[HN Gopher] Ivermectin for Prevention and Treatment of Covid-19 ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Ivermectin for Prevention and Treatment of Covid-19 Infection
        
       Author : stephc_int13
       Score  : 214 points
       Date   : 2021-06-19 17:26 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (journals.lww.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (journals.lww.com)
        
       | rkagerer wrote:
       | This is the same active ingredient used to treat heartworm in
       | dogs and kill other types of parasites.
        
         | andreilys wrote:
         | It's also been used to treat river blindness in humans, with
         | billions of doses administered over several decades
        
       | spadez wrote:
       | List of Ivermectin studies:
       | 
       | https://c19ivermectin.com/
       | 
       | FLCCC Alliance Response to All National and International Health
       | Agency Recommendations Against Ivermectin in COVID-19:
       | 
       | https://covid19criticalcare.com/videos-and-press/flccc-relea...
       | international-health-agency-recommendations-against-ivermectin-
       | in-covid-19/
       | 
       | Response to W.H.O s rejection of the studies:
       | 
       | https://covid19criticalcare.com/videos-and-press/flccc-relea...
       | 
       | https://covid19criticalcare.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/F...
        
       | akimball wrote:
       | Given the dose response, it seems trials should be done on
       | nebulized ivermectin for serious cases. But who would pay for
       | them?
        
       | raphlinus wrote:
       | For the curious, reasonably recent discussions from several TWiV
       | episodes on Ivermectin. [3] is quite recent (Jun 9). [4] reviews
       | a study which is mildly encouraging. I think it's fair to say
       | that the jury is still out, and it does deserve more
       | investigation.
       | 
       | Fun fact: Vincent Racaniello's wife worked on Ivermectin at
       | Merck, and on a recent livestream (the 6/16 one) he suggested it
       | would be reasonable to take it, especially because it's known to
       | be safe.
       | 
       | [1]: https://youtu.be/4hGVeZGfEnU?t=5414
       | 
       | [2]: https://youtu.be/N0-H28vzOps?t=1452
       | 
       | [3]: https://youtu.be/teJ1wXyEf1Q?t=1905
       | 
       | [4]: https://youtu.be/kz1Ja5zH1n8?t=1720
        
         | jiofih wrote:
         | Known to be safe as in "you may get hepatitis".
        
           | AndrewBissell wrote:
           | The best way to prevent this from happening would be to allow
           | doctors to prescribe it, so people don't screw up the dose by
           | buying it from veterinary supply stores.
           | 
           | You may get myocarditis from the vaccines, but that doesn't
           | stop anyone from calling them "safe."
        
             | PragmaticPulp wrote:
             | Doctors can prescribe it off-label. At least in the United
             | States.
        
         | raphlinus wrote:
         | Another great review from the last couple weeks, by Derek Lowe:
         | https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/06/07/iv...
         | 
         | Same tl;dr. It's possible it works, but the evidence for it is
         | not strong.
        
       | pmoriarty wrote:
       | Conclusions:
       | 
       |  _" Moderate-certainty evidence finds that large reductions in
       | COVID-19 deaths are possible using ivermectin. Using ivermectin
       | early in the clinical course may reduce numbers progressing to
       | severe disease. The apparent safety and low cost suggest that
       | ivermectin is likely to have a significant impact on the SARS-
       | CoV-2 pandemic globally."_
        
       | anonygler wrote:
       | Time for tech companies to blacklist Andrew Bryant from society I
       | guess.
        
       | 99_00 wrote:
       | Talking about this study on Youtube is forbidden according to
       | their TOS.
       | 
       | "Don't post content on YouTube if it includes any of the
       | following:
       | 
       | Treatment misinformation:
       | 
       | Content that recommends use of Ivermectin or Hydroxychloroquine
       | for the treatment of COVID-19
       | 
       | Claims that Ivermectin or Hydroxychloroquine are effective
       | treatments for COVID-19"
       | 
       | https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/9891785?hl=en
        
         | peytn wrote:
         | > Claims that an approved COVID-19 vaccine will alter a
         | person's genetic makeup
         | 
         | Wow, that's insane. Time to report some talks on somatic
         | hypermutation...
        
         | stephc_int13 wrote:
         | I find this extremely worrying, to be honest.
         | 
         | They are legal and widely used drugs in most countries.
         | 
         | They might not be miracle drugs to treat COVID-19, but I don't
         | see the point in this ban.
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | The issue isn't the _drug_. It 's the _claim_. The drug could
           | be legal for use in the US, and there would still be an issue
           | (unless there were studies good enough to pass FDA scrutiny
           | that demonstrated the drugs effectiveness). In the US, you
           | don 't get to make medical claims that you can't _prove_ are
           | valid.
           | 
           | Now, the other questions are whether Youtube should be
           | considered "in the US", and whether Youtube should be an
           | enforcement arm of the FDA. That's the worrying part.
        
             | Ivdg3 wrote:
             | > In the US, you don't get to make medical claims that you
             | can't prove are valid.
             | 
             | Every third video on YouTube is a diet or workout video,
             | making medical claims.
        
             | ds206 wrote:
             | The drug IS legal in the U.S. lol
             | 
             | You just need a prescription
        
             | temp8964 wrote:
             | Honest question. Why do they need to ban this claim?
             | Because U.S. doctors follow YouTube video suggestions when
             | they prescribe drugs?
             | 
             | > In the US, you don't get to make medical claims that you
             | can't prove are valid.
             | 
             | Is this a law or just your opinion? Are we expecting Bret
             | Weinstein to be arrest in coming days?
        
           | joe_the_user wrote:
           | Unproven medical treatments are a kind of speech that the US
           | government has aggressively suppressed with the approval of
           | the courts for many years. That situation was abused to
           | suppress the works of Wilhelm Reich (~70 years ago) but I
           | don't see that kind of abuse here. Youtube isn't subject to
           | the first amendment 'cause it's not the government BUT also
           | the first amendment hasn't protected this kind of expression
           | for a long time. Just sayin'.
           | 
           | Edit: and as other said, that the drug is legal is irrelevant
           | and disingenuous. We're talking a new treatment system.
        
           | _Wintermute wrote:
           | Because people are idiots and will try and self-medicate,
           | potentially making themselves really ill.
        
             | kcplate wrote:
             | I know that is the "theory" behind the censorship, but I'd
             | suspect the true number of people choosing to do that is a
             | lot smaller than people think. And frankly...if not
             | censoring kills a few idiots and saves many more by
             | allowing the medical professionals to fine tune a
             | treatment, that's a lot better than killing many to save a
             | few idiots by making potential lifesaving treatment
             | experimentation off limits.
        
               | _Wintermute wrote:
               | How are youtube videos by people who haven't studied
               | biology since high school going to help medical
               | professionals to fine tune a treatment?
        
               | kcplate wrote:
               | How are censoring YouTube videos from scientists who do
               | this for a living going to help medical professionals
               | fine tune a treatment?
               | 
               | It's not just the laymen getting censored. It's everyone.
               | 
               | Also, no offense, but how little faith do you put in our
               | medical professionals and scientists that you think they
               | can't discern the difference between wheat and chaff?
        
               | _Wintermute wrote:
               | I am a scientist, I'm a pharmacologist who's time is now
               | mostly spent on covid research. I'm glad youtube is
               | removing most of the dangerous nonsense, because people
               | like you tend to believe it.
        
               | kcplate wrote:
               | Are ya now? Actually "people like me" don't believe that
               | random people like you are what you claim to be when
               | posting under an anonymous name on the internet.
               | 
               | So no, we don't just believe the BS we are being told on
               | the internet.
        
               | _Wintermute wrote:
               | I'm not going to dox myself, but check my comment history
               | if you want. Unless you think I've spent the last several
               | years posting about pharmacology, pharmaceutical
               | companies and PhDs in some elaborate ruse.
        
               | kcplate wrote:
               | Frankly, I'm not that interested enough to make the
               | effort, and don't care. Especially considering your go to
               | is to insult people you don't know just because they
               | slightly disagree with you.
        
               | ds206 wrote:
               | So you'd rather not listen to other scientists, doctors,
               | and pharmacologists with real world experience with these
               | drugs for your own research purposes? I mean, if you had
               | YouTube videos explaining your research results, I would
               | watch it.
        
               | _Wintermute wrote:
               | I do listen to my colleagues, typically in pre-prints,
               | journals and conferences. Youtube is pretty far down the
               | list of places you would go for credible scientific
               | information.
        
               | raphlinus wrote:
               | I think it's important to distinguish two things, which
               | look similar on the surface but are quite different. One
               | is the ability to listen to the scientific discussion
               | taking place on whether Ivermectin is effective. That is
               | reasonable and is a good thing.
               | 
               | The other things is pushing narratives that directly
               | contradict our scientific understanding to an audience of
               | nonscientists. And to be clear, "Ivermectin might work
               | and there are good studies in favor of it" is not in that
               | category, but "Ivermectin is the cure" is.
               | 
               | I think the Pierre Kory and Bret Weinstein podcast[1] is
               | on the border between these two (with a bit of motte and
               | bailey). But to get more insight into how it's landing,
               | check the comments to that video. Lots of people finding
               | ways to procure it, conspiracies, and a strong overlap
               | with antivax.
               | 
               | [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kSWjl-JOIqs
        
             | gustavodemari wrote:
             | Some people in Brazil did this. What happened? They got
             | drug-induced hepatitis by wrong usage of Ivermectin.
        
               | AndrewBissell wrote:
               | Why are they getting the dose wrong? Are doctors refusing
               | or being prevented from prescribing the drug, leaving
               | them to seek out unsafe alternatives like veterinary
               | formulations?
        
             | Turing_Machine wrote:
             | You are not their parent, and neither is YouTube.
             | 
             | Besides the scads of dubious (or outright dangerous)
             | health-related videos on other topics, YouTube has videos
             | of people flying "wing suits" and engaging in many other
             | risky activities.
        
               | belltaco wrote:
               | You're not YouTube's parent, to tell them what they can
               | and cannot do with their own website.
        
           | arminiusreturns wrote:
           | Good, you should. This is a major problem that short
           | circuited lots of brains because it was easy to follow the
           | msm narrative which character assassinated anybody who didnt
           | conform, then used that narrative to start censoring. Again
           | on the censorship topic many of us had been ringing warning
           | bells (some great if devolved convos during were had here
           | when the big censorship push happened...)
           | 
           | When are all you intelligent hacker news readers going to
           | realize the history of the world is a history of conspiracy,
           | and its the coincidence theorists that are the ones actually
           | ignoring the truth(s)? Let me know when you want to have that
           | convo and Ill show up.
        
             | dang wrote:
             | Ok, but the "wake up sheeple" approach is guaranteed to (a)
             | not persuade, and (b) take the thread into a predictable
             | rut. So please find a different approach to make your
             | substantive points with.
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
               | arminiusreturns wrote:
               | True enough, which is why I tend to steer away from that
               | conversation here, for the most part, but some of the
               | more recent things are so blatant and have deep impact on
               | the tech community that I thinks its time to start
               | talking about the subject, even if from a tech
               | perspective.
               | 
               | Point taken dang, Ill try to make less meta and more
               | substantive points in the future on this divisive topic.
        
             | reedjosh wrote:
             | > the history of the world is a history of conspiracy
             | 
             | ^ 100% This
             | 
             | I'll join you on this sinking ship. : )
             | 
             | Thanks for saying it arminiusreturns. I think more people
             | need to argue this. Maybe it'll someday flip the script and
             | people will finally become suspicious of authority.
             | 
             | Most people just look at what the majority claims. Maybe if
             | they see enough people arguing for this, they'd flip sides.
             | 
             | It's silly, but logic doesn't even seem to matter since
             | logic and evidence is so quickly brushed aside via the ad-
             | hominem of `conspiracy theorist`.
        
         | guscost wrote:
         | Yikes. If _this_ doesn't wake you up, maybe just sleep through
         | the next few years.
        
         | epicureanideal wrote:
         | This is an interesting link. I wasn't aware they specifically
         | discouraged talking about specific medications. I'm not sure
         | why you're being downvoted heavily as if you said something
         | offensive..
        
       | deadalus wrote:
       | Reminder that Twitter/Facebook banned people for talking about
       | Ivermectin as a Covid treatment. Youtube channels also got
       | banned/demonetized.
        
         | jiofih wrote:
         | Same as they would ban someone selling Paracetamol as a cancer
         | treatment.
        
           | AndrewBissell wrote:
           | Who is "selling" anything?
           | 
           | This is just one more facile such comparison in the thread,
           | alongside "injecting bleach," "snake oil," etc. Whether
           | ivermectin is effective or not, to describe the state of the
           | evidence as though it were equivalent to pure quackery is
           | very dishonest.
        
       | donezo wrote:
       | We weren't allowed to say a lot if things in 2020. Weird!
        
       | drno123 wrote:
       | Is Ivermectin used in Covid treatment protocols?
        
         | slumdev wrote:
         | Yes
         | 
         | https://www.evms.edu/media/evms_public/departments/internal_...
        
         | ds206 wrote:
         | The FLCCC has 2 protocols that include Ivermectin among other
         | things:
         | 
         | https://covid19criticalcare.com/ivermectin-in-covid-19/
        
       | goldemerald wrote:
       | I heard about Ivermectin for the first time this week and was
       | shocked how much it seemed that I had stepped into conspiracy
       | theory land. There seemed to be an overwhelming amount of
       | evidence over the last year that this repurposed drug is
       | effective at treating Covid during a variety of stages
       | (preventative, first positive test, ICU admittance, and even long
       | haul). But since there hadn't been a randomized trial the drug
       | had, not only been dismissed, but heavily censored over social
       | media. I still cannot believe how much the discussion has been
       | silenced in the same way people discuss "covid vaxx causes
       | magnetism". The fact the interview between Bret Weinstein and
       | Pierre Kory was banned from youtube for non-WHO/CDC/NIH approved
       | covid treatments is a tragedy. I truly hope in the coming years
       | the censorship of this topic will be the catalyst for allowing
       | free speech to prevail on social media.
        
         | bsder wrote:
         | Because ivermectin _is_ conspiracy theory land.
         | 
         | If you don't have a proven, understood mechanism (which
         | ivermectin _doesn 't_ for a virus like Covid) then you have to
         | rely on trials, and those just don't stand up.
         | 
         | Quoting Derek Lowe on this:
         | 
         | https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/06/07/iv...
         | 
         | > If you haven't had to mess with drug discovery for a living,
         | it's understandable that you hear that Some Person Somewhere
         | was very sick, took New Therapy X, and suddenly got better, and
         | then assume that there it is, the cure has been found. But
         | that's not how it works. Real results stand up when you run
         | larger, better-controlled trials, but most early results don't
         | turn out to be all that real.
         | 
         | Cue the Green Jellybean XKCD: https://xkcd.com/882/
        
           | kkwteh wrote:
           | There are plausible mechanisms of action of Ivermectin
           | against the Covid virus being explored. See
           | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41429-021-00430-5/figures/1
        
           | josephcsible wrote:
           | This may explain the lack of widespread use at first, but it
           | definitely does not explain the widespread censorship.
        
           | Ivdg3 wrote:
           | The creator of mRNA vaccines disagrees with you:
           | 
           | > What happens to confidence in public health and USG if
           | ivermectin turns out to be safe and effective for COVID, and
           | the genetic vaccines turn out to have signficant safety
           | issues? This looks like a very plausible scenario from where
           | I sit.
           | 
           | https://twitter.com/RWMaloneMD/status/1403836354098872322
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | Mr. Malone is a very eminent scientist who has one serious
             | problem in this particular case: he really doesn't like big
             | pharma earning billions over what he considers to be his
             | invention.
        
           | laverya wrote:
           | > If you don't have a proven, understood mechanism (which
           | ivermectin doesn't for a virus like Covid) then you have to
           | rely on trials, and those just don't stand up.
           | 
           | Please, there are a ton of antiviral drugs without an
           | understood mechanism. We don't even know how Acetaminophen
           | (Tylenol) works!
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | "then you have to rely on trials, and those just don't
             | stand up."
             | 
             | The trials for all those antiviral drugs show they work. As
             | do with Acetaminophen.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > > If you don't have a proven, understood mechanism (which
             | ivermectin doesn't for a virus like Covid) then you have to
             | rely on trials, and those just don't stand up.
             | 
             | > Please, there are a ton of antiviral drugs without an
             | understood mechanism
             | 
             | Yes, but they have trials that stand up.
        
         | ppf wrote:
         | Next we'll find that the cheap and well-understood
         | hydroxychloroquine is actually relatively effective Covid-19
         | treatment!
         | 
         | It's disturbing how much the suppression of Covid "wrong-think"
         | over the last year has resulted in useful results and
         | information only very slowly coming out (and generally, in the
         | process, giving a feeling of vindication to the conspiracy
         | theorists).
         | 
         | I have always been, and continue to be, against the idea that
         | "this is such a novel emergency we just need to ignore all the
         | processes that we know and trust". If anything, in those times,
         | when we don't know what is going on, those principles are
         | exactly the type of things we should stick to. I strongly
         | believe it would have done us better over the past year.
        
           | jiofih wrote:
           | > against the idea that this is such a novel emergency we
           | just need to ignore all the processes that we know and trust
           | 
           | There is a pretty well trodden path for new medicine to prove
           | their effectiveness, which all Covid measures have gone
           | through. If ivermectin, hydroxichloroquine or any other
           | alternative drug goes through due course they would have no
           | difficult being accepted.
           | 
           | The reason discussions have been censored is _precisely
           | because_ people have been rallying around a drug like a
           | football club before they've had their effectiveness
           | scientifically proven, and demanding to skip the traditional
           | due diligence.
           | 
           | And for some context: this paper was submitted to a
           | mainstream journal in March and rejected for lack of
           | evidence. This publisher who picked it up is not exactly a
           | reputable one (and will benefit immensely from citations of
           | this study).
        
             | Nursie wrote:
             | > rallying round a drug like a football club
             | 
             | That's what gets to me too, and this is the major issue I
             | had with Trump saying anything about anything. He was
             | floundering to look like he had a plan and the moment he
             | mentioned HCQ he turned the whole thing political. It was
             | massively irresponsible.
             | 
             | It should be left to medical science, which is doing pretty
             | damn well with vaccinations and treatments like
             | dexamethasone.
             | 
             | If Ivermectin can be helpful that's great, and if it's not
             | then never mind, let's evaluate other things. But it seems
             | like people need to latch onto something, and then their
             | ego and tribal allegiances won't let it go.
        
         | boredprograming wrote:
         | Many people pushing Ivermectin have a vested interest in
         | proving the vaccines are unnecessary.
         | 
         | It may work, but that's why you get recommendations for
         | "vaccine made me magnetic" and other garbage like that whenever
         | you search for videos.
         | 
         | It's the same group that was pushing hydroxychloroquine as a
         | miracle drug
        
           | throwaway4good wrote:
           | It is and it is weird.
           | 
           | What do these people (the promoters) get out of it?
           | Attention? A more dedicated following?
        
             | ds206 wrote:
             | How about having a discussion? Not everything has to be so
             | complicated lol
        
             | raphlinus wrote:
             | I think the most useful lens to understand the sociology of
             | these kinds of questions is religious belief. And there is
             | no shortage of people out there who want to convince others
             | of their belief.
             | 
             | The narrative for "the Ivermectin story" is particularly
             | compelling, as it involves brave maverick doctors working
             | selflessly to get the word out, suppression and censorship
             | by shadowy organizations (big pharma fearing competition,
             | the big Internet companies just lusting after the power of
             | thought-control), and the empowerment of people to take
             | medical decisions into their own hands.
             | 
             | Incidentally, this was the exact same narrative as HCQ, and
             | is being pushed by a lot of the same people. The end of the
             | story may turn out differently, as the evidence on HCQ is
             | overwhelming that it doesn't work, so you only see dead-
             | enders pushing it, but there is a good chance that
             | Ivermectin will turn out to be at least moderately
             | effective, though the jury is still out.
        
           | throwkeep wrote:
           | > Many people pushing Ivermectin have a vested interest in
           | proving the vaccines are unnecessary.
           | 
           | What is their vested interest in a generic, cheap, decades
           | old, off patent drug? Vested interests tend to be in new,
           | patented treatments. That's where big pharma profit is. So
           | let's try a rephrase: Many people pushing patented treatments
           | have a vested interest in proving off patent alternatives are
           | unnecessary.
           | 
           | For example, here's Merck warning against using Ivermectin
           | for Covid-19:
           | 
           | https://www.merck.com/news/merck-statement-on-ivermectin-
           | use...
           | 
           | Then a few months later, "Merck Announces Supply Agreement
           | with U.S. Government for Molnupiravir, an Investigational
           | Oral Antiviral Candidate for Treatment of Mild to Moderate
           | COVID-19"
           | 
           | https://www.merck.com/news/merck-announces-supply-
           | agreement-...
        
             | boredprograming wrote:
             | We already have a drug that's 99% effective at keeping you
             | out out hospital. And it's only a single/double dose. It's
             | the COVID vaccine.
             | 
             | Any other treatment is basically unnecessary at this point
             | because COVID deaths in vaccinated people are less than 1
             | in a million.
             | 
             | That's why anti-vaxxers are so vested in other treatments.
             | It's the only way they can rationalize not getting
             | vaccinated
        
               | apineda wrote:
               | Well the covid vaccine comes with some caveats to me most
               | crippling to freedoms being the vaccine passports that
               | seemingly all nations are already implementing. Having
               | various viable treatments would obviously put an end to
               | that. Since ivermectin has a long history of safety and
               | already largely available its reasonable that interest is
               | strong.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | But not for this particular application, and not in the
               | doses where apparently it has some effect on COVID. And
               | that is the problem with promoting this, as long as you
               | weren't aware of that you probably should not be part of
               | the army of 'useful idiots' of the anti-vax crowd.
        
             | jiofih wrote:
             | Being proven right. That's the anti-vac crowd's dearest
             | interest.
        
               | swader999 wrote:
               | That's the wrong side to look at this from. These are
               | just people on the fringe with little influence and
               | funding.
               | 
               | If ivermectin was authorized as a viable treatment the
               | vaccines receiving emergency use authorisation wouldn't
               | have been possible. There were and still are billions on
               | the line.
        
               | raphlinus wrote:
               | I'm having difficulty understanding this line of
               | reasoning. What does the authorization of ivermectin have
               | to do with the vaccines? Xofluza, Relenza, and Tamiflu
               | have been approved for treating influenza, and that has
               | had no effect on the recommendation that people get their
               | flu shots.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | throwkeep wrote:
               | Ok, but let's not get confused. This is different than
               | being an anti-vaxxer. You can speak up for Ivermectin AND
               | be a pro-vaxxer. The most prominent voice on this is Bret
               | Weinstein (biology PhD), who is more vaccinated than
               | most. He and his wife and kids are vaccinated for the
               | typical things plus typhoid, rabies, yellow fever... They
               | are pro-vaccine and so am I. They're one of the best
               | inventions ever.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | You can, but you'd have to have some proof.
               | 
               | And so far we do not have any. So until then this story
               | is pushed way further than it has any right to. Weinstein
               | thrives on the censorship, but the fact of the matter is
               | that there simply is no proven efficacy and until then
               | this has no business being promoted to a mainstream
               | audience who might get themselves into a lot of trouble,
               | or who might forego getting vaccinated.
        
           | raphlinus wrote:
           | Ok, I was confused by this line of reasoning, so did some
           | digging. I believe it's one of the popular antivax disinfo
           | conspiracy theories. Here's my reading.
           | 
           | The line of reasoning hinges on the vaccines being
           | "experimental" and only being distributed under an Emergency
           | Use Authorization, as opposed to a full approval. The FDA
           | policies for EUA indicate they're only to be used when there
           | is no adequate, approved, and available alternative. This
           | makes a lot of sense - if (let's say) someone comes up with a
           | new flu vaccine (an mRNA one, to continue this example, as
           | that would be kinda exciting), you really want it to go
           | through the full approval process instead of EUA, even if it
           | is better. That's because we have plenty of good, approved
           | flu vaccines.
           | 
           | So, the theory goes, if we had an approved treatment for
           | Covid, then the EUA for the vaccines would be illegal. And so
           | that creates incentives for the pharmaceutical companies to
           | suppress a miracle cure like (they claim) ivermectin.
           | 
           | To anybody with the capacity for rational thought, this is
           | obviously bullshit. We _have_ fully approved treatments
           | already, including remdesivir. The idea that a treatment for
           | Covid, even a pretty good one, would make vaccines
           | unnecessary makes no sense.
           | 
           | I am fairly confident in making the following prediction.
           | Full FDA approval for the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna
           | vaccines is likely by the end of the year[1], at which point
           | the above line of reasoning will no longer be applicable.
           | Antivaxxers will smoothly transition to another line of
           | argument.
           | 
           | I do think this "theory" is one reason you see a significant
           | overlap between pro-ivermectin and antivax, for example in
           | the comments of Bret Weinstein videos.
           | 
           | [1]: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/18/covid-vaccines-what-
           | full-fda...
        
         | spacial wrote:
         | Well, in Brazil, the president (Borsalino) is promoting
         | ivermectin as covid treatment. I can tell you is not working at
         | all.
         | 
         | I doesn't help at all. I have a coworker who as using
         | ivermectin as prophylactic and went to ICU (he is recovering
         | now).
        
           | innocentoldguy wrote:
           | That's weird. I just read about a study in a Japanese
           | newspaper today stating that Ivermectin works great.
        
           | Ivdg3 wrote:
           | Sample size 1.
        
         | 13415 wrote:
         | Without randomized trials you cannot recommend a drug because
         | you cannot exclude confounders. It seems wrong to me to even
         | speak of "overwhelming evidence" without a randomized trial or
         | other sound ways to control or identify for confounders (e.g.
         | causal models).
        
           | mgamache wrote:
           | Actually a meta analysis can offer better evidence then a
           | single RCT.
           | 
           | https://ascopost.com/issues/june-10-2014/randomized-
           | trials-v...
        
             | MilnerRoute wrote:
             | Wait a minute... This post is a debate between two opposing
             | viewpoints. So it also makes the exact opposite point:
             | 
             |  _The primary difference between a randomized controlled
             | trial and meta-analysis is that the former "provide the
             | highest level of evidence because they contain the least
             | amount of bias. Randomized controlled trials reduce bias,
             | while meta-analyses increase bias. "_
             | 
             | This Hacker News story is about a recent meta-analysis. But
             | an actual randomized control trial of Ivermectin in March
             | (on 476 patients) found the duration of symptoms on treated
             | and untreated patients "was not significantly different."
             | 
             | https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2777389
        
               | ALittleLight wrote:
               | Important thing to know about that study is they are
               | testing time to recovery for people with mild covid.
               | 
               | I'm not anywhere near an expert, but two things stood out
               | to me reading this study. First, time to recover in the
               | ivermectin group was 10 days versus 12 in the placebo.
               | The paper calls this "not significant" but it's not clear
               | to me whether that's statistically not significant, and
               | if so, why wouldn't it be, or if knocking two days off
               | recovery isn't that meaningful. The other thing I noticed
               | reading it was that only one person out of 400 died and
               | that person was in the placebo group.
               | 
               | I think the Brett Weinstein response would be something
               | like -
               | 
               | A. Ivermectin's best benefit is as a prophylactic not a
               | treatment.
               | 
               | B. Ivermectin should be administered as early after onset
               | as possible to treat, whereas here there was some delay
               | to get people organized, enrolled in trial, etc.
               | 
               | C. It's hard to measure effect when the disease is mild.
        
             | Tenoke wrote:
             | The best meta-analyses are those made out of RCTs at any
             | rate.
        
           | wrycoder wrote:
           | https://sebastianrushworth.com/2021/05/09/update-on-
           | ivermect...
           | 
           |  _I've included every double-blind randomized placebo-
           | controlled trial I could find of ivermectin as a treatment
           | for covid. Using only double-blind placebo-controlled trials
           | means that only the highest quality studies are included in
           | this meta-analysis, which minimizes the risk of biases
           | messing up the results as far as possible. In order to be
           | included, a study also had to provide mortality data, since
           | the goal of the meta-analysis is to see if there is any
           | difference in mortality .... What we see is a 62% reduction
           | in the relative risk of dying among covid patients treated
           | with ivermectin. That would mean that ivermectin prevents
           | roughly three out of five covid deaths. The reduction is
           | statistically significant (p-value 0,004). In other words,
           | the weight of evidence supporting ivermectin continues to
           | pile up. It is now far stronger than the evidence that led to
           | widespred use of remdesivir earlier in the pandemic, and the
           | effect is much larger and more important (remdesivir was only
           | ever shown to marginally decrease length of hospital stay, it
           | was never shown to have any effect on risk of dying).
           | 
           | I understand why pharmaceutical companies don't like
           | ivermectin. It's a cheap generic drug. Even Merck, the
           | company that invented ivermectin, is doing it's best to
           | destroy the drug's reputation at the moment. This can only be
           | explained by the fact that Merck is currently developing two
           | expensive new covid drugs, and doesn't want an off-patent
           | drug, which it can no longer make any profit from, competing
           | with them._
        
           | goldemerald wrote:
           | While randomized trials are certainly the gold-standard for
           | determining if you should give a new drug to treat an
           | arbitrary disease, that process is far too conservative
           | during a pandemic where a huge majority of the world cannot
           | access proper medical care. Ivermectin is already massively
           | produced, used throughout the world, and cheap to manufacture
           | (compared to new anti-Covid drugs). Even months ago before
           | the benefits were known, the risks of taking the drug were
           | very small, especially when the treatment guidelines were to
           | do practically nothing.
           | 
           | Still, the many pieces of non-randomized evidence can still
           | clearly point towards this drugs efficacy. The sudden drop in
           | Covid cases in India as the clearest indicator to me.
        
             | _dark_matter_ wrote:
             | I had the same opinion until my friend convinced me
             | otherwise. The scientific community is taking a long-term
             | approach here. If they were to recommend a drug based
             | without a scientific trial, they risk losing the trust of
             | the world (either from people who want them to only follow
             | the science, and the risk that it is incorrect).
             | 
             | The anti-science block is growing, and they are loud. If
             | they continue to grow it could be an even greater threat to
             | humanity than COVID-19. Science is attempting to fight
             | against it by retreating to a science-only corner, for
             | better or for worse.
        
               | emn13 wrote:
               | It would be nice if we somehow found a way as society to
               | get the message out that scientists often just don't
               | know. Because too often stories like this are interpreted
               | by quite a few people as "science says ivermectin doesn't
               | work". And perhaps that conclusion will turn out to be
               | right, but the point is the jury is still out - and often
               | enough it turns out wrong, and when such a false
               | statement turns out to be wrong, people lose faith in
               | science regardless, even though a reasonable
               | interpretation of the science actually said "don't know"
               | not "doesn't work".
               | 
               | This is kind of a corollary to the issues with rejecting
               | conspiracies - when we reject a supposed conspiracy, due
               | to lack of evidence, that can easily come across as
               | claiming the conspiratorial claim is outright false - but
               | in a sea of such claims, some then turn out to have at
               | least a kernel of truth, which then turns into a big
               | gotcha moment: "see, they're repressing us, we were right
               | all along!"
               | 
               | So while I understand the idea of maintaining trust by
               | not backing anything uncertain, I'm not sure it's the
               | right call. Maybe communicating that uncertainty is
               | better, and even communicating hints and possibilities -
               | instead of trying to control the narrative but thereby
               | ceding the ground to nutjobs until certainty arrives,
               | often granting them considerable prestige if they guess
               | sort of correctly ahead of time.
        
             | jsnell wrote:
             | > The sudden drop in Covid cases in India as the clearest
             | indicator to me.
             | 
             | What's the alleged connection here? Are you claiming that
             | some non-trivial number of patients in India were treated
             | with this? How many, and at what point after being
             | infected? And just how did the treatment affect the case
             | numbers? Generally you'd expect the vast majority of
             | secondary infections to happen before the diagnosis, not
             | after, so a treatment seems totally irrelevant to the case
             | numbers.
        
               | wrycoder wrote:
               | Not a primary source, so FWIW. The article compares
               | states in India using ivermectin against those which are
               | not. Some digging in the sources listed might get what
               | you are looking for.
               | 
               | https://www.thedesertreview.com/news/national/ivermectin-
               | obl...
        
               | spadez wrote:
               | >Are you claiming that some non-trivial number of
               | patients in India were treated with this
               | 
               | Yes, example from two states.
               | 
               | https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/lucknow/uttar-
               | prade...
               | 
               | https://www.news18.com/news/india/mortality-rate-much-
               | lower-...
               | 
               | The testimony video in this page cites examples in many
               | other countries https://covid19criticalcare.com/
        
               | jsnell wrote:
               | I see no numbers on how many people were treated on
               | either of the first two links, and certainly don't intend
               | to comb through the dross on the third link. So do you
               | actually have a number? It doesn't need to be exact, just
               | a credible source on the order of magnitude will be
               | enough. Are we talking a thousand, a million, or a
               | billion here?
               | 
               | To reduce R by a factor of 2 by the use of a prophylactic
               | drug, you'd need to have half of the population on a
               | regime of the drug. It seems pretty obvious that did not
               | happen if this kind of reporting is the most impactful
               | there is. Just think of the logistics of trying to do
               | that! India has a population of 1.4 billion.
               | 
               | On the other hand, if they only gave the snakeoil to e.g.
               | a single digit number of millions of people the reduction
               | in the number of infections would be imperceptible.
        
               | epicureanideal wrote:
               | This is a great comment, and an example of why discussion
               | of ivermectin should not be CENSORED but instead debated.
               | These would be good questions to ask the creators of any
               | videos on the topic and from what I can see, the most
               | popular creators would probably be open to the
               | discussion.
        
             | belltaco wrote:
             | >The sudden drop in Covid cases in India as the clearest
             | indicator to me.
             | 
             | Nah that's just confirmation bias and rumors. It wasn't
             | effective at all, otherwise India wouldn't have taken it
             | off the recommended drugs list.
        
               | spadez wrote:
               | >India wouldn't have taken it off the recommended drugs
               | list.
               | 
               | Normally authorities are afraid to go against W.H.O
               | recommendations, because if it didn't work out, it would
               | be hard to justify it on the basis of local observations
               | alone, at least on paper.
               | 
               | But the important thing is that some states still did it,
               | which might indicate there was very observable benefit.
        
               | flenserboy wrote:
               | That's rather credulous.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | So's the idea that ivermectin _must_ be the explanation
               | for India 's COVID spike abating.
               | 
               | Spikes abated all over the world, more than once in most
               | countries, _without_ ivermectin.
        
             | janoc wrote:
             | Ivermectin has been trialed also and has been available on
             | experimental basis even in Europe - and it was found
             | ineffective and is not recommended anymore.
             | 
             | See:
             | https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2777389
             | 
             | Also similar non-randomized evidence was strongly
             | suggesting that hydroxychloroquine was very effective (e.g.
             | Raoult in France) - until proper randomized trials found it
             | was not effective at all.
             | 
             | So you really can't rely on such evidence. That someone
             | gets better after they got some drug doesn't automatically
             | mean they got better because of the drug. In the absence of
             | controls for other factors (other drugs, spontaneous
             | recovery on their own, etc.) it only means that the drug
             | didn't make their affliction worse.
             | 
             | Not everything has to be immediately a conspiracy of big
             | pharma (or worse).
        
               | shaicoleman wrote:
               | The Lopez-Medina trial was one of the biggest RCTs for
               | Ivermectin. Out of the 60 trials for Ivermectin, it was
               | one of the few that didn't show statistical significance.
               | 
               | It was also seriously flawed - a large percentage of the
               | placebo group was self-medicating using Ivermectin, they
               | mixed up the treatment and placebo group, and they
               | switched the primary outcome in the middle of the trial.
               | That trial still showed improvement, but it didn't reach
               | statistical significance.
               | 
               | "[Lopez-Medina] has many issues. The primary outcome was
               | changed mid-trial from clinical deterioration to complete
               | resolution of symptoms including "not hospitalized and no
               | limitation of activities" as a negative outcome.
               | Critically, temporary side effects of a successful
               | treatment may be considered as a negative outcome, which
               | could result in falsely concluding that the treatment is
               | not effective. Such an outcome is also not very
               | meaningful in terms of assessing how treatment affects
               | the incidence of serious outcomes. With the low risk
               | patient population in this study, there is also little
               | room for improvement - 58% recovered within the first 2
               | days to "not hospitalized and no limitation of
               | activities" or better. There was only one death (in the
               | control arm). This study also gave ivermectin to the
               | control arm for 38 patients and it is unknown if the full
               | extent of the error was identified, or if there were
               | additional undiscovered errors. The side effect data
               | reported in this trial raises major concerns, with more
               | side effects reported in the placebo arm, suggesting that
               | more placebo patients may have received treatment.
               | Ivermectin was widely used in the population and
               | available OTC at the time of the study. The study
               | protocol allows other treatments but does not report on
               | usage. The name of the study drug was concealed by
               | refering to it as "D11AX22". The presentation of this
               | study also appears to be significantly biased. While all
               | outcomes show a benefit for ivermectin, the abstract
               | fails to mention that much larger benefits are seen for
               | serious outcomes, including the original primary outcome,
               | and that the reason for not reaching statistical
               | signficance is the low number of events in a low risk
               | population where most recover quickly without treatment."
               | 
               | https://ivmmeta.com/#exc
               | 
               | This prompted an open letter from over 170 physicians
               | concluding that the study is fatally flawed.
               | 
               | https://jamaletter.com/
               | 
               | This also highlights the risk of only relying on a small
               | number of large RCTs, instead of looking at the totality
               | of evidence.
        
               | spacial wrote:
               | just look at Brazil, where ivermectin and HCQ are used as
               | mentos.
               | 
               | I does not help at all. (I wish it was a valid
               | treatment).
        
               | emn13 wrote:
               | I read the french research at the time, and it was
               | immediately obvious that it was deeply flawed. Asking
               | around in more expert circles, that did seem to be the
               | uniformly echoed initial reaction even then, from day 1
               | (not that that means it couldn't have worked, just that
               | the paper that sparked it all was not convincing, at all
               | - but absence of evidence isn't strong evidence of
               | absence in such cases). In retrospect it seems obvious
               | people were looking for some kind of light at the end of
               | the tunnel, and too willing to ignore the warning signs.
               | 
               | The case for ivermectin is not a slam dunk. But it's
               | definitely surpassed the low bar that HCQ set. There is
               | at least quite a lot of suggestive correlation without
               | trivially obvious other explanations, and the data set
               | isn't just "a few people non-randomly selected".
               | 
               | To my non expert opinion the ivermectin case seems at
               | least plausible, whereas HCQ was clearly and obviously
               | nonsense. Still, I'm skeptical, partly precisely because
               | there still hasn't been a slam dunk study and because
               | quite a few proponents seem to have a worryingly
               | conspiratorial view of the world. Stuff like assuming
               | it's not being pushed because it's off patent screams
               | conspiratorial thinking to me, and you hear that quite a
               | lot. And that's a warning sign, because there are quite a
               | lot of interested parties here that really don't care
               | about some pharmaceutical companies profit, and in any
               | case - just because they don't fund it doesn't mean
               | they'll go all Machiavellian and intentionally prolong
               | the pandemic just to sell a future drug, and actually get
               | away with it to boot. At best, the lack of exclusivity
               | might explain why there isn't a specific corporate backer
               | for this research, but it doesn't explain why all of the
               | governments and universities and hospitals etc aren't
               | finding convincing data. So when people see a conspiracy
               | here, I wonder how rationally they're looking at the
               | evidence for Ivermectin, too - and at the end of the day,
               | I'm just a random worried person without the capacity to
               | deeply understand every single relevant bit of data, so I
               | need to be able to find trustworthy sources and research.
               | People that see conspiracies everywhere (without data and
               | without real reason) don't inspire great trust in their
               | analyses.
               | 
               | Still, it's hard to resist the lure of the cheap and
               | affordable silver bullet...
        
         | void_mint wrote:
         | > I truly hope in the coming years the censorship of this topic
         | will be the catalyst for allowing free speech to prevail on
         | social media.
         | 
         | If someone died because of a "Take Ivermectin and you'll
         | survive COVID" video on YouTube, who's to blame? Should YouTube
         | not take steps to prevent the spread of misinformation that
         | could kill people?
         | 
         |  _edit_ Big downvotes, no response. Great system.
        
           | bmarquez wrote:
           | > If someone died because of a "Take Ivermectin and you'll
           | survive COVID" video on YouTube, who's to blame?
           | 
           | Ivermectin is a prescription drug in the United States. A
           | doctor would most likely reject the request if a patient
           | asked for it solely on a YouTube recommendation. So to answer
           | your question, a prescribing doctor.
           | 
           | IMO YouTube isn't medically qualified to censor ongoing
           | research or debate, just stick a disclaimer and be done with
           | it.
        
             | unparagoned wrote:
             | Bret implied he got it from a potentially dodgy source. He
             | was also pointing out "risks" with the vaccine. Even in
             | comments you had people saying they were going to avoid the
             | vaccine and take this drug instead.
        
             | ryantgtg wrote:
             | You can (or could until recently?) get topical ivermectin
             | from pet stores, no prescription. Humans use it to self-
             | diagnose and self-treat rosacea. So there is the risk that
             | people will buy and ingest it.
        
           | 4bpp wrote:
           | > If someone died because of a "Take Ivermectin and you'll
           | survive COVID" video on YouTube, who's to blame?
           | 
           | How about the person who took it? We are presumably talking
           | about adults, who we supposedly simultaneously trust with
           | choosing a government that decides over life and death for
           | millions in their own country and abroad.
        
           | goldemerald wrote:
           | It doesn't have to be so black and white on youtube's
           | response. They could, for example, but a disclaimer pre-roll
           | ad saying "Don't take medical advice from youtube." There's a
           | difference between Brett's interview, where they discussed
           | the scientific merits of a drug, and someone saying "Here's
           | how much drug you need to buy at your farm store, and how to
           | dilute it." In any case, the analysis for banning topics
           | doesn't consider the risk of how many lives could have been
           | saved if Ivermectin actually is pandemic ending. Some
           | professionals speculate hundreds of thousands of deaths could
           | have been prevented if Ivermectin was given back in November.
           | I don't know either way, but surely the discussion is worth
           | not being banned.
        
           | newsclues wrote:
           | Who is to blame when YouTube censors life saving
           | recommendations and people needlessly die?
        
             | unparagoned wrote:
             | No-one. Since doctors don't go to YouTube to find out what
             | to do. Until there is solid evidence for a drug noone
             | should be going to YouTube to decide what to do, expecially
             | when we have many proven low risks vaccines.
        
               | e9 wrote:
               | Not true. A bunch of doctors went on YouTube about
               | usefulness of hydroxychloroquine in their patients and
               | got taken down by YouTube. Every person is unique and
               | medications/supplements/food will work for some and not
               | others. Best example is coffee. If you have gene that
               | metabolizes caffeine fast then coffee is good for you and
               | helps you because your body clears caffeine and reaps
               | benefits of antioxidants in coffee. On the other hand if
               | you don't have that gene then caffeine lingers in your
               | body and causes all sorts of damage and therefore
               | drinking coffee is bad for you.
        
               | Heyso wrote:
               | So much low risk, that pharmaceutical compagny made sure
               | to have no liability if something bad happen.
        
             | void_mint wrote:
             | > Who is to blame when a social media website censors
             | unproven medical procedures
             | 
             | FTFY
        
           | Heyso wrote:
           | And who will judge it misinformation. You want to give
           | someone the right to censor if they think something is false
           | ? You probably think people are to dumb to do that for
           | themselves. You will end up victim of that censorship soon or
           | later. You can be sure someone with more power than you,
           | somewhere, is thinking the same of you (too dumb to think by
           | themselves).
        
           | spadez wrote:
           | >If someone died because of a "Take Ivermectin and you'll
           | survive COVID" video on YouTube, who's to blame?
           | 
           | But who is to blame for the deaths of thousands of people,
           | who could have been saved by Ivermectin, which in all
           | probability is happening right now, and has been going on for
           | many months, if not for the censorship of W.H.O, Youtube and
           | media?
        
             | void_mint wrote:
             | > But who is to blame for the deaths of thousands of
             | people, who could have been saved by Ivermectin,
             | 
             | Entirely irrelevant when discussing YouTube, which we're
             | doing now. YouTube is not a legitimate source for
             | medical/drug information.
        
               | pstuart wrote:
               | I disagree. It's merely a platform for content and needs
               | to be evaluated independently per presentation.
        
               | ds206 wrote:
               | But drug commercials on TV are? I mean, why can't a
               | doctor talk about the benefits of a certain drug with a
               | "but talk to your own doctor first"? How is that any
               | different?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | unparagoned wrote:
               | Drug commercials are bad, and banned in pretty much every
               | developed country. Anyway those drugs have been proven to
               | work, this drug hasn't been proven to work.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | This is something that really shocks and annoys me when I
               | visit the US. Ad-sponsored TV is unusable.
        
           | Turing_Machine wrote:
           | Here's a response:
           | 
           | YouTube is chock-full of dubious health information. But only
           | this one got banned.
           | 
           | Why?
           | 
           | For the record, since I've been muzzled from responding
           | further, I don't believe that it was "money".
        
             | happytoexplain wrote:
             | This doesn't address the parent's question - it's only a
             | criticism of YouTube's potential hypocrisy.
        
             | guscost wrote:
             | And here's the correct response to you:
             | 
             | Money.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | You've posted something like 9 unsubstantive and/or
               | flamebait comments in this thread. That has a seriously
               | damaging effect on discussion, especially when the topic
               | is divisive as this one is. I'm sure you don't intend
               | that, but the effects work that way regardless of intent:
               | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&
               | sor....
               | 
               | If you wouldn't mind reviewing
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and
               | taking the intended spirit of the site more to heart,
               | we'd be grateful. Note this one: " _Comments should get
               | more thoughtful and substantive, not less, as a topic
               | gets more divisive._ "
        
               | lvs wrote:
               | I'm disappointed you are not more active in pulling these
               | snake oil posts from the front page.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Seconded.
               | 
               | The whole Ivermectin saga does not deserve the attention
               | that it is getting, those that are relentlessly pushing
               | it are causing people not to get vaccinated and that in
               | turn will prolong the epidemic and lead to people getting
               | ill and some fraction of those will die.
               | 
               | I've read up on this thing as much as I could and it's
               | quite simple: there is at this point in time _zero_ hard
               | evidence that it works in humans short of using it in
               | dosage that is well outside the range that we have data
               | on. It 's just the HCQ story warmed over.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | I've addressed that here and here:
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27563873
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27564376
        
               | guscost wrote:
               | I disagree strongly. Conflict-avoidant platitudes have
               | much less substance.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | Something else having less substance does not make your
               | comments substantial.
        
           | bookofsand wrote:
           | There are at least two questions to ask:
           | 
           | * If X died because of a "Take Ivermectin and you'll survive
           | COVID" video on YouTube, who's to blame?
           | 
           | Assumption: Ivermectin has a net negative effect. Assumption:
           | X relied on Ivermectin exclusively, rejecting the current
           | standard of care procedures.
           | 
           | * If X died because Youtube censored "Take Ivermectin and
           | you'll survive COVID" videos, who's to blame?
           | 
           | Assumption: Ivermectin is effective in certain cases, and X's
           | life could have been saved if Ivermectin were used, possibly
           | in conjunction with other standard procedures, up to and
           | including vaccination.
           | 
           | The point of public conversation is to asses the cost/benefit
           | tradeoffs of different courses of action, especially in
           | presence of incomplete information. Additionally, reliable
           | cost/benefit tradeoffs heavily inform the design of future
           | information gathering campaigns. Given the public's
           | heightened interest in Covid, it is unclear how to have
           | necessary cost/benefit conversations other than in public.
           | Censoring such conversations is potentially costing lives and
           | is eroding the public's trust in the authorities.
        
             | void_mint wrote:
             | This post entirely misunderstands YouTube's position in the
             | whole situation though. YouTube removes content advertising
             | the use of drugs outside of their (at least, at the time of
             | posting the video) prescribed usage. YouTube is not meant
             | to be a message board for "Does ___ work for ____ illness?
             | Let's see!".
        
               | emn13 wrote:
               | You're spot on. But beyond that, the idea that there's
               | any kind of general public enlightenment to be had by
               | spreading the most impactful (not necessarily accurate)
               | videos by algorithmic selection in the face of
               | considerable uncertainty and risk is absurd.
               | 
               | The youtube algorithm and social platform is not some
               | kind of careful dialog for mutual enlightenment. People
               | aren't _trying_ to rationally assess conflicting and
               | limited evidence, and youtubes algorithm _certainly_
               | doesn 't reward any such painstaking work.
               | 
               | As such _on youtube_ which is what this is about, any
               | such discussion is not at all likely to inform; yet
               | because convincing tales sell better, whatever claims are
               | made, are likely to sound convincing to at least some
               | people - truth and honesty are entirely orthogonal issues
               | here, or worse actively selected against (because they
               | 're usually messy, unclear, and thus boring).
               | 
               | And thus _on youtube_ the appropriate strategy is at a
               | bare minimum draconian censorship. I mean, ideally they
               | 'd dump the sensationalism-boosting algorithm, but that
               | ideal is obviously not a viable request to a platform
               | that depends on user engagement (of any kind) for its
               | survival.
               | 
               | Just because we don't want to live in an Orwellian
               | nightmare doesn't mean all speech is necessarily a value-
               | add, nor that there aren't any social dynamics that can
               | reliably induce harmful speech. The world isn't that
               | simple.
               | 
               | So while it's reasonable for people to seek certainty in
               | uncertain times, that doesn't mean youtube is the place
               | for everybody to debate ideal drug regimens.
        
               | bookofsand wrote:
               | Not sure if I got this correctly. The argument is that no
               | rational conversation of public interest can be hosted by
               | _youtube_ , in order to protect the public from the
               | sensationalistic garbage _youtube_ cynically promotes?
               | And the solution is to let the machine rampage freely,
               | but drastically censor certain points of view?
               | 
               | Worse, _youtube_ outcompetes traditional mass-media for
               | ad dollars by exploiting precisely the sensationalism
               | engine. The net result is an uninformed population fed
               | sensationalism on all cylinders, with rampant censorship
               | decided by a tiny clique. I have some doubts whether this
               | is a recipe for a stable prosperous society.
               | 
               | Edit. Of course the bulk of the conversation should
               | happen on technical grounds in the medical media in
               | relative obscurity. But given the high profile of the
               | covid pandemic, should a therapeutic drug with a stack of
               | studies backing claims of positive impact, be discussed
               | in mass-media?
        
         | throwaway192021 wrote:
         | My mom is on dialysis, has diabetes and hypertension. Recently
         | for a surgery we had to do a covid test. Dad also took the
         | test. Both were positive.
         | 
         | The nephrologist prescribed ivermectin for mom. She had mild
         | fever for 3 days and recovered. Dad had no obvious symptoms and
         | recovered(he was not prescribed ivermectin, hence did not take
         | it). The govt doctors don't prescribe it just vitamin c, zinc
         | and dolo. This is india btw.
        
         | oblib wrote:
         | I've been monitoring this for a long time now. I have
         | ivermectin on hand for deworming my two mini burros.
         | 
         | Of course, you're not supposed to use it on humans but they say
         | that about fish mox too. But as time went on it was pretty
         | clear to me that it was working to prevent covid from becoming
         | severe in the countries that were using it for that because
         | they had nothing much else to use. I saw many reports of it
         | working.
         | 
         | I also read about vitamin D, melatonin, famotidine, and aspirin
         | helping to reduce severity of infections. So, when my wife and
         | I got our 1st and 2nd jab of the Pfizer vaccine we took all of
         | those and had no reaction to it at all. Our daughter took it
         | before her first jab and had no reaction but didn't for her 2nd
         | and she did get sick. As soon as she told us she wasn't feeling
         | good we dosed her with those and just an hour or so later she
         | was feeling good again.
         | 
         | I haven't been infected and now I've reached full immunity so
         | none of that proves anything at all but it's still been worth
         | knowing.
        
           | yumraj wrote:
           | How do you know that that dosing did not interfere with you
           | developing proper immunity?
           | 
           | In fact, CDC recommends taking fever reducing medicine only
           | once you develop fever after a vaccine and not before
           | vaccination for just this reason.
        
         | ajb wrote:
         | " But since there hadn't been a randomized trial " This is not
         | true. A quick search shows 71 trials covering ivermectin, of
         | which 6 of which are complete, interventional[1], and have
         | results
         | 
         | https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/results?term=ivermectin&cond=...
         | 
         | [1] This should mean an RCT, but I haven't time to read through
         | each and check they are
        
           | PragmaticPulp wrote:
           | Yes, it has been explored, trialed, and experimented with
           | quite significantly.
           | 
           | The results show that there might be something there, but
           | it's not a miracle cure.
           | 
           | The conspiracy angles are coming from those who have been
           | misled into thinking it has been more successful than it
           | really has been, which leads to confusion about why it's not
           | being used everywhere.
        
         | lettergram wrote:
         | Ivermectin is a cheap drug, Mercer (who produces ivermectin) is
         | trying to produce their own covid19 drug.
         | 
         | Further, if there are viable alternative treatments we
         | shouldn't be using a vaccine still in phase 2/3 trials that
         | haven't even been tested on animals... the entire emergency use
         | authorization is only allowed if there aren't safe
         | alternatives.
         | 
         | Ivermectin is generally safe to take, and a known drug with
         | known risks. If it was shown to be effective the vaccine
         | rollouts should be stopped. So, there's a lot of political and
         | financial reasons to not publicize it.
        
           | pawelmurias wrote:
           | A treatment isn't an alternative to vaccination. Millions of
           | people have been vaccinated so we know it's safe, while tons
           | of people have died from covid so we know it's not safe.
        
             | lettergram wrote:
             | This study appears to show that there is a treatment that's
             | ~90% effective at reducing deaths.
             | 
             | The vaccines are not shown to be (may be) safe outside of a
             | brief few month window (for specific classes of people).
             | These are a new class of vaccine and there appears to be
             | significant risk based on the cdc data (VAERS).
             | 
             | https://austingwalters.com/covid19-vaccine-risks/
             | 
             | To be clear none of the vaccines really completed a
             | standard phase 2 or 3 trial. It had an abridged or
             | expedited version that skipped things like pregnant women,
             | etc. the vaccine is also not 100% effective, which is
             | important as it's a "leaky" vaccine. Meaning, we're going
             | to see lots of variants that get around our protection from
             | the vaccine. That's why treatments are important.
             | 
             | It's also possible we see genetic defects 2-3 years from
             | now or an increase in cancer. We really have no idea.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | fuckyah wrote:
           | And there you have it! Why is ivermectin censored? Because
           | otherwise they had to stop administering the experimental
           | vaxx.
        
         | desine wrote:
         | You can't get EUA for the vaccines if there's a working
         | treatment. The doctor who promoted Hydroxychloroquine and zinc
         | treatment, Dr. Zelenko, is still banned from Twitter for
         | spreading COVID disinformation.
         | 
         | There's both actual conspiracies in this world, and well
         | poisoning to damage the conversations. When you look at the
         | amount of money these companies stand to make from producing
         | billions of vaccinations, you should not be surprised.
        
           | sveiss wrote:
           | > You can't get EUA for the vaccines if there's a working
           | treatment.
           | 
           | Veklury (remdesivir) was approved by the FDA for the
           | treatment of Covid-19 in hospitalized individuals on October
           | 22, 2020. This was a full approval, not an emergency use
           | application: https://www.fda.gov/media/137574/download
           | 
           | We've continued using the vaccines under the existing EUAs
           | even after a treatment was approved.
           | 
           | The FDA has granted additional EUAs for other treatments,
           | even after that date: four more, not counting a sedative
           | agent, per https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-
           | response/mcm-... .
           | 
           | In fact, the FDA has even granted an EUA for a vaccine after
           | approving Veklury: the Janssen/J&J vaccine received its first
           | EUA on February 27, 2021.
           | https://www.fda.gov/media/146303/download
           | 
           | Even if ivermectin was a perfect treatment for Covid, and
           | even if an approved treatment would pull all the vaccines off
           | the market -- despite that not happening after the FDA
           | approved Veklury -- by the time ivermectin made its way
           | through the approval pipeline to be labelled for this
           | indication, the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines would very likely
           | have received approval as well. So there's no "billions of
           | vaccinations" at risk should another treatment be found to be
           | effective and approved.
        
             | epicureanideal wrote:
             | This is exactly why instead of censoring podcasts like Bret
             | Weinstein when he brings on guests to discuss ivermectin,
             | other experts should engage in debate with him.
             | 
             | When people who are credible scientists (like many of his
             | guests) get censored it can reasonably look suspicious.
             | 
             | I'm not saying he's correct, I'm just saying the right
             | answer is debate.
             | 
             | A person who is willing to have a calm, 3 hour discussion
             | on a topic is not the kind of person who needs to be
             | censored.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | No, the other experts are at work, and don't have time to
               | debate every person out there who has a following. This
               | pandemic is not yet over and guys like Weinstein are all
               | noise and no signal. Keep enough Weinsteins engaged and
               | progress on this front (real progress, not imaginary
               | progress) will grind to a halt.
        
             | wonnage wrote:
             | It's hilarious how parent comment's opening sentence is a
             | (easily debunked, as you've shown) conspiracy theory, and
             | in the next breath they're trying to sound reasonable and
             | Definitely Not a conspiracy theorist
        
               | dang wrote:
               | Please don't post in the flamewar style to HN. It's
               | hugely destructive of the threads, especially when the
               | topic is divisive, and your comment adds no information,
               | just poison. Please don't do that; instead, respond to
               | bad information with accurate information, and weak
               | arguments with stronger ones, without crossing into snark
               | or personal attack. If you can't or don't want to do
               | that, that's fine, but then please don't post.
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
             | azinman2 wrote:
             | Not to mention it's good to have treatment options in
             | addition to a vaccine. Vaccines aren't full-proof
             | (treatment options are then good), some people legitimately
             | can't get vaccinated, and should there be a mutation the
             | vaccines can't handle then you still want treatment.
        
           | azinman2 wrote:
           | Lots of others have debunked this here. Yet with all this
           | conspiracy stuff there's a big elephant in the room that no
           | one seems to ever talk about: Covid is a global virus. The
           | FDA can block and approve whatever treatments in the US, but
           | it has no authority in Brazil or Thailand. If all these
           | conspiracy drugs worked well yet the FDA blocked it for some
           | malicious intent, the rest of the world would approve and use
           | it. Particularly since these conspiracy drugs have all been
           | around forever, are generics, and exist globally. Yet we
           | aren't seeing this emerging despite massive world wide
           | deaths.
        
             | gustavodemari wrote:
             | In Brazil many people have used Ivermectin and our country
             | is getting a record of 500.000 deaths of covid today. Also,
             | here in Brazil we had many reports of people needing a
             | liver transplant because they caught drug-induced
             | hepatitis. So, in summary, 1. Ivermectin doesn't work and
             | 2. it can cause severe health issues if used wrongly.
        
             | monoideism wrote:
             | Wrong - there are countries it's being widely used in. For
             | example, India and many Easter European countries (and some
             | S. American???).
             | 
             | We need effective vaccines _and_ therapeutics. I don't
             | understand this push to discredit any therapeutic before
             | reasonable research has even been conducted.
        
               | leesalminen wrote:
               | > I don't understand this push to discredit any
               | therapeutic before reasonable research has even been
               | conducted.
               | 
               | It's simple. Money. Companies like it and want more of
               | it.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > I don't understand this push to discredit any
               | therapeutic before reasonable research has even been
               | conducted.
               | 
               | No such thing exists. There are literally dozens of
               | therapeutics in trials , and a few actually approved and
               | in non-trial general use (dexamethasone, remdesevir, and
               | favilavir, in various jurisdictions) -- for both, see [0]
               | -- the ones that tend to get strongly negative treatment
               | are hydroxychloroquine (not actually in trials) and
               | ivermectin (in Phase 2/3 trials), both on the basis of
               | unsupported scams around both earlier in the pandemic,
               | not any general aversion to therapeutics.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.raps.org/news-and-articles/news-
               | articles/2020/3/...
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | vimy wrote:
             | Most regions that use ivermectin have significantly less
             | deaths. Example:
             | https://twitter.com/jjchamie/status/1334228581870931968
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | That chart shows that state being the lowest death toll
               | both before _and_ after ivermectin treatment, which would
               | seem to point to some serious confounding factors in this
               | analysis.
        
               | azinman2 wrote:
               | Not to mention dramatic changes else where as well, and
               | that's assuming this data is accurate. It's also from
               | very early in the pandemic, when we didn't know as much
               | generally. Plus correlation =! causation. Could be far
               | better making behaviors there, or all kinds of other
               | factors. That's why you need randomized double blind
               | clinical trials, done by experts. This arm chair
               | "analysis" is just bad science.
        
               | kkwteh wrote:
               | To me, this kind of regional comparison has been most
               | convincing that Ivermectin is a very effective treatment.
               | 
               | This paper by Pierre Kory has graphs that clearly show
               | the evolution of Covid cases and deaths across different
               | states in Peru.
               | 
               | https://covid19criticalcare.com/wp-
               | content/uploads/2020/11/F...
        
             | ds206 wrote:
             | Well, all the data we have is from outside the U.S. so I
             | guess U.S. doctors in-the-know are trying to discuss it but
             | getting shut down on U.S.-based social media.
        
           | enkid wrote:
           | Source for the EUA stuff? Source that HCQ and zinc are viable
           | treatments? The problem isn't that some of these things might
           | be viable, the problem is we don't know which of the
           | literally hundreds of treatments are actually going to be
           | viable when going through the proper testing and approval
           | process. You can't just scream conspiracy when there much
           | better explanations
        
             | desine wrote:
             | >Source for the EUA stuff?
             | 
             | https://www.fdanews.com/ext/resources/files/archives/e/Emer
             | g...
             | 
             | (PDF warning)(section III, the first list, point #4)
             | 
             | >Source that HCQ and zinc are viable treatments?
             | 
             | Dozens? Hundreds? of doctors speaking out, including videos
             | posted to youtube, that they saw great effectiveness in the
             | trial. The people promoting it weren't a bunch of nobodys,
             | despite what the nightly news told you. There were plenty
             | of frontline workers with actual experience. But that
             | likely won't satisfy your request for a source - which is
             | fine. We all appeal to authority as we see fit. I saw many
             | actual doctors saying "this is effective", and I saw many
             | large corporations working together to shut that
             | conversation down.
             | 
             | Do you have any evidence it's not effective?
        
               | zarzavat wrote:
               | You are seriously proposing that if an effective
               | treatment had been found in 2020, that the US government
               | would have _denied EUA_ for vaccines while the rest of
               | the world got to work vaccinating their citizens?
        
               | enkid wrote:
               | A number with a question mark behind it is not evidence,
               | and even if hundreds of doctors did speak up about it,
               | hundreds of doctors thought Cholera was caused by miasma
               | instead of bad drinking water. Hundreds of doctors
               | thought bleeding was the universal cure all. Hundreds of
               | doctors thought washing their hands was useless. Some
               | random number of random doctors saying it may be
               | effective is not evidence of it's effectiveness.
               | 
               | Your document also doesn't say what you think it does. If
               | it did, we wouldn't be able to have multiple vaccines
               | approved. Is there any evidence that the FDA would
               | interpret a non vaccine as an alternative to a vaccine,
               | when there's no issue with granting EUA to multiple
               | vaccines? I doubt it, but would love to see what you
               | have.
        
               | belltaco wrote:
               | >Do you have any evidence it's not effective?
               | 
               | Do you have any evidence snake oil isn't effective?
               | 
               | Burden of proof is on the people claiming a magic cure.
               | 
               | Anyway here are a couple of studies that show it's not
               | effective.
               | 
               | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jmv.27122
               | 
               | https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2777389
               | 
               | Here's a good take by someone that does research on new
               | medicines.
               | 
               | https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/06/07
               | /iv...
        
               | vixen99 wrote:
               | And there are papers which show that it does. Rather than
               | descend into a 'my list of papers denoting effectiveness
               | is bigger than your's suggesting the opposite' contest, I
               | suggest you go to http://www.freefullpdf.com/#gsc.tab=0
               | and do some objective searching yourself preferably
               | without a prior agenda.
        
               | mcguire wrote:
               | We have to do this again? Hydroxychloroquine was debunked
               | months ago.
               | 
               | " _Among patients hospitalized with mild-to-moderate
               | Covid-19, the use of hydroxychloroquine, alone or with
               | azithromycin, did not improve clinical status at 15 days
               | as compared with standard care. (Funded by the Coalition
               | Covid-19 Brazil and EMS Pharma; ClinicalTrials.gov
               | number, NCT04322123. opens in new tab.)_ "
               | 
               | https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2019014
               | 
               | " _After high-risk or moderate-risk exposure to Covid-19,
               | hydroxychloroquine did not prevent illness compatible
               | with Covid-19 or confirmed infection when used as
               | postexposure prophylaxis within 4 days after exposure.
               | (Funded by David Baszucki and Jan Ellison Baszucki and
               | others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04308668. opens in
               | new tab.)_ "
               | 
               | https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2016638
               | 
               | " _Neither HCQ nor HCQ /AZ shortened the clinical course
               | of outpatients with COVID-19, and HCQ, but not HCQ/AZ,
               | had only a modest effect on SARS-CoV-2 viral shedding.
               | HCQ and HCQ/AZ are not effective therapies for outpatient
               | treatment of SARV-CoV-2 infection._"
               | 
               | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258953
               | 702...
               | 
               | " _Among patients hospitalized with Covid-19, those who
               | received hydroxychloroquine did not have a lower
               | incidence of death at 28 days than those who received
               | usual care. (Funded by UK Research and Innovation and
               | National Institute for Health Research and others;
               | RECOVERY ISRCTN number, ISRCTN50189673. opens in new tab;
               | ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04381936. opens in new
               | tab.)_ "
               | 
               | https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa2022926
               | 
               | Shall we discuss creationism?
        
               | jeremys00 wrote:
               | Hey mate for what it's worth and you might say not much
               | and may be right, the argument I ear goes as follow: the
               | trials showing the ineffectiveness of HCQ use protocols
               | that are inconsistent with the protocols the advocate of
               | HCQ propose.
               | 
               | To my understanding, the proponents tend to say that HCQ
               | is effective when administered as soon as first symptoms
               | (day 0 to 3 I believe). There are also dosage issues and
               | combinations with other drugs, and they say that's its
               | ineffective administered late.
               | 
               | In the first paper you propose, patients treated are
               | already hospitalized (day 14 or fewer still probably not
               | day 0 to 3). The fourth paper states (when following the
               | link the to protocol) that hospitalisation is a condition
               | for eligibility. That's not first symptoms.
               | 
               | The third papers talks about "initiated medication a
               | median of 5.9 days after symptom onset". So not 0 to 3
               | days?
               | 
               | The second paper you propose talks about administering
               | HCQ as post-exposure prophylaxis. It seems outside of the
               | scope to me.
               | 
               | There are other issues on this debate, dosage, drug
               | combinations, I can't talk about that, this website does:
               | 
               | https://hcqmeta.com/
               | 
               | This person resumes the argument this way:
               | 
               | https://roundingtheearth.substack.com/p/how-to-rig-
               | research-...
               | 
               | (Note that the fourth paper on your list is the RECOVERY
               | trial he's no a fan of)
               | 
               | What do you think about this? Also what about intelligent
               | design?
        
             | alaxsxaq wrote:
             | This is from the FDA website.
             | 
             | "Under section 564 of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic
             | Act (FD&C Act), when the Secretary of HHS declares that an
             | emergency use authorization is appropriate, FDA may
             | authorize unapproved medical products or unapproved uses of
             | approved medical products to be used in an emergency to
             | diagnose, treat, or prevent serious or life-threatening
             | diseases or conditions caused by CBRN threat agents when
             | certain criteria are met, including there are no adequate,
             | approved, and available alternatives."
             | 
             | You should probably drill into this if you are interested,
             | but the phrasing most often referenced by people talking
             | about effective therapeutics and the lack of approval by
             | the FDA is, "there are adequate, approved, and available
             | alternatives."
        
               | enkid wrote:
               | Can you point to anything that says the FDA would
               | consider HCQ or any of these other drugs as alternatives
               | to vaccines? They are not the same, and though they could
               | both treat COVID, my reading is not that this would limit
               | vaccine emergency authorization if there was a non
               | vaccine treatment. This is especially true considering
               | there are multiple vaccines approved under emergency use
               | which would be direct competitors. So, nope, I don't buy
               | it from just this wording. I need something saying
               | specifically that alternative treatments would stop a
               | vaccine being approved.
        
               | Dma54rhs wrote:
               | I believe it means vaccines should go typical testing and
               | vetting process, not the emergency shortened, is what the
               | op wanted to tell.
        
               | enkid wrote:
               | I understand that's what op is trying to say, but op
               | isn't providing sufficient evidence for that. Non
               | vaccines are not alternatives for vaccines. And we have
               | EUAs for things that would be alternatives to each other,
               | multiple vaccines. So there's not reason to think a
               | viable treatment for COVID would prevent a vaccine from
               | getting a EUA.
        
               | wrycoder wrote:
               | I get vaccinated for flu every year. And yet there is
               | Tamiflu, an effective palliative.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | The idea that ivermectin (even if it works, and gets
               | approved for this usage, which'd likely take as long as
               | the vaccines are taking to get to that point) is an
               | adequate alternative to a vaccine, which provides
               | _ongoing, lasting_ protection, is silly.
               | 
               | It'd be like claiming the existence of the iron lung is
               | sufficient to yank the polio vaccine out of production.
               | 
               | For example, Remdesivir is approved, without any sign of
               | that fact jeopardizing the EUA on the vaccines. https://w
               | ww.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/therapeutic-op...
               | 
               | > FDA has approved one drug, remdesivir (Veklury), for
               | the treatment of COVID-19 in hospitalized patients aged
               | 12 years and older who weigh at least 40 kg.
        
           | weaksauce wrote:
           | > You can't get EUA for the vaccines if there's a working
           | treatment.
           | 
           | Per the FDA: ""Under section 564 of the Federal Food, Drug,
           | and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act), when the Secretary of HHS
           | declares that an emergency use authorization is appropriate,
           | FDA may authorize unapproved medical products or unapproved
           | uses of approved medical products to be used in an emergency
           | to diagnose, treat, or prevent serious or life-threatening
           | diseases or conditions caused by CBRN threat agents when
           | certain criteria are met, including there are no adequate,
           | approved, and available alternatives.""
           | 
           | And that falls apart under some scrutiny... it says
           | "adequate, approved, and available alternatives." "adequate"
           | being efficacious which is debatable without testing.
           | "approved" which that drug is absolutely not approved for
           | covid use. "available" being enough supply which is debatable
           | if it turns out to be effective and widely used. I see no
           | reason why the EUA for the vaccines would be threatened by
           | this drug _also_ being used in an EUA fashion. if they are
           | going for actual approval for that drug it would take as long
           | as the vaccine to get.
           | 
           | > When you look at the amount of money these companies stand
           | to make from producing billions of vaccinations, you should
           | not be surprised.
           | 
           | I think that when you look at everything through the
           | conspiratorial lens... all you see are conspiracies.
        
             | adrianmonk wrote:
             | Also, I simply wouldn't assume the FDA considers a
             | treatment (this drug) an alternative to something that
             | prevents the disease (vaccines).
             | 
             | They both are used for the same disease but in different
             | ways. They are only alternatives in a very broad sense.
        
               | weaksauce wrote:
               | yeah agreed. literally the only people I've seen push
               | this kind of nonsense are antivaxxers and conspiracy
               | theorists. I don't understand why they need it to be true
               | so badly; doesn't pass any of the sniff tests under even
               | a little scrutiny.
               | 
               | Even if it fit all those criteria for being an
               | alternative it's not like it's some kind of thing that
               | couldn't be amended if they really needed/wanted to.
               | saddens me how reactionary everyone is.
               | 
               | Edit: also I forgot to make the point in my replay
               | above... it's not like having three vaccines under is
               | preventing another vaccine from getting EUA so even under
               | this logic framework it is nonsense. are they hinging it
               | on the fact that it's an approved drug for some other
               | disease?
        
               | ds206 wrote:
               | "literally the only people I've seen push this kind of
               | nonsense are antivaxxers and conspiracy theorists."
               | 
               | Literally? Everyone? LOL this is why there are so many
               | normal people in this thread saying "at least let's have
               | a discussion!"
               | 
               | Your sentiment is the reason (imo) that these discussions
               | are so hard to have, no offense.
        
           | belltaco wrote:
           | Dr. Zelenko held studies that 'showed' that HCQ had 100% cure
           | rate by excluding people that moved to an ICU from the
           | treatment group. The studies turned out to be complete bunk.
           | He's a fraud.
        
             | wrycoder wrote:
             | https://sebastianrushworth.com/2021/03/04/hydroxychloroquin
             | e...
             | 
             |  _Two observational studies, both carried out in New York
             | (Carlucci et al. and Derwan et al.), appear to show
             | promising results in patients treated with a combination of
             | hydroxychloroquine, zinc, and azithromycin. The first,
             | involving 932 paitents, showed a 55% reduction in relative
             | risk of death among those getting zinc in addition to
             | hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin, as compared with those
             | just getting hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin. The
             | second, involving 518 patients, showed an 80% reduction in
             | relative risk of death among those getting the full triple
             | therapy, when compared with a reference sample that didn't
             | get any of the drugs.
             | 
             | That seems impressive. However, these are low quality
             | observational studies that are seriously limited by the
             | methodology used. The scope for confounding effects is
             | huge. Therefore, these studies should be considered
             | exploratory and hypothesis generating. They certainly
             | should not be considered evidence of any cause and effect
             | relationship._
        
               | belltaco wrote:
               | >https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/01/us/coronavirus-
               | doctor-zel...
               | 
               | >In an interview on Friday, Dr. Zelenko said that he was
               | guilty of nothing more than sloppy wording.
               | 
               | >"I'm a clinician, not a researcher," he said. "I don't
               | understand fully the language of clinical research."
               | 
               | Yet he went on TV and on large podcasts and talked like
               | he was an expert on clinical research.
        
           | birken wrote:
           | Pfizer, a company that has contributed probably trillions of
           | dollars to global GDP over the past 6 months, is massively
           | underperforming the stock market when you compare pre-
           | pandemic to now [1]. The stock price in theory should price
           | in all the future cash flows from the vaccine. What is your
           | basis that the pharma companies are making tons of money on
           | these vaccines?
           | 
           | It isn't like the vaccines are pure profit. The pharma
           | companies have to develop them, they have to produce them,
           | they have to distribute them, and if they charge too much
           | they get into massive political trouble. It seems like it is
           | basically a giant marketing effort for pharma companies where
           | everybody in the world is benefiting.
           | 
           | 1: For example, from Feb 1st, 20 to today, Pfizer is up 10%
           | and the Vanguard total stock index VTI is up 35%
        
             | ds206 wrote:
             | "everybody in the world is benefiting"
             | 
             | Did the patent issues get resolved? Last I heard, the drug
             | companies didn't want to share because of reasons.
        
               | _Microft wrote:
               | The parent commenter might have wanted to say with that
               | that the vaccines help end the pandemic. The world
               | benefits from that because we are losing massive amounts
               | of money per day while still being stuck in the pandemic.
        
             | redrain wrote:
             | > What is your basis that the pharma companies are making
             | tons of money on these vaccines?
             | 
             | I am not sure, but doesn't companies make a lot of money if
             | their product sells a lot? I thought it was basic
             | economics.
             | 
             | Do you really need to look at the stocks to understand it?
        
             | tonfa wrote:
             | Isn't Pfizer mostly handling manufacturing and distribution
             | for biontech?
        
         | actually_a_dog wrote:
         | > There seemed to be an overwhelming amount of evidence....
         | 
         | > ....there hadn't been a randomized trial the drug
         | 
         | You don't see the contradiction here?
         | 
         | Edit: because it must be made 100% obvious, clinical trial
         | results are the _definition_ of evidence in medical science.
        
           | nicoburns wrote:
           | That's not really contradictory. Lots of covid treatments
           | have been discovered in hospital settings by doctors trying
           | desperately to find something to help their patients.
        
             | actually_a_dog wrote:
             | And those were later validated by evidence from clinical
             | trials. Until clinical trials involving significant numbers
             | of patients are available, there is not evidence according
             | to the standards of medical science. That's the
             | contradiction.
        
         | atlgator wrote:
         | Whether it works or not, there's no money to be made from
         | Ivermectin. It's a very cheap generic drug. Why else would they
         | stamp out all possible investigations of it just to ascertain
         | truth?
        
           | stordoff wrote:
           | Is the same not true for dexamethasone[1], which was the
           | first successful finding from the RECOVERY trial[2]? That's
           | how I've repeatedly seen it described[3] (FWIW, I was treated
           | with dexamethasone for Covid-19 in October 2020).
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dexamethasone
           | 
           | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RECOVERY_Trial
           | 
           | [3] "A cheap and widely available drug can help save the
           | lives[...]" https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53061281
        
             | h0l0cube wrote:
             | One could argue there's money to be _lost_ if it displaces
             | vaccines as a method of treatment (assuming it 's affects
             | are as lasting)
        
           | raphlinus wrote:
           | So is dexamethasone, and that's used world-wide for seriously
           | ill Covid patients.
           | 
           | What's the explanation for why dexamethasone was allowed but
           | ivermectin is being suppressed?
        
             | oblib wrote:
             | Basically it's been that there had been no studies to prove
             | it works for covid. It's been used mostly in poorer
             | countries that have had it on hand because it's relatively
             | inexpensive. Doctors in those countries have been sharing
             | info with each other and that's how it started being used a
             | lot.
             | 
             | During that time gather data for this use was begun and
             | it's taken this long to gather enough, over enough time, to
             | prove its efficacy according to the standards required.
        
           | benmw333 wrote:
           | People down vote this - they gasp saying "no way could this
           | be true" - yet they complain about big pharma right up until
           | the "right" virus/disease/whatever science thing comes along
           | and their tribe picks it up and runs with it - they're now
           | the savior. The left/right don't realize they both have
           | faith/religion of government. These politicians do not speak
           | for you or me. Voting only leads to consequence without
           | recourse.
        
       | christmm wrote:
       | Discussions about ivermectin must be banned from youtube. It
       | smells of Trump too much. Any scientific dissent, even justified,
       | should not be tolerated.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Please don't take HN threads further into flamewar. We're
         | trying for a different sort of internet here, if possible.
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
       | somewhereoutth wrote:
       | I present this post, the fact that it made the front page, and
       | many of the comments on it, as evidence that the US is sliding
       | into idiocy.
        
       | christmm wrote:
       | Who are the scientists that instructed YouTube to take down the
       | "Bret Weinstein and Pierre Kory" video?
        
         | ds206 wrote:
         | Link to the censored video:
         | https://odysee.com/@BretWeinstein:f/COVID-Ivermectin-and-the...
        
       | kitcar wrote:
       | The FDA has a page on Invermectin for Covid treatment, which
       | provides a reminder that veterinary drugs are not designed for
       | human consumption.
       | 
       | https://www.fda.gov/consumers/consumer-updates/why-you-shoul...
       | 
       | "For one thing, animal drugs are often highly concentrated
       | because they are used for large animals like horses and cows,
       | which can weigh a lot more than we do--a ton or more. Such high
       | doses can be highly toxic in humans.
       | 
       | Moreover, FDA reviews drugs not just for safety and effectiveness
       | of the active ingredients, but also for the inactive ingredients.
       | Many inactive ingredients found in animal products aren't
       | evaluated for use in people. Or they are included in much greater
       | quantity than those used in people. In some cases, we don't know
       | how those inactive ingredients will affect how ivermectin is
       | absorbed in the human body."
        
         | wonnage wrote:
         | The warning is there because some people decided to self-
         | medicate and bought veterinary doses and ODed.
        
           | andreilys wrote:
           | You can also over-dose on dihydrogen monoxide - should we
           | also ban any discussion on that?
        
             | JoshuaDavid wrote:
             | Hydroperoxyl (the common name for hydrogen dioxide) should
             | just break down into water and oxygen gas as soon as it
             | encounters H+ ions (e.g. when it touches liquid water), no?
             | Is there some particular reason you think the dangers are
             | being repressed? If your answer is something to do with
             | "free radicals" my understanding is that most of those come
             | from metabolic processes rather than things you eat.
        
               | andreilys wrote:
               | Thanks for correcting me, meant to say dihydrogen
               | monoxide, aka water ;)
               | 
               | My point being that you can over-dose on almost any
               | compound at high enough doses. So instead of driving the
               | conversation underground and letting patients self-
               | medicate, we should empower doctors with proper
               | information rather than painting Ivermectin as a
               | conspiracy theory drug
        
               | mcguire wrote:
               | Or, as the FDA page says,
               | 
               | " _If you have a prescription for ivermectin for an FDA-
               | approved use, get it from a legitimate source and take it
               | exactly as prescribed. Never use medications intended for
               | animals on yourself. Ivermectin preparations for animals
               | are very different from those approved for humans._ "
        
               | jiofih wrote:
               | That's a terrible argument. You can't unwittingly
               | overdose on water.
        
               | JoshuaDavid wrote:
               | Ah, yeah. Some actual RCTs with a decent sample size
               | would be nice though, so as to _have_ proper information
               | to empower doctors and patients with.
        
             | wonnage wrote:
             | I dunno how you made the jump from this warning to banning
             | discussion
        
         | whoooooo123 wrote:
         | Ivermectin isn't a "veterinary drug", it's been used as a human
         | medicine for decades.
        
           | wrycoder wrote:
           | The use of ivermectin in _humans_ to treat parasites won a
           | _Nobel Prize_.
           | 
           | Quoting from the Wikipedia page:
           | 
           |  _" Half of the 2015 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine
           | was awarded jointly to Campbell and Omura for discovering
           | avermectin, "the derivatives of which have radically lowered
           | the incidence of river blindness and lymphatic filariasis, as
           | well as showing efficacy against an expanding number of other
           | parasitic diseases"_
        
           | kitcar wrote:
           | The link I provided from the FDA says:
           | 
           | "There seems to be a growing interest in a drug called
           | ivermectin to treat humans with COVID-19. Ivermectin is often
           | used in the U.S. to treat or prevent parasites in animals.
           | 
           | The FDA has received multiple reports of patients who have
           | required medical support and been hospitalized after self-
           | medicating with ivermectin intended for horses."
        
             | krona wrote:
             | The most common way to treat onchocerciasis (river
             | blindness) is by using ivermectin.
        
             | ds206 wrote:
             | It's also been given to people around the world billions of
             | times for 4 or 5 decades.
             | 
             | Yeah, don't take the horse dose lol, take the human dose.
        
             | [deleted]
        
       | mgamache wrote:
       | Countdown to Tess Lawrie being attacked 3,2,1....
        
         | mgamache wrote:
         | keep downvoting. She's already had her Twitter account
         | suspended.
         | 
         | https://twitter.com/marybethpf/status/1404880155537985541
        
           | dang wrote:
           | Can you please not post unsubstantive and/or flamebait
           | comments to HN? If you have substantive information to share,
           | please share it thoughtfully. If you post like you're doing
           | in this thread, it's just pouring fuel on the flames, and no
           | one learns anything from that.
           | 
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
           | 
           | Moreover, you discredit your own view by posting like this,
           | which isn't in your interest--and if your view happens to be
           | correct, then you're actually discrediting the truth as well,
           | and that's a harmful thing to do. https://hn.algolia.com/?dat
           | eRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...
        
       | FriendlyNormie wrote:
       | You belong in a coffin.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | gmnash wrote:
       | It's banned on YouTube because of multiple authoritative sources
       | indicating it's not a safe and effective treatment for COVID-19.
       | 
       | Here is the FDA's stance: https://www.fda.gov/consumers/consumer-
       | updates/why-you-shoul...
       | 
       | Here is the European equivalent of the AMA advising against it's
       | use: https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/ema-advises-against-use-
       | iv...
       | 
       | Here is an RCT in JAMA finding it ineffective:
       | https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2777389
       | 
       | And here is Merck, that sells Ivermectin, but whose vaccine
       | didn't make it through clinical trials, discouraging the use of
       | Ivermectin for COVID-19: https://www.merck.com/news/merck-
       | statement-on-ivermectin-use...
       | 
       | If Ivermectin worked on COVID-19, the manufacturer of Ivermectin
       | that has made no money on vaccines for COVID-19 would probably be
       | pushing it wouldn't they?
       | 
       | There have been some studies that found it effective in vitro,
       | but as noted in other comments, at several times the safe dosage
       | in vivo.
        
         | andreilys wrote:
         | _If Ivermectin worked on COVID-19, the manufacturer of
         | Ivermectin that has made no money on vaccines for COVID-19
         | would probably be pushing it wouldn 't they?_
         | 
         | Surprise, Merck is now working on anti-viral drug whose profits
         | would be eaten into by an off-patent drug (ivermectin)
         | 
         | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-03-25/merck-mrk...
        
         | rubatuga wrote:
         | > Here is an RCT in JAMA finding it ineffective:
         | 
         | For treating what? This study looked at trying to reduce mild
         | COVID-19 symptoms. In fact, the current strongest evidence is
         | for prophylaxis, as well as treating more severe cases. Also
         | the study didn't show that it was ineffective, it showed that
         | it couldn't disprove the null hypothesis. Please get your facts
         | straight, before throwing a link to a overly specific RCT to
         | prove your point.
        
         | analyte123 wrote:
         | Actually the EMA link says that current evidence for ivermectin
         | is insufficient and it cannot currently be recommended outside
         | of trials. This not the same as claiming that it does _not_
         | work or that it is hazardous, although many journalists can
         | seemingly not tell the difference. The FDA's advisory is mostly
         | about people overdosing on veterinary ivermectin. They
         | emphasize that overdose and medication interactions are
         | possible, veterinary ivermectin is not a good substitute for
         | human ivermectin, and that ivermectin is not an approved
         | treatment for COVID-19. Again, even within the paradigm of
         | blindly listening to authoritative sources, this is not an
         | assertion that normal doses of ivermectin for off-label use are
         | dangerous and should be prohibited for prescription, let alone
         | an order for tech companies to censor the mere mention of it.
         | 
         | When the FDA's advisory came out, there were articles (eg [1])
         | referring to ivermectin-the-molecule as a "horse de-wormer" and
         | drawing no distinction between animal and human use (and it
         | _has_ been proven safe and effective in humans, just not for
         | COVID). The level of discourse around this feels like I am
         | reading 90s drug war content.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.businessinsider.com/people-poisoning-
         | themselves-...
        
           | joe_the_user wrote:
           | It seems it is you who is misrepresenting the ema link.
           | 
           | Key quote: " _Although ivermectin is generally well tolerated
           | at doses authorised for other indications, side effects could
           | increase with the much higher doses that would be needed to
           | obtain concentrations of ivermectin in the lungs that are
           | effective against the virus. Toxicity when ivermectin is used
           | at higher than approved doses therefore cannot be excluded._
           | "
           | 
           | IE, the dose needed for covid could quite possibly be
           | harmful.
        
             | analyte123 wrote:
             | Agreed on missing this facet of their advisory. However,
             | the concentration of ivermectin in the early in vitro study
             | was 35x higher than the plasma concentration reached for
             | the approved ivermectin dose [1] whereas the doses used in
             | ivermectin trials (https://ivmmeta.com) range from 1x to
             | 10x the approved dose daily, with successful results as low
             | as 4x approved dose (1x approved dose daily for 4 days)[2].
             | So whatever ivermectin is doing, it doesn't seem to require
             | the concentration that the initial in vitro study required.
             | 
             | [1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32378737/
             | 
             | [2] The approved dose is actually 200 mcg/kg. I used 12mg
             | to correspond to a normal adult "approved dose" for these
             | numbers.
        
               | joe_the_user wrote:
               | You've gone from "no, the EMA didn't really to object" to
               | "here's why their objection is wrong". See how that
               | works?
               | 
               | The thing about Covid is that it isn't "super deadly". It
               | has about a 1% fatality rate. That's terrible for society
               | as a whole when the disease is also extremely infectious.
               | But it means that "I took X and recovered from Covid"
               | isn't the most amazing thing.
               | 
               |  _" So whatever ivermectin is doing, it doesn't seem to
               | require the concentration that the initial in vitro study
               | required."_ Maybe the trial dose does nothing at all and
               | people are recovering like they normally do.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | Yes, this is the key item. In vitro there has been some
             | success but at dosage _far_ higher (double digits) than
             | what the safe dose is, and no in vivo trial has been done
             | at those dosages (and likely never will due to the risks
             | involved).
        
         | reedjosh wrote:
         | There's a large body of evidence in the opposite direction as
         | well.
         | 
         | I just pulled the following from Bret Weinstein's show notes.
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kSWjl-JOIqs
         | 
         | British Ivermectin Recommendation Development group:
         | https://bird-group.org
         | 
         | The BIRD Recommendation on the Use of Ivermectin for Covid-19:
         | Executive Summary: https://bird-group.org/wp-
         | content/uploads/2021/03/bird-execu...
         | 
         | Carvallo et al 2020. Study of the efficacy and safety of
         | topical ivermectin+ iota-carrageenan in the prophylaxis against
         | COVID-19 in health personnel. J. Biomed. Res. Clin. Investig.,
         | 2.
         | https://medicalpressopenaccess.com/upload/1605709669_1007.pd...
         | 
         | Cobos-Campos et al 2021.Potential use of ivermectin for the
         | treatment and prophylaxis of SARS-CoV-2 infection: Efficacy of
         | ivermectin for SARS-CoV-2. Clin Res Trials, 7: 1-5.
         | https://www.readkong.com/page/potential-use-of-ivermectin-fo...
         | 
         | Database of all ivermectin COVID-19 studies. 93 studies, 55
         | peer reviewed, 56 with results comparing treatment and control
         | groups: https://c19ivermectin.com
         | 
         | Karale et al 2021. A Meta-analysis of Mortality, Need for ICU
         | admission, Use of Mechanical Ventilation and Adverse Effects
         | with Ivermectin Use in COVID-19 Patients.
         | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2021/05/04/202...
         | 
         | Kory et al 2021. Review of the Emerging Evidence Demonstrating
         | the Efficacy of Ivermectin in the Prophylaxis and Treatment of
         | COVID-19. American Journal of Therapeutics, 28(3): e299:
         | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8088823/
         | 
         | Nardelli et al 2021. Crying wolf in time of Corona: the strange
         | case of ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine. Is the fear of
         | failure withholding potential life-saving treatment from
         | clinical use?. Signa Vitae, 1: 2.
         | https://oss.signavitae.com/mre-signavitae/article/20210508-3...
         | 
         | Yagisawa et al 2021. Global trends in clinical studies of
         | ivermectin in COVID-19. The Japanese Journal of Antibiotics,
         | 74: 1.
         | https://www.psychoactif.org/forum/uploads/documents/161/74-1...
        
           | wrycoder wrote:
           | In addition, there is this summary:
           | 
           | https://covid19criticalcare.com/ivermectin-in-covid-19/
           | 
           | and
           | 
           | https://journals.lww.com/americantherapeutics/fulltext/2021/.
           | ..
           | 
           |  _Meta-analyses based on 18 randomized controlled treatment
           | trials of ivermectin in COVID-19 have found large,
           | statistically significant reductions in mortality, time to
           | clinical recovery, and time to viral clearance. Furthermore,
           | results from numerous controlled prophylaxis trials report
           | significantly reduced risks of contracting COVID-19 with the
           | regular use of ivermectin. Finally, the many examples of
           | ivermectin distribution campaigns leading to rapid
           | population-wide decreases in morbidity and mortality indicate
           | that an oral agent effective in all phases of COVID-19 has
           | been identified._
           | 
           | Edit: There's a mountain of data here:
           | 
           | https://ivmmeta.com/
           | 
           | Edit: Clip from that last link:
           | 
           |  _*While many treatments have some level of efficacy, they do
           | not replace vaccines and other measures to avoid infection.
           | Only 27% of ivermectin studies show zero events in the
           | treatment arm. *Elimination of COVID-19 is a race against
           | viral evolution. No treatment, vaccine, or intervention is
           | 100% available and effective for all current and future
           | variants. All practical, effective, and safe means should be
           | used. Not doing so increases the risk of COVID-19 becoming
           | endemic; and increases mortality, morbidity, and collateral
           | damage._
        
           | glenra wrote:
           | Nearly all of your links are broken. I think you copy-pasted
           | the text of links that had been truncated with a "...", where
           | the part prior to "..." is not sufficient to constitute a
           | valid web address. For instance, the link for Carvallo et al
           | 2010 should be this, which resolves: https://medicalpressopen
           | access.com/upload/1605709669_1007.pd...
           | 
           | ..rather than this, which doesn't:
           | 
           | https://medicalpressopenaccess.com/up
        
             | reedjosh wrote:
             | Thank you! I've fixed them.
        
         | lvs wrote:
         | WHO statement: https://www.who.int/news-room/feature-
         | stories/detail/who-adv...
        
         | throwkeep wrote:
         | > If Ivermectin worked on COVID-19, the manufacturer of
         | Ivermectin that has made no money on vaccines for COVID-19
         | would probably be pushing it wouldn't they?
         | 
         | No, because it's out of patent. There's little profit to be
         | made. Merck is instead pushing a new drug that they will have a
         | monopoly on.
         | 
         | "Merck Announces Supply Agreement with U.S. Government for
         | Molnupiravir, an Investigational Oral Antiviral Candidate for
         | Treatment of Mild to Moderate COVID-19"
         | 
         | https://www.merck.com/news/merck-announces-supply-agreement-...
         | 
         | Big pharma 101.
         | 
         | As for Ivermectin effectiveness, it looks promising. There was
         | an evidence based clinical review posted on Nature earlier this
         | week:
         | 
         | "As per data available on 16 May 2021, 100% of 36 early
         | treatment and prophylaxis studies report positive effects (96%
         | of all 55 studies). Of these, 26 studies show statistically
         | significant improvements in isolation. Random effects meta-
         | analysis with pooled effects using the most serious outcome
         | reported 79% and 85% improvement for early treatment and
         | prophylaxis respectively (RR 0.21 [0.11-0.37] and 0.15
         | [0.09-0.25]). The results were similar after exclusion based
         | sensitivity analysis: 81% and 87% (RR 0.19 [0.14-0.26] and 0.13
         | [0.07-0.25]), and after restriction to 29 peer-reviewed
         | studies: 82% and 88% (RR 0.18 [0.11-0.31] and 0.12
         | [0.05-0.30]). Statistically significant improvements were seen
         | for mortality, ventilation, hospitalization, cases, and viral
         | clearance. 100% of the 17 Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs)
         | for early treatment and prophylaxis report positive effects,
         | with an estimated improvement of 73% and 83% respectively (RR
         | 0.27 [0.18-0.41] and 0.17 [0.05-0.61]), and 93% of all 28
         | RCTs."
         | 
         | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41429-021-00430-5
        
           | reedjosh wrote:
           | You have to give credit where it's due. People were
           | suspicious of big pharma cos prior to the miracle vaccine,
           | but today they line up to defend them.
        
           | _Wintermute wrote:
           | Dexamethasone is off patent, it's cheap and widely available,
           | it's also the standard of care for covid-19 patients on
           | respiratory support.
           | 
           | What's the difference between dexamethasone and
           | hydroxycholoroquine/ivermectin/next-consipracy-theory?
           | 
           | It's been proven to work. There's no conspiracy, just
           | pharmacology is hard, and people's random hunches typically
           | don't work out.
        
         | reedjosh wrote:
         | Also, and feel free to downvote...
         | 
         | > multiple authoritative sources
         | 
         | Gross!
         | 
         | Authority is the problem. We need to use our own minds. The
         | very idea that an ad tech co is backing an amorphous group of
         | authoritative governmental bodies is repugnant.
         | 
         | > And here is Merck, that sells Ivermectin
         | 
         | Ivermectin has been out of patent for years--so it is not
         | particularly profitable anyway. The initial claim insinuates
         | that Merck went against its own interest, but there was never
         | much profit to be made from an old and proven safe drug that
         | can be sold by generic manufactures.
        
           | gmnash wrote:
           | It's impossible to be an expert in every field, particularly
           | those as complicated as medicine. Furthermore, you don't have
           | to rely on authority, I linked to an RCT showing it was
           | ineffective.
           | 
           | "Not particularly profitable", which is speculative, is still
           | profitable. I highly doubt any one at Merck is actively
           | working against selling a drug they already manufacture at a
           | profit, but feel free to provide evidence otherwise.
        
             | isoskeles wrote:
             | Can you explain how the RCT is more useful than the meta-
             | analysis that was posted as the OP?
        
           | lph wrote:
           | > Authority is the problem. We need to use our own minds.
           | 
           | No offense, but that depends on the quality of minds. What
           | you've just said is exactly what Q-Anon proponents say, just
           | before they go on to repeat absolutely baseless conspiracy
           | theories they heard about on YouTube.
        
         | AndrewBissell wrote:
         | > _And here is Merck, that sells Ivermectin, but whose vaccine
         | didn't make it through clinical trials, discouraging the use of
         | Ivermectin for COVID-19:https://www.merck.com/news/merck-
         | statement-on-ivermectin-use...
         | 
         | If Ivermectin worked on COVID-19, the manufacturer of
         | Ivermectin that has made no money on vaccines for COVID-19
         | would probably be pushing it wouldn't they?_
         | 
         | You are misinformed. Merck has a particular formulation of
         | Ivermectin that they sell but the vast majority of it is made
         | off patent by other manufacturers for very little profit. If
         | they had an exclusive patent on a drug that they could make any
         | flimsy case for effectiveness against Covid I'm sure they would
         | be pushing it, the way Gilead has with remdesivir.
        
       | mgamache wrote:
       | Remember if Ivermectin was considered a safe treatment, there
       | would have been no Emergency Use Authorization for vaccines.
       | There was huge incentives to suppress the Ivermectin story until
       | the vaccines were approved. Merck claimed it's own drug (off
       | patent) did not have enough safety data. This is a drug taken by
       | millions of people every month for decades.
        
         | jhayward wrote:
         | This is a conspiracy theory. Why is it that everyone who pushes
         | Ivermectin as a miracle cure for COVID is also a conspiracy
         | aficionado?
        
           | guscost wrote:
           | Simple. You have defined the latter as some variation on the
           | former.
        
             | jhayward wrote:
             | No, "there is a worldwide conspiracy to suppress Ivermectin
             | so that Big Pharma can make vaccines" is clearly a
             | conspiracy theory, it's not a tautology.
             | 
             | Seriously, why all the tinfoil?
        
               | andreilys wrote:
               | People called the lab leak theory a conspiracy theory
               | (because it was associated with Trump and "racism").
               | 
               | Now we have blue-chip liberal celebrities like Jon
               | Stewart coming out in favor of the lab leak hypothesis.
        
               | happytoexplain wrote:
               | Giving the benefit of the doubt (that new evidence is
               | compelling), that still doesn't retroactively justify
               | anything. The information available in the past is not
               | affected by the informative available in the future. If
               | we discover that Bush irrefutably orchestrated 9/11, that
               | doesn't make the conspiracy theorists' rationales more
               | rational. It feels natural to make that connection, but
               | that's only in service of our side-taking tendencies.
        
               | andreilys wrote:
               | The problem is that the quality/quantity of evidence has
               | not changed.
               | 
               | Plenty of folks have been drawing attention to the lab
               | leak hypothesis way before it reached mainstream, and
               | they were using the exact same arguments and facts that
               | the mainstream is co-opting now.
               | 
               | The only difference is that Trump is out of office, so
               | people are less afraid to associate with the idea that
               | the Lab Leak Hypothesis is worth investigating
        
               | mgamache wrote:
               | Why the tinfoil? When the WHO and the CDC/NIH and public
               | officials lie repeatedly and demonstrably you can not
               | trust them. Sort of invites wondering what the game is,
               | because it's not public health.
        
           | whoooooo123 wrote:
           | You mean it's implausible that Big Pharma might do
           | reprehensible things for profit?
        
           | mgamache wrote:
           | All I said was there was a disincentive and claimed it's
           | being wrongly characterized as 'unsafe' by the company that
           | brought it to market. Are either of those statements
           | incorrect?
        
             | jsnell wrote:
             | Yes. I believe it is factually incorrect that a treatment
             | with the claimed efficacy numbers would have prevented an
             | EUA, given the vaccines we got were both safe and more
             | effective.
        
               | mgamache wrote:
               | The vaccine is experimental and the full safety profile
               | is still being discovered. The EUA specially requires
               | that there is "no adequate, approved, and available
               | alternatives". The conclusion: "large reductions in
               | COVID-19 deaths are possible using ivermectin" suggests
               | it may be a viable alternative to widescale deployment of
               | a vaccine that _did not_ go through the full approval
               | process.
        
               | jsnell wrote:
               | No, sorry. The linked study suggests a 60% reduction in
               | deaths from this drug. Even if it were true, it is
               | nowhere enough to be an adequeate alternative to the
               | vaccines, that were both vastly more effective at
               | reducing deaths and could also significantly reduce
               | transmission.
        
               | wrycoder wrote:
               | If you got the first dose of vaccine and then presented
               | with COVID (that does happen), a short course of
               | ivermectin immediately could likely do you some real
               | good.
        
               | jsnell wrote:
               | That is totally irrelevant to the subject at hand:
               | whether use of this drug would have prevented EUAs for
               | vaccines. It clearly would not have, this is just a pure
               | conspiracy theory.
        
               | wrycoder wrote:
               | I am double vaccinated. I'm not proposing ivermectin as a
               | substitute for vaccination. It's a palliative which may
               | reduce serious consequences if an unvaccinated (or
               | partially vaccinated) person presents with COVID. In that
               | case, a vaccination would not act quickly enough to
               | develop immunity. Even early use of Ivermectin would not
               | have prevented the EUAs, because around 30% of those
               | taking Ivermectin develop serious COVID, some progressing
               | to death.
               | 
               | The problem is the EUA argument preventing the use of
               | Ivermectin, not the other way around.
        
         | guscost wrote:
         | Hey investigative journalists, pull on this thread! This one
         | right over here!
        
           | jiofih wrote:
           | Hmm.. how about scientists instead?
        
       | hannob wrote:
       | This looks less ridiculous than the last metaanalysis on
       | Ivermectin that was posted here.
       | 
       | Still if you look at it there's some reason for caution. Not all
       | of the included studies were RCTs, some were not blinded. If you
       | look at the "Risk of Bias"-Table there are really only three
       | studies that could qualify as high quality.
       | 
       | I'm waiting for judgement from medical experts.
        
         | jiofih wrote:
         | The medical experts at _Frontiers of Pharmacology_ , the #2
         | journal in the field, rejected the paper due to lack of rigor.
        
         | andreilys wrote:
         | Unfortunately medical experts are not allowed to discuss this
         | in public, so we're left with back door meetings where Pharma
         | execs will inevitably push outcomes that will be favorable for
         | their bottom line.
         | 
         | Who wants to invest billions of dollars into a new
         | vaccine/anti-viral drug only to lose out on all that investment
         | by Ivermectin which will not contribute a single cent to the
         | Pharma execs year-end bonus?
        
           | hannob wrote:
           | > Unfortunately medical experts are not allowed to discuss
           | this in public
           | 
           | I've heard and read quite a bunch of them discuss this in
           | public in the past, they must've been unaware that this is
           | illegal. Or maybe it just isn't.
        
           | belltaco wrote:
           | Merck sells Ivrmectin and recently had their vaccine
           | candidate fail, they might be behind this push for IVR, with
           | all the behind the scenes PR for it and the questionable
           | speciality anonymous websites in this thread.
        
             | leesalminen wrote:
             | Merck is developing a new anti-viral drug that would be
             | much more profitable than Ivermectin.
             | 
             | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-03-25/merck-
             | mrk...
        
       | ralph84 wrote:
       | Whether ivermectin helps with covid or not, it's certainly not an
       | advertising company's role to censor the debate.
        
         | belltaco wrote:
         | And it's certainly not right wing politicians' and talking
         | heads' role to promote unproven medical treatments and be anti-
         | vaxx to their huge audience, but here we are.
        
         | takeda wrote:
         | We don't have extensive studies that injecting bleach helps as
         | well.
         | 
         | There is a huge liability to those companies if it would end
         | with deaths or health issues ("Facebook only looked for profits
         | and didn't care that people were killed by misinformation")
         | 
         | You should not get medical advice from social media, and
         | Facebook is also not the right place to discuss medical
         | research.
         | 
         | Ironically few days ago people here commented that HN was
         | linking to a rant on Facebook about performance in Python
         | affected by shared libraries.
         | 
         | FB was considered not suitable for that kind of discussion and
         | link was changed to bug database, yet some people don't have
         | problem about discussing medical treatment there.
        
           | dang wrote:
           | Just to be clear, if we changed a URL from one source to
           | another, that would be rooted in 10+ years of HN moderation
           | practice and would have been about the specific articles, for
           | example we would tend to replace a "rant" with a more
           | substantive/original source. It would imply nothing about FB
           | being "considered not suitable". Plenty of FB articles have
           | been discussed here over the years; though there tend to be
           | issues with login walls and whatnot and I think the community
           | tends to prefer the open web for content.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | turnerc wrote:
       | I highly recommend Dr. John Campbell video's on the Ivermectin
       | topic:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R0-90kvoQac
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLWQtT7dHGE
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2ju5v4TAaQ
        
       | MilnerRoute wrote:
       | I Googled Ivermectin meta-analysis. But instead of finding the
       | article we're discussing now, I found a different meta-analysis.
       | 
       | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.21.21257595v...
       | 
       | It concluded Ivermectin "did not reduce all-cause mortality,
       | length of stay or viral clearance in RCTs in COVID-19 patients
       | with mostly mild disease. IVM did not have effect on AEs or SAEs.
       | IVM is not a viable option to treat COVID-19 patients."
       | 
       | But wait... Before you upvote or downvote me, I want to say this
       | proves something entirely different than what we may think. It
       | proves that there's lots of studies -- some say one thing, some
       | say another. I can produce a study which seems to convincingly
       | prove one side of an issue -- and somebody else can produce a
       | different study which seems to show the opposite.
        
         | zanethomas wrote:
         | compare to duckduckgo results
         | 
         | https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffab&q=+Ivermectin+meta-analysis&a...
        
         | jiofih wrote:
         | Or it proves that meta-analyses are meaningless when you can
         | pick the target studies at will.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | guscost wrote:
       | And the hits just keep coming. What a pair of years.
        
       | deadalus wrote:
       | This URL is blacklisted from Google. Try it.
       | 
       | * "Few people know that Google voluntarily removes some search
       | results" :
       | https://twitter.com/kashhill/status/1402986015107653647
        
         | selimthegrim wrote:
         | Dedicated Frank Zappa fans might.
        
       | mikeytown2 wrote:
       | N=1. Me and my 2 year old had covid. My wife started ivermectin
       | and never got sick. Shared bed and sick 2 year old wants mommy.
       | 
       | Ivermectin didn't work for me (diarrhea) but my fever went from
       | 102.7 down to 99 12 hours after HQC after 6 days of a slow
       | downward spiral (fever kept going up and up every day). So for
       | me, my take is the drugs absolutely worked.
        
         | f38zf5vdt wrote:
         | I had a raging case of COVID19, and deep into a 39C fever I
         | began burning offerings and meat and honey to the moon. It was
         | late at night, and I figured maybe the Moon God would be awake.
         | There was no effect on the fever.
         | 
         | Once the dawn came, I gyrated wildly in the direction of the
         | sun while burning incense. Within hours, my fever broke and was
         | down to a lukewarm 38C! Now I see that COVID19 is the domain of
         | the Sun God. I was a fool for praying to the moon the whole
         | time.
         | 
         | My relatives had COVID19 too. Two were completely asymptomatic
         | and two had moderate disease in a family of 4. Since half of
         | COVID19 cases are asymptomatic, many people think because
         | they're taking foo, it had effect bar against the disease and
         | that is why they aren't sick. But it turned out they're just
         | one of the lucky 1 in 2.
        
           | dang wrote:
           | Please don't take HN threads further into flamewar,
           | especially not on divisive topics.
           | 
           | We all know that anecdotes aren't statistical evidence. That
           | doesn't make them offtopic. They're interesting, and they're
           | the lifeblood of conversation. Generally on HN the approach
           | is to trust readers to be able to make their own minds.
           | 
           | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que.
           | ..
           | 
           | If you wouldn't mind reviewing
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and taking
           | the intended spirit of the site more to heart, we'd be
           | grateful. Note these ones: " _Don 't be snarky._", " _Please
           | respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of what
           | someone says, not a weaker one that 's easier to criticize.
           | Assume good faith._", and " _Comments should get more
           | thoughtful and substantive, not less, as a topic gets more
           | divisive._ "
        
             | CamperBob2 wrote:
             | _We all know that anecdotes aren 't statistical evidence.
             | That doesn't make them offtopic. They're interesting_
             | 
             | They were interesting before they were weaponized by
             | politicians. Then they became a threat.
             | 
             | This crap doesn't belong here, dang. Seriously.
        
               | axguscbklp wrote:
               | The Hacker News guidelines say:
               | 
               | "On-Topic: Anything that good hackers would find
               | interesting. That includes more than hacking and
               | startups. If you had to reduce it to a sentence, the
               | answer might be: anything that gratifies one's
               | intellectual curiosity."
               | 
               | There is nothing in there about censoring things because
               | they have been weaponized by politicians or because they
               | are a threat.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | I don't see any reason to think that mikeytown2's comment
               | is being weaponized by politicians or that mikeytown2 is
               | a weaponizing politician.
               | 
               | My purview is limited to HN and I try never to
               | extrapolate beyond that, but as far as HN goes, we've
               | always favored the principle that readers are smart
               | enough to make up their own minds. I've been saying that
               | for 7 years (https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0
               | &prefix=true&que...) and I don't think that the crises
               | and tectonic shifts of the past few years have given any
               | reason to change that--actually the opposite. (It has
               | been a lot of work trying to shore up a culture of
               | thoughtful commenting, with mixed results, but that's a
               | separate issue.) IMO you guys should worry less about
               | restricting what other people might see or think and
               | worry more about finding the best information and the
               | best arguments to persuade each other with.
               | 
               | To repeat: my remarks are limited to HN, which is the
               | space I've observed enough to speak about. I'm not saying
               | HN is an exception and I'm not saying it isn't an
               | exception; I don't know.
               | 
               | Edit: There are another couple points I'd like to make.
               | First, I think there's a perspective bias here. We all
               | assume that _we 're_ the smart one capable of making
               | judgments about what the dumber ones might think, but
               | literally everyone sees themselves that way. That shows
               | not only that we can't all be right about that, but--more
               | interestingly--that this entire line of thinking is
               | invalid. It's a hard-wired unreliable narrator.
               | 
               | Second and last, if HN readers _aren 't_ smart enough to
               | make up their own minds, then this place is fucked, so we
               | might as well make a Pascal's wager about it.
        
               | f38zf5vdt wrote:
               | Thank you.
        
             | f38zf5vdt wrote:
             | My anecdote is exactly as valid as his. You can't prove the
             | Sun God didn't cure me.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | That's deeply, and I think obviously, not the point.
               | Please stop now.
        
         | brokensegue wrote:
         | this is not how science works
        
           | slumdev wrote:
           | Actually, it does. It starts with data.
           | 
           | Sure, we can't conclude from his N=1 experiment that it
           | definitely works.
           | 
           | But Youtube wants to conclude from N=0 that it definitely
           | doesn't work, and they don't want the peasantry asking
           | questions.
        
             | gcbirzan wrote:
             | It doesn't start with "my wife didn't get sick after
             | getting treatment X". This is not data, this is noise.
        
           | wrycoder wrote:
           | But it is how science starts.
        
       | f38zf5vdt wrote:
       | Ivermectin has to be one, presumptuously, of the most ridiculous
       | foreign PSYOP interventions in recent memory. I believe that
       | somewhere there's a bet going on for how many Westerners they can
       | get taking dog medication thinking it makes them immune to
       | COVID19.
       | 
       | We already have a cure! In most countries, it's even _free_! And
       | yet I read paranoid blogs online from conspiracy theorists who
       | refuse a vaccine but guzzle down veterinary medication user to
       | treat heartworm and digestive parasites.
       | 
       | Pound me with downvotes, I'll hold my breath until I see a large
       | scale randomized double-blind trial.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Please don't post flamebait to HN, and especially not on
         | divisive topics. That amounts to trolling, in effect if not in
         | intention, and it leads to exactly the opposite of what we're
         | trying for here.
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
         | 
         | Edit: you posted this right after I asked you to stop doing it
         | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27563671). If you pull a
         | trick like that again, we will ban you.
        
           | f38zf5vdt wrote:
           | Citing Roman et al.
           | 
           | > Conclusions: In comparison to SOC or placebo, IVM did not
           | reduce all-cause mortality, length of stay or viral clearance
           | in RCTs in COVID-19 patients with mostly mild disease. IVM
           | did not have effect on AEs or SAEs. IVM is not a viable
           | option to treat COVID-19 patients. [1]
           | 
           | [1] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.21.212575
           | 95v...
           | 
           | I would prefer to see a single RCT with at least a few
           | thousand patients, but the early results aren't looking
           | positive. It's a repeat of HCQ-AZ and that people are lending
           | credence to RCTs with double digit cohorts is what causes
           | people to rush out and eat medications intended for dogs. It
           | _actively promotes harm to individuals who take medications
           | for no reason, which have side effects_. I would prefer that
           | HN not allow discussion of what appears to be medicine advice
           | without a basis in clinical results.
        
             | selimthegrim wrote:
             | I have seen people pointing out the low price of the horse
             | formulations on Twitter without the obvious caveat that
             | dosage will definitely make the poison in this case.
        
             | dang wrote:
             | This is one of those cases where it's helpful, in fact
             | indispensable, to remember that there is exactly one thing
             | we're optimizing for on HN, namely intellectual curiosity: 
             | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&so
             | r.... The fact that we have a clear guiding principle is my
             | favorite thing about moderating HN because how the hell
             | would one decide these things otherwise.
             | 
             | It seems clear that the community has genuine intellectual
             | curiosity in discussing this topic. It's also a flamewar
             | topic so we need to take the usual care not to end up in a
             | flamewar; that sometimes works and sometimes doesn't. This
             | thread doesn't seem to be doing too badly. The OP seems
             | like a substantive enough article to at least provide a
             | basis for a good discussion.
        
       | atum47 wrote:
       | I was living in Sao Paulo when the pandemic started, so when I
       | went into lock down mode, it made no sense for me to stay in SP,
       | since the cases over there was high (compared to the small city
       | my parents live), so I went to stay with my parents. Fast forward
       | 6 months the company I was working for went full remote, new
       | contracts and everything. So I decided to terminate my rent
       | contract for the condo I was pay (but not living in) in SP. So,
       | in the middle of the pandemic I had to go to SP to get my stuff
       | and return the apartment. As prevention I took a lot of Vitamin C
       | (with zinc) and Ivermectin. My rationale was: every one needs to
       | take vermin medicine once a year, so why not Ivermectin, who some
       | people are saying that is showing some results in the prevention
       | and treatment of the COVID? So I took the recommend dose for my
       | weight and went on my way. I did take care of my self with the
       | default stuff as well, mask, alcohol for the hands, staying away
       | from people... Glad to say that I did not contract the disease.
       | At least I did not have any symptoms and wasn't sick.
        
       | coliveira wrote:
       | If Ivermectin saved anyone, Brazil wouldn't be hotbed for COVID
       | that it is right now. Doctors are prescribing Ivermectin to
       | pretty much anyone who arrives with any signs that appear to be
       | COVID-related. Some people are even taking it by themselves as a
       | form of "prevention". It has not worked as the numbers clearly
       | show.
        
         | xikrib wrote:
         | It's a treatment, not a cure
        
       | kcplate wrote:
       | I think the future is going to look back on this pandemic and be
       | simply amazed that the public allowed social media companies to
       | dictate to the world what scientists and the people could and
       | could not discuss. Much in the same way we look at the 16th
       | century with Galileo and the Catholic Church.
        
         | hannob wrote:
         | This thread is literally under a scientific publication
         | investigating the effectiveness of Ivermecitin, but yeah,
         | basically like Galileo Galilei. Except not at all.
        
           | andreilys wrote:
           | Any discussion of ivermectin on platforms like YouTube,
           | Facebook, and twitter is met with ceremonial bans or
           | deletion. Even when the discussion is between doctors or is
           | part of a senate hearing (see: dark horse podcast with Bret
           | and Cory, and Cory's testimony to the senate which have both
           | been taken off YouTube)
           | 
           | So yes it is an apt comparison.
        
             | jiofih wrote:
             | YouTube and Facebook are public platforms. Nobody benefits
             | from the general public being sold unsubstantiated theories
             | of miracle medicine X _before_ there is scientific
             | consensus. My beetroot-cures-cancer video has no right to
             | be there either.
        
             | kcplate wrote:
             | In the 16th century falling out of favor with the church's
             | conventional wisdom could affect your social standing and
             | livelihood.
             | 
             | In 2021 falling out of favor with your social media
             | platform's conventional wisdom could affect your social
             | standing and livelihood.
        
         | belltaco wrote:
         | Scientists discuss science in YouTube comments? That's a first
         | to me.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | We detached this subthread from
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27562540.
        
         | spadez wrote:
         | > 16th century with Galileo and the Catholic Church.
         | 
         | Killing science in the name of religion and beliefs is one
         | thing, killing science in the name of science itself is quite
         | another.
        
       | jhayward wrote:
       | "Ivermectin has been shown to inhibit the replication of SARS-
       | CoV-2 in cell cultures.13 However, pharmacokinetic and
       | pharmacodynamic studies suggest that achieving the plasma
       | concentrations necessary for the antiviral efficacy detected in
       | vitro would require administration of doses up to 100-fold higher
       | than those approved for use in humans."
       | 
       | "Since the last revision of this section of the Guidelines, the
       | results of several randomized trials and retrospective cohort
       | studies of ivermectin use in patients with COVID-19 have been
       | published in peer-reviewed journals or have been made available
       | as manuscripts ahead of peer review. Some clinical studies showed
       | no benefits or worsening of disease after ivermectin use,21-24
       | whereas others reported shorter time to resolution of disease
       | manifestations that were attributed to COVID-19,25-28 greater
       | reduction in inflammatory marker levels,26,27 shorter time to
       | viral clearance,21,26 or lower mortality rates in patients who
       | received ivermectin than in patients who received comparator
       | drugs or placebo.21,26,28
       | 
       | However, most of these studies had incomplete information and
       | significant methodological limitations, which make it difficult
       | to exclude common causes of bias."
       | 
       | https://www.covid19treatmentguidelines.nih.gov/therapies/ant...
        
         | slumdev wrote:
         | > doses up to 100-fold higher than those approved for use in
         | humans.
         | 
         | Drugs are approved according to their use. If they have
         | multiple uses, they will have multiple approved dosages.
         | Someone with sudden sensorineural hearing loss might be
         | prescribed 60mg of prednisone per day, while someone who takes
         | it for rheumatoid arthritis will take only 10 mg per day. One
         | dose is six times the other dose. Both are safe, and both are
         | approved.
         | 
         | It's also necessary to consider the drug's therapeutic index.
         | Therapeutic index is a ratio that measures the difference
         | between the effective dose of a drug and its lethal dose. [1]
         | NIH data indicates that administering ivermectin (at these
         | "100-fold higher" dosages) to treat COVID-19 is no more
         | dangerous than placebo. [2]
         | 
         | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Therapeutic_index
         | 
         | 2.
         | https://pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/compound/ivermectin#section...
        
       | beervirus wrote:
       | Let's not forget the censorship of the lab leak hypothesis. A few
       | months ago it was a racist theory that constituted thoughtcrime
       | and couldn't be mentioned, and now the mainstream thinking is
       | that it's the most likely explanation.
        
         | prof-dr-ir wrote:
         | I have downvoted you, because I believe that it is a complete
         | fabrication to claim that the mainstream thinking is "that it's
         | the most likely explanation". As far as I can tell, most
         | experts have settled on "unlikely but possible".
         | 
         | I would be happy to "undown" you if you can provide evidence.
        
           | stephc_int13 wrote:
           | I don't think we can say that this question is settled yet.
           | 
           | The origin of SARS-COV2 is still a mystery and there is not
           | enough evidence to support any explanation so far.
           | 
           | The initial violent pushback and recent relaxation around the
           | lab leak hypothesis is suspicious, but it might be unrelated
           | to the truth.
        
           | beervirus wrote:
           | Now that we're allowed to talk about it, it's certainly the
           | most likely in the Occam's Razor sense.
        
         | benmw333 wrote:
         | Coronavirus origins, China = racism. South African variant =
         | science.
        
         | Wistar wrote:
         | I remember it differently as not a "lab leak hypothesis" but a
         | claim that the virus was not from nature but was a man-made
         | virus, to wit:
         | 
         | "I can present solid scientific evidence to our audience that
         | this virus, COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 virus, actually is not from
         | nature. It is a man-made virus created in the lab."
         | 
         | -- Dr. Li-Meng Yan on the Tucker Carlson show.
        
           | nicoburns wrote:
           | There are really two separate lab leak hypotheses:
           | 
           | 1. That it was made in the lab and accidentally released
           | 
           | 2. That it was made in the lab and released intentionally as
           | some kind of biowarfare or population control.
           | 
           | (1) has been discussed as a definite possibility by credible
           | scientists since day 1 (and although it's true that the
           | mainstream media didn't really pick up on it, I don't see
           | much evidence that they intentionally buried it)
           | 
           | (2) is straying very heavily into conspiracy theory
           | territory.
        
             | tomp wrote:
             | Nobody ever seriously discussed (1). The best (and so
             | obvious) rebuttal to (2) is "If COVID is a weapon, it
             | sucks." The only time (2) comes up is when people want to
             | censor (1) so they twist it into something similar to (2).
        
           | emn13 wrote:
           | Exactly - the problem isn't the consideration of a lab leak
           | as a possible source, it's the presentation of that theory
           | embellished well beyond what's plausible without any evidence
           | - and then suggesting it's not just a far out there
           | possibility, but actually the most likely source. And all
           | that when it was a convenient diversionary tactic - looking
           | for a scapegoat.
           | 
           | Let's not forget that not only is the lab leak theory to this
           | day just one possibility, it's still not backed by much
           | evidence, whereas many other viruses have jumped species
           | before without needing a lab.
           | 
           | Finally, even in the unlikely event it turns out to have
           | leaked from the lab _and_ we manage to get convincing
           | evidence of that now, that doesn 't actually make those
           | claims last year any more defensible. It's not OK to spout
           | wild claims without evidence - even though if you do so often
           | enough, you'll get lucky sometimes. Even a broken clock is
           | right twice a day, but that does not mean breaking clocks is
           | a valid strategy for telling the time.
           | 
           | And unless I'm missing something, it's just not plausible
           | that fox news or mike pompeo or whoever had some secret
           | evidence - if they had it, they would have shared it,
           | somebody would have leaked it, or at the very least other
           | corroborating sources would have appeared. None of that
           | happened: ergo they were lying _at least_ by exaggeration -
           | and that 's assuming they even believed the story to be at
           | least plausible.
        
             | actually_a_dog wrote:
             | Exactly. Let's also not forget that for this virus to have
             | escaped, there would have had to have been incredibly lax
             | safety procedures. That doesn't mean that wasn't the case,
             | just that we would have had trained researchers and
             | technicians working with viruses similar to other viruses
             | that have jumped species and caused serious disease under
             | the equivalent of BSL-1 ( _i.e._ no precautions). BSL-2 is
             | required for procedures where a potentially human-
             | infectious virus may be aerosolized.
             | 
             | For the zoonotic leap hypothesis, all you need is for some
             | people to be near some sick bats. Which one is simpler?
        
               | nicoburns wrote:
               | Coronaviruses were being studied in a BSL-4 lab in Wuhan.
               | That is ~100 metres from the meat market which was
               | supposedly the epicentre of the original outbreak.
               | Theoretically the safety standards would be very high.
               | But all it takes is one slip-up. And it wouldn't be the
               | first time that has happened. Seems pretty simple to me.
               | 
               | The zoonotic leap is definitely plausible too. But there
               | you have to explain how the virus mutated to be
               | infectious to humans. Whereas the lab is known to have
               | intentionally modified the coronaviruses it was studying
               | to be infectious to humans.
        
               | actually_a_dog wrote:
               | Sure, I'm not denying the plausibility of either
               | scenario. But, which one is more likely: a virus jumped
               | from animal to human, just as has happened many times
               | before in history (and, without our help, for that
               | matter), or safety procedures were not being followed in
               | a lab that studies viruses with the very highest level of
               | safety controls? How many times has the latter happened
               | compared to the former?
        
           | blumomo wrote:
           | That could be what you call a ,,limited hangout". You only
           | admit what you can't hide any longer.
           | 
           | Firstly it was a no-go to claim it came from the lab. ,,It
           | came from a wet market" was the only truth you were allowed
           | to claim without getting censored. Now that Fauci's emails
           | are visible, it becomes more evident that the origin is a
           | lab.
           | 
           | Now you are only allowed to claim that it accidentally
           | escaped from a lab.
           | 
           | What's next? Maybe we will see new evidence coming out that
           | it was created and released on purpose. Let's wait and see
           | what we will be allowed to say then on social media.
        
             | emn13 wrote:
             | Where exactly is this _positive_ evidence it leaked from
             | the Wuhan lab - and not just emails that considered the
             | _possibility_ it might have?
        
               | plebianRube wrote:
               | There is no 'smoking gun' but you will never see one
               | without the fog of propaganda cast over it.
               | 
               | https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2021/06/the-lab-leak-
               | theory-...
        
               | Wistar wrote:
               | Nowhere, man.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | We detached this subthread from
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27562573.
        
           | beervirus wrote:
           | Why?
        
             | dang wrote:
             | It veered off topic. I agree that there's a point of
             | connection between the media/tech/institutional treatment
             | of that question and this one, but arguing about who said
             | "man made" vs. whatever a year ago is way into a different
             | patch of weeds.
             | 
             | Your comment bears some responsibility for that, btw. If
             | you had posted something less flamebaity and more
             | thoughtful, the subthread would probably have been better.
             | 
             | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&so
             | r...
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | DoreenMichele wrote:
       | _The antiparasitic ivermectin, with antiviral and anti-
       | inflammatory properties_
       | 
       | That makes me wonder at the mechanism and biological pathways
       | involved in how this works at all on anything and how that
       | intersects with Covid-19.
       | 
       | I'm alive in part because for some years my best friend was a
       | former registered nurse who had let her nursing license lapse
       | while she raised her special-needs sons and pursued training in
       | various alternative medicines to try to keep them alive. I
       | remember asking her once in exasperation after several rounds of
       | back and forth still hadn't really answered my question "Yes, but
       | exactly what does this drug do in the body at the cellular
       | level?" And she told me "You are asking questions for which they
       | don't have answers. That's not how drug studies work."
       | 
       | Everything I have read and experienced suggests to me that
       | covid-19 is so deadly largely because of what it does to your
       | blood, not your respiratory system. One of the things that kills
       | people with covid-19 is blood clots.
       | 
       | And parasitic infections sometimes infect your blood cells. This
       | is how malaria works and it's why Sickle Cell trait is protective
       | against it.
       | 
       | So I'm really wondering at that connection. If this is an
       | antiparasitic, does it work by impacting your blood in a
       | particular way? Could that be the connection here for why it
       | seems effective against covid-19?
       | 
       | And I'm wondering if we even have that type of information about
       | this drug nearly twenty years after my friend told me "They don't
       | know that. Drug studies don't answer that."
       | 
       | Do we answer those questions these days?
        
         | jiofih wrote:
         | > You are asking questions for which they don't have answers.
         | That's not how drug studies work
         | 
         | A doctor or nurse might not now the answer many times, which is
         | fine, you can't be an expert on all at once. But the latter is
         | bullshit - any reputable drug study will elaborate (or worst
         | case, speculate) on the action mechanism of the drug in detail.
         | In the case of ivermectin, it's supposed to inhibit viral
         | replication, here is an example of a study diving into it:
         | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016635422...
        
         | comicjk wrote:
         | Some drugs are developed with a particular mechanism in mind: a
         | known protein target, a known binding site, and a molecule
         | designed to match. For these, scientists have a good shot at
         | knowing what's going on. Even then, a doctor might not know -
         | they don't need to.
         | 
         | Other drugs are developed by a more random method - for
         | example, take every druglike chemical you have on the shelf and
         | put it in a vial with COVID-19. In that case, scientists will
         | try to find the mechanism afterwards, but they might never know
         | for sure.
        
         | ds206 wrote:
         | From what I understand, it's the anti-inflammatory piece of
         | Ivermectin that can help with covid because, apparently, the
         | respiratory issue with covid is not caused by covid directly
         | but rather an overexcited autoimmune response.
         | 
         | I'm not a doctor but that's what some doctors on YouTube have
         | said ;)
        
           | DoreenMichele wrote:
           | Antiinflammatories are generally useful against all kinds of
           | things. Inflammation is a common side effect of infection.
           | 
           | I find that answer unsatisfactory. If "it's an anti-
           | inflammatory!" is The Answer, there are lots of
           | antiinflammatories out there.
        
             | ds206 wrote:
             | Here, try this video
             | 
             | https://youtu.be/kSWjl-JOIqs
        
               | ds206 wrote:
               | Sorry, that clip doesn't talk about what I thought it
               | did. I watched the whole 2.5 video before it was
               | censored/taken down from YouTube and somewhere in there
               | they talk about why they think Ivermectin is effective
               | (assuming it is).
               | 
               | The full video can be watched here:
               | https://odysee.com/@BretWeinstein:f/COVID-Ivermectin-and-
               | the...
        
             | rolph wrote:
             | ivermectin effects chloride channels in neurons of
             | parasites.
             | 
             | in mammals ivermectin effects nuclear transport protiens
             | responsible for mediating signal peptide transport to the
             | nucleus.
             | 
             | the in vivo concentration corresponding to EC50 was
             | reported in the range of 2. to 5. micromolar this is a very
             | problematic dose, for humans; this drug targets host, and
             | pathogen, albeit by different mechanisms.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivermectin
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_misinformation#Iverm
             | e...
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_drug_repurposing_res
             | e...
        
               | DoreenMichele wrote:
               | _ivermectin effects chloride channels in neurons of
               | parasites.
               | 
               | in mammals ivermectin effects nuclear transport protiens
               | responsible for mediating signal peptide transport to the
               | nucleus._
               | 
               | So that first statement makes some kind of sense to me.
               | That second one doesn't quite parse for me.
               | 
               | Can anyone kind of explain that in layman's terms?
               | 
               | (Thanks to everyone who has indulged my curiosity. I'm
               | just trying to better understand the piece that most
               | directly answers my question here.)
        
               | rolph wrote:
               | the nucleus of a eukaryotic; mammalian cell [a.k.a.
               | humans] is surrounded by a membrane, this membrane has a
               | number of protiens studded into it, some are channels,
               | others "do backflips" to transport things across the
               | nuclear membrane.
               | 
               | why do this ?.... protiens are made outside of the
               | nucleus and must be inserted into the nucleus.
               | 
               | some of these are structural protiens, others are
               | enzymes, and others are signals to the nucleus to switch
               | operations for the time being, constantly chasing after
               | homeostasis.
               | 
               | Ivermectin disrupts signal transport protien, and becomes
               | cytotoxic, in higher doses due to its effect on the
               | genetic expression signaling system.
               | 
               | [ADNDM] the claim is that CoV2019 infects a cell then
               | produces a protien that enters the host nucleus and
               | ultimately modulates interferon production, by the
               | infected cell, and that Ivermectin can disrupt this.
               | 
               | when covid imports a specific protien this lowers the
               | signal the infected cell attempts to give surrounding
               | cells that there is an invader, and to harden up
               | molecular defenses.
               | 
               | the problem is that the cell relies on this nuclear
               | transport of signals for proper functioning, so you cant
               | just block it, and expect the host to be spared cytotoxic
               | effect.
        
               | DoreenMichele wrote:
               | Thank you.
        
       | throwaway4good wrote:
       | What is this thing with alt-right figures like Bret Weinstein
       | (and others) promoting particular medicines / self-medication
       | through theirs shows? It is weird and cult like - why not just
       | stick to politics?
        
         | stephc_int13 wrote:
         | Why do you think that Bret Weinstein is alt-right?
         | 
         | This is contradictory to what I've seen on his Wikipedia page.
        
         | throwkeep wrote:
         | Speaking of cult like, what is this thing with calling people
         | who are on firmly on the left, like Bret Weinstein and Joe
         | Rogan, alt-right?
        
         | hosteur wrote:
         | Why makes you think Bret Weinstein is alt right?
        
           | throwaway4good wrote:
           | I have watched his shows. Intellectual alt right is a quite
           | suitable label for this guy.
        
             | hosteur wrote:
             | I am genuinely curious to know what made you come to that
             | conclusion?
             | 
             | Assuming you mean darkhorse, what episode and what in that
             | episode makes him alt right? Please be specific. If there
             | are multiple examples then just provide a few.
        
               | throwaway4good wrote:
               | Just browse the latest videos - these are clearly
               | political and they are classical alt-right subjects:
               | anti-vax, lab leak theory, how we are not racists, how we
               | are being censored, something about trans-sexual people,
               | portland riots ...
        
         | whiddershins wrote:
         | Bret Weinstein is a lefty. Calling him alt-right is a
         | slanderous talking point.
        
         | xibalba wrote:
         | Doesn't Weinstein have PhD in biology? Surely that gives him
         | some credibility.
        
           | throwaway4good wrote:
           | Then he really should know better than to self-medicate and
           | encourage others to do the same.
        
             | hosteur wrote:
             | He did not encourage others to do that.
        
               | throwaway4good wrote:
               | I think he is very much doing so. In particular as a safe
               | alternative to the mRNA vaccines which he describes as
               | dangerous.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | We detached this subthread from
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27562573.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | _gtly wrote:
       | @dang why was this flagged?
        
         | wrycoder wrote:
         | Thanks to the mods for unflagging this as of 1419 EDT Sat
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Users flagged it. That's basically always the reason when you
         | see [flagged] on a submission. (With comments it's a little
         | more ambiguous - moderators will also sometimes put [flagged]
         | on a comment, though still in a tiny minority of cases.)
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsfaq.html#flag
         | 
         | We sometimes turn off flags, especially when an article seems
         | to contain enough significant new information to support a
         | substantive discussion. I've done that in this case.
        
         | guscost wrote:
         | Users with enough karma can flag things they don't like.
        
           | oDot wrote:
           | Yes, very unfortunate.
        
             | dang wrote:
             | That's an illusion; it only seems that way when you judge
             | by specific prominent cases that you care about.
             | 
             | Turning off flagging on HN would have the same effect as
             | turning off the immune system in a human body, only faster.
        
               | oDot wrote:
               | Didn't mean it wasn't useful, just that it has
               | unfortunate side effects
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | seventytwo wrote:
       | Ivermectin is the new hydroxychloroquine.
        
         | Gwypaas wrote:
         | Not even the new, just haven't been picked on up on HN earlier.
         | The sciency Covid-19 subreddit was all over it last summer when
         | HCQ had been proven ineffective.
         | 
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/search/?q=Ivermectin&sort=t...
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-06-19 23:01 UTC)