[HN Gopher] Space Station incident demands independent investiga...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Space Station incident demands independent investigation
        
       Author : multivac42
       Score  : 367 points
       Date   : 2021-08-08 02:21 UTC (20 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | _RPL5_ wrote:
       | Here is a piece of commentary from a Russian insider covering the
       | launch of Nauka, but not the docking, in Russian [1]. There was a
       | litany of smaller issues with the launch, probably stemming from
       | the fact that the module has been tossed around for 25+ years.
       | 
       | I generally don't expect Roskosmos to make any comments regarding
       | Nauka unless it blows up or something. Part of the reason,
       | apparently, is that Roskosmos is being assessed for new funding
       | (from the blog post, Google translate edited for clarity):
       | 
       | """
       | 
       | Docking is scheduled for July 29. The future of Russian manned
       | astronautics depends on its success. With Nauka, the Russian
       | segment will be able to operate for another 10 years, and be more
       | effective as a research platform.
       | 
       | The future of the independent Russian Orbital Service Station
       | (ROSS) is also indirectly related to the success of Nauka. With
       | Nauka, Roskosmos gets a chance to show that it has the ability to
       | create and launch manned space stations. This, in turn, increases
       | the likelihood of obtaining the funding for ROSS.
       | 
       | Probably, this is the reason that Roscosmos has been reluctant to
       | voice any of the problems with Nauka. When half a trillion rubles
       | is at stake, you will inevitably lose your voice.
       | 
       | """
       | 
       | Half a trillion rubles is about $7bn American. I've been hearing
       | about plans for this new station for a few years now. I don't
       | really know if it's real. Involvement with the ISS, where
       | Americans shouldered 80% of the financial burden, is really what
       | kept the Russian space program relevant. So I don't expect us to
       | pull out of the ISS voluntarily. If the ISS ends up being
       | decommissioned this decade, hopefully we can piggy back with the
       | Chinese on their new projects or something. That's assuming we
       | have anything they want, which is a big question mark come year
       | 2030.
       | 
       | [1] https://zelenyikot.livejournal.com/158629.html
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > hopefully we can piggy back with the Chinese on their new
         | projects or something
         | 
         | The US won't touch China with a ten feet pole for anything
         | space-related (and vice versa). The best the US may see is a
         | bit of cooperation with the EU - assuming we can solve our
         | internal post-covid and euro-skeptic squabbles - and that's it.
        
           | ascar wrote:
           | He's obviously talking from a Russian point of view.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | vagrantJin wrote:
           | And thank god. My theory
           | 
           | China and Russia should form their own platform for future
           | space explorations.
           | 
           | The EU should really have their own thing and collab with
           | both West and East. The US can do whatever.
           | 
           | The China/Russia alliance could probably work with "other"
           | BRICS nations not entirely known for space research.
        
         | PicassoCTs wrote:
         | Wasn't there a plan for "dual" use, aka the next space station
         | can be equipped with a drive and used as a long range spaceship
         | if needs be?
        
           | NickNameNick wrote:
           | There were plans to launch a VASIMIR Ion drive for testing -
           | The ISS was the only thing in space with enough electrical
           | power to test it.
           | 
           | Apparently NASA lost interest around 2015.
           | 
           | I think I read something about assembling a manned mars ship
           | out of re-used ISS or new ISS-like parts, but I can't recall
           | where, or if the proposal was serious.
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | It'd need additional radiation shielding to operate for
             | long periods outside Earth's magnetosphere. The Lunar
             | Gateway modules are a reasonable blueprint for this.
             | 
             | Also, even with the ISS's power budget, the VASIMR module
             | wouldn't operate continuously. The plan was to charge it
             | and then run it for short 15 minute periods. It could
             | operate for longer if it took more power from the ISS. It
             | seems they are considering other options for a flight
             | demonstration.
        
           | _RPL5_ wrote:
           | This sounds like something from a sci-fi novel.
           | 
           | The only tangible new thing in production is the Angara heavy
           | rocket that will replace Protons. It's an actual thing that
           | exists and flies. There is also a new piloted ship
           | (Eagle/Federation) in development tailored for Angara, but I
           | don't expect to see it in serial production until late 2020s.
           | 
           | Beyond these two things, everything else is basically concept
           | art.
        
             | JNRowe wrote:
             | FWIW, it actually _is_ part of an old sci-fi novel,
             | featuring in Arthur C. Clarke 's 20101. China suddenly
             | joins a race to Jupiter by firing up its "space station".
             | 
             | 1 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010:_Odyssey_Two
        
       | jollybean wrote:
       | How is it possible for thrusters to fire without a) human
       | oversight and b) nobody knowing?
        
         | jjk166 wrote:
         | It's an autopilot with no communication connection. What would
         | be the alternative, drifting uncontrolled whenever it's outside
         | of communication range?
        
           | jollybean wrote:
           | It's not out of 'communication range' with personnel aboard
           | the station.
           | 
           | An ultra basic integration of alarms and communications would
           | be the minimum requirement to allow personnel to monitor and
           | modify mission critical systems.
        
             | jjk166 wrote:
             | It was prior to docking. It was a separate entity which had
             | to fly itself without continuous communication to the
             | station in order to be integrated. The entire problem was
             | that the module did not recognize that it was docked with
             | the station and was trying to maneuver itself. Why would
             | you put in a "tell the station to which you are attached
             | that you are firing your thrusters which should never be
             | fired while attached to the station" signal?
        
               | kfarr wrote:
               | It's not a crazy suggestion to have ability for an
               | emergency stop or docking success signal sent from the
               | station to the module.
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | The problem was that the "docking success signal" was not
               | properly recieved.
               | 
               | The very presence of an emergency stop system should be a
               | signal that the thrusters should not activate, if you are
               | ever in a situation where you would desire to send an
               | emergency stop signal, it is because that emergency stop
               | system has already failed.
        
               | jollybean wrote:
               | "The problem was that the "docking success signal" was
               | not properly recieved."
               | 
               | Then it's _not docked_ and docking procedures should be
               | observed by all personnel as a serious ongoing
               | operational concern, right?
               | 
               | So, if there is integration, which there hopefully would
               | be, that there wasn't proper integration would imply
               | something bad.
               | 
               | Otherwise, while the crew obviously believed it to be
               | docked, why wasn't the auto-correcting features etc. on
               | the Russian module disabled while it's docked?
               | 
               | Again, as part of the docking procedure?
        
               | MrStonedOne wrote:
               | Docking brackets can carry electrical contacts and SPI
               | with redundant conductors would more then cover this
               | usecase.
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | That system exists, the problem is that's the thing that
               | failed here. The module didn't recognize it was attached
               | to the station explicitly because there was an issue with
               | those connections.
        
         | alisonkisk wrote:
         | a) software
         | 
         | b) outer space
        
         | ComodoHacker wrote:
         | Simple: the module was out of comm reach at the moment.
        
           | jollybean wrote:
           | That's not 'simple'. The module should be integrated with the
           | other modules such that any control terminal on the station
           | should highlight that information.
           | 
           | Moreover, one would imagine that applying thrust should
           | generally require some oversight and that it should not be
           | automated unless there's an emergency in which case there
           | would be appropriate alarms.
        
             | NavinF wrote:
             | The module will be integrated over the next few months.
             | It's not as simple as just docking the module and expecting
             | all the wiring and software config to kick in
             | automatically.
        
               | MrStonedOne wrote:
               | It could be thou.
        
         | atatatat wrote:
         | "Computers never lie, kid!"
        
         | krisoft wrote:
         | I tell you how it is possible: it is both a bug, and a design
         | issue.
         | 
         | To say anything deeper about the whys one would need that
         | investigation.
        
       | mannykannot wrote:
       | NASA's response, printed as an addendum, contains the sort of
       | non-sequiturs that, contrary to the presumed intention, can only
       | suggest that NASA is doing exactly what is alleged here: hoping a
       | serious issue will go away.
       | 
       | "As shared by NASA's Kathy Lueders and Joel Montalbano in the
       | media telecon following the event, Roscosmos regularly updated
       | NASA and the rest of the international partners on MLM's progress
       | during the approach to station..."
       | 
       | As far as we know, nothing untoward happened during the approach
       | to station. Restricting this comment to this period renders it
       | irrelevant and signals that NASA is trying to avoid the issue.
       | 
       | "When the unexpected thruster firings occurred, flight control
       | teams were able to enact contingency procedures and return the
       | station to normal operations within an hour..."
       | 
       | So there's no need to be concerned over why it happened, how long
       | it took to discover the problem, or the inability of those at
       | NASA who discovered it to counteract it until the ISS was in a
       | position where Roscosmos could intervene? As the article author
       | points out, this "all's well that ends well" attitude is what led
       | to the Challenger and Columbia crashes.
       | 
       | "We would point you to Roscosmos for any specifics on Russian
       | systems/performance/procedures."
       | 
       | So, NASA seems to be saying, it is not _our_ problem - but, of
       | course, anything that threatens the integrity of the ISS most
       | definitely is.
       | 
       | That covers the whole of NASA's response so far to IEEE Spectrum,
       | other than the utterly anodyne "We continue to have confidence in
       | our partnership with Roscosmos to operate the International Space
       | Station."
       | 
       | What I would like to know is why public relations spokespersons
       | think it is in the interests of their organizations to make those
       | organizations look clueless, while simultaneously insulting our
       | intelligence by implying we will fall for this nonsense?
        
         | knolax wrote:
         | > That covers the whole of NASA's response so far to IEEE
         | Spectrum
         | 
         | IEEE Spectrum was the same paper that got duped into publishing
         | a story about a self driving car that didn't exist. It's a
         | tabloid piggybacking off of the IEEE's brand recognition. The
         | fact that a NASA spokesperson bothered to reply at all
         | surprises me.
        
         | Denvercoder9 wrote:
         | Alternatively, NASA doesn't want to sour the relation with
         | Roscosmos while the investigation is ongoing, and what's said
         | publicly isn't an indication of what happens behind the
         | screens. At this level, there's a lot of politics involved as
         | well.
        
           | destitude wrote:
           | Or they could simply say we are continuing to investigate. So
           | does sound more like they are trying to get people to ignore
           | it.
        
             | icegreentea2 wrote:
             | You're right, they could be trying to get people to ignore.
             | I think it's more likely they're in an awkward
             | political/diplomatic holding pattern.
             | 
             | They definitely can't say that they are continuing to
             | investigate unless they've been cleared to do so, since
             | investigating starts implying patterns of responsibility.
             | 
             | It's definitely a gong-show.
        
       | irjustin wrote:
       | In principle I agree, but there's a lot riding against a proper,
       | non-nasa investigation.
       | 
       | 1. No one died, unlike Columbia, there won't be a Congressional
       | committee put together on this.
       | 
       | 2. Even if there was a congress committee/investigation done,
       | what changes can actually be instituted? Block any more Russian
       | modules?
       | 
       | That's requiring putting pressure on a foreign country to make
       | changes where the relationship runs a knife edge balancing act of
       | frenemy.
       | 
       | The Russian space program is a shell of its former self since
       | ~2010.
       | 
       | The most realistic course of action (at this moment) of any
       | corrective recommendation is to remove them from the ISS. They've
       | been threatening pulling out for a few years now, so let them?
        
         | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
         | > No one died
         | 
         | In areas with a strong and proactive safety culture, "near
         | miss" incidents are investigated and mitigated. These "near
         | misses" are cases where "no one died" - the accident did not
         | happen, but if one more thing had gone wrong, it would have.
         | 
         | The manta is "for every _x_ near misses, there will be an
         | actual accident". Where x could be e.g. 10; and accident in
         | this case could mean "total loss of the ISS and everyone on
         | board"
         | 
         | This is IMHO a strong argument for a thorough investigation, in
         | some form. Congressional committee or not.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Near_miss_(safety)
         | 
         | https://etraintoday.com/blog/near-miss-vs-an-accident/
        
           | irjustin wrote:
           | Clearly there will be an internal investigation with NASA
           | (too much happened outside of protocol) but we'll never hear
           | the full details nor know of the corrective recommendations
           | or lack there of.
           | 
           | If you want to guarantee public knowledge it's got to be
           | Congressional and I just don't see that being realistic
           | because again... No one died.
        
             | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
             | > but we'll never hear the full detail
             | 
             | This is a pity, good safety cultures are also more open.
        
             | ashtonkem wrote:
             | There should be an internal investigation at NASA, but
             | they've dropped the ball on that several times in living
             | memory. It's a question of how much has changed culturally
             | since Columbia.
        
         | whoknowswhat11 wrote:
         | Another issue - they've been doing things like having all their
         | folks shelter in their modules when SpaceX docks - but not
         | doing that for this type of stuff.
         | 
         | Also the somewhat odd cracks at SpaceX
         | 
         | Rogozin told Russian media that he doesn't believe SpaceX can
         | build better rocket engines than Russia can. "Musk is not a
         | technical expert in this matter," Rogozin said. "He just
         | doesn't understand what this is about."
         | 
         | Will be interesting to see how Raptor 2 competes (and yes,
         | Russia has had amazing engines).
        
           | nickik wrote:
           | SpaceX destroyed the main funding for their space agency.
           | 
           | Raptor 1 is already better then any Russian engine along most
           | metrics.
           | 
           | And Rogozin is a journalist made oligarch, he doesn't know
           | shit. Accusing Elon of not being an expert is quite funny
           | coming from him.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | I don't think he was speaking to an international audience
             | when he said that, even though it may appear to be like
             | that. Russia is internally quite fragile and to admit that
             | they lost their edge is something that comes with a pretty
             | high price so - just like it always was - they engage in
             | weak PR.
        
         | oconnor663 wrote:
         | What happened in 2010? Is that when the Falcon 9 started
         | launching?
        
         | _RPL5_ wrote:
         | I am curious as to how you would remove us from the ISS. A
         | third of the pressurized modules on the ISS are Russian [1]. Do
         | we just take them with us when we leave? How do we achieve
         | that?
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assembly_of_the_International_...
         | 
         | """
         | 
         | The ISS is made up of 16 pressurized modules: five Russian
         | modules ( Zarya, Pirs, Zvezda, Poisk and Rassvet), eight US
         | modules (BEAM, Leonardo, Harmony, Quest, Tranquility, Unity,
         | Cupola, and Destiny), two Japanese modules (the JEM-ELM-PS and
         | JEM-PM) and one European module (Columbus).
         | 
         | """
         | 
         | *Pirs was undocked to make place for Nauka.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | Denvercoder9 wrote:
           | Removing the Russian segment from the ISS isn't feasible, as
           | it has the only module capable of GNC, and Progress is the
           | only currently flying craft that can raise the ISS's orbit
           | (which, being in LEO, slowly decays).
        
             | jhgb wrote:
             | Russians also can't remove Zarya anyway because they don't
             | own it. The US purchased the module decades ago when
             | Russians had no money. (They still have no money, but they
             | used to have no money, too.)
        
           | simonh wrote:
           | I suppose in theory the US could just starve Roscosmos of
           | funding by cutting back on implicit subsidies. That would
           | require having a contingency in place to keep the station
           | viable without Russian involvement. The problem is that would
           | be massively expensive. As you say, that's a third of the
           | station. In practice you're quite right, that plan is
           | completely unviable.
        
             | gambiting wrote:
             | Well it's doable, the problem is that it would kill the ISS
             | as a station. If other parties are ok with it then sure,
             | but I somehow doubt they are.
        
           | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
           | Probably US would pay Russia for keeping them in place.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | If we imagine an offer to buy out 1/3 of a space station,
             | how much would it be? The amount should be colossal.
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | It would not be any more expensive than what Russia spent
               | to build that portion. Moreover, accounting for
               | depreciation, it's not at all colossal.
        
               | nine_k wrote:
               | If it were reasonably easy to just replace the existing
               | modules, they coukd have been replaced.
               | 
               | But if you want these specific modules, already
               | integrated into the station, which are an opposite of a
               | commodity, the price includes a _significant_ premium.
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | Russia wouldn't let the US operate them.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | > The most realistic course of action (at this moment) of any
         | corrective recommendation is to remove them from the ISS.
         | They've been threatening pulling out for a few years now, so
         | let them?
         | 
         | From my experience of life in Russia, I'd say this is one of
         | the most effective ways dealing with people habitually
         | resorting to the "do ... or we will sink together!" blackmail.
         | 
         | Let the saboteur succeed, and exceed.
         | 
         | You can swim, and the blackmailer likely cannot (and choosing
         | the threat exactly for them fearing such outcome.)
         | 
         | If somebody brings a stick of a dynamite on the ship, shouting,
         | and swinging it around, give them 10 more, and say good luck.
         | 
         | Such demeanour is wholly dependent on the other party's
         | assumptions that they are harmed more than if they did nothing,
         | which is the reverse in reality.
        
         | adventurer wrote:
         | We've already called out the Russians and pressured them for
         | sending up anti-satellite weaponry in 2017 and 2020. Why trust
         | them here.
        
         | perlgeek wrote:
         | > 2. Even if there was a congress committee/investigation done,
         | what changes can actually be instituted? Block any more Russian
         | modules?
         | 
         | There are certainly less dramatic measures that could have
         | prevented this incident.
         | 
         | To quote the article:
         | 
         | > the Nauka module's autopilot apparently decided it was
         | supposed to fly away from the station.
         | 
         | Having such decisions protected by a physical switch comes to
         | mind.
         | 
         | A joint committee by all the nations involved in the ISS could
         | require such measures before any module or spacecraft is
         | allowed to dock.
         | 
         | Establishing emergency overrides for firing thrusters to all
         | ground control stations could have greatly reduced the impact.
         | 
         | Why was the unexpected firing of thrusters detected so late?
         | Better telemetry and their analysis could help.
         | 
         | And so on. Lots of things that _could_ be done if there was the
         | will do to do them.
         | 
         | Many more things could be done in response to a through root-
         | cause analysis.
        
       | nathanaldensr wrote:
       | Dupe: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28103641
        
       | mannykannot wrote:
       | "the module began trying to line itself up in preparation to fire
       | its main engines using an attitude adjustment thruster."
       | 
       | One thing that I am curious about is what would have happened if
       | the module had achieved the alignment it was seeking, either as
       | as result of its own efforts or during the procedure to stop and
       | correct for its actions. If the main engine was capable of
       | firing, would there still be an ISS?
        
         | nraynaud wrote:
         | I think it's an alignment relative to the ISS (with the visual
         | markers), so there was really no hope of reaching it.
        
       | nraynaud wrote:
       | by independent, do they mean neither American nor Russian?
        
         | curiousllama wrote:
         | The investigation would be about NASA's reaction, not the
         | mistake itself. So Americans investigating Americans about a
         | (potential) American problem.
         | 
         | Russia's incidental to the nature of the trigger.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | redis_mlc wrote:
       | Does it matter what happens to the ISS?
       | 
       | Is there any science done on the ISS that's actually cited?
       | 
       | The answer to both questions is no.
        
         | lmm wrote:
         | If we can't keep people alive on a space station, how will we
         | ever spread beyond a single planet? If we don't start trying
         | now, then when?
        
           | robinsoh wrote:
           | > If we can't keep people alive on a space station, how will
           | we ever spread beyond a single planet? If we don't start
           | trying now, then when?
           | 
           | Depends on your meaning of "we". As of June 17, 2021, the
           | Chinese space station Tiangong, is manned. Chinese manned
           | missions to Mars in 2030 have long been announced and may
           | even be completed earlier than anticipated.
        
             | nickik wrote:
             | > Chinese manned missions to Mars in 2030 have long been
             | announced
             | 
             | Total nonsense. They wont even make it to the moon by then.
             | 
             | Their Long March 9 rocket need for Mars will barley even
             | fly before 2030, let alone will they make a Mars mission
             | with it.
        
             | ifdefdebug wrote:
             | Where can I bet against Chinese manned missions to Mars in
             | 2030?
        
               | Zababa wrote:
               | Look up "predictions markets".
        
               | robinsoh wrote:
               | Why would one want to bet against that? Aren't we
               | supposed to want humanity to progress?
        
               | ifdefdebug wrote:
               | I'd want to bet against because I don't believe it's
               | gonna happen so I think I can win some money. On the
               | other hand, if it's really going to happen, I'd be
               | thrilled and more than happy to lose that money. So
               | betting against it is win-win for me :)
        
               | Cipater wrote:
               | Will it make you happy if they fail?
        
               | ifdefdebug wrote:
               | Betting on things that would make me happy doesn't win me
               | money does it? I bet on things I believe/do don't believe
               | in, regardless of what makes me happy.
        
           | ndkwj wrote:
           | Why do we have to spread beyond the earth?
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | Failure to do so ensures our eventual extinction. That's
             | motivation for many.
        
             | guenthert wrote:
             | It's our manifest destiny.
        
             | CamperBob2 wrote:
             | _You_ don 't have to.
             | 
             | And yes, I wish there were a way you could opt out of
             | paying for manned spaceflight via your taxes, because that
             | would mean that _I_ could opt out of paying for things that
             | _I_ don 't want to pay for.
             | 
             | But it doesn't work that way. Deal with it.
        
           | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
           | Who has died on a space station? Do you have some information
           | everyone else does not?
        
         | Kye wrote:
         | Good starting point:
         | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C11&q=sit...
        
           | perl4ever wrote:
           | 1961...1974...1993...1967...
           | 
           | If you add "ISS" and restrict to the 21st century, what do
           | you find? I don't see anything with triple-digit citation
           | numbers, or for that matter anything that looks like
           | generally applicable research at all.
           | 
           | I do see "ISS plasma interaction: Measurements and modeling",
           | cited by 15.
           | 
           | There is probably a better way to look for research than only
           | at nasa.gov, but since you provided the link I was going with
           | that.
        
             | maxnoe wrote:
             | Check for AMS papers, e.g.:
             | 
             | "First result from the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer on the
             | International Space Station: precision measurement of the
             | positron fraction in primary cosmic rays of 0.5-350 GeV"
             | 
             | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=de&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=alp
             | h...
        
               | xioxox wrote:
               | There's also NICER
               | (https://heasarc.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/nicer/) and MAXI.
        
         | daguava wrote:
         | Does it even matter what you've done in a lifetime? Have you
         | done any science worthwhile and cited? Last line :)
        
         | anaganisk wrote:
         | Does it matter what a random stranger on the internet thinks?
         | But here we are trying to comment on everythingas if we have
         | seen it all, from the comfort of our chair.
        
         | kova12 wrote:
         | if a groundbreaking science happened on the ISS, but some guy
         | on the internet isn't aware of it, did it actually happen?..
        
           | a422b wrote:
           | if the U. S. President attends a live sporting event and all
           | involved have instructions to show it but it never did was he
           | ever the U. S. President?..
        
           | harry8 wrote:
           | If groundbreaking science happened on the ISS and someone
           | wanted to know what it was, couldn't find it, asked, and
           | nobody provided any examples or references despite it being
           | pretty attractive to most of us? (The idea of doing science
           | in the zero g of orbit). If that were the case I'd have to
           | start updating my prior that groundbreaking science did
           | happen. Let's see how that plays out over the next few days.
           | But from my perspective it's just fan trivia. I will never go
           | nor have any influence on funding decisions.
        
             | gusgus01 wrote:
             | I'm not sure what is considered groundbreaking science, but
             | a lot, a majority of science even, is not groundbreaking.
             | But offhand, the ISS provides us the ability to monitor the
             | difference that microgravity has on humans, eg the twin
             | study they've done as well as other studies on blood
             | pooling and muscle loss. If we plan to ever have long term
             | missions in space, like Elon Musk and his mars aspirations,
             | then the ISS is an important stepping stone to understand
             | the implications on human health and experience managing
             | humans in space.
             | 
             | It's pretty easy using Google to find some of the research
             | that people have thought was notable:
             | https://www.sciencefocus.com/space/five-things-the-iss-
             | has-d... https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03085-8
        
         | __s wrote:
         | https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/expedit...
        
           | galgalesh wrote:
           | Interesting, thanks for posting this!
           | 
           | This amounts to a bit more than one peer-reviewed publication
           | for every four days since the first ISS segment launched in
           | 1998. (2157 publications total through March 2019)
           | 
           | More than 170 of those papers have been published in the top
           | 100 journals in the clarivate analytics ranking. (Independent
           | ranking used by a large number of universities)
           | 
           | Their top paper has been cited 582 times. (Context: For many
           | top journals, average number of times a paper has been cited
           | is ~5).
        
           | redis_mlc wrote:
           | Wow, I read the link - it's even worse than I thought. After
           | 21 years in orbit, so few scientific papers, and almost none
           | in top tier publications.
           | 
           | What a colossal waste of money for so few results!
           | 
           | Sorry to point out that the emperor has no clothes - I
           | realize that HN is the home of scifi fanbois.
           | 
           | (For example, prestigious publications have single-digit
           | article counts, while ones I don't recognize have two-digit
           | article counts. So almost all of the ISS papers were not
           | high-quality enough to make it into a real journal, and
           | divided by 21 years, most counts round off to zero. As I said
           | - and I want my taxes back.)
        
       | ahofmann wrote:
       | From the article: "Meanwhile, the station's automated attitude
       | control system had also noted [...]" A spelling mistake that
       | immediately brings to mind The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy
       | and the Heart of Gold :-)
       | 
       | Edit: it seems that it is not a spelling mistake. "Attitude" has
       | only one meaning to me, but "attitude control" seems to be a
       | technical term that I've never heard of.
        
         | krisoft wrote:
         | "attitude" is the technical term in aerospace for the
         | orientation of a vehicle.
         | https://aviation.stackexchange.com/questions/35933/what-is-t...
         | 
         | The instrument which shows how you are oriented is the attitude
         | indicator: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attitude_indicator
         | 
         | The piloting skill of turning an upset airplane to right side
         | up is called "unusual attitude recovery":
         | https://www.cfinotebook.net/notebook/maneuvers-and-procedure...
         | 
         | It is quite an interesting topic. Whole books were written
         | about it. "Fundamentals of Spacecraft Attitude Determination
         | and Control" is one I can warmly recommend. But if you just
         | want a one sentence summary: "use quaternions" seems to be the
         | prevailing wisdom.
        
           | alisonkisk wrote:
           | Quaternions are a mathematical model. Are they also a
           | mechanical solution?
        
             | krisoft wrote:
             | One can argue that the solution where they add a 4th gimbal
             | to the stable platform to avoid the possibility of a gimbal
             | lock is kinda-sorta a mechanical equivalent for a
             | quaternion. See for example the famous exchange between
             | CapCom and Apollo 11 Command Module Pilot Michael Collins:
             | https://space.stackexchange.com/questions/30953/did-
             | michael-...
             | 
             | But when I wrote that really all I meant is that it is
             | advised to use quaternions to represent the attitude
             | information in the software which fills the gap between the
             | sensors and the actuators.
        
         | TMWNN wrote:
         | >Edit: it seems that it is not a spelling mistake. "Attitude"
         | has only one meaning to me, but "attitude control" seems to be
         | a technical term that I've never heard of.
         | 
         | Anyone not aware of the definition of "attitude" relative[1] to
         | this discussion should shut up.
         | 
         | [1] Pun intended, not that ahofmann would know
        
         | aaronmdjones wrote:
         | Where's the mistake? Attitude is the correct term.
        
         | avnigo wrote:
         | Attitude is a term in geometry:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orientation_(geometry)
        
         | smarx007 wrote:
         | ADCS is a well-known term, no spelling mistakes:
         | https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/aeronautics-and-astronautics/16-...
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | foobarbecue wrote:
       | Yeah... Maybe also figure out who drilled that hole!
        
         | cududa wrote:
         | If I remember correctly wasn't it an employee covering up a
         | mistake, that to fully replace the damaged panel would've
         | required disassembling/ rebuilding a large part of it from
         | scratch?
         | 
         | Edit: Ah, my mistake. Apparently some years prior that
         | happened, but was caught before the Soyuz capsule launched. If
         | the person responsible for that incident got disappeared, I
         | could imagine whoever made that hole wanted to cover up any
         | mistake
        
         | kova12 wrote:
         | It's probably the same guy who was trying to mount sensors
         | upside-down, and they didn't fit, so he had to take out an old
         | trusty drill
        
           | toiletaccount wrote:
           | well his job was to mount the damn sensors
        
             | krisoft wrote:
             | You are not wrong. :)
             | 
             | This is one video of a launch failure which was eventually
             | traced back to an upside down installed attitude sensor:
             | https://youtu.be/ycRVAcZC5R4
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | At 27 seconds into that video you already know it won't
               | end well.
        
         | rkachowski wrote:
         | What hole ?
        
           | EdwardDiego wrote:
           | Maybe this one? https://www.space.com/41738-soyuz-spacecraft-
           | air-leak-hole-o...
        
         | Mountain_Skies wrote:
         | Regardless of who did it, that it happened at all is very
         | worrying for the suitability of humans for long term living in
         | space habitats.
        
           | Robotbeat wrote:
           | It is worrying for the state of the Russian aerospace
           | industry. This has become a pattern.
        
           | caconym_ wrote:
           | The state of Russia's space program on the ground is not
           | good. It's kind of shocking that they've managed to maintain
           | the reliability of their Soyuz and ISS-related operations to
           | date, more or less, but it was always just a matter of time
           | until those things started unraveling too.
        
       | lamontcg wrote:
       | I don't understand how this incident, involving a Russian
       | spacecraft, necessarily indicates that NASA now has a poor safety
       | culture again. The argument seems to be missing a step.
        
         | slowmovintarget wrote:
         | Agree.
         | 
         | The way the article is written you'd think this was NASA's
         | station. How dare NASA let this happen!
         | 
         | It doesn't belong to the US, it isn't NASA's station, it is the
         | International Space Station. The module that tried to take its
         | football and go home was Russian.
        
           | alisonkisk wrote:
           | The modules was latched to an American module.
           | 
           | When your left arm decides to "go home" and your right arm
           | doesn't, it's a problem for your right arm too.
        
           | rhcom2 wrote:
           | The article is criticizing what it sees as NASA's desire to
           | go along with the Russians and just ignore it without a real
           | investigation.
        
         | figassis wrote:
         | If all the US side has are flywheels to counter orientation
         | issues, rather than thrusters, maybe costs are being cut where
         | they should not?
        
           | simonh wrote:
           | It may be just down to the geometry of the station if the
           | Russian sections are in the most efficient positions to mount
           | the thrusters. Or maybe it's because you need to have a
           | single control system in control of each system, one for the
           | thrusters and one for the flywheels, and it's not viable to
           | have those span the US and RU sections.
           | 
           | In practice you need both systems. You can't just run up
           | flywheels indefinitely, every now and then you need to use
           | thrusters so you can spin them down. Meanwhile flywheels give
           | you fine control that's difficult to achieve with thrusters,
           | especially on something as big and complex as the station.
        
             | dtgriscom wrote:
             | Small quibble: the ISS gyroscopes are constant-speed; they
             | apply torque to the station by pivoting their axes. The
             | argument stands, though; if there's a constant need for
             | torque then eventually the gyroscopes will end up all
             | pointing in the same direction (a "singularity") and unable
             | to apply further torque; thrusters will then be needed to
             | balance the gyroscopes being returned to effective
             | orientations.
             | 
             | Ref: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Control_moment_gyroscope
        
               | suyjuris wrote:
               | I found this very interesting, thank you for sharing!
        
           | motoboi wrote:
           | Just as no one carries a winch to counter their vehicle
           | sudden backward acceleration. We just have turning wheels for
           | normal day to day control.
           | 
           | It's much more efficient just having a sane procedure to
           | check which gear you are engaging.
        
             | alisonkisk wrote:
             | We have two kinds of brakes.
        
               | greedo wrote:
               | Actually, most cars have one type of brake, with two
               | modes of activation.
        
           | Denvercoder9 wrote:
           | The ISS has always been designed as an integrated station of
           | the Russian and US segment. There was never any need to
           | duplicate functionality between both segments, as independent
           | operation of each segment is non-goal.
        
         | divbzero wrote:
         | The core of the argument is in the response to the incident:
         | 
         | > _To calm things down, official NASA spokesmen provided very
         | preliminary underestimates in how big and how fast the station
         | 's spin had been. These were presented without any caveat that
         | the numbers were unverified--and the real figures turned out to
         | be much worse. The Russian side, for its part, dismissed the
         | attitude deviation as a routine bump in a normal process of
         | automatic docking and proclaimed there would be no formal
         | incident investigation, especially any that would involve their
         | American partners. Indeed, both sides seemed to agree that the
         | sooner the incident was forgotten, the better._
         | 
         | The author, who worked in Mission Control operations in the
         | 1980s, argues that similar signs of degrading safety standards
         | and minimizing mistakes led up to the _Challenger_ tragedy.
        
           | webreac wrote:
           | Degrading safety is a very plausible explanation. Another one
           | is that they know exactly what went wrong and they cover for
           | each other because the mistake is so ridiculous that it would
           | tarnish their reputation.
        
             | alisonkisk wrote:
             | That's the _same_ explanation, as thoroughly explained in
             | the article -- politics is degrading and overriding safety.
        
       | nickik wrote:
       | I have long argued that dropping the Russians from this program
       | is the only way to go.
       | 
       | The Russians have turned into a hindrance. Every error that
       | happens is a conspiracy. When one of their workers drilled a
       | whole into their spacecraft they publicly accused Americans
       | astronauts to be spies who sabotaged their hardware.
       | 
       | Those who say 'but then they will work with China', ok, go ahead,
       | destroy their space station. Let China finance their broken
       | industry if they really want to.
       | 
       | NASA needs to move on from ISS and move to a privately operated
       | station with the main focus on the moon and Mars.
        
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