https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.06625 Skip to main content Cornell University We gratefully acknowledge support from the Simons Foundation, member institutions, and all contributors. Donate arxiv logo > cs > arXiv:2310.06625 [ ] Help | Advanced Search [All fields ] Search arXiv logo Cornell University Logo [ ] GO quick links * Login * Help Pages * About Computer Science > Machine Learning arXiv:2310.06625 (cs) [Submitted on 10 Oct 2023] Title:iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting Authors:Yong Liu, Tengge Hu, Haoran Zhang, Haixu Wu, Shiyu Wang, Lintao Ma, Mingsheng Long Download a PDF of the paper titled iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting, by Yong Liu and 6 other authors Download PDF Abstract:The recent boom of linear forecasting models questions the ongoing passion for architectural modifications of Transformer-based forecasters. These forecasters leverage Transformers to model the global dependencies over temporal tokens of time series, with each token formed by multiple variates of the same timestamp. However, Transformer is challenged in forecasting series with larger lookback windows due to performance degradation and computation explosion. Besides, the unified embedding for each temporal token fuses multiple variates with potentially unaligned timestamps and distinct physical measurements, which may fail in learning variate-centric representations and result in meaningless attention maps. In this work, we reflect on the competent duties of Transformer components and repurpose the Transformer architecture without any adaptation on the basic components. We propose iTransformer that simply inverts the duties of the attention mechanism and the feed-forward network. Specifically, the time points of individual series are embedded into variate tokens which are utilized by the attention mechanism to capture multivariate correlations; meanwhile, the feed-forward network is applied for each variate token to learn nonlinear representations. The iTransformer model achieves consistent state-of-the-art on several real-world datasets, which further empowers the Transformer family with promoted performance, generalization ability across different variates, and better utilization of arbitrary lookback windows, making it a nice alternative as the fundamental backbone of time series forecasting. Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG) Cite as: arXiv:2310.06625 [cs.LG] (or arXiv:2310.06625v1 [cs.LG] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2310.06625 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite Submission history From: Yong Liu [view email] [v1] Tue, 10 Oct 2023 13:44:09 UTC (4,053 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: Download a PDF of the paper titled iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting, by Yong Liu and 6 other authors * Download PDF * PostScript * Other Formats [by-nc-nd-4] Current browse context: cs.LG < prev | next > new | recent | 2310 Change to browse by: cs References & Citations * NASA ADS * Google Scholar * Semantic Scholar a export BibTeX citation Loading... BibTeX formatted citation x [loading... ] Data provided by: Bookmark BibSonomy logo Reddit logo (*) Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools [ ] Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) 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