[HN Gopher] California moves to cut off water to thousands of fa...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       California moves to cut off water to thousands of farmers
        
       Author : turtlegrids
       Score  : 115 points
       Date   : 2021-07-24 18:23 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.sacbee.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.sacbee.com)
        
       | hamburgerwah wrote:
       | The entire california water drama boils down to just two things:
       | the delta smelt and the resnick family (Paramount farms, FIJI
       | water, POM/Wonderful). 1/3 of californias freshwater is diverted
       | back to the ocean to "protect" the delta smelt, the resnicks
       | control and use an additional 1/3 including the kern water bank.
       | Everything else is window dressing and about moving money into
       | and out of various pockets. There is no actual shortage of
       | freshwater in any meaningful way in california.
       | 
       | Should one very political and well connected family control 1/3
       | of the massive states entire irrigation water? How could they
       | abuse that to enrich themselves and california's elite? Who are
       | the largest donors to newsom in the recall?
        
         | adolph wrote:
         | _The Resnicks are the world's biggest producers of pistachios
         | and almonds, and they also hold vast groves of lemons,
         | grapefruit, and navel oranges. All told, they claim to own
         | America's second-largest produce company, worth an estimated
         | $4.2 billion._
         | 
         | https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/08/lynda-stewar...
        
       | EE84M3i wrote:
       | Could someone chime in with how these farmers physically get this
       | water?
       | 
       | The article says "tap in" to the streams. Does that mean the
       | farmers themselves drop a hose with a pump (or some other means
       | of limited diversion) into the stream? Do they own the land the
       | steam is on or does the government own the streams and provide
       | permits for access? Is it generally the farmers themselves doing
       | this or is there some middleman (public/private?) water
       | distributor?
       | 
       | If there's any suggested reading on this I'd be curious. I would
       | have expected the state to simply charge more and more for this
       | access rather than cut it off all at once.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | Pipes and ditches, often agreements or easements with
         | neighbors.
         | 
         | In general just because you own land a river runs through
         | doesn't mean you can do whatever you want to the river.
         | 
         | Maybe the university of california has some information, i
         | don't know anything specific other than seeing first hand
         | irrigation ditches in the sacramento valley
        
           | pyuser583 wrote:
           | I'm pretty sure you never own the river.
        
           | blooalien wrote:
           | > "In general just because you own land a river runs through
           | doesn't mean you can do whatever you want to the river."
           | 
           | Indeed there have been more than a few disputes, incidents,
           | and court cases throughout history leading up to the current
           | rules and agreements surrounding the various ways it's often
           | handled nowadays. One must have consideration for "downstream
           | neighbors". Easy way to spark an incident is doing something
           | "untoward" or inconsiderate with the water upstream of a
           | neighbor.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | This article is about farms that take directly out of streams,
         | with siphons and diversion dams. However, that is a minor
         | component of how California farms get their water. Most of them
         | are getting it from pumping out of aquifers or from the giant
         | aqueducts of the State Water Project and the Central Valley
         | Project (weirdly, not the same thing).
         | 
         | As the article itself says: " _Most farmers_ who rely on the
         | State Water Project or the federal Central Valley Project are
         | already struggling with dramatically reduced allocations. The
         | proposed order released Friday covers those thousands of
         | farmers with direct legal rights to pull water out of the
         | rivers. "
        
         | TigeriusKirk wrote:
         | Man-made irrigation channels run through the farms. It can be
         | as simple as opening a gate on the channel to let the water
         | into the fields.
        
           | dehrmann wrote:
           | Something to be aware of is a lot of farms have have these
           | canals, but they're often attached to a managed water system
           | (usually called irrigation districts). This is distinct from
           | what the article is talking about. Those are riparian water
           | rights:
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riparian_water_rights
        
         | mistrial9 wrote:
         | California Agricultural Products summary report from 2016
         | weighs in at about 1000 pages. Farmers, crop-types (and their
         | water districts), use patterns vary dramatically. Depending on
         | conditions and the politics of the time, various sections of
         | the Central Valley and particular landowners get increased
         | scrutiny. Needless to say, any walking human has an opinion on
         | water use, and the opinions are sometimes vocal. Every CA
         | commercial operation has passed some kind of challenge to
         | remain open today, for decades.
         | 
         | The total dollar volumes of some of the crops may surprise the
         | first-time reader. For example, the famous California wine
         | industry is not anywhere near the most valuable total value
         | crop, and yes they use water.
         | 
         | The Pacific Institute is a commonly cited reference center for
         | water issues in the US West
         | 
         | https://pacinst.org
         | 
         | the US Global Change research project has some detail about the
         | situation
         | 
         | https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/chapter/10/
        
           | throw0101a wrote:
           | > _The total dollar volumes of some of the crops may surprise
           | the first-time reader._
           | 
           | Doing a quick search:                  1. Dairy (milk and
           | cream) $6.56B             2. Grapes $5.79B             3.
           | Almonds $5.60             4. Cannabis (legal sales) $3.1
           | 5. Strawberries $3.1             6. Cattle and Calves $2.63
           | 7. Lettuce $2.51             8. Walnuts $1.59             9.
           | Tomatoes $1.05             10. Pistachios $1.01
           | 
           | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agriculture_in_California
           | 
           | However agriculture in general makes up less than 2% of GDP:
           | 
           | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_California#Sectors
           | 
           | While using 39% of the water:
           | 
           | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_in_California#Uses_of_w
           | a...
           | 
           | From a strictly utilitarian perspective, it may not be worth
           | the effort to support agriculture. Or at the very least, if
           | you're going to triage usage, it may have to be the first
           | thing to be cut back on during dry spells.
        
             | username90 wrote:
             | So they make around 1 dollar per 1000 gallons? People
             | rationing their shower time as urged by authorities must be
             | proud that they could save a farmer somewhere a cent or
             | two.
        
               | oceanghost wrote:
               | This is what burned during the last drought.
               | 
               | I let everything in my yard die because we were only
               | allowed to water 1 day a week. Thousands of dollars worth
               | of landscaping died-- and for what as you say?
               | 
               | So a farmer could make a little more money that year?
        
             | Cuuugi wrote:
             | Your argument doesn't factor in that people need to eat,
             | and they well, are making food.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | mbrumlow wrote:
               | And they can get their food grown in a region that does
               | not have a water issue.
        
               | panny wrote:
               | After referring to them as flyover states, they might be
               | reluctant to send California any food.
        
               | mattnewton wrote:
               | I don't know much about farming, but I doubt farms that
               | refuse to sell their crops stay farms for very long.
        
               | trav4225 wrote:
               | Not to mention that official state travel to many of
               | these states is banned...
        
               | wwweston wrote:
               | Sure. And where food production is the policy concern,
               | part of what you want would be incentives to produce high
               | nutrition with water efficiency.
        
               | kebman wrote:
               | Not a big problem. Can be imported from non-afflicted
               | areas. Perhaps local shortages of certain products, but I
               | doubt anyone will starve. It's pretty bad for the farmer
               | in question, though, who will undoubtedly lose a lot of
               | money.
        
               | tdeck wrote:
               | The big issue here in CA is that farmers are growing
               | water-intensive crops that offer a better return (like
               | almonds), but they're growing them in the desert known as
               | the central valley. That leads to water shortages.
               | 
               | As someone living in California I certainly appreciate
               | the huge variety of great produce that's available
               | because of CA agriculture, but even the almond farmers
               | know this isn't going to last forever. They're all in a
               | race to drill deeper wells than their neighbor and make a
               | quick buck before the aquifer runs out. At that point
               | we'll have no reserve at all and the party will grind to
               | a halt.
               | 
               | The better idea would be to grow different crops here,
               | not to stop agriculture altogether. That requires some
               | kind of rationing.
        
               | sologoub wrote:
               | We really need to re-think our water sources in CA. We
               | have nearly unlimited solar potential that can be used to
               | power desalination and pumping of the water were we need
               | it. Best part - we don't need to worry about power
               | storage (just transmission, which is not trivial, but can
               | be done), it's not an issue if we cannot desalinate at
               | night.
        
               | tdeck wrote:
               | I was curious about the energy requirements, so I did
               | some envelope math.
               | 
               | The average US household consumes 11,000 KW-hours of
               | energy per year. Let's say an average person uses 80-100
               | gallons of water a day, so a low end of about 30,000
               | gallons of water per year. One article [1] suggests
               | desalination takes about 15kJ/kg water at the most
               | efficient plants. That translates to 473 kilowatt hours
               | of energy required per household each year:
               | 
               | 30000 gallons * 3.79 kg/gallon * 15 kilojoules
               | 
               | So that's about a 4% increase in household energy usage
               | just for domestic water for _one person_ (domestic is
               | less than 10% of our water use in CA). I 'm not sure what
               | conclusion to draw from this, but I suspect that it isn't
               | practical to use desalination as a primary source of
               | water. I also expect that much salt would become an
               | environmental problem to dispose of. Once we drain our
               | aquifer, the water shortage will be really severe and
               | we'll need to cut back on agriculture regardless of
               | desalination, but it could help a lot in urban areas.
               | 
               | [1]: http://www.desware.net/Energy-Requirements-
               | Desalination-Proc....
        
             | mlyle wrote:
             | More like 80% of the water, because IMO the 50% of water
             | use that is "environmental use" -- AKA not drying out all
             | the rivers entirely-- isn't directly used by humans.
        
             | ineedasername wrote:
             | _From a strictly utilitarian perspective, it may not be
             | worth the effort to support agriculture._
             | 
             | That really depends on the economic impact of the other
             | sources of water use, most of which, 50% of total use, is
             | for "environmental" purposes that do not directly impact
             | GDP in the same way as agriculture. [0]
             | 
             | I'm not saying Environmental use is less important: I'm
             | saying that a utilitarian _GDP_ focused policy on water use
             | is probably not the best metric to use: There 's simply too
             | little other water-reliant commerce in CA to use GDP as a
             | yardstick here. That just leaves balancing 40% use by
             | agriculture against 50% use for environmental purposes.
             | 
             | [0] https://www.ppic.org/publication/water-use-in-
             | california/
        
             | i_am_proteus wrote:
             | Be careful with this line of "utilitarian" thinking. Food
             | production is not easily replaced.
             | 
             | California produces 95% of tomatoes grown in the USA.[0]
             | 18.5% of milk.[1]
             | 
             | These volumes can't be readily replaced by other states'
             | production. California is an agriculture powerhouse.
             | Certainly luxury export crops like the oft-vilified almond
             | might not be sorely missed, but staples like tomatoes,
             | lettuces, dairy, and beef would be in shortage at sky-high
             | prices without California's production.
             | 
             | [0]https://downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu/usda-
             | esmis/files/... [1]https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/DataFil
             | es/48685/milkcowsand...
        
           | dmitriy_ko wrote:
           | Why doesn't California use a more market-based approach? It
           | could simply decide how much water can be sustainably
           | consumed and then auction-off rights to that amount of water.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > Why doesn't California use a more market-based approach?
             | It could simply decide how much water can be sustainably
             | consumed and then auction-off rights to that amount of
             | water.
             | 
             | Because it would have to first seize by eminent domain lots
             | of permanently held rights in order to put them into an
             | auction, and the costs of the initial purchases would be
             | prohibitive.
             | 
             | In the US, a State can't just up and decide to conduct,
             | say, an annual auction for use of property that someone
             | already permanently owns, and that's how a lot of water
             | rights are.
        
             | pstrateman wrote:
             | Because water rights in California are extremely
             | complicated, many water rights predate California being a
             | state.
        
         | deb89434 wrote:
         | > Could someone chime in with how these farmers physically get
         | this water?
         | 
         | on my grandparents ranch they dig a hole in the river from
         | which they pump the water.
         | 
         | > Do they own the land the steam is on or does the government
         | own the streams and provide permits for access? Do they own the
         | land the steam is on or does the government own the streams and
         | provide permits for access?
         | 
         | they own the land on either side of the river and have water
         | rights to the river (or at very least they have taking water
         | from the stream for over 100 years ... it's an old family
         | farm). though apparently fish supersede their water rights.
         | 
         | > Is it generally the farmers themselves doing this or is there
         | some middleman (public/private?) water distributor?
         | 
         | no middle man
        
           | HappyDreamer wrote:
           | > they dig a hole in the river
           | 
           | Maybe a silly question, but why did they dig a hole in the
           | river? Wasn't there water there already, at that time?
           | 
           | Or maybe the river is dried up in the summer, and they dig a
           | hole (dig? drilled?) to access water in the ground below?
           | 
           | > though apparently fish supersede their water rights
           | 
           | I'm curious about what your grandparents think about the
           | water restrictions (if you happen to know, and if I may ask)
        
             | sparky_z wrote:
             | I assumed they meant that they dug a hole in the river to
             | create a tunnel/pipe that conveys the water out of the
             | river and into their irrigation system.
        
       | dimal wrote:
       | Can we start to talk about massive desalination projects? The
       | Israelis seem to have made it work.[1]
       | 
       | [1] https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/israel-proves-
       | the...
        
         | blooalien wrote:
         | I been seein' a lotta little blurbs in my various science feeds
         | about recent fairly shocking improvements in both cost and
         | effectiveness of some really interesting new desalination
         | methods, so it's absolutely a space to keep an eye on for
         | interesting developments. Improvements also in solar power and
         | battery tech, clean fuels, safe/clean(ish?) nuclear, and a
         | bunch of other really exciting stuff invented lately. Leaps and
         | bounds... Still, much of that is all still "in the lab" as it
         | were, so we can't expect to see the benefits of some of that
         | for years (or even decades?) maybe. Still. All of that good
         | stuff happening in science should not be ignored. At least
         | _some_ humans are still working toward the goal of trying to
         | avoid total disaster.
        
         | resonantjacket5 wrote:
         | Desalinations projects would not solve the issue. The 'water
         | crisis' is really an economic problem with the underpricing of
         | water leading to suboptimal practices not a engineering one.
         | Even if desalination worked moderately -- Californian farmers
         | would end up farming more rice and walnut trees and you'd end
         | up in the same situation.
        
           | adventured wrote:
           | Increasing the price of water would not work effectively
           | either. Almonds have high margins and more pricing power than
           | most crops. To say nothing of the obnoxious fact that around
           | 2/3 of the US almond crop is exported (ie California is
           | depleting their water supply to line the pockets of a
           | billionaire almond cartel and exporting their scarce water
           | resources in the process).
           | 
           | And even if the rich almond growers could somehow afford
           | dramatically higher water prices, it still doesn't make sense
           | to allow them to consume so much of California's water -
           | water which is a critical, scarce public good being converted
           | to very narrow private wealth.
           | 
           | The correct solution is to ban the growing of all almond,
           | pistachio and walnut crops in California. The minimum they
           | should do is ban the export of those crops, although that is
           | likely still not enough.
        
             | throwawayboise wrote:
             | IDK. I love roasted almonds as a snack but they are pretty
             | expensive. If they went much higher I'd cut back or stop
             | buying them. As it is I only buy them on sale.
        
             | resonantjacket5 wrote:
             | Increasing the price of water would of course work. There
             | is nothing inherently special about water. What is special
             | is how water has been underpriced for so long as well as
             | the use of aquifers through wells temporarily 'increasing
             | the supply' until they run out. Banning almonds, pistachos,
             | walnut crops etc... is really just an indirect way of
             | increasing the price of water for farmers.
             | 
             | I've heard other suggestions to mandate more conservative
             | water practices aka drip irrigation and ban water hungry
             | crops and sure that kinda works -- but this is exactly what
             | higher prices is supposed to fix already. There is no
             | magical solution to the now permanent decreased water per
             | year, it's not a 'temporary drought' anymore. Eventually
             | the price of water will be set back to normal either
             | through dollar cost or with lottery random shortages as the
             | agency is currently forced to do.
        
         | Animats wrote:
         | California has huge desalinization plants.[1] 11 in operation
         | now, more being built. Water price at output is US$0.005/gal.
         | But that's $1630 for an acre/foot, very expensive for
         | agriculture.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.carlsbaddesal.com/
        
         | dehrmann wrote:
         | I doubt that desalination would work at agriculture scale
         | because most of the fields and orchards are too far away from
         | the ocean, and the water is just too expensive.
         | 
         | That said, seeing water prices from desalination, I'm very
         | frustrated California wants me to take a shorter showers when I
         | would very happily pay an extra 50 cents for that long shower.
        
           | IvyMike wrote:
           | One thing you could do is desalinate water in Los Angeles,
           | and thus keep the water in the central valley rather than
           | pumping it over the grapevine. I'm pretty sure agricultural
           | use of water in CA dwarves urban use, so maybe it wouldn't
           | make that much of a difference. (Maybe someone can find
           | actual numbers, sorry I can't right now.)
        
             | apcragg wrote:
             | I bet this is the first use of large scale desalination. It
             | already takes huge amounts of power to pump the water over
             | the mountains to L.A. so reducing that load could make the
             | desalination power requirements more palatable.
        
         | throwawaysea wrote:
         | It's expensive to build and takes time, but is feasible
         | especially if we have nuclear energy to meet increased demands.
         | Sam Diego built a giant desalination plant a few years ago and
         | hoped it would supply more of the city's needs, but it is only
         | good for about 7% of their demand (https://en.wikipedia.org/wik
         | i/Claude_%22Bud%22_Lewis_Carlsba...). California the state
         | would need a huge number of these.
        
           | rolleiflex wrote:
           | The issue with these is that the other side of the output is
           | hyper-salty brine, which kills pretty much any life it
           | encounters, and that brine does get dumped to the ocean. The
           | ocean has more than enough capacity to absorb the hit, but it
           | still damages the ecosystem at the exit point nevertheless.
           | Israel and Saudi Arabia do it because, well, if they don't
           | their country pretty much ceases to exist, but it's much
           | better cost/performance ratio to focus on whatever water
           | California has before we go there.
           | 
           | It's also that even the most water-conscious agriculture
           | practice uses obnoxious amounts of water just because of the
           | sheer size of land involved. Supplying that kind of water via
           | desalination plants pretty much by definition means having
           | done all prior optimisations to the max before tapping into
           | that stream.
           | 
           | If you're interested in agriculture from a layman's
           | perspective, I recommend _Clarkson's Farm_ on Amazon Prime
           | Video, where Jeremy Clarkson of Top Gear figures out how to
           | farm right, long way round.
        
         | trimbo wrote:
         | How much power is required to pump so much water from sea level
         | to the elevation and distance of the Central Valley?
         | 
         | Just as one example, Tulare is at 300 ft, ~100 mi from the
         | ocean.
        
         | rahimnathwani wrote:
         | Have California farmers expressed interest in funding such
         | projects?
        
           | apcragg wrote:
           | Given how many of them receive absurdly subsidized water from
           | the Bureau of Reclamation, I'm going to say no. Take Arizona,
           | where the already subsidized (though not nearly as much as
           | some BOR water projects) cost is ~$200 per Acre-foot from the
           | Colorado River (via the Central Arizona Project) compared to
           | the $2200 per Acre-foot price of Desalination water.
        
             | jeffbee wrote:
             | Farms in the Central Valley Project are paying < $20 per
             | acre foot because the contracts were negotiated sixty years
             | ago and not indexed to inflation.
        
               | apcragg wrote:
               | Yeah and on top of that many of them had their loan
               | interest federally subsidized to build out their private
               | infrastructure. The original 160 acre limit per farm of
               | the 1902 Reclamation Act at least made sense in this
               | context. Despite that, many of the multi-millionaire
               | farmers flaunt that rule entirely even with it being
               | raised to 960 acres in 1982.
        
         | apcragg wrote:
         | Desalination plants are vastly more expensive than current
         | water conservation solutions. Solving a problem with tech is
         | sexy, especially on HN, but simple programs like canal lining
         | and drip irrigation are much cost effective for now. It's not a
         | forever solution, but conserving water resources will take a
         | patchwork of half-measures and incremental progress. There does
         | not appear to be a silver bullet.
        
           | curation wrote:
           | Association between exposure to desalinated sea water and
           | ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus and colorectal
           | cancer; A population-based study in Israel https://www.scienc
           | edirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00139...
        
           | enraged_camel wrote:
           | The other problem with desalination is pollution. Brine, for
           | example, needs to be released somewhere.
        
             | azinman2 wrote:
             | Could it be turned into table salt?
        
               | throwawayboise wrote:
               | I doubt there is that much demand for table salt. Maybe
               | it could be used to deice roads in areas that have
               | freezing weather in the wintertime, now most places use
               | mined salt for that.
        
               | tamaharbor wrote:
               | The exhaust muffler industry would love that.
        
               | bbarnett wrote:
               | Sea salt is filled with mondo micro-plastic particles, so
               | I think this would be that, plus other "stuff" thrown in.
               | EG, leakage/contaminants from the desalination process.
               | 
               | The best table salt we can currently get, it stuff mined
               | from old oceans. No contaminants, no plastic, etc. For
               | example, Windsor has huge mines in rural Windsor, ON,
               | Canada.. and doesn't just supply table salt, but road
               | salt, water softener salt, etc, the supply has been used
               | for 100 years, sold internationally, and shows no sign of
               | exhaustion... from one old-sea underground deposit.
               | 
               | (There's plenty of table salt, no shortages...)
        
             | throwawayboise wrote:
             | Just dump it back in the ocean (at a suitable
             | depth/distance from shore). Almost all of the purified
             | water will eventually return to the ocean so there won't be
             | a net concentration of salt (not to mention the ocean is
             | really, really big).
        
           | hellbannedguy wrote:
           | We are about to pass a trillion dollar nebious Infractructure
           | Bill passed, which I imagine is filled with pork.
           | 
           | I pretty sure most Californians would be happy if they got a
           | few strategically placed desalination plants.
        
           | seanmcdirmid wrote:
           | Investing some public money in research to make desalination
           | more economically would be worthwhile, even if it isn't a
           | very viable solution right now. Or bringing down the price of
           | energy as renewable sources themselves become more economical
           | could change the economics by itself. It would be a pity to
           | give up on almonds.
        
             | bbarnett wrote:
             | It seems to me that we already do tidal power, so combining
             | a tidal power and desalination plan into an all-in-one
             | solution seems interesting to me.
        
             | mlyle wrote:
             | Right now, many farmers spend under $100 per acre-foot of
             | water; 80% of non-environmental water goes to agriculture.
             | 
             | Water prices in urban areas are $1000 per acre-foot of
             | water, because distribution is expensive. Desalination of
             | brackish water can cost $1200-1500 per acre foot, and
             | moderate improvements in costs could make desalination
             | economically viable for urban water.
             | 
             | But it would require a truly massive improvement to be
             | competitive for agricultural water use, and because most
             | use of water is agricultural, we can only reap small
             | benefits from desalination.
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | Sure, either desalination must become more energy
               | efficient or energy must become cheaper for it to be
               | usable in agriculture (well, the third option is that
               | such food becomes a lot more expensive). Either of those
               | seems hard but not impossible.
        
               | mlyle wrote:
               | Power is only about 40% of OPEX of desal plants and very
               | little of CAPEX. Even if energy were free, and there were
               | brackish water right next to the farmers, you're not
               | hitting the water prices above.
        
               | apcragg wrote:
               | Not to mention that we'd need to pump those millions of
               | acre-feet uphill into the various agricultural regions.
               | Some are lower lying but if California is serious about
               | its GHG targets, it won't be building the massive power
               | stations required to pump all of that water in addition
               | to desalinating it.
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | Assuming the the other challenges can be met, me solution
               | to distribution is to use desalinated water to fill up
               | underground aquifers. The other option is simply to move
               | agriculture closer to the coasts.
        
               | mlyle wrote:
               | The Central Valley aquifer does not extend to the coast
               | and is poorly connected to the coastal aquifier:
               | https://www.usgs.gov/mission-areas/water-
               | resources/science/c...
               | 
               | There is not enough flat, cultivatable land closer to the
               | coasts to move much agriculture out of the central valley
               | towards the coast, even if desal'd water was free.
        
       | contravariant wrote:
       | > "We have really tried to walk that line of not wanting to
       | invoke new measures that are going to have a significant effect
       | ... unless it's absolutely necessary,"
       | 
       | This isn't exactly an unusual stance, but I'm increasingly
       | convinced it's a terribly ineffective way to handle a crisis.
        
         | mumblemumble wrote:
         | It seems that necessity is one of those things that can only be
         | definitively assessed in hindsight.
         | 
         | If you're closely monitoring the situation you might be able to
         | trim it down to a very short term sort of hindsight, but, yeah,
         | it's hard to see how that's a winning strategy in the long run.
         | Even just barely too late is still too late.
        
           | blooalien wrote:
           | "Hindsight is 20/20 vision." - _Everyone 's Uncle or Gran'pa
           | Ever_
        
         | ErikVandeWater wrote:
         | "Crisis" is the only way change happens. Politicians can't sell
         | change without a crisis (for good and bad).
        
           | ethbr0 wrote:
           | I might phrase it as "afford change."
           | 
           | Telling people they have to pay an extra $1 in taxes for
           | renewing stockpiled medical equipment gets you booted out of
           | office by voters.
           | 
           | Asking people to pay $1 during a pandemic is obvious to
           | everyone and agreed.
           | 
           | Was it any less of a good idea in the first time period than
           | the second?
        
         | blooalien wrote:
         | Sadly, the _effective_ way to handle these crises would have
         | been to avoid or minimize it all in the first place, but sadly
         | politicians decades ago who could have done exactly that were
         | _nearly_ as corrupt, greedy, ignorant, and short-sighted as
         | those we still have  "leading" the world today.
         | 
         | Anyone wishing to debate my view of politicians, first do your
         | research on how many decades ago they had advance warning _all
         | these things_ we hear, read, and see in the news these days
         | were _exceedingly likely_ statistically speaking, but _were
         | avoidable_ with appropriate actions being undertaken to avoid
         | the worst. Pandemics, climate causing weather to freak out,
         | extinctions of entire species, civil unrest, financial
         | craziness. All predicted by _many_ scientists who devote their
         | lives to studying those topics _decades_ ago.
        
         | xyzzyz wrote:
         | Interesting that the California government approach to COVID
         | was completely opposite: lots and lots of measures, most
         | without even any idea about effectiveness, much less cost-
         | benefit calculation.
        
           | atrus wrote:
           | All about visibility. A water shortage is a lot slower and
           | less flashy than a packed hospital.
        
           | wwweston wrote:
           | I have acquaintances who work in this field, including bio
           | sciences for CA state institutions and state public health in
           | another blue state, and having heard some narration of
           | internal conversations, I think it's _exceptionally_
           | presumptuous to claim that the kind of people who contribute
           | to these decisions weren't thinking about effectiveness and
           | tradeoffs. I've seen some of the papers they were passing
           | around about effectiveness of various restrictions. I've
           | heard stories about internal conversations over economic
           | concerns and pressures and secondary impacts. If your model
           | of what was happening was action without consideration, then
           | it's _badly_ wrong.
        
             | hodgesrm wrote:
             | At the very least, the rationale behind some of the
             | restrictions was poorly and (I think) in some cases
             | dishonestly communicated. Outdoor dining, playground
             | shutdowns, etc., come to mind. It's very hard to stand up
             | and say for the good of all we're going to do things that
             | will cause some of you to lose your businesses. So many
             | politicians simple didn't.
             | 
             | Moreover a number of the people making such decisions
             | didn't follow their own rules. There are so many instances
             | of this in particular that it's probably not necessary to
             | cite them.
        
       | molszanski wrote:
       | Almonds use like what, 10% of CA water? How is the war on almonds
       | going?
        
         | dehrmann wrote:
         | I wonder what the current water use looks like. In the last 20
         | years, even almonds in areas with good water situations have
         | switched to drip irrigation. Also, those "gallon per nut"
         | figures often ignore groundwater recharge.
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | When a billionaire owns the almond trees, blocking their water
         | is a governor-level operation.
         | 
         | Last I heard, a reporter said he was stealing the water for
         | them. That ought to make it easier to get it blocked, but I bet
         | it makes it harder, instead. Better just to drive a truckfull
         | of thrift-store rags up to where he is tapping the canal, and
         | feed them in one at a time.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | briefcomment wrote:
       | Fish over crops? We already have crazy shortages of corn and
       | grains world wide [1] (ignore the conspiratorial tone in the
       | video if you don't like it, there are still plenty of objective
       | observations).
       | 
       | [1]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNry6K908xw
        
         | mistrial9 wrote:
         | fifty percent food waste in the USA ?
        
           | briefcomment wrote:
           | We export food to places that don't waste as much as well.
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | Go look at the grain futures market and tell me there are
         | "crazy shortages".
         | 
         | Variations in crop production especially regionally are quite
         | normal, perhaps a little irritated because of climate issues,
         | but the conspiracy and exaggeration are not at all necessary.
        
           | briefcomment wrote:
           | Would this not be considered out of the ordinary then [1]? I
           | couldn't care less about the conspiratorial rhetoric. I just
           | think he does a good job of finding and synthesizing
           | interesting news on crops.
           | 
           | [1]https://www.forbes.com/sites/salgilbertie/2021/04/28/shrin
           | ki...
        
             | colechristensen wrote:
             | The abnormal is normal with ag production. There's always a
             | drought or a flood somewhere or over or under supply,
             | market forces and bad predictions. Volatility is normal
             | when you are beholden to the weather, pests, and shifting
             | demand.
             | 
             | People choose what to plant or to plant at all in marginal
             | land, they choose cultivars targeting specific weather
             | patterns that are right or wrong, or a weather pattern
             | makes a great year or a terrible one. This is all situation
             | normal.
             | 
             | A lot of market analysis is just filling space with words
             | or inventing attribution.
        
               | briefcomment wrote:
               | I see. So you would say that cutting farmers off from
               | access to water they've had access to before, as stated
               | in the featured article, is reasonable then in the
               | current circumstances?
        
               | colechristensen wrote:
               | Probably. The status quo of how water is used and where
               | people live and farm in california is inappropriate for
               | the old climate (much less how the climate will change)
               | and how much water there is and where it is. Climate
               | change and population growth are making this worse and
               | the need for people to not live some places and not farm
               | some places seems inevitable.
               | 
               | Change is hard but necessary and will involve some
               | difficult choices.
        
               | resonantjacket5 wrote:
               | If there's a water drought every year -- it's not really
               | a temporary drought. There's permanently less water now.
               | Some person/industries needs to use less water and the
               | urban sector is only using 10~15% even major cuts there
               | aren't enough to make up the shortfall.
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | >We already have crazy shortages of corn and grains world wide
         | 
         | What makes it a "crazy" shortage? Current wheat future prices
         | is around $700[1]. That's definitely high at the last 5 years,
         | but it's still lower than 2011-2012. If we zoom all the way
         | out, we see that it was peaking at around ~$550 in the 70s-90s.
         | Adjusted for inflation that's anywhere from $850 to $1650 in
         | today's dollars. Was there "crazy shortages" during those time
         | periods?
         | 
         | [1] https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CBOT%3AZW2%21
         | 
         | edit: fix link
        
         | Barrin92 wrote:
         | In that case it would probably be great to link to those
         | sources rather than spread disinformation from a channel that
         | apparently thinks Bill Gates is spying on your trash and China
         | is bio-engineering tiny humans.
         | 
         | That video is a good example of why not to ignore the
         | 'conspirational tone'.
        
           | briefcomment wrote:
           | Ok, the full list of links to all the articles he referenced
           | are at the bottom of this page [1].
           | 
           | [1]https://www.iceagefarmer.com/2021/07/21/global-wheat-
           | supplie...
        
         | treeman79 wrote:
         | Maybe stop burning our food supply
        
       | BikiniPrince wrote:
       | I would like to know what the alternatives are. What are the
       | negatives to a decrease in the fish population?
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | Prob collapse of local ecosystems. Anywhere there's a river
         | with fish it's prob gonna be an important source of food for
         | the animals in the area. Also extinction of certain species
         | would be possible.
        
       | 01100011 wrote:
       | We need a national water grid.
       | 
       | I suggested this in another thread and got a mix of responses:
       | 
       | - You can't touch the Great Lakes.
       | 
       | - You can't steal another region's water.
       | 
       | - Pumps consume electricity.
       | 
       | - Grids are a security vulnerability.
       | 
       | to which I'd say:
       | 
       | - Water would be drawn from a number of sources, and having a
       | grid would allow the draw to be distributed, lessening the impact
       | to any single source.
       | 
       | - No one complains that the rest of the US is stealing CA's
       | agriculture. If there is an exchange of funds, there should be no
       | objection to an ecologically responsible exchange of water for
       | local funding.
       | 
       | - Desalination also consumes electricity. Shipping imported food
       | from other countries also uses energy(and has inherent national
       | security risks above a certain level).
       | 
       | - Insecurity is not an inherent quality of a grid. Poor
       | implementation of our electrical grid is not sufficient evidence
       | against a national water grid. In fact, they enhance regional
       | security by allowing us to cope with climate change and
       | unforeseen weather events.
       | 
       | We could draw the water from regional flood control systems and
       | the mouths of great waterways (St. Lawrence, Mississippi,
       | Columbia, etc). We could leverage a larger system of reservoirs
       | for gravity based energy storage systems.
       | 
       | I don't know, it just seems to make perfect sense to me. Right
       | now, we treat water as a regional issue and have an antiquated
       | system of treaties and agreements that favors entrenched parties
       | and fails to serve the needs of society.
        
         | ChrisLTD wrote:
         | That's an interesting idea. I think we also need to consider
         | the possibility that some of these areas experiencing drought
         | might be unfit for agriculture. To put it another way, maybe we
         | should be helping the farmers move rather than the water?
        
           | 01100011 wrote:
           | The issue with that is many of the areas which may have
           | insufficient water have insufficient water because they are
           | otherwise so conducive to agriculture. The CA central valley
           | is amazing for Ag, we've just exceeded the (surprisingly
           | plentiful) natural supply of water because we've grown too
           | much.
           | 
           | There are many areas where we would grow even more food if we
           | could only supply the water, and many areas of the country
           | where we often have too much water. Why not solve both
           | issues?
        
         | mark_l_watson wrote:
         | I am not arguing with you, but with the expense and energy
         | costs of moving water over mountain ranges, wouldn't it make
         | more sense to double down on increasing solar and wind power
         | and technology that reduces the energy costs of desalinization?
        
           | 01100011 wrote:
           | What is the net energy expenditure of moving water over a
           | mountain range besides losses due to friction/turbulence?
           | 
           | Desalinization also uses pumps and most heavy water users(Ag)
           | are nowhere near the ocean so I'm not seeing your point.
           | 
           | Why not use that solar and wind power to move water from
           | areas with too much water to areas with too little water?
           | 
           | You could even start with a bifurcated grid which avoids the
           | Rocky Mountains if that satisfies your concerns. There is
           | quite a bit of excess water up north. You could even pipe the
           | freshwater through pipelines sunk near the seafloor. Imagine
           | if the coastal CA metropolises got their water from an off-
           | shore pipeline coming from Alaskan river mouths while the
           | inland water they're currently using stays inland to feed big
           | Ag. If you made the pipeline flexible and used one-way
           | valves, you might even power it with tidal motion.
        
       | pdx6 wrote:
       | I have to imagine this will increase global food costs, but
       | there's opportunity here to make farming high water crops more
       | efficient:
       | 
       | - reclaim runoff
       | 
       | - more efficient growing methods
       | 
       | The capex and research are there. I wonder how the Boise startup
       | scene is handling it?
        
       | jimbob45 wrote:
       | In Texas, you're not allowed to robo-water (hoses are fine) your
       | lawn outside of your two specific days (at least, in the city we
       | were in). Seems like a common sense strategy to me, yet I know
       | Oregon doesn't do that and I'm guessing CA is the same way. I
       | know residents can be weird about water but surely after years
       | and years of droughts, everyone would understand.
        
         | kemiller wrote:
         | Lawns are really not the problem though. Golf course maybe. The
         | problem is thirsty crops like alfalfa grown in the desert and
         | then shipped out of state.
        
           | TaylorAlexander wrote:
           | I think lawns have an important role psychologically. There's
           | something amiss to me about continuing to dump water on non-
           | native grasses in a major drought. Part of solving climate
           | change is about changing our minds. And I've always felt
           | happy to see brown lawns since the draught started. If the
           | actual effect of lawns is truly insignificant then that's one
           | thing, but if it's a borderline case I'd factor in the
           | psychological value. Brown lawns or natural landscaping are a
           | sign of unity on this important issue.
        
             | blooalien wrote:
             | You mention a huge part of an easy start to a solution to
             | _one_ part of the problem a couple times...  "non-native
             | grasses", "natural landscaping". It's entirely possible to
             | create a _really pleasant_ yardscape with native plants
             | that require little to no care once placed, and can still
             | supply that green which the human psyche seems to require.
             | 
             | The hard part is convincing the cities to stop fining and
             | harassing folks who choose that over a standard "golf
             | course" lawn.
        
               | TaylorAlexander wrote:
               | Agreed. And ooof a state ballot measure to prevent cities
               | from fining people for this might be a good idea hmm...
        
             | kemiller wrote:
             | That's why my front lawn is dead dead dead but I have a
             | small patch of green in the back. I get the psychology
             | angle, but when we grow cheap commodity crops with
             | irrigation water only to ship them to China where they are
             | fed to cattle is outrageous. We tend (maybe nobly) to focus
             | on the insignificant steps we can take (navy showers?!)
             | personally while ignoring the politically difficult but
             | much more impactful big steps.
        
           | ncmncm wrote:
           | It will take legislation to cut off the golf courses.
           | 
           | Most likely it will need a ballot measure, because what
           | legislator is going to vote for cutting off the golf courses?
        
         | aidenn0 wrote:
         | I live in Southern California, and the lawn watering rules were
         | surprisingly lenient during the last drought.
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | > outside of your two specific days
         | 
         | ...a week?
         | 
         | ...a month?
        
           | jimbob45 wrote:
           | A week, yes lol
        
         | downrightmike wrote:
         | IT's just insane that you have grass, the worlds leading
         | useless crop, in a desert.
        
           | jimbob45 wrote:
           | I don't disagree and I don't like having it. I think AZ-style
           | dry landscaping is the neatest concept on earth. However, HOA
           | rules prevent me from changing my grass.
        
         | dragonwriter wrote:
         | California typically orders similar or more severe restrictions
         | during shortages, but residential use in total is such a small
         | share of water use that residential conservation is mostly
         | symbolic.
        
         | davidbiehl wrote:
         | I live in a small ag-town in Merced county and we are currently
         | allotted 3 days a week to water our lawns. During the last
         | drought it was reduced to 2 days a week. This is a city
         | ordinance and I suppose it's up to the different cities to
         | enact their own limits.
         | 
         | 2 days a week is not enough water to keep a lawn alive when the
         | highs hover around 100F in the summer. Many people converted to
         | "drought friendly" landscaping, and there was a boom of lawn
         | painting services. (Painting your dead lawn green so it still
         | looked alive)
        
           | ethbr0 wrote:
           | Does California do reclaimed water?
           | 
           | I ask because experience in Florida (of all places, did not
           | expect but was pleasantly surprised by!). They reprocess
           | waste water back to non-potable, but sterilized standards,
           | then run it out a parallel pipe system for irrigation use.
           | 
           | Makes perfect sense, especially since you effectively get (1)
           | geologic filtration & (2) lower discharge volume treatment
           | effort for free.
        
             | unearth3d wrote:
             | Santa Monica has a dry-weather runoff recycling facility
             | SMURFF, many millions of litres/day. Sells/trades it back
             | to other LA cites, and locally for landscape irrigation and
             | toilet flushing. They do guided tours, well worth going.
        
             | HideousKojima wrote:
             | In ny hometown near San Diego the water from the local
             | sewage treatment plant gets used by some nearby avocado
             | farms.
        
             | TaylorAlexander wrote:
             | Irrigating non food crops hopefully? Idk anything about
             | water filtration so maybe it's fine?
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | I've got news for you: wild animals shit on your food
               | crops all the time.
        
               | snovv_crash wrote:
               | The issue when it's people is it let's parasites enter a
               | lifecycle which isn't complicated. Human feces is more
               | likely to have parasites infectious to humans
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | My father was in livestock pathology and always had a
               | chuckle whenever spinach or (insert product here) would
               | claim field contamination.
               | 
               | His verdict: 9/10 it's rat feces at the processing or
               | packaging plant.
               | 
               | But from a marketing perspective, field crop
               | contamination is an act of God. Can't be helped.
               | 
               | Plant contamination would actually mean someone was at
               | fault. And would require (expensive) changes.
        
               | TaylorAlexander wrote:
               | Right but apparently that doesn't kill me. The question
               | is what happens to industrial runoff in the water stream
               | and if that has any effect on food safety.
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | I _think_ (someone correct me if I 'm wrong) US
               | stormwater / runoff systems have to be isolated from
               | sewer systems. Maybe an EPA requirement?
               | 
               | So reclaimed water is typically dealing with "anything
               | anyone puts down a piped drain in their house."
               | 
               | (That said, I think there are also runoff processing
               | requirements before discharge into waterways too)
        
               | ethbr0 wrote:
               | Depends on the initial use. Water treatment is a
               | surprisingly interesting (to me at least) rabbit hole.
               | 
               | You don't really control the upstream: someone flushing
               | their toilet, or a laundromat dumping solvents down the
               | drain?
               | 
               | But it's a solved problem to continually test the
               | incoming water supply for the basics (pH, TDS). Plus
               | intermittent checks for full workup (heavy metals, etc).
               | 
               | After that, it's a question of working it through the
               | appropriate steps to get it to the state you want. Sort
               | of like a continuously operating manufacturing line,
               | except you get to blend the product at the end and only
               | have to QA the blended result.
               | 
               | As someone quipped, "Dilution is the solution." Given
               | enough volume and time, you can dilute even an
               | arbitrarily large amount of lead to safe levels.
        
             | s0rce wrote:
             | Monterey county uses reclaimed water for agriculture, I'm
             | sure there are others as well.
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | I know someone with only two watering days allowed in Santa
         | Cruz County in CA.
        
         | s0rce wrote:
         | Some counties (maybe Sonoma?) are restricting residential
         | irrigation like you described. Maybe even a complete ban.
        
         | cortesoft wrote:
         | Lawns only use about 3.5 to 5% of the water used in California.
         | Focusing on saving that water isn't going to help much.
         | 
         | https://ucanr.edu/sites/UrbanHort/Water_Use_of_Turfgrass_and...
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | Using 5% of your water on something entirely optional seems
           | like a good place to _start_ cutting.
        
             | finiteseries wrote:
             | If targeting _California homeowners_ of all the loud,
             | politically active groups of people to achieve an absolute
             | best case scenario of _5% gains_ is a good way to start,
             | you're not going to finish.
        
           | apcragg wrote:
           | Sure, but it will help some. There is no silver bullet for
           | solving our water resource problems. It is going to take a
           | massive patchwork of partial solutions to even approach
           | something resembling a solution. Balking at small changes is
           | a sure way to ensure that we never make progress. In the
           | post-script of the 2016 update to the book, Cadillac Desert,
           | Mark Reisner makes the point that during the time L.A.
           | County's population increased 40%, it's water usage remained
           | constant due to it's water conservation efforts. That is huge
           | not just for water resources but also CA's greenhouse gas
           | targets. It takes a tremendous amount of energy to pump water
           | from the Delta down to southern California and over the
           | mountain ranges that encircle Los Angels.
        
       | mark_l_watson wrote:
       | This is a scary situation. Personally, I would like to see
       | allocation of agricultural water for maximum human nutrition
       | value per gallon: chicken (much, much, much less water per ounce
       | than beef, and much less than pork), soybeans and peas (less than
       | chickpeas), kale, Brussels sprouts, carrots, etc. that take
       | relatively little water. There are good web sites that break down
       | nutrients vs. water used.
       | 
       | It seems like we are approaching two problems: economic collapse
       | for middle class and poor people, and problems with food
       | production. I wish that news media would cover these topics.
       | 
       | The problem is that the only things on the table for discussion
       | by our governments and news media is the promotion of things that
       | maximize corporate profits or otherwise cater to special
       | interests.
        
         | Wowfunhappy wrote:
         | Does it necessarily make sense to grow any of these foods in
         | California though, as opposed to in a part of the country which
         | isn't a natural desert?
        
           | mark_l_watson wrote:
           | Thanks for mentioning that. Of course food should be grown
           | both near end consumers, and as efficiently as possible. It
           | is crazy shipping food very long distances. Eat local and
           | fresh.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | OK, now we know what your strategy would be in Sim California,
         | but please bring it around to our actual legal system.
        
         | ghoward wrote:
         | The media won't talk about it because what politicians are
         | doing is exactly what's causing or exacerbating the economic
         | collapse of the poor and middle class. And I'm not talking
         | politicians from one party. _Both_ parties are responsible.
        
           | mark_l_watson wrote:
           | +1 And of course both parties are responsible. In real (non-
           | digital) life, I know many Democrats and Republicans who have
           | almost a religious zeal that their party is the one true way.
           | Laughable, but I also feel that everyone gets to have their
           | own opinions.
        
         | spicybright wrote:
         | I know things will keep breaking down. I just wonder at what
         | point will things actually change?
        
         | pepperonipizza wrote:
         | The liters per kg of beef number we often see around is not
         | accurate. It doesn't take into account that most of the water
         | cows need, they urinate it and it goes back into the water
         | cycle.
         | 
         | But it could be, even taking account that they urinate most of
         | what they need, they still need a lot more water per calories
         | than other foods.
         | 
         | I don't eat beef because of the environmental impact, but I
         | recently discovered that the impact of beef has been
         | exaggerated.
         | 
         | It still has a big impact and I will keep not eating red meat,
         | but I am more prudent with the numbers around beef I read in
         | the news.
        
           | llampx wrote:
           | Well, technically all of the water used goes back into the
           | water cycle somehow. That's why it is a cycle.
           | 
           | However it doesn't help if California is using millions of
           | gallons of freshwater to irrigate some crops and it is
           | evaporating and ending up on the other side of the Rockies,
           | or in the Pacific.
        
           | degrews wrote:
           | The vast majority of the water usage that's attributed to
           | beef is from growing the crops that feed the cows. The amount
           | of water that the cows drink directly is probably negligible
           | in comparison.
        
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