[HN Gopher] Feelings at the Fall of the Republic, Ancient and Me...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Feelings at the Fall of the Republic, Ancient and Medieval Living
       Standards
        
       Author : parsecs
       Score  : 131 points
       Date   : 2021-08-06 04:52 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (acoup.blog)
 (TXT) w3m dump (acoup.blog)
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | > a magistrate would convene the senate and pose a question
       | 
       | This is a good reminder of the democracy of the Republic. I had
       | forgotten that Magistrates had powers such as these. Popular
       | press and film concentrate on the Senators, (and Emperors for
       | post republic stories) but the magistrates, like the tribunes,
       | were elected by the plebs (populace) into a government with some
       | separation of powers. In fact it might be better to consider the
       | roman Senate more like the UN Security Council: all countries are
       | equal but de facto some countries are more equal than others, so
       | there is some structure for focusing and constraining them.
       | 
       | And do not forget that those with political ambitions (like
       | Gaius, who came from and old but minor patrician family, the
       | Julii, through a cadet Caesar branch) started out by being
       | elected a Tribune by the plebs, even if the objective was
       | Senatorial rank and a generalship.
       | 
       | Since the Reagan era at least the US has seemed in the thrall of
       | the same disease that afflicted the patricians of the roman
       | republic. It's no surprise major biographies of Cicero appeared
       | in the late 90s and early 20th century. The philosophy (as
       | described in the article "tendency of Roman elites to think in
       | terms of the virtue of individuals rather than the tendency of
       | systems" afflicts the analysis today. I value my individualism
       | and don't want government telling me what to do, but I also
       | recognize the value and function of community (whether taxes,
       | volunteering, speed limits, or vaccination). Rome (in all of
       | royal, republican, and imperial times) was far more atomized and
       | organized around families than most people realize today and that
       | was ultimately its weakness. Though there was a doctrine of
       | "civis romanus sum", the reality was that too much power remained
       | in the patrician houses, enough to permit essentially continuous
       | civil war once the republic was de facto gone.
        
       | brodo wrote:
       | Good article. When it comes to living standards, it is worth
       | mentioning that there was a more equal wealth distribution after
       | the fall of Rome which made it impossible for medieval nobles to
       | finance large armies. This meant that wars in medieval times
       | where shorter and less bloody then before and after. Also slavery
       | disappeared from Europe, except for Spain. For an everyday normal
       | person in western Europe living around the year 800-1300 was
       | probably better then during antiquity. Early modernity was pretty
       | bad compared to that period too. (witch trials, 30 year war...)
        
         | true_religion wrote:
         | Yes, somehow when it comes to slave states, people tend to
         | focus on the lifestyle of the slave masters rather than the
         | great heap of humanity living in squalor to support them.
         | 
         | In context though, I wonder if serfs really had it better. They
         | still had no freedom to move, and in the early Middle Ages
         | there was no appeal granted to serfs under a tyrannical lord.
        
           | weare138 wrote:
           | Serfs were essentially slaves but because Christianity
           | technically forbade slavery the church side-stepped the issue
           | by narrowly defining slavery as only when someone is bought
           | or sold. Serfs were bound to the land and lord they 'served'
           | under and had no rights. Lords couldn't buy and sell serfs
           | but they could lease them to other lords. So it wasn't
           | slavery as long as you gave the serf back to the lord you got
           | them from at some point.
        
             | notsureaboutpg wrote:
             | Where is your source that Christianity technically forbade
             | slavery and that this was related to the concept of
             | serfdom? I wasn't aware of this and find it surprising
             | compared to what I had originally thought about the time
             | period on question.
        
             | epicureanideal wrote:
             | There is a dead sibling comment to my comment that seems
             | inflammatory but is correct historically.
             | 
             | Many societies continued to have slaves after the
             | introduction of Christianity, including Britain before the
             | Norman conquest.
             | 
             | There was a religious reform movement around the time of
             | the conquest that if I understand correctly gradually
             | eliminated slavery over a few generations to a few
             | centuries.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | Someone can correct me but I think the difference is the
               | Church wasn't down with taking a Christian as a slave.
               | That would have resulted in the number of slaves
               | dwindling.
               | 
               | I think the in the US slavery is associated with the
               | virulent Slavery in the United States where slaves were
               | literal property every bit as much as a horse and a wagon
               | were property.
               | 
               | Might be that Romans would have considered the difference
               | between their slaves and medieval surfs as a distinction
               | without a difference. And possibly be horrified by the US
               | variant. Your slave doesn't have the right to marry and
               | own property? WTF?
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | > I think the in the US slavery is associated with the
               | virulent Slavery in the United States where slaves were
               | literal property every bit as much as a horse and a wagon
               | were property.
               | 
               | There was nothing especially virulent about slavery in
               | the US compared to slavery in other places.
               | 
               | > Your slave doesn't have the right to marry and own
               | property? WTF?
               | 
               | It's actually true that American slaves were generally
               | legally forbidden from marrying. This didn't matter,
               | though; marriage was not just not suppressed but actively
               | encouraged by slaveholders.
               | 
               | It's not true that American slaves didn't have the right
               | to own property. They did.
        
               | lalaland1125 wrote:
               | The main distinction here is that Christianity was much
               | more open to the slavery of non Christians than the
               | slavery of Christians.
               | 
               | The Catholic Church was very particular about this in
               | making sure to only ban the enslavement of Christians
               | while explicitly condoning the slavery of non Christians.
               | 
               | It's a classic example of ingroup vs outgroup bias.
        
           | bobthechef wrote:
           | > I wonder if serfs really had it better. They still had no
           | freedom to move, and in the early Middle Ages there was no
           | appeal granted to serfs under a tyrannical lord.
           | 
           | In Poland, peasants actually were freer in the Middle Ages
           | then they were in later centuries. Serfdom became more of a
           | thing with the rise of the wealthy landed magnates whose
           | greed increasingly bound the peasants to production. Poland
           | was, among other things, the breadbasket of Europe, and in
           | the preindustrial era, agriculture was a major source of
           | wealth, and so among its exports to Western Europe, grain was
           | a major source of revenue. The nobility in Poland was quite
           | large (around 10%, as opposed to the ~2% in a country like
           | France), but over time, a part of that nobility managed to
           | become fabulously wealthy and maintained private armies that
           | I believe could rival the army of the Polish Crown in size,
           | and owned hundreds of villages, towns, and even cities.
           | Eventually, Poland's last king, Stanislaus II Augustus,
           | placed the peasants under the protection of the State.
        
           | brodo wrote:
           | Yes although there where also some free farmers. As I
           | understand it, the serfs had more power in the high middle
           | ages than before and after, because the lords also lacked the
           | resources for strong police forces. There was not a lot of
           | metal around, so most soldiers did not have shields or armor.
           | You and your serf buddies could realistically resist the
           | local lord with some forks and knives. Plus the catholic
           | church was also protecting serf's rights to an extend.
        
             | lumost wrote:
             | I hadn't heard of a metal shortage during the middle ages (
             | only seen examples of heavy metal armor worn by nights ).
             | Do you have a link to a resource to learn more about this?
        
               | robotomir wrote:
               | I think shortage of metal was a problem during the bronze
               | age. Because bronze is easily recyclable, my theory is
               | that the Late Bronze Age collapse happened when everyone
               | had a sword. In the Iron age, it's not a question of
               | availability, but of technology, how quickly can you
               | provision a sword and a chainmail for everyone?
        
               | ProjectArcturis wrote:
               | Swords have always been a fairly rare weapon. Spears and
               | pole-arms offer longer range at much lower cost,
               | particularly in the context of massed infantry battles.
        
               | robotomir wrote:
               | What about armor?
        
               | watersb wrote:
               | Armor is hard. It slows you down, and you can't hear or
               | see as well as the guy coming up behind you.
               | 
               | If you are trained well enough to be effective with metal
               | armor, you're probably trained well enough to be
               | effective without it in close quarters.
               | 
               | Heavy plate requires mounted cavalry, but largely negates
               | the maneuverability of horse, and can be brought down
               | with foot trained with pikes or heavy spears.
               | 
               | Maybe the metal was best used elsewhere.
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | Medieval warriors who could afford it wore plate armour,
               | because it was (despite some drawbacks) incredibly
               | effective protection. Many modern tropes (they had to be
               | be winched on to horses, they couldn't get up if they
               | fell over etc) are just plain wrong. The medieval
               | warriors were less educated than us, but they weren't
               | stupid.
        
               | brodo wrote:
               | Here is a good German source: https://www2.ufg.uni-
               | freiburg.de/d/publ/zimm1.html
               | 
               | And here a different one in English: https://web.archive.
               | org/web/20180401081044/http://mygeologyp...
        
             | jeltz wrote:
             | What does metal have to do with shields? Metal shields were
             | never popular in medieval Europe. And I also really doubt
             | your assertion that shields were rare.
        
             | zrail wrote:
             | Also keep in mind that during that period the Black Plague
             | killed 30-60% of the population. Serfs had more power
             | because there were dramatically fewer of them.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | On the other hand if it took a plague to improve the
               | standards of living it is fair to agree the baseline was
               | quite abysmal.
        
               | zrail wrote:
               | Oh no doubt!
        
               | rufus_foreman wrote:
               | I don't think that argument makes sense. What's the
               | country with the highest standard of living today? This
               | says it's Canada: https://www.usnews.com/news/best-
               | countries/quality-of-life-r.... If a plague wiped out 50%
               | of the population of Canada, and wages went up
               | afterwards, would that mean that the current standard of
               | living in Canada is quite abysmal?
        
               | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
               | If a plague wiped out 50% of the population of the First
               | World countries, wages wouldn't go up, they'd disappear
               | entirely.
               | 
               | The just-in-time supply chains that keep the lights on
               | and food and other goods in the stores would fall apart
               | within a couple of weeks.
               | 
               | Medieval starvation was local. Areas were largely self-
               | sufficient in the bare essentials - except in bad years,
               | which happened regularly enough to keep a lid on
               | population growth, but not so regularly they caused
               | widespread depopulation.
               | 
               | Trade was mostly for useful extras.
               | 
               | That's very much not true today. Everything is
               | specialised and interdependent, and not even farming
               | areas are truly self-sufficient.
               | 
               | This was - and possibly still is - the biggest risk from
               | a pandemic. It's hard to calculate the exact tipping
               | point, but when you have a certain percentage of the
               | population unable to work for a couple of weeks or so,
               | essential systems start breaking down.
        
               | dragonelite wrote:
               | We have seen the shock to the supply chain that happened
               | during the early months of this pandemic.
        
               | Amezarak wrote:
               | Yes, this is the real problem with the modern world, and
               | I'm afraid it's only getting worse. We're becoming hyper-
               | efficient and scaling things up enormously at the cost of
               | being extremely fragile.
               | 
               | Eventually, some black swan event will happen and we'll
               | have a systems collapse it will be very hard to recover
               | from - because so little of the population will have
               | baseline skills. Thankfully this pandemic wasn't it, but
               | it doesn't seem to have woke up TPTB to the problem.
        
               | rufus_foreman wrote:
               | The "essential" system that broke down during the Black
               | Plague was serfdom.
               | 
               | If 50% of Canadians died next week, you think what,
               | Canada would cease to exist?
        
               | whoaisme wrote:
               | Maybe it would? I mean if yyou're smart tell us how 50
               | percent of Canucks getting wiped out would play out. You
               | act as if plenty of political entities didn't cease to
               | exist because of the plague.
        
               | pbourke wrote:
               | > If 50% of Canadians died next week, you think what,
               | Canada would cease to exist?
               | 
               | It's possible. Canada's nearly broken up* in recent
               | memory over regional differences. 50% of a population
               | dying is a massively destabilizing event that could undo
               | even a comparatively wealthy nation.
               | 
               | * or at least its second largest province narrowly
               | decided to stay in Confederation.
        
               | brodo wrote:
               | The black plague started 1350. 1310 was the big famine.
               | Late middle ages where no joke.
        
         | thrownblown wrote:
         | Lol. Slavery certainly did not disappear to everywhere but
         | Spain.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedish_slave_trade
        
         | mwaitjmp wrote:
         | > Also slavery disappeared from Europe, except for Spain
         | 
         | Slavery was unfortunately very much a thing in Anglo Saxon
         | England.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slavery_in_Britain#2
         | 
         | Pre the migration of the Saxons into England (not long after
         | the Romans left leaving the inhabitants unprotected) they would
         | raid coastal areas and carry off slaves back across the sea.
         | Later, Viking raiders would do the same...
        
         | felipemnoa wrote:
         | >>This meant that wars in medieval times where shorter and less
         | bloody then(sic) before and after.
         | 
         | My brain short circuited a bit when reading this sentence. Just
         | to clarify, you are saying that "wars in medieval times where
         | shorter and less bloody then(sic) before and after" medieval
         | times?
        
           | williamdclt wrote:
           | Probably meant "wars in medieval times were* shorter and less
           | bloody than* before and after"
        
           | dmos62 wrote:
           | Are you saying that the phrasing is incorrect? Medieval times
           | is some period and there's periods before and after that. I
           | don't see what you're saying.
        
             | vijayr02 wrote:
             | Not OP, I think it's a pedantic point being made. WW1 and
             | WW2 were both after medieval times.
        
         | bnralt wrote:
         | There were plenty of long and bloody wars during the High
         | Middle Ages (such as the Albigensian Crusade and the Anarchy,
         | just to name a couple).
         | 
         | I think a large part of the author's point that this is a long
         | period of time (even if we restrict it to 800-1300, that's
         | about the same length of time as between Columbus' voyage and
         | today), covering a large area (even if we restrict it to
         | Western Europe), and it's difficult to come up with a single
         | criteria of comparison.
        
         | tonmoy wrote:
         | Do you have any sources for either of these claims? This goes
         | against my general intuition (which could itself be wrong)
        
           | tarsinge wrote:
           | I don't have a source for this whole question but regarding
           | that intuition:
           | 
           | > English peasants likely didn't work more than 120-150 days
           | a year. That's about 215-245 days off a year.
           | 
           | From https://www.fodors.com/news/news/you-wont-believe-who-
           | got-mo...
        
             | watwut wrote:
             | That assumes there is no work out of season. So, no making
             | of bed sheets, no matter king of cloth, candles, fixing
             | tools, no animal care out of season and no work related to
             | small children. No storage maintenance, no baking/cooking.
        
               | jacobolus wrote:
               | Peasants everywhere work full time, all through the year.
               | For people who are just managing to survive, there is
               | always something that needs doing.
               | 
               | Growing or foraging and preparing food (especially
               | manually milling grain); making (starting from raw
               | plant/animal fibers), patching, and cleaning clothing;
               | building hedges, fences, walls, and thatched roofs;
               | making pottery; making and maintaining tools; taking care
               | of animals; .... are extremely labor intensive.
               | 
               | To get some idea what life was like for Stuart-period
               | English farmers (and life was much the same in preceding
               | centuries), see the BBC show _Tales from the Green
               | Valley_
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBC_historic_farm_series
        
         | zeteo wrote:
         | > wars in medieval times where shorter and less bloody then
         | before and after
         | 
         | Each individual war was shorter and less bloody but there were
         | many more of them as the barons were feuding constantly in the
         | absence of central authority. Also roving bands would
         | periodically loot and burn while passing by. If you look at the
         | time and effort invested into castles and city walls in the
         | period it tells you all you need to know about how safe people
         | felt at the time.
        
       | JasonFruit wrote:
       | > Overall the various Romans who contemplated reform were in a
       | way hindered by the tendency of Roman elites to think in terms of
       | the virtue of individuals rather than the tendency of systems.
       | 
       | I'm not convinced the two are separable. One important virtue in
       | a republic is self-restraint, the ability to see an opportunity
       | to enrich or empower yourself at the cost of the republic, and
       | refrain from exploiting it. A self-indulgent people will find it
       | hard to preserve the systems that comprise the republic.
        
         | davedx wrote:
         | Compare with the US: a system of laws, checks and balances can
         | prevent the most determined tyrants from seizing power. So far.
        
           | wolverine876 wrote:
           | > Compare with the US: a system of laws, checks and balances
           | can prevent the most determined tyrants from seizing power.
           | 
           | The laws, etc., help a lot, but they are built by people and
           | can be dismantled by people. The founders could have built an
           | authoritarian government; IIRC Washington was offered much
           | more power than he took, and his resignation after two terms
           | was his choice to put democracy first.
        
           | sologoub wrote:
           | A lot is changing in the US society and some not for the
           | better - if you compare to even 80s/90s, the strength of the
           | institutions has eroded and the trust is all but gone. The
           | "so far" may not last much longer.
        
             | NationalPark wrote:
             | Just to put some data behind it, Monmouth found in June
             | that 63% of Republican-identifiers and Republican-leaners
             | believe Joe Biden only won the 2020 election because of
             | voter fraud. Seems bad, but how does it stack up to faith
             | in institutions historically?
        
           | dTal wrote:
           | My first thought was that the US in particular suffers from
           | the same disease. It's a highly individual-focused culture
           | that tends to credit people with their successes and blame
           | them for their failures. Criminal justice reform, or harm
           | reduction for drug users, is fiercely opposed on the grounds
           | that it's _their fault_ they got into that situation. A
           | persistent fiction is that if only the right individual
           | becomes President, everything will be fixed. Systems level
           | thinking is unpopular.
           | 
           | As for tyrant-resistance, I would go so far as to say that
           | the US just had a tyranny stress test, and the results were
           | deeply concerning.
        
             | JasonFruit wrote:
             | I think the American people have forgotten some important
             | small-r republican principles. They have forgotten
             | tolerance, accepting that others may have differing values
             | and opinions, but that we need not force them to agree with
             | us. They have forgotten that every power you let "your guy"
             | exercise is going to be turned on you by "the other guy".
             | They have forgotten that loyalty should be to principles,
             | not parties or individuals, because a true principle never
             | turns hypocrite. And they have forgotten that the
             | responsibility for preserving liberty rests with them, not
             | politicians, not Supreme Court justices. There are
             | structural problems, yes, but I believe the root cause is
             | the people's lack of education in these points.
             | 
             | The system is made out of people.
        
             | aaron-santos wrote:
             | > Systems level thinking is unpopular.
             | 
             | It is. Moreover, the most pressing problems we face are in
             | fact systems level problems. At the root of this exists a
             | fallacy of composition where the argument is that if each
             | individual is virtuous, then the whole[system] is virtuous.
             | Are there other sources than the Roman republic for more
             | optimistic instances where this dynamic played out?
        
               | traject_ wrote:
               | > Systems level thinking is unpopular.
               | 
               | I think it is the opposite really. Materialistic thinking
               | is the baseline in modern society and in many ways the
               | tendency to dismiss the unquantifiable as non-existent is
               | one of the greatest weaknesses of modernity. It is
               | certainly far easier to quantify the average temperature
               | in a region using Antarctic or Greenland ice core data
               | and use that to determine how that may affect
               | agricultural production in a historic time period or
               | analyze average skeleton height sizes to assess quality
               | of life metrics than to analyze how cultural changes
               | affected problems.
               | 
               | >At the root of this exists a fallacy of composition
               | where the argument is that if each individual is
               | virtuous, then the whole[system] is virtuous
               | 
               | The Romans may not have worded it correctly but it should
               | not be surprising if we replace the word 'virtue' with
               | 'social norms' and re-analyze how changes in social norms
               | can affect social trust, how institutions are structured
               | and even how families are structured(e.g. a change in
               | norms from the religious change from paganism to
               | Christianity meant a change from the city focused
               | philanthropy of euergetism to the poor/sick focused
               | ecclesiastical charity).
               | 
               | Social trust, for example, is very important as it
               | greatly reduces transaction costs yet and its core much
               | of it relies upon the concept of common shared knowledge
               | (in the form of traditions, values and principles) that
               | is difficult to quantify. Yet at its core, the change in
               | social norms would be deeply related to changes in
               | 'virtues' as virtues, in practice, are ideals that
               | society pressures individuals to follow. So, the Romans
               | may not have the scholarly data on material changes in
               | the environment to be sure but they also have a better
               | intuitive understanding of the importance of virtues than
               | their modern successors.
        
         | ProjectArcturis wrote:
         | A well-designed republic will not rely on the self-restraint of
         | those in power. Indeed, it will assume those who seek power
         | have little self-restraint, and it will have systems of checks
         | and balances intended to prevent would-be tyrants from seizing
         | the entire state.
        
           | JasonFruit wrote:
           | I don't think it's realistic to expect a structure imposed by
           | law to withstand the abuse of people who make, interpret, and
           | enforce those laws, unless a superior force (the entire
           | people) is opposed to it.
        
       | zz865 wrote:
       | When talking about living standards, it must always be pretty
       | nice living on the Mediterranean, drinking your wine with fresh
       | fish, rustic bread and olive oil etc. Got to be great compared to
       | the guys freezing their butts off in Northern Europe eating
       | pickled turnips in the snow.
        
         | jeltz wrote:
         | Pickled turnips are delicious, you should try them if you like
         | pickles. But I mostly associate them with kebab and falafel
         | places.
        
         | andrepd wrote:
         | >it must always be pretty nice living on the Mediterranean,
         | drinking your wine with fresh fish, rustic bread and olive oil
         | 
         | Well I'm not gonna lie, it is x)
        
         | CRConrad wrote:
         | We don't eat pickled turnips. It's the herring, not the turnips
         | we pickle. So we eat _frozen_ turnips with pickled herring.
        
           | sologoub wrote:
           | We to the north-east of you do :)
        
             | CRConrad wrote:
             | Murmansk? Or just Jyvaskyla?
        
               | sologoub wrote:
               | A parent was born by a military base by Nikel, just on
               | the other side of the border from Svanvik and Bjornsund.
               | Slightly north west of Murmansk.
        
         | mistrial9 wrote:
         | compare freezing your butts off to thirty percent loss of
         | population via plague, mentioned above?
        
           | boomboomsubban wrote:
           | In a six hundred year period, like 590 of them would be
           | better in the Mediterranean. One generation may have had it
           | slightly better, but I'm pretty sure the Justinian plague
           | still hit northern Europe.
        
       | dash2 wrote:
       | Super interesting. One point about living standards: at this
       | point the world is in the Malthusian equilibrium, so living
       | standards are rather decoupled from technology. (Whenever
       | technology raises your living standards, you have more children,
       | and average GDP per head returns to subsistence level.)
       | 
       | Malthus has had a big comeback in the theory of economic growth
       | over the past couple of decades.
        
         | gelert wrote:
         | However, people in many countries around the globe are having
         | fewer children and not due to reaching "subsistence level".
         | Some of the biggest impacts in birth rates are education,
         | particularly for women, and birth control, both things are the
         | product of technology raising living standards. Birth rates are
         | not declining today because of Malthusian cycles.
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | > Whenever technology raises your living standards, you have
         | more children, and average GDP per head returns to subsistence
         | level.
         | 
         | I thought it was 1. people have lots of kids because lots of
         | them die, 2. progress in terms of stopping babies and children
         | dying means more adults than expected survive to adulthood, 3.
         | Those adults then adjust to the new reality and start having
         | less kids.
        
           | dash2 wrote:
           | That's the post-Malthusian world where there's effective
           | birth control. Now, how exactly you get from Malthus to post-
           | Malthus is a very tricky question.
        
             | merpnderp wrote:
             | Have several plagues and an economic crash, while retaining
             | your technology levels?
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-08-07 23:01 UTC)