[HN Gopher] List of Emerging Technologies
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List of Emerging Technologies
Author : aleyan
Score : 87 points
Date : 2021-04-16 18:00 UTC (4 hours ago)
(HTM) web link (en.wikipedia.org)
(TXT) w3m dump (en.wikipedia.org)
| Laakeri wrote:
| Quantum computing is a prime example of a technology in phase 2,
| definitely not in "commercialization".
| agnosticmantis wrote:
| Classifying Neural-sensing headset under Aerospace (only because
| an application is pilot assist tools) seems a bit strange.
| alexfromapex wrote:
| For entertainment, I'd add laser short throw projectors since I
| just spent a long time researching them on YouTube.
| teawrecks wrote:
| I don't think the intention of this page is for people to post
| what they just learned about on YouTube...
| mikepurvis wrote:
| While interesting, I'm surprised this hasn't become entangled in
| WP:NOR:
|
| https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:No_original_research
| outside1234 wrote:
| I am glad to see they have "head transplant" but how dare they
| forget time travel!
| kbenson wrote:
| _In 2012, Xiaoping Ren published work in which he grafted the
| head of a mouse onto another mouse 's body; again the focus was
| on how to avoid harm from the loss of blood supply; with his
| protocol the grafted heads survived up to six months._[1]
|
| That's wild, but the more I think about it, the more I wonder
| if there's really all that much we don't know about how to
| transplant a head onto another body, if it's just to keep the
| donor alive (that is, what we don't know may not stop us from
| being successful putting a second head on to someone and
| connecting the blood supply so the brain survives).
|
| 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Head_transplant
| NickNaraghi wrote:
| From Bezos' last shareholder letter[0]: "Draw the box big around
| all of society, and you'll find that invention is the root of all
| real value creation."
|
| I'm really hopeful that invention, like the ideas represented on
| this list, will get more attention and excitement from our
| youngest and smartest minds. In fact, I believe that having a
| successful society is dependent on this.
|
| [0]: https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/2020-letter-
| to...
| blacksmith_tb wrote:
| Invention is great, but I would think that statement has an
| implied "... that we can make money on" at the end - at least,
| it seems to me like there's lots of value created by people
| doing non-inventive things, whether that's a chef making a
| great meal or a teacher helping a child or... most of the
| things most people are doing most of the time?
| unishark wrote:
| I think the business use of the word "value" already implies
| the ability to make money from it.
|
| But consider what it means to make money. Suppose you invent
| technology whereby those people doing their things most of
| the time can become twice as productive. They would be eager
| to pay for this benefit, and society has gained far more
| "value" by your definition as well.
| FabiansMustDie wrote:
| It reminds me of how useless reference texts have become.
|
| Wikipedia is decent for a quick overview of a certain topic; but
| "boy oh boy," is it useless for anything of substance and depth.
|
| All of these technologies, merely glossed over. Many, perhaps,
| even complete bunk with no realistic applications or time-frames
| for usable prototypes, all mixed in together!
|
| Junk food for the mind.
| whoisjuan wrote:
| Still waiting for graphene to be commercially available in
| something. It has been hyped as the ultimate super material for
| decades and yet, it's being used in absolutely nothing.
| russellbeattie wrote:
| We're definitely overdue for a major consumer tech introduction.
|
| * Late 30s: Radio
|
| * Late 40s: Vinyl Records (Edited: Atomic energy isn't a consumer
| product)
|
| * Late 50s: TV
|
| * Late 60s: Transistors / rockets
|
| * Late 70s: Microcomputers.
|
| * Late 80s: Desktop publishing
|
| * Late 90s: Internet/Web
|
| * Late 00s: Smartphones/tablets
|
| * Late 10s: VR? Streaming media? Electric cars? Cryptocurrency?
|
| It takes a while for a new technology to spread to widespread
| adoption. For example, the 2007 launch of the iPhone lead to a
| decade of mobile adoption a few years later. But it seems there's
| been no new tech paradigm shift lately that's equivalent to the
| massive influence of previous innovations. Or at least I'm not
| seeing it yet.
| Uehreka wrote:
| "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."
| xondono wrote:
| Considering atomic energy as somehow a "consumer tech" looks
| fishy
| russellbeattie wrote:
| Oh, huh. Yeah. I actually went back and added the word
| "consumer" after I made the list to be more specific, then
| forgot about that.
|
| Vinyl records! That's what should have been there. The LP was
| introduced in 1948 and the 45 in 1949.
| EthanHeilman wrote:
| It seems really hard to label exact starting points here. I
| could see in 2030, we look back and late 10s is clear but we
| can't find out for late 20s.
|
| Where do we put really good batteries? Lyft? Amazing phone
| cameras? Quadrotors? Fitness trackers? In ten years it will be
| clear where to place those.
| DougWebb wrote:
| Late 10s: Social media. Not all revolutions are good.
| russellbeattie wrote:
| Yeah... you might be right. About both points.
| jpadkins wrote:
| social media was prior decade.
| riskable wrote:
| The late 10s should probably have IoT (e.g. Nest thermostats,
| security systems, etc) and "smart" home assistants like the
| Amazon Echo Dot, Google Home, etc.
|
| Remember: The S in IoT stands for security.
| donclark wrote:
| SpaceX may be the biggest thing in late 10s?
| mlaretallack wrote:
| good point, all the above are 'communications'. the question
| is, what is the next stage of communications.
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