[HN Gopher] Apple commits $430B in US investments over five years
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Apple commits $430B in US investments over five years
        
       Author : sologuardsman2
       Score  : 254 points
       Date   : 2021-04-26 12:56 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.apple.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.apple.com)
        
       | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
       | Invest it in some tax payments and I'll be impressed, these sound
       | like normal business expenses.
       | 
       | https://americansfortaxfairness.org/issues/corporate-taxes/h...
        
       | cromwellian wrote:
       | I don't really see anything significant here about derisking
       | their heavy dependence on Chinese assembly and supply chains
       | which means they will continue to be over a barrel and subject to
       | the whims of the CCP as well as US - China relations.
       | 
       | Plus the spreading of their small manufacturing fund over several
       | states isn't going to bring about an American Shenzhen, like with
       | Silicon Valley, it needs to be a geographically centralized hub
       | or nexus to get increasing gains from cross pollination between
       | all of the firms.
       | 
       | Apple needs to be investing to lessen their dependence on Foxconn
       | mainland manufacturing and logistics.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | luke2m wrote:
       | What laptop is that in the background?
        
         | nathancahill wrote:
         | New 16" M1X
        
           | dev_tty01 wrote:
           | Clearly an M2 with 64 GB of RAM...
        
       | sam0x17 wrote:
       | Announcing a new multi-billion dollar campus during a pandemic
       | strikes me as so fucking out of touch, and goes against the
       | direction the industry was already going pre-pandemic. IMO at
       | this point they should just fold and start transitioning to
       | permanent work from home like the vast majority of startups and
       | tech companies. This terrifies FANG because then they will have a
       | vacant campus and whoever commissioned it will look pretty dumb.
       | Dumber is spending multi-billion dollars on a campus when you
       | could work from home.
        
         | dev_tty01 wrote:
         | They sell hardware and lots of it. That requires labs and
         | direct collaboration at many points in the process. It also
         | requires lots of highly specialized test equipment and test
         | facilities. This cannot be done with everyone working from
         | home. It is naive to suggest otherwise.
         | 
         | Also, many of us enjoy and still want direct in-person
         | collaboration. If you don't and your job doesn't require it,
         | then good for you. Enjoy, but there is no need to project that
         | onto everyone else.
        
           | sam0x17 wrote:
           | There is literally no difference between sitting in a zoom
           | call all day with your coworkers while you code and sitting
           | in a cubicle with them. Sometimes HN is so boomer brain
        
       | dmode wrote:
       | Wait, no investment in Miami ? Reading tech twitter, folks
       | already claimed Miami to be the next tech hub
        
         | rllearneratwork wrote:
         | Here, I'll quote it for you: "Apple has also surpassed its 2018
         | hiring commitments in Miami, New York, Pittsburgh, and
         | Portland, Oregon."
        
           | dmode wrote:
           | That's not really an investment. Sounds more like retail
           | hiring.
        
         | dcolkitt wrote:
         | As a Floridian, it's difficult for me to understand why we've
         | done so bad at attracting any sort of tech industry. Five, ten
         | years ago, you could simply say that it's Silicon Valley (or
         | Seattle) or bust.
         | 
         | But since then, Austin, Denver, NC, Nova, Portland, Nashville
         | and others have all done a really good job of actually
         | competing with California for tech industry growth. On paper,
         | Florida seems like it should be really competitive in this
         | space. Good weather, low taxes, business friendly climate,
         | immigrant centric culture, decently low cost of living, good
         | schools, and population ties to the high-skilled NYC area.
         | 
         | So, I'm genuinely curious, because I know there are people on
         | this board who are in a position to make these decisions. If
         | your company considered a satellite campus in Miami or Tampa or
         | the Space Coast and decided to pass, what was the reason? The
         | sticky summers? Lack of topography? Florida Man stereotypes?
        
           | SirSourdough wrote:
           | I think it's culture, or at least perceptions of. For the
           | demo that tech companies are trying to attract, I think the
           | perception of Florida is as an older, conservative "place
           | where dreams go to die". It's also in the South which I think
           | is seen as a broadly unappealing place to live by a lot of
           | people in the current political climate. Florida especially
           | has garnered negative sentiment from the left since the Bush
           | era, which is most of the lives of the new hires these
           | companies are trying to attract. Add on humidity and poor
           | climate change prospects and I think it's not as appealing to
           | people.
        
           | dmode wrote:
           | Honestly, the only places that have grown were already
           | somewhat of a tech hub. I don't think Denver, Portland,
           | Nashville have grown in meaningful terms. Yeah, you see some
           | growth just because the tech companies are worth trillions
           | now, and there will be more crumbs everywhere. But tech hubs
           | that have employees and campuses at scale are places like
           | Seattle, Austin, and NYC. And these already had established
           | tech players prior to the recent boom.
        
           | JustSomeNobody wrote:
           | Florida has some decent engineering schools, so I'm a bit
           | confused why Florida doesn't attract more tech as well.
        
           | reducesuffering wrote:
           | Lack of intellectual density.
           | 
           | > Austin, Denver, NC, Nova, Portland, Nashville
           | 
           | All have great universities in the immediate vicinity which
           | are a nexus for commercial intellect. These metros are
           | roughly 1/3 of the size with probably double on avg. the
           | available tech talent pool.
        
       | hit8run wrote:
       | Would be nice if they also started to pay taxes in the EU.
        
       | continuations wrote:
       | > $430 billion and add 20,000 new jobs
       | 
       | So it takes $22 million investment to add just 1 job?
       | 
       | Something seems off.
        
         | zsmi wrote:
         | It seems off because the jobs just a byproduct of the
         | investment, not the end goal.
         | 
         | i.e. Say I invest $10M to make a precision machine shop and I
         | employing 5 machinists, as a crude example. Here my goal was to
         | make a machine shop capable of producing precision parts, not
         | to spend $2M/job.
        
         | sva_ wrote:
         | It says "and add", not "to add". So I'd say the new jobs are
         | just a side-effect.
        
       | failwhaleshark wrote:
       | /s
       | 
       | 0. So how many trillions will be laundered and hidden overseas?
       | 
       | 1. Is Apple really just launching the eWallet, the world's first
       | self-laundering wallet with domestic currency support?
        
       | perardi wrote:
       | Let's run through the possible reasons Apple announced this, with
       | various degrees of cynicism.
       | 
       | 1. Getting some good press before Congress decides to do
       | something in regards to the app store model.
       | 
       | 2. Apple is reading the winds, seeing that Chinese supply chains
       | may be politically constrained, and preparing for that future.
       | 
       | 3. Apple is reading the winds, seeing that Chinese supply chains
       | may be politically constrained, and announcing this investment so
       | they can continue to have Chinese supply chains after a good PR
       | move.
        
         | jimmont wrote:
         | Apple and much US associated supply chains have already been
         | moving away from China. Media is regularly coming up where the
         | side effects are reported, for example the Foxconn contractor
         | in India. The US lacks the infrastructure to leverage talent or
         | capacity domestically. The only thing that will fix this is
         | government policy--otherwise Silicon Valley would have decent
         | transit, no homelessness and California would have its own
         | State or region-level healthcare delivery network. The same
         | things Taiwan has with only 23 million people that benefits
         | TSMC (and the people there).
        
           | syshum wrote:
           | >The US lacks the infrastructure to leverage talent or
           | capacity domestically
           | 
           | I dont think infrastructure is the root of our (US) problem.
           | We do have a skills, and talent gap. not just in "tech jobs"
           | like many people think but at factory floor level as well.
           | 
           | Even if they could open the factories tomorrow finding people
           | to fill those jobs will be hard.
        
             | jimmont wrote:
             | Personally I see infrastructure as the thing that gets
             | qualified people to productivity and keeps them productive
             | (jobs or whatever form that takes), and I also expand the
             | notion of infrastructure to include a society and community
             | with effective education and healthcare to maximize the
             | human capital of the group. Given this I see infrastructure
             | and the various components of it as decades behind in the
             | US and Apple would be smart to take the direction. Just
             | consider the process of applying for an SBIR or finding a
             | job or starting a startup or getting from SF to San Jose,
             | etc.
        
               | syshum wrote:
               | This would require the expansion of the term
               | infrastructure to encompass just about everything in
               | society thus making the term meaningless.
               | 
               | This is the current Democrat definition of the word where
               | everything from health care to education is
               | "infrastructure", that is not what the average person
               | would consider to be "infrastructure".
               | 
               | Healthcare and Schools are not "infrastructure",
               | "infrastructure" would be Roads, Power, Communications,
               | Basic Utilities, etc etc etc.
               | 
               | >> Just consider the process of applying for an SBIR or
               | finding a job or starting a startup or getting from SF to
               | San Jose, etc.
               | 
               | Given that California is the least business friendly
               | state in the union, in fact it is down right hostile to
               | business I would image doing anything in CA is pretty
               | hard
        
         | ksdale wrote:
         | Or they are anticipating some sort of tax on funds held
         | offshore and figure it is better to repatriate the money prior
         | to a tax increase.
        
         | Daishiman wrote:
         | Don't forget 4. doing a good PR so that a Dem-controlled
         | Congress doesn't push for repatriation of corporate cash
         | reserves kept in tax havens.
        
           | sircastor wrote:
           | Didn't they do this with the former administration's tax
           | deal?
        
           | mrweasel wrote:
           | $430B seems like more than you'd need for a good PR stunt.
        
             | skrtskrt wrote:
             | It's $0 if you were already going to spend it anyway
        
             | perardi wrote:
             | I suspect they really were going to spend a significant
             | chunk of this regardless, but they packaged it into a nice
             | press release at a potentially fraught political moment.
             | 
             | And...$430 billion over 5 years is a lot, but what if it
             | influences tax or tariff rates _just a bit_ in your
             | direction over a 10-year period? Because that _could_ be
             | worth it, especially, again, if you were going to set up
             | that new campus anyway.
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | > I suspect they really were going to spend a significant
               | chunk of this regardless
               | 
               | Regardless of what?
        
               | perardi wrote:
               | Regardless of this PR they put out.
               | 
               | This spend was probably in the books, so let's wrap it in
               | a nice bow before Congressional hearings.
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | It seems inconceivable that they _wouldn't_ have made a
               | PR announcement about a large investment in the US,
               | regardless.
        
         | coliveira wrote:
         | Most of the so-called "investment" is real estate based. They
         | will most probably develop some very expensive offices, fancy
         | stores, put some additional people to work there, and call it a
         | day.
        
         | StandardFuture wrote:
         | > app store model
         | 
         | Yes, well we as a developer community can _never_ let up on
         | Apple and Google 's app store models being legally
         | reprehensible.
         | 
         | We are quite literally the most negatively affected community
         | by these monopolies over general consumer's devices.
         | 
         | We need to be the "force to be reckoned with" here and
         | constantly petitioning politicians for action else get
         | campaigned AGAINST electronically (our domain).
         | 
         | I would say that the app store model negatively affects a
         | growing "small software business" sector of the economy which
         | will only continue to grow as a stable pillar of the modern
         | middle class.
         | 
         | In other words, this is only becoming that much more of a
         | critically important issue.
        
         | fossuser wrote:
         | If I was Apple getting out of the Chinese supply chain would be
         | a priority - if only to have some leverage with a second
         | option.
         | 
         | It seems like a pretty high risk situation for them and has
         | chilling effects elsewhere (content restrictions on Apple TV).
         | It also damages their brand ethos around privacy. CCP pressure
         | on Taiwan and TSMC is also a concern I'd be thinking about if I
         | was them.
        
         | jacobr1 wrote:
         | 4. Apple was planning to do these things anyway as part of
         | normal operations, and is just spinning them as "investment in
         | the country"
        
           | delfinom wrote:
           | Yep, all tech companies have seen the writing on the wall for
           | overconcentrating their operations in California. People in
           | general have become more and more hesitant to move there for
           | a wide platitude of reasons from absurd cost of living to
           | issues such as mass wildfires.
           | 
           | They've realized that perhaps, just perhaps, they could
           | afford to have more than one large corporate campus at their
           | scale of fuck you money. Which gives them wider access to
           | talent and actually reduces headaches such spiraling cost of
           | living forcing salaries to also spiral upwards and also being
           | expected to solve housing crises locally.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | ribosometronome wrote:
             | Apple already has a large campus in Austin that dwarfs a
             | lot of companies and a second under construction. They
             | might not be quite Spaceship in terms of unique design but
             | they exist.
             | 
             | Being solely located in one of the most expensive areas in
             | the United States does seem a bit absurd if you can avoid
             | it. Based on Cook's statements about returning to the
             | office, it seems like they value being physically proximate
             | more than the immense savings that moving the workers who
             | could be remote to remote.
        
             | Angostura wrote:
             | Just an FYI - I'm not sure what word you were reaching for,
             | but it wasn't 'platitude' in this context.
             | 
             | Perhaps 'plethora' or 'multitude'.
        
               | mft_ wrote:
               | Neither would work well with the preceding 'wide'.
        
               | throwawayboise wrote:
               | variety. Or better yet, drop "a wide variety of" and just
               | say "various"
        
               | sizzle wrote:
               | Seems like they were going for latitude?
        
             | dangus wrote:
             | Comments like these greatly downplay the role of industry
             | clusters. The hot take of the day is that California is a
             | hellhole to be escaped as soon as possible.
             | 
             | Industry Clusters are often historical, so it always
             | strikes me as strange when I see comments like this one
             | that make a case for how misguided it was for tech
             | companies to cluster in Silicon Valley and tolerate the
             | high cost of living.
             | 
             | That line of thinking misplaces causes and effects so that
             | they're hilariously backwards.
             | 
             | Silicon Valley is a innovative place because of an
             | extensive history of educational institutions, research
             | facilities, and other market conditions that simply did not
             | physically manifest in any other place.
             | 
             | On top of all that, the software industry has one of the
             | lowest COGS (cost of goods sold) of any major industry.
             | Facebook's sales per employee is close to $2 million [1].
             | The fact that their SV employees cost hundreds of thousands
             | of dollars more than employees is quite nearly irrelevant.
             | Someone that's 10 or 20 percent more productive will make
             | up that labor cost difference by bringing in 10 or 20% more
             | revenue, so it doesn't really make sense for Facebook to
             | abandon the best talent pools in search of cheaper rent or
             | wages.
             | 
             | Tech giants are building out in Austin for its specific
             | traits, and they don't seem to mind that it's rapidly
             | becoming expensive and congested just like California. The
             | question that might be asked is: why is Apple in Austin
             | instead of Houston or Dallas or Nashville or Omaha?
             | 
             | [1] https://csimarket.com/stocks/FB-Revenue-per-
             | Employee.html
        
           | cletus wrote:
           | 100% this.
           | 
           | So many of these corporate investment announcements are
           | really "look at what we were already going to do".
           | 
           | Amazon HQ2 anyone?
        
             | zepto wrote:
             | But surely 'what we were already going to do', must include
             | hedging against predictable political changes.
        
           | blackearl wrote:
           | They're upping it from $350B so they were most of the way
           | there.
        
         | plank_time wrote:
         | Apple is already moving out of China for some of their
         | factories. India was a big target for this.
        
       | purple_ferret wrote:
       | their use of the word 'campus' is pretty cringeworthy
       | 
       | It's called an office park
        
       | dalbasal wrote:
       | I'm probably reading too much into this, but it feels like this
       | and other corporate announcements are channeling a pretty
       | substantial shift in political-economic mood, theory-space or
       | whatnot. They seem to be justifying themselves in ways that were
       | previously unnecessary.
       | 
       | If Monetarism really is being abandoned, I predict unpredictable
       | changes to economic thinking across the board. It was definitely
       | impactful on the way in. I suppose unicorns zooming past the $trn
       | mark is connected too.
       | 
       | The "cash accumulation" aspect of FAANG economies is (IMO) hard
       | to digest in terms of economic theory. Rather that existing to
       | finance economic activity, these companies make stock markets
       | look like they exist solely for liquidity: cashing out VCs,
       | compensating executives, etc. There is no "I need $1bn to build a
       | new factory or something." There is no equity/debt ratio. Most of
       | the texbook (at least mine, from circa 2003) doesn't apply.
       | Apple/etc have plenty of cash, and don't need capital to expand
       | either way. Economics has surprisingly little (new) to say about
       | why dividends aren't happening, the difference between buybacks &
       | dividends or cash accumulation generally.
       | 
       | I can think ways to "story" cash accumulation. Eg, instead of
       | investors getting dividends and buying Vanguard or Bitcoin,
       | FAANGs might as well just buy the securities on their behalf.
       | This _could_ be an argument, but I haven 't heard it made. I'm
       | not advocating it, just eg.
       | 
       | A "hostile" story might be that Apple are hogging all the capital
       | that should be available for Tesla or some other company that
       | actually needs capital.
       | 
       | In any case, I suspect there is more pressure to invest big sums
       | than we know.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | fonix wrote:
       | anyone here have any deets on what it's like to work for apple
       | (any, but hopefully specifically some engineering job)? perks,
       | hours, any flex time - did the interview suck?
        
         | the_only_law wrote:
         | I'm curious as well, having seen a number of positions that
         | look interesting. How strict are they on degree requirements?
         | I've seen some job postings within the same divisions (team?)
         | for software development positions requiring degrees and others
         | explicitly noting a "or equivalent experience".
         | 
         | One concern I have is regarding IP and open source works. I
         | recall an article posted to HN a while back where someone who
         | had got a job apple was required to give up a project they had
         | worked in outside work.
        
       | ramshanker wrote:
       | Reading between the lines, anyone else seeing an inhouse FAB! In
       | the name of vertical integration, that is the last thing they
       | need to consolidate after M1. Imagine Processor, Graphics, Modem,
       | Baseband, Power Control all chips designed inhouse and
       | manufactured on own FAB. ;)
        
         | Someone wrote:
         | I doubt they have the scale to make owning a fab worthwhile.
         | 
         | Certainly, unless they branch out into selling more mundane
         | chips, they would have a problem using the capacity in their
         | fabs for their own chips once those fabs get older.
        
           | TechBro8615 wrote:
           | How is owning a fab not worthwhile for a company that
           | produces billions of devices each containing multiple chips?
           | 
           | Sure you can make the arguments against vertical integration,
           | but to "doubt they have the scale" when speaking of the most
           | valuable company in the world, with a product in the hands of
           | billions? If Apple doesn't have the scale, then who does?
        
             | Someone wrote:
             | Of course they have the money, but I don't think they have
             | the demand from their own products that can keep a fab
             | running full-time through its lifetime. I just don't see
             | them selling low-end devices or producing low-end devices
             | for others.
             | 
             | That would make owning a fab for themselves uneconomical.
             | 
             | Exception would be if they managed to build a fab that's
             | better than what others have, but I don't see them do that,
             | either.
             | 
             | On the other hand, TSMC, without Apple's money, might not
             | be as strong as it is with it, allowing Apple to beat it,
             | and have the best fab.
        
         | tonyedgecombe wrote:
         | Apple outsources nearly all of its manufacturing, I can't see
         | that changing any time soon.
        
       | ksec wrote:
       | >Apple's $430 billion in contributions to the US economy include
       | direct spend with American suppliers, data center investments,
       | capital expenditures in the US, and other domestic spend --
       | including dozens of Apple TV+ productions across 20 states,
       | creating thousands of jobs and supporting the creative industry.
       | 
       | I dont like how Apple spin this as _investment_ in the headline,
       | when it is clearly _contribution_. If you buy something at
       | Walmart, or any of your daily needs, is that an _investment_ in
       | US?
       | 
       | And I dont know how that $430B is calculated.
       | 
       | Direct Spend with American Suppliers are mostly Corning for Front
       | Glasses, Qualcomm for Modem and Patents. These two alone is close
       | to $50B in five years.
       | 
       | Even if Apple spend $10B on Datacenter and $10B on Apple TV (
       | They dont ), Likely including all their employees salary, Rent
       | for Apple Retail, basically every single dollar spend within US.
       | The numbers still doesn't add up.
       | 
       | It reads to me Apple is doing their PR pieces on their
       | contribution to US because Congress is now looking at them as
       | enemies.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _If you buy something at Walmart, or any of your daily needs,
         | is that an investment in US?_
         | 
         | If a company opens an office overseas and hires people, we call
         | it foreign direct investment. Using the same math for domestic
         | investment seems alright. It's money being pumped into the
         | local economy, after all.
        
         | skybrian wrote:
         | Well, it's all spending, but is all spending investment?
         | 
         | From an accounting perspective, when a business spends money on
         | a factory it's an investment since you end up with an asset on
         | the balance sheets. But the same is true of spending on
         | inventory. There are also intangible investments that don't end
         | up on balance sheets (like writing software) and for high tech
         | companies that can be pretty substantial.
         | 
         | You could simplify this to "Apple says they're going to spend a
         | lot of money in the US." Okay, I guess that's good?
        
         | gowld wrote:
         | That's a standard use of the term "investment" in the
         | macroeconomic sense of exchanging money to get people to do
         | work so they can pay other people to do work for them.
         | 
         | Ita because paying US people for that work is better for the
         | personal development of (otherwise underemployed) US people
         | than paying non-US people.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | mrweasel wrote:
         | It reads like they're trying to avoid creating jobs in
         | manufacturing directly, but will instead pick US suppliers and
         | potentially let them hire lower skilled workers.
         | 
         | I wouldn't expect this to create that many jobs in
         | manufacturing, it seems more like engineering and creative
         | work, with a promise to prefer US suppliers, assuming they
         | exists.
        
           | andrewjl wrote:
           | Yeah that sounds right, although I don't think they ever
           | claimed or even implied that they themselves are creating
           | manufacturing jobs. Even prior PR by them around creating
           | domestic manufacturing jobs was showcasing their suppliers.
           | 
           | Barring a major transformation, I don't see Apple ever
           | operating a factory, whether in the US or overseas.
        
         | dubcanada wrote:
         | > I dont like how Apple spin this as investment in the
         | headline, when it is clearly contribution. If you buy something
         | at Walmart, or any of your daily needs, is that an investment
         | in US?
         | 
         | You can argue yes, if you pay Walmart $50 for eggs and stuff.
         | That means Walmart pays taxes (goes to the Gov), Walmart pays
         | employees (so they can buy other stuff), Walmart buys a product
         | (paying every individual person from shipping to receiving,
         | etc). Opposite would be saying going to Canada and buying it
         | all, and all you would pay would be an import fee. Or buying
         | something from Aliexpress and getting free shipping, which is
         | probably a net value on the US economy.
         | 
         | But you can also argue no, cause it's so small that it is
         | almost insignificant.
        
       | breck wrote:
       | This is fantastic. Apples devices continue to be so
       | groundbreaking (M1), it's exciting that their culture of
       | innovation and excellence will be spread more throughout the
       | country. They will further seed the innovation hubs in all these
       | places. I think it's smart too, to gain new perspectives and tap
       | new talent that doesn't want to move to San Jose area.
        
       | c-cube wrote:
       | How about they pay taxes, for a start?
        
         | HenryKissinger wrote:
         | > Today, Apple supports more than 2.7 million jobs across the
         | country through direct employment, spending with US suppliers
         | and manufacturers, and developer jobs in the thriving iOS app
         | economy. Apple is the largest taxpayer in the US and has paid
         | almost $45 billion in domestic corporate income taxes over the
         | past five years alone.
        
           | est31 wrote:
           | I tried to look up this figure, using the following link:
           | 
           | https://www.stock-analysis-on.net/NASDAQ/Company/Apple-
           | Inc/A...
           | 
           | If I add up the entries of the "federal" line, I get $69
           | billion for the 5 columns 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016. Am I
           | doing something wrong here? This is only the federal tax, not
           | even the state tax, which would probably count into "domestic
           | corporate income taxes" too.
        
             | gowld wrote:
             | What happens if you add/subtract those negative "deferred"
             | lines?
        
               | est31 wrote:
               | The sum of the deferred lines is, for federal corporate
               | income tax, $51.4 billion. The difference is $9
               | billion...
               | 
               | IDK I dont know much about US tax law, financial reports,
               | or the like. So maybe I did something wrongly. It'd be
               | interesting how they obtained that figure in the press
               | release.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | deferred just means "put off untill later", right? ie.
               | they'll still have to pay it, just in a later tax year?
        
         | gjsman-1000 wrote:
         | If crazy tax schemes are legal, that's the politicians' fault
         | for not fixing them, not Apple's (who has a duty to
         | shareholders to, you know, not pay more taxes than they have
         | to).
        
           | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote:
           | > If crazy tax schemes are legal, that's the politicians'
           | fault for not fixing them, not Apple's
           | 
           | 100% agreed.
           | 
           | > who has a duty to shareholders to, you know, not pay more
           | taxes than they have to
           | 
           | I don't believe they have any such duty. Corporate charitable
           | giving is a really big thing.
        
             | sosborn wrote:
             | Corporate charitable giving is also a means to stay in the
             | public's good graces. It is a long-term play for profit.
             | (I'm not arguing that it is a bad thing).
        
               | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote:
               | > It is a long-term play for profit.
               | 
               | Is it? I'd expect most of it is driven by actually
               | valuing the charity. If we frame even the charitable
               | stuff as profit-driven, it just reinforces the idea of
               | some duty towards profit.
        
           | comeonseriously wrote:
           | Not attacking you, but I'm so tired of this:
           | 
           | "...who has a duty to shareholders to, you know, not pay more
           | taxes than they have to..."
           | 
           | Let's make shareholders rich. It'll all trickle down from
           | there...
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | >Let's make shareholders rich. It'll all trickle down from
             | there...
             | 
             | This sounds like a strawman because GP wasn't making any
             | claims about whether it's bad or not. Moreover, it's
             | perfectly reasonable to expect that each individual tax
             | payer to pay as little tax as possible. eg. are you going
             | to claim all tax eligible tax credits/deductions on this
             | year's returns?
        
             | adkadskhj wrote:
             | It's a game of incentives, imo.
             | 
             | Companies (and people), one way or another, will always
             | have to be expected to be greedy. This is why i'm pro-
             | capitalism and pro-government. We can't hope for
             | corporations to _not_ be greedy just because it's
             | "possible". We have to expect/assume they are, and act
             | accordingly.
             | 
             | Just like we can't give government entities absolute power.
             | Checks and balances are needed in all of this. Reality is
             | messy.
             | 
             | Do you see another way?
        
             | xwolfi wrote:
             | Rich rich, look I am a small shareholder like millions of
             | other and I just like put 5% of my salary into my company
             | because I like what I see in the inside, every month.
             | 
             | It kept dropping since I started and maybe one day it'll
             | rise but I just enjoy taking some sort of ownership of my
             | own work.
             | 
             | You always want to tax shareholders when a company gets
             | popular in the media but it's hard to reimburse
             | shareholders when the company goes down...
        
             | katbyte wrote:
             | You can't expect a company (or individual) to not act in
             | their best interests - it's up to the Goverment to make the
             | law and tax code fair or redistribute wealth
        
               | sumedh wrote:
               | Warren Buffett and Bill Gates say they should be paying
               | more taxes.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | But they're not voluntarily doing so. They don't want to
               | be the only ones doing it.
        
               | sumedh wrote:
               | They are lobbying to increase taxes and giving away their
               | wealth. What more do you want from them?
               | 
               | Are you paying more taxes than you are required to?
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | > They are lobbying to increase taxes and giving away
               | their wealth. What more do you want from them?
               | 
               | I think you're misreading my comment. It wasn't meant to
               | shame buffet/gates for not paying more taxes, it was to
               | point out that even they are going to act in their self
               | interest in terms of paying taxes. ie. they won't pay
               | more taxes than they need do.
        
               | rabuse wrote:
               | Yet, they're not. "Do as I say, not as I do!"
        
               | mupuff1234 wrote:
               | It's not as clear cut IMO. I'd argue that general
               | societal prosperity is in the best interest of a lot of
               | companies (and their shareholders).
        
               | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote:
               | Right, but that's not the comment. There's no duty not to
               | be charitable.
        
             | hurril wrote:
             | Why aren't you a shareholder?
             | 
             | EDIT: sure - downvote me all you want. The question is
             | still around.
        
               | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote:
               | Getting rich via investment depends on having income
               | above a threshold which is set by the cost of living.
               | 
               | If you spend 50% of your income every year and stick the
               | rest into the stock market and get 6% or so after
               | inflation, you can sustain your spending without working
               | after about twelve years.
               | 
               | If you spend 90% of your income every year and stick the
               | rest into the stock market and get 6% or so after
               | inflation, you can sustain your spending without working
               | after about forty years.
               | 
               | It's all to say that being a shareholder matters in a
               | hugely different way depending on your income. The
               | disparity is worse when you look at how you can sustain
               | higher volatility once you're already wealthy.
               | 
               | You're asking why can't people just be shareholders, but
               | I think you're asking why it isn't enough that everyone
               | can be shareholders. The reason is that being a
               | shareholder only matters for those already making a ton.
        
               | hurril wrote:
               | You construct the same kind of false dichotomy that is so
               | incredibly common among the but duh rich and duh poor
               | blahblah do.
               | 
               | There are more categories than the ultra rich and the
               | incredibly poor. Stop that.
               | 
               | A lot of people can save 10-20% in stocks (such as via
               | index funds.) A lot of people would rather not do this
               | and still complain and point sticks at "the rich."
               | 
               | What can you do?
               | 
               | "The reason is that being a shareholder only matters for
               | those already making a ton."
               | 
               | Is simply wrong and nonsensical. I don't make a ton, I am
               | not ultra rich, it matters a lot to me to be a
               | shareholder. It matters because that way I get to make
               | money when "they" do.
        
               | 6gvONxR4sf7o wrote:
               | What an unnecessarily combative response. Saving 10% of
               | your paycheck doesn't make you incredibly poor, and
               | saving 50% doesn't make you ultra rich.
               | 
               | Making $50k and spending $45k versus making $90k and
               | spending $45k.
        
         | comeonseriously wrote:
         | The article claims [0] they paid a whopping $45Bn over the
         | "past 5 years alone". Wow Apple, that's ... yeah.
         | 
         | [0] Not suggesting you didn't read it.
        
         | strikelaserclaw wrote:
         | I get where you are coming from but what needs to change is the
         | tax code, no public company, hell no normal individual, is
         | going to pay more taxes than legally required.
        
           | SirensOfTitan wrote:
           | Sure, but the immense amount of political capital Apple and
           | other similar companies hold ensures that the tax code won't
           | change.
        
           | krferriter wrote:
           | The problem is they use the money they have to lobby and
           | influence in favor of those beneficial tax loopholes and
           | policies. It's a self-reinforcing cycle that we need to
           | break.
        
           | meowface wrote:
           | Yes, and for businesses it's additionally a typical arms
           | race/coordination problem. If every company except yours is
           | using a certain legal tactic to pay lower taxes, you're at a
           | competitive disadvantage if you don't use the same tactic.
           | Only law and law enforcement can prevent the inevitable
           | outcome of everyone using it.
        
         | gher-shyu3i wrote:
         | It's the tax breaks that facilitate these sorts of investments
         | and innovations.
        
         | TulliusCicero wrote:
         | Blaming Apple for governments letting them get away with paying
         | low taxes is certainly a take.
         | 
         | Ultimately it's the responsibility of politicians and the
         | voters who elect them to fix this.
        
         | jokethrowaway wrote:
         | How about nobody does instead?
        
       | brigandish wrote:
       | That might be enough to fix XCode.
       | 
       | Might be.
        
       | Decabytes wrote:
       | > Apple is the largest taxpayer in the US and has paid almost $45
       | billion in domestic corporate income taxes over the past five
       | years alone.
       | 
       | They just had to slip this in there. If they were taxed
       | appropriately on the money over seas we would see an additional
       | $10billion. Being the least scummy in a field rife with tax
       | evasion isn't saying much.
       | 
       | Also...
       | 
       | > Apple's contributions in the US have significantly outpaced the
       | company's original five-year goal of $350 billion set in 2018
       | 
       | So it's only upping the amount it had already pledged. So they
       | were already doing it anyway
        
         | StandardFuture wrote:
         | Tax evasion is allowed by the people you elect, and you know
         | it. Any unelected corporation can only be bound by the laws and
         | system that it is a part of.
         | 
         | If you really want to change things then start speaking out
         | against any and all politicians in bed with private actors (for
         | ANY political party, btw) -- not overly-focusing on just "those
         | politicians who disagree with you on abortion" or something
         | else insanely and profoundly silly.
         | 
         | Also, if you _really_ , and I mean _truly_ , despise the way
         | things are then stop complaining on the internet and run for
         | local office? Then if that goes well, run for a higher office?
         | Just an idea. But an idea that the vast majority of us on HN
         | never take seriously.
        
       | yotamoron wrote:
       | Well that's a surprise - the Biden administration cracks down on
       | big tech, and Boom! Apple commits to invest 430B$ in the US
       | economy!
       | 
       | That's just a scaled-up version of pink-washing - Look, apple is
       | so great, we can't dismantle it for being a monopoly! Now run and
       | do something bad to the real villains like Amazon!
       | 
       | They can start by honestly and fully paying their taxes.
        
       | AzzieElbab wrote:
       | Surprised they didn't mention their upcoming i-car business
        
       | nix23 wrote:
       | It that more or less then the saved taxes? @Apple Hedgefonds are
       | a good investment.
        
       | Traster wrote:
       | I kind of hate the way Apple phrases their business investments
       | like they're performing some great charitable act. Also, I'll
       | wait for an external audit of whether they're paying all the
       | relevant local taxes before I would consider giving them credit
       | for these "investments" in local infrastructure they're making.
        
         | JKCalhoun wrote:
         | I don't know, with so much of American business capital
         | seemingly having gone to Asia in the past several decades, it
         | is rather charitable to be investing in the U.S.
         | 
         | I mean, I wish it were not, I wish it were normal for U.S.
         | business to invest in the U.S., but here we are.
        
         | fullshark wrote:
         | Well that's the reality of our economy in 2021. A tech behemoth
         | coming to your town and adding jobs + the human capital + tax
         | base that comes with it can be transformative, and there's few
         | other options for localized economic growth sadly.
        
         | dev_tty01 wrote:
         | Please indicate the phrases that imply a "great charitable
         | act." I see normal, straight-forward corporate press release
         | speak. If Intel or Google were making a similar announcement it
         | would sound quite like this one. They are making significant
         | investment. Would you "give them credit" if they were not
         | making the investments?
        
           | bhk wrote:
           | For starters, they use the word "contribution" several times,
           | which is a pretty weasely way of describing spending money on
           | yourself.
        
           | cromka wrote:
           | I read it and also don't see any notion of charity. Op is
           | really making it sound like something it clearly isn't.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _hate the way Apple phrases their business investments like
         | they 're performing some great charitable act_
         | 
         | Why do you think domestic investment is so economically useless
         | that it must be a charitable act?
         | 
         | Cupertino is announcing spend. Spending here is better for
         | people here, _ceteris paribus_ , than spending there. If they
         | announced $430bn in new Southeast Asian contracts, there would
         | be a twin top comment lamenting Apple's lack of domestic
         | spending.
        
           | nanny wrote:
           | >Why do you think domestic investment is so economically
           | useless
           | 
           | GP never implied that it was "useless" at all. Your question
           | (to use some more Latin) is a total non-sequitur.
           | 
           | >there would be a twin top comment lamenting Apple's lack of
           | domestic spending.
           | 
           | Yes, different people have different opinions.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _GP never implied that it was "useless" at all_
             | 
             | The announcement uses the word investment 17 times. Reading
             | that as a charity pitch requires a few logical leaps.
             | 
             | Companies announce foreign direct investment all the time.
             | Nobody thinks they're trying to look like a charity.
        
               | skeeter2020 wrote:
               | This is the exact same approach governments use when
               | trying to go the other way: politically motivated hand-
               | outs framed as "investments". It's a meaningless word in
               | a PR statement.
        
               | nanny wrote:
               | >The announcement uses the word investment 17 times.
               | Reading that as a charity pitch requires a few logical
               | leaps.
               | 
               | Again, a non-sequitur. Even if they read "investment" as
               | "tea party" 17 times, they still never said or implied
               | that it was useless.
               | 
               | The Apple article is obviously trying to paint the
               | investments as acts of goodwill. Not many people would
               | expect anything else, it's just good PR. "Charity" might
               | be an exaggeration, but can't you see why it could rub
               | people the wrong way?
        
               | anon_tor_12345 wrote:
               | the subtitle of the article is
               | 
               | >The accelerated commitment will fund a new North
               | Carolina campus and *job-creating investments* in
               | innovative fields like silicon engineering and 5G
               | technology
               | 
               | other pull quotes from the article
               | 
               | >Apple is doubling down on our commitment to US
               | innovation and manufacturing with a generational
               | investment reaching *communities across all 50 states*
               | 
               | >Apple is the largest taxpayer in the US and has paid
               | almost $45 billion in domestic corporate income taxes
               | over the past five years alone.
               | 
               | > designed to prepare students for careers in hardware
               | engineering and silicon chip design -- to engineering
               | programs at *Historically Black Colleges and
               | Universities* across the country.
               | 
               | >bringing *clean energy and high-paying jobs to local
               | communities across the country*.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | If you're a regular at a restaurant, and you point out to
               | you friends that you've supported said restaurant, you
               | are not claiming a charitable act. You are pointing out
               | the consequences of your actions.
               | 
               | If someone wants to see that as charity, it speaks more
               | to them than anything else. (And claiming your patronage
               | was an act of charity would be rightfully seen as a
               | diminishment of said business.)
        
               | anon_tor_12345 wrote:
               | i have no idea what you're saying but you're bending over
               | backwards to contrive some sort of hypothetical that's
               | completely ignorant of corporate PR in general and
               | apple's PR (with its "we're removing cables for the
               | environment") in particular.
               | 
               | >If someone wants to see that as charity, it speaks more
               | to them than anything else.
               | 
               | what does it say about you that you're so intent on
               | absolving a corporate entity of its own disingenuity?
               | like do you work for apple?
        
               | jrwoodruff wrote:
               | Not an article, a press release from Apple. Of course
               | their PR team is going to spin it as positive as
               | possible, that's their job. Used to be, reporters would
               | pick this up and do their best to take the spin off, do a
               | few interviews and provide additional context.
        
               | ABeeSea wrote:
               | None of that sounds like charity or even framed as
               | charity. They need workers to work at these factories
               | they are building. US workers don't have those skills. So
               | they need a training center for their business investment
               | to work out.
        
               | anon_tor_12345 wrote:
               | man you people are coming out of the woodwork to simp for
               | apple; if what you're saying were true then the language
               | wouldn't be so topical and timely (eg alluding to hbcus).
        
               | ABeeSea wrote:
               | Comments like this are evidence that HN is turning into
               | Reddit.
        
               | Stupulous wrote:
               | Why do you think this is happening? I've noticed a recent
               | decline, but people have been saying this place isn't
               | what it used to be for years. I've been attributing it to
               | a change in myself.
               | 
               | I wonder if you could do some analytics on comments and
               | measure whether things have actually gotten worse.
               | Finding a metric might be difficult. I suppose you could
               | measure what percent of comments are from newer users
               | over time, which is probably correlated.
        
               | dominotw wrote:
               | > Why do you think this is happening? I've noticed a
               | recent decline, but people have been saying this place
               | isn't what it used to be for years. I've been attributing
               | it to a change in myself.
               | 
               | I would say users likes anon_tor_12345 are more of an
               | exception on the HN but they are they rule on reddit.
               | 
               | > I wonder if you could do some analytics on comments and
               | measure whether things have actually gotten worse.
               | 
               | HN is really good at flagging bad actors. Curious to see
               | what % of posts get flagged and compared to historical
               | trends to see if things are really declining.
        
           | jokethrowaway wrote:
           | One potential reasons is that a lot of things are more
           | expensive in the states - including hiring.
           | 
           | If they did their massive campus in Eastern Europe they would
           | get a lot of cheap smart talent, cheap building and probably
           | a favourable tax treatment (if they needed even more of
           | that).
           | 
           | Replace with Canary Islands, Cyprus or Malta if you want
           | somewhere with nice weather.
           | 
           | This is part PR, part gaining political favours.
        
           | anon_tor_12345 wrote:
           | >Why do you think domestic investment is so economically
           | useless that it must be a charitable act?
           | 
           | that's not what op (the person you're responding to) is
           | saying at all. they're simply saying that apple disguises its
           | infrastructure spending as charity and that that's off-
           | putting. in fact it's not charity and furthers their own
           | goals.
           | 
           | it'd be like me claiming to be a philanthropist because i had
           | to a build a road connecting my factory to my mine that
           | incidentally connects towns along the way. note this is
           | example is right on the nose because this is exactly what
           | corporations do.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _apple disguises its infrastructure spending as charity_
             | 
             | Except it doesn't. It uses the word "investment" 17 times
             | in the announcement. If someone reads this as a charity
             | pitch they're doing mental gymnastics.
             | 
             | Apple is not even doing the whole "Made in the USA"
             | schtick, where companies imply they're taking patriotic
             | pain for the good of the country. This is fully pitched as
             | a competitive play. An investment to yield returns.
        
               | plater wrote:
               | To continue as a company they have to invest just like
               | any other company. As Apple is so big, of course the
               | investments they make are big. But not necessarily bigger
               | than what any other company invests in percent of revenue
               | or profit.
               | 
               | This announcement makes it sound like it's something
               | amazingly special they do. But in fact, any company
               | throughout history has invested a certain percentage of
               | their revenue, just like Apple is now doing.
        
               | ojbyrne wrote:
               | And pretty well any company throughout history has made
               | sure the public knows about its investment.
        
               | gumby wrote:
               | It's a press release. What else would you expect?
               | 
               | They aren't claiming to be investing more or less than
               | anyone else. They are simply advertising their plans.
               | 
               | I think Apple's "amazing" infomercials are over the top,
               | but this press release seems anodyne.
        
               | anon_tor_12345 wrote:
               | lol i responded to your other comment. you either didn't
               | read the press release or you're being disingenuous - it
               | is rife with allusion to munificence
        
             | jdmoreira wrote:
             | It could never be charitable because Apple is a publicly
             | traded company and investors want returns.
             | 
             | People talk about companies the same way a hunter-gatherer
             | applies animism to trees for example. Companies are not
             | people, they can't be cynic nor greedy they just are what
             | they were created to be. Profit machines.
             | 
             | Apple is extremely good at being. High returns on invested
             | capital, huge moat, etc...
        
         | alexfromapex wrote:
         | I don't like how the local government is courting these
         | businesses. It just reeks of corruption when they're getting
         | special tax breaks and treatment.
        
         | gher-shyu3i wrote:
         | Taxes will be payed purely by virtue of hiring the 20,000
         | employees they want, which will stimulate the economy. Let's
         | not dumb down the conversation by claiming that companies
         | lowering their tax expenditure is somehow bad.
         | 
         | Tax breaks stimulate innovation and investments.
        
         | temp8964 wrote:
         | Why investments should be like charitable act? Investments are
         | suppose to be win-win, because they are investments, not
         | handing out money ...
         | 
         | Also, it is a very low level misconception that paying local
         | taxes is how you contributing to the local community. No.
         | Investing is already contributing to the local community. The
         | business will build campus there, and hire people there, and
         | also increase other local businesses surround the campus. And
         | those people work for them pay income taxes there and also pay
         | consumer taxes there. Every local government understand these,
         | that's why they want to attract investments and give their tax
         | breaks, because investments alone bring benefits to the local
         | community.
         | 
         | It would be extremely stupid for any local government to say:
         | Hey we don't you invest hundred millions in our community,
         | unless you pay full taxes. Lol.
        
           | pydry wrote:
           | >Why investments should be like charitable act?
           | 
           | That's the point. It isn't. The OP was asking why it's
           | therefore being sold as one.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | nix23 wrote:
           | >>Apple phrases their business investments like they're
           | performing some great charitable act.
           | 
           | Phrases....
        
           | MAGZine wrote:
           | You've just described trickle down economics but for society.
           | 
           | Companies are more than welcome to make themselves at home
           | iff they pay their dues, and should not be welcome if they
           | don't.
        
             | throwaway2037 wrote:
             | This comment touches a personal nerve with me. I am not
             | against it, but I have seen it so many times traveling in
             | developing countries in South Asia and Southeast Asia. When
             | (South) Korean and Japanese companies invest in a
             | developing economy, it is with head, heart, and wallet.
             | They go 100%. How many times have a seen Korean or Japanese
             | business people on a local flight study local language from
             | a book or try to practice local language with staff? Too
             | many to count! I makes me proud, and I am neither Korea nor
             | Japanese. This is how it should be. And, (for the most
             | part), they are welcomed by communities. To be fair: I feel
             | the same about Volkswagon's recent commitment to Rwanda to
             | build their first plant in Africa. I am suspicious of
             | UK/US/AUS/China firms that show up with the "resource
             | extraction" mindset. Five or ten years later, there are
             | terrible environment consequences or social unrest. Almost
             | never, do I see that with (South) Korean or Japanese firms.
             | (Yes, I have seen it first hand in SA/SEA developing
             | nations.)
        
             | temp8964 wrote:
             | How is economic growth trickle down for the society? It is
             | not. Strong economic growth is the best thing to level up a
             | society.
             | 
             | What is really trickle down for the society? The dead loop
             | between more taxes and economic stagnation.
        
               | MAGZine wrote:
               | Do you not see the similarities between "give rich people
               | low taxes and they will create economies around them,"
               | and "give rich corporations low taxes and they will
               | create economies around them?"
               | 
               | Companies will seek the lowest taxes in an area that
               | suits them. If they're building in America, it's because
               | it behooves them to build in America. There are lots of
               | places they can go to lower taxes, but they're not
               | competitive.
               | 
               | So you still have companies who are VOLUNTARILY building
               | industry in places with high taxes, because it behooves
               | them. Can you see how a race to the bottom in this regard
               | is damaging? They're already committed to paying high
               | taxes, its just a matter of how high. So--do you really
               | want to be the place that cheats yourself out of the most
               | income, for a company that really doesn't care if they
               | settle in your county, the next one over, or the one
               | across the country?
               | 
               | The minute you become noncompetitive, the company will
               | move, and your countrymen are the people who paid for it.
               | The real winner? the company, who got to hang onto more
               | of their vast profits. :-) Apple committed almost $100B a
               | year. And places are fighting over... how much tax
               | revenue? there's plenty of room for fair taxation.
        
               | temp8964 wrote:
               | Good reasoning. So just stay poor, and don't let the big
               | companies make money, this sounds like a great advice to
               | local communities.
        
         | tamcap wrote:
         | NC just announced they will give Apple close to a $1B tax
         | break... (granted, over up to 30 years)
        
           | OliverJones wrote:
           | Arrgh ... never give a sucker politician an even break. RTP
           | is a fine place to put this project, good enough in fact that
           | the state doesn't have to bribe them to do it.
           | 
           | This tax-break-if-you-locate-here thing is a longstanding
           | scam against politicians by companies.
           | 
           | https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/corporate-
           | tax...
           | 
           | These tax incentives should be structured as follows:
           | 
           | 1. Do your payroll and pay your payroll taxes (FICA, Federal
           | and State unemployment, whatever).
           | 
           | 2. Submit your payroll tax receipts to the state incentive
           | operation.
           | 
           | 3. Get a rebate of some percentage of that payroll tax.
           | 
           | In other words, no tax-break payments until people get
           | actually paid.
           | 
           | This incentivizes the company to do what the state wants:
           | employ people in good jobs. If the company gets a "better
           | offer" from some other place and moves, then the state
           | doesn't get completely screwed over.
        
         | geodel wrote:
         | Well that's the way everyone is doing. When individuals eating
         | some good food nearby call it "supporting local African-
         | american business". Why wouldn't Apple or any other company
         | make a virtue out of necessity.
         | 
         | > I'll wait for an external audit of whether they're paying all
         | the relevant ..
         | 
         | They will be paying minimum legal taxes possible not maximum
         | possible. If this is something one need to feel outraged they
         | can start early and not wait for reports/audits.
        
         | zitterbewegung wrote:
         | How many people did Apple have to hire to make the new Apple
         | campus? You can directly see the impact that had. Compare that
         | to Amazon or Foxconn. At least they actually seem to hold a
         | large majority of their promise.
        
         | tracer4201 wrote:
         | I'm curious if you could quote what exactly in this news is
         | written as if it's a charitable investment on part of Apple.
         | 
         | If this announcement was in India or China, folks would be
         | grabbing pitchforks that Apple is sending jobs overseas. So
         | they're bring net new tech jobs here, and your response feels
         | like "damned if you do, damned if you don't"
        
         | gogopuppygogo wrote:
         | I'll wait to see the halo effect of high paying tech jobs in a
         | community.
         | 
         | Any community with half a functioning government should give
         | tax breaks to get these kinds of jobs from such a reputable
         | company.
        
           | delfinom wrote:
           | >I'll wait to see the halo effect of high paying tech jobs in
           | a community.
           | 
           | Increased homelessness from rapid gentrification
        
             | mrits wrote:
             | What you are saying is not possible at Apple with quotas in
             | their hiring process.
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | Seems like you can't win. If you stay in bay area you get
             | accused of concentrating wealth in the bay area and not
             | spreading it. If you move to other areas you get accused of
             | gentrifying the area and pushing poor people out.
        
               | Apocryphon wrote:
               | Seems like everyone needs to come up with new solutions
               | to this dilemma.
        
       | tapoxi wrote:
       | "Oh shit, how do we dodge potential antitrust regulation?"
        
         | failwhaleshark wrote:
         | "Spread money around. Get behind 'job-creation,' 'artisanal,'
         | and 'locally-made.'"
        
         | tck42 wrote:
         | Right, and also - did they really "commit", at least in the
         | "pledge" or "binding promise" sense of the word? I think
         | "commit" might be too strong of a word. Maybe "plans to" would
         | be better.
         | 
         | They can announce this now and change their mind as they
         | please, right? I'm not sure about Apple's track record on
         | things like this, they may be good, but they could just slowly
         | pull or decrease funding, and we probably won't even hear about
         | it in the future, or am I missing something?
        
         | hesdeadjim wrote:
         | Timing is a wee bit suspicious isn't it.
        
           | boringg wrote:
           | It's a forever on-going negotiation.
        
         | ttul wrote:
         | "Let's sprinkle a few billion dollars into each important
         | senator's state so they can't shutter our operation."
        
         | ulimn wrote:
         | Whatever the reason, I think this is a good thing.
        
       | jokethrowaway wrote:
       | Nice! I wonder when we will all start living inside campuses.
       | 
       | They definitely look nicer than most public cities.
        
         | nightowl_games wrote:
         | I've been postulating privately that we will move towards opt-
         | in private governments, with private cities, that people get
         | citizen scores and have no privacy, and that we will _choose_
         | to do that, because it will be a utopia inside those walls.
         | 
         | Your suggestion here solidifies that in my mind. We will live
         | on private campuses owned by the corporation for which we work.
         | It will be a utopia in there. And we will have no privacy. And
         | we will be rated. And we will love being quantified. And
         | outside those walls the world will decay.
        
           | mcphage wrote:
           | > we will _choose_ to do that, because it will be a utopia
           | inside those walls
           | 
           | Companies have tried their hands at being the government in
           | the past, and the outcome has always been.... something less
           | than utopian.
        
       | Covzire wrote:
       | It's surprising to me that $430B doesn't include plans for
       | Apple's own fab(s).
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | Owning your own fabs is a great way to end up being stuck on a
         | node, like intel.
        
           | osugunner wrote:
           | Intel is already pivoting and opening up their fabs to other
           | businesses. It's been a long time coming but Intel Foundry
           | Services seems like a good move.
           | 
           | https://www.theverge.com/2021/3/23/22347250/intel-new-
           | factor...
        
           | simonh wrote:
           | This is almost right, but TSMC is a fab operator yet they
           | seem to have transitioned to 5nm just fine.
           | 
           | However you are correct in that TSMC still owns and operates
           | its older node fabs. Today's cutting edge fab is tomorrow's
           | legacy fab producing no-longer cutting edge commodity parts.
           | This is why Apple won't buy any fabs or fab operators
           | themselves.
        
             | Covzire wrote:
             | Still they could sell foundry services for any spare
             | capacity, or sell them to another company when it's no
             | longer using them for cutting edge. I'm sure there's a very
             | good reason they're not going that route but I can't help
             | but think the whole world would be better off if the
             | players that can afford it would operate their own fabs.
             | 
             | I guess as long as Apple thinks they can remain the highest
             | bidder at TSMC and China doesn't invade there is no reason
             | to think their supply is threatened.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | But who would the be selling that legacy fab capacity to?
               | It would most likely be their competitors, at least in
               | part. I just dont see Apples management being all that
               | enthusiastic about any of that as a business. They put a
               | huge premium in being as focused as possible.
        
       | TheMagicHorsey wrote:
       | If this is true, I'm bullish on real estate in Elk Grove,
       | California. Elk Grove is a suburb of Sacramento that is about 1.5
       | hours from San Francisco. Apple used to have a major
       | manufacturing presence here before they expanded their
       | manufacturing in China. After Apple moved their manufacturing
       | overseas, Elk Grove became a sleepy suburb where engineers from
       | the Bay Area moved their families to get affordable homes and
       | better schools.
       | 
       | Ever since telecommuting for work took off, the house prices have
       | been spiking.
       | 
       | Disclosure: I have been looking at Elk Grove, Folsom, and other
       | Sacramento suburbs as a possible place to relocate my family and
       | team ... my team and I are not happy with the cost of living in
       | SF, and we can get a lot more bang for buck by moving away.
       | 
       | You can get a 4 bedroom, 2500 sqft house in Elk Grove for about
       | 750,000 now (six months ago it was 500,000). The schools are also
       | quite diverse ... over 30% Asian and Indian.
        
         | seahckr wrote:
         | Interesting. How do Apple's investments outside near LA and
         | other parts of US help Sacramento real estate?
        
       | troelsSteegin wrote:
       | So, that's potentially about $85B per year in US spending vs 2020
       | global revenue of $275B. Would it be fair to say then that two
       | thirds of Apple's planned net "investments" are outside the US?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _$85B per year in US spending vs 2020 global revenue of
         | $275B_
         | 
         | $57bn of that was income [1], so about 40% of spend. Which
         | lines up with the 41% of revenues Apple gets from the U.S. [2].
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://www.apple.com/newsroom/pdfs/FY20_Q4_Consolidated_Fin...
         | 
         | [2] https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2020/10/apple-reports-
         | fourth-...
        
       | 55555 wrote:
       | Can anyone break down what the $430B is going towards?
        
         | perardi wrote:
         | Every news story I see if pretty much a rephrasing of this
         | press release, so I don't think there are much in the way of
         | more details out there.
        
         | ErikVandeWater wrote:
         | Lobbying.
        
         | CydeWeys wrote:
         | Good question. It sounds like employee compensation is included
         | in the figure so it really could just be "all projected US
         | expenditures in the next 5 years".
        
           | 55555 wrote:
           | That's what I assumed. I couldn't see any other way this
           | would be even remotely possible.
        
       | thiago_fm wrote:
       | You know the old Apple is dead when they are making statements
       | which look more like a 90s IBM press release.
        
       | ldbooth wrote:
       | This is highly ranked on HN? Here is your sign... Hacker PR.
        
       | imtringued wrote:
       | I don't care why they are doing this, but it should have happened
       | a long time ago. The cynism here is disappointing.
       | 
       | If companies start investing their money domestically then excess
       | savings will fall, deflationary pressures will be gone and the
       | economy will start growing quickly again and that means wages
       | will grow too.
        
         | RhodoGSA wrote:
         | My money SHOULD be worth more tomorrow than it is today.
         | Tomorrow the economy is just a tad bit more productive, so my
         | dollar should go further... Why is deflation a curse word
         | nowadays? I feel one of governments only role is to ensure that
         | the dollar is not being debased and slowly losing value of time
         | or atleast at a rate that is known. When the FED prints an
         | unlimited supply of money, it breaks down the social contract
         | or useful fiction that we all accept about our money.
         | 
         | i've read some rhetoric somewhere that deflationary money is a
         | terrible thing for the economy since it reflects in asset
         | prices and makes you more concerned with saving. From my
         | perspective, that's a very good economic consequence and would
         | stop all these boom bust cycles that we seems to be creeping up
         | at irregular intervals of massive spending.
         | 
         | A better system of stock trading would be bonding. When i buy a
         | stock, the money is locked into a contract that is reimbursed
         | to me after the purchase period. say i buy $100 worth of Tesla
         | for a 1 year stock period. At the end of that lease, i will
         | recieve my $100 back and Tesla may reward me with a % based on
         | the performance of that year. I have no liquidity but my only
         | 'Loss' is the loss of other rewards i could have gained by
         | betting in another industry or company. Everything being
         | completely liquid allows for HFT and the banking industry to
         | drain our economic fecundity by placing it in the realm of
         | fairy-land instead of investments in infrastructure, energy
         | generation and manufacturing.
        
           | Jommi wrote:
           | If your money is worth more tomorrow than today why would you
           | spend it today?
        
           | hungryhobo wrote:
           | deflation is bad for the economy because it discourages
           | spending.
           | 
           | Just for illustration, imagine if you know that you can buy 2
           | rolls of toilet papers 2 months later for the price of 1
           | toilet paper today, and you don't have an immediate need for
           | toilet paper, then most likely you'd wait.
           | 
           | Spendings is what drives the economy and it's the circulation
           | and liquidity that help the economy becomes more productive.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | rmah wrote:
           | Having money worth more tomorrow than today is how you get a
           | stagnant economy and misery for everyone but the very rich.
           | It's how you depress consumption and investment. It's how you
           | destroy a nation.
           | 
           | Money is not wealth. Money is a tool. The goal, at a macro
           | level, is not to have people having big piles of money.
           | Because money, in and of itself, is not that important. What
           | matters is how the money is used. And the more it's used, the
           | better. Money being used is consumption and investment.
           | 
           | What you call "a better system of stock trading" is called a
           | "bond". It's debt and works similarly to how you described
           | except the reward % is typically fixed.
        
           | warkdarrior wrote:
           | > My money SHOULD be worth more tomorrow than it is today.
           | 
           | It is very simple why this is not a good policy.
           | 
           | Let's say you are a software engineer working on some
           | software product/service. You are working hard on that
           | software, adding features, fixing issues, maintaining it,
           | etc. The buyer pays you $100 today for that software.
           | 
           | Tomorrow you release a new version, with lots of upgrades and
           | new capabilities. The buyer for this software says "my money
           | should be worth more tomorrow than it is today" so they offer
           | only $80 for the new version. Boom -- your work is worth less
           | every day!
        
             | RhodoGSA wrote:
             | Very good point and I think your right. Maybe deflationary
             | pressures on the economy would only lead to more
             | centralization of assets than we already have today. One
             | pedantic point to make though; Technically, that $80 is
             | worth more today so it's not like "Your work is worth less
             | every day". it's the same exact thing in your example.
        
               | StandardFuture wrote:
               | > One pedantic point
               | 
               | Your point is not pedantic at all and in fact completely
               | negates the other commenters counterpoint made to your
               | initial argument.
               | 
               | The buying power of the entity you are exchanging in has
               | changed -- for everyone. This absolutely does not
               | diminish your work. It is literally equivalent to being
               | paid in many more bitcoin in 2012 versus today.
               | 
               | I am sure there are valid critiques of allowing
               | deflation. But, as of yet a solid one has not been
               | provided in this thread.
               | 
               | It would be interesting to see if anyone can offer other
               | sources or arguments against this pro-savings, deflation-
               | allowable, economy.
               | 
               | Allowing natural volatility into the value of any asset
               | that is traded, including the USD, likely resolves to a
               | more natural equilibrium in the economy, no?
        
               | pram wrote:
               | Deflation causes many problems. For starters at a
               | macroeconomic level it reduces money velocity and
               | investment. If people will make a better return just
               | holding onto their money, then they will be more averse
               | to spending it obviously.
        
               | StandardFuture wrote:
               | > reduces money velocity and investment
               | 
               | Yes, this is because of the interchangeability of the
               | value of an asset declining and the fact that no one is
               | buying it. No different than a stock price in free fall.
               | Why is it in free fall? Because no one wants it.
               | 
               | Artificial infinite inflation takes away from the buying
               | power of especially younger generations (but average
               | people in general). It inflates the supposed price of
               | assets (in terms of the inflated exchange asset, e.g.,
               | USD) which makes it much more difficult for newcomers to
               | gain access to the necessary amount of buying power
               | otherwise.
               | 
               | Think of it like inflating bitcoin. True, bitcoin is
               | worth more. But, it takes a lot more work and time to get
               | more bitcoin. This actually causes deflation to people's
               | labor value and thus their buying power and leverage.
               | 
               | And not all assets will inflate equally. And some assets
               | will receive government subsidies (this is an increasing
               | phenomenon due to the inflating economy) because they are
               | considered "critical" to society e.g., gasoline, milk,
               | and green energy.
               | 
               | Overall, allowing things to deflate and inflate more
               | naturally actually increases volatility which is
               | _actually_ what will increase economic velocity. Trading
               | will increase, and interest will increase because of
               | profitable trading, and thus investment will increase.
               | 
               | So, no, the current artificial and centralized system
               | that thinks it can outgame game-theory is just stupid.
               | 
               | It's just Neo-Liberal/Neo-Conservative hippie baby boomer
               | nonsense to concentrate wealth and power into an
               | aristocratic elite empowered by trillions of dollars of
               | managed retirement portfolios. They simply do not want to
               | allow for natural volatility so that _their_ managed
               | assets are _always_ increasing. It 's absolute insanity.
               | 
               | EDIT:
               | 
               | Not that my above comment was perfect, but let me attempt
               | to be more succint.
               | 
               | > Monetary appreciation only helps
               | 
               | Appreciation of an asset only helps the holders of said
               | asset. But "appreciation" is always an exchange rate.
               | Appreciated relative to what?
               | 
               | > A deflationary environment explicitly benefits
               | creditors.
               | 
               | And this is where my contention lies. This dogmatic
               | condemnation of deflation ever being allowed to happen.
               | Temporary deflation or even deflation for some extended
               | period of time is _not_ a bad thing.
               | 
               | Economic velocity runs on _volatility_ and not what one
               | currency or asset is doing relative to another. Inflating
               | and deflating exchange rates only _increase_ volatility.
               | But, truly, only if _both_ types of relationships are
               | allowed and are not artificially snuffed out by
               | government and /or central bank intervention.
               | 
               | And you assume that creditors are the only ones holding
               | an asset? Credit is only one kind of exchange. Spending
               | is another. Stock trading is another. They all depend on
               | volatility.
               | 
               | Thus, I am not arguing for inflation or deflation. I am
               | arguing for the greatest amount of allowance for natural
               | volatility.
               | 
               | > in your proposed monetary environment.
               | 
               | I see that you assumed that I was arguing for constant
               | monetary appreciation. I was arguing that there is
               | nothing wrong with monetary appreciation.
               | 
               | It seem that you and others are deadset on arguing that
               | all deflation is immoral.
               | 
               | My above comment mentions the common root of such views.
               | 
               | > Much like it's difficult for newcomers to buy large
               | amounts of bitcoin.
               | 
               | Yes, I should clarify my bitcoin comments. Bitcoin is
               | deflationary relative to USD (where most "newcomers" are
               | coming from).
               | 
               | BUT, to add substance to my point it should also be noted
               | that there are coins that outperform Bitcoin and are thus
               | deflationary in their relationship to Bitcoin. A newcomer
               | holding these would actually have _more_ purchasing
               | power.
               | 
               | I clarify this to stress that at the end of the day:
               | consumer spending, loans, credit, etc. are _all trading_.
               | And trading is what makes the economy go around.
               | Volatility is good.
        
               | pram wrote:
               | I'm not really sure what you're arguing, I didn't say
               | "infinite inflation" is good lol. Monetary appreciation
               | only helps the buying power of people who already have
               | money. A deflationary environment explicitly benefits
               | creditors. It would be very difficult for a newcomer to
               | get buying power, leveraged or otherwise, in your
               | proposed monetary environment. Much like it's difficult
               | for newcomers to buy large amounts of bitcoin.
        
               | StandardFuture wrote:
               | Not that my above comment was perfect, but let me attempt
               | to be more succint.
               | 
               | > Monetary appreciation only helps
               | 
               | Appreciation of an asset only helps the holders of said
               | asset. But "appreciation" is always an exchange rate.
               | Appreciated relative to what?
               | 
               | > A deflationary environment explicitly benefits
               | creditors.
               | 
               | And this is where my contention lies. This dogmatic
               | condemnation of deflation ever being allowed to happen.
               | Temporary deflation or even deflation for some extended
               | period of time is not a bad thing.
               | 
               | Economic velocity runs on volatility and not what one
               | currency or asset is doing relative to another. Inflating
               | and deflating exchange rates only increase volatility.
               | But, truly, only if both types of relationships are
               | allowed and are not artificially snuffed out by
               | government and/or central bank intervention.
               | 
               | And you assume that creditors are the only ones holding
               | an asset? Credit is only one kind of exchange. Spending
               | is another. Stock trading is another. They all depend on
               | volatility.
               | 
               | Thus, I am not arguing for inflation or deflation. I am
               | arguing for the greatest amount of allowance for natural
               | volatility.
               | 
               | > in your proposed monetary environment.
               | 
               | I see that you assumed that I was arguing for constant
               | monetary appreciation. I was arguing that there is
               | nothing wrong with monetary appreciation.
               | 
               | It seem that you and others are deadset on arguing that
               | all deflation is immoral.
               | 
               | My above comment mentions the common root of such views.
               | 
               | > Much like it's difficult for newcomers to buy large
               | amounts of bitcoin.
               | 
               | Yes, I should clarify my bitcoin comments. Bitcoin is
               | deflationary relative to USD (where most "newcomers" are
               | coming from).
               | 
               | BUT, to add substance to my point it should also be noted
               | that there are coins that outperform Bitcoin and are thus
               | deflationary in their relationship to Bitcoin. A newcomer
               | holding these would actually have more purchasing power.
               | 
               | I clarify this to stress that at the end of the day:
               | consumer spending, loans, credit, etc. are all trading.
               | And trading is what makes the economy go around.
               | Volatility is good.
        
             | dgs_sgd wrote:
             | This assumes the new version of the software has no added
             | value from adding new features and fixing bugs, etc.
             | 
             | Even with your assumption suppose you accept their offer.
             | The $80 received should in turn be able to purchase
             | something that was worth $100 dollars yesterday. The
             | nominal value may have gone down but the quantity of goods
             | and services you can buy with it is the same.
        
           | bananabreakfast wrote:
           | If you need a concrete example of why deflation is crushingly
           | terrible for an economy look no further than Japan after the
           | asset bubble burst in the 90s.
           | 
           | Deflationary thinking meant everyone expects prices to be
           | lower tomorrow, so no one spent money on needed items and
           | simply waited to make purchases to save money. This slowed
           | down the economy into a death spiral that they still are
           | climbing out of. Mortgages became crushing. You can't get a
           | raise. Interest and deflation work together to make debt
           | nearly inescapable.
           | 
           | The point of money is to be spent, i.e. facilitate the simple
           | transfer of value. An excellent example of the direct
           | damaging effects of deflation is bitcoin. No one spends it.
           | It has utterly failed at its goal to become a primary
           | mechanism to transfer value. Everyone expects its value to
           | keep increasing so it is almost never transferred (to the
           | point that hodling and never spending became a meme). Slowing
           | down the exchange of money is what kills an economy.
        
             | zeusk wrote:
             | But inflation is also no good if salaries don't rise with
             | it.
             | 
             | The way inflation is calculated is quite flawed from my
             | understanding (they don't include rent/mortgage payments or
             | college tuition - prices of which have exploded in the past
             | two decades).
        
         | laurent92 wrote:
         | Most of Apple's money is made abroad. Is there a reason why it
         | should come back to the US at a loss for the stock holder?
        
           | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
           | > why it should come back to the US
           | 
           | They are a US company, reaping the tax benefits of that
           | nexus. If they'd been an EU company, they would have paid a
           | lot more in various taxes (including higher wage taxes) over
           | the last 40 years. IOW, they would not be as wealthy a
           | company today.
        
             | RhodoGSA wrote:
             | The US is one of the only countries that taxs worldwide
             | income.
        
               | eliseumds wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_Irish_arrangement
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | That is true now but has not been true for all of the
               | last 40 years that Apple has been in business. And you're
               | ignoring wage taxes and employee benefits, which are
               | significantly higher in some other nations.
        
               | jokethrowaway wrote:
               | It's way more complicated than that.
               | 
               | Tons of countries tax worldwide income.
        
             | t0mas88 wrote:
             | They also pay EU (and many other) wage taxes since those
             | are all paid in the location of employment. This cash
             | discussion is all about corporate tax.
        
       | wu_187 wrote:
       | They need to pay their taxes
        
       | tolbish wrote:
       | Correct me if I'm wrong, but I take it the funding going into all
       | of these office spaces means remote working at Apple is more or
       | less impossible in the future for the vast majority of employees?
        
         | arthur_sav wrote:
         | I see it the other way. Choose to live anywhere in the US and
         | you get a Hub for your team meetings / office space.
        
           | kshacker wrote:
           | Absolutely. Cupertino, Vancouver, Austin, Research Triangle
           | and many more I guess.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | fguerraz wrote:
       | Also, with many trillion dollars of money printed recently vs 0
       | CNY, it is very likely that the value of the USD will slide
       | significantly compared to RMB.
       | 
       | It is not that far-fetched to think that in a not so distant
       | future China consider the USA (and Europe) as sources of cheap
       | manufacturing.
        
         | throwaway2037 wrote:
         | I am confused by this comment. "[M]any trillion dollars of
         | money printed recently" -- are you talking about the US Federal
         | Reserve? That isn't money printing; it is quantitative easing
         | -- now also practiced by European Central Bank, Bank of Japan,
         | and Bank of England. It does not cause inflation. If anything,
         | weirdly, it appears to cause deflation. Money printing is
         | Weimar Republic (~1920s) or Zimbabwe (2000-2010). If there was
         | out of control "money printing", we would see unprecedented
         | inflation. Do we see that? No. Please correct me if I
         | misunderstand your comment.
         | 
         | "0 CNY" -- Do you not consider expansion of credit by state-
         | owned commercial banks equivalent to "printing money"? I do. It
         | causes inflation through rising housing costs. (All major
         | central banks now include housing costs in their inflation
         | figures.)
         | 
         | The more likely scenario of the future of "cheap manufacturing"
         | is (near) total automation in highly developed countries with
         | (near) zero-cost green energy. That means their carbon
         | intensity will be very low. Thus, carbon (import/export) taxes
         | will be very low. Why sew socks in a country with very low
         | labour costs, but coal-generated electricity? A machine/robot
         | can sew the same socks using green energy in a factory located
         | 100km outside a major city in a highly developed country. As an
         | example: Look at Fast Retailing (Uniqlo, etc.), headquartered
         | in Japan, but truly global as a retail brand. They are a world
         | leader in highly automated manuf. of clothes. (Same for Zara.)
         | I can imagine they will be one of the first to aggressively
         | "on-shore" from developing countries to Japan, where clothes
         | will be (near) 100% robot-made. I have heard much the same
         | about Adidas and re-shoring shoe manuf. to Germany with (near)
         | 100% automation.
        
           | RhodoGSA wrote:
           | Yes - we do and are seeing rapid inflation.
           | 
           | We see rapid asset inflation across the board. Check recent
           | commodity prices across copper, lumber, food, water etc.
           | Everything has been rising dramatically during the period
           | that the world has been practicing what you call
           | 'Quantitative easing'. Inflation isn't just related to Forex
           | if all the worlds currency's are inflating, albet just maybe
           | faster than the USD. And the only reason the US is not
           | inflating faster than the rest of the world is because the
           | IMF is based in USD.
        
             | throwaway2037 wrote:
             | To be clear, you wrote "rapid asset inflation". For middle
             | class and below, that can only mean buying a house. There
             | are no other economically significant assets they own.
             | (Cars are a stretch!) For _all other_ items, is there
             | significant inflation? No.
             | 
             | "IMF is based in USD" -- Are you not familiar with special
             | drawing rights (SDR)? Please explain if I do not understand
             | your comment.
        
               | RhodoGSA wrote:
               | Although the middle class may not own futures for metals,
               | plastics, lumber, etc they do own consumer goods. These
               | are the inputs for consumer goods and thus my argument
               | was that consumer goods inflation is soon to follow.
               | 
               | >Are you not familiar with special drawing rights (SDR)
               | 
               | Not really to be honest? but i don't get your point in
               | bringing it up. I know the US has the highest SPR weight
               | by far and that the IMF was created by the united states
               | after we got off the gold standard. My point was that the
               | US has a massive influence on a standard thats supposed
               | to be 'International' and thus controls the Forex and
               | thus 'relative' Inflation. (Our inflation in regards to
               | other currencies as opposed to some real meaning of the
               | word inflation)
        
               | throwaway2037 wrote:
               | "consumer goods inflation is soon to follow" -- Review
               | this comment in a year (or more). Inflation Bears have
               | been wrong for more than thirty years now. They are
               | forever talking about "inflating is coming soon", yet it
               | never does. Show me inflation (CPI) figures in any highly
               | developed economy that demonstrates serious inflation in
               | the last five years. It does not exist.
               | 
               | To be clear about SDR: US has 42%, EU has 31%, China has
               | 11%, Japan has 8%, and UK has 8%. Is 42% > 31% "highest
               | SPR weight by far"... ? All the non-US majors combined...
               | US does not looks so big. It has been falling for decades
               | as the world economy re-balances.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > Yes - we do and are seeing rapid inflation.
             | 
             | No, we aren't.
             | 
             | > We see rapid asset inflation across the board.
             | 
             | "Inflation", without modifiers, refers to consumer price
             | inflation (final goods and services). Asset inflation is a
             | different thing, as is monetary inflation. Monetary
             | inflation can contribute to both asset inflation and
             | consumer price inflation, but those two outcomes are
             | somewhat in tension; asset inflation isn't pent up
             | potential for consumer price inflation, but an explanation
             | for why consumer price inflation isn't happening and isn't
             | likely to happen without change in the fundamental economic
             | processes.
             | 
             | Specifically, monetary inflation driving asset inflation
             | but not consumer price inflation is a sign that the money
             | is going to people is marginal use of additional access to
             | money is to invest rather than spend, absent changing the
             | distribution, the outcomes aren't going to change.
        
               | RhodoGSA wrote:
               | Well, yes - You're right. Consumer price inflation does
               | lag behind raw material prices by a couple years since
               | most companies have pricing agreements in place. Just
               | because this lag isn't happening yet, doesn't meant it's
               | not happening and will continue to happen in the future.
        
               | totalZero wrote:
               | Consumer price inflation measurement lags because the
               | basket composition changes. True inflation is likely far
               | higher than CPI inflation because of this market basket
               | recomposition problem. BLS doesn't update the market
               | basket instantaneously; it lags by about two or three
               | years. Thus, when discontinuous shifts in consumer
               | behavior aggressively drive spending out of certain areas
               | (eg airfare, tuition, elective surgery, rent) and into
               | other areas (eg autos, fuel, new construction,
               | computers), those shifts are underrepresented because
               | deflation of the former is weighted more heavily than
               | inflation of the latter.
               | 
               | Any time there is price dispersion within the goods and
               | services of the market basket, it's likely that the
               | basket composition itself is changing too. CPI has no way
               | of responding quickly to this change.
        
               | rllearneratwork wrote:
               | have you seen the prices of housing, healthcare,
               | childcare, education and retirement for over the last 5
               | years?
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > have you seen the prices of housing, healthcare,
               | childcare, education and retirement for over the last 5
               | years?
               | 
               | "retirement" isn't a good or service.
               | 
               | Childcare has inflated slightly faster than general
               | inflation over the last 5 yeara (2.22%/yr vs. 1.86%/yr).
               | 
               | Health _care_ has inflated a bit faster (medical care @
               | 2.46% /yr, hospital and related services @ 3.89%); health
               | _insurance_ , has been notably higher (in large parts due
               | to the federal government failure to follow the law on
               | the ACA) @ 5.98%/yr.
               | 
               | Education has inflated much more rapidly than general
               | inflation, @ 29.15%/yr.
               | 
               | So, what? That's how aggregates work. Obviously, we could
               | just as easily find a list of consumer goods and services
               | where inflation is _lower_ than general inflation. That
               | wouldn't prove that inflation is even lower than
               | reported, and neither does higher inflation in some
               | sectors prove that inflation is higher than reported.
        
             | rllearneratwork wrote:
             | This. peoples see that the prices of a dozen of eggs or
             | meals don't go up and say: "No inflation! See!". All this
             | while all assets are getting more expensive, the prices of
             | housing, healthcare, education, retirement and even top of
             | the line electronics (flagship iPhone price now vs 10 years
             | ago) are getting more expensive.
        
               | throwaway2037 wrote:
               | But entry-point Xiaomi and Huawei phones are much cheaper
               | than 10 years ago. How do you explain that? That feels
               | like deflation. Using the Apple iPhone as a proxy of
               | inflation felt by middle class (and below) is dubious.
               | That product is essentially a Veblen good (Wiki says: "a
               | type of luxury good for which the demand for a good
               | increases as the price increases, in apparent
               | contradiction of the law of demand"). Look at the price
               | of desktop computers, laptops, Raspberry Pi-equivalents,
               | and flat-screen TVs: It is shocking how much prices have
               | fallen (vis-a-vis price/performance) over the last 10
               | years.
               | 
               | "The price of eggs." What next: Will you talk about low
               | interest rates "punishes savers"? What portion of wages
               | do highly developed countries spend on food? (Exclude
               | [South] Korea and Japan, which are extreme outliers.) The
               | answer: Vanishingly small amounts. And, it continues to
               | fall each decade.
               | 
               | "[P]rices of housing, healthcare, education, retirement"
               | -- is this true in socialist market economies in
               | Continental Europe, like Germany, France, Italy, Austria,
               | Switzerland, Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, Portugal,
               | Sweden, Finland, Denmark? No, it is not. I will admit:
               | Life for middle class (and below) in the UK is surely
               | worse in the last decade for all of the above that you
               | mention.
        
       | cryptica wrote:
       | If the reserve bank money printing continues, soon there won't be
       | anything to eat but at least we'll have plenty of smartphones!
       | 
       | The big market distortion is coming. Get prepared for absolute
       | insanity.
        
       | CryptoPunk wrote:
       | This is very good news. I would love to see pro-capitalist
       | policies enacted to bolster this. Things like repealing labor
       | laws that grant unions with extra-contractual privileges that
       | come from suppressing employers' rights - like being able prevent
       | companies from replacing them when they strike - in order to
       | restore contract liberty and re-institute a national free market
       | in labor, scaling back and streamlining EPA regulations, and
       | totally abolishing the OSHA, would do wonders for inviting more
       | manufacturers to return to the US, and create strong network
       | effects in supply chains.
        
       | Aissen wrote:
       | It's a long road from Steve Jobs' "Those jobs are not coming
       | back" to Obama.
        
         | jokethrowaway wrote:
         | This looks to me like it's high skilled jobs, specialist
         | manufacturing.
         | 
         | Jobs was talking about cheap manufacturing jobs in China.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-04-26 23:02 UTC)