[HN Gopher] Coinbase announces proposed direct listing
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Coinbase announces proposed direct listing
        
       Author : coloneltcb
       Score  : 265 points
       Date   : 2021-01-28 19:20 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (blog.coinbase.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (blog.coinbase.com)
        
       | devops000 wrote:
       | They will be correlated with BTC/USD
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | Nope, I doubt it. It's much easier to sell shovels and still
         | benefit whether the price goes up or down.
        
           | xiphias2 wrote:
           | At the time a lot of gold was mined in California, the gold
           | supply increased a lot as well. With Bitcoin the supply is
           | algorithmically limited.
        
             | gaspard234 wrote:
             | Well real world gold is also limited. The California
             | mountains used to be rich with huge veins of gold and now
             | while you can still find some in these places it is very
             | rare compared to the 1800's.
        
             | paxys wrote:
             | Trading activity can still be high regardless of new
             | supply, and that is what Coinbase is capitalizing on.
        
           | devops000 wrote:
           | If price will reach 1,200$ in next three years I think the
           | volume will be much lower
        
             | hntrader wrote:
             | This will be the main mechanism positively correlating BTC
             | price with Coinbase's stock price. The correlation will be
             | weaker than that with MARA and RIOT though.
        
           | jy1 wrote:
           | Gold price dictates how many shovels are being sold.
           | 
           | Similarly BTC prices dictates gross volumes.
        
       | rblatz wrote:
       | One more company off the shortlist of potential targets for the
       | PSTH SPAC.
       | 
       | Looking more and more like it's going to be something like
       | Subway.
        
         | Marciplan wrote:
         | Its gonna be WeWork
        
         | ffggvv wrote:
         | :/ do we just sell?
        
       | fortydegrees wrote:
       | Slightly off topic but can anyone explain to me why a massive
       | company like coinbase uses Medium as a blogging
       | platform/software? Why are they not hosting the blog within their
       | own ecosystem/site?
        
         | miguelmota wrote:
         | Possible reasons:
         | 
         | 1. Allocation of engineering effort
         | 
         | 2. Familiarity with readers
         | 
         | 3. Discoverability
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | I could imagine coinbase have critical cookies containing user
         | sessions attached to coinbase.com.
         | 
         | If they have a wordpress blog at blog.coinbase.com, then any
         | xss attack in wordpress can steal customer accounts.
         | 
         | Sure, it's a fixable problem (by moving high security cookies
         | into login.coinbase.com or something similar), but that's a big
         | migration, and probably nowhere near the top of the engineering
         | priority list.
        
         | yepthatsreality wrote:
         | Trendiness.
        
         | trimbo wrote:
         | Sure. Because if you're a startup hiring SWEs, which are a
         | scarce resource, why would you want them implementing something
         | that exists and isn't part of your core business?
         | 
         | Also, the customer is the PR/marketing department, not the
         | engineering department. The marketing people already know how
         | to use these platforms well, so just let them use those.
        
         | mdorazio wrote:
         | The vast majority of the population is not at all like HN
         | readers and doesn't even know what Coinbase is. Blogging on
         | Medium gives them much better exposure and reach to non-crypto
         | people who might become interested in them because it popped up
         | on their Medium feed vs. on the Coinbase blog.
        
           | duxup wrote:
           | >doesn't even know what Coinbase is.
           | 
           | I kinda wonder about that. I've been INUNDATED by Coinbase
           | advertisements on mobile apps and etc talking about
           | incentives for learning what they do and etc.
           | 
           | They seem to really be pushing to get the general public on
           | board.
        
           | lozf wrote:
           | Perhaps true, but conversely you could also argue that the
           | sheer number of scams and frauds in the Cryptocurrency space
           | that had medium blogs might also put people off!
        
           | pinko wrote:
           | The vast majority of the population has a Medium feed?
        
         | hbosch wrote:
         | Same reason companies use Twitter and Facebook.
        
         | nisten wrote:
         | From a technical point of view yes, your own hosted static site
         | is way more efficient, you have more control over the stack,
         | scaling, better metrics, security etc, etc.
         | 
         | From a business point of view it's more like...who the f*ck
         | cares what you use? Did they read it? Yes? Good, move on.
        
           | MartianSquirrel wrote:
           | > _From a business point of view it 's more like..._
           | 
           | Usually companies use blogs as marketing tools to drive
           | traffic to their websites. I might be wrong, but in the case
           | of Coinbase I have never really seen anything they wrote that
           | was precisely intended at selling a product. It's usually
           | more informative, and shows they are trying to be more of a
           | positive force in the industry compared to a dominant one.
           | Kudos on them if it is the intent, and I guess it would
           | explain the choice of platform instead of investing time and
           | assets in developing their own.
        
         | foobiekr wrote:
         | The usual alternative is Wordpress.
         | 
         | Which, honestly, is frequently deployed so poorly that it
         | becomes an attack vector.
        
         | dogecoinbase wrote:
         | Because a16z led funding rounds for both Coinbase and Medium.
        
         | matthewowen wrote:
         | why would you spend engineering time on your blog when you can
         | get something off the shelf / outsource it?
         | 
         | the opportunity cost is too high.
        
         | bawolff wrote:
         | Its distracting to have extra things that engineers have to
         | look at every once in a while. Its cheaper when accounting for
         | employee time to just outsource random non business critical
         | things.
         | 
         | Look at the dns entries for lots of big company's blogs. Many
         | of them are just CNAMEs for wpengine or some other third party
         | host.
        
       | iandanforth wrote:
       | Don't forget - This company actively removed employees who were
       | willing to stand up against societal ills.*
       | 
       | *Yes I know this makes some people like them more.
        
         | px43 wrote:
         | From what I recall, it's more like they said they aren't going
         | to take public stands on divisive political issues, and they
         | offered generous separation packages to anyone who had a
         | problem with that. No one was discouraged against getting
         | politically active on their own time, and no one was "removed".
         | 
         | https://www.forbes.com/sites/rachelsandler/2020/10/08/60-emp...
         | 
         | As someone who has never lived in the bay area, it was kind of
         | surreal to see employees expecting their company to get
         | involved in amplifying their own personal political
         | preferences. I've always been reasonably politically active,
         | and had fairly liberal coworkers who, even if not politically
         | active, at least believe similarly. I've always thought that
         | work hours are for working though, and political activism has
         | always seemed like more of an "after hours" activity.
         | 
         | It's nice when a company says they're in support of one thing
         | or another, but it doesn't really mean anything without human
         | boots on the ground willing to put in the work to make positive
         | change happen. Corporate PR press releases always seemed really
         | insincere anyway, so I don't get why people would be upset when
         | some company decides that they're not going to do them.
        
       | divs1210 wrote:
       | Coinbase can be the next Robinhood.
       | 
       | It will be much better if the crypto community moved to
       | decentralized exchanges like Bisq.
        
         | xiphias2 wrote:
         | Uniswap is already huge.
         | 
         | For Bisq to succeed governments needs to clamp down on central
         | exchanges, but so far that is not happening.
        
       | aresant wrote:
       | If there's one thing to take away from the GME debacle it is that
       | organized, incentivized retail investors can make a stock do
       | crazy things.
       | 
       | Now take that and multiply it by a factorial with the general
       | interest, shilling, and breadth of the crypto community!
       | 
       | Recipe for INSANITY around this listing.
        
         | slickrick216 wrote:
         | Good free markets should be free. No government bailouts no
         | problem.
        
           | marcinzm wrote:
           | Then eventually things implode, society collapses, a dictator
           | takes over after claiming they will help the starving masses
           | and so on. Starving masses who have lost their life savings
           | do not make for a good place to live even if you avoid being
           | one of them. Society should be protected from the fallout of
           | capitalism to a reasonable degree.
        
             | slickrick216 wrote:
             | I don't know what the alternative is are you in favour of
             | propping up private companies and keeping this status quo?
             | That's alternative of free markets. Right now they aren't
             | free. AOC and Ben Shapiro of all people agree for once.
             | This is a stage 7 brundlefly economic system.
        
               | marcinzm wrote:
               | "Free markets" are never perfectly free or even close to
               | it. Only the writers of utopian libertarian science
               | fiction think that.
               | 
               | The question is how you manage that lack of freedom and
               | to whose benefit you try to manage it. I prefer it be
               | managed towards the general stability of society. Of
               | course it will be managed in an imperfect way but I
               | prefer the goal be a stable society.
               | 
               | edit: The government intervening will never really make
               | the market more free but it wasn't free to begin with
               | (see robinhood today). So you lose a bit more freedom but
               | you shift the benefit of the overall loss of freedom from
               | "a bunch of rich people get richer" to "society as a
               | whole get's richer and more stable." Not fully but a bit
               | further.
        
               | LegitShady wrote:
               | While i agree with you in principle, there's a difference
               | between "this market is regulated" and "this market will
               | be bailed out at random on the whims of politicians,
               | while this other market or firm won't" in which case we
               | start to have issues.
        
             | anewaccount2021 wrote:
             | If you lost your life savings on GME, you deserve to starve
             | 
             | edit: the only way you could be losing your life savings on
             | GME is with a dumb, arrogant short position. yes, you
             | should starve...isn't this what a short sale is anyway? A
             | bet that someone else will starve?
        
               | marcinzm wrote:
               | Personally I prefer to not be stabbed to death by a
               | starving person who lost their life savings on GME so
               | they can steal $10 from my wallet. Massive societal
               | implosions tend to have a large blast radius.
        
             | kazen44 wrote:
             | actually, it has shown time and time again that unregulated
             | capitalism is just not working for a majority of the
             | population.
             | 
             | The myth of the "free market" is in the same vein as the
             | centrally planned economy of a socialist state.
        
             | whb07 wrote:
             | Protected by people with lofty ideals like yourself? Where
             | are these high minded incorruptible individuals?
             | 
             | Governments are the cause of mass starvation and murders,
             | please see China, USSR, Germany, and on and on.
        
               | marcinzm wrote:
               | >Governments are the cause of mass starvation and
               | murders, please see China, USSR, Germany, and on and on.
               | 
               | All caused by revolutions caused by massive economic
               | issues and societal issues. In other words, capitalistic
               | collapse of society leads to dictatorship which leads to
               | horrible things. Like I said in the post you replied to.
               | So thank you for making my argument for me.
        
               | lukifer wrote:
               | Governments also commit mass murder on behalf of the
               | interests of private capital, ranging from feudal land
               | enclosures, to the United Fruit Company in Honduras [0],
               | to modern oil interests and the military-industrial
               | complex.
               | 
               | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Is_a_Racket
        
           | rmah wrote:
           | Why?
        
           | Ericson2314 wrote:
           | ...maybe if we have the one true Geiger Counter to call the
           | debt jubilees
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | lukifer wrote:
             | Are you familiar with the work of Michael Hudson? I just
             | learned of "...and forgive them their debts" [0], and
             | looking forward to reading it.
             | 
             | While I'm generally in favor of debt forgiveness for 2021
             | America, in his talks he's primarily described jubilees in
             | the context of regime change: a new conquering emperor, or
             | an aspiring revolutionary leader, cancels the debts to
             | secure the loyalty of workers and soldiers, and the
             | nobility has to acquiesce at the point of a sword.
             | 
             | What I can't figure out is how this could be done on a
             | predictable timetable (as per the Biblical jubilee concept:
             | every 7 or 50 years). In a conquest scenario, a lender
             | might only withhold lending if the current power structure
             | looked weak; but if debt forgiveness was institutionalized,
             | why wouldn't they just cease all lending on Year 6 or Year
             | 49? (Or, more likely: fold the probability of forgiveness
             | into a usurious interest rate, so they collect the same
             | income on average.)
             | 
             | As it stands, I think debt forgiveness can only be done as
             | a one-time solution to gross inequality and/or social
             | instability; and that institutional reform (to not need
             | jubilees) has to be done upstream (such as public banking,
             | Georgist land trusts, etc). But I'm very open to being
             | convinced otherwise.
             | 
             | [0] https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/42515482-and-
             | forgive-the...
        
               | Ericson2314 wrote:
               | I am aware-ish of that Graeber's book but haven't read
               | either.
               | 
               | The Geiger counter randomized debt jubilee is a bit of a
               | play on the scheduling problem.
               | 
               | I do agree debt jubilees only make sense as a emergency
               | post-hoc fix. If you think about it, UBI + good
               | confiscatory taxes at the margins is basically a nice
               | smoothed amortized debt jubilee. That's much better.
        
         | skeeter2020 wrote:
         | too bad you can't get that ticker symbol
        
         | fossuser wrote:
         | It's another centralized exchange though.
         | 
         | I think the DeFi work is more interesting, particularly stuff
         | like this: https://uniswap.org/
         | 
         | Still early, but truly decentralized exchanges are super
         | interesting.
        
           | electriclove wrote:
           | Yes, but Coinbase is one of the major gateways to that. Most
           | people will need to use a CEX to convert their Fiat to
           | crypto.
        
             | fossuser wrote:
             | Yeah, I agree and think it's likely to do well as the
             | dominant and trusted centralized exchange to get fiat in
             | and out.
             | 
             | I just don't see them as that different from Robinhood in
             | the service they provide and the risks associated with it.
        
               | electriclove wrote:
               | We are on the same page. Defi is the future. I'm hopeful
               | this is a big step in getting there.
        
         | 1996 wrote:
         | If this listing happens, BTC will go above 150k in 2021.
         | 
         | Too many people with money and time on their hands.
        
       | jaywalk wrote:
       | Obviously this was planned well in advance, but what a day to
       | make this announcement.
        
         | MuffinFlavored wrote:
         | How long until Coinbase blocks the buying of popular tickers
         | too because powerful hedge funds tell them?
        
           | meowkit wrote:
           | Not likely because the market makers will have to compete
           | with DeFi on chain.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | bdcravens wrote:
           | Coinbase has frozen trading of various cryptos before.
        
           | blhack wrote:
           | They have already paused trading during periods of high
           | turmoil. When bcash was announced, for instance. I think that
           | actually set their standard for "open the market in 'post
           | only' mode for a period before actually starting trading".
        
         | llampx wrote:
         | I wonder if they would have blocked the purchase of Dog coin
        
       | formercoder wrote:
       | Curious what the accounting rules are around their BTC on the
       | balance sheet. Would be wild if they had to mark to market.
        
         | zionic wrote:
         | They hold their crypto in grayscale. They'll dump IPO cash into
         | the market and spike the price so their grayscale assets blow
         | up.
        
         | dahdum wrote:
         | I don't think they hold much on their balance sheet, otherwise
         | they wouldn't have needed multiple rounds of financing through
         | 2018.
        
       | throwaway803453 wrote:
       | Given the hype, the most likely scenario is a > 2X price spike in
       | the first few minutes of trading regardless of the initial market
       | cap ($100B+?). For those of us who believe that, what is the best
       | strategy for purchasing shares ? It's doubtful brokers will allow
       | market orders the previous night since the ticker might not yet
       | exist, and if one places a market order during the first few
       | minutes the cynic in me predicts a retail trader will get the
       | worst deal.
        
         | taurath wrote:
         | This is always how it works. Institutionals always get first
         | dibs (and the middle, and the last)
        
           | brainflake wrote:
           | Well not necessarily... didn't google use a dutch auction 15
           | years ago?
        
           | harryh wrote:
           | Not with a direct listing.
           | 
           | Coinbase shares would be subject to an auction and the market
           | for them will open at the price where supply meets demand.
        
           | Triv888 wrote:
           | Do you see anything wrong with that?
        
             | josht wrote:
             | Better question: Do you see anything right with that?
        
               | Triv888 wrote:
               | I know that he was being sarcastic... hopefully that will
               | mess up with the AI wannabes...
        
           | hntrader wrote:
           | After a new listing, retail can buy at the same instant as
           | institutions, as long as the retail broker allows it, and
           | many do.
        
         | svachalek wrote:
         | I think generally you can place an order before the market
         | opens, maybe even the day before, but that doesn't really give
         | you any pricing power. It will still pop at the open and your
         | order may not clear until it does. But that may still put you
         | ahead of the Robinhood masses.
         | 
         | Better option might be to try a pre-IPO trading platform like
         | EquityZen.
        
           | throwaway803453 wrote:
           | From EquitZen's knowledge center:
           | 
           | "Shares that are the subject of investment through EquityZen
           | are generally subject to a lock-up period of up to 180 days
           | after the effectiveness of a company's IPO filing, during
           | which time shareholders are restricted from selling their
           | shares."[1]
           | 
           | The 180day lock-up period could EquityZen poorly suited for
           | investors with a short time horizon.
        
         | la6471 wrote:
         | If a SPAC is floated to do this retail investors might still
         | have a chance
        
           | nostrademons wrote:
           | The SPAC would have to convince Coinbase that it's in their
           | interests to go public via reverse merger rather than direct
           | listing. This seems pretty unlikely, given that they've
           | already filed their S-1, announced the direct listing, and
           | presumably have done all the paperwork related to being a
           | public company.
           | 
           | There's a bit of an adverse-selection problem with SPACs: not
           | only do they need to find an undervalued asset that the
           | public markets will value for more than the acquisition
           | price, they need to convince that asset that the SPAC adds
           | value and can take them public easier than doing the process
           | themselves would. Big tech companies like Coinbase, AirBnB,
           | and Roblox have plenty of money to hire the lawyers,
           | accountants, and investment bankers that going public
           | themselves requires.
        
       | DSingularity wrote:
       | We already knew this, right? What is new?
        
         | azinman2 wrote:
         | https://xkcd.com/1053/
        
           | DSingularity wrote:
           | umm I am actually genuinly trying to understand what
           | changed... I thought they already told us they are planning
           | to do an IPO.
        
       | legym wrote:
       | What are the odds of this.
       | 
       | The cofounder of reddit, Alexis Ohanian, owns a capital firm
       | called Initialized Capital. That firm owns coinbase.
       | 
       | https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-announces-proposed-direct...
        
         | garry wrote:
         | Can confirm we own a portion of Coinbase but not the whole
         | thing (if only) :-)
        
         | adenozine wrote:
         | This is literally an outright lie. Initialized Capital does not
         | own Coinbase.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | wmf wrote:
       | Why isn't Coinbase doing a security token offering?
        
         | chrisco255 wrote:
         | Because there's already a lot of network effects built in to
         | the existing exchanges and crypto infrastructure for trading
         | securities is still immature, albeit promising.
        
           | RangerScience wrote:
           | What's out their right now in the way of crypt infra for
           | securities / stock trading?
           | 
           | I predict that as the news digests GAMESTONKS, we're gonna
           | see a decent amount of talk about crypto and a block-chain
           | based stock market.
           | 
           | But I'm far out of the crypto loop these days so IDK what the
           | contenders are.
        
         | reducesuffering wrote:
         | Real money for me, not for thee.
        
           | er4hn wrote:
           | reducesuffering, thank you for making me chuckle.
           | 
           | In keeping with the grand theory that cryptocoins allow the
           | rediscovery of financial regulations and procedures from
           | first principles, the following could happen:
           | 
           | * Coinbase uses the funding to get to the point where they
           | can release a "dual currency" set of stock. One set of stock
           | based on being traditional shares purchased with USD, one set
           | based on being a tied to a "share token" purchased with
           | whatever people choose to exchange (but initially sold by
           | Coinbase for bitcoin). Presumably they would have voting
           | rights per share tied to the conversion between bitcoin to
           | usd.
           | 
           | * The normal shares are regulated in the boring SEC way.
           | 
           | * The share tokens are regulated according to wild west tech
           | rules. Tokens are stolen, token private keys are lost,
           | exchanges rediscover circuit breakers on facilitating token
           | trades, etc.
           | 
           | I think there is also a second story if Coinbase were to
           | release share tokens: Many scamcoins are essentially a way to
           | buy shares in some service that does not fully exist yet, but
           | has great upside potential. If this super simplistic
           | description sounds like investing in stocks, then watching
           | Coinbase share tokens toe the line between "scam coin" and
           | "real deal Wall St. asset" will be an interesting experience.
        
             | wmf wrote:
             | _a way to buy shares in some service that does not fully
             | exist yet, but has great upside potential_
             | 
             | Time for a SPAC token offering!
        
         | eganist wrote:
         | Ostensibly not enough faith in security tokens as a method of
         | managing shares. Still surprising from a strategic angle
         | considering an acquisition of a platform like Carta could have
         | given them a head start.
        
         | Triv888 wrote:
         | Yeah, fuck the stock market at this point.
        
         | sjtindell wrote:
         | The quantity of potential capital raised I would assume.
        
         | bdcravens wrote:
         | Because it is a technology company built with traditional fiat
         | investments.
        
         | devops000 wrote:
         | I guess it's a proof they don't believe it.
        
         | zionic wrote:
         | I suspect the plan is to raise tons of fiat then pump their BTC
         | holdings via grayscale.
        
           | xiphias2 wrote:
           | They are thenselves institutional BTC holders, so I'm not
           | sure if they need to outsource it.
           | 
           | Microstrategy is using Coinbase.
        
             | zionic wrote:
             | That's my point exactly.
             | 
             | Traditional stock market buys tons of coinbase cash ->
             | coinbase uses said cash to market-buy BTC with bots driving
             | the price up -> BTC/their crypto of choice is now worth far
             | more.
             | 
             | If the market follows their run they end up making far more
             | than they reinvested.
        
           | kinghajj wrote:
           | My god, that would be amazing.
           | 
           | 1. Coinbase raises money from the IPO. 2. Coinbase takes some
           | of that money and gives it to Grayscale. 3. Grayscale uses
           | the money to buy cryptocurrency... On Coinbase!
           | 
           | Not only do Coinbase shares appreciate from the increased
           | value of assets on their balance sheet, but they earn some of
           | their money back from fees, too. Just make sure that steps #1
           | and #2 have some delay, after any lock-up period.
           | 
           | And since Grayscale can only divest from its funds for fees
           | and doesn't allow redemption, more cryptocurrency tokens get
           | "locked" in the funds indefinitely, unable to affect the spot
           | price.
        
             | deeeeplearning wrote:
             | So what you're saying is Coins go up?
        
       | purple_ferret wrote:
       | If they were smart, they'd price it like at 2 dollars a share
        
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