https://www.economist.com/europe/2021/11/11/how-trains-could-replace-planes-in-europe

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[                    ]
EuropeNov 13th 2021 edition

Disoriented express
How trains could replace planes in Europe

It won't be easy

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Nov 11th 2021

BERLIN

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THE CENTREPIECE of this year's European Year of Rail was the
"Connecting Europe Express". Between September and October its cars
whisked EU officials across the continent on a whistle-stop tour
promoting the future of railways. But the train itself was a
nostalgia trip: most of its wagons were built in the 1980s, since
more recent models were less likely to be certified by the
rail-safety boards of all 26 countries it visited. Without
arm-twisting by the European Commission, said Alberto Mazzola of the 
CER, a rail-industry group, the trip would have been impossible.

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It was a classic European story. The EU has grand ambitions for
trains as a way of cutting carbon emissions, and its national railway
networks are strong. But rail is the form of transport that requires
the most co-ordination, and on a continent split into dozens of
countries that is a problem. Governments pour money into domestic
high-speed lines, but often leave just a winding bit of track linking
to the neighbours. For the national carriers that dominate the
sector, such as Germany's Deutsche Bahn and France's SNCF,
cross-border trips are a side business and competitors a nuisance.
"The single European railway area exists in terms of a market
opening," says Kristian Schmidt, the European Commission's director
of land transport. "But we have a long way to go."

The EU's mobility strategy calls for making all scheduled travel of
500km (310 mikes) or less carbon-neutral by 2030. The most obvious
way to do that is with electric passenger trains. Even accounting for
use of fossil fuels in power generation, trains average about
one-fifth the greenhouse-gas emissions per passenger-kilometre of
aeroplanes and less than half that of buses, says the European
Environment Agency.

Gimme a ticket for an aeroplane

Yet only 8% of the distance travelled by land in the EU is by rail.
Even in the most train-happy countries, Austria and the Netherlands,
the figures are 13% and 11%. In those countries, more than 75% of
land travel is done by car. Statistics on cross-border rail are
patchy, but EU figures show that people made only 6.5m international
trips by train from Germany in 2019. They made 110m by air, just to
other countries in the EU. Shifting a significant share to rail will
require huge investments.

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More fast trains would help. The EU wants to double high-speed rail
traffic by 2030. Because they deliver passengers to city centres
rather than airports, trains can out-compete flights on routes of up
to 800km, provided they run at 200kph or more. Flights between Milan
and Rome fell by more than half after a high-speed rail line opened
in 2007. The Eurostar carried nearly 80% of traffic from London to
Brussels and Paris in 2019, and a big share of those travelling
between Paris and Frankfurt go on French TGV or German ICE trains.

But such international high-speed routes are few. Spain and France
each have extensive high-speed networks, but to get from one to the
other trains must creep along old-fashioned tracks. France and Italy
have scarcely begun tunnelling under the Alps to link their networks.
High-speed routes between Berlin and central-European cities such as
Prague and Vienna are still in the planning stage.

These tracks are part of a web of high-priority transport corridors
known as TEN-T first sketched by the EU in the 1990s. But national
governments, which bear most of the costs, have been slow to pony up
the money. The EU's own Connecting Europe Facility and other
programmes budget EUR86bn ($100bn) for rail from 2021-27. But
high-speed track can cost more than EUR40m per kilometre. On most
routes countries would be better off improving their conventional
networks, according to the European Court of Auditors.

A less costly approach is to bring back the original long-distance
rail technology: the night train. Sleeper cars were disappearing in
Europe by the mid-2010s, but were revived between Brussels and Vienna
in 2016 by oBB, Austria's national carrier. They have become a
romantic fad, popping up again in France, Germany and Sweden. But
their carrying capacity is small.

Berth of a nation

National divisions have always been a problem for rail. Sleeper
trains were brought to Europe by Georges Nagelmackers, a Belgian
banking heir who fell for the Pullman car while travelling in America
in the 1860s. It took him years of negotiations with various
governments to set up the Compagnie Internationale des Wagons-Lit,
which ran sleeper coaches that switched between national operators'
locomotives when they crossed borders.

In some respects European cross-border rail has gone backwards. The
trip from Brussels to Luxembourg can take an hour longer than it did
in 1980. Along the German-Czech border some timetables are not much
better than those in Hendschel's Telegraph of 1914. When Germany's
transport minister last year announced "Trans Europ Express 2.0", it
raised the question of why the original Trans Europ Express trains
immortalised by Kraftwerk in 1977 were abandoned by the early 1990s.

One difficulty in reviving them is compatibility. Europe's electric
railways use four different voltage levels. Signalling and safety
systems are even worse: almost every country initially had its own.
The European Rail Agency is gradually enforcing common
specifications, but that effort has been under way since 1996. At
Europe's edges, even the width of the track varies: the Baltic
countries use the Russian Empire's wider gauge, and Spain and
Portugal have one of their own.

Private rail entrepreneurs say that traffic would rise if countries
actually lived up to their obligations to allow competition. Under EU
law all member states have unbundled their rail infrastructure from
their train operators, and must let outside players run on their
tracks. But some countries are in practice more open than others.
Germany's track owner is an arm of Deutsche Bahn and charges high
service fees, which tends to deter competitors. Sweden charges only
for the added maintenance that new users require, fostering
competition from newcomers such as FlixTrain and MTR that has cut
prices.

Then there is ticketing. Because systems are incompatible, only a few
agencies sell rail tickets across the entire continent. As for
refunds, operators are responsible only for the portion of the trip
on their own trains. High-speed rail tickets typically cost far more
than a budget airfare on the same route. That is unlikely to change
while jet fuel and most airline emissions are tax-free.

If Europe wants passengers to shift to rail, it will need to tax
airlines' carbon emissions properly. Until then, many passengers will
think of trains nostalgically. At a Connecting Europe Express event
in Berlin, Christopher Irwin of the European rail passengers' union
reflected that he first travelled to the city by rail from Britain in
the 1960s. "It was easier back then." #

This article appeared in the Europe section of the print edition
under the headline "Disoriented express"

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