[HN Gopher] Show HN: Make continuous reforestation part of your ...
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       Show HN: Make continuous reforestation part of your daily workflow
        
       Author : protontypes
       Score  : 133 points
       Date   : 2021-03-21 12:34 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (github.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (github.com)
        
       | IngvarLynn wrote:
       | Can people for once stop virtue signalling like plastic bags bans
       | or estimating carbon footprint of bitcoin transactions and
       | finally get to the root of the problem: fixing failed states?
       | Because in the course of you planting a single tree some corrupt
       | government destroys a whole ecosystem.
        
         | dheera wrote:
         | I'm not sure when "virtue signalling" became the new buzzword
         | to attack people with. It seems these days that if you don't
         | like someone you accuse them of virtue signalling, and if I
         | understand the term correcty, accusing anyone of virtue
         | signalling is itself a form of virtue signalling. Yes, I
         | realize, this is an ironic paragraph, because I'm virtue
         | signalling by accusing you of accusing someone else of virtue
         | signalling.
         | 
         | Now onto the actual topic -- While I agree with you that fixing
         | failed states should be of utmost concern I don't think it's a
         | bad thing to be banning plastic items now, one at a time,
         | because we don't currently have a good way to truly recycle
         | plastic, and the material should be avoided at all costs for
         | anything not intended to be reused for years.
         | 
         | Plastic is an immediate environmental problem and the bans are
         | actionable.
         | 
         | However, my opinion is that the bans are suboptimally directed.
         | I frequently get served drinks in plastic non-compostable cups
         | with bamboo straws now, and see supermarket vegetables on
         | goddamn styrofoam trays wrapped in plastic wrap, and "harmless"
         | coconut water sold in plastic drink bottles. I'm cool with
         | plastic bag bans but they need to extend beyond plastic bags.
         | Ban the cup, then the straw. Ban the foam trays and plastic
         | wrap on vegetables, then the bag.
        
         | jarenmf wrote:
         | Biggest carbon emitters are industrialized western democracies.
         | Unless you are considering them as failed states, your argument
         | is not correct
        
           | jk7tarYZAQNpTQa wrote:
           | Carbon emission is only one of all our ecological concerns. I
           | don't know why people only think about carbon.
           | 
           | You can look for example at River plastic emissions to the
           | world's oceans [1].
           | 
           | [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms15611
        
           | IngvarLynn wrote:
           | First this is absolutely can not be true from purely logical
           | reasoning. And You can check up yourself by hitting the very
           | first search result.
           | 
           | But most importantly You're completely missing the point
           | which was not about carbon footprint or forests or plastic.
        
         | billytetrud wrote:
         | Yes please. Better representation in democracies, and real
         | democracies where fake ones currently exist.
        
           | therealdrag0 wrote:
           | Does representation fix environmental issues? I know lots of
           | people who don't give a second thought about the environment.
        
         | thaumaturgy wrote:
         | This argument is never productive. I can use fewer plastic
         | bags. I can plant trees (or pay to plant trees, whatever). I
         | can't fix a failed state.
         | 
         | Offer _actionable_ and _measurable_ alternatives.
        
           | IngvarLynn wrote:
           | You can plant a tree but You can't plant a forest.
           | 
           | You can't fix a failed state. But You can educate yourself
           | (and others) on what the hell is happening with this world
           | and vote for representative that cares.
        
             | dillondoyle wrote:
             | One man did plant a forest!
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jadav_Payeng
             | 
             | https://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2017/12/26/572421590
             | /...
             | 
             | I agree with what you are saying but I think it can also
             | extend to planting trees, use the power you do have and
             | vote which can make big change beyond ourselves.
        
             | jk7tarYZAQNpTQa wrote:
             | > You can plant a tree but You can't plant a forest.
             | 
             | Of course you can plant a forest. But there's no need to.
             | If each one of us plant 1 tree per month, we would be
             | planting thousands of forests as a result of our team
             | effort.
             | 
             | We need an international Tree Planting Day. And we need to
             | celebrate the fuck out of it.
        
               | azornathogron wrote:
               | Many people don't own suitable land on which they could
               | do such a thing (certainly I don't), and if you're
               | talking about going and planting a tree somewhere as part
               | of a larger project run by some organization that has
               | acquired the land for the purpose then... sure, ok, but
               | it'll be far more efficient to pay a bunch of people to
               | work full time planting many trees every day, rather than
               | each one of us individually driving out to a planting
               | site once a month to plant one tree (assuming there's
               | even a site within a day's drive).
               | 
               | I'm all for reforestation projects (and many other
               | projects that could potentially have _some_ kind of
               | impact in reducing the rate atmospheric CO2 levels are
               | rising), but the idea of everyone individually planting
               | trees is not really practical. If you personally are in a
               | situation that makes it feasible for you, then I hope you
               | go for it and I wish you all the best.
        
           | Trasmatta wrote:
           | > I can't fix a failed state
           | 
           | No, but you can get involved politically, and support
           | policies and legislation that will make a difference.
        
       | 11235813213455 wrote:
       | We can also think of using less CIs and automated jobs as
       | beneficial for environment (less energy used, ..)
        
         | Trasmatta wrote:
         | This would likely be an insignificant blip in terms of the
         | world's total energy and CO2 output. I think focusing on those
         | types of micro-optimizations is unhelpful as they don't make
         | any meaningful difference, and take up way too much attention.
         | It's like making people feel guilty for taking a shower in a
         | drought, when residential water use is less than 1%. Every
         | person could go the rest of their lives never again taking a
         | shower, and it wouldn't make a difference.
        
           | 11235813213455 wrote:
           | Your way of thinking is very common, not wrong, but terrible,
           | why?
           | 
           | The world's total energy and CO2 output is simply the
           | addition of each human footprint, all industries, transports
           | are more or less directly related to the human end-consumer.
           | So if everyone decide like you that their own behavior is
           | insignificant, which is true, nothing is changing, and as you
           | know the current trend on environment is not sustainable. I
           | don't use a car, I don't use air-conditioning, I find natural
           | methods and alternatives for most things, and product to
           | reduce my footprint, and I hope everyone at some point will
           | do that, because it'd change everything if everyone cut by a
           | half their footprint, it's like twice less humans.
           | 
           | My comment on CI is half-serious, but I still avoid to put
           | many OS/enviroment targets (for example just Linux/nodejs-14
           | is enough) and just running in on the main git branch
        
             | Trasmatta wrote:
             | My point is that we should focus on actually effective
             | changes. Human nature is such that focusing on the
             | individual and the small changes that each person can make
             | will not be effective at the pushing the needle as far as
             | we need it to go. We need effective legislative,
             | technological, and infrastructural changes.
             | 
             | It's good if people reduce their personal carbon footprint,
             | I just think we focus too much on the micro optimizations.
             | 
             | Game theory and human nature are such that we won't ever
             | get where we need to be unless the we have effective top
             | down solutions.
        
       | smearth wrote:
       | I'm interested in what people with greater
       | knowledge/insight/intellect than myself think of the following.
       | 
       | I think total reforestation is implausible but the native
       | reforestation of most of the earths fresh waterways is plausible
       | using the Miyawaki forest establishment method ( that achieves
       | 10x growth rates and natural strata levels) and localised
       | cuttings. By staggering the establishment of native plantings 20
       | meters either sides of creek and river beds so there is
       | effectively a 50m wide native forest over most waterways you can
       | delay the capital outlay which causes a positive net present
       | value for existing landholders to finance the planting and
       | enhance their balance sheet. By setting aside the planting
       | corridor to regenerate while the miyawaki plots are gradually
       | planted the soil regenerates so the the forest establishment can
       | be sped up over a period of time.
       | 
       | Because there is a positive ROI with carbon credits at current
       | prices and the work is fairly interesting and healthy the
       | planting projects work economically and ecologically.
       | 
       | The ecological benefits are that native forests have a five
       | degree celsius cooling effect. Cooler streams mean higher
       | oxygenisation levels which means higher nitrogen utilisation
       | levels and a healthier pH. Cooler streams also means cooler
       | rivers which means cooler estuaries with more sealife means and
       | sea grasses and colder coastal sea surface temperatures and less
       | algal blooms. Native flora corridors along fresh waterways allows
       | native fauna highways so that biodiversity is more resilient.
       | 
       | The economic benefits are improved hydro-logical flow through
       | pasture and cropland so less phosphates and nitrogen flow through
       | the soil and the soil retains moisture better as the 20 m rich
       | native humus barrier either side of the fresh waterway slows the
       | hydro-logical water flow into the creek. Native forests
       | negatively ionise the air so the growth rate of the pastures and
       | crops along the waterways should be higher with less fertiliser
       | applied. Also rural employment opportunities are retreating
       | globally as wealth accumulates with knowledge into cities and the
       | localised forest design and planting employment funded via carbon
       | credits would provide interesting educative yet non-stressful
       | employment opportunities and achieve a higher return on
       | investment for most landholders than commodity production. We
       | have 10 billion people coming on board to feed, population growth
       | slows with great nutrition so great nutrition is the anti-dote to
       | long-term pollution. People won't go backwards so planting fresh
       | waterways in locally designed fast growing native forestry using
       | the Miyawaki method or better wherever there is a positive ROI at
       | current carbon credits prices makes intuitive sense to me.
        
       | fireattack wrote:
       | It looks a lot of overheads for something that is supposed to be
       | helpful for the environment.
       | 
       | Why not just donate the equivalent of 1-year amount of your
       | [whatever event-triggered actions] directly to one of these
       | Reforestation projects? It saves your time, the cost of running
       | server (albeit not much) while doing the same amount of help.
        
         | underdeserver wrote:
         | It is _less_ overhead.
         | 
         | Sign up once, then just add a single REST call to your billing
         | flow.
        
           | tgv wrote:
           | Except there is now a middleman that also wants part of the
           | cash. The only advantage I see is that it's impossible for
           | one of the CFO's bootlickers to kill the payment without
           | anyone else knowing.
           | 
           | Edit: apparently digitalhumani doesn't cream off.
        
             | DigitalHumani wrote:
             | Hi, Jonathan here, founder of the RaaS (Reforestation as a
             | Service) at DigitalHumani.com
             | 
             | Our solution is 100% free. We are a group of IT-oriented
             | volunteers concerned about climate change, and we pay
             | ourselves for the costs of the solution (which is quite
             | cheap though).
             | 
             | Our RaaS (Reforestation as a Service) API was built because
             | most reforestation organizations do not have APIs. These
             | organizations know lot about trees, climate and
             | reforestation, less so about IT. We help them get the money
             | they need to plant the trees (1$ per tree) by providing the
             | API for free.
             | 
             | The API is used in lots of ways right now by our clients:
             | Planting a tree when someone subscribes to a newsletter,
             | buys something, refer a friend for a mobile app, fills a
             | survey, charge their electric car, etc.
             | 
             | It is much easier for our clients to just choose a
             | reforestation project they want to donate to and add the
             | call to the API in their code.
        
         | protontypes wrote:
         | It depends on how you implement the measure. In the future, we
         | want to determine reforestation based on the carbon emissions
         | of products. With the help of projects like
         | https://gitter.im/hubblo-org/scaphandre or
         | https://www.electricitymap.org/map, this would be easy to do
         | for energy consumption. In this way, digital services can be
         | transparently and recurrently compensated for emissions in the
         | long term.
        
       | exdsq wrote:
       | I wonder if it'd be better to not try and prevent global warming,
       | but instead spend money and research on preparing for it. Can
       | someone tell me why this is a terrible idea?
        
         | akudha wrote:
         | Shouldn't we do both?
        
         | wkrsz wrote:
         | That's large part of what Bjorn Lomborg is advocating:
         | https://www.lomborg.com
        
         | atleta wrote:
         | Because all the climate models say that it's a terrible idea to
         | let it completely loose. They even predict that it's a pretty
         | bad idea not to do a lot more than what we are doing now.
         | 
         | Given the current state of matters, whatever we do it will be
         | at least in part preparation for the changed climate and in
         | part preventing getting things worse.
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | Adaptation is definitely the better idea.
         | 
         | One good reason that it's superior to prevention is that it
         | doesn't suffer from the externality problem. Me reducing my
         | carbon output is a cost to me and a benefit to everyone else.
         | On the other hand, me preparing for climate change is a cost to
         | me but the benefits are also to me.
         | 
         | To effectively prevent climate change, we have to get every
         | country on board with reducing emissions. 1/3 or 1/2 of the
         | countries is good, but won't prevent it. Add in the additional
         | fact that some countries such as Russia _benefit_ from a
         | warming climate and any plans for prevention quickly
         | deteriorate.
         | 
         | There is just no good way to ensure long term (100+ year)
         | global coordination.
        
         | tonyedgecombe wrote:
         | _An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure._
         | 
         | Benjamin Franklin
        
         | marcinzm wrote:
         | Civilization is build around the existing climate and the cost
         | of re-building around a new climate will be very very large.
         | For example, most cities are near bodies of water and rising
         | sea water will threaten them. So we have to either move a lot
         | of cities (to now scarcer land) or build massive walls around
         | them (that need to survive hurricanes in many areas). There's
         | also thing we don't fully control like the ecosystem (fishing,
         | pollinating insects, etc.) that would be very hard (read:
         | expensive) to rebuild if it collapses and would probably have
         | second order effects we'd also need to adjust for. Then there's
         | any health issues from things like high CO2 which would
         | probably require mass scale genetic engineering to really deal
         | with.
        
           | missedthecue wrote:
           | _" Civilization is build around the existing climate and the
           | cost of re-building around a new climate will be very very
           | large_"
           | 
           | But the climate will change over decades and centuries.
           | People move, nation's build and rebuild, and crops change
           | over centuries, climate change or not. Think how different
           | the world and human diet was in 1900 compared to today.
           | 
           | I think a lot of people look at climate change as a war,
           | where bullets start flying and suddenly there are 20 million
           | refugees at your door. Climate change is slow and
           | incremental, at least as currently predicted.
        
         | a_humean wrote:
         | Its too late to "prevent" global warming. We had our chance in
         | the 80s and 90s. We are now at stage of mitigation and trying
         | to curve the trend away from the worst case scenario ("just" 2C
         | warming instead of 4C). If we don't change track then its
         | projected by end of the century large parts of the world will
         | be simply uninhabitable for human populations (wet bulb
         | temperature too high, desertification, and flooding) leading to
         | the displacement of billions of people.
         | 
         | The cost of fighting global warming is orders of magnitude less
         | than letting to go completely out of control.
        
       | atleta wrote:
       | I don't get the point. Why not just send monthly payments to a
       | programme like Ecologi (https://ecologi.com/)? Of course, if you
       | can convince people who you can't convince otherwise, this is
       | helpful too.
        
         | DigitalHumani wrote:
         | Hi, Jonathan here, founder of the RaaS (Reforestation as a
         | Service) at DigitalHumani.com
         | 
         | https://ecologi.com/ is great! Whatever works for you. Montly
         | payments, Continuous Reforestation, donation to reforestation
         | organizations, etc. Let's plant billions of trees.
        
         | tdoering wrote:
         | Good point. I think for many a monthly payment is totally
         | enough and maybe even less trouble.
         | 
         | With this workflow though, you can get an extra incentive to do
         | something. Depending on how you implement it, your actions get
         | the extra weight of a planted tree (with each push for
         | example). For me personally, it gives me extra motivation to
         | work on a project and remembers me that I can do something.
        
           | atleta wrote:
           | Interesting. So your interpretation is the reverse of what I
           | thought: the goal is not to somehow make people spend on
           | reforestation (who otherwise wouldn't) but make people do
           | more work, provide those with extra motivation, who do think
           | reforestation is important.
        
         | rosstex wrote:
         | Just enrolled, thanks!
        
       | p0nce wrote:
       | Sounds like a neat idea to leverage in b2c.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | doitLP wrote:
       | One thing I don't see talked about with reforestation, is that
       | it's not enough to just plants _trees_. They are merely the most
       | visible part of a forest, and alone die much quicker than when
       | they are surrounded by all the constituents of a thriving forest:
       | undergrowth, bushes, other types of trees, good soil, animals,
       | bugs, etc.
       | 
       | Perhaps trees are just handy shorthand for "forest", but I think
       | all the marketing pictures I've seen of reforestation projects
       | are monoculture trees in rows, planted like a Christmas tree
       | farm.
        
         | 4wsn wrote:
         | Yeah, but it's not really about how effective it is, it's about
         | feeling like you're saving the world. I'm not denying there is
         | some sort of impact, but the main goal with things like this is
         | to get on the bandwagon rather than actually have a meaningful
         | impact.
        
         | protontypes wrote:
         | Reforestation actually means the restoration of the natural
         | forest. If this consists of one type of tree, it can look like
         | a monoculture. Reforestation organizations usually try to re-
         | establish a diverse forest, as this is sustainably resistant to
         | parasites and other environmental influences.
        
       | sul_tasto wrote:
       | A simple way to help plant trees is to use the ecosia search
       | engine: https://www.ecosia.org/
        
         | bttrfl wrote:
         | searches turn into trees only if you click ads:
         | 
         | "Clicking on ads generates revenue for Ecosia, which is paid by
         | the advertiser. Ecosia then uses at least 80% of its monthly
         | profits to plant trees where they are needed most"
         | 
         | https://ecosia.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/201657341-How-d...
        
       | BJBBB wrote:
       | For North America, tree preservation may be just as important as
       | tree planting. But fire and conservation regulations can be at
       | odds.
       | 
       | Per my CFP insurance carrier, I can no longer plant trees on my
       | property. And the CDF and local fire marshal is encouraging most
       | owners to cut down _all_ vegetation. I routinely see bobcats,
       | coyotes, deer, hawks, falcons, rabbits, squirrels, roadrunners,
       | quail, many species of snakes, many species of butterflies, etc
       | (also saw a mountain lion in the area last year). Last week, a Ca
       | biologist pleaded with me to do nothing to a 5 acre stand of old
       | oak trees (was going to do some tree trimmming), while the fire
       | authorities routinely threaten me with fines.
        
       | ralusek wrote:
       | Interestingly enough, a side effect of CO2 emissions IS
       | reforestation. Earth is getting greener because of increased CO2
       | in the air.
       | 
       | What is not obvious though, is if this is going to make the
       | problem worse. For one, the green albedo is often darker than
       | what was previously in place, and retains more heat. However,
       | obviously a fair amount of that energy presumably goes towards
       | photosynthesis. Trees also tend to bring a fair amount of water
       | into the atmosphere, however, and water is actually one of the
       | most aggressive greenhouse gasses in terms of its capability to
       | retain heat.
       | 
       | TL;DR, carbon capture is very important, and planting trees is
       | probably a good thing, but there's a fair amount of debate.
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | Yes that's something I don't see brought up often. Carbon is an
         | input to photosynthesis.
        
         | inglor_cz wrote:
         | I was under the impression that grass is actually much more
         | efficient at turning CO2 + sunlight into biomass than trees.
         | 
         | But I am not completely sure, too much misinformation
         | circulates.
        
       | fireeyed wrote:
       | Someone should work on "YC21 Guilt shedding as a service" These
       | "guilt shedding" projects rarely serve any good purpose. There is
       | no way to track the end result. Same goes for donating wads of
       | money to social justice projects. You still see homeless
       | defecating and shooting needles despite "guilt shedding" by SV
       | denizens. Meanwhile the grifters who run these guilt shedding
       | projects get rich.
        
         | ac29 wrote:
         | Thats overly cynical, especially for this project which is run
         | by volunteers (100% of funds go through to charities). "Lets
         | not bother to plant any trees, because there are still homeless
         | people" is a great example of letting perfect be the enemy of
         | good.
        
       | IgorPartola wrote:
       | Before I sign up for this feel good thing, does anyone know
       | whether it makes any meaningful difference/is enough to make any
       | kind of impact? From looking at CO2 levels, we will be reaching
       | 1000 ug/m^3 in my lifetime (threshold for headaches and other
       | health problems). At 2000 it becomes a serious health hazard.
       | Would money be better spent lobbying for abolishing coal burning
       | power plants and making agriculture more carbon friendly (from
       | what I gather, the biggest contributors to atmospheric CO2)?
        
         | NoOneNew wrote:
         | TLDR, you're right. Here's the math to prove it.
         | 
         | I did some research into this a few years ago. Here's what I
         | remember. Most of it is easy to search for to verify, just
         | slightly time consuming. Broad brush strokes here to get you
         | started.
         | 
         | Your average "big" tree (oak, pine, maple) will absorb about
         | 10-20 pounds of CO2 every year once it's about 10 years old, on
         | average. Lots of variables obviously. From what I saw, and
         | there's debate, but the rate of CO2 absorption doesn't seem to
         | speed up as much as we'd expect as they get older. I don't know
         | how true that is, but at the same time, I could never find hard
         | numbers to disagree. I have to work with what I got.
         | 
         | According to the US Forestry, per acre, you can have 100 really
         | big trees or 500 really small trees. The problem with higher
         | density is the increased wildfire hazard. It was something like
         | 150-250 trees is the most they like to manage an area. This
         | allows enough space to slow fires and ability to easily clean
         | debris (if it's a managed forest) to choke out the fire.
         | 
         | For this, let's say we want 150 big trees per acre and on the
         | best case scenario, once these trees are 10 years old, they're
         | sucking up 20 pounds of CO2. That's about 3,000 pounds of CO2
         | being absorbed from the air with the hopes and prayers that a
         | wide fire doesn't come through and undo that work.
         | 
         | Back in the day, I did this to figure out how bad Bitcoin was
         | to the environment. Let's do Ethereum since NFTs are so hot
         | right now: https://digiconomist.net/ethereum-energy-
         | consumption. Every Ethereum transaction puts out roughly 29
         | kgCO2 (63lbs). That's an energy usage that truly never has to
         | happen, but does out of vanity for the idea of saving the world
         | from the 1% so it can create a different, new set of 1%ers.
         | I'll get off my soap box now. That's 3, 10 year old trees
         | needed to be carbon neutral for the average Ethereum
         | transaction. Bitcoin is far worse, 367kg(800 pounds) per
         | transaction. That's 40 trees needed per bitcoin transaction for
         | carbon neutral. According to
         | https://bitinfocharts.com/ethereum/, there were 49,000 Ethereum
         | transactions yesterday, 250,000 for bitcoin (same site). So
         | that's 147,000 trees or 980 acres of 10 year old trees needed
         | to be planted _every day_ to offset Ethereum. 66,666 acres, per
         | day, to offset Bitcoin. Hopefully a wildfire doesn 't come by
         | and fuck up everything. Forcing you to replant to catch up on
         | an amount of space that's incredibly unrealistic. Not to
         | mention the CO2 of the logistics to move that many personnel
         | around to plant that many trees.
         | 
         | Moral of the story, you're right. The impact of planting a
         | handful of trees is shit. And don't get me wrong, I think we
         | should be planting trees and trying to bring back forests.
         | Rehabilitate destroyed and distressed ecosystems is a fantastic
         | idea. But let's not suck each other's dicks that we're going to
         | save the planet with YET ANOTHER PIECE OF DIGITAL TECH that is
         | "going to solve the world's problems". Go buy a fucking tree,
         | some seeds and a shovel. Get off the computer and go get your
         | hands dirty. Anyways, it's far better to just cut the bullshit
         | out of the planet instead. I just focused on the 2 largest
         | cryptocoins. They're a drop in the bucket compared to
         | everything else, coal, gas, etc. Cutting the CO2 producers will
         | do more than you can realistically replant.
        
         | sooheon wrote:
         | > From looking at CO2 levels, we will be reaching 1000 ug/m^3
         | in my lifetime
         | 
         | How did you arrive at this number? climate.gov article from
         | last year estimates 900ppm by the end of the century if energy
         | demand continues to increase at same rate and it is all met by
         | fossil fuels.
         | 
         | https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/...
        
           | Robotbeat wrote:
           | 900ppm by volume is about 1000micrograms per cubic meter. The
           | density of air at sea level is 1.2 kilograms/m^3.
        
         | Robotbeat wrote:
         | I think there's been some misleading discussion of
         | agriculture's contributions to global emission. For a while,
         | agriculture was ignored, but now that has been over-compensated
         | for, and many people have the mistaken impression it's most of
         | the problem. Agriculture and forestry is still just 18.2% of
         | emissions.
         | 
         | Energy is still 73.2%.
         | 
         | If you want to change the course of emissions, you need to
         | change Energy. Luckily, we have the technology and
         | understanding to decarbonize all energy. (The challenge is just
         | to do it quickly and cost-effectively.)
         | 
         | You're right about coal being the biggest emitter for energy.
         | But... Energy is not just coal but oil and natural gas.
         | 
         | https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2020/09/Emissions-by-sect...
         | 
         | https://ourworldindata.org/emissions-by-sector
         | 
         | Oil is nearly as big of an emitter as coal, and gas plus oil is
         | now bigger than coal itself.
         | https://ourworldindata.org/exports/CO2-by-source_v16_850x600...
         | 
         | Based on that data, oil is a much higher emitter than
         | agriculture and gas emissions are about the same as agriculture
         | emissions (but will soon be higher).
         | 
         | So as of 2021 it's likely primarily coal and then oil that are
         | the biggest emitter, followed by gas and then agriculture.
        
           | gdubs wrote:
           | While the separation can be helpful, it also minimizes the
           | _actual_ carbon footprint of our food system. Petrochemical
           | production, for instance, is a different category according
           | to the epa. But one of the biggest uses of petrochemicals is
           | fertilizer production. Trucking and shipping is its own
           | category. Guess what relies on a lot of trucking and
           | shipping? And so on.
           | 
           | Typically what counts as agricultural emissions are literally
           | tilling, tractor fuel, cow emissions, etc. we really need to
           | look at the whole system, together, for a clear picture. When
           | we do that it obvious that our industrial food production is
           | deeply tied to every aspect of fossil fuel use, land use, and
           | atmospheric c02 in general.
        
             | Robotbeat wrote:
             | But I think this is worth considering from this perspective
             | as it focuses us on the most broadest solutions. If we
             | decarbonize all uses of fossil fuels, we're 73% of the way
             | to utterly decarbonizing.
             | 
             | Petrochemical production, nitrogen fertilizer production in
             | particular, is simply energy. And, in fact, nitrogen
             | fertilizer just needs hydrogen, not hydrocarbons (which is
             | a sort of misconception... many think hydrocarbons as a
             | fundamental component of fertilizers when the actual Haber
             | Process uses straight hydrogen), so should be much easier
             | than hydrogen cars. And transport is relatively easy to
             | decarbonize. Road and rail transport, in particular.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | > Oil is nearly as big of an emitter as coal, and gas plus
           | oil is now bigger than coal itself.
           | 
           | That's correct and everything, but I do think that for a
           | while the best strategy is to focus on coal. Yeah, some
           | electrifying of transportation won't harm either, but the
           | largest short term gains and the largest long term
           | opportunities all start on replacing coal.
           | 
           | If replacing coal leads to lots of peaking natgas plants, so
           | be it. It is still a gain on the short term, and it creates
           | clear target for storage on the long term.
        
             | Robotbeat wrote:
             | Yup, absolutely true. And I think people underestimate how
             | good electric cars are. They have about half the emissions
             | of conventional cars even if all their electricity comes
             | from gas (but about 40% of electricity in the US is
             | carbonfree--about half nuclear and the rest wind, hydro,
             | solar, and geothermal).
             | 
             | Each new conventional car sold is a locked-in 100 tons of
             | CO2 (lower if we we crush them sooner). Electric cars are
             | much smaller (half to start with), and depending on how
             | fast we transition the electric grid could be only like
             | 10-25 tons and then next to nothing (as even manufacture
             | becomes decarbonized).
        
         | hyko wrote:
         | _in my lifetime_
         | 
         | How long are you expecting to live? Just wondering as we're not
         | really expected to breach 950ppm by 2100:
         | https://skepticalscience.com/rcp.php?t=3#concentrations
         | 
         | Edited to add: ignore me, looking at ppm and not ug/m^3
        
         | protontypes wrote:
         | Avoiding greenhouse gases from the outset is certainly the
         | better alternative. However, it is unavoidable that we will
         | continue to emit massive amounts of greenhouse gases for the
         | next few years. Reforestation is the simplest and most cost-
         | effective "carbon capture technology". At the same time, this
         | restores lost habitat and thus averts another catastrophe: The
         | loss of biodiversity.
        
         | lstodd wrote:
         | No. It's just lining up the pockets of some shady
         | "reforestation" orgs that has zero to do with actual
         | reforestation except maybe the name.
         | 
         | Plant and ocean response to rising CO2 is unknown at this time.
         | The only mostly certain thing is that it is highly non-linear.
         | 
         | Any world-ending projections of CO2 content in thousands of ppm
         | are wild guesses and scaremongering.
        
         | NiceWayToDoIT wrote:
         | Things are so dire that even if we use all "guns" in our
         | disposal it will be difficult. There is no single solutions
         | that can help, amount of CO2 is so huge that if we would turn
         | CO2 we need to sequester into graphite bricks we could build a
         | wall 10 meters high and 5 meters wide encircling the Earth
         | around Equator 32 times.
         | 
         | So, we need all we can think at same time, now. :/
         | 
         | Simply, current amount of carbon in the atmosphere has been
         | released from sources that were not there, and we are still
         | cutting trees more than we plant. Some calculation say we need
         | between 1-2 trillion trees. But even then trees need a quite
         | some time to grow and become effective.
        
           | hedora wrote:
           | Also, the carbon those trees sequester needs to be somehow
           | captured permanently.
           | 
           | I imagine a solution where people grow stands of fast growing
           | trees, clear cut every $optimal years, use (magic?) chemistry
           | to separate the harvest into carbon and not carbon, then dump
           | the not carbon back onto the soil, and replant.
           | 
           | Even with that, I'm not convinced there are enough acres of
           | land on earth. I haven't seen anyone do the math, and suspect
           | direct carbon capture plants and olivine reactions will scale
           | better.
        
             | Panino wrote:
             | You'll be happy to know that what you describe exists and
             | it has a name: pyrolysis. Pyrolysis is the thermal
             | anaerobic decomposition of biomass. Basically, you heat up
             | organic material without oxygen at temperatures attainable
             | from a relatively small fire. During this process,
             | volatiles such as hydrogen and oxygen separate from the
             | carbon in the biomass feedstock (dry untreated wood, bones,
             | old cotton tshirts, whatever) and get released as syngas,
             | leaving more or less pure fixed carbon that is very stable,
             | safely sequestered in soil for thousands of years.
             | 
             | The resulting carbon, called biochar, can be co-composted
             | to prepare it for use in soil, where it protects the soil
             | from drought and flood alike. Plants grown in soil with
             | higher carbon content are bigger and healthier, and these
             | soils can produce _more_ of whatever you 're growing.
             | 
             | I make biochar at home but there are companies that do it
             | on an industrial scale.
             | 
             | Humanity has been pumping CO2 into the atmosphere at an
             | epic scale for decades. In addition to going carbon neutral
             | with more wind, solar and nuclear, we need to draw CO2 back
             | out of the atmosphere on an epic scale. And biochar
             | resulting from pyrolysis is one of the major tools since it
             | has synergistic effects with other tools, like mass tree
             | plantings. Biochar production can also offset other energy
             | uses, for example by either directly burning the syngas on-
             | site for heating purposes, or for capturing it and using it
             | later as a fuel in an application that would otherwise use
             | fossil fuel.
        
               | gambiting wrote:
               | Isn't this basically how charcoal is made?
        
               | Panino wrote:
               | Sort of but not really. Grill charcoal is made at a lower
               | temperature, preserving more volatiles, and then an
               | accelerant is often added (basically lighter fluid) to
               | help it ignite and burn. It's similar at a glance but the
               | differences are important.
        
               | zamalek wrote:
               | I wonder if dumping the biochar into a subduction
               | zone/trench would permanently remove the carbon from the
               | system at any reasonable rate. Or possibly back-fill
               | mines with it.
               | 
               | Either way, I completely agree. Planting trees doesn't
               | solve the problem if those trees are allowed to naturally
               | decompose. Trees are just really efficient carbon fixing
               | machinery, we need to store the solid carbon somewhere.
        
         | ubuwaits wrote:
         | Bill Gates wrote about the impact of planting trees recently:
         | 
         | > It sounds like a simple fix and it has obvious appeal for all
         | of us who love trees, but its impact on climate change is
         | overblown. Although trees absorb some carbon, they can never
         | take in enough to offset the damage from our modern lifestyle.
         | To absorb the lifetime emissions that will be produced by every
         | American alive today -- just 4 per cent of the global
         | population -- you'd need to plant and permanently maintain
         | trees on more than 16bn acres, roughly half the landmass of the
         | world.
         | 
         | From:
         | https://www.ft.com/content/c11bb885-1274-4677-ba05-fcbac67dc...
        
           | mumblemumble wrote:
           | For the sake of bringing it into more immediate (for this
           | context) perspective, I'm curious if anyone is able to do the
           | analysis on ecological impact from technology decisions?
           | 
           | For example, choosing fancier, JavaScript-heavy ways of
           | building webpages probably results in clients consuming extra
           | electricity. One could hypothetically estimate the impact,
           | and then come up with an analysis to the effect of, "For a
           | site generating X amount of traffic, you'd need to plant Y
           | trees to offset the decision to use Google Tag Manager."
        
             | frongpik wrote:
             | Ads, basically. But I doubt web makes any impact here.
             | Let's say every web user spends 2 hours every day waiting
             | for ads to finish loading. 2 hr x 100 watt x 360 days x 5
             | billion users = 1 TWh. The US alone produces 4000 TWh per
             | year.
        
           | atleta wrote:
           | Sounds logical. We're burning fossils of past creatures that
           | have lived over a period of hundreds of millions of years on
           | the surface of the Earth.
        
           | IgorPartola wrote:
           | Well fuck. Anyone know of a lobby as a service project?
        
             | therealdrag0 wrote:
             | The Coalition for Rainforest Nations might be good. This is
             | recommended by this report:
             | https://founderspledge.com/research/fp-climate-change
        
             | sterlind wrote:
             | Any APIs hosted by major cloud providers are LaaS, if you
             | think about it.
        
               | darkerside wrote:
               | Thought about it, still not getting it. I like the idea.
        
           | adflux wrote:
           | A very misleading calculation.
           | 
           | You don't need to absorb ALL co2 currently being output by
           | Americans. A large percentage of that is already being
           | converted/stored by algae / trees
           | 
           | So the baseline isn't "we need to store all CO2". The
           | baseline is, we need to convert the part that is currently
           | "overcapacity" for our environment. And for that, planting
           | trees IS a good solution. But don't take my word (or Bills)
           | for it.
           | 
           | https://science.sciencemag.org/content/365/6448/76
           | 
           | ... Ecosystems could support an additional 0.9 billion
           | hectares of continuous forest. This would represent a greater
           | than 25% increase in forested area, including more than 200
           | gigatonnes of additional carbon at maturity.Such a change has
           | the potential to store an equivalent of 25% of the current
           | atmospheric carbon pool.
        
             | dheera wrote:
             | s/Americans/world/, and also
             | 
             | - Trees are being cut down at record rate for meat
             | production. Meat production is one of the bigger culprits
             | in deforestation (and particularly of the Amazon and other
             | tropical rainforests). If the world were willing to eat
             | _less_ meat (we don 't have to be all-out vegan, we just
             | need to eat much _less_ of it) we 'd be a lot better off in
             | terms of how much arable land we need to feed everyone
             | instead of feeding a bunch of cows and then feeding
             | everyone
             | 
             | - The world population is much bigger now. All
             | environmental problems are essentially only an issue
             | because we have too many people in the world right now. If
             | we had the population of the 1800's, none of our modern
             | lifestyle habits would be a serious problem.
        
         | dangoor wrote:
         | I recently listened to the audiobook of How to Avoid a Climate
         | Disaster by Bill Gates. It was a fine tour of the landscape of
         | solutions. My main takeaway is that we're going to need to do a
         | wide variety of things in a wide variety of sectors. He gets
         | into stuff like concrete, which is very important in growth but
         | also big on emissions.
         | 
         | With respect to reforestation: Gates says it would help, but
         | possibly not as much as you'd think and he's a bigger proponent
         | of stopping the deforestation.
         | 
         | Yishan Wong thinks that growing _forests_ (as opposed to just
         | planting trees) is an important tool for carbon sequestration:
         | https://www.terraformation.com/about
        
           | DigitalHumani wrote:
           | Hi, Jonathan here, founder of the RaaS (Reforestation as a
           | Service) at DigitalHumani.com
           | 
           | I totally agree that we need to do a wide variety of things.
           | Stopping deforestation, reforestation, less meat, electric
           | cars, etc. We need to do it all.
        
       | mdoms wrote:
       | If you want to plant a tree, plant a tree. I have no faith that
       | these jokers will ever actually plant the ordered number of
       | trees.
        
         | DigitalHumani wrote:
         | Hi, Jonathan here, founder of the RaaS (Reforestation as a
         | Service) at DigitalHumani.com
         | 
         | We only work with trusted reforestation organizations (6 so
         | far) and you can choose which one to work with.
         | 
         | Planting a tree is not that complicated, I agree, but for lots
         | of us working in cities, it is not that easy. Finding the right
         | species, buying the shovel and the tree, taking care of it,
         | etc. More complicated to have tens of them planted though.
         | 
         | I'd rather send 1$ to a farmer in Belize (as an example) that
         | will be very happy to get that dollar to plant a tree that will
         | give him and his family fruits.
        
       | C06aka wrote:
       | As a point of confusion, what is the obsession with planting
       | trees? With little human intervention, outside of climate change,
       | the earth is experiencing mass afforestation. There's been
       | something like a 20% increase in plant matter in the past 50
       | years, an area double the size of the continental united states,
       | due to warmer, wetter climate and a longer growing season. Is it
       | the forest fires that have people concerned? That's largely due
       | to this explosive growth and poor forest management. It's been a
       | few years since I looked at the numbers but if I remember
       | correctly, creating a 10-100x increase in wood product
       | consumption (different wood products sequester different amounts
       | of carbon) while preventing all forest fires globally would
       | offset all human carbon emissions.
        
       | parhamn wrote:
       | This is really really cool. Congrats on the launch!
       | 
       | We're working on something similar as our non-profit project [1]
       | built on the integration system for our browser. It will be a
       | free service that lets you connect a few SaaS providers to start
       | (Jira, Github, Gitlab, etc) and automatically plant trees (with
       | some multiple). Stripe is also doing something similar at the
       | payments level. [2]
       | 
       | Two things:
       | 
       | 1. These threads always go to a "trees are just virtue signaling"
       | conversation. I think focusing on the trees misses the forrest.
       | Passive allocation of $$ towards good causes through these
       | systems will help teams get involved and associate it directly
       | with their work. This sort of thing is good and feels good. We
       | can focus on better allocation and give people options in the
       | future.
       | 
       | 2. There are millions of issues/tasks/sales/PRs/etc closed every
       | day and all of them have a real monetary value for orgs. Im sure
       | we can capture a real % of that. It also moves social
       | responsibility out of closed departments to having everyone in
       | teams involved and contributing frequently and effortlessly. Its
       | exciting!
       | 
       | P.S. I wouldn't normally share this sort of thing on another Show
       | HN but I think we're probably 100% aligned in our goals of
       | getting donations to projects that need it. If I can help in
       | anyway or you'd like to get involved with any of this please
       | email me parham@cloudsynth.com :)
       | 
       | [1] https://cloudsynth.com/social-impact/trees [2]
       | https://stripe.com/climate
        
         | IgorPartola wrote:
         | Ok but your two arguments over how this isn't just a feel good
         | thing come down to (1) is ok that it's a feel good thing and
         | (2) it can be a popular feel good thing. How many net acres of
         | forest can we gain and how much CO2 can we remove with this per
         | year, based on your best projections?
         | 
         | I am not saying it's bad to do this. I would be happy to be a
         | customer. But how do we know this does anything meaningful?
        
           | parhamn wrote:
           | Key points are: this mechanism of collection can be much more
           | effective for non-profits. And importantly once the automated
           | passive payments are in place, it is easy to give users other
           | options for what to do with the money (it doesn't have to be
           | trees but its probably the most marketable start outside the
           | HN community).
           | 
           | The napkin math on trees has been done quite a bit here
           | already. I'm on mobile but I would look at the Stripe Climate
           | thread for some references.
        
       | vcdimension wrote:
       | Many of these tree planting schemes are a bit dubious; can you
       | really be sure that they are planting new trees that wouldn't
       | have grown in that area anyway, and will they still be around in
       | 40 years time to make sure the trees grow to maturity and are not
       | cut down and burned? The only tree planting scheme that I really
       | trust is the Green Belt Movement:
       | http://www.greenbeltmovement.org/ started over 40 years ago by
       | Professor Wangari Maathai.
        
         | tima101 wrote:
         | You can also plant trees by yourself. Last year I planted 10
         | Siberian and Korean pines in one day. 7 trees survived, 3 trees
         | died because I over watered them. So those 7 trees don't
         | actually need any extra care from me.
        
           | 11235813213455 wrote:
           | Are those trees native (local on your area)? Also just
           | curious, why not planting fruit trees? That's what I'd do
           | right away if I had land
        
         | protontypes wrote:
         | A lot of work is being done to make reforestation as
         | transparent and sustainable as possible. In itself, it is no
         | problem to record a world coordinate when planting the tree and
         | later see if this tree is still there. The involved
         | organizations are already working with such and similar
         | solutions to avoid misuse. If you want to be 100% sure, you
         | need to do it yourself: buy land, plant trees.
        
           | sixothree wrote:
           | Maybe NFTs are the solution. I kid but.
        
             | marton78 wrote:
             | This problem can clearly only be solved by AI.
        
               | rzzzt wrote:
               | Treecoin!
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | Yeah, but how do I know 9 other people also paid for it?
           | 
           | How do I know it's not replaced by a new tree 30 years from
           | now.
           | 
           | And so on.
        
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