[HN Gopher] When You're Outnumbered: Lessons from Two British Ma...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       When You're Outnumbered: Lessons from Two British Masters of
       Irregular Warfare
        
       Author : magda_wang
       Score  : 76 points
       Date   : 2021-01-01 07:56 UTC (15 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (warontherocks.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (warontherocks.com)
        
       | BXLE_1-1-BitIs1 wrote:
       | The Pathans managed to boot out the Brits with bloody noses
       | whenever they invaded Afghanistan. In between, Pathan tribes on
       | the then India side of the Durand Line kept the Brits out of
       | their lands except for punitive expeditions. The Brits solved the
       | problem of depredations against ruled populations by garrisoning
       | forts guarding against tribe X with recruits from tribe Y. In
       | fact there was a dozen or so tribes. This policy also provided
       | gainful employment for young men who otherwise would have
       | resorted to brigandage against agricultural populations under the
       | Raj.
        
       | doggo1233 wrote:
       | "Staff with indigenous forces with US NCO/O's from conventional
       | (not SOF) forces..." is a great idea on paper.
       | 
       | When was this last tried? The SFAB.
       | 
       | As someone who helped train the SFAB, which is basically what the
       | author is cribbing the idea from, it was a joke in application
       | and reeked of the hot idea from whatever O6 was gunning for O7.
       | 
       | Of 8-9 SFAB companies supposed to do this out in the bush in AFG
       | with local forces, only 1 ended up doing it. This was an Army-
       | wide initiative mind you that dragged in multiple other units to
       | help train, changed deployment schedules, changed funding, and so
       | on.
       | 
       | The institutional willpower to put the 5-10 years of culture
       | change behind conventional army who just wants to shoot artillery
       | just isn't there at the moment.
       | 
       | And perhaps the regular army should do just that and stay good at
       | it. Past efforts at conventional -> SFAB transition efforts, i.e.
       | "everyone deploys as the infantry" rotted the skill sets of the
       | NCO corps in high skill branches like artillery.
       | 
       | Military thinkers keep advocating for conventional army to be
       | anything and everything, and end up just reinventing SF units and
       | jobs the state department needs to be doing. Then, those same
       | thinkers get confused why gunnery certifications get failed en
       | masse by line units who have to train back and forth across these
       | conflicting priorities.
        
         | skrebbel wrote:
         | San Francisco Area Bay?
         | 
         | EDIT: less cynical, i guess my point is that your comment is so
         | full of jargon that it's near impossible to follow for me, and
         | likely many other readers. In fact I googled SFAB but the
         | wikipedia article doesn't really tell me what it is either
         | (other than "a group of soldiers doing soldiery stuff")
        
       | EL_Loco wrote:
       | I don't understand, this is one of the main jobs of the U.S.
       | Army's Special Forces (also known as Green Berets). Their whole
       | thing is learning how to train and fight alongside indigenous
       | forces. The 2001 invasion of Afghanistan was just that, where
       | literally a handful of SF operators joined the Northern Alliance
       | and helped them capture several cities from the Taliban (in the
       | process becoming the first US soldiers to do battle on horseback
       | since 1942)
        
       | PaulAJ wrote:
       | Fascinating though this is, the negative long term impact of
       | these guys tends to be much greater than their positive short-
       | term impact.
       | 
       | You go in, you train a bunch of locals as guerrillas, you achieve
       | the objective, and then you get out, leaving the local guerrillas
       | behind.
       | 
       | These guys now have the knowledge, experience and organisation to
       | make the place ungovernable. At least some of them will proceed
       | to do so; either they will form a resistance movement to whoever
       | is in charge and become a proxy force for some other power, or
       | they will simply replace politics with profit and convert to
       | organised crime. Either way, the new government is faced with an
       | ungovernable mess.
       | 
       | Afganistan is probably the best example. It was never easy to
       | govern, but after the US trained a guerilla resistance to the
       | Soviet invasion it became impossible. Most of the Islamic
       | fundamentalism that the USA is fighting today can be traced back
       | to that one event.
        
         | choeger wrote:
         | This does happen but is not necessary. Cases in point: Norway,
         | France, Eastern Europe, Germany after WW2. The crucial
         | difference seems to be that the winner must immediately invest
         | in nation building or the defeated must be crushed.
        
           | gonzo41 wrote:
           | Yea, firing the Iraqi Army after the 03 invasion was a small
           | whoopsie.
        
             | specialist wrote:
             | Not guarding the border was another facepalm slap.
             | 
             | Even supporters of Bush's Folly have to admit Rumsfield and
             | crew biffed the execution.
        
             | 082349872349872 wrote:
             | Cynically put, the impending Cold War gave more of an
             | impetus for nation building mid-century than existed by the
             | turn-of-the-century.
             | 
             | Hitler in his bunker doesn't seem so crazy if he'd had
             | cause (such as foreign intelligence reports, or incidents
             | of separate negotiations?) to believe the Allies would have
             | fallen out much sooner than they actually did, and of
             | course someone in his position might've believed that Nazi
             | Germany had been worth more as a wholesale bargain, than
             | (as actually happened) picked up individual by individual
             | at retail.
             | 
             | As to commitment to nation building, the (premature?) end
             | of it in the former CSA came relatively rapidly:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compromise_of_1877
        
         | barry-cotter wrote:
         | You are far too kind to the US military. Afghanistan was too
         | tough a nut for the British long before the Americans showed
         | up. Pastoralist herders with a country that's mostly mountain
         | is practically perfect for making ungovernable people. See the
         | Caucasus, Balkans and upland Indochina for further examples.
         | All the more so when they were swimming with guns already.
        
           | specialist wrote:
           | Not being a smart ass:
           | 
           | Ditto Switzerland?
           | 
           | IIRC, Hitler didn't invade for similar reasons. A well armed
           | citizenry. (And a convenient fence for all the spoils of
           | war.)
           | 
           | Historically, was Switzerland it's own thing? Did Napoleon,
           | the Hapsburgs, misc Papacies, Franks and Normans, etc, march
           | _around_ those mountains?
        
             | iguy wrote:
             | Would be interesting to know more, but as far as I know
             | Switzerland (or the area) was never especially like this. I
             | mean it was always mountainous, obviously, but the people
             | were not so different from their neighbors. Cheese-makers
             | who worried about having enough hay for the winter, not
             | cattle-rustlers.
             | 
             | The obvious west-european example would be Scotland. And
             | the "solution" was more or less to deport the people to
             | Ireland & replace them with sheep.
        
               | Wildgoose wrote:
               | I think it was the people of the ungovernable borderlands
               | between England and Scotland (both sides) that ended up
               | being deported to Northern Ireland, (and of course the
               | Scots originally came from Northern Ireland anyway).
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debatable_Lands
        
             | vondur wrote:
             | The Hapsburgs indeed tried to take over Switzerland. It
             | didn't go well. The Holy Roman Empire copied the tactics of
             | the Swiss and incorporated it into the Landsknechts of
             | Germany.
        
             | adamjb wrote:
             | Napoleonic forces invaded Switzerland and established a
             | client state. Napoleon and 40,000 men quite famously
             | crossed the Alps from Switzerland (base camp at Martigny)
             | as part of the Italian campaign in 1800, as depicted in [0]
             | and [1].
             | 
             | [0]
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Napoleon_Crossing_the_Alps
             | 
             | [1]
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonaparte_Crossing_the_Alps
        
         | conistonwater wrote:
         | > _Most of the Islamic fundamentalism that the USA is fighting
         | today can be traced back to that one event._
         | 
         | This is just plain false. A nice book that I can recommend on
         | the actual history of it is _Ghost Wars_ by Steve Coll.
        
           | pretendscholar wrote:
           | It is so obnoxious to tell someone that they should read an
           | entire book to know what is wrong with a single statement. At
           | least throw a couple points out from the book.
        
           | jessaustin wrote:
           | Assume that most of us haven't read that book, or even if we
           | have that we don't recall it perfectly. What specific
           | information in it would lead us to agree with the blanket
           | statement "this is just plain false"?
        
             | js2 wrote:
             | You can start with the US and Britain intervening in Iran
             | in the the late 1940s to protect oil interests and work
             | your way forward from there. You could arguably go back to
             | post-WWI with Britain, France and Russia arguing over the
             | remains of the Ottoman empire (Sykes-Picot Agreement). The
             | last century has been one interference after the next by
             | Western powers and Russia in the Middle East:
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sykes%E2%80%93Picot_Agreement
             | 
             | So to say that "most of the Islamic fundamentalism that the
             | USA is fighting today can be traced back to that one event"
             | (the US training the Mujahideen) ignores many significant
             | events over the past hundred years:
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_modern_conflicts_in_t
             | h...
             | 
             | At best, it's an overly broad claim.
        
               | boomboomsubban wrote:
               | >The last century has been one interference after the
               | next by Western powers and Russia in the Middle East
               | 
               | The last two centuries, the interference was so common in
               | the 19th century it inspired the name "The Great Game."
        
               | js2 wrote:
               | Thank you for the reference. I have some reading to do.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Game
        
               | kyboren wrote:
               | I can highly recommend Alexander Burnes' non-fiction
               | _Travels into Bokhara_ and Rudyard Kipling 's fictional
               | _Kim_ , which in fact coined the term "The Great Game".
        
           | emayljames wrote:
           | It is not plain false then, it is much worse; not just that
           | folly but many.
        
         | arminiusreturns wrote:
         | >Afganistan is probably the best example. It was never easy to
         | govern, but after the US trained a guerilla resistance to the
         | Soviet invasion it became impossible. Most of the Islamic
         | fundamentalism that the USA is fighting today can be traced
         | back to that one event.
         | 
         | I disagree, but with some context. If you just go back to the
         | cold war, you would be correct, but in a longer time-frame
         | context, I would posit instead it was mostly at the British
         | backing of the Saud's that created the later environment
         | exploited in the 80s and then again later. I recently read a
         | book, sorry I can't remember the name right now, written by an
         | AQ guy turned intel-asset who actually spent time inside the
         | Afghan camps. He mentioned enough times for it to stick in my
         | mind how the funding came from SA, and how the more powerful
         | people in the groups (trainers, etc) were either from SA or
         | Wahhabists. That sent me on a journey of reading up on SA that
         | left me really feeling a lot of it was due to Britain wanting
         | to maintain the tendrils of Empire, not taking into account the
         | possibility of blowback later, or rather, finding it an
         | acceptable price to pay.
         | 
         | Mark Curtis wrote a book that I found most illuminating on the
         | subject, "Secret Affairs: Britain's Collusion with Radical
         | Islam":
         | 
         | "As Britain withdrew its military forces from the Middle East
         | in the late 1960s, Islamist forces such as the Saudi regime
         | and, once again, the Muslim Brotherhood, were often seen as
         | proxies to maintain British interests in the region, to
         | continue to destabilise communist or nationalist regimes or as
         | 'muscle' to bolster pro-British, right-wing governments. By the
         | 1970s, Arab nationalism had been virtually defeated as a
         | political force, partly thanks to Anglo-American opposition; it
         | was largely replaced by the rising force of radical Islam,
         | which London again often saw as a handy weapon to counter the
         | remnants of secular nationalism and communism in key states
         | such as Egypt and Jordan."..." Britain continued to see some of
         | these groups as useful, principally as proxy guerilla forces in
         | places as diverse as Bosnia, Azerbaijan, Kosovo and Libya;
         | there,they were used either to help break up the Soviet Union
         | and secure major oil interests or to fight nationalist
         | regimes," ... "Whitehall not only tolerated but encouraged the
         | development of 'Londonistan'-the capital acting as a base and
         | organising centre for numerous jihadist groups -even as this
         | provided a de facto 'green light'to that terrorism.I suggest
         | that some elements, at least, in the British establishment may
         | have allowed some Islamist groups to operate from London not
         | only because they provided information to the security services
         | but also because they were seen as useful to British foreign
         | policy, notably in maintaining a politically divided Middle
         | East -a long-standing goal of imperial and postwar planners
         | -and as a lever to influence foreign governments' policies."...
         | "Churchill later wrote that 'my admiration for him [Ibn Saud]
         | was deep, because of his unfailing loyalty to us'"
         | 
         | Yes, as another commenter said, I can also recommend Ghost Wars
         | as one of my favorite books on Afghanistan, and Steve Colls
         | more recent work Directorate S is also extremely well written
         | in the same vein.
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | As such other wonderful outposts of peace as northern
           | ireland, cyprus, israel, etc. show, back when it was
           | Britannia who ruled the waves, they were fond of playing
           | "let's you and him fight". To my eyes, the long-term
           | drawbacks of these initially-attractive conflicts probably
           | support the ancestor's thesis.
           | 
           | (any oceanic power will likely find making a mess of
           | potential eurasian overland trade routes to be a feature, not
           | a bug.)
        
         | jcaldas wrote:
         | Chechnya after the 1994-1996 war is also an excellent example.
        
           | 082349872349872 wrote:
           | Indeed: Kadyrov (the current Marcher Lord) ought to know a
           | thing or two, having been supported by both anti-Kremlin and
           | pro-Kremlin regimes at varying times.
        
         | varjag wrote:
         | It's a delusion of grandeur to think that Islamic
         | fundamentalism owes its existence to a transient American
         | action.
         | 
         | American exceptionalism but from the Left.
        
           | ageofwant wrote:
           | Perhaps a better example would be America's operation TPAJAX,
           | that removed Iran's democracy and delivered its modern day
           | Islamic theocracy. America certainly did not invent Islamic
           | fundamentalism, but it had no issue using it to further its
           | own cause.
        
           | nerdponx wrote:
           | Huh? This is about military training, equipment, and
           | logistics, not religion.
        
             | baxtr wrote:
             | These things sound like catalysts, but not as the
             | fundamental reasons things were happening. Just look at
             | history to see that violence was there before training,
             | equipment and logistics were available.
        
               | nerdponx wrote:
               | And the post clearly says that:
               | 
               |  _Afganistan is probably the best example. It was never
               | easy to govern, but after the US trained a guerilla
               | resistance to the Soviet invasion it became impossible._
        
             | varjag wrote:
             | _Most of the Islamic fundamentalism that the USA is
             | fighting today can be traced back to that one event._
        
               | danielheath wrote:
               | Fighting being the relevant word. If they hadn't been
               | armed and trained, the fight would have been over before
               | it began.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | It's hilarious how you can simultaneously make 10 years
               | of Afghan and Soviet fighting a secondary act in this
               | supposedly American performance. Just proves my point.
        
               | callmeal wrote:
               | >It's hilarious how you can simultaneously make 10 years
               | of Afghan and Soviet fighting a secondary act in this
               | supposedly American performance. Just proves my point.
               | 
               | You're making his by ignoring the fact that the Afghans
               | were trained and armed by US to fight the Soviets. That
               | training remains, just who they're fighting has changed.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | The vast majority of Mujahedeen never underwent US
               | training. Most of their small arms (those that didn't
               | originally float in the always militant tribes) were
               | provided by Pakistan and China.
               | 
               | Also, becoming a half competent combatant is not like
               | getting a PhD, more a function of you surviving your
               | first few encounters.
               | 
               | The world does not revolve around America, people were
               | able to fight and kill each other well before the CIA was
               | formed.
        
               | vlovich123 wrote:
               | Is all the combat training the US military gives its own
               | grunts and leaders not effective at making the US
               | military more formidable?
               | 
               | Didn't these mujahadeen stick around to train the next
               | generation of soldiers? Aren't there consistent conflict
               | in the Middle East to harden that kind of training (eg
               | Chechnya)? Aren't there mercenary opportunities to deploy
               | and evolve that training?
               | 
               | Whether they would have developed it on their own is
               | unclear but the US didn't develop that knowledge on their
               | own either, instead synthesizing it from experience of
               | Allies during WWII and likely observing other
               | insurgencies and criminal enterprises they helped back.
               | 
               | To me the playbook is the same "drug" but way more potent
               | and mass produced and perhaps the first to market in this
               | distributable form.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | Mujahideen force was never near the level of the U.S.
               | military in basic training, and they suffered heavy
               | losses even against the conscript Soviet army. Still that
               | gets you rather far if you are motivated and fighting a
               | war of ambushes on home turf.
               | 
               | If the US training was all it is hyped to be, surely the
               | US-trained ANA could have rooted the Taliban by now, even
               | without American help.
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | claudiawerner wrote:
           | It's a delusion of Western blamelessness to think that any
           | supposed relationship between the _actions_ of Islamic
           | fundamentalists, their strategies and growth, implies that
           | "Islamic fundamentalism owes its existence to a transient
           | American action".
           | 
           | Islamic fundamentalism was around before American involvement
           | and it'll be around after. Nobody is claiming otherwise.
        
             | varjag wrote:
             | The origin of Afghan resistance was Soviet invasion. It was
             | the 120,000 troops of Soviet mechanised infantry over 10
             | years that made Mujahedeen who they are, not a dozen CIA
             | instructors showing them jumping jacks in Pakistan.
        
               | 082349872349872 wrote:
               | MANPADs
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIM-92_Stinger#Soviet_War_i
               | n_A...
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | MANPADs were not delivered until 1986: by that time my
               | dad already completed two 18-month rotations to Herat.
               | 
               | Anyway MANPAD handling skills are irrelevant to what we
               | discuss here.
        
               | 082349872349872 wrote:
               | Not so irrelevant, because at USD 40k per, they were a
               | bit more than teaching jumping jacks. I mentioned them
               | specifically because they seem to have been the least-
               | deniable part of the package.
               | 
               | The author of the lines <<Gory streliaiut, Stinger
               | vzletaet / Esli narvat'sia, to parni vtoroi raz umrut>>
               | also seems to have accorded them more respect than you
               | do...
               | 
               | I've heard the Chechens were able to manufacture their
               | own small arms. Afghanis certainly had that capability;
               | did they have it at the scale provided? Would they have
               | been able to source their own MANPADs?
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | Vastly more Soviet troops were killed by Communist
               | Chinese AK clones than by Stingers. But of course the
               | impact on morale and logistics was profound.
               | 
               | This is however not what we discuss here. How much US
               | attrition was due to Islamic fundamentalist MANPAD use,
               | during the whole War of Terror?
               | 
               | See, it's irrelevant.
        
               | KineticLensman wrote:
               | > The origin of Afghan resistance was Soviet invasion
               | 
               | They also resisted the British quite well in 1842 [0].
               | 
               | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1842_retreat_from_Kabul
               | 
               | [Edit] In fact I think I'm right in saying that the last
               | person to successfully invade Afghanistan was Alexander
               | the Great, and even he had to stop campaigning when his
               | army mutinied rather than continue ops in the Indian
               | subcontinent.
        
               | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
               | I believe Genghis Khan and Tamerlane also successfully
               | conquered Afghanistan.
        
               | davchana wrote:
               | The Sikh General Hari Singh Nalwa also uprooted &
               | defeated Afghan Leaders like Dost Mohammad & others, &
               | ruled Afghanistan Throne & build forts around there, even
               | died in his last battle, but did not let the news of his
               | death come out making sure his side wins, in around
               | 1830s. [0]
               | 
               | [0]: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hari_Singh_Nalwa
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | True, "The Graveyard of Empires" is an old metaphor.
        
         | ardit33 wrote:
         | This is not true. After the Kosovo war, the KLA (Kosova
         | Liberation Army), disbanded, and some of their leaders joined
         | politics.
         | 
         | Most just did what they used to do before the war: teachers,
         | mechanics, drivers, engineers, nurses, students and so on...
         | 
         | Same thing happened in many European countries after WW2 was
         | over.
        
         | 082349872349872 wrote:
         | in different contexts:
         | 
         | - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Zetas#Foundation
         | 
         | -
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jesse_James#Quantrill's_Raider...
        
       | yorwba wrote:
       | > Per 10 U.S. Code Section 127e, the Pentagon can spend up to
       | $100 million annually on support to foreign forces for counter-
       | terrorism operations. In these programs foreign units conduct
       | combat operations with US operational guidance. However, unlike
       | 127e programs the Special Night Squads and the Gideon Force in
       | Ethiopia were directly led by conventional British officers and
       | non-commissioned officers embedded in those units.
       | 
       | ...
       | 
       | > Two insights appear to have particular salience still today.
       | First, the use of irregular forces largely made up of foreigners
       | with a backbone of British officers and non-commissioned officers
       | was a force multiplier that had dramatic impacts in multiple
       | theaters for the British.
       | 
       | The article seems to argue that the US should emulate the British
       | use of troops made up of colonial subjects commanded by the
       | titular "British masters". But unlike the British colonial
       | empire, the American sphere of influence is mostly comprised of
       | sovereign countries whose governments might object to foreign-
       | controlled guerillas operating in their territory primarily to
       | protect American interests. So I'm not sure whether that's really
       | an "insight of particular salience still today".
        
         | boomboomsubban wrote:
         | >But unlike the British colonial empire, the American sphere of
         | influence is mostly comprised of sovereign countries whose
         | governments might object to foreign-controlled guerillas
         | operating in their territory primarily to protect American
         | interests.
         | 
         | I think their use of "foreigners" there just refers to non-
         | British, as both of their examples largely used locals for that
         | role. Countries are often quite willing to allow US officers in
         | train and assist their army.
        
       | dx87 wrote:
       | A more recent example would be the book "The Utility of Force" by
       | General Rupert Smith. He argues that conventional militaries and
       | tactics revolve around a concept of war that was made obsolete by
       | nuclear weapons, and goes in depth regarding recent failings of
       | NATO and the Iraq invasion, and how the conflicts should be
       | handled in the age of instant global communication and media
       | coverage.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | toolslive wrote:
       | The British had their asses handed to them by Yamashita in an off
       | beat offensive "Blitzkrieg by bicycle"
       | 
       | https://www.welovecycling.com/wide/2019/06/28/japanese-style...
        
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       (page generated 2021-01-01 23:01 UTC)