[HN Gopher] Ask HN: Literature on crisis response?
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       Ask HN: Literature on crisis response?
        
       So I've always been interested in how teams respond to crises. I
       love reading about teams that handle crises well, and try to figure
       out what I can learn from their actions for the teams I lead.
       (Apollo 13 continues to be an all-time favourite movie of mine...)
       Recently, there've been two discussions on HN [1,2] that have
       gotten me thinking about this topic again. And now I'm wondering:
       are there any good books on the topic that you can recommend? I'm
       not restricting myself to any domain - business, politics,
       engineering, natural disasters, could all be interesting.  [1]
       https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26506920  [2]
       https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26539495
        
       Author : veddox
       Score  : 60 points
       Date   : 2021-03-25 11:22 UTC (1 days ago)
        
       | jenkstom wrote:
       | In the US all first responders are required to go through various
       | levels of incident management. You can get free training on NIMS
       | and ICS online. It works, and it works very well.
        
       | cjbprime wrote:
       | The obvious choice is aviation -- there are thousands of
       | commercial accident reports, many of which lead to process
       | improvements for everyone else afterwards, and general aviation
       | emergencies every day. YouTube especially is full of ATC audio
       | combined with radar visuals and commentary for emergencies.
       | 
       | For tech, Dan Liu maintains a list of tech company incident
       | public post-mortems: https://github.com/danluu/post-mortems
        
       | qbasic_forever wrote:
       | The climbing and mountaineering community is great about
       | reviewing past accidents (especially deadly ones) to understand
       | the root causes. Every year the American Alpine society produces
       | a new volume of Accidents in North American Climbing and it's
       | well worth a read:
       | http://publications.americanalpineclub.org/about_the_acciden...
       | Most things are human error like rappelling off the end of a
       | rope, but there's usually a few really big team or trip planning
       | failures like avalanches, etc.
       | 
       | There's a podcast they do related to it called The Sharp End and
       | it's worth a listen too: https://www.thesharpendpodcast.com/
        
         | teachrdan wrote:
         | I can't recommend this series enough. Most accidents are
         | described in plain language in a page or two with a concise
         | analysis at the end. From one analysis of people hurt in an ice
         | avalanche: "if it looks like it is going to fall it is probably
         | going to fall."
         | 
         | You learn a lot of interesting facts you might never otherwise
         | find out. In the above example, the avalanche was so powerful
         | it generated an air blast in front of the debris that ejected
         | sleeping campers out of their tents below.
         | 
         | The authors also have a low-key sense of humor and a subdued
         | flair for language. This series is where I learned the phrase
         | "injuries incompatible with life," as in, "Rescuers spotted the
         | missing climbers from a helicopter the next day but saw that
         | they had sustained injuries incompatible with life." It really
         | puts a failed git rebase in perspective.
        
       | jabroni_salad wrote:
       | Pagerduty has some very practical guidance on their website:
       | https://response.pagerduty.com/
        
       | sjg007 wrote:
       | Is the best idea to plan for a crisis before it happens? I guess
       | it would be a process that you engage in because you won't
       | necessarily be able to predict the crisis in advance otherwise
       | you'd mitigate it.
        
       | sinac wrote:
       | A great how to resource is Dealing With an Angry Public by Field
       | and Susskind. https://www.amazon.com/Dealing-Angry-Public-
       | Approach-Resolvi...
        
       | markedathome wrote:
       | The CDC has the Crisis & Emergency Risk Communication (CERC)
       | manual[1], as well as a website covering this topic[2].
       | 
       | [1] https://emergency.cdc.gov/cerc/ppt/cerc_2014edition_Copy.pdf
       | https://emergency.cdc.gov/cerc/manual/index.asp
       | 
       | [2] https://emergency.cdc.gov/cerc/index.asp
        
         | secfirstmd wrote:
         | If you want tackle advice on common types of crisis that can
         | happen to people (malware, kidnap etc) feel free to check out
         | our free open source app Umbrella. It's about 110k words, 40+
         | lessons on best practices, in 7 languages. You can look for it
         | on the app stores or find out more (https://www.secfirst.org)
        
       | rockmeamedee wrote:
       | The term "crisis response" will get you info on PR crises and
       | brings to mind the TV show Scandal.
       | 
       | The term you want for our field is "Incident Response", and the
       | practice of 1)preventing them and 2)handling them 3)learning from
       | them is Resilience Engineering. It's about investigating air
       | plane crashes, nuclear meltdowns, errors during surgery, etc, and
       | learning how humans keep complex systems running.
       | 
       | I recommend "Behind Human Error" by David Woods as a great
       | starter there. A key insight of this field is that incidents
       | aren't just "some idiot didn't follow the safety checklist", but
       | often the safety checklist itself will cause the issue; at some
       | level the errors happen because of complicated interactions
       | between the system and even the safety mechanisms.
       | 
       | An interesting tech industry related document is the STELLA
       | report [1] from a few tech companies comparing notes on
       | incidents.
       | 
       | [1] https://snafucatchers.github.io/
        
       | kevin_nisbet wrote:
       | Specific to books, "Failure Is Not an Option: Mission Control
       | From Mercury to Apollo 13" was pretty good from Gene Kranz and as
       | I recall covered many of the incidents in the US space program. I
       | don't think I ever found a copy of the Chris Kraft one but heard
       | it's pretty good as well.
       | 
       | And as others have suggested, reading flight accident reports, or
       | watching the videos made off of them tends to be valuable.
       | 
       | Also, I think NASA published a bunch of research on human factors
       | at one point, but it's been a long time since I've looked it up.
       | 
       | And last, specific to our industry, the SRE Books have a couple
       | chapters on incident response: https://sre.google/books/
        
       | villasv wrote:
       | Jared Diamond's Upheaval is a bit off-topic I think but I still
       | recommend it. It starts talking about personal crisis to
       | extrapolate into nation crisis, which are both extremes compared
       | to company or team crisis.
       | 
       | Even if tangentially related, it's an interesting read if only
       | for the historical content.
        
       | bwh2 wrote:
       | Drift Into Failure. Great book telling stories like airplane
       | crashes and the Challenger disaster. I posted some notes on my
       | website: https://www.briansnotes.io/book/drift-into-failure/
        
       | mronge wrote:
       | Here's a list of some of my favorite books dealing with crisis:
       | 
       | - _In Thin Air_ - About a mountaineering expedition that turned
       | into disaster on Mount Everest.
       | 
       | - _Black Hawk Down_ - The story of hundreds of US special forces
       | trapped in Mogadishu overnight after a mission went completely
       | sideways
       | 
       | - _Leadership in Turbulent Times_ - About different US presidents
       | leading through crisis and how there is no one singular type of
       | leadership
       | 
       | - _The Hard Thing about Hard Things_ - Leading a startup on the
       | verge of failure to an eventual massive acquisition
       | 
       | - _The Sledge Patrol_ - How a small group, outgunned and out
       | manned fought back Nazi invaders in Greenland
        
       | thaumaturgy wrote:
       | Several countries and lots of agencies use something called the
       | Incident Command System (ICS). They use it to coordinate multi-
       | agency response to things like explosions, toxic spills, massive
       | wildfires, large-scale searches for missing persons, and more,
       | all the way down to small and localized incidents.
       | 
       | ICS courses are free to anyone who wants them. You can get
       | started with ICS-700 here:
       | https://training.fema.gov/is/courseoverview.aspx?code=IS-700...
       | 
       | There are a few basic principles of ICS that should be useful to
       | company incident response:
       | 
       | 1. ICS defines specific roles and their responsibilities. In ICS,
       | there is Planning, Logistics, Operations, Management and/or
       | Coordinator, and Finance, among others. Each of these roles are
       | defined ahead of time, and disaster response teams practice these
       | roles regularly. Each role has defined ways of handing the role
       | off to another person during a shift change and often includes
       | specific forms that need to be filled out. This data collection
       | is integral to being able to review the incident while it's
       | happening, as well as after the fact for improving training.
       | 
       | 2. ICS is scalable. For a very small incident, one person may be
       | responsible for all roles. For a very large incident, response
       | may be further subdivided into branches and divisions. This
       | flexibility is an extremely important part of ICS, and it only
       | works because everyone understands the different roles involved.
       | 
       | 3. Under ICS, everyone has exactly _one_ boss, supervisor, etc.
       | that they report to. Any of you who have had to try to go
       | spelunking through logs while multiple suits keep contacting you
       | for updates already understands how important this is. This
       | structure also helps to minimize miscommunication during an
       | incident.
       | 
       | 4. In the planning section specifically, there's a process called
       | the "Planning P" that describes a lifecycle of information
       | gathering, decision-making, and communication. It's pretty
       | straightforward and it resolves a lot of common issues in
       | incident response. This is covered in ICS-201:
       | https://training.fema.gov/is/courseoverview.aspx?code=is-201
       | 
       | Companies developing their own incident response strategies will
       | want to customize forms, data collection, roles, &etc., but the
       | basic principles of ICS are an effective framework that should be
       | adaptable to a wide variety of situations. Most companies on
       | their worst day aren't dealing with an actual or potential loss
       | of life; experienced ICS people can sleep-walk through a
       | company's worst incident.
        
         | theptip wrote:
         | PagerDuty has some docs on this system:
         | https://response.pagerduty.com/getting_started/
         | 
         | And I believe this is the system Google recommends in their SRE
         | books: https://sre.google/sre-book/managing-incidents/.
         | 
         | It's a bit heavyweight for a small team but has some very
         | useful concepts.
        
       | Darkstryder wrote:
       | With regard to the specific topic of _communicating_ through a
       | crisis, I 've found _Masters of Disaster: The Ten Commandments of
       | Damage Control_ by Christopher Lehane, Mark Fabiani and Bill
       | Guttentag to be pretty interesting.
       | 
       | The authors worked with multiple organizations and celebrities
       | during time of crises and helped them with the public relation
       | side of it. For instance they managed Bill Clinton's PR during
       | the Monica Lewinsky events.
       | 
       | The book is not perfect (I think it could be shortened a bit and
       | retain the same information) but it is still very interesting and
       | I think about it every time I witness someone getting themselves
       | into a big, public crisis and making things worse by not managing
       | their PR properly.
        
       | pjmorris wrote:
       | For more on the Apollo 13 crisis response, check out 'Apollo:
       | Race to the Moon' by Murray and Cox. I haven't met a more
       | detailed popular examination of the engineering and management
       | effort behind the Apollo program, and they spend some time on the
       | 'back room' of engineers depicted in the film.
       | 
       | I'm reminded of 'The Medical Detectives', Roueche, but only by
       | reputation (I own a copy I haven't read.) "In each true story,
       | local health authorities and epidemiologists race against time to
       | find the clue to an unknown and possibly fatal disease."
       | 
       | If you interpret 'The enemy might get the bomb before we do' as a
       | crisis, 'The Making of the Atomic Bomb', Rhodes, is a detailed
       | (and Pulitzer Prize-winning) examination of how we got from
       | discovering the atom's nucleus to the consequences of deploying
       | city-destroying weapons in a generation or so.
       | 
       | You might find general systems theory interesting, maybe
       | 'Thinking In Systems', Meadows, and/or 'An Introduction to
       | General Systems Thinking', Weinberg.
        
       | max_ wrote:
       | Catastrophy bonds in my opinion are the most practical way manage
       | effective crisis response.
       | 
       | I wrote about pandemic bonds last year [0].
       | 
       | [0]: https://as1ndu.xyz/2020/02/fighting-of-disease-pandemics-
       | wit...
        
       | jkingsbery wrote:
       | This week's EconTalk talked about the general problem of
       | responding to crises, and I found the guest's (and host's) take
       | interesting (https://www.econtalk.org/megan-mcardle-on-
       | catastrophes-and-t...). They talked about how often we respond to
       | infrequent crises by trying to prevent them from happening again,
       | but then that investment goes to waste because that crises
       | doesn't happen again (or doesn't happen for a long time, after
       | which the investment has depreciated). They both advocated for
       | focusing on being more responsive to crises, since adaptability
       | can help more generally across many types of crises.
        
       | yodon wrote:
       | If you're operating at a scale or in a domain where crisis-like
       | issues are expected (which is probably true if you're asking a
       | question like this), The Checklist Manifesto[0] is a great read.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.amazon.com/Checklist-Manifesto-How-Things-
       | Right/...
        
         | cinntaile wrote:
         | I read this book a while ago based on the fact that a lot of HN
         | users recommended it, but I didn't think it was that great. It
         | could have been 5 pages to get the point across, but that
         | doesn't sell a book. It's been a while but if I recall
         | correctly you could summarize it to: "If it's important to not
         | miss any steps, use a checklist. Don't have too many or people
         | will skip it. Only include relevant steps. Checklists are
         | useless if they're not followed." I'm probably butchering it a
         | little though to be fair, if it interests you give it a chance.
        
           | yesenadam wrote:
           | What is the point of this kind of comment? You can summarize
           | an X page book in X/10 words. So what?
           | 
           | A 200 page book (about anything, I don't mean about
           | checklists) written entirely in the style of your summary
           | would be unreadable. Or it would be some kind of reference,
           | like man pages, usually not something people read with
           | pleasure, and not something to introduce you to a topic.
           | 
           | Aside from that, I found the memorable thing about the book
           | to be the stories of how surprisingly effective checklists
           | are, what a difference they can make, and how and why things
           | have gone wrong without them. All that stuff you would cut as
           | superfluous.
           | 
           | Non-fiction books, like functions in a program, don't have to
           | be great; it's enough if they do one thing and do it well.
           | The book did that, and very memorably.
        
           | yodon wrote:
           | Like most "business books" it's designed to be read during a
           | single bowel movement by a normal person with normal
           | digestive functions.
           | 
           | The book offers a single unit of recommendations, a good one
           | that's worth reading, but definitely not the complete works
           | of Shakespeare.
        
       | tjalfi wrote:
       | Total Loss[0] has 45 stories of yachting disasters; the lesson I
       | took away is to carry a knife when you're on a boat.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.amazon.com/Total-Loss-Collection-First-hand-
       | Acco...
        
         | eschneider wrote:
         | As someone who used to work on lobster boats, they tell you to
         | bring TWO knives. When the pot goes to the bottom accidentally
         | roped to your leg, you always panic and drop knife one. You
         | need knife two to actually cut yourself free.
        
       | myth_drannon wrote:
       | Volokalamsk Highway by Alexandr Bek
       | https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1769643.Volokolamsk_High...
       | It's an old book, so your best chance is an ebook.
       | http://ciml.250x.com/archive/literature/english/alexander_be...
       | 
       | It's about leadership during crises and it's based on real
       | events. Telling the story of a small battalion stopping German
       | army en route to Moscow in 1941. At some point it was a required
       | reading in some military schools (like in Israel for example,
       | maybe even now).
        
       | WmyEE0UsWAwC2i wrote:
       | Nassim Taleb, Antifragile
        
       | abee wrote:
       | Never waste a good crisis when it comes to politics - read this
       | book [The Shock Doctrine by Naomi
       | Klein](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Shock_Doctrine)
        
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       (page generated 2021-03-26 23:02 UTC)