[HN Gopher] Tim O'Reilly: The Internet Is Being Scapegoated in a...
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       Tim O'Reilly: The Internet Is Being Scapegoated in a Lot of Ways
       (2019)
        
       Author : Tomte
       Score  : 81 points
       Date   : 2021-04-05 12:28 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.zeit.de)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.zeit.de)
        
       | scyzoryk_xyz wrote:
       | TL;DR - O'Reilly argues Big Tech is not as responsible as Big
       | Tobacco, Big Oil and all the other big baddies because Big Tech
       | devotes large resources to researching and deploying counter
       | measures. And that is mostly it as far as insight.
       | 
       | IMHO - this is largely fair and true, only his POV is distinctly
       | technocratic. He says China does "some bad things" with facial
       | recognition but the tech has some great potential. We're not
       | scapegoating Big Tech - we're applying the brakes because it
       | operates like a monopoly and enables far scarier scenarios than
       | Big Tobacco or Big Oil.
        
       | cheaprentalyeti wrote:
       | I click on that and it's a bunch of stuff in German. I guess
       | asking me to get a subscription?
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | I think it's giving you a choice between the ad supported
         | version and the premium version (probably required for GDPR
         | consent). The free version can be accessed via the left green
         | button on the interstitial.
        
         | dawg- wrote:
         | Click "Einverstehen"
        
       | freddybobs wrote:
       | I think Mr O'Reilly is largely incorrect. He is espousing a tech
       | utopian vision. Underlying that idea is that politics is
       | redundant. That is born out of the (not wholly unjustified)
       | frustration around the failure of politics in the west.
       | 
       | So what is politics replaced with? Some other system/s - computer
       | networks, AI, 'the market'.
       | 
       | The appeal there is that they seem apolitical. They are not -
       | they have baked in political ideas. Moreover they allow people
       | with power to take political actions and can credibly that they
       | are not political.
       | 
       | In essence they move people further away from having some say in
       | issues that can significantly affect their lives. They lose
       | power. They lose it directly - they have less say, and indirectly
       | in that their arguments are harder against a supposedly
       | apolitical non human entity.
       | 
       | Moreover the default of any such system is to maintain stability.
       | Which in general gives most benefit to people who are already
       | satisfied by the status quo. Tech people quite like the status
       | quo right now.
       | 
       | Lastly and most importantly such systems have no vision of the
       | future. That requires people.
       | 
       | The end result is a stasis, and increasing frustration from the
       | people who aren't benefiting.
       | 
       | Much of this is covered well by the documentary 'All Watched Over
       | by Machines of Loving Grace', which is now available on Amazon
       | Prime.
        
         | sebastos wrote:
         | I'd never quite thought about it in these terms before, but the
         | way you laid it out makes it obvious: there's no replacing
         | politics. At most, you can hide it.
         | 
         | The reason it cannot be replaced is that there will always be
         | resentment and dissatisfaction brewing among society's relative
         | 'losers'. Eventually, society's "losers" will want to change
         | things. Whether those people are right or not about which
         | policies are hurting them is almost irrelevant. They will want
         | the agency to make some change - any change. But: if you factor
         | out all of the things that are still up for debate and start
         | re-categorizing them as laws of nature or apolitical
         | infrastructure, then there's nothing left to change! It will be
         | cold comfort to them if all of human policy is "above
         | changing". What they will hear is "Everything is fine. Stay
         | where you are."
        
         | stcredzero wrote:
         | _The appeal there is that they seem apolitical. They are not -
         | they have baked in political ideas. Moreover they allow people
         | with power to take political actions and can credibly that they
         | are not political._
         | 
         | It sounds like something from a cyberpunk novel, but much of
         | this baked in politics resides within powerful mega-
         | corporations, playing within their moats and exploiting their
         | walled gardens. People high up in those corporations have their
         | own agenda. Much of this agenda is carried out with the aid of
         | lobbying.
         | 
         | Deep inside those mega-corporations, other strata of lower-
         | level functionaries from an entirely different social class are
         | carrying out their own agendas. Often these agendas clash with
         | the higher-ups. Often, these agendas clash with those of the
         | users and ordinary people.
         | 
         |  _such systems have no vision of the future. That requires
         | people._
         | 
         | Many of the problems arise when people with some power have
         | dehumanized other people in their minds, and start to mistreat
         | them, within whatever level of power they may have. By their
         | very nature, such mega-corporations tend produce many such
         | opportunities.
         | 
         |  _' All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace'_
         | 
         | This title, as a phrase, describes _The Culture_ in Iain M.
         | Bank 's books.
        
           | freddybobs wrote:
           | > Many of the problems arise when people with some power have
           | dehumanized other people in their minds, and start to
           | mistreat them, within whatever level of power they may have.
           | By their very nature, such mega-corporations tend produce
           | many such opportunities.
           | 
           | This is a good insight. That many efforts in the fairly
           | recent past to alter the the situation have failed
           | spectacularly, or at least not turned out in the way it was
           | expected. As examples, 'communism' seems to degenerate into a
           | strict hierarchy of authoritarianism and associated suffering
           | (perversely such a hierarchy being an anathema to principals
           | of communism). The Arab spring, something seen in a positive
           | light in the west, seems to have in several cases failed. It
           | could be argued the failure was in part because it didn't
           | have a clear vision or the people in place to make the change
           | happen - there was a power vacuum.
           | 
           | These failures make us very wary of people talking about any
           | significant change. They seem at a default that they could be
           | dangerous. That predicting the future is hard.
           | 
           | It is important to be wary. What really is a red flag is
           | claims of a better future, when it's not explained clearly
           | what that future is, and the policy changes that will need to
           | be undertaken to get there.
           | 
           | All that being said it seems to me important for a society to
           | strive to be better, and to think of other solutions than
           | just more of the same.
        
         | arminiusreturns wrote:
         | In that same vein, one of my biggest career mistakes has been
         | thinking I could "just do good technical work, and avoid the
         | politics"... its not possible. In the end, if you take that
         | stance, the people who do play politics will run roughshod over
         | you. I appreciate your perspective on this.
        
           | stcredzero wrote:
           | Robert Heinlein once said something like, "Politics is like
           | your digestive tract. The end product is quite unpleasant,
           | but it's still vital to your continued well being."
        
         | Nasrudith wrote:
         | Do you know what makes something not political? It not being in
         | dispute - it says nothing about its value just like "X benefits
         | from" and "status quo" means nothing without a context point of
         | reference about what the changes are to say if it is good or
         | bad, let alone slightly more nuanced situations like "too much
         | of a good thing" or "a neccessary evil" or even different
         | relative values.
         | 
         | I find speaking only in vagueness like "status quo" and "good
         | for <the elite>" major red flags - the first especially as
         | implying the changes you want with no knowledge and impossible
         | to reconcile across even two people. Essentially the same sort
         | of lie of populists. The second is a warning sign for
         | fallacious zero sum thinking - best succicently and snarkily
         | refuted as "It is also good for rich people for the atmosphere
         | to be breathable at all."
         | 
         | The assertion that AI and networking are by default pro status
         | quo and that is a bad thing looks like gibberish without any
         | reasoning backing it. Not even "was funded by X" has been a
         | guarantee that it would sustain a stasis.
         | 
         | The arguments leave me with an uneasy feeling of superfically
         | trying to sound good while lacking any substance.
        
         | hitekker wrote:
         | Quite an insightful comment. A tangential but classic science
         | fiction story covers a similar theme
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Machine_Stops
        
           | olivermarks wrote:
           | I read 'The Machine Stops' every few months, it's very often
           | top of my mind as I see where society is heading
        
         | mkoubaa wrote:
         | Whether we like it or not politics is trending towards becoming
         | de facto redundant
        
         | Semiapies wrote:
         | This argument has the baked-in premise that only government can
         | change society and only government can have "people" with a
         | "vision of the future".
        
           | freddybobs wrote:
           | Politics != government.
           | 
           | "Politics (from Greek: Politika, politika, 'affairs of the
           | cities') is the set of activities that are associated with
           | making decisions in groups, or other forms of power relations
           | between individuals, such as the distribution of resources or
           | status. The branch of social science that studies politics is
           | referred to as political science. "
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politics
        
             | Semiapies wrote:
             | Politics is inextricable from government/the state.
             | 
             | For that matter, what would it even mean to talk about "the
             | failure of politics in the West" in a context beyond
             | government?
        
               | elmomle wrote:
               | One might say, rather, that government is the apotheosis
               | of politics. Much politics goes on without touching
               | government, but a well-functioning government is the
               | ultimate arbiter of disputes within a region, and is
               | therefore the obvious final testbed (and most dramatic
               | battleground) of political action.
        
               | athrowaway3z wrote:
               | Something like Trump's campaign is clearly politics and
               | not government/state.
        
             | hitekker wrote:
             | That's a useful & intimate, definition of politics. I think
             | a lot of folks are uncomfortable contemplating the power
             | relations that rule their own social circles, so they
             | unconsciously externalize that mess to outside, negative
             | forces. They want to distance themselves from that
             | unpleasant questions like "Who do I have power over? Have I
             | ever abused my power? How have I abused it and who got
             | hurt?"
             | 
             | With enough gymnastics, "politics" becomes a scary game
             | that faraway, bad people play to get ahead, whereas we, the
             | good, close people who are all equal, have no need to think
             | about power in our daily lives at all.
        
       | BlueTemplar wrote:
       | The problem is giant companies. O'Reilly is making the issue
       | worse by equating them not only to the Web (of which Wikipedia or
       | blogs are probably a better representation), but even to the
       | whole Internet!
        
       | nickpinkston wrote:
       | Note: posted in Dec 2019
        
         | WalterGR wrote:
         | The user submits the same posts every day in a loop,
         | interspersed with a few new ones. The user has been doing this
         | for 2 years. It seems like an effective way to earn karma and
         | possibly? make the new submissions get greater traction.
        
       | tgv wrote:
       | Note: as remarked below, press the green button left (free with
       | ads) and you'll be brought to the English text, but it's not
       | worth reading.
       | 
       | The interview starts off really bad, comparing "AI" (which does
       | not mean Artificial Intelligence here) with Donald Trump, and
       | comparing making a system of laws for a large country with Google
       | changing the order of the search results. Then he moves the goal
       | posts on scapegoating the internet to "big tobacco was worse than
       | facebook" to avoid answering the question.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | mc32 wrote:
       | One of the worst things we could have would be an efficient
       | government.
       | 
       | Delay is a feature of government, with a special carve out for
       | emergencies.
       | 
       | People tend to think of and idealize best case scenarios rather
       | than likely scenarios. The likely scenario is China. Mass
       | mobilization and change in policy from one day to the next.
        
         | api wrote:
         | A related observation I've come to: government is among the
         | class of things that should be boring. Interesting government
         | was a major cause of death in the first half of the 20th
         | century.
        
           | sudosysgen wrote:
           | Interesting government in the 20th century killed less people
           | than boring deaths that were prevented by some "interesting"
           | governments. Beyond that, the most major cause of death after
           | poverty was war, specifically the attempted invasion of the
           | USSR by Germany, which was really just a matter of
           | realpolitik at the time (thus why the USSR proposed a
           | defensive alliance with France and the UK before the Third
           | Reich).
           | 
           | Just to take the Chinese example again - less people died due
           | to Mao's atrocities in China than due to regular old poverty
           | in India, despite them starting at the same spot.
           | 
           | We just have normalcy bias by the absolutely staggering
           | amount of death that comes with poverty, whereas a
           | comparatively smaller amount of death brought by a government
           | that fixed the former is much more interesting.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | datavirtue wrote:
             | Both were government inflicted.
        
             | matkoniecz wrote:
             | > less people died due to Mao's atrocities in China than
             | due to regular old poverty in India, despite them starting
             | at the same spot
             | 
             | What is the source of that?
             | 
             | Note also that China had deaths both from poverty and Mao
             | dictatorship.
        
               | Nasrudith wrote:
               | It is trickery with timescales. It is like saying for
               | instance "Malaria killed more Jews than Adolf Hitler
               | did!" ignoring that one has existed for millenia and the
               | other didn't make it to 57.
        
               | Dirlewanger wrote:
               | Poor analogy. This was a period of just under 30 years
               | for which Mao was the supreme ruler of China.
        
               | sudosysgen wrote:
               | No, I don't. I'm specifically referring to 1950-1980.
        
               | sudosysgen wrote:
               | Yes. Look at the UN death rates for India and China from
               | 1960 to 1990.
               | 
               | Mao definitely had deaths both from poverty and inhuman
               | atrocities. but way less death from poverty.
        
               | matkoniecz wrote:
               | Can you link to this statistics confirming your claims?
               | 
               | I am quite suspicious and dubious about claim that Mao
               | had any sort of positive effects that would balance his
               | criminal incompetence and/or cruelty.
               | 
               | I am willing to be convinced by good source but ...
        
         | BitwiseFool wrote:
         | As a point of order, I think people want an _efficiently run_
         | government, but your point about delay being valuable still
         | stands.
        
           | Semiapies wrote:
           | Or at least efficient _enough_ that illiberal movements can
           | 't exploit frustration at that inefficiency to seize power.
           | 
           | For that matter, despite all the creepy enthusiasm for
           | dictatorships in this thread, they tend to be remarkably
           | incompetent, being even more dysfunctional than democracies
           | due to lacking their corrective mechanisms.
           | 
           | Despite the myth, Mussolini never made the trains run on time
           | --he just relaxed the definition of "on time" until the
           | trains were never officially late and then punished anyone
           | who complained.
        
             | stcredzero wrote:
             | Redefine words, then punish any parties who complain. It's
             | a strangely familiar pattern.
        
           | mc32 wrote:
           | I understand that it comes from a place where we don't want
           | waste (in taxes, resources, time, etc), but what delivers
           | that efficiency also delivers other undesired efficiencies
           | (fine everyone who is contrarian, imprison the opposition,
           | what have you).
        
             | bobthepanda wrote:
             | Inefficient states are most of the states doing this though
             | (say, Egypt is no paragon of efficiency.)
             | 
             | The inertia of the bureaucracy can be a hindrance but at
             | the end of the day any bureaucrat will move mountains if a
             | tyrant is breathing down their neck with knife in hand.
        
               | mc32 wrote:
               | Ok, but imagine them being efficient at what they do.
               | Imagine efficient suppression or efficient indoctrination
               | policies, etc.
        
               | BitwiseFool wrote:
               | Gotcha, I was coming at this from a different angle.
               | Mostly a local-government perspective for things like
               | city services. That's the kind of government I want
               | streamlined and efficiently run.
        
             | PeterisP wrote:
             | The problem is that if the elected government is weak,
             | ineffective and isn't fulfilling its core roles, then other
             | people and organizations would take on these roles and the
             | associated power and decisionmaking - and those emergent de
             | facto replacement "governments" are likely to be even more
             | illiberal, oppressive mini-dictatorships that are not
             | elected or accountable to the general society. That's how
             | you get the origins of Cosa Nostra, or the cartel-governed
             | zones in Mexico, or de-facto rule by corporations in the
             | fictional cyberpunk dystopias.
        
         | dv_dt wrote:
         | Slow government is sort of only a feature of you don't think
         | government should act. Really we should want deliberate and
         | democratic/cooperative to decide but fast to act on settled
         | matters.
        
           | kansface wrote:
           | The a priori expected outcome of any government intervention
           | is neutral at best, net negative on average. Worse still,
           | government interventions are sticky - essentially append
           | only. We create government, policy, institutions, and
           | regulations but very rarely remove them. Slow government is a
           | feature, not a bug given the constraints.
        
             | dv_dt wrote:
             | Slow government is like reducing the clock of your cpu in
             | order to protect against security vulnerabilities. It's a
             | non-sequitur. If you want to protect against bad government
             | decisions you have to address the processes by which
             | decisions are made, not slow down already made decisions.
        
               | kansface wrote:
               | > Slow government is like reducing the clock of your cpu
               | in order to protect against security vulnerabilities.
               | 
               | Negative. Bad laws are the program (business logic)
               | itself, not the vulnerabilities. In lieu of refactoring
               | society, I'd vote to continue underclocking the CPU.
               | 
               | In so many words, "move fast and break things" isn't how
               | I want society to be run. You have proposed we "move fast
               | but don't break things". I do not believe that possible.
        
               | tremon wrote:
               | _Slow government is like reducing the clock of your cpu
               | in order to protect against security vulnerabilities_
               | 
               | Step debugging is exactly that: slowing down the
               | execution enough so that errors in the process become
               | apparent before the program reaches its fatal state.
               | 
               | I disagree that it's a non-sequitur. What you want is for
               | government _to move slower than its observing processes_
               | , otherwise you can't prevent disasters, only correct
               | them after-the-fact. Whether that means slowing down
               | government or speeding up transparency (e.g.
               | journalism/foia requests) is open for debate, but
               | slow(ish) government is essential to the process of
               | checks and balances.
        
           | Semiapies wrote:
           | It's a feature if you don't trust government to act well. If
           | you did trust government to act well, why would you want them
           | to be deliberate? Deliberation is a feature allowing
           | opportunities to prevent harmful policies before they're
           | enacted.
        
             | TeMPOraL wrote:
             | Because there's a point where continuing deliberations does
             | more harm than acting without full confidence in the
             | decision. It applies to governments as much as it does to
             | companies and individuals.
        
           | mc32 wrote:
           | That presumes a democratic polity always settles on good
           | matters.
        
             | dv_dt wrote:
             | In general, to have a government at all, it should act by
             | the processes by which it is validated by it's citizens -
             | democratically ideally. But to have a government and
             | pretend you don't want one to actually act seems silly. If
             | you're worried about it acting in the wrong way, then focus
             | on strengthening the democracy, transparency, and
             | collaboration aspect of it.
             | 
             | An ineffective government is a long term path to
             | instability often leading to a risk of non-democratic rule.
        
               | mc32 wrote:
               | You're fundamentally betting on both people AND
               | government to make the "good" decision even in trying
               | times. That's just not the case. Under duress both
               | people, even in a healthy democracy, can reach for the
               | easy solution to a threat which might not be the good of
               | right solution. Time delay usually blunts that initial
               | urge.
        
               | dv_dt wrote:
               | That's why I say "we should want deliberate and
               | democratic/cooperative to decide"...
        
             | paulmd wrote:
             | Inertia is only that - inertia. It doesn't affect the
             | overall trend, by definition no democratic system can
             | withstand a popular-but-harmful idea that remains popular
             | over a sustained period of time (Brexit might be an
             | example). If a system doesn't manifest that public opinion
             | then it is no longer democratic.
             | 
             | In other words what you're arguing against here isn't rapid
             | change, it's _democracy as a whole_. You can 't prevent
             | people from having stupid ideas, and on a long enough
             | timescale any democratic system will eventually implement
             | those ideas.
             | 
             | The idea of gridlock as a design objective is very harmful.
             | The "inability to form a government" is considered a
             | failure states in most government systems, having a
             | government that is _actually able to enact policy_ is a
             | good thing.
             | 
             | In practice however, this gridlock does not produce any
             | incentive to pass "things everyone really agrees on" at
             | all, as you can see by various topics that have 90% public
             | support (eg cannabis legalization) that have been ignored
             | for decades. It just produces gridlock and nothing gets
             | done at all, not even the stuff that "everyone" agrees on.
             | This, too, is a form of un-democracy.
             | 
             | A lot of the "gridlock = good" comes back to people blindly
             | falling back on the fetishism they were taught about the US
             | constitution in grade schools - checks and balances are a
             | good thing, who could be against checks and balances? But
             | if there are too many checks and balances that drags the
             | whole system to a halt - again, having a government that is
             | able to actually enact policy without a supermajority
             | control of all branches of government is a good thing. They
             | only work when everyone has a "gentleman's agreement" to
             | play nice and actually do the things that help constituents
             | - when everyone starts playing hardball to the maximal
             | extent permitted by law, the systems drags to a halt and
             | stops working. And once that becomes a matter of routine as
             | opposed to a last resort due to extremity, the systems
             | begins to fail. That's a _design flaw_ , that gets brushed
             | under the rug because we're all taught "checks and balances
             | are automatically good!" as children. Having _some_ checks
             | and balances is good, but too many can also be bad.
             | 
             | With inertia taken to an extreme you get the Polish Sejm
             | and the liberum veto - where any single member could object
             | and veto not just the current legislation but every bit of
             | legislation that had been passed in that session. That
             | certainly "slowed government down", and eventually led to
             | the collapse of the polish government. So there clearly
             | exists some configurations where there can be too much
             | inertia and it leads to an inability of the state to
             | respond to a changing world and eventual collapse. Where
             | does the US fall? Compared to most other countries, far far
             | on the side of too much inertia, and we are also failing to
             | a much greater extent then most other states at the moment.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberum_veto
             | 
             | In particular I think the election of the US president
             | separately from the legislature is very harmful. The
             | executive and legislative agenda largely should be aligned,
             | the cases where it's adversarial have been largely periods
             | of "failed government" where nothing really gets passed. Of
             | course that is also tied up with representative-level
             | gerrymandering and state-size mismatches in the senate. The
             | fixed 2-4-6 year cycles of the US government is also
             | harmful compared to the (potentially) more frequent
             | election cycles in other countries, as those countries can
             | respond to losses in public confidence much more quickly.
             | As such - the best solution to an unpopular
             | president/legislature is likely a variable election cycle
             | to get them back out quicker once they lose a mandate.
             | 
             | I am completely willing to trade the other party being able
             | to accomplish more of their agenda while they're in office,
             | for me being able to accomplish more of my agenda while I'm
             | in office. Elections should result in a mandate to enact
             | policy, that is a good thing. It is better to have frequent
             | elections that result in a mandate to lead, with changes in
             | control when the party no longer reflects the will of the
             | people, than to have nobody able to do anything all of the
             | time.
        
               | wutbrodo wrote:
               | > Inertia is only that - inertia. It doesn't affect the
               | overall trend, by definition no democratic system can
               | withstand a popular-but-harmful idea that remains popular
               | over a sustained period of time (Brexit might be an
               | example). If a system doesn't manifest that public
               | opinion then it is no longer democratic.
               | 
               | This is a spherical-cow version of politics that doesnt
               | reflect reality. There are plenty of path- and timing-
               | dependent effects that shape public opinion and policy,
               | especially given the powerful status quo bias most people
               | use as the core of their cognition about policy.
               | 
               | > what you're arguing against here isn't rapid change,
               | it's democracy as a whole.
               | 
               | There are two senses of the word democracy that you're
               | conflating. One is democracy as a pure platonic concept,
               | and one is the much more universal colloquial use to
               | refer to a polity that meets a certain threshold of being
               | democratic. The maximal case of the former word sense
               | would be something like direct democracy with no
               | constitutional protections. Very few people would argue
               | for this form of "pure" democracy, and a marginal
               | directional move away from that end of the spectrum
               | doesn't suggest one is opposed to a country being
               | democratic in the colloquial sense. (The distinction of
               | the senses is important enough that explicitly anti-
               | democratic phrases like "tyranny [of the majority]" are
               | often used to refer to the "pure democracy" perspective).
               | 
               | A second assumption you're making is that the
               | distribution of the "goodness" of a policy is completely
               | neutral with respect to policies that the masses are
               | whimsical about vs have sustained support for. This is
               | quite an extraordinary claim to make so confidently. If
               | anything, it seems more plausible to me to assume that
               | this distribution would shift in favor of the sustained-
               | interest policies, which is precisely what inertia
               | optimizes for.
               | 
               | Now obviously, it matters where you are on the inertia
               | scale. A society going through rapid, ill-considered,
               | constant change is going to benefit from inertia while a
               | sclerotic, declining polity in need of bold gov't action
               | would benefit from less. But showing that the second case
               | is relevant and making a case for the necessary policy
               | shifts is a far heavier lift than the oversimplified
               | assumptions you rest your general case on.
        
         | question000 wrote:
         | Well the life of the average Chinese citizen has improved
         | substantially in the last 30 years, no Western country can
         | really say that.
        
           | echelon wrote:
           | That's because the West already made those improvements and
           | there are no longer any low hanging fruit.
        
             | question000 wrote:
             | I'm sorry China has solved many problems the West is still
             | working on. They've had public funded healthcare/education
             | from the medieval era and they haven't been involved in any
             | major wars and yet still dictate policy in the region.
        
               | Semiapies wrote:
               | Disregarding who actually had access to that healthcare
               | and education (since by similar definitions of who had
               | access, the West had both public services by the
               | classical Greek era)...No major wars? _Really?_
               | 
               | Even ignoring the phrasing that could be read as claiming
               | no major wars since the medieval era, we don't have to go
               | so far back. I mean, sure, the Cultural Revolution killed
               | more Chinese people than WW2 and the Korean war did
               | combined, but that's still eleven million or so Chinese
               | people dead in those conflicts.
        
               | kansface wrote:
               | China is responsible for murdering many 10s, possibly 100
               | million of its own citizens and is actively and
               | purposefully engaged in genocide of its own people right
               | now. I have a _very_ hard time separating the good from
               | the bad here.
               | 
               | > they haven't been involved in any major wars and yet
               | still dictate policy in the region.
               | 
               | As far as I know, the last major war China fought in was
               | when they invaded Vietnam in 1979 after Vietnam had
               | invaded Cambodia (Chinese ally) to get rid of the Khmer
               | Rouge (the same regime that killed everyone who wore
               | glasses because they may have been reading too much)...
        
             | asdff wrote:
             | The west made some of these improvements 70 years ago but
             | follow up maintenance, replacement, and expansion never
             | came.
             | 
             | The built environment of the U.S. has changed remarkably
             | little in the past 40 years, and we are paying for this
             | stasis today with our housing crisis from not building
             | enough housing supply, our congested and crumbling
             | roadways, our lack of transit infrastructure investment
             | (NYC subway has been frozen in time for almost a century
             | practically, and all we can celebrate elsewhere are a
             | handful of light rail lines that usually sit in traffic
             | with the cars), we've voted to defund our schools, and have
             | refused to expand our public healthcare system to those
             | younger than 65 as originally planned in order to protect
             | private insurance industries.
             | 
             | The only improvement the west has made in the last 40 years
             | was figuring out how to move a greater proportion of its
             | wealth into the hands of the few, and iPhones I guess.
        
           | jjb123 wrote:
           | We made those same moves 100 years earlier, with liberty
           | intact. If North Korea made this relative progress over the
           | next 30 years (and 70 years after South Korea), this same
           | argument would suggest there's something we should copy
           | there.
        
             | sudosysgen wrote:
             | Yes, in 160 years, as opposed to 30, and then solved many
             | problems we aren't able to solve.
             | 
             | No one is saying that authoritarian governments are good,
             | but opposition to efficient governments just makes life
             | worse for everyone.
        
               | andrepd wrote:
               | Better that it took 200 or 300 and we have advanced
               | liberties instead of a totalitarian state. There's no
               | amount of prosperity that pays for a dystopian state like
               | China.
        
               | mc32 wrote:
               | Any country in a retrograde economy has the benefit of
               | existing modern technology to adopt as well as the
               | absence of legacy encumbrances, making it easier to play
               | catch-up.
        
               | Semiapies wrote:
               | It's similar to the "miracle" of Soviet
               | industrialization. The USSR hired scads of advisors from
               | Western companies to direct their efforts, then chest-
               | thumped about socialism.
               | 
               | Or, for that matter, the Nazi economic "miracle". In
               | their case, they started from the wreckage of WW1 and the
               | Weimar Republic, but they used knowledge and corporate
               | organization that predated both to rebuild, while letting
               | their ideology and leadership take credit.
        
               | Semiapies wrote:
               | What problems do you imagine that the Chinese government
               | has solved which Western governments haven't?
               | 
               | It certainly hasn't solved violent oppression of
               | minorities, though admittedly it's more industrious and
               | organized in that field than any Western government.
        
             | metalens wrote:
             | I'd like to add that those moves we (assuming you're
             | referring to the US) made 100 years earlier were not made
             | with liberty intact. A lot of our progress was built on the
             | back of slavery and racial discrimination at scale in
             | housing, education, transportation, jobs, etc.
        
               | mc32 wrote:
               | Slavery isn't in dispute, nor segregation, however I'd
               | posit that those elements dragged down society and the
               | economy rather than strengthened it (it was detrimental
               | to progress). Same as serf slavery in Czarist Russia
               | before liberalization, it dragged down their economy
               | immensely.
        
             | Semiapies wrote:
             | Also, the genuine improvements of the last 40-50 years in
             | China come from abandoning communism in the economic arena
             | and embracing markets. Just, you know, without
             | _politically_ liberalizing.
        
         | echelon wrote:
         | If the Internet has been regulated from day one, no way would
         | it have grown to do the things it can do.
         | 
         | Stream music? Sell sex? Buy stuff across state lines or
         | internationally?
         | 
         | Imagine what we'd be able to do if the megacorps and government
         | didn't start carving it up.
        
           | woodruffw wrote:
           | > If the Internet has been regulated from day one, no way
           | would it have grown to do the things it can do.
           | 
           | Maybe it's just me, but most of the things that the Internet
           | can currently do don't feel all that great. My interaction
           | with the Internet is primarily an adversarial one: I have to
           | make a positive (and normally unsuccessful) effort to avoid
           | the hellscape of targeted advertising and rent seeking that
           | all of the dominant platforms currently depend on for income.
           | But at least I can buy junk online (and damage my local
           | economy in the process); is that worth it?
           | 
           | And, for what it's worth, the Internet had protocol-level
           | streaming well before it was fully commercialized[1].
           | 
           | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mbone
        
             | II2II wrote:
             | It's not just you. The existence of everything from ad
             | blockers to alternatives for the web are the product of
             | people who want to escape from this commercial dystopia.
             | Will it reshape the Internet? Undoubtedly not, but at least
             | there are places to escape to even if it is for fleeting
             | moments in time.
        
         | asdff wrote:
         | What you describe is not delay, but consideration of options.
         | You aren't delaying if you are thinking, you are doing. To
         | delay is to do nothing for no good reason, to delay is to kick
         | your feet up, allow time to pass and _not_ do any thinking of
         | options, which is what happens all too often in a world where
         | public works are worked upon by private contractors who are
         | financially incentivized to stretch out projects as long as
         | possible.
        
         | tehWeeb wrote:
         | This is a context sensitive point.
         | 
         | We've seen government be far more efficient and successful at
         | "the fundamentals" than privatization.
         | 
         | Postal service, Medicare/caid, Social Security all financially
         | stable, and logistically competent until meddled with
         | politically to benefit a minority closest to the politicians.
         | 
         | I don't want efficient government when it comes to species
         | stability. I want reliable and resilient.
         | 
         | Let man-children speculate about reality without politically
         | contrived economic uncertainty foisted upon everyone. I wasn't
         | a party to signing a contract that says I have to believe Musk
         | and the rest are that much more worthwhile to humanity as
         | decided by politically contrived fiscal economics.
         | 
         | If you all want to be kowtowed like teen girls at a Beatles
         | concert, have at it. The majority just want to live their
         | lives.
        
       | ajarmst wrote:
       | This is pretty late in the cycle for O'Reilly to not realize that
       | the adaptive 'algorithmic government' he is describing would
       | result in government optimized for clicks and highly responsive
       | to weaponized performative umbrage by groups acting in bad faith.
       | Which is, of course, exactly what we have.
       | 
       | Maybe we need something stable that can maintain a functional
       | equilibrium and act in the defence of the norms of the whole
       | system. Responsiveness and stability are usually antithetical,
       | and systems designed to be responsive to the immediate urges of
       | large masses of humanity are rarely anything but monstrous.
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | https://archive.md/HTm90
        
       | walshemj wrote:
       | Tim is right in a lot of cases its old media complaining about
       | competitors and TBH the tabloids are worse - see how Meghan
       | Markle is being treated.
        
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