order to learn what the
         | answer was, haha. I'm generally good at math / physics /
         | engineering, but much worse at chem / bio / wherever-you-learn-
         | about-oil (i guess geology?). All this to say that I bet there
         | are many adults who "believe" it, but maybe they just haven't
         | thought much about oil.
         | 
         | I think your message was truly sincere surprise and I didn't
         | find it rude, but it reminds me a bit of this article which
         | I've found very useful in my personal life:
         | https://jvns.ca/blog/2017/04/27/no-feigning-surprise/
        
         | globular-toast wrote:
         | I'm wondering the same thing. I find it incredible that anyone
         | thinks this, but I've never actually asked an adult (or child
         | for that matter) where they think oil comes from. I might ask
         | the girlfriend tomorrow.
        
         | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
         | Sinclair oil has a dinosaur logo.
        
           | jameshart wrote:
           | Is Sinclair oil a famous brand? Where I grew up there was a
           | lot of Shell oil petrol stations but I never got the
           | impression oil came from crustaceans.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | jeandejean wrote:
       | Definitely a myth in English speaking countries, that's the first
       | time I read that :-o
        
       | rishikeshs wrote:
       | Wow! I never knew this
        
       | vfclists wrote:
       | I believe some of the outer planets or their moons are made of
       | methane of have loads of methane on them.
       | 
       | So if without life there they have so much hydrocarbons, why then
       | do we need to believe that our hydrocarbons come from the remains
       | of some dead creatures, whether plankton or dinosaurs?
        
         | AngryData wrote:
         | I mean those other places also don't have oxygen rich
         | environments though either that consume and destroy
         | hydrocarbons or life forms (that we know of) to catalyze and
         | consume it. If they both existed in the same environment with
         | any abundance they would quickly (geologically) destroy each
         | other until one was nearly depleted. If hydrocarbons on earth
         | weren't buried under tons of rock to keep oxygen and life away
         | it wouldn't exist in meaningful amounts, and much of it got
         | buried in oxygenless enviroments because of life itself. Keep
         | in mind the Earth has had atleast a billion years of time just
         | oxidizing all the elements and chemicals anywhere near or on
         | the surface of the earth or oceans.
        
         | JackFr wrote:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abiogenic_petroleum_origin
         | 
         | Thomas Gold in the "Deep Hot Biosphere: The Myth of Fossil
         | Fuels" explores the idea in depth.
         | 
         | It's not _quite_ a crank theory (I think Gold has a legit
         | academic publication history) but it kind of teeters on the
         | edge. It's one of those ones I'd like to believe, because it
         | turns much of what we think we know on it's ear. But a sober
         | look at the evidence makes it seem pretty unlikely.
        
         | dredmorbius wrote:
         | In the case of coal, we find the fossils of ancient ferns and
         | trees in the coal itself.
         | 
         | In the case of oil, the sediments in which deposits are found,
         | the fossils within those deposits, and the chemistry of the
         | oil, all point to biotic rather than abiotic origin.
         | 
         | The paper I've linked in my earlier comment has far more detail
         | and further references:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28105383
         | 
         | Yes, it's _possible_ for hydrocarbons to form by other means.
         | However there 's vanishingly little physical evidence to
         | suggest that that is what's actually happened.
         | 
         | Retrosplaining terrestrial hydrocarbon deposits based on remote
         | observation, and one short-lived lander on an outer-solar-
         | system moon (the Huygens probe on Titan, with very limited
         | chemical sensig capabilities) in a hand-wavy attempt to
         | invalidate several centuries of direct terrestrial experience
         | with coal, oil, and gas geology is not exceptionally
         | convincing.
        
         | aww_dang wrote:
         | Cui bono? Perhaps there are political motives?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | HellDunkel wrote:
       | I have this silly recurring feeling that the extiction of
       | dinosaurs and climate change of today are somehow linked. As if
       | there is an unsolved puzzle which also provides a solution. The
       | gigantic sizes of prehistoric living creatures is the most
       | puzzeling.
        
       | pkdpic_y9k wrote:
       | Just for anyone else scanning for the TLDR reminder of what I
       | probably should have remembered from 8th grade science... Im
       | totally going to take the author's advice and buy my kid some
       | plastic plankton toys :^p
       | 
       | > But if fossil fuel does not come from dinosaurs, then where
       | does it come from? Plankton. That's right. Petroleum does not
       | originate with the Earth's largest organisms; it begins with its
       | smallest. Most of the biomass in any ecosystem is contained
       | within the bodies of its humblest members, the ones way down near
       | the base of the food chain. In the oceans, that's phytoplankton,
       | also known as microalgae. These microscopic organisms, mostly
       | diatoms and dinoflagellates, are wondrously able to turn
       | starlight into food. Through photosynthesis, they produce
       | proteins, fats, and carbohydrates -- complex carbon-based
       | molecules. Like most tiny organisms, their generations turn over
       | rapidly. When they expire, their minuscule bodies rain down upon
       | the sea floor, where they form organic oozes that may be miles
       | thick. If these biogenic deposits are buried by younger
       | sediments, and cooked by heat and pressure in just the right way,
       | oil and natural gas may form.
       | 
       | > Taking the long view, petroleum is really a type of solar
       | energy. That may sound nice, but it's not innocuous. When we burn
       | it, we take carbon from another age, sequestered by ancient
       | plankton, and dump it into today's atmosphere. There, it traps
       | heat, causes global warming, and acidifies the oceans. In a
       | sense, we're adding the power of the ancient Mesozoic Sun to
       | today's Sun, and it's overheating our planet.
       | 
       | > I'm sure this won't come as a shock, but don't believe
       | everything you read on the Internet. Dinosaur toys are not made
       | from dinos, but they are made from dinoflagellates that used
       | starlight from another era to stitch together the carbon-based
       | molecules that today we turn into plastic. A quick search
       | revealed that there are actually plastic plankton toys available
       | online, plastic plankton toys made of -- plankton.
        
       | dredmorbius wrote:
       | For a more complete answer on where oil _does_ come from
       | (spoiler: not dinosaurs --- TFA actually does a nice job of tying
       | that myth to Sinclair Petroleum 's advertising mascot), see
       | Jeffrey S. Dukes, "Burning Buried Sunshine" (2003): https://www-
       | legacy.dge.carnegiescience.edu/DGE/Dukes/Dukes_C... (PDF)
       | 
       | The beauty of this piece is that it breaks down _just how much_
       | primordeal biomass goes into producing the oil (and coal and gas)
       | we burn today, and how much ancient time is represented in each
       | present year of consumption. (It 's millions.)
       | 
       | I've submitted this numerous times to HN with little uptake, most
       | recently: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27827505
        
         | zzzeek wrote:
         | it needs to be turned into a flashy webpage with lots of JS
         | animation. pretty tough to get lots of traffic on a pdf file.
        
           | irrational wrote:
           | I'm on a phone and I simply can't read it.
        
         | lmilcin wrote:
         | Also worth to point out Earth needed millions of years to
         | sequester that CO2 we release to atmosphere each year.
        
           | jonsen wrote:
           | The atmospheric CO2 is not a that slow sequestering process.
           | It has varied considerably over much shorter time periods
           | than "millions of years".
           | 
           | "Carbon dioxide concentrations have varied widely over the
           | Earth's 4.54 billion year history.":
           | 
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_in_Earth%27s_.
           | ..
        
             | lmilcin wrote:
             | I guess you don't understand what "sequestering" means.
             | 
             | Sequestering is a process where carbon becomes unavailable
             | for biological processes.
             | 
             | So you have carbon circulating (present in biomass,
             | returned to atmosphere, then back to biomass, etc.) and you
             | have carbon that is not available for circulation.
             | 
             | Carbon in atmosphere is part of circulation. When a
             | supervolcano erupts and emits a bunch of CO2, this adds
             | carbon to atmosphere but then that carbon may very quickly
             | be bound in biomass (for example algae, forests, etc.) This
             | doesn't mean it is sequestered. The algae can die and
             | ferment and forests can burn, releasing CO2 back to
             | atmosphere.
             | 
             | Earth has ability to very quickly _bind_ large amounts of
             | CO2 from atmosphere, true.
             | 
             | But it does not have ability to sequester it, because as
             | long as the carbon is present in biomass, that biomass can
             | burn or rot and change to methane/CO2.
             | 
             | Current coal, oil and gas deposits are due to the fact that
             | at early stages of evolution there was no bacteria that
             | could process some parts of biomass. For example, plants
             | rather than rot would just be covered with more plants and
             | become coal deposits.
             | 
             | Today, it is not possible to form new coal or oil deposits,
             | because any biomass would be quickly
             | digested/fermented/rotted before it could be sequestered.
        
               | FooHentai wrote:
               | The pre-bacteria theory is pretty shaky fyi. There is
               | evidence for relevant biomass-degrading bacteria being
               | ubiquitous at the times of coal/oil formation. A more
               | plausible theory imo is that geological conditions in the
               | paleozoec/mesozoeic era lent themselves to greater fossil
               | fuel formation - greater tectonic activity alone would
               | produce the flooding and interment processes necessary to
               | push significant volumes of biomass down to fuel the
               | process.
        
               | lmilcin wrote:
               | For a significant mass of biomass to be pushed down it
               | first needs to be present.
               | 
               | Have you ever been in a coal mine?
               | 
               | Coal deposits can be very thick and can consist of
               | practically pure coal with very little anything else.
               | 
               | Our densest forests if suddenly "pushed" (I guess covered
               | by ash or anything else, without loosing carbon) would be
               | millimeters in width.
        
               | yxhuvud wrote:
               | So why can't peat deposits turn into coal under the right
               | conditions? Those form all the time under certain
               | conditions, but they can sequester a fair amount of
               | biomass.
        
           | dredmorbius wrote:
           | The values from Dukes's paper are illuminating.
           | 
           | - The fossil fuels _burned_ in a year represent about 400
           | years ' worth of accumulated ancient biomass. That is, you'd
           | need to capture _all_ the biomass grown _for four centuries_
           | to give the fuel we consume in one year.
           | 
           | - But conversion and preservation aren't perfect. So it took
           | _five million_ years to form just the oil we consume annually
           | (or did in 1997, though values have remained reasonably
           | constant since). That is, only about 0.008% of ancient
           | biomass was stored as petroleum.
           | 
           | I don't know the figures for carbon-cycle sequester and
           | release rates, though at best we're looking at centuries to
           | remove what we've put into the atmosphere in decades, if not
           | longer.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | CO2 is mostly sequestered by reaction to form carbonates,
             | not by reduction to biomass, but yes it will take a long
             | time. In the intermediate it will dissolve into the deep
             | ocean (mostly), but even that takes a while.
        
               | dredmorbius wrote:
               | By chemical / geological processes, or as organic
               | limestone (mostly shellfish / plankton skeleton)
               | deposits?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Both? The calcium to make the limestone has to come from
               | somewhere.
        
               | zozbot234 wrote:
               | This reaction can also be accelerated by crushing basalts
               | and other readily-available rocks to a fine sand/dust,
               | and exposing that to the open air by spreading it over
               | large areas of ground, such as fields or beaches. The
               | process is not cheaper than other kinds of carbon
               | sequestration, but it's definitely comparable and long-
               | term sequestration of the carbon seems especially likely,
               | since we're simply enhancing the existing geological
               | carbon cycle.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Peridotites, in particular, with lots of olivine. Olivine
               | weathers particularly quickly because its silicon atoms
               | are in SiO4(4-) tetrahedra that are not covalently linked
               | to each other (a "nesosilicate").
               | 
               | A problem with just spreading this out on beaches and the
               | like is that these rocks are also often enriched in
               | nickel vs. the average crustal rock, and this would
               | release many millions of tonnes of nickel into the
               | environment. There is some evidence that nickel release
               | was part of the terrible events at the Permian-Triassic
               | extinction. Nickel is crucial to the enzymes in the
               | metabolic pathways leading to the production of methane
               | in anaerobic environments. There's an idea that nickel
               | injection into the oceans by fallout from the PT
               | megaeruption in Siberia led to massive methane
               | production.
        
             | lmilcin wrote:
             | I would also point out that today it is not possible to
             | form new large scale coal/oil deposits.
             | 
             | Coal/oil deposits that we are using up now formed because
             | at the time there was no bacteria that could digest dead
             | plant/plankton matter.
             | 
             | This is also why all coal/oil deposits are very old. There
             | is very little deposits after bacteria has evolved.
             | 
             | Nowadays there needs to be special circumstances for a
             | piece of biological matter to not be digested by bacteria.
             | For example it would have to be covered by permafrost or
             | drown in oxygen-deficient lake for a very, very long time
             | and then covered by soil.
        
               | kfprt wrote:
               | This was the most interesting thing I learned when
               | studying geology. More people should know about it.
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | It's a controversial claim and _probably_ false,
               | definitely don 't repeat it unless you've personally
               | verified with an expert.
        
               | lmilcin wrote:
               | Nevertheless, there are no coal or oil deposits being
               | formed or freshly formed (in geological terms).
               | 
               | This roughly suggests to me, for whatever reason, there
               | is no longer circumstances for new deposits to form.
        
               | yxhuvud wrote:
               | It can also mean we are looking in the wrong places.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | bradrn wrote:
               | I've heard this several times, but I looked into it in
               | more detail, and it seems that there's some controversy:
               | e.g. https://www.pnas.org/content/113/9/2442, https://aca
               | demic.oup.com/femsre/article/41/6/941/4569254?log...
        
               | taberiand wrote:
               | So at least once we send ourselves extinct through
               | fossil-fuel driven climate change, any intelligent life
               | that comes after us won't have the resources to do the
               | same.
        
               | irrational wrote:
               | Is it possible for intelligent alien life to arise on a
               | world without any oil/gas/coal reserves (maybe they don't
               | have the equivalent of plankton, or maybe they do, but
               | bacteria that could eat the plankton evolved much
               | earlier)? If so, would they be forever trapped on their
               | planet, never able to go through an Industrial Age and
               | eventually achieve rocket flight? Maybe this is one
               | explanation for why no aliens, so far.
        
               | b3morales wrote:
               | Without the easy energy source to bootstrap their tech,
               | they may not get anywhere near having to consider that
               | problem. They might not even make it to figuring out
               | steel.
        
               | lmilcin wrote:
               | Interesting thought.
               | 
               | I think energy is least of problems. At the beginning
               | forests provide a lot of energy and would be enough to
               | bridge to industrial times (at least for us).
               | 
               | The real issue, I think, is lack of easily available raw
               | materials like iron, tin, copper, etc. We have depended A
               | LOT on iron practically lying on the ground.
               | 
               | Without having _some_ iron easily available any startup
               | civilization wouldn 't know to look deeper and even if
               | they wanted, they would not have any tools to do so.
               | 
               | At least with energy there is multiple ways to acquire
               | it.
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | On the other hand there's a lot of already processed and
               | extracted iron and steel we've conveniently dug up and
               | left around for future societies to maybe harvest.
        
               | lmilcin wrote:
               | You are right, I haven't thought of it.
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | I think it still works out to a net difficulty increase
               | to any group trying to restart an industrialized
               | civilization because of how much easy energy reserves
               | have been permanently extracted. There's basically no
               | surface level coal/oil/gas that could be tapped into and
               | finding the remaining reserves from scratch might be
               | prohibitively difficult.
               | 
               | Then there's the question of how much of the steel will
               | still be usable when it's time to extract it. That's a
               | variable problem depending on how long the 'dark age' is
               | before people are rebuilding I suppose. It could be like
               | Doctorow's Walkaway where there's abundant enough
               | discarded resources you can almost achieve post-scarcity
               | (but that world never wen through a hard crash it was
               | more building a parallel society than a whole new one).
               | Or it could be centuries later when a lot of the steel
               | will be rust. Hard to say.
        
           | creddit wrote:
           | Also worth to point out Earthly life existed for millions of
           | years with that CO2 unsequestered ;)
        
             | manachar wrote:
             | Is it really worth pointing this out? Why?
             | 
             | This is (mostly) a non-sequitur to any modern discussion
             | about climate, the atmosphere, and its effects on human
             | life and civilization.
             | 
             | Life, at this point is used to a particular equilibrium.
             | Sure, life has existed at different equilibriums. But we
             | also know when those equilibriums are massively disturbed
             | (via a great oxygenation event, massive asteroid, major
             | volcanic eruptions, etc.) much of the life dies out
             | (obviously depends on the intensity of the disruption) and
             | it takes many years for life to adjust to and make a new
             | equilibrium.
             | 
             | Humanity should be deeply concerned with how deeply we have
             | disrupted the equilibrium, as this disrupts the world and
             | biosphere that sustains us.
             | 
             | It might be useful if you're building an argument that
             | humanity will be better off after the current mass
             | extinction event is over. However, I tend to find this
             | point more often leads to a George Carlin-esque cynicism
             | and nihilism about earth being better off without humans
             | (or human civilization) anyways.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | smdz wrote:
       | For a long time, I believed this myth - might have heard it on TV
       | as a kid. Then one day while reading about the possibilities of
       | intelligent life on other planets - I wondered how far we
       | (humans) would have got technologically without oil or similar
       | fuels, which "I thought" were a result of dead dinosaurs and a
       | extinction level event. That is when I looked up and found the
       | correct answer.
        
       | aww_dang wrote:
       | Biologists were surprised to discover giant tube worms living
       | independently of photosynthesis on the deep sea floor. There's
       | much we don't know about the Earth's ecosystems. Particularly of
       | interest will be the possibility of intraterrestrial ecosystems,
       | deep within the Earth.
       | 
       | >"The biomass of these intraterrestrial organisms may be equal to
       | the total weight of all marine and terrestrial plants."
       | 
       | These observations may not fall in line with the current
       | Malthusian, apocalyptic rationales. The phrase "fossil fuels"
       | seems loaded from this perspective. Our knowledge of the natural
       | world is constantly evolving. Making all-encompassing declarative
       | statements might make sense in some situations, but it also makes
       | sense to question them.
       | 
       | https://academic.oup.com/femsle/article/185/1/9/485798
       | 
       | http://scienceline.ucsb.edu/getkey.php?key=5412
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riftia_pachyptila
       | 
       | https://phys.org/news/2019-04-rewriting-textbook-fossil-fuel...
        
       | albertgoeswoof wrote:
       | Is this a commonly held belief? I thought it was just a joke/fake
       | news type of headline...
        
       | skrebbel wrote:
       | There's a great XKCD "What If" about this. It answers the
       | question "As plastic is made from oil and oil is made from dead
       | dinosaurs, how much actual real dinosaur is there in a plastic
       | dinosaur?"
       | 
       | https://what-if.xkcd.com/101/
        
       | Netcob wrote:
       | I heard this too and somehow just accepted it, even though I
       | could not imagine how this should have happened. So during this
       | major extinction event all the big dinosaurs just gathered in
       | giant groups, fell over, then never really decomposed but got
       | covered with something and turned into coal, oil and gas?
       | 
       | Plankton is new to me too though. I thought it was plants, which
       | could not be fully digested by anything at the time, so they just
       | broke down a bit and formed layer after layer, until other
       | organisms caught up and started digesting them completely - so
       | this sort of concentrated organic matter doesn't exist in upper
       | layers.
        
         | dTal wrote:
         | You're thinking of coal. There was a 60 million year period
         | between the evolution of lignin (the key ingredient of wood,
         | which allows plants to grow very tall) and the evolution of
         | fungi which could break it down - so dead wood just stacked up,
         | higher and higher. We call that period the Carboniferous, and
         | almost all coal comes from then.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | That may not actually be the case.
           | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4780611/
           | 
           | There's direct fossil evidence of fungal rot during the
           | period, and that much lignin production without corresponding
           | decay would have sucked all the CO2 out of the atmosphere in
           | a few million years.
        
             | osacial wrote:
             | Well, they did suck most of CO2 out of atmosphere and many
             | times hundred of million years ago:
             | https://earth.org/data_visualization/a-brief-history-of-
             | co2/
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | At no point on that chart does it go lower than about
               | 200ppm.
        
               | osacial wrote:
               | Well, look again - some of the group of points reach
               | right to 200ppm.
               | 
               | Equation of line has nothing to do with reaching 200ppm,
               | as that is average - adapted to whole timeline. Would
               | look completely different in a different scope.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | > Despite feedbacks with weathering rates, much smaller
               | imbalances would have resulted in the complete removal of
               | atmospheric CO2 in less than a million years. Without
               | evidence of such dire consequences, lignin production in
               | the absence of lignin decay for more than 100 million
               | years into the early Permian is untenable.
               | 
               | The study addresses CO2 levels closely, as well as other
               | significant pieces of evidence. I would tend to assume
               | the peer reviewers at one of the world's most prestigious
               | journals thought to Google up historical CO2 levels.
        
       | bullen wrote:
       | Oil comes from plants, plankton might eat said algae
       | (phytoplankton would not be sufficient) but trees on land
       | probably contributed as much. The problem obviously is that the
       | process from plant to coal, oil and gas takes a long time so
       | we're inevitably going into a wall of energy deficit that will
       | impact everything.
       | 
       | Solar and wind are not solutions as plants are a solar panel and
       | maintenance free battery in one, without any work required.
       | 
       | Nuclear (1.000.000.000x higher energy density than batteries) is
       | our only hope/despair to have any chance at preserving this way
       | of life for 8 billion people but it requires hydrocarbons to
       | build and maintain.
       | 
       | Reduce your energy consumption as much as possible: no car, small
       | house/appartement.
       | 
       | Work on meaningful digital solutions that scale without too much
       | energy.
       | 
       | Quit everything else.
        
         | sandworm101 wrote:
         | With a rising population, on the order of several percent a
         | year, reduced per-person energy consumption cannot do much. It
         | can only delay the inevitable a decade or two. The answers are
         | clean energy or a steadily reduced population. We are
         | biologically adverse to the later, leaving green energy as the
         | only option.
        
           | bullen wrote:
           | Green/clean energy does not exist. The only thing that has
           | somewhat +/- zero impact is (edit: small scale) hydro. But
           | hydro also requires hydrocarbons to build and maintain (don't
           | forget the powerlines) and freshwater fish populations are
           | impacted.
           | 
           | The population will go down to 1 billion from here, that much
           | is inevitable. The question is how fast it goes down and how
           | much people will suffer: we peaked our growth-rate in 1968:
           | https://ourworldindata.org/future-population-growth
        
             | sandworm101 wrote:
             | Hydro is far from green. Dams flood forest, which no longer
             | absorbs co2 and further rots into methane.
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | Solar and wind likely are the solution. They are cheaper than
         | nuclear and are improving much faster. Nuclear faces great
         | obstacles to reaching a level that could power civilization
         | (for example, breeding would likely be required, and breeder
         | reactors have proven to be even more expensive than today's
         | thermal burner reactors; breeders are also excellent sources of
         | super-weapon grade fissionable material.)
         | 
         | The energy density argument for nuclear goes nowhere. It's not
         | something any consumer cares about, nor is energy density a
         | showstopper for renewables (except biomass, so don't base the
         | renewable energy system on biomass).
        
       | simonblack wrote:
       | Of course it does. When was the last time you heard a squeaky
       | dinosaur?
        
       | selimthegrim wrote:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Echoes_of_Life is highly
       | recommended for another take on the subject.
        
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