[HN Gopher] New Study Says Climate Change Is Indeed Making Your ...
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New Study Says Climate Change Is Indeed Making Your Allergies Worse
Author : actually_a_dog
Score : 18 points
Date : 2021-07-11 21:03 UTC (1 hours ago)
(HTM) web link (weather.com)
(TXT) w3m dump (weather.com)
| jwuphysics wrote:
| Here is the actual article:
| https://www.pnas.org/content/118/7/e2013284118
|
| > We tested eight annual and seasonal climate variables,
| including temperature, precipitation, frost days, and atmospheric
| CO2 concentrations in a mixed-effects model framework to account
| for city-to-city variation. We found that mean annual temperature
| was the strongest predictor of these four pollen metrics (P <
| 0.0001 for all metrics; Fig. 2 and SI Appendix, Table S4). The
| full mixed-effects models explained 51-90% of the variance (i.e.,
| conditional R^2) in pollen metrics, and mean annual temperature
| alone (i.e., marginal R^2) explained 14-37% of the variance in
| pollen metrics (SI Appendix, Figs. S4 and S5 and Table S4).
| Notably, while atmospheric CO2 concentrations were sometimes
| included in the group of the most parsimonious models, the
| variation explained was often quite low (e.g., annual integral
| R^2 marginal = 0.01).
|
| I'm not sure what I expected, but temperature fluctuations seem
| like a sensible primary driver of pollen count. Other variables
| that I think might be interesting include wind speed and relative
| humidity.
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