[HN Gopher] The Alien-Haunted World
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       The Alien-Haunted World
        
       Author : CapitalistCartr
       Score  : 18 points
       Date   : 2021-02-15 13:59 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (m.nautil.us)
 (TXT) w3m dump (m.nautil.us)
        
       | maxharris wrote:
       | After listening to his interview with Lex Fridman, I'm with Dr.
       | Loeb on this one: Loeb's position is scientific. He's not saying
       | he's certain that Oumuamua was sent by aliens; it is a distinct
       | possibility, with just enough evidence that we should take the
       | possibility seriously, rather than ruling it out as the orthodox
       | inquisitionists posing as scientists do.
        
         | kkoncevicius wrote:
         | For me it went into the opposite direction after listening to
         | 'omuamua is not aliens' video [1]. I think Dr. Loeb, contrary
         | to what he says, is exploiting this a bit for some personal
         | gain and fame.
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wICOlaQOpM0
        
         | XorNot wrote:
         | As I keep saying everytime this topic comes up: resulting in
         | _what_ new experimentation, that is meaningfully distinct from
         | what would be done normally?
        
           | xherberta wrote:
           | One that Loeb has mentioned: the status quo 10-year plan
           | involves searching exoplanets for oxygen, which could arise
           | without life, and which organisms would not necessarily need
           | or produce. Instead, Loeb thinks we ought to look for
           | industrial pollutants. A positive result on that would be
           | extremely interesting.
        
           | mynegation wrote:
           | Possible venues for experimentation and research: 1. Do we
           | have or should we develop a technology to detect incoming
           | bodies like that earlier? 2. Do we have or should we develop
           | a propulsion technology and/or spacecraft that is able to
           | intercept these bodies at some point in their trajectories
           | and send back some useful information
        
             | XorNot wrote:
             | We are doing both those things (https://en.wikipedia.org/wi
             | ki/%CA%BBOumuamua#Hypothetical_sp...)
             | 
             | We were doing those things before we even detected
             | `Oumuamua. Whether or not `Oumuamua specifically is
             | extraterrestrial - which is _not_ worth considering based
             | on weak evidence - didn 't change anything.
             | 
             | This is the problem: the evidence doesn't make the case,
             | and "considering the possibility" doesn't lead anywhere
             | interesting in terms of actual experimentation.
        
             | ThalesX wrote:
             | What a thought!
             | 
             | Billions of billions of stars, with planets and
             | civilizations, pushing technology to new heights, but
             | ultimately realizing that the best way to leave your
             | handprint on the galactic cave wall is a Universe-wide
             | message in a bottle.
             | 
             | I'm afraid we have more chances of making ourselves known
             | by randomly throwing these bottles, than by answering back
             | to where it came from.
        
               | ffhhj wrote:
               | Or it could be a civilization-in-a-bottle artifact with
               | carefully programmed trajectory between several stars. If
               | the message sender blew itself to nuclear ashes, its
               | frozen siblings could have a new opportunity in a new
               | system.
        
             | jrowen wrote:
             | From the article:
             | 
             |  _This is precisely why an agency like ESA is developing
             | its Comet Interceptor Mission, to be ready to chase future
             | interstellar visitors._
             | 
             | This is basically the thesis of the article and the person
             | you're responding to: the "orthodox inquisionists" are
             | already doing this stuff, because they're not actually as
             | close-minded as Loeb is making them out to be.
        
           | lrossi wrote:
           | We could prepare better for similar occurrences. Such as
           | funding better the astronomers and the labs so that we have
           | instruments able to at least detect and take pictures of such
           | objects, if not probe them.
           | 
           | Not to mention the possibility of one hitting the earth, for
           | which we are completely unprepared. Even if it's just a rock
           | and not an UFO.
           | 
           | The main reason for having this debate is that we weren't
           | even capable of taking a good picture of it. The best thing
           | we have is a white dot with varying brightness over time. We
           | have no clue what it was and we probably will never know.
           | 
           | The state of the tech we have would be understandable if it
           | was 1990, but in 2021 it's starting to look pathetic.
        
         | imglorp wrote:
         | Another apt religion metaphor: a deist insists there must be a
         | god and an atheist insists there must not be. Neither position
         | has any information or falsifiable claim. An agnostic admits
         | ignorance until observations can be made.
        
           | BrandoElFollito wrote:
           | It is just that there are no observations that would suggest
           | any deity. Scientific ones that is, because we are talking
           | rationality.
           | 
           | So anything else than atheism is purely faith-based. Until
           | the moment it does not incommodate me ona personal level (by
           | teaching "equivalent theories" in schools, or forcing me to
           | wear thisor that) I am fine with that.
        
           | XorNot wrote:
           | Presumably the agnostic is then worshipping Christianity,
           | Islam and Judaism, as well as the entire Hindu pantheon,
           | various African gods, the Rainbow Serpent...
           | 
           | Claims for the defense of agnosticism always seem to be
           | bizarrely certain about _which_ god they can 't be sure
           | doesn't exist.
        
       | undoware wrote:
       | Having read both this and the NYT Opinions Manjoo article,
       | 
       | I found the argument in this article a bit weird. Seems to go
       | like:
       | 
       | - There was an Opinion column in a newspaper, focused on a book
       | review, that had a headline that was clickbait-y and slightly
       | misleading (TRUE)
       | 
       | - This opinion column (meanwhile recalling that opinion columns
       | are effectively arguments-for-and-from-perspective) was not
       | 'balanced' with opinions like mine; (TRUE)
       | 
       | - It's frustrating that there is a book about this that does not
       | mention my preferred explanation [n.b. I have bought but not yet
       | read this book, so I cannot myself comment, but for the sake of
       | argument, let's say, TRUE]
       | 
       | - There are some other scientists who have also done excellent
       | work in this field and they are not being mentioned and they may
       | or may not have different opinions, however I will hereby
       | insinuate that they share my view (possibly, TRUE? I don't know
       | e.g. Jill Tarter's view; haven't had a chance to google around.)
       | 
       | So, this article seems to say a bunch of plausible things, but
       | none of which are terribly well-motivated or compelling.
       | 
       | - Opinions columns are allowed to be cases for/against a view,
       | and are not expected to both-sides any given issue;
       | 
       | - The book itself _just is_ a principled, accessible,
       | scientifically-informed argument for the position opposed by
       | Scharf; it's not clear why Scharf needs to write an article
       | apparently decrying both the book and the review of it --- as if
       | the articulation of the position itself was somehow beyond the
       | pale
       | 
       | - Recalling that writers seldom get to pick their headlines, I
       | still worry that the title of this piece (riffing on Sagan's
       | _Demon Haunted World_) implicitly associates demons and aliens as
       | equivalently fanciful. Now, they may well be, but given that
       | *this is the question presently under consideration*, I cannot
       | help but feel a question begged, or at least, prejudiced.
        
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       (page generated 2021-02-15 23:02 UTC)