[HN Gopher] On the death of my family's dairy farm (2019)
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       On the death of my family's dairy farm (2019)
        
       Author : ddtaylor
       Score  : 199 points
       Date   : 2021-03-12 10:14 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (blog.abevoelker.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (blog.abevoelker.com)
        
       | 14 wrote:
       | I love how this article mentions Canada's Dairy Cartel. They make
       | it seem like such a good thing. It is not. We pay very high
       | prices for milk and dairy products. I would rather a free market
       | where those who can provide cheap and quality get the market
       | share. Instead there is no competition the system is really
       | screwed and definitely not endorsed by all Canadians. One gallon
       | of milk costs us about $6Cad. Mean while if you have a good year
       | and your cows really produce well you are only allowed to bring
       | to market there set amount you produce. So yes Canada has a dairy
       | cartel that price fixed and regulates the entire market but is
       | allowed.
        
       | mjparrott wrote:
       | I'd encourage anyone with advice for the farm industry to work 1
       | week on a farm if they haven't before. Many probably were born
       | and raised on it but if you weren't, it'd be worth it.
        
       | JoeAltmaier wrote:
       | My niece is (was) a Milkmaid in Switzerland. Her family dairy
       | farm sold off all the cattle a few years ago when the state de-
       | regulated milk.
       | 
       | I remember the cattle were pastured across the road. There was an
       | underpass for the cattle to get from barn to field and back. In
       | the evening they would begin their trek, the herd gathering and
       | filing through the underpass. Each cow would take her place in
       | the barn, in a stall with her name, ready to be milked.
       | 
       | To be sure, they re-purposed the land and farm. The national polo
       | team practices in the field and stables in the barn. So that's
       | some income. But not the same.
       | 
       | My niece is a teacher now.
        
       | kickout wrote:
       | Great write up OP! Love hearing first hand accounts of the "get
       | big or get out" directive that probably caused many unintended
       | second and third order effects
        
       | drewg123 wrote:
       | My uncle owned a large dairy farm before he died. He loved
       | farming, loved his cows ("the girls"), and loved farming enough
       | to farm until he died, even though it was hard physical labor
       | that had already taken a large toll on his body.
       | 
       | The running joke in the family was that he made more from real-
       | estate speculation than he ever did from farming. His farm was
       | next to a major interstate and in the suburban expansion path for
       | his metro area. He'd buy land and farm it when the price was low,
       | and because he farmed it, the real estate taxes were negligible.
       | He'd then sell it when the prices where high and use it to
       | subsidize the farm.
       | 
       | He died a millionaire, but lived in a ratty, falling down
       | farmhouse and drove a 20+ year old car.
        
         | newthrawywhodis wrote:
         | This is one of the only real ways to make money as a small
         | farmer, the others being agro-tourism (pick your own),
         | hospitality (airbnb, events etc) or most difficultly direct to
         | consumer farm sales.
         | 
         | >He died a millionaire, but lived in a ratty, falling down
         | farmhouse and drove a 20+ year old car.
         | 
         | To some people this is a feature, not a bug. He also probably
         | wasn't surrounded by 100 nosy neighbors.
        
       | duxup wrote:
       | Farming as a business gets idealized in the US and there's often
       | this concept of a good old days when family farming was
       | profitable and stable.
       | 
       | But historically speaking farming has always been a boom and bust
       | industry. Even during the land rush days in the US the amount of
       | space granted per farm was barely enough / not enough to scrape
       | by, even at that time.
       | 
       | Now everything is so heavily tied up with legislation to try to
       | recreate appropriate market conditions that I suspect whatever
       | the actual market would be without all that legislation is an
       | unknown.
       | 
       | I grew up around folks trying to scrape by on their family farms
       | living at the whims of markets that can make or break them over
       | the course of just a few years. As much as I like the ideal of
       | the family farm, I'm not sure it is, and not sure it ever was a
       | good way to make a living (outside some exceptions).
        
         | cies wrote:
         | > Farming as a business gets idealized
         | 
         | And I understand that in case of plant growers. In case of
         | livestock exploiters I dont see what's so "cool" about it.
        
           | kyrieeschaton wrote:
           | Have you heard of "cowboys"?
        
           | duxup wrote:
           | I guess I was speaking more generally but as far as livestock
           | there's certainly plenty if idolizing that too, even if some
           | don't.
        
             | cies wrote:
             | Stinking animals, caged or fenced up, slaughter looming
             | over their pitiful existence. Nope. No glamour there as far
             | as i see.
        
               | duxup wrote:
               | Your distaste for it really doesn't have much to do with
               | if it is or isn't idealized.
        
         | derriz wrote:
         | I agree nostalgia can cloud judgement but there has been a
         | fundamental shift in the nature of farming in the last few
         | decades.
         | 
         | Btw, this is a perspective from Europe - the same thing has
         | happened with family farming here. While I didn't grow up on
         | one, I spent a lot of time on my grandparent's farm.
         | 
         | Farming has never been easy but the amount of capital required
         | (represented by land, livestock and machinery) to run an
         | economically viable farm has increased enormously increasing
         | the risk. By viable I mean profitable enough to provide an
         | average family with a median income.
         | 
         | My grandparents raised 4 kids, putting 3 of them through 3rd
         | level education and never really wanted for much purely on
         | income from a 90 acre farm. All their neighbours and the entire
         | landscape was covered with family farms of this size plus or
         | minus. What's left now are some old bachelors barely surviving
         | or part-timers (who generally inherited the land) with "real"
         | jobs who keep some dry stock or rent out their land to big
         | producers.
         | 
         | It's sad to see a way of life disappear but I don't see any
         | alternative. From an economic perspective, it can only be
         | supported by transferring income from others to small farmers.
         | This is effectively what happened in the past through higher
         | prices paid for agricultural produce. As a share of disposable
         | income, spending on food is a fraction (well under 10% in the
         | west) of what it was in the past - which hurt the poor
         | disproportionally.
        
           | ip26 wrote:
           | This seems fairly inextricably tied to a heavy reliance on
           | cereal crops & soy. If fruits & vegetables were a higher
           | portion of our collective diet, more small farmers could be
           | supported (produce being less mechanized) and while food
           | spending would increase, our collective health might improve
           | at the same time.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | It's not really possible to produce enough calories for the
             | population by focusing on fruits and vegetables. Only
             | cereal and starch crops can do that. This has been true
             | ever since humans stopped being hunter-gatherers and it
             | won't change in our lifetimes.
             | 
             | Also even produce farming is increasingly automated. For
             | example there are already working prototypes of strawberry
             | picking robots; within 10 years those will be in widespread
             | use on large farms.
        
             | duxup wrote:
             | I think hanging your hat on 'well produce will just make
             | more' if the market shifts towards that is a bit fragile.
             | 
             | Generally farmers have been really good at increasing
             | output across the board... often driving prices way down.
             | 
             | Probably a good idea diet wise, but generally not a tried
             | I'd expect would save many farms for long. We've seen
             | increases in other types of farming boom and bust time and
             | again after flooding the market with product.
        
           | duxup wrote:
           | Yeah I'm fairly skeptical about trying to turn the tide of
           | efficiencies and market forces in this case. It really seems
           | to just be shuffling deck chairs and with some bad
           | consequences.
        
         | pullmn wrote:
         | Yes, if you compare farmers with actors, they seem to have
         | similar problems with stability of employment, low pay, and
         | hard working conditions. In both cases these are partly caused
         | by unavoidable factors about the industry, partly caused by
         | ruthless suppliers, customers, investors and so on, partly
         | caused (let's be honest) by the fact that many people make a
         | lifestyle choice to do those professions, and will put up with
         | poor conditions to keep on doing so.
         | 
         | However, we constantly hear about the rough deal farmers are
         | getting and how important it is to do something to help them.
         | And we never hear this about actors.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | YinglingLight wrote:
           | You don't need Shakespeare to live
        
             | pullmn wrote:
             | Well, you don't need steak either, but both things are
             | considered _extremely important_ to human life and our
             | society.
        
       | jasonv wrote:
       | I visited a dairy in Utah a couple of summers ago. 130 cows, 3
       | employees.
       | 
       | It's a fully automated facility, using equipment from Germany.
       | The cows enter a stall, the machine milks them, gives them a
       | treat, they move on. Employees get a text if a cow hasn't milked
       | itself in a while... usually a tap on their shoulder is enough to
       | get them to walk over to the machine.
       | 
       | Even yet, the person giving the tour said they don't make enough
       | money selling the milk to sustain the operation. They also make
       | high-end cheeses on-prem, and that's what keeps them in the
       | black.
        
         | BitwiseFool wrote:
         | I recall hearing that there is a glut of milk in the US because
         | there are just too many dairy cows. Is this still true?
        
           | anonAndOn wrote:
           | Don't forget rBGH.[0] Canada and the EU banned it, but thanks
           | to big Pharma, you can get still get hormone adulterated milk
           | in the US of A.
           | 
           | [0]https://www.organicvalley.coop/blog/rBGH-decoded-what-is-
           | bov...
        
             | NoImmatureAdHom wrote:
             | Is there good scientific evidence that rBGH is bad for you?
             | I don't know a lot about this, but my first guess is that
             | "naturalness" / "organicness" partisans are opposed to it
             | for reasons related to the non-scientifically-supported
             | ideas they have that are rooted in purity instincts.
        
           | OldHand2018 wrote:
           | Yes, but I think it depends on the location. At my local
           | grocery store in Chicago, milk has been $2 per gallon ($0.53
           | per liter) for years, as long as you buy 2 gallons or more.
           | When I was in Florida for a few months, I couldn't find it
           | for less than $3.79 per gallon ($1 per liter) anywhere.
           | 
           | The cheaper milk in the upper midwest tastes better too, as
           | it all comes from Wisconsin and Indiana where the cows can
           | feed on green grass that grows naturally because it gets
           | plenty of rain, etc.
        
             | llsf wrote:
             | I pay $5.69 the gallon in SF at grocery store.
        
         | fiftyfifty wrote:
         | I've helped with an IT project for several large dairies in the
         | US (1,000+ cows each). Like you said the cows practically milk
         | themselves. They walk by themselves into the milk barn, one
         | person attaches the automatic milking machines to each cow as
         | they walk into a stall. The milking machine automatically drops
         | off the udders when the cow is done being milked and they walk
         | back out to their pen on their own. I was told the cows like to
         | be milked because it's uncomfortable for them when they are
         | full of milk. Most dairies milk their cows 3 times a day around
         | the clock. One of the dairies I've been to has a round milk
         | barn with a rotating floor with about 100 milking stalls around
         | the outside edge, so the guy attaching the milking machines to
         | the cows doesn't even have to move. By the time the cows rotate
         | all the way around the building they are done, the milking
         | attachments drop off and the cows walk out the door on their
         | own and go back to their pens to eat. I've shown up at these
         | places a few times unannounced and spent 30 minutes walking
         | around looking for a person (other than the guy in the milk
         | barn) to let me into the office. Many times there's two people
         | at the entire dairy: the guy in the milk barn and a guy driving
         | a tractor that drops the feed for the cows along the sides of
         | their pens. Each pen has artificial wood floors kind of like
         | trex decking material and sprinklers in the roof of the pen
         | that run automatically several times a day to wash away the
         | poop which drains into holding ponds. The holding ponds have
         | machinery just like a waste water treatment plant: the solids
         | settle to the bottom of the ponds, and the water is used for
         | corn crops that are fed back to the cows. The manure is dredged
         | from the holding ponds, dried, and distributed on the fields
         | with tractors to fertilize the corn. The majority of food fed
         | to the cows is corn silage, which is the entire corn plants
         | ground up and composted/fermented in large covered piles for a
         | while to make it easier for the cows digest. This makes the
         | whole setup fairly self sustaining. If they need to, the
         | dairies will buy feed, but they try to minimize that because it
         | increases their expenses. Most of these large dairies own
         | thousands of acres around the dairy that is almost entirely
         | dedicated to growing corn to feed the cows. After being to
         | these kinds of setups it's clear to me that there's no way a
         | small operation could compete. If they could replace those last
         | two employees with machines, they would.
        
         | laszlokorte wrote:
         | I had to look that up:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tLjI_eixBQk
        
           | jasonv wrote:
           | Yeah, the screen looks the same, I think the Utah dairy had a
           | newer model.
           | 
           | They also mentioned that there were only 3 dairy farms in the
           | state with any kind of automated milking machines.
        
       | bsima wrote:
       | buy raw milk from a local family farm. its one of the best ways
       | to spend your money
        
       | ro-mx wrote:
       | Dead of agriculture in general happened to undeveloped countries
       | like the one I am from a long time ago. You might not see it now
       | but the next logical thing to happen is starvation of mass
       | population, and a state of irrecoverable workforce, many of us
       | around the world are doing the same, leaving the farms to go
       | working on computers. Let me tell you this: you cannot eat bytes.
        
       | lettergram wrote:
       | As someone who's spent a lot of time in and around farms. I even
       | bought a farm last week!
       | 
       | This is an accurate depiction for the vast majority of farms.
       | It's an industry where you have a high over head cost (want to
       | start raising cattle - $300k land, $50k equipment, $30k housing /
       | barn, $20k fencing, $10k to start a herd - profit in 2-3 years).
       | This scales well. Get some more land, you can keep the equipment
       | running longer, concentrate cows, etc
       | 
       | I do think this creates overall a less healthy and productive
       | nation. The reason I bought a farm was for my families nutrition.
       | Food from the store has far less nutrition. Working on a farm
       | teaches you hard work (as the article describes) and family
       | bonds. We personally don't plan on making much profit, if any.
       | 
       | All that being said, focusing on the niche is important. In
       | Tennessee they produce grass fed cattle. Many farmers make
       | profits with relatively small herds. I'm planning on planting a
       | walnut or pawpaw grove, and raising elk.
       | 
       | Unique goods provide a way to make a profit without scale. This
       | is like every industry.
        
         | willismichael wrote:
         | I understand that you're probably estimating bare minimum
         | costs, but getting started for half a million dollars is
         | actually way more affordable than I imagined you would
         | describe. That's comparable to what some people pay for a
         | middle class suburban home near a lot of the mid-sized
         | metropolitan areas around the United States.
        
           | lettergram wrote:
           | That's literally the cost I just paid lol
           | 
           | But yes, $500k is about the minimum. Plus ~40 acres. For
           | grass fed beef you can raise probably 20 heads and buy
           | supplementals. You might only make $5-10k up to maybe $30k
           | (buying hay or leasing other land to grow feed) profit
           | initially.
           | 
           | BUT it's not a ton of work, really only feeding the cattle
           | every other day, doing injections on the cattle and cutting /
           | bailing hay 2-3 times a year. Average is probably 10 hrs of
           | work a week.
           | 
           | When those trees I mentioned start growing in, I can net
           | closer to $2-3k per acre. So closer to $60k profit on that 40
           | acre farm. That's only one harvest a year, plus checking
           | periodically. I can work a full-time job besides the 2 week
           | harvest season.
           | 
           | Another important factor for me, was the protection from
           | inflation. Food prices go up during inflation, so my farm is
           | worth more. Further, what the farm PRODUCES is worth more. So
           | I took out a loan and my loan will be easier to pay off from
           | the production and be worth more when I sell. Effectively
           | letting me leverage the loan to make more profit.
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | >Another important factor for me, was the protection from
             | inflation. Food prices go up during inflation, so my farm
             | is worth more.
             | 
             | this is a moot point because literally any other thing you
             | invest it (short of maybe government bonds) protect you
             | from inflation.
        
               | lettergram wrote:
               | Not quite. Stocks, gold, Bitcoin, a house you live in
               | (not rent) don't produce anything (unless your stock has
               | a dividend).
               | 
               | You want something that produces.
               | 
               | Say I buy $300k worth of gold, 10% inflation hits and
               | there's no change in demand and its now worth $330k.
               | 
               | Say I buy a $300k farm. 10% inflation hits and there's no
               | change in demand. It's now worth $330k... but the value
               | of production of said farm is also up 10%.
               | 
               | This makes an opportunity. If I take a loan on my farm in
               | year 1, I can buy a larger farm (say on 3% interest). If
               | inflation hits I can pay down that farm loan at an ever
               | increasing rate. This allows someone to leverage the
               | inflation and debt to make larger purchases.
               | 
               | It protects your INCOME from inflation. Not just your
               | investments.
        
               | smeyer wrote:
               | What you're describing isn't specific to farms. If you
               | take out a fixed-rate loan, you'll benefit from increases
               | to inflation (since it makes the inflation-adjusted
               | interest rate lower). This is true whether you use that
               | loan to buy a farm, a house, gold, et cetera.
               | 
               | Other than the loan, it makes sense to work in real
               | dollars (inflation adjusted) not nominal dollars (non-
               | inflation adjusted). In real dollars, you $300k farm
               | doesn't change in value and your income also doesn't
               | change. In real dollars, gold (in your example) also
               | doesn't change.
               | 
               | Gold is a poor and weird investment for a variety of
               | reasons, but it's not like farms are magically better
               | than other asset classes (like regular old stocks).
        
               | eej71 wrote:
               | Perhaps I'm deeply misinformed, but as a hedge against a
               | modest amount of regular inflation, stocks generally
               | perform quite well over the long term - especially when
               | compared against other asset categories.
        
               | milesvp wrote:
               | You're not misinformed. This is kind of a weird thread.
               | 
               | Generally, if you want to hedge against inflation, you
               | buy anything but dollars. If you want a very safe hedge
               | against inflation you buy US government bonds. They are
               | considered the lowest default bond, and as such will
               | generally be priced at expected inflation. Next up, if
               | you want about 1% above inflation (and the associated
               | risk) you go with corporate bonds. And if you want about
               | 3%, and more risk, you go with stocks.
               | 
               | Generally you should know the higher the interest the
               | greater the risk. Some of the risk is short term risk,
               | like not being able to liquidate. Some of the risk is
               | longer term, like a company becoming insolvent.
               | 
               | To get good returns from the stock market, you need
               | diversity, and long time lines, and growing companies.
               | Else luck.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | >Stocks, gold, Bitcoin, a house you live in (not rent)
               | don't produce anything (unless your stock has a
               | dividend).
               | 
               | Houses: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imputed_rent
               | 
               | Stocks: You're literally owning a share of a corporation
               | that produces stuff. Producing a dividend (or buybacks)
               | isn't guaranteed, but that isn't that much different than
               | owning a farm, which can also fail to produce a profit
               | (if costs exceed expenses).
        
               | lettergram wrote:
               | Perhaps you missed "a house you live in (not rent)"
               | 
               | I agree with the idea renting a home would be similar to
               | a farm. The whole thing is you have to generate an income
               | from the asset.
               | 
               | Stocks are, as you mentioned, kind of similar - but IMO
               | not precisely the same. Often companies have expenses
               | that also inflate, so it's more similar to gold or
               | holding something static. When you own the means of
               | production it's a tad different. Personally, I'd consider
               | stocks somewhere in-between. Better than gold, less good
               | than production your own.
               | 
               | However, owning a farm or means of production does come
               | with more risk.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | >Perhaps you missed "a house you live in (not rent)"
               | 
               | It's not giving you cash every month, but it's saving you
               | from having to pay rent, which is effectively the same
               | thing. This is what imputed rent is.
               | 
               | >Stocks are, as you mentioned, kind of similar - but IMO
               | not precisely the same. Often companies have expenses
               | that also inflate, so it's more similar to gold or
               | holding something static.
               | 
               | and farms don't? You need to buy fuel, fertilizer/feed,
               | equipment, all of which inflate. There's also the
               | opportunity cost of your labor, which also inflates.
               | 
               | There also exists a much simpler way to see the
               | equivalence between the two: what's the difference
               | between owning a farm, and owning a share in a
               | corporation that operates a farm?
        
               | LeifCarrotson wrote:
               | The other inflating asset is the $500k real estate. Here
               | in the midwest, 40-acre farms a few dozen miles away from
               | cities are constantly being converted into 40-unit
               | residential housing complexes that sell at $500k/unit.
               | Zillow and comps in my neighborhood say that my 50-year-
               | old suburban ranch, which I bought 5 years ago, is worth
               | more than double what I paid for it.
               | 
               | Buy the farm at $500k, sell it for $1M in a few years to
               | another farmer or a developer, and you'd make double the
               | profit of the cow farm itself. Or spend $200/square
               | (which is itself insane) to build houses on it for a
               | total of $24M and, if current trends continue, sell them
               | all at $1M each for $16M profit.
               | 
               | With that insane real estate market status, the cows and
               | lumber at $60k/year are almost a moo point. It's like a
               | cow's opinion, you know, it just doesn't matter. It's
               | "moo".
               | 
               | Not that the current real estate bubble isn't guaranteed
               | not to pop. But there are a lot of powerful people and
               | institutions which are highly incentivized to pretend
               | it's not a bubble and make every effort to keep it from
               | popping, so I think it's unlikely to do so.
        
             | jiofih wrote:
             | > Average is probably 10 hrs of work a week
             | 
             | > closer to $60k profit on that 40 acre farm
             | 
             | > Food prices go up during inflation, so my farm is worth
             | more
             | 
             | > my loan will be easier to pay off from the production and
             | be worth more when I sell
             | 
             | > I can work a full-time job besides the 2 week harvest
             | season
             | 
             | Jesus Christ, I'm sorry to say this but you are in for a
             | rude, violent awakening. Best of luck.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | DC1350 wrote:
             | Couldn't you feed a family high quality food for a few
             | decades with $500k? This seems like a lot of effort if you
             | aren't planning on making a profit.
        
               | lettergram wrote:
               | That's fair, but two posits
               | 
               | (1) you can't really get high quality food outside a lot
               | of sourcing and effort. As an example, I grow purple
               | green beans that taste better than any green bean I've
               | every bought. You may be able to get that particular
               | green bean from a specialty shop, but I'm doing this with
               | 30 different plants on 1-2 acres. I can harvest and eat
               | the plants the same day as well (which has far more
               | nutrition).
               | 
               | (2) I shouldn't have said no profit, I do have a plan to
               | make it profitable. But that's not the primary goal, nor
               | would it be my primary job. I'm a software engineer by
               | trade and can work remote easily. Further, I can later
               | sell the farm and equipment. It's likely I'll make a
               | profit there as well.
        
               | rootusrootus wrote:
               | > you can't really get high quality food outside a lot of
               | sourcing and effort
               | 
               | To be fair, this is very dependent upon the region you
               | live in. I live in a suburban area bordering on farmland,
               | and so I can get piles of really good quality foods at my
               | local farmer's market every weekend. There's farms
               | naturally raising grass fed beef, as well. And a couple
               | people that go out to the Pacific and catch fish and then
               | sell it at the same farmer's market.
               | 
               | I imagine that's a bit of a luxury in some places, for
               | sure, but I'd bet it's not _that_ uncommon, either.
        
               | dakna wrote:
               | I'm in a fairly similar situation, albeit on a smaller
               | scale (6 acres) and I do this for reasons you already
               | mentioned (nutrition, inflation hedge) plus climate
               | change. I have years of experience growing veggies in my
               | backyard and I agree, it takes a lot of money to get the
               | same quality food elsewhere, and some specialties are out
               | of reach. It's also a lot of fun.
               | 
               | I'm also planning for retirement in the 2030s and I'm
               | trying to funnel my software engineering money into a
               | small productive farm/market garden that produces enough
               | to make a small profit and hire some help when needed. I
               | haven't found a good way to offset my initial investment
               | costs as a beginning farmer against my regular income
               | from my main job, but I just started to learn more about
               | Schedule F Profit/Loss from farming. Any pointers on what
               | to read or CPA recommendations are highly appreciated.
               | 
               | Greetings from Hardiness Zone 6, which I assume will turn
               | into Zone 7 within my lifetime.
        
               | lettergram wrote:
               | Frankly, while I've bailed hay, grown my own food, etc.
               | I'm also unfamiliar with this scale - just decided to go
               | for it.
               | 
               | I already have someone willing to harvest for me and
               | split the profits 50/50. I'm offering them a
               | 30(me)/70(them) split on the condition they teach me to
               | run their equipment, explain what they know, etc. There's
               | not really a guide on starting a farm, you need to find
               | someone who knows and work with them.
               | 
               | I also have family members in the cattle industry,
               | construction and one family member specializing in
               | maintaining prairie land. Speaking with them I am working
               | to figure out the best way to maintain and improve the
               | farm. For instance, I have a cabin on the property from
               | the civil war period; we're going to repair it and put a
               | new roof on etc.
        
               | valvar wrote:
               | That's assuming it's their money to begin with (I'd
               | assume it's a loan). With those numbers it takes about a
               | decade to make it back -- perhaps more with capital
               | costs. That doesn't sound bad at all? What were you
               | expecting?
        
               | DC1350 wrote:
               | I don't know. It just seems inefficient to me. Farming is
               | not enjoyable work for most people who do it so the whole
               | plan just reminds me of Marie Antoinette's peasant role
               | play hobby.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | That $500K doesn't disappear. In a few decades the farm
               | can be sold and you can get your money back (depending on
               | changes in land prices).
        
               | x86_64Ubuntu wrote:
               | But farms across the nation are failing and
               | conglomerating. It just seems like he's investing in
               | horses after the Model T has been released.
        
               | tengbretson wrote:
               | These conglomerating farms are exactly the reason for the
               | lower quality food the poster is talking about. If the
               | trend you identify continues then the relative scarcity
               | of high quality food will rise.
        
         | tweetle_beetle wrote:
         | Do you really need a whole farm just to provide nutrition for
         | you family, even if it does have some livestock, or is there
         | more to it than that? I remember reading about some amazing
         | results that can be achieved on very small patches of land,
         | with the right techniques, tools and planning. The official
         | website is light on details, this article is better [2].
         | 
         | [1] https://www.themarketgardener.com/ [2]
         | https://www.resilience.org/stories/2014-04-01/a-model-for-pr...
        
           | dkersten wrote:
           | I remember reading something about a square foot or three of
           | tightly packed grow space (using vegetables that complement
           | each other or whatever; I also remember reading about was it
           | tiered gardening?) is enough to feed a person. My mother
           | grows a bunch of vegetables in about ~3 square feet of space
           | and while its not everything she eats (vegetable or
           | otherwise), it does cover a good bit and she always has more
           | of what she grows than she needs.
           | 
           | So if that's true, seems like a decent plot of land should be
           | plenty for feeding a family yet still having some left over,
           | at least for vegetables and maybe eggs.
           | 
           | If you want to keep other livestock (lettergram mentions
           | grass-fed beef), then I guess you do indeed need an actual
           | farm.
        
             | slfnflctd wrote:
             | > a square foot or three of tightly packed grow space [...]
             | is enough to feed a person
             | 
             | That seems insanely optimistic to me. I've done a lot of
             | reading about people's attempts to feed themselves with
             | home-grown agriculture, and it's way more difficult than
             | many assume. I would multiply that square footage
             | requirement about 1000x before even trying it-- and that's
             | if all possible relevant research is implemented and
             | everything goes smoothly.
             | 
             | I tried & failed to find an article I read a few years ago
             | which broke down a whole bunch of the math behind this, but
             | here is a video that matches pretty closely with what I've
             | read elsewhere (despite being short on sources):
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=926Z6wzf278
        
               | fock wrote:
               | yes, I think I've come to the conclusion that around
               | 1000m2 per person should be enough to have a significant
               | impact on food supply per person in a non-optimal,
               | manual-labor based workflow. 1/3m2 won't cut it as the
               | mother of the preposter probably also ate a healthy dose
               | of carbohydrates, proteins and fat which generally are
               | not abundant in any typical "decorative" vegetables. And
               | if you want to selfsustain your family you really need a
               | lot (just look at the weight of military ready-made meals
               | and think that you have to produce that (as a baseline)
               | (x 365 x number of people supplied). Also in any urban
               | setting, the supply of clean water will kill you faster
               | than any lack of food.
        
       | m463 wrote:
       | I think there's one thing to mention - this has been happening
       | for a long long time.
       | 
       | In my family tree, there were lots and lots of farmers, and now
       | there are no farmers left.
       | 
       | Looking backward along your family tree you'll probably find the
       | same, probably like something in this blog post.
       | 
       | I think this is the graph that might describe it:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agriculture#/media/File:Transi...
       | 
       | I think we have to sort of figure out not only the loss, but the
       | gain.
        
       | SavantIdiot wrote:
       | Fun fact: newborn cows are switched from their mother's milk to
       | an industrial milk formula just five days after their birth,
       | instead of the normal weaning period of 8 months, so that humans
       | can drink the calf's milk.
        
         | WarOnPrivacy wrote:
         | > Fun fact:...
         | 
         | Fun is weird where you are. What are your amusement parks like?
        
       | aurizon wrote:
       | This is all exacerbated by the decline in birth rates. Milk
       | marketing promotes milk as a nearly perfect food - and it is, but
       | it is costly for the ~6% of nutritional content in milk, (skim
       | and 2%BF being lower). I only use milk for tea and often a gallon
       | sours before I finished - so I switched to superfiltered bagged 3
       | packs, as the sealed ones last a month in the fridge. So you have
       | super cows making more and a populace drinking less - it does not
       | augur well...
        
       | cryptica wrote:
       | I keep saying this and repeating over and over again... Yet keep
       | getting downvoted. The monopolization of everything is caused by
       | monetary policy. All these megacorps are not a natural phenomena.
       | They are not competing on an even playing field.
       | 
       | Even die-hard capitalists who read Ayn Rand and watched her
       | interviews will understand that monopolization should not happen
       | without government intervention. The current monetary policy (of
       | printing money and then giving control of it to existing capital
       | holders based on how much capital they have) is bound to lead to
       | this highly inefficient economic situation... One which takes the
       | entire economy on a downward spiral while essentially bribing
       | rich people with free money to keep playing along... Thus we get
       | increasing inequality.
       | 
       | Then when the big corporations keep beating and buying up the
       | competition (thanks to the disproportional amount of free credit
       | that they have access to), they will claim that it's because
       | they're more efficient (aka economies of scale) but in reality,
       | the big players are just getting subsidized by free money from
       | the government. Simple as that.
       | 
       | Give me access to 1 billion dollars of credit over 50 years and
       | even with no industry experience, I can bankrupt all competing
       | small businesses in any industry and in any city I want...
       | Possibly in the entire country depending on the country.
        
         | petermcneeley wrote:
         | How do you explain the railway monopolies?
        
           | cryptica wrote:
           | Monetary policy allowed a small number of people to
           | accumulate a disproportionate amount of capital. This capital
           | allowed them to lobby and influence politicians to give them
           | the right to build and own a massive rail network.
           | 
           | It simply would not have been possible for any group of
           | people to build a rail network which traverses an entire
           | country without serious government intervention. Think of the
           | road/rail crossings that had to be built, bridges over rivers
           | and other parts of the rail network which was built on public
           | land... Think of the number of people who were probably
           | forced by their local government to sell their land to build
           | the railway on top... There was a lot of government
           | intervention to make it possible.
           | 
           | And the amount of capital required to build such rail network
           | could only have been accumulated as a result of unjust
           | monetary policy. The complexity involved in operating a large
           | enough enterprise to accumulate that kind of wealth would
           | simply not be possible on a competitive level playing field
           | to begin with.
           | 
           | On a level playing field, there would be too many profit
           | opportunities for employees to quit and become competitors.
           | There is clearly an artificial force holding everything
           | together. That force is monetary policy. It used to be gold
           | reserve debasement and now it's fiat money printing.
        
       | urthor wrote:
       | On one point the article has made.
       | 
       | Canadians are really really unhappy with their milk system, they
       | have some of the highest priced milk in the entire world and they
       | despise it.
       | 
       | "probably through a supply management program similar to what
       | Canada has" is a nonstarter for cityfolk. It would mean $4 milk.
        
         | Clewza313 wrote:
         | In Singapore, a _liter_ (not gallon) of fresh milk starts from
         | about $3. Then again, neither the Chinese nor Malay populace
         | historically drinks the stuff.
        
         | DC1350 wrote:
         | I don't buy dairy at all because of how expensive it is here. A
         | cheap block of store brand cheddar cheese costs $5. A 2L carton
         | of milk is around $3, or I can get a 4L jug for $5. A small
         | container of sour cream is $3. A single 100g Greek yoghurt cup
         | is $1. Huge waste of money.
         | 
         | Big dairy in Canada is really powerful to the point where it's
         | impossible to get elected as Conservative party leader without
         | supporting the dairy cartel.
        
           | telchar wrote:
           | That's equal to or less than what I pay in the US. Seems to
           | me the Canadian system doesn't drive up costs that much.
        
         | k__ wrote:
         | We have rather cheap milk here in Germany, because it's heavily
         | subsidized.
         | 
         | But right now plant based alternatives are on the rise. I
         | didn't buy milk for years now.
        
         | SECProto wrote:
         | Canadian here, very happy with the milk quota system. Despite
         | all the media hoopla, I don't actually know anyone who cares
         | about it. And I live in a city.
        
           | F_J_H wrote:
           | Also a Canadian. Likely most people don't care about it
           | because they don't really know about it, and the additional
           | price that goes to subsidizing farmers is also not material
           | for many people. Also, many who live near the border make a
           | bi-monthly trek into the US (pre-covid) to buy milk, eggs,
           | and gasoline.
           | 
           | re: _> > "I don't actually know anyone who cares about it"_
           | see: https://imgur.com/gallery/BTOog
        
         | voidmain0001 wrote:
         | From my perspective (being Canadian, and having enough money to
         | purchase milk) the price is fine with me. No one in my family
         | drinks milk. My kids have it with cereal, and I use it for
         | cooking. A price of $5 CDN for 4L of regular milk, and $9 CDN
         | for 4L of organic milk is just high enough to ensure that it is
         | drunk in moderation. Using Walmart, I chose Plano, TX and the
         | price of 1 gallon of Walmart brand milk costs $2.41 USD which
         | converts to $3.05 CDN so Canadians pay a $2 premium. I purchase
         | 4L every 2 weeks, so I pay $48 more per year to have a milk
         | system that benefits the farmers, and their neighbours. I'm OK
         | with that. Plus that extra $2 ensures that Canadian milk
         | doesn't contain growth hormones which are permitted in the
         | USA.[1]
         | 
         | [1] https://bcdairy.ca/milk/articles/does-milk-contain-growth-
         | ho...
        
           | bitshiftfaced wrote:
           | It amounts to about a $150 dollar a year tax (more with the
           | more children you have). Only, the tax goes to 13,000
           | producers, so it's a regressive tax that penalizes the poor.
           | 
           | https://www.policyschool.ca/wp-
           | content/uploads/2016/03/suppl...
        
         | refurb wrote:
         | I remember the first time I saw cheese prices in the US and
         | almost cried. A 1 kg block of good cheese was like $20-30, not
         | $60-90.
        
           | MarkusWandel wrote:
           | Costco is our salvation here in Ontario. Cheese prices are
           | high, yes, but about 1/2 at Costco compared to anywhere else.
           | They have good selection and quality. Reference is a 500g
           | block of Jarlsberg at currently $9.50 Canadian. Expensive,
           | but still affordable.
        
           | pja wrote:
           | !
           | 
           | Decent cheddar is PS7 / kg in the UK & that's ignoring the
           | cheap stuff.
        
             | hc-taway wrote:
             | Once you're above the grade of "cheese" that I'd suppose
             | Europeans wouldn't recognize as such at all, even our low-
             | end actual cheese in the US is _incredibly_ expensive
             | compared to (Western, at least, IDK about the rest) Europe.
             | Not sure why.
        
           | WarOnPrivacy wrote:
           | Officially, US cheddar seems to be trending about $12/kg
           | ($5.50/lb). I actually pay a lot less, ~$12.50 for a 4lb
           | block (Walmart).
           | 
           | ref: https://www.statista.com/statistics/236863/retail-price-
           | of-c...
        
         | MarkusWandel wrote:
         | To my knowledge there are still functional family dairy farms
         | here in Ontario. And the cost of milk, about $4.80 (Canadian)
         | for 4L, and butter (hovering between $3 and $6 per pound - we
         | buy it on special, it stores well in the freezer) is really not
         | an issue even for our family of four. So far so good. I'm glad
         | to pay it if it keeps family farms in business. I grew up on a
         | dairy farm in Germany (in the pre-quota days).
         | 
         | The issue is the quota system. A quick google says it's
         | hovering around $25K Canadian for the right to ship one
         | kilogram of butterfat (whole milk is about 3.5% fat) per day.
         | This means the quota tends to be a farmer's single most
         | valuable possession, and it protects idyllic family farms
         | (good) but makes it prohibitively expensive to get into the
         | business.
         | 
         | All in all, you can drive around in Ontario's farm belts and
         | they still look pretty traditionally prosperous. We must be
         | doing something right.
        
           | AlanYx wrote:
           | It's actually not true that family dairy farms in Ontario are
           | doing well. If you look at actual data (search for "D056
           | Number of farms with shipments of milk by province"), you'll
           | see that the number of independent farms in Ontario has
           | declined by 29% since 2006. You see the same long term trend
           | in every province.
           | 
           | At one time long ago, the quota system was billed as
           | protecting the family farm, but in practice now it drives the
           | death of family farms, as people with quotas slowly sell out
           | to large producers and new farmers cannot enter the
           | marketplace because of the quota cost wall. Ontario currently
           | is tied with Quebec for the cheapest quotas in the country,
           | but getting started in the industry is still impossible
           | without huge investments beyond the reach of young farmers
           | (e.g., the upfront cost just to buy just the quotas, not the
           | land or the cows, for a small 100 cow venture in Ontario is
           | currently $2.4 million -- compare this with someone else in
           | this thread who managed to get a whole farm up and running in
           | the US, _including_ land and his herd, for around $500k USD).
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | >All in all, you can drive around in Ontario's farm belts and
           | they still look pretty traditionally prosperous. We must be
           | doing something right.
           | 
           | By having laws that force consumers to subsidize the
           | businesses of special interests?
        
       | qxfys wrote:
       | previous discussion about this :
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19368542
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Also https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19320335 with 1
         | comment from the author, pointing to this thread which started
         | the article: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18942467
        
       | morpheos137 wrote:
       | Why don't struggling dairy farmers convert to beef production?
       | Seems to me it would be much less labour intensive and more
       | profitable. Obviously if every struggling dairy farmer converted
       | to beef it would drive prices down. I think people are eating
       | less dairy in general than in past times. I am not lactose
       | intolerant but I don't think I have had milk or ice cream for at
       | least a year. I do eat cheese and yogurt so maybe that (more
       | than?) counterbalances my lack of milk consumption.
       | 
       | With regard to the manure issue there are various ways to handle
       | it. Some modern barns are set up with trenches running along the
       | stalls, the stalls can be periodically washed into the trenches,
       | and the trenches drain into a giant holding tank. Manure can be
       | used as a nitrogen source for fields fertilisation or it can be
       | anaerobically digested for methane which can be used as a source
       | of energy.
        
         | dbg31415 wrote:
         | > Why don't struggling dairy farmers convert to beef
         | production? Seems to me it would be much less labor intensive
         | and more profitable.
         | 
         | Love these comments.
         | 
         | Clearly someone who has never been on a dairy farm vs. a cattle
         | ranch. =P
         | 
         | So for dairy, you normally have smaller pastures (less land)
         | and keep your cows fed hay and expensive foods to help keep
         | them producing high quality milk.
         | 
         | For beef production, you'd normally have large pastures for
         | cattle to graze on grass. More land, more naturally occurring
         | (cheaper), but lower caloric-dense food.
         | 
         | Big call out... there are different kinds of cows for milk and
         | beef. Holstein's make milk, Angus make hamburgers. There's a
         | huge list of types of cattle... each have their own pros and
         | cons for beef vs. dairy production.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cattle_breeds
         | 
         | To support the "more land" approach, you have horses to move
         | the cattle around between pastures. You also need equipment to
         | put up hay for the winter (buying hay is expensive).
         | 
         | You can go the feedlot route, but that's more the "finishing
         | school" for beef production. Not a lot of margins at small
         | scale. Dangerous to keep too many cows together too, from a
         | disease perspective.
         | 
         | As a rancher, since you've got a tractor anyway for hay
         | production, and ample land, you may want to plant a few fields
         | of corn, wheat, millet... anything to sort of help cover costs
         | of all the expensive equipment and cost of land. And you're not
         | bound to a rigid daily care schedule for the cattle.
         | 
         | Ranchers have spurts of work... more cows, living outdoors, so
         | harder calving seasons... more work for branding and such, more
         | time fixing fence for bigger pastures. Put ranchers and dairy
         | farmers in a room... they're different people. They may look
         | similar, but they're just wired differently.
         | 
         | You invest a small fortune in the milking facilities, if you
         | run a dairy operation. You invest in land if you're a ranch.
         | They're not like "oh, let's just flip a switch and it's
         | converted."
         | 
         | Anyway I'd write more but just because you have cows, doesn't
         | mean it's at all interchangeable.
        
         | urthor wrote:
         | Because beef uses feedlots with grain as well, and have the
         | same manure lakes.
         | 
         | The beef industry has figured out that cattle fatten up _far_
         | faster on grain, so they leave the cattle out for I think it 's
         | 12 months to basically grow to their "adult" size, then put
         | them on grain for a few months to fatten up.
         | 
         | They have it precisely timed, because the cattle basically die
         | on the all grain no silage diets they get, or would if they
         | don't get sent to the abattoir literally a fortnight before.
        
       | rl9 wrote:
       | I had a similar upbringing, but in Canada. A lot of this rings
       | true.
       | 
       | Our family doesn't farm anymore,but for different reasons. Still,
       | the pressure to go big or go home exists north of the border,
       | too.
       | 
       | I think Adam Smith nailed it back in the 1700s, when he noted
       | that farmers could not take advantage of specialization. They're
       | capitalists and labourers and landlords and semi-professional
       | veterinarians and commodity traders all in one. Without
       | specialization, they're unlikely to ever be very wealthy relative
       | to the amount of labor and capital they input.
       | 
       | The bigger farms can actually hire dedicated mechanics and
       | accountants and such, so it's no surprise they get a better
       | return on investment. That would probably remain true even if
       | they didn't engage in shenanigans like undocumented laborers and
       | excessive pollution, though no doubt those practices help them
       | pull even further ahead.
       | 
       | On a different note, since supply management was mentioned, I
       | can't resist linking to this program:
       | https://youtu.be/3d-FlQHoHpU
       | 
       | Short argument against supply management: it's a regressive tax
       | on people who buy milk, cheese, butter and yogurt.
        
       | jeromenerf wrote:
       | Is it even worth it to make cheese anywhere else than France,
       | Switzerland and Italy mountains?
        
         | codingdave wrote:
         | For years, we had a few goats, and made our own dairy and
         | cheese. It worked fine, at the price of having to do some extra
         | chores each day. So I'm not sure what you are measuring to
         | define if it is "worth it".
        
           | jeromenerf wrote:
           | I was just being sarcastic I guess.
           | 
           | Anyway, I don't believe in high volume, low value dairy
           | products as sustainable. They aren't even good products.
           | 
           | I am perfectly fine with homemade cheese from the backyard
           | goats.
        
         | jansan wrote:
         | I have relatives who run an organic farm, which is rather large
         | and industrialized for a farm that has the official German
         | "bio" label. They make their own cheese as a side business, but
         | it is only sold locally. This way they can charge a higher
         | price and there are no middlemen, so it is profitable. But I
         | doubt this would scale.
        
           | arethuza wrote:
           | We were on holiday in France skiing for a week once and the
           | hotel dinner included 4 different local cheeses each night -
           | none were repeated of the course of a week.
           | 
           | It wasn't exactly a smart hotel (2* I think) but the food was
           | sublime.
        
             | jansan wrote:
             | Some of the cheese they sell in France would be classified
             | as a biological weapon in Germany. They are awesome.
        
               | YeGoblynQueenne wrote:
               | Equally, Limburger would be classed as a biological
               | weapon in France, and I dare say, the world.
               | Brevibacterium Linens for the ... eeeugh.
               | 
               | (but, good cheese)
        
         | urthor wrote:
         | You can make good cheese in the United States, cheese is really
         | about the recipe (and how much cream was left in the milk).
         | 
         | There just is nothing like the culture of cheese production, US
         | foodstuffs are awful quality because the general public buys it
         | up for some unknown reason.
        
           | voidmain0001 wrote:
           | Wait. You just wrote that if America implemented a supply
           | control system that milk prices would increase to $4/g with
           | the implication being that increase in price would be
           | unacceptable. Now you wrote that "US foodstuffs are awful
           | quality because the general public buys it for some unknown
           | reason." You can't have your cake and eat it too. Most likely
           | the public has gotten used to low prices for low quality
           | products. I have had amazing cheese in Vermont and it was
           | expensive - probably because the producer had to use more
           | milk fat which is more costly.
        
             | DC1350 wrote:
             | Supply control increases prices without increasing quality.
             | High quality dairy gets even more expensive.
        
               | voidmain0001 wrote:
               | Agreed. I didn't suggest that supply control increases
               | quality, and yes it does increase price. However in
               | Canada it appears that the increase in price has returned
               | a benefit to the consumer by the gov't restricting the
               | use of certain drugs.
        
         | YeGoblynQueenne wrote:
         | Portugal, Spain, Greece and the rest of the Balkans, Romania,
         | UK, Denmark, Germany and the Netherlands also make, eat and
         | export plenty of cheese.
        
       | ainiriand wrote:
       | As a vegan, I am concerned about the cruel treatment of farm
       | animals. Losing family farms only aggravates the problem in this
       | price race against the bigger actors in dairy production.
       | 
       | While dairy is not strictly necessary for grown ups, I recognise
       | that it will be present for some time so we should care about how
       | it is produced. Dairy should be more expensive than it is now,
       | similar to what happens to meat.
        
         | speeder wrote:
         | Mind you, activist veganism is one of the biggest reasons
         | family farms are being destroyed all over the world.
         | 
         | Basically, low quality food is flooding the market, and getting
         | purchased by the poorer population, that don't feel they have a
         | choice in what they eat, because they eat whatever is necessary
         | to fit in their budget.
         | 
         | Meanwhile people that CAN afford to buy high quality food from
         | family farms, don't, because of activism convincing them that
         | doing so is evil, specially any farm that has anything to do
         | with animals, this results in things that are actually really
         | bad, like climates where wool is an excellent product have the
         | farmers fail due to lack of demand, and instead people start
         | buying plastic-based clothes, that contribute to plastic
         | pollution.
         | 
         | Or in Brazil: people love to blame the animal industry there
         | for the fires, but it is not so simple, the massive areas being
         | deforested ilegally are often used to produce soybeans, that
         | are on an evergrowing demand due to two sources of demand
         | compounding:
         | 
         | 1. As family farms die, cattle instead of eating grass
         | (something that in Brazil and some other countries was
         | important, as some places only grow grass, and not other plants
         | more useful for direct human comsumption), people switch to
         | factory animal farms, that require rations, that are often made
         | of soybeans.
         | 
         | 2. Meanwhile the upper strata of society is switching from high
         | quality meat (that would eat grass) to eating soybean-based
         | products (like soybean milk, soybean-based meat, etc...)
         | 
         | I think many activists have their heart in the right place, but
         | they don't understand they are causing more problems than
         | fixing them, the soybean industry is massively destructive,
         | incentivizing it is extremely bad idea.
         | 
         | final note: Remembered other major source of soybean usage...
         | when in the 60s and 70s there was this massive media campaign
         | against usage of animal fats for frying, people switched to
         | soybean oil to fry instead, Brazil also produces massive
         | amounts of that, and I know many people that personally use
         | soybean oil because they honestly believe it is healthier to
         | them and better for the environment than using butter, pork
         | fat, etc...
        
           | wtmt wrote:
           | > Basically, low quality food is flooding the market, and
           | getting purchased by the poorer population, that don't feel
           | they have a choice in what they eat, because they eat
           | whatever is necessary to fit in their budget.
           | 
           | This has everything to do with capitalism and large
           | corporations selling 99c (meat) burgers with fries and cola
           | with hardly anything healthy in them at the cost of the
           | environment, workers, and other aspects. It's not a recent
           | phenomenon either. So your starting claim about activist
           | veganism causing problems and continuing to this paragraph
           | immediately after doesn't make sense.
        
             | speeder wrote:
             | Yes.
             | 
             | Then better quality farmers have two choices: becomea
             | competitor for mass-quantity farmers and rely on practices
             | like feeding animals with soybeans, or focus on the high
             | end market...
             | 
             | But vegans convinced people on the high end market, to not
             | buy those products.
             | 
             | The article we are commenting on, already explained all the
             | other reasons for death of the small dairies, I just added
             | one more, it felt to me the article done enough to talk
             | about government regulation and whatnot, and I didn't need
             | to repeat it.
             | 
             | Considering the replies I had here, maybe I was wrong on
             | that.
        
           | byerobh wrote:
           | Completely agree that the decline in food quality and the
           | economic structures is tied to a decline in food culture.
           | Seems the rest of the comments do not get the point that if
           | people who can demanded quality food, the race to the bottom
           | could be avoided.
           | 
           | For example, I see how dairy went from the milkman delivering
           | high quality milk to the mass produced stuff that barely
           | resembles the original item. The interesting part is that now
           | the high quality milk can only be had at ever increasing
           | prices as the demand for it has decreased. If people who can
           | afford it don't buy it, less people will afford it in the
           | future furthering the decline in food quality.
           | 
           | Truth is the poor don't even come into the picture. The
           | decline in food culture is driven by the upper class and the
           | pretense that things are the same. "It is still milk!" No it
           | is not the same item. See also, impossible meat, etc...
           | 
           | Catering to the lowest common denominator is only enabled by
           | betters not knowing and choosing better. The health
           | consequences are already apparent and the difference between
           | people's diet and outcomes will only grow starker
        
           | simonh wrote:
           | A fall in the demand for high value meat dosn't itself affect
           | demand for low value meat. That makes no sense.
           | 
           | On Brazilian soybeans. Most of the soybeans produced there
           | are actually used to feed livestock. American vegans will be
           | eating American Soybeans not Brazilian ones, so there's no
           | real connection there. Even if there are a ton of Brazilian
           | Vegans, it will take a lot fewer soybeans to feed them
           | directly than it would feeding them via meat anyway. Same for
           | vegans anywhere, surely you must know this?
           | 
           | I'm not even a veggie, but I can't deny the environmental
           | argument is very strong.
        
           | coppolaemilio wrote:
           | Did you know that the soybeans planted there are 100% to feed
           | cattle?
        
           | u678u wrote:
           | Milk production is up every year, so I think you are wrong.
           | https://www.statista.com/statistics/194937/total-us-milk-
           | pro...
        
           | valgor wrote:
           | You will be happy to learn that the majority of soybeans fed
           | to live stock, so if you are worried about the environment,
           | soy is better than meat.
        
           | odonnellryan wrote:
           | I think it is ridiculous to blame vegans for this.
        
           | montoro wrote:
           | I suggest you look into the data behind soy production and
           | usage: most of the soy that is produced in the world is fed
           | to animals which people then eat (which is highly wasteful
           | compared to directly eating the soy) and so if you care about
           | the environment, eating soy products is much, much better
           | than eating animal-based products.
           | 
           | https://ourworldindata.org/soy
           | 
           | Livestock farming is terrible for the environment and has a
           | huge carbon footprint, partly due to the extreme amount of
           | land it uses.
           | 
           | https://ourworldindata.org/food-choice-vs-eating-local
        
           | shlant wrote:
           | > activist veganism is one of the biggest reasons family
           | farms are being destroyed all over the world
           | 
           | You're going to have to provide some substantial evidence to
           | back that up. In reality, family farms are actually being
           | destroyed by factory farms[1][2]. This is the case with most
           | industries - smaller operations cannot compete or get bought
           | out by larger players.
           | 
           | > massive areas being deforested ilegally are often used to
           | produce soybeans
           | 
           | If you are concerned about deforestation due to soy
           | production, pointing to vegans as the main culprit is
           | misguided at best and misleading at worst.
           | 
           | If you care about preventing deforestation from soy, then you
           | should know that around 70-75% of the world's soya ends up as
           | animal feed for cows, pigs, chickens and farmed fish[3] "In
           | 2017, Brazil produced 16.3 million tons of soymeal for its
           | domestic market, and more than 90 percent of that became
           | animal feed, with 50 percent used as chicken feed, 25 percent
           | as pig feed, and 12 percent for beef and dairy cattle
           | feed."[4]
           | 
           | 1. https://sentientmedia.org/family-farms-and-the-rise-of-
           | indus...
           | 
           | 2. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/mar/09/americ
           | an...
           | 
           | 3. https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/publicati
           | on...
           | 
           | 4. https://news.mongabay.com/2019/01/brazilian-hunger-for-
           | meat-...
        
         | NoOneNew wrote:
         | The dairy industry isn't the best to attack on animal cruelty.
         | While there are bad actors within it, it's a small amount
         | compared to it as a whole. Low stress cows produce noticeably
         | better quality milk. This isn't a secret in the industry.
         | 
         | Wheat, soybean, avocados, palm oil and more are just as bad for
         | the environment and animal life due to commercialization.
         | Monoculture industrial farming is inherently unsustainable.
         | High density growing of a single type of organism that requires
         | outside resources to be brought it. Artificial fertilizer
         | production isn't ecological either. The pest control required,
         | and I'm not talking about bugs, I'm talking about rodents,
         | birds, boar and deer, is pretty harmful for not just the
         | animals, but for the regional ecosystem.
         | 
         | "Let's just make food more expensive for people! I decide what
         | people should eat and when even though the purchasing power of
         | the average individual is shrinking as is!" As an omnivore, I
         | have to tell you, "slow down there Stalin". Then again, you're
         | not wrong. You need less farmland if you starve enough people
         | to death. Guess you're a fan of population control?
         | Historically speaking, on average, anyone that advocates for
         | the limiting of general food distribution to everyday people
         | don't become well known as humanitarians or "good people".
         | 
         | You choose to be vegan, good for you. But don't pretend
         | industrial farming of soy, peas and avocados don't have blood
         | on their hands. The only vegans who can lay claim to the moral
         | high ground are the ones that permaculture grow their own food.
         | They get my respect, big time, since they're not virtue
         | dieters.
        
         | esaym wrote:
         | >As a vegan, I am concerned about the cruel treatment of farm
         | animals.
         | 
         | For a somewhat malicious counter point... if the entire world
         | stopped using dairy and beef, the cow as we know it would
         | quickly go extinct. They have no natural habitat, they can't
         | take care of themselves, and they make really lousy pets.
         | 
         | It is a somewhat similar story with elephants. They make lousy
         | pets as well and selling ivory is illegal. So the best they get
         | is being shoved into smaller and smaller chunks of dedicated
         | public land.
        
           | missingrib wrote:
           | I don't understand this focus on "species" in the abstract
           | over the individual members of the species.
        
           | ozborn wrote:
           | "the entire world stopped using dairy and beef, the cow as we
           | know it would quickly go extinct"
           | 
           | Lots of animals are not used for meat and dairy and are not
           | extinct. Sure, numbers of cows would be massively reduced but
           | that also frees up pasture. Pasture could be converted to
           | habitat for wildlife and support a more diverse set of
           | species.
           | 
           | I can only speak for myself, but I don't care if the number
           | of cattle are reduced to a tiny fraction of the population
           | they once were, if it means more biodiversity.
        
           | ska wrote:
           | > For a somewhat malicious counter point
           | 
           | I don't think you understand what vegans (typically) actually
           | object to.
        
           | spaetzleesser wrote:
           | "For a somewhat malicious counter point... if the entire
           | world stopped using dairy and beef, the cow as we know it
           | would quickly go extinct. They have no natural habitat, they
           | can't take care of themselves, and they make really lousy
           | pets. "
           | 
           | Reframing factory farming as a conservation measure is a very
           | cyncial view. That's top notch spin doctoring and worth a
           | long career in lobbying.
        
           | causasui wrote:
           | > if the entire world stopped using dairy and beef, the cow
           | as we know it would quickly go extinct
           | 
           | So what? Why should the cow exist for the sake of existing?
        
         | andrew_ wrote:
         | As a human who is concerned with the treatment of bull (male)
         | calfs born on dairy farms and their treatment for the
         | production of veal, I have absolutely no clue why being a vegan
         | has any pertinence. Why is it such common practice to
         | insufferably proclaim one's ethos as a vegan?
         | 
         | In all seriousness, the conditions under which bull calfs for
         | veal production is abhorrent, and I have great difficulty in
         | balance sympathy for the plight of dairy with the practices of
         | the industry. While the article mentions CAFOs, which are the
         | largest contributors to veal production, I'd been hard-pressed
         | to find a family run dairy farm in my home, midwestern state,
         | which didn't at the least sell their bull calfs to outfits that
         | do produce veal.
         | 
         | Next time you see that on the menu, take a moment to think
         | about where it's coming from and how it's made.
        
           | cies wrote:
           | > the conditions under which bull calfs for veal production
           | is abhorrent
           | 
           | To you!
           | 
           | To me (also vegan) any animal in a cage is abhorrent. I want
           | to be free and wild and I also want all others to be free and
           | wild. Maybe some humans deserve to be caged for their
           | behavior. Animals can never be guilty...
           | 
           | > Next time you see that on the menu, take a moment to think
           | about where it's coming from and how it's made.
           | 
           | Exactly. Was someone (NOT something) caged? Was a baby taken
           | away from a mother, right after birth, in order to steal
           | (=take what is not given) the milk that mum produces for
           | baby?
           | 
           | And after this consideration: go for one of the plant options
           | on the menu!
        
             | omginternets wrote:
             | Here's what I don't understand about this reasoning: many
             | of the animals you're defending -- such as cows -- have
             | been domesticated to the point of relying on humans for
             | survival. For these, the choice is not "live in captivity,
             | or live free", it's "live in captivity, or not at all".
             | 
             | My question is therefore: were you unaware of this, or do
             | you prefer the disappearance of (e.g.) cows over their
             | captivity?
        
             | andrew_ wrote:
             | This is yet more the kind of nonsensical, insufferable
             | drivel that turns people away from rationally thinking
             | about their food. Someone's preference for how and what
             | they eat contributes nothing to conversation, and exists
             | only to project a belief of superiority and collect pats on
             | the back from like-minded thinkers.
        
               | cies wrote:
               | > Someone's preference
               | 
               | It's not a personal choice (preference) when it cause
               | another being to suffer (caged, artificially inseminated
               | (raped), babies taken away, fed horrible food, etc.)
               | 
               | Thinking that it IS a personal choice, to me, puts one on
               | borderline insanity: total disdain for other forms of
               | sentient life.
               | 
               | I hope the taste of that meat/dairy/eggs makes it all
               | worth it for you. I cannot imagine taste bud pleasure
               | trumps ethics.
        
               | YeGoblynQueenne wrote:
               | >> I hope the taste of that meat/dairy/eggs makes it all
               | worth it for you. I cannot imagine taste bud pleasure
               | trumps ethics.
               | 
               | You are putting a morality spin on something that has a
               | biological basis. Humans like the taste of meat because
               | it is a very good source of necessary nutrients. It is
               | possible that our preference for meat and dairy (in
               | particular, fermented dairy, like cheese) has provided us
               | with an evolutionary advantage that has made us who we
               | are today:
               | 
               |  _Human ancestors who preferred the taste of cooked meat
               | over raw meat began to enjoy an evolutionary advantage
               | over others. _"In general, flavour rewards us for eating
               | the things we've needed to eat in the past,_" said Dunn._
               | (My underlining)
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/mar/07/how-
               | early-hu...
        
               | rtrdea wrote:
               | You're a literal retard with no morals
        
               | slfnflctd wrote:
               | If a sentient AI with superhuman intelligence were
               | observing us, they would be utterly puzzled at the amount
               | of waste and destruction we perpetuate through the meat &
               | dairy industries for no reason other than ephemeral
               | perceived pleasure through our taste buds.
               | 
               | If "someone's preference" - a completely subjective thing
               | - is objectively less efficient and more harmful than
               | doing something else, we can and do intervene to
               | discourage such practices. No one should have to
               | apologize for promoting something clearly better.
               | 
               | If you love meat and are willing to burn the planet down
               | so you can keep eating it, fine. But don't pretend it's a
               | choice without consequences or that it's necessary.
        
               | buildbot wrote:
               | Or it would be wondering why we don't eat any piece of
               | meat we possibly can in order to maximally extract
               | nutrients from our surrounding environment.
        
               | subungual wrote:
               | Maximal extraction of resources would involve focusing on
               | eating plants. Feeding the plants to animals and then
               | eating them is tremendously inefficient in terms of both
               | calories and nutrients.
        
               | YeGoblynQueenne wrote:
               | Humans like eating meat because it is nutritious. It is
               | not just a random preference and it is not something that
               | anyone can just switch off, therefore it is not a matter
               | of morality, as you are trying to portray it ("If you
               | love meat and are willing to burn the planet down so you
               | can keep eating it...").
               | 
               | It is possible our taste for (cooked) meat gave us an
               | evolutionary advantage that made us who we are today:
               | 
               |  _However, accessing more calories was not the primary
               | reason our ancestors decided to cook food. "Scientists
               | often focus on what the eventual benefit is, rather than
               | the immediate mechanism that allowed our ancestors to
               | make the choice. We made the choice because of
               | deliciousness. And then the eventual benefit was more
               | calories and fewer pathogens."_
               | 
               |  _Human ancestors who preferred the taste of cooked meat
               | over raw meat began to enjoy an evolutionary advantage
               | over others. "In general, flavour rewards us for eating
               | the things we've needed to eat in the past," said Dunn._
               | 
               |  _In particular, people who evolved a preference for
               | complex aromas are likely to have developed an
               | evolutionary advantage, because the smell of cooked meat,
               | for example, is much more complex than that of raw meat.
               | "Meat goes from having tens of aromas to having hundreds
               | of different aroma compounds," said Dunn._
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/mar/07/how-
               | early-hu...
        
         | efiecho wrote:
         | > While dairy is not strictly necessary for grown ups, I
         | recognise that it will be present for some time so we should
         | care about how it is produced. Dairy should be more expensive
         | than it is now, similar to what happens to meat.
         | 
         | Dairy and meat is part of a healthy diet. While not impossible
         | to do without, health problems often develops with time. That's
         | why most people (84%) who adopts a vegan diet at some point in
         | their lives, returns to eating meat and dairy again. The first
         | years on a plant diet are usually great, almost everyone feels
         | better than ever. Then after 5-10 years many will experience a
         | steep decline in health, both physical and mental that is
         | resolved with returning to animal products. Of course eating
         | too much animal products and not enough plants will also make
         | you sick, that goes without saying.
         | 
         | So yes, agree very much that we should care how it is produced.
        
           | dkersten wrote:
           | I don't have the source handy and couldn't be bothered
           | looking for it... its my understanding that dairy is not
           | necessary in a human diet. It doesn't contain anything that
           | isn't easier or healthier to get from other sources and in
           | some cases isn't really beneficial either. Studies have also
           | shown that milk is not a good calcium source, either
           | (although a very quick google didn't find sources to back
           | that up, so maybe its not accurate). The advice I heard from
           | one doctor was: if you enjoy dairy, consume it in moderation,
           | but don't rely on it for nutrition.
        
           | kayodelycaon wrote:
           | > While not impossible to do without, health problems often
           | develops with time.
           | 
           | I beg to differ here. I'm allergic to all dairy products
           | (protein allergy), and I haven't had any problem keeping a
           | healthy diet.
           | 
           | Dairy isn't at all necessary for survival after you're able
           | to eat and digest solid food. In fact, most mammals and 65%
           | of humans develop lactose intolerance by adulthood.
           | 
           | Meat? That's a bit more difficult to replace in a completely
           | vegan diet without vitamin supplements.
        
           | SavantIdiot wrote:
           | More FUD from vegetarian haters. Please stop. Yes, 15 year
           | old US vegans can be insufferable, just like libertarians who
           | discover Ayn Rand at the same age.
           | 
           | In India it is estimated that 23-37% of the population is
           | vegetarian or vegan [1]. In a country of 1billion, that's
           | like an entire vegetarian United States. It is absolutely
           | fine to live a life as vegan/vegetarian.
           | 
           | Also interesting you don't seem to have done any research on
           | the health issues caused by eating red meat and dairy. Want
           | to give that a go?
           | 
           | [1] https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-43581122
        
           | rtrdea wrote:
           | HahahahahhHahahaha
        
           | shever wrote:
           | > Dairy and meat is part of a healthy diet.
           | 
           | Not actually true. For centuries, the traditional Chinese
           | diet did not include dairy and minimised meat consumption
           | too. The oft-trotted-out trope of calcium in dairy is
           | misleading
           | (http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/calcium-and-
           | milk...) and even relatively small amounts of meat and dairy
           | increase the possibility of prostate cancer
           | (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18398033)
           | 
           | Speaking as a vegan of over 10 years, who is mentally sharper
           | and healthier than I was a decade ago, I also don't agree
           | with the "steep decline in health, both physical and mental".
           | I do agree that certain nutrients, such as B12, need to be
           | supplemented, but the Institute of Medicine recommends that
           | everyone over the age of 50 supplement B12 whether vegan or
           | not.
        
             | YeGoblynQueenne wrote:
             | >> The oft-trotted-out trope of calcium in dairy is
             | misleading
             | (http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/calcium-and-
             | milk...) and even relatively small amounts of meat and
             | dairy increase the possibility of prostate cancer
             | (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18398033)
             | 
             | From your link:
             | 
             |  _While calcium and dairy can lower the risk of
             | osteoporosis and colon cancer, high intake can increase the
             | risk of prostate cancer and possibly ovarian cancer._
             | 
             | It increases the probability of developing some diseases
             | and lowers that of developing others.
        
           | Falling3 wrote:
           | > [health problems are] why most people (84%) who adopts a
           | vegan diet at some point in their lives, returns to eating
           | meat and dairy again
           | 
           | How did you come to that conclusion and what data do you have
           | to support it? The overwhelming majority of ex-vegans I know
           | did so because of either convenience or missing specific
           | foods.
        
           | codemac wrote:
           | Where does 84% come from? Would love to see a cited source,
           | so I can understand your point better.
           | 
           | Re: health without meat & dairy: B12 and other vitamins
           | missing in vegetables are _also_ missing in our meat, which
           | is why all chicken, pigs, and cows are fed B12 vitamins in
           | their feed.
           | 
           | If you stop eating meat and dairy all together, you have to
           | supplement B12 - but most Americans are B12 deficient either
           | way, similar to vitamin D.
           | 
           | Finally - eating meat and dairy also leads to health
           | problems, see: heart disease. I know it's complex, but dairy
           | is definitely not a required part of a diet, and is why
           | humans don't feed their young human milk after infancy.
        
       | corty wrote:
       | While I can appreciate the author's nostalgia, I cannot really
       | agree on some of the criticism:
       | 
       | The manure problem is a problem at any size of farm, the amount
       | of manure per cow is somewhat constant. So concentrating all the
       | cows in some factory farm doesn't really make anything worse as
       | long as the total number of cows is somewhat constant.
       | 
       | The undocumented immigrant labour problem isn't as big a problem
       | as the family farms' systemic problem of child labour and child
       | exploitation. Which the author glosses over in his point of view.
       | 
       | To feed a growing population on earth, we do need industrial
       | farming. Maybe not so much cattle. But in general, higher
       | efficiency and more professional operations should be applauded.
       | Yes, that means that family farms will be gone at some point.
        
         | ilikerashers wrote:
         | On family farms (and my own), manure is used as fertilizer. On
         | factory farms most manure is disposed of and animals fed on
         | grain.
         | 
         | Children of parents on a family farm is hardly exploitation.
         | Paying illegal immigrants sub minimum wage to squeeze
         | additional profit out of the land certainly is a bigger
         | problem.
         | 
         | Do we need industrial farming if it's driven by big capital? If
         | the industry is happy to damage the environment, flout labor
         | laws, harm animal welfare is it worth it? Personally I think
         | the cost is too high and if anything, food is too cheap now.
        
           | corty wrote:
           | > Children of parents on a family farm is hardly
           | exploitation.
           | 
           | How so? I know it often isn't against labor laws because
           | there are specific exceptions for exactly that case. But in
           | any other circumstance the same thing _is_ considered
           | exploitative.
        
             | ilikerashers wrote:
             | Answered below but there is a difference between a full
             | time job and doing chores around a farm.
             | 
             | If you can't see the nuance in that then I suggest you
             | visit a family farm some day.
        
         | phillc73 wrote:
         | > The manure problem is a problem at any size of farm, the
         | amount of manure per cow is somewhat constant. So concentrating
         | all the cows in some factory farm doesn't really make anything
         | worse as long as the total number of cows is somewhat constant.
         | 
         | I wonder if this is true. Perhaps the real problem is the
         | concentration of such a large amount of waste in those manure
         | lakes.
         | 
         | I don't have any fixed evidence or numbers, but recalling my
         | youth working on a 200 - 250 cow dairy, the animals were strip
         | grazed in paddocks during the day and night. They would
         | therefore mostly defecate in the paddock, on the grass, spread
         | across a wider area and acting as a natural fertiliser.
         | 
         | There was a small manure pond with wastewater from the dairy
         | itself, but this was not large.
         | 
         | Problems with large manure lakes intuitively seem more likely
         | as the nitrates and other nasties are concentrated, something
         | which doesn't seem as bad with the same amount of manure spread
         | across a grassy paddock.
        
           | Laforet wrote:
           | This is indeed the case. On the other side of the same issue,
           | the loss of large mammals in the wild slows down the natural
           | cycling of nitrogen and this has a knock-on effect that leads
           | to further loss of biomass. This has been an issue since the
           | start of human civilization but intensive herding of animals
           | certainly did not help.
        
           | corty wrote:
           | > I don't have any fixed evidence or numbers, but recalling
           | my youth working on a 200 - 250 cow dairy, the animals were
           | strip grazed in paddocks during the day and night. They would
           | therefore mostly defecate in the paddock, on the grass,
           | spread across a wider area and acting as a natural
           | fertiliser.
           | 
           | This is something the author mentions in passing: Almost
           | everywhere, farms are required by law to have a certain
           | amount of land per piece of cattle to spread the manure on.
           | So as long as that certain amount of land is large enough and
           | the spreading happens sufficiently often, there shouldn't be
           | a problem. If there is a problem, current regulations need to
           | be updated. That land requirement will also naturally limit
           | the total amount of cattle that is being raised.
        
         | TrispusAttucks wrote:
         | This logic seems wrong.
         | 
         | By definition pollution is a problem of location and
         | concentration.
        
         | gizmondo wrote:
         | > The undocumented immigrant labour problem isn't as big a
         | problem as the family farms' systemic problem of child labour
         | and child exploitation. Which the author glosses over in his
         | point of view.
         | 
         | He doesn't gloss over it, he glorifies it as "family bonding"
         | or something. It's disgusting.
        
           | ilikerashers wrote:
           | How? Helping on a family farm has been done for generations.
           | 
           | A corporate exploiting Illegal immigration is a preferred
           | solution? Interesting values.
        
             | gizmondo wrote:
             | Owning slaves was also done for generations, so not sure
             | what your point is.
             | 
             | Both are bad, but according to my values exploiting
             | children is somewhat worse than exploiting adults, yes.
        
               | ilikerashers wrote:
               | Do you classify helping with chores around the house as
               | child exploitation too? As on a farm, kids have chores.
               | They're not working night and day.
        
               | joerandom wrote:
               | Do you have ANY idea how chores on a farm look like?
               | Hint: it's nothing like vacuming or taking dishes out
               | from a dishwasher. It's lots of hard work. Dealing with
               | excrements and dangerous animals (even a cow or pig is
               | dangerous in confined spaces).
        
               | deadmetheny wrote:
               | Do YOU? Because I did farm chores growing up and the
               | stuff you're tasked with doing is never particularly
               | dangerous. Dirt and grime washed off just fine and it was
               | good exercise and time outdoors.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Oh please. I took care of a few pigs and cattle as a
               | child, including cleaning up manure. It wasn't that hard
               | and certainly not dangerous.
        
               | ilikerashers wrote:
               | Yeah, I grew up on a farm. Happy memories of feeding
               | calves, bringing in hay bales on summer days, feeding
               | pigs.
               | 
               | Also had to bring them in for winter and mending fences.
               | 
               | It's actually far more pleasant than vacuuming floors and
               | washing up.
        
               | corty wrote:
               | Chores around a house are an educational tool and may be
               | considered beneficial. On a farm, you get lots of
               | additional "chores" on top. Where the "chores" are hard
               | labour, often dangerous, at times early in the morning
               | before school and in an amount where you do replace paid
               | workers. A household does work without a child doing
               | chores. A family farm won't be profitable without the
               | free labour from the children. There is a reason farming
               | families do have a larger number of children compared to
               | the average. And while, yes, it has been this way for
               | millenia, times change. If it weren't on a farm, with the
               | same amount of "chores", child protection would get
               | involved in an instant.
        
               | fogihujy wrote:
               | Just an anecdotal observation from a part-time farmer: I
               | couldn't keep my daughter away from farmwork even if I
               | wanted to; it's not all about exploitation.
        
               | saalweachter wrote:
               | As both a child and a parent my experience has been,
               | (young) children want to do whatever their parents are
               | doing.
        
               | gizmondo wrote:
               | They often work _way_ more than other children. If your
               | kid is doing "chores around the house" for hours every
               | day, it's exploitation too.
        
           | toyg wrote:
           | Let's not be overdramatic. Working on farms as a kid is how
           | the overwhelming majority of humanity lived for literally
           | thousands of years. Not every kid working with his family is
           | exploited or abused; I can think of quite a few of my
           | teenaged peers from "difficult" backgrounds who got on the
           | straight and narrow only when they were finally allowed to
           | work.
        
         | CaptArmchair wrote:
         | > the total number of cows is somewhat constant.
         | 
         | But the number of cows isn't constant. The entire premise of
         | the article is a demonstration of how large numbers and power
         | laws work in economics.
         | 
         | > To feed a growing population on earth, we do need industrial
         | farming.
         | 
         | Do we? That's a massively contested debate. See:
         | (Neo)Malthusianism.
         | 
         | > But in general, higher efficiency and more professional
         | operations should be applauded
         | 
         | These aren't virtues that one should blindly laud if the net
         | result is externalizing costs towards the commons: society and
         | ecology.
         | 
         | What's the point of being able to feed 8 or 9 billion people on
         | the planet, if quality of life for the majority of those
         | individuals is rather low?
         | 
         | The article rightly points at the glaring moral questions
         | beneath all of this.
        
           | corty wrote:
           | >> To feed a growing population on earth, we do need
           | industrial farming. > Do we? That's a massively contested
           | debate. See: (Neo)Malthusianism.
           | 
           | On the one hand, you dismiss my population growth argument as
           | "Malthusianism" (which I don't consider a counter-argument at
           | all, it is just naming things).
           | 
           | But on the other hand you acknowledge that we cannot just
           | feed ever more people:
           | 
           | > What's the point of being able to feed 8 or 9 billion
           | people on the planet, if quality of life for the majority of
           | those individuals is rather low?
           | 
           | So on one hand you are dismissing my argument as Malthusian,
           | on the other hand you are making a very Malthusian argument
           | yourself.
           | 
           | My argument would be: I agree with you that mankind needs to
           | shrink and right-size so the then-sustainable population can
           | have some level of comfort for everyone.
        
         | CuriouslyC wrote:
         | Manure isn't a problem if you free range your animals, have
         | landscape structures to prevent runoff and have other animals
         | that eat bugs in the same space such as chickens. Then it just
         | contributes fertility to the land.
         | 
         | Children working their family farm are learning real skills.
         | Learning how to produce food is vastly more important than
         | american history or most of the literature they would learn in
         | school.
         | 
         | Industrial farming is stupid, and totally unnecessary. Using
         | permaculture and silvopasture, you can produce much more (and
         | more nutritious) food in the same space, while improving
         | (rather than destroying) fertility. If done right, you don't
         | need pesticides, your animals don't need antibiotics or
         | dewormers, and the whole thing mostly runs itself aside from a
         | little pruning/herding and a lot of picking. The only downside
         | to these methods is they take some time to get going, and they
         | require knowledgeable farm workers rather than dirt cheap
         | migrant laborers or a combine.
        
           | corty wrote:
           | > Manure isn't a problem if you free range your animals, have
           | landscape structures to prevent runoff and have other animals
           | that eat bugs in the same space such as chickens. Then it
           | just contributes fertility to the land.
           | 
           | I would contest that. Animal manure runoff has always been a
           | problem to e.g. brooks and rivers and only in recent years
           | has the legislation started to prevent some of the more
           | problematic practices. Like grazing all your cattle on a
           | soon-to-be-flooded grassland next to the river. Nitrate
           | pollution of the ground water is also more pronounced in
           | German areas where free-range animals are more common.
           | 
           | > Industrial farming is stupid, and totally unnecessary.
           | Using permaculture and silvopasture, you can produce much
           | more (and more nutritious) food in the same space, while
           | improving (rather than destroying) fertility. If done right,
           | you don't need pesticides, your animals don't need
           | antibiotics or dewormers, and the whole thing mostly runs
           | itself aside from a little pruning/herding and a lot of
           | picking. The only downside to these methods is they take some
           | time to get going, and they require knowledgeable farm
           | workers rather than dirt cheap migrant laborers or a combine.
           | 
           | If it were only farmer's knowledge that is required, farming
           | industry would do it in an instant, considering the
           | significant advantages you named.
           | 
           | I would guess that either the methods you mention are far
           | more labour-intensive as well as requiring more qualified
           | labour. Or that the advantages aren't really that
           | significant. Industrial agriculture is hunting for every bit
           | of efficiency gain, and lots of businesses are looking for an
           | edge any way they can. So it seems strange to me that the
           | methods you mention aren't used in any significant amount.
        
             | CuriouslyC wrote:
             | If you aren't running a ridiculous number of head per acre
             | and you have swales cut into your land to control runoff,
             | manure is absolutely not a problem.
             | 
             | Permaculture + Silvopasture is labor intensive at harvest
             | for sure, because you can't just run a tree shaker or
             | tractor down rows, but you need to forage through a food
             | forest which requires some knowledge and care. The bigger
             | downside for industrial farmers is that instead of one
             | product you can unload to a co-op easily, you have 30+
             | crops you need to find a market for.
             | 
             | In my experience a lot of farmers are fairly set in their
             | ways. Even 100% win solutions like no till planting with
             | cover crop grazing are being taken up very slowly.
        
         | neolog wrote:
         | Currently kids spend a lot of their time working in schools;
         | I'm guessing working on farms might be better or worse
         | depending on the farm and the school, but I don't know much
         | about it. Where can I learn more?
        
       | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
       | unfortunately the cow seems out of the barn for reasons other
       | than legislation being missing.
       | 
       | Farmers have not adapted to changes in conditions and they had
       | time to do so. The point of a union should not be to collute to
       | raise prices. The point of a union should be to pool market power
       | and resources to break monopolies in creameries, or pollution.
       | 
       | Any farmer should have seen the writing on the wall to have 1
       | creamery being their only customer, and develop options
       | immediately. Their lifelihood depended on it!! Farmers can't be
       | kicked out of a coop they own. Too late for that. Also, farmers
       | should have pooled resources and sued to high hell all the
       | pollutants and reported farms using illegal labor. Petition
       | townsfolk to start class action sue pollutants. Hit where it
       | hurts.
       | 
       | The article never talks about that. Only complaints about the law
       | (which incidentally, should have not happened if farmers had been
       | proactive at getting their communities to unite against the
       | pollutants).
       | 
       | Instead of putting bad actors out of business, this article seems
       | to state that small farmers were not successful in petitioning -
       | via legislation - to become bad actors themselves. Unfortunate.
       | 
       | Legislation seems to have gotten small farmers in trouble,
       | legislation will not come to the rescue now. Legislation is for
       | the big guns. They are not that.
        
         | thaumasiotes wrote:
         | > The point of a union should not be to collu[d]e to raise
         | prices. The point of a union should be to pool market power and
         | resources
         | 
         | These are just different words for the same thing.
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | You can have cooperation without price-fixing.
        
             | thaumasiotes wrote:
             | What would you be cooperating to do?
        
               | alteriority wrote:
               | can't speak for gruez, but a couple off the top of my
               | head:
               | 
               | -set standards that all members abide by, potentially
               | bypassing "tragedy of the commons'-style coordination
               | problems
               | 
               | -share information which, in a more cutthroat
               | environment, would be considered "trade secrets".
               | 
               | Not sure how these would apply to the dairy industry
               | specifically; it just seems overly broad to say that
               | price fixing is the only plausible form of cooperation.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | Look into the effects of your ideas, and you'll see them
               | wind up in rising prices. Your first example, excluding
               | industry members who don't meet a particular standard, is
               | one of the most typical forms of "colluding to raise
               | prices" you could possibly think of, often expressed in
               | the form of professional certification.
               | 
               | The only things an economic organization can do are raise
               | prices and lower costs. For a labor union, costs are
               | labor; from the consumer end the workers' "lower costs"
               | mean less work is being done, which shows up as higher
               | prices for consumers.
        
               | elmomle wrote:
               | Setting standards and price fixing are different things.
               | You can have fair competition within a marketplace with
               | rules and standards. Price fixing is when all sellers
               | agree to not sell below a certain price, which is a
               | problem pretty much regardless of a marketplace's rules.
        
               | rightbyte wrote:
               | Standards might be a way to prevent a race to the bottom
               | in quality. I think that is the most important thing.
        
               | jschwartzi wrote:
               | By arguing from the standpoint of raising or lowering
               | prices you're being very reductive. Doctors form trade
               | associations too, and yes the prices for a certified
               | doctor are much higher, but the quality of care is also
               | standardized and usually higher to match. OP wasn't
               | making the point that industry associations don't raise
               | prices. OP was pointing out that most industry
               | associations are formed to try to make things better. And
               | that might result in increased prices, but that's a side-
               | effect and not the goal.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | duxup wrote:
             | Ultimately the problem is the price...
        
               | jerome-jh wrote:
               | The problem is that cooperatives turned into monopolies,
               | becoming inefficient. So it is both a price and
               | organizational problem.
        
               | reedjosh wrote:
               | I'm seeing a resurgence of competition on quality too. I
               | personally purchase organic grass fed glass bottled milk
               | from local farms. Sounds snobby and onerous, but it's
               | available at any Whole Foods.
               | 
               | Quality food is truly worth it. Milk should not be a
               | commodity. I know it's a bit more expensive, but I
               | promise eating quality reduces the need for quantity.
               | 
               | Our bodies are starving on this poorly made junk
               | commodity food.
        
               | mcguire wrote:
               | The other half of the article's issue:
               | https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/chart-
               | gallery/gallery...
               | 
               | " _Between 1960 and 1998, the average share of disposable
               | personal income spent on total food by Americans, on
               | average, fell from 17.0 to 10.1 percent, driven by a
               | declining share of income spent on food at home._ "
               | 
               | In 2019, it was 9.5%, with modest decreases on spending
               | for food at home and increases in spending on food away
               | from home.
        
               | katbyte wrote:
               | > Milk should not be a commodity
               | 
               | neither should food, water, or shelter but here we are
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | Commodity literally means cheap and of consistent
               | quality.
               | 
               | All of those things should be commodities, even if we
               | choose to pay for them as a society rather than
               | organizing the flow of goods using markets.
               | 
               | Put simply, if you are willing to buy it without sampling
               | it, you think it's a commodity.
        
               | reedjosh wrote:
               | I think you mean if you are willing to buy it regularly
               | without sampling. We bought a few brands prior to our
               | current buying pattern.
               | 
               | I am not willing to buy milk without sampling. Currently
               | we have two that we like. Basically, one has extra fat
               | added, but the other comes in a reusable (literally
               | return for reuse) glass bottle. If only I could get both.
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | Yes, I mean willingness to grab a container off the shelf
               | and buy it without sampling, not the process of
               | establishing preferences.
        
         | Spooky23 wrote:
         | Agriculture was the first victim of the red/blue phenomenon.
         | Agricultural and trade policy is all about government supported
         | grain industry. For the dairy farmer, they are stuck between
         | regulatory reform that dramatically increases the supply of
         | milk by creating a national market, while their downstream
         | supply chain partners are allowed to consolidate and form
         | monopolies, because American legal theory is insane.
         | 
         | I live in upstate NY from a former dairy producing region. I'm
         | aware of 5 different dairy processors that were within 30-40
         | miles of my childhood home. Now there is one larger company.
         | 
         | It's only getting worse. The push for meat-substitutes will
         | just lead to even more consolidation, and start introducing
         | supply risks down the road. The aquifers that support Midwest
         | grain are being depleted, and climate change will affect the
         | Southern California miracle in the desert. In the meantime, the
         | well-watered, prime farm I worked on as a teen had most of the
         | topsoil stripped and sold, and there is a subdivision with
         | 40-50 houses on it.
        
           | tengbretson wrote:
           | > The aquifers that support Midwest grain are being depleted
           | 
           | An overwhelming majority of farm land in the Midwest is not
           | irrigated, with Nebraska being the only significant outlier.
        
             | mcguire wrote:
             | " _The Ogallala Aquifer underlies parts of Colorado,
             | Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico, Oklahoma, South Dakota,
             | Texas, and Wyoming. From wheat and cows to corn and cotton,
             | the regional economy depends almost exclusively on
             | agriculture irrigated by Ogallala groundwater. But
             | according to the Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4),
             | producers are extracting water faster than it is being
             | replenished, which means that parts of the Ogallala Aquifer
             | should be considered a nonrenewable resource._ "
             | 
             | In large areas, the water level has dropped more than 50
             | feet. (https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-
             | images/nation...)
             | 
             | Each of the circles in these satellite images is an
             | irrigation system. Many are a mile in diameter.
             | 
             | * https://goo.gl/maps/5m82TyPRSHnQ2xCx9
             | 
             | * https://goo.gl/maps/wveD2BaP8Stp66yw7
             | 
             | * https://goo.gl/maps/yXL2gWEXq9fmz4jj6
             | 
             | * https://goo.gl/maps/VbhjEKYgWhaqgEHR6
             | 
             | * https://goo.gl/maps/erC76vZx34Rhzt9VA
        
               | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
               | Most of those states are not considered to be in the
               | Midwest.
        
             | Spooky23 wrote:
             | McGuire answered this concern.
             | 
             | The other one I forgot to mention is the topsoil erosion
             | from brain dead farming practices, which is now in or on
             | its way to the Gulf of Mexico.
        
               | mcguire wrote:
               | Yeah, be careful with that.
               | 
               | You also need to worry about soil salinization, where
               | irrigated land becomes less productive.
        
           | thatfrenchguy wrote:
           | > In the meantime, the well-watered, prime farm I worked on
           | as a teen had most of the topsoil stripped and sold, and
           | there is a subdivision with 40-50 houses on it.
           | 
           | Americans are addicted to (boring) houses in the suburbs and
           | cars, it's such a shame.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | One man's boring is another man's idyllic.
        
           | selimthegrim wrote:
           | Lina Khan may have been appointed just in time then.
        
           | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
           | There is another danger that is not being touched upon.
           | 
           | Once things consolidate, the overall system becomes massively
           | more fragile.
           | 
           | Think 2008 with a few very big multinational banks. A crisis
           | basically brought the market to its knees. Contrast this to
           | restaurants.
           | 
           | We have had covid restrictions for months, but yet, 2/3rd of
           | the independently owned are finding ways to operate. They are
           | the epitome of resilience.
           | 
           | Imagine if we had a big problem and a bunch of monsantos
           | failed. 2008 style collapse...but this time of the food
           | supply...
        
         | AshleighBasil wrote:
         | >reported farms using illegal labor.
         | 
         | I'm from Mexico, but I've always suspected the reason the US
         | Democratic Party supports immigration is precisely because a
         | lot of big corporations want to drive down the price of labor.
         | They piggyback on antiracist and antinationalist activism to
         | advance the interests of big agriculture.
         | 
         | If I was a big agro, I'd invest in both parties. The
         | Republicans to remove regulation that helps big agro compete,
         | and the Democrats to implement regulation that prevents small
         | agro from competing.
         | 
         | Although tbh this is all I know of American politics from
         | reading internet threads, haha
        
           | dbrower wrote:
           | It's not Democrats, it's business owners needing that labor.
           | The Republicans are equally bad in practice, it's their
           | rhetoric that is tougher.
        
           | mcguire wrote:
           | " _If I was a big agro, I 'd invest in both parties. The
           | Republicans to remove regulation that helps big agro compete,
           | and the Democrats to implement regulation that prevents small
           | agro from competing._"
           | 
           | They do.
           | 
           | https://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/cargill-
           | inc/summary?id=D000...
        
           | darkarmani wrote:
           | > is precisely because a lot of big corporations want to
           | drive down the price of labor
           | 
           | Doesn't immigration also create industry which then creates
           | jobs?
        
         | mindslight wrote:
         | You're completely ignoring market inefficiency, as if a
         | distributed desire for something better can simply be summed
         | into creating a viable competitor. The tech equivalent is
         | proclaiming that if you really don't like
         | Google/Apple/Facebook/etc control, go start your own. It
         | completely ignores that doing so takes an extraordinary amount
         | of effort over a long period of time, and any serious
         | competitor is likely to end up bought out by the bigger
         | business before it can affect the market.
         | 
         | I'm generally apprehensive any time someone says "there ought
         | to be a law", but the article lays out a well-sourced case. The
         | economy and big business are directly opposed, and having a
         | distributed economy is much more important for us human beings.
         | Perhaps price controls aren't the answer (and would actually
         | further benefit the large farms that are killing the economy),
         | but something needs to be done unless we want to end up with
         | farming monocultures that will some day decide it's more
         | profitable to _not_ supply us food. The right answer is
         | probably antitrust breakup, and a statutory limiting of mergers
         | going forward.
        
           | vram22 wrote:
           | >I'm generally apprehensive any time someone says "there
           | ought to be a law", but the article lays out a well-sourced
           | case. The economy and big business are directly opposed, and
           | having a distributed economy is much more important for us
           | human beings. Perhaps price controls aren't the answer (and
           | would actually further benefit the large farms that are
           | killing the economy)
           | 
           | Your statements that I quoted above are almost a perfect
           | counter-argument to show why the suggestion in the last
           | sentence of your comment will not work in practice. It will
           | be shot down by vested interests finding loopholes after a
           | few years, if not sooner. IMO a deeper solution is needed.
           | And no, I cannot give one off the top of my head. Nor am I
           | qualified to do so. But even laymen to an area can see
           | potential flaws if they are obvious.
        
             | mindslight wrote:
             | Possible deeper solutions are to end the centralizing
             | trickle up economics of ZIRP, or to stop time. But either
             | one of these is less likely to happen than targeted anti-
             | trust. I get the defeatism that the market simply sees
             | regulation as damage and routes around it, but that's also
             | a result of our national psyche that lets ourselves be
             | divided over surface issues while capital buys loopholes.
             | We've been sold this unsustainable ratchet strangling
             | humanity as some kind of inevitable progression, and at a
             | certain point we've got to say enough is enough and push
             | back within the paradigm rather than thinking we will
             | outrun it.
        
       | dbg31415 wrote:
       | > It seems hard to believe but at one point it was possible to
       | make a decent living as a dairy farmer with a small herd (what's
       | now considered small, anyway). In 1981 my dad had a herd of 82
       | milking cows and he cracked the top 50 in all of northwest
       | Wisconsin's 22 counties for average milk production.
       | 
       | > As for the distant future, I imagine it will look similar to
       | the consolidation in other livestock industries, where a handful
       | of mega corporations dictate production and the "farmers" are
       | more like serfs, deeply in debt and entirely beholden to the
       | corporation.
       | 
       | Mirrors a lot of what my family went through. Grew up on a cattle
       | ranch in the 80s... ranches were already 5-10x larger than they
       | had been the generation before. Efficiency and capitalism and
       | finding better ways to solve problems... totally get the reasons
       | for the consolidation. Just sucks for the people. Farmers and
       | Ranchers have been a dying breed for so very long now. And
       | replacing the family farm with a factory farm -- practical or
       | reasonable or not -- it just seems so... offensive.
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZRDaPEaDJ7E
       | 
       | Interesting with the dairy cow milk production graphs since the
       | 1970s. Probably belongs on this list.
       | 
       | https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/
        
       | nineplay wrote:
       | I think he's glossing over the obvious. A friend of mine was just
       | reminiscing about growing up in her family's dairy farm.
       | 
       | Every Saturday morning, every Sunday morning, every Christmas you
       | get up to take care of the cows. Feel sick? You've got to get up
       | and take care of the cows. Want to go on vacation? Can't, there's
       | no one you can leave the cows with. It's a hard life - maybe a
       | satisfying life in some ways but there are a lot of sacrifices.
       | 
       | The author points out that only one of his brothers wanted to
       | take over the dairy. He doesn't point out that without that one
       | brother with the insane work ethic the farm would have shut down
       | years ago. It's not a sustainable business model.
        
         | PicassoCTs wrote:
         | Bread and games rarely make for good business-models. A lack of
         | bread makes for food riots, so even the most dysfunctional
         | states keep that resource over-flowing and artificially under
         | price pressures.
         | 
         | In germany you are not even allowed by law, to convert surplus
         | grain into energy by burning it.
         | https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Getreideverbrennung#Deutschlan...
         | 
         | For fermenting it you need a expensive license. Nobody is even
         | pretending that this is a free market and even the most
         | hardcore Neo-libertarians do not call for it regarding food.
         | 
         | The price fluctuations visible are usually the pearl-diving.
         | All market participants dive for the pearls, aka the lowest
         | possible price and hold their breath. Those who cant keep up,
         | float to the top and are devoured by those who are still alive.
         | Every round there are fewer and fewer small participants. Rinse
         | and repeat, until only a few monopolistic giants are able to
         | establish a price cartel.
        
         | mitjak wrote:
         | what a strange point. "the obvious" is not that there's
         | concentration of power but that farming is hard? what about
         | small farms where many people are happy to continue working
         | because they find it fulfilling?
        
           | nineplay wrote:
           | The "obvious" is that operating a family farm as a profitable
           | business is hard. Harder than three of the four adult
           | children in the article are willing to work.
           | 
           | That doesn't mean there aren't people who want to do it, that
           | means that a lot of family farms are going out of business
           | because there aren't enough people who want to do it,
           | regardless of external pressures.
        
             | mitjak wrote:
             | that conclusion doesn't necessarily follow though. the
             | proposed thesis by the article author is difficulty of
             | having enough cattle to break even. you need to make enough
             | to grow your operation, which is difficult given that you
             | rely on external factors like creameries. the only reason
             | you only have your family's labour to rely on could also be
             | the difficulty of scaling up.
        
               | nineplay wrote:
               | I think the article writer is glossing over the
               | difficulty of keeping a farm in business without the
               | external factors. My experience, growing up in an farming
               | area, is that the kids of farmers are relieved when the
               | farm is sold to a big conglomerate.
               | 
               | If the author cared so much about the farm, nothing
               | stopped him from going back and dedicating his life to
               | keeping it running.
        
               | mitjak wrote:
               | apologies if i'm coming across condescending or am
               | missing your point but i'm having difficulty
               | comprehending how the author staying on the farm would've
               | fixed anything about the trend towards monopolization
               | fuelled by corporate subsidies and other forms of
               | preferential treatment coupled with those larger actors
               | facing limited responsibility for any of the consequences
               | to surrounding communities and environment?
        
           | ClumsyPilot wrote:
           | Anyone who enjoys their job should work for free? How are
           | they meant to pay bills? What are you saying?
        
             | mitjak wrote:
             | im providing a counter-example to the OP's point, and
             | saying that people choosing not to remain farmers is not a
             | sufficient explanation for decline in the number of small
             | farms. the author clearly proposes many other reasons. see
             | other responses to the message.
        
         | xipho wrote:
         | You seem to equate hard work ethic with sustainability, this is
         | false. You obviously have never experienced the joys of winters
         | with nothing todo except read, learn, cook and play, because
         | you worked insanely hard on the farm for 6-8 months of the
         | growing season (being your own boss, but who cares about that).
        
           | analog31 wrote:
           | A friend of mine is a farmer -- typical Wisconsin corn &
           | beans. Those winters are spent finding other income sources.
           | Some of his activities: Driving the big snow plows. Short
           | haul truck driving on country roads in the dark. Repairing
           | his ancient equipment. Being a local dealer for something or
           | other. Same with any time slot that he can fill during the
           | growing season.
           | 
           | An issue he faces is that he pays more for seeds and
           | fertilizer than the big farms, and gets paid less for his
           | crop. Many of the "obvious" ideas to produce specialized
           | crops (organic, popcorn, soybeans for tofu) turn out to be
           | boondoggles that lose money.
           | 
           | I'm not too sad for him -- his land is worth millions, he'll
           | do OK. But the other thing is, he and I are the same age, and
           | he looks about 20 years older. Part of it is that he's driven
           | to do this. It's in his blood. He talks about "feeding the
           | world" and so forth.
           | 
           | Being your own boss, yes. Turns out being a "farmer" looks a
           | lot different if you own the farm, than if you don't.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | > he looks about 20 years older
             | 
             | OTOH, my grandfather, who worked his own farm until he was
             | deep into his 80s, is just about to celebrate 102. Up until
             | a couple years ago he was still taking stairs two at a
             | time, and winning corn shucking contests. Would he have
             | made it so far, or in such good shape, if he had spent his
             | life at a desk?
        
               | hshshs2 wrote:
               | he might have - health is important but once you pass a
               | general fitness baseline living past 100 is just a
               | crapshoot
               | 
               | if it were simply a matter of exercise we'd have a lot
               | more people living past 100
        
           | nineplay wrote:
           | At risk of stating the obvious, dairy cows do not have a
           | growing season. Cows are a 365 days-a-year commitment.
        
             | xipho wrote:
             | My grandfather had a dairy barn, I'm aware of this. The
             | community around it rebuilt it when it was burned, looked
             | after it when he travelled across the country etc. Was it
             | hard? Certainly. To suggest his (and his families) life was
             | somehow less joyous than a 9-5 hacking l33t code all year
             | is insanity.
        
               | nineplay wrote:
               | The writer of the articles was very clear that _he_ found
               | farming less joyous than "9-5 hacking l33t code". Your
               | argument is more with him than with me.
               | 
               | The writer's other two siblings also found more "joyous"
               | things to do. It isn't for everyone, and that is going to
               | continue to be the reason that they can't survive against
               | Big Ag.
        
               | xipho wrote:
               | Right. I don't have an argument with the writer, its a
               | wonderful article, spot on. Yes my families work was
               | largely pre-big ag. Nothing is for everyone. The trigger
               | that looped me in here was the "not sustainable because
               | hard work", I drifted to tangents too quickly.
        
             | phillc73 wrote:
             | This is not always the case. I recall learning during my
             | youth that in Victoria, Australia, the heat cycles and
             | pregnancies of the entire herd were synchronised to that it
             | lead to a period of 6 to 8 weeks where no milking occurred
             | at all.
             | 
             | That's not to say that there was nothing to do on the farm,
             | or it was time to take a holiday, just that the cows did
             | not need milking during that time period, so perhaps it was
             | easier to relax a little.
             | 
             | There are also "contract milkers" who can be brought in for
             | short stints of time, allowing the owners to take time off.
             | Of course there is a cost to this, but I guess that just
             | needs to be budgeted into the overall cost of the
             | "holiday."
        
               | nineplay wrote:
               | The poster upstream suggested there were 6-8 months of
               | downtime with nothing to do. We've gone down to 6-8 weeks
               | with no milking. There's still feeding and watering and
               | of course monitoring a herd of now-pregnant cows with all
               | the possible health complications that come from that.
               | 
               | I'm also relaying my friend's experience, not just
               | speculating. In her circumstances, there was daily
               | maintenance and no vacations. Perhaps her family didn't
               | budget well enough.
        
         | jbroson wrote:
         | I'm pretty sure the fact that it's impossible to turn a profit
         | in any of the "family" small scale dairy farms is a little more
         | important than how hard the work is.
         | 
         | And hard back-breaking work is not unique to farming. Plenty of
         | restaurants or other small businesses basically run off owners
         | and family giving dozens of hours of labor every week "for
         | free"
        
           | nineplay wrote:
           | The author didn't want to work on the farm regardless of
           | profit. 2 out of 3 of his brother didn't want to work on the
           | farm regardless of profit.
           | 
           | My friend would never go back to a farming life, nor would
           | any of her siblings or cousins. It's just too much work in a
           | world where there are a lot of fun things to do with your
           | spare time. My friend mentors 4H students, but she also takes
           | off on scuba-diving trips several times a year.
        
           | asdfasgasdgasdg wrote:
           | > I'm pretty sure the fact that it's impossible to turn a
           | profit in any of the "family" small scale dairy farms is a
           | little more important than how hard the work is.
           | 
           | Why exactly is that important? I could not turn a profit
           | running a family plastic casting business in the U.S. either.
           | It's just not something that can be done competitively on a
           | small scale. Seems like milk production isn't either. That's
           | sad for people who want to do that as a profession. It's also
           | sad that writing doesn't pay enough to employ everyone who
           | wants to be writers, painting everyone who would rather
           | paint, etc. Why is that a policy problem (besides the need to
           | ensure these people have a soft landing in a destination
           | profession that is economically viable)?
        
             | Tossrock wrote:
             | Because large agribusiness conglomerates extract their
             | profits largely by creating negative externalities through
             | pollution and underpriced illegal labor? That was kinda the
             | whole point of the article. Government exists to create
             | policy regulating externalities, and they're failing to do
             | their job here.
        
         | snarf21 wrote:
         | I always joke with people that farming is a great half time
         | job, just pick which 12 hours you want to work. I also think
         | the only people that want to start farming are those that have
         | never done it.
        
           | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
           | Haha, right. I run into people on reddit all the time who
           | idealize life on a farm. Right up until I remind them that
           | even if it's -20F and blowing snow horizontally and you're
           | sick with the flu, you still have to go out and take care of
           | the animals.
        
       | foxhop wrote:
       | And now the land will continue to be gobbled up by the Gates
       | foundation and trust. Unregulated capitalism winner takes all
       | regardless of industry. Monopolies and patients on life and
       | genetics as far as the eyes can see.
        
         | esaym wrote:
         | Don't forget China: https://foxsanantonio.com/news/yami-
         | investigates/chinese-win...
        
       | Avernar wrote:
       | There used to be a time when every town had a dairy and also nice
       | men who would deliver it to you in glass reusable containers and
       | perhaps even have sex with your wife.
        
       | sologoub wrote:
       | Fortunately for me, some US producers have managed to create a
       | sustainable business model, while providing great (if old
       | fashioned) product: https://blog.goodeggs.com/blog/straus-family-
       | creamery-pionee...
       | 
       | Straus milk is not cheap at ~$9 per gallon, but we don't consume
       | a lot and the quality is simply amazing. Still haven't figured
       | out what it is, but regular cheap US milk makes me incredibly
       | sick to the point that my DR diagnosed me with lactose
       | intolerance, except I noticed when traveling to continental EU, I
       | never got sick even when accidentally eating something with
       | dairy. Turns out I can have milk and milk-based product just
       | fine, but something about the regular US milk was like poison to
       | me. Tried the A2 bandwagon - didn't work. I can't now recall how
       | I stumbled on Straus product, but it was life changing and I
       | really hope they continue to survive!
        
         | snikeris wrote:
         | I'm also willing to pay more for milk I perceive as better.
         | That seems to be the way forward...distinguish your milk as
         | something better than what's usually found at the supermarket.
         | The farm near me places emphasis on their breed of cows.
        
       | u678u wrote:
       | I'm torn on this, my uncles and grand parents were all dairy
       | farmers with their own farms. I work in an office behind a
       | computer every day. I dont envy them at all.
        
       | VBprogrammer wrote:
       | It's difficult but I'm not sure what the alternatives might be.
       | The largest dairy farms can cut costs in ways which would not be
       | practical for small farms because the capital expenditure
       | (robotised milking parlours for example) or the market power
       | (being able to negotiate on feed prices). The mega lots with
       | thousands of cows can sell milk for less than it costs a small
       | farm to produce it.
       | 
       | The only available option is specialisation. Build a brand around
       | products manufactured on site, cheeses and butters for example.
       | Diversification, I've been on two ex-dairy farms, one now
       | produces mostly beer and the other is an ice cream based tourist
       | attraction.
        
         | throwaway0a5e wrote:
         | You forgot the most important advantage of scale:
         | 
         | Just barely comply with the letter of the law or be in the gray
         | area, have a legal team that makes you harder to pick on and
         | then wait for the regulators to figure out that the small guys
         | are the easy targets.
        
       | harshaw wrote:
       | My Uncle started with a "family" farm in up state new york, maybe
       | milking 80-100. Over the years as my Cousins took over, it turned
       | into a commercial farm where they milk over 1000. The scale is
       | pretty massive: from the barns that go on forever, to the giant
       | pools of manure, the horizontal bunkers that store the sileage.
       | They adapted I suppose - and because its a 3+ family farm with
       | plenty of workers they can get time off from the grind. My Uncle,
       | however, for years was the sole owner and worked his ass off 7
       | days a week. Its taken him a very long time in his retirement to
       | be able to enjoy his time.
        
       | benjaminmaccini wrote:
       | This was written in 2019. There is another thread, but this is my
       | first time reading. So I understand;
       | 
       | - Milk prices are going down due to a decrease in the cost of
       | production + overproduction.
       | 
       | - Farmland availability is decreasing because CAFOs are
       | incentivized (required?) to buy more land. Property value is also
       | decreasing for farmers near CAFOs.
       | 
       | - Small farmers operate on decreasing margins.
       | 
       | - Small farmers lack protection against rising overhead costs,
       | this was historically done through co-ops, however these co-ops
       | have grown to be massive conglomerates and fail to serve the
       | underlying communities.
       | 
       | - CAFOs are the leading pollutants of water sources. They are
       | also the leading consumers of ground water.
       | 
       | - There has been a dramatic decrease in the number of small
       | farming operations.
       | 
       | Bad economic policies lead to public health and cultural crises.
       | I can't help but draw some parallels to what has been happening
       | in the Rust Belt (Hillbilly Elegy is a great read for this
       | topic). It's insane how little I know about food economics and
       | scary how much of an impact it has on communities, especially
       | impoverished ones.
        
         | WarOnPrivacy wrote:
         | > It's insane how little I know about food economics and scary
         | how much of an impact it has on communities, especially
         | impoverished ones.
         | 
         | America mostly stopped caring about the welfare of rural
         | Americans sometime around WWII. There have been some brief
         | blips (Appalachia 68, farms 78) but generally - concern for
         | Americans to sustain themselves ends at the edge of metro
         | areas. Neither pols, nor press nor most of us are interested in
         | a meaningful way.
         | 
         | To be clear, my assertion isn't an invitation to pit the rural
         | poor against the urban poor. It's to highlight how Americans
         | tend to be particular about which Americans merit their
         | concern. For schlubs like me, that might be understandable. But
         | for those folks who's actual job it is to look out for everyone
         | - rarely caring about the welfare of some Americans (who are in
         | real and sustained trouble) is just systemic neglect.
        
           | ska wrote:
           | > Neither pols, nor press nor most of us are interested in a
           | meaningful way.
           | 
           | I'm not sure that's true - it's just that overall people are
           | much more interested in cheap food. Agriculture has been
           | pulled into a race for the bottom here for a while, and small
           | farms & rural communities are a nearly unavoidable casualty.
           | 
           | The basic math here is easy, the moment labor becomes a
           | significant contribution there is pressure to reduce it,
           | which means either worse pay for the same work, or figuring
           | out how to be more productive with less labor (automation,
           | scaling) or a mixture of both.
           | 
           | Overall there is a lot of concern with being able to keep a
           | food supply going, but that doesn't' translate to caring
           | about e.g. family farms remaining viable.
        
         | CSSer wrote:
         | For those curious, CAFO stands for "Concentrated Animal Feeding
         | Operation". I was unfamiliar with the term and had to look it
         | up.
         | 
         | See link for more details (found in Wikipedia sources) [0]:
         | 
         | > A CAFO is another EPA term for a large concentrated AFO
         | [animal feeding operation]. A CAFO is an AFO with more than
         | 1000 animal units (an animal unit is defined as an animal
         | equivalent of 1000 pounds live weight and equates to 1000 head
         | of beef cattle, 700 dairy cows, 2500 swine weighing more than
         | 55 lbs, 125 thousand broiler chickens, or 82 thousand laying
         | hens or pullets) confined on site for more than 45 days during
         | the year. Any size AFO that discharges manure or wastewater
         | into a natural or man-made ditch, stream or other waterway is
         | defined as a CAFO, regardless of size. CAFOs are regulated by
         | EPA under the Clean Water Act in both the 2003 and 2008
         | versions of the "CAFO" rule.
         | 
         | [0]:
         | https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/main/national/plan...
        
       | Sytten wrote:
       | Even here in Canada with regulation we see the same consolidation
       | happening. The quotas of production have become so expensive that
       | it is not possible to start from scratch. In the case of my
       | familly the cows were sold in 1989 because it was either growing
       | the farm or selling.
       | 
       | Now we produce only corn & soybean and despiste our ~100 acres it
       | is not enough to sustain one person without a side job. There is
       | not much money to be made in agriculture for small farms, that's
       | why I am a software engineer.
        
       | blowski wrote:
       | One of the main characters in Serotonin (Michel Houellbecq, 2019)
       | is a French dairy farmer watching his family's business slowly go
       | bankrupt. It's a ficitonal version of a simlar set of events,
       | causes and consequences.
        
       | belorn wrote:
       | There were a news article this fall about how demand for more
       | ecological produced dairy and meat has gone down while public
       | opinion about ecological produced dairy and meat has gone up. The
       | explanation provided there is that while people increasingly care
       | more about how the dairy and meat is produced, those same people
       | are also reducing their consumption.
       | 
       | This seems to be an area where pollution control and stricter
       | regulation in regard to animal health is required in order to see
       | improvements. In addition, human trafficking has become common
       | practice in many cheap labor industries, to the point where the
       | police has stopped investigating because otherwise they would
       | have no resources to spend on areas which are more politically
       | valuable. Many workers are forced to work or end up not getting
       | paid, and then scared into avoiding the police in fear of
       | violence. Work safety and health care rarely exist, and in the
       | case of farm workers and construction there is few if any support
       | system to help victims.
        
         | corty wrote:
         | Also, ecological production has suffered several scandals,
         | quality problems and marketing snafus that have lead to it
         | decreasing in popularity or getting less ecological:
         | 
         | E.g. there have been scandals around contaminated ecological
         | ("Bio-" in Germany) eggs because chicken droppings more easily
         | contaminate eggs when nests and cages are larger and more free-
         | range. Ecological vegetables had acceptance problems because
         | the lack of pesticides meant that the looks were less appealing
         | in the supermarket, leading to the increased use of "green"
         | pesticides (that is, "naturally occuring" poison) and barrier
         | methods that harm wildlife like nets and foils. Ecological meat
         | has also consistently over-promised and under-delivered on the
         | customer-apparent quality of the product. You just don't notice
         | if the steak you are eating came from a happy cow...
        
           | belorn wrote:
           | I fully agree there exist problem with the ecological
           | branding, and with eggs in particularly the standard is a bit
           | shoehorned. In eu, ecological egg is mostly about how many
           | chicken live per m^2, which is non-obvious by the name.
           | 
           | For non-ecological egg in EU, the minimum standard is 16 hens
           | in the small space of 6 cm^2 minimum per hen and cage. That
           | to me is animal cruelty. Ecological egg has a minimum
           | requirement of 6 hens per m^2 when inside, no battery cages,
           | access to daylight 24/7 and outside access for half the year
           | and then with 4m^2 per hen.
           | 
           | There is also addition requirements for the feed but it feels
           | so much less important than simply not having a cage where
           | each hen has 6cm to stand on.
        
         | lifeisstillgood wrote:
         | >>> In addition, human trafficking has become common practice
         | in many cheap labor industries, to the point where the police
         | has stopped investigating because otherwise they would have no
         | resources to spend on areas which are more politically
         | valuable.
         | 
         | I'm sorry what.
        
           | belorn wrote:
           | It was in the local news a year or so back. If they go to any
           | construction site, they will find so many cases that they
           | won't have resources to do any other work related
           | investigations for the rest of the year. As such they decided
           | to stop doing it for the unforeseen future. From the
           | politicians, they mostly want the companies to self regulate.
           | Human trafficking for labor is costly to enforce and is not
           | something which wins votes, and the shortage in low wage
           | workforce has trickle down effects on political goals that
           | they do care about.
           | 
           | The situation is very similar in areas of farming (as the
           | article describes), fishing, foresting, and cleaning.
        
           | rtrdea wrote:
           | What?
        
       | jpollock wrote:
       | In New Zealand, the average dairy herd size on the South Island
       | is 611 (414 nationally).
       | 
       | In Wisconsin, it's 150.
       | 
       | Looks like there's a lot of room for consolidation in Wisconsin.
       | 
       | https://www.jsonline.com/in-depth/news/special-reports/dairy...
       | 
       | http://www.siddc.org.nz/about-siddc/south-island-dairying/
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | u678u wrote:
         | lots of farms in the US have 1000+ cows.
         | 
         | > According to the USDA's 2017 Census of Agriculture report,
         | which is published every five years, most US milk cows (55%)
         | reside on farms that milk over 1,000 cows. This is in contrast
         | to twenty years earlier
         | 
         | https://research.rabobank.com/far/en/sectors/dairy/Changing-...
        
       | intrasight wrote:
       | If an article was titled "On the death of my family social media
       | service" would resonate? I assume not. Wouldn't these also be
       | true: labor of love; work 24-7; can't take a vacation. Why does
       | our society treat family farms differently than other businesses?
        
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