[HN Gopher] Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone?
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       Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone?
        
       Author : gixo
       Score  : 180 points
       Date   : 2021-07-31 10:12 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bbc.co.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bbc.co.uk)
        
       | golergka wrote:
       | Sound exactly like what brexit campaigners said would happen:
       | borders close, supply of labour goes down, local wages go up.
        
         | fundad wrote:
         | This the painful in-between time when citizens realize they
         | have to take those jobs
        
       | paulpauper wrote:
       | It's evident we're transitioning to a post-labor society. The
       | labor force participation rate keeps falling. More and more
       | people are on sort for of welfare, assistance, or are homeless or
       | incarcerated. Tent cities everywhere all across the country, in
       | poor and rich areas alike. Each crisis, from 2008 to Covid, only
       | hastens this transition.
        
       | throw_m239339 wrote:
       | There is no "employee shortage". I don't know the reason why the
       | main stream press started to roll with that narrative but this is
       | a blatant lie. However unlike before the pandemic, some
       | candidates might refuse a job that only offers a pittance,
       | especially given the high inflation in most of the west.
        
         | lucb1e wrote:
         | > unlike before the pandemic, some candidates might refuse a
         | job
         | 
         | I don't understand this one, wouldn't a pandemic (entire
         | industries had to cut back on costs) cause more people to be
         | looking for work and thus tip the supply and demand balance
         | towards people being _less_ picky?
        
           | freeone3000 wrote:
           | The US instituted an unemployment benefit actually large
           | enough to pay the expenses of the unemployed. This cut
           | poverty by half, with a corresponding decrease in demand for
           | minimum wage jobs.
        
           | michaelbrave wrote:
           | "Essential workers" weren't treated well during the pandemic,
           | even now with arguments about masks it's pretty much awful.
           | Consider also how many were laid off initially (showing how
           | their job sees them as disposable on top of that) and combine
           | that with how they were barely scraping by before but now
           | inflation of essentials like food have gone up to the point
           | that it wouldn't scrape by as easily anymore and most aren't
           | willing to put up with it for a pittance anymore.
           | 
           | I actually think the bigger picture is that with
           | schools/daycare/camps closed there is no affordable way for
           | kids to be watched while at work which has caused multi
           | income families to go back to single income families and in
           | many cases this causes them to have more money than they
           | would have with daycare, especially if they are utilizing
           | unemployment benefits in place of one of those multi incomes.
           | I'm not sure how this is working with single parents but my
           | guess would be that a lot of them moved back with parents
           | when they got laid off at first, thus also causing an
           | imbalance.
           | 
           | It's also worth mentioning that a lot of people died from
           | covid and if you look at it outside of political leanings a
           | lot of those who didn't get vaccinated are the less educated
           | and less wealthy, so I'm sure that's at least a part of
           | what's going on.
        
           | jessaustin wrote:
           | The idea is that the disruption has shown workers they have a
           | wider range of options than they considered before. Maybe
           | they have changed to a different field, maybe they have
           | started their own business, maybe they have moved. In any
           | case, they aren't looking to get rehired at their old
           | position and compensation.
        
       | ryanSrich wrote:
       | At least where I live (PNW USA) there's a growing concern from
       | businesses that another lockdown is coming. They just started
       | requiring masks again this week. If I'm an employee of one of
       | those businesses, or was previously, I'm staying home. Why would
       | I go back when it seems that yet another lockdown is imminent,
       | and I'll be laid off again. Many of these workers have had wold
       | cried to them for a year and half. The whiplash of non masks, now
       | wear a mask, lockdown, now no lockdown, to lockdown again is more
       | than people can handle.
        
       | calltrak wrote:
       | I am an unemployed programmer. I am 50 years old. I have 15 years
       | of C#, 15 years of sql server, two years of golang, two years of
       | node.js, vue.js, svelte, css, html, postgress, rabbitmq, etc etc
       | etc.... My skills list is about 10 times this short list I just
       | threw up.
       | 
       | They tell me there is a skills and labor shortage in tech. That's
       | complete bullshit
       | 
       | I am UNEMPLOYED for a year. I don't believe one dam word the
       | government or the media says anymore. Not one word. Not about the
       | cough. Not about the labor shortage.
       | 
       | They will tell you the economy is booming meanwhile they are
       | boarding up New York City and there is homeless everywhere. It's
       | the same thing right across america. We are being lied to at an
       | awesome level.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | the_mitsuhiko wrote:
         | As a programmer if you're not working for a year it's safe to
         | say you're not actively looking and thus by definition excluded
         | from unemployment statistics.
        
         | asah wrote:
         | FYI the contact info (URL) in your HN account is 404ing...
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | hattmall wrote:
         | Are you looking for remote work? Where do you live? In the
         | south, everywhere is hiring.
        
         | arcturus17 wrote:
         | Have you tried remote-only positions? I'd assume they tend to
         | care less about age, if that's the problem.
         | 
         | I employ freelancers and pay competitive fees by European
         | standards. I would hire someone with your experience without
         | thinking too much about it (provided you had a modicum of
         | people skills) since I only care about people being courteous
         | and getting the job done, and not about "culture"...
        
           | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
           | As noted elsewhere, it seems Europe may be a better place for
           | older folks. I know that some nations have some fairly strict
           | laws about discrimination.
           | 
           | In the US, we have the same laws. It's flat-out illegal to
           | discriminate by age, as it is by race, religion, gender,
           | pregnancy, marital status, etc.
           | 
           | Out of that list, if a company tries anything other than age
           | discrimination, they are pilloried and investigated.
           | 
           | However, in the IT industry, age discrimination is actively
           | encouraged. Companies write job ads that basically say "Bros
           | only."
           | 
           | The story I hear, is that older folks are "just waiting for
           | retirement, and won't be loyal." That's rich, in an industry
           | that has been completely formed around the idea that
           | engineers will stay at a company for no more than two years.
           | 
           | In my case, I had my retirement set, years ago, and would
           | have been willing to work for half of what a lot of younger
           | folks would demand, if the work was motivating, and the work
           | environment was good.
           | 
           | I have an _enormous_ portfolio of exemplary work. My skills
           | are  "five minutes old." I'm not some old duffer, sitting on
           | COBOL skills (which, I understand, would actually have made
           | me more attractive).
           | 
           | It's been my experience that no one ever bothers to look at
           | the portfolio. They've already made up their mind, and the
           | only reason they are talking to me, is to tick off an EEOC
           | checkbox.
        
             | royallineage wrote:
             | > I have an enormous portfolio of exemplary work
             | 
             | Lol
        
             | BlissWaves wrote:
             | I don't see any evidence Europe being better for older
             | folks. On top of that salaries are really really low in
             | Europe.
             | 
             | Unless you are in the US and are going to graduate
             | university at 22-23 best to forget about a career in STEM.
             | Not worth the effort and time. Milk has a longer expiry
             | date than a STEM worker who's perceived over the hill late-
             | twenties or early thirties.
        
               | saiya-jin wrote:
               | Many things in those sentences are plainly not true. In
               | Europe, you can get very rich (by say western european
               | standards) if you do 1-man consulting well. I mean in top
               | 0.01% salary bracket for some countries while having
               | fairly standard current skillset (soft and hard skills).
               | Switzerland and Luxembourg have very high permanent
               | salaries - not SV levels, but definitely fine ones and
               | affording a great lifestyle.
               | 
               | Quality of life, say in Switzerland, (and I know this can
               | be a hot topic that depends on personal preferences) is
               | way better than basically anything US can offer for
               | similar wealth bracket. That's my personal view, based on
               | my personal opinions, evaluations and wish to give my
               | kids the best and healthiest environment to grow up in so
               | obviously not universally true.
               | 
               | Older dudes are definitely very supported here, but this
               | is specific per sector/company. Average age of my
               | coworkers (banking en Suisse) is around 45-50, all devs,
               | admins, devops. We wanted to hire one 55 year old guy for
               | dev position last week, we made him (a generous) offer
               | already but he chose a different position. He didn't have
               | the skillset list much bigger than what is flying around
               | by OP (maybe some crypto stuff but we don't do it yet).
               | 
               | What you describe are mostly startups full of folks who
               | want to get rich quickly, mostly fail, have attention
               | span shorter than tick of second hand on my watch. You
               | can find those everywhere. But that's a relatively small
               | part of the market and at least here definitely not the
               | best paying one.
        
               | BlissWaves wrote:
               | Luxemburg junior salary average is 36K, take home around
               | 2300. 1300 for rent and food you are left with 1000
               | euros.
               | 
               | Germany is where startups valued at $25bn and $45bn
               | (Zalando and Klarna) are paying less than $100k for 10
               | YoE with >40% income tax.
               | 
               | Please let's not discuss already obvious things though I
               | agree that Switzerland is better in terms of salary and
               | taxes.
               | 
               | As per your own company you are using anecdotal evidence.
               | Ageism in tech is very well-known and pretending it does
               | not exist is not going to fix antyhing.
        
               | tharkun__ wrote:
               | Since you mention banking (and I don't want to be ageist
               | here, greyhair here as well) is the prototype of an old,
               | crusty and backwards environment where nothing changes
               | and nothing gets done at a reasonable pace. Unless you
               | think of crazy deadlines being given as reasonable pace.
               | Speaking from experience. I never want to work in a bank
               | ever again.
        
             | bachmeier wrote:
             | > In the US, we have the same laws. It's flat-out illegal
             | to discriminate by age, as it is by race, religion, gender,
             | pregnancy, marital status, etc.
             | 
             | This is true, sort of. Age discrimination is different
             | where it matters - the threshold to prove age
             | discrimination is so high that the law could just as well
             | not exist.
        
         | cvhashim wrote:
         | > They will tell you the economy is booming meanwhile they are
         | boarding up New York City
         | 
         | > and there is homeless everywhere
         | 
         | Both of these can be true. The economy is great for all the
         | people at the top rungs of society while the rest may not be
         | seeing any of those prosperities.
        
         | lucb1e wrote:
         | > I don't believe one dam word the government or the media says
         | anymore. Not one word. Not about the cough.
         | 
         | If you really mean this, if you really think the pandemic is
         | all a big conspiracy created by your government... makes me
         | genuinely curious how you come across in interviews.
         | 
         | I don't think you're wrong about the labor shortage thing.
         | Similar story here: quite a bit of trouble finding a job as a
         | 25 year old tech person while you hear left and right that
         | nobody can seem to find any employees anymore. But that one
         | statistic is skewed, or perhaps that companies and employees
         | aren't properly being matched, doesn't mean "the cough" (and
         | what many people that contracted the virus describe as the
         | worst week in their life) is all a big hoax.
        
           | temphnaccount wrote:
           | I am curious as to how did you jump from not believing the
           | government to pandemic being a conspiracy? Pandemic is real
           | and governments have lied to their people, more so in last
           | one and a half year - both of these statements can be true.
           | 
           | Also you should not question someone's capability to come
           | across in the interviews based on their venting on online
           | anonymous platform. Humans can have vastly different emotions
           | depending on the situation.
        
             | bloopernova wrote:
             | Over the past 18 months or so, since the COVID-19 pandemic
             | has been foremost in our minds, a group of people have
             | espoused certain opinions or viewpoints. Namely:
             | The pandemic is a hoax         It doesn't kill people
             | Those that did die, died from other causes         That
             | they won't wear a mask         That they won't get a
             | vaccine         That the vaccine modifies DNA
             | 
             | The person who referred to the COVID-19 pandemic as "the
             | cough" may or may not hold any or all of those views. But
             | 18 months of hearing that group of people espouse those
             | views leads many of us to learn that if they support one of
             | the views above, they support them all.
             | 
             | Again, that may or may not be correct or ethical. It's just
             | our experience.
        
         | op00to wrote:
         | No, they are not "boarding up New York City", but conservative
         | trolls do seem to be invading this post, maybe we should board
         | the post up instead.
        
         | phenkdo wrote:
         | It stretches credulity that you have that many skills and still
         | unemployed. Employers are hiring just about anyone in tech
         | these days. Where are you located?
         | 
         | You can kvetch about the media all you want, but the job market
         | is the best it has ever been, and unlikely to get any better.
         | Sorry to be harsh here, but if you can't find a job in this
         | market, you ought to reconsider your professional choices.
        
           | goodpoint wrote:
           | In may English-speaking countries ageism is the norm. You
           | don't get any offer after 45 unless you are famous.
        
           | thedream wrote:
           | > It stretches credulity that you [...]
           | 
           | vs
           | 
           | > You can kvetch about the media all you want [...]
           | 
           | Why engage with a primary source when you can have your
           | worldview spoonfed to you by a thinly-veiled Pharma ad
           | masquerading as news?
           | 
           | Yeah, let's keep kvetching.
        
           | kikiakaki wrote:
           | "Hey, it's so awesome for me!!! You must be a liar, because
           | for me it's all cool."
           | 
           | Is this all your argument or did you also want to say
           | something meaningful?
        
           | Roritharr wrote:
           | My father-in-law is in a similar position, just ten years
           | older than parent. He always gets rejections based on "lack
           | of cultural fit". Ageism is real in tech.
        
           | throw_m239339 wrote:
           | > but if you can't find a job in this market, you ought to
           | reconsider your professional choices.
           | 
           | There is enough literature out there about the racist, sexist
           | or ageist hiring practices in the tech sector that you might
           | as well rethink your comment here. How old are you?
        
         | umanwizard wrote:
         | For what it's worth: I live in NYC. It is not boarded up.
        
           | dbattaglia wrote:
           | I was puzzled by this as well. There was of course instances
           | of this during the George Floyd protests (over a year ago),
           | and a bit right around the election, but that was just
           | companies protecting their property from some of the rowdier
           | protesters.
        
           | forz877 wrote:
           | That's the narrative a lot of these people living in the
           | flyover states are fed on repeat 24/7.
           | 
           | You'd think NYC , SF, LA were third world countries according
           | to them. You can tell right from his comment why he likely
           | doesn't have a job.
        
             | dbattaglia wrote:
             | My wife and I have both been hearing this narrative from
             | coworkers outside of where we live (in NYC), asking if
             | we're living in a ghost town or warzone. It feels strange.
             | 
             | By the way I think the term "flyover state" is probably a
             | bit offensive to folks that happen to live outside of
             | coastal cities.
        
               | forz877 wrote:
               | It's bizarre but if you see the content they are watching
               | and are fed it begins to make sense. They're never
               | exposed to these places so they never have an opportunity
               | to think for themselves.
               | 
               | Often times when I've gone to more rural/southern areas
               | it's amazing how kind the people are - I think on both
               | sides people just forget that there are just regular folk
               | everywhere. The politics attempts to dehumanize.
        
               | bachmeier wrote:
               | > By the way I think the term "flyover state" is probably
               | a bit offensive to folks that happen to live outside of
               | coastal cities.
               | 
               | It's not. It is, however, a certain way to get us to
               | ignore anything you have to say.
        
               | forz877 wrote:
               | That's already happening anyway.
        
           | varjag wrote:
           | I'm sure the GP reserves his charming side for the
           | interviews.
        
         | BlissWaves wrote:
         | Yup, on top of it ageism in tech can appear as early as late
         | twenties!
        
           | beebeepka wrote:
           | That's nuts but I can believe it. My own experience is that
           | if I am being interviewed by a 20 something, I am not getting
           | the job no matter what. Not a single exception in a decade
           | now lol. It's real
        
             | 100-xyz wrote:
             | Strongly agree. Has been my experience as well.
        
         | poisonborz wrote:
         | If you do, stop including your birthdate on CV-s, and don't
         | answer questions regarding your afe.
        
         | BossingAround wrote:
         | Might also be an attitude problem on your side. If you're
         | serious about getting a job, consider coaching.
         | 
         | This "nobody is hiring, everything sucks, and I'm the victim
         | here" narrative isn't really helping you.
         | 
         | Also, bringing up stuff like "lies about the cough" (which I
         | assume is OP talking about COVID) absolutely undermines your
         | credibility as an individual capable of critical thinking,
         | which is necessary for software engineering.
        
           | ajb wrote:
           | Would you rather , on this site, people post what they
           | honestly think, or what they would say in a job interview
           | situation? Because if the latter, you might be better off not
           | assuming that the OP is dumb enough to let out their
           | unvarnished thoughts in an interview.
        
             | nate_meurer wrote:
             | > _you might be better off not assuming that the OP is dumb
             | enough to let out their unvarnished thoughts in an
             | interview._
             | 
             | After a glance at Calltrak's recent comment history, I
             | think that might actually be an ok assumption.
        
           | umanwizard wrote:
           | It's true though, the media has massively distorted the truth
           | about covid over and over since the beginning.
           | 
           | For the most recent egregious example, see this exchange: htt
           | ps://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/142122951874...
        
             | loopz wrote:
             | After some searching I found both old recommendations, and
             | new ones about this explicitly [0].
             | 
             | The problem here is that nobody knows for sure, and someone
             | must decide based on precautions and ongoing research. It
             | is expected that new knowledge will make old information
             | obsolete. An ongoing situation will also change during its
             | course. Media just reflects this and there's no
             | expectations of perfection.
             | 
             | It's _on what basis_ opinions are formed that truly matter.
             | Anyone can make thousands of bets and congratulate
             | themselves on 50% of them.
             | 
             | [0] https://news.yahoo.com/cdc-says-fully-vaccinated-
             | people-2015...
        
             | peakaboo wrote:
             | People started noticing during covid but it's been going on
             | for a very long time. I think it's awesome to see so many
             | people realize this now though. We need that to happen.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | BossingAround wrote:
             | OP's statement leads straight to "they're out to get me,"
             | which is absolutely not helpful, and it's absolutely an
             | indicator of a difficult hire.
             | 
             | If I'm interviewing someone and the person is demonstrating
             | a victim narrative, that is a huge red flag.
             | 
             | Similarly, the inability to see shades of gray (e.g. "using
             | MySQL is always utterly stupid, you should never use it in
             | favor of Postgres") which OP demonstrates with their COVID
             | statements, makes a person virtually non-employable in my
             | book.
        
               | fallenspec wrote:
               | > OP's statement leads straight to "they're out to get
               | me," which is absolutely not helpful, and it's absolutely
               | an indicator of a difficult hire.
               | 
               | Not at all. If you've been out of work for a year and
               | seeing your savings (if you have any) dwindle and vent on
               | what is an internet comment sections, doesn't indicate
               | how you are in person at all.
               | 
               | > If I'm interviewing someone and the person is
               | demonstrating a victim narrative, that is a huge red
               | flag.
               | 
               | You are ignoring the present situation entirely.
               | Governments have put everyone's life on hold for well
               | over a year now (we are in month 17). Statements from
               | authorities have been contradictory, non-sensical, they
               | have lied in some cases and some have broken their own
               | lockdown rules (e.g. in the UK Matt Hancock which was in
               | charge of public health IIRC was exposed as having an
               | affair during COVID, which BTW was illegal under the
               | lockdown rules).
               | 
               | So many people can see it for what it is. One rule for
               | them and one rule for the plebs.
               | 
               | > Similarly, the inability to see shades of gray (e.g.
               | "using MySQL is always utterly stupid, you should never
               | use it in favor of Postgres") which OP demonstrates with
               | their COVID statements, makes a person virtually non-
               | employable in my book
               | 
               | You are reading far too much into comments around COVID
               | due to your personal bias (which btw is obvious here).
               | Because you disagree on a particular issue doesn't not
               | indicate someone's thinking in a different field of
               | expertise. e.g. there are many great scientists that
               | believe very deeply in Religion. Which as a non-believer
               | I would think would be at odds with one another.
               | 
               | I have personally found it very difficult to find a job
               | during COVID as well. I am almost 40 now and it worries
               | me that I might experience the same in the future.
        
               | heurisko wrote:
               | In addition to Matt Hancock, there was also the case of
               | exemptions from quarantine for UEFA football VIPs. [1]
               | 
               | I think it's right the UK is returning to personal
               | responsibility, especially as many of the rules haven't
               | seemed to be science-based e.g. you must wear a mask
               | entering a pub, but you are allowed to remove the mask
               | while eating seated.
               | 
               | It's health-theatre, rather than virus prevention.
               | 
               | [1]
               | https://www.theguardian.com/football/2021/jun/18/vips-to-
               | be-...
        
               | fallenspec wrote:
               | There were many notable people who were exposed as to
               | exposing that we all should be lockdown while breaking
               | the rules themselves. It is quite frustrating when I live
               | in an area where almost everyone followed the rules.
               | 
               | Yes there is a quite an element to theatre to the whole
               | thing, which makes sensible discussion about the issue
               | impossible. Which I believe is somewhat by design.
        
               | nate_meurer wrote:
               | > _Which I believe is somewhat by design._
               | 
               | That's a really interesting thought that had never
               | occurred to me. Maybe somewhat akin to Steve Bannon's
               | "flood the zone with shit" strategy.
        
               | fallenspec wrote:
               | There is a short by Adam Curtis called "Oh Dear". You may
               | have seen it.
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wcy8uLjRHPM
               | 
               | The basic takeaway is that you make it impossible for the
               | average person to keep up the thread of events and they
               | become apathetic to it. I've also watched Adam Curtis's
               | "Hypernormalisation". It is well worth a watch.
        
           | TheAdamAndChe wrote:
           | You've got cause and effect flipped here. It's not the
           | bitterness that causes one to be not hired, its not being
           | hired that causes bitterness. I experienced the same when
           | trying to get in the field. The narrative at the time was
           | that there was a labor shortage, and they were trying to push
           | for more H1B visa holders. Yet there were very very few entry
           | level positions, nobody was training, and the company that
           | hired me paid horribly($12/hr) and didn't teach me anything.
           | Keep in mind, I had recently graduated from university in the
           | field.
           | 
           | For decades, employers had far more leverage than employees.
           | Now that that's eroded a bit, everyone is panicking. But this
           | is exactly what is needed to employers to actually train and
           | care about their workers.
        
             | nate_meurer wrote:
             | > _It 's not the bitterness that causes one to be not
             | hired, its not being hired that causes bitterness._
             | 
             | That's a pretty absolutist statement. Is it not possible
             | that both are sometimes present, and lead to a downward
             | spiral of poor attitude and unemployablility?
        
             | the-dude wrote:
             | > The narrative at the time was that there was a labor
             | shortage
             | 
             | Not unique to the particular time or place : Dutch
             | employers are complaining about a lack of technical workers
             | for decades, think welders / metal workers / machine
             | operators etc.
             | 
             | Except they pay sh*t. Somehow the statement about the lack
             | of workers gets printed in the media everytime.
             | 
             | Now we have the 'free transfer of people' in the EU. The EU
             | is not there for you, but for the employers ( just like HR
             | ).
        
           | MichaelMoser123 wrote:
           | I don't know. I am fifty one years old, last year I was sent
           | packing. I found that it is increasingly more difficult for
           | me to find a new job as a programmer, as the years go by. I
           | am very grateful that I found a job, eventually.
           | 
           | Dear Calltrack, don't get too upset by the reactions in this
           | thread, some people here are, well, not very compassionate,
           | to say the least.
        
             | fishmaster wrote:
             | It's not about 'compassion', it's about denying the Covid
             | pandemic being real and calling it 'the cough'.
        
           | op00to wrote:
           | This guy wouldn't make it past a first phone screen with that
           | attitude thank goodness.
        
             | kikiakaki wrote:
             | Yeah, because we all know that people tend to behave the
             | same online when commenting anonymously and during a phone
             | interview. If that's what you think, I think it's you who
             | should spend some time polishing those interviewing skills.
        
           | crispyambulance wrote:
           | The guy is frustrated and people say things like that when
           | they're frustrated, it's understandable, though he certainly
           | isn't helping himself by expressing such thoughts.
           | 
           | The "lies" he's talking about, I think, are a side-effect of
           | the dichotomy of having an investor class that is doing
           | better than ever and a working class that's in a downward
           | spiral. Sadly, economic performance is measured strictly for
           | the benefit of the investor class. So yeah, when someone
           | who's involuntarily unemployed sees booming market numbers
           | and talking heads on TV are calling out an economy that's
           | "bounced back", it looks like a lie (and honestly I believe
           | it is a kind of lie too).
        
           | m0llusk wrote:
           | This sounds like a complete misunderstanding of the
           | situation. In a thread about employers having trouble with
           | hiring someone posted their honest frustrations as a
           | potential employee looking for work. It is extremely unlikely
           | that any cover letter, resume, or job interview is in any way
           | similar because that context is completely different.
           | 
           | Just to pick one common idea among recruiters, it often takes
           | about a month of job seeking per year of experience to get a
           | position that is a solid match. That means that the people
           | posting here with decades of experience can expect years of
           | leetcode interviews before getting hired. Recruiters seem
           | like a better source of information than currently employed
           | and in demand coders.
        
             | cactus2093 wrote:
             | These aren't honest frustrations, lol, this person
             | basically called covid a hoax and said all the official
             | labor numbers are made up.
             | 
             | And idk what recruiters say this about experience but
             | that's not even a claim that could be substantiated. What
             | even is a "solid match"? Sure, if you have crazy specific
             | requirements to be willing to take a job it will take you
             | longer to search. That applies regardless of age. Maybe on
             | average older candidates tend to me more rigid in their
             | expectations and are less open to working with new
             | industries or programming languages or something, but
             | that's their choice.
        
           | jokethrowaway wrote:
           | Sure tech companies generally are generally on your political
           | side and not on his but he's most likely not getting hired
           | because of ageism and because people don't really need people
           | with tons of experience. A kid with some basic knowledge who
           | will comply to whatever bs is being told is good enough. Plus
           | they can easily convince him to care about the company, do
           | overtime, etc. Good luck trying that crap with a 50yo.
        
           | MeinBlutIstBlau wrote:
           | The media downplayed covid until some places started closing.
           | Then they kicked it into full on "zombie virus everyone is
           | gonna die" mode real quick. On top of that, they (meaning
           | social media as well) tried to circumvent the CDC numerous
           | times by flagging things they've said because the media
           | doesn't want COVID to die now that Trump is out of office.
           | Trump was a damn goldmine and they're trying to force COVID
           | to be another one.
        
           | beerandt wrote:
           | >absolutely undermines your credibility as an individual
           | capable of critical thinking
           | 
           | Nothing says "critical thinking" like believing everything
           | you're told by government and msm.
        
             | SonOfKyuss wrote:
             | It's more about believing unfounded conspiracy theories
             | over mountains of evidence regardless of the source.
        
           | matwood wrote:
           | > Might also be an attitude problem on your side.
           | 
           | I don't know about the OP, but I think sometimes people
           | forget that getting hired is only part skill list match. The
           | other part is likability. I've worked with enough smart
           | assholes to never want to do that again if I can avoid it. I
           | also frequently reflect to make sure _I 'm_ not being an
           | asshole.
        
             | TheAdamAndChe wrote:
             | Being able to be picky about employees is the opposite of a
             | labor shortage.
        
         | fallenspec wrote:
         | I was unemployed for 9 months in the UK. I was a
         | contractor/consultant and had to take a full time position.
         | 
         | When Lockdowns started I was literally finishing a contract and
         | was happy to have some time off. After month 7 of not having
         | any work and eating into savings and constantly lockdowns meant
         | I had to go full time.
         | 
         | Interview process was frustrating to say the least. Lots of
         | pre-screen "tests" which some were two to 3 hours of asking
         | computer science style questions that are irrelevant for web
         | development.
         | 
         | It was a frustrating process that was exasperated by COVID.
        
         | jen20 wrote:
         | > Not about the cough
         | 
         | I\m going to go ahead and guess that this is an attitude
         | problem, not a skill problem.
         | 
         | Further - do you _really_ have 15 years of experience of C# and
         | SQL Server, or (as is very common in that space) do you
         | actually have one year of experience 15 times?
        
         | mgh2 wrote:
         | Can't you hide your age for remote jobs? At least initially,
         | when interviewing (they are not allowed to ask)
        
           | goodpoint wrote:
           | He probably gets the "no culture fit" euphemism after each
           | video interview.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | Waterluvian wrote:
         | I know you're not trying to interview right here and now, but
         | listing tools doesn't move the needle. That's not what
         | employability in tech is measured by.
         | 
         | I'm trying to hire for a number of software positions and
         | that's a common issue I see in resumes.
         | 
         | I don't want to hear that you're a wizard with a hammer. I want
         | to know about the times you lead a team in building a house
         | from start to finish.
        
           | lucb1e wrote:
           | > I want to know about the times you lead a team in building
           | a house from start to finish.
           | 
           | What if that's not something I can do? If I'm really good at
           | tech, am really good in terms of writing code fast, correct,
           | and readable, but management just isn't for me? Would you not
           | hire me for a software position, also not at a lower salary
           | or with a junior label or something?
        
             | UncleMeat wrote:
             | It isn't unreasonable to want to hire people that will be
             | able to grow into senior positions. If you are
             | demonstrating that you'll never do that, this is a red flag
             | for hiring.
        
             | freeone3000 wrote:
             | We're not interested in hiring "perpetual juniors". The
             | increased oversight of junior employees is an investment in
             | them becoming senior in a 2-3 year timeframe. The skills
             | listed above are for independent action, follow-through,
             | communication, and teamwork, in a tech lead position, which
             | are _more important_ than writing code. If you haven 't
             | acquired those skills by now, it's unlikely any amount of
             | mentorship will teach them to you, so it's going to be a
             | pass.
        
               | pcthrowaway wrote:
               | > The increased oversight of junior employees is an
               | investment in them becoming senior in a 2-3 year
               | timeframe.
               | 
               | So in your mind, they go straight from junior to senior?
               | I've been developing software for 8 years now, and still
               | call myself intermediate. Senior is for people with
               | incredibly deep knowledge of multiple technologies and
               | how they work together, in my mind.
        
               | freeone3000 wrote:
               | We don't have an intermediate role, the step after
               | Software Development Expert II is Senior Software
               | Development Expert. This is pretty consistent among peer
               | companies. Your description of senior isn't inaccurate,
               | but, after many years of schooling, personal development
               | experience, and on-the-job training, it's expected that
               | people will gain that level of expertise in at least one
               | domain -- maybe not to the same degree you're expecting,
               | but career progression does not necessarily stop at SSDE.
        
               | grosswait wrote:
               | Have you considered that this model is perhaps only a
               | current trend and that it isn't necessarily the "correct"
               | model?
        
               | freeone3000 wrote:
               | Sure, but, we're already well over capacity as it is.
               | Feel free to experiment at your company.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | 100-xyz wrote:
         | We are looking for SW engineers in the USA. Can you drop me an
         | email leisenming AT protonmail DOT com? Thanks and good luck.
        
         | joeblau wrote:
         | Just a side note. I'm actually working on building a remote
         | team and when I went to your profile, the link in there was
         | dead. How do people casually browsing your profile discover
         | what you've worked on and learn more about you?
        
         | saiya-jin wrote:
         | There must be something more to your story. Some slight mental
         | issues, way too high expectation from work/salary/special
         | requirements etc. A lot of folks think of themselves as
         | perfectly fine, but on interviews they come as hard-to-work-
         | with introverted weirdos. Applying for a very senior
         | lead/managerial position. And so on.
         | 
         | A year must mean tons of applications and at least some
         | interviews. Do you have any idea/feedback from failed
         | interviews on why they failed?
        
         | ostenning wrote:
         | Exactly why I am sidestepping out of software into embedded and
         | hardware development. You could never make a 6 week boot camp
         | for EE.
        
         | cactus2093 wrote:
         | I agree with the other commenters, you sound completely
         | detached from reality and I would never even make it far enough
         | to evaluate your skills before declining to work with you.
         | 
         | The best thing you can do is probably to get some therapy. Yes,
         | there are some legitimate scandals and lies in the media and
         | government. Most other people are able to take this in stride
         | and still live happy, productive lives. Standards of living are
         | higher now than they ever have been in history. Things aren't
         | all bad. If you shift your attitude and stop conveying that you
         | think you are not getting what you deserve and everyone is out
         | to get you, and become nicer and more humble, I think you'll
         | have much better luck.
        
           | mynameishere wrote:
           | You armchair psychiatrists work fast! Why would he need a
           | therapist when he's got you telling him he's a lunatic based
           | upon his venting on the internet?
        
         | ramphastidae wrote:
         | No one gets a job because of how long they've been alive or how
         | frustrated they are. I suggest changing your attitude and I'd
         | also suggest avoiding rants about the government and media, as
         | well as spreading misinformation about "the cough" and NYC
         | during your job search.
        
           | BlissWaves wrote:
           | This is actually part of the problem. Did you conveniently
           | ignore that they mentioned years of experience in particular
           | technologies?
        
             | ramphastidae wrote:
             | Absolutely. YOE != value or skill.
        
               | kikiakaki wrote:
               | You are pretty much wrong about that. And you seem to
               | have a real attitude problem. Unless you can prove that
               | the OP is bad at his job, the only thing that we can
               | assume is that he is good at it, since he has been doing
               | it for years.
        
         | 127 wrote:
         | As a (potential) employer, I wouldn't really care about age.
         | It's all about how much you make money for me. What your
         | performance to cost ratio? People can be cats or dogs for all I
         | care.
         | 
         | Young have the advantage that they usually drastically
         | undervalue themselves and thus provide an unbeatable
         | proposition. They're usually more energetic, positive and
         | optimistic, which is more pleasant to be around and thus makes
         | the work environment more productive.
         | 
         | In an ideal system: if employers fail to hire workforce that
         | benefits their company more, they will fall behind the
         | competition. There most definitely are preconceived notions
         | about people on how they look, but that should be a competitive
         | advantage to a company that can leverage it.
        
           | notpachet wrote:
           | > Young have the advantage that they usually drastically
           | undervalue themselves and thus provide an unbeatable
           | proposition. They're usually more energetic, positive and
           | optimistic, which is more pleasant to be around and thus
           | makes the work environment more productive.
           | 
           | This feels myopic. It cuts both ways. Young employees are
           | often much more susceptible to conflating their personal
           | identity with their work identity, which can lead to serious
           | emotional and psychological issues down the road. Even if
           | we're looking at it purely from an extract-value-from-
           | employee angle, I don't want a team that's running purely on
           | misplaced idealism and ramen cups, because that's not
           | sustainable.
           | 
           | So the counterpoint to your comment would be: older employees
           | have the advantage of serving as an example to younger ones
           | for how to better manage work/life balance, which yields a
           | healthier team in aggregate.
           | 
           | Only a Sith hires in absolutes.
           | 
           | [edit: grammatical typo]
        
         | peakaboo wrote:
         | The media is shit. Its becoming worse and worse, to the point
         | where nothing can be trusted.
        
         | marcinzm wrote:
         | We reject more senior candidates for soft skill issues than we
         | do for technical issues. Most common one is them aggressively
         | saying "why did you do it this way, you should have done it
         | this way" during interviews without knowing any context.
         | 
         | >boarding up New York City
         | 
         | Not really, we're doing rather well over here.
         | 
         | >there is homeless everywhere
         | 
         | There have been homeless everywhere for decades, if you think
         | this is new then you haven't been paying attention.
         | 
         | edit: Also believing covid isn't real indicates that you have
         | overall issues with rational understanding of complex topics or
         | processing third party information. That underlying mental
         | model tends to leak in interviews and is definitely a massive
         | red flag.
        
       | m0llusk wrote:
       | It is strange that the top known factors for this are not even
       | mentioned in this or other similar news stories. First, closing
       | of schools caused large numbers of women to leave the workforce
       | in order to care for children. Until schools are fully open and
       | day care is available those women will probably not be going back
       | to work. Second, all markets are cultivated things. Employers in
       | the most troubled sectors have recently spent roughly a year and
       | a half telling desperate workers they have nothing for them. Now
       | that there are openings it should be no surprise that workers
       | have moved on and have little interest in transitioning back.
       | 
       | All of this stuff about workers disappearing and people
       | reconsidering their lives is pretty much a sideshow of projected
       | narrative that is detached from what is really going on.
        
         | silexia wrote:
         | Another element is that the government now pays people to stay
         | at home and not work. That is the number one factor. If people
         | did not have money, they would work.
        
           | beambot wrote:
           | Plus mortgage forbearance and eviction moratoriums... So you
           | have more money in monthly unemployment and a pause on
           | peoples' #1 expenses. Until these programs end, I wouldn't
           | even speculate about the future state of labor markets.
        
         | lumost wrote:
         | It's funny, I hear a ton about worker productivity and similar
         | worker centric views of production, labor, and wages. But, as
         | any Walmart, warehouse, or even pizza shop worker will tell you
         | - their ability to negotiate wages, change production
         | practices, or make any difference in the workplace amounts to a
         | suggestion box and a 25 cent raise.
        
         | ashtonkem wrote:
         | It's propaganda to justify cutting social welfare programs.
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | > It is strange that the top known factors for this are not
         | even mentioned in this or other similar news stories. First,
         | closing of schools caused large numbers of women to leave the
         | workforce in order to care for children.
         | 
         | I'm a bit skeptical of that explanation in the US because
         | schools close for 3 months every summer, without an
         | accompanying large number of women quitting their jobs.
        
           | rossdavidh wrote:
           | In many families, summers are typically full of "summer
           | camps" that are actually "themed daycare for older kids".
           | Those were mostly closed as well during the pandemic lockdown
           | phase, and some still haven't come back (in the US, anyway).
        
             | bluedino wrote:
             | What rich bubble do you live in where kids go to summer
             | camp?
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | "summer camp" is also "day care outside during the
               | summer" not only "sleepaway camp".
        
               | rossdavidh wrote:
               | Well in most cases losing one of two incomes in the
               | household costs a lot more. In the US, anyway, it is a
               | lot more common to have a stay-at-home mom in the upper
               | incomes; the working class is mostly every-adult-must-
               | get-a-job (or two or three). Occasionally there are
               | grandparents available, but in some cases they're in
               | another town, and in some cases they are deceased. Summer
               | "camps" are definitely not a rich thing (in the US,
               | anyway).
        
               | jnwatson wrote:
               | Summer camp is even a working class thing. The YMCA runs
               | day camps for way cheaper than day care.
        
               | tolbish wrote:
               | Definitely not just a rich kid thing. The camps are
               | usually run by small-ish organizations like the local
               | church. And considering the point is to bring in
               | children, there are often options for those who need
               | financial assistance.
               | 
               | Besides, rich kids go on overseas vacations during the
               | summer.
        
             | Already__Taken wrote:
             | There's a lot of international volunteers that go to help
             | run those camps too as a holiday. Any of that was obviously
             | gone too.
        
             | x0x0 wrote:
             | And even for those that are open, there's now some ugly
             | decisions to be made by parents given you can't vaccinate
             | under 12s yet.
        
           | shadowgovt wrote:
           | Between summer camps and the weather being nice enough to
           | just go outside and entertain oneself, the 3-month summer
           | vacation is a notably different effect on the economy than
           | the year-long covid isolation with indeterminate future
           | horizon.
           | 
           | What you find when you look at the numbers is an awful lot of
           | White collar firms simply get less done during the summer
           | months. "We expect to move forward on that project, but we're
           | blocked on the report from the ads team, and 2/3 of the ads
           | team just took a week-long vacation with their families" is a
           | common pattern in summer.
        
             | bumby wrote:
             | To echo this, a previous employer has scheduled downtime
             | that coincides with spring break because they recognized so
             | many parents take time off because of having school-aged
             | children.
        
           | Broken_Hippo wrote:
           | As many others have said, there are programs in the summer
           | and folks can plan - and these programs have been in place
           | for years. Unfortunately, these programs mostly stopped and
           | on top of school closing, there wasn't enough day care space.
           | And for the school age children, not all of them could do
           | online schooling themselves, needing someone to help them
           | with the computer.
           | 
           | Schooling at home is a lot of work for someone, and it is
           | work daycares aren't prepared nor staffed for.
        
           | RHSeeger wrote:
           | Those months can be planned for well ahead of time, and
           | there's generally plenty of child caring activities (camps,
           | schools offering day sessions, etc). This was... very
           | different, and a lot more difficult for most people.
        
         | encryptluks2 wrote:
         | > people reconsidering their lives is pretty much a sideshow of
         | projected narrative that is detached from what is really going
         | on
         | 
         | I disagree... COVID-19 made a lot of people reconsider their
         | priorities. If you only had limited time left with a family
         | member, would you really want to spend your time working a
         | crappy job while struggling to pay rent?
         | 
         | Pretty soon I imagine the government will start doing something
         | like what they did to people who went on strike.. they'll find
         | ways to start punishing people that don't want to work certain
         | jobs anymore and changing careers will rarely be an option.
        
           | ajsnigrutin wrote:
           | If only there was a better way to get people to work shitty
           | jobs... like maybe paying them more...
        
             | dazc wrote:
             | I agree but I think a lot of the problem also is that there
             | were/are many businesses that are not finacially viable and
             | cheap labour has carried them along thus far. Now the tide
             | has gone out they are facing reality.
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | > would you really want to spend your time working a crappy
           | job while struggling to pay rent?
           | 
           | Nobody ever wanted this, they did this because they had to.
           | There's nothing to reconsider. They would have always
           | preferred doing something else.
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | > All of this stuff about workers disappearing and people
         | reconsidering their lives is pretty much a sideshow of
         | projected narrative that is detached from what is really going
         | on.
         | 
         | Well said. We've been bombarded with news articles and thought
         | pieces about how COVID has forever changed the workforce, how
         | people are refusing to work jobs they don't like, how people
         | are quitting en masse because their employers won't allow
         | remote work, and how companies are abandoning office spaces in
         | favor of full remote for months now.
         | 
         | Yet every time I dig for the actual numbers it turns out little
         | has changed on the whole. It's usually journalists taking
         | isolated stories or small changes in certain statistics and re-
         | casting them as society-wide social movements.
         | 
         | Many of these articles are simple clickbait so the reader can
         | think "Duh, pay more!" But it doesn't make sense that people
         | would choose no job at all over a job that doesn't pay the wage
         | they want. People are obviously either getting other jobs
         | somewhere, waiting for enhanced unemployment to end, or waiting
         | for other life circumstances to allow them to return to work.
         | 
         | And like you said, many of these situations are the result of
         | parents having to leave the workforce to care for children
         | while their schools and daycares were closed down. People
         | without kids may not realize how disruptive that was to
         | families that had planned routines and jobs around kids
         | attending schools and daycares. I suspect we'll see sharper
         | increases in employment when school is back in session and
         | enhanced unemployment ends this fall.
         | 
         | There isn't some large movement of low-wage people simply
         | refusing to work because without other sources of income. The
         | logic in that narrative just doesn't make any sense.
         | 
         | This problem is temporary while the economy, market, and
         | extended unemployment benefits transition back to normalcy.
         | Journalists are seizing on the narrow window of change to try
         | to insert more dramatic narratives, but those too will fade.
        
           | heurisko wrote:
           | One of the stories I often hear, is that people have decided
           | to move house to the countryside, as they are now able to
           | work remotely.
           | 
           | I don't know how true this is: are these people not concerned
           | if their employer decides to reopen offices and require
           | employees to work in the office again when the pandemic
           | inevitably ends?
        
             | PragmaticPulp wrote:
             | > One of the stories I often hear, is that people have
             | decided to move house to the countryside, as they are now
             | able to work remotely.
             | 
             | This is the primary trick that journalists use in these
             | stories: They find a couple examples of people doing
             | something, interview them, and then pretend those people
             | are a sample of a much larger movement. They don't cite
             | statistics or numbers, however easy to find, because
             | putting a number on these movements would make the reader
             | realize they're nowhere near as large as the author wants
             | you to think.
             | 
             | Using the "people moved to the countryside" example: Did we
             | have a surplus of empty houses in the countryside before
             | the pandemic? As far as I'm aware, we did not have huge
             | numbers of empty houses just waiting for a pandemic for
             | people to fill them up (except maybe Detroit, but I'm
             | pretty sure people didn't flock to Detroit).
             | 
             | Also, home prices and rents in cities didn't fall
             | dramatically during this period, which would be expected
             | during an exodus event.
             | 
             | Even the stories about San Francisco population declines
             | have been overblown, with many of the people leaving being
             | quickly replaced by people looking for an opportunity to
             | move in.
             | 
             | Journalists played up the countryside exodus stories
             | because they're romantic and people like to believe
             | fantasies about people leaving the concrete jungle behind
             | and living idyllic countryside lives, separated from their
             | employers by miles of broadband connectivity. Yet none of
             | the numbers support such supposed exoduses. Obviously a few
             | people did it here and there, but pretending it was a
             | common event and writing dramatic articles is dishonest.
        
               | Telemakhos wrote:
               | Before COVID there were between thirteen and seventeen
               | million empty homes in he US, many due to foreclosure.
               | There were (and likely still are) enough homes to house
               | everyone, including the homeless, only the distribution
               | is skewed so that there are few empty houses where jobs
               | are (cities).
        
               | vladvasiliu wrote:
               | A counterpoint from France: media did report that for the
               | first time in a very long time, home prices did slightly
               | drop in Paris proper, while suburbs and "smaller cities"
               | have seen a bigger rise than usual.
               | 
               | This means there must be more than just a handful of
               | people leaving.
               | 
               | However, I do agree with GP's point about companies
               | ending the WFH arrangements, especially given France's
               | work culture. But then again, I've always found people
               | around here to have a tendency of thinking fairly short-
               | term.
        
               | njfgyjnc wrote:
               | > Using the "people moved to the countryside" example:
               | Did we have a surplus of empty houses in the countryside
               | before the pandemic?
               | 
               | Actually yes. Before the pandemic, in the area I grew up
               | in (Southern Appalachians) it was common for a house sale
               | to take years, because there was indeed a surplus.
               | 
               | Remember ten years ago all the articles about
               | urbanization and the young people leaving the country and
               | suburbs to live in the city? That was real and the more
               | remote places did in fact have a surplus of housing stock
               | 
               | I've personally seen one family move to the absolute
               | boonies from a large metro and they just guessed that the
               | breadwinner would be able to stay remote or find a new
               | remote friendly employer if forced to move back. The
               | latter happens
               | 
               | I'd probably have more anecdotes if I knew more than like
               | five people
        
             | closeparen wrote:
             | Judging by my coworkers and my company's Blind: lots of
             | people did this; they're anxious but cautiously optimistic
             | that the company will cave. If it doesn't, they think it's
             | likely enough that they'll find different remote jobs.
        
             | Pokepokalypse wrote:
             | In my case; I found a job that was specified as "100%
             | remote, even after COVID" - so I'm not super-concerned
             | about that. Yes, employers lie, and in 1 year or so, they
             | could easily come back and tell me I'm fired because I
             | can't come on-site. (there is also a component of my job
             | which could require me to go on customer site and work
             | there; which I'm willing to do as long as they pay travel
             | expenses).
             | 
             | I get that I'm very lucky to have landed such a gig. I hope
             | many more do. Because when a worker has to bear the
             | personal cost of sitting in traffic for 2+ hrs per day
             | (burning gasoline and polluting the world while doing so),
             | because his boss is uncomfortable with not being able to
             | physically scrutinize his underlings - that's bullshit.
        
             | wintermutestwin wrote:
             | Maybe some people are so desperate to escape cities and
             | endless commutes that they are willing to take the risk. My
             | anecdata is that I spent 17 years with one megacorp because
             | they allowed me to WFH back when there were very few places
             | I could jump ship to and not have to move back to the Bay
             | Area.
             | 
             | The small town I live in has seen a large influx of Bay
             | Area remote workers as well. Again - all anecdata, but it
             | is noticeable.
        
             | nicoburns wrote:
             | I imagine a lit of these people have gotten permission and
             | made arrangements with their employers in advance.
        
               | bobthepanda wrote:
               | That being said, this is not necessarily easy even for
               | large employers, because until now there wasn't a need to
               | clarify if workers were subject to the income, payroll
               | etc. taxes and employee protection, health insurance
               | contracts of their working or resident state. It is
               | totally possible to be a large Fortune 500 company in the
               | US and not be set up to do paperwork in, I don't know,
               | Alaska or Wyoming or Idaho.
        
               | LurkerAtTheGate wrote:
               | As someone navigating this right now - it's a mess.
               | Business is in a no-income-tax state, I moved to 4%
               | state, and it was deemed easiest to be personally
               | responsible for paying quarterly estimates so the
               | business isn't on the hook for paying business taxes to a
               | state it doesn't do any business in. Some states,
               | however, decided now was a good time to declare a single
               | remote worker in their state means that company has a
               | nexus there, and thus owes all corporate taxes to that
               | state.
        
               | nicoburns wrote:
               | I guess that's an issue if you move states. I'm in the
               | UK, and I know someone who moved 8 hours away to a
               | different part of the UK. Would never have even been
               | considered pre-covid, but the evidence that they could
               | work productively from home was there: they'd been doing
               | it for a year already! They're a manager too, so regular
               | collaboration is a given. It's just all online now.
        
               | bobthepanda wrote:
               | Keep in mind that 11 US states by themselves are larger
               | than the entirety of the UK; Oregon, for example. I don't
               | know if tax is assessed differently for say Scottish
               | rather than English residents, and 32 US states are
               | larger than England.
               | 
               | This is going to be an issue if you move anywhere within
               | a country with a federal system of government. For EU
               | residents I imagine this also gets tricky for people who
               | decide to WFH from other countries.
        
               | nicoburns wrote:
               | Yeah, that was kind of my point. There's plenty of room
               | to move within a US state without running into these
               | issues. FWIW I believe the income tax system is the same
               | across the UK. There might be different local taxes in
               | Scotland, but your employer wouldn't need to concern
               | themselves with those.
        
               | jfk13 wrote:
               | No, Scottish income tax is different, so the employer
               | does need to deal with it. (Though I imagine most UK
               | payroll systems have such options.)
        
               | davidgay wrote:
               | Scotland has a different legal system than England. It
               | seems unlikely that wouldn't have an effect on remote
               | work?
        
             | lumost wrote:
             | anecdotally, I think there is a fairly widespread belief
             | that people can move to the country side for X years during
             | covid then switch the property to AirBnB afterwords.
             | 
             | I'd also bet that many individuals are making long-term
             | bets that they can continue working remote even if it means
             | (slightly) less pay.
        
           | UnpossibleJim wrote:
           | I can't speak to statistics at large, but anecdotally, my
           | wife was laid off and we needed someone with our son during
           | "home schooling" anyway, so she just continued on to get her
           | degree since many universities have an online option at the
           | moment (which should continue and expand). With the variant,
           | we have this same option next year, though no unemployment
           | and we'll just be a single income while she finishes up her
           | last half year or so.
           | 
           | In our case, it wasn't the "refusing to go back to work to
           | make a better life" narrative that's getting pushed; it's
           | more the, she had to stay home with our son while he's in
           | school, but what does she do while he's in school all day?
           | You only have to be sort of involved. You might as well be
           | productive, but you have trouble being productive enough to
           | really work.
        
           | willyt wrote:
           | I walked down through the financial district of London on a
           | Tuesday morning recently and I did not see one single office
           | worker sat at a desk in any office I passed. Just empty
           | buildings with lights on and bored receptionists sat at front
           | desks.
        
           | morpheos137 wrote:
           | I wonder how significant the booming stock market is? Maybe
           | people are neglecting to work because their Tesla stock is up
           | some absurd amount over 5 years or whatever. Same for crypto.
           | But when these people start treating such capital gains as
           | disposeable income then it will cause inflation.
        
           | whall6 wrote:
           | Right. Why would I seek a job if the unemployment benefits
           | pay me nearly as much to do nothing?
        
             | PragmaticPulp wrote:
             | And the employer perspective: Why would I try to compete
             | with unemployment benefits that are ending in a few months?
             | 
             | The situation is temporary and has obviously causal factors
             | that are coming to an end soon (unemployment benefits,
             | school out for summer).
             | 
             | Journalists seem to be going out of their way to ignore
             | these and pretend that something else is happening.
        
               | ajsnigrutin wrote:
               | The only shitty thing here is, that many companies will
               | fail and close down in the meantime, meaning less jobs
               | openings for people who just lost unemployment benefits.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | If there is still demand for their services, other more
               | successful franchises will step in.
        
               | ryanobjc wrote:
               | Are you sure?
               | 
               | Those states that cut people off unemployment didn't see
               | a boost in employment rates. Sooo now what?
        
               | nuker wrote:
               | > with unemployment benefits that are ending in a few
               | months?
               | 
               | I don't think so. Zeta variant is coming.
        
               | eropple wrote:
               | I hadn't heard of this, but the WHO seems to have
               | indicated that this is no longer a variant of interest,
               | let alone a variant of concern.
        
               | wallacoloo wrote:
               | I believe it was a joke that, as emergency covid policies
               | are extended a couple months as each new variant arises,
               | and since there will be no end of variants for an endemic
               | virus, that means the policies are actually permanent.
               | 
               | Or maybe I misunderstood.
        
             | dazc wrote:
             | One of the UK employers currently moaning about a lack of
             | workers had a policy of only employing people for 16 hours
             | a week since this was the optimum hours a person could work
             | whilst still receiving tax credits and housing benefit.
             | 
             | Around 10 years ago I was in the labour market willing to
             | do pretty much anything and these kinds of jobs accounted
             | for most of what was available.
             | 
             | Since I wasn't 'on benefits' I was at the other end of the
             | equation. What I really wanted was a chance to work my way
             | out of financial trouble - these kind of jobs only offered
             | the opposite of this.
        
               | gwright wrote:
               | This is a great example of perversive incentives driven
               | by ill-conceived benefit rules.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | In some states in the USA a lot of service jobs will cap
               | your work at 31 hours, to get around their own corporate
               | policies of giving benefits to anyone who worked 32 hours
               | or more.
        
               | adaml_623 wrote:
               | And any company that has done this might see it coming
               | back and biting them even though they would never admit
               | that they brought it on themselves
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | Probably not. USA is a capitalist-first, worker-5th
               | nation.
        
             | cbozeman wrote:
             | Because you have self-respect and shouldn't be taking
             | handouts if you're capable of working?
             | 
             | No one capable of working should be taking unemployment,
             | ever.
             | 
             | This is how social safety nets get demonized by
             | politicians, and it works. A factory worker and mother of
             | three who was making car parts from the start of COVID-19
             | until now and was never laid off and who never had the
             | option of quitting work, fucking hates someone who sits on
             | their ass collecting unemployment playing Xbox games all
             | day. That's the relatively young Hispanic woman who lives
             | down the road from me. I was fortunate; I already work
             | remote so the only thing COVID did for me was restrict my
             | dining choices temporarily here in Texas.
             | 
             | The answer to every problem we seem to face in America
             | always ends up being, "Just throw some fucking money at
             | it!"
             | 
             | I'm sick of it. Many of our problems couldn't be solved if
             | we had literally quadrillions of dollars of cash. Sometimes
             | - many times - it takes a lot of good old fashioned hard
             | work, in the arenas of careful thinking, and then careful
             | doing. Neither of which it seems either political party is
             | particularly interested.
        
               | User23 wrote:
               | Unemployment is one of the few ways government has ever
               | done anything for me personally as opposed to general
               | social goods. As a net payer into the system for the
               | overwhelming majority of my working life I have
               | absolutely no objection to getting a little of that money
               | back when I hit a rough patch.
        
               | pillefitz wrote:
               | Lacking self-respect for refusing to slave away in
               | bullshit jobs that destroy our environment directly or
               | indirectly, make some rich guy even richer or take place
               | in a toxic work environment you mean?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | Breaking news: rich libertarian tech bro from a
               | republican has harsh opinion on poor people.
        
               | vladvasiliu wrote:
               | I mostly agree with you.
               | 
               | However, it may not (always) be that simple. The media
               | here in France reports that some industries, in
               | particular restaurants, are having a hard time finding
               | employees, with not enough people applying and even
               | employees who were there before Covid hit leaving.
               | 
               | I don't know how actually true this is, but when they
               | (the media) ask people why they won't go back, the main
               | reason doesn't seem to be a preference for sitting on
               | ass, but rather a realization that given the wages, those
               | jobs were a terrible proposition. They claim instead to
               | be looking at how they can improve their situation, like
               | looking for work in other industries, going back to
               | school, etc. Which I think is a good thing. How many
               | random empty bars does a country really need?
               | 
               | Now maybe I'm being too optimistic, but I hope that
               | that's true and that this will at least increase wages
               | for those jobs.
               | 
               | But I can't help but think that all this soul-searching
               | is helped by government aid and that, sooner or later,
               | when that runs out, the people will have to get back to
               | those jobs and then, whatever rise there might have been,
               | will be swept away.
        
               | secondcoming wrote:
               | > The media here in France reports that some industries,
               | in particular restaurants, are having a hard time finding
               | employees
               | 
               | It's the same in the UK. Farmers cannot harvest some
               | crops because the cheap EU labour is no longer present
               | and locals won't do it.
        
               | effingwewt wrote:
               | Here in California _every_ restaurant /fast food place is
               | hiring. They all list the things they offer (PTO, 401k-no
               | matching what you put in, and that's it). What they _don
               | 't_ put on the signs is what they pay (minimum wage every
               | single time), or the hours (always part time, always
               | weekends, mostly if not always nights.
               | 
               | But obviously it's just that no one wants to work, it
               | couldn't possibly be because no one wants part-time
               | (especially because they change your days/hours and wait
               | till the last minute to give you the next week's schedule
               | so you can't plan around it and get another job). It
               | couldn't possibly be because part-time minimum wage day-
               | shifting jobs are literally worthless as these places are
               | finding out.
               | 
               | I keep hearing owners whine and bemoan their lack of
               | workers. What I have never heard of, not once, is an
               | owner making less profit to pay their workers better to
               | get the loyalty and hard work they want but refuse to pay
               | for.
        
               | vladvasiliu wrote:
               | > I keep hearing owners whine and bemoan their lack of
               | workers. What I have never heard of, not once, is an
               | owner making less profit to pay their workers better to
               | get the loyalty and hard work they want but refuse to pay
               | for.
               | 
               | I agree with you, but do those places actually make a lot
               | of profit? Over here they seem to be pretty fragile
               | operations, so I don't think there's that much they can
               | shave off their profit and give to the workers.
               | 
               | I'm wondering whether, maybe, there are simply too many
               | of those restaurants?
               | 
               | The reasoning goes "yeah, but if I raise my prices,
               | people will go next door". Which is probably true for
               | your random restaurant. But then maybe the issue is
               | there's too many of them?
               | 
               | But of course, up until now, this was workable because
               | many people were willing to put up with the bad
               | conditions you've described for a low wage.
        
               | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote:
               | It tells me we need a higher minimum wage. No individual
               | can raise prices without losing competitiveness, but
               | clearly higher prices would fix some of these serious
               | issues. A higher minimum wage would prevent the "they'll
               | just go next door" issue.
        
               | vladvasiliu wrote:
               | > No individual can raise prices without losing
               | competitiveness, but clearly higher prices would fix some
               | of these serious issues. A higher minimum wage would
               | prevent the "they'll just go next door" issue.
               | 
               | That seems right on the face of it. But then there's
               | another issue: are you sure that the same number of
               | people would continue eating out? Personally, I wouldn't
               | bet on it.
               | 
               | I don't often eat out, mostly because it's not something
               | I particularly enjoy, but also because I find it
               | expensive for what it is. If the prices were to rise, I
               | would eat out even less. I doubt I'm the only one
               | thinking like this.
               | 
               | It's not clear to me that raising the minimum wage, and
               | therefore the price of a restaurant meal, would not have
               | less people go out. And by less people I mean a drop high
               | enough such that the sum of money spent eating out would
               | drop. Which would mean there would be less restaurants
               | which could afford to stay in business.
        
               | lotsofpulp wrote:
               | It tells me the upper deciles of wealth have been
               | enjoying life on account of the bottom deciles drawing
               | shitty hand.
               | 
               | Less entertainment, vacations, eating out for many who
               | previously enjoyed it will be the result.
        
               | vladvasiliu wrote:
               | You may be right.
               | 
               | But then, the question becomes: what will become of these
               | employees? Less eating out means less restaurant staff.
               | But said staff are people who need to eat. Will they all
               | go on social security?
               | 
               | Maybe, maybe not. But it's a question we should ask, as a
               | society.
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | Counterexample: https://mobile.twitter.com/auren/status/1
               | 419149796284145667/...
               | 
               | I see hiring signs with dollar amounts on them all the
               | time.
        
               | RHSeeger wrote:
               | Without trying to counteract your points about the
               | pay/work/parttime/etc.... It's worth noting that a large
               | number of restaurant owners make very little money. The
               | margins/profits in that industry are razor thin. So the
               | owner making less wouldn't be helpful, or even an option
               | for many of them.
        
               | toofy wrote:
               | I think there's some merit in what you say, I'm just not
               | sure we would agree on how to define "...large number of
               | restaurant owners..."
               | 
               | This is completely anecdotal, but I know three different
               | restaurant owners and all three of them live very very
               | comfortably. Again, that's just anecdotal so probably not
               | worth much.
               | 
               | While I don't think anyone would suggest that a
               | restaurant owner should live in poverty, at the same time
               | I don't think we would suggest a restaurant worker should
               | be poverty levels of poor to ensure the owner lives the
               | high life.
               | 
               | If a business cant supply both its owner and workers a
               | livable wage, then we should expect the business to go
               | under rather than expect (or demand) the workers descend
               | into poverty.
        
               | eropple wrote:
               | Then shouldn't they be working more personally? Or
               | shouldn't they no longer be in business? (And yeah, I'm
               | well aware how much many small restaurant owners work.
               | See door number two.)
               | 
               | People around here talk a lot about unsustainable
               | business models. I don't think it's really any better if
               | it's offloading its unsustainability onto its workforce,
               | which is what's being described here.
               | 
               | From where I stand, as somebody whose career can be
               | described (cynically but not incorrectly) as largely
               | rendering people unemployed, there's a tension here
               | that's only going to be resolved through the
               | acknowledgement that there isn't actually a need for
               | everyone to work to make the whole thing "go", and
               | unsustainably poor work with poverty as the retribution
               | for refusing to participate (as well as the reward _for_
               | participating) is not a politically stable position.
        
               | throwawayboise wrote:
               | People need work to keep them occupied. It's built in to
               | our psychology by evolution. We know that idle people
               | cause most of the problems in society. So I do think
               | there is a need for everyone to work to make the whole
               | thing "go", if by "go" you mean have a peaceful,
               | civilized way of living.
        
               | eropple wrote:
               | This sounds teleological. I can find plenty of things to
               | do, many probably more personally fulfilling as well as
               | societally beneficial, than flipping burgers would be.
        
               | briefcomment wrote:
               | Taking the handouts is the most rational thing to do. Why
               | would you expect people to do otherwise? Relying on
               | unspoken normative rules is maybe possible in a society
               | with well defined and perpetuated values, but in our
               | current society, utility far outweighs values in decision
               | making.
        
               | spamizbad wrote:
               | Actually we solved a ton of problems by throwing money at
               | it: poverty dropped significantly.
               | 
               | https://www.urban.org/research/publication/2021-poverty-
               | proj...
        
               | charlesu wrote:
               | Who said these people aren't working? I see a lot of
               | people retraining, pivoting, and taking care of others.
               | That's work. Just because it doesn't pay doesn't mean it
               | isn't work or valuable. Being a stay at home parent
               | doesn't pay, but it's clearly valuable.
               | 
               | Employment is a means to an end: basic survival. We do it
               | because we're forced to by forced scarcity. There may be
               | virtue in work, but there's no inherent virtue in
               | employment.
        
               | hellbannedguy wrote:
               | I just head this same rap from a blowhard senator who's
               | state is loaded with Covid.
               | 
               | "The self-respect that comes with working." Read this
               | like you are nursing a hangover.
               | 
               | Americans are fed up with lousy jobs that treat them like
               | crap.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | Most likely that senator is from a net-taker state like
               | kentucky or arkansas, one that would be bankrupt without
               | california and new york overpaying the fed to subsidize
               | poor republican states.
        
               | bigbob2 wrote:
               | There is also more affluence in California and the
               | Northeast vs Middle America. Regardless of politics
               | Middle America is not going to be granted the same
               | economic opportunities as coastal regions.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | So, why should we subsidize them? I'm Californian and my
               | taxes should go to help my home state, not those who hate
               | me and my home?
               | 
               | Kentucky and the rest of those moocher states should pull
               | themselves up by their boot straps, stand on their own
               | two feet and sink or swim.
        
               | cmmeur01 wrote:
               | Why stop at taxes? Let's talk about water, why should all
               | these states be subsidizing California's water use? Why
               | aren't they bootstrapping desalination plants? Quit
               | mooching.
        
               | bigbob2 wrote:
               | Because we live in a Union? The idea is that your state
               | will be helped if the table is ever turned. Not everyone
               | in Kentucky hates California and the people who live
               | there. What you're essentially promoting is reducing the
               | role of federal government, which is the same thing
               | current Kentucky senators want. I'm sorry to be so blunt
               | but to be honest your comment sounds hateful and
               | ignorant.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | Americans cant even wear masks or get vaccinated to save
               | their fellow citizens, man.
               | 
               | i was in grand rapids when covid hit. At some point a
               | group of people in a restaurant heard i was from
               | california, friends of my family, and before I knew it i
               | was a "pinko commie faggot" that they wanted to "skull
               | fuck" and "curb stomp".
               | 
               | My brother in law pulled a gun on them and we high tailed
               | it out of there. The midwest and the south does NOT have
               | California's back.
               | 
               | They would starve without us, but we would do just fine
               | without them.
               | 
               | Again, I am Californian, not American.
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | I don't think it's likely that the Kentuckians would help
               | out if the tables were turned
        
               | bigbob2 wrote:
               | This is just baseless speculation. Also that's a great
               | reason why the federal government exists.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | Kentucky senators do not want to reduce the size of the
               | federal government. They just want to keep sucking the
               | prosperous states dry while demonizing us.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | I never agreed to any union. Show me the paperwork where
               | I agrees to be united with inbred rednecks who would
               | happily slit my throat for being gay.
        
               | notpachet wrote:
               | This is a bit too reductionist for my liking.
               | 
               | Imagine, as a kind of empathetic thought exercise, that
               | instead of someone taking handouts and playing Xbox all
               | day, they were taking handouts and then doing online
               | coursework to try and learn a new skill to make
               | themselves more employable in the future. Does that still
               | imply a lack of self-respect?
               | 
               | We're all effectively taking handouts to some degree or
               | another just by participating in collective society. It's
               | just a question of how much we're contributing back, and
               | how. I try not to judge people too aggressively in terms
               | of how they are contributing back; they may be doing so
               | in ways that I cannot see.
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | > _Because you have self-respect and shouldn 't be taking
               | handouts if you're capable of working?_
               | 
               | FWIW, I agree with you. But this is a moral take, not an
               | economist's. I think most economists would say people act
               | to maximize utility. In the real world I think it's both
               | but it's very hard to regulate/incentivize morals
        
             | jonathanlb wrote:
             | It might be important to distiguish doing "nothing" from
             | not being on the job market.
             | 
             | It's possible to contribute to society by making art,
             | writing, cooking, spending time with family, caring for
             | others, etc. as well as self-actualizing via exercise,
             | reading, meditation, and so on.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | Meditation is very much doing nothing.
        
               | goodpoint wrote:
               | Not at all.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | Not sure how self-actualizing is contributing to society.
        
               | goodpoint wrote:
               | "Self-actualization is the complete realization of one's
               | potential, and the full development of one's abilities
               | and appreciation for life"
               | 
               | From most classical philosophers, to Einstein, Maxwell,
               | Darwin and countless other, their work was nothing else
               | than an act of self-actualization.
               | 
               | And because this is HN, shall I include Torvalds? The
               | FLOSS movement started from volunteers.
        
               | WalterBright wrote:
               | I appreciate my life. I don't see how that contributes to
               | society.
        
           | Closi wrote:
           | Also, when I hear about people struggling to recruit, it's
           | often minimum wage jobs on awful conditions.
           | 
           | People don't want to work for absolute minimum wage on a
           | temporary contract picking fruit? Colour me surprised!
        
             | throwawayboise wrote:
             | IDK about everywhere but I'm not seeing anyone still paying
             | minimum wage. McDonalds is paying $12.50/hr for day, $15/hr
             | for night work. That's $30k/year FTE for a job that you can
             | learn in a week and that requires zero prior experience or
             | education. And they are still begging.
        
               | mjevans wrote:
               | Bad bosses, unstable schedules / hours, not a career.
               | Probably doesn't have "benefits", which everyone should
               | have for a level playing field (so medicare for all, get
               | value for our taxes).
               | 
               | Also, have you seen inflation lately?
        
               | mgkimsal wrote:
               | there's still an issue of consistency. if you can get
               | "regular" hours... say, 6am-11am, M-T-W-Th, for example,
               | you can schedule your life around it.
               | 
               | 30 years ago, I managed a Burger King, and even then,
               | they had us send people home if it got really slow, or..
               | call up people and cancel their shift an hour before,
               | because of bad weather, etc. Someone's already arranged
               | childcare or transportation for their shift, then
               | cancelling it same day is just not a way to work.
               | 
               | I would imagine that a lot of places are still like that
               | today.
               | 
               | $15/hr sounds great, but if it's 20 hrs one week, then 7
               | the next, then 24, then 4... that's still a bit unstable
               | for a lot of folks. For someone who has no dependents, or
               | has a stable partner... it's probably doable.
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | One of my dream labor reforms would be something like
               | classifying any shifts that aren't scheduled at least two
               | weeks in advance as overtime. It won't guarantee a steady
               | number of hours but it will definitely help smooth things
               | out and allow better planning.
        
               | throwawayboise wrote:
               | Will you also commit to buying a Big Mac and Fries
               | between 12:00 and 1:00pm on Tuesday two weeks hence?
               | 
               | Also, I used to manage a McDonalds. Paying a bonus to
               | have people come in on short notice to cover no-shows,
               | sick calls, or unexpected business volume was not
               | uncommon.
        
               | mgkimsal wrote:
               | That's a nice idea (short-notice bonus). 30 years ago, no
               | one had cell phones, so even trying to get ahold of
               | someone on 'short notice' wasn't really possible. But it
               | would have been a nice gesture to balance out the times
               | we'd send people home early.
        
               | e12e wrote:
               | That is essentially the law in Norway - the work schedule
               | need to be posted minimum two weeks in advance - and
               | extra shifts should generally be considered overtime.
               | Unfortunately it's probably one of the regulations that
               | are most frequently broken.
               | 
               | Norwegian link: https://www.arbeidstilsynet.no/regelverk/
               | lover/arbeidsmiljol...
        
               | adaml_623 wrote:
               | So just to be clear if a company is not paying an
               | employee the money they should be it is called wage
               | theft.
               | 
               | So if Norway were having the same issues with employee
               | shortages you could add the reason that maybe the
               | employees are tired of having the company steal from
               | them.
               | 
               | And maybe that's a factor common to other countries
        
               | scolby33 wrote:
               | Just this week in Pittsburgh, I saw an official corporate
               | poster up in a McDonald's advertising a "competitive
               | starting wage" with an 8.5''x11'' sheet taped to it
               | reading "STARTING RATE UP TO 10$/HR." I doubt they'll
               | have much luck at <=$10/hour. Sure, it's more than the
               | minimum ($7.25/hour), but the "up to" weasel words don't
               | give me confidence.
        
           | WalterBright wrote:
           | > companies are abandoning office spaces in favor of full
           | remote for months now
           | 
           | On the other hand, traffic during rush hour seems to have
           | returned to as bad as it ever was.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | RobertKerans wrote:
             | [UK specifically] not _seems_ , it _has_ gone back to
             | normal (as in pre-pandemic).
        
             | dv_dt wrote:
             | I think hn has a little bit of forgetful bias that their
             | industry has probably the most amenable situation for
             | remote work.
        
             | mjevans wrote:
             | All those new and used cars are now PPE bubbles and added
             | freedom for people that previously took the bus or
             | carpooled. If they make work at the office mandatory now
             | we're going to see even worse than pre-pandemic commutes.
        
           | mylons wrote:
           | I'm willing to bet a lot of money school is not in session
           | this fall in many parts of the USA.
        
         | nimbius wrote:
         | Anecdotal but...can we mention burn-out? as a "blue collar"
         | worker i dont think anyone mentions it enough.
         | 
         | I have a coworker who left a 9-5 body shop making decent money
         | as a painter for a medical billing job that was closer to her
         | father in 2020. she came back to that body shop just two weeks
         | ago because she was pulling non-stop mandatory overtime in a
         | salary position that treated her like trash. she never even
         | gave notice she was quitting, just stopped showing up.
         | 
         | I have a friend who quit his bartending job to work at a
         | grocery store and had the same experience. mandatory overtime,
         | limited breaks, and the angriest customers. He quit about seven
         | months into the pandemic and picked up a CDL position as a
         | regional truck driver.
         | 
         | these "hero" fields that exist as a sort of meat grinder during
         | covid have chewed through all the social credit most people are
         | willing to give them.
        
           | kktkti9 wrote:
           | Turns out a "services based" economy is a euphemism for
           | austerity based economy.
           | 
           | Adam Smith claimed that "...landlords' role in the economic
           | process is passive. Their ability to reap a revenue solely
           | from ownership of land tends to make them indolent and inept,
           | and so they tend to be unable to even look after their own
           | economic interests".
           | 
           | Look at dollar rich rent seekers destabilizing their value
           | store.
           | 
           | Dead guys already had human economics figured out.
           | 
           | Humans haven't literally evolved that much in 200 years.
        
             | rcpt wrote:
             | I think what he said still mostly applies to landlords.
             | Maybe even more so as real estate enjoys several tax and
             | policy advantages that other investments don't.
             | 
             | Yes I get that economic rent seeking is huge and things
             | like patent trolls financial lobbyists are problems but his
             | comment fits traditional landlords best.
        
             | rantwasp wrote:
             | > Humans haven't literally evolved that much in 200 years.
             | 
             | You're being generous. I would say we haven't evolved in
             | thousands of years.
             | 
             | I mean sure, the tech is better but we're the same self
             | absorbed, careless bipeds we've always been.
        
               | kktkti9 wrote:
               | I still believe our social evolution is possible. We have
               | to talk about those things and take a break on economics.
               | 
               | We've seen the value of modern technology. There's no
               | need to continue to obsessively speculate about the
               | advantages they provide to daily life.
               | 
               | Having beers with a grey haired VC yesterday, I couldn't
               | help but think this guy really just wants to feel
               | relevant. These guys are the real energy vampire; IMO.
               | Constant reverence is exhausting. It started to feel like
               | he was one of those guys who peaked on the high school
               | football team. "Yes, I'd like to hear about your car
               | collection. Again."
        
               | antoniuschan99 wrote:
               | I just watched the documentary on John Delorean on
               | Netlfix. It's very interesting and reminds me of this.
               | Check it out if you have a chance!
        
               | rantwasp wrote:
               | > I couldn't help but think this guy really just wants to
               | feel relevant
               | 
               | Great insight. Now apply it to everyone you know. We ALL
               | want to feel relevant and we all want to feel like what
               | we are doing matters.
               | 
               | Everyone does and this is, in a twisted way, one way we
               | are trying to achieve immortality. You do stuff, you make
               | an impact, you leave your mark.
        
               | antoniuschan99 wrote:
               | I took a course on Plato's republic back in school. Our
               | class conclusion was that nothing has changed in the last
               | 2000 years in terms of society/issues since that book was
               | written!
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | derefr wrote:
               | > I would say we haven't evolved in thousands of years.
               | 
               | We've become slightly more lactose-tolerant!
        
               | DrewRWx wrote:
               | And the appendix became seemingly useless.
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | There are a couple more up to date theories on its
               | current utility
        
               | robocat wrote:
               | 1. If the appendix was both useless and deadly (before
               | procreation), there would be a strong evolutionary
               | pressure against it, so it likely is unobviously useful
               | 
               | 2. Western diet possibly causes problems with the
               | appendix - "Appendicitis is uncommon in rural Africa and
               | Asia"
               | 
               | 3. Anatomy involved with immune function or microbiome is
               | hard to understand function.
               | 
               | From links:
               | 
               | The peak incidence occurs in the 15- to 24-year-old age
               | group. However older individuals are more likely to have
               | complications and die from the malady. Symptoms of
               | appendicitis in older people frequently are not as clear-
               | cut as are symptoms in younger people.
               | 
               | People with acute appendicitis often think they would
               | feel better if they just could move their bowels. To
               | encourage a bowel movement, they take a laxative. This is
               | a serious mistake, one that may lead to rupture of the
               | appendix.
               | 
               | https://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/fl-
               | xpm-1987-04-14-87012404...
               | 
               | https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-is-the-
               | funct...
        
               | monkeycantype wrote:
               | Also interesting is the idea that the appendix is a local
               | optimisation. If a smaller appendix was more likely to
               | get appendicitis, it might remain a vestigial organ
               | rather disappearing completely, even it the organ has no
               | function, because there is an evolutionary advantage to
               | having the current rather than the smaller size
        
               | lostlogin wrote:
               | Slightly off topic, the surgeon who had to remove his own
               | appendix.
               | 
               | https://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-32481442
        
               | granshaw wrote:
               | And with bowels 300% more irritable!
        
               | rantwasp wrote:
               | Lactose to the rescue!!!
        
               | mellavora wrote:
               | Both you and the parent seem to assume that 'evolution'
               | means 'improvement'
               | 
               | Humanity has clearly evolved, even in the last 200 years.
               | 
               | Doesn't mean we are getting better
        
               | rantwasp wrote:
               | I think there is an individual and a meta/society level.
               | I think both me and GP were referring to the
               | individual/micro level.
        
               | IggleSniggle wrote:
               | And I think the person you are responding to was
               | acknowledging that evolution didn't just stop...as long
               | as there are babies there are mutations, and the
               | environment will select for some qualities over others.
               | 
               | If you meant _super_ micro, then the same can be said of
               | your immune system  / gut flora, though I'm not certain
               | of the relevance.
               | 
               | The point is that "evolution" doesn't magically direct to
               | some better outcome, or even towards a more sustainable
               | local maxima.
        
               | zikduruqe wrote:
               | Our software has improved since the domestication of
               | animals and crops.
               | 
               | Our hardware has not changed and we are still on H.
               | Sapiens 1.0.
        
               | monkeycantype wrote:
               | I hope you're correct. All our domesticated animals have
               | smaller brains than their wild cousins. If the
               | phrenologists hadn't been so focussed on proving their
               | racist fantasies, would they have found our skulls a few
               | marbles smaller than our ancient (modern human)
               | ancestors?
        
               | fakedang wrote:
               | Isn't it the other way? Hardware has changed as massive
               | inventions have augmented our living standards. While at
               | the same time, the software (IE human mentality) hasn't
               | over 1000s of years, except for maybe hard disk usage
               | (which is human knowledge).
        
               | mint2 wrote:
               | The hardware they were referring to is the human body.
               | All that's changed is we know how to maintain it better
               | and can fix more types of premature breakdowns. It's
               | essentially the same hardware, just better maintained.
        
       | unnouinceput wrote:
       | Quote: "...hospitality and catering had gone up 18% ..."
       | 
       | Let's spin up the inflation calculator for UK:
       | https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/inflation/in...
       | 
       | and you get that the year is 2013. 100 pounds in 2013 are the
       | same buying power as 117.20 pounds in 2020, which can safely be
       | assumed is around 118 today. So people want to live just a little
       | bit better, something like only 8 years ago and these kind of
       | articles are wondering why employers can't find workers?
       | 
       | How about less control and even better payment? Then you'll see
       | there is no "workers shortage" for your business.
        
       | lkrubner wrote:
       | Let's set aside, for a moment, the very poorest people, who are
       | just struggling to survive. Let's talk about every family
       | (emphasis on family and not individual) that is above poverty.
       | 
       | The people in the family work to achieve a certain standard of
       | living. If they want to afford 2 weeks in Bermuda every summer
       | and 2 weeks at Vale every winter, then maybe they work a little
       | extra to afford those things. Maybe they work longer hours, or
       | pick up an extra job.
       | 
       | Indeed, consider that in the USA male wages were stagnant or
       | declining for most of the period 1973-2000 and yet family income
       | rose steadily until 2000. That's because women were entering the
       | work force, and their additional income more than made up for
       | their husband's losses.
       | 
       | We just had 18 months where people's standard of living was
       | reduced by government edict. Some people have grown used to the
       | new, lower standard of living. Others plan to raise their
       | standard of living, but plan to be strategic about it.
       | 
       | It is well known that the lockdown affected women more than men.
       | But as things get back to something like normal, there will be no
       | repeat of the somewhat casual way that women picked up low-wage
       | work during the period 1973-2000. To the extent that women rejoin
       | the workforce, they are going to be more strategic about it.
        
       | jmrm wrote:
       | In addition to the article and to other comments and in relation
       | to expat workers in UK, AFAIK, Spaniards who worked in UK came
       | here when COVID started to be a big issue, and most of them,
       | won't go again.
       | 
       | They won't come mainly due to BREXIT and other difficulties of
       | being an expat working in UK, but also because the price of the
       | GBP dropped since when they started going there more massively,
       | about 2010, and with that they don't earn the same quantity of
       | euros, and because the conditions weren't usually the greatest.
       | 
       | Most of who worked on children care even have online groups to
       | keep updated list of "bad families", who did not behave or even
       | threaten or hurt a worker. And working having this in mind isn't
       | healthy at all.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | infogulch wrote:
       | The value exchanged by employment is more than just a paycheck,
       | it's a _regular_ paycheck. It 's like an implicit insurance of
       | future pay. Once the government and businesses labeled and
       | straight dumped 'non-essential' workers, they send a message that
       | the 'ensured future pay'-value of employment is empty and
       | meaningless. (Don't @ me with an argument about how it's always
       | been this way without acknowledging that recent developments
       | represent a step change in the employment relationship.)
       | 
       | "Just pay more" is not caused by greedy workers demanding more
       | money, it's caused by employers reneging on the important but
       | implicit consideration that is the stability of keeping a job. If
       | you demonstrate your unwillingness (or inability, no difference)
       | to fulfill your contractual considerations (even the implicit
       | ones), don't be surprised if the other party wants to adjust the
       | contract to compensate.
        
         | adaml_623 wrote:
         | I think you raise a very good point. It's only logical to
         | minimise long term risk
        
         | jackson1442 wrote:
         | The position low wage workers are in extends beyond what they
         | make, too. Most part-time hourly jobs, especially those that
         | pay less than $15, have extremely unpredictable schedules and
         | have to deal with aggressive and rude customers day in and day
         | out, while being treated as "less than" by management.
         | 
         | Fortunately, when I worked for near-minimum wage, I was a
         | lifeguard so I had the authority to tell off and kick out bad
         | patrons. I still got treated like shit, with 10-12 hour
         | workdays in 100+deg weather, inconsistent scheduling, and once
         | even being told I had to stay after my shift when I had plans
         | or lose my job (I called their bluff and decided to quit
         | anyways).
         | 
         | I have a software job now and it's better than food service,
         | retail, and lifeguarding by a WIDE margin. I think a lot of
         | people here take for granted the stability and consistency
         | offered by their (typically) office jobs, as well as the
         | significantly better physical and mental conditions.
        
       | stiray wrote:
       | I think that people started to realize, that they can live much
       | better with lower amount of money.
       | 
       | What corona crisis did to me was suddenly figuring out that just,
       | from the pure fact of not leaving home much (or I would rather
       | say, not going into the consumers world any more - I rather went
       | to a forest, hills, rivers, lakes,...), there was an overhead of
       | 500 euros left on my bank account each month. Same life but the
       | unneeded expenses were cut off and interestingly - I didn't miss
       | them at all.
       | 
       | This would (in case I wouldn't love software development) mean
       | that I could go for 500 euros lower wage with a fairly decent
       | life and with far more time for myself.
       | 
       | As time is the only commodity that you cant buy, this seems like
       | a very reasonable way to change my life for the better.
       | 
       | But I am not the one who doesn't like my job. There is probably
       | more than a half of people that don't want to do what they are
       | doing for the wage they get. And with corona, they got out of the
       | system that calls for more money.
       | 
       | Surely they would return back but not under the same conditions.
       | Pay them relevantly more and there will no longer be employee
       | shortages but you will earn less. And it is debatable if this is
       | not what needed to happen.
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | > I think that people started to realize, that they can live
         | much better with lower amount of money.
         | 
         | I might be able to buy this argument if the person in question
         | is making 6 figures, but what about the median person making
         | $36k/year? If you can barely make rent, reducing your working
         | hours because "can live much better with lower amount of money"
         | isn't really an option.
        
           | grecy wrote:
           | I quit my software engineering job to drive from Alaska to
           | Argentina for 2 years and then to drive around Africa for
           | three years. I have not worked at a desk for 6 years now, and
           | I live on about $20k - $25k.
           | 
           | I've never been happier. I have so much free time to spend
           | how I please, and I just don't buy crap I don't need. Yes,
           | I've got house mates and I can't afford to live in some
           | expensive city and eat out every night, but those things have
           | never made me happy anyway.
           | 
           | I ride my bike, I throw the Frisbee and I snowboarded 97 days
           | this past winter (a luxury, for sure) My dollars per day
           | spent is extremely low.
        
       | incone123 wrote:
       | The talk about ageism reminded me of picking up Filipino in-laws
       | at Heathrow airport a few years ago. My brother in law commented
       | it was nice to see the airport employing some older people. In
       | Philippines it used to be pretty normal to get rid of service
       | sector workers at 30. The country has changed the law recently to
       | mitigate this.
        
       | simonCGN wrote:
       | In contrast to the article, I rather believe that Brexit is more
       | responsible for the shortage than Covid-19
        
       | nikkinana wrote:
       | You can work for yourself. Why work for someone else? They just
       | take a cut and give you scraps, look at china for example. I
       | can't wait to move out of here.
        
       | throwtheacctawy wrote:
       | I believe there are more types of jobs, and jobs that allow
       | people to set their own terms.
       | 
       | Uber, Lyft, Instacart, Rover, Wag, Onlyfans, YouTube, Twitch,
       | Instagram, TikTok, Etsy, Amazon FLex, drop-shipping with a
       | Shopify storefront - there are countless (new) ways for kids to
       | make money now. And many of these jobs allow people to define
       | when they work and how they approach work.
       | 
       | They simply don't have to work the same type of entry level jobs
       | we all had available to us. Plus the proliferation of jobs
       | involved in the supply chain & warehousing has to be mentioned.
       | What wants to interact with fussy and aggravating customers all
       | day in a hot and smelly fast food restaurant?
       | 
       | We can't forget - population growth is leveling off in many
       | developed economies, while service sector job growth continues.
       | 
       | Toss an aging population, reduce immigration, and it is a recipe
       | for the current situation.
        
       | Zerverus wrote:
       | Onlyfans
        
       | okareaman wrote:
       | When these articles are about the US they never mention the
       | brutal policies of ICE (Immigration Control and Enforcement)
       | which discourage seasonal workers from Mexico, who are already
       | hesitant due to the pandemic. I mean, if you're going to deport
       | Mexicans who served honorably in the military it's a big FU to
       | Mexicans. I wouldn't come here either.
        
         | fundad wrote:
         | Yeah and letting ICE run wild was supposed to make labor more
         | scarce and more valuable.
         | 
         | Thank immigration hawks for the wage inflation they promised.
        
         | RustyConsul wrote:
         | When i was in the Air Force, people got citizenship for
         | serving... How are they being deported?
        
           | treis wrote:
           | Generally speaking they commit serious crimes before they
           | complete the naturalization process.
        
             | okareaman wrote:
             | > Under the 1996 Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigration
             | Responsibility Act, "aggravated felonies" are a basis for
             | automatic deportation. Struggles with post-traumatic stress
             | disorder and substance abuse put veterans at greater risk
             | of incarceration than the general population. In 2017,
             | nearly 28% of minority veterans - that's 1,315,989 people -
             | reported a service-connected disability, principally PTSD.
             | 
             | I worked with citizen veterans who ended up in jail for
             | crimes committed while distressed from PTSD. The VA treats
             | these veterans. It's inhuman to deport them imho
             | 
             | https://theconversation.com/deported-veterans-stranded-
             | far-f...
        
           | skuhn wrote:
           | This NYT article [1] has some quotes from Sen. Duckworth that
           | outlines the problem as she sees it.
           | 
           | One in particular: "People don't even know that we are
           | deporting veterans. I think most Americans assume that when
           | somebody serves, they gain American citizenship. They don't
           | realize that we are actually deporting people who served
           | honorably."
           | 
           | [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/07/us/politics/veterans-
           | depo...
        
       | bawana wrote:
       | Handouts and ubi are bad. Raising minimum wage is good. Consider
       | iceland. Most of their lower pay workers were immigrants who
       | returned to their countries when covid hit. And they are still in
       | debt from the 2008 crash. Unlike the US, they cannot print more
       | dollars to bail themselves out. Yet Iceland's minimum wage is
       | $19/hr and healthcare is free. How can they manage to treat their
       | people so much better than we treat ours??
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | amelius wrote:
       | Meanwhile:
       | 
       | > Tech CEO Says Workers Get Too Much Pay and Benefits
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28010718
        
         | fishmaster wrote:
         | "Sla- I mean, workers get too much pay and benefits, they
         | should be happy to work. Why can't I find any workers?!"
        
       | geogra4 wrote:
       | Is it controversial to state that many died?
        
         | wpasc wrote:
         | I don't think it's controversial, but I don't think it's true.
         | The job vacancies in the U.S. compared to the total deaths
         | don't really match up. Even more so if you factor in that the
         | age group with the highest death rate (elderly people) weren't
         | in the workforce pre pandemic.
        
       | dsgnr wrote:
       | We all went remote to good companies with higher salaries. Stop
       | trying to control our lives so much and pay better, it is that
       | simple.
        
       | apeace wrote:
       | Is it worth considering whether increased/extended unemployment
       | benefits are a factor in the employee shortage?
       | 
       | The article mentions employees on "furlough" who are "biding
       | their time". I'm not from the UK, but this appears to mean the
       | government is paying much of their wage while they are not
       | working.
       | 
       | Anecdotally (in the U.S.) I know several people who have remained
       | on unemployment as long as they possibly can, despite the fact
       | that their job would've hired them back by now. Technically this
       | is breaking the rules of unemployment benefits, but there are
       | several easy ways around it.
       | 
       | Not that the increased/extended unemployment benefits have been a
       | bad thing. They were quite necessary, especially early on in the
       | pandemic when there was so much uncertainty. Perhaps they're
       | still necessary. But it seems to me that if you allow people not
       | to work and still have money, many people simply won't work.
       | Mystery solved.
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | People who are furloughed are still employed. They are not
         | contributing to these statistics.
        
         | lugged wrote:
         | Pretty much.
         | 
         | I was sceptical of that they did in Aus but it sort of worked.
         | 
         | Instead of just giving everyone unemployment they,
         | 
         | Doubled unemployment for those that needed it
         | 
         | Created a new system that injected money into businesses, but
         | only if they kept you employed, i.e. subsidized wages.
         | 
         | This let things snap back really quickly. Though there is still
         | a lot of damage and the new lock down in Sydney is hurting
         | without the same measures again.
         | 
         | The thing were finding is those that left jobs are just hard to
         | get back into jobs, it takes time to hire negotiate and train
         | people
        
         | thechao wrote:
         | If labor is a market, laborers are at a fundamental
         | disadvantage compared to employers when it comes to clearance:
         | the employer has an asymmetric advantage in its ability to
         | _wait_ to hire someone; laborers are a lot less capable.
         | 
         | I don't know that unemployment is a good solution, but I think
         | it speaks volumes that people might be using it to balance the
         | standard inequity.
        
           | bottled_poe wrote:
           | Can you explain this further? It sounds like you may be
           | assuming employers are able to simply not hire and bear the
           | opportunity cost. How are you weighing that up against
           | employee urgency?
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | Not GP, but forgoing opportunity does not carry the same
             | urgency as forgoing food, utilities, and housing.
             | 
             | Both are important. One is urgent.
        
           | ajsnigrutin wrote:
           | Employers need employees, and employees need employers. If
           | you have orders to fill, and noone to do the work, you're
           | just as fscked, as if you have bills to pay, and no money to
           | do it. Employers get an added benefit of being able to wait
           | it out a bit, since they generally have more money than
           | workers, and workers have unemployment benefits, which means
           | that they can wait it out (until the benefits stop).
           | 
           | The problems will be more apparent when the benefits stop,
           | poorer employers will close down in the meantime, and when
           | people have to go back to work, there will be fewer
           | workplaces for them available, bringing the wages down.
        
             | achenatx wrote:
             | assuming the demand is still there, other employers will
             | take up the slack and potentially be in a position to hire
             | the employees.
        
             | agumonkey wrote:
             | that's only partially true, as a company you have
             | infinitely more leverage in society than an individual
             | 
             | you weigh more, you're worth more, it doesn't last forever
             | but the difference is staggering
        
               | ajsnigrutin wrote:
               | You also have product to sell/deliver, and no
               | unemployment benefits.
               | 
               | Many, many businesses have failed during the current
               | plague situation... maybe not amazon and walmart, but a
               | lot of small and middle sized businesses.
        
               | fundad wrote:
               | The business owner can close up and file for unemployment
               | if that pays more than they'd make paying prevailing
               | wages.
        
               | agumonkey wrote:
               | yes but depending on the state / size of your company,
               | you can reallocate people in emergency mode, work more
               | yourself (if you're the boss), ask for loans at the bank,
               | you can absorb a lot more than a single individual can
        
             | bjornsing wrote:
             | > Employers need employees, and employees need employers.
             | If you have orders to fill, and noone to do the work,
             | you're just as fscked, as if you have bills to pay, and no
             | money to do it.
             | 
             | Na, not really. An employer can just raise their prices
             | until incoming orders and delivery capacity align. That's a
             | sustainable situation for the employer. There may be some
             | opportunity cost, but they're doing okay.
             | 
             | An employee on the dole on the other hand is not in a
             | sustainable situation. They have to find a job before they
             | run out of benefits and savings, or the consequences will
             | be dire...
        
               | ajsnigrutin wrote:
               | https://twitter.com/DevitaDavison/status/1391415254710632
               | 448
               | 
               | Yeah, good luck raising prices prices.
        
               | tenebrisalietum wrote:
               | Only in monopolistic situations or situations causing
               | everyone to raise prices at the same time would the
               | possibility of "just raise their prices" be workable.
               | 
               | If the price gets too high people will seek alternate
               | suppliers or do without.
               | 
               | Example: We pay a private company to haul trash to the
               | dump. There's many such companies, so if my company
               | raises it's prices, I'll switch to another. We had one
               | company raise its prices recently and everyone switched
               | to another. I'm not sure this company is still around.
               | 
               | Example: Comcast kept raising my cable TV bill. I
               | eventually just ditched it and went Internet only.
               | $200/month for TV isn't worth it.
        
               | bjornsing wrote:
               | > If the price gets too high people will seek alternate
               | suppliers or do without.
               | 
               | That's exactly the desired effect. I didn't say raise
               | prices to make more money. I said raise prices until
               | incoming orders and delivery capacity align. The purpose
               | is to get less orders.
        
               | josephcsible wrote:
               | > An employer can just raise their prices until incoming
               | orders and delivery capacity align. That's a sustainable
               | situation for the employer.
               | 
               | In practice, this will reduce incoming orders so much
               | that the total profits from them won't be enough to cover
               | the company's fixed costs anymore.
        
           | dcolkitt wrote:
           | This is a common refrain, but I doubt many who say have
           | actually actual experience as an employer. In many businesses
           | the inability to staff leads to existential threat to the
           | entire business.
           | 
           | If you're a restaurant and can't seat customers or a SaaS
           | startup and can't keep your service uptime, you'll go out of
           | business very quickly. That represents millions in enterprise
           | value. In contrast an employer who gets fired, but is
           | otherwise competent, might be looking at a few weeks of
           | unemployment and a couple thousand in lost income.
        
             | csa wrote:
             | I have seen many employers who look for unicorns rather
             | than using optimal stopping
             | (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optimal_stopping) for
             | positions that are more flywheel multiplier positions
             | rather than existential positions.
             | 
             | In the long term, it rarely leads to the death of their
             | business, but it substantially lowers the quality of life
             | of most/all of those working in the business.
        
             | civilized wrote:
             | If the business is run sensibly and isn't hemorrhaging a
             | large percentage of its workers, not hiring just means
             | delayed growth, not an existential threat.
        
               | josephcsible wrote:
               | Governmental meddling since last March has caused a lot
               | of businesses to hemorrhage a large percentage of their
               | workers even though they were run sensibly.
        
             | neilwilson wrote:
             | A business has no right to exist.
             | 
             | If you want staff, pay the rate or close.
             | 
             | Or automate/improve your processes.
             | 
             | We need businesses in an economy, not any particular
             | business.
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | Don't know about UK but in the US former employees are sitting at
       | home collecting juiced up unemployment benefits thanks to COVID
       | and not paying rents.
       | 
       | But the free ride is finally coming to an end and the evictions
       | are starting soon. These people will be living on the street for
       | the foreseeable future. Many companies do not hire homeless.
        
         | bruce343434 wrote:
         | This massive destabilization/bubble you are describing is not a
         | good thing by the way.
        
           | bumby wrote:
           | I know the commenter you're referring to may come across as
           | venting but I'll try to be generous to their take:
           | 
           | In my laymans understanding of game theory, one of the things
           | that becomes apparent is that the best outcomes come from
           | cooperation but only when freeloading can be kept below some
           | threshold. Once freeloading reaches some tipping point, the
           | system destabilizes and collapses.
        
           | xwdv wrote:
           | Don't care, I'm sick and tired of kicking this can down the
           | road. Let the bodies pile up in the streets, in the end
           | they'll beg us to save them.
        
             | fundad wrote:
             | That also means housed workers will be in more demand,
             | command higher wages and increase cost of living for
             | everyone. So I agree it's good for worker power if that's
             | the point you're trying to make.
        
             | commandlinefan wrote:
             | They won't beg. They'll vote.
        
             | jessaustin wrote:
             | You must be pretty sure you're in the "us" camp and not the
             | "them" camp... one hopes it works out for you.
        
       | shams93 wrote:
       | It's not a worker shortage it's an affordable housing crisis
       | nobody can afford to live where the jobs are.
        
       | Havoc wrote:
       | I find it more interesting how the BBC is putting the absolute
       | minimum required mention of brexit in the article.
       | 
       | Meanwhile if you actually look at the job seeker
       | numbers...strongly suggests that it's a major if not primary
       | contributor. Non-EU is back to pre-pandemic levels even.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jun/17/number-
       | of-e...
        
       | plibither8 wrote:
       | It's funny how this post is juxtapositioned on the frontpage with
       | the article[1] stating that 1 in every 153 American workers is an
       | Amazon employee.
       | 
       | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28009868
        
       | bserge wrote:
       | I literally can't find a job in any kind of engineering. Applied
       | for dozens of cleaning and production positions and couldn't get
       | a job.
       | 
       | You know what the media has become? A cesspool of bullshit
       | unworthy of any trust. No wonder so many people mistrust actual
       | experts, it's hard to even tell who they are.
        
         | ianai wrote:
         | I think the shortage is in positions companies don't want to
         | pay much. At least anecdotally, I've seen and heard a lot about
         | restaurants having cook shortages. This doesn't negate your
         | point. I'd say it just bolsters your point.
        
           | randomdata wrote:
           | Someone who isn't willing to pay enough does not qualify as
           | demand, thus is not considered a participant in the market,
           | and therefore would not impact a shortage situation. A
           | shortage occurs when an external mechanism prevents price
           | from rising. Choosing to not pay more is internal.
        
         | benou wrote:
         | I'm sorry to hear that but keep in mind the job market is very
         | different from one location to another and from one sector to
         | another.
         | 
         | The BBC is talking about truck drivers in the UK and it is
         | hardly a surprise: UK used to rely heavily on eastern Europe
         | workers in that area, and they vote (Brexit) to prevent exactly
         | that. They got what they asked for.
         | 
         | If anything, we can complain that the BBC article title is too
         | general and not precise enough, but your particular experience
         | does not necessarily match the experience elsewhere
        
           | bserge wrote:
           | Yeah, I get it, I just keep reading these "there are no
           | workers" articles and scratching my head. Ironically, I work
           | in delivery now heh
        
           | bko wrote:
           | In a market economy there is no such thing as a "shortage" of
           | workers. You just don't want to meet the market price of the
           | workers with that skill set. You could imagine a widget
           | factory whose economics rely on paying employees < X. And if
           | the market rate for those workers is > X, it doesn't mean
           | there's a "shortage" of workers, but the workers demand a
           | wage that makes your work unprofitable.
           | 
           | The fact is a lot of people are paid not to work through
           | generous covid-related safety net measures. That are supply
           | of workers has been restricted through immigration policies.
           | But it's not a shortage.
        
             | bumby wrote:
             | > _In a market economy there is no such thing as a
             | "shortage" of workers._
             | 
             | Certainly there can be a lag effect though. If there is a
             | shortage of doctors that won't be remedied overnight by
             | simply increasing incentives because of the amount of time
             | to gain the necessary skills, licensing, etc.
             | 
             | Unless you are willing to lower quality substantially,
             | there absolutely can be worker shortages in a real
             | pragmatic sense
        
               | x0x0 wrote:
               | Except the discussion here is truck drivers (lag: 60
               | days) and restaurant workers (lag: ~ 0 days).
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | The comment I replied to didn't mention truck drivers.
               | They brought up a hypothetical widget factory as an
               | analogy for the economy at large
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > In a market economy there is no such thing as a
             | "shortage" of workers
             | 
             | That's...not true. If you make a bunch of Econ 101-level
             | simplifying assumptions, like that supply and demand curves
             | are continuous, of infinite range, and monotonically
             | increasing and decreasing, respectively, with price, it is
             | a natural conclusion, but those "assume a cow is a
             | perfectly thermoconducting sphere" kind of assumptions
             | don't hold in real market economies.
        
             | ubercow13 wrote:
             | Using this logic, in a market economy there can never be a
             | shortage of anything.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | Yep, no housing shortage, just millennials who "don't
               | want to meet the market price"!
               | 
               | /s
        
             | jen20 wrote:
             | > In a market economy there is no such thing as a
             | "shortage" of workers
             | 
             | You need a license to drive a truck in the UK (the actual
             | subject of the article). It takes a minimum of two months
             | acquire [1]. Even paying a thousand dollars an hour does
             | not magic more qualified candidates into existence at short
             | notice as you appear to propose. The reason for the
             | shortage is the trivially foreseeable effects of idiotic
             | hard-line immigration policies, not market economics or
             | "generous" safety nets.
             | 
             | [1]: https://www.get-licensed.co.uk/licence/hgv
        
               | rapind wrote:
               | I doubt it. If the pay was high enough and the term was
               | long enough, you'd see interest from retired licensed
               | drivers and licensed driver's who'd changed jobs. Then
               | you have 2 months to train up and license new drivers.
        
               | op00to wrote:
               | Plus you can outbid others who are contracting owned and
               | operator drivers.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | There are people with commercial driving licenses who
               | aren't currently working as truck drivers. They could be
               | recruited if employers raised wages.
               | 
               | And a regular truck driver can be trained in a few
               | months. It's not rocket science.
        
               | rjsw wrote:
               | > And a regular truck driver can be trained in a few
               | months. It's not rocket science.
               | 
               | They still need to pass the tests, there is a backlog of
               | people waiting to take them.
        
               | RobertKerans wrote:
               | > And a regular truck driver can be trained in a few
               | months. It's not rocket science.
               | 
               | I get why you've said this, but I'm not sure this kind of
               | flippant remark is helpful -- what _exactly_ isn 't
               | rocket science? Is it the actual act of training a truck
               | driver? Is it the act of writing down the things needed
               | to get more truck drivers?
               | 
               | Actual process is non-trivial, expensive ( _you need to
               | persuade people to leave their families_ ), time
               | consuming and involves a chain of other non-trivial time-
               | consuming tasks that currently doesn't really exist (or
               | is at least regionally bottlenecked).
               | 
               | Sure the market will probably _eventually_ sort it out,
               | but that seems neither a quick nor an efficient way of
               | doing things in this case, where this was widely
               | predicted years previous + is now critically required
        
               | dazc wrote:
               | There are currently many more licensed UK drivers not
               | working in the industry than there are vacancies.
               | 
               | Maybe ask why so many people have chosen to do other
               | things such as amazon delivery or other such jobs that
               | pay better, have better conditions and don't require
               | regular medicals and certification, etc paid from one's
               | own pocket?
        
               | aix1 wrote:
               | > There are currently many more licensed UK drivers not
               | working in the industry than there are vacancies.
               | 
               | Do you have data to back this up (specifically for HGV-
               | licensed drivers, which is what the post you replied to
               | was talking about)?
               | 
               | I briefly looked for stats around valid HGV licences out
               | there, but couldn't find any recent figures.
        
               | kd0amg wrote:
               | Raising prices doesn't only move toward equilibrium by
               | increasing the quantity supplied -- it also decreases the
               | quantity demanded.
        
               | jansommer wrote:
               | If the pay is good, demand is high and all you need is to
               | go on a two month course, I'd bet a lot of unemployed
               | people would be eager to do that. The "shortage" is
               | indeed because of Brexit, but paying a thousand dollars
               | an hour will most certainly magically summon workers en
               | mass in a few months.
        
               | dd36 wrote:
               | Unless people see through it as a short term gimmick in
               | an unstable industry.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | Given the example of last two years, what are the chances
               | people see through anything.
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | There can be practical shortages - there can just literally
             | not be enough people in the area to do the jobs. Saying
             | "it's not a shortage because you could buy the Yankees and
             | pay the players $millions to assemble widgets" isn't very
             | informative.
        
               | ipaddr wrote:
               | It is.. it speaks to wages not raising enough to meet the
               | demand. You wouldn't need the Yankees a lot of people
               | would do it for a million, half a million, 100,000
               | pounds.
               | 
               | There always seems to be a shortage of people willing to
               | work for little never a shortage of people wanting the
               | CEO's jobs
        
               | username90 wrote:
               | There is definitely a shortage of decent CEO's, which is
               | why companies are forced to hire and try to work with the
               | charlatans they have today. That is also why the salaries
               | are increasing, they try to get one of the few good ones.
        
               | ipaddr wrote:
               | There is a huge supply of people who want to be CEOS so
               | much in fact most places will not hire you unless you
               | have been a CEO before or have risen through external
               | ranks.
               | 
               | If you take what unemployment defines are qualification..
               | many able body people could perform those tasks if all
               | CEOs decided to move to other careers.
               | 
               | Salaries increase because qualifications increase
               | creating scarcity which benefit the people who create
               | scarcity. If the hiring guidelines say only CEOs can be
               | CEO prices goes up for CEOs, VPs and anyone in charge of
               | making the rules.
        
               | treis wrote:
               | >It is.. it speaks to wages not raising enough to meet
               | the demand.
               | 
               | That doesn't really cover the current situation. In the
               | US 7 million or so fewer people are employed than pre-
               | covid. Wages haven't gone down so they can't explain the
               | change.
               | 
               | Something else has changed for these 7 million people.
        
             | peoplefromibiza wrote:
             | > In a market economy there is no such thing as a
             | "shortage" of workers
             | 
             | You can't meet the demand by producing more workers per
             | hour in some plant though
             | 
             | If you need X doctors and only have X/2, no matter how much
             | you pay them, they won't be enough.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | Sure you can, skills based immigration. Poach from other
               | countries.
               | 
               | In the 1970s the USA had a crippling shortage of nurses
               | and doctors which was filled by relaxing skills based
               | immigration laws and importing trained medical talent
               | from the Phillipines en masse.
        
             | MattGaiser wrote:
             | You could say the same thing about unemployment. There is
             | no such thing as an unemployment problem in an economy,
             | just workers who want too much and think too highly of
             | their skills.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | That's one of the problems with minimum wage laws: they
               | prevent the labor market from clearing. Some people want
               | to work but due to lack of skills their labor is worth
               | less than the minimum and thus no employer will hire
               | them.
               | 
               | I understand that people can't live on less than the
               | minimum wage. But the solution to that is a proper social
               | safety net, not imposing arbitrary minimum wage limits.
        
               | bottled_poe wrote:
               | Ugh, gross. That's just slavery with extra steps.
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | The problem with this idea is that, beneath some wage
               | floor, workers lose money by working, and would be better
               | off growing food somewhere. The minimum wage is often
               | _below_ this floor, actually - people working minimum
               | wage are often overall paying to work.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Growing food where? Someone owns all the productive
               | farmland and they aren't giving it away. But people who
               | are willing to work hard and get dirty can certainly find
               | jobs in agriculture.
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | Maybe growing food is a bad example, especially since you
               | may be homeless, though if you do own a house, you can do
               | subsistence farming in almlst any soil, raise a few
               | chicken etc.
               | 
               | A better example could be that rather than working below
               | minimum age in NYC you would be better off moving to a
               | rural area and working there.
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | > _But the solution to that is a proper social safety
               | net_
               | 
               | Playing devils advocate with your logic, how is this
               | different from preventing the market from "clearing" non-
               | viable businesses? I.e., don't many safety net programs
               | essentially subsidize business profits by allowing
               | employers to lower wages?
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | It's different because allowing people to work for low
               | wages gives them a chance to improve their skills and
               | move up to higher wage jobs rather than perpetually
               | living off welfare.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | Do you understand that most peoppe on welfare and/or
               | section 8 housing also are required to work shitty jobs
               | in order to receive those "handouts"?
               | 
               | Very few people leave poverty in the usa because of many
               | factors that have nothing to do with welfare.
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | Or it traps them in a cycle of poverty where there's
               | never enough time or money to make the skills necessary
               | to advance. When I worked as a dishwasher or landscaper,
               | I wasn't building valuable skills to progress my career.
               | Maybe your point holds for some careers, but I'm doubtful
               | it's relevant to most low-wage (especially non-skilled)
               | labor. I think the point is also diluted when considering
               | there's almost always more people at the lower end of
               | these jobs than the higher, meaning everybody can't
               | always be advancing. There will always be more
               | dishwashers than restauranteurs (ignoring automation)
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | For some people the skills they need to develop first are
               | really basic, like showing up on time and sober, and
               | following basic instructions. We're talking about the
               | lowest tier of the workforce here where the concept of a
               | "career" is kind of alien. Many of them have never been
               | formally employed before and need an opportunity to learn
               | really simple things that most of us take for granted. I
               | think most HN users are disconnected from that reality.
        
               | nicoffeine wrote:
               | > like showing up on time and sober, and following basic
               | instructions
               | 
               | Poor people are not stupid, or unambitious, and have the
               | same addiction rates as the rich. Of course, rich addicts
               | go to rehab, and poor addicts are imprisoned.
               | 
               | When they try to work their way up at places like
               | Walmart, and get fucked over again and again even when
               | they are taking time off to serve in the military[1],
               | they recognize that the system is rigged and there is no
               | point in pretending otherwise.
               | 
               | There is not a single state where working full time at
               | one minimum wage job is enough to pay for an apartment.
               | [2] That's why more than 5 million people work more than
               | one job. They are trying to beat the system. They want an
               | education and a career. But our society does not provide
               | a realistic path for them to achieve any of those goals.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.militarytimes.com/pay-
               | benefits/2021/01/05/walmar...
               | 
               | [2] http://nlihc.org/sites/default/files/oor/2012-OOR.pdf
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | This comes across as one of those talking points where an
               | employer exploits a worker under the guise they are
               | almost doing them a favor. (See: NCAA athletes or unpaid
               | interns).
               | 
               | I think this take is a caricature of low wage employees.
               | It's kinda similar to the talk I occasionally hear about
               | the enlisted ranks in the military. "That's just for
               | losers and dropouts" or to that effect.
               | 
               | My experience is that those low wage jobs can just as
               | easily be filled with every segment of the spectrum from
               | incredibly smart and competent to those who struggle with
               | basic life tasks. The commonality seems to be they were
               | all disadvantaged in some way. Maybe it was a strained
               | family life or disability or sick relative but the
               | necessity of them taking the job couldn't be boiled down
               | to something as simple as they couldn't get their shit
               | together
        
               | ipaddr wrote:
               | Minimum wage limits is one of the best tools we have to
               | act as a safety net. What would you replace it with 1
               | dollar an hour workers with a bigger food stamp budget?
               | 
               | If you can't afford to pay someone the minimum prices you
               | can't afford your business. A minimum wage creates a
               | floor. Allowing low wages means pushing the burden to
               | everyone else not that business.. raise your prices or
               | move to a lower cost country.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | Our local pizza places have raised prices dramatically in
               | the last 6 months (16" pizza went from ~$10 to ~$15).
               | 
               | Based on observation during the far fewer times I visit
               | them, they appear _dramatically_ less busy than they used
               | to be. It's not clear that "just raise your prices and
               | pay workers more" is going to work out for them.
        
               | veltas wrote:
               | What you actually need to do is keep your prices the same
               | while everyone else raises their prices and collect all
               | their business, then you can afford to pay your workers
               | more. But the end effect is the same, less work for
               | people.
        
               | RobertKerans wrote:
               | Is this a joke comment? I'm starting to lose the ability
               | to see sarcasm I think. Why would you have expected them
               | to have been busy in the last six months?
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | Maybe I'm misunderstanding your comment, but why does the
               | expectation of growth in a pizza parlor come across as
               | absurd? Dominoes had 13-14% Q1 same store sales growth
               | over 2020 numbers.
               | 
               | https://ir.dominos.com/news-releases/news-release-
               | details/do...
        
               | RobertKerans wrote:
               | sorry, it just seemed a bizarre comment: you said it was
               | less busy when you visited it, at a point in time when
               | _everywhere_ was less busy, nothing to do with overall
               | sales
               | 
               | Edit: sorry not OP
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | I'm not the original poster, but I would expect sales to
               | correlate with "busy-ness". To your point though, I guess
               | if everyone was doing takeout, sales could still go up
               | and the place could be empty. Where I'm located though,
               | it seems like businesses have been open for dine in for
               | months and people are filling the dining rooms
        
               | RobertKerans wrote:
               | Yeah, fair as does depend on country (and region)
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | They were busier (for pickup) this winter than this
               | summer. I checked my own order history at our previously
               | favorite pizza place. We ordered about 5x/month from Nov
               | '20-Mar '21 when large cheeses were $9+tax and there was
               | often a line for pickup. We now order around 1x/month (at
               | $13+tax) and walk directly to the counter.
               | 
               | If anything, CV19 is much less a safety concern now than
               | before.
        
               | RobertKerans wrote:
               | sorry, it just seemed a bizarre thing to comment on:
               | _yes_ the sales may have been higher, and anecdotally you
               | may have seen longer pickup lines ( _at what times?_ ),
               | but you gotta understand why it reads as a joke, because
               | regardless of above, in-person business is almost
               | universally likely to have been lower, restricted to
               | pickups clustered at specific times
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | As a VP does that $4 difference really mean anything to
               | you?
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | We've switched many of our family's Friday night pizza
               | nights to "make pizza at home". Can I afford $4 more? Of
               | course. Do I see the same level of value in a ~50% more
               | expensive pizza? Of course not.
        
               | f0xytr0xy wrote:
               | The struggle is real.
        
               | ipaddr wrote:
               | Covid has shifted demand. Covid in some areas means
               | limited seating and increased prep costs. Pizza is more
               | popular in the winter. 10 to 15 sounds like a Covid
               | related increase. This is the summer of the gauge where
               | everyone is making back the profits they lost.
               | 
               | If think it's because minimum wage workers are making
               | $50.00 more a week then this would only apply if the shop
               | was selling less than 10 pizzas a day and had about 10
               | employees which sounds overstaffed and in an area with no
               | demand.
               | 
               | A pizza shop with 1 - 3 employees working making 80
               | pizzas a day would only need to raise prices by pennies.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > Minimum wage limits is one of the best tools we have to
               | act as a safety net
               | 
               | Minimum wage isn't a safety net at all. Minimum wage is a
               | mitigation of the problem of low bargaining power of
               | unskilled labor; it basically raises but narrows the
               | tightrope above the safety net.
               | 
               | > If you can't afford to pay someone the minimum prices
               | you can't afford your business. A minimum wage creates a
               | floor.
               | 
               | Yes, it creates a floor for the value of labor you must
               | be able to provide before you can be sustainably
               | employed. (It also, simultaneously, sets a floor for what
               | businesses will offer for labor even in conditions of
               | labor oversupply; set at the right level, this makes it a
               | net win even given the safety net problems it can
               | exacerbate, but it is not the same as and does not remove
               | the need for a safety net.)
               | 
               | > Allowing low wages means pushing the burden to everyone
               | else not that business.
               | 
               | Only for the employees in fields affected by labor
               | oversupply that would be employed in any case, and which
               | are employed at lower wages.
               | 
               | Conversely, it also means lifting some of the burden
               | _off_ everyone else for the people who would _not_ be
               | employed with a minimum wage but who are employed without
               | one.
               | 
               | > raise your prices or move to a lower cost country.
               | 
               | Unless you take the workers with you, "move to a lower
               | cost country" means more people unemployed that are fully
               | reliant on social support in the country that squeezed
               | you out. Which is why minimum wage isn't a safety net.
        
               | chalst wrote:
               | The relationship between minimum wage and employment is
               | profoundly complex and the empirical data is inconsistent
               | with the simple supply and demand model many believe in.
               | There are many documented cases of increases in minimum
               | wage resulting in reduced unemployment.
        
             | honkdaddy wrote:
             | What would you call it if we had 5 positions at the widget
             | factory, but only 4 prospective employees looking for work?
             | Wouldn't that constitute a worker shortage, as no matter
             | how high I make my wages as a widget foreman, there are
             | still less workers than there are open positions?
             | 
             | Or is that not something that could really happen outside
             | of a textbook problem?
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Offer people enough money and they will move. Offer even
               | more and they will train specifically to do the job.
               | 
               | Jobs that require lots of training can have short term
               | global shortages of skilled workers. But, that quickly
               | self corrects as long as salaries increase.
        
               | sundaeofshock wrote:
               | That does not necessarily follow. It's very difficult to
               | put food on the table while going to school in hopes of
               | landing a job in a new field.
               | 
               | Pay living wages and provide paid, on-the-job training.
               | That will get prospective employees through the door.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | It does at a high enough salary. Some people are unable
               | to pay for their own training but you don't need everyone
               | you simply need enough people. Start offering Doctor
               | money and people will jump through insane hoops, but it
               | scales down so even 20$ an hour will motivate some people
               | to do a specialized training course on their own dime.
        
               | x0x0 wrote:
               | If it's that important to employers, they'll pay them
               | during the training period.
               | 
               | This used to be standard practice. It's a modern
               | development (80s on) that businesses demanded workers
               | come pre trained.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | What are your requirements for the widget employees? Are
               | you willing to train or educate? How effective has your
               | advertisement for the job/wage been?
               | 
               | On a microlevel, a worker shortage is a reflection of
               | lack of wage and too strict requirements. You can't find
               | a worker because your potential workers are happily doing
               | a different jobs. You've not incentivized them enough to
               | come work for you. You might say "But we are offering
               | $15/hour!" and that's fine, but that's what a lot of
               | other companies are now offering. You make balk at the
               | idea of going up further as being "too much" but that
               | just underscores the problem.
               | 
               | Now if it truly is a labor shortage, SOMEONE is going to
               | be left with not enough workers. That'll always be the
               | person that wants "15 years of experience! We pay
               | $30k/year!".
               | 
               | Just do the extreme. Do you think you'd struggle to find
               | someone if the offering was "$200k/year!"? Hell no, you'd
               | have people moving to live in your widget city for that
               | job.
        
               | djbebs wrote:
               | Thats not something that happens in real life, because
               | you will run out of resources to pay the prospective
               | workers with before the total supply of prospective
               | workers is exhausted.
               | 
               | Realistically, you can even hire people to manufacture
               | additional workers, if you have the financial and time
               | resources required.
        
               | ren_engineer wrote:
               | pay more money or any other incentive that would cause
               | more people to be interested in the job. Why do you think
               | FAANG has hundreds of applications for each job while
               | startups struggle to hire?
        
               | ericd wrote:
               | Paying more is relatively easy to do when your company
               | makes a few million per employee. The vast majority of
               | companies aren't blessed with pseudo-monopolies that
               | allow them to do that.
        
               | rapind wrote:
               | Not really. You'd have to add some very contrived
               | constraints, like:
               | 
               | 1) There's no one currently employed elsewhere that can
               | make widgets who you could poach for enough money.
               | 
               | 2) Widget making is so specialized and / or time is so
               | short that you can't train up another worker to fill the
               | role.
               | 
               | If #1 and #2 aren't possible because your margin can't
               | cover it, then you have a failed business, not a labour
               | shortage.
               | 
               | So basically "labour shortage" in a market economy is a
               | myth, usually circulated to suppress wages. Anyone who
               | says "labour shortage" really means "not enough cheap
               | labour".
        
               | randomdata wrote:
               | The other employees will catch wind of your million
               | dollar per hour offers thrown out in an desperate attempt
               | to find someone, demand that you pay them that much as
               | well, and you'll be bankrupt by Friday. At that point you
               | will have no open positions and everything is corrected
               | for. Or, to avoid bankruptcy, you won't increase your
               | offer and therefore will be removed from the market as a
               | buyer for that position.
               | 
               | A shortage occurs when an external force prevents price
               | from rising. Medical doctors in some jurisdictions, for
               | example, are often legally prevented from accepting
               | higher offers to prioritize patients. Instead their
               | service fees are fixed and they have to accept patients
               | on system that is usually a mix of first come, first
               | serve and needs-based priority. Therefore a doctor
               | shortage, in said jurisdictions, is quite possible. But
               | you generally won't find such restrictions in the general
               | labour pool.
        
               | bulletsvshumans wrote:
               | Advertise a higher than expected wage, and you will see
               | more people coming out of the woodwork.
        
           | pydry wrote:
           | The BBC has for a long long time been more sensitive to the
           | concerns of employers and investors rather than employees or
           | the unemployed.
           | 
           | This has mostly been as a result of aping the trends followed
           | by the rest of the private media in the UK since the 1970s.
           | 
           | They already had a business section and even rolled out a new
           | capital section a few years ago. No word yet on when theyll
           | get a section dedicated to worker news.
        
             | loopz wrote:
             | Why wouldn't they? Workers are generally _not allowed_ to
             | talk about specifics of work to media.
        
               | switch007 wrote:
               | I think that's a really poor excuse. People can discuss
               | anonymously and about recent prior jobs (being slightly
               | less bound by contractual gagging, or under less threat
               | of being sued)
               | 
               | Journalists can apply for jobs and do an expose too.
        
               | loopz wrote:
               | The sources will be criticized for being anonymous or
               | ousted. Some journalists cover workplace too. However,
               | corporate tactics optimize away most of what is possible
               | in that regard.
               | 
               | All for a public who can't give a damn (gimme the
               | cheapest).
        
           | dazc wrote:
           | The shortage of lorry drivers in the USA is caused by Brexit
           | too then?
           | 
           | I think you have fallen victim to journalism?
        
         | DethNinja wrote:
         | Mechanical Engineering is a very saturated field and it is very
         | hard to open your own company. If you want to become self
         | employed in that field then you need good connections more than
         | talent. I would recommend switching to software engineering.
         | Not that software engineering is much better but at least self
         | employment will be a bit easier.
        
           | lightning19 wrote:
           | Agreed, I'm a mech engineer by education. Saw the writing on
           | the wall half way through my degree and learnt how to code in
           | my spare time. I'm an SWE now, it has literally changed the
           | course of my life, had I stuck with engineering my household
           | would not have an income worthy enough to pay for basic needs
           | + internet. Some of my friends from university are still
           | unemployed, it's so bad that I know someone with a MSc in
           | Engineering working in a mall as a salesman.
        
         | yhoneycomb wrote:
         | The worst is when they say "experts say" and then just say
         | whatever their own opinion was.
         | 
         | Sure, you can find "experts" to say anything. I'm more
         | interested in who exactly you're talking about, or what data
         | you're referring to. "Experts say" is just such a lazy and
         | often misleading statement.
         | 
         | I've seen way too more articles that claimed "experts said"
         | something which was NOT at all the consensus opinion.
        
         | release-object wrote:
         | Really sorry to hear that.
         | 
         | My personal experience, of hiring software engineers in London,
         | aligns with this article. We have seen a drop in supply this
         | year.
         | 
         | If you are looking in the South of England I would recommend
         | finding a specialist tech recruitment agency.
        
           | dbetteridge wrote:
           | Supply in London is fine, companies just need to raise their
           | salaries tbh.
           | 
           | I personally moved companies during covid and got a more
           | flexible role and a 90% increase.
           | 
           | Recruiters are going nuts on LinkedIn atm for anyone with
           | skills and the salaries are rising from there.
        
           | rossmohax wrote:
           | With IR35 reform in full swing, I'd expect quality supply to
           | incease as contractors start to seek full time positions.
        
           | mattlondon wrote:
           | As a counter point in London, I've found supply to be pretty
           | good.
           | 
           | Multiple actually good and talented candidates to basically
           | pick the best from, and not just dregs with "this person will
           | do I guess - 50% is better than nothing" type sentiment.
        
         | mercy_dude wrote:
         | > You know what the media has become? A cesspool of bullshit
         | unworthy of any trust.
         | 
         | I wouldn't label all media outlets under the same but
         | mainstream media (think of what we grew up watching - CNN, NYT,
         | BBC etc) is increasingly becoming what you described, opinion
         | driven activism fueled journalism rather than reporting facts.
         | It's a sad state of affairs but across the world it is the same
         | norm, journalists have turned into crowd pleasing (many have
         | their own tweeter world where they are not shy to be an
         | ideologue) click rate seeking media professional rather. My
         | sense is that this type of journalism and their wide coverage
         | under libel protection for example in US only polarizes further
         | the people and as you mentioned make people mistrust _all_
         | experts. Which is not a good place to be for a society.
         | 
         | Good news is more and more independent journalism (ones not
         | behind under mainstream umbrella or with brands of their own)
         | are doing works in real journalism. People such as Glenn
         | Greenwald are using platforms such as substack which is far
         | better imo than any news you read these days to cover and
         | report a nuanced topic.
        
           | bserge wrote:
           | Sorry, I'm pretty emotional these days on account of not
           | getting any help from a healthcare system I'm paying into. My
           | medication _is right there on the shelves_ , alas there are
           | no doctors available to prescribe it. Even though I am
           | literally forced to pay for it.
           | 
           | Would anyone be interested in me documenting this, btw? It
           | just seems like there's _a whole lot_ of people that are
           | ignored or shafted by universal healthcare and yet everyone
           | seems to be singing praises about it.
        
         | stevewodil wrote:
         | In having a similarly hard time finding something. It seems
         | like every job I apply to has 50-100 other candidates that also
         | applied. I'm not sure how many of them are actually qualified,
         | but based on how many times I've been passed up, some of them
         | clearly are. This is also compounded by the fact that a lot of
         | the jobs are remote now, so anyone across the country can
         | apply.
         | 
         | My friend who is a recruiter says it's a talent driven market
         | right now. So, I'm not sure what to make of any of it. It
         | certainly depends on the specific type of work you're looking
         | for.
        
         | WJW wrote:
         | > any kind of engineering
         | 
         | > Applied for dozens of cleaning (...) positions
         | 
         | Is this a common thing to do when applying for engineering
         | jobs? What kind of qualifications do you even get where you
         | 
         | 1. Are not specialized in a specific type of engineering
         | (chemical, electrical, software, etc)? All these fields needs
         | massive amounts of technical knowledge and I'm pretty sure I
         | shouldn't be hired as a chemical engineer even though I know a
         | lot about electronics design and software.
         | 
         | 2. Want to get in as a cleaner rather than (say) a junior
         | engineer? How much extra on-the-job experience that would be
         | relevant to engineering do you hope to get from a position as a
         | cleaner?
        
           | atrettel wrote:
           | I'm a mechanical engineer and I believe I can answer your
           | first question. My take is that many engineering employers
           | value the ability of entry-level employees to learn new
           | things rather than what they know (their expertise). They
           | want blank slates many times, to be honest, to be molded into
           | the kind of employee that they need at the moment. As long as
           | you have the most basic relevant engineering knowledge and a
           | degree you are good enough. For example, my first engineering
           | job was actually in chemical engineering largely (chemical
           | kinetics), and I got it despite knowing very little about
           | chemical engineering.
           | 
           | This is both good and bad for the employees in my view. It is
           | good in the sense that you could (potentially) change subject
           | matter easily, but it is bad in the sense that you are very
           | much replaceable. That said, many employers do want and need
           | specialized knowledge and experience even for entry-level
           | engineering positions (not just for experienced positions),
           | and any entry-level candidates with that specialized
           | knowledge and experience will do better in the hiring process
           | (as far as I know!).
           | 
           | That said, my recent experience in the job market actually
           | matches bserge's experience. There are far too few open
           | positions in my observations, and I too had to apply to way
           | too many jobs, and it took far too long to hear back [1].
           | That is of course just another anecdote but it has been my
           | experience as an engineer. I'm gonna be fine and will start a
           | new position soon, but I think the narrative that there is an
           | employee shortage only applies to low wage and unskilled
           | workers and not to engineering professionals.
           | 
           | [1] I recently started collecting data on this from my own
           | job applications. For example, the median number of days to a
           | final decision for me was 55 days. The mean was 112 days.
           | This appears to follow an exponential distribution. I only
           | started looking into this data recently when I questioned why
           | it took 4 months for an employer to request an interview with
           | me.
        
             | cwbrandsma wrote:
             | I've been hiring a lot lately (software development), two
             | senior level positions (5 years or more experience) and one
             | mid, three hires so far, two more roles to fill. These are
             | all remote positions in a full remote team. Just be living
             | the continental USA.
             | 
             | For the senior level positions we had maybe 10 applicants.
             | Only two met the requirements (5 years experience with
             | Asp.Net and C#, and be able to legally work in the USA). We
             | hired both of them. Both had multiple offers within a week
             | or two.
             | 
             | For the mid level position (2-3 years, had done web
             | development, we prefer .Net but will take Java, Rube, Node,
             | etc) we had 150 applicants. 140 of them were fresh grad
             | school grad with no work experience, all needed visa help.
             | OK, threw those out, now down to 10, found 1 of those with
             | decent web development. Hired.
             | 
             | Really, I don't think I'm being crazy with the
             | requirements, but we just are not seeing applicants.
        
               | atrettel wrote:
               | Thank you for giving an employer's perspective here. I
               | can see how finding qualified applicants can be
               | difficult, and I hope you find qualified people for your
               | other open positions. Nonetheless, I think the hiring
               | process you describe could be improved. As I had stated
               | in my previous comment, it might be helpful to consider
               | whether an applicant _can_ do the work rather than just
               | whether they _have_ done the work before. I admit that is
               | difficult to gauge, but that perspective may help you see
               | more potential applicants.
        
               | Off wrote:
               | >For the mid level position (2-3 years, had done web
               | development, we prefer .Net but will take Java, Rube,
               | Node, etc) we had 150 applicants. 140 of them were fresh
               | grad school grad with no work experience, all needed visa
               | help. OK, threw those out, now down to 10, found 1 of
               | those with decent web development. Hired.
               | 
               | Mind sharing the reasons why you refuse applicants who
               | need visa help? I live a in third world country (It's
               | been the worst, especially with Covid) and I'm 30 now and
               | I'm planning to grind interviews to land a a job in tech
               | in the US, so i was curious why is it so hard to get a
               | work visa.
               | 
               | Thanks!
        
           | bserge wrote:
           | I'm an electronics engineer by education. Sadly I've not
           | worked in the domain (lol), but I have years of experience in
           | electrical design and maintenance, digital marketing and
           | sales, electronics repairs and maintenance, and construction.
           | 
           | But I won't complain about cleaning floors, working in a
           | warehouse or as a delivery driver. It's a last resort type of
           | job, but work is work.
           | 
           | My CV must be confusing as hell tbh, I just never understood
           | why I should stay in one place for more than a few years.
           | There's just nothing more to learn. But the real world
           | disagrees.
           | 
           | Then again, one apparently needs years of education to set up
           | a CCTV system or Wifi network in an office building in the
           | real world, and you also have to be a smug asshole about it,
           | an art that I have yet to master.
        
         | White_Wolf wrote:
         | "Any kind of engineering" is a bit broad. Loation matters a lot
         | with available jobs. Take a look at London and a 30 mile radius
         | around it(or so). You can't find enough skilled (not talking
         | about diplomas here) electricians, PLC/automation controller
         | programmers, Security system engineers, Maintenance engineers
         | and I could go on with the list.
         | 
         | I would suggest going straight to companies(managers and such)
         | with your CV. Most(if not all) recruitment agencies have staff
         | that are not exactly qualified to assess skill sets. If it's
         | not a 1:1 match on at least 50-75% of the requirements for the
         | role they won't put you forward.
        
           | wildrhythms wrote:
           | I work at a massive, well-known tech company, nearly 5 year
           | tenure, and I apply to jobs on LinkedIn, directly through the
           | company website, to government jobs (via USAJOBS), about 5
           | per week. I live in a major U.S. city. I'm willing to
           | relocate anywhere, or work remote. Full-stack developer. I
           | never get contacted back. Am I just not good enough?
           | 
           | I know the discourse is around London, but I think this is an
           | issue happening in many places, and seeing the "where are the
           | workers?" articles is really troubling for me.
        
             | dehrmann wrote:
             | There's something weird about this. You should be getting
             | recruiters on Linkedin reaching out.
             | 
             | What's your job title at the well-known tech company? I
             | assume it's more like FAANG than a consulting firm? How
             | many years of experience do you have? Have you reached out
             | to people you've worked with in the past to see if their
             | current employer is hiring? Are you in a major tech city or
             | a major city with no tech presence?
        
         | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
         | Hey, try being over 50.
         | 
         | I just gave up, and retired early. Best decision I ever made.
         | I'm working for free, with NPOs, and it's been a joy.
         | 
         | The worst part, for me, has been the naked contempt and
         | disrespect. I don't expect to be worshipped, but raw insults
         | are beyond the pale. It's -literally- like a hazing ritual.
         | With all the news about "frat boy culture," I think I see where
         | it comes from.
         | 
         | I don't think it's just us older folks. It seems as if the
         | entire industry has gone down the bog. My guess is that younger
         | folks are getting similar treatment, but are more willing to
         | shrug it off, and power through.
        
           | bottled_poe wrote:
           | That doesn't sound liveable. How do you pay for rent?
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | I worked for over 30 years, lived frugally, avoided debt,
             | and saved a significant chunk of my salary.
             | 
             | As a result, I reached the point, where I don't need to
             | work, if I don't want to.
             | 
             | I want to work. I love what I do. I don't need to make
             | money at it. I also like to help people, so I found people
             | that want to help people, and can't afford much.
             | 
             | It really is a shame. I have a fairly significant set of
             | skills and experience. Pretty much what a startup would
             | need, to make a new product a reality. I know how to make
             | very high-quality software that _ships_. I did it for my
             | entire career. I also do quite well on teams, and have been
             | a problem-solver, all my life.
             | 
             | The folks I'm working with now, pinch themselves, every
             | day.
        
               | DantesKite wrote:
               | Have you thought about building small projects that could
               | earn you a little bit of income on the side?
               | 
               | Doesn't necessarily have to be an overwhelming product,
               | but just a way of practicing and exploring work.
        
               | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
               | I prefer doing them for free.
               | 
               | Most of the work I do, is self-education. I love to
               | learn, and I have been maintaining my competency in
               | _shipping_ work for decades (Which often means that I am
               | not right at the  "bleeding edge." Shipping is usually a
               | couple of steps back from that).
               | 
               | If you check out my SO Story[0], you'll see a whole
               | boatload of published modules. They are -each and every
               | one- totally "ship-ready." I produce them as if they are
               | to be commercial-grade products, with the appearance of a
               | major-league brand _-even the experimental projects_.
               | 
               | There are also complete source code bases for a number of
               | published (and many, since, deprecated) apps on the Apple
               | App Store. I've been shipping apps continuously, since
               | 2012. I've provided full source code for all of them.
               | 
               | I don't promote them at all. I don't really care. I have
               | no idea if anyone uses them. I have a few stars, and a
               | couple of forks, but I've not seen my stuff appear
               | anywhere (It's MIT, so I assume I'd be noted in the
               | README -HAH!).
               | 
               | Many of these are 1-source-file development utilities,
               | with dozens of files of testing code, wrapped around
               | them.
               | 
               | I like Quality.
               | 
               | I'm my own best customer. I tend to be pretty skeptical
               | of most of the available dependencies, out there, so I
               | like to write my own.
               | 
               | The project I'm working on now, is non-trivial. It's the
               | kind of thing that normally takes a team of at least five
               | engineers, running 24/7 on Red Bull, to do. I do well at
               | these kinds of things. It's coming along nicely, and will
               | be ready in a few months. I also wrote two of the servers
               | I use.
               | 
               | It is not (currently) open-source, but I may, sometimes,
               | spin an open-source module out of it. I just did one, a
               | couple of weeks ago (LGV_Cleantime).
               | 
               | [0] https://stackoverflow.com/story/chrismarshall
        
           | paganel wrote:
           | > The worst part, for me, has been the naked contempt and
           | disrespect.
           | 
           | If you don't mind and if it's not sensitive do you mind to
           | share some examples? I've just gone past the 40 year
           | threshold myself and I think I'm starting to see/notice some
           | of the same things you noticed, i.e. less "camaraderie" (for
           | lack of a better word) and more "getting on top of the
           | other", a feeling I didn't have when I entered this industry
           | 15 years ago.
           | 
           | Just yesterday I happened to sit in a coffee shop close to a
           | table where an IT lead (or something like that) was
           | interviewing (I think it was an interview) a younger
           | potential hire (it was a woman, if it counts), and I found
           | his tone and remarks and general demeanor quite off-putting,
           | I was one step way of telling the guy "why the heck are you
           | spewing such bullshit?", but then again I didn't want to ruin
           | said young lady's job interview.
        
             | peakaboo wrote:
             | I think tech attracts a certain type of person... People
             | with high iq but very low scores in compassion and care.
        
               | ipnon wrote:
               | All high achievement types are like this, because high
               | achievement[a] requires selfishness. Compare the law firm
               | partner who works until midnight everyday while his wife
               | and children languish at home, with the priest who
               | volunteers at the food kitchen and adopts orphans. Both
               | add some value to society, arguably, but one of them
               | lives in a mansion and one in subsidized housing. Highly
               | prosocial behavior is not always incentivized in American
               | society[a]. This gives us benefits like iPhones and
               | Amazon Prime, and detriments like homelessness and deaths
               | of despair.
               | 
               | [a] In a material sense, excluding moral and ethical
               | achievements. "Mad Men"-style success, not Buddha-style
               | success.
               | 
               | [b] Although Americans on average are extraordinarily
               | charitable in terms of dollars donated
        
               | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
               | "High Achievement" is probably in the eye of the
               | beholder.
               | 
               | I've written a fairly massive infrastructure system that
               | is used throughout the world, and has, undoubtedly, saved
               | lives. It will probably continue to do so, in some form
               | or another, long after I take my dirt nap. It has formed
               | the nucleus of an entire Service structure; not just one
               | application.
               | 
               | Did I do it to be considered a "hero"? Did I do it for
               | financial reward?
               | 
               | The answer to both is "No." I have stepped away from the
               | project, and it has taken on a life of its own.
               | 
               | I developed the system over a period of a couple of
               | years, at first, and refined it for a decade, before
               | finding a team willing to take the reins. That required
               | that I step away from the project, and cede total
               | control: technical, IP, legal, etc., to the new team.
               | 
               | Before long, I'll be nothing more than a footnote in the
               | historical record.
               | 
               | Thousands of people, around the world, use the system,
               | every day. During the COVID impact on the users, it was
               | rapidly adapted to serve a very new environment. It has
               | always been completely localizable, and has a simple,
               | powerful semantic interface that allowed all sorts of
               | cool adapters that I only vaguely predicted, in 2008,
               | when I started it.
               | 
               | I never charged a dime for it. In fact, it cost me
               | thousands to maintain and evangelize it.
               | 
               | I'll probably never get credit for most of the work and
               | planning that I did, and I'm fine with that.
               | 
               | I consider that "high achievement." I did a lot of it,
               | because I needed to keep my tech chops up, and saw a need
               | that could be filled. I enjoyed the process of
               | envisioning the project's lifecycle, planning its
               | genesis, and implementing it. It allowed me to do stuff
               | that my employers would not let me do.
               | 
               | It wasn't because I'm some kind of saint, or martyr. In
               | fact, a lot of folks, during its early years, thought
               | that I was a cantankerous, dictatorial, controlling
               | bastard. I needed to keep the project on task, and in
               | focus. That often meant being a real dick (I'm good at
               | that).
               | 
               | When I finally encountered some tech people that were
               | qualified to handle it, and take it to the next level, it
               | was important for me to turn it over completely, and get
               | the hell out of the way. By that time, I was sick of it.
               | I wanted to learn new tech, and work on different stuff.
               | I basically slowed down the car, pushed it out onto the
               | sidewalk, and went screeching off into the distance.
               | 
               | Most of the work that I've done, in the last four years,
               | has been stuff that I _wanted_ to do, for fun. I had a
               | number of theories about developing high-quality
               | software, I wanted to really get down and dirty with
               | Swift, I wanted to develop applications that made me
               | proud, and I wanted to work my ass off. I _like_ working.
               | You won 't find me on a golf course. The coroner is gonna
               | have to rub "YTREWQ" off my cheek, because I'll faceplant
               | on my keyboard, when I pop my clogs.
               | 
               | I'm no saint, but I also consider myself to have a very
               | high degree of Integrity. I have absolutely no desire at
               | all to sacrifice that for money.
        
               | ipnon wrote:
               | Yes, I included the footnote because I am defining high
               | achievement as dominance of the social hierarchy.
        
               | royallineage wrote:
               | No, Chris Marshall NY is just nuts. Please dig more and
               | look at this person's experience. Some day he and mz will
               | have a kid and HN will cower in fear.
        
               | FooBarBizBazz wrote:
               | I dunno. I get the same vibe from medicine. MDs in
               | particular. Less so the further down the food chain you
               | go. (Part of that is culture. The bottom is composed of
               | immigrants who still act like normal human beings.) I
               | think it's something that's more broadly acculturated
               | among the highly educated and high-achieving. Or just
               | selected for whenever competition is fierce.
               | 
               | I also did _not_ get this feeling from other technology
               | industries that weren 't "Tech". Places full of PhDs, but
               | disconnected from the SV culture. And frankly, less
               | motivated by money and more by lifestyle.
               | 
               | Maybe it all boils down to money. There's too much money
               | in Tech. It attracts the worst, and brings out the worst.
        
               | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
               | _> There 's too much money in Tech. It attracts the
               | worst, and brings out the worst._
               | 
               | That is my thesis.
               | 
               | In New York, we have the finance industry, which is just
               | as bad (if not worse).
               | 
               | It has also been like this for most of a century. That
               | does not bode well for Tech improving.
        
               | shrimp_emoji wrote:
               | Web dev, specifically.
               | 
               | That's where ALL the money is, and it's where the worst
               | culture (and worst tech) is, imo. :p
               | 
               | I mean, hell, why else would anyone learn React? $$$$$$
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | I will not give specific examples. Here, there be
             | dragonnes...
             | 
             | But I have been told "You know, because you're older,
             | you'll need to ask for less" by recruiters (recruiters are
             | the worst).
             | 
             | I've had testers (silly tests), be quite disrespectful, and
             | use tone and engagement (or lack, thereof), to make it
             | clear that this is an annoyance for them, and I should just
             | "get it over with," so they can do something "more
             | important," I guess.
             | 
             | I've had _numerous_ recruiters suddenly develop
             | "connection problems" on the phone, moments after I've made
             | it clear that I'm older. They promise to get back to me,
             | and I never hear from them again (I believe that kids,
             | these days, call that "ghosting").
             | 
             | I've had initial screeners (I assume HR), do the same
             | thing.
             | 
             | One pleasant experience was actually Facebook. They have
             | been polite, respectful, and cheerful. I have not felt
             | discriminated by them. I don't think that I want to work
             | there, but I feel as if they would be approachable. I have
             | had other FAANG companies that were shockingly rude, and
             | that surprised and disappointed me.
             | 
             | Probably, the worst thing, for me, is the unwillingness to
             | check my portfolio. It's friggin _huge_. Many years in the
             | making, with lots of shipping products.
             | 
             | I've actually been told that "I probably faked it," and
             | given a stupid binary tree test.
        
               | ipnon wrote:
               | Working at startups has been my solution to this wide
               | problem. No startup will turn away a domain expert in a
               | field they need help with. A corporation over a certain
               | size seems to glean all they need to know about me as
               | soon as they see my bald head. Any social organization
               | over a certain size seems to be allergic to people with
               | much experience, I think because they cannot mold them
               | into drones.
        
               | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
               | _> No startup will turn away a domain expert in a field
               | they need help with._
               | 
               | This has not been my experience. Part of it may be that I
               | don't really do the whole "self-promotion" thing so well.
               | 
               | I'm pretty good at what I do. I have worked with many,
               | many people that are much better than I am, so I don't
               | let it get to my head.
               | 
               | But whenever I mention what I'm good at, it's met with
               | snorts of disbelief. That's crazy. I am not claiming to
               | be Superman.
               | 
               | I have a massive portfolio that proves what I claim. It
               | has 30 or more (complete, documented, tested, and
               | supported) repos, with over a decade of checkin history,
               | and full source for a whole boatload of [mostly
               | deprecated] shipping applications. Don't believe me?
               | Clone the repo, and hit "Build." I have dozens of blog
               | entries, articles, teaching series, etc.; all linked from
               | my SO story. I even have the PDF manual for my very first
               | engineering project, in 1987.
               | 
               | What I can (and can't) do is not a matter for debate.
               | Like I said, I have worked with many folks that make me
               | look like a piker.
               | 
               | Here's an example:
               | 
               | About a month and a half ago, I responded to an article,
               | where the author claimed we "never finished" anything.
               | This was what I posted:
               | 
               |  _> > I dare you to list three finished software
               | projects.
               | 
               | > I can probably list 30, and point to the repos._
               | 
               | It's 100% true. You don't need to take my word for it.
               | Simply look at my SO story. I link to it in my HN handle.
               | 
               | Someone that obviously did not bother to do exactly that,
               | posted a challenge, basically calling me a liar. I
               | responded by throwing the seed into the nest, and posting
               | a link to my SO story[0]. They never responded, after
               | that.
               | 
               | Like I said, I know that I'm pretty good at what I do,
               | but I spent my entire career around folks that made me
               | look like a beginner.
               | 
               | It's really, really sad that people seem to consider that
               | kind of stuff to be a lie.
               | 
               | [0] https://stackoverflow.com/story/chrismarshall
        
           | hncurious wrote:
           | Tech was once not that respected, & mostly full of nerds who
           | were just way into tech. But then tech rose in status &
           | income, & was invaded by top school kids seeking such things,
           | who took over the top slots. These new kids didn't much
           | respect older tech folks from wrong schools.
           | 
           | https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1421212798881722368
        
             | FooBarBizBazz wrote:
             | The reduced standing (and compensation) of Finance
             | post-2008 has something to do with it.
        
           | bserge wrote:
           | I've observed this and it's just appalling.
           | 
           | It doesn't matter that 50 year olds can do the same work just
           | as well, no, management seems to want freaking Energizer
           | bunnies on their team.
           | 
           | Nevermind that they don't actually get more work done (and
           | more importantly, _better_ ), it's just about being
           | "passionate" about doing the same shit every day. Wtf.
        
           | foobiekr wrote:
           | How do you find NPOs that aren't ego-driven sweatshops? I've
           | been pondering doing this for a few years but the reality of
           | many nonprofits is that they are quite exploitative of their
           | employees and volunteers. I'd happily do net and server admin
           | for a low overhead background task but not for a ceo ego org.
        
           | oblio wrote:
           | It will stop, at some point. IT is still growing but we're
           | reaching the point where IT workers are a decent percentage
           | of all workers, so they are starting to become representative
           | of the population at large. Larger and larger cohorts of IT
           | workers are aging and recent graduates will stop being enough
           | even for the top companies.
           | 
           | Also, salaries are lower in general but I get the impression
           | Europe is better in this regard. I see older people in IT, at
           | least in Western Europe (in Eastern Europe the field is too
           | new).
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | I could probably go to the Web sites of at least a dozen
             | successful IT companies, and go to the "Meet the Team"
             | page.
             | 
             | They are invariably a large group of smiling -young- faces.
             | There may be one or two greyhairs in the picture, but a
             | quick shufti of the "Leadership" page often shows them to
             | be C-suite or Board.
             | 
             | Yeah, I'm a cynic.
        
               | pydry wrote:
               | This is certainly the case for newer VC funded companies.
               | That isnt all of tech though.
        
               | cbushko wrote:
               | When you are old, everyone looks young. =)
               | 
               | I see 35 year olds and think "that guy is just a kid"!
        
               | bumby wrote:
               | This made me chuckle as it reminded me of an older
               | employee referring to another employee as "one of the
               | good interns". Except the guy he was talking about was in
               | his late 30s and had been with the company for over 5
               | years :-)
        
               | detaro wrote:
               | I wonder if there's a corelation in the sense that the
               | young-biased "startup-y" companies are more likely to
               | even have something like a "meet the team" page. (I.e.
               | you kind of need to be below a certain size, and even
               | then plenty places don't have them)
        
               | robertlagrant wrote:
               | There's a fairly common ideal of what a team photo should
               | look like, and so the people that contribute to that
               | ideal will be in the photo.
        
             | ahartmetz wrote:
             | Yes, being older and working in software doesn't seem to be
             | big problem in Europe. A previous (European) employer of
             | mine with a very geopraphically distributed workforce even
             | employed some older Americans.
        
               | Archelaos wrote:
               | With regard to Germany, I have the same impression.
               | Mature companies, at least, seem to have a mature
               | workforce. Have a look at a picture of the SAP big band: 
               | https://image.jimcdn.com/app/cms/image/transf/dimension=2
               | 060...
        
               | spaetzleesser wrote:
               | It's not that much of a problem either in the US outside
               | of Silicon Valley and venture backed companies. Plenty of
               | older guys in the not so cool industries.
        
             | peakaboo wrote:
             | Salaries may be lower but work/life balance seems much
             | higher in Europe.
        
               | GekkePrutser wrote:
               | It definitely is depending on the country!
        
               | hibikir wrote:
               | This is something that is very difficult to see at a
               | distance: Just like in politics, it's very easy to get an
               | unrepresentative picture of the world online.
               | 
               | I am a Spaniard who was fortunate to qualify to a US
               | visa, so I was able to come over. I have many friends who
               | went into CS, but didn't have the chances to come over as
               | I did. As far as Spain goes, what I am able to make in
               | the American Midwest pays for an entire team of
               | developers in my hometown, who don't get more vacations
               | than I do, and often work far longer hours.
               | 
               | And it's not just Spain. A local company here has started
               | a Polish development center, because despite the language
               | barriers, and the time difference, it's hard to pass up a
               | total cost per employee of about 1/4th the equivalent
               | developer in Missouri, and those Missouri developers get
               | a month of vacation, and nobody works more than 40 hours
               | a week.
               | 
               | If the concern is just places with bad work/life balance,
               | we can find them on both sides of the Atlantic. My
               | brother in Spain works 60 hour weeks more often than not,
               | just like some people I know at very large online
               | retailers. Those kind of situations can happen anywhere:
               | But in some cases someone gets to choose it because they
               | like the RSUs that come with it, and in others, it's just
               | that the local market really is that bad.
               | 
               | So if I were you, I'd look in detail, as a generalization
               | on work life balance might be very different than you
               | think once you are on the ground. Take a look at "The
               | trimodal nature of the European software market". There
               | really are very few jobs in the top tier, the second tier
               | is quite a bit worse than the US's second tier, for
               | similar work/life balance, and the third tier is so far
               | from the US, you might as well be comparing working
               | conditions of Software developers with Uber drivers.
        
               | reader_mode wrote:
               | People on this forum say EU - but they mean "rich parts
               | of EU". Reality is EU has way more inequality between
               | member states than the US, ironic given the propaganda.
        
               | the-dude wrote:
               | > work/life balance seems much higher
               | 
               | That doesn't sound too great. You probably mean _better_.
        
               | peakaboo wrote:
               | Indeed. :)
        
               | info781 wrote:
               | If you offer an American a choice between more money or
               | more vacation, they will take the money, for the most
               | part.
        
               | stripline wrote:
               | That's because American's can't afford vacations without
               | more money.
        
               | dcolkitt wrote:
               | Americans have far more disposable incomes than
               | Europeans. It's not even close. Average household
               | consumption in the US is _65% higher_ than Germany.[1]
               | 
               | [1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_hou
               | sehold...
        
               | robocat wrote:
               | Hard to know where those figures come from, and the
               | article itself says they divide household by capita,
               | which is extremely weird.
               | 
               | If we look at median wealth (don't use average because
               | highly distorted by wealthy tail), the US comes below a
               | lot of other countries:
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_weal
               | th_...
               | 
               | i.e. cherry picking and using invalid metrics can tell
               | whatever story you wish.
        
               | username90 wrote:
               | That measure is wrong, it was designed to make USA look
               | better. Read this part about the measure, it misses
               | government subsidised healthcare etc:
               | 
               | > Household final consumption expenditure (HFCE) is not
               | an exhaustive measure of the goods and services consumed
               | by households. The general government and non-profit
               | institutions serving households (NPISH) often provide
               | goods and services to households for their individual
               | consumption free of charge or at reduced prices. Examples
               | are health services provided by governments or reimbursed
               | by a social security fund, education services, the part
               | of service provided by public museums, concert halls,
               | operas, swimming pools that is not financed by entrance
               | fees, aid for social housing etc. By adding the general
               | government's and NPISHs' individual consumption
               | expenditure to household final consumption expenditure
               | one receives the actual final consumption of households.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_final_consumption
               | _ex...
               | 
               | Edit: Also another way to interpret that value is that is
               | how much households has to spend to uphold decent way of
               | life in that country. So it is really expensive to live
               | in America so people have to work hard to survive. Of
               | course you can't say for sure what is true, but if an
               | American has to spend 50% more to live the same quality
               | of life as a German person then of course he will be less
               | willing to take vacation instead of the money.
        
               | spaetzleesser wrote:
               | A lot of Americans I know seem to associate vacation with
               | super luxury trips. They don't seem to understand the
               | concept of just taking off and relax but instead want to
               | do trips that go to five star hotels and spend 100
               | dollars on dinners. No wonder they can't afford vacation.
               | When I compare myself to colleagues I can often do a one
               | week trip for what they are spending per day.
        
               | refurb wrote:
               | Money is typically not the issue with most US jobs
               | compared to Europe.
        
         | golergka wrote:
         | I have just been on remote job hunt this past month, and have
         | ended up with a lot of offers and maybe-offers (refused before
         | getting the final letter, but things have been going this way)
         | from US and Europe. And I'm not a native speaker, live in
         | Eastern Europe and don't even have a degree, just work
         | experience.
         | 
         | Engineering labour market is extremely skewed towards the job
         | seeker right now.
        
           | bserge wrote:
           | Yeah, I should probably move back there.
        
       | neilwilson wrote:
       | There is no employee shortage.
       | 
       | There is a decent pay and conditions shortage.
       | 
       | There are still 3.45 million without work that want it and 1
       | million short of work. Yet only 0.8 million vacancies.
       | 
       | https://new-wayland.com/blog/uk-employment-stats/
        
       | spiritplumber wrote:
       | "The Last Of The Deliverers"
       | 
       | Poul Anderson, "The Last of the Deliverers" IN Door To Anywhere,
       | pp. 408-417.
       | 
       | I read this story once before in an anthology a long time ago. An
       | author's note explained that the story shows one of our present
       | conflicts as history because it will become history.
       | 
       | A future history is summarized:
       | 
       | "'Technology made it possible for a few people and acres to feed
       | the whole country, till millions of acres were lying idle; you
       | could buy them for peanuts.'" (p. 415)
       | 
       | A few people, yes, but a few acres?
       | 
       | "'Meanwhile the cities were overtaxed, underrepresented, and
       | choked by their own traffic. Along came the cheap sunpower unit
       | and the high-capacity accumulator. Those let a man supply most of
       | his own wants, not work his heart out for someone else to pay the
       | inflated prices demanded by an economy where every single
       | business was subsidized or protected at the taxpayer's expense.'"
       | (ibid.)
       | 
       | Living better on less work, people needed to earn so little that
       | they paid nearly zero taxes, consumed little, thus causing a
       | depression, and preferred to live in small country communities,
       | despite rearguard action from both big business and trade unions.
       | Individuals and families use town tractors as and when they need
       | to and most grow garden vegetables. Land cannot be owned because
       | it cannot be pocketed and carried around.
       | 
       | "'And when we do work, we'd rather work for ourselves, not for
       | somebody else, whether you call the somebody else a capitalist or
       | the people. Now let's go sit down and take it easy before
       | lunch.'" (p. 414)
        
       | epicureanideal wrote:
       | Many companies are becoming increasingly unpleasant to work for,
       | largely because of the increasing political speech at work. I
       | wish more companies would take a Coinbase or Basecamp type stance
       | on avoiding politics at work, and downsize their HR departments
       | so they focus on benefits, compensation, and so on, rather than
       | acting like political commissars and social activists within the
       | workplace.
        
         | is_d4ng_erect wrote:
         | simmer down there american
        
       | peakaboo wrote:
       | Couldn't it be that people don't want to commute to places
       | anymore for hours every day? So they don't take those jobs where
       | they have to suffer anymore.
       | 
       | I read several article about how people realized during covid
       | that they don't want a job they don't like anymore. Specially
       | tech, since its very demanding.
        
         | fundad wrote:
         | Housing costs spiked pretty much everywhere too. There has been
         | talk of a restaurant bubble for years and not enough was done
         | about affordable housing.
         | 
         | The other thing is during the restaurant bubble, it cost owners
         | little to be open during slow times because it came at the cost
         | of the workers' tips. That was good for convenience-obsessed
         | customers who could easily get a table but it obviously wasn't
         | sustainable.
        
       | jesusthatsgreat wrote:
       | The harsh reality is that there's not enough incentive to work
       | for a lot of people through a combination of state supported
       | welfare, lack of job security (i.e. short term contracts / zero
       | hour contracts) and the financial and mental health cost involved
       | in working (transport to and from work, paying for childcare
       | etc.. it's a financial cost but also impacts work / life balance
       | i.e. a lot of people realise they have none if they work).
       | 
       | Remove all forms of welfare and you can bet people would be
       | queuing up for jobs to keep a roof over their heads and buy food.
       | The problem is, if you were to do that, the situation would be
       | taken advantage of by the super wealthy - as has been the case
       | time and time again in any sort of recession.
        
         | peakaboo wrote:
         | Hmm. That argument seems to be that instead of making tech fun
         | to work in, we should make sure there are no other options so
         | people have to work there.
        
         | simonh wrote:
         | I don't think there's a good argument the social security
         | system in the UK is excessively generous. Our long term
         | unemployment is only around 360,000 people. That's people
         | unemployed for more than 12 months. The vast majority of our
         | 1.7m unemployed, roughly 4/5 of them, are simply between jobs.
         | I have no problem supporting these people through the
         | transition.
        
           | ithinkso wrote:
           | And even those that are planning to live off of welfare...
           | what else can you do. Welfare isn't that great and a vast
           | majority (by a huge margin) has aspiration to have a better
           | life so you only need to support those who can't work and
           | those who will not work no matter what. You can force the
           | latter by starvation but if they have such low needs anyway
           | they will find the easiest way to sustain themselves and will
           | be a bigger problem to others one way or another. Welfare is
           | a cheap price to pay
           | 
           | It's a strange way of thinking that I don't fully understand.
           | Why would one choose to live with homelessness problem rather
           | than pay to solve it and get them off the streets? Only
           | because those paid 'don't deserve it' so now both parties
           | live non-optimally. Some weird twist on a prisoner's dilemma
        
         | minikites wrote:
         | >a roof over their heads and buy food
         | 
         | Why should death be a threat for not working?
        
       | minikites wrote:
       | >Add Brexit into the equation, and the old assumption that
       | companies can just hire extra people from Eastern Europe to fill
       | any gaps can no longer be taken for granted.
       | 
       | Wild idea, but maybe companies should pay higher salaries. I bet
       | they would find plenty of workers. If their business relies on
       | paying people sub-standard wages, maybe their business deserves
       | to fail to make room for someone else who is better at making a
       | budget and paying their employees.
        
         | White_Wolf wrote:
         | That won't happen mate. At least not anytime soon. (Where I
         | work) we have a few partner companies (service providers) that
         | are paying a ton of money to train people that are not even in
         | UK (most from India and Pakistan). After a chat with one of
         | their managers: They want to buyild their skills up before
         | bringing them here. It's a lot cheaper than hiring someone
         | already in UK.
        
         | fundad wrote:
         | Wasn't this one of the stated motivations for Brexit? Fewer
         | immigrants pressuring owners to raise wages for British
         | citizens.
         | 
         | It was the same here in the States with border wall
         | construction, turning away asylum seekers instead of letting
         | them work while their cases were processed, issuing fewer visas
         | and detaining and deporting more people.
         | 
         | Strange to see who is carrying water for owners instead of
         | taking credit for what they've done for workers.
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | In the States, net immigration was negative before the border
           | wall was proposed. It was an intentional distraction. It was
           | also an intentional distraction when H. Clinton was lefty-
           | punching over it at the same time the administration was
           | doing NAFTA. No recent administration has earnestly cared
           | about working-class wages. The reason working-class incomes
           | have been rising recently is entirely due to public pressure
           | and the need to pump cash into an economy that was on the
           | verge of returning to a serious recession at a time when the
           | two parties are absolutely even electorally.
           | 
           | But since the administration is trying to avoid a big
           | recession followed by endless recovery (i.e. learn from the
           | mistakes of Obama), they're only interested in interventions
           | that pour money into businesses. They're not interested in
           | structural change; they're just taking advantage how absurdly
           | slowly the USD inflates no matter how much of it you print.
        
           | LatteLazy wrote:
           | It was one of the motivations. BUT the people who voted for
           | brexit were mostly not employed (too old, on various benefits
           | etc). And as consumers they didn't want the immigrants THEY
           | rely on sent away. So their wages remain unchanged and
           | suddenly they have to wait longer in restaurants or the
           | corner shop is shut early...
        
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