[HN Gopher] How Darwin Thought (2016)
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How Darwin Thought (2016)
Author : Vigier
Score : 11 points
Date : 2021-01-04 01:16 UTC (1 days ago)
(HTM) web link (fs.blog)
(TXT) w3m dump (fs.blog)
| ncmncm wrote:
| Modern science favors the opposite of Darwin's method. Papers
| noting results dispredicted by the prevailing consensus theory
| are harder to publish, and much harder to get discussed. Calling
| attention to them is considered career-limiting (although it
| makes good copy in the popular press).
|
| Even today, the large majority of papers on Alzheimer's assume
| amyloids are the root cause, despite decades of utter failure.
| Magnetic-confinement fusion draws more money than ever -- now,
| even VC money -- despite break-even and practical power
| generation being predicted no less distant than 50 years ago;
| difficulties known of back then but not considered worthy topics
| stall progress today; others, their equals, remain unpopular.
| Causal theory was understood a century ago, but suppressed by the
| Statistics mandarinate, apparently in large part because it
| supported the claim that smoking caused cancer. It is discussed
| today largely as a result of Judea Pearl's revival of those
| century-old results, after its opponents' death.
|
| Nature doesn't have a consensus; a minority alternative that
| accounts for the same phenomena is equal, in nature's eye, to an
| older model, and it and the older model can both be equally
| wrong. Often both alternatives are contradicted by evidence, so
| which prevails depends on which evidence is systematically
| ignored. The expression, "Extraordinary claims demand
| extraordinary evidence" is most usually used to suppress the
| ordinary, dispredicted evidence that Darwin's method would place
| front and center.
|
| Max Planck is quoted, "Science advances one funeral at a time".
| Modern institutions seem designed to enforce it.
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