[HN Gopher] Oklo has a plan to make tiny nuclear reactors that r...
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       Oklo has a plan to make tiny nuclear reactors that run off nuclear
       waste
        
       Author : mrfusion
       Score  : 102 points
       Date   : 2021-07-01 11:50 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cnbc.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cnbc.com)
        
       | nickpp wrote:
       | Finally! Yes! More! More!!!
       | 
       | We need to experiment every day with nuclear power. We need to
       | try new things. We need to learn. We need to make mistakes and
       | learn from them. We need to conquer this paralyzing fear. We need
       | to not be afraid of the possible bad consequences because the
       | upside is infinitely better and more important.
       | 
       | We need to continue to improve and evolve our technology. It's
       | our only hope.
        
         | jsilence wrote:
         | Yeah, what could possibly go wrong?
        
           | orthecreedence wrote:
           | The entire planet could burn and the oceans could rise,
           | displacing hundreds of millions of people all while droughts
           | and famine are widespread.
           | 
           | That's what will go wrong if we don't start looking at
           | nuclear.
        
             | saagarjha wrote:
             | Nuclear isn't the old low-emissions power source.
        
               | orthecreedence wrote:
               | Right, it's the only low-emissions power source that is
               | available at-scale.
        
               | 7952 wrote:
               | In it's current form it isn't scalable compared to
               | renewables. Maybe modular reactors will change that.
        
             | throwawayboise wrote:
             | We don't need to "start looking at nuclear" we know how to
             | do it perfectly well. We just need to start building
             | reactors again.
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | We used to know how to do it.
               | 
               | The experienced nuclear builders aren't necessarily
               | around anymore
        
               | hollerith wrote:
               | The French ones are, I think.
        
             | LatteLazy wrote:
             | It's a bit late to start the experiment if we need 20,000
             | working models in the next 6m to avoid climate change.
             | That's the issue with nuclear: to late.
        
               | orthecreedence wrote:
               | Too late is much better than "cannot work at all" which
               | is what solar and wind give us. What makes you think
               | solar and wind are up to the task _right now_? They
               | cannot possibly power our collective needs, and even if
               | they could, we have nowhere to store the energy at night
               | or on cloudy /calm days.
               | 
               | Energy storage is not a solved problem, and it will not
               | be a solved problem for the next decade. In the meantime,
               | we need to build nuclear reactors _now_.
        
               | LatteLazy wrote:
               | You realise you're planning for peak load grid management
               | for 50 years after the collapse of society right? No one
               | will need to power their ipad when food shortages have
               | killed 50% of the population and the rest are fighting a
               | war over access to water...
        
             | jsilence wrote:
             | Instead of starting research on safe nuclear options, with
             | results who knows when, we should go all in TODAY on
             | established and safe regenerative energy options available
             | right now: Solar and Wind.
             | 
             | Every cent we invest in nuclear research is lost to the
             | immediate solutions.
        
               | orthecreedence wrote:
               | Solar and wind can only generate depending on weather,
               | which is now constantly changing in unexpected ways. Good
               | luck building battery arrays that can power cities for
               | weeks at a time during cloudy periods.
               | 
               | No, nuclear is the only way forward. We know it can work.
               | We need to invest now. Solar and wind cannot power our
               | collective needs, and even if they could, to build it out
               | would require such a massive doubling-down in fossil
               | fuels that the planet would be one big desert by the time
               | we finished.
        
               | acidburnNSA wrote:
               | > Every cent we invest in nuclear research is lost to the
               | immediate solutions.
               | 
               | This would only be true if 100% of GDP was spent on
               | climate solutions. In reality, it's not a zero sum game
               | like this. If some people get excited about nuclear and
               | want to invest while others are excited about wind and
               | solar, then that's great. The more the merrier!
        
           | p1mrx wrote:
           | We could fail, and destabilize the climate.
        
           | nickpp wrote:
           | We could make some tiny portions of Earth uninhabitable for
           | the next few thousand years. Still much, much better than
           | making the whole Earth uninhabitable forever, which is what
           | we are doing right now.
        
             | Klinky wrote:
             | It's not just uninhabitable, someone has to maintain that
             | property forever. You don't just put an "abandoned" sign on
             | a melted down nuclear reactor and expect the problem to be
             | solved. You don't just put the waste in barrels and tanks
             | that go into the ground and have them leak into local
             | rivers and ground water, which is what we're doing now.
             | 
             | We still need to clean up the nuclear messes from earlier
             | decades of nuclear research, a time when we were not afraid
             | of the bad consequences of nuclear, and it shows, much to
             | our detriment.
        
               | AngryData wrote:
               | That is like pointing at a model-T and claiming how
               | dangerous cars are and how they are too dangerous for
               | people to drive. All of our real nuclear problems are due
               | to plants designed in the 50s and 60s, which is only
               | around 15 years after nuclear power was first discovered.
               | Of course that shit was/is unsafe, they barely understood
               | the materials and science they were dealing with, they
               | still had xray machines in shoe stores at the time. There
               | is no disputing that our nuclear science has come leaps
               | and bounds since then and there is no reason to think we
               | can't make safe nuclear power plants.
               | 
               | The least we could do is atleast replacing the current 50
               | year old plants that are still running today with modern
               | safer designs.
        
               | Klinky wrote:
               | Where are the Model Ts that are leaking nuclear waste
               | into rivers and ground water? The point was that bad
               | consequences occurred from "not being afraid of the bad
               | consequences of nuclear", and much of the hesitancy and
               | cost associated with nuclear today is due to a better
               | understanding of its risks and liabilities.
               | 
               | The problem is nuclear is very expensive to build, takes
               | forever for ROI, is a huge liability risk that likely no
               | private company can tolerate, and a logistical nightmare
               | with waste management and proliferation concerns.
               | 
               | I would personally be for it being adopted as a major DoE
               | energy independence project where trillions are pumped in
               | over 25 years to do it properly, and provide a cheap
               | baseload to the population. That's unlikely. Just as
               | unlikely as a private company actually being able to come
               | through without cutting safety corners to improve ROI, or
               | not becoming insolvent and externalizing the cost onto
               | society the moment there is a problem.
        
               | orthecreedence wrote:
               | > expensive to build
               | 
               | Raise the price of fossil fuels by 10x. Then we'll see
               | how expensive nuclear is.
               | 
               | > takes forever for ROI
               | 
               | So, better start now!
               | 
               | > huge liability risk that likely no private company can
               | tolerate
               | 
               | Fuck the market. State-run reactors. Done.
               | 
               | > logistical nightmare with waste management
               | 
               | Dig a pit, throw it in.
               | 
               | > major DoE energy independence project where trillions
               | are pumped in over 25 years to do it properly
               | 
               | Yes, exactly, this is what we need.
               | 
               | There really is no viable alternative to nuclear energy.
        
       | monocasa wrote:
       | I thought fast reactors were de facto banned in the US for
       | civilian uses because of the proliferation concerns of the
       | plutonium generated? Maybe this is exposing the extent of my
       | knowledge and not all fast reactors are breeder reactors?
        
         | acidburnNSA wrote:
         | It is commonly stated that 'recycling nuclear fuel was banned
         | by Jimmy Carter and remains banned to this day'. While Jimmy
         | Carter did put a moratorium on it in 1977, Regan actually
         | lifted it in '81 [1].
         | 
         | [1]
         | http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2014/ph241/parekh2/docs/RS...
        
       | alexgmcm wrote:
       | Weird! I just saw this mentioned in Joe Scott's recent video on
       | Nuclear Waste[1]
       | 
       | I hope it's successful as I feel nuclear fission power has been
       | unfairly maligned.
       | 
       | I strongly recommend the book Atomic Accidents by James
       | Mahaffey[2] to learn more about how fission power plants work and
       | what went wrong at Chernobyl etc. - it's one of my favourite
       | books of all-time.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96et8ZGsxJY&t=545s
       | 
       | [2] https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/20579068-atomic-
       | accident...
        
         | Buttons840 wrote:
         | Great book. One of the chapters is named "The US government
         | almost never lost nuclear weapons" if I remember correctly. A
         | glimpse into the author's sense of humor.
        
           | alexgmcm wrote:
           | Yeah, his other book "Atomic Adventures" was recommended to
           | me by my friends and also mentioned in the book "The Future
           | of Fusion Energy" by Parisi and Ball.
           | 
           | I'll have to check it out!
        
         | lizknope wrote:
         | I subscribe to Tom Scott's youtube channel and I wondered how
         | did I miss the video you are talking about.
         | 
         | This is Tom Scott's channel.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/user/enyay
         | 
         | The video you linked to is interesting but it is created by
         | someone named Joe Scott, not Tom Scott.
        
           | alexgmcm wrote:
           | Sorry, I meant Joe Scott - I somehow confused myself in the
           | process of writing the comment.
        
         | ampdepolymerase wrote:
         | A lot of big countries have significant interests in preventing
         | smaller states from acquiring nuclear arms. It is difficult to
         | say how much of the FUD around civilian nuclear power was
         | planted on purpose by governments.
        
       | lizknope wrote:
       | I read the name "Oklo" and thought "that place already had
       | nuclear reactors." I assume the company named themselves after
       | the natural fission reactors discovered in Oklo, Gabon.
       | 
       | 1.7 billion years ago the concentrations of fissile material and
       | groundwater were just right that nuclear fission reactions
       | happened naturally.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_nuclear_fission_reacto...
        
       | qayxc wrote:
       | To me this has way too many signs of vapourware:
       | 
       | * highly complex technology that has been around for decades, yet
       | the team seems to lack any experienced members (judging from the
       | photo)
       | 
       | * no existing solutions are beyond the test/prototype phase
       | 
       | * pretty renderings in an unrealistic setting
       | 
       | * lots of vague statements regarding the technology, yet they
       | already know that the final product will be housed in stylish
       | buildings (wtf?)
       | 
       | I don't have much confidence in this company, but I'd be
       | pleasantly surprised to be shown wrong in a couple of years.
        
       | myself248 wrote:
       | Clever name!
       | 
       | "Oklo" is the name of a region in Gabon with rich uranium
       | deposits. In the 1970s, it was noticed that uranium mined from
       | the region had a different isotopic makeup than expected, and it
       | was characteristic of spent fuel.
       | 
       | Further investigation revealed that, billions of years (many
       | half-lives) ago, when the naturally-occurring uranium was much
       | "hotter", it was sufficiently concentrated to form a natural
       | fission reactor. Groundwater acted as a moderator, and as the
       | vein of ore would heat up from the reaction, the water would turn
       | to steam, which would form voids in the moderator and slow the
       | reaction down. It would cool, water would seep back in, and the
       | reactor regulated itself this way for a few hundred thousand
       | years before its fuel burned to a concentration too low to
       | continue.
       | 
       | Now there's a startup with this name which is gonna make it
       | harder to search for, but if that helps solve more problems than
       | it creates, more power to them.
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | Imagine the alternate reality, very slightly different from
         | ours, where nuclear reactors spontaneously erupted from the
         | Earth's surface (in the modern anthropic era). Imagine a Pliny
         | trying to make sense of a nuclear Vesuvius.
         | 
         | For anyone who missed HN's interesting feature yesterday: in
         | the ancient Roman city of Hierapolis (modern Turkey), there is
         | a lethal geological feature that emits invisible CO2. _" But
         | get an answer he did, almost immediately. "We saw dozens of
         | dead creatures around the entrance: mice, sparrows, blackbirds,
         | many beetles, wasps and other insects. So, we knew right away
         | that the stories were true."_ And the Romans built a temple on
         | top of this mysterious death -- and they called this temple the
         | "Plutonium"!
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27672375 "Hierapolis,
         | Turkey's mysterious 'portal to the underworld' (bbc.com)"
        
           | akiselev wrote:
           | Imagine the religious imagery if, instead of burning to death
           | or suffocating in the ash, volcano eruption victims developed
           | acute radiation sickness and stumbled into nearby villages
           | puking their guts out and melting from the inside out.
        
         | rbanffy wrote:
         | Love that they refer to a reactor that ran unsupervised for
         | millennia without any major incidents ;-)
        
           | gnulinux wrote:
           | It probably harmed some organisms, just not any organism that
           | could complain about the adverse effects to us humans.
           | 
           | This thing happened 1.7 billion years ago, in Precambrian
           | eon. So when this natural nuclear reactor was active there
           | weren't many animals around anywhere in the world, let alone
           | in that particular spot.
        
           | tim333 wrote:
           | Or at least no incidents that got reported to the media.
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | No humans were harmed in the operation of the reactor.
        
               | drran wrote:
               | But it waste is harmful even today. We should dig it out
               | of ground and safely store it under ground.
        
         | Eric_WVGG wrote:
         | If there are any science fiction readers here, one of these
         | factors into the plot of _Manifold: Space_ by Stephen Baxter
         | (not really a spoiler).
         | 
         | It's one of a trilogy about the Fermi Paradox, written in the
         | Asimov tradition. I can't recommend them highly enough.
         | 
         | https://www.amazon.com/Manifold-Space-Stephen-Baxter/dp/0345...
        
         | devoutsalsa wrote:
         | Illinois EnergyProf did a pretty good video on this!
         | 
         | Natural Nuclear Reactor / 9m26s => https://youtu.be/pMjXAAxgR-M
        
       | yellow_lead wrote:
       | The article mentions they want to have these reactors unguarded
       | and running without a human present. It seems dangerous to me,
       | but at least for the security portion, I could imagine some kind
       | of physical barriers and camera setup that would allow it. As for
       | having no maintenance person there, I think it's a bit more
       | risky.
        
       | natch wrote:
       | I understand stealth mode for startups, but the secretive,
       | shadowy web presence in combination with nuclear baggage makes
       | them feel a little sinister.
       | 
       | It seems like being involved with such a historically fraught
       | energy source they would want to come out of the shadows and into
       | the sunlight, so to speak.
        
         | minitoar wrote:
         | For the past idk 10 years I've felt like nuclear power was
         | really on the way out but over the past like 24 months I've
         | noticed a huge resurgence in support for these types of
         | projects. Maybe that's just my bubble but it seemed like a
         | serious inflection.
        
           | natch wrote:
           | Could be PR spend.
           | 
           | Or people are starting to notice climate change, and aren't
           | aware that large scale batteries exist.
           | 
           | Also people divesting from oil (which will still remain
           | hugely useful and beneficial for a long time) want to
           | diversify into other energy areas.
           | 
           | Then there is lobbying. Nuclear often has big ticket projects
           | that don't have to foot the bill for their own costs (the
           | nuclear industry has been made immune from liability under US
           | law at least) so there's a lot of money to be made and once
           | you build the thing, consumers who don't have other options
           | are at your mercy as it's a single source you control.
        
       | shadilay wrote:
       | Not to be confused with Onkalo the spent nuclear fuel disposal
       | site.
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onkalo_spent_nuclear_fuel_repo...
        
       | ngcc_hk wrote:
       | Do not worry. If USA stop it. These will go to china. And got it
       | developed. Without regulation or worry. We are fine!
        
         | dragonwriter wrote:
         | China has no regulations? That...seems kinda wrong.
        
       | Accujack wrote:
       | I think this is an interesting effort, but I question their fuel
       | source - despite common perceptions, there's not a lot of
       | suitable material around that could be recycled in this way, and
       | what is available is of non uniform composition - like the waste
       | from the experimental reactor design they mention. That factor
       | could make reprocessing the stuff into fuel suitable for a given
       | micro design expensive.
       | 
       | It's great that they're trying to use waste material to reduce
       | the waste stream, but that's far from the biggest problem new
       | reactor designs face... by volume, nuclear waste produced by
       | power plants just isn't that much material. If these folks were
       | somehow saying they could recycle the waste generated over
       | decades of bomb making, that would be worthwhile... but that's
       | not really usable waste.
        
         | hairytrog wrote:
         | A good example of solving the wrong problem.
        
         | _n_b_ wrote:
         | I have some very recent, very specific domain knowledge in this
         | area; there is more low-burnup ex-research reactor material,
         | off-spec material, etc. out there looking for a good home than
         | you might imagine---especially at micro-reactor quantities.
        
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