[HN Gopher] Fleeing Venezuela
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       Fleeing Venezuela
        
       Author : msh
       Score  : 43 points
       Date   : 2021-06-14 18:08 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.persuasion.community)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.persuasion.community)
        
       | throwaway-jim wrote:
       | Wow, I'm surprised that cryptocurrency actually helped him. I can
       | see he cannot make a bank account since he is an illegal alien,
       | but he could still hold and transfer value with the power of the
       | blockchain. Smart move, since he pretty much got robbed of any
       | valuable he had with him. One of the few positive crypto-related
       | news I have heard lately!
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | He wrote an earlier article (2019) in the NYT on crypto helping
         | there
         | https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/23/opinion/sunday/venezuela-...
        
       | oxymoran wrote:
       | Remember when everyone in Venezuela was starving and all the
       | American Leftists were trying to defend Maduro and calling one a
       | fascist on Twitter for criticizing Maduro's regime?
        
         | throwaway894345 wrote:
         | I've probably seen half a dozen "debates" in the last year in
         | which American Leftists were arguing with _actual Venezuelans_
         | about whether the situation in Venezuela was real or Western
         | Propaganda (TM).
        
           | andy_ppp wrote:
           | I really hate grouping everyone like this. I consider myself
           | left but you were arguing with a moron. I was under the
           | impression in liberal democracy, even up until maybe 2015
           | treating an individual as an example of all individuals from
           | that group was considered reprehensible for obvious reasons,
           | i.e. you will end up saying racist or sexist things. The more
           | general rule, to treat everyone on the content of their
           | individual character, is an important one in my upbringing
           | and I would like a return to these values. Currently everyone
           | is being forced, on left or right, to have it assumed that
           | they occupy absurd extremist positions. I do admit these
           | people are on the rise, but I'm not sure inflating their
           | importance (they are seeking attention in a lot of cases) is
           | helping.
        
             | throwaway894345 wrote:
             | > you were arguing with a moron
             | 
             | I'm inclined to agree, but increasingly these "morons" are
             | more numerous and more likely to occupy positions of power
             | and authority.
             | 
             | > I was under the impression in liberal democracy even up
             | until maybe 2015 treating an individual as an example of
             | all individuals from that group was considered
             | reprehensible for obvious reasons, i.e. you will end up
             | saying racist or sexist things.
             | 
             | Yeah, me too.
             | 
             | > The more general rule I would like back because everyone
             | is being forced on left or right have it assumed that they
             | occupy absurd positions.
             | 
             | I'm having a hard time parsing this sentence, could you
             | rephrase/clarify?
        
               | andy_ppp wrote:
               | Okay! Lot's of clarity added...
               | 
               | For what it's worth we have the same amount of morons
               | just the Internet has given them means to organise and
               | communicate and people like Steve Bannon to weave in a
               | bit of ethnic-nationalism into the minds of the public.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | > For what it's worth we have the same amount of morons
               | just the Internet has given them means to organise and
               | communicate
               | 
               | That seems concerning enough on its own, but that
               | property ("means to organize and communicate") has knock-
               | on effects: those morons become even more extreme and
               | they come to occupy positions of power and authority in
               | even greater numbers.
               | 
               | Once upon a time you had millions of village idiots whose
               | views were moderated by their community and the talking
               | heads on TV, and they were typically blue-collar,
               | uneducated, and had no real power or authority. Now
               | because of the ability to communicate with each other,
               | they develop echo chambers that radicalize their
               | viewpoints. On top of that, they organize, such that the
               | administer universities, overwhelm newsrooms, and lead
               | DEI departments in every major company in the country.
        
           | xster wrote:
           | How did you systematically come to the conclusion that those
           | "debates" shouldn't be had? Which straw broke the camel's
           | back? Is it because Carlos on the internet , who writes for
           | The New York Times, The Washington Post, and Americas
           | Quarterly, told you so? How do we take your guidelines and
           | judgement and form it into a framework of rational thought
           | where it then becomes generally applicable to the general
           | population if your guidance wasn't available one day?
        
             | throwaway9d6ef wrote:
             | Because actual Venezuelans are closer to primary sources
             | who don't need a bunch of pseudointellectuals to handwave
             | our experience away.
        
           | intheaa728q7e wrote:
           | And of course if you ask them for the source of their
           | ridiculous claims they'll either link propaganda sites like
           | Telesur or RT, or go off in rambling about how the CIA did
           | something like that in the 60's forgetting to source anything
        
         | djpr wrote:
         | In my town, the leftists still put up "Viva Chavez" banners on
         | their balconies.
        
         | intheaa728q7e wrote:
         | No need to remember, I can assure you that if this post were to
         | gain popularity a bunch of wanna be Marxist and spoiled first
         | world socialists will come here and try to gaslight everyone
         | into thinking Venezuela is a paradise or that it's all the US
         | fault when they have never set foot outside Europe or the US
        
         | digsy wrote:
         | So sad that this site has gone the way of reddit.
         | 
         | I used to come here for tech discussions and maybe some startup
         | insight.
         | 
         | Now every day there's a post that devolves into qanon,
         | trumpists, leftists bickering.
         | 
         | I guess every site goes to the dogs eventually.
        
       | throwawaysea wrote:
       | For those interested in industrial collapse in Venezuela, check
       | out this great recap of what happened with their oil industry:
       | https://youtu.be/0mvjp0ZqK7Q
       | 
       | Also check out this video on hyperinflation in Venezuela:
       | https://youtu.be/ah9i3R9pRpg
       | 
       | Finally, it's worth seeing how things look on the ground. For
       | example, check out this bit on the subway:
       | https://youtu.be/jN5LZR4ejkg?t=20m
        
       | mosdl wrote:
       | Reminds a lot of some of the eastern European states prior to the
       | USSR collapse, but seemingly much worse.
       | 
       | Also the power outages mentioned - they should prove that crypto
       | won't help...
        
         | rolobio wrote:
         | I think that's a good takeaway. But he does mention that once
         | he's in Columbia, he is able to convert some of his crypto into
         | cash. So maybe storing more of his cash into crypto would have
         | helped? But then again, he did need cash for bribes...
        
           | yardie wrote:
           | The amount of cash he needed to keep on hand didn't seem
           | unreasonable. But keeping any less and he might have to walk
           | the rest of the way. Crypto still has a long way to go to
           | being the great, ubiquitous equalizer it was designed to be.
        
           | yawaworht1978 wrote:
           | I know Colombia pretty well.
           | 
           | My goodness, he better not convert Bitcoin to cash there.
           | Colombia is by no means much safer than Venezuela, ever and
           | in particular since about 2 months.
           | 
           | Few people remember that not too long ago Colombians were
           | seeking refuge in Venezuela.
           | 
           | He should use an online exchange if he can provide KYC.
           | Something like in person exchange in Colombia is playing
           | Russian/Colombian roulette.
           | 
           | Maybe he has family he can trust with, but yeah. In Colombia,
           | wrong street and someone will rob you at gunpoint for a
           | phone, even if there is not Bitcoin on it.
        
       | hulitu wrote:
       | > Around the world, there is now a contest between freedom and
       | tyranny, between the rule of law and the arbitrary exercise of
       | naked power.
       | 
       | Yeah, right. And the glorious state named US is leading the
       | contest.
       | 
       | If political bulshit is not allowed on HN why is such a story
       | with such comments not dead ?
        
       | merciBien wrote:
       | This is so painful to read, Venezuela sounds like a failed state,
       | it can't even provide running water to its people in Ordaz. The
       | daily human toll must be ghastly.
       | 
       | How does a country ever get back on a positive trajectory after
       | such a catastrophe?
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | They got a lot of advice from Cuba on staying in power. I fear
         | Maduro may hang on in there till old age like Castro did.
        
         | erikw wrote:
         | I don't have the numbers, but I suspect the brain-drain is near
         | total, and irreversible for a few generations. The last time I
         | did a round of interviews, about two years ago with half a
         | dozen companies in Chile, at least half of the senior
         | engineers, and many of the hiring managers, were Venezuelan.
         | None of my Venezuelan friends plan on going back, although they
         | do visit, and I think would like to go back if conditions were
         | different- Venezuelan culture is quite a bit more "latin" than
         | Chile, so there's a fair bit of culture shock for them. As it
         | is, they are putting down roots, starting families, opening up
         | businesses, etc, and I don't think they'll be leaving soon, if
         | ever.
        
           | vhgyu75e6u wrote:
           | Not only that, it will most likely change the political map
           | for the next 20 years in those countries, at least at the
           | community level. If most of the refugees get voting rights
           | (at least in Spain or Colombia where most can get the
           | nationality through ancestry), they will NOT vote for any
           | left leaning party that helps or validates the regime
        
           | opwieurposiu wrote:
           | The brain drain is real, at least in the case of the
           | petroleum engineers. Most of them left years ago to work for
           | Petrobras or Pemex. I have heard mexican engineers complain
           | about venezuelans coming in and undercutting the labor
           | market. This was 10+ years ago, after Chavez fired 80% of the
           | engineers.
        
           | yostrovs wrote:
           | I visited Bogota on a visit hosted by the city's official
           | business promotion council. The main lady running these tours
           | was Venezuelan.
        
         | christkv wrote:
         | Cambodia went through the same hell and worse and only started
         | the path back after Vietnam invaded it and ousted the Khmer
         | Rouge. It might take an outside intervention to end the charade
         | of the Venezuelan government.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | Outside invasion - either by force or soft force (economic)
           | are usually the quickest ways. Otherwise you need the rulers
           | to decide to reform or the revolution to actually install a
           | government that doesn't just mimic the preceding.
        
       | rolobio wrote:
       | Very good read. I have a soft-spot for Venezuela and it's
       | collapse. Its fascinating watching a country make the same
       | mistakes as dozens of countries before them have. History repeats
       | and repeats, even though we have trivial access to it today
       | through the internet.
       | 
       | I always find it odd when people speak of Venezuela never seem to
       | talk about the failures of Socialism. They seem to blame the
       | failures on violence or authoritarian regimes. But how are you
       | supposed to "seize the means of production" without
       | authoritarianism? The author of this article mentions Marxism:
       | 
       | > The Venezuelan government calls itself Marxist, too, but also
       | seems to spend more time dreaming up ways to make a buck than on
       | anything like a revolution.
       | 
       | I would love to hear more of their opinions on Marxism. But this
       | article seemed more about a journey than why the journey was
       | necessary.
        
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       (page generated 2021-06-14 23:03 UTC)