* * * * * You feel the earth move under your feet > In fact, the science is robust, and one of the chief scientists behind it > is Chris Goldfinger. Thanks to work done by him and his colleagues, we now > know that the odds of the big Cascadia earthquake [approximately 8.3 — > Editor] happening in the next fifty years are roughly one in three. The > odds of the very big one [approximately 9.0 —Editor] are roughly one in > ten. Even those numbers do not fully reflect the danger—or, more to the > point, how unprepared the Pacific Northwest is to face it. The truly > worrisome figures in this story are these: Thirty years ago, no one knew > that the Cascadia subduction zone had ever produced a major earthquake. > Forty-five years ago, no one even knew it existed. > Via Jason Kottke [1], “The Earthquake That Will Devastate Seattle - The New Yorker [2]” I knew about the San Adreas fault [3], and even the the New Madrid fault [4], but I did not know about the Cascadia subduction zone [5] and as the article above points out, it has a history of “blowing” every 250–300 years, with the previous one being in 1700. And from reading, it doesn't sound good when the earth finally does move in the Pacific Northwest. [1] http://www.kottke.org/ [2] http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big-one [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Andreas_Fault [4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Madrid_Seismic_Zone [5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cascadia_subduction_zone Email Sean Conner at sean@conman.org .