[HN Gopher] Amazon burns through workers so quickly, they'll run...
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       Amazon burns through workers so quickly, they'll run out of people
       to employ
        
       Author : Jerry2
       Score  : 51 points
       Date   : 2021-06-17 18:18 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.yahoo.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.yahoo.com)
        
       | Traster wrote:
       | Isn't this just.... inflation? Amazon is worth N Billion dollars,
       | rent is expensive, food is expensive and workers are thinking
       | that maybe working one of the worst jobs available to them isn't
       | worth $15h.
        
       | passivate wrote:
       | What is the churn in other retail or warehouse jobs?
        
       | crazygringo wrote:
       | "They'll run out of people to employ" is pure clickbait nonsense.
       | 
       | If they ever faced a labor shortage at _current_ wages, they 'd
       | just _raise wages_. That 's how it works.
       | 
       | But as they increase automation, they also might not even ever
       | hit that shortage at current wages anyways.
       | 
       | (None of this is a comment on working conditions and whether
       | they're good or bad... just that the idea of "running out of
       | people" is utterly silly.)
        
       | yardie wrote:
       | Many years ago (2000s), and between graduating HS and starting
       | uni I took at a job at warehouse that paid $18/hr after training
       | and certs, $13/hr to start. That place was a butchershop chewing
       | through guys young and old. It was a vicious cycle of working
       | there, workmens comp, and back again. And I met more than a few
       | guys who treated the job as temporary with workmens comp as the
       | career objective.
        
       | codingwageslave wrote:
       | As an Amazon employee, some of the software teams are absolutely
       | horrific. Hire to fire, long hours, huge work load, lots of
       | employees on visa worrier they will be fired at any time etc.
       | 
       | On the other hand, really interesting high scale software
       | problems, some really smart people, good teams
        
       | brian_spiering wrote:
       | That might be a big part of the business context behind the "We
       | are going to be Earth's Best Employer..." statements in the 2020
       | Letter to Shareholders.
        
         | tyingq wrote:
         | I found this update somewhat amusing:
         | https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/update-on-our-vi...
         | 
         |  _" The first update I want to give you today is to a policy
         | called Time off Task. If you're not familiar with it, this
         | policy is a way to measure the amount of time employees are
         | logged on to the software tools in their work area...Starting
         | today, we're now averaging Time off Task over a longer period
         | to ensure that there's more signal and less noise"_
         | 
         | It's going to be a long road to "Earth's Best" if this sort of
         | thing is the best they can do.
         | 
         | Edit: Although not testing for marijuana anymore is actually
         | noteworthy...I give them credit for that.
        
           | awillen wrote:
           | I don't know that they really deserve credit for not testing
           | for marijuana. It increases their potential pool of hires and
           | saves them money. Add to that the fact that a positive test
           | for marijuana doesn't necessarily indicate that you would
           | ever be in any way impaired on the job, and it feels more
           | like a rational business move than a good social policy.
        
             | tyingq wrote:
             | I agree with all that, yet lots of places still test. So
             | the "credit" I'm giving is for being somewhat early in the
             | cycle.
        
       | muttled wrote:
       | A couple Google searches show that Amazon is the second largest
       | employer with somewhere between 900k-1.3m employees depending on
       | source, and an average tenure of one year. Completely back-of-
       | the-napkin here, but seems like they'd burn through a million
       | workers a year. Google also says we have ~10m unemployed people
       | in the US. I would guess they could over-fish the labor pool at
       | those numbers over a number of years.
        
       | TN1ck wrote:
       | Discussion of the same story but linked to a business insider
       | article: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27524637
        
       | tyingq wrote:
       | They'll run out of people to employ who will accept X conditions
       | for Y dollars, sure. Then they will have to adjust either X or Y.
        
         | teachrdan wrote:
         | Cynically, I think they will adjust neither, and instead adjust
         | Z: the number of people they need to work in their warehouses.
         | 
         | I'd be willing to bet that as they rely more on robots in their
         | warehouses (sorry, "fulfillment centers") the _worse_ the
         | conditions will be--because they will be less reliant on people
         | choosing to work there, or being able to keep working without
         | getting injured or otherwise forced to quit.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | Bombthecat wrote:
           | Or they bus people from even poorer regions there. That's
           | what they do /did? In Poland or so, can't remember anymore.
        
           | tyingq wrote:
           | I agree they will do that when it's cheaper than people. It's
           | unclear to me when that might be.
        
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       (page generated 2021-06-17 23:02 UTC)