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Productive Capacities Index
PCI Logo
UNCTAD's Productive Capacities Index is a dynamic and practical tool
to support developing countries in understanding the status of their
productive capacity and how this can be improved.
It builds on UNCTAD's long-standing work on productive capacities,
which are essential for generating inclusive and sustained economic
growth and achieving sustainable development.
The PCI covers 194 economies for the period 2000-2022. The set of
productive capacities and their specific combinations are mapped
across 42 indicators. This makes our PCI multidimensional in its
analytical abilities.
The PCI can help diagnose the areas where countries may be leading or
falling behind, spotlighting where policies are working and where
corrective efforts are needed. It suggests a roadmap for future
policy actions and interventions under each of its eight components:
human capital, natural capital, energy, ICTs, structural change,
transport, institutions and the private sector.
The PCI was developed in response to the ECOSOC resolution (E/RES/
2017/29), encouraging UNCTAD "to pursue its methodological work to
measure progress in and identify obstacles to the development of
productive capacities in developing countries".
The PCI has been peer-reviewed and validated at national and regional
levels by leading technical experts across the UN system, as well as
by academics and government stakeholders.
Stakeholders in select countries have been trained on how to use the
index in their development policymaking processes. UNCTAD stands
ready to conduct more training sessions at the request of countries.
What are productive capacities?
UNCTAD has long defined productive capacities as "the productive
resources, entrepreneurial capabilities and production linkages,
which together determine the capacity of a country to produce goods
and services and enable it to grow and develop."
* Productive resources are factors of production, including
different types of productive resources and capital. They include
financial capital and physical capital, the latter comprising
both machinery and equipment (typically operating at the firm /
farm level) and infrastructure.
* Entrepreneurial capabilities are the skills, knowledge, and
information which enterprises have. They comprise
entrepreneurship, entrepreneurial capabilities, and technological
capabilities. They include the important skills required for
investment, production and establishing linkages at the firm /
farm level.
* Production linkages are flows among productive units (firms /
farms) of goods and services, knowledge, technology and
information, and productive resources, including human
resources). They include exchanges among productive units of
different sizes (micro, small and medium-sized enterprises and
large ones), and ownership structures (domestic / foreign, public
/ private), operating in different sectors.
What role do productive capacities play?
Developing productive capacities, plays a central role in setting in
motion the long-term process of structural transformation, which is
the backbone of sustainable development. The available evidence shows
no nation has developed without fostering productive capacities and
structural economic transformation.
Building the economic resilience of developing countries remains a
daunting challenge. It depends fundamentally on creating, maintaining
and using productive capacities to realize development objectives.
This requires a shift from the current fragmented and project-based
interventions towards coherent, economy-wide and programme-based
approaches to removing binding constraints on development. Actions
and interventions at the domestic level need to be supported and
complemented by additional robust international support.
The PCI makes an important contribution to these efforts. The index
draws on decades of extensive research and policy analysis work, as
well as lessons learned from UNCTAD's technical support to the most
vulnerable countries in developing key aspects of their trade and
productive structures.
The index is the first comprehensive attempt to measure productive
capacities in all economies and construct a multidimensional index
that can provide country-specific insights and diagnostics of
productive capacity development.
PCI and its components
The overall index summarises the state of productive capacities in
economies worldwide by computing scores that range between 0 and 100
(boundaries not included).
PCI also offers country scores to help in understanding the sources
of systemic vulnerabilities and identifying the enablers of economic
growth, including progress towards national and global development
targets.
For statistical and measurement purposes, the overall PCI index is
further broken down into the following eight categories: information
and communication technologies (ICTs), structural change, natural
capital, human capital, energy, transport, the private sector and
institutions.
PCI: Human CapitalHuman capital
Human capital captures the education, skills and health conditions
possessed by population, and the overall research and development
integration in the texture of society through the number of
researchers and expenditure on research activities. The gender
dimension is reflected by the fertility rate which at each increase
reduces human capital score.
PCI: Human CapitalNatural capital
Natural capital estimates the availability of extractive and
agricultural resources, including rents generated from the extraction
of the natural resource, less the cost of extracting the resource. To
capture commodity dependence, natural capital decreases as the
material intensity increases.
PCI: Human CapitalEnergy
This category measures the availability, sustainability and
efficiency of power sources. For this reason, it is composed by use
and access to energy, losses in distribution and renewability of
energy components and sources, and includes the GDP generated by each
unit of oil to highlight further the importance of optimal energy
systems.
PCI: Human CapitalTransport
Transport measures the capability of a system to take people or goods
from one place to another. It is defined as the capillarity of roads
and railway network and air connectivity.
PCI: Human CapitalInformation and Communication Technology (ICT)
Information and Communication Technology estimates the accessibility
and integration of communication systems within the population. It
includes fixed line and mobile phones users, internet accessibility
and server security.
PCI: Human CapitalInstitutions
Institutions aim at measuring political stability and efficiency
through its regulatory quality, effectiveness, success in fighting
criminality, corruption and terrorism, and safeguard of citizens'
freedom of expression and association.
PCI: Human CapitalPrivate sector
Private sector is defined by the ease of cross-border trade, which
includes time and monetary costs to export and import, and the
support to business in terms of domestic credit, velocity of contract
enforcement and time required to start a business.
PCI: Human CapitalStructural Change
Structural change refers to the movement of labour and other
productive resources from low-productivity to high-productivity
economic activities. This shift is currently captured by the
sophistication and variety of exports, the intensity of fixed capital
and the weight of industry and services on total GDP. Structural
change can also happen within a given sector provided that binding
constraints in a particular sector are identified and effectively
addressed.
PCI_FullDataset
Data Sources and Approach
The PCI data are drawn from a variety of internationally comparable
and rigorous data sources, including UNCTADstat, the World Bank, the
World Health Organization, UNESCO, the OECD, the International
Telecommunications Union, International Civil Aviation Authority,
UNEP, and many others.
The PCI was calculated following rigorous internationally recognized
statistical and econometric methodologies for developing a composite
index.
We worked with expert statisticians from UNCTAD, the United Nations
Development Programme, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
and leading academics to peer review and validate the methodology.
As with any composite index and all statistical indicators, there are
limitations to the PCI. Above all, the PCI scores are ultimately a
reflection of the accuracy and availability of the data used. The
available data are limited for certain indicators and for some
countries.
The results are also dependent on the methodology used and the
assumptions made. The PCI's value lies in its aptness, methodological
rigour and robustness, as a pointer that enables national decision
makers to gain a sense of the current state of productive capacities.
More on the PCI methodology is available in UNCTAD Productive
Capacities Index: Methodological Approach and Results.
PCI publicatons
UNCTAD Productive Capacities Index: Focus on Landlocked Developing
CountriesUNCTAD Productive Capacities Index: Focus on Landlocked
Developing Countries
This study provides an in-depth analysis of the challenges to
productive capacity development in landlocked developing countries.
It reveals that the average scores of landlocked developing countries
lag behind those of developing regions in seven of the eight
categories comprising the Index, although landlocked developing
countries have scores slightly above the average scores of the least
developed countries.
UNCTAD Productive Capacities Index: Focus on Landlocked Developing
CountriesUNCTAD Productive Capacities Index: Methodological Approach
and Results
This publication has been designed as a user-friendly and
step-by-step guide to PCI. It walks the user through the
methodological foundations of the index, aligned with the mandates
given by the international community in the Programme of Action for
the Least Developed Countries for the Decade 2011-2020 (Istanbul
Programme of Action), the Vienna Programme of Action for Landlocked
Developing Countries for the Decade 2014-2024 and the Nairobi Azimio
and Nairobi Maafikiano, among others. It also provides a detailed
overview of the index, its requisite categories and, importantly, the
insights drawn from its results.
PCI visualization
The interactive maps presented below have been designed to help users
explore PCI data over time and space. Visualizing data spatially is a
critical tool for revealing geographical patterns. The PCI results
presented cover 194 economies over the period 2000-2022.
Measuring and benchmarking productive capacities globally reveals
significant gaps, not only between developed and developing
economies, but also among developing countries themselves. The
Productive Capacities Index demonstrates that differences in
socio-economic development across countries and regions are a
consequence of gaps in their productive capacities.
Structurally weak and vulnerable economies, including the least
developed countries (LDCs) and landlocked developing countries
(LLDCs) perform particularly poorly on PCI.
World map - PCI overall and component indices
Notes: This map presents the world as configured today. As the
dataset begins with the year 2000 it must, by necessity, incorporate
several geopolitical developments and changes that have occurred over
the subsequent 20 years.
The performance of small island developing States (SIDS) must be
understood in the context of their unique geographical and structural
characteristics. Due to their demographic features (small population)
and smaller size and/or surface area, small island developing States
perform better when measured using indicators that utilize
population-related or geographical ratios as units of measurement.
Furthermore, the relative shift of economic activities in SIDS
towards the services sector, in particular financial intermediation
and tourism and other intangible services and the acceleration of
human capital development in these economies influences their
performance.
Regional maps - PCI overall and component indices
Average overall PCI scores for all economic groups improved in
2000-2022, although to varying degrees. However, there are
significant gaps in the average scores observed across and between
the different groups. With regard to LDCs and LLDCs, their overall
PCI scores was driven by their high levels of natural capital, which
entrenches increased commodity dependence rather than facilitating
economic diversification or structural transformation. Overall trends
also show communality among all groups, namely, a steeper rise in the
first half of the period and a more moderate increase in the second
half.
[Developing countries ]
Notes: This map presents the world as configured today. As the
dataset begins with the year 2000 it must, by necessity, incorporate
a number of geopolitical developments and changes that have occurred
over the subsequent 20 years.
The performance of small island developing States (SIDS) must be
understood in the context of their unique geographical and structural
characteristics. Due to their demographic features (small population)
and smaller size and/or surface area, small island developing States
perform better when measured using indicators that utilize
population-related or geographical ratios as units of measurement.
Furthermore, the relative shift of economic activities in SIDS
towards the services sector, in particular financial intermediation
and tourism and other intangible services and the acceleration of
human capital development in these economies influences their
performance.
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