[HN Gopher] No evidence Vitamin D affects Covid severity in peop...
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       No evidence Vitamin D affects Covid severity in people of European
       ancestry
        
       Author : bdz
       Score  : 17 points
       Date   : 2021-01-18 19:10 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.brunel.ac.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.brunel.ac.uk)
        
       | OnlyMortal wrote:
       | When I heard the original report on vitamin d deficiency and
       | getting seriously ill from COVID, my first thought was people who
       | have sedentary lives tend not to be outdoors been active.
       | 
       | I'll add an assumption that this may also follow with another
       | correlation that diabetics suffer more from COVID for perhaps the
       | same sedentary reasons.
       | 
       | Might be nonsense but correlation doesn't have to mean cause -
       | arguing against myself and bad science.
       | 
       | Any opinions from a clinician?
        
       | Anthony-G wrote:
       | Studies that show no evidence of a particular phenomenon tend not
       | to get the same degree of publicity that studies showing
       | something do - but it's great that scientists are making the
       | effort to determine if a particular correlation is a result of
       | causation. The conclusion of this study is that Europeans (people
       | with other ancestry were not covered in the study) with naturally
       | high levels of Vitamin D don't suffer less from Covid 19 than
       | those without. Regardless, it's still not a bad idea to take
       | Vitamin D supplements for other health benefits.
        
         | Anthony-G wrote:
         | Too late to edit: I meant to qualify the last sentence that
         | Vitamin D supplements are probably more beneficial in winter,
         | for people not exposing their skin to sun or those with high
         | levels of melanin.
         | 
         | For context, related HN submission on this issue - Lack of
         | Vitamin D is associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and
         | mortality: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25618273
        
       | Jkvngt wrote:
       | This is one meta-study, it's not exactly proof.
        
         | oehtXRwMkIs wrote:
         | There are no proofs in science.
        
           | JoshuaDavid wrote:
           | No, but randomized controlled trials provide much more
           | evidence than correlational studies. I'll admit I don't fully
           | understand the methods these researchers use, so it's
           | possible that they address the common problems, but
           | historically conclusions from trying to establish causal
           | relationships through data mining have not had a great track
           | record. The bits I did understand seem solid enough (vitamin
           | D and obesity levels 10-15 years ago, when the participants
           | were enrolled, and now _should_ be pretty highly correlated,
           | and the sample size is pretty large) but there are a lot of
           | non-obvious pitfalls when trying to establish causality with
           | purely observational methods.
        
       | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
       | Here's the paper:
       | https://nutrition.bmj.com/content/bmjnph/early/2021/01/07/bm...
       | 
       | Essentially, they appear to have used stratification on genetic
       | factors to reduce potential confounders and improve their ability
       | to get a less biased estimate.
       | 
       | This seems reasonably solid to me, from a brief overview of the
       | methods section (I'm not an expert though, so there may be flaws
       | I missed).
       | 
       | Definitely some countervailing evidence against Vit-D being
       | _directly_ related. There 's almost certainly some third factor
       | between Vit-D and health, but we don't yet have a good sense for
       | what that might be.
       | 
       | Note that the study is only analysing data for White British
       | individuals, so if you are of a different ethnicity there may
       | still be hope for you ;)
        
         | tomjen3 wrote:
         | >There's almost certainly some third factor between Vit-D and
         | health
         | 
         | A healthy balanced diet and (outdoor) life/exercise?
         | 
         | Regardless it seems that a lack of vitamin D is bad for you, so
         | even if it doesn't directly help with Covid taking suplements
         | seems a nobrainer to me.
        
           | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
           | Yeah, that's my prior.
           | 
           | Rather difficult to measure and put into an RCT though,
           | unfortunately.
        
         | aeternum wrote:
         | Seems flawed to me. When the individuals with genetic factors
         | that make them Vit-D deficient go to the doctor, they will
         | almost certainly be told to take Vit-D supplements at a higher
         | rate than those without the genetic factor. This confounds the
         | results and makes this type of study useless as it does not
         | measure actual vitamin-D levels.
        
       | karpour wrote:
       | There really needs to be a proper big trial conducted on this.
       | There's too much evidence pointing to a possible link between
       | Vitamin D supplements and better Covid outcomes for people with
       | Vitamin D deficiency to dismiss it based on one meta-study.
        
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       (page generated 2021-01-18 23:03 UTC)