[HN Gopher] Energy Mess in Texas
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Energy Mess in Texas
        
       Author : undefined1
       Score  : 27 points
       Date   : 2021-02-20 20:22 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (wimflyc.blogspot.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (wimflyc.blogspot.com)
        
       | pydry wrote:
       | >A capacity market in Texas would have made wind significantly
       | more expensive, and was thus politically untenable.
       | 
       | A rather surprising claim, given the apparent tenability of wind
       | in the rest of the world.
        
         | throwawayboise wrote:
         | I've heard basically two arguments for wind/solar: it's
         | cheaper, and it's greener.
         | 
         | In a place like Texas, you get support on the "it's cheaper"
         | argument. Wind and sunlight are free after all.
         | 
         | In many other places, you get support on the "it's greener"
         | argument. Doesn't matter if it's more expensive, less reliable,
         | etc. because it's saving the environment.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | addicted wrote:
           | Maybe in the aughts.
           | 
           | But since the 2010s wind has been built solely for the
           | economics.
        
           | gumby wrote:
           | That hasn't been widely true in a decade. LCoE of solar and
           | especially wind has been lower in several markets for quite a
           | while.
           | 
           | The "green" argument works at the retail end, but at the
           | production side the cost structure (including the need for
           | source diversity) drives it.
           | 
           | LCoE calculations are quite situationally specific of course;
           | thus in the US coal-fired electricity production is dying
           | (independent of any government action) while in China and, to
           | a lesser extent India, it's still on the rise.
        
       | ipsocannibal wrote:
       | Summary: Texas's energy market does not incentivise capacity
       | planning as common in other utility markets instead pricing only
       | energy delivered. When demand increased and capacity dropped the
       | grid failed. The post claims this market structure is designed to
       | make renewable a more attractive investiment which partly dropped
       | capacity due to lack of wind velocity but then sides steps the
       | question of winterization of the non wind generation sources as
       | the primary cause of the drop in capacity. In short, Texas
       | cheaped out on long term grid protection to make short term gains
       | in energy delivery prices. The bet pays off most of the time, but
       | when it doesn't the failures are catastrophic.
        
         | throwawayboise wrote:
         | When I have read about this Texas situation I found that I did
         | not really understand what a "capacity market" for energy was.
         | I assumed it was some sort of futures market, and it sort of
         | is. This maybe clarifies how an energy capacity market works.
         | 
         | https://energynews.us/2013/06/17/midwest/explainer-how-capac...
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | To a large degree, simple price signals can incentivize
         | capacity. A plant doesn't have to operate many hours in the
         | year to be profitable at $9000/MWhr.
        
           | asmithmd1 wrote:
           | Sure, sure, $9,000/MWhr is a sweet reward that was being
           | offered way back on Wednesday. Do you know what the clearing
           | price is right now? -$31.65 Yes, they are CHARGING power
           | plant operators who rushed to bring capacity online:
           | http://www.ercot.com/content/cdr/html/20210220_real_time_spp
           | 
           | Maybe markets are not the best solution for every situation.
        
             | autoditype wrote:
             | > Yes, they are CHARGING power plant operators who rushed
             | to bring capacity online.
             | 
             | A negative cost incentivizes the operators to turn it off,
             | no? I imagine those power plant operators can easily turn
             | it off in an hour? 9000/31=290.3, so there is plenty of
             | margin to break even.
        
             | throwawayboise wrote:
             | Those are both snapshots. Over the years/decades that
             | energy generation infrastructure operates, there's an
             | average.
        
               | snovv_crash wrote:
               | The problem is that it isn't good enough if the grid only
               | works "on average". It needs higher uptime than pure
               | market incentives would give.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-02-20 23:02 UTC)