[HN Gopher] Gravity batteries try to beat chemical ones with win...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Gravity batteries try to beat chemical ones with winches, weights,
       mine shafts
        
       Author : hheikinh
       Score  : 213 points
       Date   : 2021-04-24 05:42 UTC (17 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.sciencemag.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.sciencemag.org)
        
       | SarbinBracklur wrote:
       | The numbers in this article seem off. 250kW (peak power) for 11s
       | (time at peak power) is 2.75 MJ. That's only about 51 10000mAh D
       | batteries. Of course, the peak power of the gravity battery is
       | much higher than the chemical batteries, but still.
        
       | Ekaros wrote:
       | I wonder what is the limit when this kind of storage would only
       | consist of single steel cable. As at certain point weight of
       | cable is so big that it can't support even itself anymore.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | joss82 wrote:
       | The system bring talked about here can deliver 250kW during 11
       | seconds max.
       | 
       | That is LESS than 1 kWh of energy storage.
       | 
       | I hope it's not the one on the picture otherwise their cost
       | estimates are way off and two orders of magnitude larger than
       | current lithium batteries, even taking into account battery
       | replacement.
       | 
       | Another problem would be the ever-lowering price of batteries
       | comparing unfavorably against this good old tech with stable or
       | raising costs (human costs tend to rise over time)
        
         | nixpulvis wrote:
         | I had the same thought. They do make it clear that this is a
         | demonstration, but I'm curious how this scales with larger
         | weights and heights; both in capital cost, and efficiency.
         | 
         | I'm also curious if anyone's seen a good comparison to
         | hydro/dam based gravity batteries? Or even to the gimmicky
         | sounding electric train based ones I've read about before?
         | 
         | My understanding is that anything near or past 90% efficiency
         | gets very hard to achieve, but perhaps there are special cases
         | where this isn't true?
         | 
         | Finally, I'm also curious how these compare to flywheels, which
         | offer a similar style of energy storage, but with rotational
         | potential instead of gravitational.
         | 
         | Storage is clearly one of the largest barriers to large scale
         | adoption of many renewable sources of power we have. And,
         | chemical batteries raise a lot of valid concerns in terms of
         | safety and environmental impact.
        
       | apetrovic wrote:
       | How efficient the system is? If, say, the machine uses 100KW to
       | lift the weight, what's the output?
        
         | alexchamberlain wrote:
         | Between 80% and 90%.
         | 
         | See https://gravitricity.com/technology/
        
       | kvutza wrote:
       | Could they make it a space elevator?
        
       | choeger wrote:
       | Stopped reading at a total cost of more than $300 per MWh for
       | batteries.
       | 
       | Quick back-of-the-napkin calculation: Car batteries come in at
       | less than $100/KWh. They're good for at least 1000 cycles at 80%
       | capacity. That gives us at least 0.8MWh for a 100$ investment.
       | 
       | It's very, very unlikely that initial construction of the site
       | and operational costs more than triple that price.
        
         | alexchamberlain wrote:
         | Their marketing has the LCOS of those 2 solutions the other way
         | around - $171 for Gravity, $367 for Litium Ion batteries.
         | 
         | See https://gravitricity.com/technology/
        
           | PeterisP wrote:
           | Too bad they don't seem to provide the actual report anywhere
           | (and neither does ICL), they just quote a single chart from
           | that without any details. This feels fishy to me - I'd want
           | to look into the cost basis they used, as a key problem with
           | comparisons against batteries is that the battery cost has
           | changed so much over the recent years (halving every 5 years
           | or so), and many studies quote their battery price
           | calculations on older reports that are now off by a large
           | multiple.
           | 
           | $367 of LI batteries at year X is $171 of LI batteries at
           | year X+5 and $86 at year X+10, so it's important to look at
           | what the X is in their study. And of course, we should
           | consider that chemical battery costs are expected to decrease
           | in the near future, while the cost well-established
           | mechanical components would stay stable.
        
             | alexchamberlain wrote:
             | Whilst I agree the components of a mechanical battery are
             | probably going to stay stable, I think Gravitricity have an
             | opportunity to commoditise the design and install near
             | sporadic renewables like wind.
             | 
             | Bias: I participated in their crowdfunding campaign.
        
         | _rpd wrote:
         | Here's what the article says about cost:
         | 
         | > For a 25-year project, he estimates that Gravitricity would
         | cost $171 for each megawatt-hour. Jessika Trancik, an energy
         | storage researcher at the Massachusetts Institute of
         | Technology, says that number is aspirational and still needs to
         | be supported with field data. But Schmidt's calculation of the
         | lifetime cost per megawatt-hour for lithium-ion batteries,
         | $367, is more than twice as much. Flow batteries, a promising
         | grid-scale technology that stores charge in large tanks of
         | liquid electrolyte, come in at $274 per megawatt-hour
        
         | o_p wrote:
         | This doesnt account the short duration of batteries, I have to
         | replace them every time they go past their lifetime, so in the
         | long term their cost is much higher
        
           | PeterisP wrote:
           | The heavy machinery with moving parts lifting thousands and
           | thousands of tons is also going to need maintenance and
           | wear&tear replacements. The problem with scale is that all
           | these proposed gravity batteries need much, much more
           | machinery than an equivalent pumped capacity pumped hydro or
           | chemical battery plant.
        
             | polypodiopsi wrote:
             | Out of interest: do you have experience with mechanical
             | engeneering or is this more of a common sense speculation?
        
         | simion314 wrote:
         | You should finish reading or find a similar storage company
         | that sells batteries and see how much they charge.
        
         | imtringued wrote:
         | The only savings grace with these gravity systems is that they
         | could last 100 years. Gravity is a very poor of storing energy.
         | Height is limited by practicality. Reusing old mine shafts is
         | just a code word for unaffordable. You need to increase the
         | amount of mass that you move around, therefore your system
         | should be infinitely scalable. By limiting yourself to
         | mineshafts you have reduced the scalability option and the
         | entire project becomes a scam.
        
         | billytetrud wrote:
         | Car batteries don't last decades. Multiply that $100 by 5 years
         | and you can see how the price racks up
        
         | kurthr wrote:
         | What you have described would last for 1000 days used to even
         | out daily (solar) power demand/supply. So for a 25yr capability
         | it would cost 8x more? I would hope not, and I think you could
         | get 3000 cycles by restricting temperature and
         | charge/discharge, but that still requires 2.5-3x higher cost
         | and puts this solution as very competitive with current battery
         | solutions.
        
           | choeger wrote:
           | The cost was given purely in terms of MWh.
        
         | cheschire wrote:
         | I wish that cost basis wasn't the only consideration when
         | evaluating energy storage, but we're so accustomed to money
         | being the great equalizer that things without a financial cost
         | associated are often overlooked.
         | 
         | What is the $/MWh cost associated with mining for, recycling,
         | and disposing of battery components? What about the third order
         | effects of centralizing control over the fuel source within
         | only a handful of countries[0]? What's the $/MWh of the
         | political shifts?
         | 
         | I can't safely make assumptions about why you personally
         | stopped reading after cost came up, but it seems to be a common
         | reaction at this point. "Show me the money!" tends to end most
         | conversations about energy these days.
         | 
         | 0: https://unctad.org/news/demand-raw-materials-electric-car-
         | ba...
        
           | darawk wrote:
           | Not to disagree with your underlying point, but I think it
           | might be more constructive to frame the problem as a failure
           | to internalize the costs, rather than a focus on money.
           | Ultimately we do need a fungible way to compare solutions,
           | and money is the simplest way to do that. We just need to
           | figure out how to effectively internalize those externalities
           | to the price.
        
             | wizzwizz4 wrote:
             | Cost functions have an implied ethical system behind them.
             | Using money is just waving your hands over it and going
             | "well, money is _objective_ , so we don't need a value
             | system" - but there's still a value system there. It's like
             | "machine learning" in that regard; there's no magic.
        
               | darawk wrote:
               | Money is just a fungible unit of comparison for types of
               | value, nothing more.
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | In that case, gas plants are the best peaker option in
               | most places as in most place CO2 and methane emissions
               | cost $0.
        
           | axiolite wrote:
           | > What is the $/MWh cost associated with mining for,
           | recycling, and disposing of battery components?
           | 
           | A fraction of the cost of the batteries, naturally.
           | 
           | > What about the third order effects of centralizing control
           | over the fuel source within only a handful of countries[0]?
           | 
           | The lead in car batteries is one of the most recycled
           | materials on the plant. Your link is talking about lithium,
           | not lead. Lithium-ion batteries only make sense in portable
           | applications like cell phones and electric vehicles where
           | weight is a major consideration. In stationary applications,
           | heavier batteries like lead-acid are infinitely more
           | practical.
        
           | f6v wrote:
           | > What is the $/MWh cost associated with mining for,
           | recycling, and disposing of battery components?
           | 
           | A chemical battery is rather compact, imagine how much stuff
           | you need to build a gravitational mega-structure.
        
           | stavros_ wrote:
           | I agree.
           | 
           | There's so much bullshit in mainstream energy analysis;
           | there's too much incentive. Energy is central to civilization
           | - what we use, where and how we get it, how we use it, how
           | much of it there is and when we can use it - change any of
           | those variables, change the shape of the entire civilization.
           | 
           | Yet the conversation around energy technologies is entirely
           | dominated by dollar cost. This obfuscates so much, and lends
           | a false equivalence to pricing/market/financial mechanisms -
           | it implies that if something can be sold cheaply (low price)
           | then it can be produced/extracted cheaply (low cost).
           | 
           | We are quite capable of, and actively involved in, stealing
           | from our futures (high cost) in order to achieve low prices
           | in the present. The economic externalities of our energy
           | usage don't go away - by definition, that which is finite and
           | we use now to do this, cannot be used later to do that.
           | 
           | That energy we'll one day need to feed ourselves, and heat
           | our homes, and supply our medicines and materials? We're
           | using it, right now, to make a shitload of disposable, toxic,
           | plastic shit. Junk nobody needs that we'll convince them they
           | want anyway.
           | 
           | And why are we doing this mad, insane, thing? Because we're
           | convinced it doesn't matter, we're convinced the price of
           | energy will always be low. We're convinced we're not the ones
           | paying the costs.
           | 
           | Apologies for going full doomer on y'all.
           | https://pics.onsizzle.com/oh-i-made-myself-sad-me-
           | irl-242092...
        
             | danans wrote:
             | > That energy we'll one day need to feed ourselves, and
             | heat our homes, and supply our medicines and materials?
             | We're using it, right now, to make a shitload of
             | disposable, toxic, plastic shit.
             | 
             | We should limit it's use to making medicines and materials
             | instead of burning it to heat our homes and propel our
             | cars.
             | 
             | Not only does the latter consume a lot more fossil fuels,
             | it does so by dumping a lot more CO2 into the atmosphere.
             | Plastics consume 14% of global petroleum production today
             | [1].
             | 
             | We could ban all the "disposable, toxic plastic shit"
             | tomorrow (and I agree that we should find ways to create a
             | less disposable culture) and we would still have a huge CO2
             | problem caused by fossil fuel powered space heating,
             | transportation and electricity production.
             | 
             | 1. https://e360.yale.edu/features/the-plastics-pipeline-a-
             | surge...
        
           | imtringued wrote:
           | The problem with batteries is that there are a bunch of grid
           | storage chemistries using abundant elements that can scale to
           | 1 GWh but there is almost no demand for grid storage only
           | chemistries so lithium wins by default because it piggybacks
           | of other developments.
        
       | inglor_cz wrote:
       | This could give a new purpose for abandoned mines all around the
       | world. The shafts already exist and are no longer in use, they
       | would only need some repairs.
       | 
       | I grew up in one such city, there were "covered holes"
       | everywhere.
        
       | inasio wrote:
       | Gravity and electromagnetic forces are somewhat similar, they
       | both have infinite range, decay as 1/r, one key difference is
       | that the electromagnetic force is 10^36 stronger than gravity
       | [0]. Just for that reason I'm always immediately skeptical of
       | projects of this type.
       | 
       | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_interaction
        
         | labawi wrote:
         | On Earth, gravity has a bonus of a free massive side plate. As
         | a battery, it might work better on Jupiter and unusable in free
         | space, but it still stores orders of magnitude more energy than
         | we use, in abundant cheap materials. I liked the trains-on-
         | hills project - seems easy enough to build in large quantities
         | and stores reasonable amounts of energy.
         | 
         | With electromagnetic, we are barely capable of scraping a bit
         | of energy from the surface without the device self-destructing.
         | Even in superconductors, only a fraction of electrons whizzes
         | around and even high-energy plasma is a mixture of both
         | charges.
        
         | flal_ wrote:
         | Yet, gravity is strong enough to initiate nuclear fusion at the
         | core of stars, or create black holes... That 10^36 argument is
         | non sensical to me.
        
           | tryonenow wrote:
           | It's about energy density. Generally you can fit many orders
           | of magnitude more energy in the same physical space when
           | storing energy electromagnetically. The comparison implies
           | some assumptions but the point stands. It's space
           | inefficient.
        
           | andijcr wrote:
           | it is strong enough at the scale of a star, on earth my foot
           | electromagnetic repulsion against the floor is enough to
           | counteract all of the planet pull
        
           | imtringued wrote:
           | Are you suggesting we should build a bigger planet?
        
             | f6v wrote:
             | We should have been smaller people with fewer needs.
        
         | sscarduzio wrote:
         | Would you say a magnetostatic (rather than gravitational)
         | potential energy storage offer better performance?
        
       | runeks wrote:
       | Here's an idea: what if -- instead of digging a deep hole into
       | the ground -- we use the tower of a wind turbine as the vertical
       | space in which the weight is raised/lowered?
       | 
       | A wind turbine is already equipped with a generator, so it'd be a
       | matter of building some sort of "switch" which would make it
       | either: (a) generate electricity using the turbine, as per usual;
       | (b) raise the weight using the turbine, thus not producing
       | electricity; (c) generate electricity by connecting the weight to
       | the rotor/generator, while lowering the weight.
        
         | masklinn wrote:
         | > Here's an idea: what if -- instead of digging a deep hole
         | into the ground -- we use the tower of a wind turbine as the
         | vertical space in which the weight is raised/lowered?
         | 
         | First, there's not really any room in there, wind towers are
         | built for the job, we don't add twice the amount of steel and
         | an elevator shaft for funsies.
         | 
         | Second, even if there were some room it would be
         | inconsequential, you need a _lot_ of crap very high up to get
         | significant amount of energy.
         | 
         | As demo, let us take the largest turbine available right now
         | and lift _the entire thing_ up and down its tower.
         | 
         | The Haliade-X has a hub height of 150m, a 600t nacelle, and
         | 165t blades. In normal operations it's rated for 14MWe.
         | 
         | 765t at 150m is 250kWh. You can get electric buses with larger
         | battery packs than that. For reference, US households use about
         | 29kWh/day.
         | 
         | That's the issue with gravity: it's really not that strong, so
         | to store significant amounts of energy you need either
         | ridiculous amounts of weight (hence dams and pumped hydro which
         | can manage unfathomable weights), or extreme height difference
         | (hence... still dams, pumped hydro a bit less so I think).
         | 
         | As a point of comparison, Bath County (the largest pumped-
         | storage station in the world) has a hydraulic head of 270~385m
         | and the upper reservoir stores 44 _million tons_ of water.
         | 
         | Now taking in account that you can't really empty the entire
         | thing, that it's not perfectly efficient, etc... Bath has a
         | storage capacity of "only" 24GWh, it's not actually moving 44
         | million tons up and down 400m.
        
           | thirdlamp wrote:
           | What if we used load bearing batteries as part of the tower
           | structure?
        
             | Scoundreller wrote:
             | I was thinking what if we used buildings built on jacks as
             | our source of mass. Big one are largely built on pilings
             | anyway, and even small ones on softer ground.
             | 
             | Going to be a lot of flexing though.
             | 
             | Nice thing is that some of the "inefficient" heat may be
             | usable on-site: and you may get compressed air as an output
             | that could be usable directly.
        
               | masklinn wrote:
               | > I was thinking what if we used buildings built on jacks
               | as our source of mass.
               | 
               | Then you've got no height. Plus buildings are not _dense_
               | so it 's a pain in the ass, and when (not if) the jacks
               | fail you're out a building.
        
               | jacobolus wrote:
               | It's amusing to think of whole houses getting jacked 100
               | ft into the air on giant stilts during the middle of the
               | day when solar panels are operating, then slowly dropping
               | to release the stored energy in the evening/morning.
        
               | wott wrote:
               | :-) Perfect for quarantine.
        
               | yongjik wrote:
               | I don't know how much a typical house weighs, but
               | assuming 100t, raising it by 30m will give you potential
               | energy of ... 8.2 kWh, or about $1.6 in today's
               | electricity rate.
               | 
               | Gravity is weak.
        
             | meepmorp wrote:
             | Turbine fires would turn into something really special.
        
             | billytetrud wrote:
             | What about using batteries as the weight to lift?
        
             | masklinn wrote:
             | You risk damaging the batteries and you make maintenance a
             | pain in the ass. If you've got that amount of batteries,
             | just put them on the ground the normal way.
        
           | f6v wrote:
           | > That's the issue with gravity: it's really not that strong
           | 
           | The weakest of all forces, isn't it?
        
             | mbreese wrote:
             | Does that matter though? If it is weak to extract energy
             | with gravity, then it should also be weak to "charge" the
             | system against gravity. The weakness may push these systems
             | to less "instantaneous" loads, but I don't see why it would
             | necessarily be bad to use gravity storage (as opposed to
             | another mechanical method like pressure).
             | 
             | I'd love for someone to explain more though.
        
               | dahfizz wrote:
               | It's just impractical. You only need a 21x21 foot square
               | of ground covered in solar panels to generate the same
               | amount of electricity this does.
               | 
               | It doesn't make sense to invest so much land, machinery,
               | and labor into something that generates and stores so
               | little energy
        
               | zestyping wrote:
               | Because gravity is so weak, in order to store a
               | meaningful amount of energy, the lifted object has to be
               | very heavy or very high. Building large tall structures
               | is expensive, and we just don't have objects that are
               | dense enough to make the system small.
        
               | mbreese wrote:
               | Okay, so the question isn't "can you get out what you put
               | in", but rather "is the amount of energy you can store
               | worthwhile"?
        
             | tatref wrote:
             | It depends on the distance
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | We should always hold out for some new discovery that is
             | weaker.
        
               | FigmentEngine wrote:
               | Design forces are very weak...
               | 
               | btw anyone saying that gravity is weak should try getting
               | of this planet...
        
             | dmoy wrote:
             | Yes, by many, many, many orders of magnitude.
        
         | thirdlamp wrote:
         | This could be something more like a planetary gearbox or a
         | differential that can connect 3 systems (e.g. gas engine,
         | electric motor, wheels in a hybrid car). But if requirements
         | are too different 2 generators may be the better option.
         | 
         | The tower would probably need reinforcements for the additional
         | weight, but I have no idea about the magnitude required.
        
         | thehappypm wrote:
         | I've always been surprised that there is no product wind
         | turbine with a guaranteed power output, that is, a turbine with
         | an embedded battery. Sure it would cost much more, but in some
         | applications steady power is worth it.
        
           | masklinn wrote:
           | > Sure it would cost much more, but in some applications
           | steady power is worth it.
           | 
           | It would cost much more and be way more complicated & less
           | reliable than... just getting the two separately and using
           | battery grid storage on the output of the windfarm.
           | 
           | Even for a backyard turbine it wouldn't make much sense, for
           | maintenance reasons you'd want to manage your turbine and
           | storage separately, and if, say, you add solar panels, you
           | want that to feed into your battery bank as well.
        
         | DavidPeiffer wrote:
         | Wind turbines use the tower to take parts to the top for
         | maintenance. Regardless, you'd need to dramatically increase
         | the wall thickness of the tower along with the foundation for
         | the additional load, to the point it probably wouldn't be worth
         | it.
         | 
         | Bad math, let's say we can use a lead weight 2 meters in
         | diameter, 3 meters tall (107,000 kg) with 120 meters of drop
         | available.
         | 
         | All of that gets us 35 kWh, or 0.035 megawatt hours of energy.
         | Compared to a 2 MW turbine, it's a negligably small amount of
         | stored energy, even if we scaled every dimension up by a factor
         | of 2 (getting us to 0.28 MWh).
        
         | patall wrote:
         | Funny how people tell you that that this does not make any
         | sense at all, but here it is:
         | http://www.naturspeicher.de/en/naturstromspeicher.php
         | 
         | (Yes, I am aware that it is not storing the water at the top :)
        
           | patall wrote:
           | Furthermore, there exists the opposite concept of replacing
           | water with air deep in the sea: https://www.iee.fraunhofer.de
           | /en/research_projects/search/20...
        
         | dumbfoundded wrote:
         | I think it'd be more efficient to use a massive flywheel for a
         | wind turbine. That flywheel could then be the battery and each
         | turbine would come with their own.
        
       | sollewitt wrote:
       | We already have pumped hydroelectric storage, it's used as a load
       | balancer on some national grids.
        
         | _rpd wrote:
         | pumped hydro is great, but requires uninhabited geography of a
         | type that is in short supply in many nations.
        
           | drran wrote:
           | We can use underwater bubbles to pump air into, or displace
           | water in lakes/sea with something with large volume and very
           | lightweight.
        
       | mbar84 wrote:
       | Since scale and locality is such an issue here, I wonder if there
       | are any concepts for integrating such a system in new mid-rise
       | buildings. Similar to an elevator shaft, but with a weight of
       | depleted uranium instead of the passenger car.
       | 
       | You're digging for the foundation anyway, maybe maybe the
       | marginal cost to dig a few meters deeper is worth it. You're
       | building with a crane anyway, maybe the marginal cost to build a
       | steel frame tower on the roof is worth it. It's certainly not a
       | mine shaft, but perhaps better than nothing.
        
       | jb775 wrote:
       | It's crazy how little we understand about gravity if you think
       | about it. It's a perpetual energy source right in front of us,
       | but we never really think about it, and can barely offer a basic
       | explanation as to what powers it. It even impacts _time_
       | itself[1] for christ sake. I think better understanding gravity
       | is the solution to all human energy needs. (interesting to note I
       | have heard stories of disappeared scientists who made
       | advancements in gravity research years back)
       | 
       | [1] http://thescienceexplorer.com/universe/how-gravity-
       | changes-t...
        
         | exporectomy wrote:
         | You shouldn't repeat unsubstantiated rumors like that. Can you
         | even name these disappeared scientists or know anything at all
         | that could be used to verify those stories?
        
           | jb775 wrote:
           | If you dare to venture, need to follow _deep_ rabbit holes.
           | Look into: work of Harold Aspden (and his coworkers  &
           | previous research partners), plancks equation origins and
           | drop offs, dewey larson physics, piesel electric effect
           | origin and drop offs, the adams motor, ellen brown, what
           | maxwells equation actually determines and where it
           | selectively _isn 't_ being used
        
             | bigsparky wrote:
             | I think you are getting unwarranted downvotes. If you are
             | someone with a dislike of information you can just ignore
             | it... downvotes unnecessary.
        
         | thaumasiotes wrote:
         | > It even impacts _time_ itself for christ sake.
         | 
         | I was under the impression that this is an effect of force
         | generally, nothing to do with gravity in specific.
        
         | function_seven wrote:
         | > _It 's a perpetual energy source right in front of us_
         | 
         | It's not. Once something has fallen down, it can't fall down
         | again.
         | 
         | To draw energy from the gravitational attraction of 2 bodies,
         | you must first separate them. That consumes energy.
         | 
         | On second thought, I suppose tidal energy fills the bill.
         | Extracting that energy is really exploiting the Moon's motion,
         | using gravity as the "conduit". Not strictly perpetual, but
         | essentially so for our needs.
        
           | tshaddox wrote:
           | Isn't tidal energy just harnessing some of the existing
           | gravitational potential energy of the Moon-Earth system,
           | which is roughly similar to any system that harnesses energy
           | from a massive object falling due to gravity?
        
             | eraserj wrote:
             | But again, slowing tidal currents must be drawing energy
             | from somewhere until there is none left.
        
               | Xylakant wrote:
               | It basically draws energy from the moon orbiting earth.
               | It could theoretically alter that orbit, but given that
               | the moon/earth system has a lot of mass, the timescale
               | for that to happen is extraordinarily large.
        
               | tshaddox wrote:
               | That's exactly what it's doing. It's slowing down Earth's
               | rotation and speeding up the Moon's orbit (i.e. moving
               | the Moon further from the Earth).
        
           | jb775 wrote:
           | But that "something" keeps being pulled down until it is
           | stopped/blocked by something (e.g. the ground). Gravity _is_
           | perpetual relative to the source of the gravity. It 's just
           | that our surroundings change and give the illusion of gravity
           | changing...i.e. we don't "run low" on gravity
           | 
           | I don't think Maxwell's Demon is 100% solved.
           | 
           | Tidal energy could play into it, some underwater tides deep
           | in the ocean are insanely strong.
        
             | t0mas88 wrote:
             | You're confusing force with work. Gravity is a perpetual
             | force, but a force doesn't generate energy.
             | 
             | To generate power you need gravity to move something
             | downwards, releasing the potential energy. And when that
             | thing hits the bottom of the shaft you've used up all the
             | potential every that was stored in it.
        
         | nl wrote:
         | > It's crazy how little we understand about gravity if you
         | think about it.
         | 
         | We understand most things about it
         | 
         | > It's a perpetual energy source right in front of us,
         | 
         | No it's not. It's a good way to store energy but in no way is a
         | source.
         | 
         | > and can barely offer a basic explanation as to what powers it
         | 
         | It's not something that has power. It's a consequence of
         | entropy.
         | 
         | > It even impacts time itself
         | 
         | You sound surprised by this? Given relativity it would be more
         | surprising if it didn't.
        
           | jb775 wrote:
           | IMO you grossly overestimate the amount humans know about
           | things.
           | 
           | Science is basically a stream of updated realizations that
           | the previous "known" things were actually wrong.
        
             | rcxdude wrote:
             | and you vastly underestimate it
        
               | kingsuper20 wrote:
               | I underestimate it and overestimate it.
               | 
               | Excuse me, I'm off to build a battery out of a bank of
               | leaf springs.
        
           | f6v wrote:
           | > We understand most things about it
           | 
           | In a classical mechanics sense - yes. But the waves were
           | detected just couple years ago.
        
       | Gauge_Irrahphe wrote:
       | The technology isn't incredibly immature. On the contrary, it's
       | understood to the tiniest detail. If it doesn't work, it won't
       | work.
        
         | PurpleFoxy wrote:
         | Isn't pumped hydro a realistic solution? There should be a
         | massive amount of energy in moving all that water up a
         | mountain.
        
           | ascorbic wrote:
           | Pumped hydro's main drawback is that it has very specific
           | requirements in terms of geography.
        
           | walshemj wrote:
           | Limited places it will work and you cant just flood valleys
           | and displace the residents anymore in the west.
        
           | bluescrn wrote:
           | Pumped storage hydro makes far more sense. Which is why it's
           | already in use.
           | 
           | Maybe the efficiency can be improved upon with a small-scale
           | 'gravity battery', but water has massive advantages when it
           | comes to scaling it up, as well as being able to combine it
           | with traditional hydro, where nature moves much of the water
           | for you.
        
             | RosanaAnaDana wrote:
             | Plenty of issues with hydro, but in the grand scheme of
             | things, it does seem like by far the most accessible,
             | actionable, least polluting option.
             | 
             | I've often wondered what scale of a system would be
             | required to power a fully off the grid home at say 30kwh/
             | day, for say, 6 days? I'm imagining a tank based system
             | with two tanks where the fluid is effectively just
             | exchanged (so one doesn't have to account for the
             | environmental impacts of a dam or for losses due to
             | evaporation)..
             | 
             | After some googling: https://www.edie.net/library/Using-
             | pumps-as-turbines-to-gene...
        
       | rakoo wrote:
       | As usual everyone is fixated on price when the real hurdle will
       | be scale. If we're going to replace our existing fossil fuel
       | plants we need at least as much capacity. A quick grep in the
       | article tells me these guys have a plan for a 4MW plant that
       | involves a 1km shaft. That's the same order of magnitude as a
       | _single_ wind turbine, which is already one of the worst ratio of
       | power output per quantity of resource and land use.
       | 
       | For reference (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coal-
       | fired_power_station):
       | 
       | > As of 2018 coal power under construction was 236 GW, planned
       | 339 GW, and 50 GW was commissioned and 31 GW retired
       | 
       | If we want to replace those _new_ plants we 'll need 100.000 of
       | those shafts. And that's not counting the existing plants, and
       | the other fossil-fuel based plants. Think of the quantity of
       | concrete that involves. That's just insane. If we want to
       | actively tackle electricity generation we need to use the most
       | efficient low-carbon tech that we already know.
       | 
       | Also, we already have gravity-based systems, only nature does all
       | the work of raising the payload for us in gaseous form, and we
       | let it fall in liquid forms. But it takes so much dam place.
        
         | pedrocr wrote:
         | That's the wrong comparison. We don't need to replace
         | generation capacity with the same capacity of batteries.
         | Batteries don't generate any electricity after all. We need
         | batteries to smooth out differences between demand and
         | generation. The total amount we'll need is very much still up
         | in the air. Better interconnects, good use of existing hydro,
         | overbuilding renewables, shaping demand, are all other ways to
         | balance loads and guarantee enough power at all times, all of
         | which reduce the need for batteries.
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | I think[0] we should probably be aiming for a few hours of
           | storage, even with every affordable grid interconnect (which
           | would help _a lot_ with short winter days). We use less power
           | at night -- and some of what we do use is incentivised by
           | lower nighttime electricity costs from power plants that
           | don't scale down well -- but I expect we will continue to use
           | _some_ at night forever.
           | 
           | For the sake of Fermi estimation, I assume average
           | electricity use in a developed nation is 1kW/person, and that
           | average all-forms power use in the same is 5kW/person.
           | 
           | Transportation is almost certainly going to be batteries or
           | synthesised fuels like hydrogen, and can only be backed by
           | gravity storage if you have the kind of beamed power that
           | would be banned by international treaty on the grounds of
           | being too easily weaponizable[1].
           | 
           | If you'll permit me to assume grid interconnects and lower
           | nighttime demand than at present due to different pricing
           | incentives, we might be able to need a mere 3kW-hours/person
           | of electricity storage per night.
           | 
           | Using the lifetime cost estimates in the article,
           | 3kWh/person/night is about $0.51/person/night for gravity
           | storage and $1.10/person/night for LiIon. Neither is bank-
           | breaking, but cheaper is better.
           | 
           | However, the volume required is a different question: 3kWh of
           | batteries has a volume of 4.3 to 12 litres, while 3kWh of
           | gravity storage is 1.1 metric ton kilometres[2].
           | 
           | You can make the distance required smaller by using more
           | mass, but if I assume the average home mass is about 200
           | tons, you'd still have to raise _the entire building_ 5.5
           | meters every day to store the same energy as a backpack of
           | batteries. I do not expect construction on this scale to be
           | the optimal solution in general, despite it being a very good
           | idea in some specific cases such as hydro dams and
           | preexisting deep shafts.
           | 
           | [0] Armchair opinion -- I'm a software engineer not a civil
           | engineer.
           | 
           | [1] Assuming they've read or watched any Larry Niven, the
           | Bobbiverse, The Expanse, Babylon 5, or the news at any point
           | in the decade following the second week of September 2001 --
           | 'A reaction drive's efficiency as a weapon is in direct
           | proportion to its efficiency as a drive.'
           | 
           | [2] http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=3kWh%2F%289.8m%2Fs%2
           | Fs%...
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | Large scale hydro electric dams are already large scale
             | batteries across months. The specific day of the week
             | energy is released is not particularly relevant let alone
             | time of day. 6.6% of US electricity is from hydro, assuming
             | 2/3 flexable your looking at 4.4% of daily power demand or
             | ~1 hour of full grid storage every day is already built.
             | 
             | Excess capacity is required for storage to work and reduces
             | the need for energy storage. But, once you start talking
             | excess capacity, transmission dramatically reduces the need
             | for storage.
             | 
             | Assuming storage costs say 2x as much as wind generation
             | then building excess wind capacity is worth it until ~1/2
             | of a wind turbines output is wasted. Thus if we are looking
             | at 3kWh of storage that can be banked at any time of the
             | day we are looking at a lot of excess capacity, yet somehow
             | still supposed to have a 3kWh per night deficit.
        
         | audunw wrote:
         | It's a common misconception that energy storage needs to handle
         | all the power needs of an area for a significant time.
         | 
         | The most immediate need for energy storage is frequency
         | regulation, and short hours-long dips in power output. If we
         | can solve that we can scale renewables very far.
         | 
         | For days-long dips in power output, it's probably better to
         | keep some gas power plants on stand-by. I think many areas of
         | the world has enough of them to handle these needs already. To
         | make it sustainable, they could be switched to using renewables
         | fuels, like hydrogen or ammonia made from electricity. We're
         | going to need a shit-ton of those kinds of fuels for trucks,
         | ships and airplanes anyway, so setting aside some of it for
         | backup power wouldn't be a huge problem.
         | 
         | For seasonal variations, I think trash burning power plants is
         | a reasonable solution. Sweden and Norway has some of them, and
         | they also provide heating to nearby homes. I mean, yeah: first
         | of all we should reduce, reuse and recycle. But eventually our
         | trash become unrecyclable, and burning it seems to be the best
         | option. Modern facilities seems to be able to extract almost
         | all harmful compounds from the waste then. There are also
         | experiments with carbon capture from these plants, which in a
         | fully renewable world could make them carbon-negative, and
         | become one of several tools to help reduce CO2 in the
         | atmosphere again over time.
         | 
         | And of course, nuclear would be a great help. If it can be made
         | cheap enough again, it can be used for seasonal variations. But
         | we're still going to need renewables. So we still need energy
         | storage for frequency regulations and minute/hours-long dips in
         | energy output. Nuclear power plants are NOT a good solution for
         | that.
        
           | martinald wrote:
           | Not true in northern European countries. The problem isn't
           | day to day regulation, it's the massive demand in cold snaps
           | in winter (when there is very little wind generation - cold
           | weather tends to have little wind). You're talking balancing
           | 20-30GW of additional demand with little solar/wind
           | generation for weeks/months - probably at least 1TWh of
           | storage required for the UK alone.
           | 
           | Keep in mind this will only get worse as heating demand is
           | switched from natgas to electricity.
        
             | bjourne wrote:
             | Homes in the UK are poorly insulated, likely due to a
             | previous over-reliance on fossil fuels.
             | https://www.theguardian.com/environment/damian-carrington-
             | bl... Better insulation and switching to district heating
             | where applicable could yield massive savings.
        
               | amluto wrote:
               | District heating still needs heat to come from somewhere.
               | Admittedly, low grade heat like is used for heating can
               | be stored for days in the form of hot water in insulated
               | tanks.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | This seems like a "running before we can walk" statement.
             | Until we can handle day to day problems, it seems weird to
             | worry about edge cases. I imagine as we transition to
             | renewables and storage we will still have fossil fuel
             | peeker plants to handle these sorts of snaps.
             | 
             | It won't be until our power storage is far more beefed up
             | that we'll shut those down, and that will take years.
        
               | canadianfella wrote:
               | People freezing to death isn't an edge case.
        
               | f6v wrote:
               | > This seems like a "running before we can walk"
               | statement.
               | 
               | Europe tries to be at a forefront of green energy. No
               | sun/wind is a real issue there, not just an edge case.
        
               | silon42 wrote:
               | Yup, where I live there can be 3 months of fog/clouds...
               | meaning minimal wind / sun.
        
               | oauea wrote:
               | Global warming will resolve that issue soon enough.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | Right, and my point is that they aren't going to
               | decommission all backup power until they are at the point
               | where sun/wind/storage can actually be relied on for more
               | than just the good days.
               | 
               | We have a long trip to get there, so why worry about a
               | once in 3/5 year event? We wouldn't go a year without
               | fossil fuels and say "Ok, that was it! Demolish all the
               | plants right now!"
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | Arguably, if a gas plant hasn't run for a year then it'll
               | go bankrupt and shut down pretty soon.
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | In a system where it's a backup, it shouldn't be both
               | independently owned and have revenue tied only to use.
        
               | ms4720 wrote:
               | A cold snap like that can happen every 3-5 years, think
               | really cold February. If you don't have the capacity to
               | handle it people will die and lots of things will break.
               | It is not an edgcase
        
               | martinald wrote:
               | It's actually worse than that, there are many days in
               | winter in the UK with high demand and virtually no
               | solar/wind output. But obviously a really cold snap would
               | be even worse (and as you said isn't an edge case - even
               | if it is look at the damage that happened in Texas when
               | it wasn't accounted for)
        
               | raverbashing wrote:
               | Agree. See Texas for an example.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | It is when we aren't running 1 year on pure renewables.
               | Let's worry about events that happen every 3 to 5 years
               | when we've got 1 year of renewable only figured out.
               | 
               | It will take years before this is potentially a problem
               | and by that time we'll likely have gone through a few
               | cold snaps.
        
             | ericd wrote:
             | Wrt cold snaps being a big problem, it seems like we could
             | just massively insulate dwelling and improve our energy use
             | auditing, if it became necessary? Vacuum insulation panels
             | are a bit pricey, but they're crazy insulative for the
             | thickness. If we're willing to deal with thicker walls,
             | there are a variety of other options that are downright
             | cheap (shredded newspaper, for example).
             | 
             | We've been designing around super cheap on-demand energy
             | for a while now, but we did manage before that.
        
             | ianai wrote:
             | I'd just build the generation out to that maximal use case.
             | During the off peak times power a desalination, hydrogen,
             | or other energy intensive plant.
        
               | martinald wrote:
               | The problem is the UK sees maybe 1-2GW of renewable
               | generation sometimes in winter while demand is about
               | 50GW. So you'd have to overbuild 25x to cope with these
               | days.
               | 
               | Keep in mind the UK already has about 30GW of solar and
               | wind potential nameplate capacity. Your suggestion would
               | result in a requirement of 700GW of solar and wind to be
               | installed. On windy and sunny days would result in
               | probably 350GW of generation, at least 300GW more than we
               | need.
        
             | eloff wrote:
             | All the while the north sea with it's wind is right there,
             | and the Sahara with it's sun nearby too.
             | 
             | Some investment in long distance power transmission would
             | go a long way towards smoothing out the grid.
        
               | im3w1l wrote:
               | Importing energy from Sahara comes with serious
               | geopolitical issues. Do you really want to commit to
               | peacekeeping in a huge area of Africa? Keep in mind that
               | oil can be stockpiled much more easily than electricity,
               | stockpiles that let you weather small storms. Importing
               | electricity means being on top of every hint of a blip.
        
               | eloff wrote:
               | There are many countries in North Africa of varying
               | levels of stability and many locations for potential
               | underwater transmission lines.
               | 
               | If Israel can build natural gas pipelines to Italy, I
               | think we can handle a subsea electrical cable.
               | 
               | You don't want all your eggs in one basket, but this
               | seems like a poor excuse for having zero eggs at all.
        
               | after_care wrote:
               | Long distance power transmission is a significant
               | political and military liability, not to mention a
               | fantastic terrorist target.
               | 
               | We cannot guarantee that the UK will be at peace with
               | every county between them and the Sahara forever. Hosting
               | the power line would grant significant political or
               | military leverage.
        
               | eloff wrote:
               | You don't want a single point of failure. Having multiple
               | lines across a geographic space is the way to go.
               | 
               | It's a big upfront investment, but it could be much
               | cheaper than storage at scale.
               | 
               | I think ultimately you want power transmission stretching
               | from the UK to Japan so as the sun moves the power
               | generation continues.
               | 
               | I imagine it will happen one day, because it would seem
               | to make so much sense, but this is something governments
               | could make happen a lot sooner if they put their mind to
               | it.
        
           | VBprogrammer wrote:
           | > It's a common misconception that energy storage needs to
           | handle all the power needs of an area for a significant time.
           | 
           | You are only looking one half of the problem. Wind power in
           | the UK has a power factor of about 35%. What that means is to
           | meet the average demand from the UK electricity grid we'd
           | need not install 3 times as much Wind Power as the demand.
           | This is borne out in the current figures, we have some 25GW
           | installed wind power for an average of about 6GW supplied. If
           | we have enough renewables to meet the demand on average, a
           | windy day across the UK is going to result in a glut of
           | power.
           | 
           | If we don't have ways of storing that modestly efficiently
           | then our only choice will be to take turbines out of service,
           | increasing the overall cost.
        
           | kstenerud wrote:
           | Actually, almost none of our trash is recyclable (despite
           | what you've heard). Plastic is particularly bad, and it's
           | only now, with China banning import of "recyclable"
           | materials, that we're finally seeing just how much of a farce
           | it is.
           | 
           | Burying it is a form of CO2 sequestration. Burning it just
           | releases it into the atmosphere.
        
             | kortex wrote:
             | But it's already out of the ground. I'd rather burn 1T CO2
             | worth of plastic trash made from oil and prevent 1T CO2
             | worth of coal or heavy oil being extracted and burnt. Not
             | that it's 1-to-1, point is burying plastic is probably less
             | net carbon vs burning.
        
               | kstenerud wrote:
               | Sure, provided that the burn efficiency is high enough.
        
         | FooHentai wrote:
         | I did a bit of scratch math with the notion this might be more
         | suited for individual, home power storage rather than grid
         | supply - You need something in the order of a 5m tall tower
         | bearing 73 tonnes to store 1 kilowatt hour (even then, ignoring
         | conversion losses). So that's the weight of ~ten class-4 fully
         | laden heavy trucks.
         | 
         | Once you can get it up in the air then the higher you can go
         | you're doubling your storage in a linear fashion. Hoist one of
         | those trucks to 50 meters (perhaps you have a handy cliff in
         | your backyard) and you've stored as much as the ten trucks did
         | at 5 meters.
         | 
         | So yeah scale seems hard, but the low technology/materials
         | requirements and potential for gradual scale-up make this
         | worthy of deep investigation. I think there's a lot of
         | wandering off into dead-ends as far as limitations go though -
         | Solutions that depend on a lot of concrete pouring, for
         | example, are a no-go if the end goal is reducing atmospheric
         | carbon.
        
           | berkes wrote:
           | I can imagine this tech all packed up in a standard 40ft
           | shipping container and dropped on premise.
           | 
           | This would be rather simple tech, that can supplement solar
           | and wind on your farm, lodge, campsite or island. Another
           | piece in the puzzle for smaller scale independence.
           | 
           | Not to replace metropolis-scale energy demands, as
           | grandparent implies, but to smooth out fluctuations on
           | hourly, household scale.
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | I imagine chemical batteries would be easier to ship and
             | install, and require less maintenance. I really can't
             | imagine any mechanical system that involves plugging and
             | unplugging a load (or anything more complex than that) to
             | be useful at small scales.
        
           | arbitrage wrote:
           | I think you are drastically underestimating the density of
           | bulk metal.
           | 
           | Trucks, while impressive as an illustration, are not quite
           | dense enough to be practical or applicable in an energy-
           | storage scenario.
        
           | tekstar wrote:
           | This exists at least in one place, with trains on a hill in
           | Nevada.
           | 
           | https://aresnorthamerica.com
           | 
           | "ADVANCED RAIL ENERGY STORAGE"
        
           | jodrellblank wrote:
           | > " _a 5m tall tower bearing 73 tonnes to store 1 kilowatt
           | hour_ "
           | 
           | By comparison, a pint of gasoline stores about 4 kilowatt
           | hours.
        
             | BenjiWiebe wrote:
             | Too bad we can't just synthesize gasoline with electricity
             | at a decent efficiency.
        
           | chris_engel wrote:
           | Hm, you also need to consider that 5 trucks can have a much
           | higher combined output than the 1 truck 5 times as high.
           | 
           | The storage might scale this way but not the output when
           | demand is high.
        
             | rsa25519 wrote:
             | > Hm, you also need to consider that 5 trucks can have a
             | much higher combined output than the 1 truck 5 times as
             | high.
             | 
             | How so?
        
             | SagelyGuru wrote:
             | You can make that one truck descend five times faster,
             | giving the same output.
        
               | rakoo wrote:
               | The total available energy in such a system is defined by
               | m * g * z
               | 
               | where m is the mass and z is the elevation difference. It
               | doesn't depend on the speed at which it goes down
        
               | randallsquared wrote:
               | "...for a given drop rate" seems implied.
               | 
               | There will be a maximum drop rate that is supported by
               | the machinery being built, and it seems reasonable,
               | though not mandatory, that a 5x weight system will be
               | designed to handle more generation than whatever it's 5x
               | of.
        
         | arghwhat wrote:
         | Batteries do not replace power generation capacity directly.
         | 
         | They can, however, be configured to cover huge surge loads for
         | short moments, or smooth out small discrepancies over a longer
         | span, in more or less the same footprint.
         | 
         | If you want a GW of coal, you need a GW plant, whereas with
         | batteries you can decide between a gigawatt-hour or a 1000
         | megawatt-hour using a similiar footprint (scale to capacity of
         | chosen technology).
         | 
         | This reduces the need for significant unclean backup capacity,
         | and either decommissioning them or reducing their usage.
        
         | jillesvangurp wrote:
         | Your assumption that we need that much storage is simply wrong.
         | This pops up in just about any article on HN mentioning
         | batteries. Somebody will jump to the wrong conclusion that we
         | need to provide massive amounts of battery storage and that
         | therefore we need coal/nuclear/etc. (i.e. really expensive ways
         | to generate energy) because buying so many batteries is
         | obviously stupendously expensive. It's a popular argument with
         | nuclear proponents and with the fossil fuel industry.
         | 
         | The reasoning roughly goes like this: wind and solar capacity
         | varies because wind doesn't always blow and the sun doesn't
         | always shine. This is very obviously true of course. Except
         | these effects are local, temporary and typically result in a
         | reduced capacity rather than a complete collapse. You always
         | get some output out of solar panels (except at night). And wind
         | turbines might stop spinning but it's extremely rare for that
         | to be a continent wide thing. Offshore wind is pretty reliable.
         | Also these effects are kind of predictable via weather
         | forecasts so we can plan for them. Same with seasonal patterns.
         | Simple cables rather than batteries are the key technology that
         | we need. And we mostly have that in place already.
         | 
         | The grid connects power plants via cables. So, we can
         | compensate for local dips in power with remote peaks. What
         | matters is the collective performance of the grid. That still
         | fluctuates but not nearly so dramatically that you'd need a lot
         | of battery. E.g. the European grid is very connected. So, you
         | might get power from Norwegian hydro, North Sea offshore wind,
         | German on shore wind, solar plants in Spain, France, Germany,
         | etc. or any of the gazillions of solar panels on people's
         | houses. And of course there are coal, gas and nuclear still on
         | the grid as well (for now).
         | 
         | All of that failing 100% at the same time is simply not a
         | thing. Not even close. It's not something grid operators plan
         | for. It might dip by 20-30% but it might also peak by that
         | much. And it's likely to average out over time in a very
         | predictable way. All that means is that we need to have a
         | little more capacity. 2x would be overkill. 1.2 to 1.3x plus
         | some battery will probably do the trick.
         | 
         | Batteries on the grid are intended for and used exclusively for
         | absorbing short term peaks and dips in both supply and demand.
         | Short term as in hours/minutes; not days or weeks. They are
         | very good at that.
         | 
         | This is why modest amounts of lithium ion batteries are being
         | used successfully in various countries. These batteries can
         | provide large amounts of power (MW/GW) for typically not more
         | than a few hours. The reason that is cost effective (despite
         | the cost of these batteries) is that taking e.g. gas peaker
         | plants online for a few hours/minutes and then offline again is
         | expensive and slow. And of course with cheaper wind and solar
         | providing cheap power most of the time, gas plants are
         | increasingly pushed in that role because they are more
         | expensive per kwh to operate. Gas plants on stand by still cost
         | money. And turning them on costs more money. Batteries
         | basically enable grids to have fewer (and eventually none) of
         | those plants. These gravity based batteries have the same role.
         | It's a cheaper alternative to lithium ion batteries.
         | 
         | Currently, clean energy is the dominant form of energy in many
         | countries already (e.g. Europe, China, parts of the US). In
         | some countries it's well over 50%. This proves the point
         | because these grids don't feature a lot of battery currently
         | and the combined capacity of peaker plants (i.e. not operating
         | continously) is far smaller than the presumed need for
         | batteries. If you were right, these countries would be facing
         | massive blackouts all the time as their dominant form of energy
         | disappears for days/weeks on end. That's obviously not a thing.
        
           | ephbit wrote:
           | Sounds like you're mostly unaware of the issue that trying to
           | compensate region, country and sometimes even continent wide
           | lows/peaks would require many gigawatts of transmission
           | capacity in the form of cables in arbitrary directions. Even
           | if the European grid is well interconnected it's painfully
           | far from handling such situations.
           | 
           | And that is not even accounting for the fact that right now
           | only a small proportion of total energy use is transmitted
           | electrically, which means that with future energy generation
           | becoming greener being strongly tied to having more
           | solar/wind (which is also electrical), there will anyway have
           | to be a massive increase in grid capacity.
           | 
           | > Currently, clean energy is the dominant form of energy in
           | many countries already (e.g. Europe, China, parts of the US)
           | 
           | Just not true. Yes, some countries are (Iceland is one of the
           | few) but most European countries are far from what you claim.
           | Maybe you meant energy transmitted as electricity instead of
           | all energy.
           | 
           | See https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-
           | explained/index.php...
           | 
           | Quote: > In 2019, renewable energy represented 19.7 % of
           | energy consumed in the EU-27, only 0.3 % short of the 2020
           | target of 20 %.
           | 
           | > The share of energy from renewable sources used in
           | transport activities in the EU-27 reached 8.9 % in 2019.
        
           | berkes wrote:
           | Thanks for the clear explanation.
           | 
           | I'd like to add that with the rapid electrification of car-
           | and soon truck and ships- fleets, we are already rolling out
           | that giant battery-pack, as we speak.
        
           | fighterpilot wrote:
           | > Somebody will jump to the wrong conclusion that we need to
           | provide massive amounts of battery storage
           | 
           | +1 for the post, but I don't see this that much.
           | 
           | Whenever I see the debate come up, it's when someone is
           | directly comparing the cost of solar to nuclear/natgas
           | _without_ factoring in the additional cost of batteries and
           | DC lines, which obviously leads to an invalid (or at least
           | incomplete) comparison.
        
           | VLM wrote:
           | The cheapest "energy storage" is bandwidth and demand based
           | billing.
           | 
           | The required battery storage cost to guarantee my 3 KW
           | electric clothes dryer could theoretically operate 24x7 when
           | needed after three weeks of cloudy windless weather at
           | midnight is staggering. The alternative is demand based
           | billing and program my dryer to never accept a KWh that costs
           | more than say, seven cents. On a minute by minute basis I
           | don't care if my "hour" dryer cycle takes 65 minutes because
           | a cloud passed overhead and it slept for five minutes. Its
           | also worth considering that "in theory" people who design for
           | max theoretical load MUST assume my clothes dryer will run
           | for 24 hours a day 7 days a week, when in practice I have
           | never done more than five hour long loads of laundry in a
           | row, and that was after traveling out of country for two
           | weeks (after zero electrical demand for 14 days)
           | 
           | Even data centers can do stuff like vmware vmotion running
           | virtual hosts off a cloudy cloud data center to a sunny cloud
           | data center with no user interruption.
           | 
           | The idea that the wall outlet is an infinite source of energy
           | is going away, or if its demanded for a hospital operating
           | room or nuclear power plant or something, those KWh are going
           | to cost like $5 or something similar and that's just how its
           | going to be. Its not going to be that much suffering; right
           | now my multi KW airconditioner instantly starts up when the
           | thermostat says go, and in a decade maybe the electric
           | company contract says it's guaranteed to start within the
           | next ten minutes 99% of the time, and that sounds like a nice
           | deal if it cuts my bill in half and eliminates CO2 output.
        
             | ephbit wrote:
             | Problem is: how are you going to convince great numbers of
             | people to alter their daily routine that might also be
             | quite synchronized across a country's population?
             | 
             | Like tea time in the UK where apparently millions of people
             | turn on their kettles (2 kilowatts each) in synchrony to
             | get some hot water.
             | 
             | What if they also like to cook something with their stove
             | (another 2 KW) to get a nice dinner, around the same time?
        
         | kjrose wrote:
         | You are absolutely dead on right. We need to stop trying to
         | bang on a model that isn't working and be willing to think even
         | more outside of the box.
         | 
         | All of this is essentially ways to create hydroelectric plants
         | without the water. If we can find a way to create more of them
         | without massive disruption it'd probably be the most effective.
         | 
         | We need to find a solution that isn't just based on good
         | wishes.
        
         | ClumsyPilot wrote:
         | Maybe our expectation that we can match generation to
         | consumption with storage, is just plain wrong.
         | 
         | Maybe all we need is to have massive overcapacity of renewables
         | - if we have 10x more solar than we need, even the most cloudy
         | day will still provide power.
        
         | hutzlibu wrote:
         | "Also, we already have gravity-based systems, only nature does
         | all the work of raising the payload for us in gaseous form, and
         | we let it fall in liquid forms. But it takes so much dam place"
         | 
         | We actually also do have self created gravity-based systems,
         | where we also do the work by ourself, to have a energy storage
         | on demand:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-storage_hydroelectricit...
         | 
         | They work reliable and with big capacity since the very
         | beginning of electricity. The only problem is ... scale. You
         | cannot just build them where you want them. You need rivers and
         | height differences.
         | 
         | Unless you create such systems completely artificial and there
         | are plans to do so, but that will be very expensive.
         | 
         | edit: here is a paper (in german) discussing such
         | possibilities, to create a artificial pumped-storage out of the
         | remains of surface mining
         | 
         | https://epub.wupperinst.org/frontdoor/deliver/index/docId/72...
         | 
         | edit 2:
         | 
         | and my opinion is, that I am not a fan of complicated
         | solutions, like the originial solution from the article seems
         | to be, which is also stated as "The technology is still
         | "incredibly immature"
         | 
         | There are solutions to make batteries without rare elements.
         | They just don't reach the energy density of lithium based ones,
         | but that is not really a problem, when you have them
         | stationary.
         | 
         | So if you could scale up production of these and in the end,
         | have a big battery in every home/factory connected to the grid
         | - you would have a stable grid without any need for gas- or
         | coal powered backup.
        
           | dopidopHN wrote:
           | Side note on what is currently existing with gravity.
           | 
           | The suiss folks are gaming the west European energy market
           | this way.
           | 
           | When the French produce too much nuclear energy, the German
           | have leftover and stop buying it 100%w Price go down.
           | 
           | Swiss buy it cheap and pump water in their dam system with
           | it.
           | 
           | Inevitably, the french grid align and produce a bit less.
           | Price goes up slightly.
           | 
           | That when the suiss comes out, release the water into a
           | turbine system and sell the energy for a higher price that
           | what they bought it for to German, French and Italian grid.
           | 
           | I can't even be mad at them. They have the perfect setup. But
           | you need the Swiss alp and climate to do what they are doing.
           | And being freaking Swiss.
           | 
           | Source/Context from a Swiss news paper : le temps, in French
           | 
           | They describe that << system >> and apparently it's being
           | disturb in recent years with the evolution of the German
           | market.
           | 
           | https://www.letemps.ch/economie/barrages-suisses-vendre-
           | esto...
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | You mean they are selling large scale storage and managed
             | to turn a profit?
             | 
             | That sounds great. They are first, but as we deploy more
             | renewables, we'll need much more cases like this.
        
             | jdmichal wrote:
             | > Price goes up slightly.
             | 
             | How much of a swing in pricing are we talking about here?
             | Because that storage mechanism is maybe 80% efficient. So
             | the price swing would have to be at least that big to break
             | even. And in that case, if they are helping to smooth out
             | swings in demand that are that large... Sounds like they're
             | providing a valuable service.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-
             | storage_hydroelectricit...
             | 
             | EDIT: Keep in mind that electricity is entirely fungible.
             | This is no different than the Swiss turning on a power
             | plant when prices are higher. Except it would probably be
             | too expensive to have a power plant just sitting there idle
             | when the price isn't "high enough".
        
               | PeterisP wrote:
               | > it would probably be too expensive to have a power
               | plant just sitting there idle when the price isn't "high
               | enough"
               | 
               | This is exactly what is done, and pretty much inevitably
               | must be done - grids need spare capacity that can be
               | relied on to spin up rapidly when demanded, that's
               | usually done by gas turbine plants.
        
             | hutzlibu wrote:
             | Maybe I do not understand it fully (ne pas parle de
             | francais), but where do they game the system?
             | 
             | You buy cheap when you have storage and sell expensive when
             | demand goes up. Pretty much how the market should work?
             | 
             | This way there is incentive to balance it out (by creating
             | storage) - and in this case stabilize the grid.
             | 
             | When the grid would become more flexible, so even
             | homeowners can do this with their solar panels and big
             | batteries - then this should be net gain for everyone, no?
             | 
             | Unless gaming it, with big money, destabilises it. So some
             | safeguards probably should remain.
        
               | bjourne wrote:
               | It's not gaming the system, it is arbitrage. However, it
               | is pretty terrible for producers unable to exploit price
               | swings. E.g a nuclear plant produces electricity at a
               | fixed cost and may sell it at a loss when the price is
               | low, but recoups the losses when the price is high. Since
               | arbitrage smooth out the price peaks, it damages
               | nuclear's profitability. One could say that's too bad for
               | nuclear, others (nuclear lobbyists) say that regulation
               | is needed to prevent electricity arbitrage.
        
               | xboxnolifes wrote:
               | If the fixed price nuclear uses is too low to be
               | profitable, then it must be raised.
        
               | aquark wrote:
               | If nuclear can offer sustained cheaper than average
               | generation then the market would allow a long term fixed
               | price contract -- they shouldn't need to sell their full
               | output at spot rates. Consumers that want predictability
               | could buy on these contracts.
        
         | throwaway189262 wrote:
         | > as a single wind turbine, which is already one of the worst
         | ratio of power output per quantity of resource and land use.
         | 
         | This is just false. Every wind turbine I've ever seen uses 50
         | square feet on a farm or cattle ranch.
         | 
         | Not once have I seen a wind farm where the land underneath
         | isn't still used for it's previous purpose.
         | 
         | And at least in US we have enough farmland to power entire US
         | with wind.
         | 
         | And that's not counting rapidly growing offshore wind power.
         | Which uses no land at all
        
           | waynecochran wrote:
           | The problem with wind is storing the energy. I live in the
           | Pacific NW and when you drive through the Columbia Gorge you
           | see hundreds of these windmills. I have have visited the Wild
           | Horse Wind facilities and they store energy using batteries
           | -- terrible. The dams below can back up water, but wind blows
           | whenever is may. The dams also provide safety from flood, a
           | waterway, recreation, ... windmills just pollute the sky,
           | kill song birds, and can not produce energy on demand nor
           | store it effectively. Talk to engineers for Bonneville and
           | they mock the windmills.
           | 
           | If they are going to use wind why not pump water up from the
           | Columbia River up to the top of the surrounding hills? Use
           | the potential energy at least.
        
             | jasonwatkinspdx wrote:
             | You misunderstand the impact of the dams on the ecosystem.
             | Salmon are hanging by a thread in the Columbia, and only a
             | very aggressive hatchery program has kept them from
             | collapse.
             | 
             | Essentially all buildable sites have already been built,
             | and there's a growing awareness some existing damns need to
             | come down. The Gorge is not some great untapped resource
             | for pumped storage that people were too distracted by wind
             | power to discover.
        
           | kleiba wrote:
           | In places with cold winters, it is often forbidden to
           | approach wind turbines because of the risk of falling ice.
        
             | throwaway189262 wrote:
             | The turbines are all in fields, useless scrubland, cattle
             | ranches, and the ocean. Humans don't hang out in these
             | places anyways
        
           | lai-yin wrote:
           | Land AND resource use. Just because a single wind turbine
           | takes up a small patch of land doesn't mean it's not
           | extremely resource intensive. Case in point: https://twitter.
           | com/extrachelle/status/986599367049179136?s=...
        
             | throwaway189262 wrote:
             | So? How much resources does it take to mine thousands of
             | tons of coal a day, or billions of BTU of natural gas?
             | 
             | With solar and wind, you put it up and you're done. No more
             | inputs. It chills in the field.
             | 
             | With coal and gas you're feeding shit tons of material into
             | it every day. And you always need more, for the life of the
             | plant.
             | 
             | It's bonkers you think the amount of steel and concrete
             | that go into a turbine are anywhere close to comparing to
             | the raw materials other power sources consume.
             | 
             | Turbines require steel and concrete. So does every other
             | building above 5 floors
        
             | michaelbuckbee wrote:
             | I was curious about total life cycle CO2 output and found
             | an study in Nature.
             | 
             | It looks like:
             | 
             | - Hydropower + Bioenergy -> 100 gCO2eq kWh-1
             | 
             | - Traditional fossil fuels -> 78-110 gCO2eq kWh-1
             | 
             | - Nuclear, Wind and Solar -> 3.5-12 gCO2eq kWh-1
             | 
             | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-017-0032-9
        
           | tarsinge wrote:
           | Resources are also construction material, that's where wind
           | get its bad ratio.
        
             | throwaway189262 wrote:
             | Construction material is a meaningless metric. If you
             | compare coal or gas plants you need to consider the
             | materials they consume and infrastructure needed for fuel
             | transport. This is a big number, many times the material
             | used for the plant itself.
             | 
             | The only meaningful comparison is material used vs solar.
             | Once these things are built they use near zero resources.
             | For everything else you have to keep mining shitloads of
             | material forever.
             | 
             | How much coal do we have to mine for coal plants? How many
             | gas wells and pipelines for gas plants? What about
             | transport? How much does it take to mine and process all
             | the uranium into fissile isotopes for nuclear?
             | 
             | With wind and solar you plop the thing in a field and get
             | years, maybe decades of energy with no input.
             | 
             | I'm convinced that all these land use and building
             | materials costs studies are just FUD funded by the fossil
             | fuel industry.
        
               | lai-yin wrote:
               | Sorry but you don't get to discount wind turbines'
               | ecological damage just because no more mining is involved
               | post-construction.
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | It does far less damage than any other source of power.
               | Unlike solar, it uses no space. Unlike fossil fuel and
               | nuclear, it uses no continuous inputs.
               | 
               | Coal and gas plants use many times their weight in
               | materials for a lifetime of operation. Nuclear probably
               | does too because the massive waste involve in uranium
               | refining.
               | 
               | What do you suggest as a greener power source than wind?
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | > _Unlike wind, it uses no space._
               | 
               | Unlike solar?
        
               | throwaway189262 wrote:
               | Lol yeah
        
               | yunohn wrote:
               | Please link to a source/calculation where a wind turbine
               | uses more resources than a coal plant to build. I mean,
               | you can even do napkin math and see that there's no way
               | multiple buildings and vast mining infrastructure take
               | less material than a turbine farm.
        
               | rakoo wrote:
               | If you want to take a coal plant, you have to compare it
               | with something that's comparable.
               | 
               | A coal plant is a 1000MW machinery. A wind turbine is in
               | the order of 10MW. Also, turbines have a very low
               | capacity factor so you have to double them to guarantee
               | their output and combine them with storage. So it's 1
               | coal plant vs 200 turbines at the very least.
        
         | fighterpilot wrote:
         | > As usual everyone is fixated on price when the real hurdle
         | will be scale
         | 
         | If it's way too expensive (and there's no obvious way to reduce
         | costs), then scalability is irrelevant, which is probably why
         | people are fixated on it. We need both scalability and price to
         | be favorable.
        
         | prof-dr-ir wrote:
         | > But it takes so much dam place.
         | 
         | Does it? If you use iron instead then we only need to know that
         | it has eight times the density of water. Multiplying a volume
         | by eight is not a lot; it's only twice the size in length,
         | width, and depth.
         | 
         | So let's imagine replacing a typical hydroelectric power
         | station [0] with a 'gravicity' system. Supposing the same depth
         | you need a system of about one third of its length and its
         | width and then fill it to the brim with iron. And of course do
         | not forget to install cranes that are able to lift this iron to
         | another space about 200m lower and back up.
         | 
         | By the way, for concrete blocks it would only be a volume
         | factor of 2.5, which would mean about 36% more in length, width
         | and height.
         | 
         | All in all, the amount of space that can possibly be gained
         | with these systems seems pretty minimal to me.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taum_Sauk_Hydroelectric_Power_...
         | 
         | Edit: care to explain the downvotes?
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | guerby wrote:
       | "But Schmidt's calculation of the lifetime cost per megawatt-hour
       | for lithium-ion batteries, $367, is more than twice as much"
       | 
       | This is ridiculous.
       | 
       | I'm charging right now my EV from a 14 kWh 16S LFP pack which
       | costed me $1400 tax paid and delivered.
       | 
       | LFP properly managed will do minimum 3000 cycles, so that's 42
       | MWh for $1400 which gives $34 per MWh out of the battery.
       | 
       | Note: 5kW 48V inverter cost $500.
        
         | tralarpa wrote:
         | > 14 kWh 16S LFP pack which costed me $1400
         | 
         | Wow, that's amazing. But why are home battery systems still so
         | expensive? I see system prices in the range of $700 to $1200
         | per kWh. Even on aliexpress, it's minimum $550/kWh. Is the
         | inverter so expensive?
        
           | guerby wrote:
           | Niche market so high markup to pay for the maker margin and
           | the seller margin.
           | 
           | I found the vendor by following:
           | 
           | https://diysolarforum.com/
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCoj6RxIAQq8kmJme-5dnN0Q
           | 
           | DIY Solar Power with Will Prowse
        
         | audunw wrote:
         | Battery does not just degrade with power cycles. It also
         | degrades with time. Not sure about the numbers for LFP, but
         | it's something you need to take into account. For some areas
         | time may be a more important factor than cycles. If it does a
         | full cycle every 3 days or so, it'd take roughly 25 years to
         | reach the cycle limit.
         | 
         | It's also important to remember that capacity will be reduced
         | gradually. After 25 years both the energy storage capacity and
         | power output of batteries will be seriously reduced, while the
         | gravity-based system will most likely still be at full
         | capacity.
         | 
         | I still think the estimate may be too high. Especially taking
         | into account that these systems will compete in the future at a
         | time where battery costs will be lower. But it might still make
         | sense to build gravity based systems for a while to make sure
         | all the lithium we mine goes to batteries for transportation.
        
           | BenjiWiebe wrote:
           | In 25 years, a mechanical structure with tons of force on
           | moving parts is going to be needing some maintenance, too.
        
         | ardit33 wrote:
         | It is over 25 years, I don't think your battery will last 25
         | year. You probably have to replace it 3-4 times over that
         | period of time. A mechanical system can last that much, even
         | more, with minimal maintenance.
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | You may have accidentally responded to the wrong comment. The
           | comment to which your response has been attached already
           | takes into account the limited cycle life of batteries.
        
             | guerby wrote:
             | And I didn't take into account that a third of the paid
             | price was shipping, and that battery prices are dropping
             | like a rock:
             | 
             | https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2021/EE/D0EE
             | 0...
             | 
             | Re-examining rates of lithium-ion battery technology
             | improvement and cost decline
        
       | goldenkey wrote:
       | And these systems are way larger, more dangerous (wind) and not
       | as efficient as magnetic bearing flywheels.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flywheel_energy_storage
        
         | frankus wrote:
         | One of the downsides (or maybe double-edged swords) of kinetic
         | energy storage is that it's relatively easy to accidentally get
         | all of the energy out at once.
         | 
         | A stick of butter and an 2-tonne truck at 216 km/h both
         | "contain" about 1 kilowatt-hour of energy.
         | 
         | The butter could maybe burn your house down but the truck could
         | easily kill a couple of dozen unprotected humans in a fraction
         | of a second.
        
           | goldenkey wrote:
           | Flywheels made for energy storage are vacuum chambered and
           | surrounded by very very dense material, made to withstand any
           | accidents. So it isn't an issue.
        
         | xyzzyz wrote:
         | Yeah, if you do the math, it turns out that you need
         | impractically large weights lifted to unreasonable height.
         | Like, suppose you're lifting 100 ton weight 100 meters high.
         | That's a rather large and heavyweight system. How much energy
         | you can store this way? Less than $5 worth of electricity, as
         | it turn out.
         | 
         | This is basically the same as pumped water storage, but instead
         | of immense amount of water you can pump between very large
         | reservoirs, you're limited to one solid weight that's too light
         | to store nontrivial amount of energy, but heavy enough to be
         | significant problem from engineering perspective. It just
         | doesn't make practical sense.
        
           | labawi wrote:
           | That's why you should use trains, which can safely go a few
           | km high in good terrain.
        
           | ecpottinger wrote:
           | Great, now calculate how much a flywheel system that stores
           | that much energy will cost vs cheap concrete blocks. Magnetic
           | bearings and large vacuum chambers do not come cheap.
        
           | tchvil wrote:
           | How about to retrofit wind turbines? They are tall, strong,
           | and empty inside.
        
             | masklinn wrote:
             | > How about to retrofit wind turbines? They are tall,
             | strong, and empty inside.
             | 
             | It's still basically piss-stakes: the largest wind turbine
             | right now (14MWe Haliade-X) has 765t sitting on top of a
             | 150m tower, so let's say you keep the 150m tower, rejigger
             | it so it can move a 765t weight up and down the shaft
             | without crumpling, and add your weight (a lead weight 4m in
             | diameter and 5.4m tall), how much energy does that store?
             | 
             | 250kWh, 2.5 teslas, or a medium-large electric bus battery.
             | 
             | And it's not like you can add that to a working turbine:
             | the tower was set up for 765t not 1500, and you need space
             | for the crane.
        
           | Mulpze15 wrote:
           | Yes, the math does not look good. I remember dreaming about a
           | house that could go up and down like this. Then I went to buy
           | a AAA battery... same. That said, if they can manage to find
           | that 1km shaft in an old mine like they hope, and put some
           | crazy amount of weight and make it work, that would be
           | impressive and cool.
        
           | ObscureScience wrote:
           | Too me, pumping water seems like a pretty good solutiuon. If
           | you are located on the coast, and can move let's say a
           | million tons something like 100-200m up, that's not trivial
           | and doesn't seem that impractical.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | travisjungroth wrote:
         | Now I want one. Home powered by solar and a flywheel is so
         | retro-future. How does your house get electricity? Oh, power
         | from the sun gets this flywheel spinning super fast and then it
         | slows down and powers the house all night.
        
           | goldenkey wrote:
           | The heavier the flywheel, the less rpm you'll need for your
           | storage requirements. Not sure how efficiency factors in. But
           | yeah, would be awesome!
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | 3dee wrote:
       | Ares is another gravity battery system. They run electric trains
       | up a hill to store energy.
       | 
       | But looking at the size of the project, I have a hard time
       | believing this is viable.
       | 
       | https://aresnorthamerica.com/
        
       | lebuffon wrote:
       | I think this guy is onto something...
       | 
       | Liquid metal batteries will be better than gravity storage IMHO.
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NiRrvxjrJ1U
       | 
       | First commercial scale system is going live in 2021 so we shall
       | see how it works out.
        
         | xutopia wrote:
         | I don't understand how that would be feasible... wouldn't the
         | battery need to be kept at a really hot temperature somehow to
         | function?
        
       | isoprophlex wrote:
       | So, let's look at doing this in a distributed manner: giving
       | every household their own gravity battery. A 1 m3 cube of
       | concrete weighs 2400 kg; moving this over 6 meters yields (mass *
       | gravity acceleration * height) = 140 MJ, = 39 kWh. Lets say 34
       | kWh after accounting for energy losses.
       | 
       | A european household uses approx 3500 kwh/year; americans use
       | upwards of 10000 kwh/year.
       | 
       | Clearly such a slab of concrete will comfortably allow buffering
       | an entire day's worth of power, and then some.
       | 
       | Edit: fuck me I'm dumb. Off by a factor 1000. 39 watthour in that
       | cube, not 39 kWh. Ignore everything I said.
        
         | _ph_ wrote:
         | An European household rather uses 10-20kWh/day, usually closer
         | to 10. The question is, what is cheaper, to build a 6 M tower
         | that can lift 2 tons of concrete or a nice Lithium battery pack
         | which uses a lot less volume too?
        
           | isoprophlex wrote:
           | Considering that i messed up by a factor 1000, a battery pack
           | is probably cheaper than a 6 km high tower...
        
         | prof-dr-ir wrote:
         | 140 kJ, not MJ [0]. So you'd need a thousand of these cubes for
         | 39kWh. But you can also just raise your single cube by 6km.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://www.google.com/search?q=2400+kg+*+10+m+%2F+s%5E2+*+6...
        
           | isoprophlex wrote:
           | O wow. Off by only three orders of magnitude. How
           | embarrassing, thanks for the correction!
        
       | iandanforth wrote:
       | Ok, ok, everyone, I've got it. It's great. As you know, two _meh_
       | ideas together make one _galaxy-brain_ idea so here it is.
       | Gravity batteries + vertical farming.
       | 
       | This is so amazing I'm just jittering over here. So what are big
       | shafts filled with before they are shafts? _Dirt_! What do plants
       | need to grow? _Dirt_! So what you do is ... wow this is great ...
       | what you do is you take the dirt out, then you make this big
       | battery thing a stack of _dirt shelves_ that go up and down and
       | while they are going up and down they _also_ grow plants in the
       | dirt.
       | 
       | So now you have a big field of these dirt stacks going up and
       | down and in the middle you have a big farmers market. Money from
       | dirt _two_ ways. God how is this not already a thing.
       | 
       | Problems solved. Done.
        
         | f6v wrote:
         | Peak HN, right here.
        
       | timonoko wrote:
       | If you pump one cubic meter of air 100 meter deep, the energy
       | stored equals a tonweight at 100 meter up. That is 9.81 kJ aka
       | 2.7 Wh. This is inifinitely scalable and suits flat places like
       | Australia.
       | 
       | One and only minor problem is how we prevent the 2.7 GWh energy
       | storage, which is 1E9 m^3 aka one cubic kilometer inflatable
       | container, not rupturing or raising up.
       | 
       | But otherwise ingenious nicht wahr?
        
       | accrual wrote:
       | Higher materials density = higher energy density of the overall
       | system. The more you're lifting (e.g. iron, steel, tungsten) the
       | more you can get out in a smaller space. Kind of a cool way to
       | increase the energy density.
        
         | toast0 wrote:
         | Lead in an appropriate container is probably a good idea.
         | Tungsten is denser, but lead is less expensive.
        
         | imtringued wrote:
         | Materials density is irrelevant, materials abundance and
         | scalability is far more important. The more you spend on dense
         | materials, the less money you have left to actually store
         | energy.
         | 
         | We use pumped hydro because water is basically free and it is
         | infinitely scalable depending on geography. Meanwhile the
         | proposed system is limited by the size and existence of
         | mineshafts. In other words this is a dead end.
         | 
         | Energy vaults is impractical but it at least tried to solve the
         | scalability problem by taking advantage of the fact that the
         | energy storage grows quadratically with the length of the crane
         | arm. Assuming it is possible to actually build that system in a
         | sealed tower to protect it from the elements (wind makes the
         | control problem almost impossible). Given a large enough energy
         | vaults system there will be a point where its advantages
         | massively outweigh its downsides.
         | 
         | Going one step further, you could carve out a large cylinder of
         | rock out of the landscape [0]. By using wiresaws you will only
         | need to cut the surface area of the cylinder out. At this point
         | your material costs are approaching 0. The only challenge is
         | sealing the walls of the hole and sealing the walls of the
         | cylinder to turn the system into a giant hydraulic cylinder.
         | Storage scales with the fourth power of the radius. Considering
         | the theoretical performance of a gravity storage system
         | anything that is below r^2 scaling is just laughable, which is
         | why the mineshaft idea will ultimately fail.
         | 
         | [0] http://eduard-heindl.de/energy-storage/energy-storage-
         | system...
        
       | kerbobotat wrote:
       | Does it need to expend the energy to winch it up? Would it not be
       | simpler to have a set of these weights, and a ramp system to
       | deliver them to the top, and use vehicles to unload at the base
       | and drive them back to the top to be hooked up again in sequence?
       | Surely there would be less energy loss moving it up a ramp than
       | fighting gravity in a vertical shaft to winch it directly
       | upwards.
        
         | JBorrow wrote:
         | No, gravitational potential energy is linearly proportional to
         | the height over which you raise the weight.
         | 
         | http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/gpot.html
        
       | GuB-42 wrote:
       | Not the first time I have heard of gravity batteries, and with
       | the exception of dams, they all look unconvincing.
       | 
       | To make a comparison, there is a human-scaled variant of the
       | concept in the GravityLight by Deciwatt. The concept is clever,
       | it involves lifting a bag of rocks to get a bit of light for 20
       | minutes. But if you run the numbers, it is tiny. As the name of
       | the company suggests, the generator outputs 0.1W, enough to power
       | a 15lm LED. For 20 minutes you need to lift a 12.5kg bag 1.8m.
       | That's around 0.03 Wh per lift. By comparison, a good 18650
       | battery is around 13 Wh, about 400x more.
       | 
       | As a niche product, GravityLight is not a bad idea, but it is
       | telling that their new product, NowLight operates the same way,
       | but they replaced the bag of rocks by... a 18650 battery.
       | 
       | Back to the topic, it looks like that "drop a weight in a mine
       | shaft" idea does worse than what you can do with a single Tesla
       | car, which have more energy storage and more power at the wheels.
       | Plus, it is cheaper and you get a whole car with it.
        
       | robertlagrant wrote:
       | Gravity based battery, stuffed full of lithium ion batteries?
        
         | amanzi wrote:
         | No - it's just storing potential energy.
        
           | ChainOfFools wrote:
           | yeah this sounds like a pendulum but geared on the y axis
           | instead of the x. in fact a pendulum seems more practical
           | since it doesn't need a shaft, just an enclosure. I suppose a
           | pendum is itself is just a special case of flywheel anyway.
        
         | montag wrote:
         | Covered with solar panels and shaped into a giant flywheel?
        
           | arketyp wrote:
           | Floating on the ocean catching waves.
        
             | swagasaurus-rex wrote:
             | Converting H20 -> H2 and storing it in fuel cells
        
               | julienfr112 wrote:
               | With a heavy water thermonuclear reactor
        
         | raverbashing wrote:
         | Maybe the solution is using very dense material. Like nuclear
         | power plant waste.
        
           | Ekaros wrote:
           | Or then we could use lot more of this pretty cheap, pretty
           | available, pretty easy to handle stuff that we have mature
           | technology and understanding for. Namely water. Only thing is
           | that need nice reservoirs on top and bottom. The shaft it
           | self can even be narrower and less sturdy...
        
       | o_p wrote:
       | what if you lift ion batteries instead of iron
        
         | exporectomy wrote:
         | If it's cheaper than batteries, adding batteries will just make
         | it less economical.
        
       | RosanaAnaDana wrote:
       | What about pumping water up hill into reservoirs?
       | 
       | I know not every where is suitable for reservoirs but this seems
       | pretty obvious. Run renewable to pump the water up hills, all the
       | 'battery' components of the tech are well established. You're
       | creating additional benefit by storing potentially potable water.
       | It seems like the tech for water storage/ transport/ regeneration
       | to electricity is all pretty well figured out. I'm thinking some
       | place like the Columbia gorge where there is high capacity for
       | wind and for hydro.
        
       | PicassoCTs wrote:
       | The cheapest gravity storage is capable of holding itself up.
       | 
       | Which is why vertical glaciers are so tempting. Its just ice, you
       | pile it up, in large columns, with a puddle of water beneath.
       | Energy is extracted by warming the water and taking part of the
       | pressure to a turbine.
       | 
       | Energy is added by pumping and freezing water on top, while the
       | extracted heat is stored in a side tank for later usage.
       | Insulation against heat prevents energy loss for longer times.
       | Four T-beams hold up the freezing machinery on top. Storage grows
       | with demand. If the ice starts to deform, added carbon-flakes,
       | can increase tensile strength. Pressure in the pool is kept via
       | onion-seals
       | 
       | https://imgur.com/iCg9LzY
        
       | amanzi wrote:
       | This is a clever system. I remember reading about a similar
       | system in Australia that used excess solar power to lift giant
       | concrete bricks, and then these bricks were lowered to the ground
       | in the evenings to drive generators.
       | 
       | Not sure if this is the same one I read about, but it's the same
       | concept: https://energyvault.com/
        
         | binbag wrote:
         | It's talked about in the article. But it doesn't talk about the
         | impracticalities.
        
         | blueblisters wrote:
         | Wasn't Energy Vault debunked as being too impractical? Here:
         | https://youtu.be/NIhCuzxNvv0
         | 
         | These guys "solve" the wind and control problem by digging a
         | 300m deep pipe for the weights.
        
           | audunw wrote:
           | You should not use Thunderf00t as an authority on this. He
           | has no clue what he's talking about. That seems to be a
           | problem in general, he doesn't actually do much research on
           | the topics he talks about. So unless he already has some
           | understanding of the topic, he doesn't provide much insight.
           | 
           | He seems to think Energy Vault is an alternative to pumped
           | hydro, which it is absolutely not. They're not solving the
           | same problem.
           | 
           | Pumped hydro is best suited for regulating power over
           | days/weeks. You do not want to use it to do frequency
           | regulation or regulate power fluctuations over hours/days. In
           | fact, in Norway, where there's a whole lot of hydropower, and
           | now an increasing amount of wind power, they're considering
           | putting battery storage inside hydro power plants. This may
           | seem really stupid until you understand that constantly
           | regulating the output of a hydro power plant up and down
           | wears down all the parts of the power plant much faster, and
           | can cause issues for life in the river downstream. So it
           | actually makes a lot of sense, since the hydro power plant
           | has a good grid connection and may have some spare areas for
           | batteries.
           | 
           | Batteries and solutions like Energy Vault are primarily
           | intended for frequency regulation and short term storage, and
           | that covers most of what's needed to help balance renewables
           | in most areas.
           | 
           | There's a bunch of other serious flaws in his reasoning too,
           | such as thinking that a marketing-material picture of Energy
           | Vault next to wind turbines means that they actually propose
           | putting Energy Vault towers right next to wind turbines,
           | rather than just an illustration that the Energy Vault helps
           | regulate output from renewables.
        
       | throwaway189262 wrote:
       | This is an obvious scam if you do the math.
       | 
       | Assuming the full scale version delivers peak power for 11
       | seconds like the prototype, 2MW peak power would be 6 kilowatt
       | hours of energy.
       | 
       | That's terrible. We're taking about dropping hundreds, maybe
       | thousands of tons down a mine shaft to get the same amount of
       | power as $700 of lithium batteries you could carry in a backpack.
       | For instantaneous loads you're way better off using flywheels,
       | which we've already had for decades.
       | 
       | Gravity is weak, literally. The only realistic use case for
       | gravity generation is hydro power. And MAYBE reverse hydro power
       | where we put giant gas bags underwater and they make energy
       | floating up
        
         | DissidentSci wrote:
         | Is anyone trying to implement that gas bag idea? Not one I'd
         | heard of before
        
         | 015a wrote:
         | I think an important thing to note about gravity batteries is
         | how environmentally friendly they are, even relative to lithium
         | ion batteries. Lithium mining is an insanely tight bottleneck
         | in LI battery production, mostly outsourced to countries where
         | we don't think much about it (Australia is a big one right now,
         | but in terms of untapped reserves, Chile Argentina and China
         | are all huge). They require complicated manufacturing processes
         | that are centralized into maybe four or five advanced
         | manufacturing companies around the planet.
         | 
         | When speaking about LI packs, especially to enterprises
         | deploying them at grid scale, their expected life has to enter
         | into the equation. Maybe 15 years? 25? So, millions up-front,
         | and millions more every couple decades; its not an impossible
         | sale, but relative to other options (like hydro storage, which
         | is excellent but also limited to areas with existing
         | reservoirs) its not obviously the best option.
         | 
         | They may be better, but I don't feel that means gravity
         | batteries don't have a place. The mechanical pieces to raise
         | and harvest the energy likely aren't carbon-zero, but the
         | weight itself can be built out of anything. They don't
         | experience leakage of stored energy over time (barring a
         | failure of the retention system keeping the weight elevated)
         | (though, obviously, there is loss in the addition of energy to
         | the storage, as the machines which raise the weights are not
         | perfect). They can be reused essentially indefinitely
         | (excepting continuing upkeep of the retention and raise/harvest
         | systems, and proper weather protection of the weight). Their
         | failure mode is "falls", which can be designed far, far safer
         | than a typical LI pack failure of "explodes in a fire that
         | literally cannot be put out". None of the systems in-play are
         | particularly technically advanced, and a ton of the cost is up-
         | fronted. There's a lot of reasons to think they will represent
         | a component of green energy storage in the future; likely not
         | as large at LIo packs, but the world is a big place.
        
         | Youden wrote:
         | > This is an obvious scam if you do the math.
         | 
         | Reading the rest of your comment, I'm not sure you did the math
         | yourself...
         | 
         | > Assuming the full scale version delivers peak power for 11
         | seconds like the prototype
         | 
         | The prototype is a 4-storey tower (i.e. less than 20m).
         | 
         | > That's terrible. We're taking about dropping hundreds, maybe
         | thousands of tons down a mine shaft
         | 
         | A mine shaft can be expected to be significantly deeper than a
         | 4-storey tower is tall.
         | 
         | So it seems you've invalidated the assumption upon which your
         | argument is based in the paragraph immediately following it?
         | 
         | > the same amount of power as $700 of lithium batteries you
         | could carry in a backpack
         | 
         | From TFA itself, they estimate they can offer a price of
         | $171/MWh, while Lithium-ion batteries cost $367/MWh.
        
           | Dylan16807 wrote:
           | > From TFA itself, they estimate they can offer a price of
           | $171/MWh, while Lithium-ion batteries cost $367/MWh.
           | 
           | With absolutely nothing to explain the cost estimate, so you
           | can put away "TFA" thank you.
           | 
           | A system like this with only a single weight is going to be a
           | huge amount of work to set up each unit of capacity.
           | 
           | Also looking up the info I can find, I think they're
           | calculating that rate over a 60 year lifetime.
           | 
           | Edit: Uh, did I say something offensive?
        
         | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
         | Agreed. I'm glad that people and companies are trying different
         | solutions for our energy challenges, but I see so many examples
         | where the _basic physics_ make these solutions impossible to
         | scale, that it seems like these are primarily just schemes to
         | suck government money.
         | 
         | Gravity solutions like these will _never_ be feasible, because
         | as you point out, gravity is just plain too weak of a force. I
         | mean, it looks like pumped hydro will be viable, but when you
         | think of the sheer mass of water that can be pumped behind the
         | Hoover damn you realize stacking a bunch of bricks is
         | ridiculous in comparison.
         | 
         | There was another recent article on HN about a giant tidal
         | generator, and I was glad to see the top comment pointing out
         | that basically over 50 years all these tidal projects have been
         | failures (at least when it comes to ever being able to provide
         | decent power in a fashion that shows it can scale).
         | 
         | It's time we start calling out these schemes for what they are,
         | because they take funding away from solutions that we now we'll
         | need _now_ to fight climate change.
        
           | ionwake wrote:
           | Please excuse me if I am terribly ignorant.
           | 
           | In my head, liquid must be easier to play with than a solid.
           | 
           | So displacement of water or air should be done.
           | 
           | The displacement of air, being pumped into a balloon under
           | water seems like a great idea.
           | 
           | I know many solutions must have been thought of, but is the
           | inflate balloon under water , then let it float up - the most
           | efficient way of storing energy?
           | 
           | Lithium batteries wear out, but are more energy dense and so
           | arent comparable ( regardless of size).
           | 
           | Forgive me for ruminating I think this is a problem with an
           | already identified solution though?
        
         | Kenji wrote:
         | I'm Swiss and I've been following this "technology" since its
         | inception. Yes, it is a scam, I agree 100%. The maths never
         | checks out, every engineer in this country knows this. We are
         | all ashamed.
        
         | samatman wrote:
         | Well, maybe not rocks in a mineshaft. Probably not rocks in a
         | mineshaft.
         | 
         | But Advanced Rail Energy Storage?[0] Different story, has
         | potential (bad pun, I know). There are some nice synergies,
         | like a system such as this can reuse the generators from a
         | decommissioned coal or natural gas plant.
         | 
         | It can definitely play a part in a broad-spectrum energy
         | policy.
         | 
         | [0]: https://aresnorthamerica.com
        
       | sdenton4 wrote:
       | 'Switzerland-based Energy Vault wants to use a multiarmed crane
       | with motors-cum-generators to stack and disassemble a 120-meter-
       | tall tower made of hundreds of 35-ton bricks, like a Tower of
       | Babel that rises and falls with the vagaries of energy demand.'
       | 
       | This sounds amazing. It's like the repetitive, seemingly-
       | pointless behavior you see in the background in videogames...
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Past related threads:
       | 
       |  _Gravity Energy Storage: Alternative to batteries for grid
       | storage_ - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25650551 - Jan
       | 2021 (167 comments)
       | 
       |  _Gravity-Based Energy Storage Begins Trials 2021_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24337537 - Sept 2020 (2
       | comments)
       | 
       |  _To Store the Wind and Sun, Energy Startups Look to Gravity_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22394154 - Feb 2020 (2
       | comments)
       | 
       |  _Lifting rocks as a form of long term energy storage_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21736607 - Dec 2019 (1
       | comment)
       | 
       |  _Gravity Battery_ - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6750276
       | - Nov 2013 (1 comment)
       | 
       |  _Gravity Battery Concept_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6739349 - Nov 2013 (72
       | comments)
       | 
       | Others?
        
       | rafaelturk wrote:
       | I realy like the design of this baterry: Its simple, easy to
       | build and mantain.
        
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