[HN Gopher] AMD's desktop CPU share passes Intel's for first tim...
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       AMD's desktop CPU share passes Intel's for first time in 15 years
        
       Author : giuliomagnifico
       Score  : 118 points
       Date   : 2021-01-04 18:43 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.techspot.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.techspot.com)
        
       | theandrewbailey wrote:
       | How are these numbers calculated? According to the linked
       | Passmark page[0]:
       | 
       | > This graph showing AMD and Intel market share is made up of
       | thousands of PerformanceTest benchmark results and is updated
       | daily.
       | 
       | > This graph counts the baselines submitted to us during these
       | time period and therefore is representative of CPUs in use rather
       | than CPUs purchased.
       | 
       | Since this is a benchmarking site, enthusiasts are probably
       | overrepresented. I'm positive that there are more Intel CPUs
       | being used in desktops than AMD.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.cpubenchmark.net/market_share.html
        
         | mikewhy wrote:
         | Aye, and while still not the whole picture, the Steam Hardware
         | Survey[1] reports AMD as down from August.
         | 
         | [1]: https://store.steampowered.com/hwsurvey/processormfg/
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | There's also a massive surge of simplified chinese users in
           | the same month, along with a small increase in previous gen
           | GPUs[1], so I suspect it has more to do with more older
           | builds being sampled than intel gaining marketshare.
           | 
           | [1] If you check gpu market share for windows, the usage
           | share for many nvidia 10xx, 16xx, 20xx series gpus went up.
           | The first two are out of production years ago, and the last
           | was out of production early/mid last year.
        
           | hnuser123456 wrote:
           | Guessing that people who want AMD are waiting for the 5000s
           | to become more available and not buying as many 3000s, and/or
           | "giving up" and buying Intel.
        
         | hollerith wrote:
         | The headline is so misleading that I'm flagging the submission.
        
           | pcdoodle wrote:
           | Yeah, passmark users have more AMD share would be a better
           | title.
        
         | yskchu wrote:
         | Yeah agreed; also, how often do people do benchmarks?
         | 
         | Me personally, I only bench around when the build is finished
         | and not much after that; maybe bench again only if there's some
         | significant hardware/software change (software change example
         | being video driver that improves performance etc)
         | 
         | So, if passmark says "This graph counts the baselines submitted
         | to us during these time period", then it probably mostly
         | reflect new builds only. Which is still a significant data
         | point, showing lots of AMD uptake (by enthusiasts), but not
         | what the Techspot headline says/implies.
        
         | Xorlev wrote:
         | Totally agree that enthusiasts are overrepresented, but that
         | seems like a leading indicator, at least in the performance and
         | gaming market (which is a growing portion of the overall
         | desktop market).
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | Perhaps a bigger share of a declining market. IDC forecast
           | that 2020 desktop sales would be down about 17% while
           | notebook sales rose about 26%. While many companies still use
           | Wintel PCs for employees who are (normally) always at their
           | desks, many others increasingly have standardized on
           | notebooks even if not everyone needs one.
        
           | mark-r wrote:
           | AMD can't possibly overtake Intel until the mass market PC
           | makers switch to AMD. Have any done so yet?
        
             | mschuster91 wrote:
             | HP and Dell offer AMD laptops and desktops.
        
       | osgovernment wrote:
       | AMD is selling processors faster than they can make them.
        
         | 01100011 wrote:
         | Faster than TSMC can make them.
         | 
         | I applaud AMD for all they've been doing, but despite it all,
         | Intel has the apparent advantage because AMD is bottlenecked on
         | TSMC. AMD is competing with themselves, Apple, Nvidia, etc for
         | foundry time. That doesn't seem like a good place to be at,
         | even if they hold the technology advantage.
         | 
         | I am cautiously predicting Intel will remain the market leader
         | indefinitely unless AMD finds a way to remedy the bottleneck.
        
           | caycep wrote:
           | yes, I think that is the bear point in the "Intel is doomed"
           | analysis. I think at what point would the market/demand be
           | financially worthwhile for another company to put up with the
           | upfront costs of building a fab to compete w/ Samsung/TSMC?
           | 
           | Also, how many of the Ryzen units (and nVidia) are being
           | scooped up by bots?
        
             | neolog wrote:
             | > Also, how many of the Ryzen units (and nVidia) are being
             | scooped up by bots?
             | 
             | Why does it matter?
        
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       (page generated 2021-01-04 23:03 UTC)