[HN Gopher] NATO is looking to connect with startups
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       NATO is looking to connect with startups
        
       Author : rjmunro
       Score  : 98 points
       Date   : 2021-06-25 10:51 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (sifted.eu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (sifted.eu)
        
       | dfilppi wrote:
       | The inevitable rise of Skynet
        
         | weswpg wrote:
         | and then the BSG-style cycle of <!SPOILER ALERT!> humanity's
         | renewed rise followed by another inevitable fall at the hands
         | of artificial intelligence
        
       | pphysch wrote:
       | Not until 2023 at the earliest. Seems like a deathrattle for the
       | increasingly irrelevant military cult. Systemic R&D deficits like
       | this take decades to fully address.
        
         | VWWHFSfQ wrote:
         | How long do you think Taiwan remains an independent country if
         | USA Navy leaves the South China Sea?
        
           | FredPret wrote:
           | Also, Europe would speak Russian if the US left
        
             | theflyinghorse wrote:
             | I highly doubt this. Historically speaking the invasion
             | dynamic is going the other way - FROM Europe INTO Russia.
             | Russians are scared of the European invasion, not the other
             | way around.
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | Yes and how did those invasions go? Russia is a fortress
               | due to its size and weather.
               | 
               | But when Russia invaded Europe towards the end of WW2,
               | they grabbed all of Poland, half of Germany, and more.
               | They could have gone all the way until the English
               | channel if they wanted, if the US wasn't there.
        
               | theflyinghorse wrote:
               | > Russia is a fortress due to its size and weather.
               | 
               | Most of Russia is considered to be indefensible[0]. Its
               | hardly a fortress by any measure.
               | 
               | 0 - https://johnbrownnotesandessays.blogspot.com/2015/11/
               | russia-...
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | Russia did not literally invade Europe. This is
               | ridiculous revisionism. The Red Army singlehandedly
               | defeated Hitler's eastward invading campaign and pushed
               | it all the way to Berlin.
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | Soooo... the Russian army beat a European one and marched
               | several hundred km's into Europe, but it's not an
               | invasion?
               | 
               | Yes, the European nation attacked first, and the Russian
               | response was 100% justified.
               | 
               | The point is that Russia struck back against one of the
               | strongest armies in history, broke its back, and then
               | counter-invaded. They only stopped when they ran into the
               | Allies.
        
               | Apocryphon wrote:
               | Without an expansionist- one could say evangelical-
               | ideology like communism in power in Russia, why the heck
               | would Russians care to push west? As any great power they
               | want influence, yes, but it's odd to imagine that 20th
               | century dynamics at their most tumultuous and bloody
               | overshadow all of the previous centuries' default
               | policies.
        
           | pphysch wrote:
           | The US doesn't recognize Taiwan as an independent country.
        
             | VWWHFSfQ wrote:
             | do you know why
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | Because there are more factors beyond the long-standing
               | ideological project to spread the doctrine of NATO
               | (hiding behind terms like "democracy" and "human rights")
               | around the world.
               | 
               | For instance, the US has an enormous mutual economic
               | interest with PRC, and recognizing ROC's claim to
               | virtually all of mainland China (the PRC) would be
               | enormously complicate that crucial material relationship.
               | ROC and PRC are mutually exclusive concepts because they
               | claim the same territory, and PRC is the far more
               | valuable economic partner.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _increasingly irrelevant military cult_
         | 
         | This was a relevant line about ten years ago. I stopped hearing
         | it in D.C. after Russia invaded Crimea and Xi tore up Hong
         | Kong.
        
           | pphysch wrote:
           | * Russia did not invade Crimea, it joined Russia via popular
           | referendum. Virtually no one died and there is no internal
           | movement to rejoin Ukraine (who clearly cares about Crimean
           | "citizens" because it cut off their water supply). That is
           | not an "invasion". These are all easily verifiable facts.
           | 
           | * Hong Kong is part of China since it was decolonized. This
           | is indisputable.
           | 
           | I'm curious, have you actually studied the historical context
           | of Crimea and Hong Kong? Beyond just taking headlines from
           | NATO-aligned tabloids as absolute fact?
        
             | jeffdn wrote:
             | A popular referendum that was held _after_ the Russian
             | military, with their national insignia removed, occupied
             | Crimea en masse, just to be clear. If Mexico invaded
             | Southern California, and then held a referendum with
             | suspiciously high levels of voter turnout and a nearly 90%
             | yes vote, don't you think people would find that
             | suspicious? Can't you imagine why Ukraine and its allies
             | think this was an illegal conquest?
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | To make your analogy historically correct, it would have
               | to be preceded by the United States having loaned San
               | Diego to Mexico for decades of military use and the vast
               | majority of San Diegans being ethnically "Mexican". Then
               | notorious anti-Mexican racist Donald Trump is installed
               | as the governor of California by NATO via coup d'etat.
               | 
               | https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2011/S00116/how-the-
               | wester...
        
               | jeffdn wrote:
               | Well, Ukraine loaned the use of port facilities -- they
               | did not loan the entire land area and its citizenry.
               | 
               | I think you'll find a difference of opinion on whether or
               | not 2014 was a coup d'etat.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | Of course there is a difference of opinion. This is
               | natural for any political issue.
               | 
               | The facts, however, are very clear cut in this particular
               | situation. And you don't have to blindly believe
               | conspiracy theories or NATO/Kremlin propaganda to get
               | those facts.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Crimea#Ethn
               | ici...
               | 
               | Try to move beyond the puerile "Russia/China bad, NATO
               | good" worldview and view geopolitical issues from both
               | sides.
        
               | jeffdn wrote:
               | I don't believe I've ever advocated for that viewpoint.
               | I've only been speaking about Crimea, and in that case,
               | Russia is very clearly the aggressor. Yes, there are
               | historical complexities, there is regional context. It is
               | not cut and dry, black and white. At the end of the day,
               | however, regardless of the ethnic makeup of Crimea, it
               | was sovereign Ukrainian territory, seized in violation of
               | international law and norms.
               | 
               | I don't live in Eastern Europe, or anywhere near it. I
               | have nuanced opinions about international affairs, and
               | I'll readily acknowledge that the United States and its
               | NATO allies have done more than their share of bad in
               | this world, including sponsoring multiple coup d'etats.
               | 
               | I just think that in this case, on balance, Ukraine is
               | the aggrieved party.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | Claiming that Russia is the unilateral aggressor in 2014
               | is a crystal clear exposition of the naive "Russia bad"
               | worldview that selectively omits crucial details.
               | 
               | If Ukraine had any semblance of "sovereignty" post-USSR,
               | it was totally crushed by NATO's 2014 coup. Recognizing
               | the unpredictable hybrid aggression of NATO, Russia
               | decisively reinforced its long-standing strategic
               | position on Crimea and the Black Sea. It was
               | fundamentally a defensive, pragmatic reaction forced by
               | NATO's aggression.
               | 
               | You can see similar narratives regarding the recent
               | military escalation in the region. Ukraine unilaterally
               | declared an intent to militarily invade Crimea, and
               | Russia mobilized forces on the border as a reaction. Yet
               | the Western media totally ignored the virtual declaration
               | of war by Ukraine and painted Russia once again as the
               | sole aggressor. Fortunately, Russia was able to
               | deescalate the situation.
               | 
               | Yes, Ukraine as a sovereign nation is the aggrieved
               | party. But the aggressor is NATO!
        
           | VictorPath wrote:
           | When Russia invaded Crimea, there were still British red
           | coats stationed in New York City. The Russian military has
           | been there ever since.
           | 
           | Speaking of the British empire, only an upper middle class
           | westerner can nod their head when they see the British, who
           | oversaw a massacre of Chinese in Hong Kong in 1967,
           | pontificating over China's obligations to the British empire
           | vis a vis Hong Kong. They even have former commander in chief
           | of British Forces Overseas Hong Kong Chris Patten on Sky News
           | lecturing the Chinese. The reason the UK took hold of Hong
           | Kong was they went to war with the Chinese in order to push
           | heroin and opium on a Chinese population they were trying to
           | turn into drug addicts.
        
       | eldavido wrote:
       | Interesting to see the US somewhat following China's lead here.
       | Industry/government/defense cooperation has a rich (and somewhat
       | ugly) history in the US, but seems to have fallen out of favor in
       | recent decades, whereas China has leaned in even harder toward
       | five-year plans that attempt to get every part of society --
       | academia, government, business, media, etc. marching in the same
       | direction.
       | 
       | I've really started to wonder about how, and how much, government
       | should try to influence a lot of this. In the 60s Kennedy said
       | we're going to put a man on the moon (US) and we did it. There's
       | clearly some role for direction-setting at the national level.
       | 
       | But it's not without costs: corruption, cronyism, wasted money.
       | China's been trying to bootstrap a domestic semiconductor
       | industry for decades and the most they have to show for it is
       | SMIC, which is nowhere near TSMC or even Intel's level of
       | capability. Ditto for internal-combustion cars--they (rightfully)
       | trumpet EVs as a pretty large success story but leave out the
       | part about wasting billions trying to make a domestic Detroit.
       | And then there's the fact that government has a hard time writing
       | sub-$1bln checks so there's the potential for a huge amount of
       | waste if things don't pan out.
        
         | dirtyid wrote:
         | >US somewhat following China's lead here
         | 
         | US is _returning_ to industrial policies which PRC civil
         | military fusion was originally modelled off. IMO establishing
         | complex indigenous industries require the appetite for massive
         | risk / waste which is always preferable to the alternative of
         | not building the capabilities in first place. PRC semi efforts
         | has been pretty lackluster until last few years, i.e.
         | integrated circuits only got promoted to first-level discipline
         | with streamlined funding last year. There are worst things to
         | waste money on in this security climate.
        
         | petre wrote:
         | Just don't minimize their achievements because the next thing
         | you know they'll be buying off US and European companies. BYD
         | went from a company everybody in the auto industry laughed at
         | to a partner in Daimler and Toyota joint ventures and a company
         | Warren Buffet's org has invested in more money than they have
         | in GM.
        
       | SkyMarshal wrote:
       | If they haven't already they need to reach out to Steve Blank and
       | his Stanford _Hacking For Defense_ course.
       | 
       | https://steveblank.com/category/hacking-for-defense/
        
       | boomboomsubban wrote:
       | So general red scare fear mongering being used to spend more
       | public money on private enterprise, making future tech companies
       | indebted to NATO. It even includes a loyalty test to get the
       | initial funding.
        
         | throwaway6734 wrote:
         | >making future tech companies indebted to NATO
         | 
         | What's bad about this?
        
           | boomboomsubban wrote:
           | "Hey, put this backdoor in your product and don't tell
           | anyone." Worse, forcing them to turn some product into a
           | weapon.
        
             | shrimp_emoji wrote:
             | Open source is the answer there.
        
               | the_optimist wrote:
               | Open source doesn't produce military advantage.
        
               | viro wrote:
               | But it does for the intelligence community.
        
           | fit2rule wrote:
           | NATO forces kill the most innocent people around the world
           | right now.
        
       | 3pt14159 wrote:
       | This is a pitiful sum. We're talking over 15 _years_ for the
       | strongest alliance in the world. Just $1B? What is this a school
       | for ants?
       | 
       | We're talking 1/12th of an aircraft carrier. For all of Nato?
       | 
       | How much was put into the Manhattan project by just three (!!!)
       | countries, one of them Canada. What, like 30x this in inflation
       | adjusted dollars? That doesn't even count the rest of the
       | spending on nuclear weapons over the years.
        
         | LatteLazy wrote:
         | Now you know why nato has loads of aircraft carriers but can't
         | quite seem to keep Russia off of their intranet.
        
         | the_optimist wrote:
         | Arguably this is simply the wrong strategy for investment. Look
         | at the US "Endless Frontiers Act" for an analog, 95% of funding
         | for cronies and pork. Fear and tech-hype driven. This is not
         | the "deterministic optimism" that achieves goals.
        
           | er4hn wrote:
           | All meats are represented, not just pork!
           | https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-
           | bill/126... See Section 2518 for the elimination of Shark Fin
           | soup.
           | 
           | I agree with eliminating shark fin soup, it is a cruel and
           | destructive harvesting practice. But it absolutely should not
           | have been a part of a bill on funding tech innovation. Argh.
        
         | richardw wrote:
         | Says modelled on this, which attracts another $15 for each $
         | invested.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/In-Q-Tel
         | 
         | Look, last year it didn't exist. They haven't capped all
         | investment in the industry. If it does well it could attract a
         | lot more.
        
           | 3pt14159 wrote:
           | Yeah I know all about In-Q-Tel and DARPA. I have a friend who
           | was funded by In-Q-Tel a decade ago or so.
           | 
           | The thing that I'm trying to express, the thing that policy
           | makers can't quite get their heads around, is that war AI is
           | different. It's not a little startup-y thing you can cobble
           | together until it sorta, kinda works for a specific use-case.
           | We already have that. Missiles, aircraft, nuclear weapons
           | simulations all have specialized AI. But that isn't the
           | future. The future is something like Alpha Zero being applied
           | to a whole domain or a whole battlefield. Something that
           | coordinates and controls all the ships, planes, missiles,
           | drones, and sensors in an arena for as total domination as
           | can be achieved. We've had AI that augments human ability for
           | decades. And it is effective, no question.
           | 
           | But that isn't what is going to define the next generation of
           | warfare.
        
         | kej wrote:
         | This isn't the total sum being spent by all of those countries,
         | just the money they're spending on it together via NATO.
         | There's still DARPA and similar agencies in other member
         | countries who would be funding similar research.
        
         | danbruc wrote:
         | What if we reduced the amount of money we spent on military
         | purposes instead of increasing it?
        
           | aerostable_slug wrote:
           | If we did so, what if China picked up the slack? I'm not sure
           | that would be a net win for humanity.
        
             | danbruc wrote:
             | China will become the most powerful nation eventually if
             | they do not accidentally prevent themselves from doing so.
             | An attempt to stay ahead of China is likely a losing battle
             | so get over this rivalry and focus on cooperation.
        
               | sremani wrote:
               | China ascend to Power is hardly fiat accompli, and on top
               | of it their food insecurity and disputes with 17
               | neighbors is only going to compel them to focus inward.
               | 
               | Yes, all those Africa and BRI adventures are already
               | turning bitter for host nations.
               | 
               | US and USSR won the WW2 - you get power by winning wars
               | and winning decisively. If China wrests Taiwan, we can
               | then seriously talk about their contention until then its
               | just talk.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | China went from a colonial backwater to the #1 real
               | economy in the world, without endless foreign wars.
               | Recent history irrefutably disproves your "might is
               | right" framework.
        
               | petre wrote:
               | It had a bit of help with US being its #1 market and
               | aiding technology transfer by moving all production
               | offshore.
        
               | Apocryphon wrote:
               | China was only a colonial backwater during the time
               | centered around the "century of humiliation." It was an
               | unchallenged sprawling empire for millennia. This is just
               | reversion to the mean.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | It is fundamentally an issue of separatism, and
               | associated violent extremism/terrorism. The idea that it
               | is some kind of "race war" is a pure fantasy of race
               | realist Westerners.
        
               | onepointsixC wrote:
               | China's idea of cooperation is the Chinese-Pakistani
               | relationship in which the PM of Pakistan won't even speak
               | up about human rights of Uighurs. As per Document No. 9,
               | the existence of free liberal societies is an existential
               | threat to the CCP and they will act to export their
               | totalitarianism to extinguish them. The only way you give
               | up rivalry with a revisionist expansionist ethnostate is
               | by surrendering. No thanks.
        
               | danbruc wrote:
               | _As per Document No. 9, the existence of free liberal
               | societies is an existential threat to the CCP and they
               | will act to export their totalitarianism to extinguish
               | them._
               | 
               | I was not aware of this document and just read the
               | Wikipedia article and skimmed a translation. Yes, it
               | describes the promotion of a number of western values as
               | threats but I can not find where it says anything about
               | extinguishing them, only how to limit their influence in
               | the country itself, for example by blocking certain
               | content in China.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | Imran Khan won't "speak up" about Xinjiang's separatism
               | issues just like he won't "speak up" about the "Great
               | Replacement" or other ideological nonsense that has
               | literally nothing to do with the sovereign nation of
               | Pakistan.
        
               | onepointsixC wrote:
               | Except he speaks up about Islamophobia in the west all
               | the time. His inability to speak to the genocide right
               | across his border is not ideological nonsense, and
               | calling it merely an issue of separatism is white
               | washing.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | International Islamophobia is quite relevant to a large
               | Islamic nation.
               | 
               | Foreign separatism crises are not.
        
               | edgyquant wrote:
               | This is just not true. China has a range of problems
               | ahead of it that freer (and less populous) nations do
               | not.
        
               | danbruc wrote:
               | What would China stop from becoming freer if this becomes
               | the limiting factor? Assuming country X has figured out
               | the best way to run a country for whatever you mean with
               | best, at least in principle nothing stops China from
               | doing the same thing. And it is still simply larger.
               | Unsurmountable scaling issues? Does not sound likely to
               | me. Large cultural change required? Maybe hard to do over
               | years or a few decades but again I see not why you would
               | not eventually go through a beneficial cultural change
               | over generations.
               | 
               | But this is also why I added the qualification of China
               | not standing in its own way, they have certainly the
               | power to cause their own downfall, cause a [civil] war
               | for example. But even then, unless the country gets
               | fractured into many small countries, what would prevent
               | them raising from the ruins stronger?
        
               | SkyMarshal wrote:
               | _> What would China stop from becoming freer if this
               | becomes the limiting factor?_
               | 
               | Governments of any sort, much less authoritarian ones,
               | never willingly give up power.
        
               | T-A wrote:
               | https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/china-s-
               | dilemma-...
        
               | contingencies wrote:
               | In addition to the aging population problem mentioned in
               | the article, a huge economic bubble based on domestic
               | real estate investment funded by poorly secured loans has
               | burst, the effects of which are only beginning to be
               | felt. Simultaneously, Western supply chains are actively
               | seeking diversification, and Chinese labour is now
               | considered too expensive for a large swathe of
               | manufacturing. Traditional industries such as textiles,
               | shoes and so forth are all moving out to
               | Vietnam/Bangladesh/Myanmar/etc. The accelerating affects
               | of automation further compound this scenario. Further,
               | the local education system and HR market are undeveloped
               | for higher level skills, and core aspects of the domestic
               | business environment create substantial inefficiency
               | (financial regulation and practice, commercial law
               | enforcement, etc.).
        
               | gherkinnn wrote:
               | Now that's a defeatist attitude if ever I saw one.
               | 
               | And a silly one too. There is no cooperation. Only
               | servitude.
        
               | caycep wrote:
               | I think the better way to view it amongst policymakers on
               | both sides are: do you make your policy decisions to
               | create an antagonistic relationship like US vs. USSR? Or
               | a cooperative one like US-UK or US-Japan? For whatever
               | reasons (and tbh a lot of it is perhaps a massive CCP
               | inferiority complex and short sightedness, vs. US short
               | sightedness), current policymakers have chosen to undergo
               | an antagonistic side.
               | 
               | But one can argue the US-China relationship initiated
               | between Nixon/Deng was one of the most mutually
               | beneficial relationships, economically speaking, over the
               | past 3-4 decades, far outpacing US-UK...until the Xi-
               | faction and the Trumpers killed it off...
        
               | rscho wrote:
               | Which of course, is completely different from what you
               | get with the US in the lead...
        
               | SkyMarshal wrote:
               | At least with the US in the lead you can freely criticize
               | the US on the Internet, or even in person, without being
               | censored, disappeared, jailed, and/or "re-educated".
               | 
               | Try criticizing the CCP on a Chinese message board, or in
               | person, and see what happens. Is that really the world
               | you want to live in?
        
               | rscho wrote:
               | The infractions necessary for being "disappeared" or re-
               | educated are different in the US, yes. Yet I could very
               | easily say things on this very site that would lead me
               | straight to prison in my own country, and I owe it
               | directly to US cultural influence because my country does
               | not have those issues for which I'd go to prison. Is that
               | really better? TBH I'm not sure. What's sure is that red
               | is dead, but imperialism is alive and kicking.
        
               | gherkinnn wrote:
               | The US leaves a documented trail of blood.
               | 
               | And yet, the US never went to any length of stopping the
               | head of state being compared to Winnie the Poo.
               | 
               | In fact, the mere fact that the US fuckery is so well
               | documented is quite telling. Remember "tank man" not
               | returning any results on Bing just a few weeks back?
        
               | danbruc wrote:
               | Defeatist. As if there is a game to be won. Do you really
               | believe that humanity will stay divided into states with
               | vastly different lifestyles forever? And even if you
               | believe this, do you have any reason to believe that the
               | most powerful country would be any other than the largest
               | [1] one?
               | 
               | [1] Largest here does not imply area, I am more thinking
               | of a combination of factors including area and natural
               | resources which are not affected by technological
               | progress.
        
         | lbriner wrote:
         | If I was already well-paid, I probably wouldn't leave a job
         | just because of the investment money but if I already wanted to
         | start my own business and could do with the extra dollars for
         | R&D, it would definitely be worth looking at.
         | 
         | Assuming of course, you don't have any qualms about your tech
         | being used to kill people at a later date :-/
        
         | L_226 wrote:
         | This is _just_ for an accelerator program, do you seriously
         | think that a startup that develops something meaningful from
         | this seed captial will not get the full force of NATO 's budget
         | shoved into it?
        
           | 3pt14159 wrote:
           | But this is partially my point. We didn't nickel and dime all
           | the crazy geniuses that put together the manhattan project in
           | 200 different startups over 15 years. War AI isn't something
           | you can bootstrap. You need serious resources and talent, and
           | most of the people that are great are getting offered half a
           | million a year unless they work for a startup with equity.
           | 
           | This is not enough money and this timeline is ridiculously
           | long.
        
             | richardw wrote:
             | DARPA Grand Challenge kickstarted a lot of careers and
             | companies and it was a pitiful amount of money as well.
             | 
             | In WWII there was no time for serendipity and black swans.
             | Only guarantees, before the other side got it, within a few
             | years.
        
       | erichahn wrote:
       | I think this is a good sign honestly. Historically many
       | innovations came from military research.
        
         | cpp_frog wrote:
         | Also, WWII accelerated many discoveries in several areas of
         | mathematics (in America, at least): statistics, optimization,
         | control, numerical analysis. To such an extent, that many of
         | those discoveries are still the main object of study in their
         | respective areas and are being extended to more general
         | versions.
        
           | tut-urut-utut wrote:
           | yeah, great, let's start a few more wars to foster progress
           | and inventions ...
           | 
           | /s
        
             | lifeisstillgood wrote:
             | Well, how can we get the benefit of wars without the
             | obvious downsides?
             | 
             | Fast feedback loops, obvious win / lose results (a battle
             | takes a few hours, you are dead or not).
             | 
             | Randomly fire members of upper management (equivalent of
             | organisational change by enemy sniper action)?
        
       | coretx wrote:
       | The AI part is a bit akward to take in since i've read about the
       | US buying Dwave systems gear in Canada because of the EU being
       | ahead of the US regarding AI research. ( In Snowden or WL files )
       | ... But NATO almost is the US + EU. What is the reasoning and how
       | far is everyone really?
        
         | ganoushoreilly wrote:
         | At this point the files you're referencing are 10 years old or
         | so. I would imagine it's a completely different playing field.
         | I would also note that the documents you're referencing (not
         | sure of a specific document) as a whole only touch specific
         | projects and teams and aren't 100% visibility into the Govt.
         | Organizations they purport to be from.
        
           | coretx wrote:
           | All solid arguments, thank you a lot!
        
       | 1cvmask wrote:
       | This relationship between the government, national security
       | establishment and community, and the tech industry has already
       | existed for decades from the founding of Silicon Valley with
       | Fairchild Semiconductor to many others afterwards ranging from
       | Oracle (a CIA funded project), RSA to Palantir.
       | 
       | There is even a public VC:
       | 
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/In-Q-Tel
       | 
       | -
       | 
       | https://fcw.com/blogs/lectern/2014/09/cia-oracle-government-...
       | 
       | https://fedtechmagazine.com/article/2018/09/how-government-h...
       | 
       | https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2013/12/nsa_spying_wh...
       | 
       | -
       | 
       | Karkar Electronics and NATO telecommunications:
       | 
       | https://www.legacy.com/obituaries/sfgate/obituary.aspx?n=edw...
        
         | klaudius wrote:
         | There are cases where governments implemented protectionism and
         | support for industry, but it failed. You have the case of
         | computer industry in Brazil.
         | 
         | It's not as simple as saying that government support is the key
         | since there are many cases where it didn't work.
        
           | rsj_hn wrote:
           | That's interesting, do you have a source that describes
           | Brazil's tech intervention?
        
           | dotcommand wrote:
           | But there are no cases of a successful tech industry without
           | government support. So we can safely say government support
           | is key. Perhaps government support is necessary but not
           | sufficient.
        
           | contingencies wrote:
           | Bulgaria would be another example.
        
         | seppin wrote:
         | Which all amounts to a drop in the bucket compared to how much
         | Chinese state money stands up and continues to subsidize all
         | domestic industry, from telecom to solar to cars.
        
       | chairmanwow1 wrote:
       | This is not nearly organized enough to match the investments
       | China has made into AI.
        
       | MangoCoffee wrote:
       | Is China really leading in AI? in what way that other countries
       | is behind China
        
         | kanche wrote:
         | Looking at CVPR this year, China has the most number of authors
         | [0]. Significant portion of the US and EU authors are probably
         | Chinese students as well. I think they are doing quite well
         | atleast in the front of training researchers.
         | 
         | source: [1]
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E4bZC0mX0AY2X_L?format=png&name=...
         | 
         | [1] https://twitter.com/JaredHeinly/status/1407050613263851521
        
         | tracyhenry wrote:
         | One thing that no one can compete with is the amount of data
         | available.
        
         | neom wrote:
         | I don't know if it's a positive or a negative, but China has
         | been focused in a very organized way on this subject for quite
         | some time now - in a manner that other nations are just
         | starting to do. China has also been able to, coordinately, use
         | it's massive population as a R&D bed for training and the like.
        
           | stickfigure wrote:
           | How is their self-driving car effort going? It seems like a
           | very rough but reasonable proxy for AI development in the
           | context of war machines.
           | 
           | Facial recognition seems more useful for controlling a
           | civilian population at home.
        
           | MangoCoffee wrote:
           | from what i have read so far, Chinese's facial recognition is
           | really good and probably is leading in this area.
        
             | kube-system wrote:
             | The descriptions of the biometric technology I've heard
             | that is deployed in Xinjiang truly sounds like a science
             | fiction. Voice/facial/gait/etc all deployed at huge scale
             | in production, with gigantic datasets collected under
             | questionable conditions. I don't have any links but there
             | are some good NPR podcasts about the subject.
        
       | mkl95 wrote:
       | It will be hilarious when they find out some of those "AI
       | startups" are actually mechanical turk armies operating from an
       | Indian basement.
        
         | nacs wrote:
         | .. or just pro-level Starcraft players who can hit 400-600 APM
         | (actions per minute).
        
         | plaidfuji wrote:
         | > mechanical turk armies
         | 
         | And now they'll be navies, air forces and spec ops teams as
         | well!
        
       | rohitarondekar wrote:
       | Can somebody in the know elaborate on how far ahead China's lead
       | is in AI?
        
         | neom wrote:
         | They're out publishing[1] and out spending everyone else[2], I
         | asked Jack Clack from OpenAI that question a few years ago and
         | he said he didn't really know exactly how far ahead they are,
         | just that more people and more money is being applied in a more
         | organized fashion.
         | 
         | [1]https://hbr.org/2021/02/is-china-emerging-as-the-global-
         | lead...
         | 
         | [2]https://www.technologyreview.com/2019/12/05/65019/china-
         | us-a...
        
           | aeoleonn wrote:
           | When people bring up scientific advances in China, I am
           | always skeptical.
           | 
           | What percent of Chinese publishing is not fraudulent?
           | 
           | Look at the scale of Fraud across China, including in
           | Academia:
           | 
           | "The online publication Quartz reported in 2017 that more
           | than 50 percent of all articles retracted by scientific
           | journals worldwide for fake peer reviews were submitted by
           | Chinese authors. ... 55% - The percentage of articles
           | submitted by Chinese authors that were retracted by
           | scientific journals worldwide for fake peer reviews"
           | 
           | "It usually involves authors posing as their own peer
           | reviewers and submitting made-up contact information for the
           | supposed reviewer - a scam that publishers exposed by
           | tracking the email addresses of author and reviewer to the
           | same IP address. This type of fraud is on the rise and more
           | often than not involves Chinese authors.
           | 
           | "In 2015, for instance, Britain-based publisher BioMed
           | Central retracted 43 articles, including 41 from China.
           | 
           | "Later in the same year, Germany's Springer retracted 64
           | papers, nearly all from Chinese scholars,
           | 
           | "while the Dutch publishing company Elsevier retracted nine
           | medical science articles written by Chinese researchers.
           | 
           | "In what is said to be the largest single-incident retraction
           | of journal publications in history, Springer Nature in 2017
           | retracted 107 articles in Tumor Biology published between
           | 2012 and 2016, all of them authored by Chinese scholars from
           | universities in Shanghai." [1]
           | 
           | [1] https://wenr.wes.org/2018/04/the-economy-of-fraud-in-
           | academi...
        
             | rmah wrote:
             | Note, that doesn't say that 55% of submissions from Chinese
             | authors were retracted. It says that 55% of retractions
             | were from Chinese authors. If 60% of all submissions were
             | from Chinese authors, then actual rate of retraction would
             | be less than average. If say 40% of submissions were from
             | Chinese authors, then the rate of retraction would be just
             | slightly higher.
        
             | pphysch wrote:
             | Just open your eyes and look at reality. TikTok, HarmonyOS,
             | a rapidly advancing space program, and Shenzhen's 100% 5G
             | coverage, and so on, did not come out of Silicon Valley.
             | The writing is on the wall.
        
               | aeoleonn wrote:
               | I open my eyes to data and objective, independent
               | sources, where possible.
               | 
               | And I think the aforementioned findings of fraud in
               | academia have analogs across industries in China--
               | construction (typically the industry with highest most
               | corrupt activities regardless of nation), food
               | manufacturing, accounting & finance, etc.
        
               | contingencies wrote:
               | Here's an objective, independent source. I am a foreigner
               | in China. Increasingly, robotics designed at my company
               | are designed against Chinese chips because they are
               | cheaper, more available, and therefore present less
               | design risk. Meanwhile, a friend of mine in semiconductor
               | trading just booked about a dozen life fortunes in a
               | single month capitalising on the pain and suffering of
               | conventional electronics producers with foreign BOMs.
        
               | jnwatson wrote:
               | Tiktok is cool, but not a technology advancement. It
               | wasn't even the first with the idea.
               | 
               | HarmonyOS is just relabeled Android...
               | 
               | https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2021/02/harmonyos-hands-
               | on-h...
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | HarmonyOS is absolutely not just rebranded Android. That
               | is total nonsense, and that Ars article is ridiculously
               | bereft of any understanding of HarmonyOS.
               | 
               | HarmonyOS supports multiple kernels including
               | Android/Linux
        
               | petre wrote:
               | They went from making ball point pens in the 1980s to
               | flying a rover Mars in 2021. So what if HarmonyOS is just
               | rebranded Android? They modified it for their own
               | designs, put in a few backdoors and it will achieve its
               | purpose, capitalizing on the work of Westeners. They are
               | standing on the shoulders of giants.
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | That's honestly news to me.
        
       | antman wrote:
       | Are there any official documents on China's AI policy? We have
       | the media coverage but is it based on any non assumptions?
        
         | jlglover wrote:
         | CSET has lots of great analysis of China's AI policy, including
         | references to official documents.
         | 
         | https://cset.georgetown.edu/publications/
        
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