[HN Gopher] The GPU Sadness Index: Tracking eBay Pricing
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       The GPU Sadness Index: Tracking eBay Pricing
        
       Author : rbanffy
       Score  : 79 points
       Date   : 2021-02-26 10:44 UTC (2 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.tomshardware.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.tomshardware.com)
        
       | christiansakai wrote:
       | EIP1559 and ETH2 will kill miners, hopefully, and I have no
       | sympathy. Miners can go to hell.
        
       | zokier wrote:
       | I still think it would have been neat experiment for nvidia to
       | auction 3000 series instead of attempting traditional sale
       | channels. At least then the profits would go in the pockets of
       | nvidia instead of scalpers. And if miners are willing to bid
       | exorbitant sums then let them fund more gpu r&d then, eventually
       | nvidia should be able to push the production quantity higher one
       | way or another.
        
         | drewg123 wrote:
         | Indeed, I hate that the MSRP is far below the market determined
         | pricepoint. The invites shortages and opens the door for
         | scalping.
         | 
         | I have been trying to get an Xbox Series X for months. I would
         | like to have a new one, with a warranty. However, I finally
         | gave up and "won" one with a $606 bid on stockx.com. After
         | fees, shipping, etc, its close to $170 over the unrealistic
         | $500 MSRP, which just shows how out of touch the MSRP really
         | is.
        
         | Proven wrote:
         | That recipe should get you a lot of upvotes in topics related
         | to the recent price of electricity in Texas :-)
        
         | tw04 wrote:
         | And then what happens to their channel sales partners who
         | survive off events like GPU and CPU launches? They just go out
         | of business?
         | 
         | Also: Nvidia couldn't increase production quantity if they
         | wanted, this isn't a money problem. The only way for them to
         | produce more GPUs at this point is to build fabs, and that will
         | take years. TSMC isn't going to break their contract with Apple
         | regardless of how much money Nvidia shows up to the table with.
        
           | zokier wrote:
           | > Also: Nvidia couldn't increase production quantity if they
           | wanted, this isn't a money problem. The only way for them to
           | produce more GPUs at this point is to build fabs, and that
           | will take years. TSMC isn't going to break their contract
           | with Apple regardless of how much money Nvidia shows up to
           | the table with.
           | 
           | That is very short-term thinking; taking years is still
           | eventually.
        
             | ravi-delia wrote:
             | Of course it's short term thinking, the spike in demand is
             | short term. If it's raining out, people will want
             | umbrellas. That doesn't mean that you should invest your
             | life savings and 10 years into building an umbrella factory
             | because it's rainy for two days in a row. Consistent demand
             | spikes result in supply increases over the long run, but
             | bumps in the road like this just don't.
        
             | tw04 wrote:
             | Nvidia doesn't need more money for R&D, the limited supply
             | has absolutely nothing to do with lack of resources to
             | invest in manufacturing capacity. They have a combination
             | of two things:
             | 
             | There's no planet on which they are going to base their
             | future plans on crypto mining. End of story. The market is
             | far too volatile for them to bet the company on it. Another
             | couple million in the bank from auctioning off cards isn't
             | going to change that. You're talking 10s of BILLIONS of
             | dollars for fabs all to meet crypto mining demand? And oh,
             | by the way, the faster they ramp up supply, the faster
             | demand for the GPU goes down due to increased complexity of
             | mining.
             | 
             | They have yield issues with the current generation chips.
             | The only way that solves itself is through time, money
             | won't improve the process, experience is the only fix.
             | 
             | You also failed to address what happens to all their retail
             | partners who you've conveniently decided should be cut out.
        
         | Exmoor wrote:
         | I'm assuming they don't want to look like they're profiting on
         | a shortage, which could also make the shortage look
         | intentional.
         | 
         | One workaround would have been to set up a system where the
         | additional profit from auctioned GPU's went to charities.
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | Which is such a very good idea since they'll often capture a
           | significant percentage back on their taxes.
        
       | cronix wrote:
       | Off topic, but for those still wanting a new GPU the trick to
       | still buying these cards at MSRP, and actually get one, is to
       | utilize a custom built PC service and buy a new PC. Cheap out on
       | all parts except the GPU. Then keep the good GPU, slap your old
       | one in the "new" computer and sell the machine on ebay. That's
       | how I got my 3090 in November. It was actually a bit cheaper than
       | MSRP as I made a bit more on the PC on ebay than I paid for it
       | and it took less than a week to get the custom pc and 2 days to
       | sell the new one.
        
         | jbob2000 wrote:
         | This is a market inefficiency. These companies could be
         | reselling the video cards without doing the extra work of
         | putting together a full PC and everyone would be better off -
         | you don't have to resell parts as "used", the company doesn't
         | have to ship you parts you don't want, both of you don't have
         | to pay taxes on stuff nobody wants.
        
           | 0xy wrote:
           | There's a 0% chance that Nvidia would allow them resell
           | graphics cards. These cards are earmarked for specific OEM
           | purposes. None of those companies want to bring down Nvidia's
           | wrath on them, either.
        
             | salawat wrote:
             | They can't actually stop them can they? Right of first
             | sale.
             | 
             | Or is there some custom in the supply chain by which these
             | firms waive that right for priority in sourcing? In which
             | case, this sounds like an unethical buisness practice
             | solely intended to create market inefficiencies...
             | 
             | Or is there something else to it?
        
               | smichel17 wrote:
               | They can stop selling to them.
        
               | salawat wrote:
               | >There's a 0% chance that Nvidia would allow them resell
               | graphics cards.
               | 
               | There is a difference between unilateral refusal to sell,
               | and selling on condition of non resale. As far as I am
               | aware, the practice of conditional sale like that isn't
               | actually backed by any legal teeth outside the realm of a
               | contract. Once you buy the thing, it is yours. Now the
               | contract could cover the primacy of sourcing, but not the
               | item itself, which would have the same badic effect I
               | suppose.
               | 
               | Believe it or not, "we just won't sell to them" is a
               | surefire way to stir up trouble, because then people
               | start asking pesky questions like "why?", and if the
               | answer given isn't satisfactory, leads to going about and
               | collecting data; turning it into a public interest sort
               | of thing. There is no way that blacklisting sales without
               | a darn good reason is ever a good thing.
        
               | yuliyp wrote:
               | > Believe it or not, "we just won't sell to them" is a
               | surefire way to stir up trouble
               | 
               | Companies are free to negotiate terms (prices, delivery
               | guarantees, priorities, etc.) for selling things how they
               | like, generally. If it's in their best interest to not
               | sell to someone, or to charge them higher rates / offer
               | fewer discounts, that's what they'll do.
        
               | stu2b50 wrote:
               | They can stop selling GPUs to these OEMs or just
               | deprioritize their contracts as a less extreme option.
        
         | aardvarkr wrote:
         | That's really solid advice, thanks for sharing it! I'm not in
         | the market for a new card at the moment but I'm sure there will
         | be many other people here who can benefit.
        
         | chmod775 wrote:
         | Interesting.
         | 
         | You can also do this somewhat risk-free if you either _first_
         | sell on ebay, before actually buying the computer, or if you
         | sell on ebay within the return period of wherever you bought
         | the computer.
         | 
         | That way if you don't find a buyer at the desired price, you're
         | just back to square one, and not stuck with hardware you don't
         | need.
        
           | dillondoyle wrote:
           | How does that work with shipping times though?
           | 
           | I bought an art skateboard that had production problems (wont
           | ship out to original buyers TBD) but it's already listed on
           | ebay from scalpers.
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | But how are the system integrators able to get GPUs at listed
         | prices when nobody else is?
        
           | wlesieutre wrote:
           | They get them the same way Alienware or Best Buy does, rather
           | than buying them at retail
        
           | Qworg wrote:
           | Delivery contracts make them first in line.
        
             | chrisseaton wrote:
             | Why don't scalpers or miners sign up for the same
             | contracts?
        
               | travmatt wrote:
               | I saw a picture on Reddit of a wall stacked high with
               | 3060's. In the comments, the poster mentioned he placed a
               | bulk order, the downside was it took a while.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | Right - if they're reselling easily for massively over
               | manufacturer price why isn't everyone placing these
               | orders?
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | It probably took a while for the person on Reddit to get
               | their order because they got it from a distributor who
               | was filling all of their higher priority customers first.
               | I bet Dell isn't even getting theirs from a distributor,
               | I'd guess they get them directly from the manufacturer.
               | There's a hierarchy to retail sales, and I'm sure even
               | large miners aren't near the top of it.
        
               | xur17 wrote:
               | Yup. I imagine it's similar to the inventory shortfalls
               | ledger experienced a few years ago during the
               | cryptocurrency price runup. I made a nice chunk of change
               | placing bulk orders from Ledger, waiting a month for them
               | to ship, and forwarding them to Amazon to resell.
        
               | thesteamboat wrote:
               | Presumably they (scalpers and miners) are not buying in
               | large enough bulk orders, far enough in advance.
        
         | KETpXDDzR wrote:
         | Ah, good advice. That gives me an even better ROI for my eth
         | mining!
        
         | dangwu wrote:
         | That's a lot of work. And shipping PCs is pretty risky and
         | expensive. I've found buying the cards from Facebook
         | Marketplace for a little over MSRP to be easier - although
         | you'll likely be supporting a scalper.
        
       | amelius wrote:
       | Thanks, Elon.
       | 
       | By the way, doesn't Tesla use GPU cards in their cars for the
       | autopilot functionality?
        
         | 0xTJ wrote:
         | This isn't Elon Musk's fault.
         | 
         | It doesn't make sense to use off-the-shelf graphics cards.
         | They're not designed for the environment of cars, and aren't
         | made to have that reliability. The medium older Tesla Autopilot
         | uses Nvidia platform meant for self-driving. The newer
         | Autopilot uses Tesla-designed SoCs that have fancy neural
         | network accelerators.
         | 
         | Everything important in cars needs to be high-reliability.
         | Between that, the form factor, added redundant cost, and the
         | reduced integration of having a separate PCIe card instead of
         | something integrated in an SoC, it doesn't make sense to use a
         | graphics card.
        
           | cwhiz wrote:
           | Tesla is famous for using off the shelf parts.
        
             | NikolaeVarius wrote:
             | I have no idea why people speculate this kind of stuff so
             | much, when a 5 second google search will find the answer
             | for you https://www.zdnet.com/article/nvidia-takes-aim-at-
             | teslas-cus...
             | 
             | So no, the claim that Elon is somehow responsible for the
             | scaling/shortage of Nvidia gaming cards does not seem to
             | hold up.
             | 
             | I dont even understand why the claim that Tesla uses off
             | the shelf parts even matters when its simply verifiable
             | either way.
        
               | cwhiz wrote:
               | I didn't say they use off the shelf video cards. But they
               | absolutely do use off the shelf parts.
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | Tesla's future infotainment will have an AMD 6xxx GPU so that
           | will take some supply away from gamers.
        
       | victor9000 wrote:
       | Nvidia could easily fix all this by allowing customers to
       | preorder cards at MSRP and ship them when they become available.
       | We can blame the scalpers and miners all we want, but nvidia is
       | at best complicit.
        
         | tinus_hn wrote:
         | Why would scalpers and miners not order years of production
         | ahead?
        
           | BinaryIdiot wrote:
           | Scalpers are always a short term thing. None of them ever
           | order supply that will last years, usually 3-6 months at
           | most. If you end up being caught holding the bag with a
           | normal amount of demand, you then break even at best or
           | likely lose a little re-selling them at the prices you paid
           | for.
           | 
           | A year from now nvidia will have new GPUs and the 3000 series
           | will be relatively easy to buy.
        
           | gizmo385 wrote:
           | Limit to 1 card per person and requiring a deposit might help
           | address that.
        
             | twic wrote:
             | Require customers' Steam usernames and validate that they
             | are true gamers. Oh, you just play pixel art indies? Back
             | of the line.
        
             | tvb12 wrote:
             | I thought it would be cool if you could pre-order one
             | through a local library. Here, at least, getting a library
             | card requires visiting in person, so scalpers would have
             | trouble getting multiple unless the librarian were in on
             | it.
             | 
             | I don't think that sort of relationship between
             | manufacturers and libraries exists, though, and I'm not
             | sure it should.
        
             | tinus_hn wrote:
             | If this were easy, it would have been solved already. It
             | has not been solved.
        
               | cwhiz wrote:
               | Unique fingerprinting is completely solved. Retailers
               | just have no motivation because the craze is driving huge
               | traffic to their sites.
        
               | fjkjf67457 wrote:
               | how? i have seen zero implementations of this.
        
       | shmerl wrote:
       | They should offer places when you can buy cards in a queue using
       | normal pricing instead of these fleecers trying to make a profit
       | on shortages.
        
       | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
       | Ethereum moving to full proof of stake (vs. proof of work which
       | is what mining is) should fix a lot of this. So hang tight if gpu
       | prices have you down. What is the timetable for that?
       | 
       | There will be a glut of graphics cards the likes of which has
       | never been seen, once Ethereum is no longer mined.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | "Never"?
        
           | TacticalCoder wrote:
           | The Ethereum PoS chain is already active today and giving
           | "staking" rewards. PoW is still active too but both chains
           | are mining ETH at the moment and the plan is to switch to PoS
           | only.
           | 
           | As the PoS did actually launch and is actually working, I'm
           | not sure it's going to be "never".
           | 
           | They may be late like so many software projects, but they
           | seem to be serious about the switch to proof of stake.
        
             | enko123 wrote:
             | For those that don't know, staking is a dedicated computer
             | + 32 ETH in escrow, then you get your ETH back + 1/2 ETH
             | payment at the end of the month but fewer if you were
             | offline including possibly losing some of your escrowed
             | ETH.
        
               | Cacti wrote:
               | What is the computer doing during that time?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Skunkleton wrote:
               | Validating or creating blocks, which to be clear is
               | _significantly_ less work than mining.
        
               | melolife wrote:
               | Voting on block proposals as part of a randomly assigned
               | committee.
        
               | nerdponx wrote:
               | So it's not possible to stake without 32 ETH to stake?
               | That's a sizeable investment.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | staking pools are a thing
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | So at what point do they throw the switch that invalidates
             | millions of dollars of investment in mining Etherum? Or is
             | it all transferrable? And who is the "they" that throws the
             | switch?
        
         | cwhiz wrote:
         | Proof of stake is a quarter away. It's been that way since
         | 2018, and it'll probably be that way at the heat death of the
         | universe.
        
           | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
           | It is already partially implemented now. Just waiting on the
           | full rollout.
           | 
           | https://ethereum.org/en/eth2/staking/
        
           | im3w1l wrote:
           | Sometimes it feels like these processes work like radioactive
           | decay. They don't make progress, they just suddenly happen.
        
           | rich_sasha wrote:
           | As an outsider, what's stopping further progress in this? I
           | would have thought, proof of stake is "it", why hasn't it
           | taken over?
        
             | cwhiz wrote:
             | An incentive for anyone to switch.
        
             | wmf wrote:
             | It's very new technology so it has taken years to refine
             | and test.
        
             | ajkdhcb2 wrote:
             | It is highly controversial and plagued with unsolvable
             | security drawbacks compared to Proof of Work.
        
               | xur17 wrote:
               | As someone that's been watching the process fairly
               | closely, that's not my read on the situation. I think
               | it's moreso just a new technology that takes time to
               | perfect, and Ethereum is a large ship, hence "changing
               | course" take a lot of effort.
        
         | cbozeman wrote:
         | Why is it people think Ethereum mining is what's driving this?
         | 
         | The mass mining farms don't give a shit about Ethereum. They
         | literally mine whatever coin is most profitable to then be
         | exchanged into Bitcoin. Everyone's going after BTC. There's a
         | Bitcoin ATM in a service station convenience store near my
         | house.
         | 
         | No one is going to give a shit when Ethereum moves to proof of
         | stake, because they'll just switch to some other coin that
         | still uses proof of work and thereby mines easily on their GPU
         | farm and can then be exchanged for BTC.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | tgsovlerkhgsel wrote:
           | If there is a significant gap between Ethereum and the second
           | most profitable coin, taking Ethereum out of the market will
           | make the whole mining business less profitable.
           | 
           | (This will in turn make some operations no longer
           | economically viable, dropping GPU demand)
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | It's possible that soon _whatever coin is most profitable to
           | mine_ won 't be profitable enough to justify buying more
           | GPUs. There's always a limit.
        
             | cbozeman wrote:
             | > whatever coin is most profitable to mine won't be
             | profitable enough to justify buying more GPUs
             | 
             | This is exactly where I'd like to see it all go.
        
           | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
           | Well Ethereum has massive hash rate and is still mined on
           | GPUs largely. No one mines btc on GPUs.
        
       | cwhiz wrote:
       | The only thing I don't understand is why Nvidia isn't raising
       | their prices. The supply and demand is clearly out of sync.
       | Prices should rise until there is an equilibrium between demand
       | and supply. Why is Nvidia content to feed the eBay market?
       | 
       | If we aren't going to be able to buy GPUs I would at least prefer
       | Nvidia make a profit instead of scalpers.
        
         | mathattack wrote:
         | Same reason baseball teams don't raise season ticket prices to
         | the levels sold by scalpers.
         | 
         | They want to preserve the long term revenue stream which is
         | more important than what they may perceive is a short term
         | demand spike.
        
         | hahahahe wrote:
         | They can't because they're locked in with their partners. And
         | if they raise it for consumers it will be considered price
         | discrimination.
        
         | Scoundreller wrote:
         | Dunno about Nvidia, but the usual approach here is to keep MSRP
         | the same on paper, but distribute more devices to your
         | distributors that jack up their price and get a rebate from
         | them or some other favour.
         | 
         | And you can bet every other vendor is paying MSRP with possibly
         | 0% markup, but shutting up about it unless they want 0
         | deliveries. Maybe even paying more than MSRP and expected to,
         | on paper, treat it as a loss-leader.
        
           | fjkjf67457 wrote:
           | That's called a backdoor and it happens a lot. You sell it to
           | a buddy that kicks back 150% then he sells for 200% on ebay
           | you both win.
        
         | KETpXDDzR wrote:
         | NVIDIA is fighting against it while pushing their own mining
         | products: https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/2021/02/18/geforce-cmp/
        
           | cbozeman wrote:
           | They're not fighting against it at all.
           | 
           | That's a load of horseshit and anyone familiar with both PC
           | gaming and cryptocurrency mining knows it.
           | 
           | Why would you divert chips that could be powering GeForce
           | GPUs into mining cards and then also disabling the ability to
           | mine on your gaming cards?
           | 
           | Unless, of course, you were scared shitless about an enormous
           | secondary market forming for 3000 series cards when you
           | release the GTX 4000 series... Why spend $699 for a GTX 4080
           | when you can buy a gently used GTX 3080 for $299-$399. Decent
           | miners know you need to undervolt and underclock for maximum
           | watt/hash performance - in other words, these chips weren't
           | stressed intensively for months / years - they are the
           | equivalent of a luxury car driven by a 70 year old Grandma to
           | and from the grocery store and the department store.
           | 
           | I can guarantee you if NVIDIA had the capacity with Samsung
           | to pump out a load of 3000 series cards, they'd do it, but
           | they can't, so they're doing the next best thing - creating
           | artificial scarcity.
           | 
           | Once these "mining cards" are no longer profitable, they
           | _have no secondary market_. They go off to the landfill, or
           | the e-waste processor.
           | 
           | This is about profit, pure and simple.
        
             | duskwuff wrote:
             | > Why would you divert chips that could be powering GeForce
             | GPUs into mining cards and then also disabling the ability
             | to mine on your gaming cards?
             | 
             | Because you're using parts with defects which are
             | irrelevant to mining (e.g. faulty video output, texturing,
             | etc).
        
             | Hamuko wrote:
             | > _Why would you divert chips that could be powering
             | GeForce GPUs into mining cards and then also disabling the
             | ability to mine on your gaming cards?_
             | 
             | The current cryptomining chips are actually based on Turing
             | (RTX 2000), not Ampere (RTX 3000).
             | 
             | https://www.tomshardware.com/news/nvidia-repurposes-
             | turing-s...
        
               | newsclues wrote:
               | Not all, the high end is ga102 ampere
        
           | suifbwish wrote:
           | Unless they make the other GPUs less capable of mining or the
           | mining hardware reall cheap no one cares
        
             | stu2b50 wrote:
             | They did make the other GPUs less capable of mining.
        
               | cwhiz wrote:
               | Software is easily defeated.
        
               | salawat wrote:
               | Not when cryptographic signature verification is built
               | into and enforced through the hardware. See Nouveau. The
               | can't reclock post Maxwell GPUs because their firmware
               | blobs would have to be signed by Nvidia. Think of it as
               | Nvidia holding back the steering wheel to a car.
        
         | devwastaken wrote:
         | The prices are raised. The rtx 3060, released a few days ago,
         | was not selling for MSRP. The only time there is an MSRP is for
         | nvidia FE cards, but the majority of cards are not. The 3060
         | was called a "non existent card" by GamersNexus because the
         | $320 price tag never happened.
         | 
         | What I don't understand is why gamers aren't petitioning their
         | government to stop the trade tarrifs responsible for the price
         | increases.
         | 
         | Gamers rise up /s
        
           | Hamuko wrote:
           | > _The rtx 3060, released a few days ago, was not selling for
           | MSRP._
           | 
           | Anecdote: I actually got a 3060 for MSRP (well, MSRP + 6
           | euros with no separate charge for shipping). But the store
           | was selling it as an "introductory offer while supplies last"
           | and it sure isn't at MSRP anymore.
        
             | devwastaken wrote:
             | Right, there were some but effectively the MSRP was more
             | around $500 usd, manufacturers like Zotac were selling for
             | that as I recall.
             | 
             | But if you're buying in a different country you don't have
             | the tariffs I would assume.
        
         | c2h5oh wrote:
         | PR. Gamers would crucify Nvidia if they did it. All the hate
         | towards scalpers would go to Nvidia doubled.
         | 
         | Right now there is a small chance to buy at MSRP. I managed to
         | do it by calling around small stores in the area that didn't
         | have a functioning online store - scalpers didn't bother with
         | those..
        
           | juskrey wrote:
           | This is funny observation. Before some recent hurricane,
           | thousands of cars were shuttling between empty network gas
           | stations, presumably guided by their apps, to no avail, while
           | I was able to top the tank by going several streets into
           | nearest small village and finding standalone "mom and pop"
           | station.
        
           | cwhiz wrote:
           | Gamers are already crucifying Nvidia. Nvidia is leaving
           | billions on the table. I feel like they could win gamers back
           | with that cash.
        
             | falcolas wrote:
             | Personally, I have absolutely zero faith that any
             | additional revenue would go towards improving their
             | products or availability. It would go to their
             | shareholders; NVidia (Intel) treats its customers like
             | consumers.
             | 
             | If their prices aren't responding to supply/demand now,
             | they weren't before either. The price of a NVidia GPU isn't
             | set by market forces; never has been.
        
               | ravi-delia wrote:
               | Given the spike in demand right now, traditional supply
               | and demand would suggest raising prices and using the
               | money to produce more chips, which in the end would net
               | more money and bring the price down. The reason that
               | won't happen has more to do with the feasibility (or lack
               | thereof) of scaling production of GPUs by throwing money
               | at it and the transient nature of the spike than Nvidia
               | being helmed by a shadowy cabal that responds to neither
               | their own incentives nor the market.
        
               | formerly_proven wrote:
               | > NVidia (Intel) treats its customers like consumers.
               | 
               | nVidia's customers are literally consumers.
        
               | malwrar wrote:
               | Those words aren't synonymous in denotation--who wants to
               | be called a consumer? I think the term customer implies
               | respect for those you do business with rather than
               | viewing people who buy your product as numbers on a
               | spreadsheet.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | I _am_ a consumer; it bothers me exactly zero as it's
               | literally and figuratively true.
               | 
               | "Treat like transactions" or "treat like cash flows" or
               | "treat like wallets" would give me the pejorative meaning
               | presumably intended.
        
               | NikolaeVarius wrote:
               | These are luxury items, where 95% of people will be using
               | to play AAA video games at nice but but pretty
               | extravagant 144hz 1440p/4K or as space heaters.
               | 
               | Its the very definition of a consumer
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | Hell, raise prices and then rebate back if their drivers
             | see you just running normal games and crap. Win/win.
        
               | salawat wrote:
               | Nope. You're still enshrining post facto control
               | mechanisms by which the manufacturer controls what you do
               | with the hardware after you recieve it.
               | 
               | Why is it so hard for businesses to just sell things? Why
               | must they encroach? I'm not even a miner, but I'm not
               | inviting anyone into my system to make a judgement call
               | on whether my use of something I paid for is consistent
               | with what they want. They sold it. They should not only
               | have to part with the drivers, but with any semblance of
               | software enforced binning too.
        
           | mountainb wrote:
           | Price definitely impacts reviews as well. If you want to
           | boost customer reviews on any product, cutting the price
           | resets customer expectations to the downside. Raising prices
           | for any reason also raises customer expectations.
        
           | suifbwish wrote:
           | What you mean is there is a small chance for a bot script to
           | buy them that checks the sites for the 24/7 . There is no
           | chance of a human clicking on the pages with a mouse of
           | buying them
        
             | c2h5oh wrote:
             | Smaller shops get some stock too. Smaller shops often don't
             | have an online store or the one they have is broken or
             | doesn't represent current their stock. Scalpers don't
             | bother with those stores.
             | 
             | I literally entered "computer store toronto" into Google
             | and started calling every small one in the results. I found
             | what I needed in fewer than 15 calls and picked it up an
             | hour later.
        
           | pbhjpbhj wrote:
           | How about increase MSRP but offer a redemption via the web,
           | one per user (ie only one per bank account OR email OR
           | phone). Individuals could buy and get $X00 off, once.
           | Scalpers would need a fresh email, bank account, phone number
           | every time they wanted to get a GPU or would be stuck selling
           | at $X00 above the true retail price?
           | 
           | I think there's a VAT penalty, but could it work??
        
             | fjkjf67457 wrote:
             | Not enough, its super easy to create fresh email, card
             | phone numbers. Only difficult thing to change is shipping
             | address but only if that's strictly enforced to only USPS
             | valid addresses which ive never seen anywhere
        
       | blowfish721 wrote:
       | Good of Nvidia to split their product line in the future with one
       | made for gamers and one for miners. That should help drive the
       | price back down for the gaming crowd.
        
         | throwaway-8c93 wrote:
         | Sorry, that's just not how it works.
         | 
         | What makes a card good at gaming (floating point operations per
         | second) makes it good at mining, and vice versa. If the
         | price/performance of the gaming variant is more favorable than
         | the mining variant, why would any miner _not_ buy the gaming
         | one? They 'll also have better resale value.
         | 
         | Real world equivalent: if Toyota made a special car for dog
         | owners that costs 10% less but is useless for anything else,
         | why would the dog owners bother with it?
         | 
         | Nvidia is trying to limit the hashing rate of the gaming
         | variant, but it won't take long before someone figures out a
         | way around it. There are billions at stake here. Also, the
         | limitations only affect Ethereum hash rate, altcoin mining is
         | untouched.
        
           | Scene_Cast2 wrote:
           | Actually, what matters isn't FLOPs, but rather the memory
           | bandwidth.
           | 
           | GPU mining is just 10% slower than the theoretical memory-
           | bound maximum (if compute was infinitely fast) -
           | https://www.vijaypradeep.com/blog/2017-04-28-ethereums-
           | memor...
           | 
           | A more interesting thing for mining would be to hook up a
           | (relatively) cheap ASIC, with cheaper voltage regulation, to
           | the same high-bandwidth GDDR6X memory.
        
         | kouteiheika wrote:
         | It's actually not. It's just yet another anti-consumer tactic
         | masked as being consumer-friendly.
         | 
         | First, it doesn't change the fact that the amount of available
         | silicon is limited. Instead of every card potentially becoming
         | a gaming card now only a subset of them will, with the rest
         | going exclusively to miners. How is that a good thing?
         | 
         | Second, it kills the second-hand market. Remember a few years
         | back when used mining cards flooded the market and you could
         | get a decent GPU dirt cheap? Yeah, NVidia didn't like that.
         | Well, this won't happen anymore with those mining-only cards,
         | since they're useless for anything other than mining. More
         | e-waste, yaaay.
        
           | 01100011 wrote:
           | https://www.pcinvasion.com/nvidia-mining-cards-turing-
           | lineup...
           | 
           | Mining cards look to be Turing and 12nm. This should resolve
           | concerns that it will affect 3000 series(Ampere)
           | availability. People will still hate on Nvidia tho because
           | why not...
        
           | derefr wrote:
           | The GPUs going into the mining cards, are GPUs that would
           | have become e-waste anyway--just at the chip validation step,
           | before they ever got used for anything, because they had
           | flaws that made them unsuitable for gaming on.
        
             | zionic wrote:
             | This is false, many are just lower binned ampere
        
           | tvb12 wrote:
           | There's a sliver of hope that the mining cards will be
           | reusable as general purpose gpus by having the card stream
           | its output to an integrated gpu.
           | 
           | I first heard about using the p106-p90 cards on Windows with
           | a modified driver via a LTT video [1]. I later read a blog
           | post where someone claimed that the card was plug-and-play on
           | Pop!_OS (a Linux distro) [2].
           | 
           | I think this is fairly well known at this point. I would be
           | very curious to see how many were actually reused, though. I
           | remember seeing a listing for a large number of p100 cards a
           | few months ago, but I don't see any listings now. Were they
           | scooped up and reused, or did the sellers give up and trash
           | them?
           | 
           | [1]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TY4s35uULg4
           | 
           | [2]https://ncrmnt.org/2019/08/04/linux-gaming-with-p106-100/
           | (search for "following up")
        
           | magic_quotes wrote:
           | > Remember a few years back when used mining cards flooded
           | the market and you could get a decent GPU dirt cheap?
           | 
           | No, not at all. Any references?
        
             | cbozeman wrote:
             | You don't remember when GTX 1080 Tis could be had on eBay
             | for as cheap as $400-$450??
             | 
             | Because I sure do... I should have bought two. Now you can
             | sell one - today, right now - for $700-800. I haven't seen
             | an auction with a final bid less than $650, and I've been
             | watching. Most "Buy It Now" options are $700-800, and
             | aren't having all that much trouble selling.
             | 
             | We're talking two generations old cards, released almost
             | four years ago, that are selling for what brand new GTX
             | 3080s are supposed to MSRP at.
        
               | magic_quotes wrote:
               | > You don't remember when GTX 1080 Tis could be had on
               | eBay for as cheap as $400-$450??
               | 
               | That's slightly above half of its retail price (when it
               | was new) and roughly in the same ballpark as RTX 2070
               | MSRP. Is this really "dirt cheap"? Do you expect video
               | cards to never depreciate then?
               | 
               | More to the point, I don't remember the market being
               | saturated with used video cards in way that could put a
               | dent in retail prices. They always seem to sell at
               | comparable performance/$ ratio to new cards. I'm
               | genuinely curious if I missed any trends.
        
               | cbozeman wrote:
               | > I'm genuinely curious if I missed any trends.
               | 
               | Yes, you genuinely missed the trend. When BTC prices
               | cratered awhile back, a lot of miners starting dumping
               | their cards because they couldn't even break even on
               | power consumption / mining costs.
               | 
               | eBay was flooded with cards.
        
       | segmondy wrote:
       | I want to experiment with deep learning by training on the GPU,
       | but the price even for used cards just makes me put it off. :-O.
       | If it doesn't come down soon tho, I might cave and buy one.
        
         | dgellow wrote:
         | Have you considered cloud services? For example you have GCloud
         | compute engine: https://cloud.google.com/compute/gpus-pricing
        
           | IdiocyInAction wrote:
           | vast.ai is also an option, which is cheaper (though also not
           | as nice as GCP)
        
           | indiv0 wrote:
           | The GCE free tier is nice but ran out for me after just about
           | a month of continuous use of one (cheap) GPU. Maybe some
           | people have deeper pockets than I do but I can't afford to
           | pay $300 CAD/month on a single cloud GPU for hobbyist
           | purposes.
        
         | cbozeman wrote:
         | Well how much VRAM do you feel you need for your projects?
         | Because there's a lot of 16 GB cards out there that are still
         | perfectly serviceable for that.
         | 
         | Vega Frontier Editions (16 GB HBM2) are going for around
         | $600-700 on eBay and Craigslist, also Facebook Marketplace in
         | some areas.
         | 
         | Radeon VIIs (16 GB HBM2) are going for around $650-1000 on the
         | same platforms.
         | 
         | You can easily put two of those into a machine and have a
         | pretty impressive deep learning rig.
        
           | segmondy wrote:
           | Thanks for the suggestion, will check those out!
        
             | cbozeman wrote:
             | My pleasure and happy hunting.
             | 
             | Here's the original article that reminded me of this. Its
             | four years old, but I still feel its a worthwhile read: htt
             | ps://medium.com/intuitionmachine/building-a-50-teraflops-..
             | .
        
       | T-hawk wrote:
       | It's kind of amazing, the macro view that's going on here.
       | 
       | Computational capacity has become so much of a commodity, that
       | gamers can't get it for their graphics, because they're being
       | crowded out in the market by someone else (cryptocurrency miners)
       | who can use it for something more profitable.
        
       | piinbinary wrote:
       | Here's a crazy idea: What if Nvidia raised the prices to the
       | current scalper prices, but every additional dollar was returned
       | as credit that you could spend on indie games or hardware?
       | 
       | (You would probably have to restrict the hardware to just
       | hardware that's not useful for mining, e.g. monitors)
        
         | azornathogron wrote:
         | That is an interesting idea, but I assume you'd see things like
         | scalpers using the credits and selling the "useless" extra
         | hardware or games to recover much of the cost. Maybe the extra
         | friction and losses for the scalpers would be enough to push
         | things in the right direction?
        
           | piinbinary wrote:
           | Yeah, good point.
           | 
           | Maybe it could be restricted to physical goods sent to the
           | same address as the card (which miners could still flip, but
           | it's better than nothing)
        
       | driscoll42 wrote:
       | Huh, well that's cool that they took my source code and modified
       | it! Glad to see it's being used!
        
       | Scoundreller wrote:
       | I remember during the last run in GPUs, my friend was going to
       | "throw away" an "old" computer. I pulled the ancient GPU and sold
       | it for $40.
       | 
       | Good times.
        
         | PurpleFoxy wrote:
         | Rather than throw out this stuff, I list it on a buy/sell site
         | for free and then when someone asks if they can pick it up I
         | stick it out on the curb so I don't have to put any effort in
         | to meeting them.
        
       | 0xbkt wrote:
       | Maybe unrelated but is it really possible to automatically grab a
       | graphics card with the use of scraping bots? I have been seeing a
       | number of 24/7 livestreams on Twitch.tv that are literally
       | tracking the latest stock status from major e-shopping platforms.
       | I'm not sure though if they're doing this to grab one before
       | anyone else or about its chances of working as intended. I'm
       | really curious about it.
        
         | A12-B wrote:
         | If there's money to be made, you can guarantee someone has a
         | bot to capitalise on it. Doesn't matter if it's stocks, domain
         | names, or ecommerce, there's a bot out there doing most of the
         | work.
        
         | gvhst wrote:
         | Yes. Take a look at https://twitter.com/SnailBotIO
        
           | tvb12 wrote:
           | Huh... Bots are making it difficult to purchase a gpu, so the
           | solution is for everyone to bot. But presumably a retailer
           | would block you if you constantly pinged their site, so the
           | solution is to pay someone else $99/month to bot for you.
           | 
           | All of this seems so strange.
        
       | Pxtl wrote:
       | Am I the only one who couldn't get their mobile browser to
       | actually view the graphs at a legible resolution? Tom's hardware
       | is not a small blog, they should have that figured out.
       | 
       | I turn my phone sideways and the video jumps to full screen
       | (which I didn't request) and I hide the video and the graphs are
       | half-cropped. I refresh in landscape and the graphs are still
       | small. I click the graphs and they pop into modal view, still
       | small.
       | 
       | I have to fuss with View Image to actually read them.
        
         | ajkdhcb2 wrote:
         | I couldnt even get past trying to set the cookie preferences,
         | spent several minutes then gave up on viewing the page on
         | mobile
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | How much of world semiconductor fab capacity is cryptocurrency
       | mining using?
        
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