[HN Gopher] The cosmological constant is physics' most embarrass...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The cosmological constant is physics' most embarrassing problem
        
       Author : samizdis
       Score  : 71 points
       Date   : 2021-02-01 20:34 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.scientificamerican.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.scientificamerican.com)
        
       | ridaj wrote:
       | "The universe is under no obligation to make sense to you" --
       | Neil DeGrasse Tyson
       | 
       | IMO the most embarrassing problem in physics is people pushing
       | non-falsifiable, unscientific theories (multiverse). The fact
       | that some futzing constant needs or doesn't need to be added in
       | order to bring a model in line with empirical observation, in
       | comparison, is quite benign.
        
         | jw1224 wrote:
         | > IMO the most embarrassing problem in physics is people
         | pushing non-falsifiable, unscientific theories (multiverse)
         | 
         | The Big Bang itself is a non-falsifiable, unscientific theory.
         | We cannot prove it happened in the way we think it might have.
         | The Big Bang created a universe of cause and effect, yet has no
         | cause itself. All known laws of physics fail to work in the
         | early moments of our existence.
         | 
         | "Give me one free miracle, and science will explain the rest"
         | (-- maybe Terrence McKenna? I can't remember)
        
           | simonh wrote:
           | We can literally see the big bang happening, in the form of
           | the CMB. That's the actual light from the big bang.
           | 
           | Just because we don't understand it's cause yet doesn't mean
           | we won't, and doesn't mean it didn't have a cause.
        
             | Daho0n wrote:
             | This is a tad disingenuous IMO. We can't "literally see the
             | big bang happening". That's is like saying we can see the
             | explosion of a stick of dynamite that exploded inside a
             | mine because we see a dust-cloud and hear a boom a split
             | second later at the mine entrance. We are standing outside
             | the mine, talking about the effect of the dynamite. We see
             | the effect (electromagnetic radiation or "the dust-wave"),
             | not the cause or the event itself.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | I don't see how it's disingenuous, that's literally what
               | it is. It was even predicted well in advance of
               | measurement. If you see the flash and hear the boom, how
               | can you credibly say that was not witnessing the event?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Tenoke wrote:
               | The CMB is an observation well matching what you'd expect
               | with a Big Bang but it is not the Big Bang itself and one
               | can make other theories to try and explain it.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | It's photons emitted by the plasma of the big bang, that
               | have been propagating continuously through vaccuum since
               | they were emitted. It's just as much seeing the big bang
               | as the flash from an explosion is seeing it go off.
        
           | canjobear wrote:
           | The real "one free miracle" is that the universe started in
           | an anomalously low-entropy state, lower than could be
           | explained by random fluctuations.
        
         | JimBlackwood wrote:
         | What you said is very true, it doesn't apply to the
         | cosmological constant though.
         | 
         | It is not so much that we need it for a model to be in line
         | with empirical observation, it's that empirical observation
         | gives one value and our models predict another value.
         | 
         | The discrepancy is big and if we can't make our models work
         | empirical observations, that is really embarrassing.
         | 
         | Regarding non-falsifiable theories; there's not a physicist
         | that thinks theories should not be tested. A lot of work is
         | done to make these theories testable. Unfortunately, they are
         | often only testsble on open problems since the limit of these
         | theories just reduces to GR for instance.
        
         | Tenoke wrote:
         | If you had added the right constant or few you could've proven
         | geocentrism in the 1600s and said that "The fact that some
         | futzing constant needs or doesn't need to be added" doesn't
         | prove the model is wrong.
        
         | garaetjjte wrote:
         | I'm not a physicist and I don't really have an opinion there,
         | but that's funny. One side argues that pushing multiverse is
         | unscientific, while other side argues exactly the opposite,
         | that pushing Copenhagen is unscientific.
         | 
         | https://www.lesswrong.com/s/Kqs6GR7F5xziuSyGZ/p/xsZnufn3cQw7...
        
         | JesseMReeves wrote:
         | ,,During March and April 1959, at Wheeler's request, Everett
         | visited Copenhagen, on vacation with his wife and baby
         | daughter, in order to meet with Niels Bohr, the "father of the
         | Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics". The visit was
         | a complete disaster; Everett was unable to communicate the main
         | idea that the universe is describable, in theory, by an
         | objectively existing universal wave function (which does not
         | "collapse"); this was simply heresy to Bohr and the others at
         | Copenhagen. The conceptual gulf between their positions was too
         | wide to allow any meeting of minds; Leon Rosenfeld, one of
         | Bohr's devotees, talking about Everett's visit, described
         | Everett as being "undescribably [sic] stupid and could not
         | understand the simplest things in quantum mechanics". " Source
         | and original source here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Many-
         | worlds_interpretation
         | 
         | Everett spent 4 years doing graduate studies, taking his first
         | physics courses then and coming up with his many-worlds
         | dissertation within a single year (137 pages 'typed' (according
         | to current historical records) by his later wife Nancy Gordon).
         | He pretty much left physics afterwards, for doing weapons
         | research(!) for the Pentagon.
         | 
         | Many-worlds sounds like what an overconfident ,pragmatic'
         | college graduate would come up with even to those who don't do
         | physics.
         | 
         | Is it just my impression or is it mostly US-Americans who are
         | pushing many worlds into physics?
        
           | simonh wrote:
           | Not at all, Stephen Hawking was a proponent of the idea, as
           | is David Deutch, another British physicist. It has plenty of
           | proponents, or at least those unwilling to discount it, on
           | both sides of the Atlantic.
        
         | jMyles wrote:
         | > IMO the most embarrassing problem in physics is people
         | pushing non-falsifiable, unscientific theories (multiverse).
         | 
         | Is this a not-so-subtle dig at Beacham and other
         | experimentalists who make room for multiverse? Or do I jump to
         | the wrong conclusion?
         | 
         | Two questions for you:
         | 
         | 1) Does 'falsifiable' in this context per se mean that there
         | needs to be some particle physics experiment that can be
         | designed to test the theory? Is there no room for theoretical
         | physics? Is Rovelli, for example, per se barking up the wrong
         | tree by this measure?
         | 
         | 2) Aren't these theories reasonably falsifiable insofar as
         | they'll eventually result in experiments designed to map out
         | the possible domains of the space? eg, what if we build a much
         | higher energy collider and finally find real evidence of the
         | super-symmetry particles?
        
           | lmm wrote:
           | > 2) Aren't these theories reasonably falsifiable insofar as
           | they'll eventually result in experiments designed to map out
           | the possible domains of the space? eg, what if we build a
           | much higher energy collider and finally find real evidence of
           | the super-symmetry particles?
           | 
           | Would you treat _not_ finding super-symmetry particles as
           | falsifying those theories? AIUI those theories admit the
           | possibility of such particles but also the possibility of
           | such particles not existing, so they 're not actually
           | falsifiable that way.
        
             | l33tman wrote:
             | Most theories' predictions are not open ended. It's
             | possible to exhaustively search the prediction space to
             | falsify them (up to an experimental standard that you need
             | to agree on). I'm by far not an expert on super-symmetry
             | but from what I've seen the prediction space of the most
             | common SUSY models is getting continuously boxed in.
        
             | andi999 wrote:
             | I think super symmetry is almost falsified. People just
             | cling to it because there is (almost) nothing else. If any
             | new theory comes around without supersymmetry (but other
             | predictions) people will jump ship.
        
           | throwaway3699 wrote:
           | Science is defined by testability. A theory that can't be
           | tested is just pseudoscience, unlike a theory that just can't
           | be tested _right now_ due to technological limitations.
        
             | JimBlackwood wrote:
             | It would be pseudoscience if it were to be seen as or
             | communicated as fact. It's not.
             | 
             | Any newly observed fact can falsify these theories. It just
             | takes a long time. There's still tons of open issues on
             | General Relativity too. So far though, it seems to have
             | passed every test.
             | 
             | Would you call GR pseudoscience too then? Since it'll
             | likely never be fully verified.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | > would be pseudoscience if it were to be seen as or
               | communicated as fact. It's not.
               | 
               | Pseudoscience is something labelling itself as science
               | while not adhering to scientific standards. Claiming it's
               | a fact would be a dead giveaway though.
               | 
               | Relativity has been experimentally tested and made
               | accurate predictions, it is impossible for it to be
               | "fully verified."
        
         | piokoch wrote:
         | So very true. The ideas mentioned in the article does not sound
         | appealing to me:
         | 
         | "In this picture, the curvature of space would constantly
         | fluctuate on extremely small scales, well beyond anything we
         | could hope to measure"
         | 
         | "Her model is based on the idea that extra dimensions, beyond
         | the three of space and one of time that we witness, might be
         | hidden out of sight."
         | 
         | Instead of cosmological constant "novel" approaches relay on
         | something that could not be observed, even in principle. That
         | does not sound like a good approach.
         | 
         | My guess is that they try to make some assumptions, figure out
         | math around it, hope that it will somehow stick nicely, which
         | would give hope that there is something in it.
         | 
         | Indeed, it seems that math "likes" to describe our universe,
         | some mathematical theories (Riemannian geometry, group theory)
         | fit physics wonderfully. The problem is that for physics math
         | is just a language, it is unlikely that language alone will
         | give us answers without understanding physical phenomena
         | itself.
        
         | lmm wrote:
         | How surprised would you be if it turned out we really did live
         | in a multiverse? Would you expect things to look different if
         | we did? Do you think it's extremely implausible a priori?
         | 
         | I find multiverses far more plausible than futzing constants,
         | because the universe in general seems to be absurdly big but
         | simple and consistent physics-wise. Smaller but more
         | fiddly/complicated models seem much less plausible, just
         | judging by history.
        
           | boomboomsubban wrote:
           | How would one develop an experiment that would result in
           | evidence we live in a multiverse? Demonstrating observable
           | phenomena is a result of something outside this universe
           | seems like a logical impossibility currently.
           | 
           | Philosophically I find the idea of the multiverse probable,
           | but making it science is a separate thing.
           | 
           |  _edit_ poor word usage.
        
             | l33tman wrote:
             | Does it provide predictions that can be falsifiable? That's
             | what we search for. In this context (anthropomorphic
             | principle and multiverses to explain physical constants) I
             | do think there are some statistical predictions possible
             | that could be checked (after all this is why the multiverse
             | theory got popular in the first place, the seemingly weird
             | finetuning of constants).
             | 
             | Though, the outlook of getting an answer to "is there
             | _really_ a multiverse out there or is the multiverse just a
             | sequence of simulation runs on some future teenagers
             | quantum computer simulator trying to find the best set of
             | meta-parameters " is probably bleak...
        
             | RobertoG wrote:
             | >>"How would one develop an experiment that would result in
             | evidence we live in a multiverse? [..]"
             | 
             | I don't understand this criticism. It's my understanding,
             | the double slit experiment shows interference between
             | universes. What is the alternative? decoherence?, but how
             | do you develop an experiment that result in evidence that
             | decoherence is real?
             | 
             | From a experimental point of view, multiverse have the same
             | evidence that the alternative. From an epistemological
             | point of view, multiverse is a more simple theory. Ergo,
             | until we have more data, we have to prefer the multiverse
             | theory.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | >decoherence
               | 
               | Yes, the alternative is that classical mechanics is
               | incomplete and quantum mechanics is necessary. And there
               | has been plenty of experiments supporting this
               | conclusion.
        
             | akvadrako wrote:
             | Science doesn't prove anything so it's not really relevant
             | to the question of the demarcation line.
             | 
             | A theory involving a multiverse can make observable
             | predictions even if the other regions are not accessible.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | >Science doesn't prove anything
               | 
               | I should have said evidence rather than proof, my
               | mistake.
               | 
               | >theory involving a multiverse can make observable
               | predictions even if the other regions are not accessible
               | 
               | All those predictions would serve as evidence for the
               | same theory without involving a multiverse.
        
               | akvadrako wrote:
               | The multiverse is not some addon that can be removed
               | easily; it's just another prediction of the theory.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | Without an experiment that can show a multiverse, it is
               | just a way to explain the unexplainable. It can be
               | completely discarded and replaced with "for some reason"
               | and any experimental evidence would support the same
               | conclusion.
        
               | akvadrako wrote:
               | It's not unexplainable if there is an explanation,
               | obviously.
               | 
               | "For some reason" is not a theory and it makes no
               | testable predictions.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | > if there is an explanation, obviously
               | 
               | One with the same evidence as "god did it."
               | 
               | > is not a theory and it makes no testable predictions.
               | 
               | This is true of the multiverse too. It is an attempt to
               | explain why things are like they are rather than a
               | testable theory.
        
               | akvadrako wrote:
               | _> This is true of the multiverse too._
               | 
               | Okay, this is just going in circles. Up above you
               | accepted that multiverse theories did make testable
               | predictions. And they do, which is what makes them
               | science.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | No, I did not. A theory may have includes the idea that
               | the multiverse caused whatever it predicted, but that is
               | not based on anything except the authors fantasy. It is
               | exactly the same as arbitrarily saying god caused
               | something in a theory, an unobserved event we can say has
               | whatever impact on this universe we want without any
               | proof.
               | 
               |  _edit_ let 's use a concrete example. This thread is
               | about the cosmological constant. I could easily say that
               | concept is causes by multiverse influence on this
               | universe, just as rightly I could say it's god's finger
               | on the scales. Neither now have experimental data because
               | I can say that.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | lmm wrote:
               | > All those predictions would serve as evidence for the
               | same theory without involving a multiverse.
               | 
               | The prediction that objects continue to exist when we're
               | not looking at them is not testable in the same sense
               | (you could even say it's unfalsifiable and therefore not
               | scientific); nevertheless most of us tend to believe in
               | it.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | Believing something and it being science are unrelated,
               | my first post mentions I find a multiverse idea likely
               | philosophically.
        
         | simonh wrote:
         | Sexy exciting SF theories like the Everett Multiverse get a lot
         | of press, but they are sideshows when it comes to bread and
         | butter physics. No actual enquiries into physics or our
         | understanding of the universe are being obstructed by it, so I
         | don't really see how it's a problem.
        
         | atoav wrote:
         | I see these multiverse theories more as a philosophical idea
         | than anything empirical. To explore the different variations of
         | our own world can also be intersting to understand what's going
         | on (e.g. what if $variable in the beginning of the universe
         | would have been slightly altered).
         | 
         | But yeah more in the world of thoughts than anything else.
        
         | DavidSJ wrote:
         | If you're referring to the Everett multiverse (although the OP
         | was not, so maybe you're not), then its status is not so
         | different from that of the unobservable portion of our own
         | universe.
         | 
         | That is, if we take the simplest known cosmological model
         | consistent with our evidence, its equations predict space and
         | matter outside our observable universe. That cosmological model
         | is falsifiable in that it makes other predictions besides this
         | one, many of which can be (and have been) tested, but this
         | specific prediction cannot be directly tested.
         | 
         | Similarly, the equations of quantum mechanics predict multiple
         | "worlds" (although I find this term unfortunate: the state of
         | the "multiverse" is always just a single point in Hilbert
         | space, and it only seems like there are multiple "worlds" when
         | we imperfectly try to map that physical state onto the
         | intuitive level of everyday experience). That specific
         | prediction cannot be directly tested, but other predictions of
         | the equations can be, and have been. There is essentially no
         | dispute about the math. The dispute is whether to deny the
         | reality of something which is right there in that math, akin to
         | denying the reality of a universe beyond that which is
         | observable.
        
           | boublepop wrote:
           | > Similarly, the equations of quantum mechanics predict
           | multiple "worlds"
           | 
           | No they don't. If I roll a dice it'll land on one of 6 faces.
           | That's a model, in that model I might assume equal
           | probability due to the geometrical symmetry, that's an
           | assumption. So now I have a problem if all outcomes are
           | equally likely how do I resolve that only one occurs? Well
           | obviously every dice roll must spawn 6 parallel universes...
           | Now nowhere in that model or that assumption does "so there
           | must be 6 parallel worlds spawned when you roll the dice" get
           | predicted by my model. The multiverse/many world is an
           | interpretation, not an outcome of, or even prediction from
           | the model.
           | 
           | There is nothing "right there in the math". QM makes
           | predictions about probabilistic outcomes, accurate
           | predictions, but there is no requirement for those accurate
           | predictions to be right that there must be multiple parallel
           | worlds.
        
             | simiones wrote:
             | > There is nothing "right there in the math". QM makes
             | predictions about probabilistic outcomes, accurate
             | predictions, but there is no requirement for those accurate
             | predictions to be right that there must be multiple
             | parallel worlds.
             | 
             | While I mostly agree with you, the discussion is much more
             | complex than this.
             | 
             | First of all, most of QM is completely deterministic, just
             | like classical and relativistic mechanics. The Schrodinger
             | equation is a linear partial differential equation, it
             | gives you an exact prediction of the state of any system of
             | particles.
             | 
             | However, that prediction turns out to be so wrong on the
             | face of it, it's almost meaningless: the Schrodinger
             | equation predicts that "particles" (wave-packets) have some
             | complex amplitudes of many different mutually-exclusive
             | states, such as being here with amplitude 1+i and being
             | there with amplitude 1-i.
             | 
             | BUT, it turns out that if we interpret these amplitudes of
             | the wave function (well, the squares of their absolute
             | values) as being probabilities of the particle being in
             | those states when measured, then you get extremely accurate
             | predictions.
             | 
             | The final problem then is that the amplitudes ->
             | probabilities step is only correct when predicting the
             | result of a measurement. At the particle level (before the
             | measurement) the particles actually exist in all those
             | states at the same time, and interact with each other in
             | all those states (e.g. particle A may interact with
             | particles B and C at the same time in two different places,
             | modifying both their trajectories).
             | 
             | So, the laws of motion for QM that you need to use are:
             | 
             | 1. Particles move and interact according to the Schrodinger
             | equation (e.g. causing interference patterns, interacting
             | in multiple places at the same time), fully
             | deterministically and linearly
             | 
             | 2. When you want to predict the outcome of a measurement on
             | a system that has evolved according to 1, you will get a
             | single value with some probability computed as the square
             | of the absolute values of the amplitudes of the possible
             | states. After the measurement, the amplitude of any other
             | state than the one measured will be 0, and this can be
             | plugged in to make further predictions about how it will
             | interact with other particles.
             | 
             | It is this 2nd postulate that feels very artificial, the
             | main subject of the measurement problem. MWI seeks to
             | explain QM without the 2nd postulate - that is why people
             | say that it "derives from the math" (the 2nd postulate can
             | obviously not be derived from the first, as it is a
             | nonlinear change to the system).
        
           | simiones wrote:
           | The multiverse usually refers to multiple universes each with
           | their own big bang, existing in regular space, but outside
           | our light cone. It is a completely unscientific theory, in
           | the sense that there is no chance of ever proving or denying
           | it, by its very construction.
           | 
           | The many worlds interpretation is completely unrelated, and
           | it doesn't suffer from this problem of being unfalsifiable
           | even in principle. However, I would also not say that the MWI
           | is a straightforward deduction from the laws of QM. It
           | rejects the most visible effect of those laws (the Born rule,
           | i.e. that they predict probabilities of classical events and
           | not certainties) and replaces it with an infinity of
           | "worlds". Even worse, it still doesn't explain WHY we can
           | only "see" one such "world", while elementary particles can
           | "see" all of them (i.e. it doesn't solve the measurement
           | problem any more than Copenhagen interpretation). And there
           | is also debate on how plausible it is to even define the
           | "probability of a world", so whether MWI is actually
           | consistent with the Born rule is somewhat in doubt.
        
             | onethought wrote:
             | I thought the multiverse as you describe it has been
             | falsified, logically: if you could observe it then it's
             | part of our universe, therefore not a multiverse. If it
             | cannot be observed, then it's not a thing.
             | 
             | Perhaps that is just playing with the meaning of words or
             | semantics to some, but it's compelling enough for me.
             | 
             | The other description of quantum equations predicting many
             | "worlds" I think is a different and more acceptable
             | proposition. Like we've observed the shadow of an object,
             | but can't figure out how to observe the object directly.
        
             | canjobear wrote:
             | > it still doesn't explain WHY we can only "see" one such
             | "world", while elementary particles can "see" all of them
             | 
             | For that you need quantum decoherence. Big creatures like
             | us only ever see one or the other outcome of a two-outcome
             | experiment because we get entangled with the outcome.
        
             | DavidSJ wrote:
             | _it still doesn 't explain WHY we can only "see" one such
             | "world"_
             | 
             | It's just that there's one of us in each world. The one in
             | this world sees this one. The one in that world sees that
             | one.
        
               | simiones wrote:
               | Why doesn't that apply to photons and electrons, then? At
               | what scale do things stop interacting with the other
               | worlds and stay in their own world only?
               | 
               | This is exactly the measurement problem, essentially
               | identical between Copenhagen and MWI.
        
               | im3w1l wrote:
               | Different worlds interact by interference. To interfere
               | they must be in some sense "adjacent" so that they can
               | both evolve into the exact same world - but with opposite
               | phase. If you have a huge object like a human it's very
               | hard to get every single atom to line up with those of
               | the other world.
        
               | DavidSJ wrote:
               | It does apply to photons and electrons.
               | 
               | As I understand it, it becomes ever more difficult to
               | maintain a coherent quantum state among larger and larger
               | collections of particles (this is why making large
               | quantum computers is difficult), so for most practical
               | purposes large aggregates of particles behave like a
               | single "world". But there is no sharp dividing line, and
               | the same math applies at all scales.
               | 
               | Unfortunately, this is where the imperfect mapping to
               | which I referred above -- between the math and our
               | intuition -- becomes misleading, and why I don't like the
               | term "world" to begin with.
        
               | simiones wrote:
               | MWI actually postulates that coherence of the system is
               | always preserved, even up to the level of the entire
               | universe. It's only locally that decoherence seeps in, at
               | some scales.
               | 
               | But still, the problem I was questioning was different:
               | you are saying "there is one of us in each world". In
               | fact, that is not what QM predicts: in QM, there is only
               | one of us in the entire system described by the wave
               | function, with different amplitudes in different states.
               | A system with 1 electron with some amplitude < 1 in state
               | A and some amplitude < 1 in state B is not the same as a
               | system with 2 electrons, one with amplitude 1 in state A
               | and another with amplitude 1 in state B.
               | 
               | So, if we took a detector that could measure state A or
               | state B, we should expect that it detects state A with
               | some amplitude and, simultaneously, state B with some
               | other amplitude. Instead, MWI postulates that there are 2
               | detectors, one which measures state A with amplitude 1,
               | and the other state B with amplitude 1 (in fact, it
               | postulates an infinity of detectors, out of which some
               | number measure state A and some measure state B, such
               | that the Born rule predictions by "counting" detectors).
               | 
               | This is the part that remains unexplained.
        
               | DavidSJ wrote:
               | "One of us in each world" is shorthand for "one of us in
               | the entire system described by the wave function, with
               | different amplitudes in different states".
               | 
               | There is only 1 detector, and it, along with the detected
               | particle, is in a superposition of states.
               | 
               | Again, this is where the language of "worlds" becomes
               | misleading, and why I don't like it.
        
               | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
               | Define "sees."
               | 
               | That's just one of the many problems that MWI fails to
               | solve.
        
               | DavidSJ wrote:
               | In MWI, the problem doesn't exist to begin with.
               | 
               | In e.g. the Copenhagen interpretation, observation plays
               | a special role, because it's the moment of wave function
               | collapse.
               | 
               | In MWI, there is no wave function collapse, so there's no
               | need to identify certain special events called
               | "observations" which are somehow different from the rest
               | of physics. It's just our eyes, and brains, and
               | instruments, interacting and becoming entangled with the
               | other things in the world.
               | 
               | When we "observe" Schrodinger's cat, we entangle
               | ourselves with the cat just as the cat was already
               | entangled with the cesium atom. Now the world is in a
               | superposition of two states: in one, the cat is alive and
               | we see it as alive; in the other, the cat is dead and we
               | see it as dead. This is exactly what the equations say
               | should happen. Nothing special.
        
               | simiones wrote:
               | And yet, photons can keep interacting with both versions,
               | while we are forever unable to see the other version of
               | the cat. The problem doesn't go away.
               | 
               | Even more interestingly, say you want to predict the
               | outcome of a quantum experiment. In the MWI, that outcome
               | is deterministic, and it is a superposition in Hilbert
               | space. However, in your own space, you still need to
               | compute a probability for that outcome.
               | 
               | What is this _a probability of_ in the MWI? The concept
               | of probability across worlds is not really rigorously
               | defined, especially since you need to arrive at very
               | specific results to be consistent with observations.
        
               | DavidSJ wrote:
               | I address your first point here:
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25999766 (in brief,
               | photons are treated no differently than people).
               | 
               | I agree that the meaning of probability in the MWI
               | context is an interesting open question. Mathematically,
               | it's the squared amplitude of part of the wave function.
               | But why this corresponds to our personal experience of
               | frequency is something I'm unclear on.
        
               | ummonk wrote:
               | The local wavefunction part corresponding to each world
               | has a configuration in it that involves a human being
               | with eyes and optical nerves and a brain registering
               | neural impulses in response to light stimuli to perceive
               | its world.
        
             | RobertoG wrote:
             | Reading Sean Carroll (1) and David Deutsch convinced me
             | that Everett is the straightforward interpretation of what
             | the data is saying.
             | 
             | Copenhagen is adding unnecessary concepts to the
             | interpretation and making it more complex, so, if we are
             | using the scientific method, the burden of proof should be
             | with the backers of Copenhagen.
             | 
             | (1) - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F6FR08VylO4
        
               | AnHonestComment wrote:
               | To concur:
               | 
               | Copenhagen made a choice to try and preserve locality
               | when faced with two different solutions to quantum.
               | 
               | Unfortunately, it looks like reality is non-Euclidean
               | instead.
               | 
               | At this point, we actually know Copenhagen represents an
               | extraneous assumption -- but it's deeply baked into the
               | work of the past century.
        
               | simiones wrote:
               | I dislike both interpretations, because they both throw
               | in the towel and consider that the measurement problem is
               | not resolvable. Even in MWI, you still to compute
               | probabilities (of what is actually much harder to say) if
               | you want to actually use it for predictions.
               | 
               | Instead, the more interesting thing is to stop ignoring
               | the measurement problem and find a theory that actually
               | solves it somehow; until such a thing exists, waxing
               | philosophically about many worlds or un-reality is not
               | really interesting.
        
               | slowmovintarget wrote:
               | Everettianism does not ignore the measurement problem. It
               | fully acknowledges it as decoherence. The problem you
               | have instead is the location identification problem, and
               | for that you need to calculate probabilities.
               | 
               | Objective Collapse theories, and Bohmian Mechanics
               | (hidden variables / pilot waves) are the only other games
               | in town for being actual working theories. (Copenhagen is
               | not a theory, it is an assertion that one should stop
               | trying.)
               | 
               | Of these, Everettianism is actually the simplest.
               | 
               | That said, the multiverse, often referred to as the Bulk
               | is a horse of different color. It has nothing to do with
               | branches of the wave function in Everettian mechanics.
               | Instead it seems to be a way to explain the fine-tuning
               | problem. If there is no Bulk, and our comoving patch of
               | the universe is representative of the whole shebang, then
               | the conditions at the time of the Big Bang were
               | unimaginably improbable, extraordinarily special, just
               | exactly right to produce the stars in the sky, and us. A
               | single solar mass black hole has more entropy than the
               | entirety of the universe did at the time of the Big Bang.
               | 
               | One way to explain that "problem" is to think that the
               | universe in which our comoving patch exists is a small
               | pocket arising from quantum fluctuations in a much more
               | vast "bulk" of true vacuum that exists at high entropy.
               | 
               | It does seem like a lot of mental gymnastics, and mostly
               | it seems to be directed at elimination of every whiff of
               | the idea that a creator was required for the improbable
               | conditions in the early universe that give us the arrow
               | of time. I'm not sure it's at all useful, nor would it
               | have any predictive power were the idea to be true. Our
               | comoving patch still expands to an infinite nothingness
               | where even the black holes have evaporated away.
        
       | posix_me_less wrote:
       | _"I think most people in the cosmology and astrophysics community
       | believe it 's a problem because they've been told that for a long
       | time."_
       | 
       | This. Quantum theory does not necessarily predict big
       | cosmological constant. All big terms can be cancelled /
       | regularized by some modification of the theory that keeps the
       | results intact. The only problem here is that there is no
       | agreement in how to properly quantize fields and some people
       | think zero point fluctuations are real and necessary to explain
       | some phenomena. However others point out there isn't single rock-
       | solid example of such a need. Not even Casimir effect needs
       | vacuum fluctuations to be explained. But these facts didn't
       | penetrate into mainstream cosmology yet.
        
       | dr-detroit wrote:
       | red shift/blue misunderstandings and a broken model of an
       | expanding universe are what our time period will be mocked for
        
       | jhoechtl wrote:
       | I recently raised a question in the Physics Stackexchange about
       | cosmological constants, especially the fine structure constant
       | (which is already said to be not-so constant) and the relation to
       | gravitaional force:
       | 
       | https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/603669/are-gravi...
        
       | politelemon wrote:
       | I've read many accounts (in popular-science articles and books,
       | so never at source) of Einstein's "blunder" the cosmological
       | constant. Was it really a case of him second-guessing himself as
       | it's often portrayed, or was there more history and thinking
       | behind him dropping it?
        
         | mhh__ wrote:
         | Although the "history" in physics pedagogy is often made up,
         | IIRC it is just a case of him trying to enforce a static
         | universe.
        
           | pa7x1 wrote:
           | He added it to enforce a static universe, which was the
           | predominant viewpoint at the time (more rooted on theology
           | than experimental evidence). Then he dropped it and called it
           | "his most embarrassing mistake" when Hubble showed the
           | expansion of the universe.
           | 
           | Finally, our current models put it back in to explain the
           | accelerated expansion of the universe.
           | 
           | Einstein definitely made a mistake but his mistake was not
           | adding the cosmological constant, it was adding it for the
           | wrong reasons. He should have added it as a free parameter to
           | be fitted against empirical data.
        
             | mhh__ wrote:
             | Think of the accolades if he'd correctly predicted
             | expansion
        
               | kreeben wrote:
               | To this day we would still be talking about him.
        
         | simonh wrote:
         | He dropped it when Edwin Hubble showed that the galaxies are
         | moving away from us and that the universe is expanding. At that
         | point the notion of a constant value that imposes a static
         | universe became untenable.
         | 
         | Note that it wasn't so much that the constant as such became
         | untenable, but if the purpose of introducing it is to create a
         | static situation and the situation is showed not to be static,
         | then the reason for selecting the given value goes away. If you
         | no longer have a reason to set any given value, you have to
         | consider whether you need it at all.
        
       | ike77 wrote:
       | If the vacuum is producing a force, why would it push outward
       | from us and not in every directions, including toward us,
       | canceling itself out in the process?
        
         | cambalache wrote:
         | Same way as the pressure only pushes "inward". The sign is
         | reversed.
        
           | ike77 wrote:
           | I don't get it?
           | 
           | If there is vacuum everywhere:
           | 
           | vacuum --- us --- vacuum --- galaxy --- vacuum
           | 
           | Why would galaxy go away from us? I expect that the vacuum on
           | the left of the galaxy applies the same force on it as the
           | vacuum on its right and thus should have a null net effect on
           | its movement?
        
       | sanxiyn wrote:
       | I am not sure why the anthropic principle is not accepted as a
       | solution to this problem. The principle is obviously true, and
       | the problem is solved by the application of the principle.
        
         | akvadrako wrote:
         | Because it's too powerful and can be used to explain almost
         | anything. A good theory should make specific and rigid
         | predictions with few free parameters.
        
         | physicsguy wrote:
         | Because in science we tend to use "Occam's razor" approach - we
         | don't make assumptions that are more than necessary to explain
         | the behaviour of something. Most adherents of the anthropic
         | principle assumes "Oh hey, we probably live in a multiverse" to
         | justify it, but we have no strong evidence that that is true.
         | So making that assumption is difficult to justify. It may be
         | true! But we don't know it is, and until it can be proved, the
         | theory rests on shaky ground. It might be that another, simpler
         | theory can explain the same behaviour. Should we assume that a
         | simpler theory is true? No, not necessarily. But it lies on the
         | adherents of a more complex theory to come up with reasons why
         | that theory is right, by making predictions that can be tested.
        
         | whatisthiseven wrote:
         | As an analogy, I think everyone here would be quite upset if
         | someone made the claim, "why shouldn't we trust Musk, Gates,
         | Jobs, etc at their word when they say what caused them success?
         | Obviously it is true because they are successful"!
         | 
         | If you reject the premise I proposed, but not the anthropic
         | principle, then you have just moved the goal posts on when to
         | accept blind tautologies without further examination.
        
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