[HN Gopher] Amazon's wage increase to $15 an hour also upped pay...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Amazon's wage increase to $15 an hour also upped pay for non-Amazon
       workers
        
       Author : rustoo
       Score  : 169 points
       Date   : 2021-06-05 10:41 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.aboutamazon.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.aboutamazon.com)
        
       | synaesthesisx wrote:
       | $15/hour is not a living wage in the US. That is absolutely
       | ridiculous. Amazon should double it for their warehouse workers
       | (they certainly can afford to!).
        
         | hnarn wrote:
         | Surely that depends on where in the US you live. It's about
         | $2,400 a month which is by no means categorically impossible to
         | live on in any part of the US.
        
       | miguelazo wrote:
       | Of course, no mention that Bernie Sanders had to drag Amazon
       | kicking and screaming to raise their minimum wage to $15. Glad
       | they finally see the benefits...
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | Kicking and screaming? Do you have any evidence of this? Amazon
         | led the pack. Target, Chipotle, and others have followed.
        
       | nautilus12 wrote:
       | Amazons warehouse wage no longer holding back the market for non
       | Amazon workers. FTFY
        
       | repsilat wrote:
       | Is this "Baumol's Cost Disease"? Productivity goes up at Amazon,
       | wages go up at Amazon, wages go up elsewhere so they can attract
       | workers, and prices for consumers go up.
       | 
       | Good marketing, but a bad outcome once you've read Bastiat --
       | jobs and wages are a _cost_.
        
         | pydry wrote:
         | It's interesting that Baumol uses "disease" to describe a
         | rising tide lifting all boats.
         | 
         | Is that correct or did I misinterpret the phenomena he was
         | trying to describe?
        
           | tomjen3 wrote:
           | Disease is not a very good description, but basically what
           | happens is that somebody does some work, say child care,
           | which does not scale. They are paid x dollars for this
           | service.
           | 
           | Then the job market changes and they can go and get a better
           | job somewhere else, so you now have to pay them x+y dollars
           | for child care. Child care has not become more productive,
           | the cost of living has not changed, but your child care is
           | now more expensive.
           | 
           | You could call that a rising boat that lifts all boats, but
           | if you need child care it doesn't.
        
           | repsilat wrote:
           | I think that "rising tide" usually refers to everyone getting
           | more food and bigger televisions, and it even being good for
           | farmers and factory workers.
           | 
           | In this case, though, haircuts get comparatively _more_
           | expensive. Good for the hairdresser, and fine if your wages
           | go up to match. Characterising it as a  "rising tide" _might_
           | be fair (both in terms of cost and in terms of standard of
           | living), but it 's not the "usual" tide of pro-market
           | rhetoric.
        
           | missedthecue wrote:
           | Because certain things are getting more expensive, but not
           | more valuable. A haircut in the bay area is much more
           | expensive than one in Austin or Orlando or Philadelphia, but
           | it's the same haircut.
           | 
           | Other things have gotten more expensive but more valuable.
           | For example a car today is more expensive than a car in 1960,
           | but it's got _ton_ more comfort and safety features.
        
         | imtringued wrote:
         | >Good marketing, but a bad outcome once you've read Bastiat --
         | jobs and wages are a cost.
         | 
         | Wrong. You can't expect to increase the minimum standard of
         | living without also increasing the minimum wage you have to pay
         | to attract talent. The fact that companies have gotten away
         | with lowering wages thanks to their monopsony power was a
         | mistake to begin with. If you really want to lower the cost of
         | production you also have to lower the cost of living.
        
         | lotsofpulp wrote:
         | > Productivity goes up at Amazon, wages go up at Amazon,
         | 
         | Productivity going up does not cause wages to go up. Lower
         | supply of labor relative to demand or higher demand relative to
         | supply causes wages to go up.
        
           | repsilat wrote:
           | I don't think Amazon's decision to raise wages was pure
           | microeconomic pressure. Single market participants don't need
           | to get their policies out of a textbook, and textbook
           | responses don't get as much news coverage.
           | 
           | High productivity leads to better margins. Better margins
           | _allow_ Amazon to raise wages. Raising wages helped them hire
           | in a competitive marketplace, sure, but it was also a
           | political act. Amazon has been accused of mistreating
           | workers, and paying them above the going rate defuses that
           | accusation.
        
             | lotsofpulp wrote:
             | There may be a political aspect to it, but supply for
             | warehouse type labor has been shrinking and demand was
             | increasing for a decade, so they probably saw the writing
             | on the wall and decided to kill 2 birds with one stone.
             | 
             | But I do not think Amazon can afford to stay competitive
             | with Target and Walmart and Home Depot and spend a material
             | amount more on labor costs too. At least not without
             | subsidizing the retail operations with margins from other
             | areas of the business.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | I think it goes the other way - Target and Home Depot are
               | beginning to leverage the fact that hey have warehouses
               | across the country (their stores) - AND they provide
               | quality control that Amazon seems unwilling to do.
               | 
               | Which will be what sinks Amazon- becoming an fancy US
               | storefront for Alibaba.
        
               | lotsofpulp wrote:
               | I agree Target and Home Depot are preferable since they
               | do quality control and have in person warehouses
               | everywhere. But they're all competing for the same labor,
               | hence the rising wages. But I do not think one can pay
               | much extra than the others and stay competitive on the
               | pricing for the same goods.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | The existing retailers have a chance of reducing costs by
               | utilizing more out of city warehousing; whereas Amazon's
               | costs really have nowhere to go but up.
        
         | everybodyknows wrote:
         | This assumes an elastic supply of labor. Higher wages in
         | warehouse work will draw more marginally-employable laborers
         | into the general market, and off of public assistance.
        
       | bryanrasmussen wrote:
       | reminds me of Henry Ford's wage hike
       | https://www.saturdayeveningpost.com/2014/01/ford-doubles-min...
        
         | elliekelly wrote:
         | > According to an article (above) in the Post sponsored by the
         | automaker
         | 
         | Interesting! I had no idea submarining was happening a hundred
         | years ago. I wonder how common it was.
         | 
         | This was my favorite line though:
         | 
         | > Ford employees would be "demoralized by this sudden
         | affluence," and, of course, Ford Motor Company would soon be
         | bankrupt.
         | 
         | Nothing hurts employee morale like a huge raise!
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | If anything it was more common - the term "yellow journalism"
           | comes from that era.
           | 
           | Most of what we are looking back is the stuff with value that
           | survived.
        
           | a1369209993 wrote:
           | > > "demoralized by this sudden affluence,"
           | 
           | > Nothing hurts employee morale like a huge raise!
           | 
           | That seems likely to be language drift, and indeed checking a
           | contemporary-ish dictionary produces:
           | 
           | demoralize 2 c : to throw into disorder
           | 
           | morale 2 b : a sense of common purpose with respect to a
           | group : espirit de corps
           | 
           | which sounds like a much less stupid concern.
        
       | elliekelly wrote:
       | I think the actual economics paper[1] is far more interesting
       | than Amazon's PR spin on it. What Amazon (I suspect) knows but
       | the paper authors sidestep a bit is the elasticity of the
       | unskilled low-wage labor market. If you're a waiter or a cashier
       | and your boss or the job requirements become unbearable it's not
       | terribly difficult to waltz into Home Depot or the local grocery
       | store and get a new job making the same amount of money.
       | 
       | Amazon paints their $15 as a benevolent community service but
       | given all that we know about the expectations and requirements of
       | an Amazon warehouse worker it seems to me that Amazon's wage
       | increase was necessary in order to compete in the labor market.
       | If you could work in an Amazon warehouse for $X/hour or work
       | stocking shelves at Target for $X/hour very few people are going
       | to choose Amazon. And this is evidenced in the referenced/linked
       | economics paper. Amazon's 2018 wage increase from $11/hour to
       | $15/hour resulted in an average local unskilled low-wage increase
       | of 4.7% suggesting those local markets didn't need to _meet_
       | Amazon's wages in order to _compete_ with them.
       | 
       | The $15 is enough to lure _some_ people to work at Amazon but it
       | seems there are others for which slightly lower pay and the
       | benefit of bathroom breaks is a trade-off they're willing to make
       | in the labor market.
       | 
       | [1]https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3793677
        
         | awillen wrote:
         | "Amazon's 2018 wage increase from $11/hour to $15/hour resulted
         | in an average local unskilled low-wage increase of 4.7%
         | suggesting those local markets didn't need to meet Amazon's
         | wages in order to compete with them."
         | 
         | I think you're 100% right, but that doesn't mean they don't
         | provide a useful service in bringing up the bottom. If you're
         | in a state where the minimum wage is $7.25, you're suddenly
         | dealing with employees that have a credible alternative of
         | $15/hour. To your point, a lot of folks will trade some money
         | for better conditions, but it makes it pretty untenable to pay
         | less than half of what Amazon's paying.
        
         | imglorp wrote:
         | > slightly lower pay and the benefit of bathroom breaks is a
         | trade-off they're willing to make in the labor market
         | 
         | I really don't understand Amazon's position here. A small
         | number of cheap improvements would vastly raise worker
         | satisfaction. More bathrooms through the building, paid time in
         | security lines, and some honest safety interventions are all
         | cheaper than raising wages or even, say, a private space
         | program or an airliner fleet.
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | Amazon is weird that way. It's a multi-billion dollar global
           | corporation that's run like a mafia front. They'll spend who
           | knows how many millions of dollars on video game kiosks[0] to
           | incentivize productivity through addictive feedback loops but
           | won't spend a dime updating or replacing the equipment their
           | employees actually use.
           | 
           | [0]https://www.theverge.com/2021/3/15/22331502/amazon-
           | warehouse...
        
           | skybrian wrote:
           | These improvements sound good to me too, but they are not
           | cheap. Paid time in security lines would increase worker's
           | paychecks. It's effectively another way of raising wages. As
           | is more breaks.
           | 
           | (Amazon doesn't have a space program.)
        
             | flerchin wrote:
             | Blue Origin seems like a space program. Whether "Amazon"
             | owns it is kind of pedantic.
        
               | skybrian wrote:
               | No, it's like saying Tesla and SpaceX are the same
               | company. It means you're fundamentally confused about
               | what's going on.
               | 
               | (It's a pretty close parallel. Tesla is public and SpaceX
               | is private. Similarly for Amazon and Blue Origin.)
        
             | qchris wrote:
             | I'm not sure if the parent was referring to Blue Origin as
             | a space program, but Amazon very arguably is developing a
             | space program of one sort or another, with services like
             | AWS Ground Station [1] for operating satellites coming
             | online.
             | 
             | [1] https://aws.amazon.com/ground-station/
        
         | tom-_- wrote:
         | The paper shows employment elasticity wrt to wages is very low
         | (Table 4, 5 page 50, 51).
         | 
         | Sure, many workers would choose the less labor intensive Target
         | job over the shitty Amazon warehouse job for the same wage but
         | in many of the warehouse locations, there is simply not that
         | much demand for low-skilled labor, otherwise the market would
         | bear that out.
         | 
         | Also, Amazon has more opportunities for career paths/upward
         | mobility than a local Target/Home Depot.
        
         | AuryGlenz wrote:
         | That's how it should work, and that's why wages have remained
         | suppressed in our country for so long. In my area is a large
         | turkey processing plant - if you ever eat turkey there's a good
         | chance you've eaten something from there. I'm in Minnesota.
         | Inside the plant is cold, wet, incredibly loud even with
         | earmuffs, and the workers are doing repetitive tasks all day.
         | In the 80s, it was a crappy job that paid well. Local people
         | (including my mom) worked there as a sacrifice to get more
         | money and get ahead. After that, they discovered they could
         | keep the pay low if they hired on people that didn't have a
         | better option - illegal immigrants. There was literally a sign
         | advertising for people to come to that town of 20,000 at the
         | Mexican border. But then they had to stop doing that, both for
         | presumably legal reasons and because Mexicans have integrated
         | and have better options. It just so worked out that our state
         | started importing "refugees" from Somalia at the same time.
         | I've been in the plant a couple of times myself. There are
         | literally no base-level workers that aren't immigrants. None.
         | In rural Minnesota. This has suppressed wages for our area as a
         | whole for decades. It's a huge plant - if they already had to
         | pay people $20 or $25 instead of what they do now just imagine
         | the ripple effect that would have on the local economy.
        
           | dkdk8283 wrote:
           | America should prioritize legal workers. Expel all of the
           | illegal immigrants and force corporations to step up and pay
           | livable wages.
        
             | everly wrote:
             | Seems like just doing the part about forcing corporations
             | to pay livable wages would be sufficient (not to mention
             | actually feasible).
        
               | Aunche wrote:
               | Only the people employed at a company get to decide
               | whether or not a wage is livable, not you. Immigrants are
               | naturally have lower expectations for standard of living
               | and have families that live in much cheaper areas, so
               | their interpretation of a livable wage is much lower.
        
               | everly wrote:
               | I don't think I suggested that I get to decide if a wage
               | is livable.
               | 
               | And I guess I find it odd that you've, apparently,
               | decided that all immigrants have lower expectations and
               | standards of living.
               | 
               | I take issue with the notion that immigrants inherently
               | deserve less because of some perceived expectation of
               | what is good enough for them based on where they came
               | from.
        
               | Aunche wrote:
               | > I don't think I suggested that I get to decide if a
               | wage is livable.
               | 
               | You are if you're implying that wages are somehow
               | unlivable today.
               | 
               | > And I guess I find it odd that you've, apparently,
               | decided that all immigrants have lower expectations and
               | standards of living.
               | 
               | No. They decided that themselves when they decided to
               | spend their summer in hundreds of miles away from their
               | family to pick strawberries for the summer to undercut
               | domestic labor. Surely, they're intelligent enough to act
               | according to their best interests.
               | 
               | > I take issue with the notion that immigrants inherently
               | deserve less because of some perceived expectation of
               | what is good enough for them based on where they came
               | from.
               | 
               | I don't think they deserve less. Unlike GP, I'm pro
               | immigration. I just pointing out the incompatibility
               | between both demanding a "living wage" and laxer
               | immigration. The price of labor is determined by supply
               | and demand just as like anything else with a price. Low-
               | skill immigrants consume less than the average resident,
               | so they increase the supply of low-skilled labor much
               | more than the demand.
        
               | everly wrote:
               | Out of curiosity, do you consider the federal minimum
               | wage ($7.50, last updated in 2009) to be livable?
               | 
               | I'd also point out that immigrants labor isn't worth less
               | in terms of pure output, but they're forced to accept
               | less because they aren't offered the worker protections
               | that citizens get. It's not a fair supply/demand market.
               | 
               | Reducing all immigrants to strawberry pickers hundreds of
               | miles from their families is also questionable.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Aunche wrote:
               | > Out of curiosity, do you consider the federal minimum
               | wage ($7.50, last updated in 2009) to be livable?
               | 
               | The minimum wage is probably somewhat too low for the
               | states, but is far too high for territories like Puerto
               | Rico. Many employers can only afford to pay people less
               | than minimum wage by either employing youths, who can be
               | paid $4.25 an hour or remaining small enough to legally
               | avoid having to pay minimum wage. Even then, labor force
               | participation there is significantly lower than that of
               | the US, which implies that a lot of them are simply
               | working for less under the table.
               | 
               | > It's not a fair supply/demand market.
               | 
               | We don't live in a perfectly efficient market. An
               | American citizen is always going to have an advantage
               | over a foreigner from a poor country no matter what.
               | However, the fact millions of people work so hard to seek
               | employment here is proof enough that the market is
               | efficient enough to improve people's lives.
        
               | everly wrote:
               | Puerto Rico is not subject to the exact same minimum wage
               | laws as the states, it has several exceptions. And even
               | if it were, it's laughable IMO to consider that a reason
               | to punish workers in the rest of the US. "Sorry guys, we
               | know you're worth more but we can't have those Puerto
               | Ricans living too high on the hog"
               | 
               | I don't know, your point seems to boil down to 'it's just
               | like that because of how it is'. Policy matters and can
               | have an impact on the status quo. Sure, we don't live in
               | a perfectly efficient market but we can make
               | improvements.
        
               | Aunche wrote:
               | > Puerto Rico is not subject to the exact same minimum
               | wage laws as the states
               | 
               | For a large part, it is. The exceptions are very limited
               | in scope. The only reason their economy isn't completely
               | messed up is because the minimum wage isn't enforced very
               | well there.
               | 
               | I'm not sure why you have the impression that I'm in
               | favor of the status quo. I'm explaining why forcing
               | employers to increase wages will do little to help
               | domestic workers unless if you discourage immigration in
               | some way. Even if you're able to double the minimum wage
               | with minimal economic side effects, you would just
               | incentivize even more immigrants to seek employment here.
        
               | everly wrote:
               | Fair enough, I just disagree and believe that increasing
               | wages will absolutely benefit domestic workers,
               | regardless of whether it incentives more immigration.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Only the people employed at a company get to decide
               | whether or not a wage is livable, not you_
               | 
               | If my opinion doesn't matter, my vote and political
               | capital aren't on the table. If one wants public support
               | for something, the public's opinion matters. Separately,
               | if you ask a group of New York bankers if $500,000 is a
               | livable wage for them, you'll get a spectrum of answers.
        
             | imtringued wrote:
             | Or just legalize them so they can ask for higher wages.
        
             | chiefalchemist wrote:
             | It's more complicated than that. Raising wages results in
             | increased demands elsewhere (e.g., housing). Increased
             | demand of a limited supply will naturally raise prices.
             | 
             | Put another way, _over the long term_ legislating
             | significant wage increases without also creating incentives
             | to also increase housing supply won 't solve the true
             | problem. Sure, you can move to areas with lower housing
             | prices and commute, but the resources (time & money) to
             | commute is a cost as well.
        
             | chillwaves wrote:
             | Expel the illegal immigrants? How?
             | 
             | Seems easier to just put real penalties for corporations
             | that exploit unauthorized workers.
        
               | hellbannedguy wrote:
               | Or, require all employers to use E-Verify.gov
               | 
               | Oh yea, raise the penalty for hiring illegial, or
               | 
               | at least enforce the laws we alwready have.
               | 
               | I'll probally get hammered for saying this here. HN crowd
               | has this pollyannaish attitude towards problems that
               | don't effect them, exception being Visa workers that are
               | paid less than them, and the price of owning a home.
               | 
               | I guess it's human nature?
        
               | anovikov wrote:
               | How about just starting to check papers in the streets
               | and immediately detain and deport the illegals? What's
               | hard about it? It's done here in Europe - you have very
               | few illegals (some legal refugees who at times get
               | annoying, but yet, they are all accounted for).
        
               | satyrnein wrote:
               | Thankfully, it is perfectly legal for a citizen to walk
               | down the street in America without carrying any papers,
               | so not having any papers does not prove anything.
        
               | Judgmentality wrote:
               | However, it is perfectly normal for a police officer to
               | pick up a person just for walking down the street in
               | America without carrying any papers, and once that person
               | is held for 48 hours (which they can do without filing
               | any charges) ICE can easily come and deport somebody.
        
           | kirillzubovsky wrote:
           | The price of turkey would go up, people will stop buying as
           | much of it, kids in schools would go hungry. Eventually pig
           | farmers will figure out a way to make pork-based-turkey, hire
           | those workers, feed the kids, and overtake the turkey market.
           | The demand for turkey will dry out, the plan will do a few
           | rounds of layoffs and eventually shut down. As the result,
           | people in town will lose jobs, will stop paying rent, will
           | lose homes and move to a better place with more
           | opportunities.
           | 
           | Supply and demand is a wonderfully simple system that
           | regulates itself, and as much as it sounds appealing, us
           | messing with it will only make things worse.
        
             | Jarwain wrote:
             | That's a pretty big leap, from people not buying as much
             | turkey to kids in school going hungry.
             | 
             | Sure supply and demand would state that if the price goes
             | up, demand goes down. What it Doesn't state is how much
             | demand will go down, whether that decrease in demand
             | Actually offsets the increase in price, or whether total
             | revenue stays net neutral.
             | 
             | Whole swathes of people wouldn't just stop buying turkey if
             | the price went up a few cents, or maybe even tens of cents
             | (but this is speculation, I'm not sure if anyone's
             | published the numbers on how much the price of turkey would
             | have to increase to support a higher wage). But people buy
             | turkey over pork for a number of lifestyle reasons, too.
             | 
             | Suppy and demand is more of a model than a system. It's not
             | perfect, no model is, but it's useful. But life is a lot
             | more complicated than a simple model
        
             | NegativeLatency wrote:
             | If you can't pay your workers fairly and remain solvent
             | then that's not a business I want to exist.
        
             | CyberDildonics wrote:
             | Did you really just say that kids in schools would go
             | hungry if a turkey factory paid enough that locals would
             | work there?
             | 
             | Did children go hungry in the 80s when this person says
             | that the turkey factory paid people well?
        
           | BoiledCabbage wrote:
           | It's a great point you make above, and reflects a lot of a
           | wave of change in our country over the past 40 years. The
           | analysis of meat packing goes one level deeper and according
           | to the US govt has an additional cause:
           | 
           | > _Industry consolidation has been accompanied by important
           | changes in labor relations in meatpacking. In 1980, 46
           | percent of workers in the meat products industry were union
           | members, a figure that had remained stable through the
           | 1970's. Most unionized slaughter plant workers belonged to
           | the United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) union, whose
           | base wage rate was $10.69 an hour in 1982. In that year, many
           | unionized firms began to press for large reductions in base
           | wages, to $8.25 an hour, consistent with what was being
           | offered in non-union plants. The union at first acceded to
           | wage cuts, but by 1984 adopted a strategy to vigorously
           | contest them, in the view that large wage cuts at older
           | unionized plants only postponed plant closings. Between 1983
           | and 1986, there were 158 work stoppages in cattle and hog
           | slaughter plants, involving 40,000 workers. There were
           | lengthy strikes, plant closings, and deunionizations at some
           | ongoing and reopened plants.14 By 1987, union membership had
           | fallen to 21 percent of the workforce, and has remained at
           | that lower level through the most recent data (1997); wage
           | reductions were imposed in most plants, and wages have risen
           | only modestly since then._
           | 
           | > _Declining unionization coincided with changes in slaughter
           | plant demographics. Immigrants, primarily from Southeast
           | Asia, Mexico, and Central America, make up large and growing
           | shares of the workforces at both hog and cattle slaughter
           | plants._
           | 
           | There was a structural shift in power between workers and
           | corporations. Unions representing the worker who had pushed
           | for those higher wages were fairly systematically pushed out
           | of power. The loss of power of unions is what led to the low
           | wages. The use of immigrant labor is just the particular
           | method companies went about implementing it, but if there
           | hadn't been people immigrating it still would've been forced
           | low wages by the corporations. This is evidenced by the fact
           | that the low-wages began in the non-union corporations.
           | 
           | A lot of people look at this same situation and mistake the
           | cause for the effect. The cause of the situation was a huge
           | shift in power away from workers to corporations via the loss
           | of union power. The particular manifestation of how
           | corporations used that power was by changing who they were
           | hiring, but to be clear even without immigrants, wages
           | would've still fallen as they already were doing. Ie if
           | unions had negotiated and maintained a minimum wage of $10 or
           | $12 it's irrelevant where the people they're hiring come
           | from.
           | 
           | 1. https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/publications/41108/18003_
           | ae...
        
             | qwytw wrote:
             | It's not obvious to me that huge growth in immigration
             | starting the mid/late in 1970's accompanied with the
             | increase in international trade were not the main reasons
             | why labor unions lost most of their power. As soon as
             | companies were able to bypass the unions by hiring "cheap"
             | immigrants or by altogether moving/outsourcing
             | manufacturing to other companies they were doomed. While
             | outsourcing was probably not the most significant factor in
             | the meat packaging industry (or food/agriculture industries
             | in general) the decrease in high-paying jobs with low entry
             | barriers in other manufacturing sectors still allowed
             | companies to decrease wages.
             | 
             | I don't really see how any attempt to prop up the unions
             | without introducing prohibitive tariffs would have resulted
             | in anything but American companies becoming totally
             | uncompetitive (this mostly happened anyway, though...).
        
               | bobthepanda wrote:
               | Immigration relaxation actually starts in the '60s so it
               | doesn't quite match up with your timeline. https://en.m.w
               | ikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_and_Nationality_...
               | 
               | We do have an example of an industry that was protected
               | by tariffs: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicken_tax.
               | For the most part Volkswagen, Toyota and friends are
               | still doing fantastically in the US.
        
               | qwytw wrote:
               | Volkswagen & Toyota are doing great however their workers
               | are being paid less in real terms than they would had
               | been in the 1970s despite modern car factories being
               | significantly more productive. And this is not surprising
               | because they are competing with workers currently working
               | other industries which are not protected by tariffs.
               | 
               | According to
               | https://www.migrationpolicy.org/programs/data-
               | hub/charts/imm... immigration didn't start growing until
               | ~1970 and it increased significantly in the 1980's and
               | later.
        
               | bobthepanda wrote:
               | Tariffs and regulatory barriers in the US just really
               | don't have a great track record.
               | 
               | Take railways. Railroad standards (until the late 2010s)
               | were totally incompatible between Canada/US/Mexico and
               | the rest of the world, and combined with Buy America
               | regulations for federal funding you pretty much had to
               | buy domestic. This had the effect of making international
               | customers totally disinterested in incompatible American
               | railroad locomotive products and hiking up costs for
               | American railroads who could also not source
               | internationally without a lot of paperwork, but also not
               | actually resulting in a healthy American railroad
               | manufacturing industry because it turns out the
               | addressable market in just North America was not large.
        
               | qwytw wrote:
               | Yeah, I agree that in general tariffs and other trade
               | barriers are in general a net negative for the economy
               | (and I think this is/was the case in all developed
               | countries). But I just don't see any other way high wage
               | jobs could have been maintained in the manufacturing
               | sector, with a simultaneously shrinking demand and an
               | increasing supply in the labor market. Of course that
               | would be at the cost of the consumer.
        
               | briandear wrote:
               | > being paid less in real terms
               | 
               | That's a myth.
               | 
               | https://fee.org/articles/dispelling-the-myth-that-wages-
               | have...
        
               | qwytw wrote:
               | Not really... I wasn't talking about average wages but
               | specifically about car factory worker wages:
               | 
               | Ford assembly worker mean wage: $4.30 in 1970* (equal to
               | $29.60 in 2020) $6.57 in 1976 _. ($30.84(
               | 
               | average $20 in 2020* (range $13 - $33)
               | 
               | And in any case the article only references the average
               | wage and nobody is disputing that it has increased since
               | the 1970/80s. However it has increased at much slower
               | rate than worker productivity and incomes in lower
               | quantiles have been largely stagnant due to rising income
               | inequality.
               | 
               | _https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.
               | 1.49....
               | 
               | *https://www.glassdoor.com/Hourly-Pay/Ford-Motor-Company-
               | Asse....
        
           | vasco wrote:
           | I'm all for good wages, but why was it OK for your mom to
           | trade worse conditions for a salary that was on the higher
           | end of what she could get in the 80s but it is not OK for
           | Mexicans or Somalians to do the same now? Yes the pay is
           | lower, but presumably these people are getting attracted by
           | those signs at the border and make the decision to put up
           | with these conditions to better their lot in life, the same
           | way your mom did.
           | 
           | I wish everyone could get a great salary and mostly that work
           | conditions provide a safe environment for all workers, but I
           | don't understand your argument unless I see it under the
           | light of "foreigners = bad"
        
             | NegativeLatency wrote:
             | Sounds like the pay is no longer on the higher end from the
             | poster
        
             | tolbish wrote:
             | I read it as "Lying that you can't afford to pay local
             | workers a decent living wage = bad"
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | > it is not OK for Mexicans or Somalians to do the same
             | now?
             | 
             | If the Mexicans and Somalians are given safe US citizenship
             | with the rights and leverage that entails, it's great for
             | them to do the same now. They wouldn't, because the reason
             | companies want to employ them is their weakness, and the
             | stability of citizenship would entitle them to make demands
             | about pay and conditions.
             | 
             | Employing precarious immigrants isn't charity work.
        
               | Ericson2314 wrote:
               | If the moral imperative is to let people in, the moral
               | imperative is also to give them the rights of
               | citizenship.
               | 
               | Open borders without equal rights is woke apartheid :P
        
             | rsj_hn wrote:
             | > "but it is not OK for Mexicans or Somalians to do the
             | same now"
             | 
             | No one is arguing that Mexicans and Somalians don't have a
             | right to leave their current employer and find a better
             | employer. Oh, but you are talking about illegally entering
             | another country they have no legal right to enter, which is
             | a very different situation. Forcing yourself on a country
             | where the citizens have decided to not allow you to enter
             | is not the same thing as just looking for a higher paying
             | employer.
             | 
             | If you want open borders and believe that borders are
             | immoral and citizens of a nation do not have the right to
             | decide who is and is not allowed to be a fellow citizen,
             | then argue for open borders and a one world government in
             | which no nation has the ability to control who crosses
             | their border and who can participate in their legal,
             | production, electoral, and social insurance system. That is
             | an intellectual position that a small minority holds, but
             | make the case for denying citizens of a nation this right
             | of self-determination and autonomy clearly and directly,
             | don't couch it in the language of someone looking to switch
             | employers. And then don't wring your hands that a nation
             | has deteriorating solidarity and social insurance when you
             | simultaneously advocate for citizenship having no meaning.
        
               | pas wrote:
               | Open Borders means increasing the immigration quota to
               | 10x (or more times). No need for one gov, and hyperbole.
               | 
               | Despite all the money spent on ICE and border patrol,
               | deportations, etc. there are still a lot of undocumented
               | workers, who are in turn exploited, which in turn pushes
               | wages down.
               | 
               | It would be much much much easier to let people go in the
               | legal route. It would also help a bit with the war
               | against cartels.
               | 
               | Obviously the self-determination of the US population is
               | at least as important as the humanitarian/altruistic
               | principle of allowing people to seek a better future for
               | themselves by moving to a better place. That said - as
               | far as I know - economists are very much in consensus
               | that legal immigration does not suppress wages.
        
               | rsj_hn wrote:
               | No, the parent claimed that anyone had a _right_ to force
               | themselves on any country whenever they thought they
               | could make more money. This idea that you have a  "right"
               | to cross whatever border you want is very different from
               | changing laws to increase immigration.
               | 
               | No matter what laws you pass, there will be people
               | excluded, so if your position is that you have a _right_
               | to live in any nation where your income is expected to be
               | higher, then this _does_ require outlawing border
               | controls entirely, and doing that against the will of the
               | citizens in those nations _requires_ some supra-national
               | authority that can override the will of the population.
               | 
               | And this must be a _universal right_ otherwise the right-
               | based logic does not apply. Thus it applies also to
               | Mexico and most other nations where there are some
               | countries somewhere in which wages are lower. Especially
               | in Mexico, that would be a problem given they have a
               | constitutional ban on immigration changing the
               | demographics of Mexico, and even a border  "barrier" at
               | the south. Somalia, while mostly in anarchy, also would
               | not allow uncontrolled migration to it if it ever obtains
               | a functional government. Ethiopia, a rising star in
               | Africa, has strict border controls in place. As does
               | basically every nation on earth.
               | 
               | The common consensus is that no one has a right to force
               | themselves on a nation just because it would benefit them
               | financially. That truth is not incompatible with
               | immigration as a policy. _The debate is about who gets to
               | set the policy_ -- the people whose nation is being
               | entered or those who want to enter.
               | 
               | So while my arguments are extreme in force, they are not
               | hyperbole, as the comment I was replying to was staking
               | out some very radical and anti-democratic positions, but
               | couching them in the mild language of changing employers.
               | I was merely pointing out the extreme nature of these
               | claims, and was not engaging in hyperbole. Claiming you
               | have a right to violate a nation's border controls is a
               | very big deal, and has nothing to do with wanting to
               | increase or decrease immmigration policies, just as
               | claiming a buyer (rather than the seller) has right to
               | decide how much a product should cost is a radical claim,
               | even if it's couched in the mild language of
               | affordability and seeking discounts.
        
               | random314 wrote:
               | > The common consensus is that no one has a right to
               | force themselves on a nation just because it would
               | benefit them financially
               | 
               | I am not aware of any such common consensus. You are
               | confusing legality with morality. Interracial marriage
               | was also illegal. Blacks wedding whites was seen as
               | blacks forcing themselves on the white community for
               | their selfish romantic interests.
        
               | derefr wrote:
               | > then this does require outlawing border controls
               | entirely, and doing that against the will of the citizens
               | in those nations requires [...]
               | 
               | Implicit assumption: that people everywhere aren't just
               | going to eventually all change their minds and be
               | majority-for open borders in every country.
               | 
               | Y'know, like with slavery. We didn't need a supra-
               | national authority to get rid of that globally. Some
               | countries just set an example by deciding to get rid of
               | it; and then other countries' populations who interacted
               | with those countries felt shamed into changing their own
               | minds as well, which led to their own laws changing. It
               | spread globally as a virulent meme. (Yes, we also
               | established international bodies that crack down on
               | slavery -- but 1. we did that _after_ slavery was mostly
               | abolished; and 2. treaty bodies like that are toothless
               | unless almost every country already agrees on the
               | principle.)
               | 
               | I'm not arguing that this is what _will_ happen with open
               | borders; only that it 's not _impossible_ for it to
               | happen, and that that has to be accounted for in this
               | kind of argument.
        
               | jlawson wrote:
               | We did need a supra-national authority to get rid of
               | slavery.
               | 
               | British, Americans, and others historically fought many
               | battles (often naval) and pressured many governments to
               | stop slavery.
               | 
               | What do you think ended the barbary slave trade? Why do
               | you think Saudi stopped formally trading slaves?
               | 
               | You really think they "felt shamed"? They don't care
               | about your morality in the slightest.
               | 
               | The fight continues today as well. Slavery goes on. There
               | are hundreds of thousands, maybe millions of racial
               | slaves (i.e. black people kept as slaves for being black)
               | in places like Mauritania. Slavery-like transactions
               | continue in the middle east, Africa, and India. Supra-
               | national authorities are still pushing, albeit often
               | ineffectually, to end this.
        
               | derefr wrote:
               | That's not a supra-national authority. That's a supra-
               | national _force_. An authority is something people listen
               | to, _without_ it forcing them to do so. Something people
               | _give_ power over to, rather than having it taken from
               | them.
               | 
               | An elected leader is an authority. A valid one-world
               | government would presumably have authority.
               | 
               | A military superpower is not an authority. It's just a
               | force. Every time it "unilaterally" makes a decision, it
               | has to back that up with _renewed_ force. As soon as the
               | force stops, its control stops. That 's not authority.
               | (Think: the Byzantine empire. It had _force_ over much of
               | Western Europe for a few hundred years; but the people
               | there never saw it as a valid _authority_. So as soon as
               | its ability to project _force_ ended, it lost control of
               | its Western-European assets, and became the Eastern
               | Byzantine Empire.)
               | 
               | Also, a "supra-national" body like the International
               | Court of Justice isn't an authority _or_ a force; it 's
               | just a hub for communication. It has no command over
               | anyone. The only thing it does is come up with ideas, and
               | then -- if UN member countries _like_ -- they can take
               | those ideas for their own (i.e. sign on to a given
               | declaration to give it force within their borders.)
               | 
               | Such bodies are basically like the IETF, issuing RFCs.
               | There's nothing _requiring_ anyone to implement an RFC.
               | You just implement it if-and-when you think it 's a good
               | idea.
               | 
               | Countries are top-level; nobody has true _authority_ over
               | them. That 's what "sovereignty" means. You only have a
               | true supra-national _authority_ if sovereignty ceases to
               | exist.
               | 
               | > You really think they "felt shamed"? They don't care
               | about your morality in the slightest.
               | 
               | Adults don't generally change their ethical norms in
               | response to exposure to external systems of ethics, no.
               | But children often do.
               | 
               | This is why many countries (e.g. the US) think that
               | putting their media out on the global stage is important:
               | it allows them to influence the political/ethical views
               | of children in other countries in ways that make them
               | think more like the origin culture of that media; and so
               | make the country more likely to invite their cooperation
               | and influence two or three generations later, when those
               | children are now the country's leaders.
               | 
               | There is a reason that e.g. America had to fight for
               | sovereignty, but Canada did not. Or why France needed a
               | series of internecine wars and bloody revolutions to
               | establish democracy, but many neighbouring countries to
               | France then peacefully, gradually established democratic
               | societies some time later. Cultures are object-lessons
               | for their neighbours!
               | 
               | > The fight continues today as well. Slavery goes on.
               | 
               | Well, yeah. Precisely because there _isn 't_ a supra-
               | national authority with any _authority_ to tell them to
               | stop. There 's just people with guns. You don't have to
               | listen to guns if you have your own guns; especially if
               | the guy that would point the guns at you has too many
               | other higher-priority people to point their guns at
               | first.
        
               | akiselev wrote:
               | That would be all nice and well if enforcement wasn't a
               | total farce. A nation can't argue sovereignty and then do
               | nothing when it comes to enforcing it except superfluous
               | PR moves and policy actively detrimental to that goal.
               | It's like a country of warhawks without an army - it
               | makes no sense.
               | 
               | Enforcement of immigration laws at the employer level is
               | practically nonexistent - business impacting fines are
               | almost unheard of. The I9 verification system is a
               | complete joke, unless you're actually here legally and
               | you slip through the cracks because under-trained
               | reviewers don't actually know the rules. Some employers
               | benefiting from the cheap labor even teach immigrants how
               | to circumvent it and the decision makers almost never
               | face anything close to deportation or criminal charges.
               | 
               | About half of undocumented immigrants are here
               | "illegally" because they overstayed their Visa. Tracking
               | those Visa recipients and checking in on them _at least
               | once_ after expiration would be the easiest and cheapest
               | way to reduce the undocumented immigrant population but,
               | again, nonexistent.
               | 
               | I'll stop there before I write a three page rant about
               | all the shit I've experienced immigrating to the US
               | legally. It's a farce and has only gotten more ridiculous
               | over the last four years with ICE and the Executive
               | Office for Immigration Review going out of control.
               | 
               | The sad part is, I actually _agree_ that illegal
               | immigration is a threat to national security and
               | stability. The second order economic effects are
               | unpredictable, it creates a shadow economy that makes
               | circumventing labor, environmental, safety, etc laws much
               | easier, and despite diversity being America 's strength,
               | there is a lot of value in having some control over
               | population growth and giving cultures time to acclimate.
               | However, the crime isn't the illegal immigration, it's
               | the total abdication of our legislators in their duty to
               | protect our sovereignty and allowing an exploitative
               | shadow economy to exist. There's no reason to punish the
               | people stuck in the crossfire, especially when it makes
               | defending sovereignty against actual criminals and
               | enemies that much harder.
        
               | FireBeyond wrote:
               | > Enforcement of immigration laws at the employer level
               | is practically nonexistent - business impacting fines are
               | almost unheard of. The I9 verification system is a
               | complete joke, unless you're actually here legally and
               | you slip through the cracks because under-trained
               | reviewers don't actually know the rules. Some employers
               | benefiting from the cheap labor even teach immigrants how
               | to circumvent it and the decision makers almost never
               | face anything close to deportation or criminal charges.
               | 
               | Yup, two years ago, seven factories owned by the same
               | company. 680 individuals arrested for being undocumented.
               | 
               | Not one supervisor, manager, or executive has been
               | charged with anything in relation to these raids. And ICE
               | has announced no plans to do so.
        
               | Miraste wrote:
               | This is definition shifting, no? "Open Borders" means
               | open borders, i.e. no quotas. Like how "Defund the
               | Police" means stop paying for and therefore disband
               | police forces. Proponents of these slogans often explain
               | that they really mean more limited, reasonable changes
               | when questioned, but they mean what the words say. That's
               | how language works. If the intended policies are "raise
               | the quotas," say so. If it's "do away with controlled
               | borders," stand behind it and explain why. Don't switch
               | from one to the other as is convenient.
        
               | MereInterest wrote:
               | > Like how "Defund the Police" means stop paying for and
               | therefore disband police forces.
               | 
               | Yeah, I'm going to disagree with you there. It means to
               | reduce the funding (i.e. defund) the police in the same
               | way that education has been defunded. That doesn't mean
               | that a group is entirely disbanded, rather than the scope
               | gets similarly restricted. When education is defunded,
               | this means that after-school programs get cut, and school
               | lunch programs are reduced. It doesn't mean that the
               | school itself gets shut down. Should police be defunded,
               | it means that extraneous use of police force, such as for
               | mental health checks, are no longer part of the budget.
               | It also means those funds can be shifted to programs
               | specifically designed for mental health checks.
               | 
               | You are assuming that "defund" means to completely remove
               | funding rather than partially remove funding.
        
               | Miraste wrote:
               | I guess that's fair, it's used both ways in different
               | contexts. I most associate the word with its use in
               | universities, in which "x program/department has been
               | defunded" means that it's gone. There's only one
               | definition of "open borders," though.
        
               | MereInterest wrote:
               | I'd agree there, though with the caveat that there are
               | very similar phrasings that can have differences. I don't
               | often hear people advocating for "open borders", but
               | rather for "more open borders" or to "open up the
               | borders". The former means to have no restrictions on
               | movements between countries, while the latter two mean to
               | have fewer restrictions, but still allow for a non-zero
               | number of restrictions.
        
               | wearywanderer wrote:
               | It's a classic motte-and-bailey routine. The bailey are
               | "open borders" or "defund the police" at face value. The
               | motte are the more defensible positions they fall back on
               | when challenged: _" Actually when I say 'defund' I mean
               | they should continue getting funding but we just need
               | some reform is all"_
               | 
               | Often this is paired with gaslighting. When called out,
               | somebody employing the motte-and-bailey may refuse to
               | admit the bailey exists at all. People who argue against
               | the bailey get ridiculed for thinking the bailey exists.
        
               | FireBeyond wrote:
               | And yet we see, repeatedly, that the employers who do
               | this hiring are rarely, if ever, punished.
               | 
               | Two years ago, seven factories owned by the same company:
               | 680 individuals arrested for being undocumented - a
               | misdemeanor, leaving aside all the other polarization of
               | opinions on that.
               | 
               | It's a felony to (knowingly) employ someone without work
               | authorization.
               | 
               | Not one supervisor, manager, or executive has been
               | charged with anything in relation to these raids. And ICE
               | announced that they have no plans to do so.
        
               | cmeacham98 wrote:
               | All of us in the US are here as a direct result of
               | immigration (except native Americans). If immigration
               | causes "deteriorating solidarity and social insurance"
               | then it happened long ago before you and I were even
               | born.
        
               | rsj_hn wrote:
               | You really don't think the US has a weaker social safety
               | net and less solidarity than Europe?
               | 
               | And the issue isn't necessarily immigration per se as
               | ethnic fractionalization. E.g. if a ton of French expats
               | were to immigrate to France that would create different
               | levels of social strife than, say, a ton of Russians
               | entering France. There have been many studies on this,
               | e.g.
               | 
               | https://www.jstor.org/stable/2586963?seq=1
               | 
               | https://www.nber.org/papers/w20504
               | 
               | http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:4551797
               | 
               | https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/archive/doc/eve
               | nts...
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | Imported slaves aren't immigrants.
        
               | jlawson wrote:
               | Settlers are not immigrants in the normal sense of the
               | word. There's a difference between moving to join a
               | society and moving to land so you can spread your society
               | onto it while ignoring/overruling anyone who might have
               | been there.
               | 
               | Also - I would say that from the point of view of the
               | native Americans, the migration of Europeans into their
               | land kind of did cause something like "deteriorating
               | solidarity and social insurance". Wouldn't you? Can't you
               | imagine why others would not want to suffer the same
               | fate?
        
               | vasco wrote:
               | I'm not arguing about anything related to borders. If
               | someone is working a non-remote job, I assume they are a
               | local worker. What the comment I replied to based their
               | argument on is that certain people should have the
               | freedom choose to trade work conditions for higher wages
               | to improve their lives, but other people shouldn't. The
               | classification that was given for that distinction was on
               | the basis of nationality or refugee status, read Mexicans
               | and Somalians.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | > should have the freedom
               | 
               | ...is doing a lot of work here. No argument was being
               | made about what Somalis and Mexicans should be allowed to
               | do, arguments are being made about what US employers
               | should be allowed to do. It's a common anti-slavery
               | argument - the exploitation of people in a precarious
               | position to do the same work that free people do demeans
               | the value of work. If you want to see a real market in
               | wages, and you have a real belief in the goodness of
               | that, remove the legal situation that makes the immigrant
               | workforce's situation precarious.
        
             | throw737858 wrote:
             | Companies who exploit illegal workers usually do not
             | maintain basic safety. At peak of corona lockdown last year
             | my friends had their passports confiscated by employer, had
             | to pay overpriced accommodation and could not leave for
             | lockdown. They lived in dorms, 12 people per room, there
             | was covid outbreak. Job was nothing like advertised.
             | 
             | You are arguing for slavery.
        
             | prestigious wrote:
             | Because they are breaking the market. Ideally we have
             | continually improving life but if we keep bringing in
             | people willing to work for less we will never progress
        
               | lokar wrote:
               | You should consider why "we" are absolutely entitled to
               | continually improving life while people born abroad are
               | not.
               | 
               | There is no moral justification for that position.
        
             | sneak wrote:
             | Due to the inability of undocumented people to easily
             | switch jobs, they can pay them a lot less. It's not equal
             | pay for equal work.
        
               | briandear wrote:
               | So clearly we should enforce the laws against hiring
               | illegal alien labor. It harms legal residents and
               | citizens.
        
               | sneak wrote:
               | I don't think that's clear at all, no. Then you condemn
               | people to starve instead of just being enslaved.
               | 
               | Enforcing labor laws equally for all people (even in
               | cases of undocumented workers) would be a better
               | solution. Just because someone is undocumented is not a
               | license for the employer to break additional laws.
               | 
               | Equal application of the law should apply to all people,
               | even if you consider them criminals. We give murderers
               | fair trials and presumption of innocence, for example.
        
           | fastball wrote:
           | Of course, why else do you think corporately bought-and-paid-
           | for dems think immigration should basically be open borders?
           | Probably the largest anti-strong-borders people are Big Ag.
           | 
           | The people that actually care about the workers at the bottom
           | of the totem pole (Bernie Sanders mostly) were strongly
           | against such policies until the increasingly polarized nature
           | of our politics made it untenable to be on the "left" and not
           | pro-endless-immigration.
           | 
           | Don't get me wrong, I'm not generally in favor of
           | protectionism and think our immigration system could use a
           | bit of renovation, but anyone who pretends that low wages is
           | just corporate America being mean and stealing profits for
           | themselves without also acknowledging the impact of importing
           | massive amounts of unskilled labor is being disingenuous at
           | best.
        
           | question000 wrote:
           | This American Life did an episode about these plants and
           | debunked the "Mexican billboard" lie.
        
           | crooked-v wrote:
           | What's with the scare quotes on 'refugees'? There are a lot
           | of obvious reasons to settle newly displaced refugees
           | somewhere they can get reliable low-skill jobs without having
           | to look far.
        
             | lobotryas wrote:
             | Because there is a belief, not unfounded, that some portion
             | of refugees (percentage depends on party affiliation) are
             | lying about their situation and are actually just economic
             | migrants.
        
               | botwriter wrote:
               | in the uk the ones crossing channel all seem to be
               | fighting age males.
        
               | lokar wrote:
               | And what if they are? How is that justification for
               | vilification?
        
         | Enginerrrd wrote:
         | Does it not also suggest that Amazon has excessive control and
         | ability to fix the price of labor in an area due to large size?
        
         | irrational wrote:
         | Another thing to consider is where are the Amazon warehouses
         | located? They aren't as ubiquitous as Target, Home Depot, etc.
         | Our closest one is a 40 minute car drive away by the airport.
         | And no public transportation goes there. So do I drive in my
         | car for 40 minutes to go to work for $15/hour, or do I go to
         | work for $13.50-14/hour (the typical minimum wage where I live)
         | at a place that is a few minutes away?
        
           | pkaye wrote:
           | I know Amazon build some huge warehouses in my city in the
           | middle of the Bay Area. I think they are trying to bring down
           | the delivery times by stocking common stuff locally for quick
           | delivery.
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | Amazon should just build giant warehouses underneath other
             | buildings.
        
               | blackoil wrote:
               | building underground warehouse would be too costly. I
               | would love to see pneumatic tubes with packets zipping
               | around.
        
         | kube-system wrote:
         | Of course. How else do you entice literally hundreds of
         | thousands of people to apply for a job?
         | 
         | They've hired somewhere around a _million_ employees in the
         | past 5 years.
         | 
         | > The $15 is enough to lure some people to work at Amazon but
         | it seems there are others for which slightly lower pay and the
         | benefit of bathroom breaks
         | 
         | I know a couple of people who work at an Amazon warehouse, and
         | I've asked them about this, and they said it's never been an
         | issue.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | toast0 wrote:
           | I think bathroom breaks in warehouses _was_ an issue several
           | years ago. When that got enough media attention, it seems to
           | have stopped (at least mostly); but now that bathroom breaks
           | for drivers is an issue, a lot of people are assuming it 's
           | the same thing, so it must have been going on the whole time.
           | 
           | But while it's the same type of problem, it's not quite the
           | same problem as before.
        
             | blackoil wrote:
             | Driver issue seems to be systemic and not something Amazon
             | can solve. If nearest bathroom is 20-30 mins away I'll
             | choose to pee in bottle, irrespective of the salary,
             | stress, timings.
        
               | HarryHirsch wrote:
               | If Amazon/UPS/Fedex wanted they could erect portaloos
               | where they would be needed or devise a route that goes
               | past a company facility every so often, so the driver can
               | actually pee when they need to. It's a case of "don't
               | want to", not "can't".
        
               | wearywanderer wrote:
               | I'd sooner piss in a bottle than the average portaloo.
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | Proper planning and facilities would mean you get regular
               | good opportunities to use the bathroom, so that when
               | you're half an hour away from one you don't need it.
        
               | lobotryas wrote:
               | Did you seriously just suggest that Amazon time the
               | individualistic liquid consumption and bladders of their
               | drivers? Do you have any idea how much outrage that would
               | cause?
               | 
               | At least you could suggest retrofitting each truck with a
               | urinal. That would make more sense despite being equally
               | untenable.
        
               | wearywanderer wrote:
               | Why would truck urinals be untenable? That actually
               | sounds like a pretty good idea. The truck urinals could
               | even have collapsible privacy screens (aka shower
               | curtains.)
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | I'm suggesting they have a bathroom and time to use it at
               | the package pickup location, and if that's going to be
               | the main bathroom drivers use then the delivery segments
               | shouldn't be longer than 2-3 hours or so. And if that's
               | not going to be the main bathroom then it should be
               | Amazon's responsibility to make sure something is
               | available, not the driver's.
               | 
               | How did you get anything about tracking fluid intake from
               | "regular good opportunities"? I'm really curious.
        
               | wearywanderer wrote:
               | If you've got to go, you've got to go. Holding in your
               | pee for up to 2-3 hours isn't very healthy; that's the
               | kind of thing Amazon got in trouble for demanding in
               | their warehouses.
               | 
               | So yeah, obviously they should have bathrooms at the
               | warehouses that drivers can use. I'm earnestly surprised
               | they don't already, it's common sense. But I don't think
               | it will stop drivers from peeing in bottles.
               | 
               | Edit:
               | 
               | > _2-3 hours since the last bathroom break shouldn 't be
               | unhealthy._
               | 
               | That assumes you chose to avail yourself at that time. If
               | didn't _feel_ like you had to use the bathroom at that
               | time, you might neglect to do so anyway. Maybe because
               | you were walking around outside your truck, and walking
               | around somewhat suppresses that full-bladder sensation.
               | Then you sit down in your truck and half an hour later,
               | after a cup of coffee, you realize you have to piss. You
               | 're still 2 hours away from your next bathroom break, so
               | what do you do? Is this a consequence of poor planning on
               | the part of the driver? Maybe. But that's inevitably
               | going to happen anyway.
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | > If you've got to go, you've got to go.
               | 
               | Yeah but I assume someone doing this for their day job
               | can manage a bit of planning. As long as the proper
               | opportunity is there, on-the-go emergencies should be
               | quite rare and wouldn't be a systemic problem.
               | 
               | > Holding in your pee for up to 2-3 hours isn't very
               | healthy; that's the kind of thing Amazon got in trouble
               | for demanding in their warehouses.
               | 
               | 2-3 hours _since the last bathroom break_ shouldn 't be
               | unhealthy.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | If I were given 20 minutes to drive to a bathroom, I
               | would pee in a bottle and then take a 19 minute
               | stationary break. Peeing in a bottle is incredibly
               | convenient for men, and there are portable solutions for
               | women as well.
        
               | pwthornton wrote:
               | Yeah this is reportedly an issue with UPS and Fedex as
               | well. The problem is that America has very few public
               | restrooms. During the pandemic where there were barely
               | any private restrooms either, you can imagine how dire it
               | was for drivers.
               | 
               | America needs public restrooms. That's the core issue
               | here.
        
               | wearywanderer wrote:
               | I have at times chosen to pee in bottles despite a nearby
               | public bathroom existing, simply because the bathroom was
               | very gross while the supposed grossness of peeing in
               | bottles doesn't register at all to me. Some people seem
               | to think this act is very gross, I get that... but I
               | don't personally feel that way. To me, peeing in a bottle
               | is about as inherently gross as peeing on a tree. I don't
               | think either of these are inherently inferior to peeing
               | on porcelain.
               | 
               | To be fair I suppose, peeing in a bottle could be gross
               | and messy if you only had a narrow-necked bottle. And in
               | some situations it might get you into legal trouble. Both
               | matters are resolved with a little common sense.
        
         | dalbasal wrote:
         | Also, volume.
         | 
         | Amazon needs a lot of workers. You might get N qualified
         | candidates per month with a $13, but need to offer $17 in order
         | to get 3N.
         | 
         | The more people they need to hire, the more they need to offer.
         | This is often why "mom & pop" businesses often represent the
         | lowest salary tier. They need few employees.
        
         | jjk166 wrote:
         | We live in very strange times when paying workers more to do a
         | harder job is vilified.
        
         | kirillzubovsky wrote:
         | Conversely, or maybe tangentially (?), increased labor cost is
         | how Amazon wins in the long run. It's the same logic they use
         | for undercutting prices of consumer electronics, but in
         | reverse.
         | 
         | Today you can get an $x/hour at Amazon or Target, but if Amazon
         | does it right and keeps driving costs down and prices up,
         | coupled with continuous explosion in online shopping, in 10
         | years Target loses its edge and you can only get a job at
         | Amazon.
         | 
         | It's not to say that short term gains aren't worth it for
         | employees, but long term, those gains might already be baked
         | into Amazon's logic.
         | 
         | Today, they employ 1M people, but in 10 years, when there's no
         | longer a Target or a Wallmart, they overnight add 10M robots
         | and there's no one to say no at that point.
         | 
         | They are notorious for playing very long games, and they don't
         | seem to do anything that doesn't eventually benefit them.
         | 
         | Being in tech I find the tactics very interesting, but it's
         | getting progressively harder to tell if the world is becoming
         | net positive as a result.
        
       | klaudius wrote:
       | Now that they have market power and monopoly position in certain
       | areas they lobby for regulation to make it difficult for startups
       | to disrupt them. They used no sales tax and lower wages when they
       | were starting up, but now want to prevent the same advantages for
       | startups.
        
         | panick21 wrote:
         | And if they had not raised wages people would accuse them that
         | they are using market power to push wages down.
        
         | jakelazaroff wrote:
         | Why should we care about the plight of a startup that wants to
         | use low wages as a competitive advantage?
        
         | flavius29663 wrote:
         | that is usually the case for most regulations. While it's wild
         | west, big corporations are formed. Now the corporations want
         | regulations. It's an old tale, and unfortunately the people
         | think the government introduces regulations for their benefit.
         | Regulations stifle competition and in the end the public
         | suffers on the long term.
        
         | mcny wrote:
         | > Now that they have market power and monopoly position in
         | certain areas they lobby for regulation to make it difficult
         | for startups to disrupt them. They used no sales tax and lower
         | wages when they were starting up, but now want to prevent the
         | same advantages for startups.
         | 
         | That is an interesting argument and I'd like to hear from
         | members of the community about how they feel about this. (Sorry
         | if the questions feel like they are begging the answer, I
         | promise you I am trying to not bring my biases into this)
         | 
         | Should everyone play by the same rules?
         | 
         | For example, how should countries handle pollution? Do emerging
         | economies (China PR in particular but it applies to all
         | nations) have a different, lesser obligation when it comes to
         | pumping carbon into the atmosphere? Did we (USA) and western
         | Europe get a head start with our economy and therefore should
         | be subject to lower limits on how much we carbon we pump into
         | the atmosphere going forward? Or does this question sound
         | absurd to you?
        
           | lotsofpulp wrote:
           | > That is an interesting argument
           | 
           | It is a terrible argument. Amazon does not control wages,
           | supply and demand curves do. Amazon having lower wages before
           | is simply due to the market for labor at that time having
           | more supply relative to demand (or less demand relative to
           | supply).
           | 
           | They did not have any special laws or circumstances which did
           | not apply to everyone else, regarding the wages they pay. And
           | they still do not.
        
           | xwolfi wrote:
           | The example of China is also a difficult one. If you look at
           | countries, sure they pollute a lot more than Switzerland, but
           | if you look at per capita (or say you imagine China not as a
           | country but as dozens of Switzerlands), then they look quite
           | better.
        
           | imtringued wrote:
           | >For example, how should countries handle pollution?
           | 
           | Just set a cap based on cumulative emissions. 99% of the time
           | such a cap is aspirational though... It may not be achievable
           | or politicians have other priorities.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _set a cap based on cumulative emissions_
             | 
             | My family immigrated to America. Given we're counting the
             | sins of our forefathers, should the cap that applies to me
             | be my origin country's? Or America's?
             | 
             | How do we apportion the USSR's carbon emissions? Or the
             | British Empire's?
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | > Or does this question sound absurd to you?
           | 
           | It sounds like an extremely leading question, or at least a
           | dozen separate questions. But the further you go back in
           | history the more, larger, and nastier questions you find
           | where one country gained an advantage at the expense of
           | another, often including a huge number of human lives. Was it
           | really right for France to insist on reparations from Haiti,
           | for example?
        
             | xwolfi wrote:
             | It certainly wasn't right from a Haitian point of view, but
             | sometimes, better put up with it and have a powerful ally
             | during your start as an independent country, whatever the
             | debt cost, than be fighting them forever at tremendous cost
             | for every sides.
             | 
             | Debt between countries don't matter much, and I certainly
             | hope one day we'll have the budget to repay Haiti, but I'm
             | happy we solved it with this infamy rather than murdered
             | each other for decades. It's not the most optimal way we
             | could have behaved, but we've been more abject with former
             | colonies.
        
         | geewee wrote:
         | Wait, so is your argument that it should be okay to pay people
         | dirt-poor wages because Amazon used to get away with it? I get
         | that it's a classic tactic to avoid a loophole in legislation
         | and then build a regulatory moat afterwards, but I don't really
         | feel paying people more is a good example.
        
       | varispeed wrote:
       | This isn't right. If workers have to apply for any benefits,
       | because they cannot live off what they get paid, it means other
       | tax payers subsidise their wages, but Amazon keeps the profits
       | (then fakes losses and avoid tax). They are essentially stealing
       | from everyone.
        
       | kaliali wrote:
       | While it is true that Amazon raised their wages to at least
       | $15/hr, they also cut healthcare, benefits, and other things
       | their employees were receiving.
       | 
       | Why Amazon is Begging For Regulations: The Twisted Economics of
       | Amazon https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KPGZgujnVek
        
       | Multicomp wrote:
       | Anecdote: Because of a months-long labor shortage and being
       | unable to staff operations even after multiple temp agencies were
       | engaged, an employer somewhere in the universe raised wages to a
       | floor of 15 per hour this past month. It used to start at minimum
       | wage, then went to 8 in 2014, now here.
       | 
       | Everyone who was getting +1,2,3 dollars over that got bumped
       | porportionally, so if you were at 15, you now got 17, if you were
       | at 22 (only things like paramedics) you were at 25 etc.
       | 
       | Why? Amazon has a warehouse nearby. We've bled staff to them for
       | years.
        
         | andagainagain wrote:
         | A local union factory relatively recently started hiring like
         | crazy a few years back. Their wages were higher than every
         | other job in the area, and the same thing happened. Within a
         | year a job that WAS offering $10.50 and saying that they were
         | generous started offering #$12... then $13.50... then $14. Now
         | they're also offering a few hundred dollar bonus as well.
        
           | CapitalistCartr wrote:
           | Making it obvious they could have afforded that before.
        
             | minitoar wrote:
             | I don't understand this argument. I could afford to pay
             | more for most services but I don't unless I have to.
        
               | Sebguer wrote:
               | Are you a company? You are an individual and paying for
               | things comes from the money that you earned with your own
               | labor.
               | 
               | A company's money comes purely from extracting value from
               | its workers. It then tries to return as little value as
               | possible to the people who created that value, in order
               | to reward its owners.
        
               | missedthecue wrote:
               | " _A company 's money comes purely from extracting value
               | from its workers_"
               | 
               | This is really hard to believe because it's pretty
               | observable that labor isn't the only input to production.
               | If that was truly the case, why would anyone work for a
               | company? Why not go work for yourself and skip the middle
               | man?
               | 
               | The truth is because production not only needs labor, but
               | it needs capital, land, and entrepreneurship as well.
               | Labor is only one component, and a decreasing one
               | relative to years gone by. (For instance, the US auto
               | manufacturers make more cars now then ever with fewer
               | employees tham ever)
        
               | sangnoir wrote:
               | > I don't understand this argument.
               | 
               | It counters a common argument against minimum wage
               | increases. The argument goes "Small businesses can't
               | afford raises. If they are forced to pay their employees
               | more, they will go bankrupt, leading to unemployment, and
               | low wages are better than unemployment, so you shouldn't
               | raise the minimum wage"
        
           | nitrogen wrote:
           | Has there been any effect on downstream prices of the goods
           | and services offered by those companies, or has it all been
           | pure gain for the workers?
        
         | eloff wrote:
         | I'm surprised paramedics would only make $22/hour.
         | 
         | Estheticians and hair stylists make more than that (including
         | tips) at a senior level.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | Including tips and senior level makes a big difference.
           | 
           | What do entry leaves hairstylists make?
        
           | Enginerrrd wrote:
           | Lol... back when I was a paramedic circa ~2014, paramedics
           | started at $14/hour where I'm from. The nurses were starting
           | at more like ~$40/hr. (Northern coastal CA, btw)
           | 
           | Crappy job, terrible pay. I only did it because I thought the
           | skillset would be valuable while I got an engineering degree.
           | Newly graduated engineers with a 4-year degree and an EIT
           | cert. (in the civil field) started at around $18-$20 / hr.
        
           | throwaway0a5e wrote:
           | It's a gatekeeping job for a lot of medical stuff. Also if
           | you're looking to become a firefighter or cop it's a very
           | nice thing to already have on your resume.
           | 
           | Basically people put up with it because it's usually a
           | stepping stone toward a job where you can print easy money.
        
             | paulcole wrote:
             | What job (where you can print easy money) does experience
             | working as a paramedic directly qualify you for?
        
               | sundaeofshock wrote:
               | Physician Associate. To apply for PA school, one must
               | have health care work experience.
               | 
               | https://www.aapa.org/career-central/become-a-pa/
        
               | AuryGlenz wrote:
               | There sure are a lot of roadblocks in our country to
               | having enough medical professionals to keep wages from
               | going down.
        
               | influx wrote:
               | It's shocking to me that this hasn't been addressed in
               | healthcare reform.
        
               | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
               | There's a powerful guild that spends a lot of money to
               | maintain the status quo.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | throwaway0a5e wrote:
               | Working as an EMT counts as "clinical experience" some
               | amount of which is required or "encouraged but
               | practically speaking required unless you know someone who
               | can pull strings for you" for med school admission.
        
         | lucian1900 wrote:
         | A minor nitpick, it's not so much a labour shortage as a wage
         | shortage. Clearly the workers are there, shown clearly by them
         | taking jobs when paid better.
        
           | lotsofpulp wrote:
           | A useful definition of labor shortage would be when there
           | exists no one(s) that can perform a certain task in a certain
           | area, such as not having a specific type of doctor in a rural
           | setting.
           | 
           | The learning curve for warehouse work is very low, so if you
           | cannot find someone that can do it, you are either in a
           | geriatric community or you are not offering attractive wages
           | (so wage shortage is more accurate than labor shortage).
           | 
           | Although wage shortages can lead to labor shortages years
           | down for tasks that have high learning curves.
        
             | everybodyknows wrote:
             | >you are not offering attractive wages
             | 
             | IOW, not competitive in a free market in labor.
             | 
             | Employers who talk about free markets have less enthusiasm
             | when it hits the expense side of their P&L.
        
       | slim wrote:
       | This is maybe in reaction to the "make amazon pay" global day of
       | action from last week
       | 
       | https://mobile.twitter.com/hashtag/MakeAmazonPay
        
       | StandardFuture wrote:
       | A negative article about Walmart and a positive article about
       | Amazon on the HN front page at the same time?
       | 
       | There is NO WAY this could ever be PR firm coordinated ... NO
       | WAY. I would NEVER break HN rules and EVER imply such a thing.
       | 
       | I follow the rules.
        
       | TedShiller wrote:
       | It's called inflation
        
       | pkilgore wrote:
       | Why are we linking to the press release instead of the paper?
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | anti-nazi wrote:
       | time for a living wage across the board. if you can't afford to
       | pay your employees a living wage you do not deserve employees
        
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