[HN Gopher] As the Pandemic Recedes, Millions of Workers Are Say...
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       As the Pandemic Recedes, Millions of Workers Are Saying 'I Quit'
        
       Author : pseudolus
       Score  : 316 points
       Date   : 2021-06-25 10:46 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.npr.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.npr.org)
        
       | streamofdigits wrote:
       | There is no doubt that the pandemic has been a huge mental shock
       | (and hopefully it will trigger overall more sustainable and
       | meaningful behaviors). But sketching how the post-pandemic work
       | landscape would look like seems extremely premature. People
       | currently underappreciate the impact of government support at all
       | levels. The sense of calm and control (or the absence of panic if
       | you wish) is the result of an unprecedented intervention (which
       | among others has demolished the brain-damaged neoliberal
       | narrative).
       | 
       | Yet only after the government support gets withdrawn will we see
       | how the diverse actors in the private economy sectors restore
       | their eternal "games". To be continued...
        
         | mjburgess wrote:
         | > which among others has demolished the brain-damaged
         | neoliberal narrative
         | 
         | oh?
        
           | streamofdigits wrote:
           | had governments not bailed out unconditionally a big chunk of
           | the economy many business sectors would have collapsed. This
           | would have triggered a run on the financial system like no
           | one in recorded history.
           | 
           | maybe we should have left "creative destruction" to play out.
           | after all a pandemic is a known business risk.
        
             | bradlys wrote:
             | But the bailing out hasn't really changed anyone's mind
             | about capitalism. The fun part of capitalism in America is
             | that people think individually they are owed stuff from the
             | government but collectively should have no intervention.
        
             | willis936 wrote:
             | Only the biggest boats can weather the storm. Big boats
             | don't need life preservers, but the little guys do.
        
             | conro1108 wrote:
             | I might be misunderstanding some sarcasm from someone, but
             | isn't government intervention and support during a time of
             | crisis pretty firmly in the neoliberal playbook?
             | 
             | From where I'm standing it's... pretty much everyone else
             | who rails against large scale bailouts. The libertarian
             | crowd is more on the "see where the chips fall" side of
             | things while the more left-leaning/progressive groups
             | didn't appreciate govt money going to businesses instead of
             | to workers directly.
        
       | pseudolus wrote:
       | A similar story with more quantitative data appeared recently in
       | the Economist :
       | 
       | https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2021/06/21/american...
        
         | david-gpu wrote:
         | https://archive.is/1RUTL
        
       | akomtu wrote:
       | These workers need to form a "software engineering association"
       | that will push busy bodies in legislatures to change laws.
       | Otherwise that "I quit" is a kid's tantrum who refuses to eat
       | oatmeal today.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | psychlops wrote:
       | Millions say 'I Quit' every month. The variation here is
       | unsurprising. Take a look at Chart 2 in the pdf:
       | 
       | https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/jolts.pdf
        
         | rightbyte wrote:
         | Ye. Articles like these are so numbingly boring disappointments
         | when you dig into the numbers and it is just a bit of noise in
         | a longer trend that are presented as a big sudden change. Sure,
         | the pandemic gave a interesting spike in the graph, but is not
         | like 20% quit their jobs now all of a sudden, but more like
         | back to the extrapolation of the pre pandemic trend.
        
       | Riesling wrote:
       | Inflation of specific asset prices is also playing into this.
       | Money is losing its value. Try buying a house with a regular wage
       | nowadays. Politicians, central banks and economic experts are
       | sleeping at the helm.
        
         | imtringued wrote:
         | I'm not sure this is true in the US. There were multiple
         | stimulus checks and generous unemployment benefits. A lot of
         | central bank money ended up in the hands of regular people.
         | This is something that should have happened a lot sooner than
         | 2020-2021.
         | 
         | Land values going up is how the system is rigged. That has
         | nothing to do with your money.
        
         | jokethrowaway wrote:
         | It's the 0.1% that pays them to sleep on the job we're paying
         | for with our middle class taxes.
        
         | heterodoxxed wrote:
         | Cheap wants, expensive needs. This is our economy now.
         | 
         |  _" I love my iPhone, but I worry about health insurance."_ as
         | I've heard it put here on HN.
         | 
         | Ironically, the Soviet system fell from opposite. Expensive
         | wants, cheap needs. Everyone saw the West getting cheaper and
         | cheaper consumer goods and central planning failed to keep up.
         | 
         | Now we get to see what happens.
        
           | yetihehe wrote:
           | Soviet system fell because there was not enough to even
           | satisfy needs. There were always some shortages.
        
             | heterodoxxed wrote:
             | Once Perestroika liberalized their economy, they had
             | distribution issues, sure.
             | 
             | But before then, housing, food, clothing all were cheap and
             | available. The food was simple, the apartments small and
             | the clothing dull, but it was all there and for very little
             | cost.
             | 
             | https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-
             | RDP85M00363R0006014...
             | 
             | But they liberalized their economy in order to compete on
             | the consumer goods boom in the West. That desire for
             | consumer goods had a big role in destabilizing the system.
             | 
             | And today, the converse desire for cheap staples and
             | necessities in the face of intense asset inflation may be
             | destabilizing our current system.
        
           | eyivghh wrote:
           | The Soviet system was "expensive needs, non-existany wants,
           | faked numbers to fool the useful idiots in the West"
        
       | mc32 wrote:
       | Millions of people are quitting their current jobs to take better
       | jobs!
       | 
       | (But that is a very different narrative). Damn you NPR.
       | 
       | From their text:
       | 
       | >" So when his employer began calling people back to the office
       | part time, he balked at the 45-minute commute. He started looking
       | for a job with better remote work options and quickly landed
       | multiple offers."
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | I am glad the pandemic has been a wake up call for so many people
       | about the value of their time and how different things could be
       | if they cut out pointless meetings and long commutes that they
       | don't even get paid for.
        
         | cmrdporcupine wrote:
         | For many of us it's actually been a wake up call about how
         | important it is to be physically present with coworkers and a
         | realization of how much the office actually does offer in terms
         | of productivity and morale boost.
         | 
         | I know this is a very unpopular opinion here on HN threads
         | about this situation. And all power to the people who love
         | remote work.
         | 
         | But out of all the engineers I know personally and of all the
         | people on my team and most of the other Googlers I've talked to
         | off record personally in the last months... I'd say about 85%,
         | 90% of them are eager for return to office.
         | 
         | So let's not assume homogeneity of opinion. Remote work is not
         | for everyone. It may not even be the preference for the
         | majority of us.
        
           | spacedcowboy wrote:
           | I think that's your personal bubble. Of all the google res I
           | know, none of them want to go back to the office, and that's
           | probably just my bubble too.
           | 
           | Personally I work at Apple, so I'm not getting the choice,
           | but I am close to my vacation cap, so I'll be "forced" to
           | take a day off every fortnight; you can bet that I'll be
           | using an "in-office" day for that, so I'll be working 5 days
           | of every 10 in the office.
        
             | cmrdporcupine wrote:
             | Well, I'm not in the Bay Area, I work out of Google
             | Waterloo. So your experience might just be saying something
             | about how crappy it is working in an office in the Valley.
             | 
             | I've personally never much enjoyed my trips to the
             | Googleplex. :-) I like my own office much more.
        
           | kayamon wrote:
           | I spent the last few years doing remote work, before COVID. I
           | don't want to waste any more years of my life staring into a
           | rectangle. If I go back to programming it's sure as hell
           | going to be onsite.
           | 
           | It's all fun and games at first. "Look, I can work from home
           | in my underpants!" Then after a while you realize you're just
           | sitting there alone in your underpants.
        
             | BTCOG wrote:
             | I think you, like many of us are tired of computers but
             | reluctant to admit it after all these years of forcing the
             | smiles. Time to switch to an entirely different and active?
             | career.
        
             | danuker wrote:
             | > to waste any more years of my life staring into a
             | rectangle
             | 
             | Do you not stare into a rectangle on-site? Do you prefer to
             | _additionally_ go through soul-sucking commute?
        
               | bradlys wrote:
               | It's a bit presumptuous to assume everyone has a soul
               | sucking commute. Most of my jobs I've had a 10 minute
               | commute.
               | 
               | I've decided to take a longer commute now (30ish minutes)
               | but it's not a big deal because it's in a place where I
               | was going many times a week anyway and had to do the
               | commute then too. Also, it's going to be hybrid now and
               | isn't 5-days/week probably.
        
           | notacoward wrote:
           | > most of the other Googlers
           | 
           | How much of that is because of productivity, how much is for
           | social (i.e. non-task-oriented) interaction, and how much is
           | getting away from the place where you also have to do your
           | own cooking and cleaning and possibly deal with kids? I'm
           | guessing productivity is the least of these reasons, for most
           | FAANGers. After all, they self-selected to be in such
           | environments.
        
             | cmrdporcupine wrote:
             | Nah, not me ... I didn't self-select for that. I came from
             | an acquisition, I never applied to Google... I just...
             | arrived here. Hotel California style.
        
           | shrimp_emoji wrote:
           | As someone who's practically spent all of their life, and
           | whose best friends have all been, online, I never thought I'd
           | agree with this, and I'm sad that I do.
           | 
           | >how important it is to be physically present with coworkers
           | and a realization of how much the office actually does offer
           | in terms of productivity and morale boost.
           | 
           | This depends on your home situation, but with mine I wouldn't
           | say the office is more productive. But the frequency and
           | richness of interactions you have with coworkers in person is
           | a world apart from being remote.
           | 
           | Immersive telecommute VR when?
        
       | mrtweetyhack wrote:
       | Only because they expect the government to take care of them
        
       | ud_0 wrote:
       | I'm one of these. I'm an allrounder software dev in his late
       | fourties, "lured" into a non-software middle management position
       | by the promise of money and stability a few years ago.
       | 
       | In practice, the money has never materialized because our sector
       | took a big hit and much of that promise was tied to incentives
       | based on the company's success. I can't really blame anyone for
       | this, but that's strike one as far as job satisfaction goes.
       | 
       | Second strike, I love writing code, and I don't get to do that a
       | lot anymore. I'm listing these "pre-existing conditions" because
       | I believe it's common for us _quitters_ to have other areas of
       | dissatisfaction that hadn 't been enough to drive us over the
       | edge by themselves.
       | 
       | Third strike, while my company does not support WFH after Covid,
       | I did get to experience at least a partial WFH program, and it
       | was absolutely wonderful. There's a problem though: I would
       | absolutely like to continue working from home, but I also want to
       | work on my own projects, on my own terms, on my own schedule. A
       | traditional full time job is not compatible with that.
       | 
       | So I put in my notice for the end of this year, to allow current
       | company projects to come to a conclusion and/or hand them off. I
       | want to stress that for a man in my age group, with no
       | significant savings or other safety net, this is extremely scary.
       | It's just that this Angst is outweighed by the thought of staying
       | on the treadmill hoping for an eventual reward that may never
       | come and seeing the little time I have left drain away.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | nobodyandproud wrote:
         | I'm in a similar boat where upper-management is completely out
         | of touch.
         | 
         | For us WFH is an option because it boosts productivity: People
         | often end up working later.
         | 
         | Leading a high-performance team, I should be able to do team-
         | wide things as a reward to boost morale and combat burn out.
         | 
         | Yet here I am, seriously contemplating leaving.
        
         | lowercased wrote:
         | "...for a man in my age group, with no significant savings or
         | other safety net, this is extremely scary"
         | 
         | I'm sorry you are in this situation. I applaud your self-
         | awareness, and suspect you have enough skills and discipline to
         | turn this around in the next few years. You may never get to
         | the point of having millions tucked away for retirement, but do
         | hope you can get to a point where you do have 'significant
         | savings'. I'd measure that by your measure of 'extremely
         | scary'.
         | 
         | My wife and I have no kids, so 'saving' has been somewhat
         | easier 'by default' than some of our peers. That said, it's not
         | automatic, and I know plenty of folks who are high earners who
         | will manage to spend it all without 'significant savings' to
         | speak of.
        
           | ud_0 wrote:
           | Thank you! Don't have too much pity though, I'm doing okay. I
           | live in the EU, no spouse, no kids, no commitments really.
           | Not planning ahead is 100% my fault, but it's not an
           | existential problem (yet). It's just time to finally stop
           | spending everything as it comes in.
           | 
           | It's kind of obnoxious to even admit this, but I always
           | assumed I'd be a successful person at some point down the
           | line. This was of course utterly ridiculous and led to some
           | really bad decisions. It was exploitable by other people,
           | too. My work made a few people rich, and while I was always
           | compensated for my time, I never got a proportional cut from
           | the outcomes. But it wasn't a bad life, and there is still
           | some fuel in the tank :)
        
             | lowercased wrote:
             | Oh... EU... your 'social safety net' is ... stronger than
             | ours in the US. _I_ am nervous /scared about the future,
             | and I have about 3-4 years of expenses in savings (not
             | counting investments and retirement accounts). But I'm
             | still somewhat 'nervous/scared'.
        
               | saiya-jin wrote:
               | There is no single EU when it comes to topics like these,
               | some parts are much better than others. But no place will
               | ever save you from really bad financial mistakes or tons
               | of small ones.
               | 
               | But you won't ever starve or have no place to sleep and
               | your health will generally be taken care of, albeit not
               | always in best way possible (ie dental care).
        
               | lowercased wrote:
               | > But you won't ever starve or have no place to sleep and
               | your health will generally be taken care of
               | 
               | Which are things I concerned myself with early on. I
               | probably _won 't_ ever have to be homeless, but... health
               | stuff - knowing that if I stop paying for 'insurance',
               | regardless of how much I've paid in over... decades...
               | I'll be denied things - that's still troubling.
        
       | Everhusk wrote:
       | Yeah I think it's a major transition for both employees and
       | employers to figure out where to go from here. I suspect the best
       | thing for people looking for new work is to find something that
       | matches your values. As a startup founder, I started Earth Wallet
       | around these core values - Creating a Better Planet, Innovating &
       | Evolving, and Trust & Respect.
       | 
       | If anyone believes in these values, we offer a flexible, remote-
       | friendly lifestyle, with two meetups a year at cool places like
       | Bali, Greece, Costa Rica, Barbados, and adding new ones as time
       | goes on! So if you're a developer looking for a new way of
       | working in the decentralization space, feel free to reach me at
       | developers@earthwallet.io!
        
         | Clubber wrote:
         | >As a startup founder, I started Earth Wallet around these core
         | values - Creating a Better Planet, Innovating & Evolving, and
         | Trust & Respect.
         | 
         | This is such a tired line. It's like reading, "So and so
         | company who just got caught doing shady shit really takes shady
         | shit seriously and we intend to fully investigate the matter.
         | We fully respect so and so and this and that."
         | 
         | I'm not saying you are doing shady shit, but it reads as the
         | same phony stuff as any PR drone has been regurgitating for the
         | last 40 years.
        
         | cableshaft wrote:
         | So not to single you out, but I've been seeing a lot of pitches
         | from recruiters recently, and after a few interviews where
         | afterwards the recruiter circles back and clarifies "so by
         | remote-friendly we mean they will let you work from home
         | _maybe_ once or twice a week, instead of never, is that okay?
         | ", or "it's remote...but only until labor day" (what all
         | companies have deemed 'post-covid' apparently). So I'm quickly
         | learning to avoid jobs that advertise themselves as 'remote-
         | friendly'.
         | 
         | If you're 100% remote or 'remote except a couple of optional
         | team building events' or 'remote except come into the office
         | once every month or two', I would be very specific and say so,
         | and not just say 'remote-friendly' or 'remote-flexible' (even
         | just saying 'remote' is starting to be suspicious), because
         | those terms seem to have morphed into a signal that the
         | opposite is true.
         | 
         | Also, if your company was remote before the pandemic, you
         | should also say that, because that gives me reason to believe
         | it will stay that way, instead of being another bait-and-switch
         | "we're 100% remote!...for a few more months".
        
       | PragmaticPulp wrote:
       | This article opens with a person experiencing burnout and
       | choosing to leave a job where he needed to commute 1.5 hours per
       | day, but the story isn't really about people quitting work or
       | leaving the workforce.
       | 
       | The majority of people resigning their jobs are simply changing
       | jobs, and the article doesn't provide any evidence that people
       | are changing to remote work in large numbers.
       | 
       | The biggest driver of the increase in job changes is simply the
       | booming economy. We poured stimulus money into the economy at
       | unprecedented rates and this has created economic booms at every
       | level. Companies are scrambling to hire and wages reflect this,
       | so people are taking the opportunity to switch up their careers
       | and collect a pay bump.
       | 
       | Most of the business world appears to be snapping back to
       | business as normal at a rapid rate, but with a booming economy
       | pouring fuel on the fire. The media has been pushing narratives
       | that COVID changes everything and that we're entering a whole new
       | world, but aside from companies adding a little more flexibility
       | it seems most are eager to simply return to business as usual.
       | 
       | On the ground, I'm not seeing a massive shift toward remote work
       | like I keep reading about in these articles. Yes, there are
       | somewhat more remote jobs, but companies are largely eager to
       | return to in-office work. Even many employees I know are eager to
       | get back to the office because remote isn't for everyone.
        
         | adolph wrote:
         | > booming economy. We poured stimulus money
         | 
         | s/oom/ubl/
        
           | bdcravens wrote:
           | If you want to go with the "clever mic drop without
           | elaboration" it works better if there's no errors. You're
           | spelling "bubbling" wrong.
        
             | adolph wrote:
             | Thanks for the tip. I'm glad the spellin was close enough
             | for you to get the point.
        
         | lumberingjack wrote:
         | Remember the housing market boom right before the bubble popped
         | they propped it up with stimulus money everybody was like oh
         | wow this is great houses are such a low price...... You're
         | basically talking about the same thing there
        
           | mywittyname wrote:
           | No. I do remember people being like, 'holy shit, houses are
           | getting so expensive' in the years leading up to the bubble
           | popping. And knowing a few people stuck in their houses after
           | real estate agents convinced them to buy at way more than
           | market value.
           | 
           | What stimulus are you talking about? Mortgage rates were
           | laughably high by today's standards. Maybe the $600 bush tax
           | cut? I remember some first time home-buyers programs, but
           | those were largely in response to 2008.
        
             | danuker wrote:
             | I suspect it's the Fed injecting liquidity:
             | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS
        
       | lkrubner wrote:
       | Most couples take a second job to increase their standard of
       | living, but now millions were forced by the pandemic to reduce
       | their standard of living, and many are now saying "Wait, this
       | reduction in my standard of living is really an improvement in my
       | standard of living." That's especially true when some phase-shift
       | decision was made, like taking in roommates to one's apartment,
       | or moving back in with one's parents, suddenly one's expenses are
       | much lower, and one can think more carefully about what kind of
       | work one is willing to take.
        
       | toxik wrote:
       | Interesting shift but it's probably confined to the US. It seems
       | the US has been toughest on its lowest paid workers. Many if not
       | most other western countries already have extensive welfare
       | programs, with the benefits and ailments that it brings. This
       | means many low-paid jobs simply don't exist, e.g. bellhop,
       | elevator operators, etc, and that any work requiring employees is
       | much more expensive. The question is, can the US rein it in
       | again? I think so, sadly.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | lumberingjack wrote:
       | 30 years ago I realized the same thing and stop being a slave too
       | but the federal government is making it increasingly harder and
       | harder to own your own business every time I turn around some
       | entity with an alphabet name once a huge portion of money like
       | the EPA
        
       | iammisc wrote:
       | Let's hope it increases wages for the rest of us.
        
       | lordnacho wrote:
       | The first guy in the article is a dev. There's never been a
       | better time to find work as a dev. Jobs are handing out more
       | money with more flexibility than ever seen before. On top of it
       | all, if your firm wants people back in the office soon, now is
       | the time to do loads of remote interviews so that you can keep
       | being remote.
       | 
       | I was interviewing recently and almost everyone is at least
       | partly remote, with a huge number of 100% remote. Even people
       | that I know don't like the idea are bending and giving two or
       | three days remote.
       | 
       | On the restaurant-type work, I'd say a bunch of people have been
       | given a breather from the treadmill, and they're using it to look
       | around. I see this as mostly positive, but it does suggest that a
       | lot of people are completely swamped, working all the time,
       | spending everything. The little bit of credit they got from the
       | pandemic payment has unlocked a great reckoning with the labor
       | market. Previously if you didn't like your job, you were screwed.
       | Somehow find time to interview/upskill, or somehow jump the gap
       | with your savings.
        
         | beforeolives wrote:
         | > Jobs are handing out more money with more flexibility than
         | ever seen before.
         | 
         | I'm in the UK and not seeing any of this.
        
           | lordnacho wrote:
           | I'm in the UK too. But also remote means you can get a job
           | "based" anywhere. Check out some US firms for instance, many
           | are hiring and are happy with euro time zones.
        
             | DoingIsLearning wrote:
             | Is that your experience with US companies hiring at the
             | moment?
             | 
             | I never considered this type of roles before because it was
             | sort of a given in my head that they would want US based
             | candidates for taxation reasons.
             | 
             | Have you seen a big change regarding this, from US based
             | companies?
        
               | lordnacho wrote:
               | Yeah they'll just pay your private company, and you sort
               | out your own taxes.
               | 
               | I found there's loads and loads of US firms that are
               | happy to take Europe based candidates.
        
               | ixs wrote:
               | The US companies are hiring, just like everybody else.
               | 
               | Multi-nationals now seem to post most jobs as "remote"
               | which means global. A smaller number is "US-remote".
               | Usually this is not for tax reasons but for business or
               | security reasons if dealing with the US government.
               | 
               | Hiring remotely is easy for these companies as they
               | usually have a subsidiary already in country. But even if
               | not, there are now agencies that take care if things like
               | taxation etc. I believe remote.com might be the one most
               | known but it is certainly not the only one.
        
           | draw_down wrote:
           | Hilarious
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | wayoutthere wrote:
           | Y'all have Brexit to thank for that. All my clients relocated
           | any technical work they had in the UK to Poland or the
           | baltics.
        
             | DoingIsLearning wrote:
             | It's a bit of coup out to jump on the British where somehow
             | everything negative that happens is due to Brexit.
             | 
             | As counter anecdata, I am in the Netherlands and I am (now,
             | as much as before) receiving calls for job opportunities
             | from UK based recruiters. They are for the majority
             | concentrated around London, Oxbridge, Bristol, Manchester.
             | Depending on where GP is based in the UK, the landscape and
             | opportunities can be quite different.
             | 
             | Irrespective of the politics and bitter emotions, London's
             | VC funding scene is arguably the closest we have in Europe
             | to SV/Seattle/NY and it will continue to play a role in
             | making the UK relevant in the tech scene.
        
               | vanderZwan wrote:
               | The person you replied to wrote that all their clients _"
               | relocated any technical work they had in the UK to Poland
               | or the Baltics"_. That's not politics and bitter
               | emotions, that's sharing their own anecdotal data.
               | 
               | Of course, one could criticize generalizing based on that
               | one data point, but that's a different thing altogether.
        
               | the-dude wrote:
               | The comment you are commenting on literally(yes really)
               | starts with blaming Brexit.
               | 
               | How you can deny that is politics and bitter emotions is
               | literally beyond me.
        
               | vanderZwan wrote:
               | Saying that Brexit is the cause of something based on
               | one's experience with clients, expressed in a way that
               | suggests that it did not positively or negatively affect
               | themselves in any way, does not strike me as particularly
               | bitter, but suit yourself.
        
               | the-dude wrote:
               | It is phrased as 'it is your own fault' ( _Y 'all have to
               | thank_ ). How is that not bitter.
        
               | vanderZwan wrote:
               | First, nothing about "y'all have to thank" suggests that
               | they consider the person they are responding to
               | responsible for Brexit, which is a requirement for it to
               | imply that they are putting some sort of blame on the
               | person (or the collective group they represent).
               | 
               | But let's for the sake of it accept that "it's your own
               | fault" is what was meant by it anyway. That still doesn't
               | imply bitterness.
               | 
               | If parents explains to their child not to run with
               | scissors because they might hurt themselves, the child
               | does so anyway and ends up hurting themselves, and one of
               | the parents says in-between consoling their child "but do
               | you see how you only have yourself to blame for it, if
               | you decided to do this anyway after we warned you this
               | would happen?", then that might not be the most
               | considerate timing for sharing a harsh truth, but there's
               | nothing _bitter_ about the statement.
        
         | onion2k wrote:
         | _There 's never been a better time to find work as a dev._
         | 
         | There's a lot of jobs, but there's also a lot of work to do for
         | every application. Applying takes effort.
        
         | wreath wrote:
         | > Jobs are handing out more money with more flexibility than
         | ever seen before.
         | 
         | I may be naive, but I guess this office-work-exodus would
         | result to improvements in office spaces in general to attract
         | devs (or other employees in tech). This would also make it
         | easier for people who are looking to move to the US to find
         | office jobs, since the competition is less fierce. Am I off
         | mark here and too naive?
        
           | CoolGuySteve wrote:
           | It seems like every year there's a new study showing how
           | cubicle farms are bad for productivity and health. Everyone
           | hates them.
           | 
           | Same thing for long commutes, they're terrible.
           | 
           | But still companies keep building new cubicle farms in
           | downtown cores. Maybe office workers are just done with this
           | stupid shit.
        
             | praxulus wrote:
             | Downtown cores have the highest population density, and
             | thus the lowest average commute for a typical set of
             | workers distributed around a metro area.
        
               | asciimov wrote:
               | The largest groups that live in my metros downtown core
               | are, swaths of poor people who's crime ridden
               | neighborhoods have yet to gentrify, the insanely wealthy
               | who gentrified the best of the dilapidated old homes, and
               | young hipsters who live in condos.
               | 
               | For the most part (in my area), the only reason companies
               | have moved downtown is because the city has given them
               | sweetheart deals to be there. Meanwhile, hundreds of
               | thousands of workers commute into the downtown area,
               | because it's not a desirable place to live.
        
               | azemetre wrote:
               | I think this is vastly dependent on the state and the
               | "downtown." Where I live, Boston, it's mostly the upper
               | classes that live in and around the city. All the poor
               | people have been nearly priced out to the suburbs or even
               | other states (New Hampshire or Rhode Island).
               | 
               | Of course there are wealthy cities and suburbs, but if
               | you want a walkable commute within reason, <15 minutes,
               | you pay a premium.
        
               | fridif wrote:
               | Now imagine if your downtown core was "anywhere with an
               | internet connection"[1], and your commute time was "sub
               | 500ms".
               | 
               | [1] including Africa, the open ocean, space, Papua New
               | Guinea, a jail cell....
        
             | MattGaiser wrote:
             | I hated the cubicle until I worked in an open office. I
             | would be quite happy with a cubicle now.
        
             | umanwizard wrote:
             | I would _love_ to be in a cubicle farm rather than the
             | school-cafeteria-inspired open office dystopia.
        
               | acomjean wrote:
               | I miss office cubes. Last 2 jobs where in an open office.
               | Also while I haven't disliked my bosses, the last 3 I've
               | been seated less than 15 feet from them. Covid work from
               | home was a pretty nice break, and we're going hybrid from
               | now on.
        
               | mywittyname wrote:
               | Cubes done right are fine. I had "office cubes" with 6ft
               | tall walls and ~40sq ft of space, and they were awesome.
               | Plenty of space to stretch out, room for a bookshelf and
               | a chair for visitors, a computer desk and a writing desk.
               | 
               | Noise could be a little much, but people were generally
               | polite and quiet.
               | 
               | My next job was literally a desk in the middle of the
               | floor. All the prime employees had desks that went along
               | the edge of the wall, forming a horseshoe and, when they
               | ran out of room, they started putting desks in the
               | center. So i was basically working on a stage in front of
               | 40 people. It was awful, but I never slacked off! (well,
               | i went for walks a lot)
        
             | ahoy wrote:
             | I like working in an office, I just don't like that it
             | takes me 40 minutes to get there. In a better world I could
             | live _in_ that downtown core, a short walk or bike ride
             | away from work.
        
           | granshaw wrote:
           | What'd be really interesting is if some companies start
           | paying a premium for employees to be onsite. That might be
           | something I'd bite on
        
             | wreath wrote:
             | I have no issue with that tbh as long as conditions are
             | bearable (team room, flexible timing etc). I do prefer a
             | good office+colleagues over a good home office tbh.
        
             | aroundtown wrote:
             | That premium for me is going to be higher than they
             | imagine.
             | 
             | Among my coworkers I have an average commute time, and I
             | loose 10-12 hours a week driving to and from work. I figure
             | if I was being paid at my normal rate they'd need to pay me
             | between 25-45%[1] more money just to come in.
             | 
             | [1]- Used to be that workers weren't exempt from overtime
             | pay. At time and a half, 12 extra hours over 40 would be
             | the equivalent of 18 hours. That is 45% of a normal 40 hour
             | work week. (10 hours at non-overtime pay is 25% of the work
             | week)
        
           | notsureaboutpg wrote:
           | First part wrong. Doesn't make any sense to try to improve an
           | office to attract devs when so many devs are leaving the
           | office. Office space improvements would be expensive right
           | now due to various factors: labor shortage, materials
           | inflation, etc. Plus the cheaper move is to snap up fancier
           | existing office spaces since offices are in lower demand now,
           | thus the price of existing ones will have decreased.
           | 
           | Second part you have a point. This is the best time to move
           | to the US on an H1B. If you're an int'l student, this is the
           | time to look for that office job that will hold you till a
           | green card.
        
           | MisterBastahrd wrote:
           | Most people would be happier in offices with a door. Managers
           | have decided that THEIR work is the only work that requires
           | privacy and quiet.
           | 
           | Employees often equate their own job satisfaction by the
           | differences between how their managers treat themselves
           | versus how they treat the people under them. When you have
           | your own office with a door and a white board and have a
           | company card to expense your meals while your devs are
           | working with their headphones on because of the noise level
           | in their cubicles, you're going to have a problem.
        
       | abgfm wrote:
       | I was into FIRE movement until I realized that i cannot retire
       | until I am about 60 (42 now). A big meh moment. Thus new goal is
       | that in about 5yrs to be able to work max 3 days per week, remote
       | or not (though highly biased towards remote). Even if that means
       | switching careers Product to Dev (re)learning, etc, I'd be fine
       | with it. + Frugal living, of course, i did all the grind +
       | material accumulations, as result of hard work + career advaces
       | in tech + wife in marcom. I find it that 3 days work vs 4 days
       | for life is a good balance (self time, raising kids, travel, the
       | whole set). The big economy sistem should support in general more
       | flexible methods of earning a living.
        
       | vincentmarle wrote:
       | This is admirable but the truth is that these jobs will not
       | disappear, they will simply be outsourced abroad. There's swaths
       | of competent people abroad that are happy to take your (overpaid)
       | place and the major shift to remote work tools has made it all
       | the easier to blend in your team even if they're working from
       | another country. On top of this, foreign workers usually get paid
       | 1/3 of the American salary, so the employers are extra
       | incentivized to outsource these jobs.
        
         | kaycebasques wrote:
         | The first counterargument that comes to my mind is timezones. I
         | was on a team distributed across San Francisco, New York,
         | London, Munich, Australia, Tokyo. Not being able to schedule a
         | meeting time that works for everyone was a neverending source
         | of friction and frustration. In other words while I don't
         | disagree that there is a lot more work that can be outsourced,
         | perhaps we will reach the limit earlier than you expect.
        
           | AlgorithmicTime wrote:
           | Timezones arguably benefit some places that require a 24/7
           | coverage schedule.
        
           | bluedino wrote:
           | Doesn't matter. I'm not sure what time it is in India, the
           | Philippines, or the Czech Republic, but the support teams
           | answer the phone between 8am and 5pm our time.
        
           | beckingz wrote:
           | One growing trend in the US is outsourcing to South America.
           | Lots of great value developers down there in the same
           | timezone.
           | 
           | The second issue that still comes up is communication and
           | culture. Successful cross cultural communication requires
           | more clarity in messaging and tasks. It can work and can work
           | well and deliver good quality at great prices, but the
           | obvious savings are partially offset by the higher
           | communication and management costs. Sometimes more than fully
           | offset.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | TexanFeller wrote:
           | There are tons of competent developers in Central and South
           | America in time zones close to the US. The language/accent
           | barriers as well as cultural differences are much less than
           | say India IMHO. On average the folks I've worked with haven't
           | been as good as US staff, but I bet the gap could close
           | quickly.
        
         | FredPret wrote:
         | I'm from the third world and have moved to the west, so I have
         | experience of working in both environments and with both sets
         | of people.
         | 
         | The difference in pay is not just due to proximity and will
         | likely persist to some degree.
        
         | _dibly wrote:
         | From reading the article it seems like the job areas getting
         | hit the hardest would be low level hospitality jobs and on-site
         | jobs with little to no remote opportunity. I imagine those
         | would be the hardest positions to outsource. People quitting
         | their job at McDonalds are in more danger of losing their job
         | to a high school dropout than a foreign agent.
        
         | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
         | We'll have to see how that works out in the aggregate.
         | 
         | Here in the US, we pretty much outsourced our manufacturing to
         | China.
         | 
         | This has always been the case (since after WWII), but this
         | time, we did it to such an extent, that we have destroyed our
         | domestic manufacturing infrastructure.
         | 
         | A number of folks made a _lot_ of money on this, but a much
         | larger number of folks have really taken it in the shorts.
         | Arguably, a lot of the troubles we 've had, over the last
         | decade, have found a root cause in this.
         | 
         | It's no secret. Pretty much everyone knows this, but the will
         | to do something about it is weak.
         | 
         | It's been my experience, that when the pain gets great enough,
         | the change will come. That's not always a good thing. Change
         | like that, more often resembles an amputation, as opposed to a
         | disinfectant swab and some stitches.
        
           | mjburgess wrote:
           | This narrative is largely false. Both because nothing was
           | "outsourced" and because american manufacturing is at an all
           | time high.
           | 
           | Automation ended the vast majority of high-labour
           | manufacturing. What was left was only economical to do
           | without automation at extremely low labour costs.
           | 
           | In the next decade, china itself will see large segments of
           | its manufacturing labour gone to automation.
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | Yes and no. It depends on what is being manufactured. We
             | manufacture big, expensive things. I have friends that run
             | Garment District companies, and they are pretty much a
             | Bellwether for this kind of thing.
             | 
             |  _> In the next decade, china itself will see large
             | segments of its manufacturing labour gone to automation._
             | 
             | I agree. It will be slower than Japan and Korea, because
             | China has a much larger population of poor folks that will
             | work 996, but, one day, we will see a very different China.
             | 
             | It will be a consumer powerhouse. If you think America is a
             | consumeristic society, just wait until China becomes mostly
             | middle-class. There's a reason why so many corporations are
             | abasing themselves so much for entry into the Chinese
             | market.
        
               | seanmcdirmid wrote:
               | China is hitting a demographic wall, so the changes will
               | happen much faster than many expect. 996 is more of a
               | tech worker thing, not lower skilled manufacturing labor.
        
               | mjburgess wrote:
               | I suspect, based on a type of ecological-thermodynamic
               | reasoning, that china will never be middle class.
               | 
               | I think the "global class structure" we have today might
               | be the peak of history.
               | 
               | The relevant calculation:
               | 
               | Annual US Energy Consumption per Capia: 7,000 kg oil
               | equivalent. China: 2,000 kg.
               | 
               | So you're looking at +5,000kg per capita * 1.4bn people
               | _annual_.
               | 
               | So you'll need to add that energy capacity to the world,
               | ie., a c. 10 trillion kg oil eqv. -- it's not clear we
               | can do this.
        
               | username90 wrote:
               | Germany is 3,800 kg oil equivalent, USA is a huge
               | outliner on this. China reaching Europes level isn't that
               | infeasible.
        
               | mjburgess wrote:
               | I think there's something here about how dense countries
               | are. I believe most of the reason the US looks higher is
               | the extremely low density and correspondingly high
               | transportation/communication/etc. costs.
               | 
               | I'm not sure how to factor density into this.
        
               | refurb wrote:
               | I'm wondering about that too but for another reason - the
               | aging population. There are article in Asian about "China
               | getting old before it gets rich".
               | 
               | Basically the small group of younger workers are going to
               | have their wealth siphoned off to support the much larger
               | older population who doesn't have financial means to
               | support themselves. Not a big deal when it's 5 workers to
               | one retired. Huge deal when it's 2 to 1.
               | 
               | The expectation is that will stall growth for decades.
               | China will be richer, but stuck in a lower income range
               | until they come out the other side.
               | 
               | It's an interesting theory.
        
               | boomlinde wrote:
               | This doesn't look at the potential causes for high energy
               | use. The geographical and infrastructural conditions of
               | the US don't necessarily apply elsewhere.
        
               | cableshaft wrote:
               | Oh, we'll do it. And then everyone will die off or be
               | living near the Arctic Circle or in Antartica. But by
               | golly, we'll get it done.
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | > Nothing was 'outsourced'.
             | 
             | What do Foxconn and TSMC (and 100s of others) _do_ then?
             | 
             | * - first relevant factory operations in 1988 and 1987,
             | respectively.
        
           | throwaway6734 wrote:
           | >his has always been the case (since after WWII), but this
           | time, we did it to such an extent, that we have destroyed our
           | domestic manufacturing infrastructure.
           | 
           | Is this true? I am under the impression that the US still has
           | loads of high end manufacturing, it's just the low end stuff
           | that no longer exists and even then it's partially due to
           | automation
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | _> high end manufacturing_
             | 
             | Exactly. High end has higher margins, and a simpler
             | distribution chain.
             | 
             | It isn't worth it to do the small stuff here, but the small
             | stuff is a really big deal. There are many American
             | households that have nothing made in the USA. China knows
             | this quite well.
        
         | wil421 wrote:
         | People have been saying this since I was in high school post
         | dot com bubble burst.
         | 
         | "Don't get into IT or software development it's all going to be
         | outsourced."
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | u678u wrote:
           | Its true though. 75% of my IT dept are outsourcers - or those
           | who used to work for such companies.
        
           | cwkoss wrote:
           | In my experience, outsourced code is almost always harder to
           | maintain and I haven't seen example of successful outsourcing
           | of ongoing code maintenance.
           | 
           | I'm sure there's a lot of variance, but I don't think
           | "outsourced everything" will be practical for most software
           | businesses that place importance on quality of service.
           | 
           | Outsourcing can be great for developing a green-field new
           | initiative, but at some point the in house folks are going to
           | need to learn the new codebase so they can fix bugs, scale,
           | and keep the lights on.
        
           | vsskanth wrote:
           | The software field expanded so much that there is a massive
           | need for both in-house developers for tech firms and
           | outsourcing for traditional businesses with legacy systems
           | like banks, insurance etc.
        
           | jason0597 wrote:
           | Outsourcing is not exclusive to India. What if they outsource
           | to Italy? Spain? Ukraine? Greece? Hell even Germany.
           | 
           | All of those places have salaries that are a fraction of the
           | typical US salary. US salaries are incredibly ridiculous on
           | the global stage. And all of those places with actually good
           | developers
        
             | Apocryphon wrote:
             | Then why hasn't this been happening in significant amounts
             | to impact the U.S. software job market in the past thirty
             | years?
        
         | mehphp wrote:
         | > There's swaths of competent people abroad that are happy to
         | take your (overpaid) place
         | 
         | How is it overpaid? Engineers provide a lot more value than
         | they are getting paid. If anything, people abroad are
         | underpaid.
        
           | willis936 wrote:
           | The answer is bigger than the question. Almost everyone in
           | the West is overpaid because Western Society reaps the
           | benefits of an underpaid working class on another continent.
           | Out of sight, out of mind.
        
             | bradlys wrote:
             | I don't know if the west is overpaid or if it's just that
             | the people outside the west are underpaid. I think it's
             | more likely the latter.
             | 
             |  _Both_ can be underpaid, ya know?
        
             | TheCoelacanth wrote:
             | I think it's less that some people are overpaid and more
             | that some goods are too cheap (mostly the goods that the
             | West has stopped producing in favor of outsourcing to
             | underpaid working class on another continent).
        
           | granshaw wrote:
           | I'm on a slack channel with other startup founders and just
           | this week I was seeing chatter about how asking rates for
           | Eastern EU devs were skyrocketing lately
        
         | wayoutthere wrote:
         | Yeah, the offshoring boom is over. Everyone is bringing those
         | roles back to the US. The communication, cultural and skill
         | gaps are too great and costs aren't that much lower anymore.
         | Anyone who has worked on virtual teams will back up how much
         | less productive things are when having to juggle time zones
         | even between the east and west coast of the US, much less
         | different countries without overlapping work hours.
         | 
         | Nobody wants to offshore to India anymore because the business
         | culture at the big body shops is totally unethical by western
         | standards and there's just an expectation of getting swindled
         | on QoS; so people only ship low-value jobs like customer
         | service over there. And even those are moving to South America
         | for time zone reasons (and the business culture more closely
         | aligns with the US).
        
         | notsureaboutpg wrote:
         | It's really hard to outsource middle management and executive
         | roles, which are the next step for most dev roles. So the
         | outsourcing effect has lots of limitations.
         | 
         | I welcome outsourcing though. I do quality work and know what
         | it's worth and can advocate for myself. Any foreign worker who
         | can do the same is welcome.
        
         | dudul wrote:
         | This was attempted in the 2000s and it was a massive disaster.
        
           | username90 wrote:
           | China in 2000 and China in 2021 is like night and day in
           | terms of standard of living, education etc. Just because it
           | didn't work back then doesn't mean it wont work today.
        
             | dudul wrote:
             | The massive outsourcing experiment failure had nothing to
             | do with standard of living or education. It was the
             | combination of timezones and cultural differences.
             | 
             | Turns out cultural differences around work, communication,
             | etc between the US and India/China are pretty massive. I
             | seriously doubt that these went away in 2 decades.
             | 
             | Also, your argument around standard of living and education
             | would actually be more proof that outsourcing would not
             | work. It is no longer as financially beneficial.
             | 
             | That being said, you're also right, past failure doesn't
             | mean that it can't ever be successful in the future.
        
               | jason0597 wrote:
               | But India/China are not the only places where you can
               | outsource to.
               | 
               | What about France? Minimal cultural differences, and you
               | still get massive savings when it comes to paying
               | salaries.
        
               | dudul wrote:
               | You absolutely do not save anything by outsourcing from
               | the US to France. And cultural differences are there too.
               | That was probably the worst possible example in the EU
               | :-)
               | 
               | That being said, yes there are other options. Eastern
               | Europe is more and more popular for outsourcing, so is
               | South America. Honestly, I'm maybe dead wrong but when I
               | compare the mentality two decades ago (ie let's minimize
               | cost by any means, who cares who writes the code? it's
               | just code) and today, I truly see an equivalent to the
               | "not invented here" syndrome.
        
               | jason0597 wrote:
               | Hmm. US salaries are $100k or more. French salaries are
               | in the range of EUR30k-EUR45k, is that not savings?
               | 
               | Unless I'm wrong somewhere
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | quaffapint wrote:
       | Im a senior dev in the US and my company just said we have to
       | come back full time in the office. This is even after we've had
       | record revenue months.
       | 
       | I would be totally fine with hybrid, but they said they
       | investigated that and decided against it (don't know why). I'm
       | looking around at my alternatives, but the pay is just not there
       | for both hybrid and remote. So I dont know where all this demand
       | is, unless it's the same demand that's always there when they
       | won't pay people anything. I may end up taking a pay cut just to
       | do hybrid/remote which is really sad, but my well being may be
       | worth it.
        
         | shdh wrote:
         | What's your salary range?
        
       | BTCOG wrote:
       | Clickbait stub article. You aren't "quitting" by laterally moving
       | from one slave job for an employer into another one remotely.
       | Now, you're just enslaved in your own home! I've been working
       | remotely for nearly 2 years now and work FAR more lately from
       | home than the office. Quitting, the way that all these articles
       | are making it sound would be changing your way of life. Quitting
       | an office dev job to start working for another employer with
       | deadlines and the same dev work from home really isn't quitting
       | and it's just moving laterally into the same job.
        
       | samsquire wrote:
       | All the power to them!
       | 
       | I think society has to invent new kinds of work* or introduce
       | UBI. There's too many people toiling away in low wage jobs which
       | will never escape and will have to work until 68.
       | 
       | You would have thought that a job that nobody wants to do would
       | pay more than one that is cushy.
       | 
       | * Getting rid of manufacturing has gotten rid of a huge amount of
       | jobs that provided stability to our economies. Now all our
       | economies are service economies. We can't all be shopkeepers.
       | What are people meant to do with their lives?
       | 
       | Life is more important than work. I'd like to see labour have
       | more leverage over capital.
        
         | ianai wrote:
         | I think a suspicion is that UBI could help transition the
         | market from being intimately dependent upon positive growth to
         | stasis. Though I also have to question whether that's needed
         | when there's so much inequality. Definitely, equality would
         | bring more energy and resource use...then there's the
         | developing parts of the world.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | eric4smith wrote:
       | Fantastic opportunity for more automation and labor saving
       | software innovation.
       | 
       | Also fantastic opportunity to make more money for those who
       | continue to work. Salaries for them could be higher.
       | 
       | Great for offshore workers especially in tourism countries that
       | suffered big decline too!
       | 
       | Not against the guys who want to take a break at all.
       | 
       | It's just a good opportunity. Just as it was during the pandemic
       | when people took the time to learn new stuff.
        
       | amyjess wrote:
       | I quit my job because my company wanted us to go back to the
       | office 3 days a week. Funny thing is, my last day ended up being
       | two days before my fifth anniversary at the old place. Longest
       | job I ever stayed at, and I'd still be there if upper management
       | didn't decide they valued keeping us where we can be monitored
       | and controlled 24/7 over our actual mental health.
       | 
       | I found a new position that pays _way_ more than my old one and
       | is fully remote. I was even told by the recruiter that I could be
       | a digital nomad and travel wherever, bring my company laptop with
       | me, work during the day, and explore whatever city I 'm in at
       | night.
       | 
       | Not having to commute during the pandemic has done wonders for my
       | mental health, and I simply can't go back to working in an
       | office. If I couldn't find an all-remote position, I would've
       | just quit my job, broken my lease, moved back in with my mom, and
       | lived like a bum in her spare room.
       | 
       | Funny thing is, my boss actually fought for us. He knew most of
       | us were going to quit if we had to go back, so he fought like
       | hell with upper management and HR to negotiate an exception for
       | the team. The day I got my offer at the new place was the day he
       | told us he got an exception where we'd be allowed to work from
       | home most of the time (except for monthly one-on-ones and
       | biweekly meetings with an internal customer). I still took the
       | offer though (and I've already started the new job), because a)
       | it pays so much more than the old job, b) I have a senior title
       | now, c) fully remote 100% of the time plus being able to be a
       | digital nomad is better than having to go in for certain meetings
       | and not being allowed to leave the metro area, and d) I was told
       | that, at the old company, if any of our performance was found to
       | be insufficient we could be pulled back into the office as a
       | punishment at any time, which just screams "trap" to me.
        
         | draw_down wrote:
         | Isn't it funny how employers want to play these games where
         | they offer you 20% of what you're asking for when you can go
         | out and get so much more? It's like they're daring you to quit.
         | Then they complain they can't find talent. Same as it ever was.
        
       | rossdavidh wrote:
       | I have often worked remotely for years, but...I'm a
       | contractor/consultant, and a programmer. I am unemployed several
       | months out of the year, typically, and I am always intentionally
       | short-to-medium term where I work.
       | 
       | I fear that many of the people demanding remote work now, will be
       | surprised when (not if) the first layoffs come, and they find out
       | that the person who's in the office every day is more awkward to
       | fire than the remote person. Me, I'm always temporary, so I know
       | this and am ok with it. I fear many of the people looking for
       | remote work now think it will be just like office work, except
       | they get to work at home. It's not. It's a much more tenuous
       | relationship with your employer, and you have to always assume
       | (e.g. in your budget) that you can/will lose your paycheck with
       | little or no notice. If you're ok with that kind of perpetual
       | instability, great, but I'm not sure most of the people looking
       | for remote work now are aware of this tradeoff.
        
         | disease wrote:
         | In my admittedly anecdotal experience, it's been a very long
         | time since employers have had the luxury to be able to layoff
         | software engineers.
        
           | bradlys wrote:
           | Weird. I've seen it at almost every job I've had. Layoffs -
           | not just firings.
        
           | aroundtown wrote:
           | I've been laid off more times due to outsourcing than I'd
           | like to admit.
        
         | kingsuper20 wrote:
         | Best point here.
         | 
         | WFH is a hybrid between employee and contractor.
        
           | timbit42 wrote:
           | Expendable wage slave.
        
       | danuker wrote:
       | Millions of people figured out they work to live, not live to
       | work.
        
       | dougmwne wrote:
       | 5 years ago I hit a burnout point and took a year off work. It
       | was a huge perspective shift. I realized that my day-to-day of a
       | rushed commute to work, a stressful and distracting office,
       | thimble-deep coworker relationships and a life completely
       | orientated around doing the above was an insane waste of my short
       | time on Planet Earth. I reoriented my life around family, remote
       | work, flexibility and balance. My quality of life has hugely
       | improved and there is no turning back the clock.
       | 
       | When I saw what the pandemic was doing to nearly every
       | professional office worker, I figured it was just a matter of
       | time before the resignations started flooding in. Everyone had a
       | whole year "pause" to reevaluate if their lives were organized
       | around their goals, and for millions, the answer was no. There's
       | no putting this genie back in the bottle.
        
         | deegles wrote:
         | "Is your life organized around your goals?"
         | 
         | What a powerful question and distillation of what society is
         | facing. I will think about this.
        
         | Terretta wrote:
         | > _Everyone_
         | 
         | As we subconsciously blend anecdata from HN into our mental
         | models, remember that we self-selecting to visit here
         | commenting are already extreme outliers.
         | 
         | Weight our in(group)sights accordingly.
        
           | Agenttin wrote:
           | We are probably the people this article applies best to. I
           | know I'm reading it in my boxers.
        
         | suketk wrote:
         | I had the same experience [0]. The tunnel vision from work is
         | so strong, that you forget about what's really important. Now,
         | the office feels like a past life - I do not miss the commute,
         | unnecessary meetings or facade of comradery. Ideally I don't
         | have ever to go back to work, but even if I do the perspective
         | shift has made sure I'll do it in a more balanced way next
         | time.
         | 
         | [0] https://suketk.com/why-i-quit-google
        
           | kaycebasques wrote:
           | I wrote a similar blog post [1] about why I'm taking a
           | sabbatical and it's really fascinating to compare
           | motivations.
           | 
           | > My thesis is that if I focus on enjoying the journey,
           | everything else will follow.
           | 
           | I wrote:
           | 
           | > I don't have a single big project in mind for my
           | sabbatical... I do have a single overarching theme, however:
           | joie de vivre. Everything that I do, even the mundane stuff
           | (especially the mundane stuff), I'm going to focus on
           | enjoying it fully. How you do anything is how you do
           | everything, as the Buddhists say. I have come to believe that
           | the person who can enjoy whatever they're doing and make that
           | joy contagious will actually end up accomplishing the most.
           | Yet even if I don't accomplish anything, I'll still be
           | joyful, so what would it matter anyways?
           | 
           | [1] https://kayce.basqu.es/sabbatical/prologue
        
             | carlgreene wrote:
             | Im interested to hear how that goal worked out
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | > I figured it was just a matter of time before the
         | resignations started flooding in
         | 
         | The headline and the anecdote in the opening paragraph of the
         | article are somewhat misleading. The statistics about millions
         | of people resigning aren't from people choosing to leave the
         | workforce or take sabbaticals.
         | 
         | It's mostly people who are simply changing jobs due to the
         | booming economy creating new opportunities and hiring pressure.
         | Millions sounds like a big number, but in a country with
         | hundreds of millions of people it's only a couple percent of
         | the workforce. Even during normal times, a million or more
         | people resign according to these statistics, again mostly to
         | change jobs.
         | 
         | To put it in perspective: The normal turnover rate is in the
         | 1-2% range (monthly) and the current post-COVID spike is in the
         | 2-3% range, which is consistent with a booming economy. That
         | means only about an additional 1% of workers are choosing to
         | change jobs each month, which isn't exactly the upheaval this
         | article makes it sound like.
        
           | iNane9000 wrote:
           | Similar to recent treatment of the housing boom in the media.
           | People couldn't afford homes before the pandemic so it's
           | unlikely they can now. The current market frenzy is what you
           | expect with people moving. It's not an increase in wealth of
           | housing supply. It's also heavily driven by speculation from
           | large institutions who are capitalizing on restricted housing
           | supply and rapid inflation. What it is not is some new era
           | where everyone can now afford to buy a home or quit work for
           | a year.
        
           | mgkimsal wrote:
           | > The normal turnover rate is in the 1-2% range (monthly) and
           | the current post-COVID spike is in the 2-3% range, ... That
           | means only about an additional 1% of workers ...
           | 
           | It's also 50% more workers, if I'm reading that right, which
           | seems like it's potentially a big swing/change.
        
           | haswell wrote:
           | Two thoughts:
           | 
           | 1. Even though the economy may be booming, that doesn't have
           | to mean job changes aren't also driven by re-evaluation of
           | priorities. The two may be complementary.
           | 
           | 2. I think we've only seen the tip of the iceberg. I work
           | with multiple people all in the process of looking for new
           | roles. People that I would not have expected to leave -
           | "heart of the team" kinds of people. This is after 4-5 devs
           | (in a department of ~60) already made the choice to leave for
           | other opportunities in the past few months.
           | 
           | Some relevant details: large SV-based SaaS with excellent
           | financials, regarded as a good place to work, etc.
        
             | subsubzero wrote:
             | I think well paid workers may even leave in higher numbers,
             | I am thinking of quiting myself after having a horrific
             | year working almost nonstop with my Wife also working as
             | well. Couple that with a child being forced inside and its
             | been a complete nightmare. 2021 has been even more
             | stressful as the company is piling new projects and
             | initiatives ever higher. I may quit by summers end and I
             | expect an avalanche of resignations as well as burnout
             | reaches epic proportions.
        
               | cableshaft wrote:
               | Yep, suddenly all the projects are back but not the
               | hiring to go with them, and I was already stressed and
               | doing multiple former employees' jobs and underpaid in a
               | hot developer market, so...why should I stick around any
               | longer?
               | 
               | Currently interviewing with several recruiters. One will
               | definitely give me a higher salary than I can expect from
               | my company, if they ever decided to give raises again
               | (this year's annual review came and went and other than
               | having me fill out a self-eval four months ago and
               | hearing nothing since).
               | 
               | I even kept quiet in meetings for upcoming projects
               | recently where I was told by other people in the company
               | "You better not leave, we need you for this!" Not my
               | problem they don't have "Hit by a Bus" redundancy in
               | place.
        
             | changingtalk wrote:
             | > I work with multiple people all in the process of looking
             | for new roles.
             | 
             | I also am noticing this around me.
             | 
             | Years ago I did the startup thing for 5 years, grinding
             | really hard for someone else (mainly investors) to make a
             | ton of money. Burned myself out, quit with no plans, and
             | ended up consulting as a freelance dev from then on.
             | Realized I'm much happier with this arrangement, with the
             | ability to take months off and travel if I want. I could
             | make more money at a large corporation, or if I didn't take
             | so much time off, but honestly I'm much happier.
             | 
             | That's all to say, today I have two separate coffee dates
             | with engineers at my client's company, both wanting to ask
             | me about how they can do the same thing as me. One is a
             | senior engineer that leads a department. The other is a
             | very talented engineer. These are not the only people that
             | have approached me wanting to setup time to talk about the
             | same thing. This is at an SF based company that seems to
             | really respect their engineer's time, provides high
             | salaries, interesting work, etc.
             | 
             | I get the sense that at least for this niche of highly
             | skilled, highly paid, in demand roles people are wanting to
             | trade for more free time in their lives. I totally don't
             | blame them, as it's what I found myself moving to 7 or so
             | years ago.
        
         | srackey wrote:
         | And also anecdotally, every professional office worker under
         | ~30 I know has been absolutely miserable during this remote
         | work experience, and is yearning to get back to the office -
         | most for a full 5 days a week.
        
           | gambiting wrote:
           | Anecdotally - I'm 30(just), I'm leading a team of people
           | under 30, and everyone is saying that they cannot imagine
           | ever working in the office again. Our company announced they
           | will expect people to come in for at least 2 days a week from
           | September and we're extremely unhhappy about it. If I get an
           | offer for full remote from someone I can't say I won't be
           | tempted.
        
           | rpmisms wrote:
           | I'm quite definitely under 30, and I just quit in order to
           | stay remote. I'm so much more relaxed, and I can spend actual
           | quality time with my wife and friends. I'm not sure why
           | anyone would want to go back.
        
             | foobarian wrote:
             | I'll wager a guess that a lot of those other "under 30"
             | cases were people living with 3 other jerk roommates who
             | used to just come home to sleep but now had to put up with
             | each other for a whole year.
        
               | rpmisms wrote:
               | Yeah, if I were single and living in a Big City(tm), I'd
               | be desperate to be in an office again, too.
        
               | Agenttin wrote:
               | Oddly, this has become an environment where something
               | like WeWork could actually make sense. I might like to
               | have a workspace without any coworkers.
        
               | rpmisms wrote:
               | There's plenty of shared workspaces in many cities.
               | WeWork just leveraged some workspaces into an absolutely
               | comical valuation.
        
             | jghn wrote:
             | Yeah I suspect the real connection are people who look to
             | depend on the office culture to provide a key part of their
             | social interaction. In some cases that will track with age,
             | but not always.
        
               | rpmisms wrote:
               | I mean, I like my coworkers well enough, but I'm a
               | redneck at heart. I'm never going to actually fit in with
               | the yuppies.
        
               | joejerryronnie wrote:
               | I quite enjoyed showing up to my big tech parking lot in
               | the F250. Nobody knew quite what to make of me.
        
           | dmitrygr wrote:
           | You kidding? I loved this pandemic so much, i want to marry
           | it and have children with it!
           | 
           | No pointless work "morale events"; no wasting hours a day on
           | commute; ability to do something useful while a build is
           | building, like putting in a load of laundry instead of just
           | reading HN while waiting; and spending a lot more time with
           | my GF as she is also WFHing.
           | 
           | I suspect you are speaking only about people who are
           | unable/unwilling to put effort into the "life" part of "work-
           | life balance" and thus depend on the "work" part to give them
           | what "life" gives to all others:
           | companionship/friendship/fun/purpose
        
           | lm28469 wrote:
           | > every professional office worker under ~30 I know has been
           | absolutely miserable during this remote work experience
           | 
           | I mean, we've been through major lockdowns/curfews/personal
           | freedom restrictions, lots of people got sick, lots of people
           | died, most non digital entertainment ceased to exist, most
           | sports couldn't be practiced...
           | 
           | imho you can't pin point "remote work" as the main cause of
           | why people felt miserable in the last few months
        
             | lovegoblin wrote:
             | Yeah. I've been 100% remote for several years - and while I
             | personally love it overall I know it's not for everyone -
             | but I really can't emphasize enough that _pandemic remote
             | work is not normal remote work._
        
           | PragmaticPulp wrote:
           | I'm seeing similar sentiment among my peers.
           | 
           | Even some of the people who thought they wanted remote work
           | are realizing it's not always as fun as it sounds.
           | 
           | We read a lot of headlines about how the future is remote
           | work and the HN bubble is full of people claiming they're
           | never going back from remote work, but I'm not seeing a huge
           | shift toward remote work in actual job listings.
           | 
           | I worked remote pre-COVID. It anything, it feels harder to
           | even land interviews for the few remote job opportunities
           | because so many people are competing for a similar small
           | number of remote jobs now.
        
             | Apocryphon wrote:
             | 1. Depends if the large companies who have committed to
             | indefinite remote work will stay true to that policy. Then
             | you'll still have a great deal of remote positions.
             | 
             | 2. Those peers and their companies usually have had remote
             | work forced upon them. See what it's like in a less
             | traumatic time when people can work out of cafes and public
             | spaces, maskless.
        
           | decafninja wrote:
           | I wonder if there are regional issues at play too.
           | 
           | My office is in Manhattan. It's been my observation that few
           | people that work in Manhattan actually live in Manhattan.
           | Nearly everyone I know of dreads having to go back to the
           | office, and one of the primary reasons is because of the
           | nightmare commute into the island of Manhattan via the
           | various clogged up chokepoints.
        
           | jghn wrote:
           | My own anecdote tracks. Never thought about the age
           | correlation but most of my team are early 30s and younger.
           | That group has been very negative about the remote
           | experience. I'm much older and while I didn't like it at
           | first, I'm in the camp of people who don't ever want to go
           | back to an office. The people who are in between age-wise are
           | a bit of a mix.
        
             | spfzero wrote:
             | I think it may be stressful to feel that unless you're in
             | the office being noticed, you have to create a lot of
             | little things to do which are visible on-line. Especially
             | if you are new and don't have a long well-known history of
             | being reliable and self-motivated.
        
             | tomkat0789 wrote:
             | Possible reason from my own anecdata: I joined a new
             | company in a new industry in the middle of the pandemic. I
             | definitely prefer working remotely (I'm just past 30), but
             | as a new hire I felt some disadvantages.
             | 
             | Mainly: my co-workers who have been at the company longer
             | than I weren't very helpful with onboarding me! We're a
             | little company, so documentation of a bunch of our software
             | is non-existent and the specialized hardware setup we have
             | has a lot of quirks I had to slowly teach myself the last
             | year. I'd hit lots of problems that'd take 5 seconds of
             | their time to diagnose and fix and I'd end up stuck for
             | over an hour while waiting for them to answer a Slack
             | message - or they'd randomly drop offline.
             | 
             | So there I am, working in my bedroom in a new job wondering
             | if I'm a needy little snowflake not digging hard enough or
             | whether the people I work with are just unhelpful
             | because... reasons (still haven't met them in-person since
             | my pre-pandemic interview). After a year I think it really
             | is the latter, but it made me grumpy my early months here.
             | 
             | That could be a possible source of resentment from newer,
             | younger employees. Set us up for success!
             | 
             | I still prefer working from home, but I did commute to the
             | office for a happy hour recently. It was nice to randomly
             | get coffee with the CTO in the morning and hang out with
             | new friends in the evening - none of the "unhelpful" people
             | showed up! :P
        
           | HarryHirsch wrote:
           | That's baffling, haven't people got friends?
        
             | aoifjaslfivjcam wrote:
             | Not since covid, no.
             | 
             | Some of us have been stuck in single rooms with no family
             | or social contact for over a year.
             | 
             | Exercise groups - Illegal meeting up with other people -
             | Illegal dating - Illegal going outside without a valid
             | reason - Illegal
             | 
             | Former friends with established families and large
             | properties with gardens berate you for complaining, as its
             | selfish, "people are dying!", but they travel for holidays,
             | take their kids to stay with their parents so they can have
             | a weekend getting drunk in their garden, etc that sort of
             | thing. Not friends anymore.
             | 
             | Also most people who I considered friends before, it turns
             | out are just acquaintances. People I've known for 10-15
             | years who it turns out don't care about my wellbeing, just
             | see me as a guy they did activity X with, went to events
             | with, etc. A whole lot of that. Also lots of people do not
             | like the fact that I questioned the rationale for the
             | lockdown measures, questioned the data ( as in wanted to
             | know what the actual data was), etc. They did not like it
             | AT ALL.
             | 
             | Now restrictions might be lifting in the future, I am faced
             | with the situation of being without a social circle. A
             | social life of nothing. The only people I speak to are my
             | colleagues, and that's how it's been for quite some time.
             | Again I emphasize that it has been illegal to even try to
             | change that, and socially taboo enough to question this and
             | say that this is making me miserable as fuck that any
             | existing friends have abandoned me, lots of blocked
             | contacts on whatsapp (there's this impression amongst many
             | that questioning the lockdowns, asking for data, saying
             | this is not good you personally makes me a republican
             | conspiracy theorist nutcase, etc).
             | 
             | How do I rebuild a new life when my ability to trust other
             | people is lower than I ever thought it could be?
             | 
             | I have no family to lean on for support.
             | 
             | As far as I am concerned I might as well be a secret Jew in
             | 1944 Berlin for the level of trust I have for other people
             | now.
        
               | wing-_-nuts wrote:
               | >Also lots of people do not like the fact that I
               | questioned the rationale for the lockdown measures,
               | questioned the data ( as in wanted to know what the
               | actual data was), etc. They did not like it AT ALL.
               | 
               | >As far as I am concerned I might as well be a secret Jew
               | in 1944 Berlin for the level of trust I have for other
               | people now.
               | 
               | Holy persecution complex, batman!
               | 
               | Millions were dying and being asked to wear a mask,
               | social distance and wash your hands was too much of a
               | sacrifice for you? You may want to take a hard look at
               | yourself.
        
               | cloverich wrote:
               | I don't think its right to downplay another persons
               | suffering. We are social creatures and many people were
               | put into situations that both actually isolated them
               | while revealing the shallowness of their suposed support
               | networks all at once. That's more or less what this
               | person is explaining / venting about and it. I don't know
               | if you've ever been isolated and / or lonely, but once
               | you are you realize it is not a state we are built to
               | withstand.
        
               | wonderwonder wrote:
               | social distance means different things to different
               | people based on where they are and their situation. For
               | OP social distance seems to have meant spending all of
               | their time completely alone in their home as leaving it
               | was actually illegal. In addition they found out that
               | none of the people they considered friends really cared
               | enough to even reach out and see how they were doing.
               | That can be quite a slap in the proverbial face and it is
               | jarring to discover you are alone in the world.
        
             | phobosanomaly wrote:
             | Apparently not.
             | 
             |  _As psychologists worry that the coronavirus pandemic is
             | triggering a loneliness epidemic, new Harvard research
             | suggests feelings of social isolation are on the rise and
             | that those hardest hit are older teens and young adults.
             | 
             | In the recently released results of a study conducted last
             | October by researchers at Making Caring Common, 36 percent
             | of respondents to a national survey of approximately 950
             | Americans reported feeling lonely "frequently" or "almost
             | all the time or all the time" in the prior four weeks,
             | compared with 25 percent who recalled experiencing serious
             | issues in the two months prior to the pandemic. Perhaps
             | most striking is that 61 percent of those aged 18 to 25
             | reported high levels._
             | 
             | https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2021/02/young-
             | adults-...
             | 
             | I'm excited to go back to work in-person. Working with my
             | colleagues gives me a great deal of joy throughout the day.
        
             | Robotbeat wrote:
             | It's hard to make friends as an adult. Especially:
             | 
             | 1) If you don't have kids (socializing with other parents).
             | 
             | 2) Don't go to church/synagogue/etc (church attendance in
             | decline)
             | 
             | 3) Do not live where you grew up. (People chase
             | opportunities in other cities.)
             | 
             | 4) Aren't in school any more.
             | 
             | Neighbor friends are also possible, but it can take many
             | years for people to become comfortable enough to be
             | friends, and due to #3, there's often not enough time for
             | that to happen before people move.
             | 
             | Half my friends are from work and half are parents. They're
             | not super shallow friendships but also not soul-level deep,
             | either. Deep friendships were left behind from college
             | days.
        
               | altcognito wrote:
               | I could see that. These folks should: Join a club,
               | volunteer for a charity, play a sport, add a hobby, visit
               | nature.
        
               | dv_dt wrote:
               | With covid remote, I finally started exercising more
               | regularly and attending meetings for local hiking groups
               | and a maker group that I had been putting off for ages.
               | And I think my productivity at work increased because of
               | it.
               | 
               | Changed jobs to negotiate a permanent remote situation
               | and am not going back.
               | 
               | I think it's fine for some people to want to be on
               | office, but think that a lot of work in the tech area
               | should have the option of remote - and frankly would be
               | better remote first with in-office allowances instead of
               | vice versa.
        
               | Gene5ive wrote:
               | I find this perspective interesting. I'm 36, have no
               | kids, don't go to church, don't live anywhere near where
               | I grew up or my biological family, and haven't been in
               | school for a very long time but have no shortage of
               | friends or even deep friendships. I think culture is a
               | huge reason. I live in close-in Portland, Oregon and I
               | think the main thing we all have in common is that we all
               | enjoy going to see live music and DJs together. Urban
               | living and music can have a huge ability to replace
               | everything on that list. In fact, my partner and I will
               | be throwing a vaccinated-only music festival this summer
               | and we have about 100 people invited, the vast majority
               | personal friends and only a handful have kids. However, I
               | think working in tech helps. Most of my old friends who
               | never made the jump from the service industry into tech
               | by going to code school or something like that had to
               | move away because the city got too expensive. In short,
               | music + tech + urban makes finding and keeping friends
               | easy, at least in Portland.
        
               | skciva wrote:
               | I've been seeing this sentiment shared recently and what
               | I always suggest is to
               | 
               | 1) Look at your hobbies 2) Find people who share those
               | hobbies
               | 
               | Plenty of opportunities exist whether through meetup,
               | BumbleBFF, local postings in cafes/on lamp posts, etc.
               | (this is true of cities, remote destinations may be more
               | difficult but thats the tradeoff of living around less
               | people I suppose)
               | 
               | If you can't find groups for your hobbies, try starting
               | them! Doesn't have to be a permanent leadership role, but
               | if you get the ball rolling others will likely come and
               | BOOM you've found potential friends.
               | 
               | If you don't have hobbies, look into volunteer groups.
               | Rewarding and often extremely kind people who will value
               | what you bring to the table.
               | 
               | Hope this helps!
        
               | katbyte wrote:
               | echoing this, i've met and made most of my current deep
               | friendships via climbing and snowboarding. shared
               | experience and time lead to friends
        
               | HarryHirsch wrote:
               | Contemporary architecture doesn't help. In 70's
               | developments houses have front porches, but sometime in
               | the 90's they turned houses around, and now everyone sits
               | on their back deck or their games room in their cardboard
               | palace. You don't encounter people any more when you are
               | walking the dog.
        
             | sureglymop wrote:
             | As someone in their 20s without social media, I have
             | exactly 0 friends. I live in a central European country and
             | everyone around me has a friend group that originated
             | during their childhood; they have childhood friends. I do
             | not, mainly because throughout my time in school I switched
             | schools a whole lot for various reasons. Over the years
             | I've also grown quite insecure about it and anxious.
             | 
             | Now I also happen to not like alcohol or smoking which
             | really reduces my chances of meeting someone my age to 0,
             | because I don't go out to parties and such. Not that it was
             | even possible during COVID-19.
             | 
             | I'm happy that I at least have supportive parents, siblings
             | and family. But I think there are a lot of young people in
             | my situation and many of them only have parasocial
             | relationships, for example with Twitch streamers and
             | YouTubers.
             | 
             | Homeoffice has been hard with all the distractions home has
             | to offer and I really do miss eating lunch with coworkers.
             | I'm going to start studying at university this fall so I'm
             | optimistic that I might make some friends there.
        
               | spfzero wrote:
               | Maybe try reaching out to some coworkers and see if
               | they'll meet you for lunch somewhere in between. I have
               | one I meet every week, and one I meet once a month or so,
               | and another who I meet up with but not for lunch, just a
               | 10 minute chat or so.
               | 
               | They probably are feeling a lot like you.
        
               | aksss wrote:
               | You need to join organizations - hobby groups, collector
               | groups, professional groups, etc.
        
             | wonderwonder wrote:
             | I am in my early 40's with 0 friends. Had them earlier in
             | life and once I had kids I just could not figure out how to
             | balance kids, work and friends. Now I have no idea how to
             | make new ones.
        
               | mensetmanusman wrote:
               | I moved about 8 years ago and met people here having
               | coffee every Monday morning at 6. Great way to start the
               | week!
        
               | wonderwonder wrote:
               | appreciate the tip, assuming you mean at a coffee shop or
               | something similar?
               | 
               | Still have the kids though :) so cant really go grab
               | coffee that early. I am sure most of the problem is me
               | not figuring it out but I am pretty much at a loss, I
               | work remotely, have younger kids that I have to take to
               | school and pickup, feed etc. Finish work at like 6 then
               | kids until 9. So weekdays are out. Then weekends seems
               | like there is always something to do or I am just
               | exhausted and feel bad abandoning my wife and kids to go
               | do something.
               | 
               | I know I am the cause of my own issues, just not sure of
               | the solution.
        
               | mensetmanusman wrote:
               | I have a kids as well, and it helps that my wife is at
               | home then. Definitely the whole house is sleeping until 7
               | or so. But just 1 day a week helps.
        
               | cloverich wrote:
               | I also feel bad abandoning my wife and vice versa but I
               | realized recently its still important to find space for
               | that. After some mutual encouragement we've begun taking
               | turns here and there watching the kids, purely for the
               | other person to make plans and go out. Of course, it
               | doesn't help making friends necessarily, but having that
               | habbit does provide the space for it when the
               | opportunities arise.
        
           | MisterBastahrd wrote:
           | This is because a lot of them have social lives that revolve
           | around the workplace, usually because they're still at their
           | first or second place of employment and they don't have kids.
           | When work leads to evening dinners and bar runs, it's a vital
           | part of the social experience. When you work with a bunch of
           | seasoned developers in their 30s and 40s, you find that they
           | have taken ownership of their social lives and their
           | priorities after hours often do not include you.
        
         | munificent wrote:
         | _> Everyone had a whole year  "pause" to reevaluate if their
         | lives were organized around their goals, and for millions, the
         | answer was no._
         | 
         | It's important to remember that everyone also had a one year
         | _traumatic experience_. Physically confined for a year with the
         | threat or reality of unpredictable agonizing death to you or
         | loved ones in the middle of an absolutely insane US political
         | situation is going to take a toll on people.
         | 
         | There's this media narrative that the past year gave everyone
         | this beautiful moment of clarity about how to live their lives.
         | There is some truth to that. But it's also true that it's given
         | people a whole shit load of psychological damage to work
         | through and I wouldn't be certain that all of these people
         | making radical life changes are 100% in their right minds.
         | 
         | I think we're going to see a _lot_ of lifestyle churn over the
         | next few years as people deal with what they went through but
         | any one who claims that the current rapid velocity of any
         | particular pendulum is somehow a straight linear projection is
         | lying to themselves. I look forward to articles a year from now
         | about this  "unexpected movement" of people going back to in-
         | office jobs, or working longer hours at shit jobs because they
         | burned through all of their savings, or just wanting more
         | financial stability.
         | 
         | I don't think we can make many reliable extrapolations today
         | based on the aggregate behavior of a huge number of
         | psychologically traumatized people, while the trauma is still
         | not even over. Articles like this read to me like someone
         | during the Blitz seeing victory gardens and confidently
         | predicting that after WII every Londoner is going to become a
         | farmer.
         | 
         | I'm not saying that things will return to any pre-COVID state,
         | just that after the shock we've been through, the entire
         | interconnected spring-mass system of our lives has in no way
         | settled down into a stable state yet. Shit is still chaotic.
        
           | u678u wrote:
           | Right, I'm from a small town myself and moved to a big city.
           | Small towns are very convenient but life is more about having
           | a convenient commute, easy parking and a big back yard.
        
         | bamboozled wrote:
         | Nice you have the option
        
           | hypertele-Xii wrote:
           | Imagine living in a society where basic income is guaranteed
           | no matter what, and even its worst places - its prison cells
           | - compare favorably to the finest hotels of other countries.
           | You have so many options you feel constantly overwhelmed,
           | stressing about making bad choices because everything your
           | primitive heart could ever desire is not merely available,
           | but plentiful and cheap. And it'll recruit you if you're not
           | careful. Money fails to motivate when you have enough of it
           | regardless. Life wants meaning.
           | 
           | Imagine having all the time in the world, just thinking about
           | everything. Your whole life.
           | 
           | What would you _do?_
        
             | mkr-hn wrote:
             | Spend every waking hour out with my camera exploring every
             | corner of every small town around me and writing about it.
             | 
             | Like this: https://viewfinderfox.com/first-post-
             | vaccination-excursion-i...
             | 
             | But all the time.
        
               | hypertele-Xii wrote:
               | Oh pretty cool. We've been doing that with my fiance for
               | a few years. Her English isn't quite as good as mine but
               | I proof-read it once.
               | 
               | https://hypertele.fi/fbd0998dd2834f08
        
             | PragmaticPulp wrote:
             | > Imagine living in a society where basic income is
             | guaranteed no matter what
             | 
             | Realistic UBI proposals wouldn't exactly provide a
             | comfortable wage. They'd provide just enough to get by on
             | the basics, if that. That doesn't mean it wouldn't be
             | helpful, but it does mean that it won't be an attractive
             | alternative to work for anyone who isn't comfortable
             | staying poor forever.
             | 
             | UBI would still be a safety net, not an attractive
             | alternative to working. The idea that UBI would enable
             | people to become free of work and follow their dreams for
             | free has been greatly exaggerated. It's just not possible
             | to tax enough to pay everyone high UBI wages. Safety net
             | wages, maybe, but it won't be a fun living situation to
             | depend entirely on UBI.
        
               | modulusshift wrote:
               | Personally I think that even if UBI wouldn't provide a
               | living wage in today's economy, that it will
               | fundamentally change market dynamics in interesting ways.
               | Companies constantly adjust prices up in the US because
               | of increased buying power, aka "they can afford to give
               | us more profit". There's an entire industry of cheap
               | smartphones that don't release in the US, only in India,
               | China, and third world countries, and they're plenty
               | profitable, but they deliberately only release even more
               | profitable models in the US.
               | 
               | I think creating a significant class of people with
               | reduced buying power in the US will actually lower prices
               | here, as at least some companies decide they don't want
               | to miss out on that portion of the market just to soak
               | the rest of the Americans for even more money.
               | 
               | Of course that's expressing a lot of faith in capitalism
               | so it's entirely possible, even likely, that it would
               | somehow make the entire situation even worse.
        
             | afpx wrote:
             | Write crappy programs, make crappy art and music, and write
             | crappy stories. I'm low in talent, high in motivation.
             | 
             | Most people are probably low in talent and motivation
             | (because lacking talent is demotivating).
        
             | kingsuper20 wrote:
             | "Imagine living in a society where basic income is
             | guaranteed no matter what, and even its worst places - its
             | prison cells - compare favorably to the finest hotels of
             | other countries."
             | 
             | What I see are bored young males hanging out and getting in
             | fights, not a whole generation of people learning cuneiform
             | in their newfound free time.
        
               | haskellandchill wrote:
               | I disagree, I've been learning Krav Maga in my newfound
               | free time. Want to fight about it?
        
               | Pokepokalypse wrote:
               | your skills are weak, old man.
        
               | mgolawala wrote:
               | Interesting. Perhaps we are kind of already at that
               | point? Isn't that what video games like MMORPGs or
               | Fortnite are for? Where the bored young males get to
               | accomplish great adventures , build and show off their
               | skills for status, compete and crush their enemies, and
               | fulfill a sense of accomplishment.. all virtually?
        
               | SavageBeast wrote:
               | Absolutely. There is no free lunch. UBI comes on the
               | backs of the value adding class of society. Some people
               | actually LIKE to work, hard as it is for some to believe.
               | 
               | The Value Adding Class will have privilege thrust upon
               | them in the form of paying for those young males to hang
               | out and get in fights.
               | 
               | Ive had the dubious honor of knowing more than one kid
               | who was never going to have to work a single day in life
               | owing to who their parents and grandparents were. They
               | tend to end up chemical addicted for the most part.
               | 
               | Idle hands do the devils work.
        
               | wing-_-nuts wrote:
               | I've not seen any serious proposals to implement ubi
               | before automation has substantially increased
               | unemployment. In that case, not only are people idle, but
               | also desperate.
               | 
               | Fwiw, I don't mind working at all, but in an ideal world,
               | my work would be varied and my hours would be of my
               | choosing. Sure, you can get that if you freelance, but
               | most corporate jobs want 8h/d 40h/w, at least, and is
               | that how _anyone_ wants to spend their time on earth?
        
               | Apocryphon wrote:
               | Read the results of actual basic income pilot programs
               | and you'll see that people are far from idle.
        
               | goatse-4-u wrote:
               | * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
               | *                                               *
               | * /     \             \            /    \       *
               | *|       |             \          |      |      *
               | *|       `.             |         |       :     *
               | *`        |             |        \|       |     *
               | * \       | /       /  \\\   ____ \\       :    *
               | *  \      \/   ___~~          ~____| \     |    *
               | *   \      \__~                    ~__\    |    *
               | *    \_     \        _.______  .______\|   |    *
               | *      \     \______// _ ___ _ (_(__>  \   |    *
               | *       \   .  C ___)  ______ (_(____>  |  /    *
               | *       /\ |   C ____)/      \ (_____>  |_/     *
               | *      / /\|   C_____)       |  (___>   /  \    *
               | *     |   (   _C_____)\______/  // _/ /     \   *
               | *     |    \  |__   \\_________// (__/       |  *
               | *    | \    \____)   `____  ___'             |  *
               | *    |  \_          ___\       /_          _/ | *
               | *   |              /    |     |  \            | *
               | *   |             |    /       \  \           | *
               | *   |          / /    |         |  \           |*
               | *   |         / /      \__/\___/    |          |*
               | *  |           /        |    |       |         |*
               | *  |          |         |    |       |         |*
               | * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
        
               | rorykoehler wrote:
               | This is a side effect of society overly focusing on money
               | instead of knowledge as the primary success metric.
        
               | Apocryphon wrote:
               | > The Value Adding Class will have privilege thrust upon
               | them in the form of paying for those young males to hang
               | out and get in fights.
               | 
               | If anything existing basic income experiments have
               | revealed the opposite:
               | 
               | https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/stockton-ca-gave-
               | residents...
               | 
               | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-05/what-
               | did-...
               | 
               | https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2014/06/richmond-
               | califo...
        
             | nickpp wrote:
             | Exactly 3 things: smoke weed, jerk off and play games on my
             | Xbox. In that exact order.
             | 
             | Sorry for my honesty, I have no filter.
        
               | jason0597 wrote:
               | That gets boring pretty damn quickly. You'd feel sick of
               | yourself in a couple of weeks. Humans surprisingly want
               | to feel meaningful. Tickling your pleasure neurons for
               | day after day just doesn't feel good, it doesn't make you
               | happy. Pleasure != happiness.
               | 
               | It reminds me of this meme:
               | https://i.imgur.com/dRvwSsI.jpg
        
               | nickpp wrote:
               | I don't know, I did it for a whole sabbatical once and
               | some stretches in the Pandemic - it did not make
               | returning to work any easier.
               | 
               | Now I agree about needing some variety, so I would
               | probably get a PlayStation too.
        
               | hypertele-Xii wrote:
               | I'm more of a PC guy, but yeah, pretty much. For a while.
               | But even that gets boring at some point. Human brains are
               | weird, man.
        
               | nickpp wrote:
               | I really wonder dude, I really wonder. The older I get
               | the harder I find to be excited by shit. I do believe
               | that if I was in the iPhone team I would've been like
               | "another f-ing phone, why should I care?".
               | 
               | The paycheck is pretty much all that is getting me out of
               | bed in the morning, even if at this point I can't say I
               | really need it anymore.
        
               | adflux wrote:
               | Guess its a normal part of aging, but maybe its not
               | normal to not get excited by stuff you used to like
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | >maybe its not normal to not get excited by stuff you
               | used to like
               | 
               | People absolutely fall in and out of interest in
               | different types of activities. This is especially true of
               | people who really jump into things with both feet.
        
               | cghendrix wrote:
               | I feel the absolute same way. I've learned to be
               | satisfied rather than passionate/excited about work. It's
               | much more sustainable in the long run.
        
           | loloquwowndueo wrote:
           | Don't you? Why not? Because of financials? Job availability
           | in your region?
           | 
           | There's always an option. It might entail a more extensive
           | change and change is hard, that's for sure.
        
             | YrAz3EGttt wrote:
             | It indeed is a luxury to be able to take a year off at
             | will. Big reason I can think of is financials.
             | 
             | In my opinion, burnout is a problem only faced by people
             | who can afford to do so. I am not saying everyone doesn't
             | face burnout, they probably do, but not everyone can afford
             | to take a sabbatical, dip into savings, indulge in a hobby
             | etc. There are many people who don't earn as much as a
             | silicon valley engineer, have low savings to dip into, and
             | perhaps even have/inherit debt - Making rent and being able
             | to afford essentials takes priority to dealing with burnout
             | in such situations.
        
               | nickthemagicman wrote:
               | 2/3 of America lives paycheck to paycheck.
               | 
               | Taking a year off is definitely not the norm
        
               | caseysoftware wrote:
               | Most people pay $100+/month for cable, eat out multiple
               | times per week, have thousands of credit card debt, and
               | an unexpected $400 bill would ravage them.
               | 
               | If you want to live a un-average life, you need to have
               | un-average priorities and sacrifice. Few on HN should be
               | living paycheck to paycheck.
               | 
               | Check out Dave Ramsey's Total Money Makeover for a
               | starting model. And yes, you'll have to sacrifice now to
               | benefit later.
        
               | JoeQuery wrote:
               | I totally recommend everyone read Dave Ramsay's work to
               | understand how to approach money. It was an eye opener
               | for me.
               | 
               | But you have to understand that consumerism is pushed
               | down our throats from all around starting at a very young
               | age. Dave Ramsay doesn't just come into your
               | consciousness like advertising does, and unless one is
               | close to someone who is very anti consumerism and
               | advertising you will likely be subjected to an onslaught
               | of messages aimed at your subconscious that you are
               | completely ill-equipped to fight.
               | 
               | I think many people in these comments are speaking on
               | behalf of the general population who does not have the
               | luxury of taking a year off.
               | 
               | This comment of yours drips with privilege.
               | 
               | Edit: I was introduced to dave Ramsay's work in my 20s by
               | a close friend who was wealthy and had businesses and
               | homes. He volunteered with some organizations to provide
               | financial literacy classes. I was lucky to have been
               | given that reference.
        
               | caseysoftware wrote:
               | While many here are commenting on the abstract general
               | population, most are speaking about themselves with
               | variations of "must be nice!"
               | 
               | When you fly, the emergency briefing tells you to put on
               | your own mask before helping others. In lifeguard
               | training, you're taught to keep yourself afloat before
               | the victim.
               | 
               | If you don't have your own finances in order, your
               | opinion on others' finances is just noise and about as
               | valuable.
        
               | JoeQuery wrote:
               | > most are speaking about themselves with variations of
               | "must be nice!"
               | 
               | Not necessarily. It's called empathy. And your lifeguard
               | story makes no sense.
        
               | Clubber wrote:
               | A drowning victim will instinctively push the rescuer
               | under the water, so the rescuer must have a secure
               | flotation device. It was (probably still is) taught to
               | pull the rescue-e to land by having the victim facing
               | away with your arm around their neck and under the armpit
               | facing away. This is to keep them from drowning you.
               | 
               | This is also biblical - take the splitter out of your own
               | eye before you take the splinter out of another's eye
               | (paraphrasing).
        
               | JoeQuery wrote:
               | I know that. But it is not apparent why that was relevant
               | to the conversation.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | RickJWagner wrote:
               | Better than Dave Ramsey, check out Bogleheads.org.
               | 
               | You (and everyone else) really do own your financial
               | life. There can be curveballs-- a catastrophic illness,
               | for example-- but for the vast majority of people, having
               | money or not is really a series of personal decisions
               | made over a lifetime.
        
               | YrAz3EGttt wrote:
               | Can speak for myself, I don't live paycheck to paycheck
               | now but I grew up in a household with a lot less money
               | than I make now in comparison - Involved lot of
               | sacrifices and accumulating modest savings over a
               | lifetime to help the next generation to live a bit better
               | and make fewer such sacrifices.
               | 
               | > Most people pay $100+/month for cable, eat out multiple
               | times per week, have thousands of credit card debt, and
               | an unexpected $400 bill would ravage them.
               | 
               | There's also a cohort that might not earn a lot but is
               | financially responsible, frugal and makes modest gains
               | towards big goals e.g. education for kids, home ownership
               | which can take almost a life time. There's a big spectrum
               | from being poor due to being financially irresponsible
               | and being lucky enough to be in their 20s, debt free and
               | paying off a mortgage instead of rent (with help for
               | college, down payment etc from family to have a healthy
               | head start). Not everyone who doesn't have the means is
               | in such a place because they are lazy or is financially
               | irresponsible. Simply stating that most people are a
               | certain way without evidence is just disingenuous and
               | judgemental, perhaps exposes a bias more than anything.
        
               | caseysoftware wrote:
               | > _Involved lot of sacrifices and accumulating modest
               | savings over a lifetime to help the next generation to
               | live a bit better and make fewer such sacrifices._
               | 
               | Congrats. That's awesome and it's what we should strive
               | for. Sacrificing _sucks_ but doing it now so we have to
               | do less of it later (or later generations have to do
               | less) is powerful. Your parents setting that example for
               | you - and you passing it down - is exceptionally valuable
               | too. I grew up in similar financial circumstances without
               | learning those lessons until much much later.
               | 
               | > _There 's also a cohort that might_...
               | 
               | Yes, there are cohorts in all circumstances. That's why I
               | said "most" and not "all."
        
               | goatse-4-u wrote:
               | * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
               | *                                               *
               | * /     \             \            /    \       *
               | *|       |             \          |      |      *
               | *|       `.             |         |       :     *
               | *`        |             |        \|       |     *
               | * \       | /       /  \\\   ____ \\       :    *
               | *  \      \/   ___~~          ~____| \     |    *
               | *   \      \__~                    ~__\    |    *
               | *    \_     \        _.______  .______\|   |    *
               | *      \     \______// _ ___ _ (_(__>  \   |    *
               | *       \   .  C ___)  ______ (_(____>  |  /    *
               | *       /\ |   C ____)/      \ (_____>  |_/     *
               | *      / /\|   C_____)       |  (___>   /  \    *
               | *     |   (   _C_____)\______/  // _/ /     \   *
               | *     |    \  |__   \\_________// (__/       |  *
               | *    | \    \____)   `____  ___'             |  *
               | *    |  \_          ___\       /_          _/ | *
               | *   |              /    |     |  \            | *
               | *   |             |    /       \  \           | *
               | *   |          / /    |         |  \           |*
               | *   |         / /      \__/\___/    |          |*
               | *  |           /        |    |       |         |*
               | *  |          |         |    |       |         |*
               | * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
        
               | ranma4703 wrote:
               | Do you actually know anyone like this, or are you basing
               | this off of what cable news personalities say?
               | 
               | I know plenty of people with no cable, no Internet other
               | than their phone, living paycheck to paycheck... This
               | idea that poor people just need to stop wasting their
               | money is propaganda used to justify starvation wages
        
               | nickthemagicman wrote:
               | This is called the myth of overconsumption.
               | 
               | It creates a simple fairy tale that financial success or
               | failure rests solely on the individual.
               | 
               | It allows people to ignore wage stagnation, inflation,
               | rising costs of critical goods and services, rising
               | inequality, and fundament structural inequities with
               | society.
               | 
               | Here's a more in-depth academic paper that provides data
               | beyond unsourced colloquialisms if you're interested.
               | 
               | https://openscholarship.wustl.edu/law_lawreview/vol82/iss
               | 4/8...
        
               | caseysoftware wrote:
               | Here's some sourced data for my claims to look at the
               | "myth" if you're interested:
               | 
               |  _" 65% of Americans are still paying for cable TV."_
               | 
               |  _" According to cable cord-cutting subscribers
               | statistics for 2018, the average viewer in the US can
               | save up to $104 per month by taking the plunge."_
               | 
               | Ref: https://techjury.net/blog/cable-tv-subscribers-
               | statistics/
               | 
               |  _" According to Zagat, if you are like the average
               | American, you go out for lunch and dinner 4.9 times each
               | week."_
               | 
               | Ref: https://us1035.iheart.com/featured/sarah/content/201
               | 8-01-09-...
               | 
               | Average credit card debt in 2020: $5315
               | 
               | Ref: https://www.experian.com/blogs/ask-
               | experian/consumer-credit-...
        
               | newfriend wrote:
               | And this is the myth of "The Man is keeping me down".
               | 
               | It allows people to ignore that their choices are by far
               | the biggest factor in what happens in their lives, and
               | instead allows them blame society and take no
               | responsibility.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | ranma4703 wrote:
               | Your unsourced colloquialisms is a pretty tone deaf
               | response to this comment, but I guess you're
               | demonstrating their point, good job
        
               | nickthemagicman wrote:
               | I think your claim is partially true.
               | 
               | People can make good/bad choices but the amount and types
               | of choices a person even has available to them, is very
               | dependent on pre-existing family success/wealth.
               | 
               | Jeff Bezo's kids will have more choices/opportunities
               | than a middle class kid who will have more
               | choices/opportunities than a poor kid.
               | 
               | Starving Syrian Refugess have very minimal choices or
               | opportunities.
               | 
               | So your average middle class or poor person has some
               | choices but is much more at the mercy of their
               | ENVIRONMENT than Jeff Bezo's kids who can bend the
               | environment to their will with money.
               | 
               | Your heels seem pretty dug into your belief's so there's
               | a good chance I'm wasting my time by talking to you but
               | whatever.
        
             | PragmaticPulp wrote:
             | If you're young, have no children, and don't mind picking
             | up and moving and giving up local connections, sure.
             | 
             | That's not common, though.
             | 
             | Really though, the solution is to change jobs. Despite how
             | it looks from HN comments, there are plenty of companies
             | out there with good work life balance.
             | 
             | Painting this as a false dichotomy between staying in
             | burnout-inducing jobs or dropping everything to become
             | jobless isn't helpful. There's an entire spectrum of
             | options that should be explored to change a burnout-
             | inducing situation.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | beauzero wrote:
               | I found this working for state government. Trying to put
               | my skills to use helping taxpayers get what they deserve
               | in usable government websites. There is a lot of "feel
               | good" there...feels like it did back in 96-97.
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | I had no special circumstances, I just made a choice to put
           | years of savings to work for myself immediately instead of in
           | the uncertain future. I sold everything and lived simply. Not
           | everyone could do it, but many could who think they can't.
        
             | paulcole wrote:
             | > I just made a choice to put years of savings
             | 
             | In America (and much of the world) this is the ultimate
             | special circumstance. The idea of being able to
             | consistently save significant amounts of money for YEARS is
             | foreign to billions of people.
        
             | mkr-hn wrote:
             | Being able to save, especially for years, is a special
             | circumstance. At least in the US where wages have been flat
             | for quite a while even as cost of living skyrocketed.
        
               | spfzero wrote:
               | It does require discipline and sacrifice, and it's harder
               | or easier depending on circumstance, but it is always
               | possible. You may not be able to save very much, but even
               | a small amount can get you through some situations that
               | would otherwise have cost you more, in interest or lost
               | time at work or whatever. Those small solutions add up
               | over time, so that you're always better off with saving,
               | than without.
        
               | ykevinator3 wrote:
               | Especially if you have kids and work as labor
        
               | jandrewrogers wrote:
               | Per the US government (BLS), the median household has the
               | ability to save about $1,000 per month without changing
               | how much they spend on ordinary costs of living. So not
               | everyone can but most people can if they choose to. Of
               | course, Americans are notoriously poor savers, which is
               | the bigger culprit.
        
               | mkr-hn wrote:
               | There is a 21 trillion dollar economy built largely on
               | companies fighting over that $1000 with lies and
               | manipulation from people who devote careers to
               | outsmarting people.
               | 
               | Another thread on HN helpfully has examples of people
               | refusing to go along with it. I don't think they're
               | representative.
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27629543
        
               | mandelbrotwurst wrote:
               | If I have monthly income of 3000 and spend it all, how am
               | I to save 1000 monthly without lowering my costs?
               | 
               | This sounds impossible, unless maybe you're not counting
               | all spending as "ordinary costs"?
        
               | jandrewrogers wrote:
               | This is a term of art. An "ordinary expense" are
               | categories of expenses required to live a decent average
               | life, as evidenced by the fact that most people actually
               | spend money on them. This includes housing,
               | transportation, clothes, food, healthcare, utilities,
               | taxes, etc. It makes no judgement on _how_ the money is
               | spent in ordinary categories e.g. buying a BMW is an
               | ordinary expense because it is transportation. It isn 't
               | prescriptive and it includes pretty much everything you
               | would expect. Ordinary expenses include a lot of luxury
               | and non-essential spending.
               | 
               | If you look at all the categories that are "non-ordinary"
               | because most people spend no money on them, they are
               | pretty obviously lifestyle flexes. For example, if you
               | blow your entire paycheck on a bar tab, that is not
               | classified as an ordinary expense because most people
               | don't do that.
               | 
               | Subtract the median ordinary expense from the median
               | income, you are left with more than $12,000 per year as a
               | surplus. This is called "discretionary income", money you
               | can spend on fun, hobbies, or -- relevant to this thread
               | -- savings. If we restricted it even further to ordinary
               | and _essential_ spending, the income level that no longer
               | generates any surplus is in the region of 15th percentile
               | IIRC. That is still 20 million households in the US with
               | no ability to save but that isn 't the experience of the
               | vast majority of households.
               | 
               | The Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve
               | publishes surprisingly detailed statics of what people
               | spend money on and how income surpluses are used.
        
               | kd0amg wrote:
               | It's not counting all spending as costs _of living_.
        
               | alecst wrote:
               | I don't want to sound like a know it all, but I managed
               | to save a lot of money living in a big city in a grad
               | student stipend, which is about $25k. It can be done. I
               | spent very little biking, cooking from home, buying used,
               | having roommates, not drinking, not buying much.
               | 
               | There are exceptions like kids and chronic health issues
               | but most people could save a lot more money if they
               | wanted.
               | 
               | I say this without judgment, people just have different
               | priorities. I recognize my advantages, but I have more
               | savings than most people in my family, despite probably
               | having the lowest lifetime income.
        
               | mkr-hn wrote:
               | This really needs a time frame. $25k in a big city means
               | different things depending on era. The curves of wage
               | growth, cost of living, and wealth disparity didn't start
               | to diverge so wildly until the 2000s. This took a lot of
               | people by surprise and people whose experiences diverge
               | by era aren't always aware of how quickly things changed
               | for other people.
               | 
               | Someone who graduated in 2005 will often have a
               | completely different experience from someone who
               | graduated in 2008 or 2009. People who haven't had to look
               | for a job since the '80s are especially befuddled to
               | learn "ask for the manager" leads to "there's an online
               | application kiosk by the door, go there." Usually along
               | with "we don't have any openings, but we keep it on file
               | for 6 months!"
        
               | alecst wrote:
               | I graduated college in 2012, grad school the following 6
               | years.
        
               | haskellandchill wrote:
               | You got lucky with the roommates, that's one thing
               | outside of your control that can go very badly.
        
         | Buttons840 wrote:
         | Commutes: heat, stress, grey, pavement, dirt and chemicals,
         | danger, frustration, noise; all things that come to mind with
         | commutes. Never again, I hope.
        
         | fullstackchris wrote:
         | Hearing stuff like this a lot recently, I always think about
         | the often repeated vision that Keynes had, saying that we (his
         | grandchildren) would be working 15 hour work weeks. I think our
         | economy is so rich and efficient now, that scenario could
         | actually exist, but everyone is still duped by the workaday
         | culture infinitely persisting the 40 hour work week idea.
         | 
         | Before I'm barraged with "what about people in the service
         | industry!?" I do confess, I'm not sure what the argument would
         | be - indeed, some people are perhaps only working part time at
         | those positions, perhaps maybe around that 15 hour figure. But
         | for those who work full time in the service industry, I guess
         | I'm not sure what there leverage could be - raising the minimum
         | wage perhaps? But that argument is age old and I've heard pros
         | and cons both for and against. Also, in a country like the US
         | where are social programs are far behind most of places like
         | the EU for example, it's especially hard to argue or expect
         | anything to actually become a reality for some of those service
         | jobs. I guess only time will tell.
        
           | UncleOxidant wrote:
           | > I think our economy is so rich and efficient now, that
           | scenario could actually exist, but everyone is still duped by
           | the workaday culture infinitely persisting the 40 hour work
           | week idea.
           | 
           | Not sure we're duped by the 40 hr / week idea so much as
           | we're slaves to our desire for consumer goods. That and
           | housing is very expensive now which means more work to pay
           | for it.
        
             | Agenttin wrote:
             | The issue is that pay hasn't kept up with productivity. As
             | things become more efficient employers are having to pay
             | far less for the same amount of work.
        
               | kansface wrote:
               | It has in tech - in fact I'd wager approximately 100% of
               | productivity gains since the 80s have been in the tech
               | sector which in turn has probably captured nearly all of
               | those gains for itself.
        
             | imtringued wrote:
             | People stopped borrowing money. Either because they became
             | old or the financial crisis made them risk averse. This
             | drops interest rates.
             | 
             | The few things that people buy with debt then rises in
             | value. There is also no interest in building more housing
             | because that would result in lower single family home
             | property values.
             | 
             | You have to consider that it's the bank that is paying for
             | the house. As the owner you only pay the mortgage, whose
             | monthly payments are limited by how much people can afford
             | in the first place.
        
               | UncleOxidant wrote:
               | There is interest in building housing by home builders,
               | but it's at the expensive end of the market, not the much
               | more affordable housing that we need.
               | 
               | Property value is the biggest component of home prices in
               | many desirable areas. Increasing current low-density home
               | building won't change that, but increasing density would
               | help with affordability. Problem is that many in the US
               | still have low density housing as their housing goal.
        
         | umanwizard wrote:
         | Cool, so how do you pay for food and rent?
        
           | Cthulhu_ wrote:
           | > remote work
        
         | Aboh33 wrote:
         | Similar story. I left tech for about 5 months back in early
         | Spring to refocus after delivery of a huge project (contract).
         | Now looking at re-entering with a product/company I actually
         | want to contribute to.
        
       | kaycebasques wrote:
       | I am on a 1 year sabbatical as of the start of this month. I
       | wrote a "prologue" [1] summarizing my motivations, fears, and
       | plans and I plan on posting an "epilogue" at the end to compare
       | my expectations with the actual outcome.
       | 
       | [1] https://kayce.basqu.es/sabbatical/prologue
        
         | Yenrabbit wrote:
         | Good luck, and I hope it goes well. I started a similar journey
         | in February and am loving it so far, although I didn't have a
         | set time period and am juuust starting to pick up little bits
         | of work to ease back into things. I know experience can be hard
         | to generalize, but for what it's worth some top things that
         | seemed to work well for me were 1) Don't feel bad taking the
         | first few weeks as complete 'off' time. The side project ideas
         | can wait a bit while you relax :) 2) It's really fun working on
         | 'inconsequential' things, especially if previously you were
         | doing important/urgent stuff a lot. Things don't have to be
         | monetize-able, useful or inspiring especially when you're on a
         | break! Again, good luck :)
        
       | teekay wrote:
       | I have already began the switch to a mostly remote delivery of my
       | services as a software contractor before Covid hit, and so the
       | pandemic only sealed the deal.
       | 
       | I am not going back.
       | 
       | Most of the teams I have worked with that required on-site
       | presence didn't have the culture I'd be comfortable with anymore:
       | too many meetings, open plan office space with ridiculously cheap
       | and uncomfortable chairs and no standing desks (or only for
       | permanent employees and not us dirty contractors). Most
       | importantly, once COVID hit, it turned out none of that office
       | stuff mattered for productivity anyway.
       | 
       | Europe was lagging behind in terms of remote work but one of the
       | few positives of 'ro was the evening out of the playing field.
       | And, once offices open, whether or not the contracts still offer
       | remote work will be a great filter for potential clients.
       | 
       | I am just not sure that being remote automatically solves the
       | work-life balance problem. I know I am prone to spending the
       | entire day at my computer and it's something I have to work on.
        
       | mabbo wrote:
       | I wonder how this might affect political measures. For decades,
       | _the_ measurements governments have used for themselves have
       | mostly been economical. How 's GDP? How's average income? How's
       | productivity? And look at how my policies improved all of those
       | numbers! You'd best re-elect me.
       | 
       | What will politicians do when the people whose votes they want
       | care less and less about those things? In a perfect world, they
       | might start selling themselves on measures that matter which
       | aren't about how much money someone made.
       | 
       | A small cultural shift in the west _away_ from economics as the
       | religion of the masses would be, in my mind, a silver lining to
       | this whole, awful pandemic.
        
       | jeffrallen wrote:
       | I keep waiting for one of these stories where the journalist
       | writes, "We tried contacting a labor economist for their take on
       | this trend, but they all quit." Or even better, "Editor's note:
       | we assigned this story on people quitting dead end jobs to our
       | journalist, but he quit before he finished it."
        
       | jedimastert wrote:
       | You know, I was just at Walmart, where they only had one cashier.
       | I heard a group of people complain about how "no one wanted to
       | work anymore" not one of them moved to the self-checkout line
       | when a bunch of them opened up.
        
         | e15ctr0n wrote:
         | Those people probably wanted to pay with cash. Walmart self-
         | checkouts[0] switched to electronic payment only[1] when the
         | national coin crisis hit in June 2020[2].
         | 
         | [0] https://corporate.walmart.com/newsroom/2020/06/30/new-
         | checko...
         | 
         | [1] https://www.quora.com/Why-are-Walmart-self-checkout-
         | register...
         | 
         | [2]
         | https://www.frbservices.org/news/communications/063020-feder...
        
       | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
       | It's a new world. We'll have to see what rises from the ashes.
       | 
       | I think that a lot of the stressors were there, before COVID, but
       | the pandemic was the straw that broke the camel's back.
       | 
       | As an older software engineer, I find the statement that
       | "everyone wants devs" to be fairly amusing. I'm rather grateful
       | that I don't need to work for a living. Instead, I'm working for
       | free. I'm glad to have the tools that are available these days,
       | and the means to afford them.
        
         | hda111 wrote:
         | isn't it illegal to work for free?
        
           | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
           | Nope.
        
             | hda111 wrote:
             | In my home country it's illegal. We have minimum wage.
        
       | Suro wrote:
       | I'm currently living in a country with an healthy approach on
       | work/life balance, seeing the appalling situation in the us
       | always made me defiant to move there. I hope this awakening on
       | the issue will be picked up by politics and will lead to better
       | regulation.
        
       | _dibly wrote:
       | The first thing I said when the $600/week unemployment started
       | rolling out was that people were going to realize how little they
       | were being paid to work, and here we are. It's almost like they
       | didn't know any better.
       | 
       | I'm sure the landscape is different for people already set in
       | their careers or making some decent money, but everyone making
       | minimum wage got to see how little $10/hr actually is.
        
         | bluedino wrote:
         | It ends on Sept 1st so we'll see how things go then.
        
           | _dibly wrote:
           | Where I live, the $300 from the federal gov't continues until
           | early September but the $300 from the state ends this month,
           | I could be wrong but I assume it's going to differ moderately
           | from state to state.
           | 
           | At any rate, a lot of people I know that quit have already
           | found or started looking for a different job. Most people
           | aren't looking to keep living off the system so much as they
           | are looking to find a job that doesn't pay them _and_ treat
           | them like dirt. Social services companies around here are
           | literally offering $1000+ referrals because they can't keep
           | group homes staffed or run any community interactions. I
           | think it's pretty clear at this point that it's not just
           | about the handouts, it's about people realizing how atrocious
           | their working conditions were and not wanting to put up with
           | it anymore.
        
         | baggachipz wrote:
         | I'm no economist, but I think we're due for a rude awakening
         | once that gravy train stops.
        
       | kaycebasques wrote:
       | On a tangential note, it really feels like we continue to live in
       | a historic time. Maybe it's a completely personal experience but
       | it just seems like so many basic societal assumptions are getting
       | meaningfully challenged or brought into focus. The pandemic panic
       | and subsequent lockdowns focused our relationships with other
       | humans. The racism protests also. The "inner temple" of the US
       | empire getting breached/"violated" focused thought around the
       | existing global political order. Remote work and these supposed
       | waves of resignations focusing thought around capitalism (as
       | mentioned in other comments I'm on a 1-year sabbatical as of this
       | month [1] and know a few people doing or considering the same so
       | I definitely think there is possible truth to the story). All of
       | these things have been bubbling for a long time, no doubt, but
       | the focus on each one seems more intense lately.
       | 
       | [1] https://kayce.basqu.es/sabbatical/prologue
        
         | dogman144 wrote:
         | Agree and it's hard to find cohesive takes which stitch
         | together all these events in a way that make sense, i.e. the
         | analysis includes enough tech-awareness to believe it.
         | 
         | The only stuff I've found which felt in the ballpark of spot-on
         | were:
         | 
         | 1) https://studio.ribbonfarm.com/p/the-great-weirding This was
         | a fascinating series of essays that generally walks through
         | why, after "Harambe" in 2016 or whenever, things seemed to have
         | gone off the rails towards something new.
         | 
         | 2) Cypherpunk movement's source docs. If I could bold,
         | underline, and highlight this, I would. I have never read any
         | group of literature/essays, especially with publishing dates in
         | the 1990s, that more felt like a post-mortem on the 2014->2021
         | craziness than cypherpunk docs. I had actually wondered for a
         | while where this core movement went, but the quick answer I've
         | come to is cryptocurrency/e2e messaging projects absorbed a lot
         | of it, and then the the writing often took a turn for the
         | crazy/non-PC in the final 10 yards. But, they so accurately
         | diagnose the growth of virtual communities and their pseudo-
         | governmental influence, digital economy developments and all
         | the second order effects, and so on and so on. If you're
         | looking for people who really saw what was coming, this is the
         | group. One of the good reads:
         | http://alumni.media.mit.edu/~wex/panoptic-paper.html
        
           | rsync wrote:
           | ... and if you have not read the _classic_ "Premium Mediocre
           | Life of Maya Millennial" you really owe it to yourself to:
           | 
           | https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2017/08/17/the-premium-
           | mediocre-l...
        
         | foobarbecue wrote:
         | Aren't all times historic? What would you consider the least
         | historic decade?
        
           | reidjs wrote:
           | Would you agree that 2020-2021 was a more interesting period
           | of time than 2018-2019?
        
           | kaycebasques wrote:
           | A decade is too big of a window. It's tough to pick one
           | decade over another but I do think I could pick one year out
           | of every decade over the others. To put my thought another
           | way, if you think of society as a system, you've got a short
           | period where the rules are being changed, and then we let the
           | system run its course for multiple years. Eventually there
           | are some gross inefficiencies that become too big to ignore
           | and we have another short period where the rules are changed
           | again, and so on.
        
             | kingsuper20 wrote:
             | >A decade is too big of a window.
             | 
             | I think that it's too small. Consider the swathes of time
             | that are examined in history books.
             | 
             | It all looks amazing and fast moving when you are living
             | it, particularly when you are younger.
        
               | cwkoss wrote:
               | The rate of technological advancement is growing
               | exponentially, so the duration of an 'era' is becoming
               | compressed.
        
               | kingsuper20 wrote:
               | You know, that's a great discussion to have at another
               | time.
               | 
               | Is it growing exponentially? Personally, I'd say that
               | changes at the margin are becoming smaller. I think that
               | the difference between 1940-1980 is much greater than
               | 1980-2020.
               | 
               | As an aside, it's funny how static music has been for
               | years. There are numerous bands that sound like they
               | would have been reasonably successful in 1970 (and visa
               | versa). 1920 vs 1970 is a whole 'nother issue.
        
               | cwkoss wrote:
               | > I think that the difference between 1940-1980 is much
               | greater than 1980-2020.
               | 
               | I vehemently disagree with this, but agree this is
               | veering off topic, so I'll leave it at that.
        
       | cblconfederate wrote:
       | We should stop calling it remote. Perhaps online, or just, work
        
         | NKosmatos wrote:
         | Exactly, it's just the evolution of work based on changes of
         | the working environment, mindset and needs. In the past we had
         | only manual labour, then the (bad) machines came along and we
         | had factories/industries, then the (bad) computers came along
         | and we have remote working...and so on...
        
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