[HN Gopher] Red seaweed supplementation reduces enteric methane ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Red seaweed supplementation reduces enteric methane by over 80% in
       beef steers
        
       Author : giuliomagnifico
       Score  : 234 points
       Date   : 2021-03-22 13:49 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (journals.plos.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (journals.plos.org)
        
       | stakkur wrote:
       | Thereby raising harvesting and consumption of seaweed, shifting
       | the burden from one ecosystem to another.
        
       | kleton wrote:
       | The active ingredient is bromoform, which might even be cheaper
       | to dose than the raw algae.
        
         | readflaggedcomm wrote:
         | Which is fascinating, because I thought seaweeds only helped
         | cattle by adding protease enzymes, which also works with
         | humans: try cooking legumes with kombu/konbu.
         | 
         | But cooking up enzymes outside of seaweed seems a lot more
         | costly than synthesizing solvents, assuming dosing cattle that
         | way doesn't taint the end product.
        
         | selimthegrim wrote:
         | Is this what's new about it? I thought this finding was already
         | known?
        
           | kleton wrote:
           | I'm not sure what's new here. All of this has been known at
           | least 5 years.
        
           | twic wrote:
           | The nature of science is that experiments are repeated many
           | times with slight variations before we consider that
           | something is known.
           | 
           | This paper does add details I hadn't seen before - it shows
           | that adding algae to the diet increases the efficiency of
           | converting feed to body mass, and reduces feed intake. There
           | was reason to believe that would happen, but I'm not sure it
           | had been demonstrated experimentally.
        
         | ars wrote:
         | Bromoform is incredibly toxic, and possibly even a carcinogen.
         | 
         | But if you feed them seaweed then it's suddenly all natural. /s
         | 
         | That might be why. But in seriousness, I'm not so OK with
         | feeding animals bromoform or seaweed for that matter if that's
         | a common component.
        
           | AlanYx wrote:
           | I agree with you. The EPA classifies it as a Group B2
           | probable human carcinogen, and it has been shown to cause
           | liver and intestinal tumors in animals.
           | 
           | I wonder if the reason the industry is pushing red seaweed
           | supplementation rather than direct bromoform supplementation
           | is that the latter might require greater evidence of safety
           | (being essentially a medication rather than a foodstuff)
           | before being allowed?
        
       | valgor wrote:
       | Not eating cows or drinking cow milk reduces your carbon
       | emissions from cows 100%. You actually don't need technology or a
       | start up to solve this issue!
        
         | MsMowz wrote:
         | This isn't true unless your substitute is to eat nothing.
        
           | arcticfox wrote:
           | The "from cows" technically makes it pretty much true.
           | Regardless, it's not a constructive comment for that reason.
        
           | VBprogrammer wrote:
           | There was an interesting TV show on British TV (apologies, my
           | Google foo is not able to find the name at this moment in
           | time) where they invited a number of people to eat dishes at
           | a hypothetical restaurant, after each course the tallied the
           | carbon emissions released in creating the dish.
           | 
           | Now obviously being a TV show they had to show some extreme
           | examples but it was definitely interesting when things like
           | imported asparagus dishes released more than the British beef
           | dish. However, things like the wine were even more
           | challenging, wine imported from Australia in bulk tanks was
           | relatively ok, but wines imported after bottling (from Europe
           | for example) where horrible because of the extra
           | transportation.
        
           | valgor wrote:
           | Not all sources of food contribute equally to climate change.
           | That is why this article is about cows, and why I commented
           | about cows. They pollute the most.
        
         | beforeolives wrote:
         | You do if you want it to scale to large numbers of people.
         | Affordable lab-grown meat (when we have it) and intermediate
         | solutions like the one in this article (if it's indeed viable)
         | actually work for everybody. Even if we assume that veganism is
         | an okay choice for one's health, trying to convince people to
         | go vegan won't get you very far.
        
           | toiletfuneral wrote:
           | I agree, we've created a culture where even smallest of
           | inconveniences is literally impossible for anyone. Anyway
           | lets just finish destroying the planet because of bacon memes
           | or whatever.
        
           | Tepix wrote:
           | Look at India. There you have more than a billion people who
           | don't eat cows.
        
             | samatman wrote:
             | India isn't a great place to be looking if you don't want
             | to see a bunch of cows.
        
             | nkingsy wrote:
             | They do drink the milk
        
             | briandear wrote:
             | How's their carbon footprint?
        
               | toiletfuneral wrote:
               | way better than the US
        
               | meowgoldie wrote:
               | Not much (per capita)
        
               | ArkanExplorer wrote:
               | More importantly: what is their CO2 efficiency? How much
               | GDP and science do they output per unit of CO2?
               | 
               | India is close to Italy in Scientific output [1]: 1040
               | units vs 1104 respectively.
               | 
               | India's CO2e output is 2.62 billion tonnes, vs Italy 337
               | million tonnes.
               | 
               | India's GDP is $2.869trillion vs $2.004 trillion.
               | 
               | India's population is 1,336million vs Italy 60 million.
               | 
               | So, India consumes 7.7x the Earth's CO2 budget, but
               | generates only .94x the scientific output and 1.43x the
               | GDP.
               | 
               | Or put another way: the average Italian consumes 2.86x
               | the CO2 as the average Indian, but generates 23x the
               | scientific output and 15x the GDP.
               | 
               | Its really the 2nd and 3rd world who are flagrant wasters
               | of the Earth's resources, not the developed world.
               | Looking at CO2 on a per-capita basis is basically
               | irrelevant.
               | 
               | The inescapable solution to climate change and resource
               | degradation is population reduction of the 2nd and 3rd
               | world to density and intensity levels seen in the 1st
               | world, or perhaps even lower seeing as housing is
               | typically unaffordable in most 1st world countries.
               | 
               | This would suggest a sustainable population of India of
               | about 650 million - which was the population of the
               | country as recently as 1977 [4].
               | 
               | [1] https://www.natureindex.com/country-
               | outputs/generate/All/glo... [2]
               | https://ourworldindata.org/co2/country/india [3]
               | https://ourworldindata.org/co2/country/italy [4]
               | https://www.populationpyramid.net/india/1977/
        
               | snarf21 wrote:
               | It is such an unpopular opinion but this is the answer.
               | Humans are selfish. The earth can't sustain 8B+ people.
               | _Maybe_ 2B max with some technological advances for
               | cleaner cars and other renewables.
        
         | goda90 wrote:
         | But how much does it reduce your total carbon emissions from
         | all food sources? Any food source, animal or plant, can have a
         | big impact if the agricultural practices involved are not
         | sustainable. Destroying rain forests for palm oil plantations
         | is arguably worse than raising cattle on pre-existing
         | grasslands and using beef tallow in place of palm oil.
        
           | valgor wrote:
           | Reducing total emissions is another question.
           | 
           | Checkout the first graph on this site:
           | https://ourworldindata.org/food-choice-vs-eating-
           | local?fbcli...
           | 
           | It shows how eating animals and animal products is far worse.
           | So even if we don't immediately eliminate all carbon
           | emissions, reducing our consumption of animals can have a
           | huge impact.
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | So if we ever did have a mini ice age, releasing methane might be
       | a good way to manage it? Since it's short lived.
        
       | Doji wrote:
       | A common misconception which I frequently see when this topic
       | arises is the failure to distinguish carbon cycles and one-way
       | carbon emission.
       | 
       | You exhale carbon dioxide. However, this carbon dioxide comes
       | from the carbon in the food you eat, and the food you eat
       | obtained it from the atmosphere. Thus, it's a cycle. As a system
       | (ignoring food transportation, deforestation, etc.) it's
       | effectively carbon neutral.
       | 
       | By contrast, when we dig up oil and burn it, there is no cycle.
       | It's a one way street.
       | 
       | Methane production from cattle is slightly more complicated
       | instance of a carbon cycle. The cows produce methane, which is a
       | more potent greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide. However, it
       | degrades in the atmosphere into C02. Since this C02 was obtained
       | from the food the cattle ate, this is another cycle.
       | 
       | Since the methane released from cattle is continually degrading,
       | it does not accumulate. The total amount of bovine methane
       | resident in the atmosphere is ultimately a function of herd size,
       | or perhaps more accurately quantity of feed consumed.
       | 
       | You may be surprised to learn that cattle herd size has remained
       | relatively stable over time. Additionally our planet was once
       | host to wild ruminants like Buffalo which no longer exist in
       | large numbers. As a result I would be very surprised to learn
       | that bovine methane production is completely out of historical
       | context.
       | 
       | As a result I see this as a topic which generally serves to
       | distract from the root cause and real problem associated with
       | climate change - fossil fuel usage.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | > You exhale carbon dioxide. However, this carbon dioxide comes
         | from the carbon in the food you eat, and the food you eat
         | obtained it from the atmosphere. Thus, it's a cycle. As a
         | system (ignoring food transportation, deforestation, etc.) it's
         | effectively carbon neutral.
         | 
         | All of modern agriculture and food science has been about
         | turning inedible calories into edible ones (think: cooking meat
         | with wood, baking bread). There is almost no food you eat that
         | isn't touched by fossil fuels at some point in the process.
         | 
         | The cows are eating grain raised using anhydrous ammonia (made
         | with natural gas) and processed using diesel/gas/electricity to
         | be edible before the cow ever sees it. That cow is 'eating' all
         | of those fossil fuels. Only silvopasture cows wouldn't be, but
         | have methane emissions from those cows been studied?
        
           | fred_is_fred wrote:
           | The Haber process which you mentioned is really key here. It
           | uses a lot of natural gas - more interesting than cow methane
           | might be using nitrogen fixing bacteria or crop rotation
           | (legumes) to reduce it's usage.
        
             | analog31 wrote:
             | From what I've read, you can't grow enough legumes to fix
             | the needed amount of nitrogen for high intensity
             | agriculture. The Haber process sustains a sizable fraction
             | of the world's animal population.
        
               | seunosewa wrote:
               | Human urine would be a sufficient source of nitrogen but
               | it ends up in sewage nitrification-denitrification
               | reactors that eventually turn most of the urea back into
               | nitrogen gas so that the effluent can be safely
               | discharged into water bodies.
        
               | analog31 wrote:
               | I guess that makes sense, the nitrogen has to go
               | _somewhere_.
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | I'm not sure what it does to their methane output, but
             | can't you feed legumes straight to cows? You definitely can
             | to chickens and pigs.
        
         | mrfusion wrote:
         | Very well explained! This is the kind of insight I signed up
         | for.
        
         | josefresco wrote:
         | > distract from the root cause
         | 
         | It's all hands on deck dude. Do you think we have the luxury to
         | focus on _just_ the worst offender? People (society) can work
         | on more than one problem at-a-time, it 's not a "distraction"
         | it's doing _anything and everything_ we can to prevent
         | extinction of our species. Meat consumption and the
         | environmental damage caused by it 's infrastructure AND fossil
         | fuel usage need to be addressed, not one or the other.
        
         | samatman wrote:
         | This is the wrong way to look at it.
         | 
         | Atmospheric forcing doesn't distinguish between "natural" and
         | "unnatural" causes. Let's grant that methanogenesis from
         | ruminant bellies has been a constant throughout history
         | (unlikely, but as we'll see, irrelevant): that methane
         | contributes a certain amount to the greenhouse effect.
         | 
         | That amount is non-trivial, because methane is a potent
         | greenhouse gas, and there are a lot of cattle out there. It
         | does break down, but more is constantly being emitted: all of
         | this is factored in to calculations giving cattle's
         | contribution to warming.
         | 
         | A cheap mitigation which eliminates this source of methane is
         | great news, because it reduces the amount of greenhouse gas in
         | the atmosphere: which is the only thing we care about,
         | certainly not whether that gas is au naturale.
        
           | 8note wrote:
           | Being steady state is what matters about the boivne methane
           | production, rather than if it's natural.
           | 
           | Our problem isn't the steady state processes, it's the growth
           | ones, and we won't be able to solve our growth problems by
           | reducing the steady state ones.
        
             | samatman wrote:
             | No this is wrong.
             | 
             | It's a simple "shut up and calculate" situation, any
             | reduction of greenhouse gasses is equally to be esteemed in
             | proportion to the amount of forcing effect it eliminates
             | from the atmosphere.
             | 
             | It's true that removing all "natural" emissions is both
             | impractical and insufficient (I don't intend to stop
             | exhaling!), but reduction is reduction, full stop.
             | 
             | Besides which, what you said is wrong on the face of it:
             | turning the year-over-year growth in carbon emissions into
             | a plateau is woefully insufficient to mitigate warming.
             | Besides, we're well on track to achieve it, though some of
             | that is due to the pandemic. We have to reduce emissions
             | substantially below current levels, and find a way to
             | remove carbon from the atmosphere faster than natural
             | processes will do it for us.
             | 
             | In no conceivable way is drastically reducing bovine
             | methane anything but assistance in that goal.
        
         | psychiatrist24 wrote:
         | Oil and coal also used to be organic matter, so it also is a
         | cycle. Just a much longer one.
        
         | thealienthing wrote:
         | I never knew/considered this. I wanted to clarify something.
         | What you mean when you say that there is no cycle in the
         | burning of fossil fuels, do you just mean that it is a net
         | positive gain of carbon in the atmosphere because the carbon
         | did not originate from the atmosphere? Plants can still process
         | the carbon put there by the burning of fossil fuels but there
         | is an excess because that carbon does not originate from living
         | things? I guess I'm just trying to clarify that there isn't
         | something about the carbon from fossil fuels that makes it
         | impossible for plants to consume it.
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | Yes that's right, plants can't tell the difference between a
           | carbon atom which came from fossil fuels, and a carbon atom
           | which came from an animal. It's all mixed together /
           | fungible. Nevertheless, there's an important distinction
           | here, because emissions from food are fundamentally limited
           | by how much food we can produce, so it's carbon balanced on
           | an extremely short time horizon. Meanwhile fossil fuel
           | emissions are uncoupled from any sort of sequestration, and
           | if it balances on any time horizon at all it will be a very
           | very very long one.
        
         | vkou wrote:
         | > You may be surprised to learn that cattle herd size has
         | remained relatively stable over time.
         | 
         | It hasn't, though. You need to be comparing pre-industrial herd
         | sizes (Which fed less than a billion people) to modern herd
         | sizes (Which feed nearly 8 billion people.)
         | 
         | The per-capita beef consumption was not 8 times larger back
         | then.
         | 
         | It's true that there were large herds of wild ruminants
         | wandering around, hundreds of years ago. However, the increase
         | in the biomass of domesticated cattle vastly overshadows the
         | decrease in biomass of _all_ wild land animals.
        
         | belorn wrote:
         | The start of the carbon cycle is one which I have found to be
         | very unpopular to discuss, and it has a direct connection to
         | methane in the atmosphere. Artificial fertilizers is produce
         | through a process which takes in natural gas as its primary
         | ingredient. The process is also a major source for methane
         | leaks, with a large variance in claimed contribution for the
         | global methane pollution.
         | 
         | For a large portion of the global Methane pollution from
         | cattle, the carbon cycle started out with natural gas being
         | used to produce artificial fertilizer. If we wanted to address
         | methane pollution it would make sense to start there in order
         | to address both leaks and the introduction of carbon into the
         | system, but this is where politics comes in. Artificial
         | fertilizer is not just the building block for most cattle
         | farmers, it is also the building block for most meat
         | alternatives and the so called "renewable and carbon free"
         | biomass industry.
         | 
         | On my free time I often spend time diving in the Baltic sea,
         | and every time I go below the surface I see the effect that
         | artificial fertilizer has. The excess nutrient is killing the
         | whole area, which in turn release more methane from the ocean
         | bottom. Currently the area is around of 60,000 km2, but the
         | effect can easily be seen in nearby "healthy" areas.
        
           | epistasis wrote:
           | It will be fairly straightforward to decarbonize fertilizer
           | production, using electrolyzed hydrogen rather than natural
           | gas. As the industry matures, it's likely to be even cheaper
           | than naturals gas derived ammonia. Here's a pilot project in
           | Spain, for example:
           | 
           | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-28/spain-
           | cou...
           | 
           | However, misapplication of fertilizer, and the resulting
           | destruction of aquatic ecosystems, will take other fixes, and
           | strong penalties on farmers that do this sort of damage.
        
           | Ericson2314 wrote:
           | This is why the Carbon and other externalities taxes always
           | have to come as soon as possible. They are not just good
           | ideas in themselves, but the resulting price _corrections_
           | will make further investigation and planning easier.
           | 
           | No only is trying to do all subsidy non tax embarrassingly
           | weak politics, it's a stupid game of whac-a-mole a market can
           | just route around.
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | Fertilizer runoff has absolutely decimated the fresh and
           | brackish water systems that I'm familiar with, even in
           | protected areas.
        
           | ZeroGravitas wrote:
           | That fertilizer accounts for about 2% of global carbon
           | output, but it does seem on track to be replaced with ammonia
           | made from green hydrogen rather than steam reformed from
           | fossil gas.
           | 
           | Probably won't help with runoff issues though, as it'll be
           | chemically identical, just with a lower carbon footprint.
        
             | xyzzy21 wrote:
             | Does that include all the supply chains required? You have
             | to deal in EROEI not specific process steps.
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | This is a very insightful comment, thank you!
        
         | titzer wrote:
         | > Since the methane released from cattle is continually
         | degrading, it does not accumulate.
         | 
         | That's like saying lakes are impossible because of rivers.
         | 
         | If you look at historical methane concentrations in our
         | atmosphere, they are already almost 3x of pre-industrial
         | levels, and over 3x of mean historical levels over the past ~1
         | million years [1]
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_methane
        
           | agurk wrote:
           | Interestingly only about 1/4 of today's emissions are
           | directly caused by all agriculture according to NASA[0]. A
           | decent chuck of modern emissions are caused by other human
           | activities.
           | 
           | > Across the study years, wetlands contributed 30 percent of
           | global methane emissions, with oil, gas, and coal activities
           | accounting for 20 percent. Agriculture, including enteric
           | fermentation and manure management, made up 24 percent of
           | emissions, and landfills comprised 11 percent. Sixty-four
           | percent of emissions came from tropical regions of South
           | America, Asia, and Africa, with temperate regions accounting
           | for 32 percent and the Arctic contributing 4 percent.
           | 
           | [0] https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/146978/methane-
           | emis...
        
             | cwkoss wrote:
             | I suspect that methane emission levels from energy industry
             | are likely downplaying and underestimating total methane
             | emissions from fracking and similar activities because they
             | have a strong financial/political interest in doing so.
        
           | pharke wrote:
           | The wikipedia page you link to clearly shows that enteric
           | fermentation accounts for 16% vs Coal and Oil at 19%. There
           | is also another 36% anthropogenically produced methane in
           | that chart so I think that easily accounts for the 3x
           | increase without pinning it on cows. Interestingly rice
           | cultivation contributes a whopping 12%.
        
             | titzer wrote:
             | It's like we got shot by a firing squad of 6 people and
             | we're arguing about which one of them had the blank.
        
               | pharke wrote:
               | Not really, we're trying to do some important math to
               | figure out how to balance a carbon budget. We need to
               | know what options are on the table and how much each of
               | them contribute. It's the same as balancing a household
               | budget, you don't just flail wildly about slashing costs
               | and enduring privation. You reduce expenditures in areas
               | where they are unnecessary and try to cause the least
               | disruption to your life.
        
               | titzer wrote:
               | I get what you are trying to say, but we _don 't have a
               | carbon budget_, nor a methane budget. Maybe attitudes
               | need to shift gradually to make other people feel more
               | comfortable, but the fact is that we need to make radical
               | changes to _all_ areas of human existence in order to
               | deal properly with the magnitude of the crisis. It seems
               | like...smart...to be rational, and weigh costs and impact
               | and supposedly choose the smartest strategy and all, but
               | it 's mostly just a vehicle for one sector to shift the
               | blame on another and try to make it someone else's
               | problem. I know you specifically aren't doing that, but
               | the end result is that nothing will ever get done, as we
               | will be in analysis paralysis even as it all comes
               | unraveled.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Natural CO2 sinks that absorb carbon from volcanos exist.
               | As such we can have some net human CO2 production without
               | making things worse than they are today.
               | 
               | An 80% reduction in CO2 isn't quite enough, but it would
               | avert most issues for a long time. More importantly doing
               | something is much more productive than saying we need to
               | change everything on day one which just promotes
               | paralysis.
               | 
               | The obvious step one is to get cars and electricity to
               | ~zero. That's achievable in 20 years especially when you
               | consider gas stations closing are going to make ICE
               | engines unappealing.
        
           | graeme wrote:
           | Is that from cow herd size increases or other causes? OP's
           | point was that with q fixed herd size the amount of methane
           | accumulating in an atmosphere is stable.
           | 
           | Lakes don't grow and grow and consume the world.
        
             | sampo wrote:
             | Methane from human activities:                   Methane
             | leaks from fossil fuel systems: 30%         Methane from
             | landfills: 20%         Animal agriculture, including also
             | manure management: 30%         Plant agriculture: 15%
             | Other: 5%
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methane_emissions
             | 
             | Plant agriculture is especially rice paddies, I guess.
        
               | graeme wrote:
               | If methane is only 3x larger than before, that suggests
               | animal husbandry is only a small part of the increase.
               | 
               | The first two categories are almost entirely new.
               | Especially given human population is way bigger than it
               | was in past ages, so past landfills likely weren't so
               | large.
               | 
               | This is surprising to me as I has figured ruminants
               | caused more of an increase. If we could cut their
               | emissions by 80% with seaweed this analysis suggests
               | their overall contribution would be lower than it
               | historically was.
        
             | titzer wrote:
             | > Lakes don't grow and grow and consume the world.
             | 
             | No, they don't usually grow forever, that's true. But
             | floods happen, and that's bad. Last time methane was this
             | high it was millions of years ago, and Earth had no ice
             | caps. We have already flooded the atmosphere with methane,
             | and the consequences of this will take decades, if not
             | centuries, to play out. Contrary to our current instant-
             | gratification dopamine loops of today, the lag between
             | cause and effect isn't two damn seconds or even one frickin
             | year. So stay tuned.
             | 
             | Was it all from agriculture? We don't know. There's plenty
             | of methane coming from fossil fuel production. Just go read
             | the Wikipedia article I linked. We do know that we are
             | getting close to setting off some very bad feedback loops,
             | as arctic permafrost is starting to thaw, and it's going to
             | produce gobs of methane.
        
               | zackees wrote:
               | Going to chime in here - ice ages cause extinctions, not
               | warm ages.
               | 
               | We are in the knifes edge of too cold. A little extra
               | green house gas to buffer out the ice age is a good
               | thing.
        
               | dTal wrote:
               | _Change_ causes extinctions. If the temperature suddenly
               | swings down, things die. If it subsequently swings back
               | up, do they come back? No! More things die.
        
               | howlin wrote:
               | The problem is the millions to billions of people who are
               | living in areas that will become virtually uninhabitable
               | due to temperature changes and sea level rise. The first
               | way climate change will seriously negatively impact
               | humanity is through geopolitical conflict and a massive
               | refugee crisis.
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | Floods tend to come from melt or tonnes of heavy rain.
               | 
               | That's much more akin to digging carbon out of the ground
               | to run processes than steady state cow methane
               | production/degradation
        
         | LetThereBeLight wrote:
         | Let's not forget that all the grain those cattle are eating
         | were grown in nitrogen fixed soil produced via fossil fuels.
         | Nor that roughly 40% of the world's crops are used to feed
         | cattle. Or the other detrimental environmental effects to the
         | land such as feedlot runoff that pollute streams and rivers.
         | The environmental impact of raising cattle is by no means
         | something we should ignore.
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | I agree we should not ignore detrimental environmental
           | effects. However we should strive for a nuanced view which
           | attempts to determine root causes.
           | 
           | The root cause of artificial fertilizers is fossil fuels.
           | 
           | The root cause of feedlot runoff is... feedlots? I'm not sure
           | if there's something more fundamental at play here. I'd like
           | to see a fundamental analysis of this.
           | 
           | Cattle feed is generally not human edible, that's the beauty
           | of ruminant animals. Even conventionally raised cattle
           | usually grow up on grass, only to be finished on grain.
           | Granted as cattle are slaughtered at younger and younger
           | ages, the grain finishing portion is consuming a larger
           | percentage of their overall lifetime feed stuff. But even so
           | the grain they're eating wasn't going to just end up on your
           | dinner plate. They eat the husk and all. And besides this is
           | only bad insofar as growing food in general is bad, so that's
           | the root cause.
           | 
           | You missed deforestation, which we discussed elsewhere in the
           | comments. I recommend to check it out.
        
         | acchow wrote:
         | So you're saying if we want reduced methane in the atmosphere
         | to help alleviate the climate situation, we need to reduce herd
         | size.
         | 
         | Isn't that what reducing beef consumption does?
        
         | hcarvalhoalves wrote:
         | > By contrast, when we dig up oil and burn it, there is no
         | cycle. It's a one way street.
         | 
         | It's also a cycle, the period takes some million years though.
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | Yes this is correct, I'm guilty of oversimplifying.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | samuelbalogh wrote:
         | > You may be surprised to learn that cattle herd size has
         | remained relatively stable over time
         | 
         | This doesn't seem to be true, at all.
         | 
         | https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cattle-livestock-count-he...
         | 
         | This data goes back to 1962 and shows a trend. I suspect that
         | if we had data from before the advent of industrial
         | agriculture, that curve would tend to approximate lower and
         | lower numbers as we go back in time.
        
         | mogadsheu wrote:
         | That's a great start to understanding flows of carbon and other
         | substances through the ecosystem!
         | 
         | I'd like to add that much of the feed is grown using
         | fertilizer, which is often/typically produced via fossil-fuel
         | consuming processes (see Fischer Tropsch).
         | 
         | Where carbon is stored in the system is another major
         | consideration.
         | 
         | Great post!
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | I wasn't aware that fertilizers are commonly produced from
           | fossil fuels. That's definitely a problem!
           | 
           | I'll add some additional caveats myself. In certain areas of
           | the world (South America comes to mind) cattle production is
           | driving deforestation.
           | 
           | Food transportation and farming equipment generally consumes
           | fossil fuels.
           | 
           | I'm sure we can think of more!
        
             | samuelbalogh wrote:
             | I don't think it's fair to treat deforestation as a local
             | issue. Cattle production drives deforestation - whether
             | it's in Brazil or the USA or China, doesn't matter, because
             | we share the atmosphere.
             | 
             | Three-quarters [of global deforestation] is driven by
             | agriculture. Beef production is responsible for 41% of
             | deforestation [...]
             | 
             | https://ourworldindata.org/what-are-drivers-deforestation
        
               | Doji wrote:
               | I'm likewise unsure if it's fair to treat cattle
               | production which did not engage in deforestation (perhaps
               | located on the great plains or similar) the same as
               | cattle production which did. However I find your argument
               | interesting. I will spend more time brooding on it.
        
               | samuelbalogh wrote:
               | Thanks for the thoughtful comment!
               | 
               | It's true, not all cattle production can be held
               | accountable for deforestation. For example, here in the
               | UK, it's supposed to be a less carbon-intensive industry
               | than in South America, because the grasslands on which
               | cattle graze are good for little else - they are not
               | really suited for crops. I agree on that point.
               | 
               | However (and from this point, it's speculation from my
               | part), I am very skeptical about that grassland being
               | grassland before agriculture arrived. Eg. was it part of
               | the ancient forest that largely covered Britain? If so,
               | it was indeed deforestation, only it was around 500-1000
               | years ago.
               | 
               | And this gives a whole other dimension to the discussion
               | - we are OK with our deforestation here in Europe,
               | because it happened a long time ago, but we are not OK
               | with deforestation in Indonesia to produce palm oil
               | (which WE consume) because it's happening now. Strangely,
               | we are not that keen on re-forestation and we just want
               | to push the burden to developing nations (a form of de-
               | humanizing the poor, in my opinion).
               | 
               | I don't have any argument here, I just thought I would
               | share my thoughts.
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | How relevant is deforestation to our shared atmosphere
               | though?
               | 
               | Forests are largely steady state. They're carbon sinks
               | when you go from no forest to forest, but not just
               | keeping the forest around
        
               | samuelbalogh wrote:
               | I think that in the systemic terminology, a mature forest
               | is a carbon "stock". Deforestation means getting rid of
               | that stock and putting all of its CO2 into the
               | atmostphere by burning it. Unless you use all that wood
               | for something else (buildings or whatever) which is
               | possible but I think it's unlikely. I might be wrong
               | though!
        
         | eightysixfour wrote:
         | > You may be surprised to learn that cattle herd size has
         | remained relatively stable over time. Additionally our planet
         | was once host to wild ruminants like Buffalo which no longer
         | exist in large numbers. As a result I would be very surprised
         | to learn that bovine methane production is completely out of
         | historical context.
         | 
         | I think historical context is useful information, but just
         | because it was fine at some point in the past does not mean it
         | is fine in the current context. There are new sources of
         | greenhouse gases and, as the dominant species, we have to make
         | decisions about which ones are most important to us and make
         | trade offs. Reducing the emissions from farmed biomass means we
         | have to make less of a tradeoff.
        
         | asciimo wrote:
         | > You may be surprised to learn that cattle herd size has
         | remained relatively stable over time.
         | 
         | Absolutely surprised. Do you have science to back up this
         | claim? ... That goes back more more than a couple decades?
        
           | tomnipotent wrote:
           | Per capita red meat consumption has been declining in the
           | U.S. for decades from ~130lbs/yr in 1960 to 112lbs in 2020.
           | At the same time, chicken went from 34lbs/yr to 113lbs so
           | overall meat consumption has actually increased.
           | 
           | https://www.nationalchickencouncil.org/about-the-
           | industry/st...
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | agurk found some nice charts:
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26542283
           | 
           | I suppose some people may consider stable to be overstating
           | this situation. Nevertheless, when put into context of
           | natural wild herd sizes as done by krrrh
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26543346 , I believe my
           | overall point stands.
        
         | jillesvangurp wrote:
         | You are half right about that. It also matters how these gases
         | are released. Intensive cattle farming involves a lot of CO2
         | and methane that has more to do with supply chain of the food
         | for the animals than it has to do with the animals themselves.
         | Think soil erosion due to tilling (which emits massive amounts
         | of C02 & methane), fertilizers, pesticides, etc. needed to
         | compensate for that. Transporting of the animal food and the
         | rest of the supply chain. And getting rid of the excrement and
         | methane.
         | 
         | Compare that with regenerative farming where if done right, the
         | cattle actually captures more carbon in the soil than is
         | released as co2 or methane. Even just having animals not taking
         | a leak where they dump their manure makes a difference. Amonia
         | is nasty and gets created when you mix the two. That's why
         | cattle farms smell so nasty: it's the urine and manure mixing
         | when they shouldn't.
         | 
         | Same steak but completely different from a sustainability point
         | of view. Expensive but tasty. Might actually scale if farmers
         | were incentivized to try this. There's no shortage of land to
         | restore.
         | 
         | Feeding cattle seaweed might help a little. But maybe let's not
         | intensively farm oceans to feed land animals. That sounds like
         | a net loss.
        
         | sandworm101 wrote:
         | There are more _pounds_ of live cattle today than there ever
         | were wild bison. There are close to 94,000,000 cows in the US
         | right now.
        
           | Maursault wrote:
           | I apologize in advance for my bad math. Please adujust and
           | correct if any have the inclination. Thank you.
           | 
           | My Google results say 94.4M cows in the US. Assume a quarter
           | of those are milk cows, leaving 70.8M beef cattle. Assume a
           | ratio of 1:1 cows to calves, leaving 35.4M adult cows for
           | slaughter. 1000lbs. of cow will will average around 430
           | pounds of retail cuts. So, with 1/4 lb. servings, one cow
           | will feed 1720 people. Contrary to beef sellers' belief that
           | eating red meat every day is good, one should not consume
           | more than 3 portions of beef a week if one hopes to live to
           | old age. Population of US is 328.2M people, assuming they all
           | eat precisely maximum amount of beef a week to remain
           | healthy, that is about 51.2B servings (let's say 1.4 lb. each
           | serving) of beef a year consumed, which is about 7.4M cows
           | per year. There appears to be a needless surplus of 28M head
           | of cattle.
           | 
           | So many things bother me about the cattle industry. The
           | horror of it, the cruelty, the waste, the destruction of wild
           | habitat, the environmental impact, the greed, and the
           | bullshit idea that we as a society _need_ to do anything to
           | preserve the way of life for rich ranchers (such as the Bundy
           | 's, et al).
        
         | titzer wrote:
         | > You may be surprised to learn that cattle herd size has
         | remained relatively stable over time.
         | 
         | Do you have a source for this? Wikipedia says there are an
         | estimated 75 million ruminants worldwide, while there was a
         | peak of 1 billion cows on Earth in 2014.
        
           | agurk wrote:
           | I've been doing some research on this lately.
           | 
           | US Numbers [0] direct from USDA and World Numbers [1] who
           | claim to be from USDA but I haven't been able to confirm that
           | yet.
           | 
           | [0] https://www.nass.usda.gov/Charts_and_Maps/Cattle/inv.php
           | 
           | [1] https://beef2live.com/story-world-cattle-
           | inventory-1960-2014...
        
         | brnt wrote:
         | Even more precise: gasses in the atmosphere convert and
         | stabilize at an equilibrium concentration, depending on their
         | marginal rate of production versus conversion. Therefore, an
         | increased production van lead to an increased equilibrium
         | level.
         | 
         | Also biomass is a better proxy, and here the presence of cattle
         | has increased significantly.
        
         | oivey wrote:
         | It's kind of irrelevant whether or not a cow is carbon neutral
         | by some definition. The point is that greenhouse gas emissions
         | are effectively reduced using this feed. Sure, it isn't as
         | great as getting rid of all fossil fuels, but it's something
         | relatively easy we could do.
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | If the seaweed is a pure win, then I agree with this. I just
           | think a deeper understanding is also worthwhile.
        
           | 8note wrote:
           | As long as it doesnt add another carbon producing supply
           | chain along the way...
           | 
           | Certainly the neutrality matters - that makes it a O(1)
           | process, where as we have somewhere between O(n) to O(e^n)
           | emissions.
        
         | frederikvs wrote:
         | Even if atmospheric methane has not increased in recent times,
         | it may be a good idea to try and reduce it.
         | 
         | We have too much of one greenhouse gas, and so far we've been
         | unable to change that. Reducing another greenhouse gas could
         | partially compensate for that.
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | Sorry I didn't mean to say that atmospheric methane has not
           | increased. It definitely has, as other commenters have
           | pointed out. However, I contend that most of this increase is
           | likely from other factors. Melting of the polar ice caps,
           | factory emissions, etc.
        
         | greenshackle2 wrote:
         | > Additionally our planet was once host to wild ruminants like
         | Buffalo
         | 
         | Not at _anywhere_ near the density you find in modern
         | agriculture. Domesticated cattle and pigs alone are 15x the
         | biomass of all wild mammals combined. Wild ruminants are
         | somewhat insignificant compared to that.
         | 
         | https://www.pnas.org/content/115/25/6506
        
           | Doji wrote:
           | This article measures current biomass distribution. Given
           | that Bison herds in North America has reduced from 60 million
           | to 30 thousand, and I suspect other species have seen similar
           | changes, I'm not surprised by the result.
           | 
           | Also as a point of nuance, I'd like to say that I'm sure we
           | have actually increased biomass density. If we had not, our
           | farms wouldn't be doing their jobs very well. I'm not trying
           | to say no increase has occurred, simply that it is less than
           | one might expect. Unfortunately I don't have exact numbers to
           | back this up though. I wasn't planning on writing all this
           | when I woke up today, and it's admittedly not my field.
           | Here's to hoping more informed people take over!
        
             | krrrh wrote:
             | > I'd like to say that I'm sure we have actually increased
             | biomass density. If we had not, our farms wouldn't be doing
             | their jobs very well.
             | 
             | As you stated, this doesn't need to be the case since a lot
             | productivity gains come down to more frequent harvesting.
             | The natural lifespan (not average due to low survival rates
             | in the first year) of a Bison can be up to 18-20 years,
             | while a typical beef cow is slaughtered at 18 months.
             | Ruffed grouse have an average lifespan of 1.5 years or so,
             | but can make it up to 7 years or more. Chickens are
             | typically slaughtered at 8 weeks.
             | 
             | As for crops, large swathes of them replaced forest which
             | were larger pools of biomass that still cycled into the
             | atmosphere through decay and fire.
        
             | eigenket wrote:
             | 60 million to 30 thousand is a rounding error, there are
             | 1.5 billion cattle in the world.
        
               | Doji wrote:
               | You're comparing north america to the world, and the
               | American Bison are only one species while cattle have
               | displaced many species.
        
               | krrrh wrote:
               | Bison have never roamed outside of North America, so
               | let's look at local cattle numbers instead of worldwide
               | populations if we want to compare.
               | 
               | There are 94.4 million cattle in the United States and
               | around 4.5 million in Canada according to a quick web
               | search.
               | 
               | A full grown Bison weighs 1600kg, and the average weight
               | of a steer at slaughter is 600kg or so.
               | 
               | There was likely a dip between the virtual wiping out of
               | Bison in the 19th century and the re-establishment of
               | large herds of ruminants across the Great Plains via
               | ranching, but in terms of biomass I think we can at least
               | say that they are in the same ballpark.
               | 
               | (this puts aside the extirpation of antelope and deer
               | species from large areas of their previous ranges. There
               | were for instance 10 million elk in North America prior
               | to European contact compared to 1 million today at
               | 400-500kg fully grown).
               | 
               | (edit: according to statista your headline number of 1.5
               | billion is also off: " The global cattle population
               | amounted to about 989.03 million head in 2019, down from
               | over one billion cattle in 2014." --
               | https://www.statista.com/statistics/263979/global-cattle-
               | pop... )
        
       | gambiting wrote:
       | There is an incredibly important part of this that I feel
       | everyone is missing.
       | 
       | The grass eaten by the cows would produce exactly as much methane
       | if it was just left to rot. It's not as if cows somehow produce
       | methane out of grass that would otherwise just....turn into dust?
       | 
       | None of those studies take this into account, they all just
       | measure what comes into a cow and what comes out, but no one
       | takes into account the amount of methane produced from the same
       | feed even without cows involved.
       | 
       | https://www.cbc.ca/radio/quirks/mar-2-2019-the-goodness-para...
        
         | eigenket wrote:
         | This point relies on the assumption that the cattle are out
         | eating grass (or other plants) which would naturally be growing
         | and rotting without human intervention.
         | 
         | This is kinda not true. Grazing systems supply about 9 percent
         | of the world's production of beef [1]. 80% of the global
         | soybean crop is used to feed livestock [2]. A lot of these
         | soybeans are grown on land that used to be rainforest.
         | 
         | Your comparison shouldn't be cow vs grassland - it should be
         | rainforest vs (cow + soybean + transport + processing).
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cattle_feeding#Types_of_cattle...
         | 
         | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soybean
        
           | tengbretson wrote:
           | Surely its clear that if the soybeans aren't growing in the
           | field that something else that grows, dies and decomposes
           | would be.
        
             | eigenket wrote:
             | Yeah, and we even have a word for the "something else" that
             | you're describing - its a rainforest.
        
             | mattnewton wrote:
             | Something like a forest with large trees that lock up
             | carbon for many years, and a lack of commercial fertilizer
             | (which uses natural gas).
        
         | tw04 wrote:
         | I don't think they're missing that at all. The cattle in
         | question are eating feed (mainly corn) not grass.
         | 
         | Furthermore the grass in question likely wouldn't "decompose"
         | like what I believe that's describing. It probably depends on
         | where you're physically located, but in the north - grass grows
         | for the duration of the season, until it eventually dries out
         | in the fall to go dormant over the winter. I guess I haven't
         | personally tracked that process but I would be very surprised
         | if it's releasing methane in the same way that freshly cut
         | grass left to decompose (via bacteria) would.
        
         | jessermeyer wrote:
         | Why is this incredibly important? Is there some huge proportion
         | of unused, rotting feed in the world?
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | Honestly, I don't trust the source. What an animal science
         | professor says off the cuff in an interview is something that
         | should be verified with real data.
         | 
         | The question relies on how much carbon ends up in CO2, CH4, and
         | fixed in the soil between use of what would become cattle feed.
         | Carbon is conserved without a doubt, but how much ends up as
         | gas and which gas is important.
         | 
         | Carbon dioxide doesn't matter because every bit which ends up
         | in the air had to be taken from the air a short time before to
         | build plant matter. Methane matters because it is a much more
         | potent greenhouse gas and how much gets as methane instead of
         | carbon dioxide makes a difference.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | jstimpfle wrote:
         | If there is no difference there (I don't know anything about
         | this), doesn't agriculture at least lead to higher rate /
         | volume of grass growth?
        
         | TheAdamAndChe wrote:
         | Only grass decomposed in an anaerobic environment would produce
         | methane. Grass decomposed aerobically would produce CO2
         | instead.
        
           | gambiting wrote:
           | But methane decomposes into CO2 on a relatively short
           | timescale(12 years?) so surely....it's a wash?
        
             | ufo wrote:
             | Those couple of years where the carbon is in the form of
             | methane instead of CO2 have a big impact because methane is
             | a much stronger greenhouse gas.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | Not a wash. Methane has 85x the impact per unit as co2
             | which has a half life of 27 years.
        
         | augustocallejas wrote:
         | Wouldn't they make less grass then if it wasn't used to feed
         | cows as much?
        
         | PZ81JUXJE7uJ wrote:
         | The problem is, most weed is produced exclusively for cows, so
         | your argument does not work.
        
         | BlackCherry wrote:
         | But the cows eat the grass a lot faster than it would be
         | rotting right? So wouldn't the speed of the methane entering
         | the atmosphere be faster?
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | >But the cows eat the grass a lot faster than it would be
           | rotting right?
           | 
           | Not really? Otherwise grass fields would piled up with grass
           | several feet high.
        
         | InitialLastName wrote:
         | Would there be perhaps less feed grown if cows were
         | supplemented with other feed? If 20% less of the cows' calories
         | come from methane-producing sources, 20% less land/duty cycle
         | is needed for cattle grazing/growing feed, so other things can
         | be grown or don't get cropped as quickly.
        
         | smcl wrote:
         | I've got a question that may be stupid. So if you cut the same
         | amount of grass a cow would eat every day and let it rot, then
         | over the course of (say) a year both would release the same
         | amount of methane overall. Do we know if this is the same as if
         | we did _nothing_ to that grass - just let it grow and sit
         | there, without repeatedly cutting it back? Because to me this
         | seems to be what you 'd want to compare against.
        
         | xphilter wrote:
         | That simply can't be true in the wild. If that much carbon was
         | released from plants in the wild, we'd never have coal or oil,
         | right? Composting the grass might be the same as cows, but that
         | process doesn't happen everywhere there's grass. In the wild,
         | the grass would be trampled and new grass would sprout up to
         | cover it, layers of soil would be generated. But honestly I'm
         | just guessing, but your claim seems so far off the mark.
        
           | jhayward wrote:
           | Coal and oil come from carbon captured during the
           | Carboniferous period, before the evolution of species of
           | bacteria and fungi that could digest the lignin in plants.
           | 
           | Coal and oil formation is not being fed by plant life today.
           | The carbon in plants is recycled rather quickly in to the
           | ecosphere.
        
             | xphilter wrote:
             | Fair. So then I would augment my comment to focus just on
             | soil production in the wild. Not all of the plant debris is
             | being composted. It gets buried too.
        
               | PeterisP wrote:
               | IMHO any plant debris that gets buried in the soil is -
               | in the long term - also composted, only its breakdown is
               | slower.
        
           | unchocked wrote:
           | I'm really glad you asked that! The reason we have coal and
           | oil today is that earlier in Earth's history microorganisms
           | lacked the enzyme to metabolize cellulose (the most abundant
           | bioorganic material). So until then, it was buried and
           | accumulated as fossil fuels.
           | 
           | Today's ecosystem can metabolize cellulose, so no more fossil
           | fuel production. Quite literally an unsustainable fuel!
        
             | xphilter wrote:
             | No I understand how it works. But what I'm saying is that
             | the enzymes/bacteria in the wild dont process grass like a
             | cows gut. You need composting to happen vs trampling and
             | burying the grass. But ty!
        
         | stevespang wrote:
         | Not only that - - - but the effect of the red seaweed wears off
         | over time as gut microbiota adjust to the methane depressant .
         | . . .
        
         | m000 wrote:
         | > None of those studies take this into account, they all just
         | measure what comes into a cow and what comes out, but no one
         | takes into account the amount of methane produced from the same
         | feed even without cows involved.
         | 
         | Nobody's missing anything. That feed wouldn't have been planted
         | in the first place if it weren't for feeding the cows. And that
         | would translate to less deforestation [1].
         | 
         | [1] https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-53438680
        
           | tengbretson wrote:
           | Then just buy American beef, which is produced without any
           | deforestation.
        
             | ddoeth wrote:
             | Except the beef that isn't from free roaming animals but
             | from mass producing facilities.
        
             | titzer wrote:
             | Is that sarcasm? Pretty much the entire midwest was forest
             | before colonization. Now take a look at Illinois, Indiana,
             | Iowa, Missouri...they're basically one big farm criscrossed
             | by roads, highways, sprinkled with small spinneys of trees,
             | and dotted with cities. Just load up Google Earth,
             | satellite mode, turn off all labels, and zoom out. It's
             | astonishing.
        
               | bpodgursky wrote:
               | This just isn't true. The Eastern half the US was heavily
               | deforested by colonization, but that's really not true in
               | the midwest. It was prarie.
               | 
               | There are actually a lot of researchers who believe that
               | the Native peoples were keeping the forests back via
               | controlled burns, since grassland is better for hunting
               | and agriculture, and the forests have regrown
               | substantially _since_ most of the indigenous people died
               | via disease.
        
               | titzer wrote:
               | Go argue with historians, if you like:
               | https://blog.history.in.gov/tag/forestry/
        
               | pmayrgundter wrote:
               | Indiana is the beginning of the Eastern forests. Prairie
               | starts in Illinois and extends over most of the Midwest
               | and runs North/South along the Rockies well into Canada
               | and down to Texas, New Mexico.. nice map: https://en.m.wi
               | kipedia.org/wiki/Tallgrass_prairie#/media/Fil...
        
               | bpodgursky wrote:
               | Like, I'm not saying wikipedia is an infallible source of
               | truth, but I'm not exactly arguing for ancient aliens
               | here:
               | 
               | > In the Eastern Deciduous Forest, frequent fires kept
               | open areas which supported herds of bison. A substantial
               | portion of this forest was extensively burned by
               | agricultural Native Americans. Annual burning created
               | many large oaks and white pines with little
               | understory.[10]
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pre-
               | Columbian_savannas_of_Nort...
        
             | crishoj wrote:
             | Are you accounting for animal feed grown on deforested
             | lands?
        
             | DubiousPusher wrote:
             | It's not that simple. Not all American beef is raised on
             | native grasses.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | Why is native or not native important from a carbon
               | balance perspective? Alfalfa still pulls carbon from the
               | air when it grows.
        
               | sdenton4 wrote:
               | Corn, people... American cows prominently eat corn.
               | 
               | It is extremely fertilizer and pesticide intensive, and
               | entirely engineered. As pointed out elsewhere in this
               | thread, the fertilizers are also fossil fuel based.
        
               | incrudible wrote:
               | > ...fertilizers are also fossil fuel based.
               | 
               | True, but these only account for 1% of energy demand[1].
               | Fertilizer is all about the nitrogen, not the carbon. The
               | carbon for the corn is taken from the atmosphere.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii
               | /S09213...
        
               | DubiousPusher wrote:
               | Yeah, this is a bit what I was getting at. But all I know
               | about cattle comes from my family's cattle background in
               | Eastern Montana and the high valleys of the SouthWest
               | corner of the state. In both those regions, many cows are
               | raised in naturally occurring pastures, eating native
               | grasses, save oats which are sown as a cover crop.
               | 
               | However, my impression this is very unique and produces
               | much less pounds of beef per acre than most places. The
               | cattle breeds there are leaner and half wild. I'm
               | hesitant to speak more definitively because I don't know
               | specific statistics on how ranches in other regions
               | differ. My impression is that the difference are
               | substantial.
        
               | DubiousPusher wrote:
               | What I should say is, not all American beef is fed from
               | naturally occurring pasture land. In fact, a good deal of
               | it is not.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | At this point, nearly all agricultural land was converted
               | a century ago. The trend now is more towards decreasing
               | total agricultural acreage if anything?
               | 
               | No one in America has slash and burned a forest to feed
               | cattle for a very long time.
        
           | briandear wrote:
           | So what would grow in that dirt instead? Nothing?
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | That seems wildly misleading? The rainforests that were there
           | before certainly produce methane and other gases as things
           | rot. Total biomass in a rainforest is generally stable - it
           | is not really a sink over any significant timeframes. Plants
           | take sunlight, use the energy from it to rip the oxygen off
           | co2 releasing oxygen as a byproduct, and carbon to build
           | themselves with.
           | 
           | Unless rainforests have an ever increasing layer of carbon
           | (charcoal/coal) building up under them - which they do not -
           | they stabilize with their total carbon intake being roughly
           | the same as carbon released through other means. In most
           | cases this happens (rate decreasing over time, though total
           | carbon storage quantity slowly increases until a wildfire) in
           | less than 100 years after a complete denudation event, most
           | of it happening much sooner than that.
           | 
           | If you want to lock up carbon, you need to take it from the
           | plants and sequester it somewhere natural forces (rot,
           | weathering) won't break it back down again - like a house, or
           | in a cave, or in a hypoxic environment.
           | 
           | Methane is definitely a significantly more powerful forcing
           | gas than co2, but also breaks down in the atmosphere in a
           | short period of time into co2. Cow fart composition changes
           | also only have a similar local, short term effect.
           | 
           | Short term effects can be helpful, but this only changes some
           | parts of the (closed) cycle.
           | 
           | You only really change the math if you change how things are
           | getting into or out of the overall cycle, which requires long
           | term bonding of carbon to things such as rocks, or burial.
           | 
           | Converting atmospheric co2 (or methane) into plastic that
           | gets buried in a landfill is net negative carbon balance for
           | instance. Making the plastic out of oil products and then
           | putting it in a landfill - net neutral (minus processing
           | energy costs). Burning it for fuel? Contributes fossil carbon
           | into the atmosphere.
        
             | bob29 wrote:
             | >The rainforests that were there before certainly produce
             | methane
             | 
             | Conditions on the forest floor typically facilitate aerobic
             | decomposition which does not release methane. [1]
             | 
             | >If you want to lock up carbon, you need to take it from
             | the plants and sequester it somewhere natural forces (rot,
             | weathering) won't break it back down again - like a house,
             | or in a cave, or in a hypoxic environment.
             | 
             | Hypoxic environment is exactly the conditions methanogenic
             | bacteria operate in to turn biomass into methane. [2]
             | 
             | > Converting atmospheric co2 (or methane) into plastic that
             | gets buried in a landfill is net negative carbon balance
             | for instance.
             | 
             | Except for the energy needed to convert the molecules, the
             | energy needed to transport plastic to a landfill. Energy
             | production and transportation both are powered by fossil
             | fuels mostly.
             | 
             | [1]http://whatcom.wsu.edu/ag/compost/fundamentals/considera
             | tion...
             | 
             | [2]http://solarcities.eu/faq
        
         | matteuan wrote:
         | Interesting, but still I don't think your comment is very
         | relevant to this. Without cows we could have a forest instead
         | of grass, instead of leaving it to rot. So if the number of
         | cows remains constant you benefit from reducing methane
         | emissions.
        
           | gambiting wrote:
           | But that's an issue with _where_ we feed the cows, isn 't it?
           | 
           | For instance - cows are raised on many parts of moorlands in
           | the UK, where they eat only the grass growing there. But if
           | you removed the cows, the moors would be exactly as they are
           | now - they cannot support forests or any other kind of
           | vegetation, because they are basically solid rock with an
           | inch of soil on top. I understand that on the "intensive
           | farming" lots where cows are fed corn/hay specifically grown
           | for them that doesn't really apply - but farmers do
           | absolutely raise cows in such places where it makes no
           | difference - even in the absence of cows or sheep you aren't
           | going to have a forest there.
           | 
           | I understand this isn't potentially isn't helpful, but the
           | problem is very nuanced - some cows are fed in such a way
           | that their methane emissions are a net positive. But I'm also
           | sure there are some where the emissions aren't positive at
           | all, yet it's all bundled into the same "meat causes climate
           | destruction" bandwagon.
        
             | telchar wrote:
             | I think you're underselling moorlands here. Trees can be
             | planted on moors, and other even more carbon-sinking
             | activity too: "It's worth remembering that the peatlands of
             | the UK store more carbon than the woodlands of the UK,
             | France and Germany combined!" [0]
             | 
             | [0] https://www.moorsforthefuture.org.uk/our-
             | purpose/habitats-fo...
        
         | goda90 wrote:
         | I'd like to see an actual study on this. Yeah decomposing grass
         | releases methane, but in the wild does it release as much
         | methane as it would being digested by a cow?
         | 
         | Lets say the carbon in the grass goes into the cow and X% goes
         | through the cow's metabolism and is exhaled as CO2 or becomes
         | part of the cow itself. Y% becomes a part of the cow's manure.
         | Z% is released as methane into the air. The carbon of grass
         | decomposing on the ground will turn some parts as methane into
         | the air, but also some parts into the food chain of smaller
         | creatures, some parts as CO2 into the air, and some parts into
         | the soil itself. Cows and decomposing grass releasing the same
         | amount of methane seems unlikely to me.
         | 
         | That's not to say I think we should eliminate cattle. Well
         | managed grazing actually does amazing things for the health of
         | soil, and can even fight desertification.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | helen___keller wrote:
         | I'm not sure how much this point matters, because the
         | alternative isn't a field of rotting grass. If the land is
         | undeveloped, the alternative is likely some kind of forest. If
         | the land is developed, the alternative is probably cropland.
         | Also to be clear, we're not just talking grass, there's also a
         | massive amount of industrially farmed grains to fatten the them
         | up, which wouldn't have been industrially farmed if it wasn't
         | demanded for feeding cattle. So there's no real equivalence
         | here.
        
       | hannob wrote:
       | Just wanted to point out: This is a study with 21 subjects, split
       | into three groups. Those are very small numbers.
       | 
       | This "we can make cows climate friendly with seaweed" story pops
       | up regularly. Call me skeptical as long as this is based on a few
       | small studies and nobody ever tried this at scale.
        
       | airhead969 wrote:
       | This is like improving ICEs to enable their continued existence.
       | To what end?
       | 
       | How about eliminating meat ag altogether since it's a waste of
       | resources, a significant component of man-made climate change, a
       | pandemic risk, a major source of pollution, driver of
       | deforestation, and poses a threat to antibiotic resistance? But
       | no, the typical rationalizations include: "Muh cheezburger is muh
       | freedom. I can eat whatever I want. Where you gonna get protein,
       | you pushy vegan weirdo, lettuce? Vegetables cost too much."
        
         | klmadfejno wrote:
         | You could start by not representing people who eat meat as
         | stereotypical fat redneck americans, which, in addition to just
         | being baseline offensive, is hardly a dominant trait among
         | people who eat meat.
        
           | airhead969 wrote:
           | Some of my extended family raise longhorns in Texas for tax
           | dodge ("working farm") and social validation reasons. They
           | are definitely obese, redneck Americans who chew tobacco and
           | are months away from their latest stroke, heart attack,
           | and/or cancer.
        
             | klmadfejno wrote:
             | That's great for you. However, your extended longhorn
             | family is not the only group of people that eats meat, and
             | you come across poorly for making a straw man portrayal
             | otherwise.
        
           | 52-6F-62 wrote:
           | I question whether people who make such remarks have ever met
           | a farmer.
           | 
           | I really dislike this method of trying to attain one's
           | vision; wantonly throwing around absolutes and creating
           | enemies out of neighbours. It's hubris personified.
        
         | jamesgreenleaf wrote:
         | You're essentially correct, and (I think) being downvoted for
         | the tone of your rhetoric, which could be phrased in a more
         | pleasing and convincing way. Also, most of us do love
         | cheeseburgers, unhealthy though they may be.
         | 
         | Either way, humanity hasn't matured enough for this viewpoint
         | to be considered common sense. Give us another few centuries.
        
           | airhead969 wrote:
           | The truth is painful and people will never listen because it
           | threatens their identity and their lifestyle, so it doesn't
           | matter how it's phrased. Only top-down mandates, unlike
           | democratic processes, can solve climate change. I hope China
           | threatens every country with obliteration unless they meet
           | net carbon negative goals and participate in international
           | CCS efforts to reduce GHGs immediately. No other mechanism
           | will work because 99.9% of the planet aren't wise enough to
           | save their own children. Those who prevent or avoid climate
           | change GHG reductions are tantamount to firing guns at
           | everyone else. And what do you do with someone who is trying
           | to kill you and your family?
        
             | peytn wrote:
             | That's not necessarily the truth. It's more of a hypothesis
             | or opinion.
             | 
             | In any case, enforcement of anything will require boots on
             | the ground (or boots programming and building the drones).
             | So you'll have to convince the unwise 99.9% of _something_.
             | Unilateral climate rescue by the enlightened 0.1% is, to
             | me, a fantasy, as is anybody listening to threats by the
             | Chinese government. They already do a lot of threatening.
             | 
             | In my opinion, this line of thinking will inevitably be
             | hijacked to commit genocide so some group or groups can
             | stay in power.
             | 
             | Would be nice to find another way.
        
         | ReadFList wrote:
         | How about we keep eating locally produced meat because it's
         | healthy, far more than those "fake" meats that are no more than
         | vegetable oils, estrogen from soy and the likes, and chemicals
         | to add flavour, and instead reduce waste? Do you really think
         | that the increase in vegetable prodution would not have any
         | environmental impact? We grow them out of the air?
         | 
         | And ICE should continue to exist to make sure we stop at the
         | border all those who break the law to try to entering a
         | country. No country owes any right to foreigners to enter
         | illegally. Let them fix their countries first :)
        
           | paulcole wrote:
           | https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/soy/
           | 
           | > Results of recent population studies suggest that soy has
           | either a beneficial or neutral effect on various health
           | conditions
        
           | samuelbalogh wrote:
           | Eating local doesn't even make a dent in reducing your carbon
           | footprint.
           | 
           | https://ourworldindata.org/food-choice-vs-eating-local
        
           | etu wrote:
           | Soy doesn't contain estrogen, it contains phytoestrogen which
           | looks very much like estrogen but actually has the opposite
           | effect and block "real" estrogen. Phytoestrogen can help to
           | lower estrogen levels.
           | 
           | Do you know where real estrogen comes from? Female animals.
           | Do you know the gender of basically all meat/egg/milk
           | products comes from? Females. So that's where your estrogen
           | comes from.
           | 
           | Not from Soy.
        
         | rebuilder wrote:
         | The devil is in the details, like: how do you get it done?
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | You mean convince people to stop eating meat?
           | 
           | It's already happening. At least in germany the number of
           | vegan meat alternatives has exploded.
           | 
           | These used to be niche products, you could only get in
           | specialty stores. Now there's whole supermarked isles
           | dedicated to them.
           | 
           | The solution is pretty simple.
           | 
           | Stop subsidizing meat and diary farmers. Stop their lobbying,
           | which results in ridiculous laws like the ones in the EU,
           | where you're not allowed to call Almond-milk Almond-milk,
           | because the diary lobbied for "milk" to be a protected term.
           | 
           | Put that money into vegan alternatives, and people will buy
           | them automatically.
        
             | airhead969 wrote:
             | There is limited progress in terms of store representation,
             | but it's not nearly fast or complete enough. It has to be
             | mandated to stop it because there are too many "no mask,
             | anti vaxx" people who will never stop using it like sugar
             | of lead, DDT, asbestos, PTFE, or leaded gasoline.
             | 
             | "Almond milk" grow of almonds is a waste of water in water-
             | scarce areas. Also, compounds in almonds bind to
             | testosterone. It's a very wasteful product.
        
           | samuelbalogh wrote:
           | Use the soy we are feeding cattle to feed humans directly.
           | Cut out the middleman - lots of resources freed up all of a
           | sudden.
           | 
           | Keep subsidies to beef low and increase subsidies for plant
           | protein (peas, beans, soy).
           | 
           | Encourage healthy plant-based diets all over the world.
           | 
           | Profit from the vast areas saved to start reforestation
           | projects.
        
             | airhead969 wrote:
             | Why not tax meat into oblivion?
        
               | samuelbalogh wrote:
               | That would possibly be a solution, but alas I don't think
               | it's going to happen anywhere soon.
        
         | fastball wrote:
         | What if you: feed them algae, don't deforest, and don't give
         | them antibiotics unless absolutely necessary?
        
           | airhead969 wrote:
           | Where would the land come from to grow all of the grain
           | required to feed 10 billion people Big Macs? Meat ag doesn't
           | scale sustainably. See also: CAFOs.
        
             | fastball wrote:
             | Sure, and no CAFOs (which is somewhat a given/necessary if
             | you're not abusing antibiotics). So grass-and-algae-fed
             | beef in regions where growing crops for human consumption
             | is not very viable, because not everything grows everywhere
             | and because humans (unlike cattle) do not have 4 stomachs
             | with which to process plants that are not particularly
             | nutritious.
             | 
             | Additionally, are you implying that _anyone_ is suggesting
             | beef should be the primary food source for 10B people?
             | Because I 've never seen anyone make that claim. You didn't
             | say "how about we reduce meat ag and use something more
             | scalable for feeding most people", which is a stance I
             | agree with. Instead, you said "how about eliminating meat
             | ag altogether", which is what I was replying to.
        
         | samuelbalogh wrote:
         | I 100% agree.
         | 
         | Even after the swine flu, bird flu, SARS, MERS, covid, HIV and
         | other viruses, we are still keeping animals in confined spaces,
         | butchering them and selling their meat on markets so we can
         | consume parts of their dead bodies, hurting our planet and
         | ourselves in the process.
         | 
         | It's a grim side of humanity.
         | 
         | edit: prions too, not just viruses.
        
         | HDMI_Cable wrote:
         | To be fair, improving ICEs have been a massive help for
         | mitigating climate change. Going from 60s muscle cars to
         | current day hybrids has undoubtedly helped with NOx emissions.
         | 
         | Adding algae to feed might not get rid of meat production
         | altogether, but it is a good transitional step.
        
           | Robotbeat wrote:
           | I suppose, but it has also enabled larger and larger vehicles
           | compared to the small vehicles of the late 70s. SUVs have
           | never been more popular.
           | 
           | To defeat Jevons Paradox (where greater efficiency just means
           | more of the thing is consumed, making it potentially even
           | worse than before), you gotta electrify everything. Perhaps
           | even meat. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox
        
             | airhead969 wrote:
             | SUVs are the dominant vehicles produced in the US. Many
             | small- and mid-sized car lines have ceases production.
             | 
             | Tax engine displacement into oblivion and then require EVs.
             | 
             | Similarly, tax meat ag into oblivion and then outlaw it.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | The best way to do it for cars IMHO is to add SUVs (etc)
               | to the EPA fuel economy standards, double the minimum
               | efficiency standard, and adjust the penalties for
               | inflation from when it was first introduced. The EPA fuel
               | economy standards actually poll really well (compared to
               | gas taxes).
               | 
               | Then, like you say, require EVs as soon as possible.
               | 
               | In more detail, I'd say reinstate the EV credit, but make
               | it per-mile range instead of per kWh (and make the
               | benefits for the first 50 miles like 3-4x that for the
               | next 200 miles... and make the latter credit only
               | eligible if there's 100kW charging capability... and make
               | the total incentive up to $10,000, which is roughly the
               | inflation adjusted original EV credit). Then after 4-5
               | years, require all new cars/trucks to at least have a
               | plug, followed by all new cars/trucks having to be pure
               | electric 5 years after that. Adjust the credits for
               | inflation and simultaneously Phase out the credits for
               | plugs once they're required and then pure electric once
               | that is required. Once most vehicles on the road have a
               | plug, introduce higher carbon tax on fuel until it
               | reaches at least $1-2/gallon (and then require all fuel
               | to be synthesized for direct air capture CO2). After 15
               | years of the first mandate, start outlawing internal
               | combustion engine vehicles on the road or requiring
               | punitive registration fees. And transition road taxes to
               | miles and weight-based about 5-10 years after the
               | mandates start to bite. Keep electricity prices low by
               | subsidizing clean electricity and then ratcheting up the
               | CO2 taxes.
               | 
               | The aim should be to provide a strong carrot incentive
               | well before a stick incentive. Carrots pill better than
               | sticks. And the stick incentives don't get enough
               | political support until they only apply to a minority of
               | people.
        
       | PortlandMEnerd wrote:
       | Am I the only one who is wondering why the sample size was so
       | small? It looks like only 21 cows were used and 7 of them were
       | used as controls.
        
       | j-pb wrote:
       | I guess everything helps, but we put so much effort into the
       | problems with easy solutions, that could be invested into the
       | difficult stuff.
       | 
       | Livestock contributes to 15% of all greenhouse gasses. But the
       | solution is easy, cheap, and only midly inconvenient. Going
       | vegan.
       | 
       | This has the added benefit of protecting threatened ecosystems in
       | the rainforrest and seas.
       | 
       | We could then spend that energy on the difficult stuff. Fast
       | tracked rollout of renevables and interrim energy storage.
        
         | whitepaint wrote:
         | > But the solution is easy, cheap, and only midly inconvenient.
         | 
         | Making ~99% of people vegans is anything but easy, cheap, and
         | mildly inconvenient. In fact, it is impossible (until we manage
         | to replicate meat in the lab).
         | 
         | Your view is ridiculously myopic; I will not and most people
         | will not stop eating meat anytime soon. It is a simple fact and
         | you must accept it before trying to solve this. Real solutions
         | are something like the article describes.
        
           | fogihujy wrote:
           | To put things in perspective, I'm still trying to convince
           | the in-laws to recycle basic things like paper and plastic
           | instead of simply burning it in a barrel in the back-yard,
           | and to recycle glass and metal instead of just throwing it in
           | the bin. Because, you know, recycling is "mildly
           | inconvenient".
        
         | AtlasBarfed wrote:
         | "But the solution is easy, cheap, and only mildly inconvenient.
         | Going Vegan."
         | 
         | "But the solution is easy, cheap, and only mildly inconvenient.
         | Ride a bicycle."
         | 
         | "But the solution is easy, cheap, and only mildly inconvenient.
         | Live in a solar powered minihome."
         | 
         | ""But the solution is easy, cheap, and only mildly
         | inconvenient. Don't reproduce/have kids."
         | 
         | "But the solution is easy, cheap, and only mildly inconvenient.
         | No plastics."
         | 
         | I am a huge environmentalist, and I've adopted large swathes of
         | these policies personally. As MIB said, a person is smart,
         | rational, and reasonable, but PEOPLE are scared, stupid, and
         | crazy. They are lazy, apathetic, ingrained in habit, and tired.
         | 
         | Global warming in particular should be pursued in a multifront
         | effort. No one can prognosticate and see "this is where we put
         | ALL our efforts". To succeed it needs to be a combined,
         | iterative, democratic process of research, technology,
         | education, and cultural advancement.
        
           | titzer wrote:
           | > PEOPLE are scared, stupid, and crazy. They are lazy,
           | apathetic, ingrained in habit, and tired.
           | 
           | I think we both know where this is going.
           | 
           | Me? I pick up litter. It's time to put lipstick on this pig.
        
         | CarelessExpert wrote:
         | This reasoning is flawed in the same way recycling is flawed:
         | it puts all the responsibility on individuals to change their
         | behaviour rather than government or industry using their
         | greater leverage to change the system itself.
         | 
         | And it'll work just as well.
         | 
         | If you want to stop people eating meat, the solution is to tax
         | it so that the price of the good reflects its true cost. But
         | that ain't gonna happen. So the least we can do is clean up the
         | production and supply chains to reduce those externalized
         | costs.
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | What makes you think that it's not going to happen?
           | 
           | It's already happening to such a degree that diary and meat
           | farmer interest groups are HEAVILY lobbying the EU, to make
           | it as difficult as possible for replacement products.
           | 
           | We might as well put our efforts into cleaning up these
           | roadblocks/corruption to a brighter future.
           | 
           | And why can't we do both?
           | 
           | Expect individuals to go vegan, expect governments to support
           | the development of vegan substitutes. Have people take the
           | bike instead of cars more often, but have a carbon tax on
           | flights.
        
         | danlugo92 wrote:
         | Meat makes human healthy like no plant based protein does.
         | 
         | Also, in terms of non processed stuff, the highest protein-to-
         | calories ratio is Chicken Breast, lentils don't even come close
         | (if you need 180g of protein, chicken breast will cost you
         | 800calories while lentils will 2400cal).
         | 
         | Now I'm not aware whether eating chicken contributes as much
         | CO2 as beef, but if it doesn't, why not tell people to switch
         | to chicken instead of plant based stuff.
        
         | anonuser123456 wrote:
         | >Going vegan.
         | 
         | So not a solution.
        
         | jinkyu wrote:
         | lol. vegan is just as bad if not worse for the climate.
         | _sustainable_ vegan is horrifically expensive. go make a
         | victory garden in your back yard and sell your car if you feel
         | so strongly about this.
        
         | paulcole wrote:
         | > I guess everything helps
         | 
         | This is a dangerous attitude. While technically true it gives
         | everyone an easy cop out to avoid making real substantive
         | change.
         | 
         | Some things help and some things _help_.
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | Yeah, don't cop out, go vegan then ;)!
        
             | paulcole wrote:
             | Yep! I have. I also don't drive, don't fly on airplanes,
             | live in a tiny apartment, and will never have kids.
        
         | rhinoceraptor wrote:
         | How will we fix the topsoil damage caused by industrial
         | monocropping without grazing animals? We only have a few
         | decades left before our petrochemical dependent agricultural
         | system will be impossible to sustain.
         | 
         | Also, rebuilding topsoil with grazing animals has a side
         | benefit of being a carbon sink.
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | For every m2 of top soil you repair with grazing animals, you
           | deforest 10 m2 of rainforest to produce their feed.
        
             | LegitShady wrote:
             | What if you don't get your feed from the rainforest? I'm
             | confused with the cause and effect of your statement.
        
               | j-pb wrote:
               | Most crops grown are for livestock.
               | 
               | We grow so much that we've stated to deforest the
               | amazonas for it.
               | 
               | You will never be able to feed mainl seaweed, nor by
               | grazing alone.
               | 
               | The advantage of soil protection from grazing is thus
               | negated by the additional feed production.
        
               | rhinoceraptor wrote:
               | This is utterly false. About 20% of livestock feed is
               | fodder crops and grains. The rest is grass, leaves, and
               | plant matter by-products such as crop residue, oil seed
               | cakes, etc. All things that are inedible to humans.
               | 
               | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S22
               | 119...
        
           | etu wrote:
           | Have you seen an image of a factory farm? They don't fix the
           | soil. They ruin it more by having too many animals in a small
           | space.
           | 
           | I'm fine with having smaller amounts of animals in open
           | spaces that goes around and take care of the fields, but
           | today's animal agriculture doesn't take care of that.
        
         | Eric_WVGG wrote:
         | The solution is easy, cheap, and only mildly inconvenient. Feed
         | cattle some seaweed.
        
           | yboris wrote:
           | It doesn't solve the problem of dealing with water runoff
           | pollution. Or air pollution (seaweed is not a 100%
           | reduction). Or ethical problems with wellbeing of animals. Or
           | health concerns of eating too much meat.
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | The seaweeed is not a full on substitute for the refular
           | feed.
           | 
           | You still have the climate, land, and water impact of the
           | majority of the feed.
           | 
           | You're also stil stuck with the huge water requirements,
           | antibiotic resistence, disease, and animal cruelty.
           | 
           | You're advocating for a reduction of at most 50% of the
           | harmfull effects. But going 100% is trivial, so why not do
           | it?
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | Eric_WVGG wrote:
             | Because I like solutions that are possible, and I can't
             | think of many things more difficult than changing people's
             | behavior.
             | 
             | We can't even convince the public to wear face masks in
             | public and that vaccines are safe, and you're telling me
             | that it would be trivial to make everyone go vegan? Even
             | discussing this is pointlessly filling the atmosphere with
             | more CO2.
             | 
             | I actually happen to think that our civilization will
             | inevitably become vegetarian, but it won't happen within my
             | lifetime, and in the meantime, some scientists have found a
             | cheap way to reduce methane emissions. That's awesome! Stop
             | pissing on their work.
        
         | calvinmorrison wrote:
         | So we could all go vegan, skip off our normal diets, a huge
         | change to the world OR china could stop running their very
         | dirty coal plants.
         | 
         | Please stop making everything _my_ problem when other countries
         | do not give a rats ass.
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | All coal plants produce the same amount of CO2, the dirtyness
           | is inly related to micro-particles.
           | 
           | The richest countries are the reason for climate change.
           | We've lived way past what is sustainable for a hundred years,
           | and now you want to blame it on somebody else?
           | 
           | Sure, everything but taking personal responsibility...
        
             | TheSpiceIsLife wrote:
             | > All coal plants produce the same amount of CO2, the
             | dirtyness is inly related to micro-particles.
             | 
             | This isn't correct.
             | 
             | Different types of coal can result in dramatic difference
             | in CO2 production per kWh hour generated.
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lignite
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hazelwood_Power_Station
        
           | yboris wrote:
           | Where's that American aim of being #1 ("exceptional") in ways
           | like "ethically good" or "world leader taking the world into
           | a better future"? Why is it now "well, others are doing bad
           | things, we may as well pollute the shit of the planet too"?
        
             | jinkyu wrote:
             | really? America is far cleaner than it was in the 70-90s.
             | but I'm sure giving a bunch of money to folks in Paris and
             | Kyoto while they allow developing nations to dump smog like
             | it was going out of style will fix this problem right up!
        
             | calvinmorrison wrote:
             | > Why is it now "well, others are doing bad things, we may
             | as well pollute the shit of the planet too"?
             | 
             | Why is the burden on me? That's never been explained by all
             | the climate religionists out there. When the west does
             | something it's bad. When everyone else does it, they get a
             | pass?
             | 
             | We already did the industrial revolution. We already went
             | through the long process. They have free wins - they don't
             | need to design new processes or methods - they have plenty
             | of money.
             | 
             | They have the wrong priorities.
             | 
             | Instead we can sit here and pat ourselves on the back for
             | not using plastic straws, because save the turtles or some
             | absolute crock, while 4 or 5 countries in asia produce
             | almost ALL of the plastic trash in the oceans.
        
               | yboris wrote:
               | The per-person consumption of electricity and oil - along
               | with the CO2 emissions due to our lifestyle in the US is
               | higher than just about every country in the world. _WE_
               | are the ones that need to cut back.
        
               | calvinmorrison wrote:
               | It's due to many reasons, and Americans are cutting back.
               | Our CO2 emissions have steadily been dropping for
               | decades. the US and Europe have been solving
               | environmental problems. Since the US has started to lower
               | global CO2 emissions have more than doubled. That's
               | mostly due to Asia. Their per capita emissions continue
               | to rise and rise and rise, that's even with their booms
               | in population.
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | For how much we spend, we can easily afford (aka minimal
               | change to our lifestyle) to make electricity carbon-free
               | in five years of we wanted to. We could charge trucking
               | their true cost of road destruction and it would _save_
               | us money and reduce CO2. We could allow dense housing
               | neighborhoods (not force, just allow!)
               | 
               | There are many things we could which even save money,
               | make people some happier, and help the climate... but we
               | don't.
        
           | etu wrote:
           | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/09/chinas-
           | appetit...
           | 
           | Do I need to comment?
        
             | TheSpiceIsLife wrote:
             | Fades?
             | 
             |  _Although China still consumes 28% of the world's meat,
             | including half of all pork, and boasts a meat market valued
             | at $86bn (PS62bn)_
             | 
             | That's the second sentence in the second paragraph of the
             | article you linked.
        
         | brightball wrote:
         | The issue here is specifically with beef, so going to an
         | extreme like vegan is way past the reasonable change line.
         | 
         | Eating more shrimp/seafood, chicken, pork, etc instead of beef
         | would be just as effective without all of the extra work
         | necessary to ensure people are getting necessary amounts of
         | protein.
         | 
         | Asking everyone to go vegan is selling a lifestyle and a belief
         | system, not solving a problem.
        
         | account4mypc wrote:
         | eating less meat is a good idea, but why go to zero? how about
         | eat beef up to once a week or smth like that?
         | 
         | i think making a point more extreme than necessary motivates
         | people to disagree with you
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | Why not go to zero?
           | 
           | It's a bit like saying: "Reducing the amount of fossil fuel
           | is a good idea, but why go to zero?"
        
             | _ph_ wrote:
             | There is no fundamental need to get energy from fossil
             | fuels specifically, we just have to work at getting
             | replacements for all scenarios.
             | 
             | Nutrition is an entirely different thing. First of all, it
             | is a very fundamental cultural and personal thing. Meat and
             | dairy products have an important nutritional value, which
             | isn't easily replaced, especially not by local foods in
             | many regions. And except for the fossil fuels used in
             | farming (both for meat and plant production), it is carbon-
             | neutral. The problem with it are rather matters of scale
             | and over consumption, so yes, the idea to just reduce meat
             | consumption sounds like a very good idea overall.
        
             | sesuximo wrote:
             | Yeah I don't think zero is a good goal. Fossil fuels don't
             | harm the environment at every scale.
        
           | etu wrote:
           | So you say that it's more extreme to eat beans than to raise
           | animals by feeding them beans to then slaughter them to eat
           | them?
           | 
           | I've read somewhere recently that you need 16kcal of feed to
           | produce 1kcal worth of chicken. That's a 16 times loss in
           | efficiency that requires a lot of plants to feed to the
           | chicken that could have been consumed by humans.
        
             | sesuximo wrote:
             | To the first part, yeah. It's more extreme in the sense
             | that it requires bigger changes from more people.
        
         | bookmarkable wrote:
         | The world is not going to go vegan. Humans eat meat. No
         | greenhouse argument will ever change this. This is worthwhile
         | research, as is cultured meat and other options. Evolving the
         | tech of raising and cultivating animal protein to eat is
         | important work.
        
           | rcMgD2BwE72F wrote:
           | >Humans eat meat
           | 
           | I guess you meant "some humans eat meat", or else I cannot be
           | human by your definition, and I sure look like one _.
           | 
           | But then, _some* humans also kill each other, rape their
           | children (etc). But no one was trying to describe what some
           | humans do/did but what they should better do if we're trying
           | to live in a peaceful and sustainable world. Why should we
           | care that _some_ people eat meat? I don 't care that some
           | people burn their own houses unless it threatens mine or my
           | neighbors'.
           | 
           | In the future, we may well learn that people were eating meat
           | and some continue to do so. Just like some people still
           | commute by horse.
           | 
           | *I realized that the easiest way to curb climate change is
           | simply to stop eating meat. I'm healthier and can cook more
           | dishes than ever. Why would the world not go vegan? I can't
           | find a good reason except "because I believe so". Then,
           | again, more and more people become vegetarian so we can only
           | bet.
        
             | bookmarkable wrote:
             | Comparing child rape and murder to eating a dead chicken
             | requires an impressive level of mental gymnastics.
        
           | PeterisP wrote:
           | IMHO price (or price/"performance") is a serious
           | consideration for the actual food choices of many people,
           | much more in practice than what they would say it is.
           | 
           | Currently, meat substitutes are effectively a premium product
           | - however, if (when?) they would be available at half the
           | price of animal protein, then I believe meat consumption
           | worldwide would decrease a _lot_ even if people 's
           | preferences would not change. Cultural norms would shift
           | eventually, but that's slow, and price changes can happen and
           | affect change much faster.
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | Habe you tried the latest substitutes? Artificial chicken
           | based on pea proteins has become virtually indistinguishable
           | from real chicken.
        
             | 52-6F-62 wrote:
             | I have.
             | 
             | I can't eat a lot of fats due to a bad pancreas, but I'm
             | also B12-deficient and anemic. Doc asked me to eat more red
             | meat on occasion, so I try to about once a week.
             | 
             | As an attempt at an alternative, I tried one of the popular
             | substitutes. I tried it before my ... "pancreatic
             | situation" was known to me. It made me sick for days.
             | Vomiting, other digestive issues I won't list, and
             | incredible abdominal pain and sourness of my stomach
             | resulted.
             | 
             | I've even seen similar reports in various Vegan forums.
             | 
             | Those substitutes are filled with canola (and other) oils
             | to add body, flavour, and characteristic "juiciness".
             | 
             | I'm intrigued by lab-grown meat, but those pea and soy meat
             | substitutes are not viable. They're not even close to a
             | viable substitute. Eating a steak or some bone marrow once
             | a week or so keeps me feeling like I'm an alive human
             | being, which I have to say is nice having been close to the
             | alternative.
        
               | j-pb wrote:
               | Why not take the B12 substitute directly?
               | 
               | I take 1 1000% daily reccomended dose per day, as per
               | consultation with my doctor. Together with D3, Folic
               | Acid, and Iron.
               | 
               | Most people are vitamin deficient, meat eating/milk
               | drinking or not, unless you actively substitute.
               | 
               | It's all the same stuff anyways. B12 is produced by
               | bacteria living on the ground. Which would normally bio
               | accumulate in livestock. Howeve since most livestock is
               | fed with silo feed, theyd too get B12 deficiency, if it
               | wasn't substituted.
               | 
               | So you have the choice of eating B12 directly with a lot
               | of control over dosage, or have the livestock swallow the
               | pill for you. Seems like an inefficient intermediary
               | step.
        
               | 52-6F-62 wrote:
               | I do.
               | 
               | It's not enough. And uptake is a complex process, it's
               | not as simple as supplement with a given isolate.
               | Unfortunately, not every human body will adhere to a
               | textbook case where a single supplemental pill or shot
               | does the trick. If it did, I'd be in a better way.
               | 
               | As it is, I'm working on staying ahead of any problems
               | B12 and anemia can cause me down the line. I'd rather not
               | reach the point of others I've known who have to have
               | regular blood transfusions to stay alive and prevent
               | their minds and bodies from eroding.
               | 
               | I'll stick to my physician's word and millennia of
               | evolution on that one, if it's all the same to you.
               | 
               | And please, show me _some_ respect: you must know that
               | consuming a complex of nutrients through a food source is
               | not the same as ingesting a copious amount of an isolate.
               | It 's certainly not akin to an animal "swallowing a pill"
               | for me.
        
             | bookmarkable wrote:
             | Artificial chicken stuffed with soy and other fillers can't
             | be long term indistinguishable to your body.
             | 
             | I wish you lasting health, but fear you are suggesting we
             | all gamble on the oversight and benevolence of the food
             | industry by eating even more processed, engineered foods
             | than even Doritos or Taco Bell as your main protein
             | source(s).
             | 
             | Yes, industrial food does bad things to produce large
             | amounts of chicken, but there are quality farmers still in
             | business, and I'll take a real, dead bird, fish or cow (and
             | occasional pig, though harder to defend) any day over
             | engineered replacement proteins.
        
               | j-pb wrote:
               | Got any research to back up your claims?
               | 
               | Your "natural" meat also contains "natural stress
               | hormones", "natural inflamation inducing cytokines", and
               | not so natural antibiotics.
               | 
               | Your anti-scientific attitude is not helpfull.
        
               | fogihujy wrote:
               | Over-processed food is nothing new, and the issues with
               | it won't go away just because you ditch the animal
               | ingredients.
               | 
               | I'll happily eat a vegan meal made from fresh and locally
               | produced ingredients and prepared by a skilled chef. The
               | vegan "burgers" and "sausages" from the store? I won't
               | touch them any more than I'd touch frozen chicken nuggets
               | or fish fingers.
        
               | bigfudge wrote:
               | It's not anti scientific to include a prior assumption
               | that the food industry will suppress relevant data about
               | the health implications of processed food. They have a
               | long track record of doing this. I'd argue that this is
               | actually a more rational Bayesian approach to the
               | problem...
        
               | Tenal wrote:
               | Wow, listen to a few podcasts and educate yourself. Try
               | Peter Attia at the very least.
        
             | LegitShady wrote:
             | It really hasn't not in flavour texture or nutritional
             | content
        
         | preinheimer wrote:
         | I think it's really interesting that you view changing the
         | eating habits of millions of people "easy".
         | 
         | We've known and broadly accepted that smoking is bad since
         | 1964[1]. Yet new people start smoking every year. Even in
         | countries where packaging displays disgusting pictures showing
         | the long term results of smoking.
         | 
         | To me it seems unlikely that relevant parts of the world will
         | become vegan in the short term, or that cattle farmers will
         | pivot to something else. But I do often see that "green"
         | initiatives that also save companies money are adopted quickly.
         | Not all farmers may care about emissions, but needing less feed
         | (and thus saving money) seems like an easy win. Hopefully all
         | these small gains will add up.
         | 
         | [1] -
         | https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/sgr/history/inde...
        
           | j-pb wrote:
           | Oh I didn't mean to say that changing people to go vegan is
           | easy.
           | 
           | Just that going vegan is an incredibly simple solution, and
           | itself super easy.
           | 
           | I probably wouldn't be vegan if it weren't for all those
           | tasty vegan meat alternatives.
           | 
           | Just now I had a german "currywurst" made from wheat protein
           | that tastes indistinguishable from the meat original. It
           | actually tastes "better" becauese you don't get the "joyous
           | experience" of biting onto a piece of bone or onto some chewy
           | piece of atery or god knows what... _shudder_
        
       | pvaldes wrote:
       | This reminds me the kiri scam. Is a non solution from the start.
       | Absolutely non-scalable
        
       | staplung wrote:
       | Legitimate question: how do they measure how much methane a cow
       | produces?
        
         | jayavanth wrote:
         | It's not what you thinking. They use this
         | https://www.c-lockinc.com/researchers/products/greenfeed-lar...
        
       | headbee wrote:
       | Article from Wired on why algae isn't the silver bullet it's
       | marketed as: https://www.wired.com/story/carbon-neutral-cows-
       | algae/
       | 
       | Essentially, it's only useful for pasture raised cows (soy and
       | corn fed feedlot cows already produce a fraction of the methane)
       | and there's no practical way to add algae to pasture raised cows'
       | diets. They also speculate that cows' microbiomes will adapt to
       | the algae.
        
         | thescriptkiddie wrote:
         | If we're going to continue to have cattle, pasture raised is
         | the only way to do it. Feedlots are not just devastating to the
         | environment, they are inhumane on a level that is difficult to
         | even conceive.
        
         | pavedwalden wrote:
         | Thanks for supplying the fact-check I was looking for. I think
         | I've been seeing headlines about this "discovery" for over a
         | decade, always presented as if it's a promising new technique
         | but obviously there must be some reason it hasn't caught on by
         | now.
        
           | asciimo wrote:
           | "I can keep eating steak because Science is about to solve
           | that problem..."
        
           | wyre wrote:
           | Same. I would think at this point there would be companies
           | focused on algae production for ruminants. AFAIK there is
           | only one company in Australia that is doing this.
           | 
           | I haven't read the Wired article yet but my critique is that
           | there isn't enough seaweed being farmed to adequately enrich
           | a significant cattle population and all this headline does is
           | relax self-judgement of environmentally-conscious meat
           | eaters.
        
       | zests wrote:
       | I find this hard to believe. Here is my epistemic estimation: if
       | this were legitimate, it would be huge news. I've been hearing
       | about this for several years now but somehow it never amounts to
       | anything. I would have expected large scale cattle studies by now
       | but I have not seen any of those.
        
         | titzer wrote:
         | You find it hard to believe that a $66 billion beef industry
         | doesn't want to completely overhaul its logistics and incur
         | massive switching costs and larger overhead?
        
         | nickelcitymario wrote:
         | 1) It IS huge news. It's been reported pretty heavily. (Or at
         | least, I've stumbled across this news many times from many
         | different and mainstream sources. I suppose it's possible that
         | my filter bubble is making it seem like a bigger deal.)
         | 
         | 2) What's the incentive for the farmer? The benefits are
         | entirely externalized. Less methane is good for the planet, but
         | paying to add seaweed to the feed is nothing more than an added
         | case for the farmer.
         | 
         | So if we wanted to roll this out, we'd have to provide
         | publicly-funded incentives for farmers to do so.
        
           | zests wrote:
           | There may be no incentive for the farmer but plenty of
           | incentive for the scientist, the government and the
           | philanthropist.
           | 
           | My conclusions is that GHG from cattle is simply not as big
           | of a deal as the environmentalists would make it seem.
           | Another comment mentions that decaying grass also releases
           | methane so I'm not even sure if there are any accurate
           | numbers on the true effect of livestock on emissions.
        
             | nickelcitymario wrote:
             | re: decaying grass, it's a question of speed and cycles.
             | 
             | All plants eventually decompose, but it happens at a much
             | slower cycle than if we actively harvest it, feed it as
             | grain, grow more where the original harvest was, etc. By
             | speeding up the cycle, we end up with much more of it. Or
             | at least that's my non-scientist take.
             | 
             | We gotta remember that "greenhouse gases" aren't a bad
             | thing. They're fundamental to making Earth hospitable for
             | life. But there's a balance. When we speed up the "carbon
             | cycle", we end up with too much of the stuff, which throws
             | the whole system out of balance. But we could just as
             | easily end up with too little some day in the future, which
             | would cause us all sorts of other problems.
             | 
             | As for whether we have truly accurate numbers for any of
             | this, I too am skeptical. But it's early days for research
             | in this area. One or two studies doesn't cut it, but that
             | doesn't mean they're not onto something huge.
        
         | scythe wrote:
         | > if this were legitimate, it would be huge news.
         | 
         | The first problem is that cattle account for about ~5% of the
         | emissions from industrialized countries. So it's not actually
         | that high of a priority from a climate standpoint. It's also
         | not the first time that microbial fermentation has been
         | successfully diverted away from methanogenesis; look up
         | "biohydrogen" to find other examples where H2 is the terminal
         | electron carrier instead of CH4 (I assume that happens here;
         | fermentation needs an electron sink). Furthermore, a high
         | proportion of the emissions related to agriculture comprise
         | fertilizer-derived nitrous oxide, which has a longer half-life
         | than methane and is thus more damaging. Further-furthermore,
         | you still have open questions on how this affects long-term
         | health and the rumen microbiome, which simply won't be answered
         | quickly.
         | 
         | The smart money IMHO is on lab-grown meat. I expect seaweed may
         | feature into a future market for ethically sourced fancy
         | cheeses, but is unlikely to affect the market for staple foods.
        
         | dbetteridge wrote:
         | https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-12-18/csiro-super-seaweed-c...
         | 
         | Seems like at least one group trying to do something with it.
        
       | frankbreetz wrote:
       | "Transportation of the processed or unprocessed seaweed should be
       | kept to a minimum, so cultivation in the region of use is
       | recommended specially to avoid long-haul shipping."
       | 
       | "Asparagopsis taxiformis, (red sea plume or limu kohu) formerly
       | A. sanfordiana, is a species of red algae, with cosmopolitan
       | distribution in tropical to warm temperate waters."[0]
       | 
       | This seems to be a pretty big hurdle to overcome. Either all the
       | cows are going to have to move toward the warm oceans or we will
       | have to figure out how to grow the algae near the cows, both of
       | these are huge undertakings.
       | 
       | [0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asparagopsis_taxiformis
        
         | ars wrote:
         | Or, just ship the seaweed. There is no reason to "keep it to a
         | minimum", shipping things takes far less energy than people
         | like to imagine.
         | 
         | You'll end up spending FAR more energy cultivating it in lots
         | of small locales.
        
           | anonuser123456 wrote:
           | Yes, but 'localism' lets people feel like they are 'making an
           | impact', and that's what matters to them; feeling good about
           | themselves.
        
         | jws wrote:
         | They are feeding, at the high range, 0.5% seaweed. A cow eats
         | about 10kg of feed a day for 20 months before it is in turn
         | eaten. That seems like 6000kg of feed which means 30kg of
         | seaweed to make a 500kg cow.
         | 
         | Algae to cow is likely a longer distance than cow to table, but
         | one presumes the bulk of that is on rail and more efficient
         | than the trucks used for feed to farm, cow to processor, and
         | meat to table.
         | 
         | Shipping the algae doesn't seem like a deal breaker.
        
         | shireboy wrote:
         | Also, agricultural runoff can be an issue for oceans. I think
         | that's mostly fertilizer, but I have to imagine a large scale
         | beef operation near the ocean could have runoff consequences.
        
         | 52-6F-62 wrote:
         | I think farming it at scale is something some groups are
         | already pursuing--likely mainly because it could mean big, big
         | business.
         | 
         | I'm out of my depth, but is there any reason it couldn't be
         | farmed in a hothouse?
        
         | Robotbeat wrote:
         | Shipping by electrified rail is one option. Efficient and
         | potentially 100% clean.
        
           | vuln wrote:
           | Where are you getting the electricity to power the rail?
        
             | YorickPeterse wrote:
             | Oh I don't know, how about: solar, wind, nuclear, hydro;
             | plenty of ways to power a railway network without the need
             | for fossil fuels.
             | 
             | The real challenge here is likely governments simply not
             | wanting to invest in this.
        
       | mfi wrote:
       | Volta Greentech is a Swedish startup currently working on scaling
       | production of this specific seaweed:
       | https://www.voltagreentech.com/
        
       | barbazoo wrote:
       | I wish we could collectively accept that meat consumption is a
       | huge ecological and environmental problem our planet is facing
       | and simply transition to a more sustainable, vegetarian diet.
       | 
       | Reducing the effect that industrial meat production has on the
       | environment is great and it's something we as humans do, improve
       | the negative effects of our behavior when instead it would have
       | far greater effect to change our behavior instead.
        
       | tengbretson wrote:
       | Don't expect the conclusions of people that have decided they
       | don't like meat to change. Only their rationales.
        
       | andy_ppp wrote:
       | Has anyone checked if the animals also end up healthier?
        
         | JeanSebTr wrote:
         | Possibly. My understanding is that seaweed improve the
         | microbiota of the cattle which should be beneficial for the
         | overall health.
         | 
         | (I've no domain knownledge on this, but saw an interview with
         | the founders of a company that produce seaweed for cattles.
         | they do claim healthier animals)
        
         | Justin_K wrote:
         | Or if the food product tasted the same or better!
        
       | giardini wrote:
       | My wife asks if this can be used for human males.
        
         | aimor wrote:
         | Yes, some people eat kombu (kelp) to alleviate gas caused by
         | hard to digest sugars.
        
       | aaron695 wrote:
       | The only direction we should be wasting time with is lab grown
       | meat.
       | 
       | If you are in high school or above you should also ask, how does
       | reducing methane, which seems like a big chemical reaction
       | change, effect growth.
       | 
       | If growth is reduced by 1%, then you better start cutting down
       | forests to grow more cattle. If it is better then you get to save
       | forests and ecosystems.
       | 
       | Stop cargo culting Global Warming. What you should care about is
       | the environment and people, not reducing CO2 and methane. We need
       | to make growing meat more efficient. (And Jevons paradox's isn't
       | real is just another scripture from the environmental cult)
       | 
       | CSIRO has a good FAQ on seaweed for cattle which they own IP for
       | - https://www.future-feed.com/faqs
        
       | Tepix wrote:
       | This is at least the 4th time that I read about this. The first
       | time must be more than 10 years ago.
       | 
       | Is anything being done? Are algae or seaweed being added to the
       | cow's food? If not, why not?
        
       | rossdavidh wrote:
       | Ok, but does it also work on humans? :)
        
       | EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK wrote:
       | Does it work on humans too? Asking for a friend.
        
       | brightball wrote:
       | The first time I read about this a few years back I was wondering
       | how long it would take to become the norm. Once produced at
       | scale, its the easiest and fastest way to address the problem.
       | 
       | If there are any companies out there getting into growing this
       | stuff for industrial uses, I'd certainly be interested in
       | investing.
        
         | johnsutor wrote:
         | I read a piece about https://symbrosia.co/seaweeda while back.
         | I'm not sure if they have plans for large-scale production just
         | yet, though.
        
       | daniellarusso wrote:
       | So, is the for grass-feed beef, or this is for corn-feed beef?
        
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