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What problems can human beings only solve over a very long period of
time? And how can we build institutions that solve those problems?
Below is a list of marvellous projects which human beings have
undertaken over an exceptionally long time. Many examples contributed
by people on Twitter.
The focus is on goal-directed projects (e.g., a scientific experiment
or a building), less on more decentralized or unplanned changes
(e.g., languages, domestication of livestock, cities, religions). Of
course, those are also fascinating, but they have less of a sense of
a long-term goal. Jericho is incredible, but the founders probably
weren't thinking "I hope this is still here in 9,000 years".
This page is a riff on Patrick Collison's list of /fast projects.
There are surprisingly many commonalities with those projects.
* The proof of Fermat's Last Theorem involved an incredible amount
of mathematics developed over decades and centuries: wikipedia.
* Many Cathedrals were built over more than a century. An example
is Notre Dame, over 1163-1345. There are many more.
* An ongoing example is the Sagrada Familia, begun in 1882, and
continuing today.
* The Cape Grim Air Archive, which has been archiving air since
1978, so later researchers can conduct longitudinal studies.
* The Framingham Heart Study, a longitudinal study of the heart
which began in 1948.
* The Central England Temperature series, from 1659 to the present.
* The early designs for the LIGO gravitational wave detector were
developed in 1967; the instrument itself was developed over many
decades, and first saw gravitational waves in 2016^1.
* The E. coli long-term evolution experiment, from 1988 to the
present.
* The pitch drop experiment from 1927 to the present^2.
* The Clock of the Long Now, which aspires to last 10,000 years.
* I suspect many key open source systems (Linux, Wikipedia) will
still be around in 100 years. I won't be surprised if certain
standards still show up in a thousand years, perhaps in a
modified form. ASCII gives rise to Unicode gives rise to [???]
Will Unix Time or TCP/IP ever be replaced? Modified: sure. But
there's at least some chance they'll be with us for millenia.
* The 2nd Ave Subway in Manhattan, with preparatory construction
beginning in 1942. First phase opened in 2017.
* The list of oldest companies in the world is food for thought.
Sad to report the 2006 demise of Kongo Gumi, which began in 578.
It was in the construction business, originally of Shinto Shrines
(I believe). Such Shrines undergo a continuous process of
renewal; an example is the Izumo-taisha, which may date to BCE.
* The Study of Mathematically Precocious Youth, begun in 1971, and
continuing as of 2025 (contributed by Tom McCarthy)
* Wikipedia lists many other long-term exeriments.
A fun question: of these projects, which required a long time, and
which could have been greatly accelerated?
Footnotes
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1. In 1998 I went to a talk by Kip Thorne where he said LIGO would
likely need a strain sensitivity of "1 part in 10 to the 21" to
see anything. That's an accuracy comparable to measuring the
distance to the Sun to an accuracy of one atom. I laughed, and
thought it would take centuries, at least. In the second sentence
of the abstract of the 2016 paper they report a strain
sensitivity of 1.0 \times 10^{-21}.-[?]
2. My office was for many years in the same building as the pitch
drop experiment, and I would often walk past it multiple times a
day. It has a slow but steady psychological impact in how you
think about the space of projects open to you. This is fitting.-[?]
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