[HN Gopher] Notes on Technology in the 2020s
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       Notes on Technology in the 2020s
        
       Author : MarkMc
       Score  : 21 points
       Date   : 2021-01-03 11:58 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (elidourado.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (elidourado.com)
        
       | ralala wrote:
       | "With Starlink revenue, SpaceX will be able to do the work on
       | life support systems and mission planning to enable a human
       | mission by 2029. NASA could be involved as a partner, but SpaceX
       | would tolerate zero government obstacles."
       | 
       | I still hope such a big step will be driven by democracy.
        
       | cwxm wrote:
       | I like how hardware based this list is. I definitely don't think
       | we have hit the limits (or anywhere closed) of software
       | productivity improvements, but given that software rests on top
       | of hardware, it would be very exciting to see how these hardware
       | productivity improvements would translate to software
       | productivity improvements as a first derivative effect.
       | 
       | As an aside, what does the U.S. need to do to make sure this list
       | happens in the U.S. as much as possible and not in places like
       | China with less regulatory capture and more state backing?
        
         | MarkMc wrote:
         | That's a good point - for example, the smartphone was a
         | hardware improvement which led to a Cambrian explosion of
         | software products.
         | 
         | Regarding the question about making sure it happens in the
         | U.S.: A big factor would be increasing skilled immigration. eg.
         | Currently there are Chinese students getting STEM PhDs at Ivy-
         | league universities who will be forced to return to China after
         | graduation - that is madness.
        
           | cwxm wrote:
           | Definitely, I personally know really smart Mainland Chinese
           | graduates who ended up falling in love with the U.S. and its
           | values, but had to move back to China due to U.S. immigration
           | policy.
        
       | zaxpr wrote:
       | pretty nice review and forecast. I just feel it a little bit
       | "old-fashioned" to talk technology progression as if Humans are
       | the only living species on Earth...
        
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       (page generated 2021-01-03 23:02 UTC)