[HN Gopher] Why Aren't SMS Interventions Designed to Boost Colle...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Why Aren't SMS Interventions Designed to Boost College Success
       Working at Scale?
        
       Author : vitabenes
       Score  : 50 points
       Date   : 2021-05-10 08:50 UTC (14 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (behavioralscientist.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (behavioralscientist.org)
        
       | infogulch wrote:
       | If nagging people to death with notifications doesn't help, what
       | does? Maybe goal setting writing exercises:
       | 
       | Using Future Authoring to Improve Student Outcomes -
       | https://heqco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/HEQCO-Formatted_... -
       | https://www.selfauthoring.com/research
        
       | dogman144 wrote:
       | At scale implies automation, especially guessing at budgets to
       | support these programs.
       | 
       | I think schools know there has to be a human at some point in the
       | interaction chain.
       | 
       | A frustrating experience I had with this is a school I was at
       | (expensive uni) tried to farm out this responsibility to other
       | students.
       | 
       | In a mentorship program designed to do 1:1 student:student
       | pairings and used "SMS intervention" this program asked students
       | to take up to *10* student mentees, with the idea that that the
       | real mentor load is pretty low (quick convos).
       | 
       | To me, this felt like an outrageous ask, as if they were trying
       | to sub in students paying to be there with the tasks paid
       | advisors are responsible for.
       | 
       | This was at grad school, and I think indicated something funding
       | challenges behind the scenes. I imagine it's similar/worse at
       | high school levels. Maybe not the same exact problem, but it
       | makes sense why this specific program linked has trouble.
        
       | saurik wrote:
       | This title cut-down to "why aren't text messages designed to
       | boost college success working at scale?" was extremely confusing
       | until I looked more carefully at the original article and saw it
       | says "text message INTERVENTIONS". To save characters--if we are
       | ignoring the half-rule to accept the upstream author's title--I
       | would suggest changing "text message" to "sms" instead of
       | dropping the key noun "interventions".
        
         | vitabenes wrote:
         | Changed.
        
         | MauranKilom wrote:
         | I still can't actually parse the title. What is "college
         | success working at scale"?
         | 
         | Edit: Ok, halfway through the article it became clear: The
         | proper reading is
         | 
         | > "Why Aren't SMS Interventions _which are Designed to Boost
         | College Success_ Working at Scale? "
         | 
         | and not the way I read it initially:
         | 
         | > "Why don't we design SMS interventions so that they boost
         | college success working, at scale?"
         | 
         | Funny enough, this is a case where languages with different
         | capitalization for noun vs verb (working, in this case) would
         | immediately resolve ambiguities. Well, except for Title Case, I
         | guess.
        
           | contravariant wrote:
           | It's
           | 
           | ((Why aren't) (SMS Interventions Designed to Boost College
           | Success) (Working at Scale))
           | 
           | not
           | 
           | ((Why aren't) (SMS Interventions) (Designed to Boost College
           | Success Working at Scale))
        
             | rm445 wrote:
             | (Why (aren't (Working (SMS Interventions Designed to Boost
             | College Success) (at Scale))))
        
       | tsumnia wrote:
       | This isn't specific to the article per say, but something I've
       | been discussing with my colleagues revolves around gamification
       | and nudge theory in education. There's a lot of pressure on
       | gamification in financial trading after the GameStop saga in
       | January, and with the pre-existing pressures from loot boxes, I'm
       | starting to ask "Why is it okay for education to do it?"
       | 
       | I think nudge theory is a subset of all the elements that make up
       | gamification, but still, the idea that something is okay to do
       | because "we're doing it to help people" seems a bit odd.
        
         | tomjen3 wrote:
         | If you have signed up for college, then I don't think it is
         | wrong to get an SMS, similar to what a doctor might send. I
         | think the key is "person really wanted this at some point in
         | the recent past", which is not the case for gamefication.
        
         | hoppyhoppy2 wrote:
         | If you accept that the use of grades is just a way of gamifying
         | individual learning to establish player scores and a
         | competitive leaderboard, then schools been at it for a long,
         | long time.
        
         | SpicyLemonZest wrote:
         | When you look closely, a whole ton of things are gamification.
         | Even something as simple as a problem set is very gamified, if
         | you choose to see it from that angle, since real challenges
         | almost never come in the form of neat bundles with a single
         | unambiguous solution. I'm honestly not sure whether I think
         | that's a useful angle or not, but either way it seems
         | inescapable to conclude that there's a category of healthy
         | gamification towards good ends.
        
       | crooked-v wrote:
       | The tl;dr from the article:
       | 
       | > Implementing a texting campaign with hundreds of thousands of
       | students may require organizations to forego advising and have
       | texts provide just one-way content or to have large caseloads
       | that limit how much engagement advisors can have with individual
       | students.
       | 
       | > Another trade-off is that students may have less trust in a
       | state agency or national nonprofit sending the messages.
       | 
       | > Finally, state- and national-level campaigns have typically
       | sent content that is uniform across all students, whereas
       | earlier, local campaigns often personalized information to
       | students' college plans or FAFSA (the United States' government
       | financial aid application) filing status.
       | 
       | > Even local text campaigns may face obstacles to efficacy that
       | similar campaigns did not encounter to the same degree a decade
       | ago. [...] As message volume through text increases, we should
       | reasonably expect that any one message won't get the same
       | attention--and eventually, that people will migrate to other
       | communications channels.
        
       | calltrak wrote:
       | Integrating SMS messages with your workflow and getting the
       | message out there is a no brainer. You can setup something like
       | Zapier and https://textgun.io in 5 minutes. Response rates are
       | still 5 times better than email.
        
       | michael_vo wrote:
       | It does work "at scale" but you need to launch, fail, and iterate
       | just like any product.
       | 
       | Georgia State University is a great example of successfully
       | implementing the goal of "college success" and continuing to
       | innovate. They started by solving the problem of students
       | accepting their offer letter, but never choosing classes during
       | that crucial first summer.
       | 
       | First tool they built used a combination of AI chat box and
       | counsellors to answer common questions, help students fill out
       | forms, and/or get financial aid. At each step of product
       | development they asked "what's next?". For example choosing a
       | degree is "hard" for first generation college students. So they
       | built salary, and career earnings during the UX where you pick
       | your courses.
       | 
       | Another non-SMS solution they provide is automatically depositing
       | money into student's accounts who are low and struggling. This
       | especially helps 4th year students who may have burnt through
       | their financial aid.
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rh20W2uXHCc&ab_channel=BillG...
        
       | impendia wrote:
       | I'm a professor. My university bought a big piece of enterprise
       | software, designed precisely to track and boost student success
       | in various ways.
       | 
       | The software sent me an email asking me to do something,
       | ostensibly from someone in our advising center, signed by my
       | assistant chair instead, but obviously corporate-sounding and
       | autogenerated. It reeked of fakery.
       | 
       | Is this sort of thing supposed to accomplish something?
        
         | fallingknife wrote:
         | Yes. What it accomplishes is to abuse the trust you have built
         | with your students through genuine interaction to spread their
         | corporate (ok university. Same shit) propaganda by making it
         | seem like it comes from you. Most people can smell that from a
         | mile away so you should absolutely not do it if you care about
         | the respect of your students.
        
         | Loughla wrote:
         | That tells me you have a team of people who have not done their
         | jobs, or let too many decisions be made by committee.
         | 
         | We have a large piece of software at our institution that
         | communicates automatically with students, staff, and faculty
         | based on various triggers (grades, dates, etc). The hardest
         | part of that process was writing the messages. It took 1
         | semester to get the system operational, and two years to dial
         | in the messaging.
         | 
         | The worst thing you can do is create a "specific" message for
         | an individual with generic language targeted at groups. Which,
         | subsequently, it seems is what most institutions do. No idea
         | why. It's easier, I suppose?
        
         | toast0 wrote:
         | > The software sent me an email asking me to do something,
         | ostensibly from someone in our advising center, signed by my
         | assistant chair instead, but obviously corporate-sounding and
         | autogenerated. It reeked of fakery.
         | 
         | This is like the definition of phishing.
        
         | ineedasername wrote:
         | It depends on how it's implemented. These systems _can_ work,
         | but they require very tight coordination  & buy-in from faculty
         | as early as the procurement stage. Schools that just buy &
         | force them on faculty don't achieve much.
         | 
         | The types of messages faculty get like that are usually a
         | check-in where they're asked to give a status report for each
         | student. This can be a quick good/ok/bad type of thing, or it
         | can be something like a brief survey. My personal opinion is
         | that the first option is best: These systems should put as low
         | of a burden on faculty as possible. I really minimalist
         | implementation that is almost as good is to ask faculty to
         | _only_ flag students in trouble.
         | 
         | What this _should_ do, if the college has properly implemented
         | it, is trigger the advisor to reach out to students struggling
         | to determine 1) Why and then 2) What can be done to help:
         | tutoring, assessment of whether the course is really required,
         | determination if the course can be withdrawn from if not
         | required or if the student is beyond the point of recover, or
         | should have taken a pre-requisite or lower-level course in the
         | subject first, etc.
         | 
         | If your college has not communicated this sort of thing to you,
         | they are doing it wrong. I would still encourage you to do what
         | is asked unless it is a very large burden. If that's the case,
         | reach out to the advising unit overseeing these initiatives to
         | understand how they're using it. But if it's not too much of a
         | burden, even if they've done a poor job communicating with
         | faculty, it may trigger a meaningful intervention with the
         | student. Even if it doesn't, it will still allow collection of
         | data that can be analyzed to determine trends, the significance
         | of whether these activities by faculty correlate with student
         | success, etc. And if they do, _that_ will then be used to feed
         | back into the advising process that these things are actionable
         | to the benefit of students.
         | 
         | These systems _can_ work. In my current job, after implementing
         | such a system we saw first-year drop outs decrease by about 6%.
        
         | myfavoritedog wrote:
         | Yes, the people who sold the software to the university made a
         | ton of money.
        
       | ineedasername wrote:
       | I work in the industry. There are a couple of reasons they don't
       | work, at least as currently used.
       | 
       | 1) Over saturation/overused: Especially as High Schools begin
       | using these, students get too many, too frequently, and it just
       | becomes a sort of background noise. Back when students still had
       | email as their prime mode of digital communication, we had the
       | exact same issue. Studies on their effectiveness were based on
       | relatively short time spans where nudges were new & novel: The
       | novelty has worn off.
       | 
       | 2) A simple nudge can't help a complex problem. A college may
       | nudge "You haven't registered yet! Don't forget to register for
       | the next semester". That's an extremely frustrating message to
       | receive when you're poor and can't pay next semester's bill, or
       | some other roadblock.
       | 
       | 3) It has been used to justify not scaling human resources for
       | students, so any benefit is offset by lesser real human contact
       | with advisors. People complain about administrative bloat at
       | universities, but that doesn't apply to advising: I've seen
       | caseloads rise from ~300/advisor to ~500/advisor. This is
       | especially problematic for overcoming #2 above: Advisors can
       | often help with complex issues that student's believe are
       | insurmountable.
       | 
       | My observations on how to do it better:
       | 
       | Only use nudges for low-stakes issues, and even then choose
       | carefully so students don't become numb to them. High-stakes
       | issues need human outreach. With limited bandwidth by advisors to
       | do this work, it needs triage: Even if it's high stakes, don't
       | waste time reaching out personally to low-risk students.
       | Determining risk requires a two-pronged approach:
       | 
       | 1) A statistical model that uses historical data to identify
       | students at risk of poor performance or attrition. A competent
       | data analyst can build a reasonable model without having to go
       | too far into advanced data mining. "Deep Learning" tends to be
       | fairly useless here: There's not enough data. There's also a few
       | good vendors out there that will perform more advanced risk
       | modeling, partitioning a school's population into a dozen or more
       | groups and building models for each of them. These aren't cheap,
       | but I've seen it pay off when correctly paired with one-to-one
       | human outreach initiatives. In a single year I saw it reduce
       | attrition by 1%, not to mention academic performance increases,
       | and that more than paid for the cost. I've also seen schools pay
       | the invoice and expect things to magically change without
       | aligning their resources to the risk analysis output and waste a
       | lot of money.
       | 
       | 2) A rule-base system of identifying students at risk. Things
       | like a late payment; a good student getting their first D or F in
       | a class; delaying registration for the next semester; requesting
       | transcripts to be sent to another school; and many other factors.
       | 
       | Using the high risk population identified in #1 and #2, _that_ is
       | where you focus your one-to-one human outreach efforts.
        
       | jrm4 wrote:
       | Higher-ed Instructor Here.
       | 
       | Because, and I am not exaggerating in the slightest, this is the
       | _worst_ idea I have ever seen directly related to my career. This
       | concept is an idea that I am fighting all the time.
       | 
       | Teachers and students alike around me sort of blindly "get used
       | to" these notifications flying around you and even begin to
       | expect them even when they don't work.
       | 
       | Essentially, they become the equivalent of spam in your email
       | that you ignore, except they're harder to ignore and people still
       | have this wildly misguided faith that they can think for you.
       | 
       | As a first measure -- I'd love to _remove_ all  "notification"
       | type services from higher-ed; after a bit of a learning curve, as
       | in -- yes, you must visit this website or call this person or
       | read the syllabus to get things done.
       | 
       | You develop your own system of remembering things, maybe it's
       | paper, maybe you email yourself, whatever works _for you_
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | SMS used to be a very effective channel for getting conversions
       | from people. But marketing channels are limited resources, they
       | are most effective early in their discovery when organizations
       | begin using it, but once their novelty is sucked dry the
       | effectiveness tapers off until it's no more effective than a
       | flashing banner ad.
        
       | thrower123 wrote:
       | Yikes, the whole concept of this sounds horrifying to me. That
       | text message vibration and notification ping engenders an
       | immediate stress reaction.
        
       | orangeoxidation wrote:
       | Do they not? "At scale" is somehow often synonymous with "with
       | less effort and care per instance", but that doesn't have to be
       | the case. Things work worse if you scale only one part of the
       | equation (the "customers"), but do not scale the other side
       | appropriately (the "service provider"). That should be obvious.
       | 
       | > Text campaigns are most likely to be effective when they:
       | Are sent by a school and even staff member who students know and
       | trust         Add meaningful and novel value above and beyond
       | existing outreach and support efforts like giving students real-
       | time information on the status of their financial aid
       | applications         Provide content that is personalized to the
       | student and where they are in the college application and
       | financial aid process
       | 
       | Having a new org sending out mass messages to all students is not
       | scaling The described. It is something different.
       | 
       | Scaling it would be convincing more school staff and schools to
       | make a similar effort.
       | 
       | The positive effect was not caused by "getting a message", it was
       | caused by "getting personal advice from someone you know". They
       | scaled the wrong thing.
        
         | dkarl wrote:
         | Things also "work" if you are able to scale down a cost
         | (employment of human labor such as teachers and counselors)
         | while maintaining or scaling up a source of revenue (student
         | enrollment.)
         | 
         | I worked for a company that offered this service (among other
         | data-y things.) It employed lots of bright-eyed young people
         | who were extremely happy they had found a tech job where they
         | could do good, helping struggling students succeed at college.
         | It was a dream job. However, the information we heard trickling
         | in from the customers (public universities and community
         | colleges) was pretty demotivational. They ones that were
         | shrinking were panicked about their future existence, and the
         | ones that were growing were basically like, yeah, hiring a
         | proportional number of front-line staff to interact with
         | students like in the past would just be silly. Nobody is going
         | to do that. Run along, idealistic tech people, save these poor
         | kids with analytics and text messages, because we're not paying
         | to do it the old-fashioned way.
        
           | ineedasername wrote:
           | _Things also "work" if you are able to scale down a cost
           | (employment of human labor such as teachers and counselors)
           | while maintaining or scaling up a source of revenue (student
           | enrollment.)_
           | 
           | This is an unfortunate truth. Schools grow, don't scale human
           | labor to accommodate additional students, overall student
           | performance & dropouts increase, and their answer is to
           | recruit more students in a downward spiral. Never mind the
           | fact that it costs more money to do this than simply hiring 2
           | or 3 more advisors to do real human outreach. I saw this
           | cycle over the course of 4 or 5 years where I work. After
           | providing hard analysis of this pattern each year, I, working
           | with colleagues on the academic side of things, managed to
           | push for those advising resources and the results have more
           | than paid for it.
           | 
           | The problem is that many of the idealistic tech people are
           | only looking at the problem from the tech point of view. I
           | have resisted efforts over the years to assimilate me into a
           | central IT division because the viewpoint I get through being
           | embedded in an operational division strongly informs my
           | analytical efforts. I see the business cycle, I talk to
           | advisors, I construct & analyze surveys that mix quantitative
           | _and_ qualitative factors-- there is no detail of the student
           | experience that is too small for me to ignore. It hammers
           | home the point that analysis  & tech can only help focus the
           | efforts of human labor, not replace it.
        
           | newnamenewface wrote:
           | This really gets at the heart of why I have very little
           | allegiance and essentially no desire to donate to my alma
           | mater: Why would I care about or donate to a business that
           | really doesn't care about me individually besides $$$ signs?
           | Sure, I patronized them for four years of my life, but I've
           | done the same with In & Out for longer and you don't see me
           | sending them a check for nothing. Much like In & Out, the
           | positive memories of my alma mater were more so about the
           | people I was with than the location or business proposition
           | itself. Ok, I'm ending this metaphor before it becomes too
           | contrived...
        
             | toomuchtodo wrote:
             | Better to donate to Khan Academy. Can even enjoy an In N
             | Out burger while doing so.
        
               | ineedasername wrote:
               | Khan academy is absolutely fantastic. However, it's only
               | a step above giving students free textbooks or other
               | self-learning resources: It mostly work for students that
               | are already self-motivating. This tends to be a minority
               | of students, and most require some degree of a human
               | support network to succeed.
        
             | hattmall wrote:
             | Realistically you donate so that the school has a bigger
             | budget and more opportunity to gain prestige making your
             | diploma more valuable. That's really only relevant to a
             | small subset of the population and rapidly shrinking. Four
             | decades ago degrees had meaning but now they are largely
             | participation trophies that come at great expense.
        
         | Spooky23 wrote:
         | Some problems can be improved with a simple contact point.
         | 
         | I have a colleague who works in this space in a research
         | capacity. They were looking at use of different systems to
         | measure behavior and identify behaviors that are correlated
         | with poor performance.
         | 
         | In one scenario, they surveyed a cohort who was leaving and
         | entering the dorm after 1AM, resulting in poor AM class
         | attendance. 40% of the responses were essentially: "I went to
         | meet my [girl/boy]friend and have sex."
         | 
         | Getting a text message to tell that kid to get his beauty rest
         | isn't going to work. Just treat people like adults, imo.
        
           | ineedasername wrote:
           | _Some problems can be improved with a simple contact point_
           | 
           | Absolutely. Most schools don't employ enough advisors to have
           | sit-down appointments with every student every semester.
           | However, I did see a school implement a policy where 1st
           | semester students-- a higher risk population-- were required
           | to have a sit down like that before they were allowed to
           | register for the next semester. That single effort resulted
           | in a 15% decrease in 1st-year dropouts.
        
             | Spooky23 wrote:
             | Makes sense.
             | 
             | I went to a big public university where they had two
             | freshman tracks, a "college within the university" where,
             | if you knew to sign up, you'd be in a cohort of students to
             | meet some general education requirements and would get
             | access to faculty motivated to help you. The problem was
             | that the kids who needed the least help tended to discover
             | this program.
             | 
             | The "normal" path was being dumped into the University
             | bureaucracy blind, and you had to learn to sink or swim. It
             | was tough -- the registrar in those days was an experience
             | like DMV. I'm pretty sure the system was devised as a
             | funnel to disqualify people for popular majors like
             | Business, Computer Science, etc.
        
               | ineedasername wrote:
               | _the kids who needed the least help tended to discover
               | this program_
               | 
               | Heck yeah did you hit the nail on the head. I've analyzed
               | the data over a period of years for which students
               | utilize tutoring services: They very much tend to be
               | students that were already doing alright _before_ they
               | started getting tutoring.
               | 
               | Conscientious self-motivated students are precisely the
               | ones most likely to seek out help on their own. As a
               | result, for students that go on academic probation we now
               | _require_ them to attend a certain amount of tutoring
               | hours each semester, and the software we use to manage
               | advising caseloads allows faculty to raise a flag for
               | students performing poorly so that advisors can pro-
               | actively reach out and direct them to tutoring resources.
               | 
               | This has led to a huge increase in tutoring resource
               | utilization, but unfortunately they are now at the limits
               | of their capacity. Our next hurdle is to analyze the
               | academic outcomes of students using those resources,
               | which will _hopefully_ show increased performance  &
               | allow us to petition for more support services.
               | 
               | Fortunately our leadership is not completely short-
               | sighted on these issues, but as obvious as "more one-on-
               | one advising & support" would seem, they (not too
               | unreasonably) still demand very concrete evidence to
               | justify additional expenditures. However it would be nice
               | if they viewed customer service of this sort as the
               | profit center it is, rather than a cost center. The
               | problem is that things like the benefits of quality
               | tutoring of freshmen may not yield tangible results for a
               | few years, so things move slowly.
        
         | splithalf wrote:
         | Excellent point. It's a problem with operational definitions
         | which plagues a lot of research.
         | 
         | But "scale" in this context implies economic efficiency. You
         | can't give every kid a full time counselor. You can write a
         | script to send sms messages.
         | 
         | One question for the tech community, to what extent can
         | advances in ai and other technology impact this question of
         | scale/efficiency. If the student doesn't know his counselor is
         | a bot, maybe the nudges become more impactful.
        
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