[HN Gopher] Periodical cicada Brood X will emerge in 15 states i...
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       Periodical cicada Brood X will emerge in 15 states in 2021
        
       Author : irthomasthomas
       Score  : 87 points
       Date   : 2021-01-19 12:52 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cicadamania.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cicadamania.com)
        
       | Teknoman117 wrote:
       | Interesting. I had remembered one spring/summer in Illinois from
       | my childhood where there were just so many cicadas. Everytime the
       | wind shifted you'd hear them drone on, the buzzing slowly
       | shifting between loud and soft all day. The volume was quite
       | remarkable.
       | 
       | I hadn't thought about it in a long time. Fun memories.
        
         | rotexo wrote:
         | One of the things I really miss about home: summer bug noises.
         | Generally just don't get them in Berkeley.
        
           | hateful wrote:
           | This may have less to do with your location and more to do
           | with overall trends
           | https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/05/where-have-all-
           | insec...
        
       | sjaak wrote:
       | Quick, buy sesame seed futures!
        
         | odomojuli wrote:
         | For those who don't get the reference:
         | 
         | There's a scene in Silicon Valley based on a story about Peter
         | Thiel.
         | 
         | The scene involves the idea of 'prime collision' and cicada
         | cycles.
         | 
         | http://valleywag.gawker.com/the-peter-thiel-sesame-seed-scen...
        
       | arusahni wrote:
       | I remember being on my college's campus when this brood hit the
       | mid-Atlantic 17 years ago. The sidewalks on the quad were
       | occasionally crunchy.
        
         | whimsicalism wrote:
         | Where I lived in DC, people served them to eat dipped in
         | chocolate.
        
           | lsllc wrote:
           | It's a delicacy for the lizard people from the moon!
           | 
           | /s
        
       | dunefox wrote:
       | "What is Brood X, the infestation coming in 2021? They're big.
       | They're incredibly loud. And they're coming by the billions."
       | "That phenomenon is named Brood X, or the Great Eastern Brood"
       | 
       | That sounds like something from Starcraft or Warhammer 40k.
        
         | mkl95 wrote:
         | It is straight out of Metroid, where X is a parasitic virus,
         | and SA-X is the main antagonist of Metroid Fusion.
         | https://metroid.fandom.com/wiki/SA-X
        
           | santoshalper wrote:
           | Also, can we take a moment to acknowledge how awesome
           | "cicadamania.com" is? It feels like a throwback to when the
           | internet was cool.
           | 
           | Everything about this story made be smile. Except, you know,
           | for the swarms of cicadas flooding our country. That part was
           | a little less cool.
        
           | joezydeco wrote:
           | It's a Roman numeral. Group 10.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | bitwize wrote:
         | We are Broodax! We are born in flesh:
         | 
         | https://www.penny-arcade.com/comic/2007/05/04/the-broodax-im...
        
       | 11thEarlOfMar wrote:
       | Fond childhood memories....
       | 
       | Playing 'tennis' as they fly across the yard. Dad was not pleased
       | with cicada wings and goo dried on his favorite racket.
       | 
       | The cat eating so many he vomits.
       | 
       | The combined sound of thousands within earshot is not to be
       | believed.
       | 
       | I actually checked air fares, thinking about 'cicada tourism'...
        
       | throwanem wrote:
       | I'm looking forward to this! Granted, wasps will I think always
       | be my favorites for macro photography - there's just something
       | about getting to see them so close and in such detail that
       | appeals to me in a way I don't quite know how to describe. But I
       | didn't have a macro lens for the last significant brood emergence
       | here, back in 2017, and especially after the privations of 2020's
       | lockdowns I think I'll really enjoy the opportunity to see
       | cicadas in the same kind of detail.
        
       | reportingsjr wrote:
       | I live right in the heart of this brood's range (Cincinnati,
       | Ohio) and was about 10 years old the last time it emerged. I'm
       | super excited for this spring/summer! It is an incredible sight
       | and sound to see so many cicadas everywhere!
        
       | silicon2401 wrote:
       | What an interesting phenomenon to experience. I was a kid during
       | the 2004 surge and it was incredibly striking. Literally
       | everywhere you looked outside, the ground was covered with dead
       | cicadas, and it was even difficult to just walk outdoors without
       | a cicada flying into you or landing on you. If you haven't seen a
       | cicada, imagine an insect about the size of a man's thumb, with
       | wings about as long.
       | 
       | As a kid it was novel, if gross, With people cooped up inside
       | these days, I feel like it'll be less of an issue.
        
         | echelon wrote:
         | > If you haven't seen a cicada, imagine an insect about the
         | size of a man's thumb, with wings about as long.
         | 
         | The whole thumb. And that's just the length.
         | 
         | They're bigger than large cockroaches.
         | 
         | https://i.pinimg.com/originals/9b/06/00/9b0600f601c8bfada378...
         | 
         | > With people cooped up inside these days, I feel like it'll be
         | less of an issue.
         | 
         | It'll sound nice. They produce an incredibly calming, "summer"
         | sound.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xj7ylgj2JlQ
        
           | quercusa wrote:
           | And they are hunted by huge Cicada-Killer Wasps which sting
           | them and fly off with them to bury them.
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sphecius_speciosus
        
       | hristov wrote:
       | So we have had the tyrant, we have had the plague, I guess it is
       | time for the locusts.
        
         | fnord123 wrote:
         | These are cicadas. Locusts look like grasshoppers.
         | 
         | And I'm very fun at parties "[[chl[?]ch]]no
        
           | mckirk wrote:
           | Oh god, you are melting! Are you okay?!
        
       | tripplethreat wrote:
       | I was expecting some site about the old Cicada-something "group",
       | which caused quite a scene a couple of years ago, but instead
       | entered a rabbit hole on the actual insect.
       | 
       | Great info, and we do have a lot of Cicadas here in Brazil at
       | this time of the year, wonder if perhaps there are similar
       | broods.
        
         | motohagiography wrote:
         | Hah!, The headline triggered my automatic counting of letters
         | and segments looking for prime number cribs as well. Have so
         | far resisted the urge to check pixel dimensions on images,
         | stego fingerprints, hidden rune thumbnails, exif data, but what
         | happens if I xor these images together...
         | 
         | K, no more internet today.
        
         | likpok wrote:
         | There are both annual and periodic cicadas. I lived through a
         | 17 year bloom (there are also 13 year cicadas in the US), and
         | it's quite different from the usual numbers.
         | 
         | According to wiki, it seems like the periodic broods are solely
         | within the US/Canada.
        
       | fingerlocks wrote:
       | It's odd that the data for the locations of emergence happen to
       | respect state lines. Is there no data for South Carolina, or do
       | cicadas prefer not to visit that state? Perhaps the website says
       | somewhere, but I didn't go down that rabbit hole.
       | 
       | I noticed this because Alabama is not listed as one of the 15
       | states, despite being nearly surrounded by cicada observations.
       | And I know from experience that the northern part of the state
       | gets swarmed with cicadas when they emerge.
        
         | odomojuli wrote:
         | Few observations:
         | 
         | Cicada groups split off while they occupied glaciated
         | territory. The Appalachia mountain range is famously, formed by
         | glaciers. The Valley and Ridge part of Appalachia, was a major
         | highway of immigration and colonization. It is more likely that
         | territory borders respect the geography and that the brood
         | respects geography, rather than to each other.
         | 
         | A rough inspection of the brood distribution and the
         | continental divides shows approximate respect to the St.
         | Lawrence and Eastern Continental Divide.
         | 
         | There also seems to be some respect to the division between
         | Mississipi Flyway and Atlantic flyway, which are bird migration
         | routes.
         | 
         | It is my understanding that an organism highly dependent on
         | deciduous forests will respect those regions and this includes
         | most of the South.
         | 
         | Turns out, humans like deciduous forests too. They're useful
         | for timber, charcoal and potash (fertilizer). The borders of
         | this territory lines up pretty squarely with the border to
         | Canada. That makes civilization a predator of the cicada
         | through deforestation. The Onondaga brood is named for the
         | Onondaga people.
         | 
         | As I understand, the Brood distribution effort is done by
         | crowdsourcing.
         | 
         | Given the longevity of the brood cycle and the inconsistency in
         | historical record, it could very well just be the case that the
         | recency of this effort has not synced with an emergence.
         | 
         | That's my guess why cicadas and humans line up.
         | 
         | More practically, cicada cycles provided a necessary
         | evolutionary flush of nutrients, bacteria and fungi across the
         | distributions. They breed in such overwhelming numbers that the
         | entire ecosystem of predators is likely to prosper from their
         | emergence. So perhaps humans settle where there is game and
         | timber, and where there is game and timber it is likely that
         | the area prospered from a cicada cycle.
        
       | ortusdux wrote:
       | I had not thought about the possibility of a connection between
       | locust and the increasing popularity of no-till farming. As I
       | understand it, tilling is one of the primary causes of the
       | decrease in locust swarm population and frequency over the last
       | 100 years. No-till is on the rise, reaching 21% in 2017. I wonder
       | if we will start to see more swarms in the future.
        
       | juancampa wrote:
       | Enjoy your sesame seeds while you can [1]. Serious question
       | though, can these really have a devastating effect on agriculture
       | these days?
       | 
       | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kxh2X6NjuhY
        
         | spaetzleesser wrote:
         | I was in DC in 2004 when they came out last time. I don't
         | recall any concerns about agriculture and nothing in our yard
         | got damaged. You just had to clean up a lot of dead cicadas. I
         | think most of their feeding is done underground and they come
         | out to mate and then die. It's not like locusts that eat
         | everything in their way. Birds were super happy though.
         | 
         | It stlll impresses me that they are better at keeping track of
         | years than I am.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | I've only once seen an outbreak of locusts and I hope I'll
         | never see one again, it still gives me the creeps more than a
         | decade later. _Everything_ covered in insects, as far as you
         | could see. This was in Northern Canada, just South of Sudbury,
         | near the Magnetawan river.
         | 
         | I'd never seen anything like that ever before, I had to stop
         | for gas, saw a few insects land, went in to pay and by the time
         | I wanted to go back to the car it was literally covered in
         | insects, there was no way to get into it without bringing a few
         | hundred of them along. I ended up waiting out the worst of it.
         | 
         | Horror movies really don't capture the feeling well.
        
           | SamBam wrote:
           | Locusts have been extinct in North America since about 1930.
           | 
           | The biggest plague used to be the Rocky Mountain locust,
           | which would cover every surface for days, utterly destroying
           | farms. Those went extinct in about 1905. The High Plains
           | Locusts went extinct in about 1930. [1]
           | 
           | There are various theories about why they went extinct --
           | something to do with what the settlers and farmers were doing
           | to the land. But it wasn't an obvious culprit like pesticide,
           | which wasn't really in widespread use until about the 40s.
           | 
           | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rocky_Mountain_locust
        
           | thaumasiotes wrote:
           | > I've only once seen an outbreak of locusts and I hope I'll
           | never see one again, it still gives me the creeps more than a
           | decade later. _Everything_ covered in insects, as far as you
           | could see.
           | 
           | There is a locust swarm in _Things Fall Apart_ (a work of
           | fiction) which is viewed as cause for celebration. The
           | locusts cover everything and eat the crops -- but they can be
           | harvested and eaten themselves.
        
             | markdown wrote:
             | > Things Fall Apart
             | 
             | A devastating tale. We had to read it in school.
        
           | arthurcolle wrote:
           | At least there aren't ever any spider outbreaks. I don't
           | think my spirit could handle it.
        
             | dharmab wrote:
             | ... we've all heard the factoid that the average person
             | supposedly eats 4 spiders per second. This statistic is
             | misleading; it's based on a study examining on the peak
             | rate of spider consumption in areas where the spider-
             | streams are densest. The global average rate is probably
             | closer to 1 spider per second (obviously higher while
             | asleep than while awake) ...
             | 
             | - https://what-if.xkcd.com/120/
        
               | _ihaque wrote:
               | (For those who didn't click, note that What-If #120 is
               | "Excerpts from What If articles written in a world which,
               | thankfully, is not the one we live in")
        
               | danaris wrote:
               | Nah, we all know it's just a statistical problem, and the
               | real culprit is Spiders Georg
               | https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/spiders-georg
        
               | arthurcolle wrote:
               | I don't really get this meme.
        
             | nitrogen wrote:
             | I feel like I've seen a video of tons of spiders flying
             | overhead somewhere...
        
               | quercusa wrote:
               | I saw that one time high (as in feet above sea level) on
               | Mt. Lassen (N. California). The sky was full of little
               | sparkly web-strands; it was very cool.
        
             | rriepe wrote:
             | They might just be using very high prime numbers.
        
             | arcticfox wrote:
             | I was just in the Brazilian Amazon, and there was a funny
             | moment there re: spiders... I stepped out onto a small
             | floating dock and my weight sank the bottom of the dock
             | below water level. There were probably ~100 spiders of all
             | sizes that immediately emerged around my feet from between
             | the slats as they were forced out from their homes
             | underneath the dock.
             | 
             | Fortunately I don't mind spiders much, but it did look like
             | a scene out of a horror movie.
        
               | arthurcolle wrote:
               | Thanks for the details. I've now added a new entry to my
               | list of places never to go. I do hope those little guys
               | were able to resettle somewhere less prone to
               | anthropogenic climate change ;)
               | 
               | Places to Avoid, list written + maintained by Arthur
               | Colle:
               | 
               | [] Deep space [added: after seeing Gravity]
               | 
               | [] Mariana Trench [added: after seeing Underwater]
               | 
               | [] Amazon rainforest [NEW, added: 2021-01-20]
        
               | dwighttk wrote:
               | My brother told me to climb under an outdoor couch in
               | Texas when I was about 6 and I was immediately covered by
               | hundreds of harvestmen (aka daddy long legs.) I remember
               | being startled and yelling for help but was not
               | permanently scarred or anything. Spiders only creep me
               | out the usual amount.
        
             | nanomonkey wrote:
             | There are tarantula migrations during mating season in the
             | fall. If you live in the Bay Area, you can see them up at
             | Mount Diablo State Park.
        
               | arthurcolle wrote:
               | Migrations, like, they are just walking across the ground
               | or something?
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | Must've been a good duck and goose hunting season that year
           | and the next though!
        
           | dugmartin wrote:
           | Cicadas aren't locusts. They don't really swarm like locusts
           | its just that there are a lot of them at the same time.
           | Locusts are really just stressed out grasshoppers.
        
           | lhorie wrote:
           | I'm actually worried they won't show up in the numbers
           | they're expected to. I've read several old stories about
           | thick clouds of birds and/or insects literally eclipsing the
           | sun (the biblical plagues of egypt is one notorious example),
           | but then I also read some recent articles about how some
           | species that used to show up seasonally in large swarms
           | suddenly had their numbers drastically decreased one year
           | (monarch butterflies are a famous instance of this)
        
             | xattt wrote:
             | An echo of the clouds of birds is a daily "commute" of
             | black crows in Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island.
             | 
             | Around sunrise, they head to forested land northeast of the
             | city. At sundown, they head back to their roosting grounds
             | in Victoria Park. The sky is filled with hundreds of crows
             | for approximately 10 to 15 minutes during this rush hour.
             | It's absolutely fascinating to watch.
             | 
             | Every so often, you get to be "lucky" winner of them
             | roosting in a tree in your back yard overnight. They cackle
             | throughout the night. Anything under the tree will be caked
             | in droppings by morning.
        
               | acct776 wrote:
               | Are they protected....?
               | 
               | I wouldn't stand for that....uh...shit.
        
               | reportingsjr wrote:
               | What a childish and selfish thing to say. You should be
               | ashamed of yourself.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | SllX wrote:
               | Does the self-protection and vengeance of a crow society
               | count?
        
               | kazinator wrote:
               | The term "murder of crows" contains a clear message to
               | those who are attuned.
        
             | throwanem wrote:
             | As I understand it, the largest consensus around probable
             | cause for that decrease has to do with neonicotinoid
             | pesticides, which both bioaccumulate and also affect many
             | more species than their intended targets. I don't actually
             | know whether larvae of a brood that's been underground for
             | over a decade would be more or less likely to be exposed to
             | concentrations significant enough to do harm.
        
       | 4gotunameagain wrote:
       | From wikipedia:
       | 
       | > The emergence period of large prime numbers (13 and 17 years)
       | was hypothesized to be a predator avoidance strategy adopted to
       | eliminate the possibility of potential predators receiving
       | periodic population boosts by synchronizing their own generations
       | to divisors of the cicada emergence period. Another viewpoint
       | holds that the prime-numbered developmental times represent an
       | adaptation to prevent hybridization between broods with different
       | cycles during a period of heavy selection pressure brought on by
       | isolated and lowered populations during Pleistocene glacial
       | stadia, and that predator satiation is a short-term maintenance
       | strategy.
       | 
       | Wow.
        
         | dmit wrote:
         | Classic devops trick. Schedule your jobs at prime intervals -
         | this way it's much less likely to get concentrated waves of
         | traffic at 0:00, or 12:00, or in exact 15-minute increments.
        
           | WmyEE0UsWAwC2i wrote:
           | Thia avoids collisions as long as the process takes less than
           | one unit of time to complete.
           | 
           | If not, processes that take more than one unit will overlap
           | eventually[0]
           | 
           | [0] Advent of code 2020, day 13.
           | https://adventofcode.com/2020/day/13
        
           | odomojuli wrote:
           | Addendum: Don't just pick any prime numbers. The Babylonians
           | devised our time system because it's highly composite or
           | 'antiprime'.
           | 
           | So obvious primes such as 2, 3 and 5 won't do.
        
           | rdtsc wrote:
           | Excellent advice. Good for programming in general when it
           | comes to sleeps or waits and such. If you have multiples of
           | 10s everywhere when an error happens every, say, 10 or 20
           | seconds, it might be hard to tell where it's coming from. But
           | if you make them relatively prime to each other, you can can
           | easily tell: "Oh it happens every 37 seconds? I know exactly
           | what that is!"
        
           | DiggyJohnson wrote:
           | Wow. This one simple trick actually just made my day. Cheers.
        
         | ZeljkoS wrote:
         | There is an entire Numberphile video dedicated to that:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j7jfHM-mMC4
        
       | dwighttk wrote:
       | This is weird. I graduated outdoors in spring of 2005 and I
       | remember a lot of cicada noise and people talked about this brood
       | X being in 2005 not 2004. I usually would just assume my memory
       | was off by one but I know which year I graduated.
        
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       (page generated 2021-01-20 23:01 UTC)