[HN Gopher] FDA approves first monthly injectable to treat HIV i...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       FDA approves first monthly injectable to treat HIV infection
        
       Author : apsec112
       Score  : 256 points
       Date   : 2021-01-25 22:44 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.statnews.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.statnews.com)
        
       | TimPC wrote:
       | I'm hopeful that this is a step towards getting an injectable on
       | a longer time scale even though it's likely the treatment
       | technology would be different. If we could get to something on a
       | 2-year or 5-year time horizon we may just start giving it to
       | everyone preventatively, the way we do tetanus shots. The larger
       | volume might mean enough total profits at a price scale that
       | makes it affordable for the pharma company to do that at a price
       | point that makes sense for the buyer. If we get to a universal
       | treatment that we can apply globally, we may see AIDS become a
       | thing of the past in a few generations. Given unequal access to
       | care that may be substantially challenging in regions with poor
       | health care and we may need an outright vaccine that lasts
       | permanently to successfully treat it globally. But this seems to
       | be a step along that pathway even if new technologies are needed
       | to complete it.
        
       | ed25519FUUU wrote:
       | > _In 2018, for instance, there were approximately 36,400 newly
       | infected patients living with HIV in the U.S._
       | 
       | This number seems insane to me _in the USA_. Why is a well known
       | deadly disease, with well understood transmission vectors, still
       | spreading so prominently here?
        
         | bpodgursky wrote:
         | Because people really, really like having risky and unsafe sex?
        
           | damnyou wrote:
           | No, that's not the reason, given that PrEP exists. The actual
           | reason is that Truvada, like other healthcare, can be hard to
           | get in the American system.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | renewiltord wrote:
             | Have we considered telling people to "just stay home" and
             | to "not have sex"? Maybe that's the trick.
        
               | _jal wrote:
               | No, that's the strategy for lower-caste straight people.
               | Telling them that leads to socioeconomically capturing a
               | large percentage of them by burdening them with children
               | before they can hit early potential.
        
               | damnyou wrote:
               | Right. Abstinence doesn't really work in the real world,
               | only in the spherical-cow world where humans are
               | perfectly obedient.
        
             | bpodgursky wrote:
             | Condoms also exist, and are trivial to buy, in the American
             | system.
        
               | damnyou wrote:
               | And I'm sure transmission rates would be even higher if
               | condoms were harder to get.
        
             | kansface wrote:
             | The incidence rate of HIV infection is the same in the US
             | as it is in France, Span, or Italy though higher than the
             | Scandinavian countries. I couldn't easily find data for the
             | current rate of new infections, but its not immediately
             | obvious to me that access to health care is the major
             | driving factor.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_HIV/AIDS
             | _...
        
               | damnyou wrote:
               | I don't know enough to comment on European countries, but
               | I wouldn't be surprised if access was a big problem there
               | as well. The American healthcare system is pretty bad,
               | but it's not the only bad system in existence. There may
               | be other linked factors like stigma at play as well.
        
         | minikites wrote:
         | Because people don't have healthcare. We've decided as a
         | society that it's better for undesirable people (gay men, IV
         | drug users) to die instead of paying a cent more than we
         | absolutely must in taxes.
        
         | just_steve_h wrote:
         | Why is it spreading? Because ACCESS TO CARE is extremely
         | unevenly distributed. It can be extremely difficult for people
         | with limited resources to get proper care.
        
           | badwolf wrote:
           | Not even proper care, it's extremely difficult just to get a
           | lot of at-risk people tested (let alone tested regularly)
        
           | refurb wrote:
           | Canada, with universal healthcare has about the same number
           | of new cases per capita.
           | 
           | So it's not access to care.
        
         | thisrod wrote:
         | I was about to reply: because no one ever recovers from HIV
         | infection. Then I realised it isn't true. People being treated
         | for HIV are not contagious, so they "recover" in the
         | epidemiological sense the moment they start treatment. The only
         | way that can happen is if a lot of people have HIV but don't
         | know it.
        
         | arbitrage wrote:
         | Ronald Reagan had a hand to play in this, and the AIDS epidemic
         | in america can be seen as the real birth of the neoconservative
         | movement in united states' politics.
         | 
         | Regan refused to even acknowledge the disease until he couldn't
         | get away. This put the US on a deficit addressing AIDS that
         | continues to this day.
         | 
         | American Republicanism kills people.
        
         | eznzt wrote:
         | I could tell you, but I would get banned from this website.
        
       | cestith wrote:
       | It's good to see articles on new drugs include pricing
       | information.
        
       | abeppu wrote:
       | > The cost, however, is steep -- the list, or wholesale, price is
       | $3,960 a month, or more than $47,500 a year. The list price for
       | the one-time initiation dose is $5,490.
       | 
       | Median income in the US is ~$31K apparently. So even in a rich
       | country, this is like 50% more than the income of a typical
       | person.
       | 
       | My understanding is the funding for the trials was partly from
       | NIAID. This seems like yet another case where public funds are
       | used for research, but a company ends up with the ability to
       | dictate pricing.
       | 
       | I'm glad that this works and that there is another, more
       | convenient and effective treatment option. But shouldn't we have
       | some setup where if tax dollars pay for the research, the
       | government should own a share of the IP commensurate with their
       | funding level, and should then be able to have some say in
       | pricing?
       | 
       | Or, if you think that the government itself shouldn't own IP for
       | a product on the market, can we create an independent non-profit
       | which receives ownership, and whose charter aligns with actually
       | treating as many people as possible?
       | 
       | I'm not saying that when real, innovative work happens,
       | pharmaceutical companies shouldn't get some meaningful return on
       | the money they put in. But when the public supports the work, we
       | shouldn't get nothing.
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | Great interview on problems with intellectual property rights
         | in the drug market. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u6OpapwQOks
        
         | offtop5 wrote:
         | 3k month sounds about right for a chronic condition.
         | 
         | Many many people pay at least this to stay alive. That said ,
         | Universal Health Care is needed for stuff like this to work. At
         | 3k a month it makes the most sense to try and emigrate to a
         | better country.
        
           | markdown wrote:
           | > At 3k a month it makes the most sense to try and emigrate
           | to a better country.
           | 
           | Countries won't let you in if you're going to cost taxpayers
           | too much. For example, New Zealand won't let you emigrate
           | there if you have serious psoriasis, since treatment can cost
           | thousands of dollars/month.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | That doesn't scale. If you push the cost of healthcare to
           | other countries when it becomes too expensive instead of
           | fixing the system in the country where you live then every
           | other country with a better system's healthcare will collapse
           | as well.
           | 
           | Vote to improve the system where you live and make sure that
           | your representatives realize that it could be them or their
           | relatives in your situation.
           | 
           | Quite a few countries have restrictions in this anyway, so
           | whether it would even work in individual cases is another
           | matter, for instance, here is Canada's provision:
           | 
           | https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-
           | citizenship/se...
        
         | abeppu wrote:
         | Or to approach the same issue from the other direction: Does
         | public funding for research of this type self-sabotage, if it
         | enables pharmaceutical companies to set pricing at a level
         | which meaningfully limits the use of the results of that
         | research?
        
           | fastball wrote:
           | How exactly are is big pharma limiting the result of that
           | research? Anyone can use the research.
        
             | refurb wrote:
             | Anyone can't use the research. Bayh-Dohl Act basically
             | passes ownership of any IP to the person who received the
             | grant.
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayh-Dole_Act
        
             | Robotbeat wrote:
             | If the patents relating to likely avenues of that research
             | are tied up, it makes it much harder.
        
         | nceqs3 wrote:
         | I believe that the government does own a portion of the IP.
         | 
         | If you read patents filed by defense contractors and
         | pharma/universities they often say something like this "This
         | invention was made with Government support under Contract no.
         | F29601-03-C-0191 awarded by the Air Force Research Laboratory,
         | Kirtland AFB, N. Mex. The Government has certain rights in the
         | invention."
         | 
         | https://patentimages.storage.googleapis.com/f9/bc/b9/dd132ea...
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | So then why is the government letting the company reap so
           | much of the benefits of their IP?
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | It depends on the contract made between the government and
             | the developer before funding was issued.
        
         | timr wrote:
         | > My understanding is the funding for the trials was partly
         | from NIAID.
         | 
         | I have no particular insight into the pricing of this drug, but
         | in general, NIAID funding doesn't get anywhere close to the
         | level of investment needed to bring a drug to market (NIAID's
         | total budget is something like $5Bn. A _single drug_ can easily
         | require that much money to go to market).
         | 
         | Moreover, it isn't a bright-line distinction between public and
         | private funding: if a novel drug is developed (entirely
         | privately) against a target for which academic researchers once
         | received public funds, does it count as public funding? There's
         | a huge gray area in between. Nearly _all_ drugs can be
         | characterized as  "publicly funded", if you look hard enough.
         | 
         | Rules like this sound great, but in practice, they'll lead to
         | perverse incentives (like drug companies completely avoiding
         | targets from the academic world, in the previous example).
         | Nobody rational wants to spend billions of dollars doing late-
         | stage development and clinical trials to be torpedoed by a
         | researcher who took a small amount public funding decades
         | prior.
        
           | akiselev wrote:
           | _> I have no particular insight into the pricing of this
           | drug, but in general, NIAID funding doesn 't get anywhere
           | close to the level of investment needed to bring a drug to
           | market (NIAID's total budget is something like $5Bn. A single
           | drug can easily require that much money to go to market)._
           | 
           | According to [1] _" the estimated median capitalized research
           | and development cost per product was $985 million, counting
           | expenditures on failed trials."_ That billion dollar figure
           | is risk adjusted per product meaning that's the cost of all
           | R&D and clinical trials against the number of products that
           | hit the market. A lucky startup can pull off a successful
           | trial for a few hundred million (i.e. Sofosbuvir), if not
           | tens of millions for an orphan drug.
           | 
           | The most expensive ("oncology and immuno-modulatory drugs"
           | which are similar in complexity to HIV therapeutics) come in
           | at a median of $2.8 billion and a mean of $4.5 billion but
           | only because of an extreme outlier, Dupixent, which cost over
           | $6 billion to develop. Dupixent costs $40k/year and has a
           | much larger target market than this HIV treatment (IIRC on
           | the order of 10 to 100x). This HIV injection is far more
           | likely to be discounted in the developing world so the
           | sticker price likely reflects that too.
           | 
           | A $5 billion a year budget can go very far and the people
           | should get the rewards for taking the risk, especially for a
           | disease like HIV that has significant quality of life impacts
           | on vulnerable populations.
           | 
           | [1] https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-
           | abstract/27623...
        
             | pgt wrote:
             | Genuinely curious - why do these drugs cost so much? Can we
             | make it cheaper? I know there's a lot of hit & miss and
             | that the cost of the drug also covers the misses, but it
             | feels like we should be able to do this for millions, not
             | billions.
        
               | ryanmercer wrote:
               | https://www.pcisynthesis.com/want-to-know-why-early-drug-
               | dev...
               | 
               | and
               | 
               | http://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2020/modern-drug-
               | discovery...
               | 
               | are decent reads.
               | 
               | Mostly it's the complexity of the compounds involved, the
               | supply chain, and regulatory costs.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | And the the time value of money. see my sibling post.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | It has to do with the time value of money and long
               | development timelines. Here is a great blog post from a
               | scientist trying to find investors for drug to cure his
               | wife's terminal disease.[1]
               | 
               | >it takes a hundred dollars of drug revenue 17 years from
               | now to motivate someone to invest one dollar today. No
               | wonder drugs are expensive.
               | 
               | That is a 10,000% return on investment required to break
               | even.
               | 
               | http://www.cureffi.org/2019/04/29/financial-modeling-in-
               | rare...
        
               | akiselev wrote:
               | It genuinely takes a massive amount of labor using mostly
               | highly paid professionals like doctors, nurses, and
               | research scientists. Even before any trials start, the
               | support materials for a premarketing application for a
               | drug are usually in the thousands of pages and include
               | clinical trial protocols that describe minutiae like how
               | blood samples will be drawn so data is comparable between
               | hospitals. Then you have to find participating hospitals,
               | PIs, and patients which means lots of negotiation and
               | patient screenings and TV/radio/web advertising. Then you
               | have to manufacture the drugs in small to medium
               | quantities. Then you have to actually run the trials
               | which means paying a _lot_ of people and most if not all
               | of their medical care related to the clinical trial.
               | 
               | Phase I trials, for example, are usually carried out
               | under constant medical supervision and push the dosage as
               | high as they can until 50% of the cohort will no longer
               | tolerate it. That alone is usually thousands or tens of
               | thousands per day per patient.
               | 
               | By the time you get to phase III where you have hundreds
               | to thousands of patients, you're shelling out up to $1k
               | per patient for the incentive and $100-1k per checkup for
               | the length of the trial. A 1k person phase III can easily
               | cost tens of millions in labor just to administer the
               | drug and collect samples once a month for a year. Data
               | provenance and normalization is important so a not
               | insignificant chunk of this time is largely unavoidable
               | paperwork.
        
             | timr wrote:
             | Yeah, $5Bn may be a bit of an exaggeration, but it's not
             | off by an order of magnitude; this review, based on data
             | from Eli Lilly, put the fully capitalized R&D number at
             | $1.8Bn in 2010:
             | 
             | https://www.nature.com/articles/nrd3078
             | 
             | (one can certainly quibble over the "cost of capital"
             | assumptions these days, but the model isn't wildly wrong.)
             | 
             | > That billion dollar figure is risk adjusted per product
             | meaning that's the cost of all R&D and clinical trials
             | against the number of products that hit the market.
             | 
             | Yes, but as you know, you can't simply separate the
             | successful products from the ones that fail. The former pay
             | for the latter.
             | 
             | > A lucky startup can pull off a successful trial for a few
             | hundred million (i.e. Sofosbuvir), if not tens of millions
             | for an orphan drug.
             | 
             | Sure, one can always hit the lottery. But unlike startups
             | (where the N-independent-failures model works OK), drugs
             | don't make it to market without a deep-pocketed company
             | willing to set huge piles of money on fire in the final
             | phases.
             | 
             | Your other comment below does a good job of explaining why
             | trials are insanely expensive...which is why lucky startups
             | almost never run their own.
        
         | joshuaissac wrote:
         | > So even in a rich country, this is like 50% more than the
         | income of a typical person.
         | 
         | Generic versions of expensive American drugs tend to be
         | released by Indian pharmaceutical companies into developing
         | countries after a while.
        
           | rtx wrote:
           | They do it after the patent expires.
        
             | chefkoch wrote:
             | Not always, the cancer drug lenalidomid (Revlimid) is
             | around 20 000$ for 21 pills in the US, the indian generica
             | is around 200$.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | India does not allow patents on pharmaceuticals.[1] As a
             | result, they have an excellent market for generics, but new
             | medicine is 6-8 years behind the rest of the world.
             | 
             | https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-981-13-8102-7
             | _...
        
         | inasio wrote:
         | In contrast, the napkin estimate for the cost of a year's worth
         | of HIV drugs (latest generation integrase inhibitors) was 20K
         | as of around 2 years ago, for western countries. Dolutegravir
         | became generic, but prices likely won't change dramatically
         | (specifically in western countries).
        
         | s1artibartfast wrote:
         | >I'm glad that this works and that there is another, more
         | convenient and effective treatment option. But shouldn't we
         | have some setup where if tax dollars pay for the research, the
         | government should own a share of the IP commensurate with their
         | funding level, and should then be able to have some say in
         | pricing?
         | 
         | >Or, if you think that the government itself shouldn't own IP
         | for a product on the market, can we create an independent non-
         | profit which receives ownership, and whose charter aligns with
         | actually treating as many people as possible?
         | 
         | The current model of government funded research is like backing
         | a Kickstarter because you want to see the product made, but get
         | no direct benefit. It is made because we as a people think the
         | world will be better off with the product, than without, and
         | are willing to pay to make that happen.
         | 
         | I think government co-venture is also great option, as long as
         | it is negotiated up front and we can keep political corruption
         | out of it. However, the question then becomes if drug
         | development will dry up once the the government has locked down
         | all the IP and nobody wants to partner with them.
         | 
         | I think another good model would be seed support for
         | independent non-profit pharmaceutical(s) charted to balance
         | reinvested profits with social benefit (without government
         | owning the IP). The question and risk here becomes one of
         | oversight and accountability.
        
         | m12k wrote:
         | > can we create an independent non-profit which receives
         | ownership, and whose charter aligns with actually treating as
         | many people as possible?
         | 
         | There is a proposal for such an entity:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_Impact_Fund
        
           | reimertz wrote:
           | Independent non-profits trying to fight for individuals in a
           | capitalist-driven society seems to be doomed to fail. An
           | depressing example; Insulin and how the inventors made sure
           | to make the the process available to anyone;
           | 
           | > The patent would not be used for any other purpose than to
           | prevent the taking out of a patent by other persons. When the
           | details of the method of preparation are published anyone
           | would be free to prepare the extract, but no one could secure
           | a profitable monopoly.
           | 
           | How did that go? 1,000% price increase, accounting for
           | inflation. (US numbers)
           | 
           | Edit: Removed rant-driven generalization and miss-information
           | regarding legal obligations.
           | 
           | Thanks for checking me. I get to upset reading these things.
        
             | lotsofpulp wrote:
             | > where corporations and their boards are legally bound to
             | maximize profit, ignoring morals for profit.
             | 
             | Where is this true? It's not even a definable legal
             | standard.
        
               | reimertz wrote:
               | You are definitely correct and thanks for pointing it
               | out. Generalizations and miss-information doesn't help at
               | all.
               | 
               | I obviously need to go out for a walk before I comment on
               | these type of news. It's super exciting but also
               | extremely depressing since the ones who'd need this the
               | most likely wont afford it.
        
         | refurb wrote:
         | If, as a company, you have the option of charging $X if you
         | accept gov't funding or 400% * $X, doesn't that sound like a
         | great way to disincentivized taking govt funding?
         | 
         | And as others have said gov't funding tends to be a small
         | fraction of total cost of R&D.
         | 
         | And the funding tends to come very early - some professor is
         | researching a new anti-viral and stumbles across a new
         | molecule. It's still several hundred million and a decade or
         | more away from market.
        
         | MBCook wrote:
         | > The cost, however, is steep -- the list, or wholesale, price
         | is $3,960 a month, or more than $47,500 a year.
         | 
         | Remember though that this is a replacement for an existing drug
         | therapy, not something totally new. Does anyone know how much
         | the daily pills cost per month?
        
           | chefkoch wrote:
           | It looks like conventional treatment is between 400$ and
           | 1500$ per month.
        
       | transfire wrote:
       | While good news, it is unfortunate to know we will probably never
       | see an actual cure. Capitalized medicine disincentivizes cures.
       | That's why we see so many symptom treatments and vaccines -- they
       | are far more profitable, by multiple orders of magnitude.
        
         | TheAdamAndChe wrote:
         | There are plenty of researchers who would find a cure if it was
         | possible. HIV integrates into the DNA of the cells it infects,
         | and is virtually impossible to detect and remove completely.
        
         | Merman_Mike wrote:
         | Instead of downvotes, I'm curious what evidence there is on
         | either side of this claim.
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | I am sure there is some evidence on both sides, but at the
           | end of the day, people get into medicine and medical research
           | to heal people, not keep them sick. The USA does not have the
           | only medical system in the world and many countries run their
           | systems with the goal of controlling costs, not increasing
           | them. I don't think this kind of pessimistic conspiracy
           | thinking adds to the conversation.
        
             | incrudible wrote:
             | If there's more money to be made from keeping people sick
             | than outright curing them, that logically is a disincentive
             | from curing them.
             | 
             | It's not conspiracy thinking to look at the incentive
             | structures within systems to predict possible negative
             | outcomes.
             | 
             | Of course, there's a _moral_ incentive to not keep people
             | sick, but history shows that we can not rely on people
             | acting morally. The pessimism is justified.
             | 
             | If we expect companies to provide cures over treatments, we
             | at least must allow them to profit as much or more from a
             | cure as they would from a treatment.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _It 's not conspiracy thinking to look at the incentive
               | structures within systems to predict possible negative
               | outcomes_
               | 
               | It is when one mischaracterizes the system.
               | 
               | Medical research is not an oligopoly. It is oligopolistic
               | within some domains, but as we've seen with the Covid
               | vaccine, there are at least four nation-state domains (
               | _e.g._ Russia, China, India and  "the West") operating
               | competitively, and within those domains, there are
               | varying degrees of competitiveness ( _e.g._ Pfizer vs.
               | Moderna vs. AstraZeneca).
               | 
               | If you have a cure to something everyone else can only
               | treat, you'll make a money selling the cure and taking
               | your competitors' market share. Because if you don't,
               | they will. It's a classic cartel / prisoner's dilemma
               | problem with the added explosive of a multi-decade
               | patent-protected monopoly for the first mover.
        
               | jjcon wrote:
               | > we at least must allow them to profit as much or more
               | from a cure as they would from a treatment
               | 
               | I think that's where you go wrong. There are huge profit
               | incentives for a cure. If a biotech company comes up with
               | a cure they will instantly have the business of every
               | afflicted person on the planet. The market for that and
               | price they can charge will be way larger than a slightly
               | different treatment.
               | 
               | Beyond that, there are labs all over the world funded by
               | public dollars to research avenues to a cure, it's just
               | way more complicated than effective treatment.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | call_me_dana wrote:
               | There are indeed huge profit incentives for a cure. There
               | are even larger profits to be had from a monthly
               | treatment that the patient has to take for the rest of
               | their lives.
               | 
               | Are you saying people that aren't taking a monthly
               | biologic injection for example will start coming out of
               | the woodwork for a cure when normally they wouldn't seek
               | treatment for their malady?
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | People don't buy medical treatments in most of the world.
               | Countries do.
               | 
               | And countries will always pick the best priced possible
               | treatment.
        
           | whimsicalism wrote:
           | Well not sure if it is "evidence", but in terms of marginal
           | preventing people in the US from getting HIV, lowering the
           | cost of Truvada from $2,000 out of pocket and publicizing it
           | would likely have a much larger impact than this once a month
           | shot.
        
           | eli wrote:
           | I'm not sure every claim is worthy of debate. Setting aside
           | all the private investment and philanthropy dollars going
           | towards a cure, governments spend billions annually on HIV
           | research.
        
             | call_me_dana wrote:
             | Yes, they spend billions on developing the exact types of
             | treatments that this article is about. Their business model
             | depends on maximizing revenue so any treatment cannot cure
             | the patient and it cannot kill the patient. Sad, but true.
        
               | eli wrote:
               | The business model of the NIH and the UN does not depend
               | on maximizing revenue
        
           | icegreentea2 wrote:
           | The claim logically holds together. There is even evidence on
           | its side.
           | 
           | But one reason for the downvotes may be that it might be too
           | narrow-minded. For one thing, it completely neglects to
           | consider the relative difficulty of treating symptoms versus
           | being fully curative. Secondly, it half undermines itself by
           | lumping vaccines into the same bucket as symptomatic
           | treatment. Clearly the economic incentives for vaccine,
           | versus symptom management, versus cure depends on the disease
           | being treated.
           | 
           | Finally, while it carefully uses the word "incentive" instead
           | of talking in black and whites, it doesn't explain why "big
           | pharma" makes cures at all. A lot of the the supporting
           | material for "pharma makes more money on symptom treatment"
           | references Gilead's experience with Hep C. But the economics
           | of how that drug would have worked was clear as day before
           | Gilead spent resources of it. So why would Gilead have gone
           | to market with a cure at all?
        
             | TimPC wrote:
             | The claim doesn't logically hold together: it assumes a
             | monopoly in medicine. It might not be profitable for the
             | company with a treatment regimen to develop a cure. But for
             | the company without the treatment regiment to develop a
             | cure and take away all of a competitor's business and
             | capture a significant part of it as their own? That's
             | extremely profitable. You can charge far more for a cure
             | than for a regular preventative treatment (per dose) so
             | margins are far higher even if volume over time is lower.
             | Suffice it to say cures are sufficiently profitable to
             | enough of the actors in the system that they are worth
             | exploring. And there is evidence of cures being researched
             | successfully as referenced in the comment above. Also, I
             | don't think all pharma companies are perfectly 'rational'
             | actors in this sense. They are composed of people who got
             | into medicine with the interest to help people, and those
             | people know both cures and vaccines help more than just
             | symptom mitigation. The motivation of the actors in the
             | system to do good leads to even more research of cures and
             | vaccines than the non-zero amount that is sufficiently
             | incentivized (even if cures are less profitable than
             | symptom mitigations).
        
           | samatman wrote:
           | Coming up with a cure for HIV infection would be an easy
           | Nobel Prize in medicine.
           | 
           | That's a pretty powerful motive, historically. If you want to
           | argue that it doesn't apply here, the burden, I'm afraid, is
           | on you, not us.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _I 'm curious what evidence there is on either side of this
           | claim_
           | 
           | Looking at the list of the most deadly non-tropical
           | infectious diseases [1], most can be vaccinated against
           | and/or cured. The standouts remain lower respiratory
           | infections, _e.g._ influenza, and HIV /AIDS.
           | 
           | When confronted with a novel coronavirus, it took a few
           | months for the world's medical systems to devise various
           | treatments and a vaccine. Neither of those are recurring
           | revenue streams.
           | 
           | Most damning to this conspiracy theory is the recent Hep C
           | cure. That's a real disease. It was profitable to treat. But
           | it's more profitable to cure. Those incentives remain
           | elsewhere. A cure for HIV is worth billions.
           | 
           | Dealing with mortality and sickness is difficult. It's more
           | comforting to some to imagine an evil cabal holding back
           | medicine, and I don't need to take that from them. But if
           | you're entertaining these thoughts as anything more than a
           | coping mechanism, the last half century--or even decade--of
           | progress in curing, not treating, curing a variety of medical
           | issues has been under-reported (lots of niche illnesses) and
           | breathtaking.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infection
        
             | throwawaygal7 wrote:
             | I came here to post about the Hep C cure. You did a great
             | job.
             | 
             | Only thing I would embellish on is that, much like software
             | - when something is wrong its easier to treat the symptoms
             | than to fix the problem a lot of the times. So it's really
             | no wonder alot of treatments are amelioration rather than
             | cures.
             | 
             | I recently did a major refactor at work to fix database and
             | caching problems in our backend. It took months but only
             | yielded 50% scaling improvements. Past teams just kept
             | stacking shit and adding hardware and we can all understand
             | why.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | Could you please stop creating accounts for every few
               | comments you post? We ban accounts that do that. This is
               | in the site guidelines:
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html.
               | 
               | You needn't use your real name, of course, but for HN to
               | be a community, users need some identity for other users
               | to relate to. Otherwise we may as well have no usernames
               | and no community, and that would be a different kind of
               | forum. https://hn.algolia.com/?query=community%20identity
               | %20by:dang...
        
             | makomk wrote:
             | The Hep C cure wasn't all that profitable, from what I
             | understand. On paper it was a clear win-win - the cure
             | would save the various healthcare services lots of money
             | compared with treatment, whilst still raking in boatloads
             | of money. The trouble is that healthcare services
             | everywhere balked at buying it regardless of their
             | structure and despite the fact that not doing so would cost
             | them money in the long term, and even at those rejected
             | prices it wouldn't have been nearly as profitable as a
             | long-term ongoing treatment because it eliminates its own
             | customer base.
        
               | refurb wrote:
               | The hepatitis C cures was massively profitable. Gilead
               | paid $11B for Pharmasset's portfolio and everyone said
               | they were dumb.
               | 
               | They then had sales of $10.4B in the first year on the
               | market. That's one year and one drug (they've developed
               | newer drugs and launched those too).
        
           | grawprog wrote:
           | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK217902/
           | 
           | https://fee.org/articles/curing-diseases-is-sustainable-
           | gove...
           | 
           | https://www.bmj.com/content/363/bmj.k4351
           | 
           | https://theconversation.com/amp/how-pharmaceutical-
           | companies...
           | 
           | https://yaledailynews.com/blog/2017/02/09/lewis-the-need-
           | for...
           | 
           | https://www.medpagetoday.com/blogs/revolutionandrevelation/7.
           | ..
           | 
           | https://pnhp.org/news/eliminate-the-profit-motive-in-
           | health-...
        
             | Merman_Mike wrote:
             | Many of these seem to support GP's comment.
        
               | grawprog wrote:
               | I don't really understand the downvotes and reactions of
               | the other commenters to the gp's post. There's a whole
               | bunch of studies showing there's less incentive to find
               | cures opposed to ongoing treatments under for profit
               | health systems.
               | 
               | On a website where products as a service are discussed
               | regularly i'm confused as to how the parallels between
               | that and profit driven 'healthcare as a service' are
               | ignored or looked at with hostility.
        
               | Merman_Mike wrote:
               | .
        
               | dang wrote:
               | It was a generic ideological flamewar tangent. That
               | includes several good reasons for downvoting.
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
               | Merman_Mike wrote:
               | .
               | 
               | [just gonna stop commenting on this site]
        
               | pvg wrote:
               | A comment that spawns a lengthy subthread of meta trying
               | to parse out what the commenter actually meant, why
               | precisely they are being downvoted, etc, is bad. As is
               | the subthread of meta.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | > _Is the flamewar tangent part of this the comment on
               | capitalism or "Capitalized medicine"? Doesn't really seem
               | flamie to me but obviously others disagree._
               | 
               | The problem is the generic ideological tangent. You can
               | perhaps (maybe!) imagine a substantive article and thread
               | on the economics of cures vs. treatments. But that would
               | require different initial conditions--primarily an
               | interesting, informative article that brought lots of
               | relevant information. Relevant information is flame
               | retardant.
               | 
               | The situation is different when the _topic_ is  "FDA
               | approves first monthly injectable to treat HIV infection"
               | and the comment is swerving _generically_ into
               | "capitalized medicine". Generic tangents, especially when
               | the impetus is snarky or unsubstantive, make threads
               | reliable less interesting, and generic ideological
               | tangents almost always turn into flamewars. The reason is
               | that there's very little specific information to discuss
               | --that's the meaning of "generic".
               | 
               | Off-topic tangents can be great when they're
               | unpredictable and curious, but generic tangents are the
               | opposite of that. They're more like getting sucked into
               | the gravitational field of a much larger body, if not a
               | black hole, that pulls all nearby topics toward itself
               | and renders them all the same. Avoiding repetition is the
               | biggest problem that a forum like HN--dedicated to
               | curiosity--actually has, so it's a big deal: https://hn.a
               | lgolia.com/?query=curiosity%20repetition%20by:da....
               | 
               | I hope this helps explain things a bit. There are lots of
               | past explanations at https://hn.algolia.com/?query=generi
               | c%20discussion%20by:dang... also, but you'll
               | unfortunately--and ironically--have to wade through some
               | generic repetition to find the interesting bits.
        
         | throwaway292893 wrote:
         | Yeah, that's why the US leads the world in healthcare research.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | dang wrote:
           | " _Don 't be snarky._"
           | 
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
         | dang wrote:
         | " _Eschew flamebait. Don 't introduce flamewar topics unless
         | you have something genuinely new to say. Avoid unrelated
         | controversies and generic tangents._"
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
         | 
         | Especially not generic ideological tangents:
         | https://hn.algolia.com/?query=generic%20ideolog%20by:dang&da...
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | lake-effect wrote:
       | Pharmacy (i.e. the cost of drugs) is a big contributor to rising
       | healthcare costs and injectables are an increasingly more popular
       | and very expensive way to deliver drugs. This is a good example
       | of how R&D and drug development works in the US. Invest time and
       | energy in a much more profitable form of treatment for a disease
       | that is already managed.
        
         | refurb wrote:
         | Pharmacy is about 10% of total healthcare costs so not a major
         | driver of rising healthcare costs, but it gets a lot of media
         | attention.
         | 
         | And no, they didn't create an injectable drug because it's
         | "popular". They did it because it address compliance of oral
         | therapies.
        
         | xiphias2 wrote:
         | All the low hanging fruit for medical treatments have been done
         | already, so right now it's incredibly hard to improve on the
         | situation.
         | 
         | I'm really hopeful though about the genetic revolution that's
         | happening though, I just wish it was happening faster (my
         | girlfriend just got diagnosed with cancer again today :( )
        
       | outlace wrote:
       | Great news. There are definitely a number of people out there
       | who, in part due to social circumstances have difficulty taking
       | meds daily and this will likely help a good proportion of them.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | jennyyang wrote:
       | As someone who grew up in the 80s with the fullblown AIDS crisis,
       | this really is a testament to human ingenuity. When we were kids,
       | this sounded like the end of the world: a virus that attacks the
       | immune system itself. It was so terrifying to hear about such a
       | horrible disease that had no cure, and was so insidious that we
       | couldn't even create a vaccine to stop it.
       | 
       | In a few decades we as a species have found a way not only to
       | completely eradicate it to undetectable levels (it still hides in
       | cells to protect itself) but now we are at a monthly injection.
       | 
       | The way we have created a vaccine for SARS-CoV-2 is also
       | absolutely incredible. It's great to be alive these days, now if
       | only we can get a firm solution over cancer and other diseases
       | like dementia, etc!
        
         | chrisfinazzo wrote:
         | > When we were kids, this sounded like the end of the world: a
         | virus that attacks the immune system itself. It was so
         | terrifying to hear about such a horrible disease that had no
         | cure, and was so insidious that we couldn't even create a
         | vaccine to stop it.
         | 
         | I was born in '86. Even into the 90's this line of thinking
         | hadn't changed all that much. The attitude around most diseases
         | and the like that had a 'social' component was best described
         | as "shock and shame" - e.g, you're screwed long-term and
         | society blamed you.
         | 
         | > In a few decades we as a species have found a way not only to
         | completely eradicate it to undetectable levels (it still hides
         | in cells to protect itself) but now we are at a monthly
         | injection.
         | 
         | I was going to ask how this works until you answered the
         | question for me (if it's undetectable, why isn't this
         | considered cured?) Last I heard research is still trying to
         | figure this out. At the same time, I can remember hepatitis C
         | having a similar wrap in the 90's - 'you have it, and probably
         | always will' - Mavyret/Epclusa changed that. It still blows my
         | mind that the problem is pretty much solved at this point.
         | 
         | Hail Science.
        
       | limeblack wrote:
       | As someone who is bipolar I will say I know many people including
       | myself who _need_ injections to be able to manage life. The
       | injections may be abused by a percent of the population but there
       | is a much smaller percent(disabled mainly) that need them.
        
       | jliptzin wrote:
       | > In 2018, for instance, there were approximately 36,400 newly
       | infected patients living with HIV in the U.S.
       | 
       | It's 2021, why are we only seeing 3 year old HIV infection
       | numbers? How come I can see coronavirus infection numbers updated
       | pretty much _hourly_ but reporting on HIV infection rates in this
       | country is lagging 3 years?
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | COVID takes a few days to show symptoms and get diagnosed. HIV
         | takes a lot longer.
         | 
         | https://www.onlineathens.com/news/2017-11-28/cdc-lag-time-be...
         | 
         | > In their monthly Vital Signs report out Tuesday, the Centers
         | for Disease Control and Prevention reported that the median
         | time between infection and diagnosis with HIV was three years
         | in 2014, about seven months shorter than in 2011.
         | 
         | If you got HIV in 2020, chances are you don't know about it
         | yet.
        
           | FalconSensei wrote:
           | Couldn't find on the linked article, but what's the lag for
           | people who actually get tested?
           | 
           | I mean, seems that this 3 years lag is because people only
           | get tested if they have any apparent health issue and the
           | doctor thinks it might be HIV.
           | 
           | With Covid, it might take a few days for a test show
           | positive, after exposure - say, Christmas dinner. If someone
           | thinks they might have been exposed to HIV, how long until a
           | test can safely tell it's a true negative/positive?
        
           | jliptzin wrote:
           | I understand that, but I don't see what is so complicated
           | about reporting # of HIV tests conducted in a certain
           | timeframe (daily, monthly, whatever) and what portion of
           | those tests came back positive, just like we currently do
           | with coronavirus. It doesn't matter what the lag time is in
           | between being exposed and receiving a positive test. What we
           | are interested in is # of positive tests, why is there a 3
           | year lag here?
        
         | slg wrote:
         | The death toll in the US for COVID over the last year is up to
         | 60% of the total for AIDS deaths over the last 50+ years. That
         | leads to an urgency for COVID data that doesn't quite exist for
         | HIV/AIDS which presumably hasn't been changing as rapidly.
        
           | jliptzin wrote:
           | 1. I would be curious how these stats compare when measured
           | in lost person-years. COVID primarily kills the elderly, AIDS
           | (when untreated) kills everyone.
           | 
           | 2. We have a 40 year head start on HIV vs. COVID. Surely it
           | can't be that hard, in the digital age, to set up a central
           | database with the following columns, updated in real time:
           | [Datetime of Test, Zip code, Result (pos/neg)]
        
             | slg wrote:
             | It isn't that it is hard to set this up. The question is
             | what value is there to setting this up? Especially the way
             | that HIV/AIDS was originally and to a certain extent still
             | is stigmatized. Many people have had friends or family die
             | of AIDS and still refuse to acknowledge that was the reason
             | for their death.
             | 
             | The end result is that not only is this type of project
             | more valuable for a new and rapidly spreading disease like
             | COVID, the bar that the value needs to clear to justify
             | this system is also higher because an HIV/AIDS status is
             | considered more private from a societal standpoint (not
             | necessarily a legal one).
        
         | switch007 wrote:
         | I think you know why. For all our societal progression, we've
         | still got a way to go.
        
         | ihsw wrote:
         | Neither should be reported as they're lifestyle ailments,
         | ailments that occur as a result of poor lifestyle choices.
        
       | dougmwne wrote:
       | I have always heard that Truvada (prep) was extremely effective
       | at preventing HIV infection. These new injectables are reported
       | by the article to be 89% and 66% more effective at preventing
       | transmission.
       | 
       | What is this based on? Was I misinformed about Truvada's
       | effectiveness? Is this a decrease in an already very low chance
       | of transmission? Or is this in comparison to people forgetting to
       | take their daily pills vs a shot that a health care provider had
       | record of administering?
       | 
       | It's currently common in the gay community for sexually active,
       | healthy people to take Truvada proactively to protect against HIV
       | because it's understood to be even more effective than condoms.
       | If there is a better option or if the current option is not as
       | effective as widely believed then standard of care should change.
        
         | heavyset_go wrote:
         | Compliance is a big issue, as is price. In the US, Truvada's
         | retail price is about $2,000 for a 30 day supply. Truvada costs
         | about $40 in other countries.
        
           | taurath wrote:
           | Compliance is a huge issue because health insurance will do a
           | lot to make you jump through huge hoops to get it. I have had
           | prescriptions "disappear" into the CVS "specialty pharmacy"
           | and you have to wait on the phone for hours for them to
           | "find" it.
        
             | maxerickson wrote:
             | I helped my mom deal with 2 specialty pharmacies for some
             | Parkinson's drugs she was taking. The drugs weren't
             | available from other pharmacies (that CVS runs one of the
             | largest specialty pharmacies can make this confusing, but
             | normal CVS probably don't stock it if the prescription goes
             | to their specialty pharmacy).
             | 
             | They present themselves as helping the patient navigate a
             | complex drug, but in practice this just meant they had a
             | bunch of questions to tick off each time you talked to
             | them. Their outreach and phone tree were both pretty bad,
             | clearly designed for high operator utilization and not
             | customer service.
        
         | cestith wrote:
         | I don't have stats, but Biktarvy has been advertised for PReP
         | lately. Descovy is approved by the FDA for such use. The shot
         | is around the same price (at list anyway) as some of the other
         | treatments, so if it's even equally effective the convenience
         | might win.
        
           | vsef wrote:
           | Biktarvy doesn't make any sense for PrEP, Descovy is
           | emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide, Biktarvy is
           | emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide plus an integrase
           | inhibitor which just adds possible additional side effects
           | and isn't necessary.
        
         | Grazester wrote:
         | The article states,
         | 
         | "...abotegravir - a component of Cabenuva - was 89% more
         | effective in preventing infection among women than Truvada"
         | 
         | That 89% when was compared to Truvada.
         | 
         | Do healthcare workers actively take Prep or is it administered
         | within the 72 hour period after exposure?
         | 
         | Prep from what I understand can be hard on the body's organs
         | and you will need to do a kidney function test every few months
         | when on it
        
           | vsef wrote:
           | The side effects are of the type where a small group of users
           | will experience changes in kidney function, and you have to
           | check for it, but the vast majority won't. The side effect
           | profile for most people is very low.
        
           | blithedale wrote:
           | Truvada is PREP. PRE exposure prophylaxis.
           | 
           | PEP =/= PREP. PEP is after the fact treatment, there's more
           | than just Truvada in that protocol.
           | 
           | PEP is typically much harder on the body than PREP.
           | 
           | Most every gay man I know takes PREP with few or no side
           | effects.
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | Truvada is commonly taken proactively by sexually active
           | people in high risk categories. It is true that it has side
           | effects, so the risk of those needs to be balanced against
           | the risk of HIV exposure.
        
             | Grazester wrote:
             | Yes I do know it is take by high risk sexually active
             | people. But I was wondering about health workers themselves
             | and in what health field exactly.
        
         | daniel957 wrote:
         | Logistics-wise, it's easier to get someone to come into the
         | doctors for blood work every 3 months for testing (as required
         | for prep) than once a month for a shot.
         | 
         | However, from reading the article, I do think there's a
         | convenience factor at play related to the struggles of taking
         | pills daily.
         | 
         | Note though, the article mentioned a trial of _women_ where
         | truvada and one-shot prevention effectiveness were compared and
         | the one-shot was deemed 89% more effective.
         | 
         | A quick search explains _why_ this might be the case for women.
         | Basically, it takes more truvada to get rid of the disease in
         | vaginal and cervical tissue than it takes for rectal tissue.
         | 
         | Source: https://www.uspharmacist.com/article/why-do-women-need-
         | highe...
         | 
         | Also, doctors have been recommending a different drug, Descovy,
         | for prep instead of Truvada. This isn't due to effectiveness
         | but side effects I believe. I guess if one experienced side
         | effects though, they would be less likely to continue taking
         | the medicine.
        
           | damnyou wrote:
           | I'm not sure about this one but subcutaneous and
           | intramuscular injectables are pretty easy to self-administer.
           | I self-inject once a week myself.
           | 
           | https://www.poz.com/drug/cabenuva seems to suggest it is
           | intramuscular (administered in the buttocks, which is not
           | hard to do by oneself) but requires a healthcare provider.
           | Not sure why, there might be storage requirements and such.
        
             | daniel957 wrote:
             | I think people would rather prefer to take a pill than give
             | themselves an injection. It doesn't matter if it's "easy"
             | or not. There's the "ick" or "ahhh needle" or "breaking
             | skin" factor at play.
             | 
             | Even if you self-inject and find it easy, I'm sure you're
             | not saying it's easier and less of a hassle than taking a
             | pill lmao.
        
               | damnyou wrote:
               | It is in fact much easier and less of a hassle (for me)
               | than taking a pill everyday, which is what I used to do
               | before I switched to injectables.
               | 
               | Injectables seemed scary right until the moment when I
               | started taking them, after which they became a normal
               | part of my life.
        
               | daniel957 wrote:
               | In what way is it easier besides you saying that it's
               | easier? You have a hard time swallowing pills I guess? Or
               | do you remember to take injections more because they
               | stand out more in your mind than pills do?
               | 
               | EDIT: Not sure why this is getting downvoted. Since when
               | on HN is it acceptable for someone to say "I think this
               | way so it must be a fact" without providing an
               | explanation? Even when it comes to subjectivity, there's
               | an expectation that people share why they believe in
               | their opinion, right?
               | 
               | I swear I dislike this site and the people who use it
               | more and more every week.
        
               | damnyou wrote:
               | I'm pretty sure that "easier" is a subjective
               | determination. But no, I don't have a hard time
               | swallowing pills. It's just that doing something once a
               | week is easier than having to remember to do something
               | everyday. The injections are also more effective for me,
               | as they are here. And finally there's an aesthetic aspect
               | to plunging a needle into one's muscle that I appreciate.
        
               | daniel957 wrote:
               | Yes, it's subjective to some extent, hence why I asked in
               | what way is it easier beside you just saying that it is?
               | I left out "to you" but I thought the HN community was a
               | bit smarter than that. Even if you had said "it's easier
               | to me. Full stop," I still would have written the same
               | reply...
               | 
               | All you said was "it's easier" in your original point.
               | You obviously felt the need to clarify yourself in your
               | most recent comment. So clearly your first comment was
               | lacking information. There was no reason to downvote me
               | just because you felt my original comment made you look
               | stupid.
               | 
               | FWIW, even though "easy" is subjective, there's still a
               | consensus to be considered. For example, finding piercing
               | your skin with a needle to be an asthetically-pleasing
               | act does not fit that consensus...
               | 
               | Something that _does_ fit the consensus is that taking a
               | pill every day is a hassle.
               | 
               | Stop being facetious just to prove a point.
        
               | damnyou wrote:
               | I did not downvote you, for the record. I thought your
               | questions were useful and I hope I answered them to the
               | best of my ability.
               | 
               | This pandemic has been hard on all of us. Take care.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | daniel957 wrote:
               | He edited his comment to say "(for me)" after I had
               | replied.
        
               | stickfigure wrote:
               | Depo-Provera (monthly injected contraceptive) is used by
               | over 2 million women in the US.
        
               | daniel957 wrote:
               | Ok... and 10.6 million use birth control pills according
               | to the CDC.
               | 
               | Also, just because something appears convenient doesn't
               | mean that it actually is.
               | 
               | Have you looked up how many women use one of those
               | invasive contraceptive implants?
               | 
               | Technically, a woman only has to get a new implant once
               | every 4 years+. But have you not read the horror stories
               | about the implants becoming dislodged and causing
               | internal bleeding and severe damage?
        
         | gizmo686 wrote:
         | It is a decrease in already low transmission. For ethical
         | reasons, the placebo group is not no treatment, but rather
         | current standard of care.
         | 
         | I had to do some digging to find any source on the
         | effectiveness on preventing transmission (the recent FDA
         | approval is for post infection treatment).
         | 
         | The study I found is [0]. In a double blinded study of 4,600
         | participants, half were given the cabotegravir injection, and
         | half were given the daily oral treatment. The study notes a
         | "high level of adherence to oral therapy"; however, the actual
         | numbers on adherence are:
         | 
         | > Adherence to oral FTC/TDF was high, based on a random subset
         | sampling that detected tenofovir (> 0.31 ng/ml) in 87% of all
         | samples tested.
         | 
         | I'm not qualified to say if this actually indicates 87%
         | adherence, or if a fully compliant patient may get a negative
         | result on that test.
         | 
         | The result of this study was that 50 particpants got HIV, of
         | which 12 were on the injectable and 38 were on the oral.
         | 
         | By my calculation, this gives a relative effectiveness of
         | (38-13)/38 = 68.4%, although the paper reports 69%.
         | 
         | [0] https://viivhealthcare.com/en-us/us-news/us-
         | articles/2020/gl...
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | This is awesome, thank you! The likelihood of pill compliance
           | does seem to be probably higher than normal since everyone
           | had 2 month follow-up appointments for injections, plus
           | presumably they knew they were being blood tested. This looks
           | like a game changer for HIV prevention. 6 shots a year and
           | you can have better protection than any other known method.
           | To me it looks like this is something that should be rapidly
           | adopted.
        
           | erosenbe0 wrote:
           | Cabotegravir is somewhat novel -- not a recompounding of
           | current therapy with different pharmacokinetics.
           | 
           | Americans aren't going to develop an efficient approach that
           | is not highly encumbered because the FDA stacks the deck
           | against approval of efficient solutions in favor of whatever
           | makes the most total profit. So you'll see that sort of thing
           | approved overseas and we'll get it (or not) in a decade or
           | maybe never.
        
           | Blikkentrekker wrote:
           | > _It is a decrease in already low transmission. For ethical
           | reasons, the placebo group is not no treatment, but rather
           | current standard of care._
           | 
           | I see nothing wrong with sacrificing a few men, who consent
           | and sign up and know the risk, for the far larger majority.
           | 
           | If better drugs can be developed that would serve millions by
           | sacrificing a hundred consenting subjects that know they run
           | this risk, that seems like an overall benefit to me.
           | 
           | It seems rather irrational to not be willing to do this. --
           | _It is fine if men die, so long as their blood not be on my
           | hands directly, but only indirectly._
        
             | apendleton wrote:
             | Yikes. There's absolutely no reason to do this. You get
             | equally useful results by comparing to current standard of
             | care, and that's the thing you ultimately need to measure
             | for approval of a treatment for which existing treatments
             | exist anyway (the FDA wouldn't approve a drug that's better
             | than nothing but markedly worse than the current standard
             | of care, so that's the benchmark).
        
               | Blikkentrekker wrote:
               | Then why isn't it done as such in all instances?
               | 
               | It seems that whenever a perfect placebo be permissible,
               | that is what is being used rather than the current
               | standard of care.
               | 
               | Soldiers can be sent to their death for oil and other
               | resources that benefit the larger majority? but this is
               | "yikes"?, not a phrase I find to occur in conjunction
               | with rational decisions often.
        
               | apendleton wrote:
               | > Then why isn't it done as such in all instances?
               | 
               | It is. Control groups are no-treatment if no approved
               | treatment exists, or current standard of care if there's
               | an approved treatment. That's standard practice.
               | 
               | > It seems that whenever a perfect placebo be
               | permissible, that is what is being used rather than the
               | current standard of care.
               | 
               | If by "perfect placebo," you mean "no treatment," that's
               | not correct, and is considered unethical.
        
               | Blikkentrekker wrote:
               | > _It is. Control groups are no-treatment if no approved
               | treatment exists, or current standard of care if there 's
               | an approved treatment. That's standard practice._
               | 
               | I've read plenty of pharmaceutical trials where the
               | control was a plain placebo, not the current standard of
               | care, when it not involve a life threatening illness.
               | 
               | https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00061802
               | 
               | Clearly this antipsychotics trial does not evaluate the
               | drug 's effectiveness against the current standard of
               | care's, but against a placebo's.
               | 
               | > _If by "perfect placebo," you mean "no treatment,"
               | that's not correct, and is considered unethical._
               | 
               | I mean giving them a drug that lacks an active ingredient
               | but is otherwise not to the lay eye discriminatable from
               | an effective drug.
               | 
               | And that is very much what is done in the case of the
               | antipsychotics medicine I showed. So it's only unethical
               | when human lives be at stake, apparently.
        
         | whimsicalism wrote:
         | > Was I misinformed about Truvada's effectiveness?
         | 
         | No, effectively used Truvada works very well.
         | 
         | > Or is this in comparison to people forgetting to take their
         | daily pills vs a shot that a health care provider had record of
         | administering?
         | 
         | Probably almost certainly yes or it's just a small improvement
         | at the margin.
        
       | perardi wrote:
       | As someone who is in this high-risk community: good news.
       | 
       |  _(Well, except for that price tag.)_
       | 
       | People, to a first approximation, are just terrible at pill
       | compliance. Doesn't matter the demographics, people just aren't
       | perfect at taking a pill, every day, at the same time, forever
       | and ever. Having that injection where you can set it and forget
       | it? Nice advance. Not game-changing, but still a nice move
       | forward.
       | 
       | And I think it'll be a bigger move forward for people who are at
       | high risk of HIV, but also have not great access to medical care
       | where they live. If you...oh boy, here I go, potentially getting
       | into trouble. Non-white and/or non-affluent communities tend to
       | come down much harder on homosexuality. It is much more discreet
       | to get a periodic shot than heading to Walgreen's and bringing
       | home a bottle full of blue pills. It's safer. It's a bit more
       | private.
        
         | tyingq wrote:
         | It's a shame that PrEP is still so expensive.
        
           | perardi wrote:
           | It's frustrating that it's so expensive for the most at-risk
           | communities in the US.
           | 
           | Because you can totally work the systems to get it
           | affordably. Besides insurance, there are clinics, there are
           | coupons, there are programs...but you have to have the
           | information literacy and the time to figure out how to jump
           | through all those hoops.
           | 
           | Me, I work remotely, I have insurance, I live on the north
           | side of Chicago, I can get my Truvada easily. You live on the
           | west side of Chicago with no Howard Brown nearby, and you
           | work a service sector job where your hours are
           | algorithmically doled out to you? Far, far harder.
        
             | monopoledance wrote:
             | I think, same as with vaccinations, this clearly highlights
             | how all of society really benefits from universal health
             | care. In fact, why isn't preventable infectious disease
             | talked more about in that debate? Pretty obvious, no?
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | SargeZT wrote:
           | It is expensive, but it is accessible. Truvada for PrEP has a
           | program both for insured patients that covers co-pays up to
           | $7,200 per year (I pay zero dollars a year because of this),
           | and a medication assistance program for uninsured patients
           | where after signing up and meeting eligibility requirements
           | (which are basically 'are you at risk of getting HIV' and
           | 'are you not wealthy to the point where you should definitely
           | be able to afford insurance') you receive the medication at
           | zero cost.
           | 
           | This is true of many medications, but Truvada is especially
           | famous for it. As a gay man I have a lot of friends on it,
           | and because of the aforementioned program, only two of the
           | thirty+ pay any co-pay at all, and it's something like 20
           | bucks for them.
        
           | monopoledance wrote:
           | After long, long pressure from activists, PrEP is now covered
           | by insurance in Europe (at least Germany). Same as the
           | accompanying monthly(?) bloodwork for potential side effects
           | (liver damage?), of course.
        
       | afrojack123 wrote:
       | Subscription based healthcare. lol
        
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       (page generated 2021-01-26 23:00 UTC)