[HN Gopher] Open-source intelligence challenges state monopolies...
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       Open-source intelligence challenges state monopolies on information
        
       Author : helsinkiandrew
       Score  : 177 points
       Date   : 2021-08-07 07:21 UTC (15 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.economist.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.economist.com)
        
       | mdp2021 wrote:
       | I would like to notify the interested about this interview from
       | Jeremy Paxman to Eliot Higgins of Bellingcat, dated 3 Mar 2021
       | 
       | https://play.acast.com/s/paxman/eliothiggins-bellingcat-
        
       | nathan_phoenix wrote:
       | https://archive.is/glZCA
        
       | gatvol wrote:
       | Seems the article itself is an attempt to lend Bellingcat et al
       | some credibility
        
       | stefantalpalaru wrote:
       | <<Reuters, BBC, and Bellingcat participated in covert UK Foreign
       | Office-funded programs to "weaken Russia," leaked docs reveal>> -
       | https://thegrayzone.com/2021/02/20/reuters-bbc-uk-foreign-of...
        
       | beardyw wrote:
       | Just finished reading Eliot Higgins' Becoming Bellingcat last
       | night. He stresses how important it is to archive sources
       | because, as we know, stuff online is here today gone tomorrow.
       | Sometimes literally apparently.
       | 
       | International repercussions over stuff like this take years to
       | run their course.
        
         | ncphil wrote:
         | A good argument for donating to archive.org, which is
         | undeniably a global treasure at this point. We definitely need
         | more repositories of open source intelligence, if only so we
         | can tell when operators like Bellingcat are trying to play us.
         | And yeah, Greenwald has stood out with a very few others in
         | challenging official propaganda from both government and
         | private interests. Believe it or not, there are those out there
         | who think he hasn't done enough across a broader front. But
         | that's probably unfair: we're talking just a few conscientious
         | reporters versus an veritable army of high priced shills in
         | shiny suits.
        
       | gpcr1949 wrote:
       | Open-source intelligence challenges state monopolies on
       | information - except, in some cases it doesn't. To take the
       | example of Bellingcat/Higgins, their site definitely has a
       | certain political orientation that usually tends to align with
       | NATO interests, for example when it comes to Syria or various
       | Russian operations. Several of their employees have backgrounds
       | in intelligence/military (Kaszeta, Biggers), some of their
       | funding comes from state-linked sources (Such as the NED[0]). I
       | also recall reading some Bellingcat article where the information
       | was not open source, relying on some leaked database of russian
       | passports instead [1], which is fair enough as journalism, but
       | not open source.
       | 
       | I'm not saying the conclusions of Bellingcat et al are
       | necessarily wrong (though personally i take some of what they are
       | writing with a grain of salt), but I would doubt that open source
       | intelligence groups are necessarily that anti systemic or a
       | challenge to state directed information flows and embargos.
       | Finally, here is a fairly interesting article with a critical
       | view of the Bellingcat group [2], though the source, Mintpress,
       | is quite biased so critical reading is advised.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.bellingcat.com/about/
       | 
       | [1] https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-
       | europe/2018/10/09/ful...
       | 
       | [2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26772184
        
         | toofy wrote:
         | Regardless of your feelings on Bellingcat, none of that changes
         | the fact that, us (the community) having access to more
         | information and more tools at our disposal to analyze this
         | information is a far better outcome than governments locking it
         | away.
         | 
         | It is quite literally--as the headline says, challenging the
         | governments (and i'd toss in corporations as well) monopolies
         | on certain types of information.
         | 
         | Even if you don't personally like Bellingcat, feed us more
         | information, not less. The more information we have access to,
         | the more difficult it is for authoritarian governments to run
         | propaganda against us.
         | 
         | Also, yeah, I think you may have been drastically understating
         | when you mention mint being biased. There are surely sites
         | which are critical of open source research institutes like
         | Bellingcat that will have a far better track record than
         | somewhere like mint who have had multiple bouts of absolutely
         | bonkers and absurd propaganda for brutal dictators and brutal
         | regimes. Of course they're against OSINT.
         | 
         | We need far more open source intelligence research not less.
        
           | mrobot wrote:
           | Organizations like Bellingcat are really just sort of less-
           | than-professional press outlets for the intelligence
           | agencies. The information is controlled, the interpretation
           | is biased because of spook affiliation at the highest levels,
           | and they can be more sloppy than official government agencies
           | with the information that is available to inject some
           | narrative into public opinion without it actually being fact.
           | They can wave off any harm they do. Some of these
           | organizations make absolutely wild conclusions based on very
           | limited info like looking up buildings on google earth and
           | assuming they are some type of building, making some crazy
           | conclusion like such and such number of prisoners somewhere.
           | 
           | If you're worried about brutality, you might want to look up
           | what US sanctions on Syria are actually doing to the people
           | there. They can't eat. They have no heat. No gas. We are
           | stealing their oil. Do you think the Syrian people might see
           | us as an authoritarian government? Because they are
           | suffering, we are causing it, there's nothing they can do,
           | and the situation is enforced by violence.
        
             | noduerme wrote:
             | Really? You can't draw some conclusions about the number of
             | Uighur prisoners in Chinese camps, based on satellite
             | evidence? Oh, right, they're Sunni. We shouldn't put
             | sanctions on Assad when he drops barrel bombs on his own
             | civilians? Oh, wait, they were Sunnis. Wikipedia is
             | controlled by the US intelligence agencies? Don't make me
             | laugh. You want pure Shia propaganda from Assad and the
             | Ayatollah, trust MintPress.
             | 
             | Even if Bellingcat's views and mission align with NATO and
             | against Putin, Assad, et al, so what? We should take the
             | word of murderous dictators instead, because the West is so
             | evil?
        
           | acituan wrote:
           | > us (the community) having access to more information and
           | more tools at our disposal to analyze this information is a
           | far better outcome than governments locking it away.
           | 
           | > The more information we have access to, the more difficult
           | it is for authoritarian governments to run propaganda against
           | us.
           | 
           | I am definitely not going to defend the government monopoly
           | on information, but people having access to information does
           | not mean them coming to the rational conclusions either, as
           | evident with the information we have available today more
           | than ever and the polarized confusion accompanies almost
           | everything that matters to us.
           | 
           | People rarely put in the hours of self-study to do a
           | principled analysis and come to their own conclusions. Open
           | source or not, people will recycle other people's pre-made
           | conclusions with much simpler heuristics. That's not a
           | problem per se, the problem is who gets to make those
           | conclusions and make most people hear about them.
           | 
           | Just like research papers are cherry-picked to make one's
           | biased point, this type of "open-source" branding will lend
           | itself readily to _narrative laundering_ , by (ostensibly)
           | non-governmental interest groups. Is that a good thing or a
           | bad thing? Depends who has the resources to make and
           | distribute those narratives. Are those going to be the people
           | most interested in neutral _reality_ most of the time?
           | Unlikely. That 's why we're reading about it on The Economist
           | (or <insert-your-favorite-big-brand-information-resource>).
           | That's why DC is choke-full of "think" tanks.
           | 
           | As information warfare gets complicated, it was expected to
           | see innovations on narrative branding, e.g. fact-checking,
           | fake-news, open-source-intelligence. None of these change the
           | problems with the machinery of our collective intelligence;
           | in fact they pose a Denial-of-Service threat to our
           | individual sense-making capacity, and we either throw up our
           | hands in nihilism or clutch on a heavily dichotomized version
           | of reality because the discordance between narratives are
           | growing larger and the discomfort of uncertainty is just too
           | painful.
        
         | kktkti9 wrote:
         | They are not anti-systemic
         | 
         | The system will emit one system that will always align with our
         | understanding of reality with constants we cannot violate. The
         | perimeter is programmed; physics. All this modeling is filling
         | in the middle. What it means as far as impact on human agency
         | is up to politics as usual.
         | 
         | This is more of the same "we have this streamlined math model,
         | now what?"
         | 
         | All these things are is confirmation math operators still work
         | within our known bubble of physics.
         | 
         | It's mathematically true whether we define it or not. Some
         | geometric art project is not a good basis for application of my
         | agency.
         | 
         | Biology science allows us to take the view the application of
         | these ideas is chemical delusion. The cynical take is that
         | managing human agency with models most cannot understand the
         | meaning of is fascist.
         | 
         | Go ahead and draw spirals on a wall all day. I don't have to
         | pick to politically empower people for it.
         | 
         | You know what saves money and effort? Doing less and buying
         | less. An economical solution that's untenable or rich people
         | would be normal.
        
         | jacobwilliamroy wrote:
         | Personally I think collaboration with a government is
         | inevitable in order to get access to the kinds of resources and
         | technology one needs to really cover one's butt on the
         | internet. It seems like government sponsorship is necessary
         | these days just to get a computer that hasn't already been
         | backdoored.
        
         | mdp2021 wrote:
         | Pluralism of investigation may be preferable (to the public) to
         | monopoly of investigation.
         | 
         | The matter is still part of the problem of the crisis in
         | journalism - the difficulties of financing in new market
         | models, and the ease of compromises with powers, hinder
         | investigative journalism. Even recognition of its core mandate
         | as a value is in crisis.
        
         | mhh__ wrote:
         | Personally I've never really been under the impression that
         | bellingcat were strictly neutral, I mostly buy that they get
         | tipped off and then rejustify the story using OSINT sometimes,
         | but let's not forget that they have published information which
         | is embarrassing to the US. See the recent story on procedures
         | on nuclear bases leaking from flashcard apps for example.
        
           | mandmandam wrote:
           | > they have published information which is embarrassing to
           | the US
           | 
           | Any examples that doesn't directly attack fossil fuel
           | competitors?
        
             | mhh__ wrote:
             | Nuclear bombs not reactors
        
             | HDMI_Cable wrote:
             | > Any examples that doesn't directly attack fossil fuel
             | competitors?
             | 
             | No offence, but that is moving the goalposts a bit;
             | information critical of the US is still critical of the US.
        
         | deadalus wrote:
         | US govt-sponsored website Bellingcat disrupts MH17 trial in
         | Netherlands
         | 
         | Source : https://thegrayzone.com/2021/01/02/bellingcat-
         | disrupts-mh17-...
         | 
         | ______________________________
         | 
         | Bellingcat fabricate evidence, deliberately hide documents in
         | new 'Russian spy plot'
         | 
         | Source : https://armswatch.com/exposed-bellingcat-fabricate-
         | evidence-...
         | 
         | ______________________________
         | 
         | Bellingcat is funded by and works together with the UK
         | government through the 'Institute for Statecraft' aka
         | 'Integrity Initiative'
         | 
         | Source :
         | https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Bellingcat#Integrity_Initiative
        
           | alwayseasy wrote:
           | TheGrayZone and wikispook are clearly known disinformation
           | outlets.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | bredren wrote:
         | > where the information was not open source, relying on some
         | leaked database of russian passports instead
         | 
         | If the information Was reasonably obtainable by anyone, I would
         | flag this as grey literature. That is OSINT.
        
         | wpietri wrote:
         | If a database has been leaked enough to be widely available,
         | isn't the effectively "open" in the OSINT sense?
        
         | IfOnlyYouKnew wrote:
         | That mintpress site is shady af, from zero transparency into
         | funding sources to the impossible-to-deny red flag of
         | attributing stories to writers who immediately deny all
         | involvement: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MintPress_News
         | 
         | And trying to triangulate the truth somewhere between them and
         | Bellingcat works about as well as a Tesla trying to triangulate
         | between the highway exit and continuing in its lane. As but one
         | example: either Assad dropped chemical weapons on his citizens,
         | or the rebels did. The former is supported by famous fans of US
         | imperialism like the UN, Doctors' without Borders, Amnesty, the
         | EU. and the reality that Assad was generally known to posses
         | those weapons and delivery capabilities. Taking the other side
         | are Putin, Assad, and, probably, Glen Greenwald.
        
           | mandmandam wrote:
           | I consider MPN far less shady than Fox, CBS, NBC, WaPo, or
           | the NYT. It's really nice to have a news source that applies
           | a modicum of skepticism to America's "foreign policy".
           | 
           | From your link:
           | 
           | > "BuzzFeed News in 2013 described the site as having "an
           | agenda that lines up, from its sympathy with the Syrian
           | regime to its hostility to Sunni Saudi Arabia, with that of
           | the Islamic Republic of Iran."
           | 
           | If we're talking about bias; how biased is it to claim that
           | since MPN don't agree with regime change in Syria, and they
           | don't go along with America's (twisted beyond belief)
           | "friendliness" towards SA, they must be working for Iran?
           | 
           | And, isn't it _weird_ that the wiki page makes no attempt to
           | link to any of MPN 's responses to such claims? Looking over
           | a recent one makes a lot of the claims made in your comment
           | and in the linked wiki page look ridiculous -
           | https://www.mintpressnews.com/a-biased-newsguard-honors-
           | mint...
        
             | mrobot wrote:
             | Yes, i don't think people realize just how ruthlessly
             | enforced alignment with US foreign policy goals is on
             | Wikipedia. In matters of foreign governments and current
             | events related to war, Wikipedia is essentially a
             | propaganda page of the CIA. Very few editors control
             | exercise real control over the foreign policy information
             | on Wikipedia. It is not the democratic neutral source that
             | people see it as, and that's part of why it's a good
             | propaganda tool. It is kind of a Trojan horse into your
             | trust boundaries.
             | 
             | If you watch some of the edit wars when a big event happens
             | in the news, you can often see very useful information
             | (with sources) being thrown away. It's not really possible
             | to get information on there that conflicts with the current
             | military goals, because that would upset the mission.
        
         | bishoprook2 wrote:
         | > their site definitely has a certain political orientation
         | that usually tends to align with NATO interests,
         | 
         | It seems to me that if a site presents any threat to the ruling
         | class, you simply see your Paypal access disappear, VISA
         | accounts go away, hosting goes away, ability to make a public
         | case via FB/Twitter/etc. goes down the memory hole, 'kept'
         | reporters attack you, MSM mobs you, so I'm not surprised.
         | 
         | The last half decade has made the real game as plain as day.
        
       | [deleted]
        
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       (page generated 2021-08-07 23:02 UTC)