[HN Gopher] Anna Kiesenhofer: Mathematician, amateur cyclist, Ol...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Anna Kiesenhofer: Mathematician, amateur cyclist, Olympic champion
        
       Author : billfruit
       Score  : 379 points
       Date   : 2021-07-25 15:20 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cyclingnews.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cyclingnews.com)
        
       | manquer wrote:
       | Being a pro athlete competing and winning at an event like
       | Olympics and pursing a post doc in a tough field like mathematics
       | is an achievement lot more interesting than whether she is really
       | amateur
        
       | pjbster wrote:
       | This isn't the first time something like this has happened:
       | cycling aficionados will remember the tale of Robert Millar and
       | the "stolen" 1984 Vuelta [1].
       | 
       | I personally love it when races are run without radios. The UCI
       | tried to ban them in 2010 but the pro teams rebelled, claiming
       | that they were essential for safety reasons; the number of
       | crashes at the 2021 Tour de France would suggest that they aren't
       | succeeding very well at that core function.
       | 
       | Radios make the races formulaic. Not necessarily predictable but
       | certainly a different event. I can't think of any other sport
       | where pros are held to different rules (i.e. allowed technical
       | assistance) compared to amateurs.
       | 
       | [1] https://crankpunk.com/2012/11/09/robert-millar-the-case-
       | of-t...
        
         | frereubu wrote:
         | > I personally love it when races are run without radios
         | 
         | I agree wholeheartedly.
         | 
         | It levels the playing field in a way that means money can't
         | interfere as much. Some people make a break off the front? You
         | have to remember how many people went and how good they are.
         | You want to make sure they don't get too far away? Chase them.
         | 
         | Cycling fans (of which I am one) make a lot of noise about how
         | they enjoy the strategy involved, but there are different kinds
         | of strategy. There's nothing I dislike more than a few people
         | making a breakaway and the peloton sauntering along, knowing
         | that they'll be able to catch the break within X kilometres of
         | the finish if they make Y effort at Z kilometres out because
         | they know exactly where the breakaway is. People wax lyrical
         | about heroic individual deeds and head-to-head competition of
         | the past. You want more of that? Ban radios.
         | 
         | The whole safety argument is bunk from what I've read of it -
         | the amount of cameras and personnel on the course is more than
         | enough to catch any issues.
        
         | rocqua wrote:
         | If you don't have radios, you still need to tell riders about
         | the gaps.
         | 
         | Perhaps a radio channel that just tells riders the state of
         | play without input from the teams themselves.
        
           | mijamo wrote:
           | Before radio you had a moto putting the latest gap to display
           | in front of the peloton. This is very simple and would not
           | cause trouble. Note that they do not have that for the
           | Olympic games for some reason.
        
             | rurban wrote:
             | Wrong. Anna was constantly informed by the moto of her
             | lead. We will have to hear from others, like Longo or
             | Brennauer if there were informed or not. But I'm pretty
             | sure they were.
        
           | frereubu wrote:
           | Why do you _need_ to tell riders about the gaps?
        
             | rocqua wrote:
             | Because otherwise the Olympics for road cycling and actual
             | high-level road cycling races become totally different
             | things.
             | 
             | The entire game of road cycling races is based on judging
             | these gaps. Without it, you would probably never let anyone
             | ride off. Then races become attrition, followed by sprint.
             | 
             | Either that or you get a weird spotting system where people
             | try to get gap timings to the riders through unofficial
             | channels. Probably from the broadcast, but if delayed too
             | much, from physical spotters with stopwatches.
        
       | pythko wrote:
       | Some additional context for those who don't follow professional
       | cycling: the Dutch women's team was incredibly strong coming into
       | this road race. All 4 riders on their team are stars in their own
       | right, and the only reason there wasn't a clear favorite for the
       | race overall is that people weren't sure which Dutch rider would
       | win.
       | 
       | So you have a complicated group dynamic, where the majority of
       | the peloton has no interest in pulling the group to catch the
       | break, since they would just get beat by one or more of the Dutch
       | riders, and the Dutch riders didn't seem to have a clear plan on
       | how to control the race and who would sacrifice their chances and
       | work on the front for the rest of the team.
       | 
       | As others have said, there were no radios allowed for riders in
       | the race, so all information about the breakaway came from the
       | race director's car trailing the peloton. This was a well known
       | fact about the race coming in, and it's the same way that the
       | annual World Championship race is run. It's normal for riders to
       | drop back to the team car to get information about the break, and
       | the lead moto for a group of cyclists will occasionally show time
       | gaps on a whiteboard.
       | 
       | At least one of the Dutch riders claimed to have known about the
       | lone rider off the front [1], but somehow that information didn't
       | make it to the rest of the team. It seems that most of the
       | peloton didn't know (or didn't care) how many riders were up the
       | road, and the Dutch team failed to communicate amongst themselves
       | and establish a plan.
       | 
       | All that leads to Kiesenhofer's solo move working out. All credit
       | to her for an extremely strong ride.
       | 
       | [1]https://netherlandsnewslive.com/miscommunication-and-
       | underes...
        
         | la_fayette wrote:
         | Sorry but this is ridiculous! Everyone who participates at the
         | olympics must be a professional athlete. Especially, if you are
         | favorite.
         | 
         | Observing the environment around you should be obvious?! It is
         | not like Anna Kiesenhofer had the one ring on her finger and
         | was invisible...
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | She did not earn her money with cycling. Last year, her
           | proffesion was Mathematics teacher. She was also far from a
           | favorite for this race.
           | 
           | She spent one year in a proffesional group. The commentators
           | were saying she really dislikes riding in 'the bunch'. Which
           | would make proffesional cycling hard. She qualified through
           | national championships, which are open to non-proffesionals.
           | 
           | As for invisibility, the person who came second thought they
           | were first. So somehow they missed this. And she wasn't the
           | only one who didn't know there was still someone ahead.
           | 
           | Non of this is meant to say Kiesenhofer did not deserve this.
           | She rode an amazing race, and earned this gold medal.
        
             | walshemj wrote:
             | And women's pro cycling pays very poorly compared to the
             | Men.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | Notably, 15% of men riding in the tour de France earn
               | less than 45000 a year. That isn't a low salary, but for
               | a proffesional athlete at the peak event, it isn't a lot
               | either.
        
           | TomK32 wrote:
           | Ahhh, no. No! NO!
           | 
           | The Olympics as envisioned by Coubertin didn't allow
           | professionals for a very long time, A VERY LONG TIME. For
           | boxers this year is actually the first Olympics that do
           | accept professionals.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olympic_Games#Amateurism_and_p.
           | ..
        
             | la_fayette wrote:
             | This sounds rather idealistic and doesn't represent the
             | reality, particularly for this female cycling race! The top
             | competitors of Anna Kiesenhofer had professional contracts!
        
             | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
             | Curiously, every single soviet sports athlete who ever
             | competed on any international event was considered an
             | amateur, while in fact being a full time professional
             | devoted to his sport.
             | 
             | Usually they were officially 'working' at some factory, but
             | were members of a sports club and received a substantial
             | stipend, never doing any work but training and competing.
             | This practice still lives in Russia. The income of any
             | Olympics team russian athlete is estimated to be no less
             | than 5-7k USD, generally coming in the form of several
             | grants and stipends.
        
           | CrazyStat wrote:
           | She finished over a full minute ahead of second place and at
           | one point had as much as a ten minute lead. She was out of
           | sight for most of the race.
        
             | la_fayette wrote:
             | Ok so you want to explain to me that when she was breaking
             | out from the group at the beginning she was invisible?
        
               | Dingen wrote:
               | As you can also read in the linked article, she broke
               | away with some others, as is usual in cycling. After a
               | while the peloton caught up with the breakaways, thinking
               | they're now racing for the lead. But they didn't realise
               | Anna Kiesenhofer wasn't among them, as she is a virtually
               | unknown amateur, so nobody missed her.
        
               | rurban wrote:
               | Excuse us, she never was an virtually unknown amateur.
               | 2017 she got a professional contract from a Belgian team,
               | but refused to cycle on their "stupid" rules. She rather
               | went by her own rules, without a team and didn't need the
               | money. 2018 she was 5th in the European time trials. She
               | constantly rode, but not so much on professional UCI
               | events, but also on many amateur marathon events. Which
               | she thought were harder and better. She was official
               | Austrian champion afterall.
               | 
               | The peloton just missed her, due to complete lack of
               | communication amongst the disfunctional leading dutch
               | team. There were many dutch and other coaches on the
               | street with cellphones, but they didn't try to catch her,
               | so she was lucky. A properly organized peloton would have
               | caught her easily. You could see with your own eyes how
               | disorganized the peloton was. Extremely interesting case
               | for social studies.
        
               | Dingen wrote:
               | Yeah, I don't mean to discredit her. Just saying the
               | peloton didn't think of her as they caught up with the
               | front runners, as they didn't really know her. Exactly
               | for the reason you state: she didn't attend a whole lot
               | of pro events.
        
         | TomK32 wrote:
         | Oh communication is so important, isn't it? There's even an old
         | Slim Gaillard song about that I used to lindy hop to
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teaxWYRH9A4
         | 
         | What I've read, Kiesenhofer would have preferred to race the
         | time trial instead of the the road race, she even told that the
         | austrian press just before the race. A breakout gives you the
         | advantage of riding your own pace at our optimal and constant
         | power level; something a you can't in a breakout group where
         | the the lead does cycle and goes from hundrets watts to almost
         | zero and back again. I guess it's partly due to her not being a
         | professional (anymore), thus not having to deal with team
         | trainings and training mostly on her own? Not sure on that.
        
           | sharken wrote:
           | It would be a breath of fresh air for Tour de France if they
           | did not use radios.
           | 
           | Another outcome could be that we would not see the same rider
           | winning multiple years, simply due to missing radios.
           | 
           | All in all seems like a win for viewers.
        
             | caycep wrote:
             | Totally, and way more fun to watch and even ride in too. I
             | feel like pro cycling is way too cold and clinical these
             | days.
        
             | ISL wrote:
             | With cell phones, the crowd would suddenly have a lot of
             | agency (and spoofing).
        
             | TomK32 wrote:
             | More time trials, that's what does mix up the Tour de
             | France. I mean who needs a radio on a time trial anyways
             | :-D
        
         | hourislate wrote:
         | Is it possible that an outlier, an amateur, a lone wolf, was
         | able for a moment to draw the strength and determination that
         | would lead to victory and not even the best in the world stood
         | a chance.
         | 
         | Of is as you say....she was lucky and her victory was just a
         | series of unfortunate circumstances for the other riders. I
         | want to believe that there was no one that day that could beat
         | her.
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | On nearly level terrain the peloton has a distinct
           | aerodynamic advantage that lets them reel in most people who
           | are just having a good day. People try it anyway and hope for
           | bad luck, or leverage time bonuses if the rules allow it.
           | 
           | Big groups on a downhill are dangerous, on an uphill are too
           | hot and cramped and so in both cases individual skill and
           | power are outsized. If a technical downhill racer can break
           | away on the last climb, they may be gone for the day. Tours
           | have been lost or won on this tactic.
           | 
           | In a multi day tour a twelfth place competitor might pull
           | away, even take a few people with them. The other teams may
           | not be interested in catching, might have lesser members in
           | the breakaway and be hedging their bets, so they can't build
           | consensus on burning their people to kick up the pace. They
           | make think that they can wait for him to wear out and reel
           | him in later, but there comes a point where from one update
           | to the next they discover he's still gaining on them, and oh
           | shit do we still have time to catch? We better find out.
           | 
           | The worst for me is when they catch the breakaway mere miles
           | from the finish line. Sometimes a person stays away all day
           | only to end up finishing in the group, or at least beaten by
           | all the sprinters.
        
             | pythko wrote:
             | > The worst for me is when they catch the breakaway mere
             | miles from the finish line. Sometimes a person stays away
             | all day only to end up finishing in the group, or at least
             | beaten by all the sprinters.
             | 
             | Yeah, this is why I (and most others, I believe) find most
             | of the sprint stages in the Tour pretty boring. The break
             | vs. peloton dynamic is critical for road races to work
             | (e.g. if there's no one up the road, why don't we all just
             | ride along at 25kph?), but in those flat stages, the sprint
             | teams are so good and care so much about the sprint finish
             | that it's almost a guarantee they catch the break.
        
               | hinkley wrote:
               | When they added the time bonus to the point system I was
               | not sure it was a good thing. But sometimes a third place
               | climbed to second or first cemented a bigger lead by
               | staying out front for 2/3 of the race and then finishing
               | with the pack. Especially if they could pull it off twice
        
           | pythko wrote:
           | It would be nice to believe, but when second place celebrates
           | like she won says she wasn't aware of a rider up the road,
           | it's not just not the story today. Perhaps if they had known
           | and chased, Kiesenhofer still would have been able to hold
           | them off, but we'll never know.
           | 
           | I also wouldn't call the rest of the peloton "unfortunate."
           | They knew keeping track of the breakaway would be especially
           | important given the lack of radio communication with a
           | director in a team car, and they still didn't. I think
           | Kiesenhofer deserves a ton of credit for this win; she was in
           | the break from the very start of the race, and she was solo
           | for over an hour, I believe. You can't do that without a lot
           | of dedicated training and preparation. If anything, I think
           | this is an example of "shoot your shot." You never know when
           | things will break your way!
           | 
           | Part of the reason I love cycling races is that it's a
           | combination of athletic ability and strategic thinking that
           | you don't see in most other sports. The physics of drafting
           | mean that a well coordinated group almost always has the
           | speed advantage over a lone rider, but lone riders often win
           | races because they don't have to deal with the coordination
           | problems of a group. After 4+ hours of racing, people are
           | trying to calculate optimal game theory decisions while at
           | their max heart rate. It can be bonkers to watch!
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | If you can manage to pull away when the front of the pack
             | is dominated by people with no chance, then it can be hard
             | to catch. Part of the chess match in cycling is keeping
             | your friends close but your enemies closer. If you can
             | catch a draft off of the person making a break, you burn
             | far less energy than they do. If you're trying to reel them
             | in then you've won. Otherwise if you can't beat em, join
             | em.
             | 
             | This is why relative unknowns often break away. Especially
             | as a professional. Nobody was watching Pedro Noname, but
             | now the sponsors and recruiters know his name. Even if he
             | doesn't win, he's gotten a good story and better prospects.
             | 
             | In this case it sounds like communication was bad and so if
             | you didn't _see_ her break away then some people didn't
             | know she was gone. Or vastly underestimated her.
        
             | TomK32 wrote:
             | A few months ago on my usual round I (6'3", 103kg) by
             | chance teamed up with a much smaller woman. I felt the
             | draft effet even when I was behind her rather small statue,
             | and it was a fun and quick ride. Then came a bus of five
             | riders working even better then we did and they went by at
             | an incredible speed. Since then I humbly accept that
             | breakouts winning a race is rare.
        
           | wly_cdgr wrote:
           | There's always someone who can beat you. It doesn't matter -
           | they didn't. What matters is that she chose and executed her
           | best-chance prep and race day strategies wisely and bravely.
           | It takes away nothing from her achievement that she also
           | happened to hit the one outer she needed on the river
        
         | Ostrogodsky wrote:
         | All this is true but it doesnt stop painting the Dutch riders
         | (and the rest of the peloton) as very amateur. It is not about
         | resources, people like van Vleuten or Voss receive resources
         | (money, sponsorship,equipment) than 99.9% of cyclists in the
         | world will never see (both men and women) and yet they made a
         | schoolboy mistake here. When you compare that to the men's
         | event it could be practically be a different sport.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | acdha wrote:
           | It's not like men don't make errors, even at this level - the
           | entire point is pushing people to their absolute limit. The
           | more interesting lesson for anyone not peddling an agenda is
           | the importance of training exactly as the main event will
           | happen - national teams usually have limited experience
           | together and not having radios meant that the riders were
           | guessing about details they normally know far more precisely.
        
             | Ostrogodsky wrote:
             | It is obvious you know nothing about cycling. No peloton
             | worth its salt will let a breakaway rider to march all the
             | way long to gold totally unopposed and even worst, without
             | being aware of it. This does not happen even at amateur or
             | very young categories.
             | 
             | To the people downvoting me, you cannot wish reality away.
             | But by all means continue living in your fantasy world.
        
               | acdha wrote:
               | Totally unopposed, except for the part where they caught
               | 2 of the 3 riders? Nobody is arguing that it wasn't an
               | error but that happens regularly -- everyone is making
               | strategic and tactical decisions while riding at a high
               | fraction of their maximum heart rate, and there was
               | clearly a communications breakdown based on the claim
               | that Van Vleuten and Van der Breggen had been told that
               | Plichta was the last. Mistakes under pressure are not
               | gender-specific.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | Would you please stop breaking the site guidelines so we
               | don't have to ban you again? Your substantive comments
               | are good but the amount of flamebait you toss in is
               | abusive, and the damage you cause by that exceeds the
               | value of the good stuff by a lot.
               | 
               | We're trying to have a forum that doesn't destroy itself
               | [1, 2]--if you'd like to contribute to that, you're
               | welcome here, but as long as you're adding to the self-
               | destructive tendencies (which are the way things go by
               | default on the internet and hardly need you or anyone
               | else to nudge them), you're not.
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
               | 
               | [1] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=f
               | alse&so...
               | 
               | [2] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=f
               | alse&qu...
        
         | spodek wrote:
         | > All credit to her for an extremely strong ride.
         | 
         | And a better strategy, which is a major part of competition.
         | People commenting on her being lucky. She had a better
         | strategy.
        
           | jamincan wrote:
           | I mean, it worked in this case, but winning from the break,
           | especially for an important race like this, is rare. They
           | were definitely lucky.
        
             | OscarCunningham wrote:
             | If you're losing then it's a good idea to take actions that
             | increase the variance of the possible outcomes.
        
             | boshomi wrote:
             | She was at least 40km alone in the wind. There she needed
             | 20-30% more energy then the riders in the peleton. So this
             | was a incredible performance while the peleton calculated
             | wrong.
        
               | LiamHex wrote:
               | And she was in the wind regularly (in a small group of 3)
               | for the other 100km. Incredible.
        
           | TomK32 wrote:
           | Breaks are rarely a winning strategy (on mountains they are,
           | but those are a pure display of strength and will-power).
           | Granted she is a mathematician and might be literate in road
           | racing strategy but I'm sure a lot of that strategy is down
           | to experience which she doesn't have.
        
             | throw_nbvc1234 wrote:
             | https://youtu.be/mccKzTdfXts
             | 
             | But when they are it's amazing to watch. Completely
             | different circumstances though.
        
           | croes wrote:
           | The others had no strategy because they didn't know she were
           | upfront.
        
             | diskzero wrote:
             | Other than showing up on time for the race, step one of
             | your plan for winning is knowing the position of your
             | competitors. This is road racing 101.
        
         | localhost wrote:
         | If you're interested in learning more, the Lanterne Rouge
         | podcast has an excellent recap of today's race:
         | https://youtu.be/uKXX_3GKZWE
        
         | antattack wrote:
         | Sounds similar to Emma Coburn's win in steeplechase in 2014[1]
         | 
         | [1]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u_riHHyAIvk
        
           | GavinMcG wrote:
           | (Coburn, rather)
        
       | shayankh wrote:
       | in germany every1 has a phd; no surprise really
        
         | mkurz wrote:
         | Except that she is from Austria, studied in Vienna, which is
         | also in Austria. She has absolutely nothing to do with Germany.
        
         | Tainnor wrote:
         | A PhD in mathematics is not the same thing as a ghostwritten
         | PhD in some other disciplines that are notorious for this sort
         | of thing.
        
       | PuddleOfSausage wrote:
       | (More related to the comments than the article) I've seen tons of
       | takes on this since watching the end of the race this morning
       | and, although it certainly played a part in deciding the outcome,
       | it's a shame that more focus has seemed to be on making excuses
       | or how the Dutch riders messed things up instead of Dr
       | Kiesenhofer's incredible story and ride.
       | 
       | Kiesenhofer was on a fantastic day: van Vleuten's earlier attack
       | from the peloton made no inroads to Kiesenhofer, assuming the
       | time gaps shown on the TV were correct.
       | 
       | Watching on the TV we knew there was still a rider out front and,
       | even if the race "ardoisier" (blackboard holder) wasn't the best,
       | team management should have figured out a way to get that
       | information to the chasing pack. I mean, the race finished on a
       | motor racing circuit with pit lanes containing team helpers! It's
       | not like it was like stage 16 of this year's Giro, where poor
       | weather stopped race images being broadcast[1].
       | 
       | [1] https://cyclingtips.com/2021/05/gallery-amazing-images-
       | from-...
        
         | Sergiu37 wrote:
         | In giro they have radio communications from the team manager.
         | In the Olympics they don't have that, they can't tell them the
         | differences.
         | 
         | Also winning when the opponents are not really trying to catch
         | you it's not really a story either. It happens a lot even when
         | they know a rider is upfront in order to save energy for second
         | place and not give a free ride to other cyclists -see how
         | Carapaz won in men events where only Wout tried to catch him.
         | The real story is the mistake from the dutch team that could
         | have catch her but missinterpreted the situation.
        
       | j7ake wrote:
       | What an amazing effort from Kiesenhofer. I imagine being alone in
       | the front for that long would be many times more effort than
       | staying in the peloton. Heroic effort.
       | 
       | I am curious how this upset compare with other upsets in previous
       | Olympics? Has there been bigger upsets than this one?
       | 
       | If this were a tennis event, would this be like someone who was
       | ranked top 50 or top 100 in the world beating Novak Djokovic to
       | win gold?
        
       | dmix wrote:
       | I'm curious how much the extra year has helped some athletes who
       | wouldn't have won or might not have won until 2024. Or given a
       | few the extra time to show they can compete.
       | 
       | For ex: an 18yr old Tunisian was a big upset for gold at 400m
       | swimming.
       | 
       | https://ftw.usatoday.com/lists/olympics-swimming-ahmed-hafna...
       | 
       | https://youtu.be/nkkn9qEnPbE
       | 
       | Not to downplay any of their abilities or achievements.
        
         | rocqua wrote:
         | The extra year was also a year with less competition. That
         | probably allowed some people to train up without being noticed.
         | 
         | Normally it would have been noticed how much they improved in
         | the past year in competition. Without competition, you don't
         | know how people progressed the last year.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | polote wrote:
       | "After Shapira and Plichta were caught by the remainder of the
       | peloton the rest of the riders seemed to believe that they were
       | racing amongst themselves for Gold, unaware that Kiesenhofer was
       | still in front."
       | 
       | Not saying she shouldn't had won, but when nobody is pursuing
       | you, it is much easier to win.
       | 
       | We have seen in the men race that even when people know there is
       | one person in front, 80% of the riders prefer not to force to
       | prevent the strongest guy of the group to win the sprint. (Who
       | won the sprint anyway)
        
         | iainmerrick wrote:
         | _Not saying she shouldn 't had won, but when nobody is pursuing
         | you, it is much easier to win._
         | 
         | She certainly benefited from a mistake by the other
         | competitors, but "much easier" is surely a big exaggeration.
         | You could equally well say it's much harder to win the race
         | when you're out by yourself, with nobody to chase, nobody to
         | set the pace, and no pack to draft with.
         | 
         | If she hadn't cycled the race of her life, she would have been
         | caught.
        
           | bandyaboot wrote:
           | I don't think "much easier" is an exaggeration at all. It is
           | hard to win with no help as you say. Which is why there's a
           | good chance that she would have been caught if the people who
           | did have help knew there was someone they needed to catch.
           | 
           | That being said, good on her for sneaking away getting out in
           | front unnoticed. It's not always just about pure ability.
        
             | eCa wrote:
             | > sneaking away getting out in front unnoticed
             | 
             | They knew she was in the early breakaway, they just assumed
             | she had been caught.
        
               | lmilcin wrote:
               | Let's just say, and I know this from experience as
               | amateur runner, when you ride an olympic effort you are
               | probably not the best at counting and remembering things.
        
         | rocqua wrote:
         | Consider what happened in mens racing.
         | 
         | When there is someone ahead, you also get hesitation. No one
         | wants to expend the effort to catch them. Everyone hopes that
         | someone else will put in that effort. It's a classic game
         | theoretical 'tragedy of the commons'.
         | 
         | The same could have happened here. The dutch riders were all
         | riding for themselves. The other riders would probably have
         | looked to the favorites to close the gap.
        
         | zucker42 wrote:
         | Tactics are as important as strength in cycling. The strongest
         | person doesn't always win.
        
         | Denvercoder9 wrote:
         | The road race at the Olympics is somewhat of an outlier in
         | cycling. It uses national teams as opposed to commerical teams,
         | so riders ride with unfamilar teammates, and in this case the
         | biggest favorites were actually teammates. It also bans radios,
         | so there's no direct communication between the coaches and the
         | riders possible.
        
           | jessaustin wrote:
           | I didn't see this race yet, and although I enjoy watching it
           | I'm no expert on road cycling. However, ISTR that in every
           | televised race there is a particular motorcycle that stays
           | with the lead rider(s). If a racer thinks she's on the front
           | and _doesn 't_ see that motorcycle around somewhere,
           | shouldn't she reconsider her position?
           | 
           | Also the racers who had been on the breakaway and got caught
           | knew she was still up there, but they might not have cared to
           | tell anyone about it.
        
             | Denvercoder9 wrote:
             | There's usually motorcycles in front of the chasing groups
             | as well, and I don't think the motorcycle for the leader is
             | specially marked.
        
           | TomK32 wrote:
           | Even with radio, the breakouts might feel confident with the
           | lead but not realize yet that the poursuivants have stepped
           | up their speed.
        
           | ossusermivami wrote:
           | world/european championship has the same national structure
           | as the olympics, the radios are present in those races, so in
           | that way the olympics is unique.
        
         | lmilcin wrote:
         | No, the rules are pretty simple. The one who manages to first
         | cross the finish line wins. Everybody knows the rules.
         | 
         | The problem is it is not a very simple sport and there is some
         | game theory involved. Riding as fast as possible is not the
         | best strategy, actually it is pretty poor one.
         | 
         | The better strategy comes from understanding you don't need to
         | win by a lot, winning by 1s is the same as winning by 10
         | minutes. Also riding alone or at the front costs a lot more
         | effort than riding behind somebody.
         | 
         | Actually, riding at the same speed at the front might be max
         | effort and in the pack might be almost coasting.
         | 
         | Together, this means you may have a very valid strategy to try
         | to preserve energy (ie. keep with the pack) and count on your
         | better ability to sprint at the end to get ahead of
         | competitors. That of course as long as you believe there is
         | nobody running away.
         | 
         | At the extreme of effort, very small differences of effort can
         | have very large effects on your body. If you look at it, a
         | difference of tempo to run a 5k and 10k is very small.
         | 
         | The current world records for 5k is 12:35.36 and 10k is
         | 26:11.00.
         | 
         | If you look at difference, 5k is 151s/km while 10k is 156s/km,
         | just 5s or 3% slower.
         | 
         | And yet that minute difference lets you run twice as far.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | And yet, there are quite a few solo wins. I think somewhere
           | between 10 and 25 percent of races get won solo?
           | 
           | The advantage of the solo strategy is that everyone behind
           | you is trying to put in less effort than the others behind
           | you. So they can get stuck in a game theoretical tragedy of
           | the commons.
        
           | TomK32 wrote:
           | Why 5k when it's only a week since Austrian Christoph
           | Strasser set the records for 1000 (one thousand) kilometers,
           | in just under a day (with 2 minutes total for breaks and
           | clothes changes).
        
             | lmilcin wrote:
             | Because I ran distances from 5k to marathon (with 10k being
             | my favourite) and so I know from my own experience. I have
             | no knowledge of how you run a 1000k run.
        
           | orthoxerox wrote:
           | Time trial is a better way of finding which rider is the
           | fastest, but the race is so boring without an obvious winner.
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | In professional cycling the Ride as Hard as You Can people
           | are necessary but often don't achieve any real rank on the
           | team. They might not even finish a tour, either having not
           | budgeted enough for the late stages, or being so new that
           | they can't understand how tired they're gonna be later.
           | 
           | Their claim to fame may be limited to being on the top team,
           | it might be being on a top 5 team. If you're lucky you team
           | may place several people in the top 10. If you're their hedge
           | against the captain being injured, that might even be your
           | name in seventh place.
           | 
           | Lemond is famous in small part for being number #2 to Bernard
           | Hinault and feeling it should have been him on the podium.
           | 
           | But Lemond is the classic case of the unreliable captain. He
           | was like a race horse. On a good day he was like the wind.
           | But a stiff breeze could lay him up. He lamented the Hinault
           | situation but illness stopped him from winning two others.
           | And then that goddamned duck hunting trip... (I met him a few
           | years later, he did a signing at a bike shop owned by a
           | friend... who he as going to go duck hunting with the next
           | day. I so wanted to ask him why he was crazy.)
           | 
           | I never felt he had the sort of lieutenants that Armstrong
           | enjoyed, the way he was to Hinault. I'm racking my brain
           | trying to remember who was on Delgado's team and coming up
           | completely blank. But I think that just proves my point.
        
             | rjsw wrote:
             | > I'm racking my brain trying to remember who was on
             | Delgado's team and coming up completely blank.
             | 
             | Delgado had Miguel Indurain [1] working for him, hardly an
             | unknown rider.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miguel_Indur%C3%A1in
        
               | hinkley wrote:
               | Oops. Seems I have flipped Delgado and Indurain in my
               | head. Which I should have realized when the wikipedia
               | page seemed to be understating his win history.
               | 
               | Who was Indurain's right hand?
        
             | lmilcin wrote:
             | > In professional cycling the Ride as Hard as You Can
             | people are necessary but often don't achieve any real rank
             | on the team. They might not even finish a tour, either
             | having not budgeted enough for the late stages, or being so
             | new that they can't understand how tired they're gonna be
             | later.
             | 
             | I am not much interested in cycling, but I understand this
             | is the dimension that is not present on Olympics. Or do
             | they also ride as teams and assign from the start who is
             | going to get "protected" to preserve their strength to get
             | the best shot at getting gold?
        
               | Leherenn wrote:
               | Most countries will have a clear leader yes, especially
               | the big ones with 4/5 riders. Sometimes they hedge their
               | bets by having one guy "free", often in the breakaway. It
               | apparently wasn't so much the case with the Dutch women
               | this year though.
        
         | freefal wrote:
         | The big difference between typical pro races and the Olympics
         | is that in the Olympics the riders don't race with radios,
         | which made this situation possible. In a typical pro race, the
         | team director would be telling his riders there is still
         | someone up the road.
        
       | Quarrel wrote:
       | This is incredible, but some of the headlines of "amateur wins
       | gold versus pros" are a little misleading.
       | 
       | She was with a pro-team, she is the current Austrian time-trial
       | champion and had devoted herself to making this happen over the
       | pandemic. Meanwhile the Dutch World Champion didn't know she was
       | ahead, so didn't chase her.
       | 
       | I love the story, but it isn't a simple amateur beating out all
       | the pros story.
        
         | rocqua wrote:
         | She's only an amateur in the technical sense.
         | 
         | It seems to me like she has the passion and drive for time
         | trialing, not really road racing. It's hard to do that for
         | money, and she is apparently driven and lucky enough to be able
         | to have a job but still train like a pro.
        
         | mkurz wrote:
         | > She was with a pro-team
         | 
         | Only in 2017. She quit a Belgian pro-team shortly after she
         | joined [1]. Quote from the linked article: "I noticed that
         | professional sport is too much physical and psychological
         | stress for me and that I prefer to only do hobby sport"
         | 
         | > but it isn't a simple amateur beating out all the pros story.
         | 
         | IMHO she probably is not really just an amateur, but also not a
         | pro. I mean, she is 30, doing her post-doc at EPFL Lausanne
         | right now... It's not like training is the only thing she
         | spends her time with. Also not sure if she has sponsors.
         | 
         | And to everyone here on HN saying that the Dutch riders didn't
         | know there was someone in front: These are professional
         | athletes, competing at the olympics. If the Dutch's claim is
         | true, it's their own fault. Knowing who is/how many are in
         | front is part of the game. And they lost that game. Also
         | Kiesenhofer was ahead 1:15 minutes. It's not like that's
         | nothing. Even if the Dutch would have chased her, is it sure
         | they would have beaten her? I am not sure...
         | 
         | The point being: Kiesenhofer won, no matter what.
         | 
         | [1] https://sport.orf.at/tokyo2020/stories/3081410
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | It is definitely the mistake of the dutch riders, and the
           | dutch team. From reports, it might also be issue with
           | communication between the organization and the dutch team.
           | 
           | There were complaints about unclarity of information for the
           | riders. If true that probably is something the organization
           | to do better. But 'our girls' could have done better.
           | 
           | My read is that: being used to having communication; hubris
           | and situational awareness mistakes; unclear signaling of gaps
           | to the riders; and a spotty cell connection in the coach's
           | car combined to the Dutch riders making a very bad mistake.
           | 
           | What would have happened without this mistake is an unkowanle
           | what-if. My money would be on Kiesemhofer having been caught,
           | given how quickly the gap was shrinking at the end. But that
           | what if doesn't matter as much as the huge mistake that
           | prevented it from materializing.
        
       | mikeyouse wrote:
       | Seems she's a PhD who studies Partial Differential Equations. Her
       | post-doc research institution is understandably proud:
       | 
       | https://actu.epfl.ch/news/epfl-scientist-wins-cycling-gold-m...
        
         | sdenton4 wrote:
         | This was what I came into the comments to find out! I like that
         | the faculty is 'celebrating her result,' a phrase we often use
         | for new discoveries and theorems, rather than race placements.
         | 
         | I got excited when I saw 'Catalan' in the original article,
         | but, sadly, as she's in PDE research, she's merely from
         | Catalan, not studying Catalan numbers.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catalan_number
        
           | enriquto wrote:
           | > I got excited when I saw 'Catalan' in the original article,
           | but, sadly, as she's in PDE research, she's merely (...)
           | 
           |  _angry Catalan noises_
           | 
           | I'm really happy for her, she did her PhD at my alma mater,
           | in a rather well-known lab. Here's one of the main papers
           | leading to the doctorate: https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.02605
        
         | dls2016 wrote:
         | I left the PDE group as a postdoc a few months before she
         | joined. This even further solidifies that I wasn't quite cut
         | out for that level of mathematics... haha.
         | 
         | Congrats on her win!
        
       | egeozcan wrote:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cycling_at_the_2020_Summer_Oly...
       | 
       | With more than a minute difference to the rest? She wasn't even
       | in the pack, incredible victory.
        
         | billfruit wrote:
         | In fact initially Van Vleuten thought she had won when she
         | finished and didn't knew that Kiesenhofer had finished ahead of
         | her.
        
       | tosh wrote:
       | Interesting preparation twitter thread by Anna Kiesenhofer on
       | body temperature
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/AnnaKiesenhofer/status/14113592085247262...
        
         | TomK32 wrote:
         | Interesting, the race taking place on a hot day and she doesn't
         | feel hot when her core peaks at 39.3 degrees.
        
         | dillondoyle wrote:
         | Especially with global warming I wish they took climate into
         | more account with deciding locations. It becomes borderline
         | unsafe I think the US track trials were too hot if I remember
         | right?
         | 
         | For training though the US climbers have a small space in their
         | gym that is enclosed in plastic with heater humidifiers for
         | this reason. pretty funny.
         | 
         | Temps + humidity - or 'condies' as the kids say - are really
         | important to climb at the top level. Cold and a breeze is
         | usually best.
        
       | tosh wrote:
       | Great performance, thrilling race, well done!
        
       | haunter wrote:
       | There are no radios allowed at the Olympics, like there are at
       | professional races (ie Tour, Vuelta, Giro etc.)
       | 
       | That simple. The last refresh point was ~50kms before the final,
       | if the person there didn't give an info to the riders then they
       | just didn't know how far she was ahead hence the confusion of van
       | Vleuten at the finish
        
         | tokai wrote:
         | No radios really exposed the poor racecraft of the Dutch
         | riders. Seen some commentators criticising the no radios in OL
         | (and WM) races, but I personally I think it is nice that it
         | emphasize the skill of the rider and minimise the impact of
         | SD's. Riders in the van Vleuten group, such as Uttrup, did know
         | that there was a rider up the road. So it does seem that the
         | mishap is truly on the Ducth riders.
        
       | elijaht wrote:
       | I recently started watching road cycling with this years Tour de
       | France and now the Olympics and it's pretty interesting. A lot of
       | tactical depth and it's a perfect WFH background noise- it plays
       | out over hours so you don't have to be watching every minute
       | 
       | Both mens and womens road race in the Olympics were excellent
       | too, a lot of drama and interesting mind games
        
       | consp wrote:
       | Don't know where to add it to so I'll add it in response to the
       | OP as some discussion is about it:
       | 
       | Quotation from the Dutch TV (interview with van Vleuten, silver
       | medal winner) [1]:
       | 
       | > "Onderschatting van de tegenstander, in combinatie met heel
       | veel miscommunicatie en ook slechte communicatie vanuit de
       | organisatie."
       | 
       | Which roughly translates to () is mine: "Underestimated the
       | opposition (singular), in combination with lots of
       | miscommunication and bad communication (with the team) from the
       | organization."
       | 
       | Though it looked like she was contend with the performance of
       | Anna Kiesenhofer vs her eventual performance.
       | 
       | [1] Source: https://nos.nl/tokyo2020/artikel/2390838-38-jaar-en-
       | ze-had-m...
       | 
       | Video is country restricted for some stupid reason as it is a
       | interview ... stop whining about rights ...
        
       | endisneigh wrote:
       | Her victory is well deserved, but from what I can tell in the
       | Olympics isn't it the case that unless they're right in front of
       | you contestants have no way of knowing if they're even winning?
       | This could be a case of #2 and #3 falling from the lead and not
       | even realizing they're #2 and #3, and rather thinking they're #1
       | and #2. If they knew their true positions it's possible the
       | outcome could've been different.
        
         | tokai wrote:
         | >if they knew their true positions it's possible the outcome
         | could've been different.
         | 
         | That is part of the sport. riders keep up with time gaps on
         | boards from the motos, they go back to their team car for
         | information (and water), count the riders getting brought back,
         | they talk with their team mates or even other teams about the
         | situation. Radioless races are run differently, but the
         | favourites forgetting the road leader is not common and
         | embarrassing.
        
       | srean wrote:
       | It might be interesting to recall that Alan Turing was an
       | Olympics team contender for 1948~1949
        
         | IceDane wrote:
         | Yes, let's use the opportunity this article about this
         | successful woman has provided us to talk about successful men
         | instead. Great suggestion.
        
           | srean wrote:
           | No offense intended, it seems my comment has upset you or
           | someone else who has been downvoting unrelated comments.
           | 
           | Turing is a person of interest here, for obvious reasons, so
           | did not think it would be out of place. Gender identity was
           | the last thing on my mind.
           | 
           | There are some similarities, a mathematician, amateur
           | sportsman in an Olympics, don't you think ? Turing's running
           | mates were quite unaware of his technical and academic
           | contributions, partly due to the secrecy of his wartime
           | contributions.
           | 
           | If women athletes with academic accomplishments interest you,
           | you may checkout Corinna Cortes. She is VP at Google
           | Research, known for her foundational work in machine
           | learning, support vector machines in particular. She is
           | Danish, if that matters to you.
        
           | xondono wrote:
           | Let's ignore talking about mathematicians who participate in
           | the olympics and focus on their genitalia, because that's
           | clearly what's important here.
        
           | mmdoda wrote:
           | The fact that she's a woman doesn't make this interesting.
           | (Woman winning women's cycling wouldn't be much news.) The
           | reason this is interesting is because she's a Mathematician
           | and an amateur.
        
           | hervature wrote:
           | It seems like a pertinent interesting side fact about
           | mathematicians at the Olympics. The list is obviously pretty
           | small.
        
           | adrian_b wrote:
           | Any 2 humans who are simultaneously good mathematicians and
           | good athletes have much more in common than most pairs of
           | women or most pairs of men have just because they have the
           | same sex.
        
         | _Microft wrote:
         | Honest question: why would this be interesting in this context?
         | 
         | (Edit: check the follow-up comments to see why I wasn't as
         | surprised as others about Ms. Kiesenhofer being both
         | sportswomen and active academic and therefore did not make the
         | connection with Mr. Turing immediately)
        
           | mmdoda wrote:
           | Because he's also a Mathematician in the Olympics, similar to
           | (but not as successful) as Mrs. Kiesenhofer. We like when
           | nerds are not completely 1 dimensional.
        
             | rurban wrote:
             | Why don't you call her Dr. Kiesenhofer then? Esp. Austrians
             | love their titles.
        
             | _Microft wrote:
             | Hmm, I've got a friend who won the German championship in
             | their sport (watersport, individual) and went on to get a
             | PhD in math, so maybe that's why the idea of both being a
             | successful sportsman and following an academic career was
             | not exactly foreign to me. Thanks for replying!
        
           | awb wrote:
           | It's super rare to be intellectually gifted and a world-class
           | athlete. There was an NFL offensive lineman with a published
           | mathematical paper as well, but I didn't know about Turing's
           | physical talents until now.
           | 
           | I don't know of any other instances of brilliant people being
           | paid or awarded medals for their physical abilities, so I
           | personally found it interesting.
           | 
           | I guess the parent comment was for those of us that were
           | intrigued by the intersection of top-tier physical and mental
           | abilities.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | acdha wrote:
             | It's also a healthy correction for the nerds-versus-jocks
             | dichotomy which was so common for years. There are a non-
             | trivial number of people who actively questioned someone's
             | technical competency if they were athletic or assumed that
             | the only way to be a successful academic was to grind
             | everything else out of their life.
        
               | jamincan wrote:
               | My experience is that high-achievers in one area are
               | often high-achievers in other areas as well. For
               | academics as well as athletics, individual ability
               | matters, but the discipline and work-ethic that most
               | high-achievers have translates across fields.
        
               | acdha wrote:
               | Yes - also simply the circumstances: if you're in a
               | position to do either well, you probably don't have
               | serious chronic health problems, family demands, poverty,
               | etc. That doesn't make it easy but it makes it possible
               | to focus on something more than survival, much as how
               | coming from a financially stable family makes it easier
               | for someone to take a gamble on a startup rather than a
               | safer job at a big company.
        
             | mncharity wrote:
             | There's https://news.mit.edu/2019/student-john-urschel-
             | math-football... .
        
       | bijant wrote:
       | The Dutch Cyclists didn't even need a phd in PDEs, they could
       | have gone for gold if they had been able to count to three.
        
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