[HN Gopher] Access to vocational education can boost income over...
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       Access to vocational education can boost income over the long term
        
       Author : nabla9
       Score  : 66 points
       Date   : 2021-01-31 15:47 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (voxeu.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (voxeu.org)
        
       | hintymad wrote:
       | For engineers, I'd say building a system for serious life-long
       | learning will boost income over the long term. Vocational
       | education or not is not essential.
        
         | jcims wrote:
         | I would say that's for everybody. The cycle time of modern
         | technological epochs is, in many cases, much shorter than the
         | vocational lifespan of an individual, and the gap appears to be
         | widening.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | Leparamour wrote:
         | >building a system for serious life-long learning
         | 
         | May I ask, what your personal learning system looks like?
        
           | hintymad wrote:
           | Mine is really simple: 1. favor fundamentals over specific
           | technologies; 2. Study model systems; 3. Make work fun by
           | always diving deep and pushing further; 4. Study regularly
           | 
           | For instance, study relational algebra instead of Hibernate
           | In Action; study Jim Gray instead of Mastering MongoDB, study
           | probability and papers instead of Keras in 21 Days. You get
           | the idea
        
             | diN0bot wrote:
             | why not study both? or rather, encourage people to balance
             | their diet according to their specific situation. learning
             | two types of tools sharpens them both. in the case of
             | design/implementation, it provides both short-term and
             | long-term utility and enjoyment.
             | 
             | for some people, that means learning an actual database and
             | building something rather than consuming more information.
             | for other people, that means learning more computer science
             | concepts and meta knowledge/skills.
             | 
             | cynically, i agree that fundamentals seem to be
             | increasingly on shorter and shorter supply... but i suspect
             | it's a wide world, and that what we're actually seeing is a
             | WIIIIIIIDE spectrum of jobs (and interests!) all called
             | "Software Engineer".
             | 
             | besides, people can think for themselves -- that's the
             | point of learning fundamentals (meta-concepts and thinking
             | skills).
             | 
             | the exact diet someone needs depends on where they are at
             | currently, both technically and financially, and where they
             | want to be.
             | 
             | PS - the main article is about apprenticeships, which serve
             | a way more important function than learning: getting a foot
             | into the job market. for many engineers without work
             | experience, they're not even getting a chance to interview
             | without first getting a network and proven track record.
        
               | hintymad wrote:
               | > why not study both
               | 
               | Because no need. Technologies come and go all the time.
               | They can be learned on the job anyway. With the right
               | mental models that we developed by studying fundamentals,
               | we get to pick up specific technologies quickly too.
               | Studying in our spare time is an investment, so we need
               | to treat our time as the most precious resource.
        
               | scottLobster wrote:
               | I'd say applying said fundamentals is absolutely
               | essential to fully learning them for engineers, and that
               | requires specific technologies, particularly if you're
               | doing anything with hardware. Sooner or later you have to
               | pick a micro-controller and read the data sheets, learn
               | all the vendor tools that come with it, experiment with
               | open source options, etc.
               | 
               | It also depends on your objectives. Are you studying for
               | fun/general improvement or are you angling for a
               | particular job/vocation? If the latter you better be
               | using the tools the job is likely to require.
               | 
               | Not disagreeing that fundamentals are important, they're
               | vital. But I wouldn't say there's "no need" to study
               | specific technologies. You'll never be competitive if all
               | you do is train fundamentals with no applications or
               | objectives. And not all employers are willing to let a
               | new hire "learn on the job". Also technologies do not
               | "come and go all the time" outside of webDev. My
               | knowledge of c++ and Java from 17 years ago serves me
               | well to this day.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | edmundsauto wrote:
               | > why not study both
               | 
               | Because time and energy are finite.
        
       | throwawaysea wrote:
       | I like a data driven approach to education and view vocational
       | education choices as an important part of the larger conversation
       | for school choice and education reform that needs to happen in
       | K-12 in the US. But I feel like this particular article/research
       | may need to be performed in a more multivariate manner to be
       | truly useful, although it does highlight the directions these
       | explorations might take.
       | 
       | For example, consider this:
       | 
       | > Studies in the Netherlands and Sweden which look at vocational-
       | education reforms that increased the general content in the
       | vocational track find no benefits of additional general content
       | on labour-market outcomes (Oosterbeek and Webbink 2007, Hall
       | 2016).
       | 
       | OK, so if general content doesn't add value to labour-market
       | outcomes what can we say about the general content requirements
       | that permeate about universities? They too are likely not useful.
       | 
       | But to discuss university education more precisely we would need
       | to break it down from monolithic characterizations like "here are
       | the university outcomes" to a per-degree basis. For example, is
       | it that general education is valuable or simply that university
       | degrees like computer science are valuable despite the deadweight
       | of general education requirements?
       | 
       | Another point that needs dedicated exploration:
       | 
       | > In Norway, Bertrand et al. (2019) find that a similar reform
       | also increased selection into the vocational track and thereby
       | led to improved earnings for those induced into vocational
       | education.
       | 
       | This makes sense - you try to make the vocational education more
       | comprehensive or challenging, and you end up getting a more
       | selective stream of students who would be more successful no
       | matter how they were educated or certified. So isn't that also
       | true of universities? They're simply the beneficiaries of a
       | competitive system that gives them access to the highest
       | performers, which then makes it look like a university education
       | has value when it is really just the result of a selection
       | advantage.
        
       | jseliger wrote:
       | Matches my experiences in terms of teaching college undergrads:
       | https://seliger.com/2017/06/16/rare-good-political-news-boos...,
       | many of whom don't want to be in school and aren't interested in
       | abstract symbol manipulation.
        
         | hintymad wrote:
         | I guess manipulating abstract terms is not natural to many
         | people. It's probably a coincidence that only Europeans
         | developed our modern formal systems, while all the other
         | civilization happily chugged along without such formal systems.
         | 
         | Unfortunately, it is usually those who can think in abstraction
         | can go along way in STEM fields.
        
           | bijant wrote:
           | The Idea that modern formal systems are a European Invention
           | is a common misconception, but nevertheless wrong. Depending
           | on your definition of "modern formal systems" they were
           | either first invented by the Babylonians, in India or in
           | China but most certainly not in Europe, which at the time was
           | at a much earlier state of development.
        
             | hintymad wrote:
             | I meant the systematic thinking of axioms, theorems, and
             | logical systems like syllogism. I don't know about other
             | countries, but I'm pretty sure India or China didn't
             | develop rigorous systems line Greeks and Arabics. They
             | developed a lot of techniques, for sure, like how to solve
             | equation systems, but certainly not generalizations like
             | axioms-theorems-proofs
        
               | TeaDrunk wrote:
               | Politely, what are you talking about? Indian logic is
               | considered one of the three original traditions of logic
               | and has sources in 650 BCE.
        
           | gizmo686 wrote:
           | Algebra was an Arabic inventions.
        
             | hintymad wrote:
             | Yeah, Arabic too. My bad. I was thinking about Greeks, and
             | Khwarizmi wrote his algebra book al-jibr in medieval times
             | circa AD 700 or 800. So I assumed that Arabic carried the
             | heritage of Greeks before the Renaissance.
        
       | 2Gkashmiri wrote:
       | not a directly related question but still i think relevant
       | because education.
       | 
       | how is the current system of higher education "justified" for the
       | "masses" of students and not the cream toppers. i am specfically
       | talking about india because that is what i can talk about. if
       | your country is similar/dissimilar that would be great to know.
       | 
       | in india, its generally accepted that all students study till
       | higher seconday, ie age of 18. there are enough schools and
       | higher secondary schools/colleges to reach there. just so you
       | know, age 16 is "matriculation", then 11th and 12th as "higher
       | secondary". then comes colleges and stuff.
       | 
       | what i am interested in is the "competitive exams" that happen
       | right after this 12th, if you want to be a doctor, you have to
       | qualify an exam, "NEET"
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Eligibility_cum_Entra...
       | 
       | in 2020, 1,597,435 students registered for an exam, all india for
       | a grand total of 66000 seats in all indian medical colleges. Now,
       | many students do go to foreign universities for studies but thats
       | irrelevant.
       | 
       | my question is, if 1.5 Million "medical" students are studying
       | for 66000 seats only, what about 1.4 million students? they wont
       | be getting their place so they need to look elsewhere.
       | 
       | same for engineering and other courses.
       | 
       | yes many join regular colleges for degree courses, 3 year or 5
       | year or likes or many go into higher education like PHD and stuff
       | but the core problem is every year millions are being taught
       | medicine which is supposed to primary education for their
       | lifelong professional career but many will simply not be able to
       | achieve that.
       | 
       | what about these students?
       | 
       | edit: right after you pass your "matriculation" you are supposed
       | to decide your subjects, "medical", "non medical", "commerce" and
       | "arts"
       | 
       | medical is medicine. non medical is engineering commerce is just
       | that, arts is humanities.
        
         | HarryHirsch wrote:
         | The background is that US secondary education is lousy. THere's
         | some background in this essay from a Russian mathematician
         | teaching at a regional institution in Texas:
         | http://michel.delord.free.fr/toom_w.pdf
         | 
         | Students aren't going up to college to become physicians, they
         | are there to learn basic literacy skills to become employable.
         | The failure rate for nursing school aspirants in introductory
         | chemistry at my institution in Alabama is 70 %. It is that bad.
        
           | 2Gkashmiri wrote:
           | https://i.redd.it/djb581wsmle61.jpg
           | 
           | this was shared on india subreddit yesterday. i failed to
           | mention this in the above post, right after you pass your
           | "matriculation" you are supposed to decide your subjects,
           | "medical", "non medical", "commerce" and "arts"
           | 
           | medical is medicine. non medical is engineering commerce is
           | just that, arts is humanities.
           | 
           | just 4 groups of subjects and a students is expected to study
           | just that "section" but a couple of years later finds out
           | he/she was unable to get a "seat" so "college" it is. there
           | graduating from there, just pillar to post for job or if
           | their parents have cash, they are sent for further studies in
           | foreign countries.
           | 
           | >they are there to learn basic literacy skills to become
           | employable.
           | 
           | i employ commerce graduates in my office. the level of grasp
           | they have on the subjects they are supposed to have studied
           | in 3 years of their course is not enough to get them an
           | intern level job. either the colleges are doing a crap job of
           | teaching them or there is something wrong with what is being
           | taught
        
       | pacbard wrote:
       | A nice fuzzy RD design! The interpretation of their results,
       | though, is difficult because the counterfactual is not very clear
       | to me.
       | 
       | They are using admission score cutoffs to oversubscribed
       | vocational schools. The intuition here is that people who score
       | right below and right above the admission cutoff did so because
       | of randomness, therefore their setup approximates a random
       | assignment experiment at the cutoff.
       | 
       | For the results to be interpretable, we need to think through the
       | counterfactual. That is, what happens to the students who score
       | below the cutoff and that are not admitted to those over-
       | subscribed vocational schools? Do they complete a general
       | education degree at another school? Do they attend another non-
       | over-subscribed vocational school? Do they drop out of school
       | altogether?
       | 
       | I am curios about reduced form estimates of the gap (i.e.,
       | without the 2-stage estimates). I wonder how much of the $2000
       | could be explained by more experience on the job for people who
       | complete a vocational track rather than a general education
       | track+university. In that, I wonder how much of a delay entry to
       | the job market could explain the returns of vocational education.
       | 
       | Another thing that I am wondering about is how elastic to
       | education/credentials is the Finnish labor market. That is, how
       | responsive are wages to credentials/higher education degrees. I
       | hope that the actual articles/publication includes a description
       | of this because it will be important for external validity of
       | these results beyond that specific national market. For example,
       | in the United States, there is a big wage gap between
       | professional degrees (e.g., medical doctor, ~$120.000 year) and
       | vocational degrees (e.g., welder, ~$40.000 year). I wonder if the
       | same large gap in wages is present in the Finland. If that is not
       | the case, I wonder how much these results would apply to other
       | non-Finnish job markets.
       | 
       | I'm also not sure if I buy the authors' claim that "The
       | regression discontinuity design estimates come from the middle of
       | the distribution of academic ability. However, the benefits may
       | be even larger for people with low compulsory-school GPAs who
       | only apply to the vocational track, while vocational education
       | may be detrimental for people with high GPAs who apply only to
       | the general track." This feels like a misrepresentation of the RD
       | estimate. They only estimate the effect for people who score
       | right around the cutoff. They cannot really extrapolate the
       | effects beyond a small bandwidth around that cutoff. They are
       | really overselling their results when they discuss people away
       | from their cutoff and just guessing what would happen to people
       | at other parts of the distribution.
        
       | Pamar wrote:
       | I suppose it might be relevant to cite this
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8280379
        
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